COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK October 15, 1996 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK is issued monthly (except January) by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20005-4788. CWS-0996. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton Crop Forecast Up Slightly The U.S. cotton production forecast totaled 18.2 million bales in October, 2 percent above both the September forecast and last season's crop. Upland production is forecast at 17.6 million bales, while the extra-long staple (ELS) crop is forecast at 567,000 bales. Historical differences between the October forecast and final production over the previous 20 years indicate chances are two out of three that the 1996 cotton crop will range between 17.4 and 19.0 million bales. The U.S. yield rose 12 pounds per harvested acre from a month earlier to 673 pounds, well above 1995's 537-pound yield. The higher yield this month resulted mainly from larger production in Texas and California and a slight reduction in harvested area. Meanwhile, this season's ginnings totaled 2.14 million running bales prior to October 1, compared with 2.45 million in 1995 and 2.32 million in 1994. The average condition, as well as the development, of the U.S. cotton crop remains above last season. As of October 6, 57 percent of the area was rated "good" or "excellent," compared with only 33 percent in 1995. Similarly, 83 percent of the bolls were opening, 2 points ahead of last season and 5 points above the 5-year average. However, with a wet September across much of the Cotton Belt, only 25 percent of the area was harvested by October 6, equal to the 5-year average but 3 points below last year. The largest production gain occurred in the Southwest, where the crop is forecast at 4 million bales, 180,000 above September's forecast. An increase in Texas more than offset a small decline in Oklahoma. Data from the objective yield survey for Texas indicated the highest large boll count and third highest boll weights during the past 10 years. Yields in Texas jumped to 451 pounds per harvested acre, while the region's yield averaged 442 pounds. In the West, California led the way with an increase of 150,000 bales this month. Despite the expected gain in production, the objective yield survey for California showed the lowest large boll count and the third lowest boll weights since 1986. Yields in California are forecast at 1,206 pounds per harvested acre with the West estimated at 1,178 pounds. In the Delta and Southeast, smaller changes occurred. The Delta is forecast to produce 5.8 million bales this season with an average yield of 717 pounds per harvested acre. Meanwhile, Southeast production is expected to approach 4.5 million bales, indicating a yield of 685 pounds. ELS production is down slightly from September; however, the 1996 crop is projected 200,000 bales (54 percent) above last year. The ELS yield is forecast at a record 1,039 pounds. Harvest began in the Winter Garden area while defoliation occurred in the San Joaquin Valley. The crop in the Trans- Pecos area approached maturity. Foreign Consumption Lower, Exports Higher This Month While the foreign production outlook for 1996/97 is marginally lower this month at 69.3 million bales, the biggest changes came in consumption and exports. Consumption fell 590,000 bales to 75 million, while exports rose 420,000 bales to 20.7 million. The total net change for 1996/97 foreign production was negligible this month, but this conceals some large offsetting individual revisions. The largest was a 700,000-bale increase in India's expected crop, to 12 million bales. Both area and yield prospects have improved, with area now believed to be higher than 1995/96 in some central producing states where cotton competes with crops other than grain. China's 1996/97 crop forecast was cut 500,000 bales to 17.5 million due to widespread reports of poor production. Area was reduced 200,000 hectares to 4.6 million, the second lowest in the last 33 years. Pakistan's crop was reduced 600,000 bales due to late-season damage from white fly and leaf-curl virus. At 7.6 million bales, the 1996/97 crop is now expected to be 500,000 bales lower than in 1995/96, despite higher acreage. Foreign 1996/97 Consumption Now 1.4 Percent Above 1995/96 Consumption changes this month were less dramatic for individual countries, but were largely in the same direction, and the net foreign change for 1996/97 was much larger for consumption than production. In the case of Russia and China, the reduction extended back to 1995/96. Updated cloth production data for Russia in 1995/96 was lower than expected, and the end-of-season slowdown suggests a poor start for 1996/97. Thus, the 1996/97 forecast for Russia was cut 150,000 bales, while 1995/96 is 100,000 bales lower this month. Similarly, China's consumption was cut 200,000 bales in both 1995/96 and 1996/97. China's consumption for both years is now estimated at 20 million bales. Updated information concerning the financial health of China's textile industry and the proportion of cotton used in yarn production continues to be pessimistic. The financial health of the textile sector was also a factor in cutting Pakistan's expected 1996/97 mill consumption 200,000 bales to 6.8 million. Pakistan's ending stocks in 1995/96 were considerably tighter than during much of the preceding decade. With a lower crop, stocks are expected to again tighten slightly in 1996/97, despite lower exports. Pakistan's textile producers were slow to compete with exporters for cotton supplies in 1995/96, their financial difficulties were exacerbated by the need to buy in a tightening market, and they are beginning 1996/97 with unusually low cotton supplies. The foreign export outlook for 1996/97 improved this month, providing some conformation for the poor U.S. export performance to date. Central Asian export prospects rose following indications that shipment delays in 1995/96 have left larger than expected supplies available for export in 1996/97. Estimated exports were cut for Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and Tajikistan for 1995/96, and then raised for 1996/97. Better production prospects in India and Egypt led to better export prospects this month for 1996/97, and Greek exports were raised as well. A smaller crop in Pakistan reduced export prospects there by 300,000 bales, but overall foreign exports rose nonetheless. U.S. Exports Lowered Based on the foreign prospects, U.S. exports were lowered another 400,000 bales this month to 5.8 million bales. As the United States remains uncompetitive on the world market, U.S. shipments are expected to fall for the second consecutive season to the lowest in 4 years. As of early October Export Sales, 476,000 bales of cotton had been shipped out of the United States, compared with 566,000 bales a year ago. More dramatic, however, are commitments of only 2.8 million bales thus far in 1996/97, compared with twice this amount a year ago. Although much of this difference is attributable to the absence of step 2 payments, the pace of both export sales and shipments are expected to improve. Despite the 24-percent decline in expected exports in 1996/97, the U.S. share of world trade is forecast to drop only 6 percentage points from last season to 22 percent. U.S. Mill Use Revised; Stocks Increased The 1996/97 cotton mill use estimate was reduced this month to 11 million bales, reflecting the latest mill consumption report which indicated preliminary August mill use generally below expectations. Based on the preliminary data, August mill use averaged a seasonally adjusted 41,200 480- pound bales per day, compared with the August 1995 rate of 40,800 bales. On a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis, August consumption equaled 10.7 million bales, similar to a year ago but below the past several months. Despite this month's lower forecast, cotton mill use is still projected nearly 4 percent above 1995/96's relatively low stock/high price situation. Based on the revised July data, U.S. cotton mill consumption for 1995/96 totaled 10.604 million bales, 5 percent below 1994/95. Upland consumption equaled 10.502 million bales, while ELS mill use reached 102,000 bales. Meanwhile, cotton's share of fiber use on the cotton system increased 1 percentage point above 1994/95 to 78.1 percent, the highest since the 1966 season. With this month's revisions to U.S. cotton supply and demand, 1996/97 ending stocks were raised 25 percent to 4.5 million bales, nearly 2 million above beginning levels. Total supply is estimated at 21.3 million bales, including 500,000 in imports, while total offtake is forecast at only 16.8 million bales, the smallest since 1992/93. Based on these estimates, the implied stocks-to-use ratio equals 26.8 percent, well above last season's relatively low 14.3 percent. Final 1995/96 Supply and Use Final U.S. cotton supply and use data for 1995/96 indicate ending stocks at 2.61 million bales, slightly below beginning levels. Both U.S. supplies and use were below 1994/95. Total supply last season approached 21 million bales, including 408,000 bales of imported cotton. Raw cotton imports in 1995/96 were the fifth highest on record and the highest since the 1928/29 season. Total use was also down roughly 230,000 bales from 1994/95. Domestic mills used 10.60 million bales in 1995/96, 5 percent below a year earlier. U.S. exports fell more dramatically, however, declining 18 percent below 1994's extraordinary level to 7.68 million bales. Both U.S. mill use and exports were dampened by the high U.S. prices experienced in 1995/96. Fiber Prices Mixed The average price received by upland producers through mid-September was 70.9 cents per pound, down a penny from the revised August price. A year ago, the September price equaled 75.4 cents. The upland and ELS spot prices also declined in September. Base quality upland slid to 75.2 cents per pound from 76.2 cents, while the ELS price fell over a dime to about $1.09 per pound, In September, the average price received by upland producers and the upland spot price were the lowest since November 1994. Meanwhile, mill-delivered fiber prices were mixed in September. Cotton prices rose slightly to 83 cents per pound, rayon was unchanged at $1.15, while polyester dropped 2 cents to 76 cents per pound. With cotton mill prices rising over the last several months, polyester has become more price competitive. The cotton/polyester price ratio for September was near 1.17, compared with 1.12 in both July 1996 and September 1995. U.S. Northern Europe prices rose in September while the A Index declined, thus increasing the uncompetitiveness of U.S. cotton on the world market. During September, the Memphis Territory quotations averaged above 85 cents per pound, compared with 75 cents for the A Index. More importantly, however, the U.S. quotes remain more than 10 cents above the Central Asian quote, the low quote thus far this season. Textile Imports Rise Sharply in July U.S. textile imports in July reached 784 million pounds (raw-fiber equivalent), up 21 percent from June and the largest since August 1995. Sharply higher apparel imports of cotton and manmade fiber accounted for most of the increase. Overall, larger imports of all major fibers and all end-use categories occurred in July. Cotton textile imports, at 415 million pounds, accounted for 53 percent of total textile imports in July. Increased shipments from Hong Kong, Indonesia, Bangladesh, and Mexico accounted for the majority of the rise in cotton textile imports. On a regional basis, cotton imports from Asia, at 219 million pounds, rose nearly 18 percent from a month earlier. While textile imports are normally strong in July, exports are typically not. In July, textile exports fell 8 percent to 260 million pounds, the lowest since February. Declines from June occurred in all end-use categories with yarn, thread, and fabric accounting for most of the decrease. Export shipments of all major fibers except silk were lower in July. Manmade and cotton textile exports accounted for 47 and 45 percent, respectively, of the total. Although cotton exports fell 8 percent from June to 117 million pounds, shipments were 15 percent above July 1995. While U.S. cotton textile shipments were lower to most of our major markets in North America, exports where higher to some Asian markets, primarily China and Hong Kong, and Israel. Despite larger imports and a drop in exports in July, the textile trade deficit for all fibers through the first 7 months of 1996 reached 2.4 billion pounds, 13 percent lower than the same period in 1995. Similarly, the cotton textile trade deficit, at 1.5 billion pounds, was 11 percent below the first 7 months of 1995. However, cotton's share of the total deficit in 1996 rose to 59.6 percent, compared with 58.2 percent a year earlier. Lower trade deficits of all other fibers, especially linen (down 112 million pounds) from a year ago has increased cotton's share of the overall textile trade deficit. The 1996 Cotton and Wool Yearbook issue will be published in November with copies available for purchase during the first week of December. For information, call 1-800-999-6770. The next Cotton and Wool Outlook (CWS-1096) will be released on December 13. For further information, contact Leslie Meyer at (202) 501-8528 (U.S. Cotton), Steve MacDonald at (202) 219-1179 (Foreign Cotton), or Robert Skinner at (202) 219-0767 (Textiles and Wool). U.S. COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996/97 ---------------------------- Item 1995/96 Aug Sep Oct ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Upland: Million acres Planted 16.72 13.98 13.98 13.98 Harvested 15.80 12.73 12.73 12.72 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 533 679 653 665 Million 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks 2.59 2.56 2.56 2.54 Production 17.53 18.00 17.33 17.62 Total supply 1/ 20.52 20.95 20.38 20.66 Mill use 10.50 10.90 11.10 10.90 Exports 7.38 6.19 5.80 5.38 Total use 17.88 17.09 16.90 16.27 Ending stocks 2.54 3.89 3.48 4.39 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 14.2 22.7 20.6 27.0 Extra-long staple: 1,000 acres Planted 215 264 264 264 Harvested 211 262 262 262 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 836 1,056 1,052 1,039 1,000 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks 62 37 37 68 Production 368 576 574 567 Total supply 1/ 438 623 621 640 Mill use 102 100 100 105 Exports 300 410 400 425 Total use 402 510 500 530 Ending stocks 68 113 121 110 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 16.9 22.2 24.2 20.8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. 1/ Includes imports. WORLD COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996/97 ------------------------------ Item 1995/96 Aug Sep Oct ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Supply: Million 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks World 29.29 34.33 34.95 35.59 Foreign 26.64 31.73 32.35 32.98 Production World 91.48 88.35 87.35 87.46 Foreign 73.58 69.77 69.45 69.27 Imports World 26.96 26.57 26.39 26.06 Foreign 26.55 26.17 25.89 25.56 Use: Mill use World 84.58 86.67 86.84 86.05 Foreign 73.98 75.67 75.64 75.05 Exports World 27.28 26.73 26.44 26.46 Foreign 19.61 20.13 20.24 20.66 Ending stocks World 35.59 35.68 35.22 36.40 Foreign 32.98 31.68 31.62 31.90 Stocks-to-use ratio Percent World 42.1 41.2 40.6 42.3 Foreign 44.6 41.9 41.8 42.5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. FIBER SUPPLY ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 1995 -------------------------- Item Jun Jul Aug Aug ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales Ginnings 0 0 351 439 Imports since August 1 205.1 407.6 NA 0.5 Stocks, beginning 4,538 3,527 2,609 2,650 At mills 660 629 628 739 Public storage 3,513 2,668 1,938 1,809 CCC stocks 752 496 331 176 Manmade: Million pounds Production 828.7 860.4 841.8 800.4 Noncellulosic 787.4 822.0 801.2 760.2 Cellulosic 41.3 38.4 40.6 40.2 Total since January 1 4,580.3 5,440.7 6,282.5 6,347.0 1996 1995 --------------------------- May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Million pounds Raw fiber imports 93.7 91.9 101.5 88.4 Noncellulosic 88.3 85.2 95.3 82.8 Cellulosic 5.4 6.7 6.2 5.6 Total since January 1 440.8 532.7 634.2 640.7 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool imports, clean 7,011 5,946 5,268 7,291 48's-and-finer 5,232 4,664 3,493 5,332 Not-finer-than-46's 1,779 1,282 1,775 1,959 Total since January 1 40,163 46,109 51,377 58,839 Wool top imports 429 506 172 298 Total since January 1 1,733 2,239 2,411 3,009 Mohair imports, clean 2 0 36 7 Total since January 1 7 9 43 17 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NA = Not available. COTTON SYSTEM FIBER CONSUMPTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 1995 --------------------------- Item Jun Jul Aug Aug ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales All consumed by mills 1/ 862 868 970 1,000 Total since August 1 1/ 9,736 10,604 970 1,000 SA annual rate 2/ 11,114 10,873 10,743 10,685 SA daily rate 2/ 42.4 41.5 41.2 40.8 Daily rate 43.1 37.7 44.1 43.5 Upland consumed by mills 1/ 853 859 960 991 Total since August 1 1/ 9,635 10,495 960 991 SA annual rate 2/ 10,995 10,776 10,629 10,588 SA daily rate 2/ 42.0 41.1 40.7 40.4 Daily rate 42.6 37.3 43.7 43.1 Spindles in place 6,272 6,232 6,214 6,845 Active spindles 5,737 5,660 5,674 6,400 100 percent cotton 2,674 2,664 2,648 2,763 100 percent manmade 1,033 986 986 1,090 Blends 2,030 2,010 2,040 2,547 Percent Cotton's share of fibers 77.4 77.4 77.5 77.7 Manmade: 1,000 pounds Total consumed by mills 1/ 120,932 121,710 135,445 137,450 Total since August 1 1/ 1,309,367 1,431,078 135,445 137,450 Daily rate 6,047 5,292 6,157 5,976 Noncellulosic staple 5,161 4,654 5,436 5,188 Cellulosic staple 886 638 721 788 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Adjusted to calendar month. 2/ SA = seasonally adjusted. FIBER EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 1995 -------------------------- Item May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales Upland exports 329 252 162 271 Total since August 1 6,962 7,214 7,375 8,978 Sales for next season 48 165 165 369 Total since August 1 461 626 791 3,958 ELS exports 13.2 11.7 21.4 29.5 Total since August 1 266.6 278.3 299.7 423.7 Sales for next season 10.5 8.8 11.4 10.9 Total since August 1 162.2 171.0 182.5 171.7 Manmade: Million pounds Raw fiber exports 93.1 88.8 73.4 68.8 Noncellulosic 84.5 82.1 67.6 63.3 Cellulosic 8.6 6.7 5.8 5.5 Total since January 1 451.1 539.8 613.2 557.0 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool exports, clean 506.9 494.4 415.6 438.7 Total since January 1 1,872.1 2,366.5 2,782.1 4,519.5 Wool top exports 739.9 643.1 719.1 1,059.1 Total since January 1 4,211.6 4,854.7 5,573.8 6,751.9 Mohair exports, clean 129.9 494.3 234.8 101.8 Total since January 1 2,111.6 2,605.9 2,840.8 2,503.8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FIBER PRICES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 1995 ----------------------------- Item Jul Aug Sep Sep ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Domestic cotton prices: Cents per pound Adjusted World Price 64.39 61.64 60.46 76.48 Oct'96 futures 72.67 73.17 74.33 78.69 Dec'96 futures 73.35 73.78 75.42 75.94 Upland spot 41-34 76.84 76.15 75.24 90.00 Pima spot 03-46 133.74 118.55 108.65 137.38 Avg. price received by: Upland producers 76.20 71.90 70.90 75.40 Mill delivered: Cotton Actual 82.18 82.61 82.99 96.34 Raw fiber equivalent 91.31 91.79 92.21 107.04 Rayon staple Actual 115.00 115.00 115.00 125.00 Raw fiber equivalent 119.79 119.79 119.79 130.21 Polyester staple Actual 78.00 78.00 76.00 92.00 Raw fiber equivalent 81.25 81.25 79.17 95.83 Price ratios Percent Cotton/rayon 76.2 76.6 77.0 82.2 Cotton/polyester 112.4 113.0 116.5 111.7 Northern Europe cotton quotes: Cents per pound A Index 79.68 76.29 75.45 91.20 Memphis Territory NQ 82.80 85.38 98.13 California/Arizona 83.50 83.55 85.75 103.13 B Index 74.04 74.38 74.83 89.21 Orleans/Texas 81.19 79.60 81.94 94.13 Wool prices (clean): Dollars per pound U.S. 56's 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.58 Australian 56's 1/ 1.82 1.84 1.80 2.23 U.S. 60's 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.93 Australian 60's 1/ 1.94 1.95 1.87 2.37 U.S. 64's 1.92 1.92 1.92 2.35 Australian 64's 1/ 2.36 2.34 2.28 2.66 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NQ = No quotes. 1/ In bond, Charleston, SC. 1996 ACREAGE, YIELD, AND PRODUCTION ESTIMATES ------------------------------------------------------------------- State/ Harvested Area Yield Production Region Sep Oct Sep Oct Sep Oct ------------------------------------------------------------------- Lbs./ 1,000 1,000 acres harvested acre bales Upland: Alabama 556 556 639 699 740 810 Florida 100 100 672 672 140 140 Georgia 1,375 1,375 698 698 2,000 2,000 N. Carolina 735 720 679 633 1,040 950 S. Carolina 265 265 743 725 410 400 Virginia 102 102 706 706 150 150 Southeast 3,133 3,118 686 685 4,480 4,450 Arkansas 990 990 742 742 1,530 1,530 Louisiana 940 940 705 684 1,380 1,340 Mississippi 1,030 1,030 764 778 1,640 1,670 Missouri 405 405 699 723 590 610 Tennessee 520 520 600 600 650 650 Delta 3,885 3,885 715 717 5,790 5,800 Kansas 2 2 311 311 1 1 Oklahoma 240 240 340 300 170 150 Texas 4,100 4,100 427 451 3,650 3,850 Southwest 4,342 4,342 422 442 3,821 4,001 Arizona 324 324 1,200 1,170 810 790 California 995 995 1,134 1,206 2,350 2,500 New Mexico 54 54 667 720 75 81 West 1,373 1,373 1,131 1,178 3,235 3,371 Total Upland 12,733 12,718 653 665 17,326 17,622 Pima: Arizona 40 40 818 818 68 68 California 165 165 1,207 1,193 415 410 New Mexico 17 17 678 734 24 26 Texas 40 40 804 756 67 63 Total Pima 262 262 1,052 1,039 574 567 Total All 12,995 12,980 661 673 17,900 18,189 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on the October Crop Production report. TEXTILE TRADE ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 1995 ----------------------------- Item May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Imports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 173,257 166,610 176,785 175,082 Cotton 72,479 68,048 74,044 74,564 Linen 22,557 17,213 15,786 30,196 Wool 3,804 3,373 3,667 3,415 Silk 709 627 746 696 Manmade 73,709 77,348 82,543 66,212 Apparel 380,229 419,056 541,578 517,431 Cotton 225,891 245,609 309,572 287,921 Linen 8,845 10,639 15,509 17,495 Wool 13,788 17,665 26,525 25,625 Silk 8,679 8,262 9,922 9,940 Manmade 123,027 136,882 180,050 176,450 House furnishings 27,740 30,866 33,939 35,637 Cotton 20,585 22,189 23,940 25,259 Linen 152 129 170 304 Wool 88 92 183 231 Silk 8 8 24 52 Manmade 6,907 8,447 9,622 9,792 Floor covering 21,444 21,886 23,328 22,411 Cotton 2,888 3,800 3,025 3,745 Linen 2,406 2,578 2,877 2,965 Wool 6,253 5,907 6,334 7,700 Silk 266 263 276 469 Manmade 9,630 9,338 10,815 7,532 Total imports 2/ 609,833 645,318 783,943 758,150 Cotton 325,790 343,239 414,712 394,638 Linen 34,002 30,578 34,392 51,063 Wool 24,072 27,252 37,026 37,356 Silk 9,663 9,160 10,969 11,157 Manmade 216,305 235,089 286,845 263,936 Exports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 126,650 127,071 107,712 102,193 Cotton 45,324 45,511 38,683 34,363 Linen 3,482 3,258 2,900 2,077 Wool 3,687 3,846 2,723 2,788 Silk 1,455 1,373 1,313 1,256 Manmade 72,703 73,082 62,093 61,709 Apparel 137,203 123,235 118,045 104,422 Cotton 84,450 75,445 71,145 61,191 Linen 2,303 2,395 2,188 1,760 Wool 6,788 5,323 5,824 4,544 Silk 2,387 1,880 2,124 1,621 Manmade 41,275 38,192 36,764 35,306 House furnishings 5,869 5,926 5,352 4,998 Cotton 3,499 3,619 3,207 3,149 Linen 275 271 224 200 Wool 102 48 52 60 Silk 160 70 135 133 Manmade 1,832 1,918 1,734 1,457 Floor covering 29,986 28,898 28,527 24,067 Cotton 3,347 3,377 3,457 2,391 Linen 1,242 1,195 1,123 1,047 Wool 1,504 1,449 1,385 1,490 Silk 3/ --- --- --- --- Manmade 23,892 22,876 22,563 19,138 Total exports 2/ 299,971 285,488 260,024 236,022 Cotton 136,669 128,012 116,564 101,151 Linen 7,312 7,132 6,450 5,095 Wool 12,103 10,694 10,007 8,903 Silk 4,001 3,323 3,571 3,010 Manmade 139,886 136,327 123,432 117,862 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. Data for 1996 have been revised. 2/ Includes headgear. 3/ Absence of trade. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE IMPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 1995 ---------------------------- Country May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 114,936 113,216 128,272 102,448 Canada 8,819 9,195 9,006 6,178 Costa Rica 7,851 7,345 7,253 7,574 Dominican Republic 13,504 11,837 14,071 13,851 El Salvador 6,895 7,953 8,141 7,679 Guatemala 6,519 6,861 7,388 6,423 Haiti 988 1,011 1,278 822 Honduras 15,406 15,200 17,922 10,753 Jamaica 7,190 5,625 7,621 6,819 Mexico 44,714 45,589 52,217 40,049 Nicaragua 2,338 2,060 2,761 1,474 South America 8,773 7,635 8,682 10,002 Argentina 64 45 4 313 Brazil 3,827 2,949 3,440 4,617 Chile 680 276 412 517 Columbia 2,369 2,200 2,315 2,423 Peru 1,565 1,669 2,005 1,611 Venezuela 35 8 28 220 Europe 19,815 22,711 22,081 29,785 Estonia 873 1,160 652 1,380 France 404 606 529 585 Germany 397 413 475 712 Italy 2,665 2,349 3,008 2,866 Portugal 2,625 3,385 589 4,447 Russia 1,160 1,245 777 1,583 Spain 815 1,556 1,297 2,624 Turkey 7,042 8,368 10,524 10,412 United Kingdom 885 851 873 991 Asia 170,943 186,419 219,286 233,582 Bahrain 639 1,056 1,323 1,469 Bangladesh 9,475 9,246 15,116 15,438 China 25,188 29,851 32,657 44,914 Hong Kong 25,308 27,051 35,014 35,204 India 22,458 24,416 27,565 27,019 Indonesia 10,414 9,766 13,947 11,653 Israel 1,765 2,043 2,107 2,682 Japan 1,253 1,548 1,520 1,645 Macao 3,768 4,152 5,311 5,908 Malaysia 4,473 4,158 4,710 4,723 Nepal 1,265 1,223 1,565 583 Oman 1,395 1,524 1,569 2,047 Pakistan 21,227 19,839 19,691 19,073 Philippines 8,038 9,664 9,844 11,341 Quatar 623 1,161 1,476 949 Singapore 1,560 2,100 2,344 3,269 South Korea 5,803 6,844 7,047 8,078 Sri Lanka 5,077 6,308 9,141 8,340 Taiwan 11,152 11,626 12,500 13,425 Thailand 5,899 6,993 8,686 9,333 U Arab Em 2,056 3,338 2,989 3,061 Oceania 1,164 1,615 1,761 3,005 Australia 642 531 732 1,639 Fiji 386 827 728 1,059 Africa 8,770 13,788 12,363 12,924 Egypt 3,623 4,027 5,286 6,210 Lesotho 1,082 1,144 1,319 1,225 Mauritius 1,183 1,568 1,908 1,809 Morocco 619 952 795 771 South Africa 843 930 1,451 741 Tunisia 119 237 105 369 World 2/ 325,790 343,239 414,712 394,638 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 1995 --------------------------- Country May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 101,885 95,846 86,584 72,060 Canada 18,790 19,685 13,153 12,513 Costa Rica 8,426 9,728 6,079 5,338 Dominican Republic 12,080 10,032 10,326 9,221 El Salvador 3,420 2,719 2,854 3,151 Guatemala 3,594 3,400 3,885 2,931 Haiti 1,114 987 879 398 Honduras 11,459 11,700 11,220 7,368 Jamaica 9,314 6,409 5,652 7,052 Mexico 32,503 30,091 31,532 23,256 South America 5,261 4,520 3,721 4,534 Argentina 763 248 226 293 Brazil 372 342 557 957 Chile 524 556 439 806 Columbia 2,786 2,320 1,485 1,133 Peru 177 123 225 245 Venezuela 297 531 291 518 Europe 13,130 12,575 9,815 8,831 Belgium 4,073 4,242 1,872 2,346 France 544 497 459 471 Germany 1,325 1,478 1,505 808 Ireland 613 768 97 330 Italy 663 246 218 612 Netherlands 1,001 738 714 448 United Kingdom 2,923 2,843 3,223 2,225 Asia 14,153 12,896 21,645 13,287 China 308 384 1,367 492 Hong Kong 1,197 1,092 1,382 1,278 Israel 850 1,054 2,053 1,529 Japan 6,877 5,700 5,711 5,957 Philippines 701 540 317 402 Saudi Arabia 771 459 546 652 Singapore 596 480 614 596 South Korea 818 569 604 866 Taiwan 304 330 502 240 U Arab Em 430 764 427 345 Oceania 1,182 1,144 835 1,249 Australia 734 657 585 809 New Zealand 275 279 192 371 Africa 892 550 1,425 876 Egypt 40 165 125 2 Ghana 33 110 26 14 Ivory Coast 181 60 93 32 Nigeria 62 8 82 504 South Africa 359 266 337 132 World 2/ 136,669 128,012 116,564 101,151 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. 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