COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK September 15, 1997 September 1997, CWS-0897 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK is issued electronically 11 months a year (no January issue) by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20005-4788. No printed copies available. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- U.S. Cotton Crop Higher The 1997 U.S. cotton crop was increased to 18.4 million bales in September, nearly 4 percent above August indications and only 3 percent below last season's crop. Upland production is estimated at 17.87 million bales (645,000 bales above last month) while the extra-long staple (ELS) crop is forecast at 544,000 (down 10,000 bales). Historical differences between the September forecast and final production indicate that chances are two out of three that the 1997 cotton crop will range between 17.3 and 19.6 million bales. The national cotton yield rose 21 pounds per harvested acre from August and is currently estimated at 658 pounds. The higher yield resulted from increased production in the Southwest and the Delta. Meanwhile, this season's ginnings totaled 365,900 running bales prior to September 1, compared with 342,400 ginned by the same date in 1996. While the progress of the 1997 U.S. cotton crop remains later than normal, the average condition of the crop remains slightly better than last season. As of September 7, only 34 percent of the cotton crop had bolls opening, compared with 49 percent in 1996 and a 5-year average of 42 percent. In contrast, the condition of the U.S. crop indicates that 60 percent of the area is rated "good" or "excellent" in early September, while only 11 percent is rated "poor" or "very poor." The largest production increase this month occurred in the Southwest. The crop is estimated at 5.6 million bales, 430,000 above the August forecast. A 400,000-bale increase in Texas accounted for most of the change. Data from the objective yield survey for Texas indicated the third highest large boll count during the past 10 years, and small bolls and squares rank fourth and fifth, respectively. The yield in Texas rose 35 pounds from August to 489 pounds per harvested acre. Overall, the region's yield is forecast at 490 pounds. In the Delta, production is forecast at 5.0 million bales, 240,000 above the initial forecast. The largest increases occurred in Arkansas and Mississippi, where the production potential rose a combined 190,000 bales due to increased yields. Smaller increases were reported in Missouri and Louisiana. The Delta yield rose 26 pounds above August to 704 pounds per harvested acre. In the Southeast and the West, production declined marginally. For the Southeast, the crop was reduced only 5,000 bales to 4.2 million, with a projected yield of 670 pounds per harvested acre. In the West, production was reduced 20,000 bales to 3.1 million, with a yield of 1,163 pounds per acre. Foreign Production, Consumption, and Trade The forecast for 1997/98 foreign production was raised 850,000 bales this month, to 70.4 million, while the consumption forecast was raised 800,000 bales, to 78.3 million. The forecast for 1997/98 foreign ending stocks fell 600,000 bales, to 31.5 million, but lower beginning stocks accounted for two-thirds of this change. Also, revisions for China's stocks more than accounted for the net changes in the foreign totals, indicating that the estimates for foreign stocks outside of China actually rose slightly this month. China's 1997/98 production forecast was raised 500,000 bales to 17.5 million. Conditions have been good for cotton in China this year, outside of the North China Plain (NCP). While drought across much of the NCP has raised concerns about prospects for grain, cotton area in the region has been decreasing fairly steadily since the beginning of the 1990's, and the region is no longer the bellwether for cotton that it once was. Weather in one respect has even been more beneficial in China during 1997/98 than in 1996/97, since flooding on and near the Yangtze river has been much reduced. Finally, most Chinese officials and media characterize this year's crop as likely close to last year's 19.3 million bales, suggesting that USDA might be more accurate forecasting a smaller decline of 1.8 million bales. India's 1996/97 production estimate was raised 400,000 bales, to 13.5 million. based on a revision by the East India Cotton Association (EICA) in its perception of the crop. India's 1997/98 production forecast was also raised, up 300,000 bales, to 12.8 million. This increase is based on higher yield expectations due to the upward revision in the 1996/97 estimate and continued favorable weather and growing conditions. Pakistan's 1997/98 crop forecast was raised 300,000 bales to 8 million due to reports that weather and other circumstances have held white fly and leaf-curl virus to low levels this year. China Revises 1997 Yarn Production Foreign consumption in 1997/98 is forecast higher this month almost entirely due to a revision for China. China's State Statistical Bureau (SSB) has released mid-year yarn production totals for 1997 that indicate upward revisions in their estimates since the initial publication of their individual monthly figures between January and June. Textile exports have reportedly done well during this period, and USDA's estimated cotton consumption numbers for China in 1996/97 and 1997/98 were revised upwards. Consumption in 1996/97 was raised 800,000 bales to 21 million, while consumption in 1997/98 was raised 700,000 to 21.2 million. The forecast for China's imports in 1997/98 is unchanged this month at 2.7 million bales. Press reports from China indicate the government is publicly considering various measures to promote greater consumption of domestically produced cotton. While the specific measures discussed in some reports-- delayed VAT refunds, and price cuts--may not prove decisive, additional efforts are possible. Since USDA's August forecast of China's 1997/98 imports already represented a 700,000-bale, or 23 percent, decline from 1996/97 imports, no further adjustment seemed necessary at this time. U.S. Mill Use and Ending Stocks Revised for 1996/97 U.S. cotton mill consumption data for the first 11 months of 1996/97 were revised upward in the latest report released by the Census. Data for establishments not previously included represented about 2.2 percent of total cotton consumption or approximately 200,000 bales. Based on these revisions and July's preliminary consumption estimate, U.S. cotton mill use during 1996/97 reached 11.117 million bales, nearly 4.5 percent above 1995/96. Meanwhile, manmade fiber use on the cotton system increased a similar percentage, leaving cotton's share unchanged from 1995/96 at 78.1 percent. As a result of the mill use revisions, cotton ending stocks were lowered from last month's estimate. Stocks on July 31, 1997 were revised to 3.82 million bales. While lower than a month ago, ending stocks increased 1.2 million bales from 1995/96's relatively low level. Final July 1997 consumption and stocks will be released later this month. U.S. Cotton Demand Raised, Stocks Lowered for 1997/98 U.S. cotton demand was increased 2 percent from last month in response to the revisions in 1996/97 mill use and the larger crop estimate for this season. Cotton mill consumption is projected to expand to 11.3 million bales in 1997/98 as demand for U.S. cotton textile exports is expected to surpass 3.5 million bale-equivalents in 1997, 15 percent above 1996. However, a continued rise in cotton textile imports may limit the potential for mill use in 1997/98. U.S. exports, on the other hand, are currently projected at 7.2 million bales, as plentiful supplies are expected to be available for export and foreign stocks outside China are relatively tight. Sales have also been strong this season, particularly to several major buyers such as Mexico, Japan, and Korea. In addition, sales-to-date to China are similar to last season despite the uncertainty surrounding their imports this season. Based on these projections, U.S. cotton demand is estimated at 18.5 million bales, the highest since 1994/95. Coupled with total supplies projected at 22.3 million bales, ending stocks for 1997/98 are placed at 3.7 million bales, 100,000 below the beginning level and a stocks-to-use ratio of 20 percent. Record Textile Imports and Exports in June Revised textile trade data indicated that imports rose for the third consecutive month to a record 811 million pounds in June. Textile imports were 10 percent above May and nearly 26 percent higher than June 1996. Overall, larger shipments of all fibers except linen occurred in June. Imports of all end-use categories except yarn, thread, and fabric rose above a month earlier with apparel products accounting for most of the gain (up 18 percent). Cotton textile imports, at 439 million pounds, were up 12 percent from May and 28 percent above June 1996 shipments. Cotton imports from Asia declined slightly to 182 million pounds, while shipments from North America rose to 160 million pounds, up 41 percent from a year ago. Textile exports rose in June to a record 374 million pounds. Total June exports were 4 percent above May and 31 percent above a year earlier. Exports of all major fibers and end-use categories except yarn, thread, and fabric were higher than May shipments. Cotton textile exports, at 157 million pounds, were 5 percent above a month earlier and 14 percent above June 1996. Cotton textile shipments to North America increased nearly 4 million pounds to 160 million, with Mexico accounting for 42 percent of the total. Overall the textile trade deficit continued to increase during the first 6 months of 1997. The deficit reached 2.24 billion pounds at the end of June, compared with 1.92 last year. Cotton accounts for the largest share (63 percent) as the deficit totaled 1.41 billion pounds, or the equivalent of 2.9 million bales of raw cotton. Despite stronger exports, the textile trade deficit will likely widen this year. * * * The next Cotton and Wool Outlook (CWS-0997) will be released on October 14. For further information, contact Leslie Meyer at (202) 501-8528 (U.S. Cotton), Steve MacDonald at (202) 219-1179 (Foreign Cotton), or Robert Skinner at (202) 219-0767 (Textiles and Wool). U.S. COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997/98 ---------------------------- Item 1996/97 Jul Aug Sep ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Upland: Million acres Planted 14.38 13.75 13.66 13.66 Harvested 12.61 12.63 13.16 13.19 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 701 665 628 651 Million 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks 2.54 4.01 4.07 3.77 Production 18.41 17.49 17.23 17.87 Total supply 1/ 21.36 21.52 21.32 21.67 Mill use 11.01 10.89 10.89 11.19 Exports 6.48 6.71 6.68 6.78 Total use 17.50 17.60 17.57 17.97 Ending stocks 3.77 3.89 3.74 3.63 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 21.5 22.1 21.3 20.2 Extra-long staple: 1,000 acres Planted 258 250 250 250 Harvested 256 247 249 249 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 991 995 1,068 1,049 1,000 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks 66 40 30 54 Production 529 512 554 544 Total supply 1/ 595 552 584 598 Mill use 106 110 110 110 Exports 466 390 425 425 Total use 572 500 535 535 Ending stocks 54 62 59 73 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 9.4 12.4 11.0 13.6 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. 1/ Includes imports. WORLD COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997/98 ------------------------------ Item 1996/97 Jul Aug Sep ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Supply: Million 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks World 33.57 36.55 36.96 36.28 Foreign 30.96 32.50 32.86 32.46 Production World 88.72 86.91 87.34 88.82 Foreign 69.78 68.91 69.56 70.41 Imports World 28.63 27.84 28.18 27.98 Foreign 28.23 27.81 28.15 27.95 Use: Mill use World 87.82 88.11 88.49 89.59 Foreign 76.70 77.11 77.49 78.29 Exports World 26.45 27.53 27.76 27.92 Foreign 19.50 20.43 20.66 20.72 Ending stocks World 36.28 35.24 35.90 35.18 Foreign 32.46 31.29 32.10 31.48 Stocks-to-use ratio Percent World 41.3 40.0 40.6 39.3 Foreign 42.3 40.6 41.4 40.2 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. FIBER SUPPLY ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997 1996 --------------------------- Item May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales Ginnings 0 0 0 0 Imports since August 1 402.0 402.8 NA 407.6 Stocks, beginning 8,512 6,902 5,394 3,484 At mills 698 702 712 629 Public storage 6,409 5,138 4,026 2,668 CCC stocks 1,495 1,298 881 496 Manmade: Million pounds Production 823.0 810.2 880.2 845.8 Noncellulosic 778.9 775.2 845.6 807.4 Cellulosic 44.1 35.0 34.6 38.4 Total since January 1 4,318.5 5,132.5 6,012.7 5,643.6 1997 1996 ----------------------------- Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Million pounds Raw fiber imports 107.5 110.3 105.9 91.9 Noncellulosic 100.0 101.9 98.3 85.2 Cellulosic 7.5 8.4 7.6 6.7 Total since January 1 449.0 559.3 665.2 532.7 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool imports, clean 6,633 5,780 4,244 5,946 48's-and-finer 4,608 3,852 2,962 4,664 Not-finer-than-46's 2,026 1,928 1,281 1,282 Total since January 1 28,215 33,995 38,238 46,109 Wool top imports 167 163 162 506 Total since January 1 568 731 893 2,239 Mohair imports, clean 0 0 0 0 Total since January 1 3 3 3 9 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NA = Not available. COTTON SYSTEM FIBER CONSUMPTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997 1996 --------------------------- Item May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales All consumed by mills 1/ 979 905 922 867 Total since August 1 1/ 9,290 10,195 11,117 10,647 SA annual rate 2/ 11,186 11,183 11,486 10,849 SA daily rate 2/ 42.9 42.8 44.0 41.4 Daily rate 44.5 43.1 40.1 37.7 Upland consumed by mills 1/ 970 896 913 859 Total since August 1 1/ 9,202 10,098 11,011 10,538 SA annual rate 2/ 11,076 11,076 11,388 10,752 SA daily rate 2/ 42.4 42.4 43.6 41.0 Daily rate 44.1 42.7 39.7 37.3 1,000 Spindles Spindles in place 5,593 5,572 5,570 6,232 Active spindles 5,294 5,301 5,296 5,660 100 percent cotton 2,570 2,596 2,577 2,664 100 percent manmade 896 883 880 986 Blends 1,828 1,822 1,839 2,010 Percent Cotton's share of fibers 77.7 78.7 78.2 77.4 Manmade: 1,000 pounds Total consumed by mills 1/ 134,570 117,418 123,479 121,710 Total since August 1 1/ 1,253,118 1,370,536 1,494,015 1,431,078 Daily rate 6,117 5,591 5,369 5,292 Noncellulosic staple 5,477 5,108 4,857 4,654 Cellulosic staple 640 483 512 638 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Adjusted to calendar month. 2/ SA = seasonally adjusted. FIBER EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997 1996 -------------------------- Item Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales Upland exports 676 600 583 252 Total since August 1 4,735 5,335 5,919 7,214 Sales for next season 166 284 263 165 Total since August 1 622 907 1,170 626 ELS exports 35.0 31.1 20.7 11.7 Total since August 1 394.0 425.1 445.8 278.3 Sales for next season 18.6 25.6 42.8 8.8 Total since August 1 72.5 98.2 141.0 171.0 Manmade: Million pounds Raw fiber exports 96.3 98.8 89.8 88.7 Noncellulosic 83.5 89.6 83.7 82.1 Cellulosic 12.8 9.2 6.1 6.6 Total since January 1 397.8 496.6 586.7 539.8 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool exports, clean 385.1 1,032.4 936.0 494.4 Total since January 1 1,307.0 2,339.4 3,275.4 2,366.5 Wool top exports 444.4 802.5 521.9 643.1 Total since January 1 2,256.8 3,059.3 3,581.3 4,854.7 Mohair exports, clean 146.4 64.5 31.2 494.3 Total since January 1 592.7 657.3 688.5 2,605.9 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FIBER PRICES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997 1996 -------------------------- Item Jun Jul Aug Aug ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Domestic cotton prices: Cents per pound Adjusted World Price 66.66 66.80 66.96 61.64 Oct'97 futures 75.23 74.66 74.02 76.15 Dec'97 futures 75.92 74.83 74.10 75.46 Upland spot 41-34 71.03 71.83 71.61 76.15 Pima spot 03-46 108.07 110.50 109.98 118.55 Avg. price received by: Upland producers 66.80 67.10 67.90 71.90 Mill delivered: Cotton Actual 77.09 78.47 77.59 82.61 Raw fiber equivalent 85.66 87.19 86.21 91.79 Rayon staple Actual 115.00 115.00 115.00 115.00 Raw fiber equivalent 119.79 119.79 119.79 119.79 Polyester staple Actual 68.00 68.00 71.00 78.00 Raw fiber equivalent 70.83 70.83 73.96 81.25 Price ratios Percent Cotton/rayon 71.5 72.8 72.0 76.6 Cotton/polyester 120.9 123.1 116.6 113.0 Northern Europe cotton quotes: Cents per pound A Index 80.84 81.47 81.13 76.29 Memphis Territory 82.50 83.70 83.88 82.80 California/Arizona 84.63 85.95 85.75 83.55 B Index 79.54 80.00 76.54 74.38 Orleans/Texas 78.25 79.75 80.38 79.60 Wool prices (clean): Dollars per pound U.S. 56's 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.30 Australian 56's 1/ 2.05 NQ 2.14 1.84 U.S. 60's 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.55 Australian 60's 1/ 2.18 2.10 2.20 1.95 U.S. 64's 2.55 2.55 2.55 1.92 Australian 64's 1/ 2.87 NQ 2.70 2.34 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NQ = No quotes. 1/ In bond, Charleston, SC. TEXTILE TRADE ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997 1996 ------------------------------- Item Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Imports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 211,447 225,808 210,963 166,610 Cotton 91,506 90,209 92,097 68,048 Linen 21,046 36,142 19,649 17,213 Wool 5,075 5,274 4,479 3,373 Silk 719 776 691 627 Manmade 93,101 93,407 94,047 77,348 Apparel 418,456 445,514 527,705 419,056 Cotton 249,250 264,791 308,529 245,609 Linen 8,462 8,967 12,587 10,639 Wool 12,466 14,964 21,386 17,665 Silk 11,988 9,200 9,851 8,262 Manmade 136,290 147,593 175,353 136,882 House furnishings 37,288 36,537 40,769 30,866 Cotton 27,761 27,409 30,672 22,189 Linen 136 146 180 129 Wool 139 74 138 92 Silk 46 32 47 8 Manmade 9,206 8,877 9,731 8,447 Floor covering 24,417 24,232 24,623 21,886 Cotton 4,108 4,527 4,127 3,800 Linen 2,916 2,878 3,321 2,578 Wool 6,686 6,789 7,394 5,907 Silk 348 482 492 263 Manmade 10,358 9,555 9,288 9,338 Total imports 2/ 698,502 739 033 811,367 645,318 Cotton 376,202 390,638 439,061 343,239 Linen 32,586 48,154 35,770 30,578 Wool 24,434 27,233 33,523 27,252 Silk 13,101 10,489 11,082 9,160 Manmade 252,179 262,518 291,931 235,089 Exports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 167,029 167,879 162,900 127,071 Cotton 56,663 57,930 55,109 45,511 Linen 4,782 4,489 4,693 3,258 Wool 4,261 3,950 5,170 3,846 Silk 1,920 2,067 1,887 1,373 Manmade 99,403 99,443 96,041 73,082 Apparel 151,996 143,302 161,795 123,235 Cotton 90,993 84,715 94,287 75,445 Linen 1,606 1,674 1,732 2,395 Wool 8,264 7,514 9,292 5,323 Silk 4,310 4,023 4,193 1,880 Manmade 46,823 45,376 52,291 38,192 House furnishings 5,913 6,474 6,852 5,926 Cotton 3,464 3,924 3,920 3,619 Linen 248 267 357 271 Wool 121 98 152 48 Silk 205 133 251 70 Manmade 1,876 2,052 2,171 1,918 Floor covering 40,500 39,950 41,649 28,898 Cotton 3,914 3,697 4,024 3,377 Linen 2,253 2,235 2,283 1,195 Wool 2,661 2,452 2,518 1,449 Silk 120 127 105 --- Manmade 31,553 31,440 32,718 22,876 Total exports 2/ 365,783 357,888 373,531 285,488 Cotton 155,121 150,341 157,436 128,012 Linen 8,900 8,673 9,076 7,132 Wool 15,324 14,037 17,156 10,694 Silk 6,555 6,350 6,437 3,323 Manmade 179,882 178,487 183,426 136,327 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- --- = An absence of trade. 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. Data revised for 1997. 2/ Includes headgear. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE IMPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997 1996 --------------------------- Country Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 144,306 156,272 159,784 113,216 Canada 14,539 13,630 12,764 9,195 Costa Rica 6,389 8,743 8,649 7,345 Dominican Republic 16,343 16,419 16,575 11,837 El Salvador 10,290 11,024 10,904 7,953 Guatemala 6,355 6,824 7,303 6,861 Haiti 1,334 1,235 1,811 1 011 Honduras 16,100 21,541 23,607 15,200 Jamaica 6,547 6,340 7,623 5,625 Mexico 64,308 67,413 67,790 45,589 Nicaragua 1,540 2,575 2,389 2,060 South America 7,800 8,366 7,903 7,635 Argentina 13 28 14 45 Brazil 2,823 3,098 2,854 2,949 Chile 133 212 215 276 Columbia 2,300 2,436 2,413 2,200 Peru 2,088 2,092 1,854 1,669 Europe 24,228 24,391 26,858 22,711 Estonia 818 700 783 1,160 France 611 540 717 606 Germany 501 505 546 413 Italy 2,848 2,798 2,654 2,349 Portugal 2,849 2,433 3,655 3,385 Russia 988 1,090 640 1,245 Spain 1,165 1,171 1,373 1,556 Turkey 10,787 10,781 12,308 8,368 United Kingdom 739 924 1,033 851 Asia 184,160 185,910 182,327 186,419 Bahrain 680 486 911 1,056 Bangladesh 11,190 11,820 14,465 9,246 China 28,566 34,487 40,252 29,851 Hong Kong 19,081 19,490 27,653 27,051 India 29,031 25,346 33,581 24,416 Indonesia 12,351 12,132 13,899 9,766 Israel 1,899 1,956 2,136 2,043 Japan 1,410 1,343 1,322 1,548 Macao 3,312 3,463 4,362 4,152 Malaysia 3,619 3,663 3,697 4,158 Nepal 1,297 901 1,155 1,223 Oman 1,534 1,426 1,790 1,524 Pakistan 24,077 23,662 26,109 19,839 Philippines 7,963 8,226 9,717 9,664 Quator 777 944 806 1,161 Singapore 1,341 1,365 1,642 2,100 South Korea 5,433 5,714 6,484 6,844 Sri Lanka 7,197 6,506 7,332 6,308 Taiwan 10,523 10,542 13,020 11,626 Thailand 7,755 7,007 9,218 6,993 U Arab Em 2,568 2,590 2,797 3,338 Oceania 824 982 1,846 1,615 Australia 395 595 960 531 Fiji 225 286 690 827 Africa 10,622 10,231 11,654 10,047 Egypt 5,633 4,908 5,166 4,027 Lesotho 1,222 1,441 1,455 1,144 Mauritius 1,168 1,428 1,748 1,568 Morocco 555 566 679 952 South Africa 525 881 950 930 Tunisia 229 110 249 237 World 2/ 376,202 390,638 439,061 343,239 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Data revised for 1997. Totals may not add due to rounding. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1997 1996 --------------------------- Country Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 123,201 119,624 127,389 95,846 Canada 25,968 25,563 24,189 19,685 Costa Rica 7,326 7,070 9,162 9,728 Dominican Republic 17,278 17,306 14,790 10,032 El Salvador 5,281 4,013 7,577 2,719 Guatemala 3,430 3,774 4,778 3,400 Haiti 1,426 1,320 1,703 987 Honduras 14,979 12,601 16,692 11,700 Jamaica 7,134 4,562 7,440 6,409 Mexico 39,108 42,139 39,834 30,091 South America 5,229 5,848 6,345 4,520 Argentina 204 425 341 248 Brazil 1,098 555 624 342 Chile 536 884 736 556 Columbia 1,675 1,775 1,619 2,320 Peru 121 262 146 123 Venezuela 950 1,340 1,928 531 Europe 11,889 11,471 10,011 12,575 Belgium 3,624 3,517 1,319 4,252 France 612 885 722 497 Germany 1,115 1,302 1,116 1,478 Ireland 309 91 983 768 Italy 315 327 398 246 Netherlands 717 740 581 738 United Kingdom 3,208 2,817 2,585 2,843 Asia 12,525 11,036 11,196 12,896 China 104 189 316 384 Hong Kong 1,538 1,633 1,694 1,092 Israel 1,153 965 1,479 1,054 Japan 5,134 4,033 3,746 5,700 Philippines 597 385 616 540 Saudi Arabia 509 506 326 459 Singapore 628 475 535 480 South Korea 560 526 360 569 Taiwan 285 258 385 330 U Arab Em 560 577 434 764 Oceania 1,088 1,157 1,395 1,025 Australia 602 897 994 657 New Zealand 136 174 193 279 Africa 979 972 835 993 Egypt 6 46 50 165 Ghana 71 13 37 110 Ivory Coast 26 5 29 60 Nigeria 161 191 149 220 South Africa 280 286 312 266 World 2/ 155,121 150,341 157,436 128,012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Data revised for 1997. Totals may not add due to rounding. ACREAGE, YIELD, AND PRODUCTION ESTIMATES, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------- State/ Region Harvested Yield Production ------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 Lbs./ 1,000 acres harvested acre bales Upland: Alabama 420 526 460 Florida 100 720 150 Georgia 1,435 736 2,200 N. Carolina 675 590 830 S. Carolina 285 741 440 Virginia 99 601 124 Southeast 3,014 670 4,204 Arkansas 930 748 1,450 Louisiana 625 637 830 Mississippi 960 790 1,580 Missouri 365 671 510 Tennessee 500 566 590 Delta 3,380 704 4,960 Kansas 14 480 14 Oklahoma 210 503 220 Texas 5,300 489 5,400 Southwest 5,524 490 5,634 Arizona 329 1,138 780 California 875 1,207 2,200 New Mexico 66 698 96 West 1,270 1,163 3,076 Total Upland 13,188 651 17,874 Pima: Arizona 20 792 33 California 184 1,148 440 New Mexico 13 665 18 Texas 32 795 53 Total Pima 249 1,049 544 Total All 13,437 658 18,418 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on the September Crop Production report. END_OF_FILE