COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK February 14, 2000 February 2000, ERS-CWS-0200 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board -------------------------------------------------------------------------- COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK is issued electronically monthly by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036-5831. Electronic release only; no printed copies available. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS U.S. Cotton Supply and Demand Overview U.S. Demand Unchanged in February Record Foreign Consumption in 1999/2000 Trade Rising in 1999/2000 Textile Trade Falls in November U.S. Sheep and Lamb Producers Receive Government Assistance U.S. Cotton Supply and Demand Overview The 1999/2000 U.S. cotton crop is currently estimated at 16.95 million bales (upland--14.57 million and extra-long staple (ELS)--696,000 bales), compared with 13.9 million in 1998/99. Based on the latest Cotton Ginnings report and last season's running bale to statistical bale conversion factor, ginnings by the end of January were only slightly below the estimate. Final 1999/2000 ginnings, as well as final upland and ELS production, will be released by the United States Department of Agriculture on May 12. Based on the current production estimate, U.S. cotton supply this season is expected to total 21 million bales, 15 percent above 1998/99. However, the 1999/2000 estimate includes only a small quantity of imports--less than 100,000 bales--compared with last season's 443,000 bales. Although "Step 3" quotas remain open this season, foreign cotton imports have been limited by the availability of a larger U.S. crop and the reinstatement of the "Step 2" program, encouraging use of U.S. cotton. With production rising in 1999/2000, total demand for U.S. cotton is also projected to rebound as a sharp turnaround in U.S. exports offsets a slight downturn in mill use. Total demand is expected to reach 16.6 million bales this season, 12.5 percent above 1998/99. As a result, 1999/2000 stocks are forecast to total 4.4 million bales by season's end, nearly 500,000 above beginning levels. However, despite the increase in stocks, the 1999/2000 stocks-to-use ratio is expected to remain near year-ago levels at 26.5 percent. U.S. Demand Unchanged in February Neither U.S. mill use nor exports were changed this month. U.S. mill use in 1999/2000 is expected to reach 10.2 million bales, compared with 10.4 million last season. Despite the continued strength in the retail market for cotton products, much of this demand is being filled with less expensive imported products and thus supplanting some domestic mill consumption. In addition to textile imports, manmade fiber use on the cotton spinning system this season has risen 4 percent above a year ago. As a result, cotton's share has fallen from 79.3 percent during 1998/99 to 78.5 percent during the first 5 months of this season. Nevertheless, the most recent seasonally adjusted (SA) data for December was relatively strong, indicating that U.S. mills used cotton at an annual rate of 10.3 million bales during the month. With the strongest SA rate of 1999/2000 to date, the first 5 months of the season have averaged over 10.1 million bales. Actual U.S. mill use for August through December 1999 totaled 4.2 million statistical bales, compared with 4.3 million last year. U.S. exports in 1999/2000 are projected at 6.4 million bales, nearly 2 million above last season's dismal shipment level. Increased exportable supplies at more competitive prices are expected to move nearly 50 percent more cotton out of the country than last season. A rebound in world demand in the aftermath of the Asian crisis is also supporting U.S. exports in 1999/2000. During the first half of 1999/2000, exports of U.S. cotton have totaled about 2.6 million bales, or about 40 percent of the export forecast. However, export commitments (shipments plus outstanding sales) at the midway point total 6.2 million bales or 97 percent of the shipment forecast. Although additional sales will be needed, exports during the "prime" shipping period--January through March--will be the key to reaching the export projection. Weekly averages of over 150,000 bales will be needed during the rest of the season. According to the Export Sales report, the shipment pace for January averaged over 180,000 bales per week. Record Foreign Consumption in 1999/2000 Foreign cotton production and consumption have shown no clear trend during the 1990's, and while record foreign consumption is now forecast for 1999/2000, stocks also remain relatively high, both within China and elsewhere. Foreign consumption in 1999/2000 is now forecast at a record 78.3 million bales, slightly above its previous record in 1989/90. Foreign cotton consumption has largely stagnated during the 1990's, as declining mill use in Russia and Japan largely offset gains in India, Turkey, and Mexico. In the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis, foreign consumption suffered one of its largest declines of the past 40 years during 1998/99. A 4.7-percent increase is now forecast in foreign consumption compared with the year before, the largest year-to-year increase since 1986. With growing mill use, record demand is forecast in India, Pakistan, Turkey, Mexico, and Indonesia. While less-than-record, China's mill use is also forecast to increase in 1999/2000. Foreign production in 1999/2000 is forecast at 70 million bales, 8 million below its record 1991/92 level. Foreign cotton production has varied between 63 and 78 million bales during the 1990's, in part reflecting responses to fluctuating world prices, and in part reflecting shifts in China's production policy. Most recently, foreign production has fluctuated between 71 and 73 million bales. Compared with the year before, 1999/2000 foreign production is about unchanged as larger crops in Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and India offset reductions in China, Argentina, and Mexico. Trade Rising in 1999/2000 Foreign imports in 1999/2000 are forecast at 26.8 million bales, 5.6 million below their record of more than a decade earlier. Foreign imports have varied between 25 and 31 million bales during the 1990's, with 1998/99's level the smallest since 1974/75. As with consumption, Russia's troubled economy over the last decade has depressed imports, and world trade has shrunk as a result. In 1999/2000, foreign imports are expected to increase 1.8 million bales compared with the year before, the largest increase since 1994/95. Foreign exports in 1999/2000 are forecast at 20.1 million bales, about 6 million below their record of more than a decade earlier. Foreign exports have varied between 19 and 22 million bales during the 1990's, well below the peaks achieved during the latter half of the 1980's. Compared with the year before, 1999/2000 foreign exports are expected to increase about 800,000 bales as substantial export gains for China, Pakistan, and Uzbekistan offset reductions for Argentina, Australia, Syria, and Egypt. Foreign ending stocks in 1999/2000 are forecast at 35.6 million bales, about 3 million below their 1985/86 record. As a share of foreign consumption, ending stocks in 1999/2000 are forecast at 36.4 percent, well below the record 59 percent of 1984/85. During the 1990's, foreign stocks/use has varied between 32 and 48 percent, with the peak occurring just 2 years ago in 1997/98. However, much of the 2-year decline in foreign stocks occurred in China; excluding China, 1999/2000's expected stocks/use is 38.7 percent, up from 37 percent the previous year and 35 percent 2 years ago. With the stocks/use ratio falling when China is included in the calculation and rising when China is excluded, the importance of uncertainty surrounding the level, quality, and accessability of China's stocks is highlighted for yet another year. Textile Trade Falls in November U.S. textile imports during November 1999 totaled 990 million (raw-fiber equivalent) pounds, down 8 percent from October and the lowest since May. Imports declined in all major fibers and end-use categories except floor coverings, which were slightly above October shipments. Cotton imports, at 559 million pounds, represented 56 percent of all textile shipments. However, these shipments were the lowest in the past 6 months. Total imports during January through November were 11.1 billion pounds, 1 billion above the corresponding period of 1998. Cotton textile imports of 6.2 billion pounds during the first 11 months of 1999 were up 11 percent from a year earlier. November textile exports, at 401 million pounds, declined 2 percent from a month earlier. Lower shipments of apparel and yarn, thread, and fabric more than offset slight increases in other end-use categories. Similarly, lower exports of cotton and manmade fiber textiles more than offset increases in linen, silk, and wool shipments. However, November 1999 shipments were nearly 8 percent above the previous year. Cumulative textile exports during January through November were 4.3 billion pounds, 2 percent above 1998. Cotton textile shipments during the past 11 months, at 1.9 billion pounds, increased 6 percent from 1998. Overall, the textile trade deficit for the first 11 months of 1999 totaled 6.8 billion pounds, compared with 5.9 billion the previous year. The cumulative cotton trade deficit climbed 542 million pounds to 4.3 billion. For the 11 month period of 1999, cotton textiles accounted for 62 percent of the total trade deficit, about the same share as in 1998. U.S. Sheep and Lamb Producers Receive Government Assistance Total sheep and lamb inventory in the United States on January 1, 2000, was estimated at 7.03 million head, down 3 percent from 1999 and 10 percent below 2 years ago. Inventory has greatly declined since 1942 when it totaled 56.2 million head. The inventory of breeding sheep declined to 5.16 million head, down 3 percent from 5.3 million on January 1, 1999. Similarly, the number of farming operations with sheep during 1999 totaled 66,800, down 3 percent from 1998 and 8 percent from 1997. On January 13, 2000, Agriculture Secretary Glickman announced details of a 3-year $100 million assistance plan to help U.S. sheep and lamb producers. In February 1999, the U.S. International Trade Commission ruled that large imports of low-priced lamb meat causes the threat of injury to U.S. producers. The assistance package will provide funding for production improvements, increased market promotion efforts, improved animal health, and domestic purchases. The plan makes $50 million available during the first year and an additional $50 million during the second and third year. The inventory of angora goats on January 1, 2000, totaled 436,000, down 30 percent from 1999 and 48 percent below 2 years ago. Goat producers have received assistance through the mohair recourse loan program authorized by the Agriculture, Rural Development, Food and Drug Administration, and related Agencies Appropriations Act of 1999. The Act was reauthorized for 2000. The loan program authorizes the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) to make available to producers 12-month, interest-free recourse loans on mohair produced during or before fiscal year 1999. For fiscal year 2000, recourse loans will be interest-bearing. Interest is charged on mohair loans during the 12-month loan term at the CCC interest rate plus 1 percent. The loan rate is $2 per pound. However, a lower loan rate may apply if a producer does not have an adequate quality of mohair to secure the loan. All loans must be repaid, and mohair may not be delivered to CCC in satisfaction of the loan obligation. As of February 1, 2000, nearly 6.8 million pounds of mohair had been placed under loan (mohair produced in 1998 and 1999). About 500,000 pounds have been redeemed, leaving 6.3 million in outstanding loans. * * * * * Copies of the 1999 Cotton and Wool Yearbook (CWS-1999) are available for purchase. For information, call 1-800-999-6770. The next Cotton and Wool Outlook (CWS-0200) will be released on March 13, 2000. ***************************************************************** Information Contacts: Leslie Meyer (U.S. Cotton and Textiles) LMEYER@ECON.AG.GOV (202) 694-5307 Stephen MacDonald (Foreign Cotton) STEPHENM@ECON.AG.GOV (202) 694-5305 Robert Skinner (Textiles and Wool) RSKINNER@ECON.AG.GOV (202) 694-5313 ****************************************************************************** U.S. COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999/2000 ---------------------------- Item 1998/99 Dec Jan Feb ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Upland: Million acres Planted 13.064 14.283 14.565 14.565 Harvested 10.449 13.096 13.093 13.093 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 619 594 596 596 Million 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks 3.822 3.836 3.836 3.836 Production 13.476 16.196 16.257 16.257 Total supply 1/ 17.729 20.097 20.158 20.158 Mill use 10.254 10.040 10.040 10.040 Exports 4.056 5.800 6.025 6.025 Total use 14.310 15.840 16.065 16.065 Ending stocks 3.836 4.258 4.116 4.116 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 26.8 26.9 25.6 25.6 Extra-long staple: 1,000 acres Planted 328 318 290 290 Harvested 235 309 288 288 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 904 1,054 1,159 1,159 1,000 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks 65 103 103 103 Production 442 679 696 696 Total supply 1/ 519 792 809 809 Mill use 147 160 160 160 Exports 288 400 375 375 Total use 435 560 535 535 Ending stocks 103 242 284 284 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 23.7 43.2 53.0 53.0 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. 1/ Includes imports. WORLD COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999/2000 ------------------------------ Item 1998/99 Dec Jan Feb ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Supply: Million 480-lb. bales Beginning stocks World 40.77 41.66 41.74 41.74 Foreign 36.89 37.72 37.80 37.80 Production World 84.54 87.38 86.36 86.92 Foreign 70.62 70.51 69.41 69.97 Imports World 25.16 26.38 26.65 26.90 Foreign 24.71 26.30 26.58 26.83 Use: Mill use World 85.22 87.89 88.19 88.54 Foreign 74.82 77.69 77.99 78.34 Exports World 23.65 26.14 26.48 26.53 Foreign 19.31 19.94 20.08 20.13 Ending stocks World 41.74 41.15 39.87 40.28 Foreign 37.80 36.65 35.47 35.88 Stocks-to-use ratio Percent World 49.0 46.8 45.2 45.5 Foreign 50.5 47.2 45.5 45.8 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. FIBER SUPPLY ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 1998 --------------------------- Item Oct Nov Dec Dec ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales Ginnings 5,685 5,499 2,376 1,843 Imports since August 1 50.0 52.5 NA 23.2 Stocks, beginning 4,631 9,293 13,478 10,109 At mills 559 530 509 559 Public storage 3,993 7,929 11,345 8,536 CCC stocks 591 1,953 3,870 1,946 Manmade: Million pounds Production 886.4 872.7 842.8 760.9 Noncellulosic 863.7 845.8 813.0 735.4 Cellulosic 22.7 26.9 29.8 25.5 Total since January 1 8,503.9 9,376.6 10,219.4 10,269.7 1999 1998 ---------------------------- Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Million pounds Raw fiber imports 124.7 123.0 126.8 124.3 Noncellulosic 119.3 116.2 118.2 118.2 Cellulosic 5.4 6.8 8.6 6.1 Total since January 1 1,182.7 1,305.7 1,432.5 1,376.5 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool imports, clean 2,560 3,798 2,779 4,933 48's-and-finer 964 2,145 1,609 3,362 Not-finer-than-46's 1,596 1,653 1,169 1,571 Total since January 1 34,032 37,830 40,608 66,165 Wool top imports 96 168 152 179 Total since January 1 1,126 1,294 1,446 2,161 Mohair imports, clean 0 0 0 0 Total since January 1 16 16 16 11 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NA = Not available. COTTON SYSTEM FIBER CONSUMPTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 1998 --------------------------- Item Oct Nov Dec Dec ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales All consumed by mills 1/ 861 862 748 722 Total since August 1 1/ 2,599 3,461 4,209 4,333 SA annual rate 2/ 10,245 10,196 10,308 10,247 SA daily rate 2/ 39.3 39.1 39.5 39.4 Daily rate 41.0 39.2 32.5 31.4 Upland consumed by mills 1/ 849 852 739 711 Total since August 1 1/ 2,562 3,414 4,153 4,275 SA daily rate 2/ 38.7 38.6 39.1 38.9 Daily rate 40.5 38.7 32.1 30.9 Spindles in place 4,887 4,801 4,754 5,337 Active spindles 4,574 4,476 4,396 5,017 100 percent cotton 2,409 2,377 2,348 2,665 100 percent manmade 744 758 748 753 Blends 1,421 1,341 1,300 1,599 Percent Cotton's share of fibers 78.7 78.8 78.0 80.3 Manmade: 1,000 pounds Total consumed by mills 1/ 111,823 111,200 101,050 85,093 Total since August 1 1/ 339,492 450,692 551,742 530,967 Daily rate 5,325 5,055 4,393 3,700 Noncellulosic staple 4,984 4,731 4,107 3,469 Cellulosic staple 341 324 286 231 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Adjusted to calendar month. 2/ SA = seasonally adjusted. FIBER EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 1998 -------------------------- Item Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb. bales Upland exports 133 159 430 781 Total since August 1 369 528 958 1,703 Sales for next season 14 116 47 15 Total since August 1 122 238 284 149 ELS exports 13.2 7.6 24.8 13.7 Total since August 1 30.6 38.2 62.9 39.5 Sales for next season 0.5 0.0 2.0 5.3 Total since August 1 3.0 3.0 5.0 9.4 Manmade: Million pounds Raw fiber exports 82.6 96.8 92.4 76.3 Noncellulosic 79.2 91.7 87.2 73.3 Cellulosic 3.4 5.1 5.2 3.0 Total since January 1 718.9 815.7 908.1 945.2 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool exports, clean 536.2 621.3 231.6 7.0 Total since January 1 2,448.0 3,069.3 3,350.9 1,665.5 Wool top exports 491.3 542.8 181.1 415.6 Total since January 1 3,804.1 4,346.9 4,528.0 5,333.8 Mohair exports, clean 531.2 655.9 489.3 316.1 Total since January 1 3,132.3 7,788.2 4,277.5 1,869.1 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FIBER PRICES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 2000 1999 ----------------- Item Nov Dec Jan Jan ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cents per pound Domestic cotton prices: Adjusted World Price 32.18 30.17 32.74 41.71 Mar'2000 futures 52.18 49.76 55.07 64.55 Dec'2000 futures 56.25 54.57 59.12 65.36 Upland spot 41-34 48.12 46.65 51.92 56.20 Pima spot 03-46 82.35 81.38 80.90 97.66 Avg. price received by: Upland producers 44.70 43.00 44.40 58.10 Mill delivered: Cotton Actual 55.88 53.94 58.52 64.47 Raw fiber equivalent 62.09 59.93 65.02 71.63 Rayon staple Actual 97.00 97.00 97.00 101.00 Raw fiber equivalent 101.04 101.04 101.04 105.21 Polyester staple Actual 53.00 53.00 53.00 51.00 Raw fiber equivalent 55.21 55.21 55.21 53.13 Price ratios Percent Cotton/rayon 61.4 59.3 64.4 68.1 Cotton/polyester 112.5 108.6 117.8 134.8 Northern Europe cotton quotes: Cents per pound A Index 46.13 44.24 47.80 55.78 Memphis Territory 54.31 52.75 58.69 NQ California/Arizona 54.31 52.75 58.19 69.31 B Index 42.37 40.23 43.59 54.00 Orleans/Texas 43.00 39.50 45.06 63.75 Wool prices (clean): Dollars per pound U.S. 56's 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.77 Australian 56's 1/ 1.20 1.17 1.26 1.42 U.S. 60's 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.95 Australian 60's 1/ 1.29 1.24 1.41 1.49 U.S. 64's 1.00 0.95 0.95 1.15 Australian 64's 1/ 1.43 1.37 1.54 1.58 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- NQ = No quotes. 1/ In bond, Charleston, SC. TEXTILE TRADE ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 1998 ---------------------------- Item Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Imports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 238,717 246,458 238,473 206,812 Cotton 102,268 107,458 110,560 86,685 Linen 20,471 23,259 14,872 27,353 Wool 3,924 4,298 4,185 3,654 Silk 837 925 968 782 Manmade 111,217 110,518 107,888 88,338 Apparel 802,165 727,614 648,131 540,093 Cotton 447,005 422,089 396,963 332,027 Linen 20,647 17,199 15,711 14,864 Wool 35,976 28,096 17,832 15,286 Silk 12,945 13,146 11,548 9,860 Manmade 285,592 247,084 206,077 168,056 House furnishings 73,375 66,016 61,603 49,228 Cotton 52,016 47,138 43,198 34,142 Linen 625 563 864 140 Wool 296 223 303 94 Silk 112 87 121 100 Manmade 20,326 18,005 17,117 14,752 Floor covering 31,836 34,051 34,612 29,037 Cotton 4,128 4,135 4,374 3,410 Linen 4,736 4,515 4,813 3,716 Wool 8,781 9,952 10,046 8,942 Silk 570 651 740 545 Manmade 13,621 14,798 14,639 12,424 Total imports 2/ 1,154,414 1,081,875 990,348 831,612 Cotton 609,084 584,314 558,896 459,511 Linen 46,555 45,602 36,316 46,153 Wool 49,291 42,811 35,553 28,112 Silk 14,465 14,809 13,378 11,288 Manmade 435,019 394,338 349,205 286,548 Exports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 193,571 215,925 205,497 165,157 Cotton 74,683 81,978 79,334 62,069 Linen 5,629 5,926 5,660 5,373 Wool 6,056 6,056 6,334 4,343 Silk 2,183 2,352 2,306 1,763 Manmade 105,020 119,613 111,863 91,609 Apparel 142,432 148,277 146,859 160,093 Cotton 86,582 89,395 90,514 94,881 Linen 1,994 2,396 2,618 1,798 Wool 5,838 5,547 5,311 7,292 Silk 3,372 3,698 3,900 3,689 Manmade 44,646 47,241 44,516 52,433 House furnishings 7,744 8,285 8,725 8,376 Cotton 4,454 4,771 5,085 4,914 Linen 199 283 286 376 Wool 82 78 73 86 Silk 92 113 194 227 Manmade 2,917 3,040 3,087 2,773 Floor covering 35,180 37,424 38,602 37,337 Cotton 2,445 2,815 2,887 3,114 Linen 1,688 1,886 1,930 1,754 Wool 3,655 3,584 4,216 3,341 Silk 80 125 112 96 Manmade 27,312 29,014 29,457 29,032 Total exports 2/ 379,193 410,190 400,971 371,501 Cotton 168,251 179,035 177,889 165,040 Linen 9,518 10,499 10,502 9,307 Wool 15,642 15,279 15,947 15,377 Silk 5,727 6,288 6,512 5,774 Manmade 180,055 199,090 190,120 176,004 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Includes headgear. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE IMPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 1998 ----------------------------- Item Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 247,797 255,679 256,516 202,396 Canada 23,207 24,543 24,588 20,255 Costa Rica 11,297 9,867 10,139 8,645 Dominican Republic 22,335 21,959 21,110 20,830 El Salvador 18,343 20,767 18,189 11,900 Guatemala 11,155 12,399 12,134 8,321 Haiti 4,216 3,721 3,729 3,187 Honduras 35,042 34,442 37,070 23,952 Jamaica 3,678 4,056 4,427 5,586 Mexico 113,895 119,536 120,281 96,437 Nicaragua 4,180 4,075 4,423 2,783 South America 10,411 11,299 10,296 7,722 Argentina 18 29 13 29 Brazil 3,066 3,752 3,641 1,251 Chile 1 10 43 12 Colombia 3,374 3,846 2,913 3,043 Peru 3,543 3,294 3,260 2,930 Europe 39,412 41,649 38,176 23,949 Estonia 718 411 530 833 Germany 1,245 1,189 1,136 855 Italy 2,572 3,594 3,811 3,306 Portugal 4,755 5,856 4,874 2,950 Russia 1,852 1,706 1,757 847 Spain 1,401 1,083 1,440 1,415 Turkey 19,792 20,210 17,164 8,668 United Kingdom 1,512 1,626 1,410 1,290 Asia 293,849 258,624 237,693 211,878 Bahrain 1,470 1,325 1,595 1,055 Bangladesh 21,777 17,349 15,280 12,241 China 44,497 34,961 28,308 27,299 Hong Kong 28,658 27,598 28,343 28,187 India 32,107 28,816 25,935 23,570 Indonesia 16,306 14,010 11,144 10,882 Israel 3,046 2,738 3,081 2,404 Japan 1,269 1,283 1,349 1,148 Macao 5,479 4,597 4,882 5,558 Malaysia 7,122 5,599 5,150 4,768 Nepal 1,733 991 1,345 1,294 Oman 1,661 1,848 2,442 1,832 Pakistan 40,505 42,341 41,429 29,103 Philippines 13,185 11,107 8,567 9,508 Qatar 1,621 1,059 1,219 1,101 Singapore 3,163 2,753 2,169 2,102 South Korea 10,588 8,715 8,444 7,144 Sri Lanka 8,124 6,992 6,231 7,192 Taiwan 16,859 12,885 11,927 12,649 Thailand 15,454 14,425 14,465 11,353 U Arab Em 3,118 3,323 3,242 1,600 Oceania 2,477 2,358 1,777 865 Australia 1,147 1,352 1,267 707 Fiji 956 541 316 61 Africa 15,138 14,705 14,438 12,701 Egypt 6,207 5,473 5,898 5,635 Lesotho 1,968 2,463 1,684 1,540 Mauritius 2,319 1,907 2,054 2,003 Morocco 660 790 914 982 South Africa 1,707 1,690 1,771 985 Tunisia 36 40 94 29 World 2/ 609,084 584,314 558,896 459,511 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999 1998 ----------------------------- Country Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 150,989 158,677 159,566 143,536 Canada 30,207 31,997 31,049 29,667 Costa Rica 7,639 8,884 6,599 7,619 Dominican Republic 12,183 9,521 11,265 15,062 El Salvador 3,771 5,661 5,853 5,898 Guatemala 4,650 2,501 2,526 3,109 Haiti 2,139 1,556 1,703 1,330 Honduras 19,251 18,518 19,035 17,271 Jamaica 2,672 2,830 2,931 3,191 Mexico 66,747 75,614 76,940 58,808 South America 2,787 4,309 3,631 3,647 Argentina 120 127 111 160 Brazil 509 445 284 433 Chile 287 638 813 543 Colombia 1,088 1,188 1,347 1,369 Peru 95 76 179 153 Venezuela 538 1,349 691 611 Europe 6,532 7,616 6,578 8,259 Belgium 1,853 2,804 1,921 3,205 France 378 402 305 555 Germany 753 731 914 855 Ireland 58 76 137 114 Italy 323 288 582 352 Netherlands 360 541 309 370 United Kingdom 1,562 1,623 1,236 1,806 Asia 6,796 6,637 6,678 8,098 China 130 187 253 271 Hong Kong 818 789 677 1,242 Israel 612 459 392 849 Japan 2,855 2,861 2,768 2,619 Philippines 174 264 385 319 Saudi Arabia 257 191 512 660 Singapore 342 387 250 303 South Korea 384 316 273 473 Taiwan 130 164 211 234 U Arab Em 238 310 137 314 Oceania 571 1,030 633 706 Australia 439 836 460 505 New Zealand 111 105 131 123 Africa 577 766 804 793 Egypt 5 10 37 52 Ghana 62 38 41 43 Ivory Coast 22 47 132 33 Nigeria 115 210 327 109 South Africa 68 50 65 131 World 2/ 168,251 179,035 177,889 165,040 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. ACREAGE, YIELD, AND PRODUCTION ESTIMATES FOR 1999 ------------------------------------------------------------------- State/ Region Harvested Yield Production ------------------------------------------------------------------- Lbs/ 1,000 acres harvested acre 1,000 bales Upland: Alabama 560 549 640 Florida 106 589 130 Georgia 1,300 580 1,570 N. Carolina 800 486 810 S. Carolina 315 419 275 Virginia 108 667 150 Southeast 3,189 538 3,575 Arkansas 960 715 1,430 Louisiana 610 708 900 Mississippi 1,180 708 1,740 Missouri 375 595 465 Tennessee 565 501 590 Delta 3,690 667 5,125 Kansas 28 384 22 Oklahoma 150 464 145 Texas 5,100 475 5,050 Southwest 5,278 474 5,217 Arizona 264 1,236 680 California 605 1,250 1,575 New Mexico 67 609 85 West 936 1,200 2,340 Total Upland 13,093 596 16,257 Pima: Arizona 10 960 19 California 239 1,245 620 New Mexico 8 608 10 Texas 32 705 47 Total Pima 288 1,159 696 Total All 13,381 608 16,953 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA's January Crop Production report. END_OF_FILE