COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK August 14, 2000 August 2000, ERS-CWS-0700 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board -------------------------------------------------------------------------- COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK is issued electronically 10 times a year by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036-5831. Electronic release only; no printed copies available. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS U.S. 2000 Production Projected Below 1994 Record U.S. Demand and Stocks To Rise This Season Foreign Consumption Higher, 2000/01 Beginning and Ending Stocks Lower Textile Imports Rise in May U.S. 2000 Production Projected Below 1994 Record According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture's (USDA) first survey of the 2000 cotton crop, U.S. production is forecast at nearly 19.2 million bales, 13 percent higher than last season and 500,000 bales below the 1994 record. The August forecast is also below industry expectations that averaged nearly 19.4 million bales. Upland production is forecast at 18.7 million bales, the highest since 1994, while the extra-long staple (ELS) crop is projected at only 419,000 bales, 40 percent below last season and the lowest since 1995. During the previous 20 years, the August forecast has been below final cotton production 10 times and above 10 times. Past differences between the August forecast and the final production estimate indicate that chances are two out of three for the 2000 U.S. cotton crop to range between 17.6 and 20.8 million bales. Compared with last season, upland production is projected to rise in each region of the Cottonbelt. The largest increase, however, is anticipated for the Delta, where production is expected to rise 763,000 bales (15 percent) this season to 5.9 million. Similarly, the Southeast is projected to expand 689,000 bales (19 percent) to 4.2 million. If realized, production in each of these regions would be the largest output since 1996. In the Southwest, upland production is forecast to increase 565,000 bales (11 percent) to nearly 5.8 million, the largest since 1981. The region is led by Texas which accounts for 5.5 million of the total upland output. With dry conditions in various parts of the State, abandonment in Texas is projected at 16 percent. However, a yield of 498 pounds per harvested acre is projected to provide the largest crop in nearly two decades. In the West, upland production is projected to rise 430,000 bales (18 percent) to 2.8 million bales. With larger area planted in high-yielding California, the region's yield is forecast at 1,205 pounds per harvested acre, the highest since 1993. On the other hand, ELS production in the West is expected to decline more than 200,000 bales as better prospects moved nearly 100,000 acres to upland production this season. California continues to take the lead in ELS production and is projected to account for 88 percent of the ELS crop in 2000. Total planted area to cotton is estimated at 15.5 million acres, and abandonment is projected close to the 10-year average at 8.7 percent. As a result, cotton area to be harvested is forecast at 14.2 million acres, 6 percent above last season and the highest since 1995/96. Based on the harvested area, the national yield is estimated at 648 pounds per acre, 41 pounds above 1999/2000 and 19 pounds above the 5-year average. Despite recent declines, overall U.S. cotton crop conditions remain similar to a year ago. As of August 6, 53 percent of the cotton acreage was in "good" or "excellent" condition, compared with only 51 percent in 1999. Similarly, 18 percent of the crop is rated "poor" or "very poor" this season, compared with 17 percent in 1999. While crop conditions are slightly better than last season, this year's crop development has surpassed that of 1999. As of August 6, 86 percent of the cotton area was setting bolls with 8 percent having bolls opening. In 1999, these percentages were 84 and 6 percent, respectively. As a result of an early start this season, ginnings are also reported higher than a year ago. As of August 1, about 245,000 running bales had been ginned, compared with only 81,000 at this time last year and above the 146,000 bales ginned in 1998. U.S. Demand and Stocks To Rise This Season Based on the August production forecast and carryin stocks estimated at 4.1 million bales, total U.S. cotton supplies for 2000/01 are projected to rise 11 percent to 23.3 million. Meanwhile, total use of U.S. cotton is also projected to increase, but not as fast as production. In 2000/01, total U.S. cotton demand is forecast to reach 18.4 million bales, 9 percent above last season and the highest since 1997/98. Despite the abundant supply expectations this season, U.S. cotton mill use is projected to improve only slightly. U.S. mill use is currently estimated at 10.2 million bales, marginally above the 10.1 million for 1999/2000. While demand for all fibers is expected to grow this year, the level of cotton textile trade will play a crucial role in the amount of raw cotton consumed by U.S. mills. Exports, on the other hand, are expected to expand further in 2000/01. U.S. exports are forecast at 8.2 million bales, 21 percent above last season, and the largest shipment rate since 1994. With these U.S. supply and demand projections, cotton ending stocks for 2000/01 are projected to jump 800,000 bales from the beginning level to 4.9 million. As a result, the implied stocks-to-use ratio for the season is currently near 27 percent, about equal to that of 1998/99. Foreign Consumption Higher, 2000/01 Beginning and Ending Stocks Lower USDA's forecast of foreign cotton consumption in 2000/01 was raised in August, up 200,000 bales from the previous month, to 82.3 million bales. Larger, but essentially offsetting, month-to-month declines occurred in the forecasts of 2000/01 foreign cotton imports--down about 550,000 bales--and cotton exports--down about 450,000 bales. Foreign imports in 2000/01 are forecast at 28 million bales, and foreign exports at 19.4 million. There was little change in the forecast for foreign production, forecast 80,000 bales higher than during the month before, at 68.2 million bales. Foreign ending stocks in 2000/01 are forecast 800,000 bales lower in August than during the month before, at 30.3 million bales. Foreign production in 2000/01 is forecast at about the same level it was a month earlier, as smaller expected crops in Central Asia largely offset improved Southern Hemisphere prospects. Reports from Central Asia indicate that the volume of water available in the Syr Darya and Amu Darya Rivers is its smallest in decades, necessitating reduced irrigation applications in some parts of Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and Kazakhstan. With expected 2000/01 output in these countries reduced this month, Central Asia's output forecast fell 440,000 bales from the month before. With reduced prospective supplies available for export, Central Asia's 2000/01 export forecast fell about 400,000 bales. Mali's expected 2000/01 crop was also reduced this month, by 150,000 bales to 800,000 bales. USDA's forecast for total production in West Africa's Franc Zone in 2000/01 is now marginally below 1999/2000's estimated level of 4 million bales. Relatively low world cotton prices during the last 2 years have resulted in financing difficulties in the region and difficulties in assuring timely and renumerative purchases from farmers in several countries in sub-Saharan Africa. On the other hand, recent events in Brazil and Australia suggest better prospects for their as yet unplanted 2000/01 crops than expected a month earlier. An unexpectedly good finish to Australia's 1999/2000 crop resulted in a 100,000-bale increase in last year's estimated output, for a record 3.3-million-bale crop. Similarly, Brazil's 1999/2000 area and yield were adjusted upward, raising production 200,000 bales to 2.9 million. In each case, higher yields in 1999/2000 have suggested better yields are likely in 2000/01, and higher area as well is expected in Brazil, due partly to depressed soybean prices. Brazil's 2000/01 expected output was increased 300,000 bales, and Australia's 100,000 bales. Brazil's 2000/01 cotton output is now forecast to rise 300,000 bales from the year before, to 3.2 million bales. This would be the largest crop since 1991/92, and an increase of nearly 2 million bales since the 1996/97 crop. Brazil's production fell early in the 1990's as economic reforms reduced trade protection and support for agriculture. The advent of the Mercosur regional trade agreement, economic recovery in Brazil, and the opening of new production areas in the state of Mato Grosso have helped drive a revival in production. With larger production, Brazil's imports have fallen from a peak of 2.4 million bales in 1996/97 to 1.3 million bales in 1999/2000. The forecast for imports in 2000/01 was reduced 300,000 bales in August, to 1.2 million bales. Foreign consumption in 2000/01 is forecast slightly higher than a month earlier in August as increases in China, Syria, and Taiwan offset reduced consumption prospects in Indonesia, Romania, and a few other countries. In each case, the revised forecasts resulted from adjustments in consumption in earlier years. In the case of Syria, adjustments stretched back to 1995/96. Foreign beginning stocks in 2000/01 were reduced from the month before by about 600,000 bales. The historical revisions in Syria accounted for 300,000 bales, and increased 1999/2000 consumption and exports by China accounted for 350,000 bales. Expected foreign ending stocks were reduced 800,000 bales from the month before in August, to 30.2 million bales, their lowest since 1994/95. U.S. exports in 2000/01 continue to be forecast at 8.2 million bales, unchanged from July's estimate. With little month-to-month change in expected net foreign trade, and little change in U.S. export availability compared with the previous month, and export sales to date accounting for such a small share of likely exports, there was little reason to revise the outlook. However, with a lower forecast for 2000/01 total world trade this month, the expected U.S. trade share rose marginally, from 29.2 percent to 29.7 percent. Textile Imports Rise in May May textile imports, at 1.1 billion pounds (raw-fiber equivalent), rebounded from a month earlier and were 27 percent above a year ago. Imports of all fibers and all end-use categories increased from a month earlier. Cotton textile imports, at 621 million pounds, were 15 percent above April and 27 percent above a year ago. Cotton apparel imports accounted for 70 percent of the shipments in May. Cotton imports from Asia rose to 275 million pounds, up 14 percent from a month earlier. Textile exports declined in May for the second consecutive month to 428 million pounds. Total May exports were 2 percent below April but 9 percent above a year earlier. Exports of all major fibers and all end-use categories except home furnishings were lower than April shipments. Cotton textile exports, at 194 million pounds, were 1 percent below a month earlier. However, cotton shipments were 8 percent above May 1999. Cotton textile exports to North America at 177 million pounds, decreased slightly from a month earlier. Overall, the May textile trade deficit was 674 million pounds, with cotton accounting for 63 percent of the total. The May deficit increased 42 percent from a year earlier when it totaled 474 million pounds. In addition, the deficit for the first 5 months of 2000 was 3.1 billion pounds, compared with 2.6 billion a year ago. The cotton trade deficit reached 2.0 billion pounds (4.1 million bale equivalents) during January-May, up 18 percent from 1999. ***** The next Cotton and Wool Outlook (CWS-0800) will be released on September 13, 2000. ***************************************************************** Information Contacts: Leslie Meyer (U.S. Cotton and Textiles) LMEYER@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5307 Stephen MacDonald (Foreign Cotton) STEPHENM@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5305 Robert Skinner (Textiles and Wool) RSKINNER@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5313 ***************************************************************** U.S. COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000/01 ----------------------------- Item 1999/2000 Jun Jul Aug ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Upland: Million acres Planted 14.584 15.341 15.350 15.350 Harvested 13.138 14.150 14.400 14.007 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 595 629 628 642 Million 480-lb bales Beginning stocks 3.836 3.838 3.833 3.855 Production 16.294 18.530 18.840 18.740 Total supply 1/ 20.185 22.403 22.708 22.625 Mill use 9.960 10.045 10.050 10.050 Exports 6.353 7.550 7.725 7.750 Total use 16.313 17.595 17.775 17.800 Ending stocks 3.855 4.748 4.873 4.806 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 23.6 27.0 27.4 27.0 Extra-long staple: 1,000 acres Planted 290 217 202 182 Harvested 287 215 200 181 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 1,128 1,050 1,104 1,111 1,000 480-lb bales Beginning stocks 103 262 267 245 Production 674 470 460 419 Total supply 1/ 822 747 742 684 Mill use 140 155 150 150 Exports 447 450 475 450 Total use 587 605 625 600 Ending stocks 245 152 127 94 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 41.7 25.1 20.3 15.7 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. 1/ Includes imports. WORLD COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000/01 ----------------------------- Item 1999/2000 Jun Jul Aug ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Supply: Million 480-lb bales Beginning stocks World 44.78 41.99 40.76 40.14 Foreign 40.84 37.89 36.66 36.04 Production World 87.03 87.00 87.37 87.31 Foreign 70.06 68.00 68.07 68.15 Imports World 27.10 28.00 28.62 28.08 Foreign 27.00 27.95 28.57 28.03 Use: Mill use World 91.16 92.00 92.27 92.47 Foreign 81.06 81.80 82.07 82.27 Exports World 27.32 27.70 28.10 27.64 Foreign 20.52 19.70 19.90 19.44 Ending stocks World 40.14 36.99 36.05 35.15 Foreign 36.04 32.09 31.05 30.25 Stocks-to-use ratio Percent World 44.0 40.2 39.1 38.0 Foreign 44.5 39.2 37.8 36.8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. FIBER SUPPLY ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ---------------------------- Item Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales Ginnings 0 0 0 0 Imports since August 1 83.1 91.3 NA 362.2 Stocks, beginning 10,160 8,659 7,090 5,601 At mills 502 496 487 603 Public storage 7,977 6,689 5,381 4,975 CCC stocks 510 439 350 608 Manmade: Million pounds Production 848.4 890.5 873.6 885.7 Noncellulosic 820.8 858.0 845.4 862.9 Cellulosic 27.6 32.5 28.2 22.8 Total since January 1 3,369.6 4,260.1 5,133.7 5,269.3 2000 1999 ------------------------- Mar Apr May May ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Million pounds Raw fiber imports 147.3 135.0 146.4 149.5 Noncellulosic 141.4 130.5 140.9 140.6 Cellulosic 5.9 4.5 5.5 8.9 Total since January 1 436.1 571.1 717.5 653.4 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool imports, clean 3,785 4,570 5,060 3,478 48's-and-finer 2,145 3,197 2,793 1,444 Not-finer-than-46's 1,640 1,373 2,267 2,034 Total since January 1 12,476 17,046 22,106 21,608 Wool top imports 767 488 1,117 319 Total since January 1 2,497 2,985 4,102 1,733 Mohair imports, clean 0 0 0 0 Total since January 1 4 4 0 0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NA = Not available. COTTON SYSTEM FIBER CONSUMPTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 -------------------------- Item Apr May Jun Jun --------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales All consumed by mills 1/ 800 919 886 885 Total since August 1 1/ 7,573 8,492 9,378 9,616 SA annual rate 2/ 10,167 10,050 10,335 10,336 SA daily rate 2/ 39.0 38.5 39.6 39.8 Daily rate 40.0 40.0 40.3 40.2 Upland consumed by mills 1/ 789 906 875 872 Total since August 1 1/ 7,470 8,375 9,250 9,479 SA daily rate 2/ 38.4 37.9 39.1 39.2 Daily rate 39.5 39.4 39.8 39.6 Spindles in place 4,552 4,649 4,628 5,180 Active spindles 4,359 4,454 4,426 4,715 100 percent cotton 2,356 2,440 2,432 2,523 100 percent manmade 684 713 703 757 Blends 1,319 1,301 1,291 1,435 Percent Cotton's share of fibers 77.7 78.1 78.4 78.6 Manmade: 1,000 pounds Total consumed by mills 1/ 110,433 123,870 117,317 115,575 Total since August 1 1/ 1,003,224 1,127,094 1,244,411 1,200,727 Daily rate 5,522 5,386 5,333 5,253 Noncellulosic staple 5,210 5,062 5,038 4,940 Cellulosic staple 312 324 295 313 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Adjusted to calendar month. 2/ SA = seasonally adjusted. FIBER EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 --------------------------- Item Mar Apr May May ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales Upland exports 926 659 605 231 Total since August 1 3,812 4,471 5,076 3,513 Sales for next season 136 129 191 184 Total since August 1 581 710 901 721 ELS exports 52.1 49.8 54.1 25.2 Total since August 1 235.8 285.6 339.6 241.4 Sales for next season 22.8 50.9 40.9 5.7 Total since August 1 43.2 94.0 134.9 78.3 Manmade: Million pounds Raw fiber exports 106.3 90.8 95.4 87.6 Noncellulosic 100.1 86.6 87.7 84.8 Cellulosic 6.2 4.2 7.7 2.8 Total since January 1 284.9 375.7 471.1 397.9 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool exports, clean 434.5 480.5 923.0 218.4 Total since January 1 992.6 1,473.1 2,396.1 994.2 Wool top exports 628.3 300.4 448.0 513.2 Total since January 1 1,340.2 1,640.6 2,088.6 2,450.4 Mohair exports, clean 171.5 194.3 350.7 381.0 Total since January 1 522.5 716.8 1,067.5 1,606.8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FIBER PRICES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ---------------------------- Item May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cents per pound Domestic cotton prices: Adjusted World Price 46.85 46.81 45.51 39.07 Oct'2000 futures 62.19 59.24 57.95 55.43 Dec'2000 futures 62.61 60.58 60.19 55.40 Upland spot 41-34 58.31 54.97 55.13 49.23 Pima spot 03-46 84.74 85.24 88.79 82.50 Avg. price received by: Upland producers 47.30 46.40 48.30 53.80 Mill delivered: Cotton Actual 64.05 62.10 60.72 56.24 Raw fiber equivalent 71.17 69.00 67.47 62.49 Rayon staple Actual 97.00 98.00 98.00 95.00 Raw fiber equivalent 101.04 102.08 102.08 98.96 Polyester staple Actual 58.00 58.00 58.00 52.00 Raw fiber equivalent 60.42 60.42 60.42 54.17 Price ratios Percent Cotton/rayon 70.4 67.6 66.1 63.1 Cotton/polyester 117.8 114.2 111.7 115.4 Northern Europe cotton quotes: Cents per pound A Index 60.53 59.56 58.40 54.56 Memphis Territory 68.88 NQ NQ NQ California/Arizona 68.63 64.95 63.44 59.05 B Index 54.96 54.16 53.49 NQ Orleans/Texas 57.63 55.10 54.44 NQ Wool prices (clean): Dollars per pound U.S. 56's 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.62 Australian 56's 1/ 1.30 1.33 1.32 1.32 U.S. 60's 0.80 0.82 0.80 0.89 Australian 60's 1/ 1.39 1.40 1.43 1.38 U.S. 64's 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.16 Australian 64's 1/ 1.56 1.54 1.55 1.52 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- NQ = No quotes. 1/ In bond, Charleston, SC. TEXTILE TRADE ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ---------------------------- Item Mar Apr May May ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Imports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 283,956 259,710 287,316 223,530 Cotton 123,753 110,989 126,423 93,422 Linen 29,957 23,386 20,315 18,267 Wool 4,916 5,052 5,316 4,395 Silk 1,028 898 969 742 Manmade 124,302 119,385 134,293 107,404 Apparel 707,131 593,731 689,510 550,663 Cotton 447.191 372,661 432,169 350,772 Linen 17,512 14,499 15,757 11,292 Wool 12,940 12,381 16,374 13,030 Silk 14,147 12,284 12,497 8,928 Manmade 315,341 181,906 212,713 166,641 House furnishings 70,289 63,527 73,977 51,105 Cotton 50,876 45,804 51,945 37,531 Linen 1,007 1,218 1,612 239 Wool 257 342 384 67 Silk 119 141 154 43 Manmade 18,030 16,022 19,882 13,225 Floor coverings 36,213 35,484 42,441 34,591 Cotton 4,687 4,712 5,544 3,939 Linen 5,257 6,233 6,827 3,814 Wool 10,683 10,338 12,038 11,284 Silk 779 479 786 604 Manmade 14,807 13,722 17,246 14,950 Total imports 2/ 1,105,516 960,497 1,102,230 867,545 Cotton 630,889 538,803 621,419 489,637 Linen 53,812 45,419 44,581 33,656 Wool 28,835 28,180 34,214 28,977 Silk 16,073 13,802 14,406 10,317 Manmade 375,906 334,293 387,609 304,959 Exports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 230,828 223,625 219,898 189,105 Cotton 90,978 85,129 84,203 71,872 Linen 6,900 6,477 6,132 5,299 Wool 6,397 5,057 5,647 5,714 Silk 2,413 2,286 2,169 2,319 Manmade 124,140 124,676 121,747 103,901 Apparel 189,811 169,343 166,141 165,307 Cotton 117,175 104,665 103,449 102,545 Linen 2,181 2,065 2,271 1,911 Wool 9,709 8,363 8,397 6,223 Silk 5,157 4,627 4,536 3,924 Manmade 55,589 49,623 47,488 50,704 House furnishings 7,261 6,336 6,973 5,346 Cotton 4,407 3,937 4,159 3,166 Linen 229 199 197 148 Wool 63 60 60 59 Silk 87 58 99 117 Manmade 2,475 2,082 2,458 1,856 Floor coverings 42,601 36,549 35,221 33,692 Cotton 3,390 2,955 2,614 2,451 Linen 1,844 1,776 1,616 1,456 Wool 4,953 4,004 3,312 3,564 Silk 69 94 91 75 Manmade 32,345 27,720 27,588 26,146 Total exports 2/ 470,776 440,097 428,487 393,675 Cotton 216,032 196,762 194,495 180,087 Linen 11,163 10,526 10,222 8,819 Wool 21,140 17,497 17,429 15,575 Silk 7,726 7,065 6,895 6,434 Manmade 214,715 208,247 199,447 182,760 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Includes headgear. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE IMPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 --------------------------- Item Mar Apr May May ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 276,846 230,562 269,130 230,366 Canada 23,423 22,599 24,738 21,541 Costa Rica 10,563 9,189 10,717 8,790 Dominican Republic 27,103 21,194 22,424 22,836 El Salvador 23,885 18,033 21,054 17,790 Guatemala 14,409 11,148 10,822 9,409 Haiti 4,525 3,617 4,533 3,821 Honduras 42,037 33,782 38,522 34,804 Jamaica 3,768 2,872 2,913 4,484 Mexico 122,354 105,125 128,461 103,602 Nicaragua 4,459 2,705 4,667 2,938 South America 15,754 11,650 13,732 8,030 Argentina 4 6 54 3 Brazil 7,778 5,210 5,555 1,736 Chile 31 35 30 23 Colombia 3,801 2,269 3,784 3,386 Peru 3,560 3,637 3,570 2,487 Europe 43,690 37,432 46,725 29,693 Estonia 952 798 901 689 France 825 642 671 508 Germany 1,598 935 1,121 815 Italy 4,362 4,161 4,281 3,125 Portugal 3,146 2,891 4,183 3,987 Russia 2,125 2,665 3,830 1,051 Spain 1,060 776 1,252 1,177 Turkey 21,720 17,515 22,310 13,666 United Kingdom 1,304 979 1,259 812 Asia 274,340 242,877 274,556 207,504 Bahrain 3,376 1,845 3,281 702 Bangladesh 21,406 16,543 17,254 12,390 China 30,830 32,178 35,984 28,921 Hong Kong 20,558 32,951 28,622 26,992 India 35,543 30,104 31,907 24,106 Indonesia 12,599 10,704 13,165 11,707 Israel 4,048 3,443 3,125 2,932 Japan 1,498 1,385 1,696 1,275 Macao 3,624 4,292 4,943 4,627 Malaysia 7,246 4,839 6,399 5,236 Nepal 3,420 2,654 2,398 1,320 Oman 2,195 1,496 1,649 1,502 Pakistan 44,689 39,868 46,335 27,189 Philippines 11,587 8,682 9,983 9,010 Qatar 1,738 1,017 780 1,092 Singapore 1,711 1,834 2,272 2,137 South Korea 9,932 9,642 10,768 8,377 Sri Lanka 9,272 8,115 6,419 5,482 Taiwan 10,762 9,865 12,860 12,169 Thailand 14,903 12,288 13,452 9,173 U Arab Em 4,566 3,781 3,729 2,248 Oceania 1,877 1,810 1,967 1,682 Australia 575 724 1,073 760 Fiji 971 801 682 663 Africa 13,382 14,471 15,309 12,363 Egypt 8,184 6,990 6,454 6,211 Lesotho 2,551 1,377 1,825 1,457 Mauritius 1,827 1,273 2,096 1,669 Morocco 1,314 1,130 961 797 South Africa 1,420 1,381 1,638 840 Tunisia 99 55 80 85 World 2/ 630,889 538,803 621,419 489,637 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 --------------------------- Country Mar Apr May May ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 194,440 176,823 176,666 161,740 Canada 30,644 26,836 28,473 28,682 Costa Rica 8,995 7,308 9,170 8,140 Dominican Republic 19,716 18,045 18,771 17,473 El Salvador 12,008 11,675 11,216 6,034 Guatemala 3,202 2,448 3,165 4,267 Haiti 2,872 2,347 1,527 1,930 Honduras 26,093 26,551 21,951 25,274 Jamaica 2,578 1,421 1,466 2,156 Mexico 86,430 78,527 79,092 65,884 South America 4,761 4,080 4,343 3,538 Argentina 140 263 149 111 Brazil 411 562 645 253 Chile 1,375 1,039 692 484 Colombia 1,357 964 1,314 1,938 Peru 45 244 45 42 Venezuela 1,104 620 1,171 383 Europe 8,193 7,527 5,978 6,615 Belgium 2,731 2,085 1,850 1,601 France 672 643 283 293 Germany 700 678 516 959 Ireland 98 107 109 155 Italy 268 258 293 269 Netherlands 491 501 328 294 United Kingdom 2,214 2,089 1,681 1,886 Asia 7,594 7,349 6,574 6,941 China 345 313 298 322 Hong Kong 755 757 1,086 864 Israel 459 544 326 420 Japan 3,433 3,544 2,690 3,059 Philippines 221 258 258 231 Saudi Arabia 243 233 258 260 Singapore 301 281 322 259 South Korea 676 247 352 265 Taiwan 289 338 238 279 U Arab Em 163 186 148 227 Oceania 576 654 577 772 Australia 488 417 468 539 New Zealand 66 62 67 82 Africa 468 329 358 481 Egypt 40 30 10 46 Ghana 9 16 7 35 Ivory Coast 20 1 11 13 Nigeria 49 106 62 129 South Africa 93 68 51 46 World 2/ 216,032 196,762 194,495 180,087 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. ACREAGE, YIELD, AND PRODUCTION ESTIMATES FOR 2000 ------------------------------------------------------------------- State/ Region Harvested Yield Production ------------------------------------------------------------------- Lbs./ 1,000 acres harvested acre 1,000 bales Upland: Alabama 540 489 550 Florida 92 420 81 Georgia 1,300 620 1,680 N. Carolina 930 715 1,385 S. Carolina 310 581 375 Virginia 109 722 164 Southeast 3,281 619 4,235 Arkansas 920 751 1,440 Louisiana 730 690 1,050 Mississippi 1,340 738 2,060 Missouri 425 700 620 Tennessee 595 581 720 Delta 4,010 705 5,890 Kansas 37 525 41 Oklahoma 250 461 240 Texas 5,300 498 5,500 Southwest 5,587 497 5,781 Arizona 279 1,230 715 California 765 1,255 2,000 New Mexico 85 678 120 West 1,129 1,205 2,835 Total Upland 14,007 642 18,740 Pima: Arizona 6 848 11 California 149 1,192 370 New Mexico 6 680 9 Texas 20 720 30 Total Pima 181 1,111 419 Total All 14,188 648 19,159 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA's August Crop Production report. END_OF_FILE