COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK September 13, 2000 September 2000, ERS-CWS-0800 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board -------------------------------------------------------------------------- COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK is issued electronically 10 times a year by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036-5831. Electronic release only; no printed copies available. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS U.S. 2000 Cotton Production Prospects Decrease U.S. Total Demand and Stocks To Rise Revised 1999/2000 Mill Use and Stocks Foreign Cotton Production and Consumption Higher in September Textile Imports, Trade Deficit Continue Higher U.S. 2000 Cotton Production Prospects Decrease According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture's (USDA) September Crop Production report, the 2000 U.S. cotton crop is forecast at 18.3 million bales, 4 percent below the August survey of 19.2 million. Upland production is forecast at 17.9 million bales, while the extra-long staple (ELS) crop is projected at 411,000 bales. During the previous 20 years, the September forecast has been equally below and above final production. In addition, past differences between the September forecast and the final production estimate indicate that chances are two out of three for the 2000 U.S. cotton crop to range between 17.2 and 19.4 million bales. The reduction from last month is due to the recent extreme heat and drought conditions in the Southwest and Delta regions. Upland cotton production was projected to decline over 500,000 bales in the Southwest to 5.2 million bales, with Texas accounting for nearly the entire decline. While the regional production is projected near last season's, the yield is expected to fall to 452 pounds per harvested acre. In the Delta region, production was reduced over 300,000 bales to nearly 5.6 million, with two-thirds of the decrease coming from Mississippi. Despite the Delta decline, production in the region is projected to be a 3-year high. The Southeast and West regions were virtually unchanged this month, with production estimated at 4.2 and 2.8 million bales, respectively. Production in the West is expected to be the highest since 1997, while the Southeast output is projected to expand to its highest level since 1996. In contrast to the upland crop, ELS production is expected to decline significantly from last season. The September Crop Production report indicated an ELS crop of 411,000 bales this season, slightly below last month but nearly 40 percent below 1999. California continues to account for the majority of ELS production and is projected to account for nearly 88 percent of the ELS crop in 2000. Compared with last season, all cotton production is expected to rise 8 percent nationally with each region contributing to the increase. Total planted area to cotton remains estimated at 15.5 million acres, and abandonment is projected at 9 percent. As a result, cotton area to be harvested is forecast at 14.1 million acres, 5 percent above last season and the highest since 1995/96. Based on the harvested area, the national yield is estimated at 622 pounds per acre, 15 pounds above 1999/2000. With the recent declines, overall U.S. cotton crop conditions have fallen below a year ago. As of September 10th, 36 percent of the cotton acreage was in "good" or "excellent" condition, compared with 44 percent in 1999. On the other hand, 34 percent was rated "poor" or "very poor" this season, compared with only 25 percent last year. While crop conditions are below those for 1999, this year's drought and extreme heat have advanced crop development and harvest well ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. As of September 10th, 61 percent of the cotton area had bolls opening, compared with 56 percent in 1999 and an average of only 51 percent. Also, 10 percent of the area has already been harvested, compared with 7 percent last season and a 5-year average of 8 percent. This progress can also be seen in the Cotton Ginnings report. As of September 1st, 841,900 running bales had been ginned, compared with 561,000 bales at this time last year and only 523,000 bales in 1998. U.S. Total Demand and Stocks To Rise Based on the September production forecast and beginning stocks estimated at 3.95 million bales, total U.S. cotton supplies for 2000/01 are expected to increase 6 percent to 22.3 million. Meanwhile, total demand for U.S. cotton is also projected to rise, with a continued improvement expected in foreign cotton use likely boosting U.S. exports. In 2000/01, total U.S. cotton demand is forecast to reach 18.1 million bales, 6 percent above last season and above the 5-year average of 17.4 million. This season, U.S. cotton exports are currently forecast at 7.9 million bales, 1.1 million above the latest 1999/2000 estimate. However, with the reduction in the U.S. crop and a slight decline in the foreign import demand this month, U.S. raw cotton exports were lowered 300,000 bales from the August projection but remain at their highest since 1994/95. With record world demand projected and the expanding gap between foreign production and consumption, the United States is likely to supply a large share of this import demand. Based on the current projections of U.S. and world cotton trade, this season's U.S. share of global exports is estimated at about 29 percent, up from last season and the previous 5-year average of 25 percent. Despite more abundant supply expectations in 2000/01, U.S. cotton mill use is projected to remain near the 1999/2000 level. While mill prices are higher for both cotton and polyester staple fibers, the recent rise in oil prices could push polyester prices even higher later this year, perhaps making cotton more competitive. However, tempering U.S. cotton mill demand prospects this season is the continued expansion of cotton textile imports. While the increase in textile trade is partly the result of preferential treatment under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI) legislation, textile imports from other regions, like Asia, are also on the rise and will likely limit domestic mill use of cotton. Based on these U.S. supply and demand projections, cotton ending stocks for 2000/01 are projected to rise 250,000 bales from the beginning level to 4.2 million. As a result, the implied stocks-to-use ratio for the season is currently 23 percent, similar to last season. Revised 1999/2000 Mill Use and Stocks Based on reports from the Census Bureau and adjusting to a marketing year basis, cotton mill use for 1999/2000 was raised from last month's estimate to 10.2 million bales. The latest figure is about 200,000 bales (1.5 percent) below 1998/99. While the Census Bureau report indicated an upward revision for the August 1999-May 2000 period, monthly details are not yet available and will be released by the Census at a later date. However, the adjustment was estimated at about 1 percent of total mill use, or approximately 100,000 bales. In addition, a revised July mill use estimate will be issued later this month and the 1999/2000 mill use will be adjusted accordingly in the October World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. A preliminary U.S. ending stock estimate was also released recently by the Census Bureau, indicating smaller than anticipated cotton stocks on July 31, 2000. Based on necessary adjustments to the data, 1999/2000 ending stocks are estimated at 3.95 million bales, down from 4.1 million estimated by USDA in its August WASDE report. Since the Census data are the "official" data, the difference between the USDA estimate and the Census figure will be recorded in the unaccounted category. As a result, ending stocks for 1999/2000 were similar to those of the previous 3 seasons. However, increased demand last season lowered the U.S. stocks-to-use ratio to 23 percent, equal to the average since the new farm legislation began in 1996/97. Foreign Cotton Production and Consumption Higher in September USDA's forecast for foreign cotton production in 2000/01 is 280,000 bales higher in September than August--at 68.4 million bales--as higher production in Pakistan and Australia offsets reduced prospects in West Africa. Forecasted foreign consumption is also higher, up 100,000 bales, to 82.5 million bales, and forecasted foreign exports are about 100,000 bales higher, to 19.6 million bales. Foreign imports are lower, by about 100,000 bales, at 27.9 million, and ending stocks are 100,000 bales lower, at 30.2 million bales. Larger than expected plantings in Pakistan have suggested more production than previously expected for 2000/01. Rather than declining 150,000 hectares, Pakistan's cotton area is now believed to be unchanged from the year before at 2.95 million hectares. Dry conditions during planting in the Sind did reduce that province's area, but unexpectedly large plantings in Punjab proved offsetting. Given the uncertainty this early in the season, yield was left unadjusted from the estimate used in July and August, which was down substantially from 1999/2000's surge. Gin arrivals are only just beginning in Pakistan and the success or not of the crop will not be discernable for some time. The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (ABARE) increased its forecast for Australia's planted area and harvest in 2000/01. End-of -season data cut 1999/2000 output by 50,000 bales, but good water availability and rising prices suggested 2000/01 output could be 3.5 million bales, 200,000 bales higher than previously estimated. Franc Zone production in both 1999/2000 and 2000/01 is reduced as well compared with a month earlier, largely reflecting reduced prospects in Cote d'Ivoire and Mali. Production in West Africa's Franc Zone is now expected to fall 170,000 bales from the year before in 2000/01, to 3.7 million bales, its lowest since the mid-1990's. Compared with a month earlier, the 1999/2000 Franc Zone production estimate is 150,000 bales lower, and the 2000/01 forecast is 315,000 bales lower. Cotton consumption in 2000/01 is forecast significantly differently in September compared with August in only one country-Thailand. End-of-year import data for Thailand in 1999/2000 suggest imports were 200,000 bales larger than previously estimated. Consumption in 1999/2000 was increased accordingly, up 150,000 to 1.6 million bales. Consumption in 2000/01 is forecast 100,000 bales higher than it was a month ago, unchanged from the year before at 1.6 million bales. While the magnitude of Thailand's 1999/2000 imports are indicative of a more robust textile sector than earlier believed, growing Chinese exports of textiles and apparel to the rest of Asia suggests caution is appropriate when forecasting 2000/01 consumption. Forecast foreign imports in 2000/01 are lower in September, and foreign exports are higher for a month-to-month shift in the foreign net import outlook of -200,000 bales. This, combined with reduced U.S. supplies, led to a 300,000-bale reduction in the forecast for U.S. exports in 2000/01. Textile Imports, Trade Deficit Continue Higher June textile imports rose for the second consecutive month to 1.2 billion pounds. Textile imports were 12 percent above a month earlier and June 1999. Larger imports of cotton, manmade, and wool more than offset slight declines in linen and silk shipments. Similarly, imports of all end-use categories increased except yarn, thread, and fabric. Apparel imports, at 831 million pounds, were nearly 21 percent higher than a month earlier. Cotton textile imports increased to 699 million pounds, nearly 13 percent above a month earlier. Cotton apparel shipments accounted for 42 percent of total textile imports in June. Cotton imports from Asia rose to 321 million pounds, up 17 percent from a month earlier. Textile exports rebounded in June after declining two consecutive months. Total exports were 497 million pounds, up 16 percent above a month earlier and 19 percent above June 1999. Exports of all major fibers and all end-use categories, except house furnishings, increased from a month earlier. Cotton textile exports, at 231 million pounds, were 19 percent above a month earlier but 20 percent below June 1999 shipments. Cotton textile shipments to North America increased in June and represented 91 percent of cotton exports. Overall, the June textile trade deficit was 737 million pounds, with cotton accounting for 56 percent of the total. The June deficit increased 9 percent from a year earlier when it totaled 678 million pounds. In addition, the deficit for the first 6 months of 2000 was 3.8 billion pounds, compared with 3.3 billion a year ago. The cotton trade deficit reached 2.4 billion pounds during January-June, up 17 percent from 1999. ***** The next Cotton and Wool Outlook (CWS-0900) will be released on October 13, 2000. **************************************************** Information Contacts: Leslie Meyer (U.S. Cotton and Textiles) LMEYER@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5307 Stephen MacDonald (Foreign Cotton) STEPHENM@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5305 Robert Skinner (Textiles and Wool) RSKINNER@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5313 ****************************************************************************** U.S. COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000/01 ----------------------------- Item 1999/2000 Jul Aug Sep ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Upland: Million acres Planted 14.584 15.350 15.350 15.350 Harvested 13.138 14.400 14.007 13.947 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 595 628 642 616 Million 480-lb bales Beginning stocks 3.836 3.833 3.855 3.750 Production 16.294 18.840 18.740 17.904 Total supply 1/ 20.185 22.708 22.625 21.709 Mill use 10.098 10.050 10.050 10.060 Exports 6.353 7.725 7.750 7.465 Total use 16.451 17.775 17.800 17.525 Ending stocks 3.750 4.873 4.806 4.134 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 22.8 27.4 27.0 23.6 Extra-long staple: 1,000 acres Planted 290 202 182 182 Harvested 287 200 181 176 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 1,128 1,104 1,111 1,121 1,000 480-lb bales Beginning stocks 103 267 245 200 Production 674 460 419 411 Total supply 1/ 822 742 684 631 Mill use 137 150 150 140 Exports 447 475 450 435 Total use 584 625 600 575 Ending stocks 200 127 94 66 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 34.2 20.3 15.7 11.5 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. 1/ Includes imports. WORLD COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000/01 ----------------------------- Item 1999/2000 Jul Aug Sep ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Supply: Million 480-lb bales Beginning stocks World 44.78 40.76 40.14 39.92 Foreign 40.84 36.66 36.04 35.97 Production World 86.85 87.37 87.31 86.75 Foreign 69.88 68.07 68.15 68.43 Imports World 27.32 28.62 28.08 28.01 Foreign 27.22 28.57 28.03 27.94 Use: Mill use World 91.45 92.27 92.47 92.57 Foreign 81.22 82.07 82.27 82.37 Exports World 27.28 28.10 27.64 27.45 Foreign 20.48 19.90 19.44 19.55 Ending stocks World 39.92 36.05 35.15 34.35 Foreign 35.97 31.05 30.25 30.15 Stocks-to-use ratio Percent World 43.7 39.1 38.0 37.1 Foreign 44.3 37.8 36.8 36.6 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. FIBER SUPPLY ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ---------------------------- Item May Jun Jul Jul ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales Ginnings 0 0 0 0 Imports since August 1 91.3 94.8 NA 442.7 Stocks, beginning 8,659 7,090 5,678 4,537 At mills 496 487 500 562 Public storage 6,689 5,381 4,233 4,082 CCC stocks 439 350 295 560 Manmade: Million pounds Production 920.9 867.9 833.0 867.4 Noncellulosic 888.4 839.7 802.3 842.5 Cellulosic 32.5 28.2 30.7 24.9 Total since January 1 4,290.2 5,158.1 5,991.1 6,120.2 2000 1999 ------------------------- Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Million pounds Raw fiber imports 135.0 146.4 132.7 130.9 Noncellulosic 130.5 140.9 127.9 125.0 Cellulosic 4.5 5.5 4.8 5.9 Total since January 1 571.1 717.5 850.2 784.3 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool imports, clean 4,570 5,060 2,690 3,021 48's-and-finer 3,197 2,793 1,214 1,129 Not-finer-than-46's 1,373 2,267 1,476 1,891 Total since January 1 17,046 22,106 24,796 27,649 Wool top imports 208 472 320 131 Total since January 1 2,350 2,822 3,142 729 Mohair imports, clean 0 0 0 16 Total since January 1 4 4 4 16 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NA = Not available. COTTON SYSTEM FIBER CONSUMPTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 -------------------------- Item May Jun Jul Jul --------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales All consumed by mills 1/ 919 907 725 785 Total since August 1 1/ 8,492 9,399 10,124 10,401 SA annual rate 2/ 10,024 10,572 9,945 10,058 SA daily rate 2/ 38.4 40.5 38.1 38.7 Daily rate 40.0 41.2 34.5 35.7 Upland consumed by mills 1/ 906 896 716 775 Total since August 1 1/ 8,375 9,271 9,987 10,254 SA daily rate 2/ 37.8 40.0 37.7 38.2 Daily rate 39.4 40.7 34.1 35.2 Spindles in place 4,649 4,629 4,618 5,094 Active spindles 4,454 4,427 4,367 4,660 100 percent cotton 2,440 2,435 2,405 2,472 100 percent manmade 713 702 682 757 Blends 1,301 1,290 1,280 1,431 Percent Cotton's share of fibers 78.1 78.7 78.8 78.4 Manmade: 1,000 pounds Total consumed by mills 1/ 123,870 118,098 93,416 104,075 Total since August 1 1/ 1,127,094 1,245,192 1,338,608 1,304,803 Daily rate 5,386 5,368 4,448 4,731 Noncellulosic staple 5,062 5,070 4,216 4,464 Cellulosic staple 324 298 232 267 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Adjusted to calendar month. 2/ SA = seasonally adjusted. Note: An upward revision by the Census Bureau for August-May of approximately 1 percent is not reflected in these tables. Monthly detail will be released at a later date by the Census Bureau. FIBER EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 --------------------------- Item Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales Upland exports 659 605 449 235 Total since August 1 4,471 5,076 5,525 3,747 Sales for next season 129 191 503 548 Total since August 1 710 901 1,404 1,269 ELS exports 49.8 54.1 59.1 26.1 Total since August 1 285.6 339.6 398.6 267.6 Sales for next season 50.9 40.9 20.0 14.7 Total since August 1 94.0 134.9 154.9 92.9 Manmade: Million pounds Raw fiber exports 90.8 95.4 104.9 83.2 Noncellulosic 86.6 87.7 96.2 79.9 Cellulosic 4.2 7.7 8.7 3.3 Total since January 1 375.7 471.1 576.0 481.1 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool exports, clean 480.5 923.0 791.1 360.8 Total since January 1 1,473.1 2,396.1 3,187.2 1,355.0 Wool top exports 300.4 448.0 517.4 474.1 Total since January 1 1,640.6 2,088.6 2,606.0 2,924.5 Mohair exports, clean 194.3 350.7 106.0 279.5 Total since January 1 716.8 1,067.5 1,173.5 1,453.0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FIBER PRICES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ---------------------------- Item Jun Jul Aug Aug ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cents per pound Domestic cotton prices: Adjusted World Price 46.81 45.51 46.97 36.92 Oct'2000 futures 59.24 57.95 62.24 NA Dec'2000 futures 60.58 60.19 64.30 NA Upland spot 41-34 54.97 55.13 59.33 49.72 Pima spot 03-46 85.24 88.79 91.37 82.50 Avg. price received by: Upland producers 46.40 49.10 49.90 53.00 Mill delivered: Cotton Actual 62.10 60.72 64.60 57.14 Raw fiber equivalent 69.00 67.47 71.78 63.49 Rayon staple Actual 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 Raw fiber equivalent 102.08 102.08 102.08 102.08 Polyester staple Actual 58.00 58.00 58.00 52.00 Raw fiber equivalent 60.42 60.42 60.42 54.17 Price ratios Percent Cotton/rayon 67.6 66.1 70.3 62.2 Cotton/polyester 114.2 111.7 118.8 117.2 Northern Europe cotton quotes: Cents per pound A Index 59.56 58.40 60.93 50.98 Memphis Territory NQ NQ 67.95 58.63 California/Arizona 64.95 63.44 70.10 61.50 B Index 54.16 53.49 NQ NQ Orleans/Texas 55.10 54.44 62.60 54.56 Wool prices (clean): Dollars per pound U.S. 56's 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.57 Australian 56's 1/ 1.33 1.32 1.29 1.30 U.S. 60's 0.82 0.80 0.77 0.84 Australian 60's 1/ 1.40 1.43 1.38 1.35 U.S. 64's 1.25 1.25 1.20 1.10 Australian 64's 1/ 1.54 1.55 1.51 1.48 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- NQ = No quotes. NA = Not available. 1/ In bond, Charleston, SC. TEXTILE TRADE ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ---------------------------- Item Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Imports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 259,710 287,316 270,875 247,009 Cotton 110,989 126,423 120,548 107,427 Linen 23,386 20,315 14,933 19,837 Wool 5,052 5,316 5,071 4,697 Silk 898 969 1,028 780 Manmade 119,385 134,293 129,295 114,268 Apparel 593,731 689,510 831,068 743,210 Cotton 372,661 432,169 513,042 464,778 Linen 14,499 15,757 19,474 16,858 Wool 12,381 16,374 23,828 21,058 Silk 12,284 12,497 12,282 10,006 Manmade 181,906 212,713 262,442 230,510 House furnishings 63,527 73,977 78,278 63,047 Cotton 45,804 51,945 55,703 46,645 Linen 1,218 1,612 1,329 472 Wool 342 384 349 124 Silk 141 154 146 31 Manmade 16,022 19,882 20,751 15,775 Floor coverings 35,484 42,441 43,598 35,544 Cotton 4,712 5,544 5,249 5,011 Linen 6,233 6,827 7,172 4,684 Wool 10,338 12,038 13,067 10,384 Silk 479 786 683 698 Manmade 13,722 17,246 17,427 14,767 Total imports 2/ 960,497 1,102,230 1,233,294 1,097,213 Cotton 538,803 621,419 699,352 628,656 Linen 45,419 44,581 42,954 41,909 Wool 28,180 34,214 42,527 36,489 Silk 13,802 14,406 14,141 11,514 Manmade 334,293 387,609 434,320 378,644 Exports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 223,625 219,898 247,907 200,466 Cotton 85,129 84,203 96,913 77,507 Linen 6,477 6,132 6,502 5,453 Wool 5,057 5,647 5,921 6,359 Silk 2,286 2,169 3,891 2,287 Manmade 124,676 121,747 134,680 108,860 Apparel 169,343 166,141 205,309 173,584 Cotton 104,665 103,449 127,133 105,655 Linen 2,065 2,271 2,552 2,036 Wool 8,363 8,397 10,182 6,581 Silk 4,627 4,536 5,542 3,906 Manmade 49,623 47,488 59,900 55,406 House furnishings 6,336 6,973 6,830 6,359 Cotton 3,937 4,159 4,083 3,806 Linen 199 197 196 201 Wool 60 60 62 58 Silk 58 99 91 74 Manmade 2,082 2,458 2,398 2,220 Floor coverings 36,549 35,221 36,311 38,597 Cotton 2,955 2,614 3,016 2,750 Linen 1,776 1,616 1,841 1,517 Wool 4,004 3,312 3,432 2,927 Silk 94 91 107 60 Manmade 27,720 27,588 27,915 31,343 Total exports 2/ 440,097 428,487 496,583 419,264 Cotton 196,762 194,495 231,216 289,784 Linen 10,526 10,222 11,099 9,216 Wool 17,497 17,429 19,610 15,941 Silk 7,065 6,895 9,630 6,327 Manmade 208,247 199,447 225,028 197,996 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Includes headgear. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE IMPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 --------------------------- Item Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 230,562 269,130 290,496 263,606 Canada 22,599 24,738 22,923 21,380 Costa Rica 9,189 10,717 11,797 11,281 Dominican Republic 21,194 22,424 25,909 24,081 El Salvador 18,033 21,054 24,289 19,462 Guatemala 11,148 10,822 16,076 12,891 Haiti 3,617 4,533 4,093 4,247 Honduras 33,782 38,522 40,740 38,883 Jamaica 2,872 2,913 3,177 5,113 Mexico 105,125 128,461 134,684 121,003 Nicaragua 2,705 4,667 6,563 4,847 South America 11,650 13,732 14,838 10,490 Argentina 6 54 9 7 Brazil 5,210 5,555 5,773 2,323 Chile 35 30 101 30 Colombia 2,269 3,784 3,913 4,347 Peru 3,637 3,570 4,312 3,305 Europe 37,432 46,725 51,446 38,951 Estonia 798 901 548 690 France 642 671 759 559 Germany 935 1,121 1,304 917 Italy 4,161 4,281 4,557 3,670 Portugal 2,891 4,183 6,521 4,751 Russia 2,665 3,830 3,670 1,260 Spain 776 1,252 1,143 1,367 Turkey 17,515 22,310 23,827 19,960 United Kingdom 979 1,259 1,424 1,171 Asia 242,877 274,556 321,286 297,848 Bahrain 1,845 3,281 2,904 1,006 Bangladesh 16,543 17,254 23,220 22,306 China 32,178 35,984 39,892 44,579 Hong Kong 32,951 28,622 34,609 36,964 India 30,104 31,907 34,758 31,619 Indonesia 10,704 13,165 15,945 16,414 Israel 3,443 3,125 4,296 3,504 Japan 1,385 1,696 1,437 1,687 Macao 4,292 4,943 7,178 6,964 Malaysia 4,839 6,399 7,243 7,416 Nepal 2,654 2,398 2,280 1,706 Oman 1,496 1,649 1,970 1,949 Pakistan 39,868 46,335 48,897 34,389 Philippines 8,682 9,983 12,401 15,353 Qatar 1,017 780 1,692 1,551 Singapore 1,834 2,272 2,713 2,882 South Korea 9,642 10,768 12,066 11,596 Sri Lanka 8,115 6,419 8,312 8,481 Taiwan 9,865 12,860 15,766 16,537 Thailand 12,288 13,452 15,690 14,748 U Arab Em 3,781 3,729 3,843 2,798 Oceania 1,810 1,967 1,709 2,047 Australia 724 1,073 636 1,032 Fiji 801 682 644 624 Africa 14,471 15,309 19,577 15,713 Egypt 6,990 6,454 7,997 5,999 Lesotho 1,377 1,825 2,546 2,459 Mauritius 1,273 2,096 2,625 2,079 Morocco 1,130 961 1,192 1,184 South Africa 1,381 1,638 2,484 1,892 Tunisia 55 80 189 92 World 2/ 630,889 538,803 699,352 628,656 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ----------------------------- Country Apr May Jun Jun ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 176,823 176,666 211,394 170,684 Canada 26,836 28,473 29,700 28,608 Costa Rica 7,308 9,170 12,909 4,999 Dominican Republic 18,045 18,771 19,536 16,357 El Salvador 11,675 11,216 15,742 6,054 Guatemala 2,448 3,165 3,005 3,135 Haiti 2,347 1,527 3,918 2,751 Honduras 26,551 21,951 30,506 26,082 Jamaica 1,421 1,466 3,176 3,121 Mexico 78,527 79,092 91,117 77,990 South America 4,080 4,343 3,976 3,828 Argentina 263 149 103 228 Brazil 562 645 556 319 Chile 1,039 692 638 468 Colombia 964 1,314 1,410 1,266 Peru 244 45 52 92 Venezuela 620 1,171 917 1,206 Europe 7,527 5,978 7,089 7,332 Belgium 2,085 1,850 2,428 1,967 France 643 283 718 291 Germany 678 516 656 692 Ireland 107 109 152 104 Italy 258 293 453 232 Netherlands 501 328 459 501 United Kingdom 2,089 1,681 1,435 1,804 Asia 7,349 6,574 7,499 6,669 China 313 298 405 298 Hong Kong 757 1,086 924 811 Israel 544 326 302 439 Japan 3,544 2,690 2,986 2,803 Philippines 258 258 503 229 Saudi Arabia 233 258 362 379 Singapore 281 322 295 313 South Korea 247 352 285 266 Taiwan 338 238 184 351 U Arab Em 186 148 124 135 Oceania 654 577 732 599 Australia 417 468 564 411 New Zealand 62 67 61 107 Africa 329 358 526 673 Egypt 30 10 76 3 Ghana 16 7 18 16 Ivory Coast 1 11 2 45 Nigeria 106 62 81 220 South Africa 68 51 53 100 World 2/ 196,762 194,495 231,216 189,784 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. ACREAGE, YIELD, AND PRODUCTION ESTIMATES FOR 2000 ------------------------------------------------------------------- State/ Region Harvested Yield Production ------------------------------------------------------------------- Lbs./ 1,000 acres harvested acre 1,000 bales Upland: Alabama 540 489 550 Georgia 1,300 620 1,680 N. Carolina 930 723 1,400 S. Carolina 310 573 370 Virginia 109 722 164 Southeast 3,189 627 4,164 Arkansas 950 728 1,440 Louisiana 700 672 980 Mississippi 1,280 686 1,830 Missouri 425 678 600 Tennessee 595 565 700 Delta 3,950 674 5,550 Oklahoma 250 442 230 Texas 5,300 453 5,000 Southwest 5,550 452 5,230 Arizona 279 1,230 715 California 765 1,255 2,000 New Mexico 85 734 130 West 1,129 1,210 2,845 Other 1/ 129 428 115 Total Upland 13,947 616 17,904 Pima: Arizona 6 848 11 California 144 1,200 360 New Mexico 6 680 9 Texas 20 768 32 Total Pima 176 1,121 411 Total All 14,123 622 18,315 ------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA's September Crop Production report. 1/ Includes Florida and Kansas. END_OF_FILE