COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK February 9, 2001 February 2001, ERS-CWS-0100 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board -------------------------------------------------------------------------- COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK is issued electronically monthly by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036-5831. Electronic release only; no printed copies available. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS U.S. Cotton Supply and Demand Overview U.S. Demand Reduced in February Foreign Consumption and Production Little Changed Forecasting U.S. Cotton Exports Textile Trade Lower in November U.S. Sheep and Goat Inventories Continue Decline U.S. Cotton Supply and Demand Overview The 2000/01 U.S. cotton crop is currently estimated at 17.22 million bales (upland--16.82 million and extra-long staple (ELS)- -398,000 bales), compared with 16.97 million in 1999/2000. Based on the latest Cotton Ginnings report and last season’s running bale to statistical bale conversion factor, ginnings by the end of January had reached 17.1 million bales. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) will release final 2000/01 ginnings, as well as final upland and ELS production, on May 10th. Based on the current production estimate and beginning stocks of 3.9 million bales, 2000/01 U.S. cotton supply is expected to total 21.2 million, 200,000 above last season. Despite production rising slightly this year, total demand for U.S. cotton is projected to decline as a sluggish world economy dampened early- season prospects for both mill use and exports. Total demand is expected to reach 16.7 million bales this season, about 2 percent below 1999/2000. As a result, 2000/01 stocks are forecast to total 4.5 million bales by season’s end, more than 500,000 bales above the beginning level. With the increase in stocks and reduced demand, this season’s stocks-to-use ratio is expected to climb to 26.9 percent, the highest since 1992/93. U.S. Demand Reduced in February Both U.S. cotton mill use and export estimates were lowered this month. U.S. mill use in 2000/01 is expected to reach only 9.7 million bales, compared with 10.2 million last season. With continued growth in imported cotton textile and apparel products and indications of slowing growth in consumer demand for all fibers, mill consumption of cotton is projected at its lowest since 1991/92. Similar to cotton, which has declined about 6 percent to date from the comparable period last season, manmade fiber use on the cotton spinning system has fallen nearly 9 percent from a year ago. As a result, cotton’s share has risen from 78.4 percent during 1999/2000 to 79.2 percent during the first 5 months of this season. In addition, the most recent seasonally adjusted (SA) data for December were relatively strong, indicating that U.S. mills used cotton at an annual rate of 9.9 million bales during the month. With one of the strongest SA rates of 2000/01 to date, the first 5 months of the season have averaged about 9.7 million bales. Actual U.S. mill use for August through December 2000 totaled 4 million statistical bales, compared with 4.2 million a year earlier. U.S. exports in 2000/01 are now projected at 7 million bales, 300,000 bales below last month’s projection but 250,000 bales above last season’s shipments. Although a slight gain in foreign mill use is expected this season, a larger foreign crop has reduced the import needs of some U.S. customers. The sluggish foreign demand and a large production forecast for the Southern Hemisphere countries have constrained U.S. export sales recently despite lower prices. During the first half of 2000/01, exports of U.S. cotton have totaled about 2.7 million bales, or about 39 percent of the export forecast. Although additional sales are still needed, exports during the ‘ prime’ shipping period--January through March--will be a key to reaching the export projection. Weekly averages of 165,000 bales are needed during the rest of the season. According to Export Sales, the shipment pace for January averaged about 155,000 bales per week. Foreign Consumption and Production Little Changed Compared with January, there is little change in estimated foreign production, consumption, or trade this month. Estimated 1999/2000 foreign production is reduced 152,000 bales, and 2000/01 is reduced 375,000 bales. Foreign consumption in each year is virtually unchanged, and both foreign exports and imports are reduced by similar amounts. Foreign ending stocks in 1999/2000 are estimated 191,000 bales lower in February than in January, and 2000/01 ending stocks are estimated 223,000 bales lower. At 70.2 million bales, 1999/2000 estimated foreign production is 11.4 million bales below the 1999/2000 foreign consumption of 81.6 million bales. Foreign production in 2000/01 is estimated at 70.8 million bales, 11.6 million below consumption, which is forecast at 82.4 million bales. Neither foreign consumption nor foreign production is forecast notably higher in 2000/01 than during the year before: gains of 800,000 and 600,000 bales respectively represent increases of 1 percent. However, China’s estimated consumption in 2000/01 is up 800,000 bales, and its output is 2.4 million bales higher than during the year before. Thus, deducting China from the foreign totals leaves a gap between foreign consumption and production in 2000/01 at 8.6 million bales. This is 1.8 million bales higher than the gap estimated for 1999/2000. Forecasting U.S. Cotton Exports Intuitively, a larger gap between consumption and production in the rest of the world suggests a greater need for U.S. cotton. Ironically, the correlation between this gap and U.S. exports is poor--during the 1990’s the correlation was slightly negative whether China is included or not. However, the correlation between the year-earlier foreign consumption-production gap and current year exports during the 1990’s was 77 percent if China is included, and 67 percent if China is excluded. U.S. exports in 2000/01 should be larger than during 1999/2000 according to this rule of thumb: 2000/01 exports would be expected to benefit from the increase of the gap between foreign consumption and production during 1999/2000. With China included, this gap grew 7.4 million bales; excluding China, it grew 1.3 million bales. It is not immediately obvious why U.S. exports are correlated with the previous year’s foreign shortfall between consumption and production, although this is consistent with a residual supplier role for the United States. For whatever reason, every year during the 1990’s, U.S. exports rose or fell one year after the foreign shortfall rose or fell. During the 1980’s, this relationship held about two-thirds of the time. This suggests that U.S. exports in 2000/01 will be higher than during 1999/2000. U.S. exports in 2000/01 are forecast to reach 7 million bales, compared with 6.8 million in 1999/2000. U.S. export commitments have been slow to accrue this marketing year (MY) as previous expectations about the level of world demand and the competitiveness of U.S. cotton have not been born out. As of January 25th, U.S. export commitments of cotton totaled 5.4 million bales, or 77 percent of USDA’s 2000/01 7- million-bale export estimate. During 1976-99, the average late January commitment share of marketing year exports (excluding 1992-95, when Step 3 ‘ bunching’ was the norm) was 90 percent, which is consistent with a MY 2000/01 export total of about 6 million bales. Applying this same procedure to accumulated shipments through January 25th, instead of commitments, suggests an export total of 6.2 million bales. A more sophisticated analysis of export/commitment patterns can be realized by accounting for a few more years when unusual events were known to occur (e.g. the last year before the introduction of marketing loans) and by adjusting for change over 1976-99 by assuming a constant trend of technical change. Depending on how many years of historical data are used to develop the estimates, this procedure suggests a forecast of U.S. MY 2000/01 exports of 6.2-6.6 million bales. Finally, historical relationships between U.S. exports and the foreign gap between consumption and production suggest a forecast of MY 2000/01 U.S. cotton exports of 6.7-7.7 million bales. The range depends on how many years of historical data are used to develop the estimate and on how U.S. exports to Mexico are treated in the analysis. Other variables used in arriving at this range include China’s net imports and few dummy variables to account for unusual years. Obviously, at the beginning of a given marketing year, little commitment data and no shipment data are available. Any export forecast has to rely on analysis of other available information, such as estimates of production, consumption, and trade for the coming year in other countries. Indeed, any forecast would be indefensible if it was inconsistent with this information about the rest of the world. However, toward the end of the marketing year, the reality of actual commitments--and then shipments-- presents itself, and any rational export forecast must give precedence to the realization of actual market decisions. This is true even if the outcome seems inconsistent with previously observed relationships between U.S. exports and the state of the world. During the middle of the marketing year, both sorts of information must be brought to bear on the question of forecasting exports, and the relative weights given to each will be shifting as the months progress. Thus, estimated exports will vary not only with new information uncovered from month to month, but--in years when different forecast methodologies give different estimates--estimated exports will vary from month to month as the seasonal prominence appropriate to different methodologies shifts. Much uncertainty remains within the cotton industry about such important variables as the size of the crop in India, Pakistan, and China, about world consumer demand for textiles, about the timing of China’s accession to the World Trade Organization and its trade policy until accession. This complicates the task of forecasting U.S. exports, and the presence of uncertainty could itself affect the level of exports. Since half of the marketing year still remains, there is still substantial time for the growing shortfall between foreign consumption and production to assert itself in the form of accelerating U.S. export commitments. The recent reduction in prices, and the growing magnitude of Step 2 payments both suggest this will be the case, and U.S. cotton exports are expected to rise about 4 percent from the year before. Textile Trade Lower in November U.S. textile imports during November 2000 totaled 1.1 billion (raw-fiber equivalent) pounds, 15 percent below October and the lowest since April. Imports declined for each major fiber and end-use category, as the slowing consumer demand is revealed in the trade figures. Cotton textile imports, at 607 million pounds, were the lowest in 7 months but continue to represent more than half the U.S. import total. Textile imports during January through November were nearly 12.7 billion pounds, 14 percent above the comparable period of 1999. Similarly, cotton textile imports during the first 11 months of 2000 reached 7 billion pounds, 800 million above a year earlier. On the other hand, U.S. textile exports for November totaled 457 million pounds, 6 percent below October and the lowest since July. However, textile shipments were 14 percent above November 1999. Export declines for the latest month were seen in cotton, manmade, and linen products, which offset larger shipments of wool and silk products. In addition, all end-use categories, except home furnishings, were lower in November. Cumulative textile exports for January through November reached 4.9 billion pounds, 14 percent above the same period in 1999. Shipments of cotton products during the first 11 months of 2000 totaled about 2.3 billion pounds, 400 million above a year earlier. Overall, the textile trade deficit during January through November 2000 climbed to 7.8 billion pounds, compared with 6.8 billion a year ago. Likewise, the cotton textile trade deficit moved higher in 2000. For the 11 months, the cotton deficit reached 4.7 billion pounds in 2000, compared with 4.3 billion in 1999. As a result, cotton products continue to account for about 60 percent of the total U.S. textile trade deficit. U.S. Sheep and Goat Inventories Continue Decline Total sheep and lamb inventory in the United States on January 1, 2001, was estimated at 6.92 million head, down 2 percent from 2000 and 4 percent below 2 years ago. The inventory has trended downward since 1942 when it reached a peak of 56.2 million head. The inventory of breeding sheep declined to 4.93 million head, down 5 percent from 5.16 million on January 1, 2000. Similarly, the number of farming operations with sheep during 2000 totaled 66,000, down 1 percent from 1999 and 4 percent from 1998. Shorn wool production in the United States during 2000 was 46.4 million pounds, greasy, down slightly from 1999. Sheep and lambs shorn totaled 6.14 million head, down slightly from a year earlier. The average price paid for wool sold in 2000 was 33 cents per pound, for a total value of $15.5 million, down 13 percent from $17.9 million in 1999. The inventory of angora goats on January 1, 2001, totaled 359,000 head, down 18 percent from 2000. Mohair production in the United States during 2000 was estimated at 2.6 million pounds, down 9 percent from 1999. Angora goats clipped totaled 402,000 head, also down 9 percent from a year earlier. The average price paid for mohair sold in 2000 was $4.04 per pound for a total value of $10.6 million, up 6 percent from $10.0 in 1999. The next Cotton and Wool Outlook (CWS-0201) will be released on March 9, 2001. Introduced in January: A newly designed, newly structured ERS website provides you with accurate, timely, comprehensive, easy- to-find economic analysis on issues related to agriculture, food, the environment, and rural development. The website includes 19 commodity Briefing Rooms, 12 country Briefing Rooms, and a host of issue-oriented Briefing Rooms covering issues ranging from analysis of the World Trade Organization (WTO) to topics such as risk management, farm structure, and conservation and environmental policies. The new ERS website contains: -- a powerful new interface design -- a user-friendly site structure -- an enhanced search feature -- a synthesis of the extensive research, including: Latest publications Latest data products Recommended readings and data products Recent research developments Newsletters Related links Maps and charts gallery Bookmark www.ers.usda.gov Information Contacts: Leslie Meyer (U.S. Cotton and Textiles) LMEYER@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5307 Stephen MacDonald (Foreign Cotton) STEPHENM@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5305 Robert Skinner (Textiles and Wool) RSKINNER@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5313 U.S. COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000/01 ----------------------------- Item 1999/2000 Dec Jan Feb ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Upland: Million acres Planted 14.584 15.350 15.365 15.365 Harvested 13.138 13.372 12.927 12.927 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 595 612 625 625 Million 480-lb bales Beginning stocks 3.836 3.672 3.672 3.672 Production 16.294 16.989 16.822 16.822 Total supply 1/ 20.183 20.716 20.524 20.514 Mill use 10.103 9.765 9.670 9.570 Exports 6.303 7.125 6.840 6.540 Total use 16.406 16.890 16.510 16.110 Ending stocks 3.672 3.820 4.012 4.422 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 22.4 22.6 24.3 27.4 Extra-long staple: 1,000 acres Planted 290 182 172 172 Harvested 287 172 171 171 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 1,128 1,144 1,120 1,120 1,000 480-lb bales Beginning stocks 103 250 250 250 Production 674 410 398 398 Total supply 1/ 821 680 668 658 Mill use 137 135 130 130 Exports 447 475 460 460 Total use 584 610 590 590 Ending stocks 250 80 88 78 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 42.8 13.1 14.9 13.2 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. 1/ Includes imports. WORLD COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000/01 ----------------------------- Item 1999/2000 Dec Jan Feb --------------------------------------------------------- ------------- Supply: Million 480-lb bales Beginning stocks World 44.86 41.15 41.16 40.97 Foreign 40.92 37.23 37.24 37.05 Production World 87.21 86.63 88.43 88.06 Foreign 70.24 69.23 71.21 70.84 Imports World 28.22 27.17 26.83 26.98 Foreign 28.12 27.10 26.78 26.95 Use: Mill use World 91.84 92.26 92.21 92.10 Foreign 81.60 82.36 82.41 82.40 Exports World 27.21 26.85 26.66 26.49 Foreign 20.46 19.25 19.36 19.49 Ending stocks World 40.97 35.69 37.39 37.27 Foreign 37.05 31.79 33.29 32.77 Stocks-to-use ratio Percent World 44.6 38.9 40.5 40.5 Foreign 45.4 38.6 40.4 39.8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. FIBER SUPPLY ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ---------------------------- Item Oct Nov Dec Dec ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales Ginnings 6,114 4,554 2,505 2,376 Imports since August 1 5.3 7.2 NA 57.7 Stocks, beginning 4,784 9,674 13,046 13,395 At mills 487 437 447 509 Public storage 4,235 8,176 11,199 11,345 CCC stocks 782 2,448 1,204 3,870 Manmade: Million pounds Production 872.7 808.7 733.9 842.8 Noncellulosic 842.7 781.1 707.7 813.0 Cellulosic 30.0 27.6 26.2 29.8 Total since January 1 8,515.3 9,324.0 10,057.9 10,219.4 2000 1999 ------------------------- Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Million pounds Raw fiber imports 119.8 97.0 93.5 92.4 Noncellulosic 115.3 86.8 85.0 87.2 Cellulosic 4.5 10.2 8.5 5.2 Total since January 1 1,230.5 952.9 1,046.4 908.1 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool imports, clean 4,282 3,228 3,495 2,778 48's-and-finer 1,907 1,509 1,861 1,609 Not-finer-than-46's 2,375 1,719 1,634 1,169 Total since January 1 35,882 39,110 42,605 40,608 Wool top imports 352 520 418 152 Total since January 1 3,574 4,094 4,512 1,447 Mohair imports, clean 0 0 0 0 Total since January 1 4 4 4 16 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NA = Not available. COTTON SYSTEM FIBER CONSUMPTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 -------------------------- Item Oct Nov Dec Dec --------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales All consumed by mills 1/ 846 749 653 752 Total since August 1 1/ 2,570 3,319 3,972 4,212 SA annual rate 2/ 9,534 9,046 9,891 10,282 SA daily rate 2/ 36.5 34.7 37.9 39.4 Daily rate 38.4 34.1 31.1 32.7 Upland consumed by mills 1/ 834 739 645 742 Total since August 1 1/ 2,535 3,274 3,919 4,157 SA daily rate 2/ 36.0 34.2 37.5 39.0 Daily rate 37.9 33.6 30.7 32.3 Spindles in place 4,529 4,326 4,305 4,712 Active spindles 4,315 4,063 4,013 4,387 100 percent cotton 2,337 2,166 2,139 2,350 100 percent manmade 660 623 646 724 Blends 1,318 1,274 1,228 1,313 Percent Cotton's share of fibers 78.7 79.3 80.0 78.5 Manmade: 1,000 pounds Total consumed by mills 1/ 109,636 93,735 78,256 98,755 Total since August 1 1/ 330,368 424,103 502,359 549,447 Daily rate 4,983 4,261 3,726 4,294 Noncellulosic staple 4,709 4,009 3,471 4,011 Cellulosic staple 274 252 255 283 --------------------------------------------------------- ------------- 1/ Adjusted to calendar month. 2/ SA = seasonally adjusted. FIBER EXPORTS ------------------------------------------------------------------- --- 2000 1999 ----------------------------- Item Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------- ------------------------------------------ Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales Upland exports 313 351 404 447 Total since August 1 707 1,058 1,462 996 Sales for next season 31 57 68 47 Total since August 1 104 161 229 284 ELS exports 22.9 31.1 30.7 24.8 Total since August 1 59.7 90.8 121.5 62.9 Sales for next season 1.2 2.4 9.7 2.0 Total since August 1 4.5 6.9 16.5 5.0 Manmade: Million pounds Raw fiber exports 100.4 123.8 112.7 126.8 Noncellulosic 91.9 117.9 108.0 118.2 Cellulosic 8.5 5.9 4.7 8.6 Total since January 1 855.9 1,354.3 1,467.0 1,432.5 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool exports, clean 659.0 506.8 555.2 281.6 Total since January 1 4.868.2 5,375.0 5,930.2 3,693.8 Wool top exports 461.6 1,082.5 358.9 181.1 Total since January 1 5,066.4 6,148.9 6,507.8 4,528.0 Mohair exports, clean 441.4 187.8 593.3 489.3 Total since January 1 2,465.6 2,653.4 3,246.7 5,277.5 ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- FIBER PRICES ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 2001 2000 ------------------ Item Nov Dec Jan Jan ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Cents per pound Domestic cotton prices: Adjusted World Price 49.84 52.04 50.61 32.74 Upland spot 41-34 62.16 61.04 56.66 51.92 Pima spot 03-46 103.00 105.95 105.43 80.90 Avg. price received by: Upland producers 58.00 58.00 53.80 43.10 Mill delivered: Cotton Actual 68.25 70.11 64.27 58.52 Raw fiber equivalent 75.83 77.90 71.41 65.02 Rayon staple Actual 98.00 98.00 99.00 97.00 Raw fiber equivalent 102.08 102.08 103.13 101.04 Polyester staple Actual 59.00 59.00 60.00 53.00 Raw fiber equivalent 61.46 61.46 62.50 55.21 Price ratios Percent Cotton/rayon 74.3 76.3 69.2 64.4 Cotton/polyester 123.4 126.8 114.3 117.8 Northern Europe cotton quotes: Cents per pound A Index 64.07 65.90 64.19 47.80 Memphis Territory 68.95 69.44 69.75 58.69 California/Arizona 70.50 71.19 68.50 58.19 B Index 60.72 62.00 60.40 43.59 Orleans/Texas 60.35 60.69 58.19 45.06 Wool prices (clean): Dollars per pound U.S. 56's 0.57 0.60 0.60 0.77 Australian 56's 1/ 1.20 1.22 1.26 1.42 U.S. 60's 0.72 0.72 0.77 0.95 Australian 60's 1/ 1.31 1.35 1.46 1.49 U.S. 64's 0.96 0.97 0.95 1.15 Australian 64's 1/ 1.40 1.48 1.60 1.58 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- NQ = No quotes. NA = Not available. 1/ In bond, Charleston, SC. TEXTILE TRADE ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ---------------------------- Item Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Imports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 244,835 253,136 238,212 238,473 Cotton 107,151 111,918 105,455 110,560 Linen 18,074 15,776 17,282 14,872 Wool 4,809 4,753 4,937 4,185 Silk 951 1,019 961 968 Manmade 113,850 119,670 109,577 107,888 Apparel 877,805 878,444 727,887 648,131 Cotton 485,277 511,118 447,997 396,963 Linen 23,377 23,141 20,213 15,711 Wool 41,305 34,705 20,278 17,832 Silk 14,243 14,928 13,081 11,548 Manmade 313,603 294,552 226,318 206,077 House furnishings 83,733 84,550 68,133 61,603 Cotton 55,731 56,773 45,269 43,198 Linen 1,726 1,567 1,254 864 Wool 613 573 550 303 Silk 193 201 172 121 Manmade 25,470 25,436 20,888 17,117 Floor coverings 39,154 42,018 39,552 34,612 Cotton 5,735 5,092 4,322 4,374 Linen 6,948 6,763 6,640 4,813 Wool 11,013 13,831 12,473 10,046 Silk 707 711 607 740 Manmade 14,751 15,621 15,510 14,639 Total imports 2/ 1,254,251 1,266,793 1,081,261 990,348 Cotton 657,708 689,270 606,968 558,896 Linen 50,175 47,317 45,486 36,316 Wool 58,204 54,194 38,401 35,553 Silk 16,095 16,861 14,824 13,378 Manmade 472,068 459,151 375,582 349,205 Exports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 248,327 254,562 238,992 205,497 Cotton 100,683 106,283 100,356 79,334 Linen 6,982 6,671 6,467 5,660 Wool 5,208 5,598 4,928 6,334 Silk 3,525 3,103 3,019 2,306 Manmade 131,929 132,907 124,222 111,863 Apparel 175,891 187,838 173,906 146,859 Cotton 105,682 114,718 102,763 90,514 Linen 2,577 2,523 2,191 2,618 Wool 8,333 8,708 9,743 5,311 Silk 3,943 4,155 5,228 3,900 Manmade 55,356 57,734 53,981 44,516 House furnishings 8,099 8,231 9,285 8,725 Cotton 4,796 4,920 5,555 5,085 Linen 231 160 211 286 Wool 98 67 172 86 Silk 86 57 67 194 Manmade 2,888 3,027 3,280 3,087 Floor coverings 37,392 36,388 34,503 38,602 Cotton 2,903 3,020 3,032 2,887 Linen 1,746 1,882 1,594 1,930 Wool 2,859 3,028 3,260 4,216 Silk 72 85 61 112 Manmade 29,812 28,373 26,556 29,457 Total exports 2/ 469,998 487,243 456,933 400,971 Cotton 214,152 229,017 211,774 177,889 Linen 11,545 11,243 10,470 10,502 Wool 16,513 17,418 18,120 15,947 Silk 7,626 7,401 8,375 6,512 Manmade 220,162 222,164 208,195 190,120 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Includes headgear. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE IMPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 --------------------------- Item Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 262,971 290,105 273,658 256,516 Canada 24,203 23,922 23,806 24,588 Costa Rica 9,532 11,634 10,718 10,139 Dominican Republic 21,386 23,238 21,208 21,110 El Salvador 20,912 28,517 24,793 18,189 Guatemala 12,937 13,423 12,207 12,134 Haiti 4,257 4,187 4,217 3,729 Honduras 34,197 40,905 43,384 37,070 Jamaica 2,137 3,002 2,765 4,427 Mexico 127,945 136,086 124,713 120,281 Nicaragua 5,175 4,911 5,522 4,423 South America 13,655 13,749 12,208 10,296 Argentina 8 89 16 13 Brazil 4,515 4,271 3,261 3,641 Chile 177 45 1 43 Colombia 4,608 4,648 4,057 2,913 Peru 3,794 4,147 4,260 3,260 Europe 44,424 52,767 44,832 38,176 Estonia 573 510 408 530 France 582 760 726 625 Germany 1,167 1,026 899 1,136 Italy 3,051 4,435 4,399 3,811 Portugal 4,873 6,567 5,425 4,874 Russia 3,063 4,183 3,413 1,757 Spain 1,649 1,532 1,484 1,440 Turkey 20,064 23,454 17,805 17,164 United Kingdom 2,503 2,341 2,083 1,410 Asia 313,597 306,955 254,272 237,693 Bahrain 2,937 2,974 3,005 1,595 Bangladesh 25,308 23,848 19,295 15,280 China 39,202 37,505 11,633 28,308 Hong Kong 26,159 27,254 22,998 28,343 India 33,480 33,340 24,809 25,935 Indonesia 18,067 18,140 16,200 11,144 Israel 3,579 3,358 3,428 3,081 Japan 1,388 1,423 1,438 1,349 Macao 6,745 5,983 5,876 4,882 Malaysia 7,482 6,714 5,562 5,150 Nepal 1,304 1,671 1,466 1,345 Oman 1,998 2,120 1,687 2,442 Pakistan 53,498 51,469 43,306 41,429 Philippines 11,490 10,895 7,701 8,567 Qatar 2,533 2,072 1,750 1,219 Singapore 2,700 2,535 2,401 2,169 South Korea 10,607 11,096 10,870 8,444 Sri Lanka 8,837 9,180 7,636 6,231 Taiwan 15,342 15,826 11,633 11,927 Thailand 15,296 16,518 13,597 14,465 U Arab Em 3,611 3,264 2,690 3,242 Oceania 3,879 3,869 3,075 1,777 Australia 2,018 2,527 2,008 1,267 Fiji 1,495 956 683 316 Africa 19,183 21,824 18,923 14,438 Egypt 8,127 7,955 7,437 5,898 Lesotho 2,454 3,573 2,458 1,684 Mauritius 1,878 2,808 2,296 2,054 Morocco 868 1,471 1,282 914 South Africa 3,098 3,093 2,547 1,771 Tunisia 189 135 91 94 World 2/ 657,708 689,270 606,968 558,896 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE EXPORTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1999 ----------------------------- Country Sep Oct Nov Nov ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 193,893 202,854 190,885 159,566 Canada 27,864 29,259 29,747 31,049 Costa Rica 8,854 9,791 9,149 6,599 Dominican Republic 19,191 19,202 17,287 11,265 El Salvador 11,362 14,257 12,195 5,853 Guatemala 4,609 5,309 6,008 2,526 Haiti 4,664 3,968 3,088 1,703 Honduras 26,466 30,505 27,717 19,035 Jamaica 2,639 2,635 2,537 2,931 Mexico 86,664 86,269 81,562 76,940 South America 5,710 5,806 5,961 3,631 Argentina 84 212 185 111 Brazil 510 398 486 284 Chile 1,383 1,251 459 813 Colombia 1,663 1,950 2,549 1,347 Peru 62 109 107 179 Venezuela 1,482 1,508 1,435 691 Europe 6,152 11,390 7,398 6,578 Belgium 1,855 2,503 2,251 1,921 France 237 494 231 305 Germany 477 485 624 914 Ireland 106 87 82 137 Italy 382 281 310 582 Netherlands 522 4,844 1,005 309 United Kingdom 1,382 1,620 1,704 1,236 Asia 7,115 7,574 6,384 6,678 China 198 331 179 253 Hong Kong 840 1,030 775 677 Israel 423 379 293 392 Japan 3,277 2,744 2,542 2,768 Philippines 208 343 337 385 Saudi Arabia 221 236 335 512 Singapore 315 366 416 250 South Korea 282 646 288 273 Taiwan 252 275 179 211 U Arab Em 184 254 113 137 Oceania 634 910 596 633 Australia 459 760 497 460 New Zealand 61 116 61 131 Africa 648 483 551 804 Egypt 51 20 25 37 Ghana 19 69 33 41 Ivory Coast 0 1 2 132 Nigeria 204 67 146 327 South Africa 160 80 77 65 World 2/ 214,152 229,017 211,774 177,889 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. 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