COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK June 13, 2001 June 2001, ERS-CWS-0501 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board -------------------------------------------------------------------------- COTTON AND WOOL OUTLOOK is issued electronically 10 times a year by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036-5831. Electronic release only; no printed copies available. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Summary: June 2001 The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecast for 2001/02 indicates a slightly lower demand this month, resulting in an increase in ending stocks. For next season, U.S. production remains projected at 18.8 million bales, based on average abandonment and yields. Domestic mill demand, however, was lowered 200,000 bales, resulting from the continued depressed state of the U.S. textile mill industry. The export forecast for 2001/02 is unchanged at 9 million bales. Although mill use is slightly below the current season, exports are projected to be the highest since 1994/95 and provide about one- third of global cotton trade next season. Despite the largest U.S. demand expectations in 4 years, ending stocks are expected to rise 1 million bales during the season to 6.6 million, the highest since 1988/89 when stocks were 7.1 million. Foreign production in 2001/02 is expected to rise 4 million bales to 74.7 million despite the continuation of a multi-year drought that has damaged irrigation prospects from Iran, through Central Asia, to Pakistan. Cotton prices, particularly in relative terms, improved in a number of countries, and foreign production is expected to reach a 6-year high. Foreign consumption in 2001/02 is expected to increase 1.6 percent, to 84 million bales, as world gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds. Foreign ending stocks are expected to fall slightly, to 31.8 million bales, their lowest since 1994/95. For 2000/01, the U.S. cotton supply estimate remains at 21.1 million bales. However, demand was reduced to 15.5 million bales domestic mill use at 9 million and exports at 6.5 million 9 percent below 1999/2000. As a result, 2000/01 U.S. ending stocks are estimated to rise significantly to 5.6 million bales, or 36 percent of total use. Foreign production in 2000/01 is projected at 70.8 million bales, 700,000 above Mays estimate, and 400,000 bales above 1999/2000. Foreign consumption is estimated at 82.7 million bales, about 150,000 above last months estimate, and 1 million bales higher than in 1999/2000. Foreign imports in 2000/01 are projected at 26.3 million bales down 400,000 from Mays estimate, and 2 million below a year ago while foreign exports are estimated down 140,000 bales from May, and 1.1 million lower than in 1999/2000. Foreign exports are forecast at 19.5 million bales in 2000/01. Foreign ending stocks are projected at 32.1 million bales in 2000/01, 500,000 more than estimated last month, and 5.2 million below 1999/2000. U.S. Production: Cotton Progress and Condition Near Average U.S. planting progress of the 2001 cotton crop is near normal or complete in all States with the exception of Texas, where planting progress is above average. As of June 10th, 95 percent of the U.S. cotton crop was planted, compared with 93 percent last year and a 5-year average of 92 percent. Nine of the 14 reporting States had completed their planting. Of the remaining States, only Texas had less than 90 percent planted as of June 10th, but this compares with a 5-year average of only 82 percent. As plantings near completion this year, progress will begin to be monitored by the crops development. As of June 10th, 18 percent of the acreage was squaring, similar to both a year ago and the 5-year average. Although crop development is just beginning in many States, several departures from normal are worth noting. In Arkansas and Louisiana, development is well ahead of normal as the percent squaring is 20 and 13 percentage points, respectively, above the 5-year averages. On the other hand, North Carolina, Georgia, and Missouri are 6-8 percentage points below their respective averages as of early June. In addition to crop progress, crop condition reporting for U.S. cotton began recently for the 2001 season. As of the week ending June 10th, average U.S. crop conditions were slightly ahead of last season. At this early stage, 55 percent of the area was rated good or excellent, compared with 50 percent a year ago. Also, 16 percent was rated poor or very poor, compared with 19 percent in 2000. As noted in the report, several States have been adversely affected by weather conditions, including Texas and Missouri where cotton conditions were rated as poor or very poor on 29 and 23 percent of their respective area. On the other hand, recent beneficial rains have occurred in other areas, including the Southeast. With average U.S. cotton crop progress and conditions near normal, no changes were made this month to the 2001 U.S. production estimate of 18.8 million bales. An update on the cotton area reported in the March Prospective Plantings report will be issued at the end of the month by USDAs National Agricultural Statistics Service. The June 29th Acreage report will provide a better indication of the 2001 cotton area as it combines the actual cotton plantings as of early June and estimates for any area remaining to be planted. U.S. Demand: Total Cotton Use Lowered for 2000/01 and 2001/02 Despite a 100,000-bale increase in USDAs export estimate for 2000/01, a decrease of 200,000 bales in domestic mill use dropped total demand to 15.5 million bales, 9 percent or 1.5 million bales below the previous season. The adjustment in exports to 6.5 million bales is the result of recent shipment rates that have been stronger than seasonal patterns would normally dictate. At the end of May, shipment data reported in Export Sales indicated that exports reached about 5.3 million bales, leaving 1.2 million to be shipped during the last 2 months of the season. This suggests that cotton exports need only average 138,000 running bales per week through the end of the season, 9 percent below the weekly average shipped during May. And with world trade projected at nearly 26 million bales in 2000/01, the U.S. share of global cotton trade is estimated at 25 percent, similar to the previous season. For mill use, the June estimate for 2000/01 was reduced to 9 million bales, reflecting recent sluggish consumption. Cotton mill use for the season through April totaled 6.9 million bales, or 10 percent below a year earlier. On a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) basis, cotton consumption has averaged about 9.2 million bales during the first 9 months of the season. However, the impact of rising textile imports is expected to reduce the SAAR average during the remaining 3 months. While cotton consumption has fallen, similar declines are seen in manmade mill use. Consequently, cottons share of fiber mill use on the cotton spinning system remains near last seasons average of 78.6 percent. As a result of the reduction in cotton mill use for 2000/01, the mill consumption projection for 2001/02 was reduced a similar amount to 8.8 million bales. The strength of the dollar has continued to make imported products difficult for domestic mills to compete against. Accordingly, many U.S. textile mills have had to make adjustments to their operations to stay competitive, resulting in reduced U.S. mill capacity as a consequence of the numerous reorganizations, staff reductions, and mill closings that have occurred over the past year. World Stocks: Larger Production Boosts Ending Stocks Estimated world ending stocks in 2000/01 are nearly 550,000 bales higher in June, compared with USDAs May estimate, at 37.8 million. Stocks are higher as higher production estimates for China, Pakistan, Tanzania, Nigeria, Australia, and other countries raise estimated world output by 700,000 bales from last month. For 2001/02, world ending stocks are forecast nearly 1.2 million bales higher than USDAs May estimate as attache and press reports suggest that output will be higher than USDA previously forecast. World production in 2001/02 is forecast 500,000 bales higher than during May, at 93.5 million bales. This would be 5.6 million bales or 6.3 percent above a year earlier. In addition, reduced prospects for U.S. mill use in 2001/02 means expected world consumption is reduced 200,000 bales from USDAs May estimate. At 92.8 million bales, world cotton consumption in 2001/02 is expected to be 1.2 percent above its 2000/01 level, compared with an expected increase of 1.4 percent forecast in May. While country-by-country detail is not available for the 2001/02 production and consumption forecasts, such detail is available for the 2000/01 forecast. The largest revision in any single countrys estimate in 2000/01 was a 400,000-bale decline in Indias estimated crop, to 10.9 million bales. Arrivals have fallen off sharply in the last month and a half, lending credence to long-standing trade expectations of a sharply lower crop in the wake of last years poor monsoon. Indias 2000/01 cotton crop is now estimated 11 percent lower than 1999/2000s 12.2 million bales. Offsetting India on the production side were 300,000-bale increases in estimated 2000/01 output in Pakistan and China, based on government reports. USDAs attache in Pakistan reported that Pakistans Ministry of Food, Agriculture, and Livestock estimated total cotton output there at 10.8 million Pakistani bales. Given conflicting information regarding whether 170 kilograms or 160 kilograms best represents the average Pakistani bales weight, USDA continues to use an average of 165 kilograms while awaiting resolution of the dispute. Chinas cotton output estimate for 2000/01 was raised 300,000 bales to 20.3 million bales in concordance with a revised estimate from Chinas National Bureau of Statistics (NSB). NSB left its area estimate unchanged, suggesting that Chinas yields rose 6 percent compared with the year before in 2000/01, to a record 1.1 tons/ha. Tanzanias 2000/01 crop is estimated 215,000 bales higher than it was during May, an increase of 165 percent from USDAs last estimate, based on newly available government information from Tanzania. Area planted to cotton in Tanzania in 2000/01 is estimated at 420,000 hectares, compared with 200,000 hectares in 1999/2000 and with USDAs May estimate for 2000/01 area of 215,000 hectares. Tanzania last planted more than 400,000 hectares to cotton in 1992/93, and since then area has tended to fall in the course of a transition to more liberalized production and marketing structures and due to episodes of adverse weather. During the 1990s, subsidies were removed, procurement responsibilities shifted from a marketing board to cooperatives, and the national input credits system collapsed. According the International Monetary Fund, weather also caused difficulty during this period, with erratic rains during 1995/96, followed by serious drought in 1996/97, and floods in 1997/98 due to El Nino. Nigerias 2000/01 crop is estimated 138,000 bales higher than it was during May, a 50-percent increase from USDAs last estimate, based on Nigerian ginning data. Reliable data on area is not available, but it appears that higher yields account for the entire revision, due to favorable weather and adoption of improved seeds by farmers. Information from the Hellenic Cotton Board revised Greeces 2000/01 production estimate 135,000 bales. Uzbekistans 2000/01 crop is estimated 100,000 bales higher than it was during May, as the output of the countrys gins appears to have exceeded earlier expectations based on reported seed cotton arrivals. Uzbekistans ginning ratio has been believed to be relatively stable during the last several years, so it is unclear if the additional production stems from improved ginning or greater than expected seed cotton procurement. Finally, Australias crop was increased 100,000 bales as a new estimate by Australias Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics contradicted previous reports of yield problems. World Consumption: 2000/01 Estimate Unchanged World consumption of cotton in 2000/01 is forecast at 91.7 million bales, the same level forecast by USDA in May, and very nearly the same as during 1999/2000. Offsetting revisions to various countries largely stemmed from reports by USDA personnel in overseas embassies, with a 200,000-bale increase for Pakistan, the largest increase for any single country. Pakistan has added mill capacity in the wake of improve yields during the last 2 years, and consumption is forecast to reach 8 million bales, a 5- percent increase compared with 1999/2000. In 1999/2000, consumption rose 600,000 bales, or 9 percent from the year before. On the plus side, other consumption revisions for 2000/01 compared with Mays estimates also include a 100,000-bale increase for India, a 100,000- bale increase for Hong Kong, an 85,000-bale increase for Nigeria, a 75,000- bale increase for Sri Lanka, and a 50,000-bale increase for Colombia. On the negative side are a 200,000-bale reduction for the United States, a 125,000-bale reduction for Malaysia, a 100,000-bale reduction for Turkey, a 75,000-bale reduction for Germany, and reductions of about 50,000- bales for Russia and Syria. Chinas estimated consumption in 2000/01 is forecast at 23.5 million bales, the same as was forecast in May. On the one hand, press reports from China indicate that the profitability of cotton spinning and the pace of textile exports are weakening. On the other hand, monthly total yarn output continues to exceed year-earlier levels substantially, suggesting that even with a larger than expected drop in fiber share for cotton in China, a high volume of cotton consumption will be maintained. World Consumption and Production: 2001/02 Use Lower, Output Higher World consumption in 2001/02 is forecast at 92.8 million bales, 200,000 bales less than USDAs forecast in May, solely due to an adjustment to the U.S. forecast. Foreign consumption in 2001/02 is forecast at 84 million bales, the same as was forecast in May. This would be 1.6 percent, or 1.3 million bales, higher than 2000/01s estimated foreign consumption. World production in 2001/02 is forecast 500,000 bales higher than during May, at 93.5 million bales. All the adjustment occurred in the foreign estimate, leaving the U.S. estimate unchanged. Foreign production in 2001/02 is estimated at 74.7 million bales, 4 million bales or 6 percent above the previous years level. This would be the first increase in foreign output since 1997/98, and the highest since 1995/96. World ending stocks in 2001/02 are expected to rise 700,000 bales from the year before, to 38.4 million bales. However, foreign ending stocks are expected to fall 300,000 bales to 31.8 million. As a share of cotton consumption, foreign ending stocks are expected to fall to 38 percent in 2001/02, compared with 39 percent in 2000/01, and 46 percent in 1999/2000. U.S. Textile Trade: Textile Imports and Exports Higher in March March textile imports, at 1.1 billion (raw-fiber equivalent) pounds were up 11 percent from February but slightly below March 2000. Textile imports rose for all major end-use categories and for all major fibers, except linen. Cotton imports, at 643 million pounds, accounted for 58 percent of the March total and were 13 percent above a month earlier. U.S. cotton textile imports from North American countries rose 16 percent to 285 million pounds, accounting for 44 percent of the total. Cotton imports from Asia also increased from a month earlier to 272 million pounds (42 percent of the U.S. import total). Similarly, March 2001 textile exports, at 480 million pounds, rose 12 percent from February and were 2 percent above a year earlier. U.S. textile exports expanded for all major fibers and end-use categories. Cotton exports, at 215 million pounds, were up 8 percent from a month earlier, but 1 percent below a year ago. Cotton textile imports increased for all end- use categories from the previous month, with yarn, thread, and fabric accounting for 57 percent of the total. North American countries continue to be the dominant market for U.S. cotton textile exports. Shipments to North America totaled 187 million pounds and represented 87 percent of the March total. Mexico continues to be the leading market, receiving 42 percent of the regions total. Overall the textile trade deficit during the first 3 months of 2001 has increased slightly from a year earlier. For all fibers, the deficit through March 2001 is 1.94 billion pounds and the cotton trade deficit is 1.27 billion pounds. During 2001, cotton has accounted for 66 percent of the total deficit, also slightly higher than a year earlier. * * * * * U.S. COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000/01 ----------------------------- Item 1999/2000 Apr May Jun -------------------------------------------------------------------- Upland: Million acres Planted 14.584 15.365 15.347 15.347 Harvested 13.138 12.927 12.884 12.884 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 595 625 626 626 Million 480-lb bales Beginning stocks 3.836 3.672 3.672 3.672 Production 16.294 16.822 16.799 16.799 Total supply 1/ 20.183 20.504 20.476 20.476 Mill use 10.104 9.170 9.075 8.875 Exports 6.303 6.440 5.945 6.045 Total use 16.407 15.610 15.020 14.920 Ending stocks 3.672 4.912 5.421 5.521 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 22.4 31.5 36.1 37.0 Extra-long staple: 1,000 acres Planted 290 172 170 170 Harvested 287 171 169 169 Pounds Yield/harvested acre 1,128 1,119 1,105 1,105 1,000 480-lb bales Beginning stocks 103 250 250 250 Production 674 398 389 389 Total supply 1/ 821 668 649 649 Mill use 137 130 125 125 Exports 447 460 455 455 Total use 584 590 580 580 Ending stocks 250 88 79 79 Percent Stocks-to-use ratio 42.8 14.9 13.6 13.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. 1/ Includes imports. WORLD COTTON SUPPLY AND USE ESTIMATES -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000/01 ---------------------------- Item 1999/2000 Apr May Jun -------------------------------------------------------------------- Supply: Million 480-lb bales Beginning stocks World 44.96 41.00 41.10 41.22 Foreign 41.02 37.08 37.18 37.30 Production World 87.30 87.54 87.22 87.94 Foreign 70.34 70.32 70.04 70.75 Imports World 28.43 27.12 26.71 26.33 Foreign 28.33 27.09 26.69 26.31 Use: Mill use World 91.90 91.66 91.72 91.67 Foreign 81.66 82.36 82.52 82.67 Exports World 27.31 26.34 26.00 25.96 Foreign 20.56 19.44 19.60 19.46 Ending stocks World 41.22 37.51 37.12 37.66 Foreign 37.30 32.51 31.62 32.06 Stocks-to-use ratio Percent World 44.9 40.9 40.5 41.1 Foreign 45.7 39.5 38.3 38.8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on USDA estimates. FIBER SUPPLY -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 2000 -------------------------- Item Feb Mar Apr Apr -------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales Ginnings 131 0 0 0 Imports since August 1 7.7 8.8 NA 83.1 Stocks, beginning 13,585 12,423 10,938 9,826 At mills 449 463 481 502 Public storage 11,779 10,590 9,307 7,977 CCC stocks 2,939 3,007 2,929 510 Manmade: Million pounds Production 774.6 821.0 760.0 864.5 Noncellulosic 748.7 792.5 731.6 836.9 Cellulosic 25.9 28.5 28.4 27.6 Total since January 1 1,625.0 2,446.0 3,206.0 3,553.9 2001 2000 ------------------------- Jan Feb Mar Mar --------------------------------------------------------------------- Million pounds Raw fiber imports 123.4 107.6 124.6 147.3 Noncellulosic 120.3 103.4 120.8 141.4 Cellulosic 3.1 4.2 3.8 5.9 Total since January 1 123.4 231.0 355.6 436.1 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool imports, clean 4,948 4,322 4,273 4,570 48's-and-finer 2,435 2,265 1,869 3,197 Not-finer-than-46's 2,228 2,114 1,823 1,373 Total since January 1 4,948 9,270 13,543 17,046 Wool top imports 580 426 436 208 Total since January 1 580 1,006 1,442 1,215 Mohair imports, clean 0 0 0 0 Total since January 1 0 0 0 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- NA = Not available. COTTON SYSTEM FIBER CONSUMPTION -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 2000 ------------------------ Item Feb Mar Apr Apr --------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales All consumed by mills 1/ 680 765 693 811 Total since August 1 1/ 5,426 6,192 6,885 7,674 SA annual rate 2/ 8,655 8,714 8,343 10,288 SA daily rate 2/ 33.2 33.4 32.0 39.4 Daily rate 34.0 34.8 33.0 40.5 Upland consumed by mills 1/ 670 756 683 800 Total since August 1 1/ 5,352 6,108 6,791 7,572 SA daily rate 2/ 32.7 32.9 31.5 38.9 Daily rate 33.5 34.3 32.5 40.0 Spindles in place 4,023 3,927 3,885 4,552 Active spindles 3,760 3,676 3,608 4,359 100 percent cotton 2,026 2,017 1,983 2,356 100 percent manmade 596 599 591 684 Blends 1,138 1,061 1,034 1,319 Percent Cotton's share of fibers 78.3 78.5 78.4 77.9 Manmade: 1,000 pounds Total consumed by mills 1/ 90,528 100,581 91,484 110,433 Total since August 1 1/ 705,434 806,015 897,500 1,003,224 Daily rate 4,526 4,572 4,356 5,522 Noncellulosic staple 4,269 4,317 4,114 5,210 Cellulosic staple 257 255 242 312 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Adjusted to calendar month. 2/ SA = seasonally adjusted. FIBER EXPORTS -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 2000 ------------------------- Item Jan Feb Mar Mar -------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: 1,000 480-lb bales Upland exports 518 572 655 926 Total since August 1 2,464 3,036 3,692 3,812 Sales for next season 50 234 491 136 Total since August 1 309 543 1,034 581 ELS exports 46.0 41.5 65.0 52.1 Total since August 1 223.1 264.6 329.6 235.8 Sales for next season 11.6 13.2 6.7 22.8 Total since August 1 59.1 72.4 78.9 43.2 Manmade: Million pounds Raw fiber exports 83.1 83.2 90.0 106.3 Noncellulosic 74.7 75.7 84.4 100.1 Cellulosic 8.4 7.5 5.6 6.2 Total since January 1 83.1 166.3 256.3 284.9 Wool and Mohair: 1,000 pounds Raw wool exports, clean 511.0 247.9 528.4 434.5 Total since January 1 511.0 758.9 1,287.3 992.6 Wool top exports 166.9 731.5 857.7 628.3 Total since January 1 166.9 898.4 1,756.1 1,340.2 Mohair exports, clean 63.7 72.6 130.0 71.5 Total since January 1 63.7 136.3 266.3 337.8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FIBER PRICES -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 2000 -------------------------- Item Mar Apr May May -------------------------------------------------------------------- Cents per pound Domestic cotton prices: Adjusted World Price 41.49 37.61 36.77 46.85 Upland spot 41-34 47.22 42.19 40.02 58.31 Pima spot 03-46 96.95 96.50 96.09 84.74 Avg. price received by: Upland producers 43.20 43.50 43.10 47.60 Mill delivered: Cotton Actual 54.34 49.06 47.92 65.05 Raw fiber equivalent 60.38 54.51 53.24 71.17 Rayon staple Actual 99.00 99.00 99.00 97.00 Raw fiber equivalent 103.13 103.13 103.13 101.04 Polyester staple Actual 60.00 62.00 62.00 58.00 Raw fiber equivalent 62.50 64.58 64.58 60.42 Price ratios Percent Cotton/rayon 58.5 52.9 51.6 70.4 Cotton/polyester 96.6 84.4 82.4 117.8 Northern Europe cotton quotes: Cents per pound A Index 54.75 51.24 49.76 60.53 Memphis Territory 61.25 55.50 52.90 68.88 California/Arizona 58.70 54.06 52.15 68.63 B Index 52.05 48.74 47.36 54.96 Orleans/Texas 50.65 46.50 44.55 57.63 Wool prices (clean): Dollars per pound U.S. 56's 0.65 0.65 0.71 0.55 Australian 56's 1/ 1.33 1.32 1.36 1.30 U.S. 60's 0.79 0.96 1.07 0.80 Australian 60's 1/ 1.54 1.51 1.54 1.39 U.S. 64's 1.08 1.29 1.37 1.25 Australian 64's 1/ 1.64 1.58 1.64 1.56 -------------------------------------------------------------------- NQ = No quotes. NA = Not available. 1/ In bond, Charleston, SC. TEXTILE TRADE -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 2000 ---------------------------- Item Jan Feb Mar Mar ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Imports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 267,098 211,947 246,114 283,956 Cotton 115,533 89,093 109,248 123,753 Linen 21,630 23,378 17,482 29,957 Wool 3,069 2,521 3,258 4,916 Silk 1,019 725 882 1,028 Manmade 125,847 96,230 115,244 124,302 Apparel 751,712 674,307 745,356 707,131 Cotton 462,138 426,790 473,559 447,191 Linen 22,972 19,183 19,751 17,512 Wool 13,080 10,379 11,270 12,940 Silk 18,558 14,398 15,217 14,147 Manmade 234,964 203,557 225,559 315,341 House furnishings 76,199 63,559 66,731 70,289 Cotton 58,242 46,918 50,977 50,876 Linen 1,236 1,486 1,117 1,007 Wool 356 418 306 257 Silk 104 161 133 119 Manmade 16,261 14,576 14,198 18,030 Floor coverings 39,182 35,938 37,171 36,213 Cotton 4,761 4,312 4,293 4,687 Linen 6,971 5,714 6,225 5,257 Wool 11,876 11,007 10,075 10,683 Silk 692 691 946 779 Manmade 14,882 14,214 15,632 14,807 Total imports 2/ 1,143,125 993,233 1,103,689 1,105,516 Cotton 645,899 571,405 643,091 630,889 Linen 52,882 49,805 44,621 53,812 Wool 28,439 24,422 25,000 28,835 Silk 20,374 15,978 17,179 16,073 Manmade 395,531 331,624 373,797 375,906 Exports: 1,000 pounds 1/ Yarn, thread, and fabric 213,380 233,292 267,067 230,828 Cotton 85,520 100,900 110,523 90,978 Linen 5,696 5,449 6,489 6,900 Wool 4,366 3,580 4,303 6,397 Silk 2,549 2,695 3,350 2,413 Manmade 115,249 120,668 142,402 124,140 Apparel 144,633 156,466 172,369 189,811 Cotton 83,678 90,111 96,714 117,175 Linen 2,181 2,024 2,137 2,181 Wool 8,367 9,818 12,386 9,709 Silk 4,267 5,582 6,857 5,157 Manmade 45,140 48,931 54,275 55,589 House furnishings 5,703 7,090 7,314 7,261 Cotton 3,659 4,497 4,725 4,407 Linen 156 133 182 229 Wool 57 80 49 63 Silk 50 60 62 87 Manmade 1,781 2,320 2,296 2,475 Floor coverings 28,847 29,706 32,958 42,601 Cotton 2,383 2,454 2,857 3,390 Linen 1,325 1,320 1,609 1,844 Wool 2,546 2,872 2,658 4,953 Silk 41 55 74 69 Manmade 22,552 23,005 25,760 32,345 Total exports 2/ 391,749 426,849 480,001 470,776 Cotton 175,294 198,060 214,903 216,032 Linen 9,363 8,936 10,425 11,163 Wool 15,352 16,366 19,414 21,140 Silk 6,906 8,392 10,343 7,726 Manmade 184,834 195,095 224,916 214,715 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Includes headgear. Note: Data for 2001 are preliminary and subject to revision. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE IMPORTS -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 2000 ---------------------------- Item Jan Feb Mar Mar -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 219,799 245,880 285,153 276,846 Canada 21,372 21,932 24,749 23,423 Costa Rica 6,027 8,898 10,278 10,563 Dominican Republic 15,350 18,536 22,213 27,103 El Salvador 17,070 18,905 27,945 23,885 Guatemala 16,983 14,983 18,573 14,409 Haiti 2,741 3,506 4,275 4,525 Honduras 28,952 40,681 45,315 42,037 Jamaica 1,579 2,615 2,355 3,768 Mexico 104,067 110,201 123,093 122,354 Nicaragua 5,250 5,289 5,972 4,459 South America 14,778 13,569 15,211 15,754 Brazil 6,150 5,802 6,607 7,778 Chile 25 12 24 31 Colombia 3,800 3,742 4,239 3,801 Peru 4,236 3,299 3,646 3,560 Europe 46,107 37,330 45,387 43,690 Germany 775 823 1,180 1,598 Italy 4,740 3,625 4,482 4,362 Portugal 3,007 2,939 2,225 3,146 Russia 3,754 2,958 3,776 2,125 Spain 703 794 669 1,060 Turkey 21,285 17,230 23,376 21,720 United Kingdom 1,642 1,132 1,152 1,304 Uzbekistan 1,635 963 1,004 797 Asia 340,795 253,419 272,029 274,340 Bahrain 3,600 3,034 3,606 3,376 Bangladesh 26,144 19,763 20,288 21,406 Brunei 1,883 1,836 2,328 1,574 Burma 6,014 5,214 3,917 4,009 Cambodia 10,542 8,840 8,788 8,782 China 46,523 27,890 26,081 30,830 Hong Kong 35,194 19,811 22,268 20,558 India 33,257 27,022 31,818 35,543 Indonesia 19,012 12,317 14,671 12,599 Israel 4,427 3,840 3,732 4,048 Japan 1,652 1,407 1,260 1,498 Macao 7,472 3,820 3,893 3,624 Malaysia 6,479 5,422 5,400 7,246 Nepal 2,097 2,555 3,778 3,420 Oman 2,820 1,584 2,386 2,195 Pakistan 47,419 43,907 47,733 44,689 Philippines 13,932 9,838 11,045 11,587 Qatar 1,894 1,675 2,041 1,738 Singapore 3,832 1,804 1,983 1,711 South Korea 11,955 9,137 10,000 9,932 Sri Lanka 10,863 9,355 9,516 9,272 Taiwan 14,922 8,407 10,674 10,762 Thailand 15,202 12,654 13,176 14,903 U Arab Em 5,534 5,373 4,729 4,566 Vietnam 1,600 1,313 1,057 722 Oceania 3,121 2,515 3,150 1,877 Australia 1,591 1,360 2,068 575 Africa 21,300 18,692 22,161 13,382 Egypt 10,163 8,726 9,744 8,184 Lesotho 2,141 1,943 3,450 2,551 Mauritius 1,977 2,034 1,981 1,827 Morocco 1,165 1,292 1,591 1,314 South Africa 1,851 1,736 2,391 1,420 World 2/ 645,899 571,405 643,091 630,889 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. Note: Data for 2001 are preliminary and subject to revision. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE EXPORTS -------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 2000 --------------------------- Country Jan Feb Mar Mar ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 pounds 1/ North America 157,913 176,126 187,445 194,440 Bahamas 154 63 91 127 Belize 119 89 65 120 Canada 24,831 26,671 28,923 30,644 Costa Rica 6,384 7,302 7,336 8,995 Dominican Republic 13,247 15,163 17,527 19,716 El Salvador 9,436 13,467 13,509 12,008 Guatemala 4,608 5,325 6,471 3,020 Haiti 2,303 2,783 2,545 2,872 Honduras 23,837 27,274 28,762 26,093 Jamaica 2,021 2,028 2,257 2,578 Mexico 69,932 74,896 78,552 86,430 Nicaragua 602 539 544 1,275 Panama 170 229 439 213 South America 3,453 2,693 5,117 4,761 Argentina 46 94 115 140 Brazil 480 258 861 411 Chile 639 619 1,527 1,375 Colombia 1,304 834 1,396 1,357 Ecuador 123 47 133 185 Peru 42 47 62 45 Venezuela 689 604 862 1,104 Europe 6,685 11,363 13,483 8,193 Belgium 2,200 1,556 3,044 2,731 France 378 269 309 672 Germany 712 744 786 700 Ireland 116 140 144 98 Italy 231 337 361 268 Netherlands 783 5,892 6,125 491 Poland 6 39 92 115 Spain 61 109 276 159 Turkey 177 20 39 41 United Kingdom 1,409 1,569 1,360 2,214 Asia 6,318 6,760 7,565 7,594 China 226 429 381 345 Hong Kong 907 773 825 755 Israel 223 479 255 459 Japan 2,628 2,808 3,067 3,433 Malaysia 7 64 56 229 Philippines 240 151 175 221 Saudi Arabia 270 298 435 243 Singapore 250 184 290 301 South Korea 274 202 318 676 Sri Lanka 182 214 332 229 Taiwan 321 330 221 289 U Arab Em 126 188 124 163 Oceania 435 567 476 576 Australia 320 376 342 488 Africa 490 551 818 468 Ivory Coast 46 19 36 20 Morocco 127 225 91 164 Nigeria 33 72 121 49 South Africa 63 81 131 93 World 2/ 175,294 198,060 214,903 216,032 --------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Raw fiber equivalent. 2/ Totals may not add due to rounding. Note: Data for 2001 are preliminary and subject to revision. The next Cotton and Wool Outlook (CWS-0601) will be released on July 12, 2001. ****************************************************************************** Information Contacts: Leslie Meyer (U.S. Cotton and Textiles)LMEYER@ERS.USDA.GOV (202)694-5307 Stephen MacDonald (Foreign Cotton)STEPHENM@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5305 Robert Skinner (Textiles and Wool)RSKINNER@ERS.USDA.GOV (202) 694-5313 ****************************************************************************** END_OF_FILE