U.S. AGRICULTURAL TRADE UPDATE February 9, 1996 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- U.S. AGRICULTURAL TRADE UPDATE is published monthly by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20005-4788. FAU-0196. Subcriptions to the printed version of this update are available from the ERS- NASS order desk. Call, toll-free, 1-800-999-6779 and ask for stock #FAU, $20/year. ERS-NASS accepts MasterCard and Visa. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTE: Release of this report, scheduled for January 23, 1996, was delayed because of furloughs at the U.S. Department of Commerce, which provides data for this report. January-November Exports - U.S. agri-cultural exports for January-November 1995 were $50.5 billion, 24 percent higher than a year earlier, reflecting strong feed grain, soybean, animal product, and horticultural demand. During 1995, U.S. bulk commodity exports benefited from record 1994/95 production and high prices due to strong domestic and global demand. Heavy U.S. feed use and corn imports by China were key factors. High-value products gained on higher beef, poultry, horticultural, vegetable oil, hide, and fat exports. For the month of November, total agricultural exports were $5.2 billion, 12 percent higher than November 1994. Imports were steady at $2.6 billion, and the resulting agricultural trade surplus was almost $2.7 billion. Animal product exports gained broadly. Meats, about 40 percent of animal product exports, surged as year-to-date beef exports jumped 16 percent to $2.4 billion and poultry meats surged 29 percent to $1.8 billion. Strong demand for beef in the Pacific Rim countries (especially Japan) and rising poultry consumption in Russia were behind the increase. Dairy, fat and oil, and hide and skin exports totaled $3 billion, 22 percent over 1994. Year-to-date horticultural product exports gained 6 percent over this time last year, reaching $8.2 billion. Fruit export value rose slightly despite reduced volume. U.S. production of apples, peaches, and pears in 1995 was down, lowering January-November export volume. Shipments of fruit to Mexico fell, but demand for oranges, apples, grapes, and other fruits was strong in the Pacific Rim. Higher prices pushed year-to-date vegetable export value up 5 percent to $3.6 billion. Fresh vegetable shipments declined 6 percent in volume but value increased 6 percent. Celery and lettuce gained the most. Potatoes, destined for Japan, Korea, and Hong Kong, were the driving force behind a 27-percent increase in frozen vegetable export value. Year-to-date wheat exports totaled 29.6 million tons, compared with 27.7 million tons this time in 1994, up 7 percent. Value rose $1.3 billion to $4.9 billion. Egypt led buyers, taking 4.7 million tons, followed by China at 3.6 million tons. Japan was third with 2.6 million tons. In November, Egypt purchased 382,000 tons, Pakistan 348,000 tons, and Japan 219,000 tons, of 2.9 million tons shipped. January-November corn exports were 55.3 million tons, 82 percent greater than in 1994. Favorable world prices boosted value by 95 percent to $6.6 billion. Japan bought 14.7 million tons; Korea and Taiwan followed with 8.4 and 5.6 million tons, respectively. China's purchases reached 5.3 million tons. For November, corn exports totaled 5.1 million tons. Japan was the leading buyer, taking 1.5 million tons. Korea bought 530,000 tons. Soybean shipments for January-November totaled 20.3 million tons, 33 percent higher than last year. Value jumped 28 percent to $4.7 billion. The European Union (EU-15) was the leading buyer at 8.2 million tons, followed by Japan with 3.6 million, Taiwan at 2.3 million, and Mexico at 1.9 million tons. November purchases totaled 2.3 million tons, with the EU-15 taking 1.1 million tons, Japan 383,000 tons, and Taiwan 290,000 tons. Imports - January-November agricultural imports of $2.6 billion were 13 percent higher than the same period last year. Vegetable imports surged; fresh vegetable imports jumped 34 percent, mostly due to higher shipments from Mexico resulting from the peso devaluation, a drop in domestic Mexican demand, and a good supply of tomatoes from the Baja region. Imports of cucumbers, eggplants, squash, snap beans, and peppers from Mexico were also higher this year. Coffee and rubber volume and value were both above 1994 to date. (Tom Capehart, 202-219-1262) Record High-Value Product Exports in FY 1995 - High-value products (HVP's) did well in fiscal 1995, gaining 16 percent over fiscal 1994; a record $30.1 billion. Red meat exports to the Pacific Rim and frozen chicken to Russia, Hong Kong, and Japan contributed to HVP gains. Fresh vegetables to Canada and processed (primarily frozen) vegetables to Japan boosted the horticultural component of HVP exports. Strong demand for vegetable oil in China, hides and skins in East Asian markets, and feeds and fodders to the EU-15 all contributed to a surge in intermediate HVP exports. END-END-END