Economic Research Service U.S. Department of Agriculture Washington, D.C. 20005-4788 FEED OUTLOOK FDS-0195 United States Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board January 13, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS o Corn Production Estimate Raised Again o December 1 Corn Stocks Indicate Record First-Quarter Use o Changes in China's Trade Boost U.S. Corn Exports HIGHER ESTIMATE OF RECORD CORN CROP FURTHER BOOSTS SUPPLIES Total 1994 U.S. feed grain production is estimated at a record 285 million tons, up 53 percent from the previous year and 3 percent above the previous record of 1992/93. The estimate of corn production is up 1 percent this month to 10,1 billion bushels. Both area and yields are up. Corn yields are now estimated at a record 138.6 bushels per acre, compared with the previous forecast of 138.4. Larger harvested acreage mainly reflects less corn cut for silage than earlier expected. While area harvested for silage was the lowest in more than 40 years, silage production was up 8 percent from 1993. Sorghum production in 1994 is estimated at 655 million bushels, up 33 million from November, based on slightly higher area harvested and higher yields. Sorghum yields were adjusted up from 70.5 bushels per acre to a record 73 bushels. Conversely, the 1993 sorghum crop was revised down 34 million bushels to 534 million due to reduced acreage. Feed grain supplies in 1994/95 are estimated at 315 million tons, up 25 percent from last season. Corn accounts for virtually all of the gain. Hay production in 1994 is estimated at 150 million short tons, down from the previous forecast due to a downward revision in acreage, but up 2 percent from the year before. Downward revisions were also made in 1993 data for area and production. Even with lowered estimates of hay production, hay stocks on December 1, 1994, were estimated to be 104 million tons, up 4 percent from last year. ROBUST DEMAND TEMPERS DECLINE IN CORN PRICES The season average farm price for corn in 1994/95 is forecast at $2.00-$2.40 per bushel, down from $2.50 the year before. In December, midmonth farm prices averaged $2.08 per bushel, up 9 cents from the November price. Although corn supplies are up nearly 2.5 billion bushels, strong demand prospects are helping to support prices. The ratio of stocks to use is forecast at 17.8 percent in 1994/95, considerably below the 24.9 percent of the last record crop year, 1992/93. The season average farm price for sorghum is forecast at $1.85-$2.25 per bushel, a relatively high 93 percent of the corn price. This reflects the tightness in the sorghum market, with the strong pace of exports also contributing to strong prices. The barley farm price is forecast at $2.00-2.10 per bushel. Despite relatively weak feed barley prices, malting barley prices have been fairly strong, with the average premium in the five major malting barley States reported in December at 64 cents per bushel, compared with 50 cents in November. DECEMBER 1 CORN STOCKS INDICATE RECORD QUARTERLY USE Feed grain stocks on December 1, 1994 were estimated at 224.8 million metric tons, up 31 percent from last year, but down from the record 312.5 million in 1986/87. Stocks of corn in all positions on December 1 totaled 8.08 billion bushels, up 36 percent from last year and represent 91 percent of all feed grains. Sorghum stocks came in at 422 million bushels, down 5 percent from last year. Barley stocks were also down from last year, totaling 278.9 million bushels, compared with 333.4 million in 1993. Stocks of oats in all positions on December 1 were only down 1.7 million bushels from 1993 and totaled 192 million. Estimated total disappearance of corn for the September-November quarter is 2,873.7 million bushels, including record feed and residual disappearance. The preliminary estimate of feed and residual use is 2,003.8 million bushels, up 18 percent from the first quarter of 1993/94, when large carryin stocks allowed relatively large use. Year over year gains in use will remain strong in the remaining months, especially for exports, which were relatively low in September. For sorghum, first quarter use was 280 million bushels, a strong 40 percent of total supply, and up 7 percent from a year earlier. Feed and residual use was down 4 percent from the same quarter last year, but the decline was more than offset an increase in sorghum exports. During September-November 1994, grain sorghum exports are expected to total 60 to 65 million bushels, up from 39 million in 1993. Barley use in September-November 1994 totaled 85 million bushels, up from 80 million the year before. Total use represented 23 percent of estimated available supplies, up from 19 percent in 1993. Food, seed, and industrial use (FSI) is estimated to have taken the largest share at 38 million bushels, about the same as last year. Barley exports in September-November 1994 are estimated to have exceeded imports by 6 million bushels. In the second quarter of 1994/95, estimated oats use of 61 million bushels represented 24 percent of total available supplies, about the same as a year earlier. FOOD, SEED AND INDUSTRIAL USE OF CORN UP The forecast of food, seed and industrial uses (FSI) of corn in 1994/95 was raised 15 million bushels this month to 1,700 million, due to higher prospective use for sweetener production. In September-November 1994, FSI use was 410 million bushels, up 8 percent from last year. The major gains were in sweeteners and fuel alcohol with beverage and cereal uses about the same as last year. Corn used to make high fructose corn syrup in the first quarter totaled 104 million bushels, up 6 percent from 1993/94. Use was especially strong in the early part of the quarter, probably from use in soft drinks, the consumption of which was likely helped by the long, warm fall experienced in much of the country. Corn used to make glucose and dextrose in September- November totaled 59 million bushels, up 5 percent from 1993/94. Corn syrup is called for in many holiday recipes, especially candies, but the strong growth is likely tied to higher prices of sugar and the increased use of sweeteners in processed foods. Fuel alcohol production from corn in September-November was 134 million bushels up 20 percent from the same quarter in 1993/94. Alcohol stocks smaller in September 1994 than in 1993 and the increased production compensated for the lower stocks. Even so, fuel alcohol stocks at the end of the quarter were up from 1993, raising the possibility that the rate of increase may be slower over the remainder of the year. HIGHER FEED AND RESIDUAL USE FORECAST Forecast annual feed and residual use of each feed grain in 1994/95 is up this month, led by an increase of 150 million bushels for corn to a record 5,650 million bushels. Sorghum use is forecast 25 million bushels higher, barley 10 million higher, and oats 15 million higher. Feed and residual use of the four feed grains (corn, sorghum, barley, and oats) plus feed use of wheat in September 1994-August 1995 is expected to total 166 million tons, up 11 percent from 1993/94. The index of grain consuming animal units (GCAU) for 1994/95 is currently estimated at 85.5 million units, up from 84.3 in 1993/94. Feed and residual use in 1994/95 is thus estimated at 1.95 tons per GCAU, compared with 1.77 tons in 1993/94 and 1.9 tons in 1992/93. Gains in GCAU's occurred in the poultry and hog sectors, while declines in dairy cow number and cattle on feed reduced the index. Feed and residual use in September-November 1994 for wheat and the four feed grains totaled 56.3 million tons, up from 48.9 million in 1993. Corn accounted for 90 percent of total feed and residual use, up slightly from last year when corn represented 89 percent. The large corn crop in 1994 contributed to increased use for feed and residual purposes. The market inventory of pigs has been increasing as larger commercial units expanded hog numbers. However, hogs and pigs kept for breeding on December 1, 1994 were down 3 percent from a year earlier, and the number of sows that producers intended to farrow in December 1994-May 1995 was reported down 4 percent. These intentions, if carried through, would result in a smaller pig crop for December 1994-May 1995 and reduce feed needs late in the crop marketing year. Increasing poultry and egg production is expected to keep feed needs strong. Broiler producers have had relatively strong prices in 1994 and are expanding production. As a result, feed needs are expected to increase in 1994/95. Expansion in turkey and table egg production also is forecast up for the first half of 1995. Thus, feed demand will likely be up in 1994/95 from the year earlier. Dairy cow numbers are likely to continue their decline, but feed needs should remain strong due to expanding output per cow that will require higher protein and energy levels. CORN EXPORT FORECAST RAISED AGAIN U.S. corn exports continue to be supported by strong import demand and reduced competitor exports. U.S. corn exports are projected up 200 million bushels in January to 1,950 million bushels, the highest since 1989/90. In a unprecedented move in December, the Chinese government approved the import of corn. According to U.S. Export Sales, U.S. corn commitments to China were 2.1 million tons as of January 5, 1995. Total corn imports by China are projected at 3 million tons in 1994/95, up 2.8 million tons from last month's forecast, as the Chinese government attempts to rein in high domestic prices and encourage farmers to market their corn. This is the first time since 1989/90 that China has allowed corn imports and is the largest volume since 1978/79 when imports totaled slightly over 3 million tons. In addition, the forecast of China's corn exports was lowered 1 million tons this month to 4 million tons, which would be the lowest since 1989/90. The sharp drop in China's exports and rise in imports represents a net trade shift of 10.5 million tons from 1993/94, or about 400 million bushels, with the United States expected to pick up most of these gains. Adverse weather conditions in South Africa have led to lower crop prospects. Thus, the forecast of South Africa's corn exports is down 500,000 tons to 3.25 million. This is still high by historical levels, and up slightly from last year, because of large supplies available from last year's bumper crop. Despite concerns about this year's crop, South Africa has continued to sell corn at weekly tenders in recent weeks. The recent devaluation of the Mexican peso introduces uncertainty in the outlook for Mexico's agricultural imports. Pending further information on developments in its livestock and poultry industries, forecast imports of feed grains by Mexico were not changed this month. OATS IMPORT FORECAST RAISED, BARLEY REDUCED Forecast U.S. oat imports in 1994/95 are up 10 million bushels this month to 100 million bushels, slightly below last year's 107 million. Oats imports during June-October were 13 percent higher than in 1993/94. Oats from Canada, helped by the weaker Canadian dollar, accounted for nearly 70 percent of imports to date. Forecast U.S. barley imports are reduced 5 million bushels to 60 million, reflecting some slowing in the import pace. TRANSPORTATION DEMAND UP SHARPLY The 14-percent increase in projected use of grains and soybeans from 1993/94 will sharply boost demand for all transportation. Much of the projected increase in domestic use stems from corn, up 26.9 million metric tons. Much of this increased volume is expected to move by truck, but increased demand for rail service is also likely. Under normal circumstances, most of the projected increase in corn exports, 15.8 million metric tons, would move by barge. This year, however, barge shipments through December have lagged 1993/94 by about 20 percent. Icy conditions on the upper Mississippi River typically hold grain traffic to below 2 million short tons per month during January and February. Despite this year's large demand, grain volume in these two months is unlikely to exceed 2.2 million short tons. As a result, railroads are likely to experience a very sharp increase in demand from December's 27,900 cars per week. Car loadings above 31,000 cars per week are expected for the remainder of the crop year. Railroads are capable of loading as many as 34,000 grain cars per week, but will be taxed to provide sustained service at the level now expected. ****************************************************************************** * Information Contacts: * * * * Pete Riley (202) 501-8512 T.Q. Hutchinson (202) 219-0353 * * Allen Baker (202) 219-0839 Nancy Morgan (202) 501-8511 * * * * The next Feed Outlook will be released February 13, 1995. * ****************************************************************************** Table 1--Feed Grains: Marketing year supply and disappearance 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year/ Beg. Produc- Im- Supply FSI Feed & Ex- Total End. Farm Qtr. stocks tion ports resid. ports disp. stks. price ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CORN -------------------------Million bushels--------------------- $/bu 1992/93 Sep-Nov 1,100 9,477 1 10,578 360 1,825 488 2,672 7,906 2.04 Dec-Feb 7,906 --- 1 7,907 350 1,416 463 2,229 5,678 2.00 Mar-May 5,678 --- 2 5,680 403 1,157 411 1,971 3,709 2.13 Jun-Aug 3,709 --- 3 3,712 399 899 301 1,599 2,113 2.19 Mkt. yr. 1,100 9,477 7 10,584 1,511 5,296 1,663 8,471 2,113 2.07 1993/94 Sep-Nov 2,113 6,336 5 8,455 378 1,705 435 2,518 5,937 2.34 Dec-Feb 5,937 --- 8 5,945 371 1,248 330 1,949 3,996 2.71 Mar-May 3,996 --- 6 4,002 419 954 270 1,642 2,360 2.67 Jun-Aug 2,360 --- 1 2,361 420 798 293 1,511 850 2.29 Mkt. yr. 2,113 6,336 21 8,470 1,588 4,704 1,328 7,620 850 2.50 1994/95 Sep-Nov 2/ 850 10,103 1 10,954 410 2,004 460 2,874 8,081 2.01 Mkt. yr. 850 10,103 5 10,958 1,700 5,650 1,950 9,300 1,658 2.00-2.40 SORGHUM 1992/93 Sep-Nov 53 875 0 928 2 266 56 324 604 1.85 Dec-Feb 604 --- 0 604 1 67 101 170 434 1.86 Mar-May 434 --- 0 434 3 80 87 170 265 1.89 Jun-Aug 265 --- 0 265 2 56 32 90 175 2.07 Mkt. yr. 53 875 0 928 8 469 277 753 175 1.89 1993/94 Sep-Nov 175 534 0 709 2 222 39 263 446 2.22 Dec-Feb 446 --- 0 446 2 108 60 170 276 2.59 Mar-May 276 --- 0 276 3 82 64 148 128 2.37 Jun-Aug 128 --- 0 128 2 41 38 81 48 2.11 Mkt. yr. 175 534 0 709 8 453 202 662 48 2.31 1994/95 Sep-Nov 2/ 48 655 0 703 2 214 65 280 422 1.95 Mkt. yr. 48 655 0 703 8 400 220 628 75 1.85-2.25 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table 1--Feed Grains: Marketing year supply and disappearance, (cont.) 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year/ Beg. Produc- Im- Supply FSI Feed & Ex- Total End. Farm Qtr. stocks tion ports resid. ports disp. stks. price ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BARLEY -----------------------Million bushels--------------------- $/bu 1992/93 Jun-Aug 129 455 7 590 43 110 18 172 418 2.16 Sep-Nov 418 --- 2 420 37 14 22 73 347 1.92 Dec-Feb 347 --- 1 348 37 45 22 104 244 2.01 Mar-May 244 --- 2 246 54 23 18 95 151 2.02 Mkt. yr. 129 455 11 595 171 192 80 444 151 2.04 1993/94 Jun-Aug 151 398 3 552 43 92 15 150 403 1.95 Sep-Nov 403 --- 11 413 38 27 15 80 333 1.99 Dec-Feb 333 --- 24 357 38 83 12 133 224 2.05 Mar-May 224 --- 34 258 56 40 24 119 139 2.11 Mkt. yr. 151 398 71 621 175 241 66 482 139 1.99 1994/95 Jun-Aug 139 375 24 538 43 122 20 186 352 2.06 Sep-Nov 2/ 352 --- 12 364 38 29 18 85 279 2.03 Mkt. yr. 139 375 60 574 175 225 60 460 114 2.00-2.10 OATS 1992/93 Jun-Aug 128 294 15 437 31 111 1.0 142 295 1.29 Sep-Nov 295 --- 12 307 29 33 2.1 64 242 1.30 Dec-Feb 242 --- 11 253 27 50 1.4 78 175 1.40 Mar-May 175 --- 17 192 39 39 1.3 79 113 1.46 Mkt. yr. 128 294 55 477 125 233 5.7 364 113 1.32 1993/94 Jun-Aug 113 207 17 337 32 84 1.5 118 219 1.35 Sep-Nov 219 --- 35 254 30 30 0.7 60 194 1.33 Dec-Feb 194 --- 31 225 27 51 0.5 79 147 1.42 Mar-May 147 --- 24 170 36 28 0.2 65 106 1.40 Mkt. yr. 113 207 107 427 125 193 3.0 321 106 1.36 1994/95 Jun-Aug 106 230 20 356 32 104 0.2 136 220 1.20 Sep-Nov 2/ 220 --- 33 253 30 31 0.3 61 192 1.19 Mkt. yr. 106 230 100 435 125 200 1.0 326 109 1.15-1.25 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Corn and sorghum are on a September 1 to August 31 marketing year. Barley and oats are on a June 1 to May 31 marketing year. 2/ Trade data estimated for November. Final data could lead to adjustments in other categories. Table 2--Feed and residual use of wheat and coarse grains ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Feed Total Animal Feed/ Beginning Corn Sorg. Barley Oats Grains Wheat grains Units animal September 1 unit ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------Million ---------------------- Mil. Tons 1992/93 Sep-Nov 46.3 6.8 0.3 0.5 53.9 -2.2 51.7 Dec-Feb 36.0 1.7 1.0 0.7 39.4 0.1 39.5 Mar-May 29.4 2.0 0.5 0.6 32.5 -2.0 30.4 Jun-Aug 22.8 1.4 2.0 1.2 27.5 8.1 35.5 Mkt. yr. 134.5 11.9 3.8 3.0 153.2 3.9 157.1 82.9 1.90 % Change 8.6 25.3 -23.4 -7.9 8.2 -37.2 6.3 2.2 3.96 1993/94 Sep-Nov 43.3 5.6 0.6 0.4 50.0 -1.0 48.9 Dec-Feb 31.7 2.7 1.8 0.7 37.0 1.1 38.1 Mar-May 24.2 2.1 0.9 0.4 27.6 -0.6 26.9 Jun-Aug 20.3 1.0 2.7 1.5 25.5 10.3 35.7 Mkt. yr. 119.5 11.5 5.9 3.1 140.0 9.7 149.6 84.4 1.77 % Change -11.2 -3.4 56.4 3.0 -8.6 145.3 -4.8 1.7 -6.4 1994/95 Sep-Nov 50.9 5.4 0.6 0.4 57.4 -1.1 56.3 Mkt. yr. 143.5 10.2 4.63 2.9 161.2 4.72 165.9 85.5 1.95 % Change 20.1 -11.6 -21.7 -5.4 15.2 -51.2 10.9 1.1 9.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Table 3--Grain shipments, rail rates, and diesel prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1992/93 ---------1993/94---------- ----1994/95---- Mkt. Yr. Mkt. Yr. Sep-Nov November November Sep-Nov ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Barge shipments 1/ 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.0 3.6 2.8 (Million ton/month) Railcar loadings 2/ 28.1 25.4 28.1 28.1 29.5 28.6 (1,000 cars/week) Rail rate index 3/ 113.8 115.2 115.3 116.0 116.7 116.1 (Dec 1984 = 100) Diesel price /4 1.15 1.15 1.20 1.24 1.13 1.12 ($/gallon) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Illinois & Mississippi rivers. Includes soybeans and all grains. Source: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers 2/ Includes soybeans and all grains. Source: Association of American Railroads. 3/ Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 4/ Source: Interstate Commerce Commission (Through May 1994) Table 4--Cash feed grain prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corn, Corn, Sorghum, Sorghum, Barley, Barley, Oats, No. 2, No. 2, No. 2, No. 2, No. 2, No. 3 or No. 2, Yel, Yel, Yel, Yel, feed, better, Heavy Ctrl. Gulf Texas Gulf Duluth Malting, white, IL ports high pl. ports Minn. Minn. 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Mkt. yr. $/bu $/bu $/cwt $/cwt $/bu $/bu $/bu 1992/93 2.12 2.46 4.02 4.27 2.11 2.37 1.58 1993/94 2.55 2.85 4.95 4.91 2.05 2.48 1.55 Monthly 1993 Aug 2.25 2.55 4.46 4.41 1.89 2.27 1.63 Sep 2.20 2.55 4.43 4.40 1.89 2.18 1.66 Oct 2.27 2.68 4.63 4.55 2.01 2.26 1.51 Nov 2.63 2.94 5.18 5.15 2.16 2.48 1.56 1994 Aug 2.13 2.44 4.46 4.41 1.99 2.46 1.44 Sep 2.08 2.48 4.41 4.16 2.04 2.57 1.44 Oct 1.92 2.44 4.25 4.19 1.95 2.81 1.44 Nov. 2.04 2.43 4.33 4.42 2.04 2.90 1.41 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Reporting point changed from Texas High Plains to South Panhandle starting January 1991. Table 5--Selected feed and feed by-product prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Soybean Cotton- Corn Corn Meat & Dists.' Wheat Alfalfa meal seed gluten gluten bone dried midlgs, farm 44% slv. meal, feed, meal, meal, grains, Kansas price Decatur, 41% slv. IL IL Kansas Lawrence- City IL Memphis pts. pts. City burg, IN 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------$/ton--------------------------------- Mkt. yr. 1992/93 180.80 159.22 95.95 284.60 220.93 122.84 69.69 86.90 1993/94 181.82 168.36 88.62 286.61 206.81 123.79 81.51 103.00 Monthly 1993 Aug 206.90 178.50 83.50 314.50 231.50 NQ 64.50 81.70 Sep 186.50 193.75 82.50 305.60 218.10 120.00 84.25 84.40 Oct 180.60 173.10 80.90 296.20 205.80 121.25 78.50 88.00 Nov 195.70 181.00 85.30 305.75 219.25 127.00 91.00 89.90 1994 Aug 165.60 144.50 91.50 252.30 182.00 NQ 72.70 90.00 Sep 162.50 145.00 90.40 235.60 188.75 120.00 73.10 89.80 Oct 156.40 134.40 89.25 226.90 184.60 121.25 69.00 92.30 Nov 150.90 120.50 86.85 232.50 172.70 124.00 67.90 92.60 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Reporting point changed from Kansas City to Central U.S. starting December 1 Table 6--Corn: Food, alcohol, and industrial uses ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HFCS Glucose & Starch ---Alcohol--- Cereal Total dextrose Fuel Bev. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ million bushels 1992/93 Sep-Nov 92.3 54.5 58.8 104.4 20.7 29.2 359.8 Dec-Feb 88.4 47.2 57.7 107.5 20.5 28.9 350.1 Mar-May 110.4 55.1 59.3 110.9 21.2 29.6 386.5 Jun-Aug 123.0 57.7 62.2 102.8 21.0 29.6 396.3 Mkt. Yr. 414.0 214.5 238.0 425.5 83.3 117.3 1,492.7 1993/94 Sep-Nov 98.2 55.8 61.7 112.2 20.7 29.4 378.1 Dec-Feb 95.0 49.6 57.6 119.3 20.5 29.1 371.1 Mar-May 117.7 56.8 61.6 112.4 20.9 29.7 399.2 Jun-Aug 131.3 60.9 62.7 114.3 20.9 29.7 419.7 Mkt. Yr. 442.2 223.1 243.5 458.3 83.0 118.0 1568.1 1994/95 Sep-Nov 104.2 58.8 62.6 134.5 20.7 29.2 409.9 Mkt. Yr. 465.0 230.0 250.0 535.0 83.0 117.0 1680.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Totals may not add due to rounding. Table 7--Wholesale corn milling product and by-product prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corn meal, Brewers' Sugar, HFCS, 42% Corn yellow, grits, destrose, tank cars, starch, New York Chicago Midwest Midwest fob Midwest ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ $/cwt $/cwt cents/lb cents/lb $/cwt Mkt. yr. 1991/92 13.51 9.90 24.50 15.23 11.03 1992/93 13.39 9.68 24.50 13.30 10.70 1993/94 14.49 10.98 25.44 14.63 12.61 Monthly 1993 Sep 13.80 10.00 24.50 15.02 11.36 Oct 14.33 10.58 24.50 15.02 11.36 Nov 14.97 11.22 24.50 12.99 11.56 Dec 15.28 11.53 24.50 12.85 12.46 1994 Sep 12.94 10.39 26.00 15.85 11.69 Oct 12.93 10.38 26.00 12.80 11.78 Nov 12.92 10.37 25.88 12.80 11.39 Dec 1/ 12.94 10.39 25.50 11.87 11.54 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Preliminary. Table 8--U.S. feed grain exports by selected destinations 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Country/region ------1992/93------ ------1993/94------ 1994/95 Mkt. yr. Sep-Oct Mkt. yr. Sep-Oct Sep-Oct ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CORN --------------------Thousand tons--------------------- Japan 14,138 2,281 12,214 2,559 2,135 Taiwan 5,333 1,058 5,077 1,020 718 Former USSR 4,721 372 2,909 1,423 33 South Africa 2,354 823 12 11 0 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,955 1,745 394 82 94 EU 1,378 138 1,765 68 59 Egypt 1,397 221 1,553 436 327 Canada 1,247 181 603 95 151 East Europe 1,103 33 48 0 30 Algeria 1,076 48 1,176 172 328 S. Korea 991 61 508 35 693 Mexico 506 193 1,468 65 587 Others 3,951 288 9,463 1,401 1,315 Total 42,150 7,440 37,191 7,366 6,472 SORGHUM Mexico 4,147 531 2,942 268 571 Japan 1,922 352 1,640 373 445 Others 809 205 948 74 71 Total 6,878 1,089 5,530 715 1,087 ---------------------------------------------------------- ------1992/93------ ------1993/94------ 1994/95 Mkt. yr. Jun-Oct Mkt. yr. Jun-Oct Jun-Oct BARLEY ---------------------------------------------------------- Saudi Arabia 579 335 344 5 0 Israel 263 73 335 160 237 Jordan 195 96 205 151 51 Others 711 73 550 207 311 Total 1,748 577 1,433 523 600 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Totals may not add due to rounding. Source: Bureau of the Census Table 9--U.S. oats imports by country of origin ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Country/region ------1992/93------ ------1993/94------ 1994/95 Mkt. yr. Jun-Oct Mkt. yr. Jun-Oct Jun-Oct ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Canada 625 166 1,011 419 255 Finland 119 23 526 227 71 Sweden 116 116 303 0 26 Other 87 65 0 (0) 383 Total 947 371 1,840 645 735 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Totals may not add due to rounding. Source: Bureau of the Census +---------------------------------------------------------------+ | JIM HORSFIELD, CHIEF, RESEARCH SUPPORT & TRAINING BRANCH | |INFORMATION SERVICES DIVISION, ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE, USDA | | ROOM 724, 1301 N.Y. AVE, NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20005-4788 | | VOICE: 202-219-0698, FAX: 202-219-0044, BITNET: JIMH@ERS | +---------------------------------------------------------------+