FEED OUTLOOK August 15, 2000 August 2000 FDS-0800 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FEED OUTLOOK is issued 11 times a year by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036-5831. Electronic release only; no published copies are available. FEED OUTLOOK is supplemented by an annual FEED YEARBOOK. The yearbook summary for 2000 was released on April 24, 2000. Yearbooks are available in print from ERS-NASS Order Desk. For the 2000 issue, call 1-800-999-6779 (703-605-6220) and ask for stock #ERS-FDS-2000, $21. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS o 2000 Corn Production Raised from Last Month, Prices Weaken o All the Other Feed Grains Production Estimates Raised from Last Month o Global 2000/01 Coarse Grain Production Up Slightly o U.S. Corn Export Forecasts Boosted for 1999/2000 and 2000/01 o China's Corn Consumption and Stocks Revised Back to 1995/96 FEED GRAIN SUPPLY LARGEST SINCE 1987/1988 U.S. feed grain production in 2000 is forecast at 287 million metric tons, up about 9 million from a month ago and up 24 million from 1999. This reflects adjustments for each of the feed grains. Feed grain supply in 2000/01 is forecast at 340 million tons, up 3 percent from last month, and 7 percent above 1999/2000. Forecast beginning stocks are down slightly from last month, down 1 percent from the previous year. Total feed grain use is projected at 274 million tons in 2000/01, up 3 percent from the previous year. Domestic use of 214 million tons will top the record 211 million expected in 1999/2000. Feed and residual use in 2000/01 is expected to total 158 million metric tons and account for 57 percent of total use. When converted to a September-August marketing year, feed and residual use for the four feed grains plus wheat in 2000/01 is projected to total 164 million tons, up 1 percent from last month and essentially the same as in 1999/2000. Corn is estimated to account for 88 percent of the feed and residual use in 2000/01, up from 87 percent in 1999/2000. The projected index of grain consuming animal units (GCAU) for 2000/01 was raised this month and is essentially the same as 1999/2000's 89.3 million units. A projected increase in beef production caused the increase in GCAU's. The grain used per GCAU in 2000/01 would be 1.84 tons, unchanged from last month and also the same as in 1999/2000. RECORD CORN CROP FORECAST Corn production in 2000 is forecast at a record 10.369 billion bushels, up 356 million from last month and 932 million above last year. This is the first survey-based forecast of the season and it reflects August 1 conditions. The average corn yield is forecast at a record 141.9 bushels per acre, compared with last month's trend-adjusted projection of 137 bushels and the actual 1999 yield of 133.8 bushels. The August 1 survey data indicate record level stalk and ear counts for the combined seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). Estimated acreage of corn harvested for grain was cut 29,000 acres this month to 73,059 million, but is up 4 percent from 1999. This would be the largest grain harvested acreage since 1985. In spite of cooler-than-normal temperatures in the eastern corn belt, the crop continues well ahead of normal. As of July 30, 90 percent of the corn was in the silking stage or beyond, compared with 72 percent for the 5-year average. Twenty-six percent of the acreage was in the dough stage or beyond, compared with the average of 13 percent. With a record 2000 production expected and record use only partially offsetting these gains, projected ending stocks increased 207 million bushels from last month and is the highest since 1987/88. Forecast corn use was increased 125 million bushels from last month's forecast and is up 340 million bushels from the estimate for 1999/2000. Total use in 1999/2000 was raised this month by 25 million bushels because of expected increased exports. With increased corn supplies in 2000/01 and higher ending stocks, prices were reduced. The forecast price for 2000/01 is $1.45-$1.85 per bushel, down from last month's $1.50-$1.90. In 1999/2000, the season average price received by farmers is expected to be $1.80. SORGHUM CROP TO DECLINE FROM LAST YEAR The first survey-based forecast for sorghum indicates production of 578 million bushels in 2000, up 14 million from last month but down 17 million from last year. Plantings rose 200,000 acres from the July estimate and harvested acres increased 210,000, as Texas producers planted land abandoned from cotton. Yields in 2000 are forecast at 69.5 bushels per acre, the same as the earlier projection (based on a simple linear trend fit over 1960-98), and down from the 69.7 bushels in 1999. Given larger sorghum supplies, projected feed and residual use is up 15 million bushels from last month, and ending stocks are down 1 million. In the 1999/2000 marketing year, prices received by farmers for sorghum have averaged 88 percent of the corn price, up from 86 percent in 1998/99. The stronger prices have been in response to increased exports. Projected prices for 1999/2000 are $1.55 per bushel. The forecast price for sorghum in 2000/01 is $1.20-$1.60, approximately 86 percent of the corn price. BARLEY PRODUCTION DECLINES Barley production for 2000 is forecast at 308 million bushels, up 745,000 bushels from a month ago and up 9 percent from 1999. Yields are expected to average 58.8 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushel from the July forecast but down 0.4 bushels from last year. Total barley use in 2000/01 is projected up 1 percent from last month and up 8 million bushels from last year because of an expected increase in exports. The 2000/01 barley export projection was raised this month to 30 million bushels because of tight world supplies. Prices received by farmers for barley in 2000/01 are expected to average $1.65-$2.05 per bushel, vs. the expected $2.15 in 1999/2000. The barley to corn price ratio in 2000/01 is expected to range between 111 percent to 114 percent, down from the expected 119 percent in 1999/2000 but up from the 102 percent barley to corn ratio in 1998/99. OATS PRODUCTION INCREASES The 2000 oats crop is forecast at 153 million bushels, up 1.365 million from the July forecast, and up 4 percent from 1999. The forecast yield, at 62.3 bushels per acre, is up 1.1 bushels from last month and up 2.7 bushels from last year. If realized, this would be the third highest yield on record. Area for harvest dropped to 2.45 million acres, 20,000 acres below last month's estimate due to increased abandonment in Nebraska. The increased production raised total supplies and ending stocks of oats. Prices received by farmers in 2000/01 are expected to average between $0.95 and $1.35 per bushel, compared with the $1.10 expected in 1999/2000. ALL HAY PRODUCTION TO INCREASE All hay production in 2000 is forecast at 153 million tons, down 6 million from 1999. The all hay yield is expected to be 2.46 tons per acre, down 2 percent from last year. Acreage harvested of all hay was increased this month by 10,000 acres to 62.2 million, 2 percent lower than 1999. Alfalfa hay production, at 78.8 million tons, decreased 6 percent from 1999. Improved conditions east of the Mississippi River have greatly increased production in that area, especially in Pennsylvania and Virginia. Other hay production is forecast at 74.5 million tons, down 1 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 1.94 tons per acre, up from 1.92 in 1999. Although harvested area, at 38.4 million acres, is down 2 percent from last year, it is still the second largest since 1962. Roughage consuming animal units (RCAUs) in 2000/01 are estimated to be down 1 percent from 1999/2000. With hay production and beginning stocks also down, hay supply per RCAU was 2.51 tons, the same as in 1999/2000. Prices received by farmers for all hay averaged $84.03 per ton in May-July 2000, down from $84.23 in 1999. Alfalfa hay prices in May-July 2000 averaged $88.03 per ton, up from $87.87 in 1999. Prices received by farmers for hay other than alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures averaged $69.60 per ton during May-July 2000, up from $67.97 in 1999. GLOBAL 2000/01 COARSE GRAIN PRODUCTION UP SLIGHTLY, CHINA DROP ALMOST OFFSETS U.S. INCREASE World coarse grain production in 2000/01 is projected to reach nearly 890 million tons, up more than 1 million from a month ago. While a record corn crop is boosting U.S. production 9 million tons, China's production is down 8 million because of hot dry conditions in the Northeast. Other changes were larger crops in Brazil and the former Soviet Union, while forecast production declined in Eastern Europe, the European Union (EU), and Canada. Global corn production increased almost 3 million tons this month to 613 million, boosted by a 9-million-ton increase in the United States, and increases of 1 million for Brazil and India. In Brazil, the second season corn crop for 1999/2000 was reduced because of freeze damage, but this has boosted corn prices, which is expected to boost corn area for 2000/01. India's high tariffs are maintaining strong corn prices, so in 2000/01, India is expected to grow more corn and less other coarse grains than previously forecast. These changes more than offset the 7-million-ton drop in China and and a 0.5-million-ton decline in Canada because of cold wet growing conditions in Ontario. World barley production is projected up 0.5 million tons this month to 133 million. Increased production reported for Ukraine and favorable growing conditions in Kazakstan boosted former Soviet Union production by almost 1 million tons, more than offsetting slight reductions in Eastern Europe and the EU. Global sorghum production is forecast down this month at 60 million tons. A 1-million-ton drop in China, where sorghum production is concentrated in Lioaning, the province hit worst by the drought, more than offset the U.S. increase. World rye production is forecast down 0.5 million tons this month mostly because of reduced prospects in Poland. A small decline is also projected for oats because of wet conditions in the EU. AUGUST CHANGES TO THE CHINA CORN SUPPLY AND DEMAND ----------------------------------------------------------------- 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/01 ----------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 metric tons PRODUCTION 112,000 127,470 104,300 132,954 128,080 122,000 NEW 115,000 IMPORTS 1,476 75 287 262 250 250 NEW 150 150 EXPORTS 168 3,892 6,173 3,340 9,000 5,000 NEW 4,000 FEED USE 80,000 86,000 91,000 93,020 95,000 98,000 NEW 78,000 82,000 86,000 87,000 90,000 93,000 TOT.DOM.USE 106,108 113,353 117,414 117,260 119,950 123,000 NEW 104,100 109,400 113,400 114,300 116,950 120,000 END STOCK 34,700 45,000 26,000 38,616 37,996 32,246 NEW 36,708 50,961 35,975 51,551 53,831 44,981 ----------------------------------------------------------------- CHINA'S CORN CONSUMPTION AND STOCKS REVISED BACK TO 1995/96 China's 2000/01 ending stocks of corn are up 13 million tons from last month because of historical revisions in stocks and use estimates. While China has not published official grain stocks data, China's corn stocks for the period 1995/96 through 2000/01 have been raised significantly from last month based on statements by various Chinese officials. Also, price levels in China indicate stocks are not as tight as would have been shown, using last month's stocks estimate and this month's reduced production. Historical production and trade numbers are official Chinese data and were not revised this month, but United States Department of Agriculture's estimates of use have been reduced and stocks have been raised correspondingly. The revisions in use slow the growth in China's corn feed use from 1995/96 to 2000/01. However, even after the reduction, the growth in corn feed use is still strong, averaging 3.9 percent per year during the period. In 1998/99 corn feed growth slowed as pig prices in China plummetted, but since then growth has rebounded. Although China's 2000/01 corn ending stocks projection is up sharply from last month's forecast, the year-to-year decline in stocks is still dramatic, to 45 million tons, from 54 million a year earlier. However, with forecast stocks equal to more than 37 percent of total domestic use, it is reasonable that the price response to the lower production is muted. China's prospective corn exports for 2000/01 were reduced 1 million tons this month to 4 million, while expected 1999/2000 exports were unchanged at 9 million. Lower U.S. prices in 2000/01 will limit China's corn exports. U.S. CORN EXPORT FORECASTS BOOSTED FOR 1999/2000 AND 2000/01 The 1999/2000 U.S. corn export forecast was raised 0.5 million tons to 47 million for the October/September international marketing year (up 25 million bushels to 1.9 billion for September/August). The pace of recent sales has been stronger than expected. According to U.S. Export Sales, as of August 3, 2000, shipments were down by more than 1 million tons, but outstanding sales (including to unknown destinations) were up slightly from a year earlier. The 2000/01 U.S. corn export projection increased 1.5 million tons this month to 53.5 million, the largest in 5 years. Record U.S. production and lower U.S. prices are expected to reduce exports from China (down 1 million tons) and Argentina (down 0.5 million). Forecast global 2000/01 corn imports declined slightly this month mostly because increased production prospects in Brazil are expected to reduce imports. ***************************************************************************** * Information Contacts: Allen Baker (202) 694-5290 * * International: Edward Allen (202) 694-5288 * * Data Coordinator: Jenny Gonzales (202) 694-5296 * * The next Feed Outlook will be released September 14, 2000. * ***************************************************************************** Table 1--Feed Grains: Marketing year supply and disappearance 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year/ Beg. Produc- Im- Supply FSI Feed & Ex- Total End. Farm Qtr. stocks tion ports resid. ports disp. stks. price ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CORN ------------------------Million bushels--------------------- $/bu 1998/99 Sep-Nov 1,308 9,759 4 11,071 450 2,118 450 3,019 8,052 1.90 Dec-Feb 8,052 --- 6 8,058 434 1,460 465 2,359 5,698 2.04 Mar-May 5,698 --- 7 5,706 495 1,097 497 2,089 3,616 2.04 Jun-Aug 3,616 --- 2 3,618 468 795 568 1,831 1,787 1.80 Mkt. yr.1,308 9,759 19 11,085 1,846 5,471 1,981 9,298 1,787 1.94 1999/00 Sep-Nov 1,787 9,437 4 11,228 459 2,210 534 3,203 8,025 1.71 Dec-Feb 8,025 --- 3 8,028 447 1,511 468 2,426 5,602 1.90 Mar-May 5,602 --- 6 5,607 512 1,058 451 2,021 3,587 2.04 Mkt. yr.1,787 9,437 15 11,239 1,920 5,625 1,900 9,445 1,794 1.80 2000/01 Mkt. yr.1,794 10,369 10 12,174 1,960 5,700 2,125 9,785 2,389 1.45-1.85 SORGHUM 1998/99 Sep-Nov 49 520 0 569 15 178 41 234 335 1.67 Dec-Feb 335 --- 0 335 15 34 64 113 222 1.69 Mar-May 222 --- 0 222 10 45 51 106 116 1.73 Jun-Aug 116 --- 0 116 6 5 41 51 65 1.60 Mkt. yr. 49 520 0 569 45 262 197 504 65 1.66 1999/00 Sep-Nov 65 595 0 660 18 229 65 312 348 1.45 Dec-Feb 348 --- 0 348 18 28 77 123 226 1.58 Mar-May 226 --- 0 226 13 22 64 99 127 1.81 Mkt. yr. 65 595 0 660 55 290 250 595 65 1.55 2000/01 Mkt. yr. 65 578 0 643 55 275 240 570 73 1.20-1.60 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Table 1--Feed Grains: Marketing year supply and disappearance, (cont.) 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year/ Beg. Produc- Im- Supply FSI Feed & Ex- Total End. Farm Qtr. stocks tion ports resid. ports disp. stks. price ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ BARLEY ----------------------Million bushels--------------------- $/bu 1998/99 Jun-Aug 119 352 7 479 44 101 8 152 326 2.03 Sep-Nov 326 --- 7 333 39 16 8 63 271 1.97 Dec-Feb 271 --- 6 277 37 32 7 76 201 1.89 Mar-May 201 --- 9 210 51 12 5 68 142 1.85 Mkt. yr. 119 352 30 501 170 161 28 360 142 1.98 1999/00 Jun-Aug 142 282 6 429 44 81 9 134 295 2.13 Sep-Nov 295 --- 5 300 39 22 10 71 229 2.04 Dec-Feb 229 --- 9 239 37 24 7 68 170 2.14 Mar-May 170 --- 7 178 52 10 4 66 112 2.15 Mkt. yr. 142 282 28 451 172 137 30 339 112 2.15 2000/01 Mkt. yr. 112 308 30 450 172 145 30 347 103 1.65-2.05 OATS 1998/99 Jun-Aug 74 166 28 268 17 89 0.5 106 162 1.15 Sep-Nov 162 --- 36 198 16 38 0.4 54 143 1.08 Dec-Feb 143 --- 22 166 14 38 0.5 53 113 1.20 Mar-May 113 --- 22 134 22 31 0.3 53 81 1.23 Mkt. yr. 74 166 108 348 69 196 1.7 266 81 1.10 1999/00 Jun-Aug 81 146 22 249 17 84 0.6 101 148 1.05 Sep-Nov 148 --- 34 182 16 30 0.3 46 136 1.08 Dec-Feb 136 --- 23 159 14 42 0.2 56 102 1.22 Mar-May 102 --- 20 123 21 24 0.7 47 76 1.32 Mkt. yr. 81 146 99 326 68 180 1.8 250 76 1.10 2000/01 Mkt. yr. 76 153 100 329 68 180 2.0 250 79 0.95-1.35 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Corn and sorghum are on a September 1 to August 31 marketing year. Barley and oats are on a June 1 to May 31 marketing year. Table 2--Feed and residual use of wheat and coarse grains ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Feed Total Animal Feed/ Beginning Corn Sorg. Barley Oats Grains Wheat grains Units animal September 1 unit ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------ Million metric tons --------------- Mil. Tons 1998/99 Sep-Nov 53.8 4.5 0.3 0.6 59.3 -2.0 57.3 Dec-Feb 37.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 39.3 0.3 39.6 Mar-May 27.9 1.2 0.3 0.5 29.8 0.9 30.7 Jun-Aug 20.2 0.1 1.8 1.3 23.4 7.4 30.8 Mkt. yr. 139.0 6.7 3.1 3.0 151.8 6.6 158.4 88.1 1.80 % Change -0.2 -28.2 -10.5 -1.5 -2.1 -24.9 -3.3 0.1 -3.5 1999/00 Sep-Nov 56.1 5.8 0.5 0.5 63.0 -0.2 62.8 Dec-Feb 38.4 0.7 0.5 0.7 40.3 0.9 41.2 Mar-May 26.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 28.0 -0.3 27.7 Mkt. yr. 142.9 7.4 3.1 2.8 156.2 7.8 164.0 89.3 1.84 % Change 2.8 10.7 0.7 -7.2 2.9 18.4 3.6 1.4 2.1 2000/01 Mkt. yr. 144.8 7.0 2.9 2.9 157.6 6.8 164.4 89.3 1.84 % Change 1.3 -5.2 -5.8 2.2 0.9 -13.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Table 3--Cash feed grain prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corn, Corn, Sorghum, Sorghum, Barley, Barley, Oats, No. 2, No. 2, No. 2, Yel No. 2, No. 2, No. 3 or No. 2, Yel, Yel, Texas Yel, feed, better, Heavy Ctrl. Gulf South Gulf Duluth Malting, white, IL ports Panhandle ports Minn. Minn. 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 2/ 2/ 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Mkt. yr. $/bu $/bu $/cwt $/cwt $/bu $/bu $/bu 95/96 3.91 4.30 7.30 7.19 2.67 3.69 2.28 96/97 2.74 3.07 5.02 5.03 2.32 3.18 2.03 97/98 2.45 2.78 4.72 4.76 1.90 2.50 1.70 98/99 3/ 1.97 2.35 3.78 3.97 1.23 2.30 1.34 Monthly: 1999: Mar 2.09 2.45 3.85 4.16 NQ NQ 1.35 Apr 2.05 2.39 3.78 4.06 NQ NQ 1.36 May 2.03 2.35 3.67 3.94 NQ NQ 1.39 Jun 1.99 2.36 3.61 3.86 NQ NQ 1.34 2000: Mar 2.08 2.42 3.19 4.16 NQ NQ 1.34 Apr 2.09 2.43 3.83 4.10 NQ NQ 1.45 May 2.15 2.43 3.49 4.27 NQ NQ NQ Jun 3/ 1.83 2.13 3.00 3.60 NQ NQ NQ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1. 2/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 3/ Preliminary. NQ = No quote. Table 4--Selected feed and feed by-product prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Soybean Cotton- Corn Corn Meat & Dists.' Wheat Alfalfa meal seed gluten gluten bone dried midlgs, farm 44% slv. meal, feed, meal, meal, grains, Kansas price Decatur, 41% slv. IL IL Central Lawrence- City IL Memphis pts. pts. U.S. burg, IN 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------$/ton----------------------------------- Mkt. yr. 95/96 217.27 186.12 116.47 319.35 222.07 151.37 118.08 87.20 96/97 260.37 191.47 93.05 341.50 272.44 142.87 91.18 101.80 97/98 186.55 150.40 69.65 290.45 192.56 109.76 76.30 107.00 98/99 130.56 109.86 59.87 234.72 137.32 85.77 54.74 88.10 Monthly: 1999: Mar 127.20 106.90 56.00 198.00 124.50 92.00 68.50 83.20 Apr 128.60 110.90 54.25 192.50 128.70 83.00 54.10 86.40 May 127.00 108.75 56.90 201.25 129.60 84.00 41.40 96.60 Jun 131.70 114.50 57.90 209.50 137.10 87.00 45.70 85.00 2000: Mar 167.00 129.38 51.50 243.13 163.88 73.75 56.30 78.00 Apr 169.00 125.00 51.75 216.25 167.93 70.00 49.08 84.50 May 180.10 123.25 51.10 240.00 181.33 92.00 49.16 93.90 Jun 3/ 170.18 130.63 48.80 223.75 174.64 76.00 49.00 85.70 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1. 2/ Marketing year beginning May 1. 3/ preliminary. Table 5--Corn: Food and industrial uses ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Glucose ---Alcohol--- Cereals and Bev. & other Total Year HFCS dex. Starch Fuel & Mfg products F&I ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Million bushels 1998/99 Sep-Nov 123.1 56.6 60.8 132.4 31.1 45.9 449.9 Dec-Feb 116.6 48.7 57.6 132.9 32.6 45.4 433.8 Mar-May 140.5 56.2 60.1 138.8 34.1 46.4 476.0 Jun-Aug 150.2 57.7 61.2 121.8 29.4 46.4 466.7 Mkt year 530.5 219.1 239.8 525.8 127.1 184.2 1,826.4 % change prev 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 1999/00 Sep-Nov 129.3 56.7 63.6 131.7 31.8 46.0 459.2 Dec-Feb 119.4 49.6 60.0 138.3 33.3 46.0 446.6 Mar-May 141.7 57.1 63.7 147.9 34.9 46.5 491.9 Mkt year 545.0 225.0 250.0 565.0 129.7 185.0 1,899.7 % change prev 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2000/01 Mkt year 555.0 230.0 255.0 580.0 130.2 190.0 1,940.2 % change prev 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Table 6--Wholesale corn milling product and by-product prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corn meal, Brewers' Sugar, HFCS, 42% Corn starch, yellow, grits, destrose, tank cars, fob Midwest New York Chicago Midwest Midwest 3/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ $/cwt $/cwt cents/lb cents/lb $/cwt Mkt. yr. 1/ 95/96 17.79 14.21 25.50 13.01 15.98 96/97 16.94 12.85 25.50 13.15 13.83 97/98 15.94 11.85 28.08 7.77 13.55 98/99 2/ 15.06 11.00 24.24 8.04 12.28 Monthly 1999: Apr 15.22 11.12 15.75 8.45 12.88 May 15.18 11.08 16.38 8.45 12.97 Jun 15.20 11.10 16.38 8.45 12.82 Jul 14.72 10.62 16.38 8.45 12.73 2000: Apr 15.26 11.16 16.38 9.25 12.94 May 15.90 11.80 16.38 9.25 13.06 Jun 15.29 10.25 16.38 9.25 13.36 Jul 2/ 14.72 11.07 16.38 9.25 12.82 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1. 2/ Preliminary. 3/ Bulk-industrial, unmodified. Table 7--U.S. imports by country of origin ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Country/region ------1997/98--- ------1998/99------ 1999/2000 Mkt. yr. June - May Mkt. yr. June - May June - May ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ OATS --------------------Thousand tons--------------------- Canada 1,282 1,142 1,287 Finland 161 216 125 Sweden 176 443 276 Total 1/ 1,696 1,856 1,703 BARLEY, MALTING Canada 733 567 543 Total 1/ 733 567 543 BARLEY, OTHER 2/ Canada 112 81 60 Total 1/ 143 81 60 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Mainly consists of barley for feeding and also includes seed barley. Source: Bureau of the Census Table 8--U.S. feed grain exports by selected destinations 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Country/region ------1997/98--- ------1998/99------ 1999/2000 Mkt. yr. Sept.-May Mkt. yr. Sept.-May Sept.-May ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CORN Japan 14,581 11,098 15,110 11,117 11,471 S. Korea 3,593 2,279 6,462 4,418 2,505 Mexico 4,116 2,984 5,387 4,360 3,955 Taiwan 3,801 3,053 4,365 3,072 3,900 Egypt 1,808 1,179 3,159 2,399 2,446 Colombia 1,175 879 1,512 1,131 1,296 Venezuela 655 464 1,288 941 740 Saudi Arabia 971 761 1,182 786 854 Algeria 861 637 955 699 642 Canada 1,423 1,069 867 516 636 Dominican Republic 644 473 777 551 700 Turkey 379 194 692 384 593 Peru 253 170 674 533 430 Morocco 350 217 592 385 434 Chile 147 147 486 392 517 Former USSR 23 22 405 209 480 China 212 53 204 154 58 South Africa 0 0 143 0 309 Other Sub-Saharan 336 315 298 54 137 EU 147 7 192 192 86 East Europe 19 19 12 12 35 Others 2,623 2,090 5,464 3,498 4,582 Total 38,117 28,110 50,228 35,803 36,807 SORGHUM Mexico 3,222 2,715 3,103 2,346 3,784 Japan 1,650 1,584 1,362 1,123 990 Others 463 421 433 405 339 Total 5,334 4,720 4,899 3,873 5,113 ---------------------------------------------------------- ------1997/98--- ------1998/99------ 1999/2000 Mkt. yr. June-May Mkt. yr. June-May June-May BARLEY ---------------------------------------------------------- Saudi Arabia 922 0 0 Israel 0 0 0 Jordan 53 0 50 Japan 290 443 391 Mexico 124 94 104 Taiwan 94 0 5 Other 135 79 107 Total 1,617 615 657 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Totals may not add due to rounding. Source: Bureau of the Census END_OF_FILE