FEED OUTLOOK November 14, 2000 November 2000 FDS-1100 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FEED OUTLOOK is issued 11 times a year by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036-5831. Electronic release only; no published copies are available. FEED OUTLOOK is supplemented by an annual FEED YEARBOOK. The yearbook summary for 2000 was released on April 24, 2000. Yearbooks are available in print from ERS-NASS Order Desk. For the 2000 issue, call 1-800-999-6779 (703-605-6220) and ask for stock #ERS-FDS-2000, $21. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS o Feed Grain Production Decreased from Last Month, Ending Stocks Down o Corn, Sorghum, Barley, and Oats Production Decreased from Last Month o Foreign Coarse Grain Production Forecast Down Slightly o Global Trade Forecast for 2000/01 Increased FEED GRAIN SUPPLY DECREASES FROM LAST MONTH U.S. feed grain production in 2000 is forecast at 276 million metric tons, down 1 percent from a month ago but up 5 percent from 1999. Production of all feed grains are down. Feed grain supply in 2000/01 is forecast at 328 million tons, down 1 percent from last month, but up 3 percent from 1999/2000. Supplies are up from last year because of larger production. Total feed grain use is projected at 280 million tons, unchanged from last month and up 12 million from 1999/2000. This month, lower production and unchanged use resulted in lower forecast stocks from last month and last year. On a September-August marketing year, feed and residual use for the four feed grains plus wheat in 2000/01 is up 300,000 from last month and down 290,000 tons from last year. The projected index of grain consuming animal units (GCAUs) for 2000/01 is 90.1 million units, down 0.2 million from last month but up 1.0 million from 1999/2000. Feed and residual used per GCAU in 2000/01 is 1.85 tons, down 1 percent from 1999/2000. In the index components for 2000/01, GCAUs for dairy, hogs, and poultry are up from 1999/2000 and those for cattle and sheep are down. GCAUs for poultry were lowered this month because of a slowing in the rate of increase in expected broiler production in the remainder of 2000 and in 2001. CORN PRODUCTION FORECAST LOWERED FROM LAST MONTH Corn production in 2000 is forecast at 10,054 million bushels, down 138 million from last month but up 617 million from 1999. The average corn yield is forecast at 137.7 bushels per acre, compared with last months 139.6 bushels and the actual 1999 yield of 133.8 bushels. This years yield is the second highest ever, trailing only the 138.6 bushels per acre in 1994. The yield decrease resulted from declines in 11 States, including all of the largest producing States. Forecast ending stocks in 2000/01 are 1,679 million bushels, down 8 percent from last month and down 2 percent from 1999/2000. Corn use in 2000/01 is unchanged from last month. With decreased corn production in 2000/01 leading to lower ending stocks, prices are stronger. The forecast price for 2000/01 is $1.70-$2.10 per bushel, up from last months $1.65-$2.05. In 1999/2000, the season-average price received by farmers is expected to be $1.80. SORGHUM CROP DECREASED THIS MONTH Sorghum production in 2000 is forecast at 463 million bushels, down 2 million bushels from last month because of lower yields. Production is down 22 percent from 1999's 595 million bushels. Yields are forecast at 60.4 bushels per acre, down 0.3 bushel from last month and 9.3 bushels below last year. With smaller supplies this month and use unchanged, ending stocks in 2000/01 decreased to the lowest since 1997/98. The forecast season-average price for sorghum was raised 10 cents on each end of the range in line with the corn price. In the 1998/99 marketing year, prices received by farmers for sorghum averaged 86 percent of the corn price. The 2000/01 sorghum price ranges between 91 to 93 percent of the expected corn price, reflecting the stronger sorghum prices relative to corn thus far in the marketing year. The estimated price for 1999/2000 is $1.55 per bushel, or 86 percent of the estimated corn price. BARLEY PRODUCTION DECREASES Barley production for 2000 is estimated at 318 million bushels, down 2 million this month, and 13 percent above 1999. Yields averaged 61.1 bushels per acre, down 0.3 bushel from the last estimate on September 29, but up 3 percent from last year. The November Crop Production report contained updates on barley since the release of Small Grains 2000 Summary and Grain Stocks. Barley, oats, and wheat September 1 stocks, area, yields and production were revised. OATS PRODUCTION FORECAST SLIPS The 2000 oats crop is forecast at 149 million bushels, down 1 million from the last estimate on September 29, but up 3 million from 1999. The forecast yield is down 0.2 bushel from the last estimate, but up 4.6 from last year's 59.6 bushels per acre. Estimated total use is unchanged from last month, and the smaller supplies will result in lower ending stocks. Prices received by farmers in 2000/01 are expected to average between $1.05 and $1.15 per bushel, compared with $1.05 to $1.25 last month. Prices for 1999/2000 were $1.12 per bushel. LDPs SUPPORT FEED GRAIN FARMERS INCOME The 1996 Farm Act contained key policy tools to assist farmers when market prices are low. The key provisions are the nonrecourse marketing assistance loans and loan deficiency payments (LDPs). Producers that entered into Production Flexibility Contracts with USDA are eligible to participate in these programs. As of November 13, 2000, eligible producers collected $1.2 billion in LDP's covering 3.4 billion bushels of 2000-crop corn or 34 percent of the 2000 crop. The average payment rate was 36 cents per bushel on 437,462 contracts. In 1999, 77 percent of the corn produced received an LDP. For the 2000 crop, sorghum producers have collected $67 million in LDPs covering 221 million bushels or 48 percent of the crop. The average payment rate was 30 cents per bushel on 60,526 contracts. In 1999, 83 percent of the sorghum crop received an LDP. For barley, producers have collected $55 million in LDPs covering 198 million bushels or 62 percent of the crop. The average payment rate was 28 cents per bushel on 38,300 contracts. In 1999, 73 percent of the barley crop received an LDP. Oats producers have collected $32 million in LDPs covering 106 million bushels or 71 percent of the 2000 crop. The average payment rate was 30 cents per bushel on 55,822 contracts. In 1999, 84 percent of the oats crop received an LDP. FOREIGN COARSE GRAIN PRODUCTION FORECAST DOWN SLIGHTLY Global coarse grain production in 2000/01 is forecast at 859 million tons, down almost 4 million this month, with most of the drop in the United States. Forecast foreign production also declined slightly. Corn production in Eastern Europe dropped 2 million tons, as harvest reports indicate that summer drought damaged the crop more than was expected. Romania, Hungary, and the former Yugoslavia were reduced. However, increased corn production in Ukraine, where harvest conditions were favorable, nearly offset the drop in Eastern Europe. World coarse grain production in 2000/01 is forecast down 17 million tons from a year earlier, a decline of 2 percent. After reaching a record level in 1996/97, global coarse grain production has declined in 3 of the last 4 years. Relatively low prices have limited the incentive to grow coarse grains in some countries, while adverse weather has also reduced production in several areas such as China, Eastern Europe, and North Africa. In 2000/01 most of the global production decline has been in corn and sorghum, while barley production rebounded from a very low level the year before. For the past year, barley prices have increased compared with corn prices, and world barley area, which has declined for the last 7 years, was nearly unchanged. However, in 2000/01 barley area continued to decline in the European Union (EU), Eastern Europe, and former Soviet Union. Global coarse grain consumption is forecast down marginally this month, with a decline of over 1 million tons in Eastern Europe more than offsetting increases elsewhere. However, world coarse grain consumption is expected to grow compared with previous years, reaching a record of 887 million tons. However, the growth is expected to be sluggish. Despite population and income growth, coarse grain consumption, mostly feed use as an input for meat production, is forecast to grow at less than 1 percent in 2000/01. Even with slow consumption growth, consumption is expected to be nearly 28 million tons larger than production, causing a significant drop in expected global stocks. World coarse grain ending stocks in 2000/01 are forecast at 138 million tons, down more than 3 million tons from last months forecast, with the drop concentrated in the United States. Global ending stocks are forecast down 17 percent compared with beginning stocks. While in previous months a drop in foreign coarse grain stocks was expected to be partly offset by an increase in U.S. stocks, current forecasts indicate a decline in both U.S. and foreign stocks. GLOBAL TRADE FORECAST UP, U.S. 2000/01 BARLEY EXPORTS BOOSTED World coarse grain trade forecasts for 1999/2000 and 2000/01 were increased marginally this month. For 1999/2000, import forecasts were increased for Mexico and Malaysia because late-season imports were larger than expected. U.S. export forecasts for October/September were increased for corn, sorghum, and barley because of strong shipments reported by Census in August and grain export inspections for September. U.S. sorghum exports in 1999/2000 are the largest in 7 years. Global coarse grain trade in 1999/2000 is expected to be the largest in the decade. World coarse grain trade projected for 2000/01 was increased this month by 0.5 million tons to 101 million. Imports increased for South Korea and Malaysia because of stronger-than-expected feed use prospects, and for Eastern Europe, where imports will be needed because of reduced production. However, imports projections were reduced for Canada, which put anti-dumping tariffs on U.S. corn imports west of Ontario; Israel, which is expected to import somewhat more feed wheat and less corn; and for parts of southern Africa, where shipments have been less than expected. U.S. barley exports increased because of robust sales of feed barley to Saudi Arabia, and steady shipments including malting barley to Japan and Mexico. October/September international marketing year exports increased to 825,000 tons for 1999/2000 and 750,000 for 2000/01. Barley is generally selling at a premium to corn on global markets as two years of drought in North Africa and parts of the Middle East has boosted demand. These regions have a strong preference for barley as feed for sheep and camels. In the United States barley generally sells at a discount to corn because of its lower feed value. Relatively tight barley supplies are expected to limit U.S. exports in 2000/01. ****************************************************************************** * Information Contacts: Allen Baker (202) 694-5290 * * International: Edward Allen (202) 694-5288 * * Data Coordinator: Jenny Gonzales (202) 694-5296 * * The next Feed Outlook will be released December 14, 2000. * ****************************************************************************** ERS on the World Wide Web Coming soon--A newly designed, newly structured ERS website ERS newly redesigned and restructured website will provide you with accurate, timely, comprehensive, easy-to-find economic analysis on issues related to agriculture, food, the environment, and rural development. 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Synthesis of the extensive research Briefing Rooms will provide a synthesis of the issues and analysis, along with a full collection of resources specific to a subject, including: o Latest publications o Latest data products o Recommended readings and data products o Recent research developments o Questions and answers o Newsletters o Related links o Maps and charts gallery o Economic models A host of new services Users will be able to contact ERS experts, see upcoming events/publications, find ERS research related to whats in the news, and subscribe to E-mail updates. And more! Come visit us after the new year and see for yourself! Bookmark www.ers.usda.gov Table 1--Feed Grains: Marketing year supply and disappearance 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year/ Beg. Produc- Im- Supply FSI Feed & Ex- Total End. Farm Qtr. stocks tion ports resid. ports disp. stks. price ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CORN ------------------------Million bushels--------------------- $/bu 1998/99 Sep-Nov 1,308 9,759 4 11,071 450 2,118 450 3,019 8,052 1.90 Dec-Feb 8,052 --- 6 8,058 434 1,460 465 2,359 5,698 2.04 Mar-May 5,698 --- 7 5,706 495 1,097 497 2,089 3,616 2.04 Jun-Aug 3,616 --- 2 3,618 468 795 568 1,831 1,787 1.80 Mkt. yr.1,308 9,759 19 11,085 1,846 5,471 1,981 9,298 1,787 1.94 1999/00 Sep-Nov 1,787 9,437 4 11,228 459 2,210 534 3,203 8,025 1.71 Dec-Feb 8,025 --- 3 8,028 447 1,511 468 2,426 5,602 1.90 Mar-May 5,602 --- 6 5,607 512 1,059 451 2,022 3,586 2.05 Jun-Aug 3,586 --- 2 3,588 496 893 485 1,873 1,715 1.68 Mkt. yr.1,787 9,437 15 11,239 1,913 5,673 1,937 9,524 1,715 1.80 2000/01 Mkt. yr.1,715 10,054 10 11,779 1,975 5,850 2,275 10,100 1,679 1.70-2.10 SORGHUM 1998/99 Sep-Nov 49 520 0 569 15 178 41 234 335 1.67 Dec-Feb 335 --- 0 335 15 34 64 113 222 1.69 Mar-May 222 --- 0 222 10 45 51 106 116 1.73 Jun-Aug 116 --- 0 116 6 5 41 51 65 1.60 Mkt. yr. 49 520 0 569 45 262 197 504 65 1.66 1999/00 Sep-Nov 65 595 0 660 18 229 65 312 348 1.45 Dec-Feb 348 --- 0 348 18 28 77 123 226 1.58 Mar-May 226 --- 0 226 13 22 64 99 127 1.83 Jun-Aug 127 --- 0 127 6 6 50 62 65 1.63 Mkt. yr. 65 595 0 660 55 284 256 595 65 1.55 2000/01 Mkt. yr. 65 463 0 529 50 230 200 480 49 1.55-1.95 BARLEY ----------------------Million bushels--------------------- $/bu 1998/99 Jun-Aug 119 352 7 479 44 101 8 152 326 2.03 Sep-Nov 326 --- 7 333 39 16 8 63 271 1.97 Dec-Feb 271 --- 6 277 37 32 7 76 201 1.89 Mar-May 201 --- 9 210 51 12 5 68 142 1.85 Mkt. yr. 119 352 30 501 170 161 28 360 142 1.98 1999/00 Jun-Aug 142 280 6 428 44 79 9 132 295 2.18 Sep-Nov 295 --- 5 300 39 22 10 71 229 2.04 Dec-Feb 229 --- 9 239 37 24 7 68 170 2.14 Mar-May 170 --- 7 178 52 10 4 66 111 2.19 Mkt. yr. 142 280 28 450 172 136 30 338 111 2.13 2000/01 Jun-Aug 111 318 7 436 44 92 8 145 292 2.35 Mkt. yr. 111 318 30 459 172 145 40 357 102 2.10-2.40 OATS 1998/99 Jun-Aug 74 166 28 268 17 89 0.5 106 162 1.15 Sep-Nov 162 --- 36 198 16 38 0.4 54 143 1.08 Dec-Feb 143 --- 22 166 14 38 0.5 53 113 1.20 Mar-May 113 --- 22 134 22 31 0.3 53 81 1.23 Mkt. yr. 74 166 108 348 69 196 1.7 266 81 1.10 1999/00 Jun-Aug 81 146 22 249 17 84 0.6 101 148 1.05 Sep-Nov 148 --- 34 182 16 30 0.3 46 136 1.08 Dec-Feb 136 --- 23 159 14 42 0.2 56 102 1.22 Mar-May 102 --- 20 123 21 24 0.7 47 76 1.32 Mkt. yr. 81 146 99 326 68 180 1.8 250 76 1.12 2000/01 Jun-Aug 76 149 21 246 17 79 0.4 96 150 1.02 Mkt. yr. 76 149 100 325 68 180 2.0 250 75 1.05-1.15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Corn and sorghum are on a September 1 to August 31 marketing year. Barley and oats are on a June 1 to May 31 marketing year. Table 2--Feed and residual use of wheat and coarse grains ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Feed Total Animal Feed/ Beginning Corn Sorg. Barley Oats Grains Wheat grains Units animal September 1 unit ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------ Million metric tons --------------- Mil. Tons 1998/99 Sep-Nov 53.8 4.5 0.3 0.6 59.3 -2.0 57.3 Dec-Feb 37.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 39.3 0.3 39.6 Mar-May 27.9 1.2 0.3 0.5 29.8 0.9 30.7 Jun-Aug 20.2 0.1 1.7 1.3 23.3 7.3 30.7 Mkt. yr. 139.0 6.7 3.0 3.0 151.7 6.5 158.2 88.1 1.80 % Change -0.2 -28.2 -11.5 -1.5 -2.1 -25.9 -3.4 0.1 -3.5 1999/00 Sep-Nov 56.1 5.8 0.5 0.5 63.0 -0.2 62.8 Dec-Feb 38.4 0.7 0.5 0.7 40.3 0.8 41.1 Mar-May 26.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 28.1 -0.2 27.8 Jun-Aug 22.7 0.1 2.0 1.2 26.0 8.8 34.8 Mkt. yr. 144.1 7.2 3.2 2.8 157.4 9.2 166.6 89.1 1.87 % Change 3.7 8.4 6.5 -7.4 3.7 40.9 5.3 1.2 4.0 2000/01 Mkt. yr. 148.6 5.8 2.8 2.9 160.1 6.2 166.3 90.1 1.85 % Change 3.1 -19.1 -14.1 2.8 1.7 -32.9 -0.2 1.1 -1.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Table 3--Cash feed grain prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corn, Corn, Sorghum, Sorghum, Barley, Barley, Oats, No. 2, No. 2, No. 2, Yel No. 2, No. 2, No. 3 or No. 2, Yel, Yel, Texas Yel, feed, better, Heavy Ctrl. Gulf South Gulf Duluth Malting, white, IL ports Panhandle ports Minn. Minn. 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 2/ 2/ 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Mkt. yr. $/bu $/bu $/cwt $/cwt $/bu $/bu $/bu 96/97 2.74 3.07 5.02 5.03 2.32 3.18 2.03 97/98 2.45 2.78 4.72 4.76 1.90 2.50 1.70 98/99 1.97 2.35 3.78 3.97 1.23 2.30 1.34 99/00 3/ 1.86 2.23 3.36 3.79 NQ NQ 1.26 Monthly: 1999: Jun 1.99 2.36 3.61 3.86 NQ NQ 1.34 Jul 1.67 2.12 3.40 3.46 NQ NQ 1.25 Aug 1.84 2.20 3.59 3.77 NQ NQ 1.20 Sep 1.81 2.21 3.39 3.64 NQ NQ 1.17 2000: Jun 1.83 2.13 3.00 3.60 NQ NQ NQ Jul 1.53 1.91 3.37 3.34 NQ NQ NQ Aug 1.49 1.91 2.88 3.46 NQ NQ NQ Sep 3/ 1.58 2.03 3.68 3.75 NQ NQ NQ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1. 2/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 3/ Preliminary. NQ = No quote. Table 4--Selected feed and feed by-product prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Soybean Cotton- Corn Corn Meat & Dists.' Wheat Alfalfa meal seed gluten gluten bone dried midlgs, farm 44% slv. meal, feed, meal, meal, grains, Kansas price Decatur, 41% slv. IL IL Central Lawrence- City IL Memphis pts. pts. U.S. burg, IN 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------$/ton----------------------------------- Mkt. yr. 96/97 260.37 191.47 93.05 341.50 272.44 142.87 91.18 101.80 97/98 186.55 150.40 69.65 290.45 192.56 109.76 76.30 107.00 98/99 130.56 109.86 59.87 234.76 137.32 84.87 54.74 88.10 99/00 158.15 124.00 52.89 237.31 163.13 82.93 53.13 80.20 Monthly: 1999: Jun 131.70 114.50 57.90 209.50 137.10 87.00 45.70 82.80 Jul 125.71 115.00 51.75 241.25 133.75 91.67 39.20 83.40 Aug 135.90 100.65 54.30 252.50 139.61 NQ 44.91 84.90 Sep 144.06 111.92 55.50 258.13 142.21 88.00 57.64 79.80 2000: Jun 170.18 130.63 48.80 223.75 174.64 76.00 49.00 85.70 Jul 156.84 131.88 45.25 218.75 173.45 81.00 42.53 84.50 Aug 151.38 130.50 43.20 211.00 170.95 NQ 37.72 83.90 Sep 3/ 166.88 153.12 46.75 227.50 182.63 73.00 53.88 87.20 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1. 2/ Marketing year beginning May 1. 3/ Preliminary. NQ=No quote. Table 5--Corn: Food and industrial uses ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Glucose ---Alcohol--- Cereals and Bev. & other Total Year HFCS dex. Starch Fuel & Mfg products F&I ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Million bushels 1997/98 Sep-Nov 118.4 59.3 62.8 116.1 33.2 45.5 435.2 Dec-Feb 112.5 52.6 59.7 122.2 32.8 45.0 424.8 Mar-May 134.2 56.8 61.3 118.3 33.5 46.0 450.1 Jun-Aug 147.8 60.5 62.0 124.6 33.5 46.0 474.4 Mkt year 512.9 229.2 245.8 481.1 133.0 182.4 1,784.4 1998/99 Sep-Nov 123.1 56.6 60.8 132.4 31.1 45.9 449.9 Dec-Feb 116.6 48.7 57.6 132.9 32.6 45.4 433.8 Mar-May 140.5 56.2 60.1 138.8 34.1 46.4 476.0 Jun-Aug 150.2 57.7 61.2 121.8 29.4 46.4 466.7 Mkt year 530.5 219.1 239.8 525.8 127.1 184.2 1,826.4 1999/00 Sep-Nov 129.3 56.7 63.6 131.7 31.8 46.0 459.2 Dec-Feb 119.4 49.6 60.0 138.3 33.3 46.0 446.6 Mar-May 141.7 57.1 63.7 147.9 34.9 46.5 491.9 Jun-Aug 149.2 58.4 63.8 147.8 29.7 46.5 495.4 Mkt year 539.5 221.9 251.1 565.8 129.7 185.0 1,893.0 2000/01 Mkt year 550.0 230.0 255.0 600.0 130.2 190.0 1,955.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Table 6--Wholesale corn milling product and by-product prices ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corn meal, Brewers' Sugar, HFCS, 42% Corn starch, yellow, grits, dextrose, tank cars, fob Midwest New York Chicago Midwest Midwest 3/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ $/cwt $/cwt cents/lb cents/lb $/cwt Mkt. yr. 1/ 96/97 16.94 12.85 25.50 13.15 13.83 97/98 15.94 11.85 28.08 7.77 13.55 98/99 15.06 11.00 24.24 8.04 12.28 99/00 2/ 15.05 10.91 16.38 9.18 12.39 Monthly 1999: Jul 14.72 10.62 16.38 8.45 12.73 Aug 15.12 11.27 16.38 8.45 11.74 Sep 15.28 11.18 16.38 8.45 12.01 Oct 14.89 10.79 16.38 9.25 11.89 2000: Jul 14.72 11.07 16.38 9.25 12.76 Aug 14.62 10.52 16.38 9.25 12.04 Sep 14.92 10.82 16.38 9.25 11.71 Oct 2/ 15.49 11.39 16.71 8.68 11.95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1. 2/ Preliminary. 3/ Bulk-industrial, unmodified. Table 7--U.S. imports by country of origin ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Country/region ------1998/99--- ------1999/2000---- 2000/2001 Mkt. yr. June-Aug Mkt. yr. June-Aug June-Aug ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ OATS --------------------Thousand tons--------------------- Canada 1,142 241 1,287 273 303 Finland 216 54 125 24 0 Sweden 443 182 276 79 59 Total 1/ 1,856 477 1,703 376 362 BARLEY, MALTING Canada 567 103 543 120 137 Total 1/ 567 103 543 120 137 BARLEY, OTHER 2/ Canada 81 54 60 6 20 Total 1/ 81 54 60 6 20 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Mainly consists of barley for feeding and also includes seed barley. Source: Bureau of the Census Table 8--U.S. feed grain exports by selected destinations 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Country/region ------1997/98--- ------1998/99------ 1999/2000 Mkt. yr. Sept.-Aug. Mkt. yr. Sept.-Aug. Sept.-Aug. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CORN Japan 14,581 15,224 15,149 Taiwan 3,801 4,365 5,036 Mexico 4,116 5,387 4,832 Egypt 1,808 3,586 3,790 S. Korea 3,593 6,462 3,134 Colombia 1,175 1,512 1,782 Saudi Arabia 971 1,182 1,164 Venezuela 655 1,288 1,073 Algeria 861 955 1,042 Dominican Republic 644 777 1,003 Canada 1,423 867 982 Turkey 379 692 874 Israel 148 399 695 Iran 0 0 611 Morocco 350 599 604 Syria 286 354 603 Chile 147 486 542 Tunisia 156 441 519 Sub-Saharan Africa 336 441 511 Former USSR 23 405 491 Peru 253 674 458 EU 147 192 141 China 212 259 58 East Europe 19 12 35 Others 2,032 3,667 3,967 Total 38,117 50,228 49,098 SORGHUM Mexico 3,222 3,103 4,824 Japan 1,650 1,362 1,123 EU 204 197 181 Others 259 237 239 Total 5,334 4,899 6,366 ---------------------------------------------------------- ------1998/99--- ------1999/2000---- 2000/2001 Mkt. yr. June-Aug. Mkt. yr. June-Aug. June-Aug. BARLEY ---------------------------------------------------------- Japan 443 134 391 123 65 Mexico 94 27 104 23 21 Jordan 0 0 50 0 0 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 40 Taiwan 0 0 5 0 24 Other 79 8 107 51 33 Total 615 169 657 198 183 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Totals may not add due to rounding. Source: Bureau of the Census END_OF_FILE