HDR1012000130011020951500Cattle on Feed HDR2012000130011020951500Cattle on Feed Narrative Released October 20, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Cattle on Feed" call Dean Groskurth at (202) 720-3040, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. Inventory estimates refer to October 1, 1995. Placement and marketing estimates refer to the month of September and the quarter of July through September. Cattle on Feed Up 2 Percent in 13 Quarterly States Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter market in the 13 States preparing quarterly estimates totaled 9.40 million head, up 2 percent from a year ago but down 3 percent from October 1, 1993. The inventory included 6.14 million steers and steer calves, down slightly from a year ago and 2 percent below two years ago. This group accounts for 65 percent of the total inventory. Heifers and heifer calves accounted for 3.21 million head, 5 percent above a year ago. Placements of cattle and calves on feed in the 13 States during the July- September 1995 quarter totaled 6.23 million, down 1 percent from last year and 2 percent below July-September 1993. Net placements of 6.04 million for July- September were 1 percent below last year and slightly below July-September 1993. Marketings of fed cattle during the July-September 1995 quarter totaled 6.20 million, up 3 percent from the same quarter last year and 5 percent above two years ago. Other disappearance totaled 192,000 head compared to 191,000 in July-September 1994 and 275,000 in July-September 1993. HDR2012000130011020951500Cattle on Feed Program Change Narrative * * * * * * Cattle on Feed Program Change * * * * * * Beginning in January 1996 a monthly Cattle on Feed report covering feedlots with capacities of 1,000 or more head will replace the current 7 and 13 State Reports. The new Report will include estimates for major States and a U.S. total. NASS will continue to publish the current 7-State estimate series for feedlots with capacities of 1,000 or more head. State level estimates of all cattle on feed in all States will be published each January. Any questions regarding these program changes should be directed to Fred Vogel at (202)720- 3896. Mt An 2-1 (10-95) Cattle on Feed in 7 Monthly States Up 2 Percent Cattle on feed October 1, 1995, in the 7 monthly States totaled 7.97 million, up 2 percent from the previous year but 3 percent below two years ago. Placements in feedlots during September totaled 2.26 million, 10 percent above 1994 and 5 percent above 1993. Marketings during September totaled 1.70 million, up 2 percent from a year ago and 3 percent above 1993. This is the largest September marketings since the current 7-State data series began in 1972. Other disappearance during September was 51,000 head, 2 percent above last year but 23 percent below 1993. July-September 1995 quarterly marketings for the 7 States, at 5.40 million, were up 5 percent from July-September 1994 and 7 percent above July-September 1993. Marketings for the 7 States during the July-September quarter accounted for 87 percent of the 13 State total. Cattle on Feed in 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots Up 3 Percent Cattle on feed October 1, 1995 for the 13 States in the feedlots with 1,000 or more head capacity totaled 8.52 million head, up 3 percent from 1994 and 1 percent above two years ago. The inventory in the 1,000+ capacity feedlots accounted for 91 percent of the total inventory. HDR2012000130011020951500Revisions Narrative Revisions Revisions to previous estimates were made to improve month to month and quarter to quarter relationships. The revisions are primarily based on slaughter data, state check-off or brand data, and any other data that may have been received after the original estimate was made. Based on this review, July and August placements and marketings for the 7 monthly States were raised 45,000 and 35,000 head respectively. Revisions were also made to the July and August monthly 7 State 1,000+ capacity estimates. HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance by Quarter, 13 States, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Current Quarter : Number :-------------------------------------------------- Date : on Feed : : : Other : : Placements : Marketings : Disappearance -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : Jan 1, 1993 : 10,974 5,351 5,354 439 Apr 1, 1993 : 10,532 5,334 5,858 465 Jul 1, 1993 : 9,543 6,341 5,918 275 Oct 1, 1993 : 9,691 7,076 5,246 325 : Jan 1, 1994 : 11,196 5,372 5,559 275 Apr 1, 1994 : 10,734 4,675 5,951 334 Jul 1, 1994 : 9,124 6,315 5,996 191 Oct 1, 1994 : 9,252 7,087 5,473 260 : Jan 1, 1995 : 10,606 5,914 5,545 287 Apr 1, 1995 : 10,688 5,249 6,107 272 Jul 1, 1995 : 9,558 6,233 6,196 192 Oct 1, 1995 : 9,403 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, Other Disappearance, and Class, 13 States, Jul-Oct 1, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : as % of Item : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :------------- : : : : 1993 : 1994 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent : On Feed Jul 1 : 9,543 9,124 9,558 100 105 Placed on Feed Jul 1 - Sep 30 1/ : 6,341 6,315 6,233 98 99 Fed Cattle Marketed Jul 1 - Sep 30 1/ : 5,918 5,996 6,196 105 103 Other Disappearance Jul 1 - Sep 30 2/ : 275 191 192 70 101 On Feed Oct 1 : 9,691 9,252 9,403 97 102 : Kinds on Feed Oct 1 : Steers and Steer Calves : 6,285 6,148 6,141 98 100 Heifers and Heifer Calves : 3,359 3,068 3,212 96 105 Cows and Bulls : 47 36 50 106 139 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes cattle placed on feed after beginning of quarter and marketed before end of quarter. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed by Quarter Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Oct 1, 1995 : : :--------------------------------------- State : Oct 1, 1994 : Jul 1, 1995 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 1994 :Prev. Qtr. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Head ------------ --- Percent --- : AZ : 160 178 173 108 97 CA : 410 355 355 87 100 CO : 960 920 940 98 102 ID : 250 230 260 104 113 IL : 210 225 210 100 93 IA : 630 720 630 100 88 KS : 1,840 1,890 1,900 103 101 MN : 215 245 190 88 78 NE : 1,580 1,580 1,600 101 101 OK : 380 350 390 103 111 SD : 180 250 200 111 80 TX : 2,260 2,470 2,370 105 96 WA : 177 145 185 105 128 : 13 Sts : 9,252 9,558 9,403 102 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. Cattle on Feed: Number Placed on Feed by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Jul-Sep 1995 : Jul-Sep : Apr-Jun :------------------------------------------ State : 1994 : 1995 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 1994 : Prev. Qtr. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ----------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 105 111 98 93 88 CA : 165 195 170 103 87 CO : 780 525 700 90 133 ID : 180 145 175 97 121 IL : 95 70 100 105 143 IA : 340 215 285 84 133 KS : 1,340 1,090 1,405 105 129 MN : 85 60 75 88 125 NE : 1,330 950 1,270 95 134 OK : 220 205 250 114 122 SD : 105 85 90 86 106 TX : 1,440 1,500 1,485 103 99 WA : 130 98 130 100 133 : 13 Sts : 6,315 5,249 6,233 99 119 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes cattle placed on feed after beginning of quarter and marketed before end of quarter. Cattle on Feed: Number Marketed by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Jul-Sep 1995 : Jul-Sep : Apr-Jun :------------------------------------------ State : 1994 : 1995 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 1994 : Prev. Qtr. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ----------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 93 117 102 110 87 CA : 145 160 150 103 94 CO : 665 585 665 100 114 ID : 162 150 143 88 95 IL : 120 110 110 92 100 IA : 430 375 360 84 96 KS : 1,140 1,290 1,370 120 106 MN : 130 105 120 92 114 NE : 1,220 1,320 1,210 99 92 OK : 205 255 205 100 80 SD : 125 140 130 104 93 TX : 1,460 1,405 1,545 106 110 WA : 101 95 86 85 91 : 13 Sts : 5,996 6,107 6,196 103 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes cattle placed on feed after beginning of quarter and marketed before end of quarter. Cattle on Feed: Other Disappearance by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Jul-Sep 1995 : Jul-Sep : Apr-Jun :------------------------------------------ State : 1994 : 1995 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 1994 : Prev. Qtr. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ---------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 1 8 1 100 13 CA : 25 30 20 80 67 CO : 15 20 15 100 75 ID : 3 20 2 67 10 IL : 5 5 5 100 100 IA : 20 20 15 75 75 KS : 20 40 25 125 63 MN : 10 10 10 100 100 NE : 50 60 40 80 67 OK : 5 5 5 100 100 SD : 5 15 10 200 67 TX : 30 35 40 133 114 WA : 2 4 4 200 100 : 13 Sts : 191 272 192 101 71 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed by Class, Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Steers & Steer Calves :Heifers & Heifer Calves: Cows and Bulls :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State :Oct 1, :Jul 1, :Oct 1, :Oct 1, :Jul 1, :Oct 1, :Oct 1, :Jul 1, :Oct 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 142 165 163 18 13 10 0 0 0 CA : 345 320 310 60 34 44 5 1 1 CO : 575 540 565 380 370 360 5 10 15 ID : 179 167 192 70 60 66 1 3 2 IL : 120 138 120 90 86 89 0 1 1 IA : 370 425 395 258 294 235 2 1 0 KS : 1,290 1,225 1,300 547 655 595 3 10 5 MN : 160 180 140 53 63 48 2 2 2 NE : 960 930 945 605 635 640 15 15 15 OK : 245 225 245 135 125 145 0 0 0 SD : 113 140 104 65 102 88 2 8 8 TX : 1,525 1,570 1,550 734 899 819 1 1 1 WA : 124 86 112 53 59 73 0 0 0 : 13 Sts : 6,148 6,111 6,141 3,068 3,395 3,212 36 52 50 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, Other Disappearance, and Class, 7 States, Jul-Oct 1, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : as % of Item : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :--------------- : : : : 1993 : 1994 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent : On Feed Jul 1 : 7,973 7,654 8,113 102 106 Placed on Feed Jul 1 - Sep 30 1/ : 5,526 5,500 5,413 98 98 Fed Cattle Marketed Jul 1 - Sep 30 1/ : 5,046 5,153 5,402 107 105 Other Disappearance Jul 1 - Sep 30 2/ : 229 161 156 68 97 On Feed Oct 1 : 8,224 7,840 7,968 97 102 : Kinds on Feed Oct 1 : Steers and Steer Calves : 5,356 5,207 5,228 98 100 Heifers and Heifer Calves : 2,829 2,602 2,703 96 104 Cows and Bulls : 39 31 37 95 119 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes cattle placed on feed after beginning of quarter and marketed before end of quarter. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance, 7 States, Sep-Oct 1, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : as % of Item :--------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent : On Feed Sep 1 1/ : 7,794 7,486 7,453 96 100 Placed on Feed During Sep : 2,148 2,060 2,262 105 110 Fed Cattle Marketed During Sep : 1,652 1,656 1,696 103 102 Other Disappearance During Sep 2/ : 66 50 51 77 102 On Feed Oct 1 1/ : 8,224 7,840 7,968 97 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed and Placements by State and 7-State Total, Apr-Jun 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number on Feed : Placements :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :as % of :as % of : : :as % of :as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : : Apr 1 During Apr : AZ : 192 192 100 98 31 35 113 135 CA : 355 350 99 92 70 50 71 125 CO : 940 1,000 106 102 165 180 109 72 IA : 890 900 101 99 90 90 100 78 KS : 1,980 2,130 108 102 280 330 118 80 NE : 2,130 2,010 94 100 320 310 97 82 TX : 2,490 2,410 97 102 460 440 96 80 : 7 Sts : 8,977 8,992 100 101 1,416 1,435 101 81 : : May 1 During May : AZ : 181 190 105 99 30 48 160 137 CA : 370 340 92 97 105 65 62 130 CO : 930 1,010 109 101 140 195 139 108 IA : 850 880 104 98 55 60 109 67 KS : 1,890 2,060 109 97 310 400 129 121 NE : 2,030 1,920 95 96 250 340 136 110 TX : 2,450 2,390 98 99 525 630 120 143 : 7 Sts : 8,701 8,790 101 98 1,415 1,738 123 121 : : Jun 1 During Jun : AZ : 170 190 112 100 20 28 140 58 CA : 405 340 84 100 100 80 80 123 CO : 900 1,010 112 100 140 150 107 77 IA : 800 800 100 91 70 65 93 108 KS : 1,830 2,000 109 97 290 360 124 90 NE : 1,800 1,770 98 92 190 300 158 88 TX : 2,420 2,520 104 105 395 430 109 68 : 7 Sts : 8,325 8,630 104 98 1,205 1,413 117 81 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000130011020951500Marketings and Other Disappearance Cattle on Feed: Marketings and Other Disappearance by State and 7-State Total, Apr-Jun 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Marketings : Other Disappearance :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :as % of :as % of : : :as % of :as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : : During Apr : AZ : 40 32 80 110 2 5 250 500 CA : 45 45 100 90 10 15 150 75 CO : 170 165 97 75 5 5 100 50 IA : 120 105 88 88 10 5 50 100 KS : 350 380 109 107 20 20 100 200 NE : 400 380 95 106 20 20 100 100 TX : 485 450 93 91 15 10 67 67 : 7 Sts : 1,610 1,557 97 96 82 80 98 99 : : During May : AZ : 39 47 121 147 2 1 50 20 CA : 55 55 100 122 15 10 67 67 CO : 160 185 116 112 10 10 100 200 IA : 100 130 130 124 5 10 200 200 KS : 360 450 125 118 10 10 100 50 NE : 440 470 107 124 40 20 50 100 TX : 545 490 90 109 10 10 100 100 : 7 Sts : 1,699 1,827 108 117 92 71 77 89 : : During Jun : AZ : 40 38 95 81 1 2 200 200 CA : 50 60 120 109 40 5 13 50 CO : 175 235 134 127 5 5 100 50 IA : 115 140 122 108 15 5 33 50 KS : 445 460 103 102 15 10 67 100 NE : 450 470 104 100 20 20 100 100 TX : 495 465 94 95 10 15 150 150 : 7 Sts : 1,770 1,868 106 102 106 62 58 87 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed and Placements by State Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed and Placements by State and 7-State Total, Jul-Oct 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number on Feed : Placements :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :as % of :as % of : : :as % of :as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : : Jul 1 During Jul : AZ : 149 178 119 94 24 28 117 100 CA : 415 355 86 104 55 45 82 56 CO : 860 920 107 91 210 170 81 113 IA : 740 720 97 90 85 55 65 85 KS : 1,660 1,890 114 95 470 450 96 125 NE : 1,520 1,580 104 89 355 310 87 103 TX : 2,310 2,470 107 98 395 370 94 86 : 7 Sts : 7,654 8,113 106 94 1,594 1,428 90 101 : : Aug 1 During Aug : AZ : 143 174 122 98 41 28 68 100 CA : 410 345 84 97 60 60 100 133 CO : 850 860 101 93 255 215 84 126 IA : 680 650 96 90 100 85 85 155 KS : 1,690 1,880 111 99 445 430 97 96 NE : 1,440 1,440 100 91 450 420 93 135 TX : 2,250 2,350 104 95 495 485 98 131 : 7 Sts : 7,463 7,699 103 95 1,846 1,723 93 121 : : Sep 1 During Sep : AZ : 146 163 112 94 40 42 105 150 CA : 410 340 83 99 50 65 130 108 CO : 870 830 95 97 315 315 100 147 IA : 630 600 95 92 155 145 94 171 KS : 1,760 1,800 102 96 425 525 124 122 NE : 1,430 1,450 101 101 525 540 103 129 TX : 2,240 2,270 101 97 550 630 115 130 : 7 Sts : 7,486 7,453 100 97 2,060 2,262 110 131 : : Oct 1 AZ : 160 173 108 106 CA : 410 355 87 104 CO : 960 940 98 113 IA : 630 630 100 105 KS : 1,840 1,900 103 106 NE : 1,580 1,600 101 110 TX : 2,260 2,370 105 104 : 7 Sts : 7,840 7,968 102 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000130011020951500Marketings and Other Disappearance Cattle on Feed: Marketings and Other Disappearance by State and 7-State Total, Jul-Sep 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Marketings : Other Disappearance :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :as % of :as % of : : :as % of :as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : : During Jul : AZ : 30 32 107 84 0 0 0 0 CA : 50 50 100 83 10 5 50 100 CO : 215 225 105 96 5 5 100 100 IA : 135 120 89 86 10 5 50 100 KS : 430 450 105 98 10 10 100 100 NE : 425 430 101 91 10 20 200 100 TX : 445 480 108 103 10 10 100 67 : 7 Sts : 1,730 1,787 103 96 55 55 100 89 : : During Aug : AZ : 37 39 105 122 1 0 0 0 CA : 50 55 110 110 10 10 100 200 CO : 230 240 104 107 5 5 100 100 IA : 145 130 90 108 5 5 100 100 KS : 370 500 135 111 5 10 200 100 NE : 440 400 91 93 20 10 50 50 TX : 495 555 112 116 10 10 100 100 : 7 Sts : 1,767 1,919 109 107 56 50 89 91 : : During Sep : AZ : 26 31 119 79 0 1 0 0 CA : 45 45 100 82 5 5 100 50 CO : 220 200 91 83 5 5 100 100 IA : 150 110 73 85 5 5 100 100 KS : 340 420 124 84 5 5 100 50 NE : 355 380 107 95 20 10 50 100 TX : 520 510 98 92 10 20 200 200 : 7 Sts : 1,656 1,696 102 88 50 51 102 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, Other Disappearance, and Class, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, 13 States, Jul-Oct 1, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : as % of Item : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :------------- : : : : 1993 : 1994 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent : On Feed Jul 1 : 7,985 7,847 8,444 106 108 Placed on Feed Jul 1 - Sep 30 1/ : 5,812 5,812 5,847 101 101 Fed Cattle Marketed Jul 1 - Sep 30 1/ : 5,157 5,244 5,628 109 107 Other Disappearance Jul 1 - Sep 30 2/ : 211 149 147 70 99 On Feed Oct 1 : 8,429 8,266 8,516 101 103 : Kinds on Feed Oct 1 : Steers and Steer Calves : 5,531 5,543 5,577 101 101 Heifers and Heifer Calves : 2,860 2,692 2,894 101 108 Cows and Bulls : 38 31 45 118 145 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes cattle placed on feed after beginning of quarter and marketed before end of quarter. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Oct 1, 1995 : : :--------------------------------------- State : Oct 1, 1994 : Jul 1, 1995 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 1994 :Prev. Qtr. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Head ------------ --- Percent --- : AZ : 160 178 173 108 97 CA : 410 355 355 87 100 CO : 955 916 934 98 102 ID : 244 223 252 103 113 IL : 60 60 55 92 92 IA : 175 240 250 143 104 KS : 1,800 1,850 1,870 104 101 MN : 50 50 45 90 90 NE : 1,490 1,480 1,530 103 103 OK : 375 347 387 103 112 SD : 120 140 120 100 86 TX : 2,250 2,460 2,360 105 96 WA : 177 145 185 105 128 : 13 Sts : 8,266 8,444 8,516 103 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. 2/ AZ, CA, and WA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. Cattle on Feed: Number Placed on Feed, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Jul-Sep 1995 : Jul-Sep : Apr-Jun :------------------------------------------ State : 1994 : 1995 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 1994 : Prev. Qtr. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ----------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 105 111 98 93 88 CA : 155 195 170 110 87 CO : 774 521 694 90 133 ID : 179 143 172 96 120 IL : 27 28 24 89 86 IA : 111 91 143 129 157 KS : 1,310 1,045 1,370 105 131 MN : 25 16 25 100 156 NE : 1,259 855 1,216 97 142 OK : 217 205 249 115 121 SD : 83 60 74 89 123 TX : 1,437 1,497 1,482 103 99 WA : 130 98 130 100 133 : 13 Sts : 5,812 4,865 5,847 101 120 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes cattle placed on feed after beginning of quarter and marketed before end of quarter. 2/ AZ, CA, and WA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. Cattle on Feed: Number Marketed, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Jul-Sep 1995 : Jul-Sep : Apr-Jun :------------------------------------------ State : 1994 : 1995 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 1994 : Prev. Qtr. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ----------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 93 117 102 110 87 CA : 135 160 150 111 94 CO : 660 571 661 100 116 ID : 157 145 141 90 97 IL : 31 37 28 90 76 IA : 108 138 130 120 94 KS : 1,115 1,260 1,335 120 106 MN : 29 30 29 100 97 NE : 1,064 1,158 1,130 106 98 OK : 204 253 204 100 81 SD : 90 75 90 100 120 TX : 1,457 1,402 1,542 106 110 WA : 101 95 86 85 91 : 13 Sts : 5,244 5,441 5,628 107 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes cattle placed on feed after beginning of quarter and marketed before end of quarter. 2/ AZ, CA, and WA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. Cattle on Feed: Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Jul-Sep 1995 : Jul-Sep : Apr-Jun :------------------------------------------ State : 1994 : 1995 : : as % of : as % of : : : Number : 1994 : Prev. Qtr. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ---------- ---- Percent ---- : AZ : 1 8 1 100 13 CA : 25 30 20 80 67 CO : 15 20 15 100 75 ID : 3 15 2 67 13 IL : 1 1 1 100 100 IA : 3 3 3 100 100 KS : 15 25 15 100 60 MN : 1 1 1 100 100 NE : 45 47 36 80 77 OK : 5 5 5 100 100 SD : 3 5 4 133 80 TX : 30 35 40 133 114 WA : 2 4 4 200 100 : 13 Sts : 149 199 147 99 74 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. 2/ AZ, CA, and WA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed by Class Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed by Class, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Quarter, State, and 13-State Total, 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Steers & Steer Calves :Heifers & Heifer Calves: Cows and Bulls :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State :Oct 1, :Jul 1, :Oct 1, :Oct 1, :Jul 1, :Oct 1, :Oct 1, :Jul 1, :Oct 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 142 165 163 18 13 10 0 0 0 CA : 345 320 310 60 34 44 5 1 1 CO : 572 538 561 378 368 358 5 10 15 ID : 176 163 187 67 57 63 1 3 2 IL : 32 35 31 28 25 23 0 0 1 IA : 115 146 155 60 94 95 0 0 0 KS : 1,267 1,200 1,275 530 640 590 3 10 5 MN : 35 36 32 15 14 12 0 0 1 NE : 905 870 905 571 596 611 14 14 14 OK : 240 225 242 135 122 145 0 0 0 SD : 71 70 60 47 65 55 2 5 5 TX : 1,519 1,562 1,544 730 897 815 1 1 1 WA : 124 86 112 53 59 73 0 0 0 : 13 Sts : 5,543 5,416 5,577 2,692 2,984 2,894 31 44 45 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AZ, CA, and WA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed, Placements Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, Other Disappearance, and Class, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, 7 States, Jul-Oct 1, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : as % of Item : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :------------- : : : : 1993 : 1994 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent : On Feed Jul 1 : 6,952 6,855 7,479 108 109 Placed on Feed Jul 1 - Sep 30 1/ : 5,151 5,151 5,173 100 100 Fed Cattle Marketed Jul 1 - Sep 30 1/ : 4,530 4,632 5,050 111 109 Other Disappearance Jul 1 - Sep 30 2/ : 186 134 130 70 97 On Feed Oct 1 : 7,387 7,240 7,472 101 103 : Kinds on Feed Oct 1 : Steers and Steer Calves : 4,866 4,865 4,913 101 101 Heifers and Heifer Calves : 2,488 2,347 2,523 101 107 Cows and Bulls : 33 28 36 109 129 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes cattle placed on feed after beginning of quarter and marketed before end of quarter. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, 7 States, Sep-Oct 1, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : as % of Item :--------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent : On Feed Sep 1 1/ : 6,926 6,894 6,959 100 101 Placed on Feed During Sep : 1,994 1,901 2,142 107 113 Fed Cattle Marketed During Sep : 1,478 1,511 1,583 107 105 Other Disappearance During Sep 2/ : 55 44 46 84 105 On Feed Oct 1 1/ : 7,387 7,240 7,472 101 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed and Placements, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots by State and 7-State Total, Apr-Jun 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number on Feed : Placements :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :as % of :as % of : : :as % of :as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : : Apr 1 During Apr : AZ : 192 192 100 98 31 35 113 135 CA : 355 350 99 92 70 50 71 125 CO : 922 986 107 103 164 178 109 72 IA : 220 290 132 95 29 35 121 95 KS : 1,930 2,090 108 102 265 310 117 77 NE : 1,790 1,830 102 101 285 275 96 79 TX : 2,481 2,400 97 102 458 439 96 80 : 7 Sts : 7,890 8,138 103 101 1,302 1,322 102 80 : : May 1 During May : AZ : 181 190 105 99 30 48 160 137 CA : 370 340 92 97 105 65 62 130 CO : 916 998 109 101 139 194 140 109 IA : 210 285 136 98 20 28 140 80 KS : 1,840 2,020 110 97 305 390 128 126 NE : 1,750 1,760 101 96 230 290 126 105 TX : 2,440 2,380 98 99 524 629 120 143 : 7 Sts : 7,707 7,973 103 98 1,353 1,644 122 124 : : Jun 1 During Jun : AZ : 170 190 112 100 20 28 140 58 CA : 405 340 84 100 100 80 80 123 CO : 891 1,002 112 100 139 149 107 77 IA : 195 265 136 93 22 28 127 100 KS : 1,790 1,960 109 97 270 345 128 88 NE : 1,590 1,640 103 93 160 290 181 100 TX : 2,410 2,510 104 105 394 429 109 68 : 7 Sts : 7,451 7,907 106 99 1,105 1,349 122 82 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AZ and CA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. HDR2012000130011020951500Marketings and Other Disappearance Cattle on Feed: Marketings and Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots by State and 7-State Total, Apr-Jun 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Marketings : Other Disappearance :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :as % of :as % of : : :as % of :as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : : During Apr : AZ : 40 32 80 110 2 5 250 500 CA : 45 45 100 90 10 15 150 75 CO : 165 161 98 76 5 5 100 50 IA : 38 39 103 76 1 1 100 100 KS : 335 370 110 106 20 10 50 200 NE : 310 330 106 105 15 15 100 100 TX : 484 449 93 91 15 10 67 67 : 7 Sts : 1,417 1,426 101 95 68 61 90 91 : : During May : AZ : 39 47 121 147 2 1 50 20 CA : 55 55 100 122 15 10 67 67 CO : 154 180 117 112 10 10 100 200 IA : 34 47 138 121 1 1 100 100 KS : 345 440 128 119 10 10 100 100 NE : 360 395 110 120 30 15 50 100 TX : 544 489 90 109 10 10 100 100 : 7 Sts : 1,531 1,653 108 116 78 57 73 93 : : During Jun : AZ : 40 38 95 81 1 2 200 200 CA : 50 60 120 109 40 5 13 50 CO : 169 230 136 128 5 5 100 50 IA : 41 52 127 111 1 1 100 100 KS : 430 450 105 102 10 5 50 50 NE : 395 433 110 110 15 17 113 113 TX : 494 464 94 95 10 15 150 150 : 7 Sts : 1,619 1,727 107 104 82 50 61 88 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AZ and CA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. HDR2012000130011020951500Number on Feed and Placements Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed and Placements, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots by State and 7-State Total, Jul-Oct 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number on Feed : Placements :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :as % of :as % of : : :as % of :as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : : Jul 1 During Jul : AZ : 149 178 119 94 24 28 117 100 CA : 415 355 86 104 55 45 82 56 CO : 856 916 107 91 209 169 81 113 IA : 175 240 137 91 24 34 142 121 KS : 1,620 1,850 114 94 460 445 97 129 NE : 1,340 1,480 110 90 345 298 86 103 TX : 2,300 2,460 107 98 394 369 94 86 : 7 Sts : 6,855 7,479 109 95 1,511 1,388 92 103 : : Aug 1 During Aug : AZ : 143 174 122 98 41 28 68 100 CA : 410 345 84 97 60 60 100 133 CO : 848 857 101 94 254 213 84 126 IA : 165 225 136 94 36 44 122 129 KS : 1,650 1,850 112 100 435 410 94 92 NE : 1,330 1,360 102 92 429 399 93 134 TX : 2,240 2,340 104 95 494 484 98 131 : 7 Sts : 6,786 7,151 105 96 1,749 1,638 94 118 : : Sep 1 During Sep : AZ : 146 163 112 94 40 42 105 150 CA : 410 340 83 99 50 65 130 108 CO : 868 826 95 96 311 312 100 146 IA : 160 220 138 98 51 65 127 148 KS : 1,720 1,770 103 96 415 510 123 124 NE : 1,360 1,380 101 101 485 519 107 130 TX : 2,230 2,260 101 97 549 629 115 130 : 7 Sts : 6,894 6,959 101 97 1,901 2,142 113 131 : : Oct 1 AZ : 160 173 108 106 CA : 410 355 87 104 CO : 955 934 98 113 IA : 175 250 143 114 KS : 1,800 1,870 104 106 NE : 1,490 1,530 103 111 TX : 2,250 2,360 105 104 : 7 Sts : 7,240 7,472 103 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AZ and CA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. HDR2012000130011020951500Marketings and Other Disappearance Cattle on Feed: Marketings and Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots by State and 7-State Total, Jul-Sep 1994-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Marketings : Other Disappearance :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : :as % of :as % of : : :as % of :as % of : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :Prev Mo -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : : During Jul : AZ : 30 32 107 84 0 0 0 0 CA : 50 50 100 83 10 5 50 100 CO : 212 223 105 97 5 5 100 100 IA : 33 48 145 92 1 1 100 100 KS : 425 440 104 98 5 5 100 100 NE : 347 400 115 92 8 18 225 106 TX : 444 479 108 103 10 10 100 67 : 7 Sts : 1,541 1,672 109 97 39 44 113 88 : : During Aug : AZ : 37 39 105 122 1 0 0 0 CA : 50 55 110 110 10 10 100 200 CO : 229 239 104 107 5 5 100 100 IA : 40 48 120 100 1 1 100 100 KS : 360 485 135 110 5 5 100 100 NE : 380 370 97 93 19 9 47 50 TX : 494 554 112 116 10 10 100 100 : 7 Sts : 1,590 1,790 113 107 51 40 78 91 : : During Sep : AZ : 26 31 119 79 0 1 0 0 CA : 45 45 100 82 5 5 100 50 CO : 219 199 91 83 5 5 100 100 IA : 35 34 97 71 1 1 100 100 KS : 330 405 123 84 5 5 100 100 NE : 337 360 107 97 18 9 50 100 TX : 519 509 98 92 10 20 200 200 : 7 Sts : 1,511 1,583 105 88 44 46 105 115 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AZ and CA include all feedlot operations to avoid disclosing individual information. HDR2012000130011020951500Reliability Reliability of October 1 Cattle on Feed Estimates Terminology: Cattle on feed are animals being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. Placements are cattle put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. Marketings are cattle shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. Other disappearance includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Survey Procedures: A random sample of producers in the 13 major cattle on feed States were surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all cattle on feed producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. About 11,000 operators were contacted during the first half of October by mail, telephone and face-to-face personal interviews and 90 percent of the reports were usable. Regardless of when operators responded, they were asked to report inventories as of October 1. Estimation Procedures: These cattle on feed estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. Regional and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from the previous month and/or quarter when setting the current estimates. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve month to month and/or quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous month/quarter are subject to revision in all 13 States each quarter when current quarterly estimates are made. In January, all monthly and quarterly estimates for the previous year are reviewed and subject to revisions. The reviews are primarily based on slaughter data, state check-off or brand data, and any other data that may have been received after the original estimate was made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Commerce's five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date and estimates become final. Reliability: Since all cattle on feed operators are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 cattle on feed inventory estimate over the past 10 years is 2.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 9.40 million head by more than 2.1 percent, or about 197,000 head. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 3.8 percent, or about 357,000 head (the 90 percent confidence level). The table below also shows a 10 year record of the range of differences between first and latest estimates for selected items. Using estimates of cattle on feed inventory as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 153,000 head, ranging from 0 to 295,000 head. During this period the initial inventory estimate has been below the latest estimate 9 times and unchanged once. This does not imply that the October 1 estimate is likely to understate or overstate final inventory. Reliability of October 1 Cattle on Feed Estimates 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 90% : Difference Between : Number of : Root : Confidence : First and Latest : Years : Mean : Level : Estimates : Item :Square :-------------------------------------------------------- : Error : : : : : : First : First : :Percent :Head:Average:Smallest :Largest: Above : Below : : : : : : : Latest: Latest ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : Inventory : 2.1 3.8 357 153 0 295 0 9 : Placements : 0.9 1.7 106 48 10 93 0 10 : Marketings : 1.1 2.1 130 59 0 110 2 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on October 1 estimates for the past 10 years. HDR2012000130011020951500Index Index Page Cattle on Feed - 13 State Summary .................................. 4 Cattle on Feed - 13 State Summary, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots .......................................................... 14 Cattle on Feed - 7 State Summary ................................... 8 Cattle on Feed - 7 State Summary, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots .......................................................... 18 Cattle on Feed by State, 13 States ................................. 5 Cattle on Feed by State, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, 13 States ......................................................... 15 Cattle on Feed, Number by Class and State .......................... 7 Cattle on Feed, Number by Class and State, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots .......................................... 17 Marketings by Quarter and State, July-September 1994-95, and April-June 1995 ............................................... 6 Marketings by Quarter and State, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, July-September 1994-95 and April-June 1995 ........................ 16 Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings and Other Disappearance, 7 States, 1993-95 .................................. 9 Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings and Other Disappearance, 7 States, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, 1993-95 ................................................. 19 Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings and Other Disappearance, by State and 7 State Total, April-October 1994-95 ............................................. 10 Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings and Other Disappearance, by State and 7 State Total, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, April-October 1994-95 .......................... 20 Other Disappearance by Quarter and State, July-September 1994-95 and April-June 1995 ....................................... 6 Other Disappearance by Quarter and State, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, July-September 1994-95 and April-June 1995 .............. 16 Placements by Quarter and State, July-September 1994-95 and April-June 1995 ............................................... 5 Placements by Quarter and State, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots July-September 1994-95 and April-June 1995 ........................ 15 Quarterly Cattle on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance, 13 States, 1993-95 ................................. 3 Reliability Statement .............................................. 24 The next "Cattle on Feed" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on November 17, 1995. 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