HDR1012000110010310950830CROP PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY HDR2012000110010310950830CRP PROD HIGHLIGHTS Released March 10, 1995, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts refer to March 1, 1995. Orange Production Unchanged All orange production remains at 11.6 million tons, unchanged from the previous forecast but 13 percent above last season. Production of early, mid, and Navel varieties decreased, while production of Valencia oranges increased. Florida's forecast of early and mid-season varieties decreased by 1 million boxes to 120 million boxes (5.40 million tons), based primarily on reduced recorded utilization. That level is down 1 percent from last month but 12 percent above last year. The Florida Valencia forecast increased to 83.0 million boxes (3.74 million tons), up 1 percent from February and up 24 percent from last season. The size of the Valencia fruit is very large and the amount of fruit dropping continues far below normal. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice yield for the 1994-95 season is forecast at 1.51 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This forecast is unchanged from last month but down from last seasons's final yield of 1.57 gallons per box. The projected yield for early and mid-season varieties is 1.44 gallons per box, down from 1.52 gallons per box last season. The Valencia crop is expected to yield 1.63 gallons per box, down from 1.66 gallons per box a year ago. The forecast projects the final yield reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. Report features are located at the end of this report. For information call (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. Cr Pr 2-2 (3-95) HDR2012000110010310950830CRP SUMMRY: AREA PLTD&HRV, US '94-95 DMSTC UNT Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted March 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production :------------------------------------------------------------ Crop and Unit : : Feb 1, : Mar 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 : : 1993-94 1994-95 1994-95 : Oranges 1/ Ton : 10,281 11,634 11,634 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvest begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. HDR2012000110010310950830CRP SUMMRY: AREA PLTD&HRV, US '94-95 MTRC UNT Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted March 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production :------------------------------------------------------------ Crop and Unit : : Feb 1, : Mar 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : : 1993-94 1994-95 1994-95 : Oranges 1/ Ton : 9,326,770 10,554,190 10,554,190 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvest begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. This report was approved on March 10, 1995, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Richard E. Rominger Rich Allen HDR2012000110010310950830CRP SUMMRY: AREA PLTD&HRV, US '94-95 DMSTC UNT Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1993-94 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 948.3 935.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1992-94 (Domestic Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre : Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------ : 1993 : 1994 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Tons ---- ---------- 1,000 Tons -------- Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 32.8 34.0 30,363 31,101 31,816 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000110010310950830CRP SUMMRY: AREA PLTD&HRV, US '94-95 MTRC UNT Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1993-94 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 383,770 378,510 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1992-94 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Hectare: Production Crop :-------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 73.52 76.25 27,544,850 28,214,350 28,862,990 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR1012000110110310950830CROP PRODUCTION STATE TABLES HDR2012000110110310950830CITRUS FRUIT: UTILZ PROD, CRP,ST&US '93-95 Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted March 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production Crop : Boxes : Ton Equivalent and :------------------------------:-------------------------- State : 1992-93 : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1992-93: 1993-94: 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------ 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 700 700 600 26 26 23 CA 4/ : 43,800 36,600 37,000 1,642 1,372 1,388 FL : 114,300 107,300 120,000 5,143 4,829 5,400 TX : 450 480 1,000 20 21 43 US : 159,250 145,080 158,600 6,831 6,248 6,854 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 1,150 1,200 750 43 45 28 CA 4/ : 23,000 26,000 27,000 863 975 1,013 FL : 72,300 66,900 83,000 3,253 3,010 3,735 TX : 60 70 100 2 3 4 US : 96,510 94,170 110,850 4,161 4,033 4,780 All : AZ 4/ : 1,850 1,900 1,350 69 71 51 CA 4/ : 66,800 62,600 64,000 2,505 2,347 2,401 FL : 186,600 174,200 203,000 8,396 7,839 9,135 TX : 510 550 1,100 22 24 47 US : 255,760 239,250 269,450 10,992 10,281 11,634 Temples : FL : 2,500 2,250 2,600 113 102 117 Grapefruit : White Seedless : FL : 25,700 24,500 25,000 1,093 1,042 1,063 Colored Seedless : FL : 27,700 25,500 29,000 1,177 1,084 1,233 Other : FL : 1,750 1,050 1,000 74 45 43 All : AZ 4/ : 2,150 1,750 1,600 69 59 54 CA 4/ 5/ : Desert : 3,500 3,300 3,400 112 111 114 Other Areas : 5,700 5,800 191 194 Total : 9,200 9,100 303 305 FL : 55,150 51,050 55,000 2,344 2,171 2,339 TX : 1,875 3,000 4,300 75 120 172 US : 68,375 64,900 2,791 2,655 Tangerines : AZ 4/ : 950 1,000 700 35 37 26 CA 4/ : 2,100 2,300 2,300 79 86 86 FL : 2,800 4,100 3,500 133 195 166 US : 5,850 7,400 6,500 247 318 278 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 4,400 5,200 4,000 167 197 152 CA : 20,400 20,700 20,500 775 787 779 US : 24,800 25,900 24,500 942 984 931 Tangelos : FL : 3,050 3,350 3,200 137 150 144 K-Early Citrus : FL : 185 210 120 8 9 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruit Footnotes 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with year harvest is completed. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-CA Desert & AZ-64 in 1992-93 and earlier, 67-starting in 1993-94. CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for the current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 5/ The first forecast for California grapefruit "Other Areas" will be as of April 1, 1995. HDR2012000110110310950830PAPAYAS: AREA & FRSH PROD, MNTHLY, HI '94-95 Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------ Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :----------------------------------------: 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --------------- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Jan : 3,375 3,620 2,345 2,345 5,295 4,000 Feb : 3,315 3,660 2,345 2,395 4,100 3,720 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110110310950830SUGRCNE: AREA HRV,YLD&PROD BY USE,ST&US '92-94 Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use, State, and United States, 1992-94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ----- --- 1,000 Tons -- : For Sugar : FL : 425.0 428.0 34.1 35.3 14,512 15,120 HI 2/ : 64.8 61.5 85.0 89.5 5,508 5,504 LA 2/ : 360.0 352.0 22.8 24.0 8,220 8,448 TX 2/ : 43.5 42.5 32.5 30.6 1,412 1,301 : US : 893.3 884.0 33.2 34.4 29,652 30,373 : For Seed : FL : 19.0 17.0 33.7 37.1 640 630 HI 2/ : 5.1 5.0 19.2 23.0 98 115 LA 2/ : 30.0 28.0 22.8 24.0 684 672 TX 2/ : 0.9 1.3 30.0 20.0 27 26 : US : 55.0 51.3 26.3 28.1 1,449 1,443 : For Sugar : and Seed : FL : 444.0 445.0 34.1 35.4 15,152 15,750 HI 2/ : 69.9 66.5 80.2 84.5 5,606 5,619 LA 2/ : 390.0 380.0 22.8 24.0 8,904 9,120 TX 2/ : 44.4 43.8 32.4 30.3 1,439 1,327 : US : 948.3 935.3 32.8 34.0 31,101 31,816 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. 2/ Current estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110310950830FEB WEATHER SUMMRY NARRATIVE February Weather Summary: Like January, February featured a record-setting period of warmth sandwiched between modest cold spells; below-normal snowfall for the majority of the Plains; and locally heavy precipitation in the Southwest. The month was highlighted by a shift to drier- than-normal weather in northern California; a powerful early-month snow storm in the Northeast; and a minor-to-moderate freeze in central Florida. Below-normal temperatures (up to 3 degrees F) were confined to the Northeastern States. From the Great Basin into the Plains, monthly temperatures averaged 5 to 10 degrees F above normal. February records for warmth were established at several observation sites: Location Avg. Temp. (degrees F) Former Record/Year ------------------- ---------------------- ------------------ Los Angeles, CA 65.3 64.6 in 1980 Las Vegas, NV 58.6 55.9 in 1991 Reno, NV 46.0 45.4 in 1907 Grand Junction, CO 43.4 tied 43.4 in 1907 Ely, NV 37.9 36.8 in 1963 In addition, it was the second warmest February on record in Winslow, AZ, and Lompoc, CA. Despite a relatively low number of heavy-precipitation days in the Southwest (February 13-14) and the Southeast (February 15-17 and 27-28), monthly totals were generally above normal. In contrast, precipitation was less than 25 per- cent of normal in northern California, the upper Midwest, and parts of the Plains. Only 0.19 inches of rain fell in Sacramento, CA, the fifth-lowest February total on record. A mere 0.04 inches fell in Oklahoma City, OK, their third-driest February. Madison, WI, observed its driest (0.06 inches), fourth least-snowy (0.7 inches) February. Negligible snow also fell in locations such as Dubuque, IA (0.5 inches), Concordia, KS (0.6 inches), and Missoula, MT (0.9 inches). Snowfall in the North-Central and Central States was most prevalent on February 12-14 and again at month's end, in tandem with the month's Arctic outbreaks. Enough snow fell in Cheyenne, WY (23.3 inches) to set a February record and more than double their season-to-date accumulation. Farther east, the unusually ice-free Great Lakes contributed to above-normal monthly snow totals in South Bend, IN (25.8 inches) and Rochester, NY (23.6 inches). In the Northeast, the season's first widespread snow storm struck on February 4-5, dumping the majority of the month's powder. In the storm's wake, a series of high-pressure systems moved southeastward, culminating in a freeze into central Florida on February 9. Some spring crops were damaged and subsequently replanted. Farther west, winter wheat broke dormancy by February 25 as far north as the central Plains, the result of a week-long warm spell. Cold air returned as March began, preceded and accompanied by snowfall that provided wheat with insulation and beneficial moisture. In Alaska, above-normal temperatures prevailed except during the week (February 19-25) that the Lower 48 was in the midst of its warm spell. Monthly temperatures averaged 6 to 8 degrees F above normal across central and western areas. Precipitation was above normal in the south and west, continuing winter's trend. In fact, by month's end, seasonal snowfall reached 107.5 inches in Nome, breaking the 1931-32 record. In Hawaii, the islands of Kauai and Oahu received significant drought relief. Both Lihue and Honolulu recorded more than 5 inches of rain, breaking 4- to 5-month dry spells. However, dryness persisted at Kahului, Maui (winter-long drought), and Hilo, (3-month dry spell). HDR2012000110110310950830GEN'L CRP COMMENTS NARRATIVE General Crop Comments: February began with rain in northern California that left standing water in low-lying fields, resulting in yellowing of small grains. Rain along the northern Pacific Coast saturated small grain fields and hampered fieldwork. In early February, mild weather allowed Texas wheat producers to apply fertilizer and top-dress wheat fields. Snow, sleet, and rain in the Midwest early in the month produced wet conditions that limited field activities, while the south-central Great Plains enjoyed mild weather. February began with less-than-adequate snow cover in Montana and Wyoming. North Dakota's snow cover was adequate to protect the wheat crop but was below last year's snow cover. Spring-like weather in mid-February in the Northwestern States stimulated fruit tree buds to swell and raised the possi- bility for freeze damage. By mid-month, dryland wheat fields in the Texas Plains remained in critical need of moisture. Surplus soil moisture across the Southeastern States delayed land preparation and nitrogen application to wheat fields. Snowfall from the High Plains to the Midwest protected winter wheat from a mid-month gust of Arctic air. Toward the end of the month, rains and wet soils delayed fieldwork in California, where flood damage to wheat fields became evident as waters receded. In the Southwestern States, the small grains were established and over half of the wheat fields were jointing. Mild weather in the lower Mississippi Valley and the Midwest let early fieldwork begin, while snow melting in Kansas benefited the small grains. By the end of February, wheat broke dormancy and was greening from the southern to the central Great Plains. At month's end, temperatures well above normal depleted most of the snow cover in the Northern States. In the Midwest, the warm weather and lack of significant precipitation allowed farmers to begin tilling and topdressing small grains. Irrigation of small grains in Texas continued whereas most dryland fields showed little growth and remained in need of moisture. Overall, the mild weather during the month improved the wheat across the Nation, with wheat condition generally reported as mostly good to fair. HDR2012000110110310950830CITRUS NARRATIVES Grapefruit: The March 1 forecast of the 1994-95 U.S. grapefruit crop (excluding California's "Other Areas") is 2.68 million tons, down slightly from last month but up 9 percent from last season. Last year, California's "Other Areas" produced 194,000 tons (5.80 million boxes). The first forecast for that type of grapefruit will be April 1, 1995. Florida's grapefruit forecast is 55.0 million boxes (2.34 million tons), down 1 percent from the February 1 forecast but up 8 percent from last season. This month's decline came from a drop in the seedy variety from 1.50 million boxes last month to 1.00 million boxes (43,000 tons). Utilization has been as strong as expected. The white seedless variety remained at 25.0 million boxes (1.06 million tons) as did the colored seedless at 29.0 million boxes (1.23 million tons). The Texas grapefruit forecast increased to 4.30 million boxes (172,000 tons), up 8 percent from last month and 43 percent more than last season. The forecast for California desert grapefruit is carried forward from January 1, at 3.40 mil- lion boxes (114,000 tons), up 3 percent from last season. The Arizona grape- fruit forecast is also carried forward at 1.60 million boxes (54,000 tons), down 9 percent from last season. Tangelos: The Florida tangelo forecast remained 3.20 million boxes (144,000 tons), unchanged from last month but 4 percent smaller than last year. Movement of tangelos is almost complete for the season with nearly 3.00 million boxes utilized. Tangerines: The 1994-95 tangerine crop is forecast at 278,000 tons, unchanged from February and 13 percent less than last season. The Florida tangerine forecast is 3.50 million boxes (166,000 tons), unchanged from last month but down 15 percent from last year. More than 800,000 boxes of Florida's honey tangerines were picked, with movement continuing at a steady pace. Harvest of all other Florida tangerines ended for this season. The California tangerine forecast was carried forward from January at 2.30 million boxes (86,000 tons) and the Arizona forecast was carried forward at 700,000 boxes (26,000 tons). Temples: The March 1 forecast for the 1994-95 Florida Temple production was unchanged from February at 2.60 million boxes (117,000 tons), 16 percent above last season's production. Harvest was active in February. Slightly more than 2.20 million boxes were used to date. HDR2012000110110310950830FL CITRUS NARRATIVE Florida Citrus: Most of Florida's citrus groves were in good condition in February. The month was drier than average with two or more mornings of freezing temperatures and frost. The cold weather caused little tree damage. Some leaf burn occurred in cold pockets and lowlands but was insignificant on an industry basis. By the end of February, there was an abundance of swelling bloom buds with a few open flowers. Harvesting of early and midseason oranges slowed during February as supplies shrank by the end of the month with almost 113 million boxes certified. Valencia utilization for fresh and processing totaled almost 4.00 million boxes at the end of the month. Movement of all grapefruit increased with almost 32.0 million boxes used. HDR2012000110110310950830TX CITRUS NARRATIVE Texas Citrus: Harvesting of early and midseason oranges was virtually complete with the harvest of Valencias getting underway. Grapefruit harvest progressed without delay and passed the halfway point. In spite of good fruit quality, markets remained depressed. Some insect problems existed in parts of the Valley. HDR2012000110110310950830CA FRUIT & NUTS NARRATIVE California Fruit and Nuts: The Central Valley experienced an extremely foggy February following January's wet weather. Little rain fell and temperatures were warmer than normal throughout the month. Activities included orchard and vineyard pruning, brush shredding, and vine tying. Dormant sprays were applied aerially, in some places because of saturated soil. Early grapes showed signs of budding and leafing out. Bees were moved into almond orchards for pollination. By the end of the month, almond bloom was nearly complete. Early variety peaches, prunes, apricots, and nectarines also bloomed. Growers sprayed stone fruit for blossom rot. Apples were packed from cold storage. The avocado harvest continued. Preparations continued for spring strawberry picking but production remained slow. HDR2012000110110310950830CA CITRUS NARRATIVE California Citrus: Citrus growers harvested navel oranges and lemons for the domestic and export markets. The Navel orange grade-out increased as the end of the month neared. The Valencia orange harvest started and the desert grapefruit harvest continued. HDR2012000110110310950830PAPAYAS NARRATIVE Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.72 million pounds for February, 7 percent lower than January and 9 percent lower than a year ago. Weather conditions during February were variable with only light showers over major papaya producing areas. Soil moisture levels are low. The majority of papaya orchards are not irrigated and need moisture to avoid adverse effects in the future. Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,660 acres, 1 percent more than January and 10 percent more than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 2,395 acres, was 2 percent more than both last month and last February. Changes to the Hawaii papaya table reflect the end of monthly papaya forecasts. This resulted from elimination of Hawaii State and Papaya Industry funding for the objective measurement survey which provided data for the forecast. HDR2012000110110310950830SUGARCANE NARRATIVE Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 1994 is estimated at a record high of 31.8 million tons. This is unchanged from the February "Crop Production" report but represents a 2 percent increase from last year's output. The Florida forecast was evaluated and resulted in no change to production. Cold temperatures in Florida for early February did not affect the sugarcane yields. The delays early in the season did not slow the harvest as much as anticipated and the mills are expected to close on time this year. The forecast from Hawaii, Louisiana, and Texas were carried forward from an earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110310950830NXT RPRT RLSE,FEATURES& EEO STATEMENT Report Features The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on April 11, 1995. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843 Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526 Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7681 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068 Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats (202) 720-7369 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285 Roger Latham - Cotton, Hay (202) 720-5944 Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202) 720-4215 Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157 Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits, Peanuts (202) 720-7688 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD). To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C., 20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal employment opportunity employer.