HDR1012000110010612950830CROP PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY HDR2012000110010612950830CRP HIGHLIGHTS Released June 12, 1995, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts refer to June 1, 1995. Winter Wheat Production Down 2 Percent From May Forecast Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.61 billion bushels, down 2 percent from May 1 and down 3 percent from 1994. Area for grain harvest is 40.6 million acres, down 100,000 acres from May 1 due to a decrease in Montana. Yields are now expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, down 0.6 bushels from both last month and last year. Most Soft Red Winter declines are attributable to flooding and disease, which are the same factors that lowered Oklahoma's yield prospects. Crop conditions vary considerably within States. Overall, head counts are a record high, but are offset by very low spikelet counts. Index and report features are located at the end of this report. For information call (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. Cr Pr 2-2 (6-95) Orange Production Approaches Record Orange production for the 1994-95 season is forecast at 11.75 million tons (272 million boxes), up slightly from the previous forecast and 14 percent above last season. That level of output falls just 81,000 tons below the current record of 11.83 million tons (274 million boxes) set by the 1979-80 crop. Early, mid-season, and Navel orange volume did not change but production of Valencias increased. Florida's production of all oranges reached 206 million boxes (9.26 million tons), up slightly from May and 18 percent above last season. The Florida total nearly approaches its record high of 206.7 million boxes set during 1979-80. Their Valencia forecast increased once again to 86.0 million boxes (3.87 million tons), up 1 percent from May and 29 percent above last season. Early and mid-season variety production remained at 120 million boxes (5.39 million tons), 12 percent above last year. Harvest of early, mid, and Navel varieties is complete. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice yield for the 1994-95 season is forecast at 1.50 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This forecast is unchanged from last month but down from last season's final yield of 1.57 gallons per box. The final yield for early and mid-season varieties is 1.44 gallons per box, down from 1.52 gallons per box last season. The Valencia crop is expected to yield 1.59 gallons per box, unchanged from last month and down from 1.66 gallons per box a year ago. The forecast projects the final yield reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. This report was approved on June 12, 1995, by the Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Dan Glickman Rich Allen HDR2012000110010612950830CRP SUMRY AC PLTD&HRVD,US '94-95 DMSTC UNTS Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : Winter Wheat : 49,247 49,252 41,335 40,623 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110010612950830CRP SMRY YLD PER AC&PROD,US '94-95 DMSTC UNTS Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Acre: Production :---------------------------------------------------- Crop and Unit : : : : May 1, : Jun 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------------- 1,000 ------------ : Winter Wheat Bu : 40.2 39.6 1,661,043 1,638,211 1,608,396 Peaches Lb : 2,187,000 1,880,000 Apricots (CA) Ton : 150.0 70.0 Dried Prunes (CA) " : 193.0 185.0 : Citrus Fruits 1/ : 1993-94 1994-95 1994-95 : Oranges Ton : 10,281 11,706 11,751 Grapefruit " : 2,655 2,906 2,906 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. HDR2012000110010612950830CRP SUMRY AC PLTD&HRVD,US '94-95 MTRC UNTS Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : Winter Wheat : 19,929,770 19,931,790 16,727,860 16,439,720 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110010612950830CRP SMRY YLD PER HEC&PROD,US, '94-95 MTRC UNTS Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Yield per Hectare: Production :------------------------------------------------------- Crop : : : : May 1, : Jun 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Winter Wheat : 2.70 2.66 45,206,180 44,584,800 43,773,370 Peaches : 992,010 852,750 Apricots (CA) : 136,080 63,500 Dried Prunes (CA) : 175,090 167,830 : Citrus Fruits 1/ : 1993-94 1994-95 1994-95 : Oranges : 9,326,770 10,619,500 10,660,330 Grapefruit : 2,408,580 2,636,280 2,636,280 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. HDR1012000110110612950830CROP PRODUCTION STATE TABLES HDR2012000110110612950830WNTR WHT AC HRVD,YLD&PROD ST&US, '94-95 Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : May 1 : Jun 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 95 95 48.0 38.0 38.0 4,560 3,610 AZ 1/ : 28 23 94.0 95.0 95.0 2,632 2,185 AR : 880 1,000 46.0 45.0 45.0 40,480 45,000 CA : 510 440 76.0 70.0 70.0 38,760 30,800 CO : 2,550 2,500 30.0 34.0 34.0 76,500 85,000 DE 1/ : 70 60 54.0 55.0 55.0 3,780 3,300 FL 1/ : 15 17 42.0 42.0 42.0 630 714 GA : 400 340 51.0 38.0 38.0 20,400 12,920 ID : 790 770 72.0 69.0 71.0 56,880 54,670 IL : 900 1,400 56.0 57.0 53.0 50,400 74,200 IN : 630 660 61.0 63.0 63.0 38,430 41,580 IA 1/ : 45 45 47.0 45.0 45.0 2,115 2,025 KS : 11,400 10,700 38.0 35.0 35.0 433,200 374,500 KY : 420 460 60.0 54.0 53.0 25,200 24,380 LA 1/ : 70 80 37.0 40.0 40.0 2,590 3,200 MD 1/ : 220 210 55.0 57.0 57.0 12,100 11,970 MI : 580 600 53.0 55.0 55.0 30,740 33,000 MN 1/ : 37 33 29.0 35.0 35.0 1,073 1,155 MS : 160 175 40.0 40.0 37.0 6,400 6,475 MO : 1,100 1,200 45.0 45.0 43.0 49,500 51,600 MT : 1,850 1,500 35.0 35.0 35.0 64,750 52,500 NE : 2,100 2,000 34.0 38.0 39.0 71,400 78,000 NV 1/ : 5 4 90.0 100.0 100.0 450 400 NJ 1/ : 32 26 42.0 43.0 43.0 1,344 1,118 NM 1/ : 230 200 24.0 27.0 27.0 5,520 5,400 NY 1/ : 115 115 53.0 53.0 53.0 6,095 6,095 NC : 620 680 49.0 43.0 42.0 30,380 28,560 ND 1/ : 38 38 33.0 33.0 33.0 1,254 1,254 OH : 1,180 1,210 58.0 57.0 59.0 68,440 71,390 OK : 5,300 5,200 27.0 31.0 27.0 143,100 140,400 OR : 870 800 64.0 63.0 63.0 55,680 50,400 PA 1/ : 165 185 48.0 52.0 52.0 7,920 9,620 SC : 360 290 50.0 35.0 35.0 18,000 10,150 SD : 1,350 1,400 32.0 35.0 36.0 43,200 50,400 TN : 300 330 50.0 42.0 45.0 15,000 14,850 TX : 2,900 3,000 26.0 28.0 28.0 75,400 84,000 UT 1/ : 150 135 40.0 39.0 39.0 6,000 5,265 VA 1/ : 250 275 56.0 55.0 55.0 14,000 15,125 WA : 2,300 2,100 54.0 54.0 52.0 124,200 109,200 WV 1/ : 10 12 55.0 50.0 50.0 550 600 WI 1/ : 130 135 59.0 51.0 51.0 7,670 6,885 WY 1/ : 180 180 24.0 25.0 25.0 4,320 4,500 : US : 41,335 40,623 40.2 40.2 39.6 1,661,043 1,608,396 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110612950830DRM WHT AC HRVD,YLD&PROD ST&US, '94-95 Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State: : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : May 1 : Jun 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AZ : 94 98 91.0 90.0 88.0 8,554 8,624 CA : 59 68 95.0 97.0 97.0 5,605 6,596 MN : 35 25.0 875 MT : 178 30.0 5,340 ND : 2,350 32.5 76,375 SD : 23 26.0 598 : US : 2,739 35.5 97,347 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Harvested area for U.S. and northern States available in "Acreage" released June 30, 1995. Yield and production for U.S. and northern States to be published in July "Crop Production" released July 12, 1995. HDR2012000110110612950830WHT PROD BY CL,US, '93-94 Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : Durum : White : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 1993 : 1,065,941 401,326 292,876 511,814 70,476 54,007 2,396,440 1994 : 971,134 433,335 256,574 515,392 97,347 46,828 2,320,610 1995 : 919,817 452,852 235,727 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data available for wheat producing States. Unless unusual situations dictate, the previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. HDR2012000110110612950830SWT CHERRIES: TL PROD ST&TL, '93-95 Sweet Cherries: Total Production by State and Total, 1993-94 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Total Production State :------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Tons : CA : 19,000 52,000 15,000 OR : 34,000 42,000 30,000 WA : 80,000 82,000 66,000 : Total : 133,000 176,000 111,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ The first production forecast for sweet cherries in ID, MI, MT, NY, PA, and UT and tart cherries in CO, MI, NY, OR, PA, UT, and WI will be published on June 29, 1995. HDR2012000110110612950830PEACHES: TL PROD BY CRP,ST&US '93-95 Peaches: Total Production by Crop, State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Total Production State :------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Million Pounds : CA - Freestone : 603.0 632.0 540.0 GA : 150.0 175.0 160.0 SC : 220.0 250.0 240.0 : Total Above : 973.0 1,057.0 940.0 : CA - Clingstone 1/ : 1,097.0 1,130.0 940.0 : Total : 2,070.0 2,187.0 1,880.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ CA Clingstone is over-the-scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery diversions. HDR2012000110110612950830CITRS FRT: UT PROD CRP,ST&US '93-95 Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production Crop : Boxes : Ton Equivalent and :--------------------------------------------------------- State : 1992-93 : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1992-93: 1993-94: 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------ 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 700 700 500 26 26 19 CA 4/ : 43,800 36,600 37,000 1,642 1,372 1,388 FL : 114,300 107,300 119,700 5,143 4,829 5,387 TX : 450 480 950 20 21 40 US : 159,250 145,080 158,150 6,831 6,248 6,834 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 1,150 1,200 800 43 45 30 CA 4/ : 23,000 26,000 27,000 863 975 1,013 FL : 72,300 66,900 86,000 3,253 3,010 3,870 TX : 60 70 100 2 3 4 US : 96,510 94,170 113,900 4,161 4,033 4,917 All : AZ 4/ : 1,850 1,900 1,300 69 71 49 CA 4/ : 66,800 62,600 64,000 2,505 2,347 2,401 FL : 186,600 174,200 205,700 8,396 7,839 9,257 TX : 510 550 1,050 22 24 44 US : 255,760 239,250 272,050 10,992 10,281 11,751 Temples : FL : 2,500 2,250 2,550 113 102 115 Grapefruit : White Seedless : FL : 25,700 24,500 25,700 1,093 1,042 1,092 Colored Seedless : FL : 27,700 25,500 28,800 1,177 1,084 1,224 Other : FL : 1,750 1,050 1,300 74 45 55 All : AZ 4/ : 2,150 1,750 1,400 69 59 47 CA 4/ : Desert : 3,500 3,300 3,300 112 111 111 Other Areas : 5,700 5,800 6,000 191 194 201 Total : 9,200 9,100 9,300 303 305 312 FL : 55,150 51,050 55,800 2,344 2,171 2,371 TX : 1,875 3,000 4,400 75 120 176 US : 68,375 64,900 70,900 2,791 2,655 2,906 Tangerines : AZ 4/ : 950 1,000 650 35 37 24 CA 4/ : 2,100 2,300 2,300 79 86 86 FL : 2,800 4,100 3,550 133 195 169 US : 5,850 7,400 6,500 247 318 279 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 4,400 5,200 4,000 167 197 152 CA : 20,400 20,700 20,500 775 787 779 US : 24,800 25,900 24,500 942 984 931 Tangelos : FL : 3,050 3,350 3,150 137 150 142 K-Early Citrus : FL : 185 210 120 8 9 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruit Footnotes 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with year harvest is completed. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-CA Desert & AZ-64 in 1992-93 and earlier, 67-starting in 1993-94. CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110612950830BRTLT PEARS: TL PROD,ST&TL '93-95 Bartlett Pears: Total Production by State and Total, 1993-94 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Total Production State :------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 1/ : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Tons : CA : 288,000 333,000 265,000 OR : 63,000 83,000 70,000 WA : 163,000 174,000 175,000 : Total : 514,000 590,000 510,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Revised. HDR2012000110110612950830MSC FRT: TL PROD BY CRP&ST '93-95 Miscellaneous Fruits: Total Production by Crop and State, 1993-94 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Total Production Crop and State :---------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Tons Prunes (Dried Basis) : CA : 121,000 193,000 185,000 : Apricots : 89,000 150,000 70,000 CA : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110110612950830PAPAYAS: AREA & FRSH PROD, BY MNTH, HI '94-95 Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------ Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :----------------------------------------: 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --------------- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Apr : 3,305 3,740 2,260 2,535 4,050 3,035 May : 3,330 3,765 2,285 2,525 5,045 2,825 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110110612950830HOPS: AREA HRVD,VRTY,ST&US, '93-95 Hops: Area Harvested, by Variety, State, and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted June 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : Area Harvested : Strung for Harvest and :----------------------------------------------------------- Variety : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Acres ID : Banner : 137 138 103 Chinook : 318 351 349 Cluster : 694 821 789 Galena : 635 616 650 : Other Varieties : 2,177 2,111 2,087 : Total : 3,961 4,037 3,978 : OR : Chinook : 60 Fuggles : 465 470 547 Galena : 85 80 Mt Hood : 240 265 287 Nugget : 2,450 2,450 3,025 Perle : 272 175 154 Tettnang : 545 655 976 Willamette : 3,482 3,570 3,260 : Other Varieties : 361 335 332 : Total : 7,900 8,000 8,641 : WA : Aquila : 72 * * Banner : 182 * * Cascade : 1,365 1,334 1,121 Chinook : 2,427 2,305 2,272 Cluster : 5,983 5,308 5,237 Eroica : 446 445 Galena : 8,464 8,252 8,388 Hallertauer : * Liberty : 119 133 Mt Hood : 1,828 1,805 1,219 Northern Brewer : 57 58 Nugget : 4,060 4,541 5,148 Olympic : 261 225 244 Perle : 670 382 251 Tettnang : 2,190 2,160 2,242 Willamette : 2,843 2,776 2,889 : Other Varieties : 448 665 1,165 : Total : 31,239 30,375 30,812 : US : 43,100 42,412 43,431 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Included in Other Varieties to avoid disclosure of individual operations. HDR2012000110110612950830SGRBTS: AREA PLTD&HRVD,YLD,PROD,PR&VL,ST&US Sugarbeets: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, Production, Price, and Value by State and United States, 1993-94 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested : Yield State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1993 : 1994 2/ : 1993 : 1994 2/ : 1993 : 1994 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- ---- Tons ---- : CA : 138.0 143.0 136.0 141.0 26.0 29.0 CO : 40.3 44.3 40.0 43.2 23.1 21.9 ID : 206.0 202.0 204.0 201.0 23.2 27.9 MI : 189.0 195.0 187.0 187.0 17.0 16.2 MN : 390.0 415.0 379.0 411.0 14.1 20.6 MT : 54.4 54.3 54.1 54.0 21.6 24.2 NE : 82.3 82.1 79.6 74.1 18.5 20.3 ND : 193.8 205.8 190.9 201.5 16.3 21.2 OH : 19.1 17.0 17.5 16.0 12.1 16.5 OR : 16.0 16.7 15.2 16.4 24.5 27.8 TX : 40.3 25.4 39.2 24.5 21.0 20.3 WY : 66.0 63.0 64.4 61.3 19.7 18.0 : Oth : Sts 3/: 2.5 12.2 2.5 12.0 41.2 37.7 : US : 1,437.7 1,475.8 1,409.4 1,443.0 18.6 22.2 :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production : Price per ton : Value of Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1993 : 1994 2/ : 1993 : 1994 4/ : 1993 : 1994 4/ :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --- 1,000 Tons --- --- Dollars --- --- 1,000 Dollars -- : CA : 3,536 4,089 35.50 125,528 CO : 924 946 38.40 35,482 ID : 4,733 5,608 41.20 195,000 MI : 3,179 3,029 35.80 113,808 MN : 5,344 8,467 40.90 218,570 MT : 1,169 1,307 43.60 50,968 NE : 1,473 1,504 35.70 52,586 ND : 3,112 4,272 41.10 127,903 OH : 212 264 OR : 372 456 40.10 14,917 TX : 823 497 31.00 25,513 WY : 1,269 1,103 40.70 51,648 : Oth : Sts 5/: 103 452 37.30 11,764 : US : 26,249 31,994 39.00 1,023,687 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in California. 2/ Revised. 3/ Includes NM and WA. 4/ Estimates are not available. U.S. 1994 price and value will be published in "Agricultural Prices," July 31, 1995. State estimates will be published in "Crop Values", January 1996. 5/ Production data relates to NM and WA. Price and value data for OH are included to avoid disclosure of factory data. HDR2012000110110612950830SGRCNE: AREA HRVD,YLD,PROD,PR&VL,ST&US Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, Price, and Value by State and United States, 1993-94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1993 : 1994 2/ : 1993 : 1994 2/ : 1993 : 1994 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ----- Tons ----- -- 1,000 Tons -- For Sugar : FL : 425.0 423.0 34.1 33.6 14,512 14,216 HI : 64.8 64.3 85.0 81.9 5,508 5,266 LA : 360.0 352.0 22.8 24.4 8,220 8,589 TX : 43.5 42.4 32.5 31.5 1,412 1,334 : US : 893.3 881.7 33.2 33.4 29,652 29,405 : For Seed : FL : 19.0 21.0 33.7 34.3 640 721 HI : 5.1 5.0 19.2 19.6 98 98 LA : 30.0 28.0 22.8 24.4 684 683 TX : 0.9 1.1 30.0 20.0 27 22 : US : 55.0 55.1 26.3 27.7 1,449 1,524 : For Sugar : and Seed : FL : 444.0 444.0 34.1 33.6 15,152 14,937 HI : 69.9 69.3 80.2 77.4 5,606 5,364 LA : 390.0 380.0 22.8 24.4 8,904 9,272 TX : 44.4 43.5 32.4 31.2 1,439 1,356 : US : 948.3 936.8 32.8 33.0 31,101 30,929 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : For Sugar : For Sugar and Seed :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Price per Ton :Value of Production :Value of Production 3/ :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1993 : 1994 4/ : 1993 : 1994 4/: 1993 : 1994 4/ :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Dollars 1,000 Dollars : FL : 30.40 441,165 460,621 HI : 29.60 163,037 165,938 LA : 25.00 205,500 222,600 TX : 25.80 36,430 37,126 : US : 28.50 846,132 886,285 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield and Production refer to net weight. 2/ Revised. 3/ Price per ton of cane for sugar used in evaluating value of production for seed. 4/ Estimates are not available. U.S. 1994 price and value will be published in "Agricultural Prices," July 31, 1995. State estimates will be published in "Crop Values", January 1996. HDR2012000110110612950830SWTPOT: AREA PLTD&HRVD,YLD,PROD,PR&VL,ST&US Sweet Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1993-94 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.2 CA : 8.3 8.2 8.3 8.2 GA : 3.2 2.5 3.0 2.4 LA : 17.0 20.0 16.5 19.0 MD : 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 MS : 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 NJ : 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 NC : 33.0 35.0 32.0 34.0 SC : 2.4 2.0 2.2 1.9 TX : 6.3 5.7 6.0 5.4 VA : 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 : US : 83.1 86.1 80.2 82.8 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Cwt -------- ---- 1,000 Cwt ---- : AL : 160 190 704 798 CA : 210 205 1,743 1,681 GA : 130 150 390 360 LA : 125 160 2,063 3,040 MD : 100 70 30 21 MS : 120 170 660 935 NJ : 105 110 147 154 NC : 130 155 4,160 5,270 SC : 85 115 187 219 TX : 150 155 900 837 VA : 115 160 69 80 : US : 138 162 11,053 13,395 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. HDR2012000110110612950830MPLSYP:PROD,PR&VL,ST&US '94-95 Maple Syrup: Production, Price, and Value by State and United States, 1994-95 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average Price : Value of : Production : per Gallon : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Gallons - Dollars - -- 1,000 Dollars -- : CT : 11 7 42.80 42.50 471 298 ME : 150 162 14.30 14.50 2,145 2,349 MA : 40 29 36.40 33.00 1,456 957 MI : 85 55 29.30 25.10 2,491 1,381 NH : 73 64 34.80 33.00 2,540 2,112 NY : 251 208 24.50 25.10 6,150 5,221 OH : 90 65 26.00 23.70 2,340 1,541 PA : 59 43 25.90 23.40 1,528 1,006 VT : 435 365 23.90 24.00 10,397 8,760 WI : 130 98 21.00 19.10 2,730 1,872 : US : 1,324 1,096 24.40 23.30 32,248 25,497 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Price and value for 1994 are revised. Price and value for 1995 are preliminary. HDR2012000110110612950830MPLSYP:PCT OF SLS,TYP&ST, '93-94 Maple Syrup: Percent of Sales by Type and State, 1993-94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Retail : Wholesale and Bulk State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Percent : CT : 85 80 15 20 ME : 6 5 94 95 MA : 65 65 35 35 MI : 53 54 47 46 NH : 60 60 40 40 NY : 31 44 69 56 OH : 83 70 17 30 PA : 60 52 40 48 VT : 35 35 65 65 WI : 40 24 60 76 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Maple Syrup: Price by Type of Sales and Size of Container by State, 1993-94 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Gallons : 1/2 Gallons : Quarts : Pints : 1/2 Pints and :-------------------------------------------------------------------- State :1993 :1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Dollars Retail : CT :33.80 33.90 19.50 19.60 10.90 10.80 6.55 6.55 4.25 4.10 ME :31.30 32.40 17.00 17.60 9.40 9.75 5.50 5.80 3.15 3.80 MA :31.40 32.50 17.60 18.30 10.10 10.70 6.25 6.35 4.15 3.95 MI :24.20 28.70 15.40 16.20 8.34 8.92 5.31 5.48 3.31 3.29 NH :31.00 30.10 17.20 17.60 10.40 10.40 6.10 6.40 3.60 3.70 NY :26.80 30.00 15.80 15.90 8.90 9.00 5.40 5.60 3.50 3.30 OH :26.10 26.10 15.60 15.10 8.70 8.40 5.50 5.40 4.00 3.40 PA :27.10 25.80 14.60 14.80 8.30 8.60 4.40 5.40 3.50 3.50 VT :26.60 26.90 16.00 15.50 9.50 9.40 5.90 5.90 3.85 3.75 WI :23.80 23.00 12.20 13.00 6.60 6.80 4.30 4.20 2.60 2.75 : Wholesale : CT 2/ : 16.20 17.20 8.40 9.40 5.00 5.50 3.20 3.20 ME :22.60 25.40 13.30 16.20 7.10 7.05 4.20 4.25 2.50 2.55 MA :24.90 25.60 14.80 15.10 8.10 8.40 4.85 4.60 2.80 2.80 MI :21.50 24.90 12.40 14.10 6.40 7.05 3.98 3.96 1.62 2.72 NH :23.00 23.30 14.10 13.30 8.20 7.60 4.60 4.45 2.75 2.60 NY :19.70 21.50 13.40 13.40 7.30 7.80 4.10 4.40 2.80 2.70 OH :20.80 20.50 13.00 12.00 7.00 6.40 4.50 3.80 3.30 2.60 PA :23.20 23.20 12.30 13.50 6.30 7.30 3.60 4.40 2.80 2.80 VT :20.40 21.90 13.80 13.00 7.85 7.50 4.55 4.50 2.90 2.85 WI :16.30 20.90 12.20 13.00 6.10 6.80 3.50 3.70 2.10 2.50 :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : Bulk All Grades : Bulk All Grades : All Sales :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : Dollars per Pound Dollars per Gallon Equivalent per Gallon Bulk : CT 2/ : 43.20 42.80 ME : 1.10 1.10 12.13 12.13 14.30 14.30 MA : 1.22 1.30 13.46 14.10 33.70 36.40 MI : 1.38 1.65 15.16 18.20 25.50 29.30 NH : 1.17 1.21 12.91 13.35 35.50 34.80 NY : 1.11 1.25 12.20 13.80 18.70 24.50 OH : 1.20 1.40 13.20 15.60 29.70 26.00 PA : 1.15 1.10 12.70 12.00 24.10 25.90 VT : 1.31 1.30 14.45 14.35 24.00 23.90 WI : 1.11 1.21 12.25 13.30 19.80 21.00 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Prices for 1994 are revised. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. HDR1012000110120612950830Crop Production Narrative HDR2012000110120612950830Crop Moisture Narrative Crop Moisture Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season. Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations. Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile, or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months, years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index. HDR2012000110120612950830Drought Severity Narrative Drought Severity Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as evaportranspiration. Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in aquifers, reservoirs, and streams. Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this is indicated by the crop moisture index). HDR2012000110120612950830May Weather Summary May Weather Summary: Strong and frequent storms traveled either eastward or northeastward from the Southwest, hindering crop planting and development in the northern and central Plains as well as the Midwest. Persistent storminess and heavy runoff culminated in severe late-spring flooding in the Central States. Precipitation totaled more than twice the May normal in a broad swath from northern California to the Ohio Valley. In contrast, drier-than-normal conditions prevailed in the Northeast, Northwest, and Southeast. Dryness in the Southeast was accompanied by very warm weather, with departures up to +4 degrees F. Meanwhile, the central Rockies and central High Plains observed temperatures 6 to 7 degrees F below normal. With the combination of persistent cloud cover, frequent rain, and wet soils, daytime high temperatures averaged 11 degrees F below normal in Denver, CO, and 10 degrees F below normal in Cheyenne, WY. It was the second coldest May on record in Denver, behind 1917; and the fourth coldest, third wettest May in Cheyenne, which also collected 2.6 inches of snow. Early in the month, heavy snow fell as far south as Flagstaff, AZ (4.9 inches in 24 hours on May 6-7). Farther north, frosts occurred in North Dakota and Montana as late as May 25 and 27, respectively. In addition, a low of 32 degrees F in Goodland, KS on May 25 was 3 weeks after their normal last-freeze date. Localized torrential rainfall struck the central Gulf Coast on May 8-10, one of the month's few events not to drench the Central States. In New Orleans, 12.24 inches fell in 24 hours on May 8-9, propelling their monthly total to an all-time record (for any month) of 21.18 inches, surpassing the 19.81-inch total of November 1989. Their former May record was 14.33 inches in 1959. Evansville, IN experienced its second-wettest month all-time (13.51 inches), behind only the 14.78-inch total of January 1937. Record or near-record May rainfall totals were measured at many other stations, including: Location Amount (inches) Remarks -------------- -------------- -------------------------- St. Louis, MO 12.92 wettest May on record Kansas City, MO 12.75 wettest May on record Columbia, MO 12.31 2nd wettest (13.34" in 1943) Louisville, KY 9.48 4th wettest (1990, 1983, 1927) Lexington, KY 8.97 3rd wettest (1983, 1935) Indianapolis, IN 7.37 4th wettest in last 30 years Casper, WY 6.31 2nd wettest (6.46" in 1978) Cheyenne, WY 6.00 3rd wettest (1904, 1908) Salt Lake City, UT 3.68 3rd wettest (1977, 1993) Grand Junction, CO 2.04 wettest May since 1904 In addition to Salt Lake City's near-record total, eleven locations in Utah's dense cooperative network reported record May rainfall, with totals ranging from 253 to 390 percent of normal. In Grand Junction, a trace or more of rain fell on 20 days, tying the May record set in 1917. Heavy rainfall did not cause problems everywhere. In Texas, San Antonio's monthly rainfall of 5.36 inches surpassed their previous 4-month total of 4.06 inches, easing dryness. However, an 8-month warm spell, dating to October 1994, continued in San Antonio, as monthly temperatures averaged 3 degrees F above normal. Heat became oppressive across southern Texas and the Southeast during the month. Laredo, TX notched a high of 114 degrees F on May 13. Persistent heat gripped Florida, where several May monthly average temperature records were broken, including: Location Temperature (degrees F) Previous / Year -------------- ---------------------- ------------------------- Key West 83.5 82.8 in 1967 Miami Beach 82.5 79.7 in 1994 Miami Int'l 82.1 81.5 in 1991 Tampa 81.7 81.5 in 1975 Ft. Lauderdale 81.2 80.2 in 1953 Hollywood 81.2 79.8 in 1978 Orlando 80.2 records to 1944 Melbourne 79.2 records to 1948 Highs reached or exceeded 90 degrees F in Tampa on 16 consecutive days (May 4- 19), setting a May record. In addition, nine daily-record highs were tied or broken. Similarly, eight daily-records were tied or broken in Melbourne. Farther north, Atlanta, GA had its hottest May this century (74.3 degrees F; 5.1 degrees F above normal). Warmth also blanketed the Pacific Northwest, where Seattle, WA noted its second-warmest May. Their average temperature of 60.3 degrees F was 5.2 degrees above normal and only 0.1 degree shy of the 1958 record. Seattle's month ended with a record-setting 12-day string of 75-degree, or warmer, days. In contrast, coastal New England failed to experience a high of 70 degrees F until well into May. Highs finally broke the 70-degree barrier in Boston, MA on May 18, and in Portland, ME on May 22, in both cases the latest calendar date for that event. Subnormal precipitation accompanied the cool weather, as Albany, NY reported its ninth consecutive drier-than-normal month. With an active storm track and a sharp temperature contrast, severe thunderstorms were commonplace. From May 8-18, nearly 300 tornadic thunderstorms swept across the Plains and the Midwest. But the month's most damaging severe-weather event (in terms of loss of human life and damage to infrastructure) was a hail-, rain-, and windstorm that struck seventeen northern Texas counties on May 5. HDR2012000110120612950830General Crop Comments General Crop Comments: Dark storm clouds hovered over the central States for most of May delaying spring plantings. Numerous spring storms brought excessive moisture and cool weather to the central Great Plains and middle Mississippi Valley, leaving row crop planting progress behind normal for the month. For most of May, many Midwestern States reported fewer than 2 days suitable for fieldwork each week. The predominately wet weather and low soil temperatures early in the month hampered fieldwork. The saturated soils delayed row crop planting, and slowed the development of emerged crops. Soil conditions in the Southeast remained dry for most of the month, causing some producers to delay planting until sufficient moisture was received. Later in the month, torrential rains flooded fields in the Delta requiring some replanting. Recurring storm systems left surplus soil moisture conditions throughout the middle Mississippi Valley and northern Great Plains, further delaying row crop planting. Early emerged corn plants were yellowed due to excessive moisture in the Corn Belt. Widespread cloud cover and cool, wet weather resulted in increased occurrences of foliar diseases in small grains across the central Great Plains to the Ohio Valley. Surplus soil moisture and low soil temperatures in the Great Plains slowed crop development and stalled planting. Hot, dry weather continued throughout the month in the Southeastern States causing some producers to replant due to poor germination. Continued damp fields stressed crops in the middle Mississippi Valley and flash flooding and standing water caused many fields to be replanted. Cool weather for mid-May, in the Southern Great Plains, slowed cotton development. By mid- month, row crop and small grain planting progress was 2 to 3 weeks behind the average for many Midwestern and Northern States. Saturated fields in the Northern States left small grain seeding 3 weeks behind schedule forcing some producers to change their planting intentions. Wet field conditions promoted weed growth but also prevented farmers from implementing weed control. The end of May brought continued rainy, cool weather and many producers in the Western Corn Belt and some Northern State were forced to switch to shorter season varieties. By the months end many Midwestern farmers were still trying to complete corn planting before resuming soybean planting. Also intense heat across the southern Great Plains and unusually dry weather for the Southeastern States lowered crop condition. HDR2012000110120612950830Winter Wheat Winter Wheat: Area for grain is forecast at 40.6 million acres. This is down 100,000 acres from May 1 and 2 percent less than in 1994. The monthly decline is in Montana where poor stands have been plowed up and re- seeded to spring wheat. Cool, wet weather has slowed crop development in Colorado and South Dakota. Incidences of wet weather disease have increased in Nebraska. Harvest in the blacklands area of Texas has been delayed by rain; cutting should begin soon in the cross timbers as fields dry up. California's harvest is about ten days behind schedule; just getting started in the San Joaquin Valley. Georgia harvest was progressing ahead of normal as of June 4. Southwest Indiana fields have water standing in low lying areas. No major disease problems have been seen as of early June. Lower than expected harvested yields have reduced Mississippi prospects. Ohio's crop is maturing faster than normal staying ahead of disease pressures. Idaho's crop has improved since May 1, as has Oregon's. Both crops are developing late. HDR2012000110120612950830Durum Wheat Durum Wheat: 1995 durum production in Arizona and California is forecast at 8.62 and 6.60 million bushels, respectively. The Arizona number is down 2 percent from last month due to a yield decline; California is unchanged. Arizona's harvest reached 47 percent as of June 4. More than half of California's durum is harvested; quality thus far has been a little better than average. HDR2012000110120612950830Sweet Cherries Sweet Cherries: Production in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 111,000 tons, down 37 percent from last year and 17 percent below 1993. The sweet cherry crop in California is forecast at 15,000 tons, down 71 percent from last year's record crop. Pollination problems and adverse weather during full bloom greatly reduced crop potential. Rains in mid-May caused fruit to split. Harvest should wrap-up in late-June. Oregon is forecasting 30,000 tons production, nearly one-third less than last year. If realized, this will be the smallest cherry crop in 10 years. Oregon's major producing district (from the Dalles to Hood River County) has a good, but moderate size crop. The Willamette Valley district and other producing areas experienced poor pollination resulting in a poor set. Harvest is expected to begin about June 19. The set of Washington cherries was not as heavy as last year's record crop. Cool, wet weather during bloom contributed to poor pollination. Early bloom cherries show signs of frost damage. A smaller crop for Wanatchee growers is forecast compared to last year's crop while a slightly larger crop is expected for the Yakima area. Cherries are expected to size well due to the lighter crop. HDR2012000110120612950830Peaches Peaches: The 1995 peach production in California, Georgia, and South Carolina is forecast at 1.88 billion pounds, 14 percent less than 1994 and 9 percent less than 1993. Peach production, excluding the California Clingstone crop, is forecast at 940 million pounds, 17 percent below last year and 14 percent below 1993. Harvest of early varieties in California is underway, with the crop showing good fruit size and development. Growers continue to thin and remove storm-damaged fruit. Peach production in South Carolina is forecast at 240 million pounds, 4 percent less than last year. Extremely dry conditions during fruit set caused the reduction. Recent rains are expected to improve crop quality and fruit size, especially on the later varieties. Hail damage from last year is still evident in some orchards, but there are few other problems. Georgia's 1995 peach production is estimated at 160 million pounds, down 9 percent from last year but up 7 percent from 1993. One-third of the Georgia peach crop has been harvested. Recent rains from Hurricane Allison improved crop prospects. Fruit quality and size are good. HDR2012000110120612950830Dried Prunes Dried Prunes: Production in California is expected to total 185,000 tons, down 4 percent from the 1994 crop but up 53 percent from 1993. The smaller production is the result of poor pollination combined with wind and flood damage earlier in the year. Currently, the crop is sizing well and growers expect an average to above average crop. HDR2012000110120612950830Apricots Apricots: California's apricot production, at 70,000 tons, is expected to be about half of last year's crop. Poor pollination weather combined with the stress of last year's record output sharply reduced crop potential. Harvest is complete in Kern County and is well underway in Northern San Joaquin Valley. HDR2012000110120612950830Papayas Papayas: Fresh papaya production from Hawaii is estimated at 2.83 million pounds for May, 7 percent lower than April and 44 percent lower than May, 1994. Weather conditions were variable with sunny periods interrupted by scattered showers. Total area devoted to papaya production was 3,765 acres, 1 percent more than April and 13 percent more than a year ago. Harvested area, at 2,525 acres, fell slightly from last month but increased 11 percent more than a year ago. Although harvested area was higher than last year, figures do not account for tree losses from papaya ringspot virus. Papaya ringspot virus lowers fruit quality and reduces yields. Infected trees are rogued to limit the spread of the disease but the virus has slowly crept into previously uninfected areas. HDR2012000110120612950830Grapefruit Grapefruit: The June 1 forecast of the 1994-95 U.S. grapefruit crop is 2.91 million tons, up 9 percent from last season but unchanged from last month. Florida's grapefruit forecast is 55.8 million boxes (2.37 million tons), up 9 percent from 1993-94 but unchanged from May. Although total production did not change, colored seedless grapefruit production is up and white seedless production is down. Production from white seedless varieties dropped from 26.0 million boxes last month to 25.7 million boxes (1.09 million tons). Colored seedless production increased from 28.5 million boxes to 28.8 million boxes (1.22 million tons). The seedy variety remained at 1.30 million boxes (55,000 tons). Harvest of all seedless grapefruit is virtually over for the 1994-95 season. The Texas grapefruit forecast is 4.40 million boxes (176,000 tons), unchanged from last month and 47 percent more than last season. Harvest in the Valley was virtually complete by the end of May. Trees remained in good condition despite the lack of rain. The Arizona and California grapefruit forecasts were carried forward at 1.40 million boxes (47,000 tons) and 9.30 million boxes (312,000 tons), respectively. HDR2012000110120612950830Tangerines Tangerines: The 1994-95 tangerine crop is forecast at 279,000 tons, unchanged from May but 13 percent below last season. The Florida tangerine forecast is 3.55 million boxes (169,000 tons), unchanged from last month but down 13 percent from last year. Harvest of all varieties was complete. The California and Arizona forecasts were carried forward from April at 2.30 million boxes (86,000 tons) and 650,000 boxes (24,000 tons), respectively. HDR2012000110120612950830Tangelos Tangelos: The Florida tangelo forecast is 3.15 million boxes (142,000 tons), unchanged from last month but down 6 percent from last year. Harvest is finished for the season. HDR2012000110120612950830Temples Temples: The June 1 forecast for the 1994-95 Florida temple production is 2.55 million boxes (115,000 tons), unchanged from May but 13 percent above last season's production. Harvest was complete for the 1994-95 crop. HDR2012000110120612950830Florida Citrus Florida Citrus: Groves in all areas of Florida are in very good condition. Moisture levels are lower than desirable in spite of average rainfall in many counties in May. Growers and caretakers used all types of irrigation to maintain adequate surface moisture. Caretakers actively cut cover crops that competed for available moisture. May was also one of the hottest in recent history according to the National Weather Service. New crop fruit is generally set as trees are through dropping little green fruit that can't be carried for next season. Other activities include post-bloom nutritional spraying and summer fertilizing. Several growers hedged and topped harvested Valencia trees. Harvest of Valencia oranges was very active the first of May and slowed considerably by the end of the month as supplies were running out. Over 80 million boxes of late oranges were moved by the end of May. Harvest of all seedless grapefruit is virtually over for the 1994-95 season. HDR2012000110120612950830California Fruits and Nuts California Fruits and Nuts: Grape growers irrigated vineyards, treated mildew and weeds, and applied bloom spray. Peach, nectarine, and plum growers thinned and removed storm damaged fruit. Harvesting early varieties of stone fruit began in late May. Almond orchards were irrigated and treated for mites. Apple and pear orchards were treated for codling moth. Early apple varieties were hand thinned in Sonoma County. Cherries were harvested, with most areas reporting cracked fruit due to earlier rains. Apricot harvest was complete by month's end in Kern county, but just starting in northern San Joaquin Valley. Walnuts were sprayed for blight and early codling moth control. Olives and pomegranates were blooming. Kiwifruit bloom was over by mid-month; pollination appeared to be fair. Avocado harvest continued. HDR2012000110120612950830California Citrus California Citrus: New crop fruit is in good condition and experienced normal fruit drop. Lemon, grapefruit, and Valencia orange harvest continued. HDR2012000110120612950830Bartlett Pears Bartlett Pears: Production in California, Washington and Oregon is forecast at 510,000 tons, down 14 percent from last year and 1 percent less than 1993. Excess moisture, flooded orchards, and hail damage slashed production in California. Harvest is expect to begin around mid-July. The Washington pear crop is good condition with no major weather problems. Oregon's production is down 16 percent from a year ago due mostly to poor pollination weather. Pears in Hood River County are in good condition. HDR2012000110120612950830Hops Hops: Acreage strung for harvest in Washington, Oregon, and Idaho is forecast at 43,431 acres, a 2 percent increase from a year ago and up slightly from 1993. The crop is in good condition and progressing on schedule. Above normal snowfall in Idaho has reservoirs filled to capacity. HDR2012000110120612950830Sugar Crops, 1994 Revised Sugar Crops, 1994 Revised: Sugarbeet production in 1994 totaled 32.0 million tons, up 22 percent from 1993. Area harvested totaled 1.44 million acres, up 2 percent from last year. Yield per acre averaged 22.2 tons compared with the previous year's average of 18.6 tons. Sugarcane production for sugar in 1994 totaled 29.4 million tons 1 percent below last years output. The decrease in production was the result of lower harvested acreage. Area harvested totaled 881,700 acres, 1 percent below 1993. The average yield of 33.4 tons per acre was virtually unchanged from last year. HDR2012000110120612950830Sweet Potatoes, 1994 Revised Sweet Potatoes, 1994 Revised: The final estimate of sweet potato production for 1994 was 13.4 million cwt, 21 percent above 1993 and 12 percent above 1992. The revised estimate was 2 percent above the preliminary estimate in the Annual Crop Production Summary. Harvest came from 82,800 acres, up 3 percent from a year earlier and slightly above two years ago. The average yield rose to a record high 162 cwt per acre, 24 cwt above 1993 and 16 cwt above the previous record in 1992. HDR2012000110120612950830Maple Syrup Maple Syrup: U.S. maple syrup production in 1995 totaled 1.10 million gallons, down 17 percent from last year. The estimated value of production is $25.5 million, a decrease of 21 percent from 1994. Maple syrup production decreased in every state except Maine this year. Producers experienced an extremely mild season with temperatures generally too warm, too early throughout the syrup producing region. The season started almost a week earlier than last year due to the warmth. Some producers took advantage of the mild weather and put out more taps while others did not tap as many trees because of poor sap flow. Syrup color was darker and sugar content lower than last year. Darker syrup is expected to cause lower prices despite reduced production. Vermont again led the U.S. in production with 365,000 gallons, down 16 percent from last season. New York's production decreased 17 percent to 208,000 gallons. Maine was the third leading state with production of 162,000 gallons, 8 percent more than 1994. Northern Maine reported very good conditions for sugaring this year. HDR2012000110120612950830Reliability Reliability of June 1 Winter Wheat Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between May 23 and June 3 to gather information on expected yield as of June 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in 13 States that accounted for 79 percent of the 1994 production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. In early fields, counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. A 5-year historical average head weight is used until the crop matures to the point that heads can be clipped, threshed, and weighed. The number of heads times the weight of the heads in a sample plot can then be combined to an estimate of yield per acre. The 5-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until the crop reaches maturity and or harvested on the final visit. The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 10,000 winter wheat producers representing all major production areas. These producers were selected from an earlier acreage survey and were asked about the probable winter wheat yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published June 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The June 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June 1 winter wheat production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation between the June 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1975-1994 20-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 winter wheat production forecast is 5.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 5.6 percent or approximately million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 8.7 percent or approximately million bushels. Differences between the June 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 48 million bushels, ranging from 8 million to 77 million bushels. The June 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 2 times and above 8 times. This does not imply that the June 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. HDR2012000110120612950830Index Index Page Table Narrative Apricots................................................ A-10 B- 6 Cherries................................................ A- 7 B- 5 Citrus Fruit............................................ A- 8 B- 7 Crop Moisture Maps...................................... B- 1 Crop Summary............................................ A- 3 B- 3 Hops.................................................... A-11 B- 8 Maple Syrup............................................. A-15 B- 9 Papayas................................................. A-10 B- 6 Peaches................................................. A- 7 B- 6 Pears, Bartlett......................................... A- 9 B- 8 Prunes, Dried........................................... A-10 B- 6 Reliability Statement................................... B-10 Sugarbeets.............................................. A-12 Sugarcane............................................... A-13 B- 8 Sweetpotatoes........................................... A-14 B- 8 Wheat, by Class......................................... A- 6 Wheat, Durum............................................ A- 6 B- 5 Wheat, Winter........................................... A- 5 B- 5 HDR2012000110120612950830Report Features Report Features The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on July 12, 1995. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843 Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526 Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068 Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats (202) 720-7369 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285 Roger Latham - Cotton, Hay (202) 720-5944 Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202) 720-4215 Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157 Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits, Maple Syrup (202) 720-5412 Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits, Peanuts (202) 720-7688 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD). To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C., 20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal employment opportunity employer. Publications may be obtained in hard copy or on diskette by calling the ERS-NASS order desk toll free at 1-800-999-6779 or by mail from ERS-NASS, 341 Victory Drive, Herndon, VA 22070. Bulletins cost $10.00 each for paper products or 3.5" ASCII diskettes. To order bulletins by mail, return this form along with your check payable to ERS-NASS. The bulletins will also be available on Internet through the Mann Library at Cornell University (gopher usda.mannlib.cornell.edu 70) at no charge.