HDR1012000110010912950830CROP PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY HDR2012000110010912950830CRP HIGHLIGHTS Released September 12, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. Corn Production Down - Soybeans Up Corn production is forecast at 7.83 billion bushels, down 22 percent from the record high 1994 production. Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 121.1 bushels per acre, down 4.5 bushels from last month and 17.5 bushels below a year earlier. Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at 64.7 million acres, the same as last month. Hot, dry conditions reduced yield prospects in Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Nebraska, and Ohio. High ear counts were more than offset by shorter than average ear length. Soybean production is forecast at a 2.28 billion bushels as of September 1, up 2 percent from the August 1 forecast but 11 percent below the record high of 1994. Yield is forecast at 37.0 bushels per acre, 0.6 bushels above August 1 but 4.9 bushels below the record high of 1994. The number of pods counted in the September survey was considerably larger than the August projections and indicates the second highest on record. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 61.7 million acres, unchanged from last month. Soybeans are rated in fair to good condition. All cotton production remains a record high, at 20.3 million bales, despite a 7 percent drop from last month. Production in 1995 is 3 percent above 1994. Above normal temperatures, sparse rainfall, and insects during August resulted in loss of fruit and declining yields. Yields are down 93 pounds from last year's record high yield and down 48 pounds from a month earlier. All Wheat: Production is forecast at 2.19 billion bushels, down 2 percent from August 1 and 6 percent less than in 1994. Area for grain is 60.9 million acres, down 1 percent from last year. Yields are now expected to average 35.9 bushels per acre, down 0.7 bushels from a month ago. Cr Pr 2-2 (9-95) Other Spring Wheat: Production is forecast at 530 million bushels, down 6 percent from both last month and last year. Yield declines in North Dakota were only partially offset by an improved South Dakota yield. Lower than expected head weights lead to the North Dakota's drop. The U.S. yield is now 32.4 bushels per acre, down 2.0 bushels from last month's forecast. California Navel orange production for 1995-96 is forecast at 38.0 million boxes, up 9 percent from last year's production of 35.0 million boxes. This initial forecast of the 1995-96 season is based on an objective measurement survey conducted in the California Central Valley. The crop is maturing well with a set similar to last year but with larger sized fruit. This report was approved on September 12, 1995, by the Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Dan Glickman Rich Allen HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:AREA PLTD&HRVD, US, '94-95 (DMSTC) Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : Corn : 79,158 71,308 72,917 64,682 Sorghum : 9,772 9,112 8,967 8,276 Barley : 7,159 6,796 6,667 6,418 All Wheat : 70,421 69,325 61,771 60,919 Durum : 2,850 3,315 2,739 3,255 Other Spring : 18,324 16,671 17,697 16,328 Rice : 3,353.0 3,165.0 3,316.0 3,111.0 Soybeans : 61,940 62,585 61,129 61,716 Peanuts : 1,641.0 1,565.0 1,618.5 1,534.5 All Cotton : 13,720.1 16,665.0 13,322.3 15,810.5 Upland : 13,551.6 16,470.0 13,155.9 15,618.0 Amer-Pima : 168.5 195.0 166.4 192.5 Potatoes : Summer 2/ : 95.8 72.5 92.3 70.7 Total 2/ : 1,420.4 1,393.9 1,382.7 1,369.5 Tobacco : 671.2 675.0 Sugarbeets : 1,475.8 1,449.6 1,443.0 1,428.7 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 936.8 922.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. 2/ 1994 revised. HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:AREA PLTD&HRVD, US, '94-95 (DMSTC) Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 6,644 6,438 4,020 3,247 Winter Wheat : 49,247 49,339 41,335 41,336 Rye : 1,603 1,627 406 414 Sunflower : 3,567 3,608 3,430 3,484 Flaxseed : 178 213 171 206 All Hay : 58,744 60,228 Alfalfa : 24,222 24,639 All Other : 34,522 35,589 Dry Edible Beans : 2,025.8 2,049.7 1,845.2 1,945.8 Potatoes : Winter : 12.9 12.8 12.3 12.6 Spring : 91.6 88.6 90.4 86.8 Fall 2/ : 1,220.1 1,220.0 1,187.7 1,199.4 Sweetpotatoes : 86.1 87.0 82.8 83.6 Hops : 42.4 43.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1994 revised. HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:YLD PER AC&PROD,US, '94-95 (DMSTC) Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre: Production Crop and Unit :--------------------------------------------------- : : : : Aug 1, : Sep 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ : Corn for Grain Bu : 138.6 121.1 10,103,030 8,121,520 7,832,140 Sorghum for Grain " : 73.0 65.0 655,021 538,559 537,699 Barley " : 56.2 58.3 374,862 384,687 374,215 All Wheat " : 37.6 35.9 2,320,610 2,227,422 2,187,260 Durum " : 35.5 32.3 97,347 113,774 105,262 Other Spring " : 31.8 32.4 562,220 561,418 529,768 Rice 1/ Cwt : 5,964 5,843 197,779 185,228 181,768 Soybeans for Beans Bu : 41.9 37.0 2,558,317 2,245,901 2,284,551 Peanuts for Nuts Lb : 2,624 2,333 4,247,455 3,877,900 3,580,100 All Cotton 1/ Bale: 708 615 19,662.0 21,810.7 20,265.7 Upland 1/ " : 705 612 19,324.3 21,452.7 19,897.7 Amer-Pima 1/ " : 974 918 337.7 358.0 368.0 Cottonseed Ton : 7,603.9 8,407.7 7,818.7 Potatoes : Summer 2/ 3/ Cwt : 243 249 22,391 16,872 17,590 Total 2/ " : 338 467,924 Tobacco Lb : 2,358 1,996 1,582,816 1,410,267 1,347,334 Sugarbeets Ton : 22.2 20.4 31,994 28,888 29,086 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed " : 33.0 31.5 30,929 29,187 29,059 Pecans Lb : 199,000 248,000 Hazelnuts 4/ Ton : 21.1 38.0 Walnuts (CA) 3/ " : 232.0 245.0 220.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield in pounds. 2/ 1994 revised. 3/ August estimate carried forward from July 1. 4/ Carried forward from August 24. Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Acre : Production Crop and Unit :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------- 1,000 ------- : Oats Bu : 57.2 57.3 229,857 186,167 Winter Wheat " : 40.2 37.6 1,661,043 1,552,230 All Hay Ton : 2.56 2.61 150,124 157,374 Alfalfa " : 3.36 3.49 81,398 86,082 All Other " : 1.99 2.00 68,726 71,292 Dry Edible Beans 2/ Cwt : 1,582 1,649 29,187 32,078 Potatoes : Winter " : 193 206 2,372 2,592 Spring " : 251 258 22,646 22,387 Fall 3/ " : 354 420,515 Hops Lb : 1,758 1,748 74,559.6 75,972.0 Apples, Comm'l " : 11,335,500 11,185,500 Peaches " : 2,506,500 2,487,700 Pears Ton : 1,046.2 963.3 Grapes " : 5,870.6 5,772.5 Sweet Cherries " : 207.2 135.7 Tart Cherries Lb : 287,800 391,000 Apricots Ton : 158.2 67.5 Olives (CA) " : 84.0 85.0 Dried Prunes (CA) " : 193.0 185.0 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) " : 38.1 25.0 Almonds (CA) Lb : 730,000 310,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ 1994 revised. HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:YLD PER HC&PROD,US, '94-95 (MTRC) Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Hectare : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Oats : 2.05 2.06 3,336,370 2,702,210 Winter Wheat : 2.70 2.53 45,206,180 42,244,780 All Hay : 5.73 5.86 136,190,200 142,767,290 Alfalfa : 7.53 7.83 73,843,020 78,092,280 All Other : 4.46 4.49 62,347,180 64,675,010 Potatoes : Winter : 21.60 23.05 107,590 117,570 Spring : 28.08 28.91 1,027,210 1,015,460 Fall 2/ : 27.19 1,015,640 Hops : 1.97 1.96 33,820 34,460 Apples, Comm'l : 5,141,700 5,073,660 Peaches : 1,136,930 1,128,400 Sweet Cherries : 187,970 123,100 Tart Cherries : 130,540 177,350 Apricots : 143,520 61,230 Olives (CA) : 76,200 77,110 Dried Prunes (CA) : 175,090 167,830 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) : 34,560 22,680 Almonds (CA) : 331,120 140,610 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1994 revised. HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:AREA PLTD&HRVD,US, '94-95 (MTRC) Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : Corn : 32,034,450 28,857,630 29,508,780 26,176,160 Sorghum : 3,954,630 3,687,540 3,628,860 3,349,210 Barley : 2,897,180 2,750,270 2,698,070 2,597,300 All Wheat : 28,498,670 28,055,130 24,998,110 24,653,310 Durum : 1,153,370 1,341,550 1,108,450 1,317,270 Other Spring : 7,415,540 6,746,590 7,161,800 6,607,780 Rice : 1,356,930 1,280,840 1,341,950 1,258,990 Soybeans : 25,066,500 25,327,520 24,738,300 24,975,850 Peanuts : 664,100 633,340 654,990 621,000 All Cotton : 5,552,390 6,744,160 5,391,400 6,398,350 Upland : 5,484,200 6,665,240 5,324,060 6,320,450 Amer-Pima : 68,190 78,910 67,340 77,900 Potatoes : Summer 2/ : 38,770 29,340 37,350 28,610 Total 2/ : 574,820 564,100 559,560 554,220 Tobacco : 271,610 273,180 Sugarbeets : 597,240 586,640 583,970 578,180 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 379,110 373,210 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. 2/ 1994 revised. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : Oats : 2,688,760 2,605,390 1,626,850 1,314,030 Winter Wheat : 19,929,770 19,967,000 16,727,860 16,728,270 Rye : 648,720 658,430 164,300 167,540 Sunflower : 1,443,530 1,460,120 1,388,090 1,409,940 Flaxseed : 72,030 86,200 69,200 83,370 All Hay : 23,773,110 24,373,670 Alfalfa : 9,802,400 9,971,160 All Other : 13,970,710 14,402,510 Dry Edible Beans : 819,820 829,490 746,730 787,450 Potatoes : Winter : 5,220 5,180 4,980 5,100 Spring : 37,070 35,860 36,580 35,130 Fall 2/ : 493,760 493,720 480,650 485,390 Sweetpotatoes : 34,840 35,210 33,510 33,830 Hops : 17,160 17,580 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1994 revised. HDR2012000110010912950830CRP SUMARY:YLD PER HC&PROD,US,'94-95 (MTRC) Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Yield per Hectare: Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Aug 1, : Sep 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Corn for Grain : 8.70 7.60 256,628,780 206,296,110 198,945,520 Sorghum for Grain : 4.58 4.08 16,638,300 13,680,030 13,658,180 Barley : 3.02 3.14 8,161,660 8,375,570 8,147,570 All Wheat : 2.53 2.41 63,156,650 60,620,490 59,527,460 Durum : 2.39 2.17 2,649,350 3,096,420 2,864,760 Other Spring : 2.14 2.18 15,301,120 15,279,290 14,417,920 Rice : 6.69 6.55 8,971,110 8,401,800 8,244,860 Soybeans for Beans : 2.81 2.49 69,625,980 61,123,410 62,175,290 Peanuts for Nuts : 2.94 2.61 1,926,610 1,758,990 1,623,910 All Cotton : 0.79 0.69 4,280,900 4,748,730 4,412,330 Upland : 0.79 0.69 4,207,370 4,670,780 4,332,210 Amer-Pima : 1.09 1.03 73,530 77,950 80,120 Cottonseed : 6,898,140 7,627,340 7,093,010 Potatoes : Summer 1/ 2/ : 27.19 27.89 1,015,640 765,300 797,870 Total 1/ : 37.93 21,224,680 Tobacco : 2.64 2.24 717,950 639,690 611,140 Sugarbeets : 49.70 45.64 29,024,470 26,206,750 26,386,380 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 74.01 70.64 28,058,320 26,478,000 26,361,880 Pecans : 90,260 112,490 Hazelnuts 3/ : 19,140 34,470 34,470 Walnuts (CA) 2/ : 210,470 222,260 199,580 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1994 revised. 2/ August estimate carried forward from July 1. 3/ Carried forward from August 24. HDR1012000110110912950830CROP PRODUCTION STATE TABLES HDR2012000110110912950830CRP SUMARY:YLD PER HC&PROD,US,'94-95 (MTRC) Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 260 220 96.0 70.0 70.0 24,960 15,400 AZ 1/ : 15 20 170.0 160.0 160.0 2,550 3,200 AR 1/ : 90 85 120.0 125.0 125.0 10,800 10,625 CA : 170 140 165.0 160.0 160.0 28,050 22,400 CO : 890 800 150.0 145.0 145.0 133,500 116,000 CT 2/ : DE : 150 142 125.0 100.0 100.0 18,750 14,200 FL 1/ : 80 60 85.0 77.0 77.0 6,800 4,620 GA : 540 360 106.0 95.0 100.0 57,240 36,000 ID 1/ : 35 35 140.0 140.0 140.0 4,900 4,900 IL : 11,450 10,000 156.0 133.0 126.0 1,786,200 1,260,000 IN : 5,960 5,200 144.0 135.0 125.0 858,240 650,000 IA : 12,700 11,500 152.0 135.0 125.0 1,930,400 1,437,500 KS : 2,130 1,950 143.0 140.0 140.0 304,590 273,000 KY : 1,220 1,150 128.0 120.0 122.0 156,160 140,300 LA 1/ : 306 235 115.0 105.0 105.0 35,190 24,675 ME 2/ : MD : 390 380 118.0 110.0 105.0 46,020 39,900 MA 2/ : MI : 2,230 2,100 117.0 120.0 120.0 260,910 252,000 MN : 6,450 6,000 142.0 130.0 130.0 915,900 780,000 MS 1/ : 305 275 100.0 95.0 95.0 30,500 26,125 MO : 2,300 1,350 119.0 105.0 105.0 273,700 141,750 MT 1/ : 20 18 135.0 140.0 140.0 2,700 2,520 NE : 8,300 7,800 139.0 122.0 120.0 1,153,700 936,000 NH 2/ : NJ 1/ : 81 82 119.0 110.0 110.0 9,639 9,020 NM 1/ : 85 85 150.0 170.0 170.0 12,750 14,450 NY : 590 560 116.0 104.0 97.0 68,440 54,320 NC : 900 800 91.0 105.0 105.0 81,900 84,000 ND : 540 400 100.0 90.0 82.0 54,000 32,800 OH : 3,500 3,150 139.0 124.0 122.0 486,500 384,300 OK 1/ : 165 125 100.0 120.0 120.0 16,500 15,000 OR 1/ : 20 17 170.0 140.0 140.0 3,400 2,380 PA : 1,030 990 120.0 118.0 106.0 123,600 104,940 RI 2/ : SC : 345 280 85.0 85.0 89.0 29,325 24,920 SD : 3,400 2,300 108.0 77.0 80.0 367,200 184,000 TN : 570 570 116.0 120.0 120.0 66,120 68,400 TX : 2,040 2,100 117.0 117.0 115.0 238,680 241,500 UT 1/ : 22 23 130.0 125.0 125.0 2,860 2,875 VT 2/ : VA : 350 300 98.0 110.0 100.0 34,300 30,000 WA 1/ : 105 105 185.0 190.0 190.0 19,425 19,950 WV 1/ : 35 35 105.0 110.0 110.0 3,675 3,850 WI : 3,100 2,900 141.0 129.0 124.0 437,100 359,600 WY 1/ : 48 40 122.0 118.0 118.0 5,856 4,720 : US : 72,917 64,682 138.6 125.6 121.1 10,103,030 7,832,140 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Not estimated. HDR2012000110110912950830SRGHM:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95 Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------ Bushels ------ -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL 1/ : 20 8 45.0 40.0 40.0 900 320 AR : 245 185 75.0 70.0 60.0 18,375 11,100 CO : 170 220 45.0 45.0 42.0 7,650 9,240 GA 1/ : 40 30 50.0 38.0 38.0 2,000 1,140 IL : 180 170 99.0 83.0 83.0 17,820 14,110 KS : 3,000 2,900 77.0 68.0 68.0 231,000 197,200 KY 1/ : 11 16 92.0 90.0 90.0 1,012 1,440 LA : 123 57 68.0 70.0 65.0 8,364 3,705 MS : 70 45 75.0 76.0 74.0 5,250 3,330 MO : 550 550 90.0 87.0 87.0 49,500 47,850 NE : 1,250 1,050 98.0 69.0 72.0 122,500 75,600 NM : 180 195 38.0 40.0 37.0 6,840 7,215 NC 1/ : 20 15 55.0 50.0 50.0 1,100 750 OK : 280 280 50.0 52.0 52.0 14,000 14,560 SC 1/ : 8 8 40.0 35.0 35.0 320 280 SD : 190 180 65.0 44.0 41.0 12,350 7,380 TN 1/ : 30 17 88.0 87.0 87.0 2,640 1,479 TX : 2,600 2,350 59.0 60.0 60.0 153,400 141,000 : US : 8,967 8,276 73.0 65.1 65.0 655,021 537,699 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830BARLEY:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95 Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AZ 1/ : 33 21 95.0 90.0 90.0 3,135 1,890 CA 1/ : 220 200 65.0 70.0 70.0 14,300 14,000 CO : 83 100 90.0 105.0 105.0 7,470 10,500 DE 1/ : 30 37 63.0 75.0 75.0 1,890 2,775 ID : 720 760 75.0 77.0 77.0 54,000 58,520 KS 1/ : 14 8 38.0 30.0 30.0 532 240 KY 1/ : 14 16 79.0 77.0 77.0 1,106 1,232 MD 1/ : 60 62 70.0 75.0 75.0 4,200 4,650 MI 1/ : 32 23 51.0 50.0 50.0 1,632 1,150 MN : 600 585 50.0 50.0 50.0 30,000 29,250 MT : 1,200 1,200 44.0 56.0 54.0 52,800 64,800 NE 1/ : 8 8 38.0 36.0 36.0 304 288 NV 1/ : 4 4 85.0 80.0 80.0 340 320 NJ 1/ : 5 5 53.0 72.0 72.0 265 360 NC 1/ : 25 30 70.0 60.0 60.0 1,750 1,800 ND : 2,400 2,350 55.0 52.0 49.0 132,000 115,150 OK 1/ : 6 3 37.0 35.0 35.0 222 105 OR : 130 95 73.0 77.0 77.0 9,490 7,315 PA 1/ : 75 75 65.0 75.0 75.0 4,875 5,625 SC 1/ : 7 5 72.0 28.0 28.0 504 140 SD : 310 170 42.0 40.0 35.0 13,020 5,950 TX 1/ : 8 15 33.0 46.0 46.0 264 690 UT : 107 95 75.0 90.0 90.0 8,025 8,550 VA 1/ : 87 80 73.0 78.0 78.0 6,351 6,240 WA : 305 290 47.0 70.0 70.0 14,335 20,300 WI : 84 86 53.0 52.0 50.0 4,452 4,300 WY : 100 95 76.0 85.0 85.0 7,600 8,075 : US : 6,667 6,418 56.2 59.9 58.3 374,862 374,215 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830AL WHT:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95 All Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1994 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- -- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL 1/ : 95 80 48.0 36.0 36.0 4,560 2,880 AZ 1/ : 122 122 91.7 86.4 86.4 11,186 10,538 AR 1/ : 880 1,000 46.0 48.0 48.0 40,480 48,000 CA 1/ : 569 508 78.0 70.1 70.1 44,365 35,636 CO 1/ : 2,592 2,742 30.8 38.5 38.5 79,734 105,666 DE 1/ : 70 67 54.0 60.0 60.0 3,780 4,020 FL 1/ : 15 13 42.0 32.0 32.0 630 416 GA 1/ : 400 300 51.0 38.0 38.0 20,400 11,400 ID : 1,410 1,330 71.1 73.4 73.4 100,280 97,650 IL 1/ : 900 1,390 56.0 49.0 49.0 50,400 68,110 IN 1/ : 630 660 61.0 61.0 61.0 38,430 40,260 IA 1/ : 45 45 47.0 40.0 40.0 2,115 1,800 KS 1/ : 11,400 10,800 38.0 27.0 27.0 433,200 291,600 KY 1/ : 420 460 60.0 53.0 53.0 25,200 24,380 LA 1/ : 70 80 37.0 36.0 36.0 2,590 2,880 MD 1/ : 220 225 55.0 56.0 56.0 12,100 12,600 MI 1/ : 580 600 53.0 60.0 60.0 30,740 36,000 MN : 2,572 2,193 28.0 30.0 30.0 71,948 65,790 MS 1/ : 160 170 40.0 35.0 35.0 6,400 5,950 MO 1/ : 1,100 1,200 45.0 39.0 39.0 49,500 46,800 MT : 5,378 5,395 31.7 37.2 37.1 170,590 200,245 NE 1/ : 2,100 2,100 34.0 41.0 41.0 71,400 86,100 NV 1/ : 9 11 74.4 85.0 85.0 670 935 NJ 1/ : 32 32 42.0 52.0 52.0 1,344 1,664 NM 1/ : 230 150 24.0 22.0 22.0 5,520 3,300 NY 1/ : 115 125 53.0 49.0 49.0 6,095 6,125 NC 1/ : 620 680 49.0 42.0 42.0 30,380 28,560 ND : 11,238 10,988 31.7 32.0 28.3 356,404 310,604 OH 1/ : 1,180 1,210 58.0 61.0 61.0 68,440 73,810 OK 1/ : 5,300 5,250 27.0 21.0 21.0 143,100 110,250 OR 1/ : 928 934 63.1 66.9 66.9 58,580 62,530 PA 1/ : 165 185 48.0 51.0 51.0 7,920 9,435 SC 1/ : 360 280 50.0 30.0 30.0 18,000 8,400 SD : 3,353 2,693 28.4 33.6 34.0 95,278 91,687 TN 1/ : 300 350 50.0 46.0 46.0 15,000 16,100 TX 1/ : 2,900 3,150 26.0 26.0 26.0 75,400 81,900 UT 1/ : 172 166 40.8 47.9 47.9 7,012 7,948 VA 1/ : 250 275 56.0 58.0 58.0 14,000 15,950 WA : 2,545 2,595 52.7 55.6 55.6 134,000 144,280 WV 1/ : 10 11 55.0 52.0 52.0 550 572 WI 1/ : 139 139 57.1 50.0 50.0 7,940 6,954 WY 1/ : 197 215 25.1 35.0 35.0 4,949 7,535 : US : 61,771 60,919 37.6 36.6 35.9 2,320,610 2,187,260 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830DURM WHT:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95 Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ 1/ : 94 99 91.0 86.0 86.0 8,554 8,514 CA 1/ : 59 68 95.0 97.0 97.0 5,605 6,596 MN : 35 10 25.0 30.0 30.0 875 300 MT : 178 295 30.0 32.0 31.0 5,340 9,145 ND : 2,350 2,750 32.5 32.0 29.0 76,375 79,750 SD : 23 33 26.0 28.0 29.0 598 957 : US : 2,739 3,255 35.5 35.0 32.3 97,347 105,262 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830OT SP WHT:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95 Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : CO 1/ : 42 42 77.0 73.0 73.0 3,234 3,066 ID : 620 560 70.0 74.0 74.0 43,400 41,440 MN : 2,500 2,150 28.0 30.0 30.0 70,000 64,500 MT : 3,350 3,600 30.0 36.0 36.0 100,500 129,600 NV 1/ : 4 7 55.0 85.0 85.0 220 595 ND : 8,850 8,200 31.5 32.0 28.0 278,775 229,600 OR 1/ : 58 114 50.0 45.0 45.0 2,900 5,130 SD : 1,980 1,150 26.0 28.0 29.0 51,480 33,350 UT 1/ : 22 26 46.0 58.0 58.0 1,012 1,508 WA : 245 445 40.0 44.0 44.0 9,800 19,580 WI 1/ : 9 9 30.0 36.0 36.0 270 324 WY 1/ : 17 25 37.0 43.0 43.0 629 1,075 : US : 17,697 16,328 31.8 34.4 32.4 562,220 529,768 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830WHT:PROD BY CL,US, '93-94 Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : Durum : White : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 1993 : 1,065,941 401,326 292,876 511,814 70,476 54,007 2,396,440 1994 : 971,134 433,335 256,574 515,392 97,347 46,828 2,320,610 1995 : 847,172 444,229 260,829 476,425 105,262 53,343 2,187,260 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data available for wheat producing States. Unless unusual situations dictate, the previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. HDR2012000110110912950830RICE:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD, ST&US '94-95 Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- ------- Pounds ------- --- 1,000 Cwt --- : AR : 1,420 1,340 5,700 5,600 5,600 80,940 75,040 CA : 485 448 8,500 8,300 8,300 41,224 37,184 LA : 620 590 4,750 4,950 4,750 29,448 28,025 MS : 313 295 5,900 5,900 5,700 18,467 16,815 MO 1/ : 124 100 5,200 5,100 5,100 6,448 5,100 TX : 354 338 6,000 6,300 5,800 21,252 19,604 : US : 3,316 3,111 5,964 5,954 5,843 197,779 181,768 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830RICE:PROD BY CL,US '94-95 Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1993 : 103,064 51,873 1,173 156,110 1994 : 133,445 63,390 944 197,779 1995 1/ : 128,349 52,482 937 181,768 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated September 1, 1995, rice class forecasts are based on a five-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. HDR2012000110110912950830SOYBNS:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD,ST&US, '94-95 Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 295 220 31.0 25.0 25.0 9,145 5,500 AR : 3,400 3,300 34.0 33.0 30.0 115,600 99,000 DE : 220 230 37.0 30.0 29.0 8,140 6,670 FL 1/ : 42 28 31.0 32.0 32.0 1,302 896 GA : 500 320 31.0 25.0 24.0 15,500 7,680 IL : 9,530 9,650 46.0 39.0 41.0 438,380 395,650 IN : 4,680 5,180 47.0 43.0 44.0 219,960 227,920 IA : 8,770 9,150 51.0 43.0 44.0 447,270 402,600 KS : 2,100 2,050 36.0 28.0 30.0 75,600 61,500 KY : 1,130 1,080 38.0 36.0 37.0 42,940 39,960 LA : 1,120 1,030 29.0 30.0 30.0 32,480 30,900 MD : 550 540 36.0 34.0 33.0 19,800 17,820 MI : 1,540 1,490 38.0 39.0 39.0 58,520 58,110 MN : 5,600 5,900 41.0 38.0 38.0 229,600 224,200 MS : 1,920 1,900 31.0 31.0 28.0 59,520 53,200 MO : 4,560 4,700 38.0 31.0 31.0 173,280 145,700 NE : 2,860 2,960 48.0 33.0 34.0 137,280 100,640 NJ 1/ : 147 118 35.0 40.0 40.0 5,145 4,720 NC : 1,350 1,050 31.0 28.0 23.0 41,850 24,150 ND : 610 630 31.0 25.0 25.0 18,910 15,750 OH : 3,990 4,080 44.0 39.0 42.0 175,560 171,360 OK 1/ : 290 285 32.0 27.0 27.0 9,280 7,695 PA 1/ : 315 315 43.0 44.0 44.0 13,545 13,860 SC : 580 530 27.0 26.0 24.0 15,660 12,720 SD : 2,420 2,400 39.0 25.0 28.0 94,380 67,200 TN : 1,050 1,080 37.0 33.0 33.0 38,850 35,640 TX : 210 210 34.0 28.0 28.0 7,140 5,880 VA : 520 490 33.0 31.0 27.0 17,160 13,230 WI : 830 800 44.0 40.0 43.0 36,520 34,400 : US : 61,129 61,716 41.9 36.4 37.0 2,558,317 2,284,551 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830PNUTS:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD,ST&US, '94-95 Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 222.0 214.0 2,010 2,200 2,200 446,220 470,800 FL : 84.0 80.0 2,470 2,600 2,600 207,480 208,000 GA : 649.0 605.0 2,870 2,600 2,300 1,862,630 1,391,500 NM : 21.0 20.0 2,460 2,000 2,300 51,660 46,000 NC : 151.0 144.0 3,215 2,700 2,400 485,465 345,600 OK : 100.0 100.0 2,610 2,700 2,600 261,000 260,000 SC : 12.5 12.5 2,900 2,600 2,600 36,250 32,500 TX : 287.0 270.0 2,110 2,300 2,300 605,570 621,000 VA : 92.0 89.0 3,165 2,800 2,300 291,180 204,700 : US : 1,618.5 1,534.5 2,624 2,512 2,333 4,247,455 3,580,100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. HDR2012000110110912950830COTTONSD:PRODUCTION, US, '93-95 Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,343.2 7,603.9 7,818.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. HDR2012000110110912950830COTTON:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD BY TYP,ST&US '94-95 Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :------------------------------------------------------------------ and : : : : 1995 : : State : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- ------- Pounds ------- 1,000 Bales 2/ Upland : AL : 455.0 615.0 766 550 500 726.0 640.0 AZ : 312.0 359.0 1,203 1,139 1,123 782.0 840.0 AR : 970.0 1,000.0 877 826 744 1,772.0 1,550.0 CA : 1,095.0 1,175.0 1,191 1,165 1,123 2,717.0 2,750.0 FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0 GA : 875.0 1,490.0 843 677 628 1,537.0 1,950.0 KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7 LA : 890.0 1,010.0 815 808 713 1,512.0 1,500.0 MS : 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 819 661 2,132.0 2,010.0 MO : 345.0 435.0 856 729 701 615.0 635.0 NM : 50.0 51.0 720 781 781 75.0 83.0 NC : 485.0 780.0 820 615 535 829.0 870.0 OK : 340.0 325.0 349 325 325 247.0 220.0 SC : 223.0 335.0 846 759 731 393.0 510.0 TN : 585.0 665.0 726 664 595 885.0 825.0 TX : 5,150.0 5,700.0 458 446 438 4,915.0 5,200.0 VA 3/ : 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0 : US :13,155.9 15,618.0 705 660 612 19,324.3 19,897.7 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 47.9 47.5 806 788 788 80.4 78.0 CA : 80.8 100.0 1,098 1,036 1,032 184.8 215.0 NM : 10.7 15.0 875 800 800 19.5 25.0 TX : 27.0 30.0 942 800 800 53.0 50.0 : US : 166.4 192.5 974 916 918 337.7 368.0 : All : AL : 455.0 615.0 766 550 500 726.0 640.0 AZ : 359.9 406.5 1,150 1,097 1,084 862.4 918.0 AR : 970.0 1,000.0 877 826 744 1,772.0 1,550.0 CA : 1,175.8 1,275.0 1,185 1,155 1,116 2,901.8 2,965.0 FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0 GA : 875.0 1,490.0 843 677 628 1,537.0 1,950.0 KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7 LA : 890.0 1,010.0 815 808 713 1,512.0 1,500.0 MS : 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 819 661 2,132.0 2,010.0 MO : 345.0 435.0 856 729 701 615.0 635.0 NM : 60.7 66.0 747 785 785 94.5 108.0 NC : 485.0 780.0 820 615 535 829.0 870.0 OK : 340.0 325.0 349 325 325 247.0 220.0 SC : 223.0 335.0 846 759 731 393.0 510.0 TN : 585.0 665.0 726 664 595 885.0 825.0 TX : 5,177.0 5,730.0 461 448 440 4,968.0 5,250.0 VA 3/ : 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0 : US :13,322.3 15,810.5 708 663 615 19,662.0 20,265.7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830POTAT:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD BY SESNL GRP,ST&US Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 1993-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Seasonal : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group :--------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : : : : State : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : - 1,000 Acres - ---- Cwt ---- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ Winter 1/ : CA : 4.5 5.0 215 260 1,040 968 1,300 FL : 7.8 7.6 180 170 1,512 1,404 1,292 Total : 12.3 12.6 193 206 2,552 2,372 2,592 : Spring 1/ : AL : 2.5 2.5 175 160 419 438 400 AZ : 6.3 6.3 265 275 1,485 1,670 1,733 CA : 20.5 17.8 380 375 7,508 7,790 6,675 FL : 38.6 38.0 222 245 6,068 8,588 9,300 Hastings : 29.0 28.0 220 250 4,680 6,380 7,000 Other FL : 9.6 10.0 230 230 1,388 2,208 2,300 NC : 17.0 17.2 180 195 3,114 3,060 3,354 TX : 5.5 5.0 200 185 1,060 1,100 925 Total : 90.4 86.8 251 258 19,654 22,646 22,387 : Summer 2/ : AL : 7.0 6.7 170 170 639 1,190 1,139 CA : 5.7 5.5 370 320 1,584 2,109 1,760 CO : 9.3 8.8 330 295 2,542 3,069 2,596 DE : 4.8 5.2 170 250 750 816 1,300 IL : 5.0 5.1 290 250 1,170 1,450 1,275 IA : 1.6 1.6 205 160 105 328 256 MD : 2.5 1.5 100 200 322 250 300 MI 4/ : 13.0 210 3,500 2,730 MN 4/ : 7.6 300 2,130 2,280 MO : 6.8 6.9 255 230 1,508 1,734 1,587 NE : 4.4 5.3 320 300 630 1,408 1,590 NJ : 2.8 2.6 210 280 627 588 728 NM : 3.4 4.2 320 335 1,290 1,088 1,407 NC 1/ : 1.4 1.3 90 90 120 126 117 TX : 7.5 7.0 240 235 1,875 1,800 1,645 VA : 9.5 9.0 150 210 1,760 1,425 1,890 Total : 92.3 70.7 243 249 20,552 22,391 17,590 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ See footnotes at end of table. --continued Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 1993-95 (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Seasonal : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group :--------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : : : : State : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : - 1,000 Acres - ---- Cwt ---- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ : Fall 1/ 2/ 3/ : CA : 14.0 11.5 400 4,800 5,600 CO : 73.7 76.5 350 25,270 25,795 ID : 408.0 398.0 340 126,192 138,801 10 SW Co : 27.0 27.0 470 10,440 12,690 Other ID : 381.0 371.0 331 115,752 126,111 IN : 4.1 4.6 280 1,050 1,148 ME : 75.0 75.0 245 19,890 18,375 MA : 3.1 3.3 240 645 744 MI 4/ : 42.0 57.5 290 11,780 12,180 MN 4/ : 67.0 80.0 265 12,650 17,755 MT : 10.0 9.7 320 2,700 3,200 NE : 11.1 12.5 360 3,008 3,996 NV : 8.0 8.0 345 2,926 2,760 NM : 6.0 6.2 500 2,871 3,000 NY : 28.6 27.0 273 7,693 7,805 Long Is 5/: 6.1 265 1,643 1,617 Upstate 5/: 22.5 275 6,050 6,188 ND : 120.0 119.0 235 21,090 28,200 OH : 5.5 5.4 245 1,140 1,348 OR : 55.8 50.5 493 23,103 27,514 Malheur : 11.8 11.8 430 3,567 5,074 Other OR : 44.0 38.7 510 19,536 22,440 PA : 18.0 17.0 210 4,600 3,780 RI : 1.1 0.9 225 226 248 SD : 5.5 5.0 280 1,066 1,540 UT : 6.0 5.3 265 1,643 1,590 WA : 152.0 147.0 585 88,500 88,920 WI : 71.5 78.0 360 22,588 25,740 WY : 1.7 1.5 280 504 476 Total : 1,187.7 1,199.4 354 385,935 420,515 : US : 1,382.7 1,369.5 338 428,693 467,924 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1994 revised. 3/ Estimates for 1995 yield and production for fall potatoes will be published November 9, 1995. 4/ Summer potatoes included with fall in 1995. 5/ Separate estimates discontinued in 1995. HDR2012000110110912950830POTAT:AREA PLTD BY SESNL GRP,ST&US Potatoes: Area Planted by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Seasonal Group : : :: Seasonal Group : : and : 1994 : 1995 :: and : 1994 : 1995 State : : :: State : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Winter 1/ : :: Fall 1/ 2/ : CA : 4.5 5.0 :: CA : 14.0 11.5 FL : 8.4 7.8 :: CO : 74.0 77.0 Total : 12.9 12.8 :: ID : 410.0 400.0 : :: 10 SW Co : 27.0 27.0 Spring 1/ : :: Other ID : 383.0 373.0 AL : 2.6 2.6 :: IN : 4.4 5.0 AZ : 6.3 6.3 :: ME : 78.0 76.0 CA : 20.5 18.0 :: MA : 3.1 3.3 FL : 39.2 39.0 :: MI 3/ : 44.0 60.0 Hastings : 29.5 28.5 :: MN 3/ : 74.0 83.0 Other FL : 9.7 10.5 :: MT : 10.0 9.8 NC : 17.3 17.5 :: NE : 11.3 12.6 TX : 5.7 5.2 :: NV : 8.0 8.0 Total : 91.6 88.6 :: NM : 6.3 6.2 : :: NY : 29.1 30.0 Summer 1/ 2/ : :: Long Is 4/ : 6.1 AL : 7.2 6.8 :: Upstate 4/ : 23.0 CA : 5.7 5.5 :: ND : 133.0 123.0 CO : 9.5 9.0 :: OH : 5.6 5.5 DE : 4.9 5.3 :: OR : 56.4 51.0 IL : 5.1 5.5 :: Malheur Co : 11.9 12.0 IA : 1.6 1.6 :: Other OR : 44.5 39.0 MD : 2.5 1.5 :: PA : 19.0 18.0 MI 3/ : 14.0 :: RI : 1.1 0.9 MN 3/ : 7.7 :: SD : 6.0 5.3 MO : 7.2 7.1 :: UT : 6.1 5.4 NE : 4.5 5.6 :: WA : 152.0 147.0 NJ : 2.9 2.7 :: WI : 73.0 80.0 NM : 3.7 4.2 :: WY : 1.7 1.5 NC : 1.5 1.4 :: Total : 1,220.1 1,220.0 TX : 7.8 7.3 :: : VA : 10.0 9.0 :: US : 1,420.4 1,393.9 Total : 95.8 72.5 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1994 revised. 3/ Summer potatoes included with fall in 1995. 4/ Separate estimates discontinued in 1995. HDR2012000110110912950830TOBACC:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD BY ST&US Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ------ -- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Pounds --------- : CT : 1,600 1,770 1,611 1,656 2,533 2,578 2,931 FL : 6,500 7,000 2,550 2,400 18,673 16,575 16,800 GA : 37,000 43,000 2,180 2,000 96,320 80,660 86,000 IN : 7,100 6,500 2,150 2,120 17,415 15,265 13,780 KY : 187,000 172,700 2,426 2,226 455,080 453,687 384,430 MD : 8,500 8,500 1,500 1,600 12,255 12,750 13,600 MA : 490 460 1,616 1,687 738 792 776 MO : 3,500 2,700 2,290 2,100 4,760 8,015 5,670 NC : 243,200 260,100 2,466 1,826 608,415 599,833 474,970 OH : 8,500 8,300 2,160 1,950 18,900 18,360 16,185 PA : 9,000 7,900 2,040 2,035 18,260 18,360 16,080 SC : 47,000 50,000 2,300 2,250 110,760 108,100 112,500 TN : 60,350 56,940 2,192 1,892 139,423 132,289 107,750 VA : 46,420 44,170 2,285 1,960 99,544 106,092 86,562 WV : 2,000 2,000 1,775 1,700 3,600 3,550 3,400 WI : 3,000 3,000 1,970 1,967 6,643 5,910 5,900 : US : 671,160 675,040 2,358 1,996 1,613,319 1,582,816 1,347,334 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000110110912950830TOBACC:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD BY CL,TYP,ST&US Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type ------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Acres ---- --- Pounds --- - 1,000 Pounds -- Class 1, Flue-Cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 74,000 76,000 2,440 1,900 180,560 144,400 VA : 34,000 34,000 2,420 2,050 82,280 69,700 US : 108,000 110,000 2,434 1,946 262,840 214,100 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 131,000 142,000 2,525 1,800 330,775 255,600 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 30,000 34,000 2,365 1,800 70,950 61,200 SC : 47,000 50,000 2,300 2,250 108,100 112,500 US : 77,000 84,000 2,325 2,068 179,050 173,700 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 6,500 7,000 2,550 2,400 16,575 16,800 GA : 37,000 43,000 2,180 2,000 80,660 86,000 US : 43,500 50,000 2,235 2,056 97,235 102,800 Total 11-14 : 359,500 386,000 2,420 1,933 869,900 746,200 Class 2, Fire-Cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,350 1,100 1,780 1,350 2,403 1,485 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 4,100 3,700 2,660 2,500 10,906 9,250 TN : 8,100 7,800 2,570 2,400 20,817 18,720 US : 12,200 11,500 2,600 2,432 31,723 27,970 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,900 3,600 3,190 2,900 12,441 10,440 TN : 630 590 2,800 2,500 1,764 1,475 US : 4,530 4,190 3,136 2,844 14,205 11,915 Total 21-23 : 18,080 16,790 2,673 2,464 48,331 41,370 Class 3, Air-Cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-Cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 7,100 6,500 2,150 2,120 15,265 13,780 KY : 175,000 162,000 2,400 2,200 420,000 356,400 MO : 3,500 2,700 2,290 2,100 8,015 5,670 NC : 8,200 8,100 2,140 1,700 17,548 13,770 OH : 8,500 8,300 2,160 1,950 18,360 16,185 TN : 51,000 48,000 2,125 1,800 108,375 86,400 VA : 11,000 9,000 1,935 1,700 21,285 15,300 WV : 2,000 2,000 1,775 1,700 3,550 3,400 US : 266,300 246,600 2,300 2,072 612,398 510,905 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 8,500 8,500 1,500 1,600 12,750 13,600 PA : 3,600 3,400 1,950 1,950 7,020 6,630 US : 12,100 11,900 1,634 1,700 19,770 20,230 Total 31-32 : 278,400 258,500 2,271 2,055 632,168 531,135 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -- continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type ------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Acres ----- --- Pounds --- - 1,000 Pounds -- Class 3, Air-Cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-Cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,600 2,200 2,480 2,400 6,448 5,280 TN : 620 550 2,150 2,100 1,333 1,155 US : 3,220 2,750 2,416 2,340 7,781 6,435 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,400 1,200 2,780 2,550 3,892 3,060 Type 37, VA Sun-Cured : Belt : VA : 70 70 1,770 1,100 124 77 Total 35-37 : 4,690 4,020 2,515 2,381 11,797 9,572 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 5,400 4,500 2,100 2,100 11,340 9,450 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 690 820 1,890 1,860 1,304 1,525 MA : 210 200 1,905 1,930 400 386 US : 900 1,020 1,893 1,874 1,704 1,911 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI : WI : 2,000 2,000 2,100 2,100 4,200 4,200 Type 55, Northern WI : WI : 1,000 1,000 1,710 1,700 1,710 1,700 Total 54-55 : 3,000 3,000 1,970 1,967 5,910 5,900 Total 51-55 : 3,900 4,020 1,952 1,943 7,614 7,811 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-Grown : CT : 910 950 1,400 1,480 1,274 1,406 MA : 280 260 1,400 1,500 392 390 US : 1,190 1,210 1,400 1,484 1,666 1,796 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 10,490 9,730 1,966 1,959 20,620 19,057 : All Tobacco : 671,160 675,040 2,358 1,996 1,582,816 1,347,334 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000110110912950830CITRUS FRUIT:UTLZD PROD CRP,ST&US '94-95 Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted 1996 on September 1, 1995 1/ 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production Crop : Boxes : Ton Equivalent and :--------------------------------------------------------- State : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1993-94: 1994-95: 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 3/ ----- ------ 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 4/ : AZ : 700 400 26 15 CA : 36,600 35,000 38,000 1,372 1,313 1,425 FL : 107,300 119,700 4,829 5,387 TX : 480 950 21 40 US : 145,080 156,050 6,248 6,755 Valencia : AZ : 1,200 650 45 24 CA : 27,000 26,000 1,013 976 FL : 67,100 85,700 3,020 3,857 TX : 70 105 3 4 US : 95,370 112,455 4,081 4,861 All : AZ : 1,900 1,050 71 39 CA : 63,600 61,000 2,385 2,289 FL : 174,400 205,400 7,849 9,244 TX : 550 1,055 24 44 US : 240,450 268,505 10,329 11,616 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with year harvest is completed. 2/ 1993-94 and 1994-95 revised. Revised grapefruit and other citrus fruit totals will be released September 22 in "Citrus Fruits, 1995 Summary". 3/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85. 4/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. HDR2012000110110912950830SUGRBTS:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD ST&US '93-95 Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------ : CA : 141.0 118.0 29.0 27.0 3,536 4,089 3,186 CO : 43.2 41.2 21.9 20.6 924 946 849 ID : 201.0 198.0 27.9 25.0 4,733 5,608 4,950 MI : 187.0 190.0 16.2 18.0 3,179 3,029 3,420 MN : 411.0 416.0 20.6 17.5 5,344 8,467 7,280 MT : 54.0 55.5 24.2 23.5 1,169 1,307 1,304 NE : 74.1 72.5 20.3 18.7 1,473 1,504 1,356 ND : 201.5 207.0 21.2 17.6 3,112 4,272 3,643 OH : 16.0 14.7 16.5 17.5 212 264 257 OR : 16.4 20.0 27.8 27.5 372 456 550 TX : 24.5 19.6 20.3 22.7 823 497 445 WY : 61.3 62.0 18.0 21.5 1,269 1,103 1,333 : Oth : 12.0 14.2 37.7 36.1 103 452 513 Sts 2/: : US : 1,443.0 1,428.7 22.2 20.4 26,249 31,994 29,086 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ Includes NM and WA. HDR2012000110110912950830SUGRCNE:AREA HRVD,YLD&PROD ST&US '93-95 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------ Tons ------ ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : FL : 444.0 445.0 33.6 32.0 15,152 14,937 14,240 HI : 69.3 50.0 77.4 85.0 5,606 5,364 4,250 LA : 380.0 385.0 24.4 24.0 8,904 9,272 9,240 TX : 43.5 42.2 31.2 31.5 1,439 1,356 1,329 : US : 936.8 922.2 33.0 31.5 31,101 30,929 29,059 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. HDR2012000110110912950830PAPAYAS:AREA & FRESH PROD, BY ,MNTH,HI '94-95 Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------ Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :----------------------------------------: 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --------------- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Jul : 3,240 3,780 2,140 2,380 4,665 3,485 Aug : 3,250 3,765 2,145 2,340 4,805 3,245 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110110912950830NUTS:UTLZD PROD CRP & ST, '93-95 Nuts: Utilized Production by Crop and State, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons (In-shell Basis) : Hazelnuts 1/ : OR : 40,800 21,000 37,900 WA : 200 100 100 Total : 41,000 21,100 38,000 : Walnuts : CA : 260,000 232,000 220,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Carried forward from an earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110912950830PECANS:UTLZD PROD CRP,ST&US '93-95 Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted September 1, 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 1/ : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds Improved Varieties 2/ : AL : 15,000 2,000 8,000 AR : 600 600 1,000 CA : 3,000 1,500 2,800 FL : 3,200 400 900 GA : 124,000 50,000 65,000 LA : 2,500 1,500 2,000 MS : 3,500 2,000 NM : 36,000 24,000 30,000 NC : 1,200 2,200 2,000 OK : 1,000 1,300 2,700 SC : 2,100 5,400 2,400 TX : 45,000 30,000 40,000 US : 237,100 118,900 158,800 Native & Seedling : AL : 11,000 2,000 6,000 AR : 900 900 500 FL : 4,300 1,500 800 GA : 26,000 15,000 15,000 KS : 1,800 3,600 1,800 LA : 13,500 9,500 12,000 MS : 2,500 500 NC : 1,300 2,800 700 OK : 17,000 10,700 15,300 SC : 900 3,600 600 TX : 30,000 10,000 20,000 US : 109,200 59,600 73,200 All Pecans : AL : 26,000 4,000 14,000 AR : 1,500 1,500 1,500 CA : 3,000 1,500 2,800 FL : 7,500 1,900 1,700 GA : 150,000 65,000 80,000 KS : 1,800 3,600 1,800 LA : 16,000 11,000 14,000 MS : 6,000 2,500 NM : 36,000 24,000 30,000 NC : 2,500 5,000 2,700 OK : 18,000 12,000 18,000 SC : 3,000 9,000 3,000 TX : 75,000 40,000 60,000 : Oth Sts 3/ : 18,700 20,500 16,000 : US : 365,000 199,000 248,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data included in Other States to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 2/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 3/ AZ, MO, and TN in 1993 and 1995. AZ, MS, MO, and TN in 1994. No breakdown between varieties available. HDR2012000110110912950830CORN:PLANT POPULATION SEL STS, '91-95 Corn: Plant Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting corn objective surveys in 10 States during 1995. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual counts from this survey and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but to show trends in corn production practices. Corn for Grain: Plant population per acre, Selected States, 1991-95 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : State : 1991 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 2/ : : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number of Plants : IL : 23,700 23,000 23,300 23,200 24,000 IN : 22,400 23,200 23,200 22,850 23,900 IA : 22,900 23,300 23,500 23,950 24,800 MI : 21,800 21,600 22,800 21,800 23,500 MN : 23,900 24,600 25,100 26,000 26,400 MO : 19,800 18,800 19,300 19,650 20,400 NE : 22,200 21,900 22,200 21,700 22,600 OH : 23,200 23,300 23,300 22,900 23,400 SD : 17,500 17,800 17,600 19,250 19,900 WI : 23,400 22,800 23,600 23,600 24,600 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on stalk counts in plots selected for objective yield samples. 2/ September 1 counts. HDR2012000110110912950830AL SP WHT:HEAD POPULATION, SEL STS, '91-95 All Spring Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting spring wheat objective yield surveys in 4 States during 1995; North Dakota also does Durum wheat. Randomly selected plots in wheat fields are visited from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are derived actual field counts and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board. All Spring Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 1991-95 1/ 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop and State : 1991 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number Other Spring : : MN Sep : 38.9 48.8 44.3 44.3 45.6 Final : 38.9 48.4 45.3 43.9 : MT Sep : 32.6 29.2 29.2 27.3 30.4 Final : 32.1 29.3 29.1 27.3 : ND Sep : 36.6 42.1 41.9 39.4 39.5 Final : 36.6 42.0 42.7 39.4 : SD Sep : 38.2 44.3 36.6 29.2 34.4 Final : 38.2 45.5 36.6 29.2 : Durum : : ND Sep : 26.8 27.6 27.5 25.9 24.8 Final : 26.6 27.6 26.9 25.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on the number of heads counted in plots selected for the objective yield survey. 2/ Final head counts will be published in January. HDR2012000110110912950830SOYBNS:POD WITH BEANS, SEL STS, '91-95 Soybeans: Pods with Beans The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting soybean objective yield surveys in 8 States during 1995. Plots are randomly selected from a scientifically drawn sample of soybean fields, which are visited monthly from August through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements. Sample data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the following table are not Agricultural Statistics Board official estimates but are intended to show trends in soybean production practices. Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet Selected States, 1991 - 1995 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : and : 1991 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 Month : : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number of Pods : AR Sep 3/ : NA NA NA NA NA Nov : 1,336 1,713 1,399 1,782 Final : 1,327 1,705 1,327 1,673 : IL Sep : 1,574 1,698 1,937 1,745 1,816 Nov : 1,450 1,503 1,712 1,639 Final : 1,450 1,502 1,701 1,636 : IN Sep : 1,535 1,623 1,938 1,850 1,807 Nov : 1,508 1,543 1,703 1,574 Final : 1,508 1,543 1,703 1,570 : IA Sep : 1,406 1,501 1,336 1,887 1,739 Nov : 1,451 1,464 1,340 1,820 Final : 1,456 1,473 1,340 1,820 : MN Sep : 1,400 1,431 1,037 1,678 1,613 Nov : 1,478 1,367 1,106 1,496 Final : 1,476 1,367 1,105 1,496 : MO Sep : 1,239 1,682 1,493 1,470 895 Nov : 1,416 1,607 1,727 1,643 Final : 1,426 1,602 1,699 1,659 : NE Sep : 1,487 1,517 1,469 1,676 1,404 Nov : 1,423 1,504 1,414 1,826 Final : 1,422 1,509 1,445 1,826 : OH Sep : 1,426 1,462 1,617 1,950 1,790 Nov : 1,313 1,394 1,361 1,643 Final : 1,312 1,404 1,361 1,643 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on pod counts in plots selected for objective yield samples. 2/ Final pod counts will be published in January. 3/ Not available due to plant immaturity. HDR2012000110110912950830COTTON:CUMULATIVE BOLL COUNTS, '91-95 Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts cotton objective yield surveys in 6 States which account for about 72 percent of the U.S. Upland cotton production. Plots are randomly selected from a scientific sample of cotton fields. Two sample plots per field are visited monthly from about August 1 through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. The boll counts shown below represent actual data collected from sampled fields and are not official estimates of NASS. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, September 1991-1995, and November and Final, 1991-1994 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Arizona : Arkansas :------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year : Sep : Nov : Final : Sep : Nov : Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 1991 : 1,161 1,161 1,083 1,010 797 782 1992 : 1,112 1,062 1,013 1,076 822 817 1993 : 1,120 1,158 1,082 859 769 753 1994 : 1,239 1,227 1,221 1,019 813 812 1995 : 1,077 850 :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : California : Louisiana :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1991 : 909 826 814 881 813 770 1992 : 839 841 819 882 858 875 1993 : 930 839 839 746 662 661 1994 : 828 805 806 808 747 748 1995 : 751 679 :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Mississippi : Texas :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1990 : 824 695 693 501 491 489 1991 : 890 734 726 466 449 430 1992 : 896 713 708 432 484 489 1993 : 697 619 608 505 480 489 1994 : 864 761 760 515 484 486 1995 : 682 423 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet of row. November counts exclude small bolls. HDR1012000110120912950830Crop Production Narrative HDR2012000110120912950830Crop Prod. Narr. Crop Moist. & Drought Sev. Crop Moisture Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season. Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations. Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile, or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term(months, years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index. Drought Severity Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as evaportranspiration. Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in aquifers, reservoirs, and streams. Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this is indicated by the crop moisture index). HDR2012000110120912950830August Weather Summary August Weather Summary: Moisture from the tropics brought adequate-to-surplus moisture to scattered locations in a month otherwise dominated by persistently hot, dry weather, owing to an expansive ridge of high pressure aloft. A northward transport of moisture around the west side of the ridge delivered above-normal rainfall to the Southwest, while numerous cold fronts traversed the ridge's northern fringe of influence, sparking occasional heavy rain across the Nation's northern tier. As the ridge strengthened during the month, heat became more intense and rainfall diminished across much of the Nation, stressing reproductive crops, especially in the Middle Atlantic region, the Arklatex region, the High Plains, and the Corn Belt. Monthly temperature departures in the Corn Belt ranged from +5 to +8 degrees F. Below normal temperatures were confined to the Northwest. Tropical systems headlined the first few days of the month, as heavy rain fell during and after the landfalls of Tropical Storm Dean--which moved inland near Galveston, TX on July 30--and Hurricane Erin--which twice struck Florida, first at Vero Beach on August 2, and then at Pensacola a day later. Although Dean's circulation stalled over northern Texas, some of its remnant moisture was entrained into a slow-moving cold front, contributing to heavy rainfall from Texas to New England. Across the Corn Belt, rainfall gradually diminished thereafter, with nearly dry and very hot weather observed after mid-month. Similarly, the remnant circulation of Hurricane Erin provided the month's most substantial moisture from the central Gulf Coast States to the Ohio Valley. Finally, Tropical Storm Jerry pushed inland on August 23 near West Palm Beach, FL, and proceeded to blaze a rainy path as far north as the Carolinas. August 1995 was the wettest month on record in Greenville-Spartanburg, SC, with 17.37 inches collected. More than 80 percent of that total--14.47 inches--was attributed to the effects of Jerry. Farther south, Melbourne, FL,notched their wettest August(19.05 inches, nearly half of which fell during Erin's passage on August 2), and second-wettest month all-time. In the Ohio Valley, Mansfield, OH, received an August-record total of 8.65 inches, all of which fell by the 18th. In contrast, August-record dryness affected locations such as New York's Central Park (0.18 inches), Harrisburg, PA (0.53 inches), and Scottsbluff, NE (0.08 inches). The month ended with more than 3 consecutive weeks of dry weather in Washington, DC and Little Rock, AR. Average-temperature records from memorably hot Augusts were toppled in many locations from the central Plains to the East. Records from 1947 were broken in Toledo, OH (78.5 degrees F) and Detroit, MI (77.1 degrees F). Standards from hot Augusts of the 1980's--1980, 1983, and 1988, respectively--were toppled in Williamsport, PA, Nashville, TN, and Greenville-Spartanburg, SC. August records for days with highs of 90 degrees F or above were established in Bristol, TN (21 days), Roanoke, VA (20 days), Williamsport, PA (18 days), Philadelphia, PA (17 days), Pittsburgh, PA (15 days), and Scranton, PA (12 days). In Birmingham, AL, where the mercury reached triple digits an August-record-tying eight times, the average maximum was 96.4 degrees F, and the average temperature was 84.8 degrees F, breaking the all-time record set in July 1980. The month ended with 30 consecutive 90-degree days in Baton Rouge and Shreveport, LA, and Shreveport's high of 104 degrees F on August 20 was their highest reading since July 17, 1980. Farther north, Hot Springs, AR notched 108 degrees F on August 19. Nearly as impressive as the high temperatures was the lack of cooling at night. In South Bend, IN, where the average August minimum is about 61 degrees F, lows were at or above 70 degrees F on 14 days, and at or above 65 degrees F on 25 days. HDR2012000110120912950830General Crop Comments General Crop Comments: August started with crop progress behind normal due to the late spring-planting. Crop condition declined as the month advanced due to spotty rainfall and high temperatures. By the end of the month, row crop development was close to normal due to very warm weather across Central and Eastern States that accelerated development. Early August rains across the Eastern-half of the Nation restored soil moisture supplies and slightly improved crop conditions. The month began with rain and warm weather in the Central and Eastern States that advanced row crop development. In the Pacific Northwest, favorable weather at the beginning of the month allowed harvest activity to make good progress. The effects of the heat wave across the Midwest and Southeastern States was reduced by frequent showers that helped maintain crop conditions. The rains restored soil moisture supplies but more rain was needed. In the upper Great Plains,producers sprayed to control grasshoppers,while insect pressure increased in cotton fields in the Southeast and Delta despite control measures. By mid-August, hot, humid weather across the Corn Belt allowed rapid crop development but corn and soybeans remained one to two weeks behind normal. The continued heat across the Southeast accelerated crop development but eroded crop conditions and left soil moisture at the lowest levels for the year--especially in Georgia. Cool weather and rain in the Pacific Northwest slowed small grain harvest activity. Later in the month, hot weather across the central Corn Belt to the mid-Atlantic dried fields and left soil moisture supplies at the critical stage. As the month proceeded, crops in the Midwest matured rapidly due to the hot, dry weather and pushed crop progress closer to normal. Toward the end of August, rain from Tropical Storm Jerry replenished soil moisture supplies for parts of the Southeast, boosting crop conditions, but the rains came too late for crops in advanced stages of development. Above-normal temperatures at the end of August and sparse rainfall from the southern Great Plains to the Mid-Atlantic dried soils and lowered crop conditions. In the central Corn Belt, crops endured the hottest August in years which reduced soil moisture supplies and stalled crop growth. By the end of August, crop development increased rapidly due to the high temperatures, but fall crops remained behind schedule in the central Great Plains and Middle Mississippi Valley. In the High Plains, favorable weather caused late-season crops to mature quickly with harvest activity starting only slightly behind normal. Row crops progressed rapidly by month's end, raising producers hopes of crops reaching maturity before a fall-freeze. Dry summer weather for most of August in the mid-Atlantic States depleted soil moisture supplies. Cool, dry weather finished the month in the Pacific Northwest, allowing the small grain harvest to make good progress. HDR2012000110120912950830Corn Corn: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 64.7 million acres,unchanged from last month, but 11 percent below the 1994 harvested acreage. The September Corn objective yield survey data indicate a record high stalks per acre count for the ten objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). The September forecasted ears per acre are the highest on record and, if realized,would exceed the previous record final ears per acre set in 1992. Ear measurements from the sample plots indicate a 4 percent below average ear length. Forecasted yields in the non-objective yield States declined 1.8 bushels per acre from last month. Improved prospects in Georgia, Kentucky, and South Carolina were more than offset by declines in Maryland, New York, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Virginia. Dry conditions from Virginia north to New England reduced expected yields. Objective yield data for Iowa indicate record high stalk and ear counts,but ear length is well below average. Weather data indicate this August to be the fifth hottest on record and the hottest of any month since 1983. The hot dry weather is moving the crop to maturity faster than normal at the expense of yields. Illinois growers are also experiencing record high stalk and ear counts this year, but ears are below average in length. The Corn crop is rapidly maturing due to the hot, dry weather which is also reducing crop condition. Minnesota data indicate stalks counts at the second highest level. The number of ears, if realized, would be the third highest final ear count. Excellent growing conditions during August benefited the crop and 77 percent was reported as good to excellent at the end of August. HDR2012000110120912950830Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Grain: Production is forecast at 538 million bushels, slightly lower than the August forecast and 18 percent less than 1994. No grain acreage changes were made. The forecasted U.S. yield dipped to 65.0 bushels per acre,off 0.1 from August and down 8.0 bushels from last year's record high. Nebraska's 3.0 bushel per acre increase held U.S. production near the previous forecast as six States lowered yield expectations from last month. Most forecasting States indicated that August was hot and dry in their producing areas. As of September 3, heading had reached 94 percent completion, just a point behind average. However, coloring stood at 45 percent compared to the average 57 percent. Harvested yields in the Texas Blacklands were considered average; Statewide, harvest is 66 percent complete. Louisiana's sorghum is 16 percent harvested. HDR2012000110120912950830Barley Barley: Production is forecast at 374 million bushels,down 3 percent from last month, but virtually unchanged from the 1994 crop. The expected yield per acre is forecasted at 58.3 bushels compared with last month's 59.9 bushels and last year's 56.2 bushels. Area harvested and to be harvested is estimated at 6.42 million acres, down 4 percent from last year. Favorable conditions the last week of August allowed growers to make good harvesting progress and 73 percent was combined compared to a 84 percent average. Montana's excellent growing season has been tempered by wide spread hail and some periods of excessive heat during August. Forty-four percent of the crop has been harvested compared with a 62 percent average by the first of September. The Idaho barley crop was 57 percent harvested by September 3, compared with a 72 percent average. HDR2012000110120912950830Other Spring Wheat Other Spring Wheat: Area for grain harvest is 16.3 million acres, unchanged from last month and down 8 percent from 1994. The September Objective Yield data indicates an above average number of heads per square foot in the 4-State region (Minnesota, Montana, and the Dakotas). However, forecast head weights are the lowest since 1989. As of September 3, 73 percent of Minnesota's crop was harvested compared to the 5-year average of 67 percent. Forecast head numbers are a little above average, but weights are well below average. Montana's harvest progress of 42 percent is well behind the average 59 percent. Head counts are the highest in 4 years while projected head weights are more normal. Late August open weather has allowed growers to push harvest near completion in South Dakota and to 55 percent in North Dakota--less than a week behind the average 66 percent. Heads per square foot are near average in both States. Average weight was near normal in South Dakota, but the lowest in 6 years for North Dakota. Washington's harvest is 85 percent complete. Idaho's is 55 percent complete and has moved into eastern and northern parts of the State. Remaining wheat in both States is rated in good to excellent condition. HDR2012000110120912950830Durum Wheat Durum Wheat: Production is forecast at 105 million bushels,down 7 percent from August 1 but up 8 percent from 1994. Yield reductions in North Dakota and Montana are the reason for the production decline from last month. Area for harvest as grain remains at 3.26 million acres, up 19 percent from 1994. The September yield forecast is 32.3 bushels per acre, down 2.7 bushels from last month. North Dakota's Durum crop condition deteriorated during August. The late crop has been affected by hot weather pushing the forecasted head weights to the lowest level since 1989. Insect infestations have also had an impact. Harvest progress is running a week or more behind average and was 33 percent complete as of September 3. Hot weather impacted head-fill in parts of Montana. HDR2012000110120912950830Rice Rice: Total rice production is forecast at 182 million cwt,2 percent below the August forecast and 8 percent below the 1994 total. This production level, if realized, would be the third highest on record. Yield decreased in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas causing a decrease in the U.S. yield to 5,843 pounds. In Louisiana, yield decreased due to increased disease pressure brought on from extreme heat and too much rain at or near blooming stage. During harvest in Texas, some producers have discovered stem rot which has reduced their yield. Yields in Arkansas, California, and Missouri remained the same as a month earlier. Rice harvest is underway in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas. Rice is in mostly good condition. HDR2012000110120912950830Soybeans Soybeans: Growers plan to harvest 61.7 million acres,unchanged from the August estimate. The September Objective Yield Survey reported the second highest pod count for the objective yield States. The percent of soybeans setting pods was slightly behind 1994 but slightly ahead of the average by the end of August. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind 1994 and the average by the beginning of September. Average maturity was behind 1994 and equal to 1993. Soybeans were rated in fair to good condition. In comparison with the 1991-95 time period, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet for September is the second highest for Illinois,Iowa, Minnesota and Ohio. These four States had set all pods by the end of August. By the beginning of September, no soybeans were dropping leaves in Iowa. In Illinois, Minnesota, and Ohio the percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind average. In Indiana, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet is the third highest, compared with the September 1991-95 period. By the end of August, Indiana soybeans had set all their pods. In Indiana, the percent of soybeans dropping leaves equaled the average by the beginning of September. In Missouri and Nebraska, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet ranks as the lowest for the September 1991-95 time period. The percent of pods set in Missouri lagged behind 1994 and the average,and not all pods had set by the end of August. Nebraska fell slightly short of all soybeans setting pods by the end of August. Neither State had any soybeans dropping leaves and were behind their averages by the beginning of September. In Arkansas, the percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind 1994 but equal to the average. HDR2012000110120912950830Peanuts Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.58 billion pounds, down 8 percent from the August 1 forecast and down 16 percent from last year's crop. Production is down from 1994 in all States except Alabama, Florida, and Texas. Hot, dry conditions during August contributed to reduced yields. Yields are expected to average 2,333 pounds per harvested acre, down 179 pounds from last month and down 291 pounds from 1994. Harvested area, estimated at 1.53 million acres, is down 1 percent from August 1 and 5 percent below last year. Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.10 billion pounds, 8 percent below last month and 18 percent below the 1994 crop. Yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 2,307 pounds per acre, 331 pounds below last year. Yields in Alabama are unchanged from August 1 and 190 pounds above a year ago. Early harvest is underway. The condition of the crop, while mostly good, varies due to scattered rains during August. The Georgia crop suffered considerable stress from very hot, dry conditions. Production is forecast at 1.39 billion pounds, down 12 percent from last month and 25 percent below last year. As of September 1, the crop was rated 16 percent poor,61 percent fair, 22 percent good, and 1 per- cent excellent. Tropical storm Jerry helped farmers in the eastern third of the State; however, the storm missed most of the major producing areas in the southwest. Tomato spotted wilt virus is still a concern in some areas. By late August, first digging and combining were both off to one of the earliest starts ever. Fifteen percent of the acreage was dug and 8 percent combined. Florida growers expect a good crop. Harvest started in late August despite excessive soil moisture. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 550 million pounds, down 17 percent from last month and down 29 percent from last year's excellent crop. Yields in the region, at 2,362 pounds, are 834 pounds per acre below the 1994 final average. Lack of moisture slashed crop prospects in Virginia and North Carolina. Growers in Virginia expect to harvest 205 million pounds of peanuts, down 30 percent from last year. The anticipated yield of 2,300 pounds is down 500 pounds from last month and 865 pounds below 1994. After a record number of days with temperatures above 90 degrees, 97 percent of the Virginia crop was rated in fair condition. Hot, humid weather promoted some insect buildup, especially spider mite. North Carolina growers expect a yield of 2,400 pounds, down 300 pounds from last month and 815 pounds below last year. At month's end, the North Carolina crop was rated as 1 percent very poor, 4 percent poor, 72 percent fair, and 23 percent good. The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 927 million pounds, down fractionally from last month but 1 percent above 1994. Yields in the tri-State area are expected to average 2,377 pounds per acre, 126 pounds above last year. In New Mexico, yield prospects are up 300 pounds from the August 1 forecast. After a slow start, crop development caught up to a normal pace during August. Producers are still working to keep sufficient water on their fields as temperatures ran slightly above normal. Oklahoma growers lowered their expectations by 100 pounds per acre,rating their crop in fair to mostly good condition. Lack of precipitation stressed non- irrigated fields. Yields in Texas remained unchanged from a month ago as the crop continued to make good progress. Some disease problems were reported in Cross Timbers, Blacklands, and the Edwards Plateau. HDR2012000110120912950830Cotton Cotton: Planted acreage of upland cotton is estimated at 16.5 million acres,up 10,000 acres from August and up 22 percent from 1994. Arizona area was increased 5,000 acres, California acreage decreased 20,000 acres, and Missouri was raised 25,000 acres. Harvested acreage, at 15.6 million acres, is 19 percent above last year and up 5,000 acres from last month. American-Pima planted and harvested area amounted to 195,000 acres and 192,500 acres, respectively. Both are up 16 percent from last year and 5,000 acres above last month. Texas cotton is making normal progress on the Plains, but concern exists about insect damage. Moisture stress was more apparent in this State with 22 percent of the crop rated very poor to poor on September 3. In early September, 93 per- cent of the crop was setting bolls, compared to an average of 96 percent. Twenty-seven percent of bolls were open, one percent ahead of average. Objective yield data rank large boll counts in ninth place since 1985. Small bolls numbers and preliminary boll weights were third lowest during this same time period. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) rated cotton mostly in fair to good condition. Tennessee reports the best conditions in the region, with 71 percent in good to excellent condition in early September. Mississippi rated 23 percent of their crop in very poor to poor condition. Arkansas and Louisiana rated 14 percent and 15 percent of the cotton as very poor to poor, respectively. Boll opening in all states equaled or exceeded the 5-year average. Arkansas was 43 percent open, compared to an average of 18. Mississippi,at 65 percent open, was 15 percent ahead of normal. Data from objective yield plots in Arkansas shows the lowest number of large bolls since 1985. Preliminary boll weights were also the lowest for this 10-year period. Louisiana large boll counts and weights ranked ninth in the past 10 years, while Mississippi large bolls were the third lowest with weights ninth lowest during this same period. Producers in the region continued to apply insecticides. Arizona's crop was rated very poor to poor on 30 percent of the acreage with 90 percent of bolls opening, 14 points ahead of average. Development in California remained behind average, with 25 percent of the crop showing open bolls compared to an average of 44 percent. Ten percent of the crop was in excellent condition and 70 percent was in good condition on September 3. California growers continued spraying for aphids and whitefly infestations. Defoliation approached completion in the desert areas. Arizona objective yield data show the lowest number of large bolls in the past 10 years. Small bolls and squares are the third highest at this same time. Preliminary boll weights also ranked third since 1985. California fruit counts are the second highest for the past 10 years, but large boll counts and the early boll weights are the lowest. Small bolls and squares show the highest count since 1985. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), spring rains allowed the crop to germinate well but August high temperatures and little rainfall adversely affected the crop. Tropical storm Jerry moved across the eastern third of Georgia and into the Carolina's, offering some relief, but fruit shedding and insects reduced crop potential. This weather also pushed maturity of the Georgia crop and by early September boll opening reached 61 percent, nearly twice the 5-year average. Boll opening in the Carolina's slightly lagged average on September 3. Forty-three percent of Alabama cotton and 14 percent in Georgia were in very poor to poor condition. Twenty-six percent of the Georgia crop was rated in good condition, and 13 percent of Alabama was in good condition. North Carolina reported 26 percent of their crop as good to excellent. Thirty-nine percent of the South Carolina crop was in good condition. None was reported excellent in early September. The American-Pima production forecast, at 368,000 bales, is up 9 percent from 1994 output and up 10,000 bales from August. California was the only State with a change in production from the August forecast,caused by an upward revision of 5,000 acres in planted and harvested acreage. U.S. yield is expected to average 918 pounds per harvested acre, down 56 pounds from last year. Arizona Pima was subject to insect pressure during the month and above normal temperatures. In California, condition was mainly good to excellent as hot August weather aided crop development. Aphid and mite infestations continued in many San Joaquin Valley fields. Ginnings totaled 427,000 running bales prior to September 1, compared with 679,950 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 434,900 running bales in 1993. HDR2012000110120912950830Summer Potatoes Summer Potatoes: The final forecast of summer potato production rests at 17.6 million cwt, up 4 percent from the July forecast and 1 percent above the comparable States a year ago. Michigan and Minnesota summer potatoes will be combined with fall crop estimates beginning this year. Harvested area is 70,700 acres, 1 percent below last year but 2 percent above two years ago. The average yield of 249 cwt per acre increased 10 cwt from the July report on the strength of excellent yields along the East Coast. The reported yield is 7 cwt above last year. Delmarva Peninsula and New Jersey growers reported exceptional potato crops this summer. Cool, wet spring weather gave way to a hot, dry summer just as potatoes came to harvest. Late fields may have suffered from drought where irrigation was not available. Virginia and New Jersey yields are expected to be record high. Alabama and Texas also show improved yields. Yields are off in the MidWest and Plains States. Late planting, along with prolonged hot, dry summer weather, are blamed. Colorado was hit by hail in Weld County in June along with late growing progress. A good season in Missouri promises to reduce abandonment. In California, summer potatoes are in good condition as harvest winds down. Some heat damage and growth cracks are reported. HDR2012000110120912950830Fall Potatoes, 1994 Final Fall Potatoes, 1994 Final: Production of 1994 fall potatoes ended at a record high 421 million cwt,up 9 percent from the previous record set in 1993 and 2 percent above the preliminary estimate last January. Farmers harvested 1.19 million acres, up 5 percent from a year earlier. The average yield was a record high 354 cwt per acre,up 13 cwt from 1993 and 19 cwt above 1992. Compared with preliminary estimates, larger crops were registered in California, Idaho, Oregon, Nebraska, and Maine. Blight losses dumped from Maine storages were added to production and then included in shrinkage and loss. Smaller estimates were listed in Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and New Mexico. HDR2012000110120912950830All Potatoes, 1994 All Potatoes, 1994: Final production of potatoes from all four seasons in 1994 totaled 468 million cwt, up 9 percent from a year earlier and 10 percent above 1992. Area harvested was estimated at 1.38 million acres, 5 percent above 1993 and 1992. Yields, averaging 338 cwt per acre, jumped 12 cwt from a year earlier and were 15 cwt above 1992. Winter production in 1994 dropped 7 percent, spring increased 15 percent, and summer and fall potatoes gained 9 percent each from a year earlier. HDR2012000110120912950830Tobacco Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1995 is forecast at 1.35 billion pounds, down 15 percent from 1994. Harvested acres are expected to be 675,040 up 1 percent from last year. Yields for 1995 are estimated to average 1,997 pounds per acre, 361 pounds below the average for 1994. Flue-cured production is expected to total 746 million pounds, down 7 percent from the forecast of a month ago and 14 percent below a year ago. Flue-cured growers plan to harvest 386,000 acres, 7 percent above last year. Flue-cured tobacco accounts for 57 percent of this year's total tobacco acreage. Burley production is expected to total 511 million pounds, 17 percent below the production of 1994. Yield is expected to average 2,072 pounds per acre, 228 pounds below the average for 1994. Burley tobacco growers expect to harvest 246,600 acres, 7 percent below last year. Kentucky, with 66 percent of the 1995 burley area to be harvested, is 7 percent below a year ago. The growing season for tobacco in the Southeastern region (Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia) began with delayed plantings due a chilly, wet spring. Cool, damp weather continued into early summer providing ideal conditions for the spread of blue mold. By mid-July extreme heat and dry weather conditions slowed the spread of the disease. After weeks of gradual improvement in conditions the heat intensified in early August, lowering ratings and depleting soil moisture supplies. By late August, Tropical Storm Jerry brought heavy downpours to the Carolinas, stopping the harvest and causing some leaf blistering and premature leaf drop. In Kentucky, half of the burley tobacco was cut, with early housed tobacco showing light houseburn and drying down quicker than desired due to the hot,dry weather. Flue cured tobacco in North Carolina was 79 percent harvested, ahead of schedule due to the dry August weather. The hot weather slowed the spread of diseases in Tennessee's burley tobacco but stunted plant growth. A hot, dry August pushed harvest progress ahead of schedule in all States. Yields were down in all the Southeastern States except for South Carolina, where 88 percent of the tobacco was harvested. HDR2012000110120912950830Florida Citrus Florida Citrus: Citrus groves were soaked with continuous rains and thunderstorms beginning the first of August with Hurricane Erin and then Tropical Storm Jerry. Inadequate drainage resulted in standing water in both east and west coast groves and many in the southern district. Record rainfall for August was recorded in several cities within the citrus belt. Excessive moisture caused only limited adverse effects. However, the constant rains produced an abundance of new growth on trees of all ages. One early bloom crop of red grapefruit was packed and shipped the week of August 21. No other crops were picked. Caretakers were very active moving standing water. Many growers deep plowed and disced to help dry saturated soils. HDR2012000110120912950830Sugarbeets Sugarbeets: Production for U.S. is expected to total 29.1 million tons, up 1 percent from the August 1 forecast,but down 9 percent from 1994. Area for harvest, at 1.43 million acres, is virtually unchanged from last month's forecast, but down 1 percent from last year. The average yield, at 20.4 tons per acre, is 1.8 tons below last year's yield. Sugarbeet planting was delayed by a cool, wet spring leaving many northern States behind normal. Due to the second hottest August on record, Colorado's sugarbeet producers applied additional water but the hot weather still slowed plant growth. Sugarbeets progress in Idaho was slightly behind normal earlier but growers are now preparing for early harvest in mid-September. North Dakota's Red River Valley had adequate to surplus soil moisture supplies throughout the growing season, with some disease problems reported. Michigan's producers were concerned with root aphid problems in some areas that threaten the State's record harvest of sugarbeets. Good growing conditions in California, following the late-spring planting, has benefitted the crop. HDR2012000110120912950830Sugarcane Sugarcane: Sugarcane production for U.S. sugar and seed in 1995 is expected to total 29.1 million tons, down less than 1 percent from last month and down 6 percent from 1994. Area for harvest, at 922,200 acres, is 2 percent below last year. The forecasted yield, at 31.5 tons per acre, is 1.5 tons below last year's yield. A hot, dry August for mainland sugarcane States allowed sugarcane to make good growth with the crop reported in good to fair condition for the month. Hawaii's sugarcane harvest was slowing. The decline in acres reflects the continued closing of plantations. Florida's sugarcane region has not had significant damage from tropical storms this season,but some growers reported reduced yield prospects caused by cloudy weather. In Louisiana, scattered rains have been adequate to allow average plant growth with minor insect problems from the cane borer reported. HDR2012000110120912950830Papayas Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.25 million pounds for August, 7 percent lower than July and 32 percent lower than August 1994. Light to moderate rainfall, mixed with sunshine and warm temperatures in major producing areas, made August weather conditions mostly favorable toward papaya production. Orchards not heavily infected with papaya ringspot virus were in good condition. Area devoted to papaya production is estimated at 3,765 acres in August, down slightly from July but 16 percent higher than a year ago. Harvested area of 2,340 acres was 2 percent lower than last month but 9 percent higher than August 1994. HDR2012000110120912950830California Fruits and Nuts California Fruits and Nuts: Field activities included irrigation, weed control, ground leveling, limb propping, and summer pruning of harvested orchards. Grape growers irrigated vineyards and treated to control insects and fungus. Table grape harvest continued while the harvest of raisin grapes began the latter part of August. Good quality was reported. Nectarine, peach, and plum harvests were active in the Sacramento and San Joaquin valleys. Gravenstein apples were harvested in Sonoma county while Gala and Granny Smith apple harvests were active in the San Joaquin Valley. Apple orchards were also treated to control Codling moth and mites. Bartlett pear harvest continued in Lake and Mendoncino counties. The prune harvest was well underway throughout the Sacramento and San Joaquin valleys while the pomegranate harvest was underway in Fresno county. Olives appeared to be sizing nicely due to a light crop. Almond harvest began early in the month. Walnut orchards were sprayed for Codling moth and Huskfly, and the ground was prepared for harvest. HDR2012000110120912950830California Citrus California Citrus: Other Area grapefruit harvest continued with good quality. Some defects were reported including scar,scale, sheepnose, and picking injuries. The 1994-95 lemon harvest was ending with the 1995-96 crop harvest to begin shortly. Valencia orange picking slowed due to competition from other summer fruits but should regain momentum soon. Sunburn, puff, and crease concerned growers. New crop citrus was progressing well. HDR2012000110120912950830Hazelnuts Hazelnuts: Hazelnut production in Oregon and Washington is forecast at 38,000 tons for 1995, 80 percent above last year's reduced crop. If realized, this level will be the second largest crop ever but 7 percent below the 1993 record high of 41,000 tons. Oregon growers expect to harvest 37,900 tons, an 80 percent increase from 1994. Washington's production is forecast at 100 tons, unchanged from last year. Catkin and flower set were good without any severe frost damage. Favorable weather during pollination resulted in a larger than normal nut set. Moisture was adequate, especially in the Willamette Valley where precipitation was 20 to 30 percent more than the long term average. The number of bearing age trees and average yield per tree are expected to increase as new orchards come into production and young orchards progress towards full production. Objective survey counts on nuts picked in Oregon and Washington orchards were twice last year's level, but about 20 percent lower than 1993. The percentage of good nuts was slightly higher than in 1994 and equal to 1993. Average size and dry weight of good nuts were the lowest since 1985. Hazelnut production for Oregon and Washington has been revised to 21,100 tons for 1994 with an average yield per acre of 0.77 tons. Of this total, 11,530 tons were sold in-shell and 9,570 tons shelled (in-shell basis). The value of utilized production totaled $17.7 million, 32 percent below 1993. HDR2012000110120912950830Walnuts Walnuts: The 1995 California walnut production forecast is 220,000 tons, down 5 percent from 1994's production of 232,000 tons. This is down 10 percent from the July forecast. The average nut set per tree is 1,777,virtually unchanged from the 1994 average of 1,773. The Hartley average nut set was up 16 percent, the Franquette set, down 16 percent, and the Serr set down 15 percent. Of the nuts sampled, 93.1 percent were sound. The average in-shell weight per nut was 20.8 grams, down 6 percent from the previous year. Winter and spring storms did not affect the late bloom period. Blight was visible even in varieties which tend to be blight-free. A substantial amount of sunburn damage was also noted. HDR2012000110120912950830Pecans Pecans: The September 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 248 million pounds (in-shell basis), up 25 percent from last year's crop of 199 million pounds. Alabama, California, Georgia, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas expect higher production this year while Florida, Kansas, and North and South Carolina expect smaller crops. Georgia's production is set at 80.0 million pounds, 23 percent above 1994 but nearly half the 1993 level. Conditions have not been favorable. Lack of rain and extreme heat caused small nut sizes and premature droppage. The eastern part of the pecan growing region received generous rains from Tropical Storm Jerry, but the central and southwest regions received only scattered showers. Rain is still needed to fill nuts in non-irrigated groves. The Texas forecast is 60.0 million pounds, 50 percent above last year. Growers report trees are loaded with pecans. Scab, weevils, aphids, and shuck worms have caused some damage. Producers are irrigating to reduce dropping of nuts. New Mexico expects 30.0 million pounds, 25 percent more than in 1994. Some areas of New Mexico experienced a late freeze. Major producing areas have not experienced bad weather so far and predict a good crop. Production in Oklahoma is forecast at 18.0 million pounds, 50 percent higher than last year and equal to 1993. Nut set is mostly average. Some producers reported having too much water during pollination however, most areas enjoyed adequate water during the growing season. Recent dry weather is causing trees to shed nuts. Alabama's forecast of 14.0 million pounds of pecans, up from the 4.00 million pounds estimated last year. Hurricane Erin caused some damage in coastal orchards. Localities with available irrigation expect a decent crop. Louisiana's pecan crop is expected to reach 14.0 million pounds, 27 percent above the previous year. Lack of moisture during fruit set lowered crop expectations. Disease pressure is low. Other southeast states have suffered from hot,dry conditions and hurricane wind damage. The ice storms of 1994 continue to affect crops in Arkansas and Mississippi. Upper elevation groves in Arizona experienced late freeze damage. Extreme summer temperatures resulted in smaller nuts and lower quality. HDR2012000110120912950830Reliability Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between August 22 and September 2 to gather information on expected yield as of September 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Nearly 20,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published September 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The September 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the 1975-1994 20-year period is computed then the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain production forecast is 5.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 7.83 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 5.8 percent or approximately 454 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 10.0 percent or approximately 783 million bushels. Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 393 million bushels, ranging from 10 million to 885 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times. This does not imply that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed. Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Root Mean Square Error:: 10-Year Record Of :----------------------:: Differences Between Forecast : :90% Confidence:: and Final Estimate Crop and : : Level ::------------------------------- Unit :Percent:--------------:: Quantity :No. Of Years : : : ::------------------------------- : :Percent: Quant:: : :Below:Above : : : :: Avg:Small:Large:Final:Final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Mil ::----- Mil ----- : :: Feed Grains 1/ Mt: 5.4 9.3 21 :: 11 0 27 6 4 Corn For Grain Bu: 5.8 10.0 783 ::393 10 885 6 4 Sorghum For Grain Bu: 6.2 10.7 58 :: 39 1 115 6 4 Barley Bu: 3.4 6.1 23 :: 12 3 35 5 5 All Wheat Bu: 1.5 2.5 55 :: 34 2 97 3 7 Durum Bu: 5.6 9.8 10 :: 5 3 12 5 5 Other Spring Bu: 3.7 6.3 33 :: 22 1 62 3 7 Rice Cwt: 4.2 7.2 13 :: 7 2 16 8 2 Soybeans For : :: Beans Bu: 5.3 9.2 210 :: 85 19 242 7 3 Cotton Bales 2/: 6.1 10.5 2,128 ::738 84 1,914 5 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats, and barley. 2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. HDR2012000110120912950830Index Index Page Table Narrative Barley........................................ A-12 B- 5 Citrus Fruits................................. A-26 B-11 Corn for Grain................................ A-9 B- 4 Cotton........................................ A-19 B- 8 Corn-Plants per Acre.......................... A-30 Cotton - Cumulative Boll Counts............... A-32 Cottonseed.................................... A-18 Crop Moisture Maps............................ B- 1 Crop Summary.................................. A- 3 B- 3 Nuts.......................................... A-28 B-12 Papayas - Hawaii.............................. A-28 B-11 Peanuts ...................................... A-18 B- 7 Pecans........................................ A-29 B-13 Potatoes...................................... A-20 B- 9 Reliability Statement......................... B-15 Rice.......................................... A-15 B- 6 Rice - By Grain Length........................ A-15 B- 6 Sorghum for Grain............................. A-11 B- 5 Soybeans for Beans............................ A-16 B- 6 Soybeans - Pods for Beans .................... A-31 Sugarbeets.................................... A-27 B-11 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed.................. A-27 B-11 Tobacco by Class and Type..................... A-24 B-10 Tobacco by States............................. A-23 Wheat, All.................................... A-13 Wheat, by Class............................... A-15 Wheat, Durum.................................. A-14 B- 6 Wheat, Other Spring........................... A-14 B- 5 Wheat, Other Spring- Heads per Acre........... A-31 HDR2012000110120912950830Report Features Report Features The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 11, 1995. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843 Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526 Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068 Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats (202) 720-7369 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285 Roger Latham - Cotton, Hay (202) 720-5944 Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202) 720-4215 Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157 Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits, Peanuts (202) 720-7688 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. 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