HDR1012000110011011950830Crop Production Highlights & Summary HDR2012000110011011950830Crop Prod. Corn and Soybean Highlights Released October 11, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. Forecasts refer to October 1, 1995. Corn and Soybean Production Down Corn production is forecast at 7.54 billion bushels, down 25 percent from the record high 1994 production of 10.1 billion bushels and 4 percent below the September 1 forecast. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 116.6 bushels per acre, down 4.5 bushels from last month and 22.0 bushels below a year earlier. Acreage for harvest for grain is estimated at 64.7 million acres, the same as last month. The late planting in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Nebraska, coupled with the early freeze, reduced yield prospects from the September 1 forecast. Soybean production is forecast at 2.19 billion bushels as of October 1, down 4 percent from the September 1 forecast and 13 percent below 1994. Yield is forecast at 35.5 bushels per acre, 1.5 bushels below September 1 and 5.9 bushels below 1994. Dry conditions in late August and September and the early frost resulted in a lower yield. A lower pod weight was partially offset by a slightly higher pod count. Pods counted in the October survey indicate the second highest average on record. Index and report features are located at the end of this report. Cr Pr 2-2 (10-95) Cotton Down 6 Percent From Last Month All cotton production declined to 19.1 million bales, down 6 percent from last month and 3 percent below 1994. Continued damage from insects and dry conditions in most portions of the cotton belt lowered yield potential. Heavy rains and unseasonably cool temperatures during September also diminished prospects in West Texas. Yields are down 129 pounds from last year's record high and down 36 pounds from one month earlier. Any effects from hurricane Opal occurred after the data collection period for this month and are not reflected in this report. All orange production for 1995-96 is expected to be the second largest crop on record, at 11.7 million tons, up slightly from last season. Florida production amounts to 202 million boxes (9.09 million tons), 2 percent below last season but 16 percent above two years ago. This output will rank as the third largest crop on record. Early and mid-season varieties are expected to produce a record high 122 million boxes (5.49 million tons), 2 percent above last year. The Valencia forecast is 80.0 million boxes (3.60 million tons), 7 percent below a year ago. California all orange production is set at 66.0 million boxes (2.48 million tons), 8 percent more than last season. The Navel orange forecast was unchanged from September at 38.0 million boxes (1.43 million tons), up 9 percent from 35.0 million boxes, a year ago. The initial California Valencia forecast is 28.0 million boxes (1.05 million tons), 8 percent more than last year. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice yield for the 1995-96 season is forecast at 1.54 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast projects the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The final 1994-95 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was 1.50 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ This report was approved on October 11, 1995, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Richard E. Rominger Rich Allen ----------------------------------- --------------------------------------- Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Richard E. Rominger Rich Allen HDR2012000110011011950830Area Planted and Harvested Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : : Corn : 79,158 71,308 72,917 64,682 Sorghum : 9,772 9,112 8,967 8,301 Rice : 3,353.0 3,165.0 3,316.0 3,111.0 Soybeans : 61,670 62,585 60,859 61,716 Peanuts : 1,641.0 1,565.0 1,618.5 1,524.5 Sunflower : 3,567 3,608 3,430 3,484 All Cotton : 13,720.1 16,665.0 13,322.3 15,880.5 Upland : 13,551.6 16,470.0 13,155.9 15,688.0 Amer-Pima : 168.5 195.0 166.4 192.5 All Hay : 58,744 60,228 Alfalfa : 24,222 24,639 All Other : 34,522 35,589 Dry Edible Beans : 2,025.8 2,049.7 1,845.2 1,907.8 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : 131.0 166.0 128.0 163.0 Austrian Winter : Peas 2/ : 7.0 10.9 4.6 6.7 Lentils 2/ : 180.0 148.0 178.0 143.0 Tobacco : 671.2 674.0 Sugarbeets : 1,475.8 1,449.6 1,443.0 1,428.8 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 936.8 932.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. 2/ 1994 revised. HDR2012000110011011950830Yield per Acre and Production Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre: Production Crop and Unit :--------------------------------------------------- : : : : Sep 1, : Oct 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ : Corn for Grain Bu : 138.6 116.6 10,103,030 7,832,140 7,541,400 Sorghum for Grain " : 73.0 59.2 655,021 537,699 491,824 Rice 1/ Cwt : 5,964 5,710 197,779 181,768 177,642 Soybeans for Beans Bu : 41.4 35.5 2,516,694 2,284,551 2,190,661 Peanuts Lb : 2,624 2,302 4,247,455 3,580,100 3,510,100 Sunflower " : 1,410 1,313 4,836,185 4,574,450 All Cotton 1/ Bale: 708 579 19,662.0 20,265.7 19,143.7 Upland 1/ " : 705 574 19,324.3 19,897.7 18,770.7 Amer-Pima 1/ " : 974 930 337.7 368.0 373.0 Cottonseed Ton : 7,603.9 7,818.7 7,373.7 All Hay 3/ " : 2.56 2.61 150,124 157,374 157,003 Alfalfa 3/ " : 3.36 3.49 81,398 86,082 85,906 All Other 3/ " : 1.99 2.00 68,726 71,292 71,097 Dry Edible Beans 1/3/Cwt : 1,582 1,603 29,187 32,078 30,584 Dry Edible Peas 1/2/ " : 1,762 2,300 2,255 3,749 Austrian Winter : Peas 1/2/ " : 1,109 1,507 51 101 Lentils 1/2/ " : 1,043 1,352 1,856 1,934 All Tobacco Lb : 2,358 1,940 1,582,816 1,347,334 1,307,904 Sugarbeets Ton : 22.2 20.2 31,994 29,086 28,833 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed " : 33.0 32.4 30,929 29,059 30,222 Apples, Comm'l 3/ Lb : 11,335,500 11,185,500 11,135,500 Grapes 3/ Ton : 5,870.6 5,772.5 5,776.5 Pecans Lb : 199,000 248,000 248,000 Hazelnuts 4/ Ton : 21.1 38.0 38.0 : Citrus Fruits 5/ : 1994-95 1995-96 1995-96 : Oranges Ton : 11,616 11,659 Grapefruit " : 2,912 2,821 Lemons " : 916 1,045 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield in pounds. 2/ 1994 revised. 3/ September estimate carried forward from August 1. 4/ September 1 forecast carried forward from "Hazelnut Production" released August 24, 1995. 5/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. HDR2012000110011011950830Area Planted and Harvested Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : Flaxseed : 178 213 171 206 Potatoes : Winter 2/ : 12.9 13.3 12.3 11.9 Spring : 91.6 88.6 90.4 86.8 Summer : 95.8 72.5 92.3 70.7 Fall : 1,220.1 1,220.0 1,187.7 1,199.9 Total 2/ : 1,420.4 1,394.4 1,382.7 1,369.3 Sweetpotatoes : 86.1 87.0 82.8 83.6 Hops : 42.4 43.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1995 revised. Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Acre : Production Crop and Unit :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------- 1,000 ------- : Potatoes : Winter 2/ Cwt : 193 208 2,372 2,473 Spring " : 251 258 22,646 22,387 Summer " : 243 249 22,391 17,590 Fall " : 354 420,515 Total " : 338 467,924 Hops Lb : 1,758 1,748 74,559.6 75,972.0 Peaches " : 2,506,500 2,492,700 Pears Ton : 1,046.2 963.3 Sweet Cherries " : 207.2 135.7 Tart Cherries Lb : 287,800 391,000 Apricots Ton : 158.2 67.5 Olives (CA) " : 84.0 85.0 Dried Prunes (CA) " : 193.0 185.0 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) " : 38.1 25.0 Almonds (CA) Lb : 730,000 310,000 Walnuts (CA) Ton : 232.0 220.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1995 revised. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : : Corn : 32,034,450 28,857,630 29,508,780 26,176,160 Sorghum : 3,954,630 3,687,540 3,628,860 3,359,330 Rice : 1,356,930 1,280,840 1,341,950 1,258,990 Soybeans : 24,957,230 25,327,520 24,629,030 24,975,850 Peanuts : 664,100 633,340 654,990 616,950 Sunflower : 1,443,530 1,460,120 1,388,090 1,409,940 All Cotton : 5,552,390 6,744,160 5,391,400 6,426,680 Upland : 5,484,200 6,665,240 5,324,060 6,348,780 Amer-Pima : 68,190 78,910 67,340 77,900 All Hay : 23,773,110 24,373,670 Alfalfa : 9,802,400 9,971,160 All Other : 13,970,710 14,402,510 Dry Edible Beans : 819,820 829,490 746,730 772,070 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : 53,010 67,180 51,800 65,960 Austrian Winter : Peas 2/ : 2,830 4,410 1,860 2,710 Lentils 2/ : 72,840 59,890 72,030 57,870 Tobacco : 271,610 272,780 Sugarbeets : 597,240 586,640 583,970 578,220 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 379,110 377,290 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. 2/ 1994 revised. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : Flaxseed : 72,030 86,200 69,200 83,370 Potatoes : Winter 2/ : 5,220 5,380 4,980 4,820 Spring : 37,070 35,860 36,580 35,130 Summer : 38,770 29,340 37,350 28,610 Fall : 493,760 493,720 480,650 485,590 Total 2/ : 574,820 564,300 559,560 554,140 Sweetpotatoes : 34,840 35,210 33,510 33,830 Hops : 17,160 17,580 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1995 revised. HDR2012000110011011950830Yield per Hectare and Production Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Yield per Hectare: Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Sep 1, : Oct 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Corn for Grain : 8.70 7.32 256,628,780 198,945,520 191,560,380 Sorghum for Grain : 4.58 3.72 16,638,300 13,658,180 12,492,910 Rice : 6.69 6.40 8,971,110 8,244,860 8,057,710 Soybeans for Beans : 2.78 2.39 68,493,190 62,175,290 59,620,020 Peanuts : 2.94 2.58 1,926,610 1,623,910 1,592,150 Sunflower : 1.58 1.47 2,193,660 2,074,940 All Cotton : 0.79 0.65 4,280,900 4,412,330 4,168,050 Upland : 0.79 0.64 4,207,370 4,332,210 4,086,840 Amer-Pima : 1.09 1.04 73,530 80,120 81,210 Cottonseed : 6,898,140 7,093,010 6,689,310 All Hay 1/ : 5.73 5.84 136,190,200 142,767,290 142,430,720 Alfalfa 1/ : 7.53 7.82 73,843,020 78,092,280 77,932,610 All Other 1/ : 4.46 4.48 62,347,180 64,675,010 64,498,110 Dry Edible Beans 1/ : 1.77 1.80 1,323,900 1,455,030 1,387,270 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : 1.97 2.58 102,290 170,050 Austrian Winter : Peas 2/ : 1.24 1.69 2,310 4,580 Lentils 2/ : 1.17 1.52 84,190 87,720 All Tobacco : 2.64 2.24 717,950 611,140 593,260 Sugarbeets : 49.70 45.63 29,024,470 26,386,380 26,156,860 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 74.01 69.87 28,058,320 26,361,880 27,416,940 Apples, Comm'l 1/ : 5,141,700 5,073,660 5,050,980 Grapes 1/ : 5,325,720 5,236,720 5,240,350 Pecans : 90,260 112,490 112,490 Hazelnuts 3/ : 19,140 34,470 34,470 : Citrus Fruits 4/ : 1994-95 1995-96 1995-96 : Oranges : 10,537,860 10,576,870 Grapefruit : 2,641,720 2,559,170 Lemons : 830,980 948,010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ September estimate carried forward from August 1. 2/ 1994 revised. 3/ September 1 forecast carried forward from mid-August forecast published August 24, 1995. 4/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Hectare : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Potatoes : Winter 2/ : 21.60 24.39 107,590 117,570 Spring : 28.08 28.91 1,027,210 1,015,460 Summer : 27.19 27.89 1,015,640 797,870 Fall : 39.68 19,074,240 Total : 37.93 21,224,680 Hops : 1.97 1.96 33,820 34,460 Peaches : 1,136,930 1,130,670 Pears : 949,050 873,890 Sweet Cherries : 187,970 123,100 Tart Cherries : 130,540 177,350 Apricots : 143,520 61,230 Olives (CA) : 76,200 77,110 Dried Prunes (CA) : 175,090 167,830 Prunnes and Plums : (Excl CA) : 34,560 22,680 Almonds (CA) : 331,120 140,610 Walnuts (CA) : 210,470 199,580 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 1995 revised. HDR1012000110111011950830Crop Production State Tables HDR2012000110111011950830Corn for Grain Table Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : - 1,000 Acres - ------ Bushels ------ --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 260 220 96.0 70.0 70.0 24,960 15,400 AZ 1/ : 15 20 170.0 160.0 160.0 2,550 3,200 AR 1/ : 90 85 120.0 125.0 125.0 10,800 10,625 CA : 170 140 165.0 160.0 165.0 28,050 23,100 CO : 890 800 150.0 145.0 135.0 133,500 108,000 CT 2/ : DE : 150 142 125.0 100.0 95.0 18,750 13,490 FL 1/ : 80 60 85.0 77.0 77.0 6,800 4,620 GA : 540 360 106.0 100.0 100.0 57,240 36,000 ID 1/ : 35 35 140.0 140.0 140.0 4,900 4,900 IL : 11,450 10,000 156.0 126.0 117.0 1,786,200 1,170,000 IN : 5,960 5,200 144.0 125.0 119.0 858,240 618,800 IA : 12,700 11,500 152.0 125.0 121.0 1,930,400 1,391,500 KS : 2,130 1,950 143.0 140.0 135.0 304,590 263,250 KY : 1,220 1,150 128.0 122.0 122.0 156,160 140,300 LA 1/ : 306 235 115.0 105.0 105.0 35,190 24,675 ME 2/ : MD : 390 380 118.0 105.0 100.0 46,020 38,000 MA 2/ : MI : 2,230 2,100 117.0 120.0 120.0 260,910 252,000 MN : 6,450 6,000 142.0 130.0 123.0 915,900 738,000 MS 1/ : 305 275 100.0 95.0 95.0 30,500 26,125 MO : 2,300 1,350 119.0 105.0 107.0 273,700 144,450 MT 1/ : 20 18 135.0 140.0 140.0 2,700 2,520 NE : 8,300 7,800 139.0 120.0 114.0 1,153,700 889,200 NH 2/ : NJ 1/ : 81 82 119.0 110.0 110.0 9,639 9,020 NM 1/ : 85 85 150.0 170.0 170.0 12,750 14,450 NY : 590 560 116.0 97.0 97.0 68,440 54,320 NC : 900 800 91.0 105.0 110.0 81,900 88,000 ND : 540 400 100.0 82.0 85.0 54,000 34,000 OH : 3,500 3,150 139.0 122.0 122.0 486,500 384,300 OK 1/ : 165 125 100.0 120.0 120.0 16,500 15,000 OR 1/ : 20 17 170.0 140.0 140.0 3,400 2,380 PA : 1,030 990 120.0 106.0 104.0 123,600 102,960 RI 2/ : SC : 345 280 85.0 89.0 89.0 29,325 24,920 SD : 3,400 2,300 108.0 80.0 79.0 367,200 181,700 TN : 570 570 116.0 120.0 120.0 66,120 68,400 TX : 2,040 2,100 117.0 115.0 113.0 238,680 237,300 UT 1/ : 22 23 130.0 125.0 125.0 2,860 2,875 VT 2/ : VA : 350 300 98.0 100.0 100.0 34,300 30,000 WA 1/ : 105 105 185.0 190.0 190.0 19,425 19,950 WV 1/ : 35 35 105.0 110.0 110.0 3,675 3,850 WI : 3,100 2,900 141.0 124.0 119.0 437,100 345,100 WY 1/ : 48 40 122.0 118.0 118.0 5,856 4,720 : US : 72,917 64,682 138.6 121.1 116.6 10,103,030 7,541,400 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Not estimated. HDR2012000110111011950830Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL 1/ : 20 8 45.0 40.0 40.0 900 320 AR : 245 185 75.0 60.0 70.0 18,375 12,950 CO : 170 220 45.0 42.0 40.0 7,650 8,800 GA 1/ : 40 30 50.0 38.0 38.0 2,000 1,140 IL : 180 170 99.0 83.0 79.0 17,820 13,430 KS : 3,000 2,900 77.0 68.0 60.0 231,000 174,000 KY 1/ : 11 16 92.0 90.0 90.0 1,012 1,440 LA : 123 82 68.0 65.0 65.0 8,364 5,330 MS : 70 45 75.0 74.0 74.0 5,250 3,330 MO : 550 550 90.0 87.0 81.0 49,500 44,550 NE : 1,250 1,050 98.0 72.0 61.0 122,500 64,050 NM : 180 195 38.0 37.0 33.0 6,840 6,435 NC 1/ : 20 15 55.0 50.0 50.0 1,100 750 OK : 280 280 50.0 52.0 52.0 14,000 14,560 SC 1/ : 8 8 40.0 35.0 35.0 320 280 SD : 190 180 65.0 41.0 41.0 12,350 7,380 TN 1/ : 30 17 88.0 87.0 87.0 2,640 1,479 TX : 2,600 2,350 59.0 60.0 56.0 153,400 131,600 : US : 8,967 8,301 73.0 65.0 59.2 655,021 491,824 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110111011950830Rice Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :- 1,000 Acres - -------- Pounds --------- --- 1,000 Cwt ---- : AR : 1,420 1,340 5,700 5,600 5,550 80,940 74,370 CA : 485 448 8,500 8,300 8,150 41,224 36,512 LA : 620 590 4,750 4,750 4,550 29,448 26,845 MS : 313 295 5,900 5,700 5,500 18,467 16,225 MO 1/ : 124 100 5,200 5,100 5,100 6,448 5,100 TX : 354 338 6,000 5,800 5,500 21,252 18,590 : US : 3,316 3,111 5,964 5,843 5,710 197,779 177,642 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1993 : 103,064 51,873 1,173 156,110 1994 : 133,445 63,390 944 197,779 1995 1/ : 125,436 51,290 916 177,642 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated October 1, 1995, rice class forecasts are based on a five-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. HDR2012000110111011950830Soybeans for Beans Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 1/: 1995 : 1994 1/ :-------------------: 1994 1/ : 1995 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : - 1,000 Acres - ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 295 220 31.0 25.0 25.0 9,145 5,500 AR : 3,400 3,300 34.0 30.0 28.0 115,600 92,400 DE : 220 230 36.5 29.0 22.0 8,030 5,060 FL 2/ : 42 28 31.0 32.0 32.0 1,302 896 GA : 500 320 31.0 24.0 24.0 15,500 7,680 IL : 9,430 9,650 45.5 41.0 40.0 429,065 386,000 IN : 4,580 5,180 47.0 44.0 40.0 215,260 207,200 IA : 8,770 9,150 50.5 44.0 43.0 442,885 393,450 KS : 2,100 2,050 35.0 30.0 26.0 73,500 53,300 KY : 1,130 1,080 37.5 37.0 34.0 42,375 36,720 LA : 1,120 1,030 28.5 30.0 25.0 31,920 25,750 MD : 550 540 35.5 33.0 28.0 19,525 15,120 MI : 1,540 1,490 37.0 39.0 39.0 56,980 58,110 MN : 5,600 5,900 40.0 38.0 38.0 224,000 224,200 MS : 1,870 1,900 30.5 28.0 25.0 57,035 47,500 MO : 4,560 4,700 38.0 31.0 30.0 173,280 141,000 NE : 2,860 2,960 47.0 34.0 31.0 134,420 91,760 NJ 2/ : 147 118 34.5 40.0 40.0 5,072 4,720 NC : 1,350 1,050 31.0 23.0 23.0 41,850 24,150 ND : 610 630 31.0 25.0 27.0 18,910 17,010 OH : 3,990 4,080 43.5 42.0 41.0 173,565 167,280 OK 2/ : 290 285 32.0 27.0 27.0 9,280 7,695 PA 2/ : 315 315 42.0 44.0 44.0 13,230 13,860 SC : 580 530 27.0 24.0 24.0 15,660 12,720 SD : 2,400 2,400 38.0 28.0 27.0 91,200 64,800 TN : 1,050 1,080 36.5 33.0 31.0 38,325 33,480 TX : 210 210 33.5 28.0 27.0 7,035 5,670 VA : 520 490 32.0 27.0 27.0 16,640 13,230 WI : 830 800 43.5 43.0 43.0 36,105 34,400 : US : 60,859 61,716 41.4 37.0 35.5 2,516,694 2,190,661 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110111011950830Soybeans Soybeans: Area Planted by State and United States, 1994 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : :: : State : Area Planted :: State : Area Planted : :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : AL : 310 :: MO : 4,600 AR : 3,450 :: NE : 2,900 DE : 225 :: NJ : 150 FL : 45 :: NC : 1,400 GA : 520 :: ND : 640 IL : 9,500 :: OH : 4,000 IN : 4,600 :: OK : 300 IA : 8,800 :: PA : 320 KS : 2,150 :: SC : 600 KY : 1,150 :: SD : 2,430 LA : 1,150 :: TN : 1,100 MD : 560 :: TX : 220 MI : 1,550 :: VA : 540 MN : 5,700 :: WI : 860 MS : 1,900 :: : : :: US : 61,670 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. HDR2012000110111011950830Sunflower Sunflower: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Type, State, and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal: Area Harvested : Yield : Production Type & :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : - 1,000 Acres - --- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : Oil : CO : 69 77 1,000 60,480 69,000 KS : 190 185 1,400 153,900 266,000 MN : 375 380 1,300 286,000 487,500 NE : 44 71 1,050 38,150 46,200 ND : 1,310 1,300 1,450 814,800 1,899,500 SD : 896 921 1,550 763,270 1,388,800 TX : 20 19 1,100 12,000 22,000 : Oth : Sts : 39 45 1,145 31,668 44,655 : US 1/ : 2,943 2,998 1,435 2,160,268 4,223,655 : Non-oil : CO : 26 33 1,050 28,520 27,300 KS : 54 65 1,200 41,070 64,800 MN : 100 67 1,125 96,000 112,500 NE : 27 43 1,000 27,060 27,000 ND : 225 210 1,350 152,100 303,750 SD : 24 29 1,600 25,650 38,400 TX : 13 19 1,100 20,400 14,300 : Oth : Sts : 18 20 1,360 20,995 24,480 : US 1/ : 487 486 1,258 411,795 612,530 : All : CO : 95 110 1,014 950 89,000 96,300 104,500 KS : 244 250 1,356 1,210 194,970 330,800 302,500 MN : 475 447 1,263 1,250 382,000 600,000 558,750 NE : 71 114 1,031 1,000 65,210 73,200 114,000 ND : 1,535 1,510 1,435 1,360 966,900 2,203,250 2,053,600 SD : 920 950 1,551 1,380 788,920 1,427,200 1,311,000 TX : 33 38 1,100 1,200 32,400 36,300 45,600 : Oth : Sts : 57 65 1,213 1,300 52,663 69,135 84,500 : US 1/ : 3,430 3,484 1,410 1,313 2,572,063 4,836,185 4,574,450 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates include all States except AK and HI. Sunflower: Area Planted, by Varietal Type, State, and United States, 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Varietal Type State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : Oil : Non-Oil : All ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CO : 72 28 100 KS : 200 60 260 MN : 390 110 500 NE : 47 28 75 ND : 1,350 240 1,590 SD : 915 25 940 TX : 21 13 34 : Oth Sts : 46 22 68 : US : 3,041 526 3,567 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000110111011950830Peanuts Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 222.0 214.0 2,010 2,200 2,300 446,220 492,200 FL : 84.0 80.0 2,470 2,600 2,600 207,480 208,000 GA : 649.0 595.0 2,870 2,300 2,200 1,862,630 1,309,000 NM : 21.0 20.0 2,460 2,300 2,300 51,660 46,000 NC : 151.0 144.0 3,215 2,400 2,400 485,465 345,600 OK : 100.0 100.0 2,610 2,600 2,600 261,000 260,000 SC : 12.5 12.5 2,900 2,600 2,600 36,250 32,500 TX : 287.0 270.0 2,110 2,300 2,300 605,570 621,000 VA : 92.0 89.0 3,165 2,300 2,200 291,180 195,800 : US : 1,618.5 1,524.5 2,624 2,333 2,302 4,247,455 3,510,100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. HDR2012000110111011950830Cotton Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Type, State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :-------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres --- ------ Pounds ------ - 1,000 Bales 2/ - : Upland : AL : 455.0 615.0 766 500 480 726.0 615.0 AZ : 312.0 364.0 1,203 1,123 1,081 782.0 820.0 AR : 970.0 1,000.0 877 744 648 1,772.0 1,350.0 CA : 1,095.0 1,175.0 1,191 1,123 1,083 2,717.0 2,650.0 FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0 GA : 875.0 1,490.0 843 628 644 1,537.0 2,000.0 KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7 LA : 890.0 1,065.0 815 713 608 1,512.0 1,350.0 MS : 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 661 602 2,132.0 1,830.0 MO : 345.0 445.0 856 701 647 615.0 600.0 NM : 50.0 51.0 720 781 762 75.0 81.0 NC : 485.0 780.0 820 535 535 829.0 870.0 OK : 340.0 325.0 349 325 295 247.0 200.0 SC : 223.0 335.0 846 731 645 393.0 450.0 TN : 585.0 665.0 726 595 570 885.0 790.0 TX : 5,150.0 5,700.0 458 438 408 4,915.0 4,850.0 VA 3/ : 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0 : US :13,155.9 15,688.0 705 612 574 19,324.3 18,770.7 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 47.9 47.5 806 788 788 80.4 78.0 CA : 80.8 100.0 1,098 1,032 1,032 184.8 215.0 NM : 10.7 15.0 875 800 800 19.5 25.0 TX : 27.0 30.0 942 800 880 53.0 55.0 : US : 166.4 192.5 974 918 930 337.7 373.0 : All : AL : 455.0 615.0 766 500 480 726.0 615.0 AZ : 359.9 411.5 1,150 1,084 1,047 862.4 898.0 AR : 970.0 1,000.0 877 744 648 1,772.0 1,350.0 CA : 1,175.8 1,275.0 1,185 1,116 1,079 2,901.8 2,865.0 FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0 GA : 875.0 1,490.0 843 628 644 1,537.0 2,000.0 KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7 LA : 890.0 1,065.0 815 713 608 1,512.0 1,350.0 MS : 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 661 602 2,132.0 1,830.0 MO : 345.0 445.0 856 701 647 615.0 600.0 NM : 60.7 66.0 747 785 771 94.5 106.0 NC : 485.0 780.0 820 535 535 829.0 870.0 OK : 340.0 325.0 349 325 295 247.0 200.0 SC : 223.0 335.0 846 731 645 393.0 450.0 TN : 585.0 665.0 726 595 570 885.0 790.0 TX : 5,177.0 5,730.0 461 440 411 4,968.0 4,905.0 VA 3/ : 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0 : US :13,322.3 15,880.5 708 615 579 19,662.0 19,143.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. HDR2012000110111011950830Cottonseed Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,343.2 7,603.9 7,373.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. HDR2012000110111011950830Hay All Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : - 1,000 Acres - --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 750 720 2.70 2.10 1,440 2,025 1,512 AZ : 195 205 6.80 7.39 1,236 1,326 1,514 AR : 1,125 1,050 2.23 2.04 2,390 2,505 2,138 CA : 1,470 1,700 5.59 5.19 7,590 8,210 8,815 CO : 1,330 1,430 3.05 2.83 4,193 4,060 4,046 CT : 83 75 2.30 1.79 138 191 134 DE : 15 13 4.07 3.31 45 61 43 FL : 240 230 3.10 2.80 650 744 644 GA : 650 600 3.00 2.50 1,140 1,950 1,500 ID : 1,250 1,400 3.55 3.47 4,844 4,438 4,860 IL : 1,100 1,050 2.89 3.43 4,106 3,175 3,600 IN : 650 680 3.25 3.35 2,282 2,110 2,280 IA : 1,750 1,850 3.30 3.38 4,803 5,775 6,245 KS : 2,450 2,500 2.42 2.61 6,430 5,925 6,530 KY : 2,250 2,390 2.40 2.51 5,526 5,400 5,990 LA : 290 300 2.80 2.30 672 812 690 ME : 213 195 1.91 1.93 368 406 377 MD : 200 220 3.34 3.08 550 668 677 MA : 106 105 2.05 1.90 186 217 199 MI : 1,400 1,400 3.48 3.43 5,370 4,865 4,795 MN : 2,300 2,275 3.27 3.18 5,970 7,530 7,228 MS : 750 750 2.50 2.20 1,728 1,875 1,650 MO : 3,350 3,350 2.02 2.06 7,335 6,770 6,908 MT : 2,200 2,500 2.06 2.19 4,806 4,540 5,485 NE : 3,300 3,150 2.25 2.20 7,323 7,415 6,930 NV : 470 490 2.98 3.02 1,385 1,400 1,481 NH : 79 78 2.06 1.92 135 163 150 NJ : 120 130 2.28 2.08 231 273 271 NM : 330 335 4.54 4.64 1,434 1,499 1,554 NY : 1,660 1,700 2.39 2.05 3,605 3,961 3,480 NC : 510 530 2.33 2.33 715 1,187 1,235 ND : 2,800 2,800 1.61 1.94 5,043 4,510 5,420 OH : 1,280 1,300 3.43 3.27 3,475 4,384 4,245 OK : 2,200 2,400 1.88 2.00 4,248 4,128 4,800 OR : 1,010 1,100 2.81 2.88 3,066 2,840 3,165 PA : 1,920 1,910 2.36 2.27 4,352 4,528 4,331 RI : 8 7 2.25 2.00 15 18 14 SC : 250 290 2.60 2.30 414 650 667 SD : 4,100 4,100 1.79 2.26 8,190 7,330 9,270 TN : 1,700 1,700 2.23 2.22 3,478 3,795 3,780 TX : 3,590 3,750 2.36 2.47 7,506 8,455 9,270 UT : 685 695 3.69 3.85 2,530 2,525 2,674 VT : 325 315 2.00 1.83 603 649 576 VA : 1,200 1,240 1.95 2.12 2,491 2,342 2,634 WA : 710 760 3.92 4.24 2,835 2,785 3,226 WV : 550 550 2.02 1.87 1,059 1,110 1,030 WI : 2,700 2,600 2.43 2.28 6,260 6,550 5,920 WY : 1,130 1,310 1.81 2.31 2,608 2,049 3,020 : US : 58,744 60,228 2.56 2.61 146,799 150,124 157,003 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AZ : 160 175 7.50 8.00 1,110 1,200 1,400 AR 1/ : 25 25 3.40 3.50 90 85 88 CA : 950 1,050 7.00 6.60 6,348 6,650 6,930 CO : 840 850 3.90 3.60 3,230 3,276 3,060 CT 1/ : 24 20 2.90 2.30 48 70 46 DE 1/ : 5 4 5.20 4.75 19 26 19 ID : 1,020 1,100 3.90 3.90 4,200 3,978 4,290 IL : 650 650 3.50 4.00 3,002 2,275 2,600 IN : 350 280 3.80 4.00 1,320 1,330 1,120 IA : 1,250 1,450 3.70 3.70 3,953 4,625 5,365 KS : 800 850 3.90 3.80 3,230 3,120 3,230 KY : 300 290 3.70 4.00 1,110 1,110 1,160 ME 1/ : 18 15 2.50 2.30 53 45 35 MD 1/ : 60 55 4.60 4.50 202 276 248 MA 1/ : 29 25 2.70 2.50 71 78 63 MI : 1,050 1,050 3.90 3.80 4,620 4,095 3,990 MN : 1,600 1,425 3.70 3.70 4,800 5,920 5,273 MO : 450 500 2.80 2.70 1,485 1,260 1,350 MT : 1,550 1,650 2.30 2.50 3,480 3,565 4,125 NE : 1,400 1,350 3.60 3.60 4,760 5,040 4,860 NV : 240 240 4.30 4.40 1,034 1,032 1,056 NH 1/ : 19 18 2.10 2.00 37 40 36 NJ 1/ : 30 30 3.70 3.70 69 111 111 NM : 260 260 5.20 5.40 1,301 1,352 1,404 NY : 620 600 2.95 2.50 1,715 1,829 1,500 NC 1/ : 20 20 3.00 3.10 40 60 62 ND : 1,450 1,500 1.90 2.40 3,230 2,755 3,600 OH : 660 750 4.20 3.90 2,275 2,772 2,925 OK : 320 400 3.50 4.00 1,188 1,120 1,600 OR : 410 450 4.00 4.00 1,764 1,640 1,800 PA : 800 780 3.00 2.80 2,262 2,400 2,184 RI 1/ : 2 2 2.50 2.50 4 5 5 SD : 2,500 2,400 2.10 2.80 5,980 5,250 6,720 TN 1/ : 50 50 3.30 3.00 198 165 150 TX : 90 150 4.50 4.20 366 405 630 UT : 525 545 4.20 4.30 2,200 2,205 2,344 VT 1/ : 105 90 2.20 1.90 212 231 171 VA 1/ : 140 140 3.10 3.10 351 434 434 WA : 470 500 4.70 5.10 2,160 2,209 2,550 WV 1/ : 50 40 3.20 2.80 128 160 112 WI : 2,300 2,200 2.50 2.40 5,060 5,750 5,280 WY : 630 660 2.30 3.00 1,600 1,449 1,980 : US : 24,222 24,639 3.36 3.49 80,305 81,398 85,906 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 750 720 2.70 2.10 1,440 2,025 1,512 AZ 1/ : 35 30 3.60 3.80 126 126 114 AR : 1,100 1,025 2.20 2.00 2,300 2,420 2,050 CA : 520 650 3.00 2.90 1,242 1,560 1,885 CO : 490 580 1.60 1.70 963 784 986 CT 1/ : 59 55 2.05 1.60 90 121 88 DE 1/ : 10 9 3.50 2.70 26 35 24 FL : 240 230 3.10 2.80 650 744 644 GA : 650 600 3.00 2.50 1,140 1,950 1,500 ID : 230 300 2.00 1.90 644 460 570 IL : 450 400 2.00 2.50 1,104 900 1,000 IN : 300 400 2.60 2.90 962 780 1,160 IA : 500 400 2.30 2.20 850 1,150 880 KS : 1,650 1,650 1.70 2.00 3,200 2,805 3,300 KY : 1,950 2,100 2.20 2.30 4,416 4,290 4,830 LA 2/ : 290 300 2.80 2.30 672 812 690 ME 1/ : 195 180 1.85 1.90 315 361 342 MD 1/ : 140 165 2.80 2.60 348 392 429 MA 1/ : 77 80 1.80 1.70 115 139 136 MI : 350 350 2.20 2.30 750 770 805 MN : 700 850 2.30 2.30 1,170 1,610 1,955 MS : 750 750 2.50 2.20 1,728 1,875 1,650 MO : 2,900 2,850 1.90 1.95 5,850 5,510 5,558 MT : 650 850 1.50 1.60 1,326 975 1,360 NE : 1,900 1,800 1.25 1.15 2,563 2,375 2,070 NV 1/ : 230 250 1.60 1.70 351 368 425 NH 1/ : 60 60 2.05 1.90 98 123 114 NJ 1/ : 90 100 1.80 1.60 162 162 160 NM 1/ : 70 75 2.10 2.00 133 147 150 NY : 1,040 1,100 2.05 1.80 1,890 2,132 1,980 NC : 490 510 2.30 2.30 675 1,127 1,173 ND : 1,350 1,300 1.30 1.40 1,813 1,755 1,820 OH : 620 550 2.60 2.40 1,200 1,612 1,320 OK : 1,880 2,000 1.60 1.60 3,060 3,008 3,200 OR : 600 650 2.00 2.10 1,302 1,200 1,365 PA : 1,120 1,130 1.90 1.90 2,090 2,128 2,147 RI 1/ : 6 5 2.15 1.80 11 13 9 SC : 250 290 2.60 2.30 414 650 667 SD : 1,600 1,700 1.30 1.50 2,210 2,080 2,550 TN : 1,650 1,650 2.20 2.20 3,280 3,630 3,630 TX : 3,500 3,600 2.30 2.40 7,140 8,050 8,640 UT 1/ : 160 150 2.00 2.20 330 320 330 VT 1/ : 220 225 1.90 1.80 391 418 405 VA : 1,060 1,100 1.80 2.00 2,140 1,908 2,200 WA : 240 260 2.40 2.60 675 576 676 WV : 500 510 1.90 1.80 931 950 918 WI : 400 400 2.00 1.60 1,200 800 640 WY : 500 650 1.20 1.60 1,008 600 1,040 : US : 34,522 35,589 1.99 2.00 66,494 68,726 71,097 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Includes alfalfa hay. HDR2012000110111011950830Dry Edible Beans Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : - 1,000 Acres - --- Pounds -- -------- 1,000 Cwt ------ : CA : 131.0 145.0 2,130 2,200 2,210 2,790 3,190 CO : 205.0 170.0 1,600 1,600 2,609 3,280 2,720 ID : 138.0 108.0 1,950 1,900 2,091 2,691 2,052 KS : 32.0 30.0 1,750 1,500 378 560 450 MI : 360.0 390.0 1,300 1,700 6,080 4,680 6,630 MN : 121.6 147.0 1,710 1,500 836 2,079 2,205 MT 2/ : 10.0 10.8 2,200 2,100 155 220 227 NE : 190.0 220.0 1,880 1,730 2,100 3,572 3,806 NM 2/ : 12.5 13.0 2,260 2,000 189 283 260 NY : 38.5 33.0 1,520 1,550 459 585 512 ND : 470.0 520.0 1,300 1,260 2,964 6,110 6,552 OR 2/ : 10.0 10.0 1,970 2,300 174 197 230 TX : 26.0 23.0 840 800 311 218 184 UT 2/ : 6.3 6.2 380 400 24 24 25 WA : 40.0 40.0 2,100 2,100 798 840 840 WI 2/ : 11.3 10.8 2,100 1,900 145 237 205 WY : 43.0 31.0 1,910 1,600 390 821 496 : US : 1,845.2 1,907.8 1,582 1,603 21,913 29,187 30,584 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110111011950830Lentils Lentils: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production, by State and United States, 1993-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : ID : 86.0 69.0 85.0 68.0 WA : 94.0 79.0 93.0 75.0 : US : 180.0 148.0 178.0 143.0 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Pounds -------- -------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : ID : 1,100 1,300 840 935 884 WA : 990 1,400 1,166 921 1,050 : US : 1,043 1,352 2,006 1,856 1,934 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110111011950830Dry Edible Peas Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production, by State and United States, 1993-95 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : ID : 49.0 70.0 47.0 68.0 WA : 82.0 96.0 81.0 95.0 : US : 131.0 166.0 128.0 163.0 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Pounds -------- -------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : ID : 1,800 2,300 940 846 1,564 WA : 1,740 2,300 2,352 1,409 2,185 : US : 1,762 2,300 3,292 2,255 3,749 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. HDR2012000110111011950830Austrian Winter Peas Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production, by State and United States, 1993-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : ID : 6.0 10.0 4.0 6.0 OR : 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.7 : US : 7.0 10.9 4.6 6.7 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Pounds -------- -------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : ID : 1,100 1,500 150 44 90 OR : 1,170 1,600 5 7 11 : US : 1,109 1,507 155 51 101 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110111011950830Winter Potatoes Winter Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production, by State and United States, 1994-95 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : CA : 4.5 5.0 4.5 5.0 FL : 8.4 8.3 7.8 6.9 : US : 12.9 13.3 12.3 11.9 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Cwt --------- ----- 1,000 Cwt ------- : CA : 215 260 968 1,300 FL : 180 170 1,404 1,173 : US : 193 208 2,372 2,473 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 revised. HDR2012000110111011950830Tobacco Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ---- --- Pounds -- --------- 1,000 Pounds ---------- : CT : 1,600 1,770 1,611 1,656 2,533 2,578 2,931 FL : 6,500 7,000 2,550 2,400 18,673 16,575 16,800 GA : 37,000 42,000 2,180 2,000 96,320 80,660 84,000 IN : 7,100 6,500 2,150 2,120 17,415 15,265 13,780 KY : 187,000 172,700 2,426 2,123 455,080 453,687 366,680 MD : 8,500 8,500 1,500 1,350 12,255 12,750 11,475 MA : 490 460 1,616 1,687 738 792 776 MO : 3,500 2,700 2,290 2,100 4,760 8,015 5,670 NC : 243,200 260,100 2,466 1,789 608,415 599,833 465,360 OH : 8,500 8,300 2,160 1,950 18,900 18,360 16,185 PA : 9,000 7,900 2,040 1,985 18,260 18,360 15,685 SC : 47,000 50,000 2,300 2,150 110,760 108,100 107,500 TN : 60,350 56,940 2,192 1,850 139,423 132,289 105,350 VA : 46,420 44,170 2,285 1,950 99,544 106,092 86,112 WV : 2,000 2,000 1,775 1,700 3,600 3,550 3,400 WI : 3,000 3,000 1,970 2,067 6,643 5,910 6,200 : US : 671,160 674,040 2,358 1,940 1,613,319 1,582,816 1,307,904 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Acres ---- --- Pounds --- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-Cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 74,000 76,000 2,440 1,900 180,560 144,400 VA : 34,000 34,000 2,420 2,050 82,280 69,700 U S : 108,000 110,000 2,434 1,946 262,840 214,100 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 131,000 142,000 2,525 1,750 330,775 248,500 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 30,000 34,000 2,365 1,750 70,950 59,500 SC : 47,000 50,000 2,300 2,150 108,100 107,500 U S : 77,000 84,000 2,325 1,988 179,050 167,000 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 6,500 7,000 2,550 2,400 16,575 16,800 GA : 37,000 42,000 2,180 2,000 80,660 84,000 U S : 43,500 49,000 2,235 2,057 97,235 100,800 Total 11-14 : 359,500 385,000 2,420 1,897 869,900 730,400 : Class 2, Fire-Cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,350 1,100 1,780 1,350 2,403 1,485 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 4,100 3,700 2,660 2,400 10,906 8,880 TN : 8,100 7,800 2,570 2,400 20,817 18,720 U S : 12,200 11,500 2,600 2,400 31,723 27,600 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,900 3,600 3,190 2,700 12,441 9,720 TN : 630 590 2,800 2,500 1,764 1,475 U S : 4,530 4,190 3,136 2,672 14,205 11,195 Total 21-23 : 18,080 16,790 2,673 2,399 48,331 40,280 : Class 3, Air-Cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-Cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 7,100 6,500 2,150 2,120 15,265 13,780 KY : 175,000 162,000 2,400 2,100 420,000 340,200 MO : 3,500 2,700 2,290 2,100 8,015 5,670 NC : 8,200 8,100 2,140 1,600 17,548 12,960 OH : 8,500 8,300 2,160 1,950 18,360 16,185 TN : 51,000 48,000 2,125 1,750 108,375 84,000 VA : 11,000 9,000 1,935 1,650 21,285 14,850 WV : 2,000 2,000 1,775 1,700 3,550 3,400 U S : 266,300 246,600 2,300 1,991 612,398 491,045 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 8,500 8,500 1,500 1,350 12,750 11,475 PA : 3,600 3,400 1,950 1,900 7,020 6,460 U S : 12,100 11,900 1,634 1,507 19,770 17,935 Total 31-32 : 278,400 258,500 2,271 1,969 632,168 508,980 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -- continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Acres Pounds 1,000 Pounds : Class 3, Air-Cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-Cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,600 2,200 2,480 2,300 6,448 5,060 TN : 620 550 2,150 2,100 1,333 1,155 U S : 3,220 2,750 2,416 2,260 7,781 6,215 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,400 1,200 2,780 2,350 3,892 2,820 Type 37, VA Sun-Cured : Belt : VA : 70 70 1,770 1,100 124 77 Total 35-37 : 4,690 4,020 2,515 2,267 11,797 9,112 : Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 5,400 4,500 2,100 2,050 11,340 9,225 : Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 690 820 1,890 1,860 1,304 1,525 MA : 210 200 1,905 1,930 400 386 U S : 900 1,020 1,893 1,874 1,704 1,911 : Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI : WI : 2,000 2,000 2,100 2,150 4,200 4,300 Type 55, Northern WI : WI : 1,000 1,000 1,710 1,900 1,710 1,900 Total 54-55 : 3,000 3,000 1,970 2,067 5,910 6,200 Total 51-55 : 3,900 4,020 1,952 2,018 7,614 8,111 : Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-Grown : CT : 910 950 1,400 1,480 1,274 1,406 MA : 280 260 1,400 1,500 392 390 U S : 1,190 1,210 1,400 1,484 1,666 1,796 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 10,490 9,730 1,966 1,966 20,620 19,132 : All Tobacco : 671,160 674,040 2,358 1,940 1,582,816 1,307,904 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HDR2012000110111011950830Sugarbeets Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------ : CA : 141.0 118.0 29.0 27.0 3,536 4,089 3,186 CO : 43.2 41.2 21.9 19.3 924 946 795 ID : 201.0 198.0 27.9 25.0 4,733 5,608 4,950 MI : 187.0 190.0 16.2 17.0 3,179 3,029 3,230 MN : 411.0 418.0 20.6 17.5 5,344 8,467 7,315 MT : 54.0 55.5 24.2 23.0 1,169 1,307 1,277 NE : 74.1 72.4 20.3 17.7 1,473 1,504 1,281 ND : 201.5 207.0 21.2 18.3 3,112 4,272 3,788 OH : 16.0 14.7 16.5 17.5 212 264 257 OR : 16.4 18.3 27.8 26.2 372 456 479 TX : 24.5 19.5 20.3 22.0 823 497 429 WY : 61.3 62.0 18.0 21.5 1,269 1,103 1,333 : Oth : Sts 2\: 12.0 14.2 37.7 36.1 103 452 513 : U S : 1,443.0 1,428.8 22.2 20.2 26,249 31,994 28,833 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ Includes NM and WA. HDR2012000110111011950830Sugarcane Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres - ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : FL : 444.0 445.0 33.6 34.0 15,152 14,937 15,130 HI : 69.3 50.0 77.4 85.0 5,606 5,364 4,250 LA : 380.0 395.0 24.4 24.0 8,904 9,272 9,480 TX : 43.5 42.3 31.2 32.2 1,439 1,356 1,362 : US : 936.8 932.3 33.0 32.4 31,101 30,929 30,222 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. HDR2012000110111011950830Grapes Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes (Table Type) 1/ : CA : 632,000 602,000 640,000 Grapes (Wine Type) 1/ : CA : 2,397,000 2,265,000 2,200,000 Grapes (Raisin Type) 1/ 2/ : CA : 2,354,000 2,386,000 2,250,000 All Grapes : AZ 1/ : 24,000 26,000 25,000 AR 1/ : 8,000 6,000 8,000 CA 1/ : 5,383,000 5,253,000 5,090,000 GA 1/ : 3,600 3,200 3,400 MI : 55,000 65,000 72,000 MO 1/ : 2,350 2,600 2,600 NY : 118,000 190,000 175,000 NC 1/ : 1,500 1,500 1,800 OH 1/ : 6,800 7,000 9,200 OR 1/ : 12,300 10,800 11,000 PA : 54,000 80,000 70,000 SC 1/ : 600 500 500 WA : 354,000 225,000 308,000 : US : 6,023,150 5,870,600 5,776,500 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Fresh basis. HDR2012000110111011950830Citrus Fruit Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted 1996 on October 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production Crop : Boxes : Ton Equivalent and :------------------------------:-------------------------- State : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1993-94: 1994-95: 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------ 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 700 400 500 26 15 19 CA 4/ : 36,600 35,000 38,000 1,372 1,313 1,425 FL : 107,300 119,700 122,000 4,829 5,387 5,490 TX : 480 950 1,000 21 40 43 US : 145,080 156,050 161,500 6,248 6,755 6,977 Valencia : AZ : 1,200 650 600 45 24 23 CA : 27,000 26,000 28,000 1,013 976 1,050 FL : 67,100 85,700 80,000 3,020 3,857 3,600 TX : 70 105 200 3 4 9 US : 95,370 112,455 108,800 4,081 4,861 4,682 All : AZ : 1,900 1,050 1,100 71 39 42 CA : 63,600 61,000 66,000 2,385 2,289 2,475 FL : 174,400 205,400 202,000 7,849 9,244 9,090 TX : 550 1,055 1,200 24 44 52 US : 240,450 268,505 270,300 10,329 11,616 11,659 Temples : FL : 2,250 2,550 2,200 101 114 99 Grapefruit : White Seedless : FL : 24,500 25,700 24,000 1,042 1,092 1,020 Colored Seedless : FL : 25,500 28,700 29,000 1,084 1,220 1,233 Other : FL : 1,050 1,300 1,000 45 55 43 All : AZ : 1,750 1,400 1,200 59 47 40 CA 5/ : Desert : 3,400 3,300 114 111 Other Areas : 5,900 6,000 197 201 Total : 9,300 9,300 8,500 311 312 285 FL : 51,050 55,700 54,000 2,171 2,367 2,296 TX : 3,000 4,650 5,000 120 186 200 US : 65,100 71,050 68,700 2,661 2,912 2,821 Tangerines : AZ : 1,000 650 950 37 25 36 CA : 2,300 2,200 2,300 86 82 86 FL : 4,100 3,550 4,100 195 168 195 US : 7,400 6,400 7,350 318 275 317 Lemons : AZ : 5,200 3,600 5,500 197 137 209 CA : 20,700 20,500 22,000 787 779 836 US : 25,900 24,100 27,500 984 916 1,045 Tangelos : FL : 3,350 3,150 2,500 150 142 113 K-Early Citrus : FL : 210 120 100 9 5 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruit Footnotes 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with year harvest is completed. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges - AZ & CA - 75, FL - 90, TX - 85; grapefruit AZ & CA - 67, FL - 85, TX - 80; lemons - 76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples - 90; tangerines - AZ & CA - 75, FL - 95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ California Navel estimate carried forward from September 1, 1995. 5/ California Desert and Other Area Grapefruit forecasts combined to All Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96. HDR2012000110111011950830Apples Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ 3/ : 61.0 64.0 AR 2/ : 12.0 8.0 14.0 CA 2/ : 880.0 1,050.0 1,000.0 CO 2/ : 92.0 85.0 70.0 CT 2/ : 24.5 25.0 23.0 DE 2/ : 28.0 20.0 21.0 GA 2/ : 34.0 26.0 35.0 ID 2/ : 195.0 165.0 70.0 IL 2/ : 90.0 47.0 85.0 IN 2/ : 80.0 50.0 72.0 IA 2/ : 9.5 12.0 8.0 KS 2/ : 7.0 5.0 7.5 KY 2/ : 22.0 7.0 17.0 ME 2/ : 54.0 54.0 61.0 MD 2/ : 42.0 35.0 48.0 MA 2/ : 59.0 62.5 65.0 MI : 1,020.0 1,020.0 1,220.0 MN 2/ : 23.0 23.2 24.0 MO 2/ : 51.0 33.0 40.0 NH 2/ : 36.5 41.0 39.0 NJ 2/ : 75.0 70.0 80.0 NM 3/ : 7.0 8.0 NY : 870.0 1,100.0 1,110.0 NC : 320.0 250.0 230.0 OH 2/ : 105.0 90.0 110.0 OR 2/ : 160.0 200.0 140.0 PA : 530.0 400.0 500.0 RI 2/ : 5.3 4.8 5.0 SC 2/ : 60.0 60.0 75.0 TN 2/ : 19.0 10.0 18.0 UT 2/ : 53.0 48.0 20.0 VT 2/ : 38.0 42.0 41.0 VA : 370.0 290.0 400.0 WA : 5,000.0 5,700.0 5,200.0 WV : 190.0 150.0 190.0 WI 2/ : 62.0 80.0 77.0 : US : 10,684.8 11,335.5 11,135.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 3/ Data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. HDR2012000110111011950830Pecans Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :---------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 1/ : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds Improved Varieties 2/ : AL : 15,000 2,000 7,000 AR 3/ : 600 600 1,000 CA 3/ : 3,000 1,500 2,800 FL 3/ : 3,200 400 900 GA : 124,000 50,000 65,000 LA : 2,500 1,500 2,000 MS 3/ : 3,500 2,000 NM : 36,000 24,000 30,000 NC 3/ : 1,200 2,200 2,000 OK : 1,000 1,300 3,000 SC 3/ : 2,100 5,400 2,400 TX : 45,000 30,000 40,000 US : 237,100 118,900 158,100 Native & Seedling : AL : 11,000 2,000 5,000 AR 3/ : 900 900 500 FL 3/ : 4,300 1,500 800 GA : 26,000 15,000 15,000 KS 3/ : 1,800 3,600 1,800 LA : 13,500 9,500 12,000 MS 3/ : 2,500 500 NC 3/ : 1,300 2,800 700 OK : 17,000 10,700 17,000 SC 3/ : 900 3,600 600 TX : 30,000 10,000 20,000 US : 109,200 59,600 73,900 All Pecans : AL : 26,000 4,000 12,000 AR 3/ : 1,500 1,500 1,500 CA 3/ : 3,000 1,500 2,800 FL 3/ : 7,500 1,900 1,700 GA : 150,000 65,000 80,000 KS 3/ : 1,800 3,600 1,800 LA : 16,000 11,000 14,000 MS 3/ : 6,000 2,500 NM : 36,000 24,000 30,000 NC 3/ : 2,500 5,000 2,700 OK : 18,000 12,000 20,000 SC 3/ : 3,000 9,000 3,000 TX : 75,000 40,000 60,000 : Oth Sts 4/ : 18,700 20,500 16,000 : US : 365,000 199,000 248,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data included in Other States to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 2/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ AZ, MO, and TN in 1993 and 1995. AZ, MS, MO, and TN in 1994. No breakdown between varieties available. HDR2012000110111011950830Hazelnuts Hazelnuts: Utilized Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted October 1, 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons (In-shell Basis) : OR : 40,800 21,000 37,900 WA 1/ : 200 100 100 : US : 41,000 21,100 38,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110111011950830Papayas Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------ Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :----------------------------------------: 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --------------- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Aug : 3,250 3,765 2,145 2,340 4,805 3,245 Sep : 3,250 3,745 2,125 2,330 4,200 2,730 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110111011950830Corn Corn: Ears per Acre The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting corn objective yield surveys in 10 States during 1995. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual counts from this survey and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but rather intended to show trends in corn production practices. Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre, Selected States, 1991-1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : : : State : 1991 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 2/ : : : : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Number : IL : 21,800 23,000 22,600 22,600 22,900 IN : 20,300 22,700 22,200 22,150 23,000 IA : 21,700 24,000 22,500 24,000 24,050 MI : 21,800 24,600 22,300 22,250 22,650 MN : 24,100 27,000 24,900 26,950 25,750 MO : 18,800 19,400 18,500 19,250 19,600 NE : 21,900 22,100 21,100 21,300 21,800 OH : 20,800 23,200 21,700 22,500 22,650 SD : 18,000 20,700 18,000 21,300 20,400 WI : 22,600 23,300 23,100 24,650 23,600 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on ear counts in plots selected for objective yield samples. 2/ Based on October 1, 1995 counts. HDR1012000110121011950830Crop Production Narrative HDR2012000110121011950830Crop Moisture & Drought Severity Crop Moisture Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season. Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations. Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile, or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months, years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index. Drought Severity Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as evaportranspiration. Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in aquifers, reservoirs, and streams. Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this is indicated by the crop moisture index). HDR2012000110121011950830September Weather Summary September Weather Summary: A freeze struck the central Plains and the western Corn Belt on September 22 and 23, prematurely ending a difficult growing season that also featured spring wetness and flooding; a severe but short-lived mid-July heat wave; and a month-long hot and dry spell beginning in early to mid-August. The freeze arrived about a week ahead of normal in the northwestern Corn Belt, but occurred more than 3 weeks early farther south, particularly from southwestern Kansas to central Illinois. In Kansas City, MO, a low of 31 degrees F on September 22 was their earliest freeze on record by 9 days. Freeze damage in the affected area was most extensive to immature sorghum and soybeans. In the broader picture, vestiges of the extended August heat wave lingered into the first week of September, but were soon replaced by a cooler pattern east of the Rockies that culminated in the freeze. Meanwhile, the West warmed and remained dry, pushing monthly temperature departures to +2 to +4 degrees F. Despite an eastward spread of warmth across the Nation at month's end, September temperatures averaged 2 to 4 degrees F below normal from northern Texas to the Great Lakes States, and across New England. In late September, precipitation overspread the Pacific Northwest and the Southwest, but little or no rain fell during the month from California to the Great Basin. Farther east, relief from extensive topsoil dryness was hit-or- miss from mid-month onward. The heaviest rain fell in the southern Plains and the western Corn Belt, providing beneficial moisture for fall seeding but causing cotton-quality concerns and harvest delays, respectively. Damp weather also caused cotton-condition declines in parts of the Southeast. Peninsular Florida experienced several wet weeks, propelling monthly totals to 10 to 15 inches in many areas. In contrast, little rain fell in the central and eastern Corn Belt, with monthly totals under an inch in locations such as Springfield, IL and Ft. Wayne, IN. The Northeast--the portion of the Nation currently most affected by long-term drought--received near-normal rainfall during September, moistening topsoils but failing to dent long-term moisture deficits. The tropics played a less significant role in the Nation's weather than during August. Nevertheless, the remnants of the eastern Pacific Hurricane Ismael helped to spread heavy rain from southern New Mexico and western Texas to the Middle Atlantic States at mid-month. But severe tropical impacts were confined to the U.S. Virgin Islands (St. Thomas and St. Croix) and eastern Puerto Rico (the islands of Culebra and Vieques), which escaped a brush with powerful Hurricane Luis on September 5-6, but were directly hit by Hurricane Marilyn on September 15-16. The month's only significant snowstorm struck the central Plains on September 20-21 as cold air poured southward. A 7.4-inch snowfall in Denver, CO damaged still-foliated trees, while September-record single-day totals fell in Casper, WY (6.9 inches) and Goodland, KS (5.8 inches). Earliest-measurable-snowfall records were broken by 9 days in Grand Island, NE and by 17 days in Dodge City, KS. At the same time, late-season warmth peaked in interior Alaska, boosting monthly temperature departures to +4 to +7 degrees F. In Bethel, AK, the monthly average temperature of 50.2 degrees F was 5.0 degrees F above normal and tied their 1924 September record. In addition, heavy precipitation soaked southern Alaska, where Kodiak measured more than 19 inches during the month. HDR2012000110121011950830General Crop Comments General Crop Comments: September started with rain and cooler weather that was welcomed after the summer heat-wave. Hot, dry weather matured corn rapidly but left development behind normal for other late-planted crops. An early killing freeze in late September brought the growing season to an end for late-planted soybeans and sorghum in the western and central Corn Belt. Rains later in the month hindered harvest activity in the western Corn Belt and slowed cotton harvest in the Southeast. Crop conditions declined as the month advanced because of dry soil conditions and low temperatures across the central States and below normal rainfall in the Delta and Western States. Early September started with short soil moisture supplies in the central Corn Belt. Cool, dry weather allowed the small grain harvest to make good progress in the Western States, but rain was needed to improve winter wheat germination. Rainfall brought cooler weather to the Corn Belt and ended weeks of above- normal temperatures. Crop conditions continued to decline in the Corn Belt from weeks of hot, dry weather. Crop development approached near-normal levels later in the month. In the Western States, continued dry conditions limited crop growth and wheat seeding. Soybeans in the Midwest were 1 to 2 weeks behind schedule and needed pod- filling rain. Precipitation fell from the southern Great Plains to the Mid- Atlantic, missing the Corn Belt and arriving too late to benefit the crops. The rain provided pre-planting moisture for wheat seeding in the Eastern States. In the Midwest, damage from corn borers left stalks breaking over, prompting producers to harvest early and at higher than normal moisture levels. In the Southern Great Plains, cotton needed warmer weather to reach maturity, while cotton bolls opening in the Southeast were ahead of normal. On September 22 and 23, a killing-freeze in the western and central Corn Belt ending the growing season one to three weeks early. Snow across the upper High Plains caused planting and harvesting delays. Harvesting activity was delayed by heavy rains that fell from Texas to the Northeast. Some soybean fields were weeks from the stage of development needed to protect them from the freeze. Some immature cotton in central Texas was defoliated and harvested, while cold weather hampered the maturing of the crop in the Texas plains. The end of September brought a return to summer-like weather across the Central States that allowed harvest activity to make good progress. Condition for all crops declined from mid-month, reflecting producers' assessment of crop damage from the freeze. Many soybean plants that sustained freeze damage were still green. The accelerated development from the summer's heat wave left some corn fields mature enough to endure the freeze and limited damage. Heavy rains fell from the southern Great Plains to the Great Lakes region, bringing pre-planting moisture for winter wheat seeding, but slowing harvest activity. A late-week storm brought heavy rains to the Pacific Northwest, causing small grain planting delays. HDR2012000110121011950830Corn for Grain Corn for Grain: Acreage to be harvested for grain is forecast at 64.7 million acres, unchanged from last month but 11 percent below the 1994 harvested acreage. As of October 1, 17 percent of the acreage in the 17 major corn States had been harvested, only slightly behind the five-year average of 19 percent. In the 17 States, 52 percent of the crop was reported in good to excellent condition compared with 86 percent a year earlier. Frosts on September 22 and 23, primarily in the western corn belt, damaged some late planted crops. Some growers are reportedly harvesting corn at higher than normal moisture levels because of concern over abnormally high ear droppage. The October 1 corn objective yield data indicate the second highest ear count per acre for the 10 Corn Objective Yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). The ear count is slightly below the record final ear count set in 1992, but slightly above the 1994 final ear count. As of October 1, 1995, 53 percent of the Iowa corn crop was reported in good to excellent condition, well below last year's level. Nine percent of the crop was harvested compared with 12 percent a year earlier. The October 1 ear count for Iowa, if realized, would be a record high. The Illinois corn crop was reported 40 percent good to excellent--last year 91 percent was reported good to excellent. The harvest was reported 20 percent complete compared with 21 percent last year. The ear count for Illinois is second only to the 1992 crop. The Nebraska crop, which was planted about 2 weeks later than last year, was only 2 percent harvested compared with 20 percent a year earlier. The crop was reported 44 percent good to excellent--down from 88 percent a year ago. The third highest ear count is forecast for Nebraska. The Minnesota crop is reported 69 percent good to excellent compared with 88 percent last year. About 12 percent of the crop was harvested compared with only 6 percent a year earlier. The October ear count, if realized, would be the third highest on record. HDR2012000110121011950830Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Grain: Production is forecast at 492 million bushels, down 9 percent from September 1 and 25 percent from 1994. This production level is the lowest since 1983. The U.S. yield is forecast at 59.2 bushels per acre, down 5.8 from last month and down 13.8 bushels from last year's record high. Seven States lowered yield expectations from last month, most markedly in Kansas and Nebraska with drops of 8.0 and 11.0 bushels, respectively. The Arkansas harvest is resulting in better yields than forecast. As of October 1, 56 percent of the crop was mature in the 12 major States and harvest had reached 30 percent completion. These compare to the averages of 67 and 35 percent, respectively. HDR2012000110121011950830Rice Rice: Production of all rice is forecast at 178 million cwt, 2 percent below the September 1 forecast and 10 percent below 1994. This production level, if realized, would be the fourth highest on record. Yields decreased in Arkansas, California, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas causing a decrease in the U.S. yield to 5,710 pounds. In California, late plantings and weed problems have reduced yields. Heat and heavy rain during blooming reduced yields in Louisiana. In Texas, the yield was reduced due to disease problems. Harvesting is underway with the rice crop in mostly good condition. HDR2012000110121011950830Soybeans Soybeans: Growers plan to harvest 61.7 million acres, unchanged from the September forecast. The October Objective Yield Survey reported the second highest pod count for the objective yield States. The average plant maturity lags behind last year but is ahead of 1993. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves is behind 1994 and ahead the average by the beginning of October. Soybean harvest is behind 1994 and the average. Soybeans are rated in good condition. In comparison with the 1991-95 time period, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet for October is the highest for Arkansas and Illinois. In both States, the percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind last year but ahead of the average. In Arkansas, the percent of soybeans harvested was behind last year but equal to the average. In Illinois, the percent of soybeans harvested was behind 1994 and the average. In Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Ohio the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet is the second highest, compared with the 1991-95 period. In Indiana and Ohio, the percent of soybeans dropping leaves was ahead of last year and the average. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind 1994 but ahead of the average in Iowa. In Minnesota, the percent of soybeans dropping leaves was equal to last year but ahead of the average. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind the average but equal to 1994 in Nebraska. In both Indiana and Ohio, the percent of soybeans harvested was ahead of 1994 and the average. In Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, the percent of soybeans harvested was behind last year and the average. In Missouri, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet ranks fourth in the 1991-95 period. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves was behind last year and the average. The percent of soybeans harvested was behind 1994 and the average. Forecasted yields in the non-objective yield States declined 1.8 bushels per acre from last month. In Kansas and South Dakota, expected yields decreased due to the early frost. In Louisiana, Mississippi, Kentucky, Tennessee, Delaware, and Maryland, expected yields were reduced due to the dry conditions in late August and September. North Dakota was the only non-objective yield State to increase their forecasted yield. The remaining non-objective yield States remained unchanged. HDR2012000110121011950830Soybean Revisions-1994 Soybean Revisions-1994: The 1994 soybean production was revised to 2.52 billion bushels, down 41.6 million bushels from the previous 1994 estimate. Planted acreage was revised to 61.7 million acres, down 270,000 acres from the previous estimate. Harvested acreage decreased to 60.9 million acres, down 270,000 acres from the previous estimate. The resulting yield is 41.4 bushels, a decrease of 0.5 bushel from the previous estimate. Revisions were made based upon an analysis of end-of-marketing year stocks estimates, disappearance data for exports and crushings, and availability of additional data in some States. This information was previously released in the September Grain Stocks report. HDR2012000110121011950830Sunflower Sunflower: Production is forecast at 4.57 billion pounds in 1995, 5 percent below the 1994 crop but 78 percent above 1993. Harvested area, at 3.48 million acres, is up 2 percent from 1994. Yield is down 97 pounds at the U.S. level from last year. In North Dakota, late planting was offset by an abundance of growing degree days. The first killing frost occurred during the week ending September 23 in most areas. By that time 71 percent of the bracts had turned yellow or beyond. Overall, in North Dakota the frost did more good than harm by pushing the crop further to harvest. As of October 1, sunflower development was slightly ahead of last year and the average and the crop was in mostly good condition. HDR2012000110121011950830Peanuts Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.51 billion pounds,down 2 percent from the September 1 forecast and down 17 percent from last year's banner crop. Favorable weather during September allowed harvest to progress nicely across most of the peanut belt. Acreage for harvest is 1.52 million acres, down 1 percent from September and 6 percent below last year. Yields are expected to average 2,302 pounds per harvested acre, down 31 pounds from last month and down 322 pounds from 1994. Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.04 billion pounds, 3 percent below last month and 20 percent below the 1994 crop. Yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 2,265 pounds per acre, 42 pounds below last month. A reduction of 100 pounds in Georgia's expected yield per acre contributed to reduced prospects in the region. As of October 1, harvest was 63 percent complete in Alabama with variable yields reported. The Georgia crop was rated 3 percent very poor, 15 percent poor, 56 percent fair, 23 percent good, and 3 percent excellent, nearly equal last month's rating. Digging was 79 percent complete and threshing neared the 62 percent mark by month's end. The Florida peanut harvest was delayed by dry soil in some areas of the Panhandle and excessive moisture in others. In South Carolina, harvest was 35 percent complete compared with an average 30 percent for this date. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 541 million pounds, down 2 percent from last month and down 30 percent from last year's outstanding crop. Yield per harvested acre in the region, at 2,324 pounds, is 872 pounds per acre below last year's final average. Yield expectations in Virginia declined by 100 pounds per acre from last month. Harvest is slightly behind normal with 14 percent of the acreage combined compared with an average rate of 15 percent. In North Carolina, timely rains have helped harvest progress. As of October 1, combining stood at 12 percent complete compared with 10 percent normally for this date. The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 927 million pounds, unchanged from last month but 1 percent above 1994. Yields in the tri-state area are expected to average 2,377 pounds per acre, 126 pounds above last year. In Texas, peanut harvest has begun in most parts of the High Plains and Cross Timbers with about 12 percent of the crop harvested. Digging got underway in Oklahoma as soils dried out from plentiful rainfall received during the later part of the month. In New Mexico, prospects remain good although cool and wet weather hampered harvest progress. HDR2012000110121011950830Cotton Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 15.7 million acres, is up 19 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested acreage, at 192,500 acres, is 16 percent above 1994. In early October, 29 percent of Texas cotton acreage was in good to excellent condition and 28 percent was rated poor to very poor, reflecting a wide range in condition. Boll opening was 57 percent complete, 3 percent ahead of the 5- year average. Unusually high precipitation amounts during September, followed by cooler than normal weather the last of the month, adversely affected maturity. Showers also delayed harvest in the Blacklands, Trans Pecos, and East Texas. Cotton objective yield data indicate Texas has the lowest large boll counts and lowest boll weights since 1985. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) rated their cotton mostly in fair to good condition in early October. However, condition in all States diminished during September. One-half of the cotton in Louisiana was poor to very poor and 34 percent was rated fair on October 1. During September, producers applied insect controls and defoliated, preparing for an early harvest. Objective yield surveys show Louisiana and Mississippi with the lowest number of large bolls since 1985. Arkansas counts are third lowest during this time period. Early season data indicate Arkansas and Mississippi boll weights are the lowest during the past 10 years, and Louisiana weights rank ninth. Thirty-eight percent of Arizona's cotton acreage rated in good to excellent condition. Harvest was 8 points below the average pace, at 12 percent, on October 1. All of the California crop was in fair to good condition on the same date. Harvest progress, at 2 percent, was slightly behind the 5-year average of 4 percent. Cotton objective yield counts show Arizona and California large boll count at their lowest since 1985. Boll weights in both states are also their lowest in the past 10 years. Small bolls in Arizona ranked fifth but ranked tenth in California for the ten year period. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), the crop was in fair to good condition in early October. Georgia improved 10 points during September as early yields proved better than expected. Except for South Carolina, boll opening exceeded the 5-year average in the region. Harvest in Alabama and Georgia exceeded the average pace at 27 percent and 26 percent respectively. These conditions do not reflect any effects on the crop by Hurricane Opal as it passed through the region after the time frame for crop observations. American-Pima production is forecast at 373,000 bales, up 5,000 bales from September and up 10 percent from 1994. Yields, at 930 pounds per acre, are down 44 pounds from last year. The California crop is rated fair to good as seasonably hot weather during September aided development. Limited defoliation began late in the month. Ginning began in the Winter Garden area, and harvest in the Trans-Pecos area will begin soon. All cotton ginnings totaled 2,455,400 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 2,324,000 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 1,845,950 running bales in 1993. HDR2012000110121011950830All Hay All Hay: Production for 1995 is forecast at 157 million tons, virtually unchanged from the August 1 forecast and up 5 percent from 1994. All hay yields are expected to average 2.61 tons per acre, a slight increase from a year ago. Acreage harvested, at 60.2 million acres, is unchanged from August 1 and 3 percent above last year. The largest increase in production from a year ago is in Wyoming, 47 percent above 1994. The largest decrease is in Alabama, 25 percent below the previous year. HDR2012000110121011950830Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Alfalfa hay production, at 85.9 million tons, is down fractionally from the quantity expected August 1 but 6 percent above the 1994 total. Area for harvest, at 24.6 million acres, is up 2 percent from a year ago. Average yield, forecast at 3.49 tons per acre, is up 0.13 of a ton from the previous year. Increased acreage and higher yields contributed to a higher level of production than a year ago. HDR2012000110121011950830All Other Hay All Other Hay: Production of all other hay is forecast at 71.1 million tons, down fractionally from the August 1 forecast and 3 percent above a year ago. Area for harvest, at 35.6 million acres, is up 3 percent from last year. Yield per acre is expected to average 2.00 tons, virtually unchanged from the 1994 yield. HDR2012000110121011950830Dry Edible Beans Dry Edible Beans: Production of dry beans is forecast at 30.6 million cwt, 5 percent below the August 1 forecast but 5 percent above 1994. Harvest area is estimated at 1.91 million acres, 3 percent above a year ago and 18 percent above two years ago. Yield, at 1,603 pounds per acre, is 46 pounds below the August 1 forecast but 21 pounds above last year. Late planting and late development of this year's dry bean crop pushed harvest progress 2-3 weeks behind normal across much of the country. Hard freezes hit the Mountain and Plains States about September 18-24, killing vines in many fields that were not yet mature. Up to 8 inches of snow covered fields in Colorado, Kansas, Wyoming, and Nebraska. Expected yields are down from North Dakota to Texas. Harvest progress is late in several States, ranging from 46 percent complete in Colorado to 65 percent complete in Idaho and 70 percent complete in Nebraska. Michigan, New York, and North Dakota, on the other hand, are ahead of normal. Heavy dry bean production this year is expected from Michigan, up 42 percent from last year. North Dakota is up 7 percent, Minnesota is up 6 percent, and California expects a 14 percent gain. Nebraska's forecast, although down from August, is 7 percent above last year. Idaho and Wyoming are short of a year ago. HDR2012000110121011950830Lentils Lentils: Production of lentils is estimated at 1.93 million cwt, up 4 percent from last year but 4 percent below 1993. Harvested area, at 143,000 acres, was down 20 percent from last year and the same as two years ago. The average yield of 1,352 pounds per acre jumped 309 pounds from 1994 but fell 51 pounds short of 1993. Some growers in Washington were hit by hail storms while others reported the best crop they've ever had. HDR2012000110121011950830Dry Edible Peas Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry peas is estimated at 3.75 million cwt, up 66 percent from last year's drought stricken crop and 14 percent above 1993 production. Harvested area is estimated at 163,000 acres, up 27 percent from last year and 12 percent above 1993. The average yield of 2,300 pounds per acre jumped 538 pounds from last year and 30 pounds better than 1993. HDR2012000110121011950830Austrian Winter Peas Austrian Winter Peas: An Austrian winter pea crop of 101,000 cwt is estimated for 1995, almost double last year but 35 percent below 1993. Area harvested, at 6,700 acres, was up 46 percent from 1994 but 36 percent below 1993. The average yield of 1,507 pounds per acre gained 398 pounds from a year earlier and 31 pounds from 1993. HDR2012000110121011950830Winter Potatoes, 1995 Revised Winter Potatoes, 1995 Revised: The final 1995 production of winter potatoes was estimated at 2.47 million cwt, up 4 percent from last year but 3 percent below 1993. Final area harvested was 11,900 acres, down 3 percent from 1994 and 12 percent below 1993. The average yield of 208 cwt per acre climbed 15 cwt above 1994 and 20 cwt per acre over 1993. HDR2012000110121011950830Tobacco Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1995 is forecast at 1.31 billion pounds, down 17 percent from 1994. Harvested acres are expected to be 674,040 acres, up fractionally from last year. Yields for 1995 are estimated to average 1,940 pounds per acre, 418 pounds below the average for 1994. Flue-cured production is expected to total 730 million pounds, down 2 percent from the forecast of a month ago and 16 percent below a year ago. This reduction is due to lower yields and a decrease in forecasted acres for harvest in Georgia. Flue-cured growers plan to harvest 385,000 acres, 7 percent above last year. Flue-cured tobacco accounts for 57 percent of this year's total tobacco acreage. Burley production is expected to total 491 million pounds, 20 percent below the production of 1994. Yield is expected to average 1,991 pounds per acre, 309 pounds below the average for 1994. Burley tobacco growers expect to harvest 246,600 acres, 7 percent below last year. Kentucky, with 66 percent of the 1995 burley area, is 7 percent below a year ago. The tobacco harvest in the Southeastern region (Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia) was nearly complete, slightly ahead of normal. Burley cutting in Kentucky was 96 percent complete as of October 1. Housed tobacco in Kentucky was mostly good to fair, with almost 20 percent ready for stripping and 5 percent stripped. Curing weather wa ideal during the end of September in Tennessee, where 93 percent of the tobacco was harvested with 10 percent stripped. Yields declined due to delayed transplanting followed by cool, wet weather during the early summer that provided ideal conditions for the spread of disease. A mid-summer heat-wave combined with dry weather slowed the spread of blue mold. Tobacco fields affected by the blue mold suffered severe losses. Continued hot weather in September lowered condition ratings and depleted soil moisture supplies. Tobacco markets were active during September with markets in Florida and Georgia closing in early October. HDR2012000110121011950830Sugarbeets Sugarbeets: Production is expected to total 28.8 million tons, a decrease of 10 percent from last year. The area for harvest, at 1.43 million acres, is virtually unchanged from the September 1 forecast but down 1 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 20.2 tons per acre, 2.0 tons below last year's yield. Freezing temperatures in mid-September cut the growing season short for some late-planted sugarbeet fields in the central States. The sugarbeet harvest started slightly behind normal in most States due to delays in spring planting. In North Dakota, where eight percent of the sugarbeets were lifted by the end of September, condition was mostly good to excellent. In Minnesota the freeze aggravated Cercospora problems in some fields. Sugarbeets in Colorado were covered with a blanket of snow on September 20, followed by freezing temperatures that burned upper leaves and lowered yield prospects. Hot, dry weather and insect problems limited plant growth in Michigan, where the early harvest was just beginning. In California, good growing conditions followed the late-spring planting and warm, dry summer weather limited insect problems. HDR2012000110121011950830Sugarcane Sugarcane: Sugarcane production as of October 1 is expected to total 30.2 million tons, a decrease of 2 percent from 1994. The area for harvest, at 932,300 acres, is up 1 percent from the September 1 forecast and down fractionally from last year. The forecasted yield, at 32.4 tons per acre, is 0.6 ton below last year's yield. Growing conditions for Louisiana sugarcane in September were hot and dry. The increase in sugarcane acres for harvest in Louisiana reflects continued expansion beyond the fringes of the traditional sugarcane areas. In Louisiana, the sugarcane harvest was beginning with conditions reported as good to fair. A wet month for Florida allowed sugarcane to make good growth. Sugarcane growers started planting in Florida and the first sugarcane mill is expected to open in mid-October. Dry weather persisted over Hawaii and plantations that converted to seasonal harvesting concluded the sugarcane harvest. HDR2012000110121011950830Grapes Grapes: Grape production for October 1 is 5.78 million tons, up slightly from the August forecast but down 2 percent from last year. Michigan and Washington increased while New York and Pennsylvania remained unchanged. Production for all other states was carried forward from the previous August forecast. The California all grape forecast, at 5.09 million tons, was carried forward from August. That level is down 3 percent from last year. Of this total, 2.25 million tons are raisin varieties, 2.20 million tons are wine varieties, and 640,000 tons table varieties. Picking of Thompson Seedless grapes for all uses is nearing completion with good quality reported. Table grape harvest in the San Joaquin Valley is active. Color has been slow to come in many vineyards. Wine grape harvest is behind normal due to low sugar levels. Grape production in Washington increased to 308,000 tons, up 1 percent from August and up 37 percent from 1994. Cool, wet weather slowed maturity and caused mildew and black leaf problems in the Concords. Picking began in mid- September and is expected to continue through October. Niagara grape harvest is complete. Bunch rot has been seen on some white wine varieties. Rain delayed wine grape harvest which is expected to continue into early November. New York production remains at 175,000 tons, a decrease of 8 percent from last year. Lack of rain limited production; however, there is little disease pressure. Michigan forecasts 72,000 tons, up 3 percent from August and up 11 percent from 1994. Niagara harvest is complete while Concord harvest began late September. Japanese beetle activity is higher than normal. Brix levels are normal. Pennsylvania expects to produce 70,000 tons, unchanged from last forecast but down 13 percent from the previous year. A lack of precipitation resulted in smaller berries in some areas but impeded the growth of mildew. HDR2012000110121011950830Grapefruit Grapefruit: The initial forecast of the 1995-96 U.S. Grapefruit crop is 2.82 million tons, down 3 percent from last season. Beginning with the 1995-96 crop year, separate forecasts for California Desert and Other area grapefruit production will not be available. The October 1 Florida all grapefruit crop forecast is 54.0 million boxes (2.30 million tons), 3 percent less than last year but 6 percent more than the 1993-94 crop. Average fruit size is slightly smaller than last year while fruit set is down from a year ago. The white seedless grapefruit forecast is 24.0 million boxes (1.02 million tons), down 7 percent from the 1994-95 season. The colored seedless forecast is 29.0 million boxes (1.23 million tons), 1 percent more than last season. The seedy grapefruit crop is expected to total 1.00 million boxes (43,000 tons) 23 percent less than last year and 5 percent less than two years ago. California all grapefruit forecast is 8.50 million boxes (285,000 tons), 9 percent smaller than the last two years. The crop matured early, permitting some growers to begin picking. Large sizes were reported although fruit set is down considerably. The Arizona 1995-96 crop is 1.20 million boxes (40,000 tons), 14 percent less than last year. Widespread sunburn and small fruit size contributed to decreased production. Texas production is 5.00 million boxes (200,000 tons), 8 percent more than last year and 67 percent more than two years ago. Trees are in good condition despite some problems with leaf minor. HDR2012000110121011950830Lemons Lemons: The 1995-96 lemon crop is forecast at 1.05 million tons, 14 percent more than last year and 6 percent more than the 1993-94 crop. California production in 1995-96 crop is forecast at 22.0 million boxes (836,000 tons), 7 percent more than last year and 6 percent more than in 1993- 94. Lemon harvest was active with good quality reported. The Arizona lemon crop is expected to be 5.50 million boxes (209,000 tons), up 53 percent from a year ago and 6 percent more than the 1993-94 season. HDR2012000110121011950830Tangelos Tangelos: The 1995-96 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 2.50 million boxes (113,000 tons), 21 percent less than last year's crop and 25 percent less than 1993-94. Although there are more bearing trees, fruit set and size are down. HDR2012000110121011950830Temples Temples: Florida 1995-96 temple production is forecast at 2.20 million boxes (99,000 tons), 14 percent below last year and 2 percent below 1993-94. Smaller fruit size and decreased set per tree contributed to reduced production. HDR2012000110121011950830Tangerines Tangerines: The 1995-96 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 317,000 tons, 15 percent more than last season but 1 percent less than the 1993-94 crop. Florida's tangerine forecast is 4.10 million boxes (195,000 tons), up 15 percent from last season. Although fruit size and set were mixed for Sunburst and Honey varieties, more trees are bearing fruit. California tangerine production is forecast at 2.30 million boxes (86,000 tons), up 5 percent from 1994-95 and equal to production in 1993-94. The crop was maturing well with average fruit size. Arizona's tangerine forecast is 950,000 boxes (36,000 tons), 46 percent more than a year ago but 5 percent less than 1993-94. Overall, there were few problems with disease and insects. HDR2012000110121011950830K-Early Citrus K-Early Citrus: Production of K-Early Citrus Fruit in Florida is expected to total 100,000 boxes (5,000 tons), 17 percent below last year and less than half the 1993-94 crop. Although the number of bearing trees remained the same, lower fruit set and smaller size reduced the crop. HDR2012000110121011950830Florida Citrus Florida Citrus: Groves, trees, and new crop fruit are in very good to excellent condition. Rainfall during September was above average for the lower east coast, lower interior, and west coast. The central and northern interior parts of the citrus belt had normal rainfall. The tropical type conditions generated a lot of new foliage on trees of all ages. Fresh fruit packers started packing red and white grapefruit, Navel oranges, Ambersweet oranges, Robinson tangerines, and K-Early Citrus fruit. All of these fresh crops moved in very limited quantities. A few processing plants received packing house eliminations. Volume harvesting is expected to increase rapidly during October. Caretakers actively cut cover crops, sprayed, fertilized, and removed dead trees. HDR2012000110121011950830Texas Citrus Texas Citrus: Harvesting early oranges began in a few groves in the Rio Grande Valley by late September. Good quality is expected this season. Citrus leaf minor continued to be a problem across the Valley. Trees, despite the leaf minor, remained in good condition. September rains offset some of the need to irrigate, the results of a dry summer. Water shortage could cause problems as the season progresses. Some grapefruit bloom was lost due to cool temperatures but is more than compensated by new acreage coming into production. HDR2012000110121011950830Apples Apples: The final forecast of the 1995 apple crop places production at 11.1 billion pounds, down fractionally from the August 1 forecast and 2 percent below last year's production. Increased production in Michigan was offset by reduced prospects in New York, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. The Eastern States expect 2.92 billion pounds, down 2 percent from the August 1 forecast but 11 percent above a year ago. Hot, dry weather during the summer reduced the crop along much of the East Coast. In New York, fruit size is smaller than normal because of the heat and drought. North Carolina harvest reached the 60 percent mark but is running 5 percentage points behind schedule. Uneven fruit size and a spotty crop reduced potential in Pennsylvania. Cool nights and sunny days improved flavor and color in Virginia's crop. Production in the Central States is forecast at 1.69 billion pounds, up slightly from the August 1 forecast and 22 percent above the 1994 crop. Harvest in Michigan is well ahead of normal. Quality is excellent in most parts of the state with a few reports of small sized fruit. The record crop has caused sporadic labor shortages. The Macintosh crop was nearly picked by the end of the month as the Empire and Jonathan harvest neared completion. Production in the Western States, is forecast at 6.52 billion pounds, unchanged from the August 1 forecast and 11 percent below the 1994 crop. Harvest of most varieties is underway in Washington. Crop quality is good but smaller-than- average fruit are being picked. Red Delicious harvest peaked in Yakima County and is active in Chelan County under favorable weather conditions. Harvest is active in California where a good quality crop is expected. HDR2012000110121011950830Pecans Pecans: The October 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 248 million pounds (in-shell basis), unchanged from September but up 25 percent from last year's crop of 199 million pounds. This forecast does not reflect any damage which occurred in the southeast during Hurricane Opal on October 4 - 5, 1995. The forecast in Oklahoma increased while the Alabama forecast decreased this month. All other forecasting states remained at the same level. Georgia production is unchanged at 80.0 million pounds, an increase of 23 percent from 1994. Dry conditions persisted in September in the main pecan producing areas. Aphids and scab have caused problems in some areas. Pecans are expected to be of better quality than last year, but nuts will be smaller. Harvest started the last week of September. The Texas forecast is 60.0 million pounds, unchanged from the previous forecast, but 50 percent above last year. Harvest started in several areas. Producers continue to report problems with nut drop, insects, and disease. New Mexico forecast of 30.0 million pounds, is equal to last month but 25 percent more than 1994. Weather conditions remained conducive for nut development during September and good quality is reported. Production in Oklahoma is forecast at 20.0 million pounds, 11 percent above September and 67 percent higher than last year. Most producing areas received ample moisture during September. Web worms continue to be a problem in many areas. Alabama forecasts 12.0 million pounds, down 14 percent from September, but up from last year's 4.00 million pounds. Premature nut droppage and limb damage caused by Hurricane Erin reduced pecan production in southern Alabama. Dry conditions in many areas prevented optimal nut fill. Louisiana expects 14.0 million pounds, the same as last forecast but 27 percent above the previous year. Dry weather has held down prospects for an above average crop. Harvest should be getting underway shortly. HDR2012000110121011950830Hazelnuts Hazelnuts: Hazelnut production in Oregon and Washington is forecast at 38,000 tons for 1995, unchanged from August and 80 percent above the previous year. If realized, this level will be the second largest crop ever, 7 percent below the 1993 record high of 41,000 tons. The Oregon production remains unchanged at 37,900 tons, an increase of 80 percent from 1994. Washington production, at 100 tons, is carried forward from August. Harvest is underway, but progress slowed due to wet orchards. HDR2012000110121011950830Papayas Papayas: Hawaii papaya production in September amounted to 2.73 million pounds, 16 percent lower than August and 35 percent lower than September, 1994. Weather conditions were variable, with a mix of light rainfall and sunshine during the first half of September followed by drier conditions over the second half. Papaya ringspot virus continued to depress yields and production in the major producing area of the state. Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,745 acres, 1 percent lower than August but 15 percent higher than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 2,330 acres, decreased slightly from August but was 10 percent higher than last September. HDR2012000110121011950830California Fruits and Nuts California Fruits and Nuts: Table grape harvest continued throughout the San Joaquin Valley under good weather conditions. By month's end, raisins were in all stages of harvest from just laid, to being dried, rolled, and binned. Nectarine, peach, plum, and prune harvests were virtually complete throughout the state. Golden delicious and red delicious apples were harvested in Sonoma County. Fuji, Granny Smith, and Gala apples were harvested in the San Joaquin Valley. Early walnut harvest began in some areas of the Sacramento and San Joaquin Valleys. Late walnut varieties were sprayed for worms, codling moth, and weed control. Almond harvest neared completion. Fig and pomegranate harvests continued in Fresno and Tulare Counties. Kiwifruit and persimmon harvests began mid-month in Sutter County. HDR2012000110121011950830California Citrus California Citrus: New crop Desert grapefruit harvest began. Harvest is earlier than usual because excess heat matured the crop quickly. Set is down significantly but individual fruit size is large. Old crop Other Area harvest was ending. Lemon picking is active with good quality reported. New crop Navel oranges were maturing well. Harvest is expected to begin in Kern County by mid-October. Old crop Valencia orange picking remained active in Southern California. Tangerines matured well with average fruit size. Harvest should begin by late October. HDR2012000110121011950830Reliability Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between September 22 and October 2 to gather information on expected yield as of October 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for at least 80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were re-visited to make current counts. The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-visited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 21,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. Estimating Procedures: National, regional, and State level objective yield and grower reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the 1975-1994 20-year period is computed then the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 4.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 7.54 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 4.4 percent or approximately 332 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 7.6 percent or approximately 573 million bushels. Also shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 249 million bushels, ranging from 5 million to 618 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Root Mean Square Error:: 10-year Record Of :----------------------:: Differences Between Forecast : :90% Confidence:: and Final Estimate Crop and : : Level ::------------------------------- Unit :Percent:--------------:: Quantity :No. of Years : : : ::------------------------------- : :Percent: Quant:: : : :Below:Above : : : :: Avg: Min.: Max.:Final:Final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Mil ::----- Mil ----- : :: Feed Grains 1/ Mt: 4.2 7.3 15 :: 7 0 20 7 3 Corn For Grain Bu: 4.4 7.6 573 :: 249 5 618 6 4 Sorghum For Grain Bu: 5.7 9.8 48 :: 32 7 105 6 4 Rice Cwt: 3.2 5.6 10 :: 4 1 13 7 3 Soybeans For : :: Beans Bu: 3.9 6.8 149 :: 50 2 103 5 5 Cotton Bales 2/: 4.5 7.8 1,493 :: 537 31 1,424 5 4 Dry Edible : :: Beans Cwt : 3.8 6.6 2 :: 0.7 0 1.3 6 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats, and barley. 2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. HDR2012000110121011950830Index Index Page Table Narrative Apples ............................................ A-32 B-12 Beans, Dry Edible ................................. A-22 B- 8 Citrus Fruit ...................................... A-30 B-12 Corn for Grain .................................... A- 9 B- 4 Corn for Grain, Ears per Acre ..................... A-35 Cotton ............................................ A-17 B- 7 Cottonseed ........................................ A-18 B- 7 Crop Moisture Maps ................................ B-1 Grapes ............................................ A-29 B-10 Hay, All .......................................... A-19 B- 8 Hay, Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay ......... A-20 B- 8 Hay, Other ........................................ A-21 B- 8 Hazelnuts.......................................... A-34 B-13 Lentils ........................................... A-23 B- 9 Papayas ........................................... A-35 B-14 Peanuts ........................................... A-16 B- 6 Peas, Austrian Winter ............................. A-24 B- 9 Peas, Dry Edible .................................. A-23 B- 9 Pecans ............................................ A-33 B-13 Potatoes .......................................... A-24 B- 9 Reliability Statement ............................. B-15 Rice .............................................. A-12 B- 5 Sorghum for Grain ................................. A-11 B- 5 Soybeans for Beans ................................ A-13 B- 5 Sugarbeets ........................................ A-29 B-10 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed ...................... A-29 B-10 Sunflower ......................................... A-15 B- 6 Tobacco by Class and Type ......................... A-26 B- 9 Tobacco by States ................................. A-28 B- 9 U S Summary ....................................... A- 3 B- 3 HDR2012000110121011950830Report Features Report Features The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on November 9, 1995. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843 Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526 Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068 Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats (202) 720-7369 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285 Roger Latham - Cotton, Hay (202) 720-5944 Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202) 720-4215 Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157 Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits, Peanuts (202) 720-7688 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. 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