HDR1012000110011109950830Crop Production Highlights & Summary HDR2012000110011109950830Corn & Soybean Narrative Released November 9, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. Forecasts refer to November 1, 1995. Corn Production Down 2 Percent Corn production is forecast at 7.37 billion bushels, down 2 percent from the October 1 forecast and 27 percent below the record high 1994 crop. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 113.7 bushels per acre, down 2.9 bushels from last month and 24.9 bushels below the record high yield of 1994. Planted acreage is revised to 71.4 million acres, up 100,000 acres from the previous estimate. Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at 64.8 million acres, up 150,000 acres from the October estimate. Soybean production is forecast at 2.18 billion bushels, down less than 1 percent from the October 1 forecast and 13 percent below 1994. Yield is forecast at 35.4 bushels per acre, 0.1 bushel below October and 6.0 bushels below 1994. Harvested acreage is estimated at 61.7 million acres, down 60,000 acres from the October estimate. Planted acreage is estimated at 62.6 million acres, down 10,000 acres from the previous estimate. Index and report features are located at the end of this report. Cr Pr 2-2 (11-95) HDR2012000110011109950830Cotton Narrative Cotton Production Down 2 Percent From Last Month All cotton production is forecast at 18.8 million bales, down 2 percent from last month, and 4 percent below 1994's output. Yield decreased 12 pounds from October as production decreases in Alabama, Missouri, Texas, and the far West, offset increases in Arkansas, Mississippi, and North Carolina. Alabama's crop showed a 119 pound decrease from last month's yield mainly from the effects of drought and insects during the season. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ This report was approved on November 9, 1995, by the Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Dan Glickman Rich Allen ---------------------------- ----------------------------------------- Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Dan Glickman Rich Allen HDR2012000110011109950830Crop Summary Tables Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : : Corn : 79,158 71,408 72,917 64,832 Sorghum : 9,772 9,192 8,967 8,216 Rice : 3,353.0 3,120.0 3,316.0 3,092.0 Soybeans : 61,670 62,575 60,859 61,656 Peanuts : 1,641.0 1,546.0 1,618.5 1,521.5 All Cotton : 13,720.1 16,834.0 13,322.3 15,948.5 Upland : 13,551.6 16,635.0 13,155.9 15,753.0 Amer-Pima : 168.5 199.0 166.4 195.5 Potatoes : Fall : 1,220.1 1,225.1 1,187.7 1,206.0 Total : 1,420.4 1,399.5 1,382.7 1,375.4 Tobacco : 671.2 674.3 Sugarbeets : 1,475.8 1,449.6 1,443.0 1,424.9 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 936.8 932.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : : Corn : 32,034,450 28,898,100 29,508,780 26,236,860 Sorghum : 3,954,630 3,719,910 3,628,860 3,324,930 Rice : 1,356,930 1,262,630 1,341,950 1,251,300 Soybeans : 24,957,230 25,323,480 24,629,030 24,951,570 Peanuts : 664,100 625,650 654,990 615,740 All Cotton : 5,552,390 6,812,550 5,391,400 6,454,200 Upland : 5,484,200 6,732,020 5,324,060 6,375,080 Amer-Pima : 68,190 80,530 67,340 79,120 Potatoes : Fall : 493,760 495,790 480,650 488,060 Total : 574,820 566,360 559,560 556,610 Tobacco : 271,610 272,870 Sugarbeets : 597,240 586,640 583,970 576,640 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 379,110 377,290 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Acre: Production :---------------------------------------------------- Crop and Unit : : : : Oct 1, : Nov 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------------- 1,000 ------------ : Corn for Grain Bu : 138.6 113.7 10,103,030 7,541,400 7,373,700 Sorghum for Grain " : 73.0 56.4 655,021 491,824 463,634 Rice 1/ Cwt : 5,964 5,635 197,779 177,642 174,223 Soybeans for Beans Bu : 41.4 35.4 2,516,694 2,190,661 2,182,991 Peanuts Lb : 2,624 2,301 4,247,455 3,510,100 3,500,600 All Cotton 1/ Bale: 708 567 19,662.0 19,143.7 18,837.7 Upland 1/ " : 705 563 19,324.3 18,770.7 18,480.7 Amer-Pima 1/ " : 974 877 337.7 373.0 357.0 Cottonseed Ton : 7,603.9 7,373.7 7,258.7 Potatoes : Fall Cwt : 354 334 420,515 402,384 Total " : 338 323 467,924 444,834 Tobacco Lb : 2,358 1,962 1,582,816 1,307,904 1,323,082 Sugarbeets Ton : 22.2 20.3 31,994 28,833 28,892 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed " : 33.0 32.9 30,929 30,222 30,659 Hazelnuts Ton : 21.1 38.0 38.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Yield in pounds. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95 (Domestic and Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 2/ : 1994 : 1995 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 6,639 6,336 4,010 2,959 Barley : 7,159 6,689 6,667 6,277 All Wheat : 70,349 69,074 61,770 60,899 Winter : 49,197 48,826 41,355 41,073 Durum : 2,823 3,433 2,715 3,354 Other Spring : 18,329 16,815 17,700 16,472 Rye : 1,613 1,612 407 378 Sunflower : 3,567 3,608 3,430 3,484 Flaxseed : 178 213 171 206 All Hay : 58,744 60,228 Alfalfa : 24,222 24,639 All Other : 34,522 35,589 Dry Edible Beans : 2,025.8 2,049.7 1,845.2 1,907.8 Dry Edible Peas : 131.0 166.0 128.0 163.0 Austrian Winter : Peas : 7.0 10.9 4.6 6.7 Lentils : 180.0 148.0 178.0 143.0 Potatoes : Winter : 12.9 13.3 12.3 11.9 Spring : 91.6 88.6 90.4 86.8 Summer : 95.8 72.5 92.3 70.7 Sweetpotatoes : 86.1 87.0 82.8 83.6 Hops : 42.4 43.5 :------------------------------------------------------- : (Hectares) : Oats : 2,686,740 2,564,120 1,622,810 1,197,480 Barley : 2,897,180 2,706,970 2,698,070 2,540,240 All Wheat : 28,469,540 27,953,560 24,997,700 24,645,220 Winter : 19,909,530 19,759,390 16,735,950 16,621,830 Durum : 1,142,440 1,389,300 1,098,730 1,357,330 Other Spring : 7,417,560 6,804,860 7,163,010 6,666,050 Rye : 652,760 652,360 164,710 152,970 Sunflower : 1,443,530 1,460,120 1,388,090 1,409,940 Flaxseed : 72,030 86,200 69,200 83,370 All Hay : 23,773,110 24,373,670 Alfalfa : 9,802,400 9,971,160 All Other : 13,970,710 14,402,510 Dry Edible Beans : 819,820 829,490 746,730 772,070 Dry Edible Peas : 53,010 67,180 51,800 65,960 Austrian Winter : Peas : 2,830 4,410 1,860 2,710 Lentils : 72,840 59,890 72,030 57,870 Potatoes : Winter : 5,220 5,380 4,980 4,820 Spring : 37,070 35,860 36,580 35,130 Summer : 38,770 29,340 37,350 28,610 Sweetpotatoes : 34,840 35,210 33,510 33,830 Hops : 17,160 17,580 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. 2/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Acre : Production Crop and Unit :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------- 1,000 ------- : Oats Bu : 57.1 55.2 229,008 163,197 Barley " : 56.2 57.6 374,862 361,352 All Wheat " : 37.6 35.9 2,320,981 2,183,429 Winter " : 40.2 37.8 1,661,943 1,550,511 Durum " : 35.6 30.5 96,747 102,220 Other Spring " : 31.8 32.2 562,291 530,698 Rye " : 27.9 26.3 11,341 9,928 Sunflower Lb : 1,410 1,313 4,836,185 4,574,450 All Hay Ton : 2.56 2.61 150,124 157,003 Alfalfa " : 3.36 3.49 81,398 85,906 All Other " : 1.99 2.00 68,726 71,097 Dry Edible Beans 2/ Cwt : 1,582 1,603 29,187 30,584 Dry Edible Peas 2/ " : 1,762 2,300 2,255 3,749 Austrian Winter : Peas 2/ " : 1,109 1,507 51 101 Lentils 2/ " : 1,043 1,352 1,856 1,934 Potatoes : Winter Cwt : 193 208 2,372 2,473 Spring " : 251 258 22,646 22,387 Summer " : 243 249 22,391 17,590 Hops Lb : 1,758 1,748 74,559.6 75,972.0 Apples, Comm'l " : 11,335,500 11,135,500 Peaches " : 2,506,500 2,492,700 Pears Ton : 1,046.2 963.3 Grapes " : 5,870.6 5,776.5 Sweet Cherries " : 207.2 135.7 Tart Cherries Lb : 287,800 391,000 Apricots Ton : 158.2 67.5 Olives (CA) " : 84.0 85.0 Dried Prunes (CA) " : 193.0 185.0 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) " : 38.1 25.0 Almonds (CA) Lb : 730,000 310,000 Pecans " : 199,000 248,000 Walnuts (CA) Ton : 232.0 220.0 : Citrus Fruits 3/ : 1994-95 1995-96 Oranges Ton : 11,616 11,659 Grapefruit " : 2,912 2,809 Lemons " : 916 1,045 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast, except grapefruit. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Yield per Hectare: Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Oct 1, : Nov 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Corn for Grain : 8.70 7.14 256,628,780 191,560,380 187,300,610 Sorghum for Grain : 4.58 3.54 16,638,300 12,492,910 11,776,850 Rice : 6.69 6.32 8,971,110 8,057,710 7,902,620 Soybeans for Beans : 2.78 2.38 68,493,190 59,620,020 59,411,280 Peanuts : 2.94 2.58 1,926,610 1,592,150 1,587,850 All Cotton : 0.79 0.64 4,280,900 4,168,050 4,101,430 Upland : 0.79 0.63 4,207,370 4,086,840 4,023,700 Amer-Pima : 1.09 0.98 73,530 81,210 77,730 Cottonseed : 6,898,140 6,689,310 6,584,980 Potatoes : Fall : 39.68 37.40 19,074,240 18,251,830 Total : 37.93 36.25 21,224,680 20,177,330 Tobacco : 2.64 2.20 717,950 593,260 600,140 Sugarbeets : 49.70 45.45 29,024,830 26,156,860 26,210,380 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 74.01 73.72 28,058,320 27,416,940 27,813,380 Hazelnuts : 19,140 34,470 34,470 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Hectare : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Oats : 2.05 1.98 3,324,040 2,368,800 Barley : 3.02 3.10 8,161,660 7,867,510 All Wheat : 2.53 2.41 63,166,750 59,423,190 Winter : 2.70 2.54 45,230,680 42,197,990 Durum : 2.40 2.05 2,633,020 2,781,970 Other Spring : 2.14 2.17 15,303,050 14,443,230 Rye : 1.75 1.65 288,070 252,180 Sunflower : 1.58 1.47 2,193,660 2,074,940 All Hay : 5.73 5.84 136,190,200 142,430,720 Alfalfa : 7.53 7.82 73,843,020 77,932,610 All Other : 4.46 4.48 62,347,180 64,498,110 Dry Edible Beans : 1.77 1.80 1,323,900 1,387,270 Dry Edible Peas : 1.97 2.58 102,290 170,050 Austrian Winter : Peas : 1.24 1.69 2,310 4,580 Lentils : 1.17 1.52 84,190 87,720 Potatoes : Winter : 21.60 23.27 107,590 112,170 Spring : 28.08 28.91 1,027,210 1,015,460 Summer : 27.19 27.89 1,015,640 797,870 Hops : 1.97 1.96 33,820 34,460 Apples, Comm'l : 5,141,700 5,050,980 Peaches : 1,136,930 1,130,670 Pears : 949,100 873,890 Grapes : 5,325,720 5,240,350 Sweet Cherries : 187,970 123,100 Tart Cherries : 130,540 177,350 Apricots : 143,520 61,230 Olives (CA) : 76,200 77,110 Dried Prunes (CA) : 175,090 167,830 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) : 34,560 22,680 Almonds (CA) : 331,120 140,610 Pecans : 90,260 112,490 Walnuts (CA) : 210,470 199,580 : Citrus Fruits 2/ : 1994-95 1995-96 Oranges : 10,537,860 10,576,870 Grapefruit : 2,641,720 2,548,280 Lemons : 830,980 948,010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast, except grapefruit. 2/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. HDR1012000110111109950830Crop Production State Tables HDR2012000110111109950830Selected Crops Selected Crops: Area Planted by State and United States, 1993-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : State : Corn : Soybeans : Sorghum : Potatoes : : : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 250 230 12 AZ : 35 AR : 95 *3,450 200 CA : 420 *13.0 CO : 900 *200 77.0 CT : 37 DE : 145 235 FL : 100 30 GA : 420 330 55 ID : 95 400.0 IL : 10,200 9,700 180 IN : *5,400 *5,000 5.0 IA : *11,700 *9,300 KS : 2,150 2,100 3,100 KY : 1,280 *1,150 *25 LA : 250 1,080 *85 ME : 33 *78.0 MD : 440 550 MA : 29 3.3 MI : 2,450 1,500 60.0 MN : *6,700 *5,900 83.0 MS : 300 *1,850 50 MO : *1,600 *4,600 *520 MT : 55 9.8 NE : 8,100 *3,100 *1,300 *11.1 NV : 7.6 NH : 18 NJ : 98 120 NM : 130 220 6.2 NY : 1,100 30.0 NC : *800 *1,150 30 ND : 700 *660 *125.0 OH : *3,300 *4,050 5.5 OK : 150 300 *330 OR : 42 *52.0 PA : 1,380 320 18.0 RI : 3 0.9 SC : 300 550 15 SD : 2,800 *2,600 *250 *6.0 TN : 660 1,130 20 TX : 2,250 *250 *2,600 UT : 68 *5.2 VT : 90 VA : 450 510 WA : 150 147.0 WV : 65 WI : 3,600 830 80.0 WY : 70 1.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : United States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1993 : 73,235 60,135 9,882 1,189.9 1994 : 79,158 61,670 9,772 1,220.1 1995 : 71,408 62,575 9,192 1,225.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. Selected Crops: Area Planted by State and United States, 1993-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : State : Upland : Pima : Peanuts : Rice : Cotton : Cotton : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : *600 215 AZ : *365 *48 AR : *1,170 *1,350 CA : *1,180 *100 *467 FL : 110 *90 GA : 1,500 *595 KS : *3 LA : *1,075 *575 MS : 1,500 *290 MO : *460 *118 NM : 55 15 20 NC : 800 *144 OK : 370 102 SC : *340 13 TN : 700 TX : 6,300 *36 275 *320 VA : *107 92 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : United States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1993 : 13,248.3 190.0 1,733.5 2,920 1994 : 13,551.6 168.5 1,641.0 3,353 1995 : 16,635.0 199.0 1,546.0 3,120 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. HDR2012000110111109950830Corn for Grain Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 260 220 96.0 70.0 70.0 24,960 15,400 AZ 1/ : 15 20 170.0 160.0 160.0 2,550 3,200 AR 1/ : 90 85 120.0 125.0 125.0 10,800 10,625 CA : 170 140 165.0 165.0 165.0 28,050 23,100 CO : 890 800 150.0 135.0 122.0 133,500 97,600 CT 2/ : DE : 150 142 125.0 95.0 90.0 18,750 12,780 FL 1/ : 80 60 85.0 77.0 77.0 6,800 4,620 GA : 540 360 106.0 100.0 100.0 57,240 36,000 ID 1/ : 35 35 140.0 140.0 140.0 4,900 4,900 IL : 11,450 10,000 156.0 117.0 113.0 1,786,200 1,130,000 IN : 5,960 5,300 144.0 119.0 116.0 858,240 614,800 IA : 12,700 11,400 152.0 121.0 121.0 1,930,400 1,379,400 KS : 2,130 1,950 143.0 135.0 120.0 304,590 234,000 KY : 1,220 1,150 128.0 122.0 117.0 156,160 134,550 LA 1/ : 306 235 115.0 105.0 105.0 35,190 24,675 ME 2/ : MD : 390 380 118.0 100.0 100.0 46,020 38,000 MA 2/ : MI : 2,230 2,100 117.0 120.0 117.0 260,910 245,700 MN : 6,450 6,100 142.0 123.0 119.0 915,900 725,900 MS 1/ : 305 275 100.0 95.0 95.0 30,500 26,125 MO : 2,300 1,450 119.0 107.0 104.0 273,700 150,800 MT 1/ : 20 18 135.0 140.0 140.0 2,700 2,520 NE : 8,300 7,800 139.0 114.0 111.0 1,153,700 865,800 NH 2/ : NJ 1/ : 81 82 119.0 110.0 110.0 9,639 9,020 NM 1/ : 85 85 150.0 170.0 170.0 12,750 14,450 NY : 590 560 116.0 97.0 101.0 68,440 56,560 NC : 900 700 91.0 110.0 110.0 81,900 77,000 ND : 540 400 100.0 85.0 83.0 54,000 33,200 OH : 3,500 3,100 139.0 122.0 120.0 486,500 372,000 OK 1/ : 165 125 100.0 120.0 120.0 16,500 15,000 OR 1/ : 20 17 170.0 140.0 140.0 3,400 2,380 PA : 1,030 990 120.0 104.0 98.0 123,600 97,020 RI 2/ : SC : 345 280 85.0 89.0 91.0 29,325 25,480 SD : 3,400 2,400 108.0 79.0 79.0 367,200 189,600 TN : 570 570 116.0 120.0 120.0 66,120 68,400 TX : 2,040 2,100 117.0 113.0 113.0 238,680 237,300 UT 1/ : 22 23 130.0 125.0 125.0 2,860 2,875 VT 2/ : VA : 350 300 98.0 100.0 103.0 34,300 30,900 WA 1/ : 105 105 185.0 190.0 190.0 19,425 19,950 WV 1/ : 35 35 105.0 110.0 110.0 3,675 3,850 WI : 3,100 2,900 141.0 119.0 115.0 437,100 333,500 WY 1/ : 48 40 122.0 118.0 118.0 5,856 4,720 : US : 72,917 64,832 138.6 116.6 113.7 10,103,030 7,373,700 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Not estimated. HDR2012000110111109950830Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL 1/ : 20 8 45.0 40.0 40.0 900 320 AR : 245 185 75.0 70.0 68.0 18,375 12,580 CO : 170 170 45.0 40.0 33.0 7,650 5,610 GA 1/ : 40 30 50.0 38.0 38.0 2,000 1,140 IL : 180 170 99.0 79.0 78.0 17,820 13,260 KS : 3,000 2,900 77.0 60.0 57.0 231,000 165,300 KY 1/ : 11 21 92.0 90.0 90.0 1,012 1,890 LA : 123 82 68.0 65.0 65.0 8,364 5,330 MS : 70 45 75.0 74.0 70.0 5,250 3,150 MO : 550 490 90.0 81.0 76.0 49,500 37,240 NE : 1,250 980 98.0 61.0 54.0 122,500 52,920 NM : 180 195 38.0 33.0 33.0 6,840 6,435 NC 1/ : 20 15 55.0 50.0 50.0 1,100 750 OK : 280 300 50.0 52.0 45.0 14,000 13,500 SC 1/ : 8 8 40.0 35.0 35.0 320 280 SD : 190 150 65.0 41.0 35.0 12,350 5,250 TN 1/ : 30 17 88.0 87.0 87.0 2,640 1,479 TX : 2,600 2,450 59.0 56.0 56.0 153,400 137,200 : US : 8,967 8,216 73.0 59.2 56.4 655,021 463,634 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110111109950830Rice Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Cwt ---- : AR : 1,420 1,340 5,700 5,550 5,450 80,940 73,030 CA : 485 465 8,500 8,150 7,800 41,224 36,270 LA : 620 570 4,750 4,550 4,600 29,448 26,220 MS : 313 288 5,900 5,500 5,400 18,467 15,552 MO 1/ : 124 111 5,200 5,100 5,100 6,448 5,661 TX : 354 318 6,000 5,500 5,500 21,252 17,490 : US : 3,316 3,092 5,964 5,710 5,635 197,779 174,223 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1993 : 103,064 51,873 1,173 156,110 1994 : 133,445 63,390 944 197,779 1995 1/ : 122,168 51,152 903 174,223 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated November 1, 1995, rice class forecasts are based on a five-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. HDR2012000110111109950830Potatoes Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 1993-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Seasonal : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group :--------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : : : : State : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : - 1,000 Acres - ---- Cwt ---- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ : Winter 1/ : 12.3 11.9 193 208 2,552 2,372 2,473 : Spring 1/ : 90.4 86.8 251 258 19,654 22,646 22,387 : Summer 1/ : 92.3 70.7 243 249 20,552 22,391 17,590 : Fall : CA : 14.0 13.0 400 410 4,800 5,600 5,330 CO : 73.7 76.8 350 310 25,270 25,795 23,808 ID : 408.0 398.0 340 330 126,192 138,801 131,274 10 SW Co : 27.0 27.0 470 410 10,440 12,690 11,070 Other ID : 381.0 371.0 331 324 115,752 126,111 120,204 IN : 4.1 4.6 280 260 1,050 1,148 1,196 ME : 75.0 78.0 245 215 19,890 18,375 16,770 MA : 3.1 3.3 240 255 645 744 842 MI 2/ : 42.0 57.5 290 300 11,780 12,180 17,250 MN 2/ : 67.0 79.0 265 270 12,650 17,755 21,330 MT : 10.0 9.8 320 300 2,700 3,200 2,940 NE : 11.1 10.6 360 315 3,008 3,996 3,339 NV : 8.0 7.6 345 365 2,926 2,760 2,774 NM : 6.0 6.2 500 400 2,871 3,000 2,480 NY 3/ : 28.6 29.5 273 270 7,693 7,805 7,965 Long Is : 6.1 265 1,643 1,617 Upstate : 22.5 275 6,050 6,188 ND : 120.0 121.0 235 205 21,090 28,200 24,805 OH : 5.5 5.4 245 260 1,140 1,348 1,404 OR : 55.8 51.0 493 473 23,103 27,514 24,147 Malheur : 11.8 12.3 430 390 3,567 5,074 4,797 Other OR : 44.0 38.7 510 500 19,536 22,440 19,350 PA : 18.0 17.0 210 240 4,600 3,780 4,080 RI : 1.1 0.9 225 270 226 248 243 SD : 5.5 5.2 280 190 1,066 1,540 988 UT : 6.0 5.1 265 240 1,643 1,590 1,224 WA : 152.0 147.0 585 550 88,500 88,920 80,850 WI : 71.5 78.0 360 345 22,588 25,740 26,910 WY : 1.7 1.5 280 290 504 476 435 Total : 1,187.7 1,206.0 354 334 385,935 420,515 402,384 : US : 1,382.7 1,375.4 338 323 428,693 467,924 444,834 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Includes acres and production in 1995 formerly listed as summer potatoes. 3/ Long Island and Upstate breakout not estimated separately in 1995. HDR2012000110111109950830Soybeans for Beans Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 295 220 31.0 25.0 23.0 9,145 5,060 AR : 3,400 3,400 34.0 28.0 25.0 115,600 85,000 DE : 220 230 36.5 22.0 20.0 8,030 4,600 FL 1/ : 42 28 31.0 32.0 32.0 1,302 896 GA : 500 320 31.0 24.0 24.0 15,500 7,680 IL : 9,430 9,650 45.5 40.0 40.0 429,065 386,000 IN : 4,580 4,980 47.0 40.0 39.0 215,260 194,220 IA : 8,770 9,250 50.5 43.0 44.0 442,885 407,000 KS : 2,100 2,050 35.0 26.0 25.0 73,500 51,250 KY : 1,130 1,130 37.5 34.0 35.0 42,375 39,550 LA : 1,120 1,030 28.5 25.0 25.0 31,920 25,750 MD : 550 540 35.5 28.0 25.0 19,525 13,500 MI : 1,540 1,490 37.0 39.0 39.0 56,980 58,110 MN : 5,600 5,800 40.0 38.0 39.0 224,000 226,200 MS : 1,870 1,800 30.5 25.0 23.0 57,035 41,400 MO : 4,560 4,550 38.0 30.0 30.0 173,280 136,500 NE : 2,860 3,060 47.0 31.0 33.0 134,420 100,980 NJ 1/ : 147 118 34.5 40.0 40.0 5,072 4,720 NC : 1,350 1,050 31.0 23.0 23.0 41,850 24,150 ND : 610 640 31.0 27.0 28.0 18,910 17,920 OH : 3,990 4,030 43.5 41.0 39.0 173,565 157,170 OK 1/ : 290 285 32.0 27.0 27.0 9,280 7,695 PA 1/ : 315 315 42.0 44.0 44.0 13,230 13,860 SC : 580 530 27.0 24.0 24.0 15,660 12,720 SD : 2,400 2,550 38.0 27.0 29.0 91,200 73,950 TN : 1,050 1,080 36.5 31.0 31.0 38,325 33,480 TX : 210 240 33.5 27.0 25.0 7,035 6,000 VA : 520 490 32.0 27.0 27.0 16,640 13,230 WI : 830 800 43.5 43.0 43.0 36,105 34,400 : US : 60,859 61,656 41.4 35.5 35.4 2,516,694 2,182,991 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110111109950830Peanuts Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1995 : : : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 222.0 214.0 2,010 2,300 2,300 446,220 492,200 FL : 84.0 82.0 2,470 2,600 2,500 207,480 205,000 GA : 649.0 590.0 2,870 2,200 2,350 1,862,630 1,386,500 NM : 21.0 20.0 2,460 2,300 2,000 51,660 40,000 NC : 151.0 144.0 3,215 2,400 2,400 485,465 345,600 OK : 100.0 100.0 2,610 2,600 2,200 261,000 220,000 SC : 12.5 12.5 2,900 2,600 2,800 36,250 35,000 TX : 287.0 270.0 2,110 2,300 2,150 605,570 580,500 VA : 92.0 89.0 3,165 2,200 2,200 291,180 195,800 : US : 1,618.5 1,521.5 2,624 2,302 2,301 4,247,455 3,500,600 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. HDR2012000110111109950830Cottonseed Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,343.2 7,603.9 7,258.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. HDR2012000110111109950830Cotton Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :-------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 1995 : : State : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 455.0 585.0 766 480 361 726.0 440.0 AZ : 312.0 364.0 1,203 1,081 1,055 782.0 800.0 AR : 970.0 1,100.0 877 648 624 1,772.0 1,430.0 CA : 1,095.0 1,175.0 1,191 1,083 1,042 2,717.0 2,550.0 FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0 GA : 875.0 1,490.0 843 644 644 1,537.0 2,000.0 KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7 LA : 890.0 1,065.0 815 608 608 1,512.0 1,350.0 MS : 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 602 605 2,132.0 1,840.0 MO : 345.0 445.0 856 647 577 615.0 535.0 NM : 50.0 51.0 720 762 762 75.0 81.0 NC : 485.0 780.0 820 535 554 829.0 900.0 OK : 340.0 325.0 349 295 295 247.0 200.0 SC : 223.0 335.0 846 645 645 393.0 450.0 TN : 585.0 660.0 726 570 575 885.0 790.0 TX : 5,150.0 5,700.0 458 408 404 4,915.0 4,800.0 VA 3/ : 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0 : US :13,155.9 15,753.0 705 574 563 19,324.3 18,480.7 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 47.9 47.5 806 788 748 80.4 74.0 CA : 80.8 100.0 1,098 1,032 984 184.8 205.0 NM : 10.7 15.0 875 800 736 19.5 23.0 TX : 27.0 33.0 942 880 800 53.0 55.0 : US : 166.4 195.5 974 930 877 337.7 357.0 : All : AL : 455.0 585.0 766 480 361 726.0 440.0 AZ : 359.9 411.5 1,150 1,047 1,019 862.4 874.0 AR : 970.0 1,100.0 877 648 624 1,772.0 1,430.0 CA : 1,175.8 1,275.0 1,185 1,079 1,037 2,901.8 2,755.0 FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0 GA : 875.0 1,490.0 843 644 644 1,537.0 2,000.0 KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7 LA : 890.0 1,065.0 815 608 608 1,512.0 1,350.0 MS : 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 602 605 2,132.0 1,840.0 MO : 345.0 445.0 856 647 577 615.0 535.0 NM : 60.7 66.0 747 771 756 94.5 104.0 NC : 485.0 780.0 820 535 554 829.0 900.0 OK : 340.0 325.0 349 295 295 247.0 200.0 SC : 223.0 335.0 846 645 645 393.0 450.0 TN : 585.0 660.0 726 570 575 885.0 790.0 TX : 5,177.0 5,733.0 461 411 406 4,968.0 4,855.0 VA 3/ : 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0 : US :13,322.3 15,948.5 708 579 567 19,662.0 18,837.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. HDR2012000110111109950830Tobacco Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Acres ---- --- Pounds --- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-Cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 74,000 76,000 2,440 1,900 180,560 144,400 VA : 34,000 34,000 2,420 2,050 82,280 69,700 U S : 108,000 110,000 2,434 1,946 262,840 214,100 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 131,000 142,000 2,525 1,830 330,775 259,860 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 30,000 34,000 2,365 1,840 70,950 62,560 SC : 47,000 50,000 2,300 2,150 108,100 107,500 U S : 77,000 84,000 2,325 2,025 179,050 170,060 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 6,500 7,200 2,550 2,410 16,575 17,352 GA : 37,000 42,000 2,180 2,000 80,660 84,000 U S : 43,500 49,200 2,235 2,060 97,235 101,352 Total 11-14 : 359,500 385,200 2,420 1,935 869,900 745,372 : Class 2, Fire-Cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,350 1,100 1,780 1,350 2,403 1,485 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 4,100 3,700 2,660 2,400 10,906 8,880 TN : 8,100 7,600 2,570 2,400 20,817 18,240 U S : 12,200 11,300 2,600 2,400 31,723 27,120 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,900 3,600 3,190 2,700 12,441 9,720 TN : 630 610 2,800 2,500 1,764 1,525 U S : 4,530 4,210 3,136 2,671 14,205 11,245 Total 21-23 : 18,080 16,610 2,673 2,399 48,331 39,850 : Class 3, Air-Cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-Cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 7,100 6,500 2,150 2,120 15,265 13,780 KY : 175,000 162,000 2,400 2,100 420,000 340,200 MO 1/ : 3,500 2,700 2,290 2,100 8,015 5,670 NC : 8,200 8,100 2,140 1,600 17,548 12,960 OH : 8,500 8,300 2,160 1,990 18,360 16,520 TN : 51,000 48,000 2,125 1,750 108,375 84,000 VA : 11,000 9,000 1,935 1,550 21,285 13,950 WV 1/ : 2,000 2,000 1,775 1,700 3,550 3,400 U S : 266,300 246,600 2,300 1,989 612,398 490,480 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 8,500 8,500 1,500 1,450 12,750 12,325 PA : 3,600 3,400 1,950 1,900 7,020 6,460 U S : 12,100 11,900 1,634 1,579 19,770 18,785 Total 31-32 : 278,400 258,500 2,271 1,970 632,168 509,265 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. -- continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Acres ---- --- Pounds --- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-Cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-Cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,600 2,200 2,480 2,300 6,448 5,060 TN : 620 510 2,150 2,100 1,333 1,071 U S : 3,220 2,710 2,416 2,262 7,781 6,131 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,400 1,200 2,780 2,350 3,892 2,820 Type 37, VA Sun-Cured : Belt : VA : 70 70 1,770 1,100 124 77 Total 35-37 : 4,690 3,980 2,515 2,268 11,797 9,028 : Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 5,400 4,500 2,100 2,050 11,340 9,225 : Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 690 1,020 1,890 1,855 1,304 1,892 MA : 210 230 1,905 1,930 400 444 U S : 900 1,250 1,893 1,869 1,704 2,336 : Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI : WI : 2,000 2,000 2,100 2,150 4,200 4,300 Type 55, Northern WI : WI : 1,000 1,000 1,710 1,900 1,710 1,900 Total 54-55 : 3,000 3,000 1,970 2,067 5,910 6,200 Total 51-55 : 3,900 4,250 1,952 2,008 7,614 8,536 : Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-Grown : CT : 910 970 1,400 1,460 1,274 1,416 MA : 280 270 1,400 1,445 392 390 U S : 1,190 1,240 1,400 1,456 1,666 1,806 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 10,490 9,990 1,966 1,959 20,620 19,567 : All Tobacco : 671,160 674,280 2,358 1,962 1,582,816 1,323,082 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Pounds --------- : CT : 1,600 1,990 1,611 1,662 2,533 2,578 3,308 FL : 6,500 7,200 2,550 2,410 18,673 16,575 17,352 GA : 37,000 42,000 2,180 2,000 96,320 80,660 84,000 IN : 7,100 6,500 2,150 2,120 17,415 15,265 13,780 KY : 187,000 172,700 2,426 2,123 455,080 453,687 366,680 MD : 8,500 8,500 1,500 1,450 12,255 12,750 12,325 MA : 490 500 1,616 1,668 738 792 834 MO 1/ : 3,500 2,700 2,290 2,100 4,760 8,015 5,670 NC : 243,200 260,100 2,466 1,845 608,415 599,833 479,780 OH : 8,500 8,300 2,160 1,990 18,900 18,360 16,520 PA : 9,000 7,900 2,040 1,985 18,260 18,360 15,685 SC : 47,000 50,000 2,300 2,150 110,760 108,100 107,500 TN : 60,350 56,720 2,192 1,848 139,423 132,289 104,836 VA : 46,420 44,170 2,285 1,929 99,544 106,092 85,212 WV 1/ : 2,000 2,000 1,775 1,700 3,600 3,550 3,400 WI : 3,000 3,000 1,970 2,067 6,643 5,910 6,200 : US : 671,160 674,280 2,358 1,962 1,613,319 1,582,816 1,323,082 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110111109950830Sugarbeets Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : CA : 141.0 114.0 29.0 27.0 3,536 4,089 3,078 CO : 43.2 41.2 21.9 17.7 924 946 729 ID : 201.0 198.0 27.9 25.0 4,733 5,608 4,950 MI : 187.0 190.0 16.2 16.0 3,179 3,029 3,040 MN : 411.0 418.0 20.6 18.5 5,344 8,467 7,733 MT : 54.0 55.5 24.2 22.0 1,169 1,307 1,221 NE : 74.1 72.4 20.3 16.5 1,473 1,504 1,195 ND : 201.5 207.0 21.2 19.3 3,112 4,272 3,995 OH : 16.0 14.7 16.5 16.5 212 264 243 OR : 16.4 18.4 27.8 25.2 372 456 464 TX : 24.5 19.5 20.3 22.0 823 497 429 WY : 61.3 62.0 18.0 21.0 1,269 1,103 1,302 : Oth : Sts 2/: 12.0 14.2 37.7 36.1 103 452 513 : US : 1,443.0 1,424.9 22.2 20.3 26,249 31,994 28,892 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest, except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ Includes NM and WA. Estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons ------ : FL : 444.0 445.0 33.6 34.0 15,152 14,937 15,130 HI : 69.3 50.0 77.4 85.0 5,606 5,364 4,250 LA : 380.0 395.0 24.4 25.0 8,904 9,272 9,875 TX : 43.5 42.3 31.2 33.2 1,439 1,356 1,404 : US : 936.8 932.3 33.0 32.9 31,101 30,929 30,659 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. HDR2012000110111109950830Citrus Fruits Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted 1996 on November 1, 1995 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ 4/ : AZ : 700 400 500 26 15 19 CA : 36,600 35,000 38,000 1,372 1,313 1,425 FL : 107,300 119,700 122,000 4,829 5,387 5,490 TX : 480 950 1,000 21 40 43 US : 145,080 156,050 161,500 6,248 6,755 6,977 Valencia 4/ : AZ : 1,200 650 600 45 24 23 CA : 27,000 26,000 28,000 1,013 976 1,050 FL : 67,100 85,700 80,000 3,020 3,857 3,600 TX : 70 105 200 3 4 9 US : 95,370 112,455 108,800 4,081 4,861 4,682 All 4/ : AZ : 1,900 1,050 1,100 71 39 42 CA : 63,600 61,000 66,000 2,385 2,289 2,475 FL : 174,400 205,400 202,000 7,849 9,244 9,090 TX : 550 1,055 1,200 24 44 52 US : 240,450 268,505 270,300 10,329 11,616 11,659 Temples 4/ : FL : 2,250 2,550 2,200 101 114 99 Grapefruit : White Seedless : FL 4/ : 24,500 25,700 24,000 1,042 1,092 1,020 Colored Seedless : FL 4/ : 25,500 28,700 29,000 1,084 1,220 1,233 Other : FL 4/ : 1,050 1,300 1,000 45 55 43 All : AZ 4/ : 1,750 1,400 1,200 59 47 40 CA 4/ 5/ : Desert : 3,400 3,300 114 111 Other Areas : 5,900 6,000 197 201 Total : 9,300 9,300 8,500 311 312 285 FL 4/ : 51,050 55,700 54,000 2,171 2,367 2,296 TX : 3,000 4,650 4,700 120 186 188 US : 65,100 71,050 68,400 2,661 2,912 2,809 Tangerines 4/ : AZ : 1,000 650 950 37 25 36 CA : 2,300 2,200 2,300 86 82 86 FL : 4,100 3,550 4,100 195 168 195 US : 7,400 6,400 7,350 318 275 317 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 5,200 3,600 5,500 197 137 209 CA : 20,700 20,500 22,000 787 779 836 US : 25,900 24,100 27,500 984 916 1,045 Tangelos 4/ : FL : 3,350 3,150 2,500 150 142 113 K-Early Citrus 4/ : FL : 210 120 100 9 5 5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruit Footnotes 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the year harvest is completed. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67 FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76, tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5/ California Desert and Other Areas Grapefruit forecasts combined to All Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96. HDR2012000110111109950830Hazelnuts Hazelnuts: Utilized Production by State and United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons (In-shell Basis) : OR : 40,800 21,000 37,900 WA 1/ : 200 100 100 : US : 41,000 21,100 38,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110111109950830Papayas Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------ Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :----------------------------------------: 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --------------- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Sep : 3,250 3,745 2,125 2,330 4,200 2,730 Oct : 3,175 3,735 1,945 2,370 5,015 3,070 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110111109950830Corn Corn: Plant Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting corn objective yield surveys in 10 States during 1995. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual counts from this survey and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but are intended to show trends in corn production practices. Corn for Grain: Plant population per acre, Selected States, 1991-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : : : State : 1991 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 : : : : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Number of Plants : IL : 23,700 23,000 23,300 23,200 23,650 IN : 22,400 23,200 23,200 22,850 24,000 IA : 22,900 23,300 23,500 23,950 24,650 MI : 21,800 21,600 22,800 21,800 22,850 MN : 23,900 24,600 25,100 26,000 26,350 MO : 19,800 18,800 19,300 19,650 20,400 NE : 22,200 21,900 22,200 21,700 22,500 OH : 23,200 23,300 23,300 22,900 23,300 SD : 17,500 17,800 17,600 19,250 20,000 WI : 23,400 22,800 23,600 23,600 24,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on stalk counts in plots selected for objective yield samples. Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre Selected States, 1991-95 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : : : State : 1991 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 : : : : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Number : IL : 21,800 23,000 22,600 22,600 22,850 IN : 20,300 22,700 22,200 22,150 22,950 IA : 21,700 24,000 22,500 24,000 24,000 MI : 21,800 24,600 22,300 22,250 22,500 MN : 24,100 27,000 24,900 26,950 25,700 MO : 18,800 19,400 18,500 19,250 19,450 NE : 21,900 22,100 21,100 21,300 21,700 OH : 20,800 23,200 21,700 22,500 22,500 SD : 18,000 20,700 18,000 21,300 20,300 WI : 22,600 23,300 23,100 24,650 23,250 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on ear counts in plots selected for objective yield samples. Corn for Grain: Percentage Distributions by Row Width and Average Row Width for Selected States, 1993-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : Row Width (Inches) 1/ : State : Number :----------------------------------------------------:Average and : of : 30.5 :30.6- : 32.6- :34.6- :36.6- : 38.6- :40.6 & : Row Year :Samples :or less: 32.5 : 34.5 : 36.5 : 38.5 : 40.5 :Greater: Width ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Number -------------------- Percent -------------------- Inches : IL 1993: 244 50.8 16.0 1.2 13.1 15.2 3.7 0.0 32.4 1994: 241 52.3 19.9 1.7 9.1 11.6 5.0 0.4 32.1 1995: 268 56.7 17.5 1.9 10.5 12.3 1.1 0.0 31.9 : IN 1993: 166 63.3 19.3 3.0 6.0 8.4 0.0 0.0 31.2 1994: 158 69.7 13.9 0.0 8.2 6.3 1.9 0.0 31.2 1995: 175 59.4 21.2 0.6 11.4 6.3 1.1 0.0 31.4 : IA 1993: 259 47.4 14.7 0.8 6.6 22.0 7.0 1.5 33.1 1994: 276 44.5 20.3 0.4 6.2 21.0 7.2 0.4 32.9 1995: 288 45.2 14.2 0.4 7.6 21.9 9.7 1.0 33.3 : MI 1993: 79 59.5 21.5 2.5 2.5 11.4 1.3 1.3 31.5 1994: 79 65.8 22.8 1.3 5.1 2.5 2.5 0.0 30.8 1995: 75 72.0 17.3 2.7 1.3 2.7 2.7 1.3 30.8 : MN 1993: 158 62.0 12.0 1.9 5.1 12.7 5.7 0.6 32.0 1994: 168 61.3 13.7 1.8 7.7 9.5 6.0 0.0 31.7 1995: 163 64.4 11.0 1.2 6.8 14.1 2.5 0.0 31.3 : MO 1993: 86 36.0 29.1 2.3 9.3 16.3 5.8 1.2 32.8 1994: 112 45.4 30.4 0.9 6.3 12.5 4.5 0.0 31.9 1995: 101 53.4 26.7 1.0 3.0 12.9 3.0 0.0 31.8 : NE 1993: 206 34.5 17.0 1.9 22.3 18.9 4.4 1.0 33.4 1994: 211 31.7 19.0 0.5 27.0 16.6 4.7 0.5 33.5 1995: 205 36.1 13.6 2.0 28.3 16.1 3.4 0.5 33.6 : OH 1993: 133 66.1 15.8 3.7 2.3 6.0 3.8 2.3 31.6 1994: 127 55.9 26.0 0.8 5.5 9.4 1.6 0.8 31.5 1995: 132 56.1 25.8 4.5 2.3 8.3 1.5 1.5 31.5 : SD 1993: 98 21.4 12.3 1.0 6.1 42.9 15.3 1.0 35.4 1994: 90 22.2 10.0 1.1 21.1 34.5 10.0 1.1 35.1 1995: 100 31.0 10.0 0.0 17.0 27.0 15.0 0.0 34.6 : WI 1993: 112 25.9 17.9 5.4 16.0 22.3 10.7 1.8 34.0 1994: 115 30.4 17.4 3.5 10.4 26.1 9.6 2.6 34.1 1995: 110 36.4 12.7 2.7 8.2 23.6 14.6 1.8 34.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Spacings based on row measurements in sample plots selected for the objective yield survey. Corn for Grain: Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths, Selected States, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Row Width (inches) :----------------------------------------------------------------- State : Less than : : : : More than : 30 : 30 : 36 : 38 : 38 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Number : IL : 1 203 39 24 IN : 3 148 28 8 IA : 178 30 79 2 MO : 7 67 4 MN : 9 114 16 22 MI : 4 76 5 11 1 NE : 1 98 79 16 2 OH : 121 7 7 SD : 42 26 33 WI : 1 59 13 44 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110111109950830Soybeans Soybeans: Pods with Beans and Row Width The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting soybean objective yield surveys in 8 States during 1995. Plots are randomly selected from a scientifically drawn sample of soybean fields, that are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Sample data from the surveys presented in the following table are not Agricultural Statistics Board official estimates but are intended to show trends in soybean production practices. Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet Selected States, 1991 - 1995 1/ 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : : and : 1991 : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 Month : : : : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Number of Pods : AR Sept 3/ : NA NA NA NA NA Nov : 1,336 1,713 1,399 1,782 1,755 Final : 1,327 1,705 1,327 1,673 : IL Sept : 1,574 1,698 1,937 1,745 1,816 Nov : 1,450 1,503 1,712 1,639 1,764 Final : 1,450 1,502 1,701 1,636 : IN Sept : 1,535 1,623 1,938 1,850 1,755 Nov : 1,508 1,543 1,703 1,574 1,677 Final : 1,508 1,543 1,703 1,570 : IA Sept : 1,406 1,501 1,336 1,887 1,739 Nov : 1,451 1,464 1,340 1,820 1,611 Final : 1,456 1,473 1,340 1,820 : MN Sept : 1,400 1,431 1,037 1,678 1,613 Nov : 1,478 1,367 1,106 1,496 1,501 Final : 1,476 1,367 1,105 1,496 : MO Sept : 1,239 1,682 1,493 1,470 895 Nov : 1,416 1,607 1,727 1,643 1,462 Final : 1,426 1,602 1,699 1,659 : NE Sept : 1,487 1,517 1,469 1,676 1,404 Nov : 1,423 1,504 1,414 1,826 1,420 Final : 1,422 1,509 1,445 1,826 : OH Sept : 1,426 1,462 1,617 1,950 1,790 Nov : 1,313 1,394 1,361 1,643 1,647 Final : 1,312 1,404 1,361 1,643 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on pod counts in plots selected for objective yield samples. 2/ Final pod counts will be published in January. 3/ Not available due to plant immaturity. Measured Row Spacing of Soybeans: Percentage Distribution and Average Width for Selected States, 1991-95 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : Row Width Groups (Inches) : State :Number :-------------------------------------------------:Average and : of : 10.0 & : 10.1- : 18.6- : 28.6- : 34.6 & : Row Year :Samples: Less 2/ : 18.5 : 28.5 : 34.5 : Greater :Width 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Number Percent of Plots Inches : AR 1991: 114 26.0 6.9 22.4 25.2 19.5 25.1 1992: 134 19.1 7.5 25.5 28.0 19.9 27.3 1993: 125 24.2 12.5 23.8 25.8 13.7 23.8 1994: 127 30.7 10.8 16.7 14.7 27.1 23.9 1995: 119 36.2 10.5 29.0 15.5 8.8 19.7 : IL 1991: 196 23.6 9.2 3.3 48.7 15.2 24.6 1992: 176 33.5 7.4 6.3 41.1 11.7 22.0 1993: 179 38.0 6.7 3.9 40.8 10.6 21.2 1994: 185 45.6 11.4 3.0 34.6 5.4 18.4 1995: 208 57.1 10.1 2.9 26.0 3.9 16.0 : IN 1991: 142 32.4 12.8 4.6 44.5 5.7 22.0 1992: 151 35.7 15.3 3.0 38.7 7.3 20.4 1993: 149 56.0 13.4 4.0 23.2 3.4 15.6 1994: 149 58.0 13.1 1.7 23.8 3.4 15.5 1995: 148 68.0 10.2 3.4 17.0 1.4 13.3 : IA 1991: 210 7.9 1.9 5.0 58.8 26.4 30.5 1992: 208 18.1 3.9 5.8 52.7 19.5 28.0 1993: 208 23.2 6.3 5.3 50.0 15.2 26.3 1994: 207 28.3 9.9 6.0 44.2 11.6 24.2 1995: 206 28.2 10.5 5.6 40.4 15.3 24.6 : MN 1991: 109 23.4 12.8 6.0 50.9 6.9 23.5 1992: 103 24.4 15.6 5.4 42.4 12.2 22.5 1993: 103 29.6 14.6 1.9 49.0 4.9 21.3 1994: 101 36.2 12.4 6.9 35.6 8.9 20.0 1995: 98 25.0 14.3 9.7 46.4 4.6 21.6 : MO 1991: 133 32.6 12.4 5.6 35.2 14.2 22.2 1992: 140 38.0 14.5 3.2 38.6 5.7 19.9 1993: 114 41.9 7.9 4.8 23.8 21.6 22.1 1994: 150 46.4 15.0 6.0 23.3 9.3 18.0 1995: 132 53.1 14.0 5.7 22.3 4.9 16.4 : NE 1991: 81 11.1 4.9 2.5 39.5 42.0 31.3 1992: 81 13.7 2.5 3.1 49.6 31.1 29.4 1993: 71 18.3 6.3 .7 44.4 30.3 28.5 1994: 74 21.6 6.8 2.7 35.8 33.1 27.8 1995: 87 23.6 8.6 5.2 37.9 24.7 25.2 : OH 1991: 125 48.0 21.2 2.4 23.6 4.8 16.7 1992: 123 54.6 18.4 4.9 21.3 .8 14.6 1993: 127 63.8 16.9 1.6 16.1 1.6 13.3 1994: 124 66.5 14.6 3.2 11.7 4.0 12.9 1995: 124 68.0 21.5 1.6 6.9 2.0 11.4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on row measurements in sample plots selected for objective yield samples. 2/ Broadcast soybeans included as 10.0 inches and less but excluded in com- putation of average width. HDR2012000110111109950830Cotton Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts cotton objective yield surveys in 6 States which account for about 72 percent of the U.S. Upland cotton production. Plots are randomly selected from a scientific sample of cotton fields. Two sample plots per field are visited monthly from about August 1 through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. The boll counts shown below represent actual data collected from sampled fields and are not official estimates of NASS. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, September and November 1991-1995, and Final, 1991-1994 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Arizona : Arkansas Year :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Sep. : Nov. : Final : Sep. : Nov. : Final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 1991 : 1,161 1,161 1,083 1,010 797 782 1992 : 1,112 1,062 1,013 1,076 822 817 1993 : 1,120 1,158 1,082 859 769 753 1994 : 1,239 1,227 1,221 1,019 813 812 1995 : 1,077 1,042 850 689 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : California : Louisiana :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1991 : 909 826 814 881 813 770 1992 : 839 841 819 882 858 875 1993 : 930 839 839 746 662 661 1994 : 828 805 806 808 747 748 1995 : 751 682 679 615 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Mississippi : Texas :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1991 : 890 734 726 466 449 430 1992 : 896 713 708 432 484 489 1993 : 697 619 608 505 480 489 1994 : 864 761 760 515 484 486 1995 : 682 607 423 409 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet of row. In November, excludes small bolls. HDR2012000110111109950830Fall Potatoes Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted, Selected States, 1995 Crop 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Percent :: State : Percent :: State : Percent and : of Pl :: and : of Pl :: and : of Pl Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CO : :: Monona : 4.7 :: PA : R Norkotah : 36.2 :: La Soda : 4.4 :: Atlantic : 23.4 R Nugget : 27.0 :: Frito-Lay : 4.3 :: Snowden : 20.6 Centennial R : 20.5 :: Shepody : 3.0 :: Norwis : 10.1 Sangre : 3.8 :: R Norkotah : 2.9 :: Superior : 7.8 Ranger R : 2.8 :: Atlantic : 2.7 :: Norchip : 6.3 : :: Kennebec : 2.3 :: Katahdin : 5.5 ID : :: : :: Monona : 5.4 R Burbank : 83.2 :: NY : :: Somerset : 4.2 Shepody : 10.0 :: Norwis : 16.9 :: Kennebec : 4.2 Ranger R : 2.6 :: Monona : 16.7 :: Kanona : 3.5 R Norkotah : 2.0 :: Superior : 14.6 :: : : :: Atlantic : 10.6 :: WA : ME : :: Yukon Gold : 7.8 :: R Burbank : 61.1 R Burbank : 15.9 :: Snowden : 6.9 :: Shepody : 13.7 Superior : 13.9 :: Castile : 4.0 :: R Norkotah : 11.8 Shepody : 10.7 :: Sunrise : 3.2 :: Ranger R : 6.4 Ontario : 10.3 :: Kanona : 3.1 :: : Frito-Lay : 7.9 :: Frito-Lay : 1.7 :: WI : Atlantic : 7.7 :: Landglade : 1.6 :: R Burbank : 37.0 R Norkotah : 7.3 :: Chieftain : 1.2 :: Snowden : 14.1 Snowden : 4.6 :: Allegany : 1.1 :: R Norkotah : 13.6 Goldrush : 4.5 :: : :: Goldrush : 11.3 Norwis : 2.5 :: ND : :: Norland : 9.8 Katahdin : 2.5 :: R Burbank : 29.7 :: Atlantic : 6.9 Mainestay : 2.4 :: Norchip : 11.0 :: Superior : 4.2 : :: Snowden : 9.4 :: : MI : :: Frito-Lay : 7.5 :: US : Snowden : 38.9 :: Shepody : 7.7 :: R Burbank : 47.6 Atlantic : 13.0 :: Norland : 6.2 :: Shepody : 8.2 Onoway : 12.8 :: Goldrush : 4.6 :: R Norkotah : 7.5 R Burbank : 7.2 :: La Soda : 4.5 :: Snowden : 5.6 R Norkotah : 5.9 :: Monona : 3.5 :: Norland : 2.8 Frito-Lay : 5.7 :: Red Ruby : 2.4 :: Atlantic : 2.5 Superior : 2.6 :: Pontiac : 2.2 :: Goldrush : 2.4 Norland : 2.1 :: ND 2471-8 : 1.5 :: Ranger R : 2.1 Goldrush : 2.0 :: R Norkotah : 1.3 :: Frito-Lay : 2.0 : :: : :: Superior : 1.9 MN : :: OR : :: R Nugget : 1.8 R Burbank : 24.6 :: R Burbank : 41.1 :: Norchip : 1.6 Norland : 19.1 :: Shepody : 27.2 :: Centennial R: 1.4 Norchip : 4.1 :: R Norkotah : 17.2 :: Monona : 1.2 Goldrush : 9.6 :: Ranger R : 3.3 :: La Soda : 0.8 Snowden : 9.3 :: Snowden : 2.5 :: Norwis : 0.8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ NASS conducts potato objective yield surveys in 11 States, accounting for 94 percent of U.S. fall production. All producing areas of each State are sampled in proportion to planted acreage. Variety data shown above are intended to provide information but are not designated as official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board. HDR1012000110121109950830Crop Production Narrative HDR2012000110121109950830Crop Moisture & Drought Severity Narrative Crop Moisture Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season. Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations. Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile, or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months, years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index. Drought Severity Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as evaportranspiration. Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in aquifers, reservoirs, and streams. Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this is indicated by the crop moisture index). HDR2012000110121109950830October Weather Summary October Weather Summary: Except for Hurricane Opal's Florida landfall on October 4 and her subsequent interaction with a low-pressure system crossing the Northern States, the first half of October featured rather tranquil autumn weather. At mid-month, however, the first in a series of storms emerged from the Pacific Northwest and traversed the upper Midwest, drawing cool, dry air southward. As a result, dryness across the central and southern Plains became serious by month's end as storms continued to pass to the north. In contrast, the East saw long-term drought virtually eliminated due to heavy rain from the remnants of Opal and the mid to late- month passage of three moisture-laden cold fronts. In the East, October-record totals reached 11.90 inches (451 percent of normal) in Birmingham, AL and 8.01 inches (278% of normal) in Wilmington, DE. Monthly totals topped 10 inches in Florida at Melbourne and West Palm Beach, in part due to a mid-month inundation that deposited up to 20 inches in 48 hours near the latter location. Wetness was also observed near the prevailing storm track through the Great Lakes States, where October rainfall records were established in Sault Sainte Marie, MI (6.55 inches) and Mansfield, OH (6.45 inches). Farther west, the month's biggest snowstorm unfolded on October 22-23, resulting in totals of 13.7 inches in Lander, WY and 8.6 inches in Huron, SD. As cold air arrived at month's end, additional light snow fell across the North Central States, pushing monthly totals to 10.7 inches in Huron (an October record) and 12.4 inches in Valentine, NE. On October 31, the season's first measurable snow fell on Alpena, MI (0.2 inches), LaCrosse, WI (0.5 inches), and Fargo, ND (1.0 inch). The cold outbreak at month's end reinforced monthly temperatures that averaged 2 to 4 degrees F below normal from the Cascades to the northern Plains, southward into western Oklahoma. On October 31, the coldest air of the season- to-date cloaked winter wheat areas of the Northwest, where lows included 16 degrees F in Spokane, WA and 2 degrees F in Great Falls, MT (with a 2-inch snow cover). In contrast, October-record warmth dotted the Eastern Seaboard, where monthly temperatures averaged 63.1 degrees F in Atlantic City (downtown), NJ and 81.7 degrees F in Miami, FL. Temperatures also averaged above normal in the Southwest, including brief episodes of 100-degree heat. Maxima reached 101 degrees F at the Los Angeles Civic Center on October 2 and 100 degrees F in Phoenix, AZ on October 11 and 12. From California to the middle Mississippi Valley, a common weather element was the infrequency of precipitation. The wet season got off to a slow start in northern California, where Eureka's monthly total of 0.53 inches was 20% of normal. In the Great Basin, monthly totals in Nevada were as low as zero in Reno and a trace in Elko. Equally unimpressive amounts fell on the central and southern Plains, stressing rain-fed winter wheat. October totals in Colorado included a trace in Pueblo and 0.02 inches (2% of normal) in Colorado Springs; and in Kansas were as low as 0.08 inches (6% of normal) in Dodge City, 0.21 inches (7% of normal) in Topeka, and 0.28 inches (13% of normal) in Wichita. Texas hardly fared better, with monthly rainfall of 0.23 inches (7% of normal) in San Antonio, 0.34 inches (20% of normal) in Midland, and 0.45 inches (33% of normal) in Amarillo. HDR2012000110121109950830General Crop Comments General Crop Comments: October started with heavy rains from Hurricane Opal that saturated fields across the Gulf Coast and Southeast, slowing cotton harvest. Hurricane Opal's heavy precipitation and high winds damaged open cotton bolls and lowered cotton condition in some Southeastern States. Rain over the North-Central States slowed harvest activity, but the precipitation provided much-needed moisture for small grains. Clear weather across the Midwest allowed harvest activity to progress rapidly, pushing corn harvested 1 week ahead of schedule. High winds caused some lodging, stalk breakage, and ear droppage in the western Corn Belt. Farmers in the middle Mississippi Valley took advantage of fair weather to continue wheat seeding at a normal pace. Cool, wet weather in the lower Great Plains helped emerged wheat fields develop. In early October, dry conditions across the Corn Belt and above-normal temperatures dried row crops. Ideal fall harvest weather in the Corn Belt allowed row crop harvest activity to proceed ahead of the average. Along the Gulf Coast States, continued heavy rains caused additional damage to the cotton crop and slowed harvest activity. Rain across the Gulf Coast and the Southeast delayed plantings but provided moisture to recently planted wheat fields. The moisture was welcomed along the eastern seaboard for recently planted small grains. Much-needed precipitation was received in the Pacific Northwest and helped small grain emergence. Warm, dry weather in the Central States allowed small grain seeding to advance ahead of normal, while planting was behind the average in the southern Great Plains. By mid-October, suitable weather conditions in the Midwest allowed fall harvest activity to continue ahead of normal. Dry weather in the Midwest allowed small grain planting to advance ahead of schedule by the middle of October. Ideal fall weather pushed the corn harvest in the northern Corn Belt and Great Lakes. In the central Great Plains, high winds damaged unharvested row crops. Dry soil conditions in the middle Mississippi Valley hindered emergence of recently planted wheat. Small grain fields needed moisture to aid emergence, and planting was delayed as producers waited for rain. Heavy rains in Florida damaged some vegetable acres and flooded citrus groves. Later in the month, significant snow and rain in the upper Great Plains delayed row crop harvest activity. Heavy snowfall damaged soybeans and sorghum that remained in the field. The precipitation left fields saturated and halted harvest activity. Cool, rainy weather slowed fieldwork in the Pacific Northwest and the Great Lakes region. Suitable harvest weather allowed farmers in the middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys to make considerable harvest progress. By the end of October, dry soil conditions forced some producers in the Central States to wait for precipitation before seeding wheat. Dry weather in the middle Mississippi Valley allowed planting progress to advance rapidly but hindered small grain emergence. Emerged wheat fields in the central Great Plains were damaged by high winds. Continued dry conditions in the middle and lower Great Plains caused poor germination. Wet field conditions in the Pacific Northwest slowed wheat seeding. The cotton harvest in the Delta neared completion and farmers began gleaning fields. HDR2012000110121109950830Corn for Grain Corn for Grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested is forecast at 64.8 million acres, up slightly from last month but 11 percent below the 1994 acreage. All corn planted is estimated at 71.4 million acres, up fractionally from the August 1 estimate but 10 percent below the 1994 planted acreage. As of October 29, 77 percent of the crop in the 17 major States had been harvested, well ahead of the 62 percent average for the date. The November 1 corn objective yield survey data indicate the highest plant population for the ten objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). The indicated number of ears per acre, if realized, would be the third highest on record. Weight of grain per ear from the survey plots is the 4th lowest on record, exceeding only the drought years of 1983 and 1988 and the flood year of 1993. HDR2012000110121109950830Sorghum for Grain Sorghum for Grain: The final production forecast for 1995 is 464 million bushels; the lowest since 1956. This production level is down 6 percent from October 1 and 29 percent from 1994. Yield declines were the primary reason for the drop. The U.S. yield is forecast at 56.4 bushels per acre, down 2.8 bushels from last month to the lowest average since 1989. All forecasting States lowered yield expectations from last month except Louisiana, New Mexico, and Texas which were unchanged. Grain area is now 8.22 million acres, down 8 percent from last year and down 1 percent from last month. All planted acres are at 9.19 million, the lowest since 1929. HDR2012000110121109950830Rice Rice: Production of all rice is forecast at 174 million cwt., 2 percent below the October 1 forecast and 12 percent below 1994. Louisiana rice yield increased from last month while yields in Arkansas, California, and Mississippi decreased. The U.S. yield is down 75 pounds from last month. Harvested acreage in California was revised up 17,000 acres from October. Missouri increased harvested acreage by 11,000 from last month. Louisiana and Texas both revised harvested acreage down by 20,000 from October. Mississippi decreased harvested acreage 7,000 from last month. Planted and harvested acreage in the six major producing States are estimated at 3.12 and 3.09 million acres, respectively. State changes to planted acres can be found on page A-10. Most rice was harvested by the end of October in all States. HDR2012000110121109950830Fall Potatoes Fall Potatoes: Production of fall potatoes for 1995 is forecast at 402 million cwt, the second largest fall potato crop produced in the United States after last year's record large crop. Comparable percent change (with the addition of the former summer crops from Michigan and Minnesota) places this crop 5 percent below 1994 but 3 percent above 1993. Area harvested, at 1.21 million acres, is down slightly from last year. The average yield is projected at 334 cwt per acre, down 20 cwt from last year but 7 cwt above two years ago. Planting and harvest were late in most States resulting in smaller crops than last year. Total potato production from all four seasons was 445 million cwt in 1995, down 5 percent from last year but 4 percent above 1993. Five Eastern States produced 29.9 million cwt of fall potatoes in 1995, down 3 percent from last year and 10 percent less than two years ago. Area for harvest came in at 128,700 acres, up 2 percent from last year. The average yield of 232 cwt per acre is off 14 cwt. The Maine crop fell 8 percent from a year ago but New York gained 2 percent and Pennsylvania was up 8 percent. Massachusetts gained 13 percent and Rhode Island slipped 2 percent. Hot, dry weather during much of the growing season hurt yields but kept a mild blight situation in check. Harvest is nearly finished, with a few late fields to dig. Central States production is forecast at 97.2 million cwt this year, up slightly from comparable totals a year ago (including summer crops from Minnesota and Michigan) and 22 percent greater than the poor crops of 1993. Harvested area is estimated at 361,300 acres, a gain of 4 percent from last year. The average yield of 269 cwt per acre is 12 cwt below last year and 19 cwt above 1993. Growing weather throughout the summer was favorable for healthy potato development across most of the region. Yields were generally good with Minnesota growers achieving a record high. Harvest brought additional rains causing some fields and parts of fields to go undug. Larger crops were grown this year in Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, and Minnesota. Lower production was shown in North and South Dakota and Nebraska. Ten Western States produced 275 million cwt in 1995, down 8 percent from last year and 1 percent below two years ago. Acreage for harvest, at 716,000 acres, was down 3 percent, while the average yield of 384 cwt per acre dropped 21 cwt from a year ago. Idaho's production of 131 million cwt is the second largest on record, 5 percent below last year. Open fall weather allowed a late crop to go into storage in excellent condition. Production in Washington dropped 9 percent below the last two years as blight hurt yields in the southern Basin. Oregon's production slid 12 percent from last year but remained 5 percent above two years ago. Blight damage cut sharply into production potential of Idaho and Oregon's Treasure Valley. The late season reduced Colorado's potato crop 8 percent from their record high last year. Weather problems in California, Montana, Utah, Wyoming, and New Mexico contributed to smaller crops than a year ago. HDR2012000110121109950830Soybeans Soybeans: Growers plan to harvest 61.7 million acres, down 60,000 acres from the October estimate. Planted acreage is estimated at 62.6 million acres, down 10,000 acres from the previous estimate. State changes to planted acres can be found on page A-9. The November Objective Yield Survey showed the second highest pod count, exceeded only in 1994. Soybean harvest was ahead of 1994 and the average by the end of October. In comparison with the 1991-95 time period, the 1995 number of pods per 18 square feet is the highest in Illinois and Minnesota. In Illinois, the percent of soybeans harvested was ahead of last year and the average. In Minnesota, the percent of soybeans harvested was behind last year and the average. In Arkansas, Indiana, and Iowa the 1995 number of pods is the second highest compared with the 1991-95 period. In all three States the percent harvested was ahead of last year and the average. In Missouri and Nebraska the 1995 number of pods ranks fourth in the 1991-95 period. In both States the percent harvested was ahead of last year and the average. HDR2012000110121109950830Peanuts Peanuts: Production declined slightly from October to 3.50 billion pounds and 18 percent below the 1994 crop. Better than expected yields in Georgia and South Carolina nearly offset reduced crops in New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. Harvested area, at 1.52 million acres, is down 3,000 acres from October 1 and stands 6 percent below 1994. Yields are expected to average 2,301 pounds per acre, 1 pound below last month and 323 pounds below last year. Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.12 billion pounds, up 4 percent from October 1, but 17 percent below the 1994 crop. The yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 2,358 pounds per acre, 93 pounds above last month. Acreage expected for harvest in the region is down 69,000 acres from last year to 898,500. Yields in Georgia and South Carolina proved better than expected as harvest progressed. Across most of the region, early October rains slowed harvest and hurt grades. Skies cleared quickly after Hurricane Opal minimizing losses. Open weather prevailed during the last half of October to put harvest back on track. On October 31, digging and combining was over 90 percent completed in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 541 million pounds, unchanged from last month and 30 percent below last year. Yield per acre, at 2,324 pounds, is 872 pounds below the 1994 exceptional average. Harvest in Virginia neared completion by the end of October while the North Carolina harvest was behind last year and normal at 93 percent dug and 77 percent threshed. The Southwest peanut crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is forecast at 841 million pounds, down 9 percent from last month and 8 percent below last year. Yields are expected to average 2,155 pounds per acre, down 96 pounds from the 1994 average of 2,251. Dry weather in New Mexico allowed harvest to advance quickly, with digging nearly 95 percent complete by the end of the month. Crop yields and quality suffered due mainly to lack of adequate moisture. In Oklahoma, the peanut crop was 68 percent harvested, 8 points ahead of average. Harvest was very active as producers moved quickly to salvage an immature crop before a hard freeze. On October 31, 21 percent of the crop was in poor-to-very-poor condition. Harvest gained momentum in Texas with 45 percent of the acreage dug. Yields and grades are below average in many Central and South Central Texas fields. HDR2012000110121109950830Cotton Cotton: Minor acreage adjustments led to a slight upward revision of upland cotton planted to 16.6 million acres. This level is 23 percent above 1994. Harvested acreage also rose slightly to 15.8 million acres, up 20 percent from last year. American-Pima planted totaled 199,000 acres and harvested amounted to 195,500 acres. Compared with 1994, the area planted increased 18 percent while harvested acres climbed 17 percent. Defoliation and harvest began during the month in West Texas. Harvest neared completion in the Blacklands and Central Texas. Heavy rainfall and below normal temperatures in early October diminished prospects in the Plains and Cross Timbers. Crop condition towards the end of October showed 80 percent of the cotton in fair to good condition. The amount harvested, at 44 percent, was only 3 points ahead of the 5-year average. Objective yield data continue to record the lowest large boll counts and boll weights since 1985. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) rated cotton mostly in fair to good condition in late October. Louisiana cotton is the exception with 54 percent rated as very poor to poor. One-third of the Mississippi acreage and 23 percent in Arkansas was rated very poor to poor. Harvest in all States exceeded the 5-year average. In Louisiana, 98 percent of the crop was harvested at the end of October and Mississippi producers were 94 percent complete. Large boll counts rank ninth in Arkansas, but are the lowest in Louisiana and Mississippi since 1985. Boll weights in all three States rank ninth among the past 10 years. Thirty percent of Arizona's cotton was in good to excellent condition in late October, but harvest was nearly one-fourth behind normal, at 43 percent. In early October, hail, high winds, and heavy rain reduced potential on some Arizona acreage. In California, 65 percent of the crop rated good to excellent, with 20 percent harvested, 40 percent behind normal. Defoliants were applied in the San Joaquin Valley while the Desert harvest approached completion. Objective yield survey data place Arizona large boll counts ninth in the past 10 years and boll weights lowest during the same period. California large boll counts are the lowest since 1985 and boll weights are the ninth lowest since then. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), the crop was mostly in good condition in late October. Alabama reported 48 percent of the crop in very poor to poor condition at the end of the month, a decline of about 15 percent from mid-month. Heavy rain and high winds from Hurricane Opal damaged some Georgia cotton, but the effects were less than expected. Harvest was interrupted due to the storm, but by the end of the month Alabama and Georgia were ahead of their 5-year average pace, at 81 percent and 65 percent harvested, respectively. The Carolina's were about 5 percent behind their harvest average rate, with North Carolina at 50 percent and South Carolina at 49 percent. American-Pima production is forecast at 357,000 bales, down 4 percent from October, but up 6 from 1994 output. Yield averaging about 877 pounds are expected, down 97 pounds from last year. All States except Texas show a decrease in production from the previous month. The largest production decrease is in California, 10,000 bales below October. Yield potential continued to decline. Harvest remained behind normal in California as producers waited for late bolls to open. Some fields will receive a second picking due to slow maturing plants and current price levels. In Texas, harvest is complete in the Winter Garden area and is beginning in the Trans- Pecos area. All cotton ginnings totaled 8,453,900 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 8,877,850 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 7,974,650 running bales in 1993. HDR2012000110121109950830Tobacco Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1995 is forecast at 1.32 billion pounds, down 16 percent from 1994. Harvested acres are expected to be 674,280 acres, up fractionally from last year. Yields for 1995 are estimated to average 1,962 pounds per acre, 396 pounds below the average for 1994. Flue-cured production is expected to total 745 million pounds, up 2 percent from the forecast of a month ago, but 14 percent below a year ago. Higher yields and an increase in forecasted acres for harvest in Florida increased total Flue-cured production. Flue-cured growers plan to harvest 385,200 acres, 7 percent above last year. Flue-cured tobacco accounts for 57 percent of this year's total tobacco acreage. Burley production is expected to total 490 million pounds, 20 percent below the production of 1994. Yield is expected to average 1,989 pounds per acre, 311 pounds below the average for 1994. Burley tobacco growers expect to harvest 246,600 acres, 7 percent below last year's. Kentucky, with 66 percent of the 1995 burley area to be harvested, is 7 percent below a year ago. The tobacco harvest was concluded in the Southeastern region (Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia), slightly ahead of normal. Burley stripping in Kentucky was 26 percent complete at the start of November. The quality of stripped tobacco in Kentucky was mostly good to fair. Delays in transplanting tobacco followed by cool, wet weather during the early summer provided ideal conditions for the spread of disease. A heat wave in mid-summer combined with dry weather slowed the spread of blue mold, but the hot, dry weather lowered condition ratings and depleted soil moisture supplies. Fields affected by diseases suffered severe losses. The crop recovered somewhat from the earlier problems in places but yields varied widely. Harvesting weather was ideal during the end of October in the Ohio Valley and parts of the Southeast. Growers were preparing early harvested tobacco for marketing in the mid-Atlantic States. HDR2012000110121109950830Sugarbeets Sugarbeets: U.S. sugarbeet production is expected to total 28.9 million tons, a decrease of 10 percent from 1994. Area for harvest, at 1.42 million acres, is virtually unchanged from the October "Crop Production" report and down 1 percent from last year. The average yield, at 20.3 tons per acre, is 1.9 tons below last year's yield. A cool, wet spring delayed planting and slowed sugarbeet development. Unusually hot summer weather stressed plants and increased irrigation requirements. Early freezing temperatures in the Great Plains damaged leaves in some sugarbeet fields. Favorable harvest weather over the Western and middle Great Plains States allowed the sugarbeet harvest to advance ahead of normal. Despite some delays from early season snows in the central States, about 90 percent of the beets were lifted by early November. Harvest activity was delayed in the Great Lakes region and northern Great Plains by precipitation. Warm weather in the Ohio Valley was unsuitable for sugarbeet storage and slowed the start of the harvest. Dry weather and root aphid problems in Michigan lowered yield expectations. HDR2012000110121109950830Sugarcane Sugarcane: U.S. sugarcane production for sugar and seed in 1995 is expected to total 30.7 million tons, 1 percent above the October "Crop Report" forecast, but 1 percent below 1994. Area for harvest, at 932,300 acres, was virtually unchanged from last year. The forecasted yield, at 32.9 tons per acre, is 0.1 ton below last year's yield. The Louisiana harvest was making excellent progress and was ahead of normal by the first of November. Florida received significant precipitation during October starting with Hurricane Opal that left Florida's sugarcane region soaked. The start of the sugarcane harvest in Florida was delayed by the wet field conditions. Sugarcane growers in Florida planted when fields were dry but poor stands may require replanting. HDR2012000110121109950830Florida Citrus Florida Citrus: Many parts of the citrus belt were inundated by several very hard rains in October. Hardest hit were the lower east coast, lower interior, and the lower west coast. Trees stood in water for up to a week in many groves before excess moisture could be pumped away. Caretakers also disced and plowed groves to remove excessive moisture. Only isolated cases of increased fruit drop were reported. At this time, fruit drop, splitting, and brown rot are not a widespread problem. Very little spraying and fertilizing could be done due to wet conditions. Packing houses became very active with increased movement of white and colored grapefruit; Navels, Ambersweet, and Hamlin oranges; K-Early fruit; early tangerines; and tangelos. Processing plants received packing house eliminations and some field run Hamlin oranges. Over 1.2 million boxes of early and mid-season oranges were harvested through October. Navel movement stands at about 200 thousand boxes. About 1.9 million boxes of colored grapefruit and almost 850 thousand boxes of white grapefruit were harvested. Nearly 450 thousand boxes of early tangerines were picked to date. Just under 75 thousand boxes of K-Early Citrus were moved by the end of October and tangelo harvest just began as 15 thousand boxes were moved. HDR2012000110121109950830Texas Grapefruit Texas Grapefruit: The 1995-96 Texas grapefruit forecast is 4.70 million boxes (188,000 tons), down 6 percent from last month but up 1 percent from last year. The forecast declined from last month because cool temperatures caused larger than anticipated bloom loss especially on mature trees. New trees most likely will not produce enough fruit to offset the loss from older trees. HDR2012000110121109950830Texas Citrus Texas Citrus: Rain slowed harvest during October but was beneficial to trees. Groves remained in good condition. Early interior quality was good despite irregular shaped fruit in some groves. Grapefruit harvest just began, and about 15 percent of early oranges were picked. HDR2012000110121109950830Hazelnuts Hazelnuts: Production in Oregon and Washington remained at 38,000 tons, 80 percent above last year. This level is 7 percent below the 1993 record high of 41,000 tons. Oregon expects 37,900 tons, an increase of 80 percent from 1994. Washington's production, at 100 tons, is carried forward from August. Although progress was slowed earlier by wet orchards, recent dry weather enabled growers to finish harvesting. At least 90 percent of the harvest is complete. Good nut quality is reported. HDR2012000110121109950830Papayas Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production totaled 3.07 million pounds in October, 12 percent more than September but 39 percent below October 1994. Weather was a mix of light rain and sunshine over major producing areas. Papaya ringspot virus continues to depress yields and production, especially on the island of Hawaii. Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,735 acres in October, down slightly from September but 18 percent more than a year ago. Harvested area, at 2,370 acres, increased 2 percent above last month and 22 percent above last October. HDR2012000110121109950830California Fruits and Nuts California Fruits and Nuts: Maintenance of stone fruit orchards kept caretakers busy with pruning and tree planting the primary activities. Grape harvest continued throughout the month in the San Joaquin Valley. By mid-month, most of the raisin crop was picked up and boxed. Table wine and juice grape harvest continued. Walnut, almond, and pistachio harvests continued, with almond and pistachio harvests nearing completion. Kiwifruit harvest was in full swing throughout the State. Persimmons (both Fuya and Hachiya) and pomegranates were picked in the Sacramento Valley. Olive harvest neared completion in the Sacramento Valley. Granny Smith and Fuji apple harvests continued in the San Joaquin Valley and neared completion in Sonoma County. Medjool dates were harvested in Imperial County. The San Joaquin Valley strawberry harvest continued. HDR2012000110121109950830California Citrus California Citrus: Desert grapefruit picking continued with good quality. Lemon harvest in the Desert remained active with excellent grades. Navel orange picking began in Southern San Joaquin Valley. Old crop Valencia orange harvest slowed down by the end of the month. HDR2012000110121109950830Reliability Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between October 23 and November 2 to gather information on expected yield as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for at least 80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected fields and plots within fields are surveyed each month. The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of pods, ears, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-visited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 19,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about their probable yields. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published November 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The monthly production forecasts will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season followed by end-of-season estimates. At the end of the marketing year, administrative records and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the November 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the 1975-1994 20-year period is computed; then the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain production forecast is 2.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 7.4 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.4 percent or approximately 177 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 4.2 percent or approximately 310 million bushels. Also shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 93 million bushels, ranging from 1 million to 258 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times. This does not imply that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed. Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Root Mean Square Error:: 10-year Record of :----------------------:: Differences Between Forecast : :90% Confidence:: and Final Estimate Crop and : : Level ::------------------------------- Unit :Percent:--------------:: Quantity :No. of Years : : : ::------------------------------- : :Percent: Quant:: : : :Below:Above : : : :: Avg: Min.: Max.:Final:Final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Mil ::----- Mil ----- : :: Feed Grains 1/ Mt: 2.3 4.0 8 :: 3 0 8 6 4 Corn for Grain Bu: 2.4 4.2 310 :: 93 1 258 5 5 Sorghum for Grain Bu: 4.7 8.1 38 :: 24 1 86 5 5 Rice Cwt: 2.8 4.8 8 :: 2 0 12 8 2 Soybeans for : :: Beans Bu: 6.8 4.9 107:: 31 13 66 6 4 Cotton Bales 2/: 3.5 6.0 1,130:: 367 14 824 6 4 Fall Potatoes Cwt : 2.3 4.0 16:: 7 1 16 10 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats, and barley. 2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. HDR2012000110121109950830Index Index Page Table Narrative Citrus Fruit.......................................... A-24 B- 4 Corn Cropping Practices............................... A-28 Corn for Grain........................................ A-11 B- 4 Corn for Grain Row Width.............................. A-29 Cotton................................................ A-19 B- 7 Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts......................... A-32 Cottonseed............................................ A-18 Crop Maps............................................. B- 1 Crop Summary.......................................... A- 3 B- 3 Hazelnuts............................................. A-27 B-10 Papayas............................................... A-27 B-10 Peanuts............................................... A-18 B- 6 Potatoes.............................................. A-15 B- 5 Potatoes, Varieties Grown............................. A-33 Reliability Statement................................. B-11 Rice.................................................. A-14 B- 5 Sorghum for Grain..................................... A-13 B- 5 Soybeans for Beans.................................... A-16 B- 6 Soybeans, Row Spacing................................. A-30 Sugarbeets............................................ A-23 B- 9 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed.......................... A-23 B- 9 Tobacco by Class and Type............................. A-20 Tobacco by States..................................... A-22 B- 8 HDR2012000110121109950830Report Features Report Features The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on December 12, 1995. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843 Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526 Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068 Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats (202) 720-7369 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285 Roger Latham - Cotton, Hay (202) 720-5944 Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202) 720-4215 Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157 Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits, Peanuts (202) 720-7688 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD). To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C., 20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal employment opportunity employer. SUBSCRIBE TODAY!! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are now available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and select: 1. Worldwide Web: http://www.usda.gov/nass/ OR 2. For Gopher/Telenet/FTP access: HOST=usda.mannlib.cornell.edu OR 3. For a subscription direct to your e-mail address, send an e-mail message to: usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu and in the body of the message type the word: lists ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 1-800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call l-703-834-0125 FAX: 1-703-834-0110 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the NASS INFORMATION HOTLINE 1-800-727-9540, 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., or e-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------