HDR1012000110010209960830CROP PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY HDR2012000110010209960830CROP PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS Released February 9, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call at (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. Forecast refer to February 1, 1996. Record Large Orange Crop All orange production, expected to be the largest crop on record, is forecast at 11.9 million tons, equal to the previous forecast but 3 percent above last season. Although this forecast reflects the effects of the cold temperatures on January 8 and 9, it does not reflect effects of freezing weather in Florida after February 1. Florida's forecast is 206 million boxes (9.27 million tons), unchanged from January's forecast but slightly above last season. Early and mid-season varieties are expected to produce a record high 126 million boxes (5.67 million tons), the same as the previous forecast but 5 percent above last year. The Valencia forecast remains at 80.0 million boxes (3.60 million tons), down 7 percent from a year ago. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 1995-96 season is forecast at 1.47 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, the same as January's forecast. Projections for the early and mid-season varieties are 1.44 gallons per box, up from last month's 1.42 gallons per box but equal to last year's yield. The Valencia crop is expected to yield 1.55 gallons per box, unchanged from last month but down from 1.58 gallons per box a year ago. The final 1994-95 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was 1.50 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast projects the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. Cr Pr 2-2 (2-96 HDR2012000110010209960830CROP SUMMARY DOMESTIC & METRIC UNITS Crop Summary: Production, United States, 1995 and Forecasted February 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production - Domestic :-------------------------------------------------------- Crop and Unit : : Jan 1, : Feb 1, : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 : Citrus Fruits 1/ : : Oranges Ton : 11,616 11,918 11,918 Grapefruit " : 2,912 2,763 2,763 :-------------------------------------------------------- : Production - Metric :-------------------------------------------------------- Oranges : 10,537,860 10,811,830 10,811,830 Grapefruit : 2,641,720 2,506,550 2,506,550 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. This report was approved on February 9, 1995, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Karl N. Stauber Rich Allen Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 936.8 937.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994-95 (Domestic Units) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre : Production Crop and Unit :--------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Tons ------- ----- 1,000 Tons ----- : Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 33.0 33.0 30,929 30,944 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 379,110 379,320 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994-95 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Hectare : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 74.01 74.01 28,058,320 28,071,920 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR1012000110110209960830CROP PRODUCTION STATE TABLES HDR2012000110110209960830SUGARCANE: AC HRVD,YLD&PROD BY USE,ST&US Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use, State, and United States, 1994-95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Use : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ and :------------------------------------------------------------------ State : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 Acres --- ----- Tons ---- --- 1,000 Tons -- : For Sugar : FL : 423.0 427.0 33.6 34.0 14,216 14,518 HI 2/ : 64.3 46.0 81.9 90.0 5,266 4,140 LA 2/ : 352.0 368.0 24.4 25.4 8,589 9,347 TX 2/ : 42.4 41.3 31.5 33.4 1,334 1,381 : US : 881.7 882.3 33.4 33.3 29,405 29,386 : For Seed : FL : 21.0 18.0 34.3 34.0 721 612 HI 2/ : 5.0 4.0 19.5 27.5 98 110 LA 2/ : 28.0 32.0 24.4 25.4 683 813 TX 2/ : 1.1 1.0 20.0 23.0 22 23 : US : 55.1 55.0 27.7 28.3 1,524 1,558 : For Sugar : and Seed : FL : 444.0 445.0 33.6 34.0 14,937 15,130 HI 2/ : 69.3 50.0 77.4 85.0 5,364 4,250 LA 2/ : 380.0 400.0 24.4 25.4 9,272 10,160 TX 2/ : 43.5 42.3 31.2 33.2 1,356 1,404 : US : 936.8 937.3 33.0 33.0 30,929 30,944 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. 2/ Current estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. HDR2012000110110209960830CITRUS FRUIT: UTLZD PROD BY CRP,ST&US Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted February 1, 1996 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 700 400 650 26 15 24 CA 4/ : 36,600 35,000 40,000 1,372 1,313 1,500 FL : 107,300 119,700 126,000 4,829 5,387 5,670 TX : 480 950 900 21 40 38 US : 145,080 156,050 167,550 6,248 6,755 7,232 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 1,200 650 800 45 24 30 CA 4/ : 27,000 26,000 28,000 1,013 976 1,050 FL : 67,100 85,700 80,000 3,020 3,857 3,600 TX : 70 105 150 3 4 6 US : 95,370 112,455 108,950 4,081 4,861 4,686 All : AZ 4/ : 1,900 1,050 1,450 71 39 54 CA 4/ : 63,600 61,000 68,000 2,385 2,289 2,550 FL : 174,400 205,400 206,000 7,849 9,244 9,270 TX : 550 1,055 1,050 24 44 44 US : 240,450 268,505 276,500 10,329 11,616 11,918 Temples : FL : 2,250 2,550 2,200 101 114 99 Grapefruit : White Seedless : FL : 24,500 25,700 24,000 1,042 1,092 1,020 Colored Seedless : FL : 25,500 28,700 29,000 1,084 1,220 1,233 Other : FL : 1,050 1,300 1,000 45 55 43 All : AZ 4/ : 1,750 1,400 1,200 59 47 40 CA 4/ 5/ : Desert : 3,400 3,300 114 111 Other Areas : 5,900 6,000 197 201 Total : 9,300 9,300 7,500 311 312 251 FL : 51,050 55,700 54,000 2,171 2,367 2,296 TX : 3,000 4,650 4,400 120 186 176 US : 65,100 71,050 67,100 2,661 2,912 2,763 Tangerines : AZ 4/ : 1,000 650 750 37 25 28 CA 4/ : 2,300 2,200 2,400 86 82 90 FL : 4,100 3,550 4,450 195 168 211 US : 7,400 6,400 7,600 318 275 329 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 5,200 3,600 5,000 197 137 190 CA : 20,700 20,500 22,000 787 779 836 US : 25,900 24,100 27,000 984 916 1,026 Tangelos : FL : 3,350 3,150 2,600 150 142 117 K-Early Citrus : FL : 210 120 160 9 5 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruit Footnotes 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with year harvest is completed. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76, tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5/ California Desert and Other Areas Grapefruit forecasts combined to All Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96. HDR2012000110110209960830PAPAYAS:AREA&FRESH PROD BY MNTH, HI Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------ Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :----------------------------------------: 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --------------- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Dec : 3,790 2,415 3,675 Jan : 3,620 3,765 2,375 2,355 4,005 3,460 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HDR2012000110110209960830CA NUT CRPS: ACG,YLD,PROD,PR&VL BY CRP California Nut Crops: Bearing Acreage, Yield, Production, Price, and Value by Crop, 1993-94 and Revised 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Bearing Acreage : Yield per Acre 1/ Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :----------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- Acres ----------- -- Tons (In-Shell Basis) -- : Walnuts : (English) : 176,000 171,000 170,000 1.48 1.36 1.38 : : : Pounds (Shelled Basis) : Almonds : 402,000 403,000 390,000 1,220 1,820 949 :----------------------------------------------------------------- : Production : Price per Unit :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :----------------------------------------------------------------- : --- Tons (In-Shell Basis) --- ----- Dollars per Ton ----- : Walnuts : (English) 2/ : 260,000 232,000 234,000 1,390 1,000 : : -------- 1,000 Pounds ------- ---- Dollars per Pound --- : (Shelled Basis) : Almonds 3/ : 490,000 735,000 370,000 1.94 1.25 2.50 :----------------------------------------------------------------- : Value of Utilized Production :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Dollars : Walnuts : (English) 2/ : 361,400 232,000 : : Almonds 3/ : 930,618 900,375 888,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield based on utilized production. 2/ Price and value estimates for 1995 will be published on July 8, 1996. 3/ Price and value estimates are based on the edible portion of the crop only. Included in production are inedible quantities of no value as follows: 1993 - 10.3 million pounds, 1994 - 14.7 million pounds, 1995 - 14.8 million pounds. HDR1012000110120209960830CROP PRODUCTION NARRATIVES HDR2012000110120209960830JAN WEATHER SUMMARY NARRATIVE January Weather Summary: Record snowfall buried the Northeast through January 12, setting the stage for major river flooding on January 19-21. A blizzard spun through the Plains on January 17-18, signaling a pattern change that ended a mid-month warm spell, fueled heavy snowfall in the upper Midwest, and rejuvenated northern California's wet season. Arctic air pooled over Alaska and western Canada during January, finally surging into the North-Central States at month's end. Pulses of cold air into the Plains held monthly temperatures below normal as far south as northern Texas. Closer to the cold core, the northern Plains experienced temperatures 5 to 12 degrees F below normal. Meanwhile, warm (temperatures 2 to 5 degrees F above normal), wet (precipitation greater than twice normal) conditions combined to spark very heavy snow from California's Sierra Nevada to Utah's Wasatch Range. The moisture content of the Sierra Nevada snowpack, which stood at only about one-third of normal on January 11, soared to 85 percent (%) of normal by month's end. Elsewhere, heavy snow fell in the northern Plains and upper Midwest after mid-month, while early-month snow in the East yielded to heavy rain thereafter, resulting in monthly totals greater than 8 inches from central Mississippi to southeastern New York. Although more than 90% of the East's snow fell by January 12, all-time monthly records were broken in Harrisburg, PA (38.9 inches) and Providence, RI (37.4 inches). In Iowa, however, 93% of Waterloo's January-record 24.2 inches of snow fell after January 17. Farther west, monthly snowfall totals of 45.7 inches in Elko, NV and 45.0 inches in Salt Lake City, UT were less than a half-foot short of all-time records. The central and southern Plains' dry spell continued through a fourth consecutive month, however, further stressing poorly established winter wheat, as monthly totals were a tenth of an inch or less in locations such as Amarillo, TX (0.07 inches), Oklahoma City, OK (0.08 inches), and Wichita, KS (0.10 inches). In southern Texas, only a trace of rain fell in San Antonio and Del Rio. Extremely dry weather also covered the Southwest, with monthly totals in Arizona as low as 0.19 inches in Flagstaff and 0.01 inches in Tucson. In contrast, totals in the East were more than 4 inches above normal in Birmingham, AL (9.59 inches) and Scranton, PA (6.40 inches). Early-month rainfall in southern Florida ended a 2-month dry spell and boosted monthly totals to 5.42 inches (272% of normal) in Tampa and 5.39 inches (234% of normal) in Orlando. Totals in the West included 14.74 inches (186% of normal) in Eugene, OR and 18.66 inches (150% of normal) at Blue Canyon, CA. The month's two most impressive storms were a pair of blizzards. The first dumped record snowfall from the Ohio Valley into the Middle Atlantic States on January 6-8, including a State-record total of 35 inches in White House Station, NJ. Ten days later, a potent storm swept away a week-long "January thaw" that produced nearly 150 daily-record highs across the Western and Central States. The storm induced blizzard conditions in the North-Central States and buffeted wheat stands in the central and southern Plains with winds up to 66 mph (at Dodge City, KS). Record warmth (almost 50 daily records on January 17-18) overspread the East just long enough to melt nearly all of the deep snowpack, and in combination with up to 4 inches of rain, created one of the region's worst mid-winter floods on record. During the month's final days, cold air began to seep into the North-Central and Northwestern States. In International Falls, MN, lows dipped to -30 degrees F or below on 10 days during the month, including four daily records. Heavy snow, including a monthly total of 21.4 inches in Spokane, WA, insulated winter wheat in the Northwest. Even near sea-level, 10.5 inches fell on Seattle, WA. The snow "drought" continued in much of Alaska, where Anchorage tallied only 2.5 inches and Fairbanks received 5.4 inches. Respective season-to-date totals (through January 31) in those two cities were 31.7 and 34.8 inches below normal. In Juneau, no precipitation fell after January 12, their third- longest dry spell (19 days) on record, while monthly temperatures averaged 8 degrees F below normal, their coldest month since January 1982. In Fairbanks, lows fell to -35 degrees F or lower on 16 days and monthly temperatures averaged 7 degrees F below normal. In contrast, Hawaii's monthly departures ranged from +1 to +4 degrees F. HDR2012000110120209960830SUGARCANE NARRATIVE Sugarcane: The 1995 production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 30.9 million tons. This is unchanged from the last forecast published in the "Crop Production 1995 Summary" released in mid-January and virtually unchanged from last years output. The Florida forecast was evaluated and resulted in no change in production. The forecasts for Hawaii, Louisiana, and Texas were carried forward from the previous forecast. Rain early in the month in Florida's sugarcane growing region left some fields wet but did not slow the harvest. Mostly favorable weather during the month has allowed the harvest to make good progress. By the end of January one-third of Florida's sugarcane remained in the field awaiting harvest. The sugarcane mills anticipate the harvest to be completed in mid-March. Sugarcane planting was winding down and was expected to be completed by the end of February. Low temperatures in early January and later in the month caused light damage to the top leaves, but did not adversely affect expected yields. HDR2012000110120209960830CITRUS NARRATIVES Temples: The February 1 forecast for the 1995-96 Florida temple production was unchanged from January at 2.20 million boxes (99,000 tons), down 14 percent from last season. Harvest of temples increased with about 00 thousand boxes moved by the end of the month. Grapefruit: The February 1 forecast of the 1995-96 U.S. grapefruit crop is 2.76 million tons, unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last season. The forecasts of all three types of Florida grapefruit remained unchanged from January at 54.0 million boxes (2.30 million tons), down 3 percent from last season. Average fruit size was at near record levels and fruit quality remained good. The Florida white seedless grapefruit forecast is 24.0 million boxes (1.02 million tons), a decrease of 7 percent from the 1994-95 crop. The colored seedless forecast is 29.0 million boxes (1.23 million tons), an increase of 1 percent from a year ago. The seedy grapefruit crop is expected to be 1.00 million boxes (43,000 tons), 23 percent fewer than last year. Nearly 20 million boxes of all seedless grapefruit were picked through the end of January. The Texas grapefruit forecast, at 4.40 million boxes (176,000 tons) , is unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last year. The forecast of California's crop is carried forward from January at 7.50 million boxes (251,000 tons), 19 percent below last season. Arizona's forecast is also carried forward from last month and is expected to be 1.20 million boxes (40,000 tons), 14 percent below the 1994-95 crop. Tangerines: The 1995-96 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 329,000 tons, 2 percent more than last month and 20 percent more than last year. The Florida tangerine forecast is 4.45 million boxes (211,000 tons), up 3 percent from January and 25 percent from last year. Over 3.4 million boxes of tangerines were picked. California's tangerine forecast was carried forward from January at 2.40 million boxes (90,000 tons), 9 percent more than last season. The Arizona forecast was also carried forward from last month at 750,000 boxes (28,000 tons), 15 percent more than last season. Tangelos: The 1995-96 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 2.60 million boxes (117,000 tons), down 4 percent from last month and down 17 percent from last year's production. There were nearly 2.4 million boxes of tangelos utilized by month's end. HDR2012000110120209960830FL CITRUS NARRATIVE Florida Citrus: The first two days of January were very wet in contrast to the rest of the month which was very dry. Field reports following the freezing temperatures of January 8 and 9 indicated no significant damage due to icing. Many caretakers used irrigation during the month to maintain good tree condition. Harvesting crews had near ideal weather for picking. Movement of early and mid oranges during January was very active with most of these going to the processors. Harvest of all seedless grapefruit for both fresh and processing continued strong with most of the fresh packing coming from the lower east coast. Early tangerine and tangelo harvest was nearly completed by the end of the month. Movement of Temples was increasing at the end of the month. Utilization of Navels through the end of January totaled 5.1 million boxes. Harvest of early and midseason oranges without Navels was 102.6 million boxes. HDR2012000110120209960830TX CITRUS NARRATIVE Texas Citrus: Harvest continued without delays during January. More grapefruit went to the processors because of irregular shape, mostly sheepnose. Grove care companies remained busy with normal operations. Weather conditions were good during the month, however high irrigation demands will lower availability of water going into spring. HDR2012000110120209960830PAPAYAS NARRATIVE Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.46 million pounds for January. This was 6 percent lower than December and 14 percent lower than a year ago. January weather conditions were variable with a mix of sunshine, record high temperatures, and soaking rains. Papaya ringspot virus remained a serious problem in the major papaya producing area of the state. Orchard conditions ranged from poor to good depending on the severity of the virus. Area in papaya production totaled 3,765 acres. This was 1 percent lower than last month but 4 percent higher than last January. Harvested area, totaling 2,355 acres, was 2 percent lower than December and 1 percent lower than January 1995. HDR2012000110120209960830CA FRTS,NUTS & NUTS NARRATIVES California Fruits and Nuts: Pruning, dormant spraying, and fumigation were active in vineyards and deciduous orchards between storms throughout January. New and replacement trees were planted. Early bud swell in many trees was reported. California Citrus: Grapefruit picking in the desert area was active during January with smooth texture and good quality reported. Defects included sheepnose and wind scar. Lemons were harvested throughout the growing area. Wind scar was a concern to growers but overall quality was good. Navel orange picking gained momentum with approximately one third of the crop picked by February 1. Rind breakdown, scar, puff, crease, and decay were problems. Valencia oranges were maturing well with picking expected to begin in the desert area by late February. Minneola harvest continued with good to excellent quality. HDR2012000110120209960830WALNUTS 95 REV.& ALMONDS NARRATIVES Walnuts, 1995 Revised: The 1995 California walnut production has been revised to 234,000 tons, up 6 percent from January's preliminary estimate and up 1 percent from last year's production of 232,000 tons. Estimates for 1995 price and value will be published on July 8, 1996. Almonds, 1995 Revised: The 1995 California almond production remains unchanged from January's preliminary estimate of 370 million pounds (shelled basis). This level of production is down from last year's record high crop of 735 million pounds. Value of utilized production for 1995 was $888 million, down 1 percent from 1994's value of $900 million. HDR2012000110120209960830RPT FEAT.& EEO STMNT Report Features The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on March 12, 1996. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843 Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526 Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Tobacco, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068 Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285 Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944 Linda McMillan - Nuts, Grapes (202) 720-4215 Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157 Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Barbara Soltes - Noncitrus Fruits (202) 720-7688 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD). To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C., 20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal employment opportunity employer.