HDR1012000110011011960830CROP PRODUCTION HDR2012000110011011960830HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 11, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call at (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. The "Crop Production" U.S. Summary is available on AutoFax, (202) 720-2000, Report 1150. See Page B-20. Index and report features are located at the end of this report. Forecasts refer to October 1, 1996. Corn and Soybean Production Up Corn production is forecast at 9.01 billion bushels, 2 percent above the September 1 forecast and up 22 percent from 1995. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 123.0 bushels per acre, up 2.8 bushels from last month and 9.5 bushels from 1995. Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 73.3 million acres, unchanged from last month. Yield prospects increased in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska. Forecasted yield in Ohio remained unchanged, whereas in Wisconsin, it decreased. Soybean production is forecast at 2.35 billion bushels as of October 1, 3 percent above the September 1 forecast and 8 percent above the revised 1995 production. The yield forecast is 37 bushels per acre, 1.2 bushels above September 1 and up 1.7 bushels from the revised 1995 yield. Yield forecasts increased in most of the major soybean producing states due to favorable growing conditions during September. ******************* See page 15 for revised 1995 soybean acreage, yield, and production. Cr Pr 2-2 (10-96) All cotton production is forecast at 18.2 million bales, up 2 percent from last month and last year. Yield is indicated at 673 pounds per acre, up 136 pounds from 1995. Late August rainfall in Texas resulted in the highest boll count in 10 years, and forecasted production increased 200,000 bales from September. California production increased 150,000 bales from last month, as boll weights were higher than earlier indications. Alabama's crop is up 70,000 bales from September due to beneficial weather during the season and minimal boll loss. All oranges: Production for the 1996-97 season is forecast at a record large 12.4 million tons, up 6 percent from a year ago. This year's crop is 5 percent larger than the previous record of 11.8 million tons set in the 1979-80 season. Florida's production amounts to 220 million boxes (9.90 million tons), 8 percent above last season and 7 percent above two years ago. Florida's all orange production, early varieties, and Valencia crop are each record large crops. Early and mid-season varieties are expected to produce 130 million boxes (5.85 million tons), 7 percent above last year. The Valencia forecast is 90.0 million boxes (4.05 million tons), 10 percent above a year ago. California's all orange production is forecast at 63.0 million boxes (2.36 million tons), 5 percent less than last season. The Navel orange forecast was unchanged from September at 37.0 million boxes (1.39 million tons), down 3 percent from last year's production of 38.0 million boxes. The initial California Valencia forecast is 26.0 million boxes (975,000 tons), 7 percent less than last year. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 1996-97 season is forecast at 1.53 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast projects the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The final 1995-96 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was 1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. Projected yields for 1996-97 early and midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. This report was approved on October 11, 1996, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Eugene Moos Rich Allen Crop Summary: Production, United States, 1996 and Forecasted October 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Utilized Production :---------------------------------------------------- Crop : : Sep 1, : Oct 1, : 1996 : 1996 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Crop Year : 1995-96 1996-97 1996-97 : : 1,000 Tons Citrus Fruits 1/ : Oranges : 11,723 12,380 Grapefruit : 2,718 3,041 Lemons : 992 1,015 Tangerines : 348 415 Temples (FL) : 97 113 Tangelos (FL) : 110 171 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 7 9 : : Metric Tons : Oranges : 10,634,930 11,230,950 Grapefruit : 2,465,730 2,758,750 Lemons : 899,930 920,790 Tangerines : 315,700 376,480 Temples (FL) : 88,000 102,510 Tangelos (FL) : 99,790 155,130 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 6,350 8,160 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Crop year begins with the bloom of the first year and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : Corn : 71,245 79,555 64,995 73,269 Sorghum : 9,454 13,284 8,278 12,004 Rice : 3,121.0 2,935.0 3,093.0 2,909.0 Soybeans 2/ : 62,575 64,315 61,624 63,440 Peanuts 3/ : 1,537.5 1,428.0 1,517.0 1,410.5 Sunflower 2/ : 3,478 2,787 3,368 2,685 All Cotton : 16,931.4 14,243.0 16,006.7 12,979.6 Upland : 16,716.8 13,979.0 15,795.6 12,717.7 Amer-Pima : 214.6 264.0 211.1 261.9 All Hay : 59,779 60,599 Alfalfa : 24,569 24,256 All Other : 35,210 36,343 Dry Edible Beans : 2,069.3 1,818.0 1,899.3 1,705.6 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : 198.0 190.0 194.0 183.0 Austrian Winter : Peas 2/ : 10.9 8.6 7.7 7.3 Lentils 2/ : 159.4 128.0 154.4 126.0 Tobacco : 663.1 737.2 Sugarbeets : 1,444.6 1,384.1 1,417.1 1,334.0 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 932.3 872.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. 2/ 1995 revised. 3/ 1996 planted area in Georgia was reduced 5,000 acres to 533,000. Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 (Domestic Units) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre: Production Crop and Unit :--------------------------------------------------- : : : : Sep 1, : Oct 1, : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1996 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ : Corn for Grain Bu : 113.5 123.0 7,373,876 8,803,928 9,012,148 Sorghum for Grain " : 55.6 66.4 460,373 763,973 796,783 Rice 1/ Cwt : 5,621 6,053 173,871 171,494 176,089 Soybeans for Beans 2/Bu : 35.3 37.0 2,176,814 2,269,505 2,346,220 Peanuts Lb : 2,282 2,421 3,461,475 3,362,650 3,414,975 Sunflower 2/ " : 1,190 1,255 4,009,340 3,368,530 All Cotton 1/ Bale: 537 673 17,899.8 17,900.1 18,189.1 Upland 1/ " : 533 665 17,532.2 17,326.1 17,622.1 Amer-Pima 1/ " : 836 1,039 367.6 574.0 567.0 Cottonseed Ton : 6,848.7 6,846.4 6,965.4 All Hay 3/ " : 2.59 2.51 154,786 148,515 151,840 Alfalfa 3/ " : 3.46 3.33 84,980 80,382 80,747 All Other 3/ " : 1.98 1.96 69,806 68,133 71,093 Dry Edible Beans 1/3/Cwt : 1,634 1,582 31,032 27,512 26,989 Dry Edible Peas 1/2/ " : 2,376 1,247 4,609 2,282 Austrian Winter : Peas 1/2/ " : 1,545 1,411 119 103 Lentils 1/2/ " : 1,389 969 2,145 1,221 All Tobacco Lb : 1,913 2,069 1,268,494 1,580,549 1,525,140 Sugarbeets Ton : 19.8 19.8 28,026 26,399 26,436 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed " : 33.0 31.4 30,796 27,276 27,378 Apples, Comm'l 3/ Lb : 10,736,000 10,733,500 10,608,500 Grapes 3/ Ton : 5,936.3 5,954.0 5,964.0 Pecans Lb : 268,000 244,700 250,700 Hazelnuts 4/ Ton : 39.0 20.0 20.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield in pounds. 2/ 1995 revised. 3/ September 1 estimate carried forward from the August 1 forecast. 4/ September 1 forecast carried forward from the mid-August forecast published in "Hazelnut Production" released August 27, 1996. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1995-96 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 1/ : 1995 : 1996 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 6,336 4,661 2,962 2,687 Barley : 6,689 7,174 6,279 6,787 All Wheat : 69,132 75,639 60,945 62,850 Winter : 48,686 51,983 40,972 39,709 Durum : 3,436 3,620 3,356 3,546 Other Spring : 17,010 20,036 16,617 19,595 Rye : 1,602 1,467 385 347 Flaxseed : 165 112 147 106 Potatoes : Winter 2/ : 13.3 14.5 11.9 14.5 Spring : 88.3 91.9 84.3 89.2 Summer : 72.5 79.9 70.7 76.3 Fall : 1,224.1 1,261.2 1,205.2 1,244.6 Total 2/ : 1,398.2 1,447.5 1,372.1 1,424.6 Sweetpotatoes : 87.4 89.4 83.6 86.2 Hops : 43.2 44.1 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.1 0.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ 1996 revised. Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1995-96 (Domestic Units) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre : Production Crop and Unit :--------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 1/ : 1995 : 1996 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 ------- : Oats Bu : 54.7 57.8 162,027 155,225 Barley " : 57.3 58.5 359,562 396,851 All Wheat " : 35.8 36.3 2,182,591 2,281,763 Winter " : 37.7 37.2 1,544,653 1,478,048 Durum " : 30.5 32.7 102,280 115,840 Other Spring " : 32.2 35.1 535,658 687,875 Rye " : 26.1 26.0 10,064 9,016 Potatoes : Winter 2/ Cwt : 208 226 2,473 3,273 Spring " : 240 238 20,193 21,197 Summer " : 254 250 17,931 19,095 Fall " : 334 403,009 Total " : 323 443,606 Hops Lb : 1,826 1,788 78,852.4 78,884.0 Ginger Root (HI) " : 43,000 47,000 5,800.0 9,400.0 Peaches " : 2,301,300 1,993,400 Pears Ton : 948.3 783.4 Sweet Cherries " : 165.3 133.2 Tart Cherries Lb : 395,600 247,900 Apricots Ton : 58.5 73.3 Olives (CA) " : 77.5 140.0 Dried Prunes (CA) " : 181.0 200.0 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) " : 23.0 19.0 Almonds (CA) Lb : 370,000 530,000 Walnuts (CA) Ton : 234.0 220.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ 1996 revised. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : Corn : 28,832,140 32,195,110 26,302,830 29,651,230 Sorghum : 3,825,940 5,375,900 3,350,020 4,857,900 Rice : 1,263,040 1,187,770 1,251,710 1,177,240 Soybeans 2/ : 25,323,480 26,027,640 24,938,620 25,673,530 Peanuts : 622,210 577,900 613,910 570,820 Sunflower 2/ : 1,407,510 1,127,870 1,363,000 1,086,590 All Cotton : 6,851,970 5,764,000 6,477,750 5,252,710 Upland : 6,765,120 5,657,160 6,392,320 5,146,730 Amer-Pima : 86,850 106,840 85,430 105,990 All Hay : 24,191,960 24,523,810 Alfalfa : 9,942,830 9,816,160 All Other : 14,249,130 14,707,650 Dry Edible Beans : 837,430 735,730 768,630 690,240 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : 80,130 76,890 78,510 74,060 Austrian Winter : Peas 2/ : 4,410 3,480 3,120 2,950 Lentils 2/ : 64,510 51,800 62,480 50,990 Tobacco : 268,350 298,330 Sugarbeets : 584,620 560,130 573,490 539,860 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 377,290 352,890 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, etc. 2/ 1995 revised. Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Yield per Hectare: Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Sep 1, : Oct 1, : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Corn for Grain : 7.12 7.72 187,305,080 223,630,070 228,919,100 Sorghum for Grain : 3.49 4.17 11,694,010 19,405,810 20,239,220 Rice : 6.30 6.78 7,886,660 7,778,840 7,987,260 Soybeans for Beans 1/ : 2.38 2.49 59,243,170 61,765,800 63,853,640 Peanuts : 2.56 2.71 1,570,100 1,525,270 1,549,010 Sunflower 1/ : 1.33 1.41 1,818,610 1,527,940 All Cotton : 0.60 0.75 3,897,230 3,897,280 3,960,210 Upland : 0.60 0.75 3,817,190 3,772,310 3,836,760 Amer-Pima : 0.94 1.16 80,040 124,970 123,450 Cottonseed : 6,213,040 6,210,950 6,318,900 All Hay 2/ : 5.80 5.62 140,419,500 134,730,540 137,746,930 Alfalfa 2/ : 7.75 7.46 77,092,560 72,921,320 73,252,450 All Other 2/ : 4.44 4.39 63,326,940 61,809,220 64,494,480 Dry Edible Beans : 1.83 1.77 1,407,590 1,247,920 1,224,200 Dry Edible Peas 1/ : 2.66 1.40 209,060 103,510 Austrian Winter : Peas 1/ : 1.73 1.58 5,400 4,670 Lentils 1/ : 1.56 1.09 97,300 55,380 All Tobacco : 2.14 2.32 575,380 716,930 691,790 Sugarbeets : 44.33 44.42 25,424,760 23,948,770 23,982,340 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 74.05 70.38 27,937,660 24,744,370 24,836,900 Apples, Comm'l 2/ : 4,869,770 4,868,630 4,811,930 Grapes 2/ : 5,385,320 5,401,380 5,410,450 Pecans : 121,560 110,990 113,720 Hazelnuts 3/ : 35,380 18,140 18,140 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 revised. 2/ September 1 estimate carried forward from the August 1 forecast. 3/ September 1 forecast carried forward from the mid-August forecast published in "Hazelnut Production" released August 27, 1996. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1995-96 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 1/ : 1995 : 1996 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : Oats : 2,564,120 1,886,260 1,198,690 1,087,400 Barley : 2,706,970 2,903,250 2,541,050 2,746,630 All Wheat : 27,977,030 30,610,350 24,663,830 25,434,770 Winter : 19,702,740 21,037,000 16,580,960 16,069,840 Durum : 1,390,510 1,464,980 1,358,140 1,435,030 Other Spring : 6,883,780 8,108,370 6,724,730 7,929,900 Rye : 648,310 593,680 155,810 140,430 Flaxseed : 66,770 45,330 59,490 42,900 Potatoes : Winter 2/ : 5,380 5,870 4,820 5,870 Spring : 35,730 37,190 34,120 36,100 Summer : 29,340 32,330 28,610 30,880 Fall : 495,380 510,400 487,730 503,680 Total 2/ : 565,840 585,790 555,280 576,520 Sweetpotatoes : 35,370 36,180 33,830 34,880 Hops : 17,480 17,860 Ginger Root (HI) : 50 80 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ 1996 revised. Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1995-96 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Hectare : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 1/ : 1995 : 1996 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Oats : 1.96 2.07 2,351,820 2,253,080 Barley : 3.08 3.15 7,828,540 8,640,410 All Wheat : 2.41 2.44 59,400,400 62,099,410 Winter : 2.54 2.50 42,038,570 40,225,870 Durum : 2.05 2.20 2,783,610 3,152,650 Other Spring : 2.17 2.36 14,578,220 18,720,890 Rye : 1.64 255,640 Potatoes : Winter 2/ : 23.27 25.29 112,170 148,460 Spring : 26.84 26.63 915,940 961,480 Summer : 28.43 28.05 813,340 866,130 Fall : 37.48 18,280,180 Total : 36.24 20,121,630 Hops : 2.05 2.00 35,770 35,780 Ginger Root (HI) : 52.60 53.25 2,630 4,260 Peaches : 1,043,850 904,190 Pears : 860,240 710,690 Sweet Cherries : 149,910 120,840 Tart Cherries : 179,440 112,450 Apricots : 53,070 66,500 Olives (CA) : 70,310 127,010 Dried Prunes (CA) : 164,200 181,440 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) : 20,870 17,240 Almonds (CA) : 167,830 240,400 Walnuts (CA) : 212,280 199,580 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ 1996 revised. Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1996 : : : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 :-------------------: 1995 : 1996 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------ Bushels ------ --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 220 270 75.0 80.0 80.0 16,500 21,600 AZ 1/ : 22 35 170.0 175.0 175.0 3,740 6,125 AR 1/ : 85 190 115.0 95.0 95.0 9,775 18,050 CA : 150 220 160.0 175.0 170.0 24,000 37,400 CO : 830 940 111.0 140.0 140.0 92,130 131,600 CT 2/ : DE : 139 150 105.0 125.0 130.0 14,595 19,500 FL 1/ : 60 100 90.0 80.0 80.0 5,400 8,000 GA : 350 540 90.0 90.0 97.0 31,500 52,380 ID 1/ : 35 40 140.0 125.0 125.0 4,900 5,000 IL : 10,000 10,800 113.0 129.0 135.0 1,130,000 1,458,000 IN : 5,300 5,450 113.0 118.0 120.0 598,900 654,000 IA : 11,400 12,400 123.0 131.0 135.0 1,402,200 1,674,000 KS : 1,970 2,350 124.0 145.0 145.0 244,280 340,750 KY : 1,140 1,200 108.0 122.0 122.0 123,120 146,400 LA 1/ : 221 535 105.0 110.0 110.0 23,205 58,850 ME 2/ : MD : 400 465 105.0 120.0 126.0 42,000 58,590 MA 2/ : MI : 2,170 2,350 115.0 94.0 94.0 249,550 220,900 MN : 6,150 7,000 119.0 115.0 117.0 731,850 819,000 MS 1/ : 275 610 95.0 93.0 93.0 26,125 56,730 MO : 1,470 2,600 102.0 122.0 128.0 149,940 332,800 MT 1/ : 16 20 120.0 130.0 130.0 1,920 2,600 NE : 7,700 8,250 111.0 139.0 143.0 854,700 1,179,750 NH 2/ : NJ 1/ : 78 94 93.0 107.0 107.0 7,254 10,058 NM 1/ : 73 80 160.0 165.0 165.0 11,680 13,200 NY : 610 700 105.0 111.0 111.0 64,050 77,700 NC : 700 930 107.0 96.0 88.0 74,900 81,840 ND : 510 700 79.0 80.0 84.0 40,290 58,800 OH : 3,100 2,750 121.0 108.0 108.0 375,100 297,000 OK 1/ : 130 180 125.0 105.0 105.0 16,250 18,900 OR 1/ : 21 28 160.0 180.0 180.0 3,360 5,040 PA : 980 1,050 96.0 123.0 123.0 94,080 129,150 RI 2/ : SC : 265 380 91.0 75.0 75.0 24,115 28,500 SD : 2,450 3,650 79.0 84.0 90.0 193,550 328,500 TN : 540 680 118.0 110.0 113.0 63,720 76,840 TX : 1,900 1,800 114.0 95.0 95.0 216,600 171,000 UT 1/ : 20 22 100.0 135.0 135.0 2,000 2,970 VT 2/ : VA : 275 300 111.0 120.0 124.0 30,525 37,200 WA 1/ : 102 115 190.0 180.0 180.0 19,380 20,700 WV 1/ : 40 40 100.0 100.0 100.0 4,000 4,000 WI : 3,050 3,200 114.0 109.0 107.0 347,700 342,400 WY 1/ : 48 55 104.0 115.0 115.0 4,992 6,325 : US : 64,995 73,269 113.5 120.2 123.0 7,373,876 9,012,148 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Not estimated. Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1996 : : : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 :-------------------: 1995 : 1996 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL 1/ : 8 10 40.0 45.0 45.0 320 450 AR : 185 215 71.0 76.0 74.0 13,135 15,910 CO : 165 220 28.0 36.0 38.0 4,620 8,360 GA 1/ : 30 40 37.0 40.0 40.0 1,110 1,600 IL : 170 230 69.0 74.0 74.0 11,730 17,020 KS : 3,100 4,600 56.0 72.0 76.0 173,600 349,600 KY 1/ : 22 19 84.0 92.0 92.0 1,848 1,748 LA : 84 155 70.0 75.0 78.0 5,880 12,090 MS : 41 72 65.0 68.0 68.0 2,665 4,896 MO : 490 650 73.0 94.0 92.0 35,770 59,800 NE : 980 1,000 58.0 85.0 90.0 56,840 90,000 NM : 130 225 26.0 35.0 38.0 3,380 8,550 NC 1/ : 10 10 65.0 53.0 53.0 650 530 OK : 320 480 40.0 50.0 52.0 12,800 24,960 SC 1/ : 8 5 40.0 45.0 45.0 320 225 SD : 120 160 40.0 50.0 55.0 4,800 8,800 TN 1/ : 15 13 87.0 88.0 88.0 1,305 1,144 TX : 2,400 3,900 54.0 47.0 49.0 129,600 191,100 : US : 8,278 12,004 55.6 63.6 66.4 460,373 796,783 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1996 : : : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 :-------------------: 1995 : 1996 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ------- Pounds ------- --- 1,000 Cwt --- : AR : 1,340 1,240 5,450 5,600 5,900 73,020 73,160 CA : 465 518 7,600 7,900 7,800 35,352 40,404 LA : 570 530 4,600 5,000 4,950 26,209 26,235 MS : 288 218 5,400 5,800 5,900 15,552 12,862 MO 1/ : 112 105 5,300 5,000 5,000 5,936 5,250 TX : 318 298 5,600 6,100 6,100 17,802 18,178 : US : 3,093 2,909 5,621 5,957 6,053 173,871 176,089 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1994 : 133,445 63,390 944 197,779 1995 : 121,730 51,241 900 173,871 1996 1/ : 115,844 59,043 1,202 176,089 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated October 1, 1996 rice class estimates are based on a five-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1996 : : : 1995 1/: 1996 : 1995 1/ :-------------------: 1995 1/ : 1996 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 225 315 24.0 28.0 29.0 5,400 9,135 AR : 3,400 3,600 26.0 30.0 32.0 88,400 115,200 DE : 233 215 20.0 30.0 32.0 4,660 6,880 FL 2/ : 28 33 26.0 30.0 30.0 728 990 GA : 310 390 27.0 26.0 26.0 8,370 10,140 IL : 9,700 9,850 39.0 37.0 39.0 378,300 384,150 IN : 4,980 5,360 39.5 35.0 38.0 196,710 203,680 IA : 9,260 9,450 44.0 44.0 44.0 407,440 415,800 KS : 2,050 2,000 25.0 34.0 34.0 51,250 68,000 KY : 1,150 1,180 36.0 36.0 37.0 41,400 43,660 LA : 1,040 1,050 25.0 31.0 33.0 26,000 34,650 MD : 510 480 23.0 33.0 33.0 11,730 15,840 MI : 1,490 1,640 40.0 32.0 32.0 59,600 52,480 MN : 5,800 5,900 40.5 36.0 37.0 234,900 218,300 MS : 1,800 1,750 21.0 27.0 29.0 37,800 50,750 MO : 4,500 4,050 29.5 35.0 36.0 132,750 145,800 NE : 3,060 3,010 33.0 44.0 45.0 100,980 135,450 NJ 2/ : 138 127 22.0 35.0 35.0 3,036 4,445 NC : 1,070 1,200 25.0 31.0 29.0 26,750 34,800 ND : 640 820 29.0 30.0 29.0 18,560 23,780 OH : 4,030 4,490 38.0 32.0 34.0 153,140 152,660 OK 2/ : 275 285 20.0 24.0 24.0 5,500 6,840 PA 2/ : 315 285 30.0 44.0 44.0 9,450 12,540 SC : 530 540 24.0 26.0 26.0 12,720 14,040 SD : 2,500 2,650 30.0 32.0 34.0 75,000 90,100 TN : 1,080 1,150 32.0 32.0 35.0 34,560 40,250 TX : 240 270 25.0 29.0 29.0 6,000 7,830 VA : 470 480 24.0 32.0 33.0 11,280 15,840 WI : 800 870 43.0 39.0 37.0 34,400 32,190 : US : 61,624 63,440 35.3 35.8 37.0 2,176,814 2,346,220 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Soybeans: Area Planted by State and United States, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : :: : State : Area Planted :: State : Area Planted : :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : AL : 240 :: MO : 4,600 AR : 3,450 :: NE : 3,100 DE : 235 :: NJ : 140 FL : 30 :: NC : 1,150 GA : 320 :: ND : 660 IL : 9,750 :: OH : 4,050 IN : 5,000 :: OK : 290 IA : 9,300 :: PA : 320 KS : 2,100 :: SC : 550 KY : 1,170 :: SD : 2,550 LA : 1,070 :: TN : 1,130 MD : 550 :: TX : 250 MI : 1,500 :: VA : 490 MN : 5,900 :: WI : 830 MS : 1,850 :: : : :: US : 62,575 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sunflower: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Type, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal: Area Harvested : Yield : Production Type & :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 1/ : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 1/ : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : Oil : CO : 62 43 820 69,000 50,840 KS : 215 206 970 266,000 208,550 MN : 355 95 1,050 487,500 372,750 NE : 41 19 960 46,200 39,360 ND : 1,210 970 1,250 1,899,500 1,512,500 SD : 873 731 1,300 1,388,800 1,134,900 TX : 18 20 1,000 22,000 18,000 : Oth : 55 46 1,119 44,655 61,545 Sts : : US 2/ : 2,829 2,130 1,201 4,223,655 3,398,445 : Non-oil : CO : 48 52 1,090 27,300 52,320 KS : 75 54 990 64,800 74,250 MN : 78 49 1,060 112,500 82,680 NE : 44 28 970 27,000 42,680 ND : 190 290 1,230 303,750 233,700 SD : 67 39 1,340 38,400 89,780 TX : 22 25 820 14,300 18,040 : Oth : 15 18 1,163 24,480 17,445 Sts : : US 2/ : 539 555 1,133 612,530 610,895 : All : CO : 110 95 938 1,000 96,300 103,160 95,000 KS : 290 260 975 1,300 330,800 282,800 338,000 MN : 433 144 1,052 1,400 600,000 455,430 201,600 NE : 85 47 965 1,150 73,200 82,040 54,050 ND : 1,400 1,260 1,247 1,220 2,203,250 1,746,200 1,537,200 SD : 940 770 1,303 1,320 1,427,200 1,224,680 1,016,400 TX : 40 45 901 1,000 36,300 36,040 45,000 : Oth : Sts : 70 64 1,128 1,270 69,135 78,990 81,280 : US 2/ : 3,368 2,685 1,190 1,255 4,836,185 4,009,340 3,368,530 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Estimates include all States except AK and HI. Sunflower: Area Planted, by Varietal Type, State, and United States, 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Varietal Type State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Oil : Non-Oil : All -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CO : 65 50 115 KS : 220 80 300 MN : 360 80 440 NE : 44 46 90 ND : 1,250 200 1,450 SD : 890 70 960 TX : 21 23 44 : Oth Sts : 61 18 79 : US : 2,911 567 3,478 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1996 : : : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 :-------------------: 1995 : 1996 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 212.0 209.0 2,280 2,100 2,300 483,360 480,700 FL : 81.0 78.0 2,390 2,400 2,400 193,590 187,200 GA 2/ : 592.0 533.0 2,390 2,550 2,550 1,414,880 1,359,150 NM : 20.0 19.5 2,150 2,400 2,450 43,000 47,775 NC : 144.0 126.0 2,410 2,700 2,600 347,040 327,600 OK : 98.0 84.0 2,060 2,400 2,500 201,880 210,000 SC : 11.0 10.0 2,800 2,600 2,600 30,800 26,000 TX : 270.0 275.0 2,000 2,000 2,050 540,000 563,750 VA : 89.0 76.0 2,325 2,800 2,800 206,925 212,800 : US 2/ : 1,517.0 1,410.5 2,282 2,384 2,421 3,461,475 3,414,975 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. 2/ 1996 planted area in Georgia was reduced 5,000 acres to 533,000. The planted area in the United States is 1,428,000 acres. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :-------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1996 : : : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 :------------------: 1995 : 1996 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds --- ------ 1,000 Bales 2/ ------ : Upland : AL : 578.0 556.0 409 639 699 492.0 810.0 AZ : 364.0 324.0 1,046 1,200 1,170 793.0 790.0 AR : 1,110.0 990.0 635 742 742 1,468.0 1,530.0 CA : 1,165.0 995.0 953 1,134 1,206 2,312.0 2,500.0 FL 3/ : 109.0 100.0 472 672 672 107.2 140.0 GA : 1,490.0 1,375.0 625 698 698 1,941.0 2,000.0 KS 3/ : 2.6 1.7 185 311 311 1.0 1.1 LA : 1,075.0 940.0 614 705 684 1,375.0 1,340.0 MS : 1,420.0 1,030.0 622 764 778 1,841.0 1,670.0 MO : 453.0 405.0 544 699 723 513.0 610.0 NM : 56.0 54.0 609 667 720 71.0 81.0 NC : 800.0 720.0 479 679 633 798.0 950.0 OK : 315.0 240.0 187 340 300 123.0 150.0 SC : 342.0 265.0 528 743 725 376.0 400.0 TN : 660.0 520.0 527 600 600 724.0 650.0 TX : 5,750.0 4,100.0 372 427 451 4,460.0 3,850.0 VA 3/ : 106.0 102.0 620 706 706 137.0 150.0 : US : 15,795.6 12,717.7 533 653 665 17,532.2 17,622.1 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 48.1 39.9 720 818 818 72.2 68.0 CA : 115.0 165.0 937 1,207 1,193 224.5 410.0 NM : 15.0 17.0 605 678 734 18.9 26.0 TX : 33.0 40.0 756 804 756 52.0 63.0 : US : 211.1 261.9 836 1,052 1,039 367.6 567.0 : All : AL : 578.0 556.0 409 639 699 492.0 810.0 AZ : 412.1 363.9 1,008 1,158 1,132 865.2 858.0 AR : 1,110.0 990.0 635 742 742 1,468.0 1,530.0 CA : 1,280.0 1,160.0 951 1,144 1,204 2,536.5 2,910.0 FL 3/ : 109.0 100.0 472 672 672 107.2 140.0 GA : 1,490.0 1,375.0 625 698 698 1,941.0 2,000.0 KS 3/ : 2.6 1.7 185 311 311 1.0 1.1 LA : 1,075.0 940.0 614 705 684 1,375.0 1,340.0 MS : 1,420.0 1,030.0 622 764 778 1,841.0 1,670.0 MO : 453.0 405.0 544 699 723 513.0 610.0 NM : 71.0 71.0 608 669 723 89.9 107.0 NC : 800.0 720.0 479 679 633 798.0 950.0 OK : 315.0 240.0 187 340 300 123.0 150.0 SC : 342.0 265.0 528 743 725 376.0 400.0 TN : 660.0 520.0 527 600 600 724.0 650.0 TX : 5,783.0 4,140.0 375 431 454 4,512.0 3,913.0 VA 3/ : 106.0 102.0 620 706 706 137.0 150.0 : US : 16,006.7 12,979.6 537 661 673 17,899.8 18,189.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb net weight bales. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Tons : US : 7,603.9 6,848.7 6,965.4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. All Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 720 730 2.10 2.30 1,971 1,512 1,679 AZ : 195 195 7.14 7.59 1,326 1,392 1,480 AR : 1,050 1,150 1.92 2.31 2,505 2,011 2,651 CA : 1,600 1,640 5.63 5.77 8,210 9,000 9,468 CO : 1,360 1,380 2.93 2.91 4,060 3,978 4,014 CT : 73 87 1.95 2.02 191 142 176 DE : 11 15 2.82 4.27 61 31 64 FL : 230 250 2.50 2.70 744 575 675 GA : 600 600 2.50 2.80 1,950 1,500 1,680 ID : 1,400 1,280 3.63 3.48 4,438 5,080 4,448 IL : 1,050 1,000 3.43 3.11 3,175 3,598 3,105 IN : 720 675 3.33 3.00 2,110 2,400 2,025 IA : 1,700 1,550 3.33 3.41 5,775 5,665 5,280 KS : 2,600 2,700 2.52 2.66 5,925 6,555 7,170 KY : 2,400 2,350 2.41 2.35 5,400 5,790 5,530 LA : 310 310 2.40 2.70 812 744 837 ME : 225 198 1.86 1.51 405 419 298 MD : 205 220 2.69 3.55 668 552 780 MA : 100 102 1.92 2.09 213 192 213 MI : 1,350 1,300 3.72 3.22 4,865 5,025 4,190 MN : 2,275 2,225 3.05 2.73 7,530 6,943 6,073 MS : 725 800 2.30 2.50 1,875 1,668 2,000 MO : 3,300 3,680 2.07 1.94 6,770 6,818 7,128 MT : 2,400 2,550 2.23 2.00 4,540 5,360 5,100 NE : 3,150 3,300 2.21 2.28 7,415 6,975 7,510 NV : 490 490 3.07 3.22 1,400 1,505 1,578 NH : 68 74 2.01 2.04 163 137 151 NJ : 130 120 2.19 2.38 273 285 285 NM : 350 330 4.33 4.47 1,447 1,515 1,476 NY : 1,600 1,550 2.16 2.31 3,961 3,448 3,583 NC : 530 540 2.43 2.26 1,187 1,286 1,223 ND : 2,700 2,400 1.89 1.53 4,510 5,095 3,660 OH : 1,250 1,150 3.23 3.00 4,384 4,035 3,455 OK : 2,200 2,500 1.90 1.94 4,198 4,174 4,840 OR : 1,100 1,070 3.00 3.09 2,840 3,300 3,305 PA : 1,910 1,900 2.31 2.41 4,528 4,409 4,570 RI : 7 8 2.00 2.00 18 14 16 SC : 300 280 2.40 2.30 650 720 644 SD : 4,300 4,500 2.10 1.93 7,330 9,050 8,700 TN : 1,750 1,795 2.24 2.03 3,795 3,920 3,635 TX : 3,760 4,150 2.16 2.08 8,455 8,136 8,615 UT : 695 705 3.80 3.72 2,525 2,644 2,625 VT : 300 330 1.86 1.99 648 559 656 VA : 1,250 1,250 2.06 2.41 2,342 2,571 3,018 WA : 760 780 4.31 3.91 2,785 3,278 3,046 WV : 560 570 1.89 1.99 1,110 1,056 1,135 WI : 2,700 2,600 2.53 2.22 6,550 6,820 5,780 WY : 1,320 1,220 2.20 1.86 2,027 2,904 2,270 : US : 59,779 60,599 2.59 2.51 150,060 154,786 151,840 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AZ : 165 175 7.80 8.00 1,200 1,287 1,400 AR 1/ : 25 25 2.50 2.50 85 63 63 CA : 1,000 1,060 6.90 7.40 6,650 6,900 7,844 CO : 850 860 3.60 3.70 3,276 3,060 3,182 CT 1/ : 15 17 2.10 2.10 70 32 36 DE 1/ : 4 7 3.75 4.80 26 15 34 ID : 1,100 1,000 4.10 4.00 3,978 4,510 4,000 IL : 620 670 4.00 3.60 2,275 2,480 2,412 IN : 320 375 4.00 3.40 1,330 1,280 1,275 IA : 1,350 1,200 3.60 3.70 4,625 4,860 4,440 KS : 850 850 3.80 4.30 3,120 3,230 3,655 KY : 300 300 3.90 3.40 1,110 1,170 1,020 ME 1/ : 15 13 2.00 1.50 35 30 20 MD 1/ : 55 60 4.30 5.00 276 237 300 MA 1/ : 20 17 2.40 2.50 65 48 43 MI : 1,050 1,000 4.10 3.50 4,095 4,305 3,500 MN : 1,425 1,475 3.50 3.10 5,920 4,988 4,573 MO : 450 480 2.80 2.85 1,260 1,260 1,368 MT : 1,600 1,700 2.50 2.20 3,565 4,000 3,740 NE : 1,350 1,400 3.50 3.60 5,040 4,725 5,040 NV : 240 240 4.50 4.70 1,032 1,080 1,128 NH 1/ : 13 14 2.10 2.20 40 27 31 NJ 1/ : 30 30 3.50 3.50 111 105 105 NM : 250 255 5.30 5.20 1,300 1,325 1,326 NY : 650 690 2.60 2.70 1,829 1,690 1,863 NC 1/ : 20 15 3.10 2.80 60 62 42 ND : 1,400 1,300 2.20 1.80 2,755 3,080 2,340 OH : 700 700 3.80 3.20 2,772 2,660 2,240 OK : 380 400 3.80 3.70 1,190 1,444 1,480 OR : 450 460 4.30 4.40 1,640 1,935 2,024 PA : 780 770 2.90 3.00 2,400 2,262 2,310 RI 1/ : 2 3 2.00 2.00 5 4 6 SD : 2,600 2,500 2.50 2.20 5,250 6,500 5,500 TN 1/ : 50 45 3.60 3.00 165 180 135 TX : 160 150 3.60 4.10 405 576 615 UT : 545 545 4.30 4.20 2,205 2,344 2,289 VT 1/ : 95 95 2.10 2.20 220 200 209 VA 1/ : 140 130 3.30 3.40 434 462 442 WA : 500 470 5.10 4.70 2,209 2,550 2,209 WV 1/ : 40 40 3.00 3.20 160 120 128 WI : 2,300 2,100 2.60 2.30 5,750 5,980 4,830 WY : 660 620 2.90 2.50 1,403 1,914 1,550 : US : 24,569 24,256 3.46 3.33 81,336 84,980 80,747 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AL 1/ : 720 730 2.10 2.30 1,971 1,512 1,679 AZ 2/ : 30 20 3.50 4.00 126 105 80 AR : 1,025 1,125 1.90 2.30 2,420 1,948 2,588 CA : 600 580 3.50 2.80 1,560 2,100 1,624 CO : 510 520 1.80 1.60 784 918 832 CT 2/ : 58 70 1.90 2.00 121 110 140 DE 2/ : 7 8 2.30 3.80 35 16 30 FL 1/ : 230 250 2.50 2.70 744 575 675 GA 1/ : 600 600 2.50 2.80 1,950 1,500 1,680 ID : 300 280 1.90 1.60 460 570 448 IL : 430 330 2.60 2.10 900 1,118 693 IN : 400 300 2.80 2.50 780 1,120 750 IA : 350 350 2.30 2.40 1,150 805 840 KS : 1,750 1,850 1.90 1.90 2,805 3,325 3,515 KY : 2,100 2,050 2.20 2.20 4,290 4,620 4,510 LA 1/ : 310 310 2.40 2.70 812 744 837 ME 2/ : 210 185 1.85 1.50 370 389 278 MD 2/ : 150 160 2.10 3.00 392 315 480 MA 2/ : 80 85 1.80 2.00 148 144 170 MI : 300 300 2.40 2.30 770 720 690 MN : 850 750 2.30 2.00 1,610 1,955 1,500 MS 1/ : 725 800 2.30 2.50 1,875 1,668 2,000 MO : 2,850 3,200 1.95 1.80 5,510 5,558 5,760 MT : 800 850 1.70 1.60 975 1,360 1,360 NE : 1,800 1,900 1.25 1.30 2,375 2,250 2,470 NV 2/ : 250 250 1.70 1.80 368 425 450 NH 2/ : 55 60 2.00 2.00 123 110 120 NJ 2/ : 100 90 1.80 2.00 162 180 180 NM 2/ : 100 75 1.90 2.00 147 190 150 NY : 950 860 1.85 2.00 2,132 1,758 1,720 NC : 510 525 2.40 2.25 1,127 1,224 1,181 ND : 1,300 1,100 1.55 1.20 1,755 2,015 1,320 OH : 550 450 2.50 2.70 1,612 1,375 1,215 OK : 1,820 2,100 1.50 1.60 3,008 2,730 3,360 OR : 650 610 2.10 2.10 1,200 1,365 1,281 PA : 1,130 1,130 1.90 2.00 2,128 2,147 2,260 RI 2/ : 5 5 2.00 1.90 13 10 10 SC 1/ : 300 280 2.40 2.30 650 720 644 SD : 1,700 2,000 1.50 1.60 2,080 2,550 3,200 TN : 1,700 1,750 2.20 2.00 3,630 3,740 3,500 TX : 3,600 4,000 2.10 2.00 8,050 7,560 8,000 UT 2/ : 150 160 2.00 2.10 320 300 336 VT 2/ : 205 235 1.75 1.90 428 359 447 VA : 1,110 1,120 1.90 2.30 1,908 2,109 2,576 WA : 260 310 2.80 2.70 576 728 837 WV : 520 530 1.80 1.90 950 936 1,007 WI : 400 500 2.10 1.90 800 840 950 WY : 660 600 1.50 1.20 624 990 720 : US : 35,210 36,343 1.98 1.96 68,724 69,806 71,093 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes alfalfa hay. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : - 1,000 Acres - --- Pounds -- ------- 1,000 Cwt ------ : CA : 137.0 130.0 2,160 2,100 2,771 2,960 2,730 CO : 165.0 135.0 1,550 1,600 3,140 2,558 2,160 ID : 108.0 93.0 2,000 2,100 2,691 2,160 1,953 KS : 31.0 26.0 1,550 1,500 560 481 390 MI : 385.0 310.0 1,800 1,400 4,680 6,930 4,340 MN : 150.0 120.0 1,370 1,500 2,079 2,055 1,800 MT 2/ : 10.8 10.3 1,900 2,200 220 205 227 NE : 205.0 190.0 1,750 1,850 3,572 3,588 3,515 NM 2/ : 12.5 12.0 2,010 2,000 283 251 240 NY : 33.0 29.5 1,630 1,600 585 538 472 ND : 540.0 550.0 1,330 1,300 6,110 7,182 7,150 OR 2/ : 10.0 10.1 2,080 1,980 197 208 200 TX : 23.0 10.0 980 900 218 225 90 UT 2/ : 7.0 0.6 460 600 24 32 4 WA : 41.0 36.0 2,200 2,250 840 902 810 WI 2/ : 9.0 8.1 1,300 1,700 237 117 138 WY : 32.0 35.0 2,000 2,200 821 640 770 : US : 1,899.3 1,705.6 1,634 1,582 29,028 31,032 26,989 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Estimates carried forward from earlier forecast. Lentils: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production, by State and United States, 1994-96 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : ID : 71.0 56.0 70.0 55.0 WA : 79.0 63.0 75.0 62.0 : Oth Sts 2/ : 9.4 9.0 9.4 9.0 : US : 159.4 128.0 154.4 126.0 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Pounds -------- -------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : ID : 1,450 800 935 1,015 440 WA : 1,400 1,100 921 1,050 682 : Oth Sts 2/ : 851 1,100 80 99 : US : 1,389 969 1,856 2,145 1,221 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 revised. 2/ Includes MT and ND; estimates initiated in 1995. Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production, by State and United States, 1994-96 1/ 2/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : ID : 70.0 61.0 68.0 59.0 WA : 112.0 109.0 111.0 108.0 : Oth Sts 3/ : 16.0 20.0 15.0 16.0 : US : 198.0 190.0 194.0 183.0 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Pounds -------- -------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : ID : 2,300 1,000 846 1,564 590 WA : 2,500 1,300 1,409 2,775 1,404 : Oth Sts 3/ : 1,800 1,800 270 288 : US : 2,376 1,247 2,255 4,609 2,282 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. 2/ 1995 revised. 3/ Includes MT, NV, ND, and OR; estimates initiated in 1995. Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production, by State and United States, 1994-96 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : ID : 10.0 8.0 7.0 7.0 OR : 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.3 : US : 10.9 8.6 7.7 7.3 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Pounds -------- -------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : ID : 1,500 1,400 44 105 98 OR : 2,000 1,670 7 14 5 : US : 1,545 1,411 51 119 103 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 revised. Winter Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, Production, by State and United States, 1995-96 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : CA : 5.0 5.7 5.0 5.7 FL : 8.3 8.8 6.9 8.8 : US : 13.3 14.5 11.9 14.5 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Cwt ---------- -------- 1,000 Cwt ------- : CA : 260 250 1,300 1,425 FL : 170 210 1,173 1,848 : US : 208 226 2,473 3,273 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1996 revised. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : CT : 1,990 2,100 1,771 1,666 2,682 3,524 3,498 FL : 7,200 7,300 2,455 2,597 16,575 17,676 18,960 GA : 42,000 46,000 2,000 2,300 80,660 84,000 105,800 IN : 6,700 7,600 2,030 2,000 15,265 13,601 15,200 KY : 166,200 205,900 1,977 2,179 453,687 328,581 448,630 MD : 8,500 8,000 1,350 1,500 12,750 11,475 12,000 MA : 500 710 1,784 1,594 792 892 1,132 MO : 2,700 2,900 2,025 2,200 8,015 5,468 6,380 NC : 261,100 283,300 1,856 1,929 599,853 484,599 546,500 OH : 7,700 8,300 1,950 1,750 18,360 15,015 14,525 PA : 7,900 7,800 1,985 1,955 18,360 15,685 15,247 SC : 50,000 50,000 2,100 2,300 108,100 105,000 115,000 TN : 51,690 56,550 1,797 2,074 132,289 92,907 117,309 VA : 44,170 46,170 1,840 2,090 106,092 81,269 96,489 WV : 2,000 2,000 1,300 1,850 3,550 2,600 3,700 WI : 2,760 2,550 2,247 1,871 5,866 6,202 4,770 : US : 663,110 737,180 1,913 2,069 1,582,896 1,268,494 1,525,140 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 68,000 74,000 1,920 2,000 130,560 148,000 VA : 34,000 35,000 1,935 2,100 65,790 73,500 US : 102,000 109,000 1,925 2,032 196,350 221,500 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 151,000 165,000 1,860 1,900 280,860 313,500 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 34,000 36,000 1,845 1,900 62,730 68,400 SC : 50,000 50,000 2,100 2,300 105,000 115,000 US : 84,000 86,000 1,997 2,133 167,730 183,400 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 7,200 7,300 2,455 2,600 17,676 18,960 GA : 42,000 46,000 2,000 2,300 84,000 105,800 US : 49,200 53,300 2,067 2,341 101,676 124,760 Total 11-14 : 386,200 413,300 1,933 2,040 746,616 843,160 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,100 1,100 1,400 1,700 1,540 1,870 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 3,900 3,900 2,370 2,700 9,243 10,530 TN : 7,600 7,500 2,285 2,500 17,366 18,750 US : 11,500 11,400 2,314 2,568 26,609 29,280 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,700 3,700 2,600 2,800 9,620 10,360 TN : 580 590 2,450 2,700 1,421 1,593 US : 4,280 4,290 2,580 2,786 11,041 11,953 Total 21-23 : 16,880 16,790 2,322 2,567 39,190 43,103 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 6,700 7,600 2,030 2,000 13,601 15,200 KY : 155,000 195,000 1,950 2,150 302,250 419,250 MO : 2,700 2,900 2,025 2,200 5,468 6,380 NC : 8,100 8,300 1,290 2,000 10,449 16,600 OH : 7,700 8,300 1,950 1,750 15,015 14,525 TN : 43,000 48,000 1,700 2,000 73,100 96,000 VA : 9,000 10,000 1,540 2,100 13,860 21,000 WV : 2,000 2,000 1,300 1,850 2,600 3,700 US : 234,200 282,100 1,863 2,101 436,343 592,655 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 8,500 8,000 1,350 1,500 11,475 12,000 PA : 3,400 3,500 1,900 1,850 6,460 6,475 US : 11,900 11,500 1,507 1,607 17,935 18,475 Total 31-32 : 246,100 293,600 1,846 2,082 454,278 611,130 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1995 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,300 2,100 2,060 2,500 4,738 5,250 TN : 510 460 2,000 2,100 1,020 966 US : 2,810 2,560 2,049 2,428 5,758 6,216 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,300 1,200 2,100 2,700 2,730 3,240 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 70 70 1,125 1,700 79 119 Total 35-37 : 4,180 3,830 2,050 2,500 8,567 9,575 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 4,500 4,300 2,050 2,040 9,225 8,772 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,000 1,080 1,980 1,860 1,980 2,009 MA : 240 320 1,920 1,800 461 576 US : 1,240 1,400 1,969 1,846 2,441 2,585 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,900 1,800 2,370 1,900 4,503 3,420 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 860 750 1,975 1,800 1,699 1,350 Total 54-55 : 2,760 2,550 2,247 1,871 6,202 4,770 Total 51-55 : 4,000 3,950 2,161 1,862 8,643 7,355 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 990 1,020 1,560 1,460 1,544 1,489 MA : 260 390 1,655 1,425 431 556 US : 1,250 1,410 1,580 1,450 1,975 2,045 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 9,750 9,660 2,035 1,881 19,843 18,172 : All Tobacco : 663,110 737,180 1,913 2,069 1,268,494 1,525,140 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- --- Tons --- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : CA : 115.0 94.0 28.0 28.0 3,948 3,220 2,632 CO : 41.1 51.7 17.4 21.7 946 715 1,122 ID : 197.0 184.0 24.0 25.0 5,608 4,728 4,600 MI : 188.0 130.0 15.8 15.5 3,029 2,970 2,015 MN : 416.0 440.0 17.7 17.3 8,467 7,363 7,612 MT : 55.5 57.3 21.5 22.0 1,307 1,193 1,261 NE : 72.3 51.0 16.4 18.1 1,504 1,186 923 NM : .9 26.7 24 ND : 204.2 222.0 19.2 17.3 4,272 3,929 3,831 OH : 15.3 4.2 15.0 16.9 264 230 71 OR : 17.8 16.3 22.9 25.5 456 408 416 TX : 19.3 13.1 18.2 22.0 497 351 288 WA : 13.0 37.2 483 WY : 61.5 56.5 20.3 20.5 1,103 1,249 1,158 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 14.1 34.3 452 484 : US : 1,417.1 1,334.0 19.8 19.8 31,853 28,026 26,436 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ Includes NM and WA prior to 1996. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : FL : 437.0 440.0 34.6 34.0 14,937 15,122 14,960 HI : 53.0 43.0 76.8 78.0 5,364 4,070 3,354 LA : 400.0 350.0 25.6 23.0 9,272 10,240 8,050 TX : 42.3 39.0 32.2 26.0 1,356 1,364 1,014 : US : 932.3 872.0 33.0 31.4 30,929 30,796 27,378 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes (Table Type) 1/ : CA : 602,000 718,000 720,000 Grapes (Wine Type) 1/ : CA : 2,265,000 2,275,000 2,300,000 Grapes (Raisin Type) 1/ 2/ : CA : 2,389,000 2,255,000 2,400,000 All Grapes : AZ 1/ : 26,000 26,000 25,000 AR 1/ : 6,000 8,000 9,000 CA 1/ : 5,256,000 5,248,000 5,420,000 GA 1/ : 3,200 3,200 3,500 MI : 65,000 70,000 65,000 MO 1/ : 2,600 2,300 1,800 NY : 190,000 165,000 195,000 NC 1/ : 1,500 1,300 1,200 OH 1/ : 7,000 9,200 7,900 OR 1/ : 10,800 14,000 15,000 PA : 80,000 63,000 70,000 SC 1/ : 500 300 600 WA : 225,000 326,000 150,000 : US : 5,873,600 5,936,300 5,964,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried from earlier forecast. 2/ Fresh basis. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted 1997 on October 1, 1996 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1996-97 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1996-97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 400 700 650 15 27 24 CA 4/ : 35,000 38,000 37,000 1,313 1,426 1,388 FL : 119,700 121,200 130,000 5,387 5,454 5,850 TX : 950 830 1,300 40 35 55 US : 156,050 160,730 168,950 6,755 6,942 7,317 Valencia : AZ : 650 950 850 24 36 32 CA : 21,000 28,000 26,000 788 1,051 975 FL : 85,800 82,000 90,000 3,861 3,690 4,050 TX : 105 110 150 4 4 6 US : 107,555 111,060 117,000 4,677 4,781 5,063 All : AZ : 1,050 1,650 1,500 39 63 56 CA : 56,000 66,000 63,000 2,101 2,477 2,363 FL : 205,500 203,200 220,000 9,248 9,144 9,900 TX : 1,055 940 1,450 44 39 61 US : 263,605 271,790 285,950 11,432 11,723 12,380 Temples : FL : 2,550 2,150 2,500 114 97 113 Grapefruit : White Seedless : FL : 25,700 23,200 26,500 1,092 986 1,126 Colored Seedless : FL : 28,700 28,100 31,500 1,220 1,194 1,339 Other : FL : 1,300 1,050 1,000 55 45 43 All : AZ : 1,400 1,200 1,100 47 40 37 CA 5/ : Desert : 3,300 111 Other Areas : 6,000 201 Total : 9,300 8,100 8,000 312 271 268 FL : 55,700 52,350 59,000 2,367 2,225 2,508 TX : 4,650 4,550 5,700 186 182 228 US : 71,050 66,200 73,800 2,912 2,718 3,041 Tangerines : AZ : 650 1,000 850 25 38 32 CA : 2,500 2,600 2,600 94 97 98 FL : 3,550 4,500 6,000 168 213 285 US : 6,700 8,100 9,450 287 348 415 Lemons : AZ : 3,600 5,100 4,700 137 194 179 CA : 20,000 21,000 22,000 760 798 836 US : 23,600 26,100 26,700 897 992 1,015 Tangelos : FL : 3,150 2,450 3,800 142 110 171 K-Early Citrus : FL : 120 160 200 5 7 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruit Footnotes 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with year harvest is completed. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-CA & AZ-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ California Navel estimate carried forward from September 1, 1996. 5/ California Desert and Other Area Grapefruit estimates combined to All Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96. Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ 2/ : 64.0 11.0 100.0 AR 2/ : 8.0 10.0 7.0 CA 2/ : 1,050.0 850.0 950.0 CO 2/ : 85.0 55.0 30.0 CT 2/ : 25.0 20.5 22.0 DE 2/ : 20.0 11.0 20.0 GA 2/ : 26.0 30.0 22.0 ID 2/ : 165.0 75.0 170.0 IL 2/ : 47.0 80.0 70.0 IN 2/ : 50.0 75.0 48.0 IA 2/ : 12.0 10.0 8.0 KS 2/ : 5.0 6.5 4.0 KY 2/ : 7.0 17.0 14.0 ME 2/ : 54.0 65.0 58.0 MD 2/ : 35.0 35.0 30.0 MA 2/ : 62.5 65.0 62.0 MI : 1,020.0 1,220.0 725.0 MN 2/ : 23.2 22.0 20.0 MO 2/ : 33.0 38.0 34.0 NH 2/ : 41.0 44.0 41.0 NJ 2/ : 70.0 75.0 55.0 NM 3/ : 8.0 3.0 NY : 1,100.0 1,110.0 1,050.0 NC : 250.0 270.0 180.0 OH 2/ : 90.0 120.0 90.0 OR 2/ : 200.0 140.0 185.0 PA : 400.0 500.0 400.0 RI 2/ : 4.8 4.5 4.5 SC 2/ : 60.0 60.0 40.0 TN 2/ : 10.0 16.0 11.0 UT 2/ : 48.0 20.0 50.0 VT 2/ : 42.0 45.0 44.0 VA : 305.0 400.0 300.0 WA : 5,850.0 5,000.0 5,600.0 WV : 150.0 175.0 115.0 WI 2/ : 80.0 57.5 49.0 : US : 11,500.5 10,736.0 10,608.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 3/ Forecast discontinued. Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds Improved Varieties 1/ : AL : 2,000 7,000 10,000 AZ 2/ : 18,000 AR 3/ : 600 900 900 CA 3/ : 1,500 2,900 2,100 FL 3/ : 400 600 1,500 GA : 50,000 62,000 85,000 LA : 1,500 2,000 3,000 MS 3/ : 1,200 1,400 NM : 24,000 45,000 30,000 NC 3/ : 2,200 1,800 2,000 OK : 1,300 2,500 1,600 SC 3/ : 5,400 2,400 4,000 TX : 30,000 47,000 35,000 US : 118,900 175,300 194,500 Native & Seedling : AL : 2,000 3,000 5,000 AR 3/ : 900 700 500 FL 3/ : 1,500 500 1,000 GA : 15,000 13,000 15,000 KS 3/ : 3,600 500 400 LA : 9,500 11,000 15,000 MS 3/ : 1,000 1,100 NC 3/ : 2,800 1,500 800 OK : 10,700 16,500 6,400 SC 3/ : 3,600 1,100 1,000 TX : 10,000 28,000 10,000 US : 59,600 76,800 56,200 All Pecans : AL : 4,000 10,000 15,000 AZ 2/ : 18,000 AR 3/ : 1,500 1,600 1,400 CA 3/ : 1,500 2,900 2,100 FL 3/ : 1,900 1,100 2,500 GA : 65,000 75,000 100,000 KS 3/ : 3,600 500 400 LA : 11,000 13,000 18,000 MS 3/ : 2,200 2,500 NM : 24,000 45,000 30,000 NC 3/ : 5,000 3,300 2,800 OK : 12,000 19,000 8,000 SC 3/ : 9,000 3,500 5,000 TX : 40,000 75,000 45,000 : Oth Sts 4/ : 20,500 15,900 : US : 199,000 268,000 250,700 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 2/ Estimates published separately beginning in 1996. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ AZ, MS, MO, and TN in 1994. AZ, MO, and TN in 1995. No breakdown between varieties available. Forecasts discontinued in 1996 for MO and TN. Hazelnuts: Utilized Production by State and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted October 1, 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons (In-shell Basis) : OR : 21,000 38,800 19,900 WA 1/ : 100 200 100 : US : 21,100 39,000 20,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------ Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :----------------------------------------: 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --------------- Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Aug : 3,770 3,835 2,335 2,805 3,505 2,940 Sep : 3,750 3,960 2,330 3,165 2,670 2,740 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corn: Ears per Acre The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting corn objective yield surveys in 7 States during 1996. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual counts from this survey and are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but are intended to show trends in corn production practices. Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre Selected States, 1992-96 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : and : 1992 : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 : 1996 Month : : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number of Ears : IL Oct : 23,000 22,600 22,650 22,900 23,700 Nov : 23,000 22,600 22,600 22,850 : IN Oct : 22,900 22,400 22,150 23,000 22,750 Nov : 22,700 22,200 22,150 22,950 : IA Oct : 24,000 22,700 24,050 24,050 24,350 Nov : 24,000 22,500 24,000 24,000 : MI 2/ Oct : 25,800 22,500 22,850 22,650 Nov : 24,600 22,300 22,250 22,500 : MN Oct : 27,100 23,700 26,950 25,750 26,400 Nov : 27,000 24,900 26,950 25,700 : MO 2/ Oct : 19,400 18,500 19,300 19,600 Nov : 19,400 18,500 19,250 19,450 : NE Oct : 22,200 21,300 21,200 21,800 22,600 Nov : 22,100 21,100 21,300 21,700 : OH Oct : 23,400 21,700 22,400 22,650 22,300 Nov : 23,200 21,700 22,500 22,500 : SD 2/ Oct : 20,400 18,400 21,300 20,400 Nov : 20,700 18,000 21,300 20,300 : WI Oct : 23,800 22,600 24,600 23,600 24,250 Nov : 23,300 23,100 24,650 23,250 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on ear counts in plots selected for objective yield samples. 2/ No longer included in the objective yield program beginning with 1996. Crop Moisture Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season. Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations. Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile, or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months, years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index. Drought Severity Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as evaportranspiration. Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in aquifers, reservoirs, and streams. Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this is indicated by the crop moisture index). September Weather Summary: Atlantic Hurricane Fran and Eastern Pacific Hurricane Fausto highlighted a wet pattern across the South and East. Days before Fran made landfall in North Carolina, Hurricane Edouard brushed coastal New England with high winds and heavy rain. Just after Fran hit, Hurricane Hortense dumped copious rainfall on Puerto Rico, but curved away from the U.S. mainland. Meanwhile, a series of cold fronts crossed the interior Northwest, reducing the wildfire threat and the severity of the 4-month drought. The fronts also sparked heavy rain in the northern and central Plains. In parts of the Southwest, however, drought durations reached 1 year despite the arrival of below-normal temperatures. The only significant dry pocket east of the Rockies included the upper Midwest, where many totals were less than 50 percent of normal. In contrast, monthly rainfall topped 200 percent of normal along Hurricane Fran's path from North Carolina to western New York. Major flooding--rival to that observed in January 1996--unfolded along many Middle Atlantic rivers in Fran's wake. A split jet-stream pattern left much of the Nation cooler than normal, but protected the Midwest from an early freeze. The southern branch of the jet stream cut across the United States, confining persistent heat to southern parts of Texas and Florida. The northern branch of the split became configured in an "Omega block"--named for its similarity in appearance to the Greek letter--that arched northward far into central Canada. As a result, significant cold outbreaks were diverted away from the Midwest. Toward month's end, a surge of Western Pacific storminess--including energy associated with former Typhoon Tom- demolished the block and allowed for a more normal delivery of autumn airmasses into the United States. Raleigh-Durham (RDU), NC (16.64 inches) and Cleveland, OH (11.05 inches) posted September-record rainfalls, boosted by 24-hour record totals associated with Hurricane Fran's remnants. In addition to a 79 mph wind gust, RDU received 8.80 inches on September 5-6; Cleveland recorded 5.22 inches on September 6-7. RDU's September total was a record for any month, previously set in August 1908 (13.63 inches). Hurricane Fran struck the North Carolina coast south of Wilmington on the evening of September 5, only 55 days after and a few miles west of Hurricane Bertha. Fran's 115 mph sustained winds and 12 to 13 foot storm surge exacted a severe toll on beaches left exposed by Bertha's erosion. Farther north, Fran's rain fell on soils already saturated by early-month rains and in river basins left vulnerable to flooding by an 11-month wet spell. Lynchburg, VA measured a September-record 12.54 inches, 91 percent of which fell by the 16th. Although Hurricane Fausto's circulation dissipated over rugged north-central Mexico shortly after a September 13 landfall, its moisture became absorbed into a disturbance crossing the Southwest. By the time the system reached the Northeast on September 17-18, it was capable of producing the heaviest 24-hour rainfall (4.71 inches) in 12 years--in addition to wind gusts of 53 mph--at Massachusetts' Blue Hill Observatory. Several days earlier, on September 9-10, Hurricane Hortense crossed southwestern Puerto Rico. Island totals reached 23 inches, causing extensive flooding. Boosted by Hortense's rains, San Juan's monthly total reached a September-record 15.15 inches. Near-record to record September rainfall soaked the Plains from South Dakota to Kansas, and a band from the Ozark Plateau to the lower Ohio Valley. In South Dakota, Aberdeen's total of 5.32 inches broke a September record that had stood since 1988. In Kansas, Dodge City's September total of 5.08 inches wound up fourth all-time. Evansville, IN noted their second wettest, sixth coolest September on record. During the second half of the month, 83 percent of Evansville's 8.57-inch total fell, while the mercury climbed to 80 degrees F only once--on the 22nd. In Arizona, Tucson's monthly average temperature was 2.7 degrees F below normal, marking their first cooler-than-normal month since June 1995. Despite general coolness across the U.S., few individual airmasses warranted attention. On September 14, frost dotted the upper Midwest, as lows dipped to daily-record levels in locations such as St. Cloud, MN (31 degrees F), Webster City, IA (34 degrees F), and Springfield, IL (37 degrees F). Toward month's end, cold air drilled southward through the Plains, delivering a freeze as far south as eastern Colorado and western Nebraska. Snowfall reached 4.2 inches at both Colorado Springs, CO and Lander, WY. On September 27, lows of 8 degrees F in Laramie, WY, 31 degrees F in McCook, NE, and 35 degrees F in Amarillo, TX were among about a dozen daily records. The weather system responsible for the late-month chill also produced very heavy rain from the Plains to the East Coast, adding to moisture surpluses in many areas, but boosting soil moisture in the upper Midwest. The system also cooled southern Florida, where Miami Beach logged eight daily-record highs from September 2-22. In Ft. Myers, FL, September-record highs of 97 degrees F were attained on September 3 and 7. Farther west, a strong cold front crossed the Northwest on September 4-5, ending a heat wave and reducing the wildfire threat. On September 3, the high soared to 96 degrees F in Salt Lake City, UT; a day later, Sheridan, WY notched 99 degrees F. But by September 6, lows fell to daily-record levels in Elko, NV (23 degrees F) and Pocatello, ID (29 degrees F). Cold and often stormy weather gripped Alaska during the last 3 weeks of September. Monthly temperatures averaged 1 to 3 degrees F below normal and precipitation was above normal across the south and the northwest. Fairbanks' monthly snowfall of 7.1 inches was their seventh highest September total. On September 25, 3.35 inches of rain--associated with the remnants of Typhoon Tom and accompanied by wind gusts to 60 mph--lashed Juneau, their wettest September day and second-wettest all-time, behind 4.62 inches on October 10, 1946. Juneau's monthly total reached 10.28 inches, 153 percent of normal. Meanwhile, warm, drier-than-normal weather prevailed across Hawaii. General Crop Comments: Hurricane Fran arrived in early September and brought heavy rains and high winds that caused flooding and damaged crops in the mid-Atlantic. Row crops in the Midwest started the month stressed, and some fields were yellowed by chronically dry soil conditions. Rains in early September in the Midwest and Great Lakes region reduced row crop stress from dry soils and very warm weather. September started with crop development about 2 weeks behind normal in the eastern Corn Belt. Harvest activity in the Southeast was delayed by scattered showers, but the benefits from the precipitation outweighed the slowdown in harvest activity. The month started with short soil moisture supplies in the middle Mississippi Valley. Crop development in the central Great Plains was accelerated by above-normal temperatures, but many fields started the month 1 to 2 weeks behind the average. In the southern Great Plains, cool weather slowed crop maturity while wet fields and heavy rains slowed fieldwork. Dry soil conditions in early September slowed winter wheat seeding in the West and parts of the Dakotas. Many producers were waiting for rain and lower temperatures to reduce insect activity. Some producers harvested early-planted corn in the Tennessee Valley, but had to dry grain to acceptable moisture levels prior to sale. A mid-month cold front brought rain to the Middle Atlantic and Southeastern States, further delaying harvest and planting activities. The remnants of Hurricane Fran brought rain across the eastern Great Lakes and the Northeast, which brought relief to crops in dry soils. On September 14, light, scattered frost occurred in low-lying areas of eastern North Dakota, Minnesota, and northern Iowa, reminding producers that the end of the growing season was near. In the Corn Belt, scattered rains provided moisture for soybeans filling pods, but warmer weather was needed to promote crop development. Chilly autumn weather later in the month slowed crop development in the Central States. Rainy weather over most of the Nation provided moisture for recently planted small grains, but stalled row crop harvest activity. Producers in the northern Great Plains waited for a killing freeze to help dry down row crops before harvest. In the mid-Atlantic, surplus topsoil moisture levels prevented many producers from entering their fields, and storms over the weekend caused some lodging. Later in the month, heavy rains and thunderstorms in the southern Great Plains provided good pre-planting moisture for small grains. In the Pacific Northwest, soil crusting required some producers to reseed small grains. Rain improved row crop condition near the end of September in the Central States. Crop conditions declined in the Mid-Atlantic as a result of the excessive moisture and crop damage from Hurricane Fran. Cool fall weather in the Midwest and Southeast slowed crop development. Wet weather at the close of September slowed row crop harvest activity and small grain seeding over most of the eastern half of the Nation. Cold autumn weather in the central Great Plains and below-freezing temperatures brought an end to crop development. In the Midwest, corn had higher-than-normal moisture levels for the end of September. Wet fields delayed harvest activity in the Southeast. Heavy rains in the Dakotas brought fieldwork to a standstill at month's end. Wheat producers who waited for rain to increase soil moisture before planting in the southern Great Plains were prevented from planting by wet fields. Row crop development ended the month behind the average, but conditions were improved by the rain. Rains at month's end lowered cotton condition in the Southern States due to damage to fields with open bolls. Corn for Grain: Acreage to be harvested for grain is forecast at 73.3 million acres, unchanged from last month, but up 13 percent from 1995. The October 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level ear count per acre for the seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). The previous record final ears per acre was set in 1992. As of September 29, 56 percent of the acreage in the 17 major States was mature. This compares with 82 percent for 1995 and 72 percent for the five-year average. Nine percent of the corn had been harvested, compared to 15 percent last year and the five-year average of 17 percent. Corn rated in the fair to good condition totaled 73 percent compared to 80 percent for a year ago. However, corn rated in excellent condition was 18 percent compared to 8 percent for last year. As of the beginning of October the majority of the Corn Belt remained frost free with the exception of parts of Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, and South Dakota. In Iowa, forecasted ear population is at a record high level. Three percent of the corn was harvested as of September 29, compared to 8 percent in 1995 and the average of 9 percent. Corn condition was 76 percent good to excellent. Forecasted ear count in Illinois is at a record high level. Six percent of the corn was harvested, compared to 16 percent a year ago and the five-year average of 21 percent. The majority (72 percent) of corn was rated in fair to good condition. Nebraska forecasted ear population is at a record high level. As of September 29, three percent of the corn was harvested, ahead of last year (two percent) but behind the average of 12 percent. Corn was rated 88 percent good to excellent condition. Minnesota and Wisconsin ear populations are above 1995 and the five-year average. Three percent of the corn was harvested in Minnesota, lagging behind last year's ten percent and the five-year average of five percent. In Wisconsin, two percent of the corn was harvested compared to 11 percent in 1995 and the average of six percent. In Minnesota, 84 percent of the corn was rated in fair to good condition compared to 76 percent for Wisconsin. Forecasted ear counts in Indiana and Ohio are below 1995 but above the five-year average. Corn harvested in Indiana at five percent lagged behind the 20 percent harvested of last year and the average 17 percent. In Ohio, four percent was harvested, compared to nine percent in 1995 and the five-year average of ten percent. In Indiana, 80 percent of the corn was rated in fair to good condition compared to 77 percent for Ohio. Sorghum for Grain: Production is forecast at 797 million bushels, 4 percent higher than the September forecast and 73 percent above 1995. This is the largest production level since 1992. The U.S. yield is forecast at 66.4 bushels per acre, up 2.8 bushels from last month and 10.8 bushels above 1995. Eight of the 12 estimating States raised yield expectations from last month. Nebraska and South Dakota showed the largest increases, both up 5.0 bushels, followed by Kansas, up 4.0 bushels. If realized, Kansas will more than double their 1995 production total. Continued mild weather along with additional moisture have steadily improved the condition of the crop in most areas. The percent of the South Dakota crop rated in good to excellent condition jumped 21 points during September. As of September 29, 62 percent of the crop was mature in the 12 major States, 3 points ahead of normal. Harvest, however, at 26 percent completion was 7 points behind the five year average. Persistent rains in Texas have slowed harvest in many fields. Rice: Production of all rice is forecast at 176 million cwt. for 1996, up 3 percent from the September 1 estimate and 1 percent above a year ago. Area for harvest, estimated at 2.91 million acres, is up 1 percent from September 1, but 6 percent below 1995. The average yield is forecast at 6,053 pounds per acre, up 96 pounds from last month and 432 pounds above a year ago. Growers reported the best yields ever, exceeding the record high yield of 5,964 pounds per acre set in 1994. Arkansas and Mississippi expect larger crops than earlier estimated, while crops in California and Louisiana are slightly smaller than estimated a month ago. Arkansas rice harvest was over 75 percent complete following a banner year with favorable weather conditions and minimal disease or insect problems. In California, high moisture levels prompted some producers to delay harvest activity, but by month's end rice harvest had gained momentum and was running slightly ahead of schedule. Louisiana and Texas growers were busy managing second crop rice. Soybeans: Soybeans intended for harvest, at 63.4 million acres, is unchanged from the September forecast. Average crop maturity lags slightly behind last year but far below the bumper crop year of 1994. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves as of September 29 was 16 points behind last year and 15 points behind the five-year average. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves in Ohio was more than 50 points behind last year and the average. In Indiana, the percent dropping leaves was 37 points below 1995 and 33 points short of the average. By the end of September, harvest was underway in all of the major soybean producing states. As of September 29, 4 percent of the soybean crop had been harvested compared to 12 percent a year ago and a five year average of 15 percent. Of the 8 objective yield states, harvest is ahead of 1995 in Arkansas and Missouri. Indiana, at 3 percent harvested, was 23 points behind last year's harvest progress and 17 points short of the average. Illinois lagged 14 points behind last year and 21 points below the five-year average. Harvest was 15 points behind the average in Ohio and 17 points short of 1995. Frost at the beginning of October, primarily in the Northern Corn Belt, caused some damage to some late planted soybeans but aided in the drying down of the soybeans in mature fields. As of September 29, soybeans were rated as 57 percent in good to excellent condition across the major producing states. Pods per 18 square feet from the October Objective Yield Survey show pods below the final 1995 pod count in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, and Ohio. In Indiana, the pod count is the lowest since 1991. Pod counts from the survey are the highest on record in Missouri and Arkansas and the second highest on record in Nebraska. The forecasted yield in the non objective yield states is up 3.7 bushels from 1995. The forecasted yield is up 9 bushels in Kansas and Virginia from 1995. In Louisiana, expected yield is up 8 bushels from last year. The non-objective yield states account for about 25 percent of the U.S. soybean production. Soybean Revisions- 1995: The 1995 soybean production was revised to 2.18 billion bushels, up 25 million bushels from the previous 1995 estimate. Planted and harvested acres remain unchanged from a year ago. The yield resulting from the revised production is 35.3 bushels per acre, an increase of 0.4 bushel from the previous estimate. Revisions were made based upon an analysis of end-of-marketing year stock estimates, disappearance data for exports and crushings, and availability of additional data in some States. This information was previously included in the September "Grain Stocks" report released on September 30. Sunflower: Production of all sunflower is forecast at 3.37 billion pounds, 16 percent below the 1995 production and 30 percent below production in 1994. Growers expect to harvest 2.69 million acres, down 20 percent from 1995. Expected yield, at 1,255 pounds, is up 5 percent from last year. Planting began well behind normal in North Dakota but was completed ahead of last year as weather conditions improved. Crop development remained behind last year but ahead of average. As of September 29, 74 percent of bracts had turned brown and beyond. The crop was 2 percent harvested as of the week ending September 29, compared to 7 percent last year and a 5-year average of 5 percent. The first killing frost occurred at the beginning of October. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.41 billion pounds, up 2 percent from the September 1 forecast but down 1 percent from 1995. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 1.41 million acres, unchanged from September 1 and 7 percent below a year ago. Yields are expected to average 2,421 pounds per harvested acre, up 37 pounds from last month and 139 pounds above 1995. Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.05 billion pounds, 2 percent above last month but 3 percent below the 1995 crop. Yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 2,474 pounds per acre, 51 pounds above last month. An increase of 200 pounds in Alabama's expected yield per acre contributed to improved crop prospects in the region. Harvest continued to make good progress, although heavy rains received in late-September delayed or stopped harvest activities across most of the region. The Georgia crop outlook held steady compared to a month ago. Tomato spotted wilt virus is still a concern, forcing some producers to harvest late-maturing fields early. The Florida harvest hit the half-way mark under good harvest conditions. In South Carolina, drier conditions enabled harvest to proceed at an active pace as 23 percent of the crop was harvested by October 1, but still 7 points behind normal. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 540 million pounds, down 2 percent from last month and a year ago. Yield per harvested acre in the region, at 2,675 pounds, is 63 pounds below last month. Most of the peanut acres in North Carolina were outside of the main path of Hurricane Fran, however some acreage was affected by the spinoff moisture. Cool evening temperatures have slowed maturation. In Virginia, favorable conditions have helped harvest progress. At month's end, harvest stood at 20 percent complete compared with 27 percent normally for this date. The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 822 million pounds, up 3 percent from last month and 5 percent above 1995. Yields are expected to average 2,170 pounds per acre, 61 pounds above last month and 147 pounds above last year. Digging got underway with some disease problems reported. In New Mexico, crop prospects remain excellent. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 12.7 million acres, decreased 15,000 acres from September and is down 19 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested acreage remains unchanged from last month, at 261,900 acres, 24 percent above 1995. In early October, 44 percent of Texas' acreage was in good to excellent condition, and one-fourth was rated poor to very. Boll opening was two-thirds complete, 6 percent ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest progress was hampered by storms during the month, and 19 percent of the acreage was harvested on October 6, compared to the 28 percent normally harvested. Unseasonably cool, wet weather in the Plains caused concern about final maturity of the crop, and defoliants were applied. Harvest was complete in the Coastal Bend, but storms caused quality of the crop to decline in the Central region and also slowed harvesting. Cotton objective yield data indicate Texas' crop has the highest large boll count and third highest boll weights since 1986. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) rated their cotton in mostly good to excellent condition in early October. The region was subject to heavy rains in late September, delaying harvest activity. The rainfall also caused deterioration in quality, and boll rot and regrowth after defoliation were a concern. One-half of Louisiana's crop was in good to excellent condition on October 6 and 15 percent was in poor condition, although one month earlier, 73 percent was rated good to excellent. Tennessee reported 82 percent of their acreage in good to excellent condition in early October. Mississippi and Tennessee were 14 percent ahead of the average harvest progress, at 49 percent and 38 percent, respectively. Louisiana showed harvest at 47 percent complete, which equaled the 5-year average pace. Data from objective yield surveys show large boll counts for Arkansas' rank sixth and Mississippi's rank fifth, since 1986. Louisiana's large bolls are the third lowest during this time period. Early season boll weight data indicate Arkansas weights are the second lowest during the past 10 years, and Louisiana and Mississippi rank sixth. Forty-eight percent of Arizona's crop was in good to excellent condition and harvest was 5 points below the average pace, at 20 percent, on October 6. Arizona's monsoons continued to effect cotton acreage in early September, and although the condition improved during mid-September, it declined towards the end of the month. All of California's crop was in good to excellent condition in early October, and harvest was 15 percent complete, 6 points ahead of the 5-year average. Defoliation was active in the southern San Joaquin Valley at the end of September, and harvest continued in Kern county. Producers had harvested about one-half of the acreage in the Desert counties. October 1 cotton objective yield counts show California large boll numbers as the lowest since 1986 and boll weights are the third lowest in the past 10 years. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), the majority of the crop was in good to excellent condition on October 6. Georgia showed 47 percent of the acreage as good to excellent, and 71 percent of South Carolina's acreage was rated good to excellent. Hurricane Fran entered North Carolina on September 5, flooding some acreage and deteriorating the condition and yield prospects as it moved across the cotton producing areas. In mid-September North Carolina cotton condition showed 32 percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, but this improved to 70 percent on October 6. More storms followed Hurricane Fran during the month, which slowed harvest, and on October 6, North Carolina producers had harvested 16 percent of the acreage, which equaled the 5-year average. These early September storms slowed progress in Georgia, which was only 2 percent ahead of the average harvest pace, at 20 percent. Alabama's crop continued to develop well, with little boll loss. American-Pima production is forecast at 567,000 bales, down 7,000 bales from September's forecast but up 54 percent from 1995's output. Yield is indicated at 1,039 pounds per harvested acre, up 203 pounds from last year. California's boll development was excellent during the season, and progress of the crop remains about one week ahead of normal. The unusually high temperatures of August caused a slight decline in expected yields from last month's forecast. Defoliation began in the southern San Joaquin Valley. In Texas, harvest began in the Winter Garden area. The Trans-Pecos received some unseasonably cool temperatures during the month, as the crop approached maturity. All cotton ginnings totaled 2,143,850 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 2,454,650 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 2,324,000 running bales in 1994. All Hay: Production for 1996 is forecast at 152 million tons, up 2 percent from the August 1 forecast but down 2 percent from 1995. The increase from August is a result of a 2 percent increase in expected average yields to 2.51 tons per acre. All hay yields, however, are down 3 percent the previous year. Acreage harvested, at 60.6 million acres, is unchanged from August 1 and 1 percent above last year. Of the major producing States, North Dakota showed the largest decrease in production from a year ago, dropping 28 percent from 1995. The largest increase in production is in Arkansas, 32 percent above last year. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Alfalfa hay production, at 80.7 million tons, is up fractionally from the August 1 forecast but down 5 percent from the 1995 total. Area for harvest, at 24.3 million acres, is down 1 percent from a year ago. Average yields are forecast at 3.33 tons per acre, down 0.13 of a ton from the previous year. Dry conditions late in the season reduced second and third cuttings yields in most areas across the northern half of the U.S. In the southern portion of the U.S., however, mild temperatures and ample precipitation during August and September resulted in additional cuttings and helped boost yields. California is expected to set a new State record for average yields at 7.4 tons per acre. All Other Hay: Production of all other hay is forecast at 71.1 million tons, 4 percent above the quantity expected August 1 and 2 percent above the 1995 total. Area for harvest, at 36.3 million acres, is up 3 percent from last year. Yield per acre is expected to average 1.96 tons, down 1 percent from the 1995 yield. Favorable growing conditions late in the season helped push yields up from the August 1 forecast in many area, especially in the Southeastern and South Central States. Louisiana showed the largest increase in expected yields from August, up 29 percent, followed by Texas and Oklahoma, up 25 and 23 percent, respectively. Dry Edible Beans: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 27.0 million cwt for 1996, down 13 percent from a year earlier and 7 percent below two years ago. Area for harvest is estimated at 1.71 million acres, down 10 percent from 1995 and 7 percent below 1994. The average yield of 1,582 pounds per acre is 52 pounds below a year ago and the same as 1994. The October 1 forecast is 2 percent below August as rains during harvest damaged beans. This year's dry bean crop was late developing in the early season. Hail damage cut a swath through the southeast corner of Wyoming, northeast Colorado, and western Kansas. Michigan growers planted extra late but enjoyed a frost-free extension at the end of the season. Wet weather during harvest slowed progress and reduced yields in many locations across the country. Harvest is slow in Michigan and New York because of repeated rainfall. Combining is two-thirds finished in North Dakota and Minnesota. Western States are mostly finished with harvest except in California, where progress and yields are good. Yields are record high in Wyoming and the highest in 23 years in Idaho. Lentils: Production of lentils is estimated at 1.22 million cwt, down 43 percent from 1995's 2.15 million cwt. Both harvested acres and yield were off from last year. Harvested area, at 126,000 acres, was down 28,400 acres from 1995, while the average yield of 969 pounds per acre was off 420 pounds. Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry peas is estimated at 2.28 million cwt, down 51 percent from last year in Idaho, Washington, and other States. Both harvested area and average yield fell. Harvested area is estimated at 183,000 acres, down 6 percent from last year. The average yield of 1,247 pounds per acre fell 1,129 pounds from last year. A late spring, coupled with a hot and dry summer in the Pacific Northwest, resulted in poor growing conditions throughout 1996. Austrian Winter Peas: An Austrian winter pea crop of 103,000 cwt in Idaho and Oregon is down 13 percent from 1995 but double the 1994 production. Area harvested, at 7,300 acres, is down 400 acres from last year while the average yield dropped from 1,545 pounds in 1995 to 1,411 pounds in 1996. Winter Potatoes, 1996 Revised: The final 1996 winter potato production is estimated at 3.27 million cwt, up 32 percent from a year earlier and 38 percent above 1994 output. Harvested acreage was estimated at 14,500 acres, a gain of 2,600 acres from 1995, while the final yield of 226 cwt per acre out did the previous year by 18 cwt. The final production estimate for South Florida was up 25 percent from the forecast made in April. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1996 is forecast at 1.53 billion pounds, down 4 percent from the September 1 estimate but 20 percent more than 1995. The larger production outlook for 1996 is the result of increased acreage and improved yields from a year ago. Harvested acreage, estimated at 737,180 acres, is up slightly from September 1 and is 11 percent above last year. Yields are expected to average 2,069 pounds per acre, 81 pounds below last month but 156 pounds above the average for 1995. Flue-cured production is expected to total 843 million pounds, down 6 percent from September 1 but 13 percent above last year's output. Producers plan to harvest 413,300 acres, up 7 percent from last year. Flue-cured tobacco accounts for 56 percent of this year's tobacco acreage. North Carolina's flue-cured crop was 95 percent harvested by October 1, slightly ahead of the 5-year average of 92 percent. Nearly 80 percent of North Carolina's tobacco was harvested before Hurricane Fran smashed into the coastal counties the first week in September. However, some poundage was damaged or lost during the curing process as power was out for several days. Burley production is expected to total 593 million pounds, virtually unchanged from September 1 projections but 36 percent above the 1995 production. The increase from a year ago is primarily the result of increased acreage, though yields are also up. Yield is expected to average 2,101 pounds per acre, 238 pounds above the average for 1995. Acreage for harvest is up 20 percent from last year. Tobacco harvest in the Southeast neared completion, slightly behind schedule. September weather was generally favorable across the region. The Kentucky burley crop was 87 percent harvested compared with 91 percent average. Rains in late September helped curing conditions. Harvest in Tennessee was 90 percent complete and stripping is underway. Sugarbeets: Production for the U.S. is expected to total 26.4 million tons, a decrease of 6 percent from 1995. Area for harvest, at 1.33 million acres, is unchanged from the September "Crop Production" report but down 6 percent from last year. The average yield, at 19.8 tons per acre, is equal to last year's yield and the September "Crop Production" report. Plant development in the Great Lakes region was slowed by cool weather that lasted during most of the summer and into autumn, leaving harvest activity 2 weeks behind normal. In the Mountain States hot, dry weather accelerated crop development, but some producers delayed harvest to wait for lower nighttime temperatures to increase sugar content. Dry weather in the Western States helped control insect populations. Harvest began ahead of normal in the upper Mississippi Valley and northern Great Plains, but rainy weather at the end of September slowed harvest progress. Rainy weather, followed by below-normal temperatures in the central High Plains, slowed the sugarbeet harvest at month's end, but some fields were lifted early to allow the sugar mills to lengthen their processing time. Prepile harvest activity was underway as September closed in the central Great Plains. Sugarcane: Sugarcane production for the U.S. sugar and seed in 1996 is expected to total 27.4 million tons, down 11 percent from 1995 but up fractionally from the September report. Area for harvest, at 872,000 acres, was 6 percent below last year. The forecasted yield, at 31.4 tons per acre, is 1.6 tons below last year's yield. The effect of last winter's freeze damage in Louisiana was not expected to lower the amount of sugar per ton of cane, but fields with downed cane reduced producers' expectations for recoverable tonnage. A significant number of acres had severe lodging that was expected to make harvest difficult. Rainy weather during September slowed planting and caused some replanting for Louisiana's next year's crop. Little hurricane or storm damage during Florida's growing season allowed sugarcane to make good growth. Sugarcane mills in Florida were preparing to begin processing cane in late October. Sugarcane growth in Texas was irregular due to the effects of the mid-summer drought and lack of adequate irrigation water. Heavy rains at summer's end and in early autumn revived the crop and may offset the effect of the summer's drought. Grapes: Grape production for October 1 is 5.96 million tons, up slightly from August's forecast and a year ago. New York and Pennsylvania forecasts increased while Michigan and Washington decreased. Production for all other states was carried forward from the previous August forecast. The California all grape forecast, at 5.42 million tons, was carried forward from August and is up 3 percent from last year. Of this total, 2.4 million tons are raisin varieties, 2.3 million tons are wine varieties, and 720,000 tons table varieties. Picking of Thompson Seedless grapes for all uses is nearing completion with good quality reported. Table grape harvest in the San Joaquin Valley is active. Wine grape harvest is also active with some areas reporting lower yields than expected. Grape production in New York increased to 195,000 tons, up 5 percent from August and 18 percent from 1995. Cool, wet weather caused mildew and rot problems and has delayed harvest. Pennsylvania expects to produce 70,000 tons, up 4 percent from the previous forecast and 11 percent from 1995. Sugar development has been slow, and harvest is behind schedule. Michigan's forecast increased to 65,000 tons, up 5 percent from August but down 7 percent from 1995. Niagara harvest is complete while Concord harvest began October 1 and should continue the entire month. Sugar content is behind normal. Washington's forecast decreased to 150,000 tons, down 4 percent from the August forecast and down 54 percent from a year ago. Freeze damage continued to suppress yields. Concord harvest has begun. Grapefruit: The initial forecast of the 1996-97 U.S. Grapefruit crop is 3.04 million tons, up 12 percent from last season and 4 percent larger than the 1994-95 season. This year's tonnage is a record large crop, surpassing the previous record of 3.032 million tons in the 1976-77 season. The October 1 Florida all grapefruit crop is forecast at a record large 59.0 million boxes (2.51 million tons), 13 percent more than last year and 6 percent more than the second largest crop of 1994-95. More trees and fruit per tree than last year, with average fruit size, contributed to the record large crop. The white seedless grapefruit forecast is 26.5 million boxes (1.13 million tons), 14 percent more than last season. The colored seedless forecast is 31.5 million boxes (1.34 million tons), up 12 percent from a year ago. The seedy grapefruit crop is expected to total 1.00 million boxes (43,000 tons), 5 percent less than last year. California's all grapefruit forecast is 8.00 million boxes (268,000 tons), 1 percent less than last year and 14 percent less than two years ago. Higher than normal temperatures matured the desert area crop slightly ahead of normal. Major defects throughout the State were wind scar, flat sides, and sunburn. Texas production is expected to be 5.70 million boxes (228,000 tons), 25 percent more than last year. More fruit per tree outweighed smaller fruit size for the larger production. The Arizona 1996-97 crop is 1.10 million boxes (37,000 tons), 8 percent fewer boxes than the 1995-96 crop. Although fruit quality is good, average to small sizes contributed to lower production. Lemons: The 1996-97 lemon crop is forecast at 1.02 million tons, 2 percent more than last year and 13 percent more than the 1994-95 crop. California production in 1996-97 is forecast at 22.0 million boxes (836,000 tons), 5 percent more than last year and 10 percent more than two seasons ago. Grades in the Central Valley are good to excellent. Sizes in the south coast area are small with fair quality. Desert area quality is reported as good. The Arizona lemon crop is expected to be 4.70 million boxes (179,000 tons), down 8 percent from a year ago but up 31 percent from two years ago. Young trees have suffered some wind scar on the fruit. Tangelos: The 1996-97 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 3.80 million boxes (171,000 tons), 55 percent more than last season's crop and 21 percent more than the 1994-95 season. Although fruit size is smaller than last year, an increase in trees and a huge increase in fruit per tree caused the larger crop. Temples: Florida 1996-97 temple production is forecast at 2.50 million boxes (113,000 tons), 16 percent more than last year's production but 2 percent fewer than the 1994-95 season. Increased fruit per tree offset fewer trees and smaller fruit for the increased production. Tangerines: The 1996-97 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at a record large 415,000 tons, 19 percent larger than last year's crop which was the previous record. Florida's tangerine forecast is 6.00 million boxes (285,000 tons), 33 percent more than the previous season's crop. Although fruit size is smaller than a year ago, more trees and fruit per tree caused the larger crop. California tangerine production is 2.60 million boxes (98,000 tons), equal to last year's production but 4 percent more than the 1994-95 crop. The crop was maturing well with average fruit size. Picking should begin by late October. Arizona's tangerine forecast is 850,000 boxes (32,000 tons), 15 percent less than last season but 31 percent more than two seasons ago. Fruit quality was good, but sizes were average to small. K-Early Citrus: Production of K-Early Citrus Fruit in Florida is expected to total 200,000 boxes (9,000 tons), 25 percent more than last season and 67 percent more than 1994-95. Smaller average fruit size and fewer trees were offset by much more fruit per tree to increase production. Florida Citrus: Groves, trees, and new crop fruit were in very good to excellent condition. Rainfall during the month was adequate. However, some areas received their monthly amounts in only a few days of very hard thunderstorms and pounding rain. Some locations had regular weekly rains. New growth was slowing. Early fruit started to show signs of color break and some of the specialty fruit turned brighter orange. The first harvest of the 1996-97 season was on September 9. Ambersweet oranges were picked first and Fallglo tangerines, white, and colored grapefruit followed close behind. Packed and shipped volumes were low compared to the past two years. A little over a hundred thousand boxes of all types were shipped to date. There were only a few processing plants open to receive packing house eliminations. Caretakers were very active cutting cover crops prior to the start of the new harvesting season. Some growers sprayed and applied fall fertilizations. Dead tree removal continued along with some replanting. Texas Citrus: Fruit set was good going into the season. However, a lack of rainfall and irrigation water slowed sizing. The quality of early picked fruit has been good despite the smaller sizes. Timely rainfall would be beneficial. Early orange harvest is expected to start in early October with grapefruit starting in mid-October. Since the 1989 freeze, a large amount of orange and grapefruit acreage continues to be planted. Apples: The final forecast of the 1996 apple crop stands at 10.61 billion pounds, down 1 percent from both the August 1 forecast and last year's production. Increased production in the Pacific Northwest and California was not enough to offset reduced prospects in the other states. The Eastern States (CT, DE, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, and WV) expect 2.44 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the August 1 forecast and 16 percent below a year ago. In New York, apples are 7 to 10 days behind in maturity but have good to excellent size. Harvest is in full swing in North Carolina with quality good. In Pennsylvania, previous poor pollination, heavy frosts, and hailstorms are expected to result in a smaller than normal crop. Fruit size is reported small in Virginia. Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, and WI) is forecast at 1.08 billion pounds, down 8 percent from the August 1 forecast and 33 percent below the 1995 crop. In Michigan, poor sizing resulted from the near drought conditions in August. Production for all varieties is expected to be well below 1995. The Macintosh harvest is winding down, while Jonathan picking is in full swing. Production in the Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, and WA) is forecast at 7.09 billion pounds, unchanged from the August 1 forecast and 15 percent above the 1995 crop. Despite a delay of two weeks in picking, the Red Delicious crop in Washington is maturing well with the recent cool nights and warm days. Quality appears excellent, but fruit size may be smaller than a year ago. Pecans: The October 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 251 million pounds (in-shell basis), an increase of 2 percent from September but down 6 percent from last year's crop of 268 million pounds. Forecasts in Louisiana and Texas increased while Oklahoma's forecast decreased this month. All other forecasting states remained at the same level. Georgia production is unchanged at 100 million pounds, up 33 percent from 1995. Dry conditions in some non-irrigated groves caused nuts to fall prematurely. Insect pressure was reported in a few areas. By September's end, harvest had not yet begun. The Texas forecast is 45.0 million pounds, 13 percent above the previous forecast but 40 percent below last year. The forecast for improved varieties increased 17 percent to 35.0 million while native varieties remained unchanged. Scab and shuckworms are causing problems in many areas. Harvest has started in South Texas. New Mexico forecasts 30.0 million pounds, equal to last month but 33 percent less than 1995. Nut quality is good to excellent. Drier weather has created favorable conditions for nut development. Alabama forecasts 15.0 million pounds, the same as September but up 50 percent from last year. Wet conditions have increased scab infestation. Louisiana expects 18.0 million pounds, 20 percent higher than the last forecast and 38 percent above the previous year. Timely rainfall in late August and September pushed native trees to near full production. Harvest is just getting started. Arizona is unchanged at 18.0 million pounds. Favorable weather conditions continued. Some growers reported controlling for aphids. Production in Oklahoma is forecast at 8.00 million pounds, 20 percent below September and 58 percent lower than last year. Web worms and casebearers continue to be a problem in many areas. Hazelnuts: Production in Oregon and Washington is forecast at 20,000 tons for 1996, unchanged from August's forecast and 49 percent below 1995. This is the lowest level since 1989's 13,000 tons. Oregon's forecast remains unchanged at 19,900 tons, nearly half of last year's crop. Washington's production forecast, at 100 tons, is carried forward from the previous forecast. Hazelnuts have been dropping for several weeks in western Oregon; however, most orchardists have not started harvesting yet. Crop development is running behind normal. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production was estimated at 2.74 million pounds for September. This was 7 percent lower than August but 3 percent higher than September 1995. Weather conditions during September were mixed. Heavy showers during the first half of the month kept soil moisture adequate. Light showers and sunshine were the norms for the second half of September. Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,960 acres, 3 percent higher than last month and 6 percent higher than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 3,165 acres, was 13 percent more than August and 36 percent more than last September. California Fruits and Nuts: The raisin grape harvest made significant progress throughout the month of September. By month's end, raisins were in all stages of harvest from just laid, to dry, to being rolled and binned. Table grape picking was active throughout the month, with Red Globe, Flame Seedless, and Thompson Seedless the major varieties picked. Harvest of grapes for wine use continued. Granny Smith and Fuji apples were harvested. The almond harvest was in full swing by mid month, while the early variety walnut harvest began during the first week of September. Prune and fig harvests were active throughout the month. California Citrus: Higher than normal temperatures speeded maturity of desert area grapefruit. Reported defects included wind scar, flat sides, and sunburn. Lemon grades in the Central Valley were good to excellent. Fruit size in the south coast area was small with fair quality reported. Good quality was reported in the desert area. Each area reported defects such as wind scar, spotting, sunburn, and botrytis bumps. Picking of early season Navel orange varieties was expected to begin in the Edison area of Kern County in early October. The number of oranges per tree is significantly less than a year ago, but the size of the fruit is very large. Navel oranges in other areas were turning color and maturing well. Picking of the 1995-96 Valencia orange crop was approximately 80 percent complete. Quality in the Central Valley was reported good. In Southern California, quality was below average and fruit size was small. The 1996-97 crop was maturing well. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between September 23 and October 3 to gather information on expected yield as of October 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 15,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed, considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submited their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB used the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published October 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the 1976-1995 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 4.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 9.01 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 4.4 percent or approximately 397 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 7.6 percent or approximately 685 million bushels. Also shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 239 million bushels, ranging from 5 million to 618 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Root Mean Square Error:: 10-year Record of :----------------------:: Differences Between Forecast : :90% Confidence:: and Final Estimate Crop and : : Level ::------------------------------- Unit :Percent:--------------:: Quantity :No. of Years : : : ::------------------------------- : :Percent: Quant:: : :Below:Above : : : :: Avg:Small:Large:Final:Final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Mil ::----- Mil ----- : :: Corn for Grain Bu: 4.4 7.6 685 :: 239 5 618 5 5 Sorghum for Grain Bu: 5.8 10.1 80 :: 35 9 105 6 4 Rice Cwt: 3.1 5.3 9 :: 5 1 13 6 4 Soybeans for : :: Beans Bu: 3.8 6.5 153 :: 49 2 103 5 5 Cotton Bales 1/: 4.3 7.5 1,364 :: 640 31 1,424 6 4 Dry Edible : :: Beans Cwt : 3.6 6.3 2 :: 0.7 0.2 1.3 7 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. Index Page Table Narrative Apples ............................................ A-34 B-14 Beans, Dry Edible ................................. A-24 B-10 Citrus Fruit ...................................... A-32 B-12 Corn for Grain .................................... A-12 B- 5 Corn - Ears per Acre .............................. A-37 Cotton ............................................ A-19 B- 8 Cottonseed ........................................ A-20 Crop Moisture Maps ................................ B- 1 Grapes ............................................ A-31 B-12 Hay, All .......................................... A-21 B- 9 Hay, Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay ......... A-22 B- 9 Hay, Other ........................................ A-23 B-10 Hazelnuts.......................................... A-36 B-15 Lentils ........................................... A-25 B-10 Papayas ........................................... A-36 B-15 Peanuts ........................................... A-18 B- 7 Peas, Austrian Winter ............................. A-26 B-10 Peas, Dry Edible .................................. A-25 B-10 Pecans ............................................ A-35 B-14 Potatoes .......................................... A-26 B-10 Reliability Statement ............................. B-16 Rice .............................................. A-14 B- 6 Sorghum for Grain ................................. A-13 B- 6 Soybeans for Beans ................................ A-15 B- 6 Sugarbeets ........................................ A-30 B-11 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed ...................... A-30 B-11 Sunflower ......................................... A-17 B- 7 Tobacco ........................................... A-27 B-11 U S Summary ....................................... A- 3 Report Features The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on November 12, 1996. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843 Kevin Barnes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Dan Kerestes - Corn (202) 720-9526 Roger Latham - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Joel Moore - Barley, Hay, Sorghum (202) 690-3234 Greg Preston - Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather, Oats (202) 720-7621 Barbara Rater - Peanuts, Rice, Tobacco (202) 720-7688 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Vince Matthews, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Howard Hill - Cherries, Berries, Prunes, Plums, Cranberries, Grapes, Maple Syrup (202) 720-7235 Linda McMillan - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 690-0270 Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions (202) 720-2157 Linda Simpson - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas, Mushrooms, Hops (202) 690-0270 Blair Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. 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