HDR1012000110010812970830CROP PRODUCTION Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 12, 1997, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Forecast refers to August 1, 1997. Index and report features are located at the end of this report. Corn Production at 9.28 Billion Bushels, Record Soybean Production Corn production is forecast at 9.28 billion bushels, virtually unchanged from last year but up 26 percent from 1995. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 125.3 bushels per acre, down 1.8 bushels from a year ago. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 74.0 million acres, up 1 percent from 1996. All cotton production is forecast at 17.8 million bales, down 6 percent from 1996. Yield is expected to average 637 pounds per acre, down 70 pounds from last year. Producers planted 13.9 million acres this year, 5 percent less than one year ago. Harvested acreage is estimated at 13.4 million acres, up 4 percent due to the large abandonment in Texas last year. Alabama's abandoned acreage is estimated at 100,000 acres, due to early season heavy rainfall and the effects of hurricane Danny in late July. Cool temperatures in May and June throughout most of the cotton belt, delayed development of the crop. The dryland crop in the Plains of Texas had ample moisture throughout the season, and development is ahead of average. Soybean production is forecast at a record 2.74 billion bushels, up 15 percent from 1996 and 9 percent above the 1994 record year. Yield is forecast at 39.3 bushels per acre, 1.7 bushels above last year, but 2.1 bushels below the record yield in 1994. Area for harvest is estimated at 69.8 million acres. ********************* The release of the "Cranberries" report will be on Tuesday, August 19, at 1 p.m. The report was previously scheduled for release on August 20, 1997, at 1 p.m. The 1996-97 end-of-season Florida grapefruit estimates scheduled for release in the "Citrus Fruits" report on September 23, 1997, will also be released in the "Crop Production" report on September 12, 1997. This early release will allow the 1996-97 estimates to be available for a September 17 hearing in Lakeland, FL on a proposed State grapefruit marketing order. Cr Pr 2-2 (8-97)a All wheat production is placed at 2.53 billion bushels, up 4 percent from the last forecast and 11 percent more than in 1996. The U.S. yield is now forecast at 39.9 bushels per acre. This is up 1.6 bushels per acre from last month to a new record high. The final winter wheat production forecast is 1.86 billion bushels, up 4 percent from last month and 26 percent higher than 1996. The U.S. yield is forecast at a record high 44.6 bushels per acre. This is up 1.8 bushels from July 1. Grain area was not changed from last month. Hard Red Winter wheat production is up 5 percent from July due to higher yields in Kansas, Oklahoma and Nebraska. The Kansas yield is a new record high as is the Kansas production. Soft Red Winter, at 470 million bushels, is also up from a month ago and is the most since 1990. Illinois and Missouri growers have harvested record high yields. The Ohio average equals the current record. Michigan's yield is also a new record. White Winter production is up from last month due to improved yield prospects in all three Pacific Northwest States. Durum wheat production is forecast at 90.2 million bushels, up 11 percent from last month, but still well below last year. August 1 conditions in the northern Durum states have increased yield expectations in the Dakotas and Montana. The U.S.yield is now forecast at 28.1 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels per acre from July 1. Other spring wheat production is forecast at 585 million bushels, up 3 percent from a month ago. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 31.3 bushels per acre. This is 0.9 bushels per acre better than July 1. There were no area changes. Hard Red Spring production is up 3 percent from July at 528 million bushels. White Spring production is up 1 percent. This report was approved on August 12, 1997, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Acting Chairperson Keith J. Collins Frederic A. Vogel Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : : Corn : 79,487 80,227 73,147 74,049 Sorghum : 13,188 10,268 11,901 9,512 Oats : 4,661 5,264 2,687 3,222 Barley : 7,174 6,769 6,787 6,397 All Wheat : 75,639 70,767 62,850 63,495 Winter : 51,983 48,342 39,709 41,583 Durum : 3,620 3,270 3,546 3,208 Other Spring : 20,036 19,155 19,595 18,704 Rice : 2,819.0 3,065.0 2,799.0 3,037.0 Soybeans : 64,205 70,850 63,409 69,816 Peanuts : 1,401.5 1,418.0 1,380.0 1,398.5 All Cotton : 14,633.5 13,905.0 12,868.1 13,409.5 Upland : 14,375.5 13,655.0 12,612.2 13,160.5 Amer-Pima : 258.0 250.0 255.9 249.0 Cottonseed : All Hay : 61,029 60,807 Alfalfa : 24,291 23,556 All Other : 36,738 37,251 Dry Edible Beans : 1,813.0 1,913.6 1,717.7 1,750.1 Tobacco : 732.7 794.9 Sugarbeets : 1,368.4 1,464.8 1,323.3 1,438.5 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 888.9 895.0 Hops : 44.2 44.0 Coffee (HI) : 5.7 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 0.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1996-97 (Domestic Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 1/ : 1996 : 1997 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : Rye : 1,467 1,443 347 359 Sunflower : 2,556 2,920 2,499 2,807 Flaxseed : 96 152 92 146 Potatoes : Winter : 14.5 15.6 14.5 15.4 Spring : 93.4 87.7 90.0 86.1 Summer : 77.9 68.0 74.7 65.1 Fall : 1,268.9 1,198.6 1,245.6 1,181.5 Total : 1,454.7 1,369.9 1,424.8 1,348.1 Sweet Potatoes : 89.1 87.8 84.8 84.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 (Domestic Units) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre: Production Crop and Unit :--------------------------------------------------- : : : : Jul 1, : Aug 1, : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1997 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ : Corn for Grain Bu : 127.1 125.3 9,293,435 9,275,870 Sorghum for Grain " : 67.5 66.2 802,974 629,299 Oats " : 57.8 58.1 155,225 182,672 187,127 Barley " : 58.5 59.4 396,851 371,778 380,015 All Wheat " : 36.3 39.9 2,281,763 2,430,746 2,530,534 Winter " : 37.2 44.6 1,478,048 1,780,554 1,855,474 Durum " : 32.7 28.1 115,840 80,927 90,155 Other Spring " : 35.1 31.3 687,875 569,265 584,905 Rice 1/ Cwt : 6,121 5,994 171,321 182,034 Soybeans for Beans Bu : 37.6 39.3 2,382,364 2,744,451 Peanuts Lb : 2,653 2,717 3,661,205 3,800,225 All Cotton 1/ Bale: 707 637 18,942.0 17,782.5 Upland 1/ " : 701 628 18,413.5 17,228.5 Amer-Pima 1/ " : 991 1,068 528.5 554.0 Cottonseed Ton : 7,143.5 All Hay " : 2.45 2.53 149,457 153,886 Alfalfa " : 3.27 3.30 79,377 77,817 All Other " : 1.91 2.04 70,080 76,069 Dry Edible Beans 1/ Cwt : 1,592 1,666 27,354 29,163 Tobacco Lb : 2,071 2,046 1,517,334 1,626,317 Sugarbeets Ton : 20.2 20.6 26,680 29,688 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed " : 33.1 33.0 29,462 29,546 Hops Lb : 1,698 1,680 74,970.5 73,838.0 Coffee (HI) 2/ : 1,120 6,400 Ginger Root (HI) " :47,000 44,000 9,400 12,100 Apples, Comm'l " : 10,355,000 10,648,900 Peaches " : 2,070,300 2,648,900 2,643,900 Pears Ton : 820.8 1,019.8 Grapes " : 5,548.0 5,800.0 6,644.4 Olives (CA) " : 166.0 95.0 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) " : 20.0 28.4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield in pounds. 2/ 1996 revised. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested 1/ Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : : Corn : 32,167,590 32,467,060 29,601,860 29,966,890 Sorghum : 5,337,050 4,155,360 4,816,220 3,849,410 Oats : 1,886,260 2,130,290 1,087,400 1,303,910 Barley : 2,903,250 2,739,350 2,746,630 2,588,800 All Wheat : 30,610,350 28,638,700 25,434,770 25,695,790 Winter : 21,037,000 19,563,520 16,069,840 16,828,220 Durum : 1,464,980 1,323,340 1,435,030 1,298,250 Other Spring : 8,108,370 7,751,840 7,929,900 7,569,320 Rice : 1,140,820 1,240,370 1,132,730 1,229,040 Soybeans : 25,983,120 28,672,290 25,660,990 28,253,840 Peanuts : 567,170 573,850 558,470 565,960 All Cotton : 5,922,030 5,627,210 5,207,590 5,426,690 Upland : 5,817,620 5,526,040 5,104,030 5,325,920 Amer-Pima : 104,410 101,170 103,560 100,770 Cottonseed : All Hay : 24,697,830 24,607,980 Alfalfa : 9,830,320 9,532,880 All Other : 14,867,500 15,075,110 Dry Edible Beans : 733,700 774,410 695,140 708,250 Tobacco : 296,510 321,700 Sugarbeets : 553,780 592,790 535,530 582,150 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 359,730 362,200 Hops : 17,870 17,790 Coffee (HI) : 2,310 Ginger Root (HI) : 80 110 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1996-97 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 1/ : 1996 : 1997 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Hectares : Rye : 593,680 583,970 140,430 145,280 Sunflower : 1,034,390 1,181,690 1,011,320 1,135,960 Flaxseed : 38,850 61,510 37,230 59,080 Potatoes : Winter : 5,870 6,310 5,870 6,230 Spring : 37,800 35,490 36,420 34,840 Summer : 31,530 27,520 30,230 26,350 Fall : 513,510 485,060 504,080 478,140 Total : 588,700 554,380 576,600 545,560 Sweet Potatoes : 36,060 35,530 34,320 34,280 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Yield per Hectare: Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Jul 1, : Aug 1, : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Corn for Grain : 7.97 7.86 236,064,120 235,617,950 Sorghum for Grain : 4.23 4.15 20,396,480 15,984,930 Oats : 2.07 2.08 2,253,080 2,651,480 2,716,140 Barley : 3.15 3.20 8,640,410 8,094,510 8,273,850 All Wheat : 2.44 2.68 62,099,410 66,154,060 68,869,860 Winter : 2.50 3.00 40,225,870 48,458,740 50,497,730 Durum : 2.20 1.89 3,152,650 2,202,470 2,453,620 Other Spring : 2.36 2.10 18,720,890 15,492,850 15,918,510 Rice : 6.86 6.72 7,770,990 8,256,920 Soybeans for Beans : 2.53 2.64 64,837,320 74,691,720 Peanuts : 2.97 3.05 1,660,690 1,723,750 All Cotton : 0.79 0.71 4,124,140 3,871,680 Upland : 0.79 0.70 4,009,070 3,751,060 Amer-Pima : 1.11 1.20 115,070 120,620 Cottonseed : 6,480,470 All Hay : 5.49 5.67 135,585,110 139,603,030 Alfalfa : 7.33 7.41 72,009,600 70,594,390 All Other : 4.28 4.58 63,575,510 69,008,640 Dry Edible Beans : 1.78 1.87 1,240,760 1,322,810 Tobacco : 2.32 2.29 688,250 737,690 Sugarbeets : 45.20 46.26 24,203,690 26,932,500 Sugarcane for : Sugar and Seed : 74.30 74.00 26,727,480 26,803,680 Hops : 1.90 1.88 34,010 33,490 Coffee (HI) 1/ : 1.26 2,900 Ginger Root (HI) : 53.25 49.91 4,260 5,490 Apples, Comm'l : 4,696,950 4,830,260 Peaches : 939,070 1,201,520 1,199,250 Pears : 744,570 925,100 Grapes : 5,033,060 5,261,670 6,027,650 Olives (CA) : 150,590 86,180 Prunes and Plums : (Excl CA) : 18,140 25,760 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1996 revised. Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1996-97 (Domestic Units) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre : Production Crop and Unit :--------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 1/ : 1996 : 1997 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 ------- : Potatoes : Winter Cwt : 226 205 3,273 3,157 Spring " : 249 250 22,417 21,498 Summer " : 259 252 19,375 16,418 Fall " : 363 452,039 Total " : 349 497,104 Sweet Cherries Ton : 154.3 191.3 Tart Cherries Lb : 270,300 242,200 Apricots Ton : 79.8 132.0 Dried Prunes (CA) " : 220.0 215.0 Almonds (CA) Lb : 510,000 680,000 Walnuts (CA) Ton : 208.0 230.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1996-97 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per Hectare : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 1/ : 1996 : 1997 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : Potatoes : Winter : 25.29 22.99 148,460 143,200 Spring : 27.92 27.99 1,016,820 975,130 Summer : 29.07 28.26 878,840 744,710 Fall : 40.68 20,504,150 Total : 39.11 22,548,270 Sweet Cherries : 139,980 173,500 Tart Cherries : 122,610 109,860 Apricots : 72,390 119,750 Dried Prunes (CA) : 199,580 195,040 Almonds (CA) : 231,330 308,440 Walnuts (CA) : 188,690 208,650 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Selected Crops: Area Planted by State, 1997, and United States, 1995-97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Dry State : Upland : Peanuts : Sugarbeets : Edible : Cotton : : : Beans ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 520.0 190.0 AZ : 330.0 AR : 950.0 CA : 880.0 110.0 130.0 CO : 68.4 *140.0 DE : FL : *100.0 90.0 GA : 1,440.0 520.0 ID : 197.0 115.0 IL : IN : IA : KS : 15.0 29.0 KY : LA : 590.0 MD : MI : 163.0 320.0 MN : 450.0 180.0 MS : 980.0 MO : 370.0 MT : 59.7 *12.2 NE : 66.0 190.0 NV : NJ : NM : 70.0 17.5 1.6 *12.0 NY : *40.0 NC : 690.0 130.0 ND : 233.0 630.0 OH : *.9 OK : 220.0 85.0 OR : 17.2 11.0 PA : SC : *290.0 *10.5 SD : TN : 510.0 TX : *5,600.0 300.0 16.5 15.0 UT : *5.8 VA : *100.0 *75.0 WA : *18.5 *38.0 WV : WI : 8.6 WY : 63.0 37.0 : US : *13,655.0 *1,418.0 *1,464.8 *1,913.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1995 : 16,716.8 1,537.5 1,444.6 2,069.3 1996 : 14,375.5 1,401.5 1,368.4 1,813.0 1997 : 13,655.0 1,418.0 1,464.8 1,913.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from "Acreage" released June 30, 1997. Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- -------- 1,000 Bushels -------- : AL : 280 260 82.0 92.0 16,500 22,960 23,920 AZ : 40 45 175.0 175.0 3,740 7,000 7,875 AR : 230 170 125.0 110.0 9,775 28,750 18,700 CA : 220 260 160.0 170.0 24,000 35,200 44,200 CO : 940 1,030 142.0 148.0 92,130 133,480 152,440 CT 1/ : DE : 150 146 143.0 100.0 14,595 21,450 14,600 FL : 112 80 88.0 100.0 5,400 9,856 8,000 GA : 525 500 95.0 107.0 31,500 49,875 53,500 ID : 40 40 135.0 145.0 4,900 5,400 5,800 IL : 10,800 11,000 136.0 127.0 1,130,000 1,468,800 1,397,000 IN : 5,450 5,850 123.0 127.0 598,900 670,350 742,950 IA : 12,450 11,950 138.0 140.0 1,402,200 1,718,100 1,673,000 KS : 2,350 2,700 152.0 130.0 244,280 357,200 351,000 KY : 1,200 1,220 124.0 108.0 123,120 148,800 131,760 LA : 523 490 125.0 115.0 23,205 65,375 56,350 ME 1/ : MD : 465 450 139.0 85.0 42,000 64,635 38,250 MA 1/ : MI : 2,300 2,300 94.0 110.0 249,550 216,200 253,000 MN : 6,950 6,450 125.0 130.0 731,850 868,750 838,500 MS : 605 470 102.0 105.0 26,125 61,710 49,350 MO : 2,650 2,850 134.0 108.0 149,940 355,100 307,800 MT : 15 15 137.0 130.0 1,920 2,055 1,950 NE : 8,300 8,800 143.0 133.0 854,700 1,186,900 1,170,400 NH 1/ : NJ : 94 102 126.0 95.0 7,254 11,844 9,690 NM : 84 85 175.0 170.0 11,680 14,700 14,450 NY : 630 660 107.0 118.0 64,050 67,410 77,880 NC : 900 900 95.0 85.0 74,900 85,500 76,500 ND : 720 650 91.0 95.0 40,290 65,520 61,750 OH : 2,750 3,450 111.0 130.0 375,100 305,250 448,500 OK : 170 180 145.0 150.0 16,250 24,650 27,000 OR : 33 20 165.0 185.0 3,360 5,445 3,700 PA : 1,070 1,120 119.0 85.0 94,080 127,330 95,200 RI 1/ : SC : 380 335 79.0 95.0 24,115 30,020 31,825 SD : 3,700 3,350 100.0 95.0 193,550 370,000 318,250 TN : 680 650 116.0 105.0 63,720 78,880 68,250 TX : 1,800 1,800 112.0 135.0 216,600 201,600 243,000 UT : 21 21 130.0 125.0 2,000 2,730 2,625 VT 1/ : VA : 310 340 126.0 83.0 30,525 39,060 28,220 WA : 120 110 185.0 190.0 19,380 22,200 20,900 WV : 40 45 105.0 95.0 4,000 4,200 4,275 WI : 3,000 3,100 111.0 128.0 347,700 333,000 396,800 WY : 50 55 123.0 122.0 4,992 6,150 6,710 : US : 73,147 74,049 127.1 125.3 7,373,876 9,293,435 9,275,870 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Not estimated. Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -- Bushels -- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AL : 10 9 55.0 60.0 320 550 540 AR : 220 150 74.0 70.0 13,135 16,280 10,500 CO : 260 160 51.0 35.0 4,620 13,260 5,600 GA : 40 40 41.0 46.0 1,110 1,640 1,840 IL : 220 150 84.0 82.0 11,730 18,480 12,300 KS : 4,600 3,550 77.0 70.0 173,600 354,200 248,500 KY : 23 13 92.0 75.0 1,848 2,116 975 LA : 153 107 76.0 75.0 5,880 11,628 8,025 MS : 72 33 70.0 65.0 2,665 5,040 2,145 MO : 580 430 91.0 78.0 35,770 52,780 33,540 NE : 1,030 800 95.0 90.0 56,840 97,850 72,000 NM : 225 230 33.0 42.0 3,380 7,425 9,660 NC : 10 11 57.0 49.0 650 570 539 OK : 490 490 59.0 54.0 12,800 28,910 26,460 SC : 5 4 50.0 50.0 320 250 200 SD : 145 170 55.0 55.0 4,800 7,975 9,350 TN : 18 15 90.0 85.0 1,305 1,620 1,275 TX : 3,800 3,150 48.0 59.0 129,600 182,400 185,850 : US : 11,901 9,512 67.5 66.2 460,373 802,974 629,299 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1997 : : : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 :-------------------: 1996 : 1997 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL 1/ : 20 23 45.0 40.0 40.0 900 920 AR 1/ : 25 17 72.0 61.0 61.0 1,800 1,037 CA : 30 30 75.0 80.0 80.0 2,250 2,400 CO : 35 28 52.0 62.0 60.0 1,820 1,680 GA 1/ : 35 40 64.0 62.0 62.0 2,240 2,480 ID : 25 20 75.0 70.0 70.0 1,875 1,400 IL : 70 75 66.0 72.0 72.0 4,620 5,400 IN : 25 35 64.0 65.0 67.0 1,600 2,345 IA : 190 260 68.0 70.0 74.0 12,920 19,240 KS : 80 80 52.0 55.0 64.0 4,160 5,120 ME : 28 23 75.0 75.0 70.0 2,100 1,610 MD 1/ : 7 8 62.0 70.0 70.0 434 560 MI : 60 90 60.0 60.0 58.0 3,600 5,220 MN : 270 360 56.0 53.0 53.0 15,120 19,080 MO : 29 25 53.0 65.0 65.0 1,537 1,625 MT : 50 70 40.0 52.0 55.0 2,000 3,850 NE : 105 110 71.0 60.0 65.0 7,455 7,150 NY : 75 110 57.0 63.0 60.0 4,275 6,600 NC : 20 25 60.0 66.0 68.0 1,200 1,700 ND : 380 500 50.0 35.0 38.0 19,000 19,000 OH : 90 110 57.0 62.0 74.0 5,130 8,140 OK : 20 45 30.0 49.0 46.0 600 2,070 OR : 35 38 97.0 105.0 97.0 3,395 3,686 PA : 135 160 56.0 55.0 55.0 7,560 8,800 SC 1/ : 30 30 54.0 60.0 60.0 1,620 1,800 SD : 360 330 60.0 60.0 60.0 21,600 19,800 TX : 100 150 34.0 52.0 52.0 3,400 7,800 UT 1/ : 9 9 72.0 74.0 74.0 648 666 WA : 14 17 80.0 75.0 80.0 1,120 1,360 WV 1/ : 3 4 50.0 47.0 47.0 150 188 WI : 300 370 58.0 61.0 61.0 17,400 22,570 WY : 32 30 53.0 60.0 61.0 1,696 1,830 : US : 2,687 3,222 57.8 56.7 58.1 155,225 187,127 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1997 : : : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 :-------------------: 1996 : 1997 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AZ 1/ : 54 69 105.0 109.0 109.0 5,670 7,521 CA : 220 180 60.0 65.0 65.0 13,200 11,700 CO : 92 90 108.0 120.0 115.0 9,936 10,350 DE 1/ : 23 35 68.0 79.0 79.0 1,564 2,765 ID : 730 760 73.0 71.0 74.0 53,290 56,240 KS : 11 9 33.0 47.0 45.0 363 405 KY 1/ : 20 14 74.0 70.0 70.0 1,480 980 MD : 49 50 61.0 85.0 77.0 2,989 3,850 MI 1/ : 25 22 48.0 57.0 57.0 1,200 1,254 MN : 520 570 64.0 61.0 57.0 33,280 32,490 MT : 1,200 1,200 43.0 52.0 54.0 51,600 64,800 NE 1/ : 17 8 53.0 56.0 56.0 901 448 NV 1/ : 5 5 75.0 90.0 90.0 375 450 NJ 1/ : 3 4 60.0 75.0 75.0 180 300 NC 1/ : 20 20 65.0 71.0 71.0 1,300 1,420 ND : 2,600 2,200 55.0 45.0 47.0 143,000 103,400 OK 1/ : 3 8 23.0 39.0 39.0 69 312 OR : 150 120 64.0 69.0 69.0 9,600 8,280 PA : 75 75 67.0 67.0 69.0 5,025 5,175 SC 1/ : 4 3 50.0 60.0 60.0 200 180 SD : 145 115 44.0 44.0 44.0 6,380 5,060 TX 1/ : 11 5 34.0 49.0 49.0 374 245 UT : 100 95 82.0 90.0 90.0 8,200 8,550 VA : 75 65 68.0 77.0 80.0 5,100 5,200 WA : 440 490 62.0 66.0 70.0 27,280 34,300 WI : 75 65 53.0 60.0 60.0 3,975 3,900 WY : 120 120 86.0 87.0 87.0 10,320 10,440 : US : 6,787 6,397 58.5 58.1 59.4 396,851 380,015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. All Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1997 : : : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 :-------------------: 1996 : 1997 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL 1/ : 80 110 44.0 35.0 35.0 3,520 3,850 AZ 1/ : 178 98 90.4 92.3 92.3 16,090 9,042 AR 1/ : 1,240 790 54.0 45.0 45.0 66,960 35,550 CA 1/ : 688 510 75.2 80.1 80.1 51,750 40,850 CO : 2,268 2,912 33.3 34.0 34.0 75,500 99,010 DE 1/ : 78 77 53.0 55.0 55.0 4,134 4,235 FL 1/ : 10 15 38.0 39.0 39.0 380 585 GA 1/ : 350 360 48.0 44.0 44.0 16,800 15,840 ID : 1,560 1,430 76.4 76.0 77.3 119,200 110,480 IL : 1,100 1,150 38.0 60.0 60.0 41,800 69,000 IN : 720 640 38.0 54.0 57.0 27,360 36,480 IA 1/ : 45 25 35.0 38.0 38.0 1,575 950 KS : 8,800 10,700 29.0 42.0 46.0 255,200 492,200 KY : 530 500 53.0 52.0 55.0 28,090 27,500 LA 1/ : 130 145 43.0 38.0 38.0 5,590 5,510 MD 1/ : 227 215 52.0 60.0 60.0 11,804 12,900 MI : 630 540 38.0 54.0 61.0 23,940 32,940 MN : 2,442 2,405 41.9 37.9 35.0 102,382 84,180 MS 1/ : 230 190 49.0 42.0 42.0 11,270 7,980 MO : 1,250 1,040 39.0 53.0 57.0 48,750 59,280 MT : 6,350 6,010 27.8 29.9 30.1 176,710 180,850 NE : 2,100 1,900 35.0 35.0 37.0 73,500 70,300 NV 1/ : 19 17 86.8 96.5 96.5 1,650 1,640 NJ 1/ : 38 34 46.0 44.0 44.0 1,748 1,496 NM 1/ : 110 300 37.0 34.0 34.0 4,070 10,200 NY 1/ : 150 135 43.0 52.0 52.0 6,450 7,020 NC : 590 670 44.0 52.0 52.0 25,960 34,840 ND : 12,515 11,188 31.6 23.8 26.0 395,130 291,438 OH : 1,330 1,060 39.0 57.0 62.0 51,870 65,720 OK : 4,900 5,400 19.0 32.0 33.0 93,100 178,200 OR : 955 965 70.8 66.4 69.0 67,605 66,550 PA 1/ : 190 175 48.0 52.0 52.0 9,120 9,100 SC 1/ : 270 305 45.0 50.0 50.0 12,150 15,250 SD : 3,854 3,574 36.1 30.9 31.6 139,270 113,098 TN 1/ : 400 370 44.0 43.0 43.0 17,600 15,910 TX : 2,900 4,100 26.0 29.0 29.0 75,400 118,900 UT 1/ : 188 189 41.3 45.8 45.8 7,760 8,650 VA 1/ : 275 255 53.0 60.0 60.0 14,575 15,300 WA : 2,745 2,595 66.5 60.4 62.4 182,670 162,000 WV 1/ : 11 9 45.0 45.0 45.0 495 405 WI 1/ : 135 142 42.4 51.2 51.2 5,725 7,265 WY 1/ : 269 250 26.4 32.2 32.2 7,110 8,040 : US : 62,850 63,495 36.3 38.3 39.9 2,281,763 2,530,534 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1997 : : : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 :-------------------: 1996 : 1997 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL 1/ : 80 110 44.0 35.0 35.0 3,520 3,850 AZ 1/ : 14 9 95.0 85.0 85.0 1,330 765 AR 1/ : 1,240 790 54.0 45.0 45.0 66,960 35,550 CA 1/ : 550 380 69.0 75.0 75.0 37,950 28,500 CO : 2,200 2,850 32.0 33.0 33.0 70,400 94,050 DE 1/ : 78 77 53.0 55.0 55.0 4,134 4,235 FL 1/ : 10 15 38.0 39.0 39.0 380 585 GA 1/ : 350 360 48.0 44.0 44.0 16,800 15,840 ID : 860 870 80.0 78.0 80.0 68,800 69,600 IL : 1,100 1,150 38.0 60.0 60.0 41,800 69,000 IN : 720 640 38.0 54.0 57.0 27,360 36,480 IA 1/ : 45 25 35.0 38.0 38.0 1,575 950 KS : 8,800 10,700 29.0 42.0 46.0 255,200 492,200 KY : 530 500 53.0 52.0 55.0 28,090 27,500 LA 1/ : 130 145 43.0 38.0 38.0 5,590 5,510 MD 1/ : 227 215 52.0 60.0 60.0 11,804 12,900 MI : 630 540 38.0 54.0 61.0 23,940 32,940 MN 1/ : 32 50 36.0 35.0 35.0 1,152 1,750 MS 1/ : 230 190 49.0 42.0 42.0 11,270 7,980 MO : 1,250 1,040 39.0 53.0 57.0 48,750 59,280 MT : 1,980 1,500 32.0 37.0 37.0 63,360 55,500 NE : 2,100 1,900 35.0 35.0 37.0 73,500 70,300 NV 1/ : 9 11 100.0 100.0 100.0 900 1,100 NJ 1/ : 38 34 46.0 44.0 44.0 1,748 1,496 NM 1/ : 110 300 37.0 34.0 34.0 4,070 10,200 NY 1/ : 150 135 43.0 52.0 52.0 6,450 7,020 NC : 590 670 44.0 52.0 52.0 25,960 34,840 ND 1/ : 75 38 30.0 26.0 26.0 2,250 988 OH : 1,330 1,060 39.0 57.0 62.0 51,870 65,720 OK : 4,900 5,400 19.0 32.0 33.0 93,100 178,200 OR : 850 840 72.0 67.0 70.0 61,200 58,800 PA 1/ : 190 175 48.0 52.0 52.0 9,120 9,100 SC 1/ : 270 305 45.0 50.0 50.0 12,150 15,250 SD : 1,580 1,150 35.0 33.0 31.0 55,300 35,650 TN 1/ : 400 370 44.0 43.0 43.0 17,600 15,910 TX : 2,900 4,100 26.0 29.0 29.0 75,400 118,900 UT 1/ : 160 160 38.0 45.0 45.0 6,080 7,200 VA 1/ : 275 255 53.0 60.0 60.0 14,575 15,300 WA : 2,350 2,150 70.0 63.0 65.0 164,500 139,750 WV 1/ : 11 9 45.0 45.0 45.0 495 405 WI 1/ : 125 135 43.0 52.0 52.0 5,375 7,020 WY 1/ : 240 230 26.0 32.0 32.0 6,240 7,360 : US : 39,709 41,583 37.2 42.9 44.6 1,478,048 1,855,474 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1997 : : : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 :-------------------: 1996 : 1997 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ 1/ : 164 89 90.0 93.0 93.0 14,760 8,277 CA 1/ : 138 130 100.0 95.0 95.0 13,800 12,350 MN : 10 5 43.0 38.0 36.0 430 180 MT : 270 310 25.0 21.0 25.0 6,750 7,750 ND : 2,940 2,650 27.0 20.0 23.0 79,380 60,950 SD : 24 24 30.0 25.0 27.0 720 648 : US : 3,546 3,208 32.7 25.2 28.1 115,840 90,155 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 1997 : : : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 :-------------------: 1996 : 1997 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : CO 1/ : 68 62 75.0 80.0 80.0 5,100 4,960 ID : 700 560 72.0 73.0 73.0 50,400 40,880 MN : 2,400 2,350 42.0 38.0 35.0 100,800 82,250 MT : 4,100 4,200 26.0 28.0 28.0 106,600 117,600 NV 1/ : 10 6 75.0 90.0 90.0 750 540 ND : 9,500 8,500 33.0 25.0 27.0 313,500 229,500 OR 1/ : 105 125 61.0 62.0 62.0 6,405 7,750 SD : 2,250 2,400 37.0 30.0 32.0 83,250 76,800 UT 1/ : 28 29 60.0 50.0 50.0 1,680 1,450 WA : 395 445 46.0 48.0 50.0 18,170 22,250 WI 1/ : 10 7 35.0 35.0 35.0 350 245 WY 1/ : 29 20 30.0 34.0 34.0 870 680 : US : 19,595 18,704 35.1 30.4 31.3 687,875 584,905 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1995-1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : Durum : White : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 1995 : 825,042 455,568 264,043 475,046 102,280 60,612 2,182,591 1996 : 762,402 422,019 293,627 626,753 115,840 61,122 2,281,763 1997 :1,112,228 469,624 273,622 527,665 90,155 57,240 2,530,534 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available for all wheat producing States. Unless unusual situations dictate, the previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : AL : 191.0 189.0 2,355 2,300 483,360 449,805 434,700 FL : 82.0 82.0 2,880 3,100 193,590 236,160 254,200 GA : 533.0 518.0 2,690 2,800 1,414,880 1,433,770 1,450,400 NM : 16.5 17.5 2,300 2,450 43,000 37,950 42,875 NC : 125.0 130.0 2,940 2,850 347,040 367,500 370,500 OK : 81.0 83.0 2,410 2,500 201,880 195,210 207,500 SC : 10.5 10.0 3,100 2,900 30,800 32,550 29,000 TX : 265.0 295.0 2,600 2,750 540,000 689,000 811,250 VA : 76.0 74.0 2,885 2,700 206,925 219,260 199,800 : US : 1,380.0 1,398.5 2,653 2,717 3,461,475 3,661,205 3,800,225 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Cwt ------- : AR : 1,170 1,337 6,150 5,850 73,020 71,945 78,215 CA : 500 513 7,490 8,200 35,352 37,459 42,066 LA : 533 565 4,870 4,800 26,209 25,977 27,120 MS : 208 268 6,000 5,500 15,552 12,480 14,740 MO : 90 95 5,550 5,400 5,936 4,995 5,130 TX : 298 259 6,200 5,700 17,802 18,465 14,763 : US : 2,799 3,037 6,121 5,994 173,871 171,321 182,034 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1995 : 121,730 51,241 900 173,871 1996 : 113,462 56,790 1,069 171,321 1997 1/ : 127,275 53,198 1,561 182,034 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated August 1, 1997, rice class estimates are based on a five-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,848.7 7,186.4 6,793.8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -- Bushels -- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AL : 315 380 34.0 29.0 5,400 10,710 11,020 AR : 3,500 3,550 32.0 32.0 88,400 112,000 113,600 DE : 217 221 35.0 26.0 4,660 7,595 5,746 FL : 33 38 32.0 30.0 728 1,056 1,140 GA : 390 420 26.0 28.0 8,370 10,140 11,760 IL : 9,850 9,950 40.5 43.0 378,300 398,925 427,850 IN : 5,360 5,350 38.0 44.0 196,710 203,680 235,400 IA : 9,450 10,400 44.0 49.0 407,440 415,800 509,600 KS : 2,000 2,300 37.0 32.0 51,250 74,000 73,600 KY : 1,180 1,280 38.0 36.0 41,400 44,840 46,080 LA : 1,080 1,350 33.0 29.0 26,000 35,640 39,150 MD : 480 530 37.0 29.0 11,730 17,760 15,370 MI : 1,640 1,890 28.5 40.0 59,600 46,740 75,600 MN : 5,900 6,700 38.0 42.0 234,900 224,200 281,400 MS : 1,750 2,050 31.0 27.0 37,800 54,250 55,350 MO : 4,050 4,850 37.0 34.0 132,750 149,850 164,900 NE : 3,010 3,450 45.0 43.0 100,980 135,450 148,350 NJ : 119 132 37.0 30.0 3,036 4,403 3,960 NC : 1,200 1,330 29.0 28.0 26,750 34,800 37,240 ND : 845 1,290 29.0 28.0 18,560 24,505 36,120 OH : 4,490 4,490 35.0 42.0 153,140 157,150 188,580 OK : 285 320 26.0 26.0 5,500 7,410 8,320 PA : 285 365 40.0 35.0 9,450 11,400 12,775 SC : 540 610 25.0 26.0 12,720 13,500 15,860 SD : 2,670 3,450 34.0 34.0 75,000 90,780 117,300 TN : 1,150 1,270 35.0 32.0 34,560 40,250 40,640 TX : 270 400 26.0 27.0 6,000 7,020 10,800 VA : 480 490 34.0 30.0 11,280 16,320 14,700 WI : 870 960 37.0 44.0 34,400 32,190 42,240 : US : 63,409 69,816 37.6 39.3 2,176,814 2,382,364 2,744,451 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ and :-------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds --- ------ 1,000 Bales 2/ ------ : Upland : AL : 516.0 420.0 734 503 492.0 789.0 440.0 AZ : 314.0 329.0 1,189 1,167 793.0 778.0 800.0 AR : 990.0 930.0 793 692 1,468.0 1,636.0 1,340.0 CA : 995.0 875.0 1,153 1,207 2,312.0 2,390.0 2,200.0 FL : 98.2 100.0 637 720 107.2 130.4 150.0 GA : 1,336.0 1,435.0 747 736 1,941.0 2,079.0 2,200.0 KS : 4.0 13.5 492 480 1.0 4.1 13.5 LA : 885.0 585.0 697 673 1,375.0 1,286.0 820.0 MS : 1,100.0 960.0 819 750 1,841.0 1,876.0 1,500.0 MO : 385.0 365.0 737 618 513.0 591.0 470.0 NM : 55.0 66.0 733 698 71.0 84.0 96.0 NC : 710.0 688.0 677 590 798.0 1,002.0 845.0 OK : 210.0 210.0 306 434 123.0 134.0 190.0 SC : 282.0 285.0 774 758 376.0 455.0 450.0 TN : 530.0 500.0 611 566 724.0 675.0 590.0 TX : 4,100.0 5,300.0 509 453 4,460.0 4,345.0 5,000.0 VA : 102.0 99.0 748 601 137.0 159.0 124.0 : US : 12,612.2 13,160.5 701 628 17,532.2 18,413.5 17,228.5 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 41.9 20.0 852 792 72.2 74.4 33.0 CA : 164.0 184.0 1,098 1,174 224.5 375.0 450.0 NM : 14.0 13.0 651 665 18.9 19.0 18.0 TX : 36.0 32.0 801 795 52.0 60.1 53.0 : US : 255.9 249.0 991 1,068 367.6 528.5 554.0 : All : AL : 516.0 420.0 734 503 492.0 789.0 440.0 AZ : 355.9 349.0 1,150 1,146 865.2 852.4 833.0 AR : 990.0 930.0 793 692 1,468.0 1,636.0 1,340.0 CA : 1,159.0 1,059.0 1,145 1,201 2,536.5 2,765.0 2,650.0 FL : 98.2 100.0 637 720 107.2 130.4 150.0 GA : 1,336.0 1,435.0 747 736 1,941.0 2,079.0 2,200.0 KS : 4.0 13.5 492 480 1.0 4.1 13.5 LA : 885.0 585.0 697 673 1,375.0 1,286.0 820.0 MS : 1,100.0 960.0 819 750 1,841.0 1,876.0 1,500.0 MO : 385.0 365.0 737 618 513.0 591.0 470.0 NM : 69.0 79.0 717 693 89.9 103.0 114.0 NC : 710.0 688.0 677 590 798.0 1,002.0 845.0 OK : 210.0 210.0 306 434 123.0 134.0 190.0 SC : 282.0 285.0 774 758 376.0 455.0 450.0 TN : 530.0 500.0 611 566 724.0 675.0 590.0 TX : 4,136.0 5,332.0 511 455 4,512.0 4,405.1 5,053.0 VA : 102.0 99.0 748 601 137.0 159.0 124.0 : US : 12,868.1 13,409.5 707 637 17,899.8 18,942.0 17,782.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb net weight bales. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Class and State : 1996 : 1997 :: Class and State : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Large Lima - CA : 21.0 27.0 :: Light Red : : :: Kidney : Baby Lima - CA : 24.0 31.0 :: CA : 10.0 10.0 : :: CO : 8.7 12.2 Navy : :: ID : 0.9 1.4 CO : 0.2 :: MI : 12.0 14.0 ID : 7.3 4.3 :: MN : 8.0 10.0 MI : 210.0 155.0 :: NE : 10.0 18.0 MN : 46.0 72.0 :: NY : 16.5 20.0 NE : 5.0 5.0 :: WA : 1.1 NM : 5.0 5.0 :: Total : 66.1 86.7 ND : 135.0 175.0 :: : OR : 1.8 1.7 :: Dark Red : WA : 1.1 :: Kidney : WY : 4.0 3.0 :: CA : 5.0 5.0 Total : 414.1 422.3 :: ID : 0.5 0.5 : :: MI : 11.0 8.0 Great Northern : :: MN : 32.0 31.0 CO : 1.3 0.3 :: NY : 3.5 4.0 ID : 7.8 6.8 :: ND : 3.0 3.0 KS : 2.5 1.5 :: WI : 8.3 8.6 MN : 1.0 2.0 :: Total : 63.3 60.1 NE : 100.0 97.0 :: : WA : 2.2 0.4 :: Pink : WY : 5.0 5.0 :: CA : 8.0 5.0 Total : 119.8 113.0 :: ID : 7.5 16.3 : :: MN : 5.0 9.0 Small White : :: NM : 0.3 ID : 3.1 3.3 :: ND : 7.0 7.0 OR : 0.5 1.4 :: WA : 3.1 3.7 WA : 2.0 3.5 :: Total : 30.9 41.0 Total : 5.6 8.2 :: : : :: Small Red : Pinto : :: ID : 12.7 23.5 CO : 134.7 124.2 :: MI : 3.0 8.0 ID : 45.9 46.0 :: WA : 5.0 12.0 KS : 22.5 24.0 :: Total : 20.7 43.5 MI : 9.0 12.0 :: : MN : 30.0 44.0 :: Cranberry : MT : 10.5 12.2 :: CA : 3.0 4.0 NE : 88.0 67.0 :: ID : 1.4 2.6 NM : 6.7 7.0 :: MI : 27.0 30.0 ND : 413.0 411.0 :: MN : 2.0 3.0 OR : 2.2 2.1 :: Total : 33.4 39.6 TX : 1.0 1.5 :: : UT : 5.0 5.8 :: : WA : 14.2 10.0 :: : WY : 27.0 28.0 :: : Total : 809.7 794.8 :: : : :: : : :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ --continued Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted, by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Class and State : 1996 : 1997 :: Class and State : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Black : :: Other : CA : 1.0 :: CA : 7.0 7.0 CO : 2.0 :: CO : 0.3 1.1 ID : 1.1 2.2 :: ID : 0.7 1.2 MI : 60.0 84.0 :: KS : 3.0 3.5 MN : 4.0 6.0 :: MI : 8.0 9.0 NE : 1.0 2.0 :: MN : 2.0 3.0 NY : 7.0 11.0 :: NE : 1.0 1.0 ND : 15.0 30.0 :: NY : 3.0 5.0 WA : 1.1 :: ND : 7.0 4.0 Total : 89.1 138.3 :: OR : 1.7 2.2 : :: TX : 3.8 0.5 Blackeye : :: WA : 1.9 0.2 CA : 24.0 30.0 :: WY : 1.0 1.0 TX : 8.2 13.0 :: Total : 40.4 38.7 Total : 32.2 43.0 :: : : :: US : 1,813.0 1,913.6 Garbanzo : :: : CA : 25.0 11.0 :: : ID : 6.1 6.9 :: : OR : 3.0 3.6 :: : WA : 8.6 4.9 :: : Total : 42.7 26.4 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Cwt -------- : CA : 123.0 125.0 1,900 2,000 2,740 2,337 2,500 CO : 125.0 125.0 1,800 2,000 2,558 2,250 2,500 ID : 93.0 113.0 2,050 2,100 2,160 1,907 2,373 KS : 24.0 26.0 1,850 1,750 481 444 455 MI : 320.0 310.0 1,450 1,800 6,930 4,640 5,580 MN : 120.0 165.0 1,500 1,350 2,055 1,800 2,228 MT : 10.3 11.7 2,280 2,200 205 235 257 NE : 195.0 180.0 1,900 2,000 3,588 3,705 3,600 NM : 12.0 12.0 2,200 2,200 251 264 264 NY : 29.0 39.5 1,300 1,600 538 377 632 ND : 570.0 530.0 1,320 1,250 7,182 7,524 6,625 OR : 8.8 10.9 1,800 1,900 208 158 207 TX : 10.0 14.0 840 1,250 225 84 175 UT : .6 5.6 1,600 500 32 10 28 WA : 35.0 38.0 2,030 2,050 902 710 779 WI : 8.0 8.4 1,800 2,000 117 144 168 WY : 34.0 36.0 2,250 2,200 640 765 792 : US : 1,717.7 1,750.1 1,592 1,666 30,812 27,354 29,163 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. All Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 730 750 2.40 2.40 1,512 1,752 1,800 AZ : 179 215 7.53 7.27 1,392 1,347 1,563 AR : 1,150 1,175 2.01 2.21 2,011 2,310 2,593 CA : 1,450 1,490 5.52 5.57 8,341 8,008 8,298 CO : 1,440 1,480 2.82 2.98 3,978 4,054 4,415 CT : 80 65 2.03 1.65 142 162 107 DE : 15 15 4.27 3.27 31 64 49 FL : 240 230 2.60 3.00 575 624 690 GA : 600 600 2.80 3.50 1,500 1,680 2,100 ID : 1,280 1,320 3.72 3.80 5,080 4,760 5,016 IL : 1,000 1,020 3.04 3.06 3,598 3,040 3,126 IN : 725 750 2.79 3.10 2,400 2,020 2,323 IA : 1,700 1,700 3.13 3.08 5,665 5,320 5,240 KS : 2,500 2,600 2.80 2.45 6,555 7,010 6,380 KY : 2,400 2,400 2.38 2.29 5,790 5,700 5,490 LA : 310 330 2.70 2.70 744 837 891 ME : 185 158 1.82 1.81 419 336 286 MD : 220 220 3.17 2.42 552 698 532 MA : 95 105 2.00 1.80 192 190 189 MI : 1,300 1,250 3.22 2.99 5,025 4,190 3,740 MN : 2,225 2,450 2.70 2.95 6,943 5,998 7,230 MS : 800 750 2.50 2.40 1,668 2,000 1,800 MO : 3,680 3,480 1.88 2.05 6,818 6,920 7,146 MT : 2,600 2,600 1.89 2.21 5,360 4,920 5,735 NE : 3,250 3,150 2.29 2.08 7,200 7,445 6,538 NV : 490 490 3.07 3.07 1,505 1,505 1,505 NH : 67 55 1.75 1.62 137 117 89 NJ : 120 120 2.24 2.00 285 269 240 NM : 355 375 4.44 4.47 1,515 1,577 1,675 NY : 1,510 1,500 2.30 2.33 3,448 3,468 3,488 NC : 540 530 2.12 2.22 1,286 1,145 1,178 ND : 2,900 2,400 1.66 1.16 5,095 4,825 2,790 OH : 1,200 1,250 2.83 3.04 4,035 3,400 3,795 OK : 2,690 2,620 1.88 1.90 4,174 5,045 4,972 OR : 1,070 1,080 3.03 3.23 3,300 3,244 3,492 PA : 1,880 1,950 2.44 1.92 4,409 4,585 3,745 RI : 8 9 2.63 2.00 14 21 18 SC : 280 300 2.00 2.80 720 560 840 SD : 4,300 4,100 1.91 1.85 9,050 8,200 7,580 TN : 1,790 1,690 2.13 2.23 3,920 3,811 3,770 TX : 4,350 4,810 1.80 2.65 8,136 7,815 12,726 UT : 705 700 3.57 3.76 2,644 2,516 2,630 VT : 250 235 2.03 1.65 559 507 388 VA : 1,280 1,250 2.34 1.90 2,571 2,998 2,380 WA : 800 780 3.93 4.35 3,278 3,140 3,396 WV : 570 570 1.87 1.95 1,056 1,066 1,110 WI : 2,500 2,400 2.42 2.60 6,820 6,050 6,240 WY : 1,220 1,290 1.81 1.99 2,718 2,208 2,562 : US : 61,029 60,807 2.45 2.53 154,166 149,457 153,886 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AZ : 160 180 8.00 8.00 1,287 1,280 1,440 AR : 25 25 2.40 2.50 63 60 63 CA : 940 970 7.00 7.00 6,486 6,580 6,790 CO : 860 860 3.50 3.80 3,060 3,010 3,268 CT : 15 15 2.50 1.80 32 38 27 DE : 7 7 4.60 3.80 15 32 27 ID : 1,000 1,020 4.20 4.30 4,510 4,200 4,386 IL : 600 600 3.60 3.60 2,480 2,160 2,160 IN : 425 425 3.20 3.40 1,280 1,360 1,445 IA : 1,200 1,250 3.60 3.40 4,860 4,320 4,250 KS : 800 850 4.30 3.80 3,230 3,440 3,230 KY : 300 300 3.60 2.90 1,170 1,080 870 ME : 10 8 3.00 2.00 30 30 16 MD : 60 60 4.70 3.00 237 282 180 MA : 15 20 2.00 1.80 48 30 36 MI : 950 900 3.60 3.30 4,305 3,420 2,970 MN : 1,475 1,450 3.10 3.40 4,988 4,573 4,930 MO : 480 480 2.75 2.70 1,260 1,320 1,296 MT : 1,700 1,750 2.10 2.50 4,000 3,570 4,375 NE : 1,400 1,300 3.60 3.25 4,860 5,040 4,225 NV : 240 240 4.50 4.50 1,080 1,080 1,080 NH : 12 10 1.95 1.70 27 23 17 NJ : 25 20 3.50 3.00 105 88 60 NM : 255 275 5.40 5.40 1,325 1,377 1,485 NY : 640 610 2.70 2.80 1,690 1,728 1,708 NC : 15 15 2.80 3.00 62 42 45 ND : 1,700 1,300 1.85 1.30 3,080 3,145 1,690 OH : 700 600 3.00 3.40 2,660 2,100 2,040 OK : 390 390 3.50 3.60 1,444 1,365 1,404 OR : 460 465 4.40 4.60 1,935 2,024 2,139 PA : 750 820 3.10 2.50 2,262 2,325 2,050 RI : 2 1 2.90 2.00 4 6 2 SD : 2,500 2,300 2.20 2.20 6,500 5,500 5,060 TN : 40 40 3.40 3.50 180 136 140 TX : 150 110 4.50 4.60 576 675 506 UT : 545 545 4.00 4.20 2,344 2,180 2,289 VT : 65 60 2.10 1.80 200 137 108 VA : 130 130 3.60 2.80 462 468 364 WA : 490 480 4.70 5.20 2,550 2,303 2,496 WV : 40 45 2.80 2.50 120 112 112 WI : 2,100 2,000 2.50 2.70 5,980 5,250 5,400 WY : 620 630 2.40 2.60 1,728 1,488 1,638 : US : 24,291 23,556 3.27 3.30 84,515 79,377 77,817 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Tons --- ------ 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 730 750 2.40 2.40 1,512 1,752 1,800 AZ : 19 35 3.50 3.50 105 67 123 AR : 1,125 1,150 2.00 2.20 1,948 2,250 2,530 CA : 510 520 2.80 2.90 1,855 1,428 1,508 CO : 580 620 1.80 1.85 918 1,044 1,147 CT : 65 50 1.90 1.60 110 124 80 DE : 8 8 4.00 2.70 16 32 22 FL : 240 230 2.60 3.00 575 624 690 GA : 600 600 2.80 3.50 1,500 1,680 2,100 ID : 280 300 2.00 2.10 570 560 630 IL : 400 420 2.20 2.30 1,118 880 966 IN : 300 325 2.20 2.70 1,120 660 878 IA : 500 450 2.00 2.20 805 1,000 990 KS : 1,700 1,750 2.10 1.80 3,325 3,570 3,150 KY : 2,100 2,100 2.20 2.20 4,620 4,620 4,620 LA : 310 330 2.70 2.70 744 837 891 ME : 175 150 1.75 1.80 389 306 270 MD : 160 160 2.60 2.20 315 416 352 MA : 80 85 2.00 1.80 144 160 153 MI : 350 350 2.20 2.20 720 770 770 MN : 750 1,000 1.90 2.30 1,955 1,425 2,300 MS : 800 750 2.50 2.40 1,668 2,000 1,800 MO : 3,200 3,000 1.75 1.95 5,558 5,600 5,850 MT : 900 850 1.50 1.60 1,360 1,350 1,360 NE : 1,850 1,850 1.30 1.25 2,340 2,405 2,313 NV : 250 250 1.70 1.70 425 425 425 NH : 55 45 1.70 1.60 110 94 72 NJ : 95 100 1.90 1.80 180 181 180 NM : 100 100 2.00 1.90 190 200 190 NY : 870 890 2.00 2.00 1,758 1,740 1,780 NC : 525 515 2.10 2.20 1,224 1,103 1,133 ND : 1,200 1,100 1.40 1.00 2,015 1,680 1,100 OH : 500 650 2.60 2.70 1,375 1,300 1,755 OK : 2,300 2,230 1.60 1.60 2,730 3,680 3,568 OR : 610 615 2.00 2.20 1,365 1,220 1,353 PA : 1,130 1,130 2.00 1.50 2,147 2,260 1,695 RI : 6 8 2.50 2.00 10 15 16 SC : 280 300 2.00 2.80 720 560 840 SD : 1,800 1,800 1.50 1.40 2,550 2,700 2,520 TN : 1,750 1,650 2.10 2.20 3,740 3,675 3,630 TX : 4,200 4,700 1.70 2.60 7,560 7,140 12,220 UT : 160 155 2.10 2.20 300 336 341 VT : 185 175 2.00 1.60 359 370 280 VA : 1,150 1,120 2.20 1.80 2,109 2,530 2,016 WA : 310 300 2.70 3.00 728 837 900 WV : 530 525 1.80 1.90 936 954 998 WI : 400 400 2.00 2.10 840 800 840 WY : 600 660 1.20 1.40 990 720 924 : US : 36,738 37,251 1.91 2.04 69,651 70,080 76,069 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 76,000 86,000 2,120 2,250 161,120 193,500 VA : 37,700 40,000 2,235 2,150 84,260 86,000 US : 113,700 126,000 2,158 2,218 245,380 279,500 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 167,000 181,000 2,025 2,150 338,175 389,150 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 37,000 38,000 1,980 2,200 73,260 83,600 SC : 51,000 54,000 2,310 2,250 117,810 121,500 US : 88,000 92,000 2,171 2,229 191,070 205,100 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 7,500 7,700 2,680 2,500 20,100 19,250 GA : 46,000 44,000 2,470 2,050 113,620 90,200 US : 53,500 51,700 2,499 2,117 133,720 109,450 Total 11-14 : 422,200 450,700 2,151 2,181 908,345 983,200 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,100 1,200 1,580 1,500 1,738 1,800 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 3,800 3,900 2,720 2,300 10,336 8,970 TN : 7,500 7,600 2,550 2,200 19,125 16,720 US : 11,300 11,500 2,607 2,234 29,461 25,690 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,600 3,800 3,160 2,800 11,376 10,640 TN : 580 580 2,850 2,200 1,653 1,276 US : 4,180 4,380 3,117 2,721 13,029 11,916 Total 21-23 : 16,580 17,080 2,668 2,307 44,228 39,406 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 7,600 8,900 1,970 2,000 14,972 17,800 KY : 185,000 210,000 1,980 1,850 366,300 388,500 MO : 2,700 3,100 2,230 2,050 6,021 6,355 NC : 7,800 9,000 1,665 1,850 12,987 16,650 OH : 8,000 9,500 1,580 1,940 12,640 18,430 TN : 46,000 49,000 1,915 1,800 88,090 88,200 VA : 9,500 10,000 1,835 1,800 17,433 18,000 WV : 1,700 1,800 1,200 1,800 2,040 3,240 US : 268,300 301,300 1,940 1,849 520,483 557,175 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 8,000 8,000 1,250 1,500 10,000 12,000 PA : 3,200 3,000 1,900 1,800 6,080 5,400 US : 11,200 11,000 1,436 1,582 16,080 17,400 Total 31-32 : 279,500 312,300 1,920 1,840 536,563 574,575 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,100 2,200 2,340 2,100 4,914 4,620 TN : 480 490 2,125 1,900 1,020 931 US : 2,580 2,690 2,300 2,064 5,934 5,551 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,200 1,200 2,180 2,400 2,616 2,880 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 70 70 1,600 1,400 112 98 Total 35-37 : 3,850 3,960 2,250 2,154 8,662 8,529 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 4,600 4,600 2,040 1,950 9,384 8,970 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,220 1,350 1,840 1,860 2,245 2,511 MA : 410 650 1,600 1,820 656 1,183 US : 1,630 2,000 1,780 1,847 2,901 3,694 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,900 1,900 1,900 2,300 3,610 4,370 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 1,000 850 1,535 1,650 1,535 1,403 Total 54-55 : 2,900 2,750 1,774 2,099 5,145 5,773 Total 51-55 : 4,530 4,750 1,776 1,993 8,046 9,467 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 1,040 1,100 1,490 1,400 1,550 1,540 MA : 390 450 1,425 1,400 556 630 US : 1,430 1,550 1,473 1,400 2,106 2,170 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 10,560 10,900 1,850 1,891 19,536 20,607 : All Tobacco : 732,690 794,940 2,071 2,046 1,517,334 1,626,317 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : CT : 2,260 2,450 1,679 1,653 3,524 3,795 4,051 FL : 7,500 7,700 2,680 2,500 17,676 20,100 19,250 GA : 46,000 44,000 2,470 2,050 84,000 113,620 90,200 IN : 7,600 8,900 1,970 2,000 13,601 14,972 17,800 KY : 195,700 221,100 2,021 1,880 328,581 395,542 415,610 MD : 8,000 8,000 1,250 1,500 11,475 10,000 12,000 MA : 800 1,100 1,515 1,648 918 1,212 1,813 MO : 2,700 3,100 2,230 2,050 5,468 6,021 6,355 NC : 287,800 314,000 2,035 2,175 484,599 585,542 682,900 OH : 8,000 9,500 1,580 1,940 15,015 12,640 18,430 PA : 7,800 7,600 1,983 1,891 15,685 15,464 14,370 SC : 51,000 54,000 2,310 2,250 105,000 117,810 121,500 TN : 54,560 57,670 2,014 1,858 92,907 109,888 107,127 VA : 48,370 51,270 2,141 2,065 81,269 103,543 105,898 WV : 1,700 1,800 1,200 1,800 2,600 2,040 3,240 WI : 2,900 2,750 1,774 2,099 6,220 5,145 5,773 : US : 732,690 794,940 2,071 2,046 1,268,538 1,517,334 1,626,317 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : CA : 82.0 107.0 29.5 29.5 3,192 2,419 3,157 CO : 51.1 67.0 20.2 21.2 715 1,032 1,420 ID : 184.0 196.0 24.8 25.5 4,728 4,563 4,998 MI : 130.0 160.0 15.1 19.0 2,970 1,963 3,040 MN : 438.0 445.0 18.2 18.0 7,434 7,971 8,010 MT : 57.5 58.5 22.6 21.2 1,193 1,300 1,240 NE : 51.2 59.7 17.8 18.2 1,186 913 1,087 NM : .9 1.6 29.8 23.5 27 38 ND : 225.3 230.0 18.7 17.5 3,929 4,213 4,025 OH : 4.6 .9 18.8 18.9 230 86 17 OR : 16.3 17.1 25.5 25.5 404 416 436 TX : 12.6 16.0 19.2 21.0 351 242 336 WA : 13.0 18.2 35.5 35.9 461 654 WY : 56.8 61.5 18.9 20.0 1,249 1,074 1,230 : Oth Sts 2/: 484 : US : 1,323.3 1,438.5 20.2 20.6 28,065 26,680 29,688 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ Includes NM and WA prior to 1996. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : FL : 438.0 438.0 33.1 34.0 15,122 14,498 14,892 HI : 46.0 35.0 79.1 82.0 4,070 3,639 2,870 LA : 370.0 390.0 27.9 28.0 10,240 10,323 10,920 TX : 34.9 32.0 28.7 27.0 1,364 1,002 864 : US : 888.9 895.0 33.1 33.0 30,796 29,462 29,546 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : ID : 3,000 5,500 3,900 MI : 7,500 2,500 4,500 OR : 5,500 6,000 13,000 WA : 6,500 6,000 7,000 : Total : 22,500 20,000 28,400 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 1996-97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Jun : 3,660 5,245 1,830 2,265 3,105 2,830 Jul : 3,600 5,280 1,740 2,330 2,875 2,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hops: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : ID : 3,997 3,800 1,400 1,380 5,969.0 5,596.0 5,244.0 OR : 8,486 8,351 1,383 1,550 13,782.4 11,734.5 12,944.0 WA : 31,678 31,800 1,820 1,750 59,101.0 57,640.0 55,650.0 : US : 44,161 43,951 1,698 1,680 78,852.4 74,970.5 73,838.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Olives: Total Production, California, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : CA : 77,500 166,000 95,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 1995-1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL 1/ : 22.0 .5 26.0 AR 1/ : 20.0 1.2 18.0 CA - Freestone 1/ : 502.0 633.0 760.0 CO 1/ : 17.0 17.0 9.0 CT 1/ : 2.1 2.8 2.9 DE 2/ : 2.0 2.1 GA 1/ : 160.0 10.0 160.0 ID 1/ : 4.0 8.5 5.5 IL 1/ : 13.0 2.0 12.5 IN 1/ : 5.0 2.3 2.5 KS 1/ : 1.0 .4 .2 KY 1/ : 6.0 .7 3.0 LA 1/ : 5.0 .2 5.0 MD 1/ : 12.0 9.3 8.0 MA 1/ : 1.4 1.6 1.6 MI : 60.0 40.0 60.0 MO 1/ : 9.0 3.3 10.0 NJ : 70.0 78.0 75.0 NY 1/ : 11.5 12.0 14.0 NC 1/ : 35.0 1.9 18.0 OH 1/ : 5.8 7.1 5.7 OK 1/ 3/ : 30.0 6.0 OR 1/ : 9.0 11.0 13.0 PA : 90.0 75.0 75.0 SC : 215.0 3.0 150.0 TN 1/ : 10.4 .4 4.5 TX 1/ : 24.0 6.0 20.0 UT 1/ : 6.3 7.0 6.5 VA 1/ : 26.0 14.0 8.0 WA : 44.0 11.0 50.0 WV 1/ : 18.0 16.0 14.0 : Total Above : 1,436.5 977.3 1,543.9 : CA - Clingstone 1/ : 865.0 1,093.0 1,100.0 : US Total : 2,301.5 2,070.3 2,643.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from July 1 forecast. 2/ Forecast discontinued in 1997. 3/ No significant commercial production in 1996 due to freeze damage. Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ : 11.0 100.0 45.0 AR : 10.0 7.0 10.0 CA : 850.0 900.0 900.0 CO : 55.0 35.0 50.0 CT : 20.5 20.0 20.0 DE 2/ : 15.0 15.0 GA : 30.0 22.0 26.0 ID : 80.0 180.0 130.0 IL : 80.0 53.0 89.0 IN : 75.0 48.0 56.0 IA : 10.0 9.5 11.9 KS : 6.5 2.0 7.0 KY : 17.0 15.0 12.0 ME : 65.0 67.0 64.0 MD : 35.0 29.0 26.0 MA : 65.0 58.0 58.0 MI : 1,220.0 725.0 1,050.0 MN : 22.0 21.0 22.0 MO : 38.0 32.0 43.0 NH : 44.0 38.0 41.0 NJ : 75.0 60.0 65.0 NM 2/ : 3.0 5.0 NY : 1,110.0 1,030.0 1,080.0 NC : 270.0 200.0 170.0 OH : 120.0 90.0 75.0 OR : 140.0 139.0 155.0 PA : 500.0 391.0 475.0 RI : 4.5 6.0 6.0 SC : 60.0 35.0 55.0 TN : 16.0 11.0 11.0 UT : 20.0 48.0 33.0 VT : 45.0 37.5 35.0 VA : 400.0 275.0 250.0 WA : 4,850.0 5,500.0 5,400.0 WV : 165.0 105.0 115.0 WI : 57.5 46.0 63.0 : US : 10,585.0 10,355.0 10,648.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ Forecast discontinued for 1997. Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1995-1996 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :-------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Bartlett : CA : 247,000 287,000 300,000 OR : 70,000 45,000 75,000 WA : 180,000 105,000 180,000 : Total : 497,000 437,000 555,000 : Excluding Bartlett : CA : 20,000 30,000 30,000 OR : 160,000 130,000 180,000 WA : 240,000 195,000 230,000 : Total : 420,000 355,000 440,000 : All : CA : 267,000 317,000 330,000 CO : 2,900 1,200 4,000 CT : 950 1,050 1,050 MI : 5,500 6,000 3,500 NY : 14,500 15,000 11,500 OR : 230,000 175,000 255,000 PA : 6,300 4,000 3,800 UT : 1,100 1,500 900 WA : 420,000 300,000 410,000 : US : 948,250 820,750 1,019,750 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Coffee: Utilized Production, Hawaii, 1994-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1994-1995 : 1995-1996 : 1996-1997 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : HI : 4,300 5,400 6,400 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Parchment basis. 2/ Revised. Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1995-96 and Forecasted August 1, 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes (Table Type) : CA : 707,000 592,000 700,000 Grapes (Wine Type) : CA : 2,275,000 2,225,000 2,700,000 Grapes (Raisin Type) 1/ : CA : 2,252,000 2,186,000 2,600,000 All Grapes : AZ : 26,000 25,000 23,000 AR : 8,000 9,000 8,000 CA : 5,234,000 5,003,000 6,000,000 GA : 3,200 3,500 4,000 MI : 70,000 65,000 60,000 MO : 2,300 2,000 2,000 NY : 165,000 189,000 155,000 NC : 1,300 1,200 1,000 OH : 9,200 8,000 8,900 OR : 14,000 15,000 18,000 PA : 63,000 83,000 65,000 SC : 300 500 450 WA : 326,000 144,000 299,000 : US : 5,922,300 5,548,200 6,644,350 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh basis. Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, Hawaii, 1995-97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:-------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- -------- Pounds -------- ----- 1,000 Pounds ----- : HI : 135 200 275 43,000 47,000 44,000 5,800 9,400 12,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Moisture Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season. Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations. Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile, or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months, years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index. Drought Severity Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as evaportranspiration. Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in aquifers, reservoirs, and streams. Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this is indicated by the crop moisture index). July Weather Summary: Extremely dry and occasionally hot weather in the central Corn Belt highlighted a month of extremes. Farther east, the remnants of Hurricane Danny charted a slow but steady course from July 17-25, joining with a slow-moving front to soak the Southeast and ease dryness in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region. Nevertheless, drought continued to develop in most areas from northern Virginia to southern New England. Meanwhile, monsoonal rains arrived across the High Plains and West late in the month, easing drought in some areas but causing flash flooding. On the northern Plains, an usually strong early-month storm delivered heavy rainfall, boosting topsoil moisture. However, drier-than-normal conditions returned thereafter, permitting the winter wheat harvest to advance but stressing summer crops. Farther south, the central Plains' winter wheat harvest wound down with few interruptions. Monthly temperatures averaged 2 to 4 degrees F below normal across the interior West, and up to 2 degrees F above normal in the Southeast. From July 1-7, cool air overspread the Western and Central States in the wake of the strong early-month storm, setting nearly 100 daily-record lows and several July records. A welcomed shot of cool air arrived across the Midwest and East at month's end, resulting in more than two dozen daily records. In between, highs soared into the middle 90's to near 100 degrees F on July 13-18 and 25-28 across parts of the Midwestern and Middle Atlantic States. From central Missouri to central Indiana, rainfall as little as 0.50 to 1.00 inch and the aforementioned periods of hot weather stressed corn and soybeans entering and progressing through reproduction. In Indiana, Indianapolis' rainfall of 0.55 inches (12 percent [%] of normal) was their lowest July total since 1914. In addition, a maximum of 99 degrees F on July 27 was their highest since July 14, 1995. Other central Corn Belt stations reporting less than 1 inch included the Illinois cities of Peoria (0.90 inches; 21% of normal) and Springfield (0.89 inches; 25%). In eastern Iowa, only 1.52 inches (37% of normal) dampened Cedar Rapids. Youngstown, OH experienced a record-dry July, receiving only 0.65 inches (16% of normal). In contrast, very heavy rain soaked the upper Mississippi Valley. In Minnesota, Minneapolis received 12.60 inches, their second-highest July total, fueled by daily-record amounts on July 1 (2.85 inches), 17 (3.71 inches), and 22 (2.69 inches). Rochester, MN absorbed 9.01 inches, their fourth-highest July total and greatest since 1981. Heavy rain fell as far south and east and Des Moines, IA, where a calendar-day, July-record total of 4.45 inches fell on the 24th. Hurricane Danny crossed the mouth of the Mississippi River on the night of July 17-18, producing a northeasterly wind gust to 95 mph on Grand Isle, LA. The hurricane's sustained winds increased to 80 mph on the 19th as it battered Dauphin Island, AL and wobbled into Mobile Bay. The Dauphin Island Sea Lab clocked a wind gust to 86 mph and recorded 36.71 inches of rain, 25.98 inches of which fell in 7 hours late on July 19. Major flooding struck southern Alabama, where up to 27.00 inches of rain fell. The Fish River near Silverhill crested 3.5 feet higher than the previous record, set on June 9, 1989. Mobile, AL netted 10.06 inches on 19th and a storm total of 13.04 inches, boosting their monthly rainfall to 18.52 inches, their third-highest July total. Danny's storm tides topped 5 feet in a few locations, peaking at 6.54 feet just east of Gulf Shores, AL. During the same period (July 16-19), a slow-moving, non-tropical disturbance dumped as much as 4 to 10 inches of rain on northern Oklahoma and southern Kansas. Moisture-laden Danny eventually proceeded into northern Alabama by July 22 as a tropical depression before turning northeastward. Meanwhile, a cold front drifted southward into the Middle Atlantic region, sparking additional heavy rains. On July 23, Charlotte, NC collected 6.88 inches, breaking their 24-hour rainfall record of 5.46 inches, set on October 10-11, 1990. Danny re-intensified while approaching the coast on July 24, producing wind gusts to 58 mph in Elizabeth City, NC and 61 mph at Cape Henry, VA. On the afternoon of July 25, Tropical Storm Danny passed about 15 miles southeast of Nantucket Island, MA, packing wind gusts as high as 70 mph. En route to coastal New England, Danny helped to produce single-day, July-record rainfalls in Newark, NJ (3.54 inches) and New York's Central Park (3.75 inches). However, significant rainfall missed many areas from northern Virginia to southern New England, helping to hold monthly rainfall as low as 1.14 inches (30% of normal) in Washington, DC, 1.34 inches (35%) in Scranton, PA, and 0.63 inches (22%) in Boston, MA. In Williamsport, PA, rainfall for the first 7 months of the year slipped to 56% of normal. Portland, ME ended the month with 13 consecutive rainless days, their longest such streak since August 7-26, 1995. Meanwhile in parts of Texas, conditions suddenly turned dry. For the fourth time on record and the first time since 1993 only a trace of rain fell during July in both Brownsville and San Antonio. Despite the short-term dryness, the area was spared from excessive heat; San Antonio's maximum of 99 degrees F on July 30 was their highest of the year to date. The last time San Antonio's temperature failed to reach 100 degrees F during a calendar year was 1979. Farther west, mid-month heat presaged the arrival of monsoonal moisture. In Arizona, Tucson's maximum of 110 degrees F on July 15 was their highest since July 29, 1995. On July 20, a plume of tropical moisture helped to spark a 1.61-inch rainfall in 31 minutes at Billings, MT. During the last week of July, localized heavy downpours battered the High Plains and interior West. On July 28, as much as 8 to 10 inches of rain overwhelmed the Spring Creek basin in Ft. Collins, CO. Preliminary data indicated that the nearby Cache la Poudre River at Ft. Collins rose 4.79 feet (flow increased 2,869 cubic feet per second) on the day of the flood. The next evening, intense rainfall struck locations such as Amarillo, TX (2.80 inches in 39 minutes) and Colorado Springs, CO (2.02 inches in 34 minutes). On July 30, Denver, CO (2.71 inches) endured their heaviest 24-hour rainfall ever in July. And in Phoenix, AZ, a 117-day streak without measurable rainfall--their sixth longest on record--ended on July 30. The early part of July featured a spring-like storm and an unusually cool outbreak. The storm intensified rapidly across the northern Plains on July 1, reaching southeastern Canada 2 days later. Monthly record minima were established in Ely, NV (28 degrees F on July 1), Alamosa, CO (30 degrees F on July 2), North Platte, NE (39 degrees F on July 4), Kansas City, MO (51 degrees F on July 5), and International Falls, MN (34 degrees F on July 7). In Williston, ND, a 4.82-inch rainfall on July 1 boosted their monthly total to 6.62 inches, 75% of their year-to-date total. Non-thunderstorm winds in the storm's wake gusted to 61 mph in Chamberlain, SD and 52 mph in Worthington, MN. Sixteen tornadoes raked Michigan, however, on July 2, a State single-day record. A day later, additional severe thunderstorms ripped through interior New England. Two weeks later, adverse weather returned to New England in the form of heavy rain. Flooding occurred in northern Vermont as July 13-15 rainfall topped 6 inches in some locations. Warm (temperatures up to 5 degrees F above normal), dry weather prevailed in much of Alaska. One exception was the southeast, where Juneau tallied a July-record total of 10.36 inches (249% of normal). But in McGrath, where temperatures averaged 5 degrees F above normal, rainfall totaled just 0.40 inches (20% of normal) and smoke was observed on 29 days. By August 1, more than 70% of the United States' year-to-date burned acreage of 2.18 million acres (about 3,400 square miles) was in Alaska. Meanwhile in Hawaii, temperatures averaged slightly above normal and heavy rain fell in windward (east-facing) areas, including 19.37 inches (199% of normal) in Hilo. General Crop Comments: Drier, warmer weather in July allowed farmers across the United States to cultivate fields and apply fertilizer and pesticides. Sunshine and warmth early in the month promoted rapid crop growth throughout the Corn Belt. Progress of corn and soybeans took a dramatic jump in the middle of July that corresponded to the jump in planting progress earlier in the spring. By the end of the month, both corn silking and soybean setting pods were ahead of last year and the average. Lack of moisture began to stress the crops as the month progressed, but temperatures turned cooler at month's end to moderate the stress slightly. Crop conditions remained good in areas that received moisture, but conditions declined in fields only a few miles away that missed the scattered showers. After a slow start in June, winter wheat harvest progressed rapidly in July due to generally warm, dry weather in the major winter wheat-producing States. Harvest in the southern Plains and Southeast finished by mid-month, slightly ahead of average. In the northern Plains and Northwest, harvest progressed behind the normal pace until the end of the month, when dry, sunny weather allowed farmers into ripe fields. Timely showers along the Northern Tier States provided enough moisture for spring small grain development to catch up after late planting. Spring wheat and barley completed heading ahead of last year and the average. Late-month cool, wet weather in North Dakota promoted the development of head and foliar diseases. Oats were harvested at the average national pace. Spring wheat and barley harvest was just underway by month's end. Torrential rains along the path of Hurricane Danny's remnants may have caused damage to some fields in the Southeast, but most crops benefitted from the much-needed moisture. Cotton fields developed ahead of normal in the western cotton-producing States, but Southeastern fields progressed behind normal. Progress was well ahead of normal in California and Arizona as seasonable temperatures provided good growing conditions. Toward the end of the month, the cotton acreage in Missouri and Texas showed signs of moisture stress. Cotton, peanut, and rice fields benefited from showers along the Gulf and southern Atlantic Coasts at the end of the month. Peanut and rice fields developed behind the normal pace. The Nation's sorghum crop progressed near normal for most of the month. Areas in the central Plains and Corn Belt showed signs of moisture stress toward the end of the month. Persistant dryness stressed both crops and pastures throughout the middle Atlantic Coast States and eastern Ohio Valley. Corn: Acreage planted to corn is estimated at 80.2 million acres, unchanged from the June estimate but up 1 percent from last year. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 74.0 million acres, up 30,000 acres from June, and up 1 percent from 1996. Wisconsin increased harvested acreage by 50,000 due to good weather conditions. Virginia decreased harvested acreage by 20,000 due to adverse weather conditions. No other adjustments were made to harvested acreage at this time. The August 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level stalk count for the seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). Corn was planted ahead of last year but cool temperatures early in the season slowed development. Warm temperatures in late July increased the growing degree days and pushed silking ahead of the average. Because of these growing conditions, current and potential ear development will be better known as growth occurs. Yield for the 34 States without an Objective Yield Survey is forecasted at 111.3 bushels per acre down from 117.0 in 1996. These States account for 28 percent of 1997 production as compared to 30 percent in 1996. Eighteen States are showing a decrease in yield, fifteen are showing an increase, and one is showing no change from 1996. States with decreasing yields from 1996 make up 59 percent of the 34 State total and average a yield of 105 bushels. Hot and dry weather conditions have reduced the yield on dryland corn. Sorghum for Grain: The first production forecast for the 1997 crop year is 629 million bushels, down 22 percent from 1996, but 37 percent above 1995. Reductions in both acreage and yields from the previous year are the reasons for the decline in production. Area for grain is forecast at 9.51 million acres, down 20 percent from last year. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are forecast at 66.2 bushels per acre, down 1.3 bushels from 1996. Yield decreases are expected in 12 of the top 18 producing States with Kentucky, Colorado, and Missouri showing the largest declines. The 1997 sorghum crop was rated in mostly good to fair condition as of the week ending August 3. The percent of sorghum headed was ahead of the five-year average in most States, but sorghum coloring was three points behind normal. Nearly half of the crop in Kansas was headed by the 3rd of August, the same as a year ago but 17 points ahead of normal. Crop development in Texas was running behind average with 22 percent of the sorghum combined, compared with 39 percent normally harvested at this time. Late plantings and a dry early season gave the Colorado sorghum crop a late start and expected yields at 35 bushels per acre are down 16 bushels from a year ago. Oats: Oat production for 1997 is forecast at 187 million bushels, up 2 percent from the July "Crop Production" report and up 21 percent from 1996. If realized, this would be the third lowest oat production since records were first kept in 1866. The forecasted yield, at 58.1 bushels per acre, is up 1.4 bushels from July and up 0.3 bushels from the previous year. Area for harvest, at 3.22 million acres, is unchanged from July but up 20 percent from the 2.69 million acres harvested in 1996. This is the third lowest oat acreage harvested on record. Timely rainfall in the northern Plains during early July benefitted the oat crop. Forecasted yields in several oat-producing States increased from last month as a result of adequate soil moisture and ideal harvest conditions. In North Dakota, early July precipitation improved crop condition. The oat crop developed rapidly during the end of the month. Barley: Total barley production is forecast at 380 million bushels, up 2 percent from July, but down 4 percent from 1996. Yields are expected to average 59.4 bushels per acre, up 1.3 bushels from July and 0.9 bushels from 1996. Increases in forecasted yields from July for Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Washington more than offset yield decreases in Colorado, Kansas, Maryland, and Minnesota. Area harvested and to be harvested, at 6.40 million acres, is 6 percent below the 6.79 million acres a year earlier. Harvest was just underway in Idaho, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Washington and virtually completed in California, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. The 1997 barley crop was rated in mostly good to fair condition as of the week ending August 3. Conditions were rated as good to excellent in Idaho and Washington with expected yield increases of one and eight bushels per acre, respectively, over 1996. Early July precipitation in North Dakota helped boost expected yields two bushels from the previous forecast, but wet, cool conditions have promoted the development of head diseases, such as scab. Minnesota producers also reported problems with scab, causing reductions in forecasted yields. A new barley variety has helped Colorado producers project a seven bushel increase over last year's yield. Winter Wheat: The Illinois, Missouri, and North Carolina Soft Red Winter harvests are complete. Indiana and Ohio growers are nearly done. The Michigan harvest is winding down; record yields are expected. Kentucky growers finished harvesting mid-July and realized better than expected yields. Objective Yield Survey head counts are at near-record high levels in the three States(Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio). Hard Red Winter Objective Yield head count forecasts remained at record highs in Oklahoma and Texas, and are well above average in Kansas. Harvest is complete in these three States. Colorado and Nebraska's winter wheat harvests are nearly done. Montana is moving along rapidly, but the South Dakota harvest trails normal progress. There heavy rains have caused lodging in of the fields. Idaho and Oregon growers now expect even higher yields, with the Idaho number equaling last year's record mark. Washington's Objective Yield Survey head count forecast is about the same as last month. Harvest progress trails average in all three States. Durum Wheat: The North Dakota Durum crop is developing ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. Combining was just underway as of August 3. Some hail damage was reported in the northwest. Objective yield survey head counts are the lowest since 1989. July rains improved yield prospects in Montana's Durum production region. Other Spring Wheat: Wet weather is slowing the South Dakota harvest. Except for a portion of the dryland crop, all of Washington's spring wheat is rated in good to excellent condition. Harvest progress trails 1996 and is well behind average. As of late July, North Dakota Hard Red Spring wheat was developing ahead of last year and the average. Disease and weed pressures do exist. Objective Yield survey data shows plant populations at a record high level in Minnesota. The Montana and North Dakota counts are average. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.80 billion pounds, up 4 percent from last year's crop and 10 percent above 1995. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.40 million acres, down slightly from the June "Acreage" report, but up 1 percent from 1996. The acreage change resulted from a reduction in South Carolina and Virginia. Peanut plantings, at 1.42 million acres, were reduced from the June 1 forecast by 3,500 acres. Yields are expected to average 2,717 pounds, 64 pounds above last year and if realized, the highest yield since 1985. Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.17 billion pounds, up 1 percent from last year's level. Expected acreage for harvest, at 799,000 acres, is 2 percent below the previous year. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average 2,714 pounds per acre, 78 pounds above 1996. Hurricane Danny brought welcomed rains to southwestern Alabama. As of August 3, peanut development in Alabama was on schedule with over half the crop rated in good-to-excellent condition. In Georgia, the late spring planting set the peanut crop far behind schedule, however warm July temperatures and adequate moisture pushed growth and improved yield prospects. August conditions will prove crucial to this year's crop. The peanut crops in Florida and South Carolina are in mostly good-to-excellent condition. If realized, Florida's producers will enjoy the highest yields since 1984. The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 570 million pounds, down 3 percent from 1996. Acreage for harvest is up 1 percent from the previous year. Yield is forecast at 2,796 pounds, down 123 pounds from last year, but 418 above 1995. July rainfall improved the Virginia-North Carolina peanut crop significantly, although the crop remains one-to-two weeks behind normal. Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.06 billion pounds, up 15 percent from last year's 922 million pounds. The region's acreage for harvest, at 396 million acres, is 9 percent above the 1996 level. Yields are expected to average 2,684 pounds, 140 pounds per acre above 1996. Crop development and conditions in the Southwest were generally above average. On August 3, 76 percent of the Texas crop was rated in good-to-excellent condition. If realized, this will be the highest yielding and largest producing Texas crop on record. The increase in production is mainly due to record yields, an 11 percent increase in acreage, and a large shift in peanut acreage from South Central Texas to West Texas's irrigated area. Through August 3, New Mexico producers indicated minimal disease problems and excellent crop development. Rice: Rice production is forecast at 182 million cwt, 6 percent above 1996 and 5 percent above 1995. This production level, if realized, would be the third highest production on record. Production and acreage are above last year in all States except Texas. Yields are expected to average a near-record 5,994 pounds per acre, down 127 pounds from 1996's record level. In California, the crop remained nearly 2 weeks ahead of normal at the beginning of August. Arkansas's crop was rated at 76 percent good-to-excellent condition on August 3, despite less than average crop development. Rice harvest is underway in Texas and Louisiana. Soybeans: Acres planted to soybeans at 70.9 million acres are unchanged from the June 1 estimate. Growers plan to harvest 69.8 million acres, virtually the same as the June 1 forecast. In the eight major soybean producing states, the average planting date was two weeks ahead of the last two years and comparable to the 1994 planting season. Plant maturity is well ahead of 1996 in the major producing states. Fields in the Southeast progressed slightly behind last year and the five year average due to late plantings. Average number of lateral branches is up from last year with Indiana showing the only decrease. As of August 3, the percent of soybeans blooming was 81 percent compared 66 percent during the same period last year and a five year average of 73 percent. In Ohio, blooming was ahead of last year by 49 points and 8 points ahead of the five year average. Soybeans percent blooming in Illinois and Indiana were 31 points ahead of last year. The percent of beans setting pods was 38 percent as of August 3, compared to 25 percent during the same period last year last year. Overall, soybeans were in mostly good to fair condition. Cotton: Upland cotton plantings, at 13.7 million acres, are down 5 percent from the previous year. However, harvested acreage increased 4 percent to 13.2 million acres, due to the large abandonment last year in Texas. American-Pima planted and harvested acreages decreased by 3 percent from last year to 250,000 acres and 249,000 acres, respectively. Texas' irrigated fields are showing good progress this season, and unusually high amounts of rainfall in May caused the dryland acreage to develop ahead of the average pace. Squaring was about 10 points ahead of average and on August 3, 71 percent of the cotton fields were setting bolls, which was 11 points above the 5-year average. In the Plains, heavy rain and hail during June damaged fields and forced producers to replant, or plant alternative crops. In early August, some fields were showing stress from lack of moisture. Harvest pace increased gradually in the Coastal Bend and Rio Grande Valley. On August 3, 53 percent of the Texas acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, and 35 percent was in fair condition. Data from the objective yield survey show fruit counts as the sixth highest since 1987. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) rated most of their cotton acreage in fair to good condition in early August, with about 40 percent of the Arkansas and Louisiana crop in good condition and 60 percent of Mississippi's crop in good condition. Only 3 percent of the Arkansas crop was rated in excellent condition, while 7 percent of Louisiana's crop and 8 percent of Mississippi's crop was excellent. The planting pace in this region, lagged behind the average due to wet soils and because other row crops were being planted, but seedings were completed in early June. Precipitation was above normal and caused concern about proper root development. Another concern was the cooler than normal temperatures that prevailed during the early season, slowing crop development. In early July, squaring percentages were well behind the average, and in late July Mississippi was 9 points behind average, while Missouri and Tennessee were 8 and 5 points behind average, respectively. However, Arkansas and Mississippi boll set was slightly above average on August 3, at 97 percent and 95 percent respectively. Dry July weather in Missouri caused the crop's boll set to be 8 points behind average on this same date, and condition of the crop continued to deteriorate. On August 3, 31 percent of Missouri's acreage was rated as very poor to poor. During the first week of August, 81 percent of Arizona's crop was in good to excellent condition. Early planting approval was again granted in Arizona to lessen effects of whitefly, and the crop also benefitted from good weather. Boll set was 98 percent complete on August 3, equal to last year and 1 point above average. All of California's crop was in good to excellent condition on the same date, and boll set, at 90 percent, was equal to the 5-year development pace. California's seeding pace was well ahead of average most of the season as warm, dry weather prevailed. Soil crusting in the Fresno area caused some replantings. Data from objective yield plots indicate California's count of large bolls are the fifth highest and small bolls are the sixth highest since 1987. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), the planting pace was behind average early in the season, but a dry period in mid-May allowed producers to exceed the average pace. Early June storms in Georgia and Alabama replenished soil moisture and improved crop condition. Many fields in Georgia and Alabama were replanted due to seedling disease, cool temperatures causing poor stands, and soil crusting from the heavy rains. Alabama was subject to unusual heavy rainfall during the season, as well as the cool temperatures. Hurricane Danny entered into the southwestern portion of the State in late July with torrential rains, and added to the crop's deterioration. On August 3, Alabama's crop was rated at 11 percent very poor, 20 percent poor, and only 4 percent was in excellent condition. On this same date, sixty-six percent of Georgia's crop was in good to excellent condition, 68 percent of the North Carolina crop and 79 percent of South Carolina's crop was in good to excellent condition. American-Pima production is forecast at 554,000 bales, up 5 percent from 1996's output. Yield is indicated at 1,068 pounds per harvested acre, up 77 pounds from last year. Arizona yields are down 60 pounds from last year, at 792 pounds. California yields are 1,174 pounds, up 76 pounds from 1996's crop. Arizona's condition is rated at slightly above average, and the development varies according to the time of planting. The California crop experienced virtually ideal growing conditions in June and July, with development nearly two weeks ahead of normal. However, lygus bug pressure caused significant square shedding on some of the acreage in the San Joaquin Valley. The Texas crop has also progressed with irrigation and hot temperatures. Ginnings totaled 2,200 running bales prior to August 1, compared with 48,150 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 16,650 running bales in 1995. Dry Edible Beans: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 29.2 million cwt for 1997, up 7 percent from a year earlier, but down 5 percent from two years ago. Production is expected to be at or above 1996 levels in all states except Nebraska and North Dakota. Planted area is estimated at 1.91 million acres, 6 percent above 1996, but 8 percent below 1995. In the June 1997 Acreage report, U.S. planted and harvested acreages were estimated at 1.90 and 1.81 million acres, respectively. Area for harvest on August 1 is estimated at 1.75 million acres, up 2 percent from 1996, but 8 percent below 1995. Growers in North Dakota lowered their estimate of harvested area from 600,000 to 530,000 acres from June to August. As of August 1, the average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,666 pounds per acre, up 74 pounds from last year and 44 pounds above two years ago. In North Dakota, dry spring weather caused uneven germination and plant development. Excessive rains during July drowned out some acreage and made the crop susceptible to mold. Growers in Michigan experienced excellent planting weather, got the crop in early, and have it in good shape. Healthy stands of more long season variety beans in 1997 point to yields comparable to 1995. Colorado and Idaho growers could experience record high yields in 1997. In Colorado, crop development is lagging last year, but significantly ahead of the 5-year average. Recent moisture should improve crop development in areas not affected by lowland flooding. In Idaho, the cool spring resulted in late planted fields, and development is 1 to 2 weeks behind normal. By August 1, seeding of the second crop acreage in California was completed. In Nebraska the crop developed rapidly during July and by month's end was rated 62 percent good to excellent. However, on August 1, growers in Minnesota rated their crop 8 percent poor, 41 percent fair, 39 percent good, and 8 percent excellent. Rain is needed by growers in New York, although planting conditions were ideal. Beans are currently in bloom with good stands, and spraying for leaf hopper is underway. Fields in Wisconsin are in good shape with adequate moisture in the major dry bean growing area of West Central Wisconsin. Hail and high winds damaged some fields in Malheur and Union Counties, Oregon, however most areas in Washington and Oregon are in good condition with adequate moisture. Some replanting was necessary in Wyoming, but, by August 1, the crop was blooming and setting pods comparable to the average pace. In Utah, yields improved significantly this year from 1996's drought-stricken crop. U.S. planted acres of pintos fell from 44.7 percent of the total in 1996 to 41.5 percent in 1997, and second place navies slipped from 22.8 percent to 22.1 percent. Planted area of black beans rose from 4.9 percent in 1996 to 7.2 percent surpassing the traditionally third ranked great northerns, which dipped from 6.6 percent to 5.9 percent of the total. All Hay: Production for 1997 is forecast at 154 million tons, up 3 percent from 1996 but down slightly from 1995. All hay yields are forecast at 2.53 tons per acre, up 3 percent from last year. Acreage for harvest of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures and other hay is unchanged from June at 60.8 million acres which is down slightly from 1996. Favorable growing conditions in most areas during the spring and early summer months benefitted all hay crops. Production increases were common throughout the Western, Southeastern, and Corn Belt States. Declines were common in the Northern Plains, Appalachian, and Northeastern States. Texas is expected to be the number one hay producing State, followed by California, South Dakota, Minnesota, and Missouri. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 77.8 million tons, 2 percent below last year and 8 percent below 1995. Yields are expected to average 3.30 tons per acre, up 0.03 tons from last year. Harvested area, at 23.6 million acres, is down 3 percent from 1996. If realized, this will be the lowest harvested acreage since 1953 when 23.3 million acres were harvested. Production is up in five of the top six States, but is expected to be below or the same as last year in 24 of the 42 estimating States. Of the major producing States, North Dakota showed the largest decline from 1996, down 46 percent, followed by Nebraska, down 16 percent, and Michigan, down 13 percent. Harvested area in North Dakota is down 24 percent from a year ago, but yields have also been hurt by dry conditions, especially in the western part of the State. Nebraska's alfalfa crop has been suffering due to insect damage and short moisture supplies. The coldest May on record in Michigan along with a dry June and July have combined to drop alfalfa hay yields to the lowest since 1988. The top two producing States, California and Wisconsin, were both up 3 percent from 1996. Warm, dry weather and adequate water for irrigation helped boost production in California, while above normal rainfall since early June in Wisconsin has resulted in higher yielding second and third crop hay. All Other Hay: The forecast for 1997 production is 76.1 million tons, 9 percent above the year earlier. If realized, this will be the largest other hay production on record. Record level hay prices and low hay stocks were the driving factors behind this increase. Average yields are also expected to set a new record at 2.04 tons per acre, up 0.13 tons from 1996. Harvested area is estimated at 37.3 million acres, up 1 percent from last year and the largest acreage since 1988. Texas showed the largest increase in other hay production, up 71 percent from 1996 to 12.2 million tons and a new State record. If realized, this will surpass the old record of 9.25 million tons in 1991 and 1992 by 32 percent. Texas farmers expect to harvest a half a million more acres than a year ago with forecasted yields up 0.90 tons per acre from 1996. Other major States showing increases were: Minnesota, up 61 percent; Ohio, up 35 percent; Georgia, up 25 percent; and Arkansas, up 12 percent. Declining production is expected in the Northern Plain States (Kansas, Nebraska, North and South Dakota), as well as Iowa, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Declines were also common throughout the Northeast. Acreage is down in many of these States, but yield prospects have also been hurt by a cool, wet spring and the current dry conditions. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1997 is forecast at 1.63 billion pounds, up 7 percent from 1996. Yields for 1997 are estimated to average 2,046 pounds per acre, 25 pounds below the average for 1996. Harvested acres are expected to be 794,940 acres, up 8 percent from last year. Flue-cured production is expected to total 983 million pounds, up 8 percent from a year ago. Yield per acre for all flue-cured is forecast at 2,181 pounds, up 30 pounds from the 1996 average yield. Flue-cured growers plan to harvest 450,700 acres, 7 percent above last year. Flue-cured tobacco accounts for 61 percent of this year's total tobacco production. Burley production is expected to total 557 million pounds, 7 percent above the 1996 production. Yield is expected to average 1,849 pounds per acre, 91 pounds below the average for 1996. Burley tobacco growers expect to harvest 301,300 acres, 12 percent above last year. Kentucky's acreage for harvest is 14 percent above a year ago, and the state has 70 percent of the 1997 burley production. Flue-cured tobacco prospects in North Carolina improved with the arrival of much needed rains. Hurricane Danny blew through parts of the tobacco belts inflicting damage in some areas but helping most farmers with the moisture. Crop progress is still behind normal at this time due to the abnormal cool and dry weather that the major producing areas experienced early in the growing season. All North Carolina markets have opened to light volume due to low carryover stocks and slower crop progress. Wet weather at setting time and the current dry conditions continue to stress Kentucky's tobacco crop. Condition of the crop as of August 1 was 11 percent very poor, 33 percent poor, 35 percent fair, 19 percent good and 2 percent excellent. Some blue mold is present, but the disease has been held in check by the dry conditions. As of August 1, 37 percent of Kentucky's burley was blooming, compared to 44 percent last year and a 51 percent average. All indications point to a below average year for Tennessee's tobacco crop. Early and midseason set tobacco condition ranges from very poor to fair. Too much rain in June and too little rain in July have caused above average disease; uneven, irregular stands; and premature blooming. Late set tobacco looks fair to good. Recent rains have promoted good growth, but not all the state's tobacco producing areas received significant rainfall. Sugarbeets: Production for the U.S. is expected to total 29.7 million tons, an increase of 11 percent from 1996. Area for harvest, at 1.44 million acres, is down slightly from the June "Acreage" report but up 9 percent from last year. The average yield, at 20.6 tons per acre, is 0.4 tons above last year's yield. Cool, wet weather early in the spring resulted in excess soil moisture in several sugarbeet-producing States. However, a dry July helped development in most areas. Despite excess rain in some areas of North Dakota, dry weather in July has allowed fields to dry out and sugarbeets have slowly improved as a result. Hence, North Dakota growers remain optimistic about this year's sugarbeet crop. In Colorado, crop development was mostly favorable until heavy rains at the end of July flooded some fields, which may not be harvested. Wyoming experienced a wet spring, however hot, dry weather during the summer pushed crop development ahead of the average pace. Harvest in California has been progressing normally across the State for the past three weeks. Sugarcane: Sugarcane production for sugar and seed is expected to total 29.5 million tons, a fractional increase from 1996. The area for harvest, at 895,000 acres, is down slightly from the June "Acreage" report and up 1% from last year. Forecasted yield, at 33.0 tons per acre, is 0.1 ton below the 1996 yield. In Louisiana, the 1997 sugarcane crop is expected to set a production record. Favorable weather, increased plantings of a new, high yielding variety and increased usage of a new, more efficient mechanical combine harvester have boosted yield prospects. Growth in Louisiana was exceptional during July because of timely rains and hot weather. However, growers could not lay-by a few fields in time because of too much rain and those fields are weedy. Florida sugarcane growers expect to harvest about the same size crop as in 1996. Thus far, there have been no major problems with the crop. Wet conditions slowed sugarcane harvest in Hawaii, but as yet have not affected production. Irrigation water supplies were a concern in Texas as July was very dry. Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 28,400 tons, up 42 percent from last year and 26 percent above 1995. The Michigan plum forecast of 4,500 tons is up 80 percent from 1996, but 40 percent below 1995. Fruit set was heavy in the west central area, but spotty in the southwest. Record low temperatures in May caused fruit development to be 1 to 2 weeks behind normal. Oregon's production forecast is 13,000 tons, more than double the amounts of the previous two years. Growing conditions were more favorable than last year. Larger fruit is expected due to adequate moisture early in the growing season. Washington's forecast of 7,000 tons is up 17 percent from 1996 and up 8 percent from 1995. Growing conditions were better than the last two years. Idaho expects 3,900 tons, down 29 percent from last year, but 30 percent higher than the record low in 1995. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 2.90 million pounds for July, 2 percent more than a month ago and 1 percent more than July 1996. July weather conditions were a mix of sunshine and showers throughout the month. Papaya ringspot virus continued to depress yields and shorten the life on infected fields. Area devoted to papaya production totaled 5,280 acres, 1 percent more than June and 47 percent more than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 2,330 acres, was 3 percent more than last month and 34 percent more than in July 1996. Hops: Hop production in 1997 in Idaho, Oregon and Washington is forecast at 73.8 million pounds, down 2 percent from last year and 6 percent below 1995. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1991's 69.2 million pounds. Acreage strung for harvest, at 43,951 acres, is down less than 1 percent from last year's 44,161 acres, while yields, at 1,680 pounds per acre, are 18 pounds below 1996 and the lowest level since 1990's 1,603 pounds. Washington growers are expecting yields 70 pounds per acre below 1996 and at the lowest level since 1990's 1,634 pounds per acre. Powdery mildew is widespread, and an extensive spray program is underway. A wet, cool spring slowed hop development in Idaho resulting in an estimated average yield of 1,380 pounds per acre compared with 1,400 pounds in 1996 and 1,520 in 1995. Producers in Oregon anticipate an average 1,550 pounds per acre, up 167 pounds from 1996. Olives: The 1997 olive crop forecast is 95,000 tons, down 43 percent from the 1996 production of 166,000 tons. A warm, mild spring brought a heavy bloom, however the resulting fruit set was light compared to last year. The Manzanillo variety accounts for about 70 percent of the total production. Growers expect the Manzanillo variety yield to be down 53 percent. Growers expect the yield of Sevillano and Ascolano varieties, which account for about 23 percent of production, to be down by 30 and 18 percent, respectively. Peaches: The 1997 peach crop decreased slightly from the July 1 forecast to 2.64 billion pounds, but is up 28 percent from 1996 and 15 percent from 1995 for comparable states. New Jersey was the only state to adjust its production forecast from the July report, decreasing expected production 5 million pounds to 75 million pounds, mainly because of a drought in early July. Forecasts for Michigan, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Washington were unchanged from July. In Pennsylvania, peaches are progressing well, but fruit size is expected to be smaller than normal due to the hot, dry weather. Harvest has begun in southwestern Michigan. The U.S. Freestone crop as of August 1 is forecast at 1.54 billion pounds, up 58 percent from 1996 and 8 percent above 1995 for comparable states. The April and May 1997 frosts and generally wet spring were the most widespread weather problems facing U.S. peach producers this year. Production in South Carolina and Oklahoma is below normal levels. California's Clingstone crop, at 1.10 billion pounds, shows a 1 percent increase from the 1996 production. The California Freestone crop is expected to produce 760 million pounds, 20 percent above 1996 and 51 percent above 1995. Apples: The nation's apple production is forecast at 10.6 billion pounds, up 3 percent from the 1996 crop, but 7 percent below 1994's record large crop. Production in the Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, and WA) is forecast at 6.71 billion pounds, down 3 percent from 1996. Increases in Oregon and Colorado were more than offset by decreases in all other Western States except California where the crop is expected to equal that of last year. Relatively cool temperatures throughout most of the growing season in California have allowed fruit to size well, with some shippers reporting an average of two sizes larger than last year. Most varieties in California are being harvested as much as two weeks earlier than normal. Early season freezes in Colorado damaged fruit in some areas, but this natural thinning has provided for large fruit size. Crop conditions in Oregon have been generally favorable, with no adverse weather that would greatly affect the crop. The Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, and WI) expect 1.45 billion pounds of apple production, up 37 percent from last year. Michigan and Missouri are the major contributors to the increase, with production gains from last year of 45 and 34 percent, respectively. Michigan apples had a very good fruit set, but sizing is being hampered by dry conditions. The crop is about a week behind normal development. The Missouri forecast indicates the largest production since 1993, but the forecast could be reduced if the current moisture shortage continues. In the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, and WV), production is placed at 2.49 billion pounds, up 5 percent from 1996 for comparable States. Cooler than normal spring temperatures and poor pollination weather are expected to reduce full crop potential. The largest increases in production from 1996 are projected for South Carolina, with an increase of 57 percent; Pennsylvania, up 22 percent; and Georgia, up 18 percent. Pears: All pear production for 1997 is forecast at 1.02 million tons, 24 percent above 1996 and 8 percent above 1995, but 3 percent below 1994's record high 1.05 million tons. Pear production, other than Bartletts, in the three Pacific Coast States is expected to total 440,000 tons, surpassing the previous record of 423,000 tons set in 1994 by 4 percent. Bartlett pear production is forecast at 555,000 tons in California, Oregon and Washington, down 10,000 tons from the June forecast, but up 118,000 tons from 1996. California and Oregon production levels were unchanged from June, at 300,000 and 75,000 tons, respectively. Cooler weather in Washington was responsible for the decline from June. However, at 180,000 tons, Washington will still be 75,000 tons above its low 1996 level. In California, picking of Bartlett pears is well underway in all areas except Solano County, where it will begin soon. The excellent spring and early summer weather accelerated maturity, resulting in approximately 60 percent of the crop being picked by August 1 with good quality. A full crop is expected in Oregon. Other pear production in Oregon, at 180,000 tons, broke the previous record of 175,000 tons set in 1994, and production is the second highest on record for Washington. California's total crop is unchanged from 1996, at 30,000 tons, while Oregon's, at 180,000 tons, is up 50,000 tons, and Washington's, at 230,000 tons, is up 35,000 tons. Asian pear picking is underway in California, with good quality reported. All pear production in New York, at 11,500 tons, is at the lowest level in over 20 years, when growers produced 8,000 tons in 1976. Cool, damp weather in May and June destroyed buds and flowers in major producing counties, and hail damaged the crop in some areas. In Colorado, early season frosts damaged some fruit, but this natural thinning resulted in large fruit size. The Pennsylvania and Connecticut crops are in good condition despite the unseasonably cool spring weather. In Michigan, the crop experienced a light bloom, poor pollination, and hail damage. In Utah, problems with frost and rain during pollination led to the low expected harvest. Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 6.4 million pounds for the 1996-97 season, up 19 percent from the previous season and the largest harvest since the 1966-67 crop of 8.04 million pounds. Production increased on the islands of Maui, Molokai, Oahu, and Kauai. Production on the island of Hawaii decreased, however, due to a dry spring which caused an unusually high number of dried or underdeveloped coffee fruit. Grapes: U.S. production is forecast at 6.64 million tons, up 20 percent from 1996 and 12 percent above 1995. If realized, this would be the largest crop on record. The previous record was 1982's production of 6.56 million tons. Larger crops are forecast in California, Oregon, and Washington, while Arizona, Michigan, New York, and Pennsylvania expect smaller crops. California's all grape production is forecast at 6.00 million tons, 20 percent above last year, and 15 percent above 1995. This is the second largest production on record, exceeded by the 6.08 million tons in 1982. Raisin type varieties, at 2.60 million tons, are up 8 percent from last month and up 19 percent from last year. Compared with last year, the objective measurement survey indicated higher bunch counts with larger width, thickness, and length. Thompson seedless grapes are currently being picked for fresh use in the San Joaquin Valley, and maturity is well ahead of normal. Picking for raisins will begin in mid-August. Table type grape production is forecast at 700,000 tons, unchanged from last month, but up 18 percent from a year ago. Flame seedless and Perlette varieties are currently being picked in the San Joaquin Valley. Good quality is reported. Wine type varieties are expected to produce 2.70 million tons, an increase of 21 percent over last year. The crop is maturing well, with growers reporting good quality. Harvest is underway in the San Joaquin Valley. Grape production in New York is forecast at 155,000 tons, down 18 percent from last year. Cool weather during the early summer slowed crop development by 1 to 2 weeks. Limited rainfall also hampered production in some areas. Washington's forecast, at 299,000 tons, is more than double last year's freeze damaged crop, but is 8 percent below 1995. Growing conditions improved as the season progressed. Some vineyards are thinning their grapes. The crop in Michigan is forecast at 60,000 tons, down 8 percent from 1996. Record low temperatures in May, followed by dry conditions during the summer, hampered crop progress. Pennsylvania is forecast at 65,000 tons, down 22 percent from last year. Crop conditions were unfavorable due to a cold, wet spring, which slowed fruit maturity. Ginger Root: Hawaii ginger root production for the 1996-97 season is estimated at 12.1 million pounds, up 29 percent from the previous season. Increased harvested acreage and improved cultural practices were responsible for the increase in production. Harvested acreage totaled 275 acres, up 38 percent from last season. Yields averaged 44,000 pounds per harvested acre, down 6 percent from the previous season. Various factors contributed to the lower yields, including disease, late planting, and a brief dry spell in late 1996. The continued efforts of farmers to use sanitary measures and disease-free seed have lessened the impact of disease for the second straight year. Overall losses to various types of bacterial disease were relatively light. Florida Citrus: Groves in all areas of Florida's citrus belt were maintained in very good to excellent condition throughout July with the help of rains and thunderstorms. Most of the lakes, ponds, and streams used by the citrus growers have started to refill. The near tropical weather during July produced an abundance of new growth on trees of all ages. However, those groves with discontinued care are generally showing signs of stress in the form of yellowing foliage. New crop fruit is making good progress with good sizes on all types of fruit. Harvest of all oranges and grapefruit for the 1996-97 season was completed by early July. Caretakers have been busy cutting cover crops. Application of summer fertilizers and sprays kept growers busy between rain showers. Growers are pushing and burning dead trees and resetting new trees. California Fruits and Nuts: Due to the warm and mild spring, almost all crops are one to two weeks ahead of normal. Almond harvest began in the southern San Joaquin Valley. Nectarines, peaches, and plums were harvested throughout the month. Table grape harvest progressed from the southern San Joaquin Valley northward. Raisin grape vineyards were receiving their last irrigation and vineyard beds were prepared for sun drying. Wine grape harvest began. Early apple varieties were harvested. Apples and walnuts were treated for codling moth. Early season walnuts were showing a light crop, but later season varieties were showing a heavy crop. The olive fruit set was light, and the fruit was sizing normally. California Citrus: Valencia orange harvest was over 50 percent complete by the end of July. New season navel oranges were sizing normally, with wide variability in fruit set. Some groves were treated for red scale and mites. Lemon and red grapefruit harvest continued. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between July 24 and August 2 to gather information on expected yield as of August 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and to seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields (corn, cotton, and soybeans). The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re- visited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 27,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published August 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision August 1 if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the August 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the 1977-1996 20-year period is computed then the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain production forecast is 9.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 9.28 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 9.1 percent or approximately 844 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 15.7 percent or approximately 1.46 billion bushels. Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 491 million bushels, ranging from 57 million to 1,087 million bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 3 times and above 7 times. This does not imply that the August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root Mean Square Error:: 10-year Record of :-----------------------:: Differences Between Forecast : : 90% Confidence:: and Final Estimate Crop and : : Level ::-------------------------------- Unit : :---------------:: Quantity : No. of Years :Percent: : ::-------------------------------- : :Percent: Quant :: : : :Below:Above : : : :: Avg :Small: Large:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Mil :: --- Mil --- : :: Corn For Grain Bu : 9.1 15.7 1,456 :: 491 57 1,087 3 7 Sorghum For Grain " : 8.4 14.5 91 :: 45 12 108 5 5 Oats " : 7.9 13.7 27 :: 17 2 43 2 8 Barley " : 6.4 11.5 43 :: 22 2 67 6 4 All Wheat " : 2.6 4.4 111 :: 54 7 160 3 7 Winter " : 1.1 1.9 35 :: 12 0 30 2 7 Durum " : 9.7 16.7 15 :: 9 1 19 3 7 Other Spring " : 8.4 14.5 85 :: 46 3 121 4 6 Rice Cwt: 4.7 8.2 15 :: 7 2 14 7 3 Soybeans For : :: Beans Bu : 6.0 10.4 285 :: 89 19 235 6 4 Cotton 1/ Bales: 8.6 14.9 2,650 ::1,084 34 3,911 6 4 Dry Edible : :: Beans Cwt: 7.7 13.3 4 :: 1.5 0 4.1 3 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. Index Page Table Narrative Apples, Commercial....................................... A-34 B-14 Area Planted, By States.................................. A- 8 Barley................................................... A-13 B- 7 Beans, Dry Edible........................................ A-21 B- 9 Coffee................................................... A-35 Corn for Grain........................................... A- 9 B- 5 Cotton................................................... A-20 B- 9 Cottonseed............................................... A-18 B- 9 Crop Moisture Map........................................ B- 1 Crop Summary............................................. A- 3 Drought Severity Map..................................... B- 2 Ginger Root.............................................. A-36 B-16 Grapes................................................... A-36 B-15 Hay, All................................................. A-24 B-11 Hay, Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures........................ A-25 B-11 Hay, All Other........................................... A-26 B-11 Hops..................................................... A-32 B-11 Oats..................................................... A-12 B- 6 Olives................................................... A-32 B-14 Papayas-Hawaii........................................... A-31 B-13 Peaches.................................................. A-33 B-14 Peanuts ................................................. A-17 B-14 Pears.................................................... A-35 B- 8 Prunes & Plums........................................... A-31 B-13 Reliability.............................................. B-18 Rice..................................................... A-18 B- 8 Rice, By Class........................................... A-18 Sorghum For Grain........................................ A-11 B- 6 Soybeans For Beans....................................... A-19 B- 8 Sugarbeets............................................... A-30 B-13 Sugarcane For Sugar & Seed............................... A-30 B-13 Tobacco, By Class and Type............................... A-27 B-12 Tobacco, By States....................................... A-29 Wheat, All............................................... A-14 B- 7 Wheat, by Class.......................................... A-17 Wheat, Durum............................................. A-16 B- Wheat, Other Spring...................................... A-16 B- 7 Wheat, Winter............................................ A-15 B- 7 Report Features The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on September 12, 1997. Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843 Kevin Barnes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Rhonda Brandt- Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather, Oats (202) 720-7621 Dan Kerestes - Corn (202) 720-9526 Roger Latham - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Joel Moore - Barley, Hay, Sorghum (202) 690-3234 Barbara Rater - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Vince Matthews, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Howard Hill - Cherries, Berries, Prunes, Plums, Cranberries, Grapes, Maple Syrup (202) 720-7235 Dave Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions (202) 720-2157 Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215 Linda Simpson - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas, Mushrooms, Hops (202) 690-0270 Debbie Williams - Apples, Strawberries, Tobacco (202) 720-4288 The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. 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USDA to Hold Data Users Meeting Holiday Inn Mart Plaza Chicago, Illinois October 20, 1997 The National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for Data Users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the USDA statistical and information programs including the status of the 1997 Census of Agriculture, and to seek comments and input from data users. Other agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and the World Agricultural Outlook Board. For registration details, see the NASS home page http://www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Fred Vogel (NASS) (202) 720-3896 or fvogel@nass.usda.gov