Cr Pr 2-2 (8-99) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 12, 1999, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Down 2 Percent Soybean Production Up 4 Percent Corn production is forecast at 9.56 billion bushels, down 2 percent from last year but up 4 percent from 1997. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 134.7 bushels per acre, up 0.3 bushels from a year ago. If realized, this would be the third largest production and second highest yield on record. Acreage for grain harvest is estimated at 71.0 million acres, down 84,000 acres from June. Soybean production is forecast at a record high 2.87 billion bushels, up 4 percent from last year's record of 2.76 billion bushels. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.2 bushels per acre, up 0.3 bushels from 1998 but 2.2 bushels below the record set in 1994. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record 73.3 million acres, up 3 percent from 1998 but down fractionally from June. All cotton production is forecast at 18.3 million 480-pound bales, up 32 percent from 1998. Yield is expected to average 649 pounds per harvested acre, up 24 pounds from last year. Excessive heat has resulted in some stress to cotton. Producers expect to harvest 13.5 million acres, 27 percent above last year's drought reduced harvested acreage. Upland accounts for 13.2 million harvested acres, 26 percent above 1998. American-Pima harvested acreage is estimated at 316,200 acres, 35 percent above last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 17.6 million 480-pound bales, a 31 percent increase from 1998. Pima cotton production is forecast at 667,600 480-pound bales. All wheat production is placed at 2.31 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the July forecast and down 9 percent from 1998. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 42.5 bushels per acre, down 0.2 bushels from last month. -Special Notes- REMINDER: All forecasts in this report are based on conditions about August 1 and do not reflect any possible weather affects since that time. PLANTED ACREAGE UPDATE: The National Agricultural Statistics Service revisited selected North Dakota operations that had not completed planting at the time of the June interview to verify planted acreage and harvest intentions. Acreage changes were also made in States where new information has become available. Planted changes are shown on pages three and four. The final winter wheat production forecast is 1.69 billion bushels. This is up 1 percent from last month, but down 10 percent from 1998. The U.S. yield is forecast at 47.4 bushels per acre, up 0.4 bushels from last month to a new record high. Hard Red Winter, at 1.04 billion bushels, is up from a month ago by 1 percent. White Winter is down for the third consecutive month and now totals 199 million bushels. Soft Red Winter is up 2 percent from the last forecast, at 451 million bushels. Durum wheat production is forecast at 114 million bushels, down 14 percent from last month and 19 percent from 1998. Lower yields and a 150,000 acre drop in North Dakota harvested area caused the decline. The U.S. yield is forecast at 29.2 bushels per acre, 3.5 bushels less than last month. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 512 million bushels, down 3 percent from both last month and 1998. There were no changes in acreage intended for harvest. The U.S. yield is forecast at 34.2 bushels per acre, 0.7 bushels less than July 1. Of the production total, 460 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, down 3 percent from last month. This report was approved on August 12, 1999. Secretary of Agriculture Dan Glickman Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Apples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Beans, Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Coffee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Fruits and Nuts Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Ginger Root. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Hay, All . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Alfalfa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 July Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Olives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Peaches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Pears. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Prunes and Plums . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . 52 Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Selected Crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Sorghum for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Sunflower. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Wheat, All . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Durum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Other Spring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Wheat, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Selected Crops: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : State : Soybeans : Sorghum : Upland : Peanuts :Sugarbeets :Dry Edible : : : Cotton : : : Beans -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 240 14 570 199 AZ : 240 AR : 3,500 120 940 CA : *590 112.0 *135.0 CO : 240 71.1 *165.0 DE : 205 FL : 20 89 96 GA : *220 50 1,500 540 ID : 211.0 *105.0 IL : 10,800 100 IN : 5,700 IA : 10,900 KS : 2,700 3,600 29 *24.0 KY : 1,200 9 LA : 1,050 260 570 MD : 460 MI : 2,000 194.0 350.0 MN : 7,000 475.0 200.0 MS : 2,000 60 1,200 MO : 5,400 320 450 MT : 61.9 16.0 NE : 4,350 550 72.4 220.0 NV : NJ : 110 NM : 190 70 19 *1.0 NY : 110 *31.0 NC : 1,450 19 *880 126 ND : 1,500 255.0 630.0 OH : 4,700 1.2 OK : 500 460 225 80 OR : 20.0 *11.7 PA : 370 SC : 500 7 320 12 SD : 3,900 180 TN : 1,140 20 600 TX : 340 *3,100 5,900 320 20.0 UT : 6.7 VA : *480 *110 *76 WA : *28.0 *37.0 WV : WI : 1,300 8.2 WY : 59.0 32.0 : US : *74,145 *9,299 *14,283 *1,468 *1,560.6 *1,992.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from "Acreage" released June 30, 1999. Selected Crops: Area Planted by State and United States, 1999 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : State : Barley : Durum Wheat : Oats --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 40 AZ : 62 75 AR : 15 CA : 170 90 275 CO : 90 50 DE : 30 FL : GA : 60 ID : 710 80 IL : 75 IN : 40 IA : 240 KS : 16 120 KY : 9 LA : ME : 27 MD : 55 9 MI : 23 110 MN : 200 10 400 MS : MO : 35 MT : 1,250 400 160 NE : 5 135 NV : 5 NJ : 6 NM : NY : 100 NC : 24 60 ND : *1,350 *3,400 *650 OH : 120 OK : 4 65 OR : 145 45 PA : 75 180 SC : 3 45 SD : 80 40 320 TN : TX : 15 670 UT : 90 45 VA : 80 WA : 500 30 WV : 7 WI : 80 430 WY : 90 60 : US : *5,167 *4,015 *4,698 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from "Acreage" released June 30, 1999. Sunflower: Area Planted and Harvested by Type, State, and United States, 1999 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Oil Type : Non-Oil Type : All Types State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : Planted : Harvested : Planted : Harvested : Planted : Harvested ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CO : 195 190 120 115 315 305 KS : 240 230 30 30 270 260 MN : 90 86 45 42 135 128 NE : 70 69 50 49 120 118 ND : *1,300 *1,280 *500 *490 *1,800 *1,770 SD : 840 827 60 58 900 885 TX : 25 24 55 53 80 77 Oth Sts : 42 37 14 13 56 50 US : *2,802 *2,743 *874 *850 *3,676 *3,593 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from "Acreage" released June 30, 1999. Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Bushels --- -------- 1,000 Bushels ------- : AL : 200 210 63.0 96.0 21,750 12,600 20,160 AZ : 30 30 175.0 190.0 6,600 5,250 5,700 AR : 215 135 100.0 125.0 23,125 21,500 16,875 CA : 260 235 160.0 185.0 45,050 41,600 43,475 CO : 1,070 1,130 145.0 146.0 143,080 155,150 164,980 CT 1/ : DE : 155 154 100.0 92.0 16,800 15,500 14,168 FL : 55 40 62.0 88.0 6,000 3,410 3,520 GA : 265 260 85.0 90.0 47,250 22,525 23,400 ID : 52 55 150.0 155.0 6,665 7,800 8,525 IL : 10,450 10,650 141.0 140.0 1,425,450 1,473,450 1,491,000 IN : 5,550 5,750 137.0 130.0 701,500 760,350 747,500 IA : 12,200 11,800 145.0 151.0 1,642,200 1,769,000 1,781,800 KS : 2,850 2,800 147.0 139.0 371,800 418,950 389,200 KY : 1,180 1,240 115.0 105.0 118,450 135,700 130,200 LA : 540 410 81.0 127.0 48,789 43,740 52,070 ME 1/ : MD : 400 400 109.0 90.0 36,900 43,600 36,000 MA 1/ : MI : 2,050 1,900 111.0 127.0 255,060 227,550 241,300 MN : 6,750 6,700 153.0 150.0 851,400 1,032,750 1,005,000 MS : 500 320 86.0 110.0 46,331 43,000 35,200 MO : 2,500 2,600 114.0 103.0 299,000 285,000 267,800 MT : 18 19 115.0 135.0 1,890 2,070 2,565 NE : 8,550 8,250 145.0 141.0 1,135,200 1,239,750 1,163,250 NH 1/ : NJ : 98 60 92.0 40.0 10,152 9,016 2,400 NM : 85 90 165.0 170.0 14,875 14,025 15,300 NY : 580 590 114.0 105.0 66,000 66,120 61,950 NC : 770 670 70.0 90.0 77,430 53,900 60,300 ND : 825 810 107.0 102.0 58,410 88,275 82,620 OH : 3,340 3,100 141.0 131.0 475,700 470,940 406,100 OK : 220 310 130.0 135.0 23,460 28,600 41,850 OR : 33 35 190.0 190.0 5,265 6,270 6,650 PA : 1,050 1,030 111.0 72.0 98,980 116,550 74,160 RI 1/ : SC : 275 260 40.0 68.0 30,875 11,000 17,680 SD : 3,550 3,250 121.0 120.0 326,400 429,550 390,000 TN : 620 560 96.0 105.0 63,240 59,520 58,800 TX : 1,850 1,730 100.0 135.0 241,500 185,000 233,550 UT : 24 22 141.0 143.0 2,940 3,384 3,146 VT 1/ : VA : 300 320 84.0 80.0 30,225 25,200 25,600 WA : 100 140 190.0 195.0 18,050 19,000 27,300 WV : 34 35 80.0 65.0 3,420 2,720 2,275 WI : 2,950 2,800 137.0 143.0 402,600 404,150 400,400 WY : 60 55 127.0 130.0 7,020 7,620 7,150 : US : 72,604 70,955 134.4 134.7 9,206,832 9,761,085 9,560,919 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Not estimated. Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : AL : 6 8 45.0 50.0 300 270 400 AR : 130 115 53.0 75.0 11,100 6,890 8,625 CO : 185 200 57.0 52.0 6,000 10,545 10,400 GA : 30 30 38.0 50.0 1,800 1,140 1,500 IL : 107 97 74.0 80.0 10,465 7,918 7,760 KS : 3,300 3,400 80.0 73.0 265,200 264,000 248,200 KY : 8 7 80.0 80.0 585 640 560 LA : 125 250 60.0 75.0 6,600 7,500 18,750 MS : 36 56 65.0 75.0 2,475 2,340 4,200 MO : 320 310 83.0 74.0 36,800 26,560 22,940 NE : 600 450 94.0 90.0 60,750 56,400 40,500 NM : 65 135 45.0 55.0 9,988 2,925 7,425 NC : 12 11 45.0 57.0 550 540 627 OK : 340 400 45.0 49.0 22,500 15,300 19,600 SC : 3 4 35.0 45.0 172 105 180 SD : 140 110 71.0 60.0 11,360 9,940 6,600 TN : 16 16 70.0 75.0 1,050 1,120 1,200 TX : 2,300 2,900 46.0 65.0 185,850 105,800 188,500 : US : 7,723 8,499 67.3 69.2 633,545 519,933 587,967 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL 1/ : 17 20 48.0 50.0 50.0 816 1,000 AR 1/ : 9 13 80.0 68.0 68.0 720 884 CA : 30 25 75.0 80.0 85.0 2,250 2,125 CO : 25 20 70.0 59.0 62.0 1,750 1,240 GA 1/ : 25 25 53.0 55.0 55.0 1,325 1,375 ID : 30 25 75.0 73.0 68.0 2,250 1,700 IL : 70 65 56.0 69.0 73.0 3,920 4,745 IN : 30 25 50.0 60.0 68.0 1,500 1,700 IA : 185 200 59.0 68.0 68.0 10,915 13,600 KS : 60 70 45.0 58.0 45.0 2,700 3,150 ME : 24 24 73.0 75.0 80.0 1,752 1,920 MD 1/ : 7 7 50.0 54.0 54.0 350 378 MI : 105 85 46.0 60.0 63.0 4,830 5,355 MN : 310 350 63.0 59.0 59.0 19,530 20,650 MO : 13 20 47.0 57.0 57.0 611 1,140 MT : 60 80 54.0 60.0 56.0 3,240 4,480 NE : 95 75 56.0 67.0 64.0 5,320 4,800 NY : 105 70 62.0 55.0 58.0 6,510 4,060 NC : 20 30 58.0 67.0 72.0 1,160 2,160 ND : 420 390 62.0 60.0 60.0 26,040 23,400 OH : 100 100 65.0 75.0 75.0 6,500 7,500 OK : 25 30 41.0 40.0 43.0 1,025 1,290 OR : 35 20 110.0 93.0 95.0 3,850 1,900 PA : 160 155 53.0 55.0 53.0 8,480 8,215 SC 1/ : 25 30 45.0 50.0 50.0 1,125 1,500 SD : 300 210 67.0 64.0 68.0 20,100 14,280 TX : 130 110 53.0 44.0 48.0 6,890 5,280 UT 1/ : 9 9 70.0 70.0 70.0 630 630 WA : 15 15 75.0 70.0 65.0 1,125 975 WV 1/ : 4 3 50.0 48.0 48.0 200 144 WI : 300 300 61.0 60.0 62.0 18,300 18,600 WY : 22 30 64.0 65.0 64.0 1,408 1,920 : US : 2,765 2,631 60.4 61.1 61.6 167,122 162,096 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AZ 1/ : 56 62 110.0 114.0 114.0 6,160 7,068 CA : 125 130 60.0 60.0 60.0 7,500 7,800 CO : 82 88 115.0 108.0 108.0 9,430 9,504 DE 1/ : 30 26 60.0 82.0 82.0 1,800 2,132 ID : 760 690 78.0 78.0 74.0 59,280 51,060 KS : 8 14 35.0 31.0 29.0 280 406 KY 1/ : 7 8 63.0 86.0 86.0 441 688 MD : 54 50 64.0 80.0 80.0 3,456 4,000 MI 1/ : 26 21 50.0 60.0 60.0 1,300 1,260 MN : 415 185 55.0 55.0 52.0 22,825 9,620 MT : 1,200 1,150 48.0 53.0 46.0 57,600 52,900 NE 1/ : 8 4 50.0 41.0 41.0 400 164 NV 1/ : 4 4 100.0 95.0 95.0 400 380 NJ 1/ : 4 4 58.0 71.0 71.0 232 284 NC 1/ : 20 19 57.0 75.0 75.0 1,140 1,425 ND : 1,930 1,300 55.0 50.0 50.0 106,150 65,000 OK 1/ : 5 3 47.0 39.0 39.0 235 117 OR : 130 135 62.0 62.0 67.0 8,060 9,045 PA : 75 70 67.0 68.0 70.0 5,025 4,900 SC 1/ : 3 2 47.0 60.0 60.0 141 120 SD : 95 74 48.0 47.0 48.0 4,560 3,552 TX 1/ : 5 10 43.0 46.0 46.0 215 460 UT : 85 85 83.0 80.0 80.0 7,055 6,800 VA : 70 60 61.0 84.0 84.0 4,270 5,040 WA : 520 490 65.0 55.0 55.0 33,800 26,950 WI : 65 65 52.0 52.0 52.0 3,380 3,380 WY : 85 85 86.0 86.0 86.0 7,310 7,310 : US : 5,867 4,834 60.1 60.3 58.2 352,445 281,365 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. All Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL 1/ : 85 100 42.0 48.0 48.0 3,570 4,800 AZ 1/ : 152 83 104.2 94.6 94.6 15,840 7,853 AR 1/ : 900 870 51.0 56.0 56.0 45,900 48,720 CA 1/ : 555 455 69.5 79.7 79.7 38,550 36,250 CO : 2,610 2,452 39.7 39.7 42.6 103,710 104,440 DE 1/ : 73 73 51.0 60.0 60.0 3,723 4,380 FL 1/ : 13 9 43.0 40.0 40.0 559 360 GA 1/ : 240 225 43.0 44.0 44.0 10,320 9,900 ID : 1,280 1,350 80.0 75.5 74.5 102,410 100,540 IL : 1,200 1,020 48.0 61.0 61.0 57,600 62,220 IN : 650 510 55.0 65.0 66.0 35,750 33,660 IA 1/ : 32 34 40.0 43.0 43.0 1,280 1,462 KS : 10,100 9,200 49.0 46.0 46.0 494,900 423,200 KY : 550 430 45.0 60.0 60.0 24,750 25,800 LA 1/ : 90 110 44.0 47.0 47.0 3,960 5,170 MD 1/ : 215 200 50.0 60.0 60.0 10,750 12,000 MI : 570 600 54.0 58.0 67.0 30,780 40,200 MN : 1,982 2,218 40.6 36.8 39.7 80,444 87,994 MS 1/ : 150 165 45.0 50.0 50.0 6,750 8,250 MO : 1,250 920 46.0 52.0 51.0 57,500 46,920 MT : 5,280 5,410 32.0 33.6 30.0 168,790 162,150 NE : 1,800 1,850 46.0 48.0 48.0 82,800 88,800 NV 1/ : 14 15 88.6 98.3 98.3 1,240 1,475 NJ 1/ : 44 35 52.0 54.0 54.0 2,288 1,890 NM 1/ : 265 270 30.0 35.0 35.0 7,950 9,450 NY 1/ : 130 125 54.0 54.0 54.0 7,020 6,750 NC : 680 580 41.0 47.0 49.0 27,880 28,420 ND : 9,610 8,948 32.3 30.6 28.6 310,650 255,480 OH : 1,160 1,030 64.0 66.0 70.0 74,240 72,100 OK : 5,100 4,300 39.0 34.0 35.0 198,900 150,500 OR : 885 783 65.0 49.6 48.0 57,490 37,602 PA 1/ : 190 190 51.0 52.0 52.0 9,690 9,880 SC 1/ : 240 220 32.0 41.0 41.0 7,680 9,020 SD : 3,294 2,949 36.7 38.8 39.6 120,884 116,802 TN 1/ : 370 310 41.0 57.0 57.0 15,170 17,670 TX : 3,900 3,400 35.0 36.0 36.0 136,500 122,400 UT 1/ : 173 174 51.1 53.3 53.3 8,834 9,280 VA 1/ : 245 240 45.0 58.0 58.0 11,025 13,920 WA : 2,565 2,290 61.4 55.1 53.7 157,425 122,900 WV 1/ : 8 8 57.0 50.0 50.0 456 400 WI 1/ : 142 127 53.8 55.5 55.5 7,635 7,050 WY 1/ : 210 189 32.3 34.1 34.1 6,790 6,450 : US : 59,002 54,467 43.2 42.7 42.5 2,550,383 2,314,508 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL 1/ : 85 100 42.0 48.0 48.0 3,570 4,800 AZ 1/ : 8 8 90.0 91.0 91.0 720 728 AR 1/ : 900 870 51.0 56.0 56.0 45,900 48,720 CA 1/ : 380 370 60.0 75.0 75.0 22,800 27,750 CO : 2,550 2,400 39.0 39.0 42.0 99,450 100,800 DE 1/ : 73 73 51.0 60.0 60.0 3,723 4,380 FL 1/ : 13 9 43.0 40.0 40.0 559 360 GA 1/ : 240 225 43.0 44.0 44.0 10,320 9,900 ID : 770 710 82.0 76.0 74.0 63,140 52,540 IL : 1,200 1,020 48.0 61.0 61.0 57,600 62,220 IN : 650 510 55.0 65.0 66.0 35,750 33,660 IA 1/ : 32 34 40.0 43.0 43.0 1,280 1,462 KS : 10,100 9,200 49.0 46.0 46.0 494,900 423,200 KY : 550 430 45.0 60.0 60.0 24,750 25,800 LA 1/ : 90 110 44.0 47.0 47.0 3,960 5,170 MD 1/ : 215 200 50.0 60.0 60.0 10,750 12,000 MI : 570 600 54.0 58.0 67.0 30,780 40,200 MN 1/ : 57 59 27.0 28.0 28.0 1,539 1,652 MS 1/ : 150 165 45.0 50.0 50.0 6,750 8,250 MO : 1,250 920 46.0 52.0 51.0 57,500 46,920 MT : 1,250 970 39.0 42.0 39.0 48,750 37,830 NE : 1,800 1,850 46.0 48.0 48.0 82,800 88,800 NV 1/ : 6 10 100.0 100.0 100.0 600 1,000 NJ 1/ : 44 35 52.0 54.0 54.0 2,288 1,890 NM 1/ : 265 270 30.0 35.0 35.0 7,950 9,450 NY 1/ : 130 125 54.0 54.0 54.0 7,020 6,750 NC : 680 580 41.0 47.0 49.0 27,880 28,420 ND 1/ : 60 48 35.0 35.0 35.0 2,100 1,680 OH : 1,160 1,030 64.0 66.0 70.0 74,240 72,100 OK : 5,100 4,300 39.0 34.0 35.0 198,900 150,500 OR : 790 630 67.0 51.0 49.0 52,930 30,870 PA 1/ : 190 190 51.0 52.0 52.0 9,690 9,880 SC 1/ : 240 220 32.0 41.0 41.0 7,680 9,020 SD : 1,420 1,260 43.0 44.0 46.0 61,060 57,960 TN 1/ : 370 310 41.0 57.0 57.0 15,170 17,670 TX : 3,900 3,400 35.0 36.0 36.0 136,500 122,400 UT 1/ : 150 145 50.0 52.0 52.0 7,500 7,540 VA 1/ : 245 240 45.0 58.0 58.0 11,025 13,920 WA : 2,100 1,670 65.0 60.0 58.0 136,500 96,860 WV 1/ : 8 8 57.0 50.0 50.0 456 400 WI 1/ : 135 120 55.0 57.0 57.0 7,425 6,840 WY 1/ : 200 185 32.0 34.0 34.0 6,400 6,290 : US : 40,126 35,609 46.9 47.0 47.4 1,880,605 1,688,582 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AZ 1/ : 144 75 105.0 95.0 95.0 15,120 7,125 CA 1/ : 175 85 90.0 100.0 100.0 15,750 8,500 MN : 5 9 37.0 38.0 38.0 185 342 MT : 430 390 28.0 30.0 28.0 12,040 10,920 ND : 2,950 3,300 33.0 30.0 26.0 97,350 85,800 SD : 24 39 26.0 28.0 28.0 624 1,092 : US : 3,728 3,898 37.8 32.7 29.2 141,069 113,779 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : CO 1/ : 60 52 71.0 70.0 70.0 4,260 3,640 ID : 510 640 77.0 75.0 75.0 39,270 48,000 MN : 1,920 2,150 41.0 37.0 40.0 78,720 86,000 MT : 3,600 4,050 30.0 32.0 28.0 108,000 113,400 NV 1/ : 8 5 80.0 95.0 95.0 640 475 ND : 6,600 5,600 32.0 31.0 30.0 211,200 168,000 OR 1/ : 95 153 48.0 44.0 44.0 4,560 6,732 SD : 1,850 1,650 32.0 35.0 35.0 59,200 57,750 UT 1/ : 23 29 58.0 60.0 60.0 1,334 1,740 WA : 465 620 45.0 42.0 42.0 20,925 26,040 WI 1/ : 7 7 30.0 30.0 30.0 210 210 WY 1/ : 10 4 39.0 40.0 40.0 390 160 : US : 15,148 14,960 34.9 35.3 34.2 528,709 512,147 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1997-98 and Forecast August 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 1997 :1,098,303 471,987 275,238 491,324 56,831 87,783 2,481,466 1998 :1,182,092 442,639 255,874 486,781 41,928 141,069 2,550,383 1999 :1,042,322 450,602 195,658 460,251 51,896 113,779 2,314,508 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available for all wheat producing States. Unless unusual situations dictate, the previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. Washington Wheat Variety Survey indicates winter wheat is 93 percent White. Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : AL : 197.0 198.0 2,195 2,200 372,490 432,415 435,600 FL : 90.0 88.0 2,590 2,700 228,060 233,100 237,600 GA : 537.0 538.0 2,815 2,600 1,333,830 1,511,655 1,398,800 NM : 22.0 19.0 2,820 2,600 46,710 62,040 49,400 NC : 124.5 126.0 3,190 2,800 329,640 397,155 352,800 OK : 75.0 78.0 2,130 2,600 184,800 159,750 202,800 SC : 11.5 11.5 2,450 2,900 30,450 28,175 33,350 TX : 335.0 315.0 2,740 2,900 822,150 917,900 913,500 VA : 75.0 75.0 2,950 3,000 191,250 221,250 225,000 : US : 1,467.0 1,448.5 2,702 2,657 3,539,380 3,963,440 3,848,850 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Cwt -------- : AR : 1,525 1,640 5,800 5,900 79,220 88,420 96,760 CA : 478 568 6,840 7,700 42,546 32,698 43,736 LA : 620 645 4,530 4,900 26,981 28,107 31,605 MS : 268 298 5,800 5,800 13,804 15,544 17,284 MO : 143 155 5,200 5,100 6,201 7,436 7,905 TX : 283 269 5,600 6,300 14,240 15,846 16,947 : US : 3,317 3,575 5,669 5,993 182,992 188,051 214,237 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1997 : 124,485 57,091 1,416 182,992 1998 : 141,624 44,453 1,974 188,051 1999 1/ : 152,545 57,894 3,798 214,237 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated August 1, 1999, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 1/ : 1999 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,934.6 5,365.4 6,907.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Cottonseed Production revised from May 12,1999 Crop Production. Georgia revised production to 526,000 tons with 229,000 tons sold to oil mills and 297,000 tons for other users. 2/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Bushels -- -------- 1,000 Bushels ------- : AL : 320 230 22.0 29.0 8,500 7,040 6,670 AR : 3,400 3,450 25.0 29.0 109,800 85,000 100,050 DE : 216 201 33.0 28.0 6,525 7,128 5,628 FL : 30 19 23.0 30.0 1,125 690 570 GA : 220 215 21.0 23.0 7,980 4,620 4,945 IL : 10,650 10,750 44.0 43.0 427,850 468,600 462,250 IN : 5,600 5,680 42.0 41.0 230,550 235,200 232,880 IA : 10,450 10,850 48.0 48.0 478,400 501,600 520,800 KS : 2,500 2,650 30.0 32.0 86,950 75,000 84,800 KY : 1,200 1,180 30.0 27.0 42,090 36,000 31,860 LA : 1,070 1,010 21.0 30.0 39,150 22,470 30,300 MD : 460 450 31.0 26.0 15,600 14,260 11,700 MI : 1,890 1,990 39.0 40.0 71,610 73,710 79,600 MN : 6,800 6,900 42.0 42.0 255,450 285,600 289,800 MS : 2,000 1,950 24.0 27.0 64,170 48,000 52,650 MO : 5,000 5,350 34.0 34.0 174,600 170,000 181,900 NE : 3,750 4,300 44.0 44.0 143,775 165,000 189,200 NJ : 113 108 28.0 22.0 4,030 3,164 2,376 NY 1/ : 97 108 41.0 40.0 3,977 4,320 NC : 1,415 1,390 27.0 27.0 38,570 38,205 37,530 ND : 1,525 1,480 32.0 31.0 33,630 48,800 45,880 OH : 4,390 4,680 44.0 42.0 190,960 193,160 196,560 OK : 340 480 18.0 26.0 9,900 6,120 12,480 PA : 395 360 40.0 28.0 13,690 15,800 10,080 SC : 500 490 21.0 24.0 12,825 10,500 11,760 SD : 3,420 3,860 39.0 39.0 113,750 133,380 150,540 TN : 1,210 1,100 29.0 30.0 40,800 35,090 33,000 TX : 270 320 22.0 30.0 11,200 5,940 9,600 VA : 480 460 23.0 24.0 11,270 11,040 11,040 WI : 1,100 1,250 47.0 47.0 44,000 51,700 58,750 : US : 70,811 73,261 38.9 39.2 2,688,750 2,756,794 2,869,519 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ NY estimates began with 1998 Crop Year. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ and :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Bales 2/ ------- : Upland : AL : 475.0 560.0 559 711 550.0 553.0 830.0 AZ : 248.0 239.0 1,177 1,115 847.0 608.0 555.0 AR : 900.0 930.0 645 743 1,683.0 1,209.0 1,440.0 CA : 620.0 585.0 887 1,067 2,191.0 1,146.0 1,300.0 FL : 80.0 88.0 489 524 119.1 81.5 96.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,450.0 578 629 1,919.0 1,542.0 1,900.0 KS : 16.5 28.0 404 411 8.7 13.9 24.0 LA : 525.0 565.0 586 697 986.0 641.0 820.0 MS : 940.0 1,180.0 737 773 1,821.0 1,444.0 1,900.0 MO : 357.0 445.0 471 593 565.0 350.0 550.0 NM : 60.3 67.0 640 716 93.0 80.4 100.0 NC : 705.0 870.0 699 687 930.0 1,026.0 1,245.0 OK : 120.0 190.0 560 531 183.0 140.0 210.0 SC : 286.0 315.0 587 686 410.0 350.0 450.0 TN : 445.0 595.0 589 589 662.0 546.0 730.0 TX : 3,300.0 5,000.0 524 509 5,140.0 3,600.0 5,300.0 VA : 91.0 109.0 765 819 137.2 145.1 186.0 : US :10,448.8 13,216.0 619 641 18,245.0 13,475.9 17,636.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 15.5 11.2 830 776 41.8 26.8 18.1 CA : 180.0 259.0 941 1,075 437.2 352.8 580.0 NM : 7.3 7.0 658 651 14.7 10.0 9.5 TX : 32.0 39.0 791 738 54.3 52.7 60.0 : US : 234.8 316.2 904 1,013 548.0 442.3 667.6 : All : AL : 475.0 560.0 559 711 550.0 553.0 830.0 AZ : 263.5 250.2 1,156 1,099 888.8 634.8 573.1 AR : 900.0 930.0 645 743 1,683.0 1,209.0 1,440.0 CA : 800.0 844.0 899 1,069 2,628.2 1,498.8 1,880.0 FL : 80.0 88.0 489 524 119.1 81.5 96.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,450.0 578 629 1,919.0 1,542.0 1,900.0 KS : 16.5 28.0 404 411 8.7 13.9 24.0 LA : 525.0 565.0 586 697 986.0 641.0 820.0 MS : 940.0 1,180.0 737 773 1,821.0 1,444.0 1,900.0 MO : 357.0 445.0 471 593 565.0 350.0 550.0 NM : 67.6 74.0 642 710 107.7 90.4 109.5 NC : 705.0 870.0 699 687 930.0 1,026.0 1,245.0 OK : 120.0 190.0 560 531 183.0 140.0 210.0 SC : 286.0 315.0 587 686 410.0 350.0 450.0 TN : 445.0 595.0 589 589 662.0 546.0 730.0 TX : 3,332.0 5,039.0 526 511 5,194.3 3,652.7 5,360.0 VA : 91.0 109.0 765 819 137.2 145.1 186.0 : US :10,683.6 13,532.2 625 649 18,793.0 13,918.2 18,303.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb net weight bales. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class and State : 1998 : 1999 :: Class and State : 1998 : 1999 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Large Lima - CA : 26.0 25.0 :: Light Red : : :: Kidney : Baby Lima - CA : 13.0 27.0 :: CA : 9.5 8.0 : :: CO : 10.0 15.0 Navy : :: ID : 1.6 0.8 CO : 0.6 :: MI : 14.0 18.0 ID : 1.5 5.6 :: MN : 11.0 15.0 MI : 75.0 155.0 :: NE : 13.0 22.0 MN : 52.0 70.0 :: NY : 16.0 16.0 NE : 5.0 9.0 :: WA : 0.9 2.0 NM : 2.0 :: Total : 76.0 96.8 ND : 120.0 170.0 :: : OR : 0.4 1.0 :: Dark Red : Total : 256.5 410.6 :: Kidney : : :: CA : 5.5 3.5 Great Northern : :: ID : 0.9 1.0 CO : 0.2 :: MI : 9.0 10.0 ID : 7.5 6.6 :: MN : 34.0 40.0 MN : 3.5 5.0 :: NY : 2.0 1.0 NE : 97.0 116.0 :: ND : 5.5 4.0 WA : 1.1 :: WI : 7.3 8.2 WY : 6.0 5.0 :: Total : 64.2 67.7 Total : 114.2 133.7 :: : : :: Pink : Small White : :: CA : 5.5 2.0 ID : 1.5 2.2 :: ID : 17.6 19.8 OR : 0.3 0.6 :: MN : 11.0 9.0 WA : 1.0 1.8 :: ND : 13.0 11.0 Total : 2.8 4.6 :: WA : 6.0 4.5 : :: Total : 53.1 46.3 Pinto : :: : CO : 152.0 135.0 :: Small Red : ID : 44.2 31.3 :: ID : 13.1 19.6 KS : 18.5 16.5 :: MI : 11.0 12.0 MI : 21.0 11.0 :: WA : 8.0 8.5 MN : 55.0 40.0 :: Total : 32.1 40.1 MT : 12.2 16.0 :: : NE : 76.0 65.0 :: Cranberry : NM : 5.5 1.0 :: CA : 2.5 2.5 ND : 540.0 390.0 :: ID : 0.9 1.3 OR : 2.2 2.4 :: MI : 27.0 34.0 TX : 0.5 0.6 :: MN : 3.0 4.0 UT : 6.0 6.7 :: Total : 33.4 41.8 WA : 16.0 9.5 :: : WY : 28.0 24.0 :: : Total : 977.1 749.0 :: : : :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class and State : 1998 : 1999 :: Class and State : 1998 : 1999 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Black : :: WA : 5.0 5.4 CA : 2.5 1.0 :: Total : 24.5 36.3 CO : 0.7 0.8 :: Other : ID : 5.0 4.8 :: CA : 7.5 10.0 MI : 135.0 100.0 :: CO : 6.5 14.2 MN : 15.0 11.0 :: ID : 0.6 0.3 NE : 3.0 6.0 :: KS : 1.5 7.5 NY : 10.5 10.0 :: MI : 8.0 10.0 ND : 63.0 44.0 :: MN : 5.5 6.0 WA : 2.2 3.2 :: MT : 0.4 WY : 3.0 :: NE : 1.0 2.0 Total : 239.9 180.8 :: NM : 3.0 : :: NY : 2.5 4.0 Blackeye : :: ND : 8.5 11.0 CA : 33.0 39.5 :: OR : 1.9 5.0 TX : 5.5 13.2 :: TX : 9.0 6.2 Total : 38.5 52.7 :: WA : 0.9 1.0 : :: WY : 2.0 3.0 Garbanzo : :: Total : 58.8 80.2 CA : 5.0 16.5 :: : ID : 10.6 11.7 :: US : 2,010.1 1,992.6 OR : 3.9 2.7 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Cwt -------- : CA : 105.0 132.0 1,950 2,200 3,000 2,048 2,900 CO : 155.0 155.0 1,850 1,700 2,280 2,868 2,635 ID : 103.0 103.0 2,050 2,100 2,156 2,112 2,163 KS : 19.0 23.0 2,000 1,850 380 380 426 MI : 295.0 340.0 1,500 1,700 4,941 4,425 5,780 MN : 175.0 185.0 1,450 1,500 2,558 2,538 2,775 MT : 12.2 15.5 2,180 2,180 257 266 338 NE : 188.0 205.0 1,950 2,000 3,708 3,666 4,100 NM : 9.5 1.0 1,800 1,800 204 171 18 NY : 30.0 30.5 1,420 1,300 679 426 397 ND : 710.0 600.0 1,380 1,300 7,119 9,798 7,800 OR : 8.6 11.4 1,770 1,900 182 152 217 TX : 13.5 19.0 1,000 1,500 143 135 285 UT : 5.9 6.6 510 650 42 30 43 WA : 40.0 37.0 2,230 2,200 850 890 814 WI : 7.2 8.0 1,600 1,850 171 115 148 WY : 37.0 31.0 2,180 2,150 700 808 667 : US : 1,913.9 1,903.0 1,611 1,656 29,370 30,828 31,506 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. All Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : AL : 750 780 2.10 2.50 1,733 1,575 1,950 AZ : 240 250 7.25 6.96 1,706 1,740 1,740 AR : 1,175 1,225 1.91 2.11 2,470 2,250 2,590 CA : 1,570 1,570 5.17 5.32 8,408 8,115 8,359 CO : 1,410 1,550 3.26 3.42 4,739 4,602 5,300 CT : 63 58 2.03 2.00 137 128 116 DE : 16 15 3.44 3.00 48 55 45 FL : 230 260 2.50 2.40 650 575 624 GA : 650 650 2.30 3.00 1,560 1,495 1,950 ID : 1,430 1,430 3.88 3.83 4,730 5,549 5,477 IL : 950 850 3.57 3.19 3,159 3,395 2,710 IN : 750 750 3.59 3.19 2,333 2,690 2,390 IA : 1,570 1,640 3.40 3.53 5,190 5,332 5,796 KS : 2,900 2,900 2.77 2.73 6,840 8,020 7,925 KY : 2,350 2,400 2.43 1.99 4,635 5,705 4,785 LA : 330 360 2.20 2.40 1,027 726 864 ME : 158 150 1.77 1.53 253 280 230 MD : 200 210 3.16 2.34 501 632 492 MA : 103 95 1.96 1.71 167 202 162 MI : 1,250 1,250 2.85 3.44 3,760 3,565 4,295 MN : 2,400 2,400 2.96 2.81 6,398 7,110 6,745 MS : 790 710 2.20 2.50 1,800 1,738 1,775 MO : 3,650 3,650 2.11 2.07 7,340 7,703 7,545 MT : 2,500 2,650 2.01 1.96 5,480 5,020 5,200 NE : 3,200 3,200 2.40 2.33 6,790 7,680 7,470 NV : 485 480 3.21 3.19 1,506 1,556 1,533 NH : 56 51 1.96 1.75 105 110 89 NJ : 120 120 1.98 1.70 282 237 204 NM : 360 385 4.30 4.46 1,497 1,548 1,717 NY : 1,400 1,300 2.22 1.77 3,444 3,110 2,300 NC : 670 710 2.22 2.12 1,383 1,486 1,507 ND : 2,600 2,800 1.61 1.94 4,375 4,190 5,420 OH : 1,330 1,300 2.91 2.35 3,850 3,875 3,060 OK : 2,250 2,600 1.50 2.36 5,108 3,380 6,140 OR : 970 1,100 3.48 3.12 3,266 3,374 3,430 PA : 1,850 1,880 2.12 1.81 4,106 3,915 3,396 RI : 10 7 2.20 1.86 16 22 13 SC : 320 310 2.00 2.50 630 640 775 SD : 4,000 4,200 2.04 2.30 7,810 8,160 9,640 TN : 1,785 1,830 2.22 2.32 3,702 3,969 4,251 TX : 4,040 4,810 1.70 2.55 10,955 6,870 12,278 UT : 710 700 3.91 3.92 2,718 2,778 2,744 VT : 245 235 2.06 1.76 522 504 413 VA : 1,260 1,260 2.07 1.64 2,273 2,604 2,064 WA : 750 720 4.21 4.05 3,084 3,156 2,916 WV : 580 580 1.99 1.09 1,101 1,157 630 WI : 2,400 2,400 2.65 2.85 6,353 6,370 6,850 WY : 1,190 1,270 2.05 2.26 2,596 2,445 2,864 : US : 60,016 62,051 2.52 2.59 152,536 151,338 160,769 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : AZ : 200 200 8.00 7.80 1,558 1,600 1,560 AR : 25 25 2.60 2.80 70 65 70 CA : 1,020 1,030 6.50 6.70 6,840 6,630 6,901 CO : 810 900 4.20 4.30 3,276 3,402 3,870 CT : 8 8 2.20 2.00 29 18 16 DE : 8 7 3.60 3.60 24 29 25 ID : 1,130 1,150 4.30 4.30 4,100 4,859 4,945 IL : 600 500 4.20 3.60 2,262 2,520 1,800 IN : 400 400 4.10 3.70 1,520 1,640 1,480 IA : 1,250 1,300 3.60 3.70 4,200 4,500 4,810 KS : 1,000 850 4.60 4.50 3,600 4,600 3,825 KY : 250 250 3.50 2.80 750 875 700 ME : 13 10 2.50 2.00 20 33 20 MD : 55 60 4.10 3.20 182 226 192 MA : 18 20 1.80 1.70 39 32 34 MI : 850 900 3.30 3.80 3,060 2,805 3,420 MN : 1,550 1,550 3.60 3.20 4,868 5,580 4,960 MO : 450 450 3.25 2.90 1,260 1,463 1,305 MT : 1,700 1,750 2.20 2.20 3,960 3,740 3,850 NE : 1,400 1,400 3.75 3.60 4,225 5,250 5,040 NV : 260 255 4.60 4.60 1,092 1,196 1,173 NH : 8 6 3.00 2.00 16 24 12 NJ : 30 30 2.80 2.00 73 84 60 NM : 270 290 5.10 5.20 1,326 1,377 1,508 NY : 600 550 2.45 2.00 1,664 1,470 1,100 NC : 20 20 2.80 2.90 60 56 58 ND : 1,400 1,500 1.75 2.40 2,625 2,450 3,600 OH : 550 600 3.50 3.00 2,160 1,925 1,800 OK : 350 400 2.60 3.80 1,368 910 1,520 OR : 400 450 4.80 4.30 1,974 1,920 1,935 PA : 700 720 2.80 2.30 2,072 1,960 1,656 RI : 2 2 3.00 2.00 5 6 4 SD : 2,400 2,500 2.40 2.70 5,290 5,760 6,750 TN : 35 30 3.40 3.70 132 119 111 TX : 140 110 4.50 4.80 635 630 528 UT : 545 540 4.40 4.40 2,344 2,398 2,376 VT : 45 45 2.30 2.00 104 104 90 VA : 120 120 2.70 2.00 330 324 240 WA : 480 450 5.00 4.80 2,304 2,400 2,160 WV : 50 50 3.00 2.00 165 150 100 WI : 1,900 1,900 2.80 3.00 5,225 5,320 5,700 WY : 600 640 2.60 2.90 1,728 1,560 1,856 : US : 23,642 23,968 3.47 3.47 78,535 82,010 83,160 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : AL : 750 780 2.10 2.50 1,733 1,575 1,950 AZ : 40 50 3.50 3.60 148 140 180 AR : 1,150 1,200 1.90 2.10 2,400 2,185 2,520 CA : 550 540 2.70 2.70 1,568 1,485 1,458 CO : 600 650 2.00 2.20 1,463 1,200 1,430 CT : 55 50 2.00 2.00 108 110 100 DE : 8 8 3.30 2.50 24 26 20 FL : 230 260 2.50 2.40 650 575 624 GA : 650 650 2.30 3.00 1,560 1,495 1,950 ID : 300 280 2.30 1.90 630 690 532 IL : 350 350 2.50 2.60 897 875 910 IN : 350 350 3.00 2.60 813 1,050 910 IA : 320 340 2.60 2.90 990 832 986 KS : 1,900 2,050 1.80 2.00 3,240 3,420 4,100 KY : 2,100 2,150 2.30 1.90 3,885 4,830 4,085 LA : 330 360 2.20 2.40 1,027 726 864 ME : 145 140 1.70 1.50 233 247 210 MD : 145 150 2.80 2.00 319 406 300 MA : 85 75 2.00 1.70 128 170 128 MI : 400 350 1.90 2.50 700 760 875 MN : 850 850 1.80 2.10 1,530 1,530 1,785 MS : 790 710 2.20 2.50 1,800 1,738 1,775 MO : 3,200 3,200 1.95 1.95 6,080 6,240 6,240 MT : 800 900 1.60 1.50 1,520 1,280 1,350 NE : 1,800 1,800 1.35 1.35 2,565 2,430 2,430 NV : 225 225 1.60 1.60 414 360 360 NH : 48 45 1.80 1.70 89 86 77 NJ : 90 90 1.70 1.60 209 153 144 NM : 90 95 1.90 2.20 171 171 209 NY : 800 750 2.05 1.60 1,780 1,640 1,200 NC : 650 690 2.20 2.10 1,323 1,430 1,449 ND : 1,200 1,300 1.45 1.40 1,750 1,740 1,820 OH : 780 700 2.50 1.80 1,690 1,950 1,260 OK : 1,900 2,200 1.30 2.10 3,740 2,470 4,620 OR : 570 650 2.55 2.30 1,292 1,454 1,495 PA : 1,150 1,160 1.70 1.50 2,034 1,955 1,740 RI : 8 5 2.00 1.80 11 16 9 SC : 320 310 2.00 2.50 630 640 775 SD : 1,600 1,700 1.50 1.70 2,520 2,400 2,890 TN : 1,750 1,800 2.20 2.30 3,570 3,850 4,140 TX : 3,900 4,700 1.60 2.50 10,320 6,240 11,750 UT : 165 160 2.30 2.30 374 380 368 VT : 200 190 2.00 1.70 418 400 323 VA : 1,140 1,140 2.00 1.60 1,943 2,280 1,824 WA : 270 270 2.80 2.80 780 756 756 WV : 530 530 1.90 1.00 936 1,007 530 WI : 500 500 2.10 2.30 1,128 1,050 1,150 WY : 590 630 1.50 1.60 868 885 1,008 : US : 36,374 38,083 1.91 2.04 74,001 69,328 77,609 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 69,000 60,000 2,285 2,320 157,665 139,200 VA : 33,000 26,000 2,220 2,200 73,260 57,200 US : 102,000 86,000 2,264 2,284 230,925 196,400 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 143,000 123,000 2,240 2,300 320,320 282,900 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 31,000 27,000 2,000 2,250 62,000 60,750 SC : 45,000 39,000 2,050 2,250 92,250 87,750 US : 76,000 66,000 2,030 2,250 154,250 148,500 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 6,800 6,000 2,515 2,600 17,102 15,600 GA : 41,000 35,000 2,200 2,000 90,200 70,000 US : 47,800 41,000 2,245 2,088 107,302 85,600 Total 11-14 : 368,800 316,000 2,204 2,258 812,797 713,400 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,500 1,500 1,560 1,750 2,340 2,625 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 3,850 3,650 2,315 2,100 8,913 7,665 TN : 7,300 7,000 2,330 2,300 17,009 16,100 US : 11,150 10,650 2,325 2,231 25,922 23,765 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,600 3,450 2,805 2,400 10,098 8,280 TN : 590 560 2,500 2,500 1,475 1,400 US : 4,190 4,010 2,762 2,414 11,573 9,680 Total 21-23 : 16,840 16,160 2,365 2,232 39,835 36,070 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 8,500 6,500 2,000 2,000 17,000 13,000 KY : 215,000 215,000 1,935 1,900 416,025 408,500 MO : 2,700 2,300 2,130 1,950 5,751 4,485 NC : 8,100 8,400 1,450 1,600 11,745 13,440 OH : 9,800 9,800 1,830 1,700 17,934 16,660 TN : 51,000 51,000 1,795 1,900 91,545 96,900 VA : 10,400 11,000 1,940 2,000 20,176 22,000 WV : 1,600 1,700 1,350 1,300 2,160 2,210 US : 307,100 305,700 1,896 1,888 582,336 577,195 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 6,500 6,500 1,400 1,350 9,100 8,775 PA : 3,300 3,000 1,900 1,820 6,270 5,460 US : 9,800 9,500 1,568 1,498 15,370 14,235 Total 31-32 : 316,900 315,200 1,886 1,876 597,706 591,430 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,450 2,750 2,280 2,300 5,586 6,325 TN : 525 600 2,040 2,000 1,071 1,200 US : 2,975 3,350 2,238 2,246 6,657 7,525 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,360 1,500 2,210 2,200 3,006 3,300 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 100 100 1,220 1,700 122 170 Total 35-37 : 4,435 4,950 2,206 2,221 9,785 10,995 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 4,500 3,200 2,100 1,860 9,450 5,952 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,435 1,480 1,600 1,740 2,296 2,575 MA : 925 870 1,445 1,815 1,337 1,579 US : 2,360 2,350 1,539 1,768 3,633 4,154 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,500 940 1,735 2,300 2,603 2,162 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 600 380 1,565 1,900 939 722 Total 54-55 : 2,100 1,320 1,687 2,185 3,542 2,884 Total 51-55 : 4,460 3,670 1,609 1,918 7,175 7,038 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 1,380 1,550 1,435 1,525 1,980 2,364 MA : 340 380 1,325 1,600 451 608 US : 1,720 1,930 1,413 1,540 2,431 2,972 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 10,680 8,800 1,784 1,814 19,056 15,962 : All Tobacco : 717,655 661,110 2,061 2,069 1,479,179 1,367,857 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : CT : 2,815 3,030 1,519 1,630 4,128 4,276 4,939 FL : 6,800 6,000 2,515 2,600 19,053 17,102 15,600 GA : 41,000 35,000 2,200 2,000 89,225 90,200 70,000 IN : 8,500 6,500 2,000 2,000 18,690 17,000 13,000 KY : 226,260 226,350 1,961 1,918 497,928 443,628 434,070 MD : 6,500 6,500 1,400 1,350 12,000 9,100 8,775 MA : 1,265 1,250 1,413 1,750 1,913 1,788 2,187 MO : 2,700 2,300 2,130 1,950 7,035 5,751 4,485 NC : 251,100 218,400 2,197 2,272 731,199 551,730 496,290 OH : 9,800 9,800 1,830 1,700 22,230 17,934 16,660 PA : 7,800 6,200 2,015 1,841 17,020 15,720 11,412 SC : 45,000 39,000 2,050 2,250 126,360 92,250 87,750 TN : 59,415 59,160 1,870 1,954 114,292 111,100 115,600 VA : 45,000 38,600 2,131 2,124 117,576 95,898 81,995 WV : 1,600 1,700 1,350 1,300 3,060 2,160 2,210 WI : 2,100 1,320 1,687 2,185 5,690 3,542 2,884 : US : 717,655 661,110 2,061 2,069 1,787,399 1,479,179 1,367,857 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : CA : 100.0 105.0 28.3 30.2 2,970 2,830 3,171 CO : 57.3 67.7 22.7 21.6 1,308 1,301 1,462 ID : 203.0 210.0 27.1 24.6 5,210 5,501 5,166 MI : 173.0 187.0 16.0 19.0 3,040 2,768 3,553 MN : 458.0 469.0 21.2 19.3 8,251 9,710 9,052 MT : 62.4 61.8 22.6 24.0 1,224 1,410 1,483 NE : 47.4 67.6 19.7 19.5 1,013 934 1,318 NM 2/ : 49 ND : 242.6 253.0 22.2 19.5 4,205 5,386 4,934 OH : 1.1 1.1 17.3 20.0 17 19 22 OR : 17.7 19.7 26.6 25.2 494 471 496 TX 2/ : 270 WA : 35.8 27.0 33.3 31.6 595 1,192 853 WY : 53.4 57.0 20.3 20.5 1,240 1,084 1,169 : Oth Sts : : US : 1,451.7 1,525.9 22.5 21.4 29,886 32,606 32,679 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ No acres planted in 1998 or 1999. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : FL : 447.0 456.0 40.1 39.0 16,236 17,925 17,784 HI : 32.5 35.0 86.1 84.0 3,009 2,798 2,940 LA : 435.0 450.0 29.7 33.0 11,562 12,920 14,850 TX : 32.6 31.5 32.6 33.3 902 1,064 1,049 : US : 947.1 972.5 36.6 37.7 31,709 34,707 36,623 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : ID : 3,000 4,500 3,000 MI : 4,000 3,600 3,600 OR : 12,000 10,500 13,000 WA : 6,500 7,000 5,500 : Total : 25,500 25,600 25,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Jun : 3,630 3,410 2,460 1,885 2,685 3,100 Jul : 3,670 3,490 2,440 2,030 3,095 3,250 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hops: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : ID : 3,909 3,371 1,159 1,380 5,484.1 4,529.4 4,652.0 OR : 6,161 5,822 1,660 1,690 13,572.0 10,227.4 9,839.0 WA : 26,573 25,047 1,686 1,900 55,816.0 44,791.0 47,589.0 : US : 36,643 34,240 1,625 1,813 74,872.1 59,547.8 62,080.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Olives: Total Production, California, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : CA : 104,000 90,000 125,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 1997-1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL 1/ : 25.0 16.0 20.0 AR 1/ : 14.3 12.5 10.5 CA - Freestone 1/ : 739.0 710.0 690.0 CO 1/ : 7.0 20.0 3.0 CT 1/ : 2.3 2.3 2.4 GA 1/ : 160.0 70.0 130.0 ID 1/ : 7.5 9.0 6.0 IL 1/ : 12.5 15.0 17.5 IN 1/ : 2.5 3.8 2.9 KS 1/ : 0.2 0.5 0.7 KY 1/ : 0.6 1.8 5.0 LA 1/ : 1.1 1.4 1.0 MD 1/ : 9.7 10.5 11.0 MA 1/ : 2.0 1.8 1.6 MI : 55.0 43.0 28.0 MO 1/ : 9.5 9.0 7.5 NJ : 65.0 70.0 70.0 NY 1/ : 12.0 10.0 11.0 NC 1/ : 10.0 25.0 30.0 OH 1/ : 6.0 6.8 7.0 OK 1/ : 2.0 20.0 10.0 OR 1/ : 5.8 8.0 7.0 PA : 70.0 65.0 68.0 SC : 160.0 140.0 160.0 TN 1/ : 3.5 3.2 5.0 TX 1/ : 20.0 24.0 13.0 UT 1/ : 8.1 7.7 4.0 VA 1/ : 9.0 14.0 16.0 WA : 46.0 51.0 50.0 WV 1/ : 11.0 13.0 14.0 : Total Above : 1,476.6 1,384.3 1,402.1 : CA - Clingstone 1/ : 1,148.0 1,045.0 1,100.0 : US Total : 2,624.6 2,429.3 2,502.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ : 45.0 46.0 40.0 AR : 7.2 4.5 7.2 CA : 962.0 815.0 825.0 CO : 35.0 65.0 15.0 CT : 24.0 17.5 22.0 DE 2/ : GA : 15.0 11.0 12.0 ID : 110.0 170.0 90.0 IL : 74.0 45.0 75.0 IN : 50.0 54.0 60.0 IA : 13.0 8.7 9.0 KS : 7.5 1.6 6.1 KY : 6.5 11.0 14.0 ME : 64.0 44.5 52.0 MD : 46.0 34.6 37.0 MA : 60.0 29.0 57.0 MI : 1,000.0 970.0 1,050.0 MN : 22.0 23.8 24.0 MO : 53.0 34.0 44.0 NH : 40.5 19.0 41.0 NJ : 55.0 55.0 55.0 NM 3/ : 7.0 8.0 NY : 1,120.0 1,070.0 1,210.0 NC : 152.0 185.0 188.0 OH : 60.0 80.0 100.0 OR : 160.0 180.0 160.0 PA : 535.0 395.0 500.0 RI : 3.6 2.6 3.1 SC : 60.0 45.0 38.0 TN : 10.0 12.5 12.0 UT : 42.0 49.0 14.0 VT : 50.0 35.0 50.0 VA : 270.0 280.0 360.0 WA : 5,000.0 6,400.0 5,195.0 WV : 115.0 110.0 120.0 WI : 49.5 76.1 77.4 : US : 10,323.8 11,387.4 10,562.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 1997. 3/ Forecast discontinued in 1996. Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1997-1998 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :-------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Bartlett : CA : 282,000 277,000 285,000 OR : 75,000 65,000 66,000 WA : 205,000 145,000 165,000 : Total : 562,000 487,000 516,000 : Excluding Bartlett : CA : 30,000 30,000 30,000 OR : 180,000 180,000 153,000 WA : 250,000 230,000 220,000 : Total : 460,000 440,000 403,000 : All : CA : 312,000 307,000 315,000 CO : 2,600 3,500 500 CT : 1,200 1,100 1,000 MI : 4,000 5,040 4,600 NY : 8,000 11,500 13,000 OR : 255,000 245,000 219,000 PA : 4,000 6,100 4,200 UT : 700 900 600 WA : 455,000 375,000 385,000 : US : 1,042,500 955,140 942,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Coffee: Utilized Production, Hawaii, 1996-98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1996-97 : 1997-98 : 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : HI : 6,400 9,400 9,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Parchment basis. Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted August 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes (Table Type) : CA : 825,000 645,000 750,000 Grapes (Wine Type) : CA : 2,940,000 2,570,000 2,900,000 Grapes (Raisin Type) 1/ : CA : 2,883,000 2,158,000 2,250,000 All Grapes : AZ : 25,000 23,000 8,000 AR : 6,500 4,550 5,600 CA : 6,648,000 5,373,000 5,900,000 GA : 2,600 3,200 3,800 MI : 61,000 70,400 65,000 MO : 1,950 2,200 2,500 NY : 139,000 128,000 186,000 NC : 950 1,500 1,600 OH : 6,900 6,100 8,600 OR : 18,500 14,700 19,500 PA : 61,000 54,000 71,000 SC : 500 300 300 WA : 319,000 222,000 285,000 : US : 7,290,900 5,902,950 6,556,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh basis. Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, Hawaii, 1997-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:-------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- -------- Pounds -------- ----- 1,000 Pounds ----- : HI : 275 360 350 44,000 50,000 46,000 12,100 18,000 16,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1998-99 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 6,340.0 5,167.0 5,867.0 4,834.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 80,187.0 77,611.0 72,604.0 70,955.0 Corn for Silage : 5,919.0 Hay, All : 60,016.0 62,051.0 Alfalfa : 23,642.0 23,968.0 All Other : 36,374.0 38,083.0 Oats : 4,902.0 4,698.0 2,765.0 2,631.0 Rice : 3,345.0 3,600.0 3,317.0 3,575.0 Rye : 1,571.0 1,573.0 418.0 396.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,626.0 9,299.0 7,723.0 8,499.0 Sorghum for Silage : 305.0 Wheat, All : 65,871.0 62,733.0 59,002.0 54,467.0 Winter : 46,449.0 43,419.0 40,126.0 35,609.0 Durum : 3,805.0 4,015.0 3,728.0 3,898.0 Other Spring : 15,617.0 15,299.0 15,148.0 14,960.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,127.0 1,095.0 1,092.0 1,067.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 336.0 341.0 329.0 334.0 Mustard Seed : 98.9 59.7 95.6 58.2 Peanuts : 1,521.0 1,468.0 1,467.0 1,448.5 Rapeseed : 4.8 3.5 4.7 3.5 Safflower : 303.0 313.0 285.0 294.0 Soybeans for Beans : 72,375.0 74,145.0 70,811.0 73,261.0 Sunflower : 3,553.0 3,676.0 3,476.0 3,593.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,392.5 14,601.2 10,683.6 13,532.2 Upland : 13,064.3 14,283.0 10,448.8 13,216.0 Amer-Pima : 328.2 318.2 234.8 316.2 Sugarbeets : 1,498.8 1,560.6 1,451.7 1,525.9 Sugarcane : 947.1 972.5 Tobacco : 717.7 661.1 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 9.0 7.4 Dry Edible Beans : 2,010.1 1,992.6 1,913.9 1,903.0 Dry Edible Peas : 323.4 309.1 Lentils : 162.0 158.5 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.1 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.4 0.4 Hops : 36.6 34.2 Peppermint Oil : 124.0 Potatoes, All : 1,422.7 1,391.2 1,393.7 1,370.6 Winter : 15.5 17.9 15.0 17.7 Spring : 93.0 87.7 90.6 85.8 Summer : 73.0 69.2 68.1 66.8 Fall : 1,241.2 1,216.4 1,220.0 1,200.3 Spearmint Oil : 27.4 Sweet Potatoes : 87.2 88.1 83.8 85.2 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Acreage is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1998-99 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 60.1 58.2 352,445 281,365 Corn for Grain : " : 134.4 134.7 9,761,085 9,560,919 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.0 94,525 Hay, All : " : 2.52 2.59 151,338 160,769 Alfalfa : " : 3.47 3.47 82,010 83,160 All Other : " : 1.91 2.04 69,328 77,609 Oats : Bu : 60.4 61.6 167,122 162,096 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 5,669 5,993 188,051 214,237 Rye : Bu : 28.2 11,795 Sorghum for Grain : " : 67.3 69.2 519,933 587,967 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 11.4 3,487 Wheat, All : Bu : 43.2 42.5 2,550,383 2,314,508 Winter : " : 46.9 47.4 1,880,605 1,688,582 Durum : " : 37.8 29.2 141,069 113,779 Other Spring : " : 34.9 34.2 528,709 512,147 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,455 1,588,620 Cottonseed 3/ 4/ : Ton : 5,365 6,907 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.4 6,708 Mustard Seed : Lb : 855 81,750 Peanuts : " : 2,702 2,657 3,963,440 3,848,850 Rapeseed : " : 1,353 6,360 Safflower : " : 1,446 412,085 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 38.9 39.2 2,756,794 2,869,519 Sunflower : Lb : 1,509 5,246,701 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 625 649 13,918.2 18,303.6 Upland 2/ : " : 619 641 13,475.9 17,636.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 904 1,013 442.3 667.6 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.5 21.4 32,606 32,679 Sugarcane : " : 35.8 37.7 34,707 36,623 Tobacco : Lb : 2,061 2,069 1,479,179 1,367,857 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,405 104 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,611 1,656 30,828 31,506 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,920 5,934 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,223 1,938 Wrinkled Seed Peas : " : 674 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,560 9,500 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 50,000 46,000 18,000 16,100 Hops : " : 1,625 1,813 59,548 62,080 Peppermint Oil : " : 78 9,727 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 343 477,381 Winter : " : 199 204 2,980 3,618 Spring : " : 233 270 21,137 23,205 Summer : " : 277 285 18,896 19,071 Fall : " : 356 434,368 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 109 2,987 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 148 12,382 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. 4/ Revised from Crop Production released May 12, 1999. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1997-99 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,888 2,626 2,552 K-Early Citrus (FL) : " : 7 2 4 Lemons : " : 958 935 817 Oranges : " : 12,677 13,670 9,738 Tangelos (FL) : " : 178 128 115 Tangerines : " : 418 360 337 Temples (FL) : " : 108 101 81 : : Non-Citrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 10,323.8 11,387.4 10,562.8 Apricots : Ton : 139.2 118.3 130.0 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 13,700.0 21,000.0 Grapes : Ton : 7,290.9 5,903.0 6,556.9 Olives (CA) : " : 104.0 90.0 125.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 38,800.0 39,900.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,624.6 2,429.3 2,502.1 Pears : Ton : 1,042.5 955.1 942.9 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 214.0 108.0 180.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 25.5 25.6 25.1 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 759,000 520,000 830,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 47.0 15.5 Pecans : Lb : 335,000 146,400 Pistachios (CA) : " : 180,000 188,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 269.0 227.0 Maple Syrup : 1,000 Gal: 1,298 1,159 1,180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Production years are 1996-97, 1997-98, and 1998-99. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1998-99 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,565,730 2,091,030 2,374,320 1,956,270 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,450,880 31,408,400 29,382,110 28,714,780 Corn for Silage : 2,395,360 Hay, All 3/ : 24,287,880 25,111,420 Alfalfa : 9,567,680 9,699,610 All Other : 14,720,190 15,411,810 Oats : 1,983,790 1,901,230 1,118,970 1,064,740 Rice : 1,353,690 1,456,880 1,342,360 1,446,770 Rye : 635,770 636,580 169,160 160,260 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,895,550 3,763,210 3,125,420 3,439,460 Sorghum for Silage : 123,430 Wheat, All 3/ :26,657,330 25,387,420 23,877,520 22,042,250 Winter :18,797,450 17,571,240 16,238,590 14,410,610 Durum : 1,539,850 1,624,830 1,508,680 1,577,480 Other Spring : 6,320,040 6,191,350 6,130,240 6,054,160 : Oilseeds : Canola : 456,090 443,140 441,920 431,800 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 135,980 138,000 133,140 135,170 Mustard Seed : 40,020 24,160 38,690 23,550 Peanuts : 615,530 594,080 593,680 586,190 Rapeseed : 1,940 1,420 1,900 1,420 Safflower : 122,620 126,670 115,340 118,980 Soybeans for Beans :29,289,440 30,005,740 28,656,500 29,647,990 Sunflower : 1,437,860 1,487,640 1,406,700 1,454,050 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,419,810 5,908,960 4,323,550 5,476,350 Upland : 5,286,990 5,780,190 4,228,520 5,348,380 Amer-Pima : 132,820 128,770 95,020 127,960 Sugarbeets : 606,550 631,560 587,490 617,520 Sugarcane : 385,060 393,560 Tobacco : 290,430 267,540 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 3,640 2,990 Dry Edible Beans : 813,470 806,390 774,540 770,130 Dry Edible Peas : 130,880 125,090 Lentils : 65,560 64,140 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,470 Ginger Root (HI) : 150 140 Hops : 14,830 13,860 Peppermint Oil : 50,180 Potatoes, All 3/ : 575,750 563,000 564,020 554,670 Winter : 6,270 7,240 6,070 7,160 Spring : 37,640 35,490 36,660 34,720 Summer : 29,540 28,000 27,560 27,030 Fall : 502,300 492,260 493,720 485,750 Spearmint Oil : 11,090 Sweet Potatoes : 35,290 35,650 33,910 34,480 Taro (HI) 4/ : 200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1998-99 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.23 3.13 7,673,580 6,126,000 Corn for Grain : 8.44 8.46 247,942,980 242,858,530 Corn for Silage : 35.80 85,751,640 Hay, All 2/ : 5.65 5.81 137,291,520 145,847,180 Alfalfa : 7.78 7.78 74,398,220 75,441,480 All Other : 4.27 4.57 62,893,300 70,405,700 Oats : 2.17 2.21 2,425,770 2,352,820 Rice : 6.35 6.72 8,529,850 9,717,630 Rye : 1.77 299,610 Sorghum for Grain : 4.23 4.34 13,206,910 14,935,050 Sorghum for Silage : 25.63 3,163,350 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.91 2.86 69,410,050 62,990,590 Winter : 3.15 3.19 51,181,680 45,955,670 Durum : 2.54 1.96 3,839,270 3,096,560 Other Spring : 2.35 2.30 14,389,100 13,938,360 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.63 720,590 Cottonseed 3/ : 4,867,410 6,265,920 Flaxseed : 1.28 170,390 Mustard Seed : 0.96 37,080 Peanuts : 3.03 2.98 1,797,790 1,745,810 Rapeseed : 1.52 2,880 Safflower : 1.62 186,920 Soybeans for Beans : 2.62 2.63 75,027,640 78,095,510 Sunflower : 1.69 2,379,860 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.70 0.73 3,030,330 3,985,140 Upland : 0.69 0.72 2,934,030 3,839,790 Amer-Pima : 1.01 1.14 96,300 145,350 Sugarbeets : 50.35 48.01 29,579,670 29,645,890 Sugarcane : 80.24 84.42 30,895,990 33,223,830 Tobacco : 2.31 2.32 670,940 620,450 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.58 4,720 Dry Edible Beans : 1.81 1.86 1,398,330 1,429,090 Dry Edible Peas : 2.15 269,160 Lentils : 1.37 87,910 Wrinkled Seed Peas : 30,570 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.75 4,310 Ginger Root (HI) : 56.04 51.56 8,160 7,300 Hops : 1.82 2.03 27,010 28,160 Peppermint Oil : 0.09 4,410 Potatoes, All 2/ : 38.39 21,653,640 Winter : 22.27 22.91 135,170 164,110 Spring : 26.15 30.31 958,760 1,052,560 Summer : 31.10 32.00 857,110 865,050 Fall : 39.91 19,702,600 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 1,350 Sweet Potatoes : 16.56 561,640 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,720 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1997-99 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,619,950 2,382,270 2,315,140 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 6,350 1,810 3,630 Lemons : 869,080 848,220 741,170 Oranges : 11,500,380 12,401,220 8,834,160 Tangelos (FL) : 161,480 116,120 104,330 Tangerines : 379,200 326,590 305,720 Temples (FL) : 97,980 91,630 73,480 : Non-Citrus : Apples : 4,682,800 5,165,240 4,791,210 Apricots : 126,310 107,320 117,930 Bananas (HI) : 6,210 9,530 Grapes : 6,614,190 5,355,070 5,948,320 Olives (CA) : 94,350 81,650 113,400 Papayas (HI) : 17,600 18,100 Peaches : 1,190,500 1,101,910 1,134,930 Pears : 945,740 866,490 855,380 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 194,140 97,980 163,290 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 23,130 23,220 22,770 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 344,280 235,870 376,480 Hazelnuts : 42,640 14,060 Pecans : 151,950 66,410 Pistachios (CA) : 81,650 85,280 Walnuts (CA) : 244,030 205,930 Maple Syrup : 6,490 5,790 5,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Production years are 1996-97, 1997-98, and 1998-99. July Weather Summary A late-month heat wave brought the highest temperatures in 4 to 11 years across much of the Midwest and Ohio Valley, stressing livestock, pastures, and reproductive summer crops. Record-setting heat overspread the Southeast toward month's end, negating the benefits of late June and early July rainfall that had stabilized crop conditions. In the Mid-Atlantic region, where 13-month moisture deficits topped 18 inches in a few areas, the focus of extreme drought remained centered on an area that included eastern West Virginia, northern Virginia, and Maryland. Drought also intensified across the interior Northwest, where moisture deficits mounted in most areas for the fifth consecutive month. In contrast, a banner start to the summer rainy season across the Southwest improved water supplies and eased long-term drought, but caused localized flooding. Midwestern, Northeastern, and Mid-Atlantic temperatures generally ranged from 2 to 5 degrees F above normal. In contrast, readings averaged as much as 4 degrees F below normal in California and on the northern High Plains. Damp, cloudy weather held temperatures as much as 2 degrees F below normal in the Southwest. Despite the late-month heat wave, near-normal readings prevailed in the Gulf Coast States. Monthly rainfall totaled more than 8 inches in a few areas across the upper Midwest, in the southern Appalachians, and along the eastern Gulf Coast. In the Southwest, the heaviest monsoon showers fell in Arizona, with 4 to 8 inches or more observed at some central and southeastern locations. In contrast, rainfall was less than 0.50 inch (and less than 50 percent of normal) in most of Oregon, southeastern Washington, the northern two-thirds of Nevada, the southern two-thirds of Idaho, and northwestern Utah. Farther east, totals were less than 2 inches (and less than 50 percent of normal) in a broad belt from north-central Texas to the middle Ohio Valley, including the east-central Plains and the southwestern Corn Belt. Similar dryness also occurred from northern Virginia to southern New England. General Crop Comments: As July began, most areas of the Corn Belt, had adequate soil moisture to support crop development. By mid-month, corn and soybeans in the eastern Corn Belt and Atlantic Coast States were stressed by moisture shortages and above-normal temperatures. During the second half of the month, crop conditions continued to deteriorate as hot, dry weather extended westward into central and southwestern areas of the Corn Belt. In the northern Corn Belt, including most of Wisconsin and Iowa, and parts of Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska, and South Dakota, numerous storms provided enough rainfall to maintain adequate soil moisture and prevent serious heat damage to crops. A few severe storms flooded low-lying fields in northern Iowa near mid-month. The hot weather promoted rapid development, as both corn and soybeans progressed ahead of normal, especially in the eastern Corn Belt. By August 1, 91 percent of the corn acreage was at the silking stage or beyond, compared with the average of 78 percent. Nearly one-fourth of the crop was at the dough stage or beyond, 8 percentage points ahead of normal. Soybeans blooming advanced to 85 percent and nearly one-half of the acreage was setting pods. Normally, 75 percent of the crop is blooming and 34 percent is setting pods by August 1. Early-month storms recharged dry soils in the Southeast, and provided much-needed moisture for drought stunted crops, especially in Georgia. Mid-month storms rejuvenated crops in the Atlantic Coastal Plains, but by the end of the month, crops were stressed by soil moisture shortages and excessive heat. Cotton development progressed behind the 5-year average during the first half of the month, when mostly cool and seasonal temperatures prevailed. After mid-month, above-normal temperatures accelerated development, and by August 1, acreage at the squaring stage or beyond was nearly complete and more than three-fourths of the crop was setting bolls. Both stages were virtually equal to the 5-year average on August 1. Cotton harvest began along the western Gulf Coast near the end of the month. In California, persistent cool weather hindered crop development. The wheat harvest quickly accelerated in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Missouri after wet soils dried. By mid-month, the wheat harvest was nearly complete in Kansas and the Corn Belt, and combining was active in Colorado, Nebraska, and South Dakota. In the upper Mississippi Valley and across the northern Great Plains to the Pacific Northwest, small grain development accelerated, as cool early-month weather was replaced by record setting triple-digit temperatures during the second half of the month. The oat harvest began early and progressed ahead of normal in the Corn Belt. Most of the acreage in Iowa, Nebraska, and Ohio was harvested by the end of the month. In North Dakota, the harvest season was just starting. Growers began combining spring wheat and barley late in the month and by August 1, 20 percent of the spring wheat and 19 percent of the barley was harvested in South Dakota . The rice crop developed ahead of normal along the western Gulf Coast, but lagged in inland areas of the lower Mississippi Valley and in California. Dry weather aided harvest progress in Texas and Louisiana, where 11 and 20 percent, respectively, was harvested by August 1. Corn for grain: Acreage planted to corn is estimated at 77.6 million acres, unchanged from the June estimate, but down 3 percent from last year. Acreage for grain harvest is estimated at 71.0 million acres, down 84,000 acres from June. Grain acreage was lowered in several mid-Atlantic States due to drought conditions. An additional acreage change was made in Michigan since their crop has advanced rapidly under ideal conditions and farmers expect to harvest a larger percentage of their acreage for grain. The August 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level stalk count for the seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, Wisconsin). After a wet start, corn planting progressed rapidly in early-May. Iowa and Illinois planted half of their corn acreage in one week, as progress moved ahead of the 5-year average. Above-average temperatures in June and July provided plenty of growing degree days and pushed silking ahead of both 1998 and the average. In the northern and western Corn Belt, numerous storms provided enough rainfall to maintain adequate soil moisture and prevent serious heat damage to the crop. Yield for the 34 States without an Objective Yield Survey is forecast at 117.1 bushels per acre, up from 114.4 in 1998. Twenty-one States are showing an increased yield from last year, primarily due to a return to more normal growing conditions after severe drought in Texas and the Southeast last year. Twelve states are showing a yield decrease and one State is unchanged. With the exception of the drought stricken mid-Atlantic States, favorable growing conditions prevailed over most corn growing areas through early-July. However, hot and dry weather moved westward in late-July and began to deteriorate crop conditions. Sorghum for Grain: The first production forecast for the 1999 crop year is 588 million bushels, up 13 percent from 1998 but 7 percent below 1997. Based on August 1 conditions, yield is forecasted at 69.2 bushels per acre, up 1.9 bushels from 1998. Yield increases are expected in 12 of the top 18 producing States, mainly in the southern part of the growing area. The forecasted yield in Texas would be a new record high. Predicted yields in Mississippi and Georgia would equal record high yields. A 7 bushel decrease from last year in Kansas (the largest sorghum producing state) limited the increase in the U.S. forecast. Sorghum planted for all purposes is estimated at 9.30 million acres, up 3 percent from June, but 3 percent below 1998. Acreage was revised due to additional acreage being planted in Texas behind abandoned cotton. Texas planted a total of 3.1 million acres, an increase of 250,000 acres from the June estimate. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain in the U.S. in 1999, at 8.50 million acres, is 10 percent higher than the 1998 harvested grain acreage. An adjustment to the harvested acres estimated in the June "Acreage" report was made for Texas due to the increase in planted acreage. Texas producers expect to harvest 2.9 million acres for grain, 200,000 more than estimated in June. The 1999 sorghum crop was rated 68 percent good to excellent as of the week ending August 1. This is 17 points higher than a year earlier, primarily due to improved conditions in the southern growing region which was plagued by drought last year. Oats: Production is estimated at 162.1 million bushels, 3 percent below last year's 167.1 million bushels. If realized, production would be the third lowest on record, exceeding the 1995 production by 1.0 million bushels and the record low in 1996 by 8.9 million bushels. The estimated yield is 61.6 bushels per acre, up 1.2 bushels from 1998. This would be the third highest yield on record, behind the record 65.4 bushels in 1992 and the 63.6 bushels in 1985. Area harvested and to be harvested for grain is estimated at a record low 2.63 million acres, 5 percent below last year. The decline is a continuation of a trend that has seen harvested acres steadily fall from more than 18 million acres in 1970 to the current level. Hot weather quickly ripened oat fields in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains during the second half of July. Excessive heat stressed late-maturing fields in Michigan and Ohio. Scattered rain periodically interrupted harvest progress in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, but delays were minimal in most areas. By August 1, 40 percent of the crop was harvested, including most of the acreage in Iowa, Nebraska, and Ohio. In North Dakota, harvest began late in the month, with 4 percent of the crop harvested on August 1. Barley: Acres for planted and harvested for 1999 were lowered 70,000 and 59,000 acres, respectively, from June. Barley planted for all purposes is estimated at 5.17 million acres, down 1 percent from June and 19 percent below 1998. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain in 1999, at 4.83 million acres, is 18 percent lower than the 1998 harvested grain acreage. Acreage was updated due to reductions in North Dakota. Production for 1999 is forecast at 281 million bushels, down 5 percent from July and down 20 percent from 1998. Yields are expected to average 58.2 bushels per acre, a decrease of 2.1 bushels from July and 1.9 bushels from last year. Yields were decreased in Idaho, Kansas, Minnesota, and Montana while increases were in Oregon, Pennsylvania, and South Dakota. In comparing yields to the previous year, 15 states are indicating lower yields or no change in 1999 while 12 States are expecting higher yields from 1998 . As of August 1, 73 percent of the acreage in the 6 major barley producing States was fair to good. Hot weather and limited rainfall in July caused crop condition to deteriorate in the major barley producing States. Harvest was progressing behind normal in of most the States on August 1. Producers in the San Luis Valley of Colorado were discovering reduced yields due to frost damage that occurred in late spring. All Mid-Atlantic States expect an increase in yields as hot, dry weather limited disease problems. Winter Wheat: Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 35.6 million, down 11 percent from 1998. Harvest progress in the 19 major producing states had reached 89 percent completion by August 1. This is a point behind last year but a point ahead of average. Most Soft Red Winter (SRW) states harvests are complete. Hard Red Winter (HRW) harvests were complete, or nearly so, in the central and southern Great Plains. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six HRW States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas) are down slightly from last month as is weight per head. Colorado and Texas head counts are at record highs while the average weights are the highest since 1985 and 1984, respectively. Kansas head weights equal last year's high. South Dakota's harvest is 20 points ahead of average with record high yields thus far. Dry, open weather has allowed Montana growers to harvest ahead of an average pace. Combined plant populations in the Pacific Northwest Objective Yield region are higher than average, but forecasted head weights are now well below normal; Idaho's are the lowest since 1988 and Oregon weights are the lowest of the '83-'99 period. The dryness pushed the Oregon harvest well ahead of normal, but Idaho and Washington trailed average. The Michigan harvest started in late June and was virtually complete by the end of July with a new record high yield. Harvested yields were better than previously expected in the SRW States. The Indiana combining finished mid-July with record yields across the state. Kentucky's mid-July finish confirmed last month's record high forecast and the North Carolina yield was better than previously expected. Collective head count and weight per head in the SRW Objective Yield States (Illinois, Missouri, Ohio) are about the same as last month and well above average. Ohio head counts are at record levels and Illinois' are the highest since 1989. Durum Wheat: Acres planted and area for 1999 grain harvest have each been lowered 150,000 acres to 4.02 and 3.90 million, respectively. The changed planted level is still 8 percent higher than last year while acres for harvest are up 5 percent. The new acreages result from North Dakota's update survey. Yield prospects have declined in Montana but held steady in Minnesota and South Dakota. North Dakota's late planted crop trails average development by about a week. Late July's hot, humid weather saw condition ratings fall to 60 percent good or better as of August 1. Wheat midge and head scab are concerns in northeastern counties. The Durum Objective Yield survey samples range from grass green to ripe. Plant population forecasts are below average as average weight per head. Other Spring Wheat: Harvested area for 1999 is forecast at 15.0 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 1 percent from last year. Acreage was 96 percent headed in the five major producing States as of August 1. This lags normal by two points. Harvest had started in all five States, but only South Dakota was more than 10 percent complete. Idaho's dryland spring wheat yield expectations have dropped sharply, but not enough to lower total yield. Early Washington spring harvest points to an average yielding crop with good quality. Montana's spring crop is in fair-to-good condition. Both North and South Dakota's spring wheat crops are rated as mostly good. Objective Yield Survey head number forecasts are above average in Minnesota and North Dakota and well below average in Montana. However, of the three, only Montana's average weight per head is above average. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.85 billion pounds, down 3 percent from last year's crop, but 9 percent above 1997. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.45 million acres, virtually unchanged from the June "Acreage" report but down 1 percent from 1998. Peanut plantings, at 1.47 million acres, were reduced from the June 1 forecast by 1,000 acres. Yield are expected to average 2,657 pounds, 45 pounds below last year but up 154 pounds from 1997. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.11 billion pounds, down 5 percent from last year's level. Expected acreage for harvest, at 835,500 acres, is unchanged from the previous year. Yield in the four-State area are expected to average 2,520 pounds per acre, 120 pounds below 1998. As of August 1, peanut development in Alabama was ahead of schedule with 78 percent of the acreage rated in good to excellent condition. In Georgia, crop development was slightly behind normal and condition on August 1 was 80 percent fair to good. The peanut crop in Florida was rated mostly good to excellent while South Carolina rated mostly fair to good on August 1. The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 578 million pounds, down 7 percent from 1998. Acreage for harvest is up 1 percent from the previous year. Yield is forecast at 2,875 pounds, down 225 pounds from last year. As of August 1, the Virginia-North Carolina peanut crop was rated in mostly good condition. Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.17 billion pounds, up 2 percent from 1998. The region's acreage for harvest, at 412,000 acres, is 5 percent below the 1998 level. Yields are expected to average 2,829 pounds, 191 pounds above 1998. On August 1, 73 percent of the Texas crop was rated in fair to good condition. Rice: Production is forecast at a record high 214 million cwt, 14 percent above 1998 and up 17 percent from 1997. Area for harvest is expected to total 3.58 million acres, unchanged from the June "Acreage" report but 8 percent above a year ago. Yields are expected to average 5,993 pounds per acre, up 324 pounds from 1998. As of August 1, crop development was behind normal in Arkansas, California, and Mississippi while Louisiana and Texas crop was ahead of normal. Rice harvest is underway in Louisiana and Texas. Crop condition was rated at 77 percent good to excellent across the major producing states on August 1. Soybeans: Area planted, at 74.1 million acres, was decreased fractionally from the June acreage estimate and is now 2 percent above 1998 record acreage. Acres expected for harvest, at 73.3 million acres, decreased slightly from June and is now 3 percent above the 1998 acreage. Planting of the 1999 soybean crop was nearly complete as of June 27 as 97 percent had been planted. This compares to 96 percent a year ago and 94 percent for the five-year average. Several states (Kansas, Missouri, North Carolina, and South Carolina) still lagged behind the rest of the country in finishing planting at the end of June. Some replanting of soybean fields was common in areas affected by heavy rains and standing water. In the eight major producing States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio), the average planting date was the same as last year. The eastern Corn Belt States completed planting with the fewest weather disruptions while the western Corn Belt States were delayed by wet conditions. As of August 1, the soybean crop was rated mostly fair to excellent condition. Weather conditions varied widely through most of July. Soil moisture and temperatures were more favorable earlier in the month in most areas of the western Corn Belt and Southeast. Extremely high temperatures during the last two week of July added stress to most of the soybean growing areas, especially localities that were experiencing moisture shortages. States in the Mid-Atlantic and eastern Corn Belt experienced very dry conditions for much of July. As of August 1, 85 percent of the soybean acreage was blooming, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and 10 percentage points ahead of average. The percent of soybean acreage setting pods was 46 percent as of August 1, equal to a year ago but well ahead of the 34 percent average. Blooming and pod setting progress was most advanced in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Ohio. Cotton: Upland cotton planted acreage, at 14.3 million acres, is 9 percent above 1998. Harvested acreage, at 13.2 million acres, is up 26 percent from last year when extremely dry conditions resulted in high abandonment. Growers planted 318,200 acres of American-Pima cotton. Area to be harvested is 316,200 acres, up 35 percent from last year. Texas' cotton crop is making excellent progress and has been aided by near normal temperatures. Some dryland acres are in need of rain to help boost maturity. Abandonment of upland cotton in Texas is estimated at 900,000 acres, or 15 percent. This percentage is much less than last year's drought affected crop, but is higher than average. The abandonment is in part due to hail and wind damage received during the middle of June which resulted in replanting fields to alternative crops. Condition of the crop is rated mostly fair to excellent. On August 1, 82 percent of the crop was rated fair to excellent and 18 percent was rated very poor to poor. After a slow start, development has caught up to average in the past few weeks. On August 1, 66 percent of the cotton fields were setting bolls. This is exactly the same as the 5-year average. The Coastal Bend, Upper Coast, and Rio Grande Valley are defoliating and/or harvesting. Data from the objective yield survey show Texas' fruit counts rank eighth since 1990. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) rated most of their cotton acreage in fair to excellent condition in early August. Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi all rated over 90 percent of their crop in these categories, while Missouri and Tennessee lag slightly behind, having rated only 78 and 82 percent, respectively, in the fair to excellent category. Crop development has been near or above the 5-year average throughout the growing season. On August 1, nearly all fields were setting bolls. Arkansas reported 97 percent of the fields setting bolls and Louisiana and Missouri reported virtually all fields having set bolls. Mississippi reported 98 percent and Tennessee lagged slightly behind with 93 percent of the fields setting bolls. Cotton objective yield data show large boll counts for Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi as the fourth largest in the past 10 years. Arkansas' count of small bolls was fourth highest during this time period, while Mississippi and Louisiana small boll counts rank fifth and sixth, respectively. California and Arizona rated nearly all of their upland cotton fields as fair to excellent on August 1. Arizona rated 92 percent in these categories with the remaining 8 percent being rated poor. California's entire crop was rated fair or better. However, persistent cool weather has hindered crop development in these states. On August 1, California reported 65 percent of their fields setting bolls compared to 73 percent on average. On this same date, Arizona reported 86 percent of their fields setting bolls compared to the 5-year average of 94 percent. Data from the objective yield plots indicate California's count of large bolls ranks seventh since 1990. The number of small bolls is the highest in the past 10 years, while squares rank ninth during this time period. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), plantings were delayed, except in Alabama and North Carolina, due to extremely dry conditions. Alabama and North Carolina were able to progress at a normal pace during the planting season, but were required to do some replanting because of the dry conditions. Early July storms provided some relief to dry soils in the Southeast but Georgia cotton continues to lag behind in condition and development. On August 1, Georgia's cotton was rated 84 percent fair to excellent and 16 percent very poor or poor. Conversely, Alabama, North Carolina, and South Carolina had more than 94 percent of their fields rated fair to excellent. Development of the crops in Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina all lag behind the 5-year average for setting bolls, while North Carolina is slightly ahead of average. American-Pima production is forecast at 667,600 bales, up 51 percent from last year's output. The increase is a combination of more harvested acres and a higher yield than one year ago. Yield is forecast at 1,013 pounds per harvested acre, up 109 pounds from last year. This increase is due to California having an increase of 134 pounds per acre. Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas all showed slight decreases in yield from last year. Acres for harvest were increased in California and Texas, but decreased in Arizona and New Mexico. Ginnings totaled 80,650 running bales prior to August 1, compared with 145,550 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 2,200 running bales in 1997. Dry Beans: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 31.5 million cwt for 1999, up 2 percent from a year earlier and 7 percent above two years ago. This is the highest production since 1991's 33.8 million cwt. In the June 1999 "Acreage" report, U. S. planted and harvested acreage were estimated at 2.02 and 1.94 million acres, respectively. Planted area is now estimated at 1.99 million acres, 1 percent below 1998 but 7 percent above 1997. Harvested acres are now expected to be 1.90 million acres, down 1 percent from 1998 but 8 percent above two years ago. As of August 1, the average U. S. yield is forecast at 1,656 pounds per acre, up 3 percent from last year but 1 percent below two years ago. Average yields are 45 pounds per acre above last year. Production is expected to be above 1998 by 42 percent in California, 31 percent in Michigan, and 12 percent in Nebraska but down 20 percent from last year in North Dakota. In North Dakota, development of the crop is behind average due to late planting. As of August 1, 36 percent of the crop was podded compared to 86 percent last year and 63 percent on average. Also, 66 percent of the crop was rated good or excellent, above last year's condition of 59 percent good to excellent. Michigan's dry bean crop was planted early and has advanced ahead of normal. Most of the crop is in good to excellent condition with some damage from excessive rain. Navy beans replace black beans as Michigan's leading commercial class this year. In Nebraska, precipitation is about 25 percent above normal and crop condition as of August 1 was rated 69 percent good to excellent compared to 66 percent last year. California's dry bean crop is progressing well with many varieties in bloom and the blackeyes ready to harvest. The recent moderate temperatures should be beneficial to yields. As of August 1, the Minnesota crop rated 3 percent very poor, 12 percent poor, 37 percent fair, 38 percent good, and 10 percent excellent. In Colorado, dry beans are about 60 percent through flowering which is behind last year due to delayed planting, but the crop is reported to be in very good condition. In Wyoming, 90 percent of the dry beans have bloomed which is average even though emergence was hampered by cool and wet conditions during May and June. Most of New York's dry bean crop was in full bloom at the end of July but yields are expected to suffer due to drought stress. In Texas and Utah, production is expected to be higher than last year due to favorable growing conditions. U. S. planted acres of navy beans have increased 60 percent between 1998 and 1999 while planted acres of pintos and black beans are down 23 percent and 25 percent, respectively. Pink and large lima were the only other classes that decreased in acreage from 1998 to 1999. Pinto beans make up 38 percent of all planted acres, navies represent 21 percent, blacks 9 percent, and great northerns 7 percent the remaining 25 percent are distributed among the other classes. All Hay: Production for 1999 is forecast at a record high 160.8 million tons, up 6 percent from 1998 and 5 percent higher than 1997. The all hay yield is forecast at 2.59 tons per acre (also a record), up 3 percent from last year. Acreage for harvest of all hay is estimated at 62.1 million acres, 3 percent higher than 1998. This is an increase of 100,000 acres from the June estimate as a result of an increase in the other hay estimate in North Dakota. Hay producers across the country are seeing both extremes this year. Operators in the Atlantic Coast States and eastern Corn Belt have been hit hard by the extreme dry conditions and higher than normal temperatures. Northwestern States have seen dry conditions stress non-irrigated hay; however, conditions have been good for the irrigated acreage. Most other areas of the U.S. have enjoyed very good conditions for hay production. Southern States, which were hit hard by drought last year, have rebounded well this year. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 83.2 million tons, 1 percent above 1998 and 6 percent above 1997. Yields are expected to average 3.47 tons per acre, equal to the record high level last year. Harvested area, at 24.0 million acres, is up 1 percent from 1998. Much improved weather conditions in most of California (leading producer) compared to last year resulted in higher production. The second and third largest producers (South Dakota and Wisconsin) are also expecting substantial increases in production. All Other Hay: Production is forecast at a record high 77.6 million tons, 12 percent higher than last year's production. The average yield, at 2.04 tons per acre, is also a record high. If realized, this would be the first U.S. yield over 2.00 tons per acre. Harvested area is estimated at 38.1 million acres, 5 percent above last year's total. This level is also 100,000 acres above the June estimate, the result of a revision to the North Dakota estimate. This would be the largest harvested acreage since 1962. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1999 is forecast at 1.37 billion pounds, down 8 percent from 1998 and down 23 percent from 1997. Area for harvest in 1999 is forecast at 661,110 acres, also down 8 percent from 1998. Yields for 1999 are expected to average 2,069 pounds per acre, 8 pounds higher than a year ago. Yield prospects in North Carolina, the leading flue-cured state, are averaging higher than last year but suffered some damage from hot, dry weather in July. Kentucky, the leading burley state, expects yields to average less than a year ago due to a hot, dry July. Flue-cured production is expected to total 713 million pounds, down 12 percent from 1998. Flue-cured growers plan to harvest 316,000 acres in 1999, 14 percent below last year. Yield is expected to average 2,258 pounds per acre, 54 pounds more than the previous year. North Carolina's crop was hampered by dry weather but condition is fair to mostly good. South Carolina and Virginia yield prospects improved with some rain received during July. Florida's crop condition remained about the same whereas, Georgia's prospects were reduced due to dry weather and disease. Burley production is expected to total 577 million pounds, 1 percent below a year ago. Yield is expected to average 1,888 pounds per acre, down 8 pounds from 1998. Burley tobacco growers plan to harvest 305,700 acres, slightly below a year ago. Kentucky's acreage, at 215,000, is expected to be the same as last year. The condition of Kentucky's crop was reduced due to lack of soil moisture. Early set tobacco that received rain looks good while later set tobacco in eastern areas is under stress and drying up. Tennessee's tobacco crop yields are ranging from slightly below a year ago for dark types to above last year for burley tobacco. Dry weather has helped to contain the potential problems from black shank, blue mold, and tomato spotted wilt diseases. Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at a record high 32.7 million tons, slightly above the previous record in 1998. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1,525,900 acres, 5 percent more than last year and the highest since 1,540,500 acres were harvested in 1969. The yield is forecast at 21.4 tons per acre, 1.1 tons below 1998. The late-July heat wave stressed the beet crop in Minnesota and North Dakota, but moisture supplies have been mostly adequate to sustain growth. Some areas in Minnesota have a surplus of soil moisture. Warm weather and adequate moisture supplies promoted rapid growth in Colorado. The Michigan sugarbeet crop is in mostly good condition due to timely rains. Cool weather aided development in California, with some fields setting record high yields in the Imperial Valley. In Wyoming, water supplies in the irrigation reservoirs are adequate. Sugarcane: Production is forecast at a record high 36.6 million tons, 16 percent above the previous record of 31.7 million tons set last year. U.S. sugarcane growers intend to harvest a record high 972,500 acres for sugar and seed during the 1999 crop year, 3 percent more than last year's final harvested acres. The record high acreage is due to a 15,000 acre expansion in Louisiana and a 9,000 acre increase in Florida. The expansion in Louisiana is due to increased use of a new high-yielding variety that can be harvested mechanically even if it is severely lodged. Yield is forecast at 37.7 tons per acre, 3.0 tons above 1998. In Louisiana, a record high yield is expected due to ideal growing conditions, increased acreage of a high yielding variety, and increased utilization of a more efficient harvester. Warm weather and frequent rains have provided nearly ideal conditions in Florida also. Dry weather has prevailed in Hawaii, but no significant impact on yields has been experienced at this time. However, new plantings have been curtailed. Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 25,100 tons, down 2 percent from last year and 2 percent below 1997. The Oregon plum forecast, of 13,000 tons, is 24 percent above1998 and 8 percent more than two years ago. Production was hurt some by cool weather during pollination but overall growing conditions have been more favorable than last year. Washington's forecast, at 5,500 tons, is down 21 percent from 1998 and 15 percent below 1997. Idaho expects 3,000 tons, down 33 percent from 1998. A hard frost during pollination and hail damage have combined to reduce Idaho's expectations. Michigan plans to harvest 3,600 tons, unchanged from a year ago but 10 percent below 1997. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya output for July is estimated at 3.25 million pounds, 5 percent more than last month and July 1998. Area in crop totaled 3,490 acres in July, 2 percent higher than June but 5 percent lower than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 2,030 acres, was 8 percent higher than a month ago but 17 percent lower than last July. July weather conditions were variable with a mix of showers, overcast skies, and sunny conditions. Soil moisture level returned to normal in rainfall dependent orchards, which had gone weeks with little or no rainfall. Hops: Hop production in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 62.1 million pounds for 1999, up 4 percent from last year but down 17 percent from the 1997 output. Acreage strung for harvest, at 34,240 acres, is off 7 percent from last year and is the lowest level since 1988 when 33,400 acres were harvested. Yield is forecast at 1,813 pounds per acre, 188 pounds higher than 1998 when extreme hot July and August temperatures in Washington and Idaho were responsible for the lower yields. Washington yield is forecast at 1,900 pounds per acre, the highest since 1995 and 214 pounds higher than last year. An increase in acres of the high-yielding Columbus/Tomahawk variety contributed to higher yield prospects. Growers in Washington are spraying for powdery mildew. Producers in Oregon indicate a yield of 1,690 pounds per acre, up 30 pounds from 1998, with harvest expected to start August 20 on the early varieties. The Idaho hop crop continues to develop normally under warm conditions and yield is expected to be 1,380 pounds per acre, 221 pounds higher than last year's yield. Olives: The 1999 olive crop is forecast at 125,000 tons, up 39 percent from the 1998 production of 90,000 tons. The favorable production forecast is attributable to good weather conditions during the bloom and pollination period. Damage from the Central Valley freeze last December was minimal. Fruit size appears normal in most orchards. Growers expect the yield of the Manzanillo variety to increase 39 percent from last year. Manzanillos account for about 80 percent of the total production. Growers expect the yield of Sevillano and Ascolano varieties, which combined account for about 18 percent of production, to increase by 7 percent and 24 percent, respectively. Peaches: The August 1, 1999 peach crop forecast increased 4.0 million pounds from the July 1 forecast but still rounds to 2.50 billion pounds. This would be 3 percent above 1998 but 5 percent below 1997. New Jersey increased their expectations for the 1999 crop from 65.0 million pounds to 70.0 million pounds, and Michigan growers lowered their production forecast by 1.0 million pounds to 28.0 million. August 1999 forecasts for Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Washington were unchanged from July. In New Jersey, peach harvest started the last week of July. Quality and quantity of fruit remain relatively high even though current drought conditions have adversely affected fruit sizing. In Pennsylvania, 22 percent of the peach crop was harvested by the first week in August. Fruit condition was reported to be mostly good to excellent but quality and size will be reduced if the weather remains hot and dry. Harvest of the Washington peach crop began during the first week of August and is expected to last through the end of September. The crop is reported to have good size, flavor, and aroma. The U. S. Freestone crop as of August 1 is forecast at 1.40 billion pounds, up 1 percent from 1998 but 5 percent below 1997. The California Freestone crop stands at 690.0 million pounds, 3 percent below 1998 and 7 percent below 1997. By August 3, 1999, 93 percent of the Georgia peach crop, forecasted at 130.0 million pounds, had been harvested, and 73 percent of South Carolina's 160.0 million pound crop had been picked. California's Clingstone crop, at 1.10 billion pounds, is 5 percent above 1998 but 4 percent below 1997. Apples: The first production forecast for the 1999 crop year is 10.6 billion pounds, down 7 percent from 1998 but 2 percent above 1997. Decreased production in the Western States more than offset increased production prospects in most of the Eastern States. Production increases are expected in 25 of the top 34 producing States. Production in the Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, WA) is forecast at 6.3 billion pounds, down 18 percent from 1998. All states except California are expecting decreased production in 1999. Washington, which makes up 49 percent of the U.S. forecast, is down 19 percent from 1998 when it produced 56 percent of the nation's apples. Apple production was hampered by frost damage, poor pollination, and reduced bloom in the Western States. Apple production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, WI) is expected to be 1.5 billion pounds, up 12 percent from last year. All of the Central States expect increases in production except Tennessee. In the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV), production is forecasted to be 2.7 billion pounds, up 18 percent from 1998. All states except South Carolina and New Jersey expect increases. Increased expectations are due to favorable pollination and growing conditions in the spring. Pears: All pear production for 1999 is forecast at 942,900 tons, 1 percent below 1998 and 10 percent below 1997. Pear production, other than Bartletts, in the three Pacific Coast States is expected to total 403,000 tons, 8 percent below last year and 12 percent below two years ago. Bartlett pear production is forecast at 516,000 tons in California, Oregon, and Washington, unchanged from the June 1999 forecast and up 6 percent from 1998. For California, the Barlett pear harvest is well underway in the Sacramento area with approximately one fourth of the crop picked. Good quality and fruit size are reported. In Oregon, winter weather conditions lasted longer than normal this year, causing bloom of all fruit to be delayed by two weeks, but bloom was heavy when it finally came. Bartlett production in Oregon is forecast at 66,000 tons, 2 percent above 1998. California's other pear production, at 30,000 tons, is unchanged from 1998, while Oregon's production, at 153,000 tons, is down 15 percent from 1998. Production in Washington is forecast at 220,000 tons, down 4 percent from 1998. Asian pear harvest is underway in California with good quality reported. New York's pear crop forecast, at 13,000 tons, is up 13 percent from 1998 and up 63 percent from two years ago. Pollination conditions were excellent, set was heavy, and disease pressure low, but drought conditions during July could affect fruit size. Michigan's pear crop at 4,600 tons, is down 9 percent from last year but up 15 percent from 1997. In Pennsylvania, production is forecast at 4,200 tons, down 31 percent from 1998. There were some reports of frost damage during bloom and occurrence of fire blight. In Connecticut, production is forecast at 1,000 tons, down 9 percent from 1998. Pollination was good and fruit set was heavy but dry condtions are causing fruit sizes to be small. Two frosts in April severely reduced the size of the pear crop in Colorado. Production in Colorado is forecast at 500 tons. Pear production in Utah is forecast at 600 tons, 300 tons below last year. Hail damage, an untimely spring frost, and damp weather have affected Utah's production. Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 9.50 million pounds (parchment equivalent basis) for the 1998-99 season, up 1 percent from the previous season and the largest harvest since the 1964-65 season. The record large output is due to a 5 percent increase in harvested acreage to a record high 6,100 acres. Average yield declined to 1,560 pounds (parchment equivalent basis) per acre, down 4 percent from the previous season. Grapes: U.S. Grape production is forecasted at 6.56 million tons, up 11 percent from 1998 but down 10 percent from 1997. California's all grape forecast, at 5.90 million tons, increased 10 percent from 1998. The New York, Pennsylvania, and Washington forecasts increased from a year ago while Michigan decreased from last year. These five States account for 99 percent of the U.S. 1999 forecast. Raisin varieties account for 2.25 million tons of California's total production, 2.90 million tons are wine varieties, and 750,000 tons are table varieties. The raisin objective measurement survey indicated fewer bunches per vine but larger in size. Bunch count is the lowest since 1985 but size is the largest since that year. Picking of table and wine varieties continue in the San Joaquin Valley. Growers reported good fruit quality due to warm days and cool nights. Washington's production is forecast at 285,000 tons, up 28 percent from last year but down 11 percent from 1997. The Concord and Niagara grape crops are expected to yield considerably higher than a year ago, by 40 and 44 percent, respectively. The crop in Michigan is forecast at 65,000 tons, down 8 percent from last year but 7 percent above 1997. The wine crop in Northwest Michigan is hampered by disease from heavy rains but the fruit size is good. Grape production in New York is forecast at 186,000 tons, up 45 percent from the previous year and up 34 percent from 1997. Growers reported crop conditions above average until the drought began stressing vines. However, fruit size is above average and crop maturity is 7-10 days ahead of normal. Pennsylvania is forecast at 71,000 tons, up 31 percent from last year and 16 percent above 1997. Growers in Pennsylvania's major producing areas experienced better weather conditions than other grape producing localities. Ginger Root: Hawaii ginger root production is estimated at 16.1 million pounds during the 1998-99 season, down 11 percent from 1997-98. Harvested acreage is estimated at 350 acres, down 3 percent from the previous season. Weather conditions were not favorable for ginger root cultivation during the 1998-99 season. The winter months were wetter than the previous year. As a result, disease set in for many farmers and average yield declined 8 percent to 46,000 pounds per harvested acre. Florida Citrus: Most areas of Florida's citrus belt were drier than normal during July. There were a few counties that had above average rainfall, but most caretakers were irrigating to maintain good tree condition. The hotter than normal temperatures and high humidity have helped generate an abundance of new growth on trees of all ages. New crop fruit is making good progress in the well cared for groves. Caretakers are cutting cover crops to minimize surface moisture use. Spraying, fertilizing, and pushing out dead trees continue in all areas. California Citrus: Harvest activity has slowed considerably due to competition in the market from other fruit. Some Valencia oranges and lemons in southern California were picked. Maturity of new crop navel oranges was progressing. California Fruits and Nuts: Picking of stone fruits continued throughout July with good quality reported. The harvest of grapes for fresh use was completed in the Coachella Valley and began in the San Joaquin Valley. Perlette, Flame Seedless, and Thompson Seedless are the major varieties currently being picked. Recent warm days and cool nights have enhanced the quality of all grapes. Harvest of early apple varieties began by the end of July. Some apple trees were treated for coddling moth. Olive trees were maturing well. Bartlett pear harvest began in the Sacramento River delta area and, by month's end, approximately one fourth of the crop had been picked. Asian pear harvest was active in the San Joaquin Valley. Almond tree limbs continued to need support to bear the heavy nut set. By early August, growers were preparing for harvest. Pistachio trees were treated with fungicides and walnut orchards were treated for blight. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between July 26 and August 6 to gather information on expected yield as of August 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields (corn, cotton, and soybeans). The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-visited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 28,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published August 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision August 1 if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation between the August 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1979-1998 20-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain production forecast is 8.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 9.56 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 8.6 percent or approximately 822 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 14.8 percent or approximately 1.42 billion bushels. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 404 million bushels, ranging from 7 million bushels to 1.09 billion bushels. The August 1 has been below the final estimate 11 times and above 9 times. This does not imply that the August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ------ Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 8.6 14.8 404 7 1,085 11 9 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 8.2 14.2 40 5 108 13 7 Barley :Bu : 6.6 11.8 21 2 69 9 11 All Wheat :Bu : 2.6 4.5 45 1 160 9 11 Durum :Bu : 9.9 17.2 7 1 19 8 12 Other Spring :Bu : 8.5 14.7 36 3 121 11 9 Rice :Cwt : 4.8 8.2 6 0 14 13 7 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 5.5 9.6 96 19 233 9 11 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 8.4 14.5 911 34 3,911 11 9 Dry Edible Beans :Cwt : 7.7 13.3 1.2 0.0 4.2 9 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Brad Parks, Head (202) 720-3843 Rhonda Brandt - Corn (202) 720-9526 Herman Ellison - Peanuts, Rice, Barley (202) 720-7688 Lance Honig - Hay, Sorghum (202) 690-3234 Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Jerry Ramirez - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Dean Groskurth, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4488 Howard Hill - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Jeffrey Kissel - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas, Mushrooms (202) 690-0270 Harry Nishimoto - Hops (360) 902-1940 Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on September 10, 1999. 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