Cr Pr 2-2 (10-99) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 8, 1999, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Up 1 Percent from September Soybeans down 3 percent All Cotton down 6 percent Corn grain production is forecast at 9.47 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month but down 3 percent from 1998. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 133.5 bushels per acre, up 1.3 bushels from last month but down 0.9 bushels from a year ago. If realized, this would be the fourth largest production and the third highest yield on record. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 70.9 million acres, down 30,000 acres from last month due to flooding in North Carolina. Soybean production is forecast at 2.70 billion bushels, down 3 percent from September 1 and down 2 percent from last year's record of 2.74 billion bushels. The yield forecast, at 37.0 bushels per acre, decreased 0.9 bushels from last month and is 1.9 bushels below the 1998 final yield. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record 72.8 million acres, down 1 percent from September 1 but up 3 percent from 1998. Acres expected for harvest were decreased by 475,000 acres in nine states due to abandonment or harvested for hay. The States with the largest acreage reductions are North Carolina, Kentucky, Ohio, and Tennessee. Downward adjustments to harvested acres were also made in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, and South Carolina. Revisions to 1998 soybean acres, yield, and production were published in the September 30, 1999 Grain Stocks release. All cotton production is forecast at 16.4 million 480-pound bales, down 6 percent from last month, but up 18 percent from 1998. Yield is expected to average 588 pounds per harvested acre, down 37 pounds from last year. If realized, this would be the tenth largest cotton crop on record. Missouri, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Oklahoma's Upland harvested acreage were all revised downward, while Arkansas' acreage was increased. Texas' harvested Pima acreage was revised to 32,000 acres. In addition to the increased abandonment in North Carolina, Hurricane Floyd resulted in a significant decrease in yield potential for the State. -Special Note- THERE ARE TWO CONTENT CHANGES OF NOTE IN THIS REPORT: First, the Lentil, Dry Pea, and Austrian Winter Pea acreage, yield, and production data normally included in this report will be moved to the November Crop Production report. This change was requested by the USA Dry Pea and Lentil Council and is part of the ongoing program change effort undertaken by NASS. Second, a table has been added to the report reflecting the percent of corn, soybean, and cotton acres for 1998 and 1999 that were seeded using herbicide and/or insect resistant seed varieties. These data reflect farmer reported information from the 1998 and 1999 Objective Yield Surveys. We anticipate this data series will be updated each year in the October Crop Production report. All oranges: The initial forecast of the 1999-00 U.S. all orange crop is 12.1 million tons, up 22 percent from last year's crop of 9.89 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast is 211 million boxes (9.50 million tons), 14 percent more than the 186 million boxes (8.36 million tons) produced last season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 124 million boxes (5.58 million tons), 11 percent higher than last season. Florida's Valencia forecast of 87.0 million boxes (3.92 million tons) is 18 percent above last season's final utilization. California's all orange production is forecast at 67.0 million boxes (2.51 million tons), 76 percent more than last season's freeze damaged crop. The Navel orange forecast was carried forward from September at 40.0 million boxes (1.50 million tons) and is 90 percent higher than the previous year's utilization. The initial California Valencia forecast for the 1999-00 season is 27.0 million boxes (1.01 million tons), 59 percent more than a year ago. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 1999-00 season is forecast at 1.60 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This is slightly less than last season's record high 1.63 gallons per box as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The 1996-97 yield was 1.57 gallons and the 1997-98 season yield was 1.58 gallons per box. Projected yields for 1999-00 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. This report was approved on October 8, 1999. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Richard E. Rominger Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Contents Page Apples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Beans, Dry Edible . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Citrus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Corn for Grain, Ears Per Acre. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Farmer Reported Genetically Enhanced Varieties . . . . . . . . . 25 Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Hay, All . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Alfalfa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Hazelnuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Pecans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Potatoes, Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . . 44 Rice, by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Sorghum for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Sunflower. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Sunflower, Acres by Variety. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Tobacco,by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Tobacco, by Class and Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels -------- --- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 200 210 63.0 100.0 100.0 12,600 21,000 AZ 1/ : 30 30 175.0 190.0 190.0 5,250 5,700 AR 1/ : 215 135 100.0 125.0 125.0 21,500 16,875 CA : 260 235 160.0 185.0 185.0 41,600 43,475 CO : 1,070 1,130 145.0 146.0 144.0 155,150 162,720 CT 2/ : DE : 155 154 100.0 84.0 84.0 15,500 12,936 FL 1/ : 55 40 62.0 88.0 88.0 3,410 3,520 GA : 265 260 85.0 97.0 95.0 22,525 24,700 ID 1/ : 52 55 150.0 155.0 155.0 7,800 8,525 IL : 10,450 10,650 141.0 140.0 146.0 1,473,450 1,554,900 IN : 5,550 5,750 137.0 128.0 128.0 760,350 736,000 IA : 12,200 11,800 145.0 151.0 150.0 1,769,000 1,770,000 KS : 2,850 2,800 147.0 142.0 142.0 418,950 397,600 KY : 1,180 1,240 115.0 98.0 98.0 135,700 121,520 LA 1/ : 540 410 81.0 127.0 127.0 43,740 52,070 ME 2/ : MD : 400 400 109.0 85.0 85.0 43,600 34,000 MA 2/ : MI : 2,050 1,900 111.0 127.0 123.0 227,550 233,700 MN : 6,750 6,700 153.0 142.0 143.0 1,032,750 958,100 MS 1/ : 500 320 86.0 110.0 110.0 43,000 35,200 MO : 2,500 2,600 114.0 95.0 97.0 285,000 252,200 MT 1/ : 18 19 115.0 135.0 135.0 2,070 2,565 NE : 8,550 8,250 145.0 138.0 140.0 1,239,750 1,155,000 NH 2/ : NJ 1/ : 98 60 92.0 40.0 40.0 9,016 2,400 NM 1/ : 85 90 165.0 170.0 170.0 14,025 15,300 NY : 580 590 114.0 102.0 99.0 66,120 58,410 NC : 770 640 70.0 90.0 78.0 53,900 49,920 ND : 825 810 107.0 107.0 107.0 88,275 86,670 OH : 3,340 3,100 141.0 125.0 124.0 470,940 384,400 OK 1/ : 220 310 130.0 135.0 135.0 28,600 41,850 OR 1/ : 33 35 190.0 190.0 190.0 6,270 6,650 PA : 1,050 1,030 111.0 72.0 76.0 116,550 78,280 RI 2/ : SC : 275 260 40.0 70.0 70.0 11,000 18,200 SD : 3,550 3,250 121.0 105.0 110.0 429,550 357,500 TN : 620 560 96.0 98.0 98.0 59,520 54,880 TX : 1,850 1,730 100.0 135.0 138.0 185,000 238,740 UT 1/ : 24 22 141.0 143.0 143.0 3,384 3,146 VT 2/ : VA : 300 320 84.0 80.0 80.0 25,200 25,600 WA 1/ : 100 140 190.0 195.0 195.0 19,000 27,300 WV 1/ : 34 35 80.0 65.0 65.0 2,720 2,275 WI : 2,950 2,800 137.0 143.0 145.0 404,150 406,000 WY 1/ : 60 55 127.0 130.0 130.0 7,620 7,150 : US : 72,604 70,925 134.4 132.2 133.5 9,761,085 9,466,977 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Not estimated. Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AL 1/ : 6 8 45.0 50.0 50.0 270 400 AR : 130 115 53.0 72.0 74.0 6,890 8,510 CO : 185 200 57.0 52.0 48.0 10,545 9,600 GA 1/ : 30 30 38.0 50.0 50.0 1,140 1,500 IL : 107 97 74.0 77.0 77.0 7,918 7,469 KS : 3,300 3,400 80.0 73.0 73.0 264,000 248,200 KY 1/ : 8 7 80.0 80.0 80.0 640 560 LA : 125 250 60.0 80.0 80.0 7,500 20,000 MS : 36 56 65.0 85.0 85.0 2,340 4,760 MO : 320 310 83.0 70.0 70.0 26,560 21,700 NE : 600 450 94.0 85.0 87.0 56,400 39,150 NM : 65 135 45.0 55.0 55.0 2,925 7,425 NC 1/ : 12 11 45.0 57.0 57.0 540 627 OK : 340 400 45.0 50.0 50.0 15,300 20,000 SC 1/ : 3 4 35.0 45.0 45.0 105 180 SD : 140 110 71.0 58.0 58.0 9,940 6,380 TN 1/ : 16 16 70.0 75.0 75.0 1,120 1,200 TX : 2,300 2,900 46.0 63.0 63.0 105,800 182,700 : US : 7,723 8,499 67.3 68.2 68.3 519,933 580,361 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 1/ : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Cwt --- : AR : 1,525 1,640 5,800 5,850 5,900 88,420 96,760 CA : 478 548 6,840 7,700 7,500 32,698 41,100 LA : 620 625 4,530 4,850 5,000 28,107 31,250 MS : 268 323 5,800 5,800 5,700 15,544 18,411 MO 2/ : 143 176 5,200 5,100 5,100 7,436 8,976 TX : 283 259 5,600 6,300 6,100 15,846 15,799 : US : 3,317 3,571 5,669 5,967 5,945 188,051 212,296 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Area harvested has been updated, planted acres will be reviewed and published in a later report. 2/ Yield estimate for the current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1997 : 124,485 57,091 1,416 182,992 1998 : 141,624 44,453 1,974 188,051 1999 1/ : 152,425 56,099 3,772 212,296 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated October 1, 1999, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 320 200 22.0 18.0 16.0 7,040 3,200 AR : 3,400 3,400 25.0 28.0 26.0 85,000 88,400 DE : 216 201 33.0 26.0 26.0 7,128 5,226 FL 1/ : 30 19 23.0 30.0 30.0 690 570 GA : 220 200 21.0 20.0 20.0 4,620 4,000 IL : 10,550 10,750 44.0 43.0 42.0 464,200 451,500 IN : 5,500 5,680 42.0 40.0 39.0 231,000 221,520 IA : 10,350 10,850 48.0 50.0 48.0 496,800 520,800 KS : 2,500 2,650 30.0 27.0 27.0 75,000 71,550 KY : 1,200 1,100 30.0 21.0 19.0 36,000 20,900 LA : 1,070 1,010 21.0 25.0 25.0 22,470 25,250 MD : 460 450 31.0 26.0 26.0 14,260 11,700 MI : 1,890 1,990 39.0 40.0 40.0 73,710 79,600 MN : 6,800 6,900 42.0 41.0 42.0 285,600 289,800 MS : 2,000 1,950 24.0 25.0 25.0 48,000 48,750 MO : 5,000 5,300 34.0 29.0 27.0 170,000 143,100 NE : 3,750 4,300 44.0 44.0 43.0 165,000 184,900 NJ 1/ : 113 108 28.0 22.0 22.0 3,164 2,376 NY 1/ : 97 108 41.0 40.0 40.0 3,977 4,320 NC : 1,415 1,300 27.0 27.0 24.0 38,205 31,200 ND : 1,475 1,480 32.0 34.0 34.0 47,200 50,320 OH : 4,390 4,600 44.0 39.0 37.0 193,160 170,200 OK 1/ : 340 480 18.0 26.0 26.0 6,120 12,480 PA 1/ : 395 360 40.0 28.0 28.0 15,800 10,080 SC : 500 470 21.0 21.0 21.0 10,500 9,870 SD : 3,400 3,860 39.0 35.0 35.0 132,600 135,100 TN : 1,210 1,040 29.0 20.0 17.0 35,090 17,680 TX : 270 320 22.0 31.0 31.0 5,940 9,920 VA : 480 460 23.0 24.0 26.0 11,040 11,960 WI : 1,100 1,250 47.0 47.0 48.0 51,700 60,000 : US : 70,441 72,786 38.9 37.9 37.0 2,741,014 2,696,272 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Sunflower: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Type & :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : Oil : CO : 107 190 1,400 56,400 149,800 KS : 155 230 1,570 198,000 243,350 MN : 87 86 1,350 79,200 117,450 NE : 38 69 1,240 27,600 47,120 ND : 1,580 1,280 1,540 1,463,000 2,433,200 SD : 885 827 1,640 1,095,150 1,451,400 TX : 11 24 600 22,000 6,600 : Oth : Sts : 34 37 1,101 44,350 37,440 : US 1/ : 2,897 2,743 1,549 2,985,700 4,486,360 : Non-Oil : CO : 43 115 1,150 29,700 49,450 KS : 20 30 1,200 25,200 24,000 MN : 38 42 1,250 27,000 47,500 NE : 30 49 1,130 31,320 33,900 ND : 380 490 1,420 399,900 539,600 SD : 39 58 1,430 100,080 55,770 TX : 33 53 700 56,700 23,100 : Oth : Sts : 12 13 1,124 21,352 13,482 : US 1/ : 595 850 1,322 691,252 786,802 : All : CO : 150 305 1,328 1,230 86,100 199,250 375,150 KS : 175 260 1,528 1,560 223,200 267,350 405,600 MN : 125 128 1,320 1,350 106,200 164,950 172,800 NE : 68 118 1,191 1,240 58,920 81,020 146,320 ND : 1,960 1,770 1,517 1,380 1,862,900 2,972,800 2,442,600 SD : 924 885 1,631 1,550 1,195,230 1,507,170 1,371,750 TX : 44 77 675 950 78,700 29,700 73,150 : Oth : Sts : 46 50 1,107 1,120 65,702 50,922 56,000 : US 1/ : 3,492 3,593 1,510 1,404 3,676,952 5,273,162 5,043,370 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates include all States except AK and HI. Sunflower: Area Planted by Varietal Type, State and United States, 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Varietal Type State :----------------------------------------------------------- : Oil : Non-Oil : All -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CO : 115 45 160 KS : 160 20 180 MN : 90 40 130 NE : 39 31 70 ND : 1,600 390 1,990 SD : 900 40 940 TX : 12 35 47 : Oth Sts : 37 14 51 : US : 2,953 615 3,568 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Pounds -------- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 197.0 198.0 2,195 2,200 2,200 432,415 435,600 FL : 90.0 88.0 2,590 2,600 2,600 233,100 228,800 GA : 537.0 538.0 2,815 2,600 2,600 1,511,655 1,398,800 NM : 22.0 19.0 2,820 2,600 2,700 62,040 51,300 NC : 124.5 115.0 3,190 2,900 2,450 397,155 281,750 OK : 75.0 78.0 2,130 2,600 2,600 159,750 202,800 SC : 11.5 11.5 2,450 2,900 2,700 28,175 31,050 TX : 335.0 315.0 2,740 2,900 3,100 917,900 976,500 VA : 75.0 74.0 2,950 3,000 2,900 221,250 214,600 : US : 1,467.0 1,436.5 2,702 2,660 2,660 3,963,440 3,821,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 1999 : : State : 1998 : 1999 4/ : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 475.0 560.0 559 583 557 553.0 650.0 AZ : 248.0 239.0 1,177 1,155 1,155 608.0 575.0 AR : 900.0 960.0 645 697 665 1,209.0 1,330.0 CA : 620.0 585.0 887 1,190 1,190 1,146.0 1,450.0 FL 3/ : 80.0 88.0 489 524 524 81.5 96.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,450.0 578 596 530 1,542.0 1,600.0 KS 3/ : 16.5 28.0 404 411 411 13.9 24.0 LA : 525.0 595.0 586 686 686 641.0 850.0 MS : 940.0 1,180.0 737 716 716 1,444.0 1,760.0 MO : 357.0 375.0 471 561 550 350.0 430.0 NM 3/ : 60.3 67.0 640 716 716 80.4 100.0 NC : 705.0 810.0 699 687 501 1,026.0 845.0 OK : 120.0 170.0 560 531 480 140.0 170.0 SC : 286.0 315.0 587 549 518 350.0 340.0 TN : 445.0 565.0 589 516 442 546.0 520.0 TX : 3,300.0 5,000.0 524 480 461 3,600.0 4,800.0 VA 3/ : 91.0 109.0 765 819 819 145.1 186.0 : US :10,448.8 13,096.0 619 610 576 13,475.9 15,726.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 15.5 11.2 830 814 814 26.8 19.0 CA : 180.0 259.0 941 1,112 1,149 352.8 620.0 NM : 7.3 7.0 658 651 686 10.0 10.0 TX : 32.0 32.0 791 738 825 52.7 55.0 : US : 234.8 309.2 904 1,045 1,093 442.3 704.0 : All : AL : 475.0 560.0 559 583 557 553.0 650.0 AZ : 263.5 250.2 1,156 1,140 1,140 634.8 594.0 AR : 900.0 960.0 645 697 665 1,209.0 1,330.0 CA : 800.0 844.0 899 1,166 1,177 1,498.8 2,070.0 FL 3/ : 80.0 88.0 489 524 524 81.5 96.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,450.0 578 596 530 1,542.0 1,600.0 KS 3/ : 16.5 28.0 404 411 411 13.9 24.0 LA : 525.0 595.0 586 686 686 641.0 850.0 MS : 940.0 1,180.0 737 716 716 1,444.0 1,760.0 MO : 357.0 375.0 471 561 550 350.0 430.0 NM : 67.6 74.0 642 710 714 90.4 110.0 NC : 705.0 810.0 699 687 501 1,026.0 845.0 OK : 120.0 170.0 560 531 480 140.0 170.0 SC : 286.0 315.0 587 549 518 350.0 340.0 TN : 445.0 565.0 589 516 442 546.0 520.0 TX : 3,332.0 5,032.0 526 482 463 3,652.7 4,855.0 VA 3/ : 91.0 109.0 765 819 819 145.1 186.0 : US :10,683.6 13,405.2 625 621 588 13,918.2 16,430.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 4/ Area harvested has been updated, planted acres will be reviewed and published in a later report. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,934.6 5,365.4 6,210.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. All Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : AL : 750 780 2.10 2.20 1,733 1,575 1,716 AZ : 240 250 7.25 7.28 1,706 1,740 1,820 AR : 1,175 1,225 1.91 2.02 2,470 2,250 2,470 CA : 1,570 1,570 5.17 5.32 8,408 8,115 8,359 CO : 1,410 1,550 3.26 3.42 4,739 4,602 5,300 CT 1/ : 63 58 2.03 2.00 137 128 116 DE 1/ : 16 15 3.44 3.00 48 55 45 FL : 230 260 2.50 2.40 650 575 624 GA : 650 650 2.30 2.70 1,560 1,495 1,755 ID : 1,430 1,430 3.88 3.83 4,730 5,549 5,477 IL : 950 850 3.57 3.32 3,159 3,395 2,825 IN : 750 750 3.59 3.39 2,333 2,690 2,545 IA : 1,570 1,640 3.40 3.93 5,190 5,332 6,446 KS : 2,900 2,900 2.77 2.69 6,840 8,020 7,805 KY : 2,350 2,400 2.43 1.99 4,635 5,705 4,785 LA : 330 360 2.20 2.10 1,027 726 756 ME 1/ : 158 150 1.77 1.53 253 280 230 MD 1/ : 200 210 3.16 2.34 501 632 492 MA 1/ : 103 95 1.96 1.71 167 202 162 MI : 1,250 1,250 2.85 3.38 3,760 3,565 4,225 MN : 2,400 2,400 2.96 3.20 6,398 7,110 7,690 MS : 790 710 2.20 2.00 1,800 1,738 1,420 MO : 3,650 3,650 2.11 2.04 7,340 7,703 7,455 MT : 2,500 2,650 2.01 2.03 5,480 5,020 5,375 NE : 3,200 3,200 2.40 2.38 6,790 7,680 7,610 NV : 485 480 3.21 3.19 1,506 1,556 1,533 NH 1/ : 56 51 1.96 1.75 105 110 89 NJ 1/ : 120 120 1.98 1.70 282 237 204 NM : 360 385 4.30 4.46 1,497 1,548 1,717 NY : 1,400 1,300 2.22 1.97 3,444 3,110 2,560 NC : 670 710 2.22 2.07 1,383 1,486 1,473 ND : 2,600 2,800 1.61 1.88 4,375 4,190 5,270 OH : 1,330 1,300 2.91 2.35 3,850 3,875 3,060 OK : 2,250 2,600 1.50 2.33 5,108 3,380 6,060 OR : 970 1,100 3.48 2.78 3,266 3,374 3,055 PA : 1,850 1,880 2.12 1.84 4,106 3,915 3,468 RI 1/ : 10 7 2.20 1.86 16 22 13 SC : 320 310 2.00 2.00 630 640 620 SD : 4,000 4,200 2.04 2.30 7,810 8,160 9,640 TN : 1,785 1,830 2.22 2.13 3,702 3,969 3,891 TX : 4,040 4,810 1.70 2.55 10,955 6,870 12,278 UT : 710 700 3.91 3.92 2,718 2,778 2,744 VT 1/ : 245 235 2.06 1.76 522 504 413 VA : 1,260 1,260 2.07 1.64 2,273 2,604 2,064 WA : 750 720 4.21 4.18 3,084 3,156 3,006 WV : 580 580 1.99 1.09 1,101 1,157 630 WI : 2,400 2,400 2.65 3.01 6,353 6,370 7,230 WY : 1,190 1,270 2.05 2.26 2,596 2,445 2,864 : US : 60,016 62,051 2.52 2.60 152,536 151,338 161,385 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : AZ : 200 200 8.00 8.20 1,558 1,600 1,640 AR 1/ : 25 25 2.60 2.80 70 65 70 CA : 1,020 1,030 6.50 6.70 6,840 6,630 6,901 CO : 810 900 4.20 4.30 3,276 3,402 3,870 CT 1/ : 8 8 2.20 2.00 29 18 16 DE 1/ : 8 7 3.60 3.60 24 29 25 ID : 1,130 1,150 4.30 4.30 4,100 4,859 4,945 IL : 600 500 4.20 3.90 2,262 2,520 1,950 IN : 400 400 4.10 4.00 1,520 1,640 1,600 IA : 1,250 1,300 3.60 4.20 4,200 4,500 5,460 KS : 1,000 850 4.60 4.60 3,600 4,600 3,910 KY : 250 250 3.50 2.80 750 875 700 ME 1/ : 13 10 2.50 2.00 20 33 20 MD 1/ : 55 60 4.10 3.20 182 226 192 MA 1/ : 18 20 1.80 1.70 39 32 34 MI : 850 900 3.30 3.80 3,060 2,805 3,420 MN : 1,550 1,550 3.60 3.70 4,868 5,580 5,735 MO : 450 450 3.25 2.70 1,260 1,463 1,215 MT : 1,700 1,750 2.20 2.30 3,960 3,740 4,025 NE : 1,400 1,400 3.75 3.70 4,225 5,250 5,180 NV : 260 255 4.60 4.60 1,092 1,196 1,173 NH 1/ : 8 6 3.00 2.00 16 24 12 NJ 1/ : 30 30 2.80 2.00 73 84 60 NM : 270 290 5.10 5.20 1,326 1,377 1,508 NY : 600 550 2.45 2.20 1,664 1,470 1,210 NC 1/ : 20 20 2.80 2.90 60 56 58 ND : 1,400 1,500 1.75 2.30 2,625 2,450 3,450 OH : 550 600 3.50 3.00 2,160 1,925 1,800 OK : 350 400 2.60 3.60 1,368 910 1,440 OR : 400 450 4.80 3.90 1,974 1,920 1,755 PA : 700 720 2.80 2.40 2,072 1,960 1,728 RI 1/ : 2 2 3.00 2.00 5 6 4 SD : 2,400 2,500 2.40 2.70 5,290 5,760 6,750 TN 1/ : 35 30 3.40 3.70 132 119 111 TX : 140 110 4.50 4.80 635 630 528 UT : 545 540 4.40 4.40 2,344 2,398 2,376 VT 1/ : 45 45 2.30 2.00 104 104 90 VA 1/ : 120 120 2.70 2.00 330 324 240 WA : 480 450 5.00 5.00 2,304 2,400 2,250 WV 1/ : 50 50 3.00 2.00 165 150 100 WI : 1,900 1,900 2.80 3.20 5,225 5,320 6,080 WY : 600 640 2.60 2.90 1,728 1,560 1,856 : US : 23,642 23,968 3.47 3.57 78,535 82,010 85,487 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : AL 1/ : 750 780 2.10 2.20 1,733 1,575 1,716 AZ 2/ : 40 50 3.50 3.60 148 140 180 AR : 1,150 1,200 1.90 2.00 2,400 2,185 2,400 CA : 550 540 2.70 2.70 1,568 1,485 1,458 CO : 600 650 2.00 2.20 1,463 1,200 1,430 CT 2/ : 55 50 2.00 2.00 108 110 100 DE 2/ : 8 8 3.30 2.50 24 26 20 FL 1/ : 230 260 2.50 2.40 650 575 624 GA 1/ : 650 650 2.30 2.70 1,560 1,495 1,755 ID : 300 280 2.30 1.90 630 690 532 IL : 350 350 2.50 2.50 897 875 875 IN : 350 350 3.00 2.70 813 1,050 945 IA : 320 340 2.60 2.90 990 832 986 KS : 1,900 2,050 1.80 1.90 3,240 3,420 3,895 KY : 2,100 2,150 2.30 1.90 3,885 4,830 4,085 LA 1/ : 330 360 2.20 2.10 1,027 726 756 ME 2/ : 145 140 1.70 1.50 233 247 210 MD 2/ : 145 150 2.80 2.00 319 406 300 MA 2/ : 85 75 2.00 1.70 128 170 128 MI : 400 350 1.90 2.30 700 760 805 MN : 850 850 1.80 2.30 1,530 1,530 1,955 MS 1/ : 790 710 2.20 2.00 1,800 1,738 1,420 MO : 3,200 3,200 1.95 1.95 6,080 6,240 6,240 MT : 800 900 1.60 1.50 1,520 1,280 1,350 NE : 1,800 1,800 1.35 1.35 2,565 2,430 2,430 NV 2/ : 225 225 1.60 1.60 414 360 360 NH 2/ : 48 45 1.80 1.70 89 86 77 NJ 2/ : 90 90 1.70 1.60 209 153 144 NM 2/ : 90 95 1.90 2.20 171 171 209 NY : 800 750 2.05 1.80 1,780 1,640 1,350 NC : 650 690 2.20 2.05 1,323 1,430 1,415 ND : 1,200 1,300 1.45 1.40 1,750 1,740 1,820 OH : 780 700 2.50 1.80 1,690 1,950 1,260 OK : 1,900 2,200 1.30 2.10 3,740 2,470 4,620 OR : 570 650 2.55 2.00 1,292 1,454 1,300 PA : 1,150 1,160 1.70 1.50 2,034 1,955 1,740 RI 2/ : 8 5 2.00 1.80 11 16 9 SC 1/ : 320 310 2.00 2.00 630 640 620 SD : 1,600 1,700 1.50 1.70 2,520 2,400 2,890 TN : 1,750 1,800 2.20 2.10 3,570 3,850 3,780 TX : 3,900 4,700 1.60 2.50 10,320 6,240 11,750 UT 2/ : 165 160 2.30 2.30 374 380 368 VT 2/ : 200 190 2.00 1.70 418 400 323 VA : 1,140 1,140 2.00 1.60 1,943 2,280 1,824 WA : 270 270 2.80 2.80 780 756 756 WV : 530 530 1.90 1.00 936 1,007 530 WI : 500 500 2.10 2.30 1,128 1,050 1,150 WY : 590 630 1.50 1.60 868 885 1,008 : US : 36,374 38,083 1.91 1.99 74,001 69,328 75,898 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes alfalfa hay. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Cwt -------- : CA : 105.0 132.0 1,950 2,200 3,000 2,048 2,900 CO : 155.0 155.0 1,850 1,700 2,280 2,868 2,635 ID : 103.0 103.0 2,050 2,000 2,156 2,112 2,060 KS : 19.0 23.0 2,000 1,850 380 380 426 MI : 295.0 340.0 1,500 1,900 4,941 4,425 6,460 MN : 175.0 185.0 1,450 1,450 2,558 2,538 2,683 MT 2/ : 12.2 15.5 2,180 2,180 257 266 338 NE : 188.0 205.0 1,950 1,900 3,708 3,666 3,895 NM 2/ : 9.5 1.0 1,800 1,800 204 171 18 NY : 30.0 30.5 1,420 1,200 679 426 366 ND : 710.0 600.0 1,380 1,300 7,119 9,798 7,800 OR 2/ : 8.6 11.4 1,770 1,900 182 152 217 TX : 13.5 19.0 1,000 1,500 143 135 285 UT 2/ : 5.9 6.6 510 650 42 30 43 WA : 40.0 37.0 2,230 2,200 850 890 814 WI 2/ : 7.2 8.0 1,600 1,850 171 115 148 WY : 37.0 31.0 2,180 2,150 700 808 667 : US : 1,913.9 1,903.0 1,611 1,669 29,370 30,828 31,755 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Winter Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CA : 7.0 8.5 7.0 8.5 FL : 8.5 9.6 8.0 9.3 : US : 15.5 18.1 15.0 17.8 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- Cwt -------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ : CA : 220 260 1,540 2,210 FL : 180 200 1,440 1,860 : US : 199 229 2,980 4,070 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 1999 revised. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : CT : 2,815 3,010 1,519 1,658 4,128 4,276 4,992 FL : 6,800 6,000 2,515 2,600 19,053 17,102 15,600 GA : 41,000 35,000 2,200 1,900 89,225 90,200 66,500 IN : 8,500 6,500 2,000 1,900 18,690 17,000 12,350 KY : 226,260 226,350 1,961 1,775 497,928 443,628 401,753 MD : 6,500 6,500 1,400 1,400 12,000 9,100 9,100 MA : 1,265 1,250 1,413 1,719 1,913 1,788 2,149 MO 1/ : 2,700 2,300 2,130 1,950 7,035 5,751 4,485 NC : 251,100 208,400 2,197 2,137 731,199 551,730 445,360 OH : 9,800 9,800 1,830 1,620 22,230 17,934 15,876 PA : 7,800 6,200 2,015 1,802 17,020 15,720 11,170 SC : 45,000 39,000 2,050 2,100 126,360 92,250 81,900 TN : 59,415 59,160 1,870 1,809 114,292 111,100 107,022 VA : 45,000 38,600 2,131 2,221 117,576 95,898 85,735 WV 1/ : 1,600 1,700 1,350 1,300 3,060 2,160 2,210 WI : 2,100 1,320 1,687 2,114 5,690 3,542 2,790 : US : 717,655 651,090 2,061 1,949 1,787,399 1,479,179 1,268,992 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 69,000 55,000 2,285 2,300 157,665 126,500 VA : 33,000 26,000 2,220 2,350 73,260 61,100 US : 102,000 81,000 2,264 2,316 230,925 187,600 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 143,000 119,000 2,240 2,100 320,320 249,900 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 31,000 26,000 2,000 2,200 62,000 57,200 SC : 45,000 39,000 2,050 2,100 92,250 81,900 US : 76,000 65,000 2,030 2,140 154,250 139,100 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 6,800 6,000 2,515 2,600 17,102 15,600 GA : 41,000 35,000 2,200 1,900 90,200 66,500 US : 47,800 41,000 2,245 2,002 107,302 82,100 Total 11-14 : 368,800 306,000 2,204 2,153 812,797 658,700 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,500 1,500 1,560 1,650 2,340 2,475 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 3,850 3,650 2,315 2,100 8,913 7,665 TN : 7,300 7,000 2,330 2,200 17,009 15,400 US : 11,150 10,650 2,325 2,166 25,922 23,065 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,600 3,450 2,805 2,500 10,098 8,625 TN : 590 560 2,500 2,200 1,475 1,232 US : 4,190 4,010 2,762 2,458 11,573 9,857 Total 21-23 : 16,840 16,160 2,365 2,190 39,835 35,397 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 8,500 6,500 2,000 1,900 17,000 12,350 KY : 215,000 215,000 1,935 1,750 416,025 376,250 MO 1/ : 2,700 2,300 2,130 1,950 5,751 4,485 NC : 8,100 8,400 1,450 1,400 11,745 11,760 OH : 9,800 9,800 1,830 1,620 17,934 15,876 TN : 51,000 51,000 1,795 1,750 91,545 89,250 VA : 10,400 11,000 1,940 2,000 20,176 22,000 WV 1/ : 1,600 1,700 1,350 1,300 2,160 2,210 US : 307,100 305,700 1,896 1,747 582,336 534,181 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 6,500 6,500 1,400 1,400 9,100 9,100 PA : 3,300 3,000 1,900 1,750 6,270 5,250 US : 9,800 9,500 1,568 1,511 15,370 14,350 Total 31-32 : 316,900 315,200 1,886 1,740 597,706 548,531 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,450 2,750 2,280 2,150 5,586 5,913 TN : 525 600 2,040 1,900 1,071 1,140 US : 2,975 3,350 2,238 2,105 6,657 7,053 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,360 1,500 2,210 2,200 3,006 3,300 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 100 100 1,220 1,600 122 160 Total 35-37 : 4,435 4,950 2,206 2,124 9,785 10,513 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 4,500 3,200 2,100 1,850 9,450 5,920 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,435 1,460 1,600 1,800 2,296 2,628 MA : 925 870 1,445 1,815 1,337 1,579 US : 2,360 2,330 1,539 1,806 3,633 4,207 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,500 940 1,735 2,200 2,603 2,068 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 600 380 1,565 1,900 939 722 Total 54-55 : 2,100 1,320 1,687 2,114 3,542 2,790 Total 51-55 : 4,460 3,650 1,609 1,917 7,175 6,997 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 1,380 1,550 1,435 1,525 1,980 2,364 MA : 340 380 1,325 1,500 451 570 US : 1,720 1,930 1,413 1,520 2,431 2,934 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 10,680 8,780 1,784 1,805 19,056 15,851 : All Tobacco : 717,655 651,090 2,061 1,949 1,479,179 1,268,992 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : CA : 100.0 105.0 28.3 31.0 2,970 2,830 3,255 CO : 57.3 67.9 22.7 21.6 1,308 1,301 1,467 ID : 203.0 210.0 27.1 25.3 5,210 5,501 5,313 MI : 173.0 187.0 16.0 18.0 3,040 2,768 3,366 MN : 458.0 469.0 21.2 21.0 8,251 9,710 9,849 MT : 62.4 61.8 22.6 23.5 1,224 1,410 1,452 NE : 47.4 66.8 19.7 19.8 1,013 934 1,323 NM 2/ : 49 ND : 242.6 253.0 22.2 21.5 4,205 5,386 5,440 OH : 1.1 1.2 17.3 19.0 17 19 23 OR : 17.7 19.7 26.6 25.0 494 471 493 TX 2/ : 270 WA : 35.8 27.0 33.3 31.8 595 1,192 859 WY : 53.4 57.0 20.3 20.5 1,240 1,084 1,169 : : US : 1,451.7 1,525.4 22.5 22.3 29,886 32,606 34,009 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ No acres planted in 1998 or 1999. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : FL : 447.0 456.0 40.1 39.0 16,236 17,925 17,800 HI : 32.5 35.0 86.1 84.0 3,009 2,798 2,941 LA : 435.0 465.0 29.7 33.0 11,562 12,920 15,345 TX : 32.6 31.2 32.6 33.6 902 1,064 1,048 : US : 947.1 987.2 36.6 37.6 31,709 34,707 37,134 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1997-98, 1998-99 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :---------------------------------------------------------- : 1997-98 : 1998-99 : 1999-00 : 1997-98 : 1998-99 :1999-00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 350 550 400 13 21 15 CA 4/ : 44,000 21,000 40,000 1,650 787 1,500 FL : 140,000 112,000 124,000 6,300 5,040 5,580 TX : 1,350 1,250 1,300 57 53 55 US : 185,700 134,800 165,700 8,020 5,901 7,150 Valencia : AZ : 650 600 500 25 22 19 CA : 25,000 17,000 27,000 938 638 1,013 FL : 104,000 73,700 87,000 4,680 3,317 3,915 TX : 175 180 300 7 8 13 US : 129,825 91,480 114,800 5,650 3,985 4,960 All : AZ : 1,000 1,150 900 38 43 34 CA : 69,000 38,000 67,000 2,588 1,425 2,513 FL : 244,000 185,700 211,000 10,980 8,357 9,495 TX : 1,525 1,430 1,600 64 61 68 US : 315,525 226,280 280,500 13,670 9,886 12,110 Temples : FL : 2,250 1,800 2,100 101 81 95 Grapefruit : White Seedless 5/ : FL : 18,300 17,800 20,500 777 757 871 Colored Seedless 6/: FL : 30,600 28,700 29,000 1,301 1,220 1,233 Other : FL : 650 550 500 28 23 21 All : AZ : 800 750 650 27 25 22 CA : 8,000 7,500 8,000 268 251 268 FL 5/ 6/ : 49,550 47,050 50,000 2,106 2,000 2,125 TX : 4,800 6,100 5,500 192 244 220 US : 63,150 61,400 64,150 2,593 2,520 2,635 Tangerines : AZ 7/ : 600 950 700 23 36 26 CA 7/ : 2,400 1,500 2,300 90 56 86 FL : 5,200 4,950 6,400 247 235 304 US : 8,200 7,400 9,400 360 327 416 Lemons : AZ : 2,600 3,450 3,900 99 131 148 CA : 21,000 16,200 20,500 798 616 779 US : 23,600 19,650 24,400 897 747 927 Tangelos : FL : 2,850 2,550 2,600 128 115 117 K-Early Citrus : FL : 40 80 70 2 4 3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5/ Excludes White Seedless economic abandonment of 5,000,000 boxes in 1997-98. 6/ Excludes Colored Seedless economic abandonment of 1,000,000 boxes in 1997-98. 7/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ 2/ : 45.0 46.0 40.0 AR 2/ : 7.2 4.5 7.2 CA 2/ : 962.0 815.0 825.0 CO 2/ : 35.0 65.0 15.0 CT 2/ : 24.0 17.5 22.0 GA 2/ : 15.0 11.0 12.0 ID 2/ : 110.0 170.0 90.0 IL 2/ : 74.0 45.0 75.0 IN 2/ : 50.0 54.0 60.0 IA 2/ : 13.0 8.7 9.0 KS 2/ : 7.5 1.6 6.1 KY 2/ : 6.5 11.0 14.0 ME 2/ : 64.0 44.5 52.0 MD 2/ : 46.0 34.6 37.0 MA 2/ : 60.0 29.0 57.0 MI : 1,000.0 970.0 1,100.0 MN 2/ : 22.0 23.8 24.0 MO 2/ : 53.0 34.0 44.0 NH 2/ : 40.5 19.0 41.0 NJ 2/ : 55.0 55.0 55.0 NM 3/ : 7.0 8.0 NY : 1,120.0 1,070.0 1,230.0 NC : 152.0 185.0 170.0 OH 2/ : 60.0 80.0 100.0 OR 2/ : 160.0 180.0 160.0 PA : 535.0 395.0 490.0 RI 2/ : 3.6 2.6 3.1 SC 2/ : 60.0 45.0 38.0 TN 2/ : 10.0 12.5 12.0 UT 2/ : 42.0 49.0 14.0 VT 2/ : 50.0 35.0 50.0 VA : 270.0 280.0 360.0 WA : 5,000.0 6,400.0 5,195.0 WV : 115.0 110.0 130.0 WI 2/ : 49.5 76.1 77.4 : US : 10,323.8 11,387.4 10,614.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3/ No forecast made. Only end of year estimates made. Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds Improved Varieties 1/ : AL : 7,000 3,500 8,000 AZ : 18,500 13,000 19,000 AR : 1,200 300 760 CA : 3,000 1,700 2,300 FL : 600 200 1,500 GA : 77,000 35,000 85,000 LA : 2,000 3,000 4,000 MS : 2,600 800 3,000 NM : 45,000 32,000 50,000 NC : 900 1,500 800 OK : 3,000 200 2,000 SC : 2,100 800 800 TX : 40,000 20,000 60,000 US : 202,900 112,000 237,160 : Native & Seedling : AL : 6,000 1,500 5,000 AR : 2,300 250 3,040 FL : 1,200 1,100 1,400 GA : 23,000 5,000 15,000 KS : 4,200 50 3,500 LA : 10,000 13,000 14,000 MS : 1,400 400 1,000 NC : 600 1,000 500 OK : 32,000 1,800 13,000 SC : 1,400 300 300 TX : 50,000 10,000 30,000 US : 132,100 34,400 86,740 : All Pecans : AL : 13,000 5,000 13,000 AZ : 18,500 13,000 19,000 AR : 3,500 550 3,800 CA : 3,000 1,700 2,300 FL : 1,800 1,300 2,900 GA : 100,000 40,000 100,000 KS : 4,200 50 3,500 LA : 12,000 16,000 18,000 MS : 4,000 1,200 4,000 NM : 45,000 32,000 50,000 NC : 1,500 2,500 1,300 OK : 35,000 2,000 15,000 SC : 3,500 1,100 1,100 TX : 90,000 30,000 90,000 US : 335,000 146,400 323,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. Hazelnuts: Utilized Production, In-shell Basis, by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : OR : 46,850 15,400 37,700 WA 1/ : 150 100 300 : US : 47,000 15,500 38,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted October 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes (Table Type) 1/ : CA : 825,000 645,000 750,000 Grapes (Wine Type) 1/ : CA : 2,940,000 2,570,000 2,900,000 Grapes (Raisin Type) 2/ : CA : 2,883,000 2,158,000 2,250,000 : All Grapes : AZ 1/ : 25,000 23,000 8,000 AR 1/ : 6,500 4,550 5,600 CA 1/ : 6,648,000 5,373,000 5,900,000 GA 1/ : 2,600 3,200 3,800 MI : 61,000 70,400 68,000 MO 1/ : 1,950 2,200 2,500 NY : 139,000 128,000 189,000 NC 1/ : 950 1,500 1,600 OH 1/ : 6,900 6,100 8,600 OR 1/ : 18,500 14,700 19,500 PA : 61,000 54,000 73,000 SC 1/ : 500 300 300 WA : 319,000 222,000 275,000 : US : 7,290,900 5,902,950 6,554,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Fresh basis. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Aug : 3,650 3,515 2,420 2,025 2,785 3,500 Sep : 3,745 3,265 2,310 1,590 2,495 3,640 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain: Ears Per Acre The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts objective yield surveys in 7 major corn producing states each year. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre, Selected States, 1995-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State :Month: 1995 : 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Oct : 22,900 23,700 23,500 24,300 24,950 : Nov : 22,850 23,600 23,400 24,300 : : IN : Oct : 23,000 22,750 22,150 23,450 23,950 : Nov : 22,950 22,700 22,150 23,350 : : IA : Oct : 24,050 24,350 24,600 24,250 25,300 : Nov : 24,000 24,250 24,550 24,300 : : MN : Oct : 25,750 26,400 26,150 27,550 26,700 : Nov : 25,700 26,450 25,900 27,550 : : NE : Oct : 21,800 22,600 21,900 22,500 22,650 : Nov : 21,700 22,550 21,900 22,500 : : OH : Oct : 22,650 22,300 22,500 24,800 24,100 : Nov : 22,500 22,000 22,300 25,000 : : WI : Oct : 23,600 24,250 24,350 24,950 25,700 : Nov : 23,250 24,650 24,300 24,850 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Farmer Reported Genetically Enhanced Varieties The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts objective yield surveys in major corn, soybean, and Upland cotton producing states each year. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain, soybean, and Upland cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Detailed information concerning the selected fields is obtained during an initial producer interview. Respondents were asked if they planted seed that, through conventional breeding or bio-technology, was resistant to herbicides or insects. The following table is based on responses from the seed variety questions on the 1998 and 1999 Objective Yield surveys. These data are not official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board, but are intended to show trends in production practices. Herbicide resistant varieties include those developed using both bio-technology and conventional breeding techniques. Insect resistant varieties include those containing bacillus thuringiensis (Bt.) only. Farmer Reported Genetically Enhanced Varieties Percent of Harvested Acres, by Crop, 1998 - 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Herbicide Resistant : Insect Resistant (Bt) :----------------------------------------------------------- Crop : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 :----------------------------------------------------------- : Percent -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain 1/ : 9 8 26 30 Soybeans 2/ : 42 57 Upland Cotton 3/ : 33 38 23 27 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 7-State Total: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, Wisconsin. These 7 States accounted for 69 percent of the U.S. harvested acreage in both 1998 and 1999. 2/ 8-State Total: Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio. These 8 States accounted for 71 percent of the U.S. harvested acreage in both 1998 and 1999. 3/ 5-State Total: Arkansas, California, Louisiana, Mississippi, Texas. These 5 States accounted for 60 percent of the U.S. harvested acreage in 1998 and 63 percent in 1999. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1998-99 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 6,337.0 5,223.0 5,864.0 4,778.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 80,187.0 77,611.0 72,604.0 70,925.0 Corn for Silage : 5,919.0 Hay, All : 60,016.0 62,051.0 Alfalfa : 23,642.0 23,968.0 All Other : 36,374.0 38,083.0 Oats : 4,892.0 4,670.0 2,755.0 2,465.0 Rice : 3,345.0 3,600.0 3,317.0 3,571.0 Rye : 1,566.0 1,582.0 418.0 383.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,626.0 9,299.0 7,723.0 8,499.0 Sorghum for Silage : 305.0 Wheat, All : 65,821.0 62,998.0 59,002.0 54,319.0 Winter : 46,449.0 43,425.0 40,126.0 35,542.0 Durum : 3,805.0 4,075.0 3,728.0 3,859.0 Other Spring : 15,567.0 15,498.0 15,148.0 14,918.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,127.0 1,095.0 1,092.0 1,067.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 336.0 341.0 329.0 334.0 Mustard Seed : 98.9 59.7 95.6 58.2 Peanuts : 1,521.0 1,468.0 1,467.0 1,436.5 Rapeseed : 4.8 3.5 4.7 3.5 Safflower : 303.0 313.0 285.0 294.0 Soybeans for Beans : 72,025.0 74,145.0 70,441.0 72,786.0 Sunflower : 3,568.0 3,676.0 3,492.0 3,593.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,392.5 14,601.2 10,683.6 13,405.2 Upland : 13,064.3 14,283.0 10,448.8 13,096.0 Amer-Pima : 328.2 318.2 234.8 309.2 Sugarbeets : 1,498.8 1,560.6 1,451.7 1,525.4 Sugarcane : 947.1 987.2 Tobacco : 717.7 651.1 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 9.0 7.4 Dry Edible Beans : 2,010.1 1,992.6 1,913.9 1,903.0 Dry Edible Peas : 323.4 309.1 Lentils : 162.0 158.5 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.1 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.4 0.4 Hops : 36.6 34.2 Peppermint Oil : 124.0 Potatoes, All : 1,416.6 174.8 1,387.7 168.0 Winter : 15.5 18.1 15.0 17.8 Spring : 93.0 87.7 90.6 85.8 Summer : 73.0 69.0 68.1 64.4 Fall : 1,235.1 1,216.4 1,214.0 1,200.3 Spearmint Oil : 27.4 Sweet Potatoes : 87.2 88.1 83.8 85.2 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Acreage is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1998-99 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 60.0 59.5 352,125 284,073 Corn for Grain : " : 134.4 133.5 9,761,085 9,466,977 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.0 94,525 Hay, All : " : 2.52 2.60 151,338 161,385 Alfalfa : " : 3.47 3.57 82,010 85,487 All Other : " : 1.91 1.99 69,328 75,898 Oats : Bu : 60.2 60.0 165,981 147,906 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 5,669 5,945 188,051 212,296 Rye : Bu : 29.1 28.7 12,161 10,993 Sorghum for Grain : " : 67.3 68.3 519,933 580,361 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 11.4 3,487 Wheat, All : Bu : 43.2 42.7 2,547,321 2,317,591 Winter : " : 46.9 47.8 1,880,733 1,698,369 Durum : " : 37.0 28.5 138,119 110,042 Other Spring : " : 34.9 34.1 528,469 509,180 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,455 1,588,620 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 5,365 6,210 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.4 6,708 Mustard Seed : Lb : 855 81,750 Peanuts : " : 2,702 2,660 3,963,440 3,821,200 Rapeseed : " : 1,353 6,360 Safflower : " : 1,446 412,085 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 38.9 37.0 2,741,014 2,696,272 Sunflower : Lb : 1,510 1,404 5,273,162 5,043,370 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 625 588 13,918.2 16,430.0 Upland 2/ : " : 619 576 13,475.9 15,726.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 904 1,093 442.3 704.0 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.5 22.3 32,606 34,009 Sugarcane : " : 36.6 37.6 34,707 37,134 Tobacco : Lb : 2,061 1,949 1,479,179 1,268,992 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,405 104 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,611 1,669 30,828 31,755 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,920 5,934 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,223 1,938 Wrinkled Seed Peas : " : 674 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,560 9,500 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 50,000 46,000 18,000 16,100 Hops : " : 1,625 1,813 59,548 62,080 Peppermint Oil : " : 78 9,727 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 343 475,771 Winter : " : 199 229 2,980 4,070 Spring : " : 233 270 21,121 23,205 Summer : " : 278 289 18,933 18,606 Fall : " : 356 432,737 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 109 2,987 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 148 12,382 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1998-00 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,593 2,520 2,635 K-Early Citrus (FL) : " : 2 4 3 Lemons : " : 897 747 927 Oranges : " : 13,670 9,886 12,110 Tangelos (FL) : " : 128 115 117 Tangerines : " : 360 327 416 Temples (FL) : " : 101 81 95 : : Non-Citrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 11,387.4 10,614.8 Apricots : Ton : 118.3 130.0 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 21,000.0 Grapes : Ton : 5,903.0 6,554.9 Olives (CA) : " : 90.0 125.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 39,900.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,429.3 2,502.1 Pears : Ton : 955.1 942.9 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 108.0 180.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 25.6 25.1 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 520,000 830,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 15.5 38.0 Pecans : Lb : 146,400 323,900 Pistachios (CA) : " : 188,000 110,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 227.0 280.0 Maple Syrup : 1,000 Gal: 1,159 1,180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1998-99 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,564,520 2,113,700 2,373,100 1,933,610 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,450,880 31,408,400 29,382,110 28,702,640 Corn for Silage : 2,395,360 Hay, All 3/ : 24,287,880 25,111,420 Alfalfa : 9,567,680 9,699,610 All Other : 14,720,190 15,411,810 Oats : 1,979,740 1,889,900 1,114,920 997,560 Rice : 1,353,690 1,456,880 1,342,360 1,445,150 Rye : 633,740 640,220 169,160 155,000 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,895,550 3,763,210 3,125,420 3,439,460 Sorghum for Silage : 123,430 Wheat, All 3/ :26,637,100 25,494,660 23,877,520 21,982,360 Winter :18,797,450 17,573,660 16,238,590 14,383,490 Durum : 1,539,850 1,649,110 1,508,680 1,561,700 Other Spring : 6,299,810 6,271,890 6,130,240 6,037,170 : Oilseeds : Canola : 456,090 443,140 441,920 431,800 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 135,980 138,000 133,140 135,170 Mustard Seed : 40,020 24,160 38,690 23,550 Peanuts : 615,530 594,080 593,680 581,340 Rapeseed : 1,940 1,420 1,900 1,420 Safflower : 122,620 126,670 115,340 118,980 Soybeans for Beans :29,147,800 30,005,740 28,506,770 29,455,770 Sunflower : 1,443,930 1,487,640 1,413,180 1,454,050 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,419,810 5,908,960 4,323,550 5,424,950 Upland : 5,286,990 5,780,190 4,228,520 5,299,820 Amer-Pima : 132,820 128,770 95,020 125,130 Sugarbeets : 606,550 631,560 587,490 617,310 Sugarcane : 385,060 399,510 Tobacco : 290,430 263,490 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 3,640 2,990 Dry Edible Beans : 813,470 806,390 774,540 770,130 Dry Edible Peas : 130,880 125,090 Lentils : 65,560 64,140 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,470 Ginger Root (HI) : 150 140 Hops : 14,830 13,860 Peppermint Oil : 50,180 Potatoes, All 3/ : 573,280 70,740 561,590 67,990 Winter : 6,270 7,320 6,070 7,200 Spring : 37,640 35,490 36,660 34,720 Summer : 29,540 27,920 27,560 26,060 Fall : 499,830 492,260 491,290 485,750 Spearmint Oil : 11,090 Sweet Potatoes : 35,290 35,650 33,910 34,480 Taro (HI) 4/ : 200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1998-99 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.23 3.20 7,666,620 6,184,960 Corn for Grain : 8.44 8.38 247,942,980 240,472,290 Corn for Silage : 35.80 85,751,640 Hay, All 2/ : 5.65 5.83 137,291,520 146,406,010 Alfalfa : 7.78 8.00 74,398,220 77,552,500 All Other : 4.27 4.47 62,893,300 68,853,510 Oats : 2.16 2.15 2,409,210 2,146,850 Rice : 6.35 6.66 8,529,850 9,629,590 Rye : 1.83 1.80 308,900 279,240 Sorghum for Grain : 4.23 4.29 13,206,910 14,741,850 Sorghum for Silage : 25.63 3,163,350 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.90 2.87 69,326,720 63,074,490 Winter : 3.15 3.21 51,185,160 46,222,030 Durum : 2.49 1.92 3,758,980 2,994,850 Other Spring : 2.35 2.30 14,382,570 13,857,610 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.63 720,590 Cottonseed 3/ : 4,867,410 5,633,620 Flaxseed : 1.28 170,390 Mustard Seed : 0.96 37,080 Peanuts : 3.03 2.98 1,797,790 1,733,270 Rapeseed : 1.52 2,880 Safflower : 1.62 186,920 Soybeans for Beans : 2.62 2.49 74,598,180 73,380,500 Sunflower : 1.69 1.57 2,391,870 2,287,630 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.70 0.66 3,030,330 3,577,210 Upland : 0.69 0.65 2,934,030 3,423,930 Amer-Pima : 1.01 1.22 96,300 153,280 Sugarbeets : 50.35 49.98 29,579,670 30,852,450 Sugarcane : 80.24 84.32 30,895,990 33,687,400 Tobacco : 2.31 2.18 670,940 575,610 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.58 4,720 Dry Edible Beans : 1.81 1.87 1,398,330 1,440,380 Dry Edible Peas : 2.15 269,160 Lentils : 1.37 87,910 Wrinkled Seed Peas : 30,570 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.75 4,310 Ginger Root (HI) : 56.04 51.56 8,160 7,300 Hops : 1.82 2.03 27,010 28,160 Peppermint Oil : 0.09 4,410 Potatoes, All 2/ : 38.43 21,580,610 Winter : 22.27 25.63 135,170 184,610 Spring : 26.13 30.31 958,030 1,052,560 Summer : 31.16 32.38 858,790 843,950 Fall : 39.95 19,628,620 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 1,350 Sweet Potatoes : 16.56 561,640 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,720 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1998-00 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,352,330 2,286,110 2,390,430 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 1,810 3,630 2,720 Lemons : 813,740 677,670 840,960 Oranges : 12,401,220 8,968,430 10,986,010 Tangelos (FL) : 116,120 104,330 106,140 Tangerines : 326,590 296,650 377,390 Temples (FL) : 91,630 73,480 86,180 : Non-Citrus : Apples : 5,165,240 4,814,790 Apricots : 107,320 117,930 Bananas (HI) : 9,530 Grapes : 5,355,070 5,946,510 Olives (CA) : 81,650 113,400 Papayas (HI) : 18,100 Peaches : 1,101,910 1,134,930 Pears : 866,490 855,380 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 97,980 163,290 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 23,220 22,770 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 235,870 376,480 Hazelnuts : 14,060 34,470 Pecans : 66,410 146,920 Pistachios (CA) : 85,280 49,900 Walnuts (CA) : 205,930 254,010 Maple Syrup : 5,790 5,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00. September Weather Summary Three tropical systems--Hurricane Floyd and Tropical Storms Dennis and Harvey--and several strong cold fronts contributed to drought-ending rains along the Atlantic Seaboard, but Floyd caused extensive flooding and widespread crop and property damage in the eastern Mid-Atlantic region. In contrast, mostly dry weather resulted in intensification of the Ohio Valley's 14-month drought, and a depletion of topsoil moisture from central Texas to the southern Appalachians. Farther north, mostly dry conditions favored rapid Midwestern corn and soybean harvesting, although a late-month storm system halted fieldwork from western Missouri to the vicinity of Lake Michigan. The same system dumped locally excessive rainfall in southern and eastern Kansas, washing out some newly planted winter wheat. Meanwhile, a mid- to late-month transition to drier weather aided final small grain harvesting on the northern Plains. Farther west, however, little or no rain fell across the drought-affected interior Northwest, causing some producers to delay winter wheat seeding due to lack of moisture. In the Southwest, showers from a lingering monsoon and the remnants of eastern Pacific Hurricane Hilary yielded to seasonably dry conditions toward month's end. In California, warm weather promoted fieldwork and summer crop maturation. In contrast, several late-month frosts and freezes ended the growing season a few days earlier than normal north and west of a line from southeastern Colorado to central Wisconsin. The freezes did not significantly affect mature or nearly mature summer crops, but burned back emerging winter wheat, especially in Colorado, Montana, South Dakota, western Nebraska, and eastern Washington. Significantly above-normal temperatures were confined to New England (up to 8 degrees F above normal in northern Maine) and the interior Far West (up to 5 degrees F above normal near Lake Tahoe). In contrast, temperatures averaged as much as 5 degrees F below normal on the Plains and 3 degrees F below normal in the western Corn Belt. Monthly rainfall topped 8 inches from eastern Florida northward to eastern New York and New England, and in a few areas across the eastern portions of Kansas and Oklahoma. Totals exceeded 16 inches in several locations from extreme northeastern South Carolina into southeastern Virginia. In contrast, less than 1 inch of rain fell in the middle and lower Ohio Valley, central and southwestern Texas, and portions of the northwestern Corn Belt. No rain fell in most areas from eastern Washington southward into the northern portions of California and Nevada, but more than 4 inches soaked parts of northern Arizona. General Crop Comments: Tropical Storm Dennis delivered heavy rains to parts of the middle Atlantic Coastal Plains early in the month, recharging moisture levels and revitalizing late summer crops. A cold front delivered rain to parts of the northern Great Plains and extreme western Corn Belt, and cooler temperatures for the rest of the Corn Belt. Crops benefited from the moisture but the small grain harvest was delayed in parts of the upper Mississippi Valley and adjacent areas in the northern Great Plains. Farther west, in the High Plains and Pacific Northwest, dry weather aided small grain harvest progress. Harvest gained momentum in the southern Corn Belt, where warm, dry weather quickly ripened row crops. Field preparations continued in most areas of the Great Plains, but many growers delayed winter wheat seeding due to dry soils. Crop development slowly progressed in the Southwest due to below normal temperatures. As mid-month approached, above normal temperatures quickly ripened crops in the Southern and Eastern States. As crops matured, the harvest pace accelerated in the southern Corn Belt, lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast. Heavy rains halted winter wheat seeding in parts of the central and southern Great Plains but recharged depleted soil moisture supplies. Small grain harvest and winter wheat seeding were aided by dry weather in the northern Great Plains and Pacific Northwest. Tropical Storm Dennis provided much-needed moisture in the Northeast, but areas around the lower Great Lakes remained dry. As mid-month passed, crops along the Atlantic Coast from South Carolina to New England were damaged by Hurricane Floyd's strong winds and heavy rainfall. The worst damage was in North Carolina and Virginia. Warm daytime temperatures promoted ripening, and dry weather aided harvest progress in the Corn Belt and Southeast. In the Great Plains, fieldwork and winter wheat seeding progressed with virtually no rain delays. Adequate soil moisture and cool weather aided emergence and growth in early-planted wheat fields. In the Pacific Northwest, recently seeded winter wheat emerged, despite dry soils. Crop development and harvest progress continued to lag in the Southwest. Near the end of the month, freezing temperatures halted crop development in the upper Mississippi Valley, and frost nipped the tops of green soybeans in parts of the northern Corn Belt. However, crop damage was minimal. Dry weather prevailed over most of the Nation, providing nearly ideal harvest conditions in the Corn Belt, Great Plains, and lower Mississippi Valley. In the Great Plains and Pacific Northwest, field tillage and winter wheat seeding also benefited from dry weather. Moisture supplies remained mostly adequate for germinating seeds, even though rainfall was below normal in most areas. A pocket of showers improved soil moisture levels in eastern Oklahoma. Additional rain and lingering wetness stressed crops and hindered harvest progress along the Atlantic Coastal Plains. A heat wave accelerated crop development in California, but maturity and harvest progress continued to lag behind normal. As the month came to an end, harvest progress accelerated in most areas east of the Rocky Mountains, as dry conditions prevailed in most areas. A narrow band of heavy rainfall extending from Kansas to the Great Lakes delayed harvest activities in parts of the Corn Belt. Harvest rapidly progressed in the Mississippi Delta with only isolated rain delays. In the Atlantic Coastal Plains, a wet weather pattern continued to limit harvest progress. Winter wheat seeding was aided by favorably dry weather in most of the Great Plains, although some areas needed moisture to germinate recently planted fields. In the Pacific Northwest, growers delayed planting because of soil moisture shortages. Warm weather ripened crops in California, and the harvest pace accelerated due to favorably dry conditions. Corn for grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 70.9 million acres, down 30,000 acres from last month and 2 percent from 1998. The October 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level ear count for the seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). The previous record ears per acre was set in 1998. As of October 3, ninety-four percent of the acreage was reported mature in the 17 major States. This compares with 95 percent last year and 84 percent for the 5-year average. Twenty-nine percent of the acreage was harvested, equal to one year ago but ahead of the 5-year average of 19 percent. Temperatures were below-normal in some areas of the Corn Belt, but generally dry weather provided ideal ripening conditions and allowed rapid harvest progress. The northern Corn Belt experienced frost in late-September, but little corn was damaged due to the advanced maturity of the crop. In Iowa, forecasted ear counts are the highest on record. The corn crop was mature as of October 3, compared to 99 percent in 1998 and the average of 92 percent. Eighteen percent of the crop was harvested, equal to last year but ahead of the average of 11 percent. Forecasted ear counts are at a record high for Illinois when compared to final levels. Ninety-eight percent of the corn was mature, compared to 94 percent last year and 87 percent for the average. Forty-three percent of the crop was harvested, compared with 31 percent in 1998 and the average of 18 percent. In Nebraska and Wisconsin, forecasted ear counts are also at record high levels. Ninety-one percent of the crop was mature in both Nebraska and Wisconsin, both behind last year but well ahead of the average. Seventeen percent of the Nebraska acreage was harvested, compared with 30 percent for last year and the average of 14 percent. In Wisconsin, 16 percent of the corn was harvested, equal to 1998 but ahead of the average of 9 percent. Forecasted ear counts in Indiana are the highest on record and Ohio ear counts are the second highest on record. Ninety-nine percent of the corn in Indiana was mature, compared to 94 percent in 1998 and the average of 83 percent. In Ohio, 93 percent of the corn was mature, well ahead of 82 percent in 1998 and the average of 56 percent. Forty percent of the Indiana acreage was harvested and 26 percent of Ohio's crop was harvested, both well ahead of last year and the average. Minnesota objective yield data indicate the fourth highest ear count on record. Ninety-five percent of the corn acreage was mature by October 3, compared with 99 percent a year ago and the average of 88 percent. Nine percent of the crop was harvested, well behind 27 percent in 1998 and slightly behind the average of 11 percent. Sorghum for Grain: Production is forecast at 580 million bushels, virtually unchanged from the September forecast but 12 percent higher than the 1998 total. Area harvested and to be harvested is unchanged from September at 8.50 million acres, up 10 percent from the previous year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 68.3 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushels from last month and 1 bushel above last year. Compared to September, forecasted yields in Arkansas and Nebraska each increased by 2 bushels per acre, while Colorado lowered their forecast by 4 bushels. Record yields are expected in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas. As of October 3, seventy-seven percent of the crop was mature in the top 12 producing States, 2 points ahead of the average. Harvest, at 40 percent complete, was 4 points ahead of normal. Rice: Production is forecast at a record high 212 million cwt, up slightly from September 1 and 13 percent above 1998. Harvested acreage, at 3.57 million acres, reflects an increase in Mississippi and Missouri while the acres decreased in California and Texas from last month. The average yield is forecast at 5,945 pounds per acre, down 22 pounds from last month but up 276 pounds from 1998. Yield prospects in California, Mississippi, and Texas decreased while Arkansas and Louisiana increased from a month ago. As of October 3, Arkansas harvest was 87 percent complete, ahead of last year and the 5-year average. California harvest lags 9 points behind the average. Harvest in Louisiana and Texas was virtually complete as of October 3. Soybeans: Growers expect to harvest 72.8 million acres of soybeans, up 3 percent from 1998 but down 1 percent from the September forecast. Acres expected for harvest were decreased by 475,000 acres in nine states due to abandonment or harvested for hay. The States with the largest acreage reductions are North Carolina, Kentucky, Ohio, and Tennessee. Downward adjustments to harvested acres were also made in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, and South Carolina. As of October 3, the percent of the soybeans dropping leaves had reached 88 percent, 1 percentage point ahead of 1998 and ahead of the 82 percent 5-year average. Crop maturity was most advanced in Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, and Ohio, where 96 percent or more of the crop had already dropped leaves. Overall, soybeans were rated in mostly fair to good condition during September. Much of the Delta and southern growing regions continued to show very poor conditions, as soil moisture problems persisted. Freezing temperatures halted crop development and assisted in drying the crop in areas of northern Corn Belt and Great Plains during the last two weeks of September. In the seventeen non-objective yield States that make yield forecasts in October, four States reduced yields from September. In the drought stricken States, yields were decreased an additional 3 bushels in Tennessee and 2 bushels in Alabama and Kentucky. Yields were also lowered 3 bushels in North Carolina as a result of damage caused by the hurricanes and tropical storms that frequented the State. Yield increases were made in Virginia and Wisconsin, while no changes to yield were made in the remaining eleven States. Despite some delays caused by rain, soybean harvest was progressing well ahead of normal as of October 3, with 32 percent of the acreage harvested, 6 percentage points ahead of normal but 6 percentage points behind last year's pace. Harvest was over 50 percent complete in Indiana, Louisiana, and Ohio and over 30 percent complete in Illinois, Iowa, Kentucky, and Minnesota. If realized, pod counts from the October Objective Yield survey will be the highest on record in Iowa and Nebraska. All other objective yield States, except for Minnesota, were showing fewer pods than 1998 final counts. Sunflower: The first Sunflower production forecast for 1999 is 5.04 billion pounds, down 4 percent from 1998 and 37 percent above 1997. Sunflower growers expect to harvest 3.59 million acres, an increase of 3 percent above 1998 acreage. The October yield forecast, at 1,404 pounds, is 106 pounds lower than the final harvested 1998 yield. Higher yields are expected in four of the seven major sunflower growing states; Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Texas. Yields in Colorado, North Dakota, and South Dakota are expected to be lower. In North Dakota, yield is forecast at 1,380 pounds per acre, down 137 pounds below 1998. Harvest of sunflowers was just beginning as of October 3. Harvest in North Dakota was 1 percent complete. South Dakota and Minnesota harvest progress were 9 percent and 5 percent complete, respectively. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.82 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the September 1 forecast and down 4 percent from last year's crop. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.44 million acres, down 1 percent from September and down 2 percent from 1998. This change from last month's acreage occurred in North Carolina and Virginia, due to damaging rains from Tropical Storm Dennis and Hurricane Floyd. Yields are expected to average 2,660 pounds, unchanged from last month but down 42 pounds from last year. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.09 billion pounds, down slightly from last month and down 5 percent from last year's level. Yields in the 4-State area are expected to average 2,507 pounds per acre, down 2 pounds from September 1 and 133 pounds below 1998. Yield prospects in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia were unchanged from last month while South Carolina decreased 200 pounds. Fifty-seven percent of Alabama's crop was in fair to good condition in early October. As of October 3, harvest was 6 points ahead of the 5-year average. Georgia's acreage was rated 68 percent fair to good. Harvest was equal to the average of 52 percent in early October. The South Carolina crop was 76 percent fair to good. Harvest was 17 points behind the average. The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 496 million pounds, down 16 percent from last month and down 20 percent from 1998. Yield is forecast at 2,626 pounds, 312 pounds down from last month and down 474 pounds from last year. Seventy-two percent of the North Carolina crop was rated in fair to good condition in early October. Harvest in North Carolina was 10 percent complete, 6 points behind average. The yield potential for the State resulted in a significant decrease due to Hurricane Floyd. In Virginia, 89 percent of the crop was rated fair to good. Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.23 billion pounds, up 6 percent from last month and up 8 percent from 1998. Yields are expected to average 2,987 pounds, 349 pounds above 1998. The tri-state area crop condition was rated mostly good to excellent. The Oklahoma harvest is 6 percent behind average, with 8 percent harvested. Texas acreage is 18 percent harvested compared to 17 percent for the average. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 13.1 million acres, is down 150,000 acres from September, but up 25 percent from last year. The change in harvested acreage occurred in five States. Missouri's acreage was decreased 70,000 acres, Oklahoma shows a 20,000 acre decrease, Tennessee was lowered 30,000 acres. The affects of Hurricane Floyd are apparent in North Carolina, where 60,000 acres are estimated to be abandoned. Arkansas' harvested acreage was increased to 960,000. American-Pima harvested acreage, at 309,200 acres, reflects a decrease of 7,000 acres in Texas. This revised acreage level is 32 percent above 1998. Texas cotton continues to show good development. However, this development has been slowed in the past few weeks due to cooler temperatures and widely scattered showers. There are some concerns about new growth on the Plains. The growth is resulting from heavy rains early in September. Maturation of dryland fields has been aided by increased moisture over the past two weeks. For the week ending September 26, seventy-four percent of the cotton acreage was showing open bolls. This compares to 60 percent for the 5-year average. The overall condition of cotton remained steady throughout September. On September 26, thirty-six percent of the acreage was rated as good to excellent, compared to 37 percent at the end of August. Harvest is nearing completion in the Coastal Bend, but heavy rains continue to interrupt progress. Statewide, twenty-four percent of the acreage was harvested on October 3, compared to 27 percent normally harvested. Cotton objective yield survey data indicate Texas' crop has the ninth lowest count of large bolls and the eighth lowest boll weight since 1990. Oklahoma's harvested acreage is revised down 20,000 acres. Production is also revised down due to a decrease in the overall condition of the crop. Defoliants are being applied by some growers in the Southwest district. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) continue to experience warm, dry weather. This has resulted in accelerated maturity of the crop and allowed for harvest to progress ahead of schedule. On October 3, Arkansas reported 43 percent of their acreage harvested, compared to 21 percent on average. Louisiana and Mississippi reported 66 percent and 52 percent harvested, respectively. Missouri and Tennessee reported 59 percent and 47 percent harvested, respectively. These reports range from 13 to 39 percent ahead of average. While the weather has allowed for early harvest, it continues to deteriorate the condition of the cotton. Arkansas' cotton was rated 48 percent good to excellent as of September 26, compared to 59 percent at the end of August. Similarly, Louisiana experienced an 18 percent decline in the good to excellent rating during the month, Mississippi's rating decreased 28 percent, and Missouri and Tennessee declined 3 and 11 percent, respectively. Data from objective yield surveys show large boll counts for Arkansas ranked second, and Mississippi's ranked third since 1990. Louisiana's number of large bolls are the ranked fifth during this time period. Boll weights in Arkansas and Mississippi were the lowest in the last 10 years, while Louisiana ranked ninth for this time period. Warmer weather finally allowed for accelerated growth in California and Arizona during the second half of September. However, due to the unusually cool growing season prior to mid-September, the crop progress was still about a week behind normal. As of September 26, California reported 70 percent of their acreage having open bolls. This compares to 86 percent on average. On the same date, Arizona reported 95 percent of their acreage having open bolls, compared to 98 percent on average. California's cotton continues to be rated in mostly good to excellent condition, with 90 percent good to excellent on September 26. Arizona rated 57 percent in these categories and an additional 35 percent as fair. October 1 cotton objective yield counts show California large boll numbers ranked sixth and boll weights ranked last since 1990. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), the cotton crop condition continues to decline. North Carolina was adversely affected by Hurricane Floyd and it's torrential rainfall. Sixty thousand acres were lost and yield potential on other fields was greatly reduced. In South Carolina, the hurricane provided wind and rainfall in the eastern portion of the State, reducing potential yields in many fields. Georgia and Alabama continued to experience dry weather throughout most of the month, but this was tempered due to seasonal temperatures. The month of September saw North Carolina cotton condition ratings fall 27 percent in the good to excellent categories. South Carolina experienced a decline of 4 percent. Harvest is getting underway in the Southeastern States, with Alabama reporting 32 percent harvested as of October 3. This compares to 21 percent on average. Georgia is 3 percent ahead of average, with 18 percent harvested on October 3. The Carolinas are behind average due to excessively wet, muddy fields from Hurricane Floyd. However, both States have been able to begin harvesting in some fields. American-Pima production is forecast at 704,000 bales, up 59 percent from last year's output, and up 15,500 bales from September. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,093 pounds per harvested acre, up 189 pounds from last year. California's production is up 20,000 bales from the September forecast, while Arizona's production is unchanged. New Mexico's forecast is up 500 bales from the previous month. Texas harvested acreage is revised down 7,000 acres and is now estimated at 32,000 acres. This decrease in acreage resulted in a production level 5,000 bales below the September 1 forecast, despite an increase of 87 pounds per harvested acres. Ginnings totaled 2,707,600 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 2,056,400 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 1,210,450 running bales in 1997. All Hay: Production is forecast at a record high 161 million tons, up slightly from the August forecast but 7 percent higher than 1998. The all hay yield is forecast at 2.60 tons per acre (also a record), up 0.08 tons from last year. Area harvested and to be harvested for all hay is unchanged from August, at 62.1 million acres, but up 3 percent from the previous year. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: U.S. production is forecast at 85.5 million tons, 4 percent above 1998 and 9 percent above 1997. Yields are expected to average a record high 3.57 tons per acre, up 0.10 tons from both last year and August. Area harvested and to be harvested is unchanged from August, at 24.0 million acres, up 1 percent from 1998. Among the top ten producing States, Iowa and Minnesota showed the largest increases in yield, each up 0.50 tons per acre from the August forecast. Forecasted production in California (the largest producer) is unchanged from August but 4 percent higher than last year due to more favorable weather conditions. All Other Hay: Production is forecast at a record high 75.9 million tons, up 9 percent from 1998 and 3 percent above 1997. Yields are expected to average 1.99 tons per acre, down 0.05 tons from August but up 0.08 tons from last year. Area harvested and to be harvested is unchanged from August at 38.1 million acres, 5 percent above last year's total. Production in Texas is expected to total 11.8 million tons, unchanged from August but 88 percent higher than last year's drought stricken crop. Forecasted yields are lower than last year in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Northwest. Most other areas of the U.S. are expecting better yields than in 1998. Dry Beans: Production of dry edible beans is forecast at 31.8 million cwt for 1999, up 3 percent from a year ago and 8 percent above 1997. Total production is forecast 1 percent higher than August 1. A 12 percent increase in yield for Michigan from the August forecast was more than enough to offset a decrease in yields from the August forecast for Idaho, Minnesota, Nebraska, and New York. The average yield of 1,669 pounds per acre is 58 pounds higher than 1998 but 1 pound lower than two years ago. Average yields were at or above 1998 for all states except for Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Nebraska, New York, North Dakota, Washington, and Wyoming. Area for harvest is forecast at 1.90 million acres, unchanged from August but down 1 percent from last year. Harvest progress during September was one to two weeks behind normal in North Dakota due to late maturity and wet, cool conditions during the first half of September. As of September 26, 50 percent of the crop was combined, well behind the average of 67 percent. In Michigan, harvest has advanced ahead of normal. Timely rains lessened the effect of root rot and dry late season conditions held white mold in check, resulting in a record yield of 1,900 pounds per acre. The previous record yield in Michigan was in 1991, at 1,850 pounds per acre. In Nebraska, rain and hail damaged some of the growing areas and reduced the size of the crop. By September 26, 75 percent of the dry beans were harvested in Nebraska, ahead of the average. In Minnesota, 41 percent of the crop had been harvested, well below the 5 year average of 69 percent. Good quality is reported in California, with growers busy harvesting their crop. Two thirds of the acreage is harvested in Colorado, behind last year's progress of 77 percent. In Idaho, 84 percent of the crop had been harvested by September 26, well ahead of the 72 percent average. Harvest continues in Kansas, Montana, New York, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Some areas in Kansas are having difficulty completing harvest due to wet field conditions. In New York, yields are lower than what was expected in August. However, the late planted beans are yielding better than the earlier planted varieties. In Wyoming, 73 percent of the crop had been combined as of September 26, compared with 71 percent for 1998 and 78 percent on average. Winter Potatoes: The final 1999 winter potato production is estimated at 4.07 million cwt, up 37 percent from a year earlier and 19 percent above 1997. Winter harvest was taken from 17,800 acres in 1999, up 19 percent from last year and 11 percent above 1997. The average yield of 229 cwt per acre was up 30 cwt from a year earlier and 15 cwt above 1997. California production gained 44 percent from a year earlier and Florida production increased 29 percent. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1999 is forecast at 1.27 billion pounds, down 14 percent from 1998 and down 29 percent from 1997. Harvested acres are expected to total 651,090, down 2 percent from the previous forecast and down 9 percent from 1998. Yields for 1999 are expected to average 1,949 pounds per acre, 112 pounds below a year ago. Tobacco growers in eastern North Carolina suffered losses in Flue-cured yields due to Hurricane Floyd. Harvested acres also declined 10,000 from the previous forecast. Growers in Kentucky had harvested 95 percent of their crop by late September. Burley tobacco yields remained unchanged from the previous forecast. Dark types increased slightly from last month since most of it is produced in western Kentucky where moisture was adequate through August. Flue-cured production is expected to total 659 million pounds, down 6 percent from last month and down 19 percent from 1998. Growers plan to harvest 306,000 acres in 1999, down3 percent from last month and 17 percent below last year. Yield is expected to average2,153 pounds per acre, down 64 pounds from last month and down 51 pounds from a year ago. Most of this decline resulted from the Hurricane Floyd damage in eastern North Carolina. Growers experienced flooding, wind damage, and lack of mobility in some areas, but some fields were already over 50 percent harvested. Burley production is expected to total 534 million pounds, down less than 1 percent from last month and down 8 percent from a year ago. Yield is expected to average 1,747 pounds per acre, a decline of 7 pounds from the previous forecast and down 149 pounds from 1998. Burley tobacco growers plan to harvest 305,700 acres, unchanged from the previous forecast and slightly below a year ago. Kentucky's acreage, at 215,000, remained unchanged from a month ago and is the same as last year. Yield also remained unchanged from last month, at 1,750 pounds per acre, but declined 185 pounds from last year. Tennessee's dark fired tobacco yields remained unchanged from last month and burley also remained the same. Burley yields are 45 pounds below a year ago. Early planted tobacco yielded well, whereas late planted tobacco produced poor yields. Cigar wrapper tobacco production increased 2 percent from the previous forecast, but showed a decline of 17 percent from a year ago. Yields were variable but increased 31 pounds per acre from a month ago and 21 pounds from last year. Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at a record high 34.0 million tons, 4 percent above the previous record in 1998. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1,525,400 acres, 5 percent more than last year and the highest since 1,540,500 acres were harvested in 1969. The yield is forecast at 22.3 tons per acre, slightly below the 1998 yield of 22.5 tons. In California and Colorado, yield prospects and sucrose content benefited from nearly ideal weather conditions. Yield prospects diminished in Michigan due to moisture shortages in September. The harvest season began and progress gradually gained momentum, as dry weather prevailed in most of the sugarbeet-producing States. Sugarcane: Production is forecast at a record high 37.1 million tons, 7 percent above the previous record of 34.7 million tons set last year. U.S. sugarcane growers intend to harvest a record high 987,500 acres for sugar and seed during the 1999 crop year, 4 percent more than last year's final harvested acres. The record high acreage is due to a 30,000 acre expansion in Louisiana and a 9,000 acre increase in Florida. Yield is forecast at 37.6 tons per acre, 1.0 ton above 1998. A record high yield is forecast for Louisiana due to ideal growing conditions, expanded acreage of a high yielding sugarcane hybrid, and increased utilization of a more efficient harvester. In Florida and Lousiana, mills were preparing for the harvest season, which was expected to begin in early October. In Hawaii, harvest was underway and progressing with few delays. Grapes: U.S. grape production is forecasted at 6.55 million tons, up 11 percent from 1998 but down 10 percent from 1997. California's all grape forecast, at 5.90 million tons, increased 10 percent from 1998. All but three forecasting states are showing increases from a year ago. Arizona and Michigan are down from last year while South Carolina remained unchanged. Raisin varieties account for 2.25 million tons of California's total production, 2.90 million tons are wine varieties, and 750,000 tons are table varieties. Picking of Thompson Seedless for fresh use, wine crush, and raisins was still active in late September. Growers continued to pick table grape varieties in the San Joaquin Valley. Quality of fruit was rated good. Wine grape harvest also continued with good quality reported. Washington's production is forecast at 275,000 tons, down 4 percent from the August 1 forecast but up 24 percent from last year. The crop in Michigan is forecast at 68,000 tons, up 5 percent from the August forecast but down 3 percent from last year. This year's crop is expected to produce better yields than a year ago. Michigan's juice grapes benefitted from the hot weather, which produced high sugar content. Grape production in New York is forecast at 189,000 tons, up 2 percent from August and up 48 percent from the previous year. Growers expect an excellent crop with minimal problems from diseases or insects. Pennsylvania's grape production is forecast at 73,000 tons, up 3 percent from the previous forecast and 35 percent from last year. Growers indicated that dry conditions were conducive to a good crop. Grapefruit: The initial forecast of the 1999-00 grapefruit crop for United States is 2.64 million tons, up 5 percent from last season and up 2 percent from the 1997-98 season. The October 1 Florida grapefruit crop is forecast at 50.0 million boxes (2.13 million tons), 6 percent higher than the previous season and 1 percent higher than the 1997-98 utilization. The white seedless forecast, at 20.5 million boxes (871,000 tons), is up 15 percent from last year and up 12 percent from two years ago. More fruit per tree led to the higher forecast even though there are fewer bearing trees. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 29.0 million boxes (1.23 million tons), 1 percent above the previous season but 5 percent lower than the 1997-98 season. Despite fewer trees, the forecast is larger than last year due to more fruit per tree. The seedy grapefruit crop is expected to total 500,000 boxes (21,000 tons), 9 percent less than the previous season. California's October 1 forecast for grapefruit is 8.00 million boxes (268,000 tons), 7 percent more than last year's utilization but the same level as two seasons ago. Harvest of the 1999-00 crop will be underway soon. Grapefruit production in Texas is forecast at 5.50 million boxes (220,000 tons), down 10 percent from the previous season. Harvest is underway and quality is excellent. Arizona's grapefruit forecast is 650,000 boxes (22,000 tons), continuing the downward trend since the 1991-92 season. Lemons: The initial 1999-00 lemon forecast for United States is 927,000 tons, up 24 percent from last season and up 3 percent from the 1997-98 crop. California production is forecast at 20.5 million boxes (779,000 tons), 27 percent more than a year ago but 2 percent less than two seasons ago. Quality in the central valley is fair but desert area quality is excellent. The Arizona lemon crop is forecast at 3.90 million boxes (148,000 tons), up 13 percent from the previous season and up 50 percent from the 1997-98 crop. Harvesting is just underway in western areas. Tangelos: The first 1999-00 tangelo forecast from Florida is 2.60 million boxes (117,000 tons), 2 percent more than last season's utilized production but 9 percent below the 2.85 million boxes from the 1997-98 crop. Larger fruit size and less projected droppage contributed to the increased forecast. Temples: Florida's initial 1999-00 Temple forecast is 2.10 million boxes (94,500 tons), 17 percent higher than the 1.80 million boxes recorded last season but 7 percent less than the 1997-98 season. Total population of fruit is up, despite the downward trend in the number of bearing trees. Fruit size is virtually the same as last season. Fruit loss from droppage is projected to be higher than a year ago but well below the 9-season average. Tangerines: The 1999-00 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 416,000 tons, up 27 percent from the freeze damaged crop last season and up 16 percent from two seasons ago. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 6.40 million boxes (304,000 tons), 29 percent higher than last year and 23 percent higher than the 1997-98 season. Larger fruit and more fruit per tree led to the increase in the forecast. California's tangerine forecast is 2.30 million boxes (86,000 tons), 53 percent larger than last year's freeze damaged crop. The crop is maturing well and harvesting should begin later in October. Arizona's tangerine forecast is 700,000 boxes (26,000 tons), down 26 percent from a year ago but up 17 percent from the 1997-98 crop. K-Early Citrus: The K-Early Citrus Fruit forecast for 1999-00 is 70,000 boxes (3,150 tons), 10,000 boxes fewer than last season but 30,000 boxes more than the record low use in the 1997-98 season. Florida citrus: Rainfall during the month of September was mostly above normal. Many of Florida's citrus producing counties reported surplus moisture with some standing water. Hurricane Floyd, tropical depression Harvey, and several heavy downpours accounted for most of the precipitation. The rains helped produce an abundance of new growth on all ages of trees. However, due to excessive moisture, there is an increase in fruit splitting in some groves. New crop fruit is making good progress considering the varying bloom from last spring. Maturity is lagging in most crops. There are a few fresh fruit packing houses shipping early bloom white and colored grapefruit, Navels, Fallglo hybrids, and some Ambersweet oranges. Caretakers have been very active mowing, chopping, and discing cover crops. Growers in most areas have completed their fall fertilizing. Spraying for fresh crops continues. Pushing and burning of dead trees has been reported in most of the larger groves. Texas Citrus: Harvest is underway on early oranges and grapefruit. Early quality is excellent. The water supply is better than last year. Beneficial rain has also fallen across the Rio Grande Valley. California Citrus: The new crop navel oranges are maturing well. Harvest is expected to begin by mid-October in Kern County. Picking of Valencia oranges was active in southern California and good quality was reported. Lemon harvest continued in the south coast area. In the central valley, quality is fair with slight decay but quality is excellent in the desert area. Grapefruit picking was active. The tangerine harvest should begin by mid-October. The crop is maturing well. California Fruits and Nuts: Crop harvesting dominated grower activities in September. Picking grapes for fresh use continued. Major varieties that were picked included Red Globe, Flame Seedless, Ruby Seedless, Crimson Seedless, and Thompson Seedless. For raisins, one fourth of the crop is on open trays, one half rolled, and one fourth picked up. There were a few scattered showers the third week of September, but the grapes suffered no damage. Wine grape harvest was also active. Stone fruit harvest was winding down by late September. Bartlett pear harvest was completed in early September, but Asian and other pear varieties continue to be picked. Apple harvest was active with Granny Smith the primary variety picked in September. Almond, pistachio, and walnut harvests were active throughout the month. Fall strawberries were picked in the San Joaquin Valley. Apples: The final forecast of the 1999 apple crop stands at 10.6 billion pounds, up fractionally from the August 1 forecast but down 7 percent from last year's production. Reduced prospects in most of the Western States more than offset projected increases in the Central and Eastern States when compared to last year. The Eastern States expect to produce 2.75 billion pounds, up slightly from the August 1 forecast and 18 percent above a year ago. The New York production forecast was increased 20 million pounds from August because the drought conditions reduced disease and insect problems and the rain from Hurricane Floyd helped size up later varieties. West Virginia also forecasts an increase from August of 8 percent due to excellent growing conditions in September. The Virginia forecast was unchanged from August with some varieties hurt by dry conditions and other varieties helped by the late rains. North Carolina and Pennsylvania are forecasting decreases in production of 10 and 2 percent, respectively, from the August 1 forecast. Both states expect poor fruit sizing due to the drought and some drop due to high winds from Hurricane Floyd. Production in the Central States is forecast at 1.53 billion pounds, up 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and 16 percent above last year. Michigan forecast was up 50 million pounds from the August forecast due to excellent growing conditions in September. Production in the Western States is forecast at 6.34 billion pounds, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 18 percent below 1998. The decline in production in the Western States from 1998 is due to a cool wet spring which reduced fruit counts. Washington's apple forecast was unchanged from August and growers report conditions have been good for fruit development. Pecans: The first forecast for 1999 pecan production is 324 million pounds, compared to last year's 146 million. Pecans are known for their alternate bearing pattern as well as being subject to weather conditions. Improved varieties are expected to account for 237 million pounds of the total, more than twice as large as 1998's 112 million. Native and seedling varieties are projected to make up the difference of 86.7 million pounds. The Georgia forecast, at 100 million pounds, is two and one-half times the size of the 1998 crop but the same as the 1997 crop. The crop has been limited by lack of rain in non-irrigated orchards, disease, and reduction of growing area. Trees have been removed or are not being maintained due to low prices. The Texas forecast is for 90.0 million pounds, three times the size of last year's crop. Harvest has begun in the southern part of the State. Prospects in some areas have declined due to dry conditions. New Mexico production is projected to reach 50.0 million pounds. The crop has been in good to excellent condition all season. Arizona, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, Kansas, Florida, and California expect larger crops for 1999. South Carolina expects the same size crop as 1998 while North Carolina is projecting a drop in production due to hurricane damage. Hazelnuts: The October 1 hazelnut production forecast for Oregon and Washington remains at 38,000 tons for 1999. This would be almost two and one-half times the size of last year's crop but 19 percent less than the 1997 record production. Oregon is expected to account for 37,700 tons and Washington the remaining 300 tons. Harvest has not yet started. The crop is 7 to 10 days later in maturing with many nuts still in the trees. Some shrivel of kernels has been reported. Brown stain is not a significant problem this year. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.64 million pounds for September, 4 percent higher than last month and 46 percent higher than September 1998. Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,265 acres, 7 percent lower than August and 13 percent lower than a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 1,590 acres, was 21 percent lower than August and 31 percent lower than last September. September weather conditions were a mix of sunshine, showers, and periods of gusty winds over major papaya producing orchards. An increased presence of the Rainbow variety, which is resistant to the Papaya Ringspot virus, has been noticed in the marketplace as more orchards come into active harvest. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between September 24 and October 4 to gather information on expected yields as of October 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 15,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yields. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation between the October 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1979-1998 20-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 3.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 9.47 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.8 percent or approximately 360 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 6.6 percent or approximately 620 million bushels. Also shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimates during the last 20 years have averaged 201 million bushels, ranging from 4 million bushels to 624 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 12 times and above 8 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ------ Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 3.8 6.6 201 4 624 12 8 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 5.9 10.1 25 1 105 10 10 Rice :Cwt : 3.1 5.3 4 0 13 10 10 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 3.2 5.6 52 2 119 9 11 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 4.2 7.2 520 31 1,424 13 7 Dry Edible Beans :Cwt : 3.6 6.2 0.6 0.0 2.6 15 5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Brad Parks, Head (202) 720-3843 Rhonda Brandt - Corn (202) 720-9526 Herman Ellison - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Lance Honig - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234 Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Jerry Ramirez - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Vaughn Siegenthaler - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Dean Groskurth, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4488 Howard Hill - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Jeffrey Kissel - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas, Mushrooms (202) 690-0270 Harry Nishimoto - Hops (360) 902-1940 Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on November 10, 1999. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 14th and Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: http://www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports by Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION There are two options for subscribing via e-mail. All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. 1) Starting with the NASS Home Page at http://www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. 2) If you do NOT have Internet access, send an e-mail message to: usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu. In the body of the message type the word: list. AUTOFAX ACCESS NASSFax service is available for some reports from your fax machine. Please call 202-720-2000, using the handset attached to your fax. Respond to the voice prompts. Document 0411 is a list of available reports. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-834-0125 FAX: 703-834-0110 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov.