Cr Pr 2-2 (11-99)a Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released November 10, 1999, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Up 1 Percent from October Soybeans Down 1 percent All Cotton Up 1 percent Corn grain production is forecast at 9.54 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month but down 2 percent from 1998. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 134.5 bushels per acre, up 1.0 bushel from last month and up 0.1 bushel from a year ago. If realized, this would be the third largest production and the second highest yield on record. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 70.9 million acres, unchanged from last month. Ideal weather conditions allowed rapid harvest progress and limited harvest loss throughout the Corn Belt. Soybean production is forecast at 2.67 billion bushels, down 1 percent from October 1 and down 2 percent from last year's record of 2.74 billion bushels. The yield forecast, at 36.7 bushels per acre, decreased 0.3 bushels from last month and is 2.2 bushels below the 1998 final yield. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record 72.8 million acres, is unchanged from October 1 but up 3 percent from 1998. All cotton production is forecast at 16.5 million 480-pound bales, up 100,500 bales from last month, and up 19 percent from 1998. Yield is expected to average 592 pounds per harvested acre, down 33 pounds from last year. Lower production forecasts of Upland cotton in Alabama, North Carolina, and South Carolina were more than offset by increased production forecasts in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Louisiana, Missouri, and Tennessee. On November 7, U.S. harvest was 72 percent complete, compared to the 5-year average of 70 percent. This report was approved on November 10, 1999. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Richard E. Rominger Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Contents Page Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Corn for Grain, Plant Population Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Corn for Grain, Number of Ears Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Corn for Grain, Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths . . . . 28 Corn for Grain, Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Widths and Average 29 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Cotton, Cumulative Boll Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Grapefruit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Hazelnuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Lentils. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Peas, Austrian Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Peas, Dry Edible . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Potatoes, Fall, Percent of Major Varieties Planted . . . . . 18 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . . 44 Rice, by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Selected Small Grains, Acres, Yield and Production . . . . . . . 19 Selected Small Grains, Stocks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Sorghum for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Soybeans, Pods with Beans Per 18 Square Feet . . . . . . . . . . 30 Soybeans, Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Widths and Average31 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Tobacco, by State. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Tobacco, by Class and Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Wheat, Production by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels -------- --- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 200 210 63.0 100.0 102.0 12,600 21,420 AZ 1/ : 30 30 175.0 190.0 190.0 5,250 5,700 AR 1/ : 215 135 100.0 125.0 125.0 21,500 16,875 CA : 260 235 160.0 185.0 185.0 41,600 43,475 CO : 1,070 1,130 145.0 144.0 144.0 155,150 162,720 CT 2/ : DE : 155 154 100.0 84.0 84.0 15,500 12,936 FL 1/ : 55 40 62.0 88.0 88.0 3,410 3,520 GA : 265 260 85.0 95.0 95.0 22,525 24,700 ID 1/ : 52 55 150.0 155.0 155.0 7,800 8,525 IL : 10,450 10,650 141.0 146.0 146.0 1,473,450 1,554,900 IN : 5,550 5,750 137.0 128.0 130.0 760,350 747,500 IA : 12,200 11,800 145.0 150.0 149.0 1,769,000 1,758,200 KS : 2,850 2,800 147.0 142.0 139.0 418,950 389,200 KY : 1,180 1,240 115.0 98.0 100.0 135,700 124,000 LA 1/ : 540 410 81.0 127.0 127.0 43,740 52,070 ME 2/ : MD : 400 400 109.0 85.0 85.0 43,600 34,000 MA 2/ : MI : 2,050 1,900 111.0 123.0 130.0 227,550 247,000 MN : 6,750 6,700 153.0 143.0 146.0 1,032,750 978,200 MS 1/ : 500 320 86.0 110.0 110.0 43,000 35,200 MO : 2,500 2,600 114.0 97.0 100.0 285,000 260,000 MT 1/ : 18 19 115.0 135.0 135.0 2,070 2,565 NE : 8,550 8,250 145.0 140.0 140.0 1,239,750 1,155,000 NH 2/ : NJ 1/ : 98 60 92.0 40.0 40.0 9,016 2,400 NM 1/ : 85 90 165.0 170.0 170.0 14,025 15,300 NY : 580 590 114.0 99.0 100.0 66,120 59,000 NC : 770 640 70.0 78.0 78.0 53,900 49,920 ND : 825 810 107.0 107.0 111.0 88,275 89,910 OH : 3,340 3,100 141.0 124.0 125.0 470,940 387,500 OK 1/ : 220 310 130.0 135.0 135.0 28,600 41,850 OR 1/ : 33 35 190.0 190.0 190.0 6,270 6,650 PA : 1,050 1,030 111.0 76.0 78.0 116,550 80,340 RI 2/ : SC : 275 260 40.0 70.0 70.0 11,000 18,200 SD : 3,550 3,250 121.0 110.0 115.0 429,550 373,750 TN : 620 560 96.0 98.0 100.0 59,520 56,000 TX : 1,850 1,730 100.0 138.0 138.0 185,000 238,740 UT 1/ : 24 22 141.0 143.0 143.0 3,384 3,146 VT 2/ : VA : 300 320 84.0 80.0 80.0 25,200 25,600 WA 1/ : 100 140 190.0 195.0 195.0 19,000 27,300 WV 1/ : 34 35 80.0 65.0 65.0 2,720 2,275 WI : 2,950 2,800 137.0 145.0 148.0 404,150 414,400 WY 1/ : 60 55 127.0 130.0 130.0 7,620 7,150 : US : 72,604 70,925 134.4 133.5 134.5 9,761,085 9,537,137 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Not estimated. Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AL 1/ : 6 8 45.0 50.0 50.0 270 400 AR : 130 115 53.0 74.0 76.0 6,890 8,740 CO : 185 200 57.0 48.0 44.0 10,545 8,800 GA 1/ : 30 30 38.0 50.0 50.0 1,140 1,500 IL : 107 97 74.0 77.0 90.0 7,918 8,730 KS : 3,300 3,400 80.0 73.0 77.0 264,000 261,800 KY 1/ : 8 7 80.0 80.0 80.0 640 560 LA : 125 250 60.0 80.0 80.0 7,500 20,000 MS : 36 56 65.0 85.0 85.0 2,340 4,760 MO : 320 310 83.0 70.0 73.0 26,560 22,630 NE : 600 450 94.0 87.0 89.0 56,400 40,050 NM : 65 135 45.0 55.0 55.0 2,925 7,425 NC 1/ : 12 11 45.0 57.0 57.0 540 627 OK : 340 400 45.0 50.0 50.0 15,300 20,000 SC 1/ : 3 4 35.0 45.0 45.0 105 180 SD : 140 110 71.0 58.0 58.0 9,940 6,380 TN 1/ : 16 16 70.0 75.0 75.0 1,120 1,200 TX : 2,300 2,900 46.0 63.0 63.0 105,800 182,700 : US : 7,723 8,499 67.3 68.3 70.2 519,933 596,482 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Cwt --- : AR : 1,525 1,640 5,800 5,900 6,000 88,420 98,400 CA : 478 548 6,840 7,500 7,000 32,698 38,360 LA : 620 625 4,530 5,000 5,000 28,107 31,250 MS : 268 323 5,800 5,700 5,700 15,544 18,411 MO 1/ : 143 176 5,200 5,100 5,100 7,436 8,976 TX : 283 259 5,600 6,100 6,300 15,846 16,317 : US : 3,317 3,571 5,669 5,945 5,929 188,051 211,714 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for the current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1997 : 124,485 57,091 1,416 182,992 1998 : 141,624 44,453 1,974 188,051 1999 1/ : 152,008 55,945 3,761 211,714 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated November 1, 1999, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. Potatoes: Area Planted, Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal Group: Area Planted : Area Harvested : Yield : Production and :----------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 :1998 :1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :----------- 1,000 Acres ---------- -- Cwt -- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : Total : 15.5 18.1 15.0 17.8 199 229 2,980 4,070 : Spring 1/ : Total : 93.0 87.7 90.6 85.8 233 270 21,121 23,205 : Summer 1/ : Total : 73.0 69.0 68.1 64.4 278 289 18,933 18,606 : Fall : CA : 10.3 9.0 10.3 9.0 360 445 3,708 4,005 CO : 75.8 77.2 75.7 77.0 335 345 25,360 26,565 ID : 410.0 400.0 408.0 398.0 338 339 138,000 134,980 10 SW Co : 28.0 26.0 28.0 26.0 450 470 12,600 12,220 Other ID : 382.0 374.0 380.0 372.0 330 330 125,400 122,760 IN : 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.9 320 270 1,600 1,323 ME : 65.5 65.0 64.5 63.0 280 285 18,060 17,955 MA : 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 235 260 682 754 MI : 47.0 48.0 46.5 47.5 315 310 14,648 14,725 MN : 82.0 70.0 73.0 60.0 290 340 21,170 20,400 MT : 10.6 11.0 10.6 10.9 300 295 3,180 3,216 NE : 22.0 21.6 21.8 21.2 375 420 8,175 8,904 NV : 7.0 6.5 7.0 6.5 400 435 2,800 2,828 NM : 6.2 6.6 5.9 6.6 380 320 2,242 2,112 NY : 27.6 26.0 27.0 25.5 270 265 7,290 6,758 ND : 126.0 121.0 122.0 112.0 235 240 28,670 26,880 OH : 5.1 4.8 4.8 4.7 250 210 1,200 987 OR : 59.0 56.0 58.0 55.5 452 509 26,229 28,230 Malheur : 11.5 10.5 11.4 10.5 400 460 4,560 4,830 Other OR : 47.5 45.5 46.6 45.0 465 520 21,669 23,400 PA : 14.5 14.5 14.0 14.0 240 220 3,360 3,080 RI : 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 210 225 147 135 SD : 5.0 3.5 4.8 3.4 260 290 1,248 986 UT : 2.7 2.0 2.6 2.0 280 290 728 580 WA : 165.0 170.0 165.0 170.0 565 560 93,225 95,200 WI : 84.5 86.0 83.5 85.0 370 410 30,895 34,850 WY : 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 300 295 120 148 Total :1,235.1 1,207.9 1,214.0 1,180.7 356 369 432,737 435,601 : US :1,416.6 1,382.7 1,387.7 1,348.7 343 357 475,771 481,482 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 320 200 22.0 16.0 16.0 7,040 3,200 AR : 3,400 3,400 25.0 26.0 27.0 85,000 91,800 DE : 216 201 33.0 26.0 26.0 7,128 5,226 FL 1/ : 30 19 23.0 30.0 30.0 690 570 GA : 220 200 21.0 20.0 18.0 4,620 3,600 IL : 10,550 10,750 44.0 42.0 43.0 464,200 462,250 IN : 5,500 5,680 42.0 39.0 38.0 231,000 215,840 IA : 10,350 10,850 48.0 48.0 45.0 496,800 488,250 KS : 2,500 2,650 30.0 27.0 28.0 75,000 74,200 KY : 1,200 1,100 30.0 19.0 19.0 36,000 20,900 LA : 1,070 1,010 21.0 25.0 25.0 22,470 25,250 MD : 460 450 31.0 26.0 26.0 14,260 11,700 MI : 1,890 1,990 39.0 40.0 40.0 73,710 79,600 MN : 6,800 6,900 42.0 42.0 41.0 285,600 282,900 MS : 2,000 1,950 24.0 25.0 26.0 48,000 50,700 MO : 5,000 5,300 34.0 27.0 28.0 170,000 148,400 NE : 3,750 4,300 44.0 43.0 42.0 165,000 180,600 NJ 1/ : 113 108 28.0 22.0 22.0 3,164 2,376 NY 1/ : 97 108 41.0 40.0 40.0 3,977 4,320 NC : 1,415 1,300 27.0 24.0 23.0 38,205 29,900 ND : 1,475 1,480 32.0 34.0 36.0 47,200 53,280 OH : 4,390 4,600 44.0 37.0 37.0 193,160 170,200 OK 1/ : 340 480 18.0 26.0 26.0 6,120 12,480 PA 1/ : 395 360 40.0 28.0 28.0 15,800 10,080 SC : 500 470 21.0 21.0 20.0 10,500 9,400 SD : 3,400 3,860 39.0 35.0 35.0 132,600 135,100 TN : 1,210 1,040 29.0 17.0 19.0 35,090 19,760 TX : 270 320 22.0 31.0 31.0 5,940 9,920 VA : 480 460 23.0 26.0 27.0 11,040 12,420 WI : 1,100 1,250 47.0 48.0 47.0 51,700 58,750 : US : 70,441 72,786 38.9 37.0 36.7 2,741,014 2,672,972 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 1999 : : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Pounds -------- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 197.0 198.0 2,195 2,200 2,200 432,415 435,600 FL : 90.0 88.0 2,590 2,600 2,900 233,100 255,200 GA : 537.0 538.0 2,815 2,600 2,600 1,511,655 1,398,800 NM : 22.0 19.0 2,820 2,700 2,800 62,040 53,200 NC : 124.5 115.0 3,190 2,450 2,200 397,155 253,000 OK : 75.0 78.0 2,130 2,600 2,700 159,750 210,600 SC : 11.5 11.5 2,450 2,700 2,600 28,175 29,900 TX : 335.0 315.0 2,740 3,100 3,100 917,900 976,500 VA : 75.0 74.0 2,950 2,900 2,900 221,250 214,600 : US : 1,467.0 1,436.5 2,702 2,660 2,664 3,963,440 3,827,400 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,934.6 5,365.4 6,255.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 1999 : : State : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 :-------------------: 1998 : 1999 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 475.0 560.0 559 557 540 553.0 630.0 AZ : 248.0 239.0 1,177 1,155 1,205 608.0 600.0 AR : 900.0 960.0 645 665 710 1,209.0 1,420.0 CA : 620.0 585.0 887 1,190 1,231 1,146.0 1,500.0 FL 3/ : 80.0 88.0 489 524 524 81.5 96.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,450.0 578 530 530 1,542.0 1,600.0 KS 3/ : 16.5 28.0 404 411 411 13.9 24.0 LA : 525.0 595.0 586 686 702 641.0 870.0 MS : 940.0 1,180.0 737 716 716 1,444.0 1,760.0 MO : 357.0 375.0 471 550 582 350.0 455.0 NM 3/ : 60.3 67.0 640 716 716 80.4 100.0 NC : 705.0 810.0 699 501 462 1,026.0 780.0 OK : 120.0 170.0 560 480 480 140.0 170.0 SC : 286.0 315.0 587 518 450 350.0 295.0 TN : 445.0 565.0 589 442 476 546.0 560.0 TX : 3,300.0 5,000.0 524 461 461 3,600.0 4,800.0 VA 3/ : 91.0 109.0 765 819 819 145.1 186.0 : US :10,448.8 13,096.0 619 576 581 13,475.9 15,846.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 15.5 11.2 830 814 836 26.8 19.5 CA : 180.0 259.0 941 1,149 1,112 352.8 600.0 NM : 7.3 7.0 658 686 686 10.0 10.0 TX : 32.0 32.0 791 825 825 52.7 55.0 : US : 234.8 309.2 904 1,093 1,063 442.3 684.5 : All : AL : 475.0 560.0 559 557 540 553.0 630.0 AZ : 263.5 250.2 1,156 1,140 1,188 634.8 619.5 AR : 900.0 960.0 645 665 710 1,209.0 1,420.0 CA : 800.0 844.0 899 1,177 1,194 1,498.8 2,100.0 FL 3/ : 80.0 88.0 489 524 524 81.5 96.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,450.0 578 530 530 1,542.0 1,600.0 KS 3/ : 16.5 28.0 404 411 411 13.9 24.0 LA : 525.0 595.0 586 686 702 641.0 870.0 MS : 940.0 1,180.0 737 716 716 1,444.0 1,760.0 MO : 357.0 375.0 471 550 582 350.0 455.0 NM : 67.6 74.0 642 714 714 90.4 110.0 NC : 705.0 810.0 699 501 462 1,026.0 780.0 OK : 120.0 170.0 560 480 480 140.0 170.0 SC : 286.0 315.0 587 518 450 350.0 295.0 TN : 445.0 565.0 589 442 476 546.0 560.0 TX : 3,332.0 5,032.0 526 463 463 3,652.7 4,855.0 VA 3/ : 91.0 109.0 765 819 819 145.1 186.0 : US :10,683.6 13,405.2 625 588 592 13,918.2 16,530.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. Lentils: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 58.0 61.0 56.0 60.0 WA : 62.0 75.0 62.0 75.0 : Oth Sts 1/ : 42.0 46.0 40.5 39.5 : US : 162.0 182.0 158.5 174.5 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Pounds ----- ----------- 1,000 Cwt ----------- : ID : 1,150 1,400 924 644 840 WA : 1,350 1,300 1,115 837 975 : Oth Sts 1/ : 1,130 1,450 367 457 572 : US : 1,223 1,368 2,406 1,938 2,387 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ MT and ND. Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 69.0 54.0 67.0 53.0 WA : 108.0 110.0 108.0 110.0 : Oth Sts 2/ : 146.4 117.6 134.1 100.6 : US : 323.4 281.6 309.1 263.6 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Pounds ----- ----------- 1,000 Cwt ----------- : ID : 1,700 1,900 1,554 1,139 1,007 WA : 2,170 2,020 2,621 2,344 2,222 : Oth Sts 2/ : 1,830 1,790 1,577 2,451 1,801 : US : 1,920 1,908 5,752 5,934 5,030 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. 2/ MT, NV, ND, and OR. Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 8.0 5.0 7.0 4.0 OR : 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.4 : US : 9.0 6.1 7.4 4.4 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Pounds ----- ---------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : ID : 1,400 1,400 108 98 56 OR : 1,500 1,000 7 6 4 : US : 1,405 1,364 115 104 60 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : CT : 2,815 2,980 1,519 1,660 4,128 4,276 4,946 FL : 6,800 6,000 2,515 2,550 19,053 17,102 15,300 GA : 41,000 33,000 2,200 1,900 89,225 90,200 62,700 IN : 8,500 6,500 2,000 1,850 18,690 17,000 12,025 KY : 226,260 226,350 1,961 1,777 497,928 443,628 402,313 MD : 6,500 6,500 1,400 1,400 12,000 9,100 9,100 MA : 1,265 1,220 1,413 1,725 1,913 1,788 2,104 MO 1/ : 2,700 2,300 2,130 1,950 7,035 5,751 4,485 NC : 251,100 208,400 2,197 2,144 731,199 551,730 446,810 OH : 9,800 9,800 1,830 1,720 22,230 17,934 16,856 PA : 7,800 6,200 2,015 1,802 17,020 15,720 11,170 SC : 45,000 39,000 2,050 2,150 126,360 92,250 83,850 TN : 59,415 59,270 1,870 1,812 114,292 111,100 107,381 VA : 45,000 38,600 2,131 2,221 117,576 95,898 85,735 WV 1/ : 1,600 1,700 1,350 1,300 3,060 2,160 2,210 WI : 2,100 1,320 1,687 2,114 5,690 3,542 2,790 : US : 717,655 649,140 2,061 1,956 1,787,399 1,479,179 1,269,775 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 69,000 55,000 2,285 2,350 157,665 129,250 VA : 33,000 26,000 2,220 2,350 73,260 61,100 US : 102,000 81,000 2,264 2,350 230,925 190,350 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 143,000 119,000 2,240 2,100 320,320 249,900 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 31,000 26,000 2,000 2,150 62,000 55,900 SC : 45,000 39,000 2,050 2,150 92,250 83,850 US : 76,000 65,000 2,030 2,150 154,250 139,750 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 6,800 6,000 2,515 2,550 17,102 15,300 GA : 41,000 33,000 2,200 1,900 90,200 62,700 US : 47,800 39,000 2,245 2,000 107,302 78,000 Total 11-14 : 368,800 304,000 2,204 2,164 812,797 658,000 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,500 1,500 1,560 1,650 2,340 2,475 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 3,850 3,650 2,315 2,200 8,913 8,030 TN : 7,300 7,100 2,330 2,200 17,009 15,620 US : 11,150 10,750 2,325 2,200 25,922 23,650 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,600 3,450 2,805 2,600 10,098 8,970 TN : 590 570 2,500 2,300 1,475 1,311 US : 4,190 4,020 2,762 2,557 11,573 10,281 Total 21-23 : 16,840 16,270 2,365 2,238 39,835 36,406 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 8,500 6,500 2,000 1,850 17,000 12,025 KY : 215,000 215,000 1,935 1,750 416,025 376,250 MO 1/ : 2,700 2,300 2,130 1,950 5,751 4,485 NC : 8,100 8,400 1,450 1,400 11,745 11,760 OH : 9,800 9,800 1,830 1,720 17,934 16,856 TN : 51,000 51,000 1,795 1,750 91,545 89,250 VA : 10,400 11,000 1,940 2,000 20,176 22,000 WV 1/ : 1,600 1,700 1,350 1,300 2,160 2,210 US : 307,100 305,700 1,896 1,750 582,336 534,836 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 6,500 6,500 1,400 1,400 9,100 9,100 PA : 3,300 3,000 1,900 1,750 6,270 5,250 US : 9,800 9,500 1,568 1,511 15,370 14,350 Total 31-32 : 316,900 315,200 1,886 1,742 597,706 549,186 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1998 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,450 2,750 2,280 2,150 5,586 5,913 TN : 525 600 2,040 2,000 1,071 1,200 US : 2,975 3,350 2,238 2,123 6,657 7,113 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,360 1,500 2,210 2,100 3,006 3,150 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 100 100 1,220 1,600 122 160 Total 35-37 : 4,435 4,950 2,206 2,106 9,785 10,423 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 4,500 3,200 2,100 1,850 9,450 5,920 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,435 1,460 1,600 1,800 2,296 2,628 MA : 925 870 1,445 1,815 1,337 1,579 US : 2,360 2,330 1,539 1,806 3,633 4,207 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,500 940 1,735 2,200 2,603 2,068 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 600 380 1,565 1,900 939 722 Total 54-55 : 2,100 1,320 1,687 2,114 3,542 2,790 Total 51-55 : 4,460 3,650 1,609 1,917 7,175 6,997 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 1,380 1,520 1,435 1,525 1,980 2,318 MA : 340 350 1,325 1,500 451 525 US : 1,720 1,870 1,413 1,520 2,431 2,843 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 10,680 8,720 1,784 1,807 19,056 15,760 : All Tobacco : 717,655 649,140 2,061 1,956 1,479,179 1,269,775 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : CA : 100.0 110.0 28.3 31.0 2,970 2,830 3,410 CO : 57.3 67.7 22.7 21.4 1,308 1,301 1,449 ID : 203.0 210.0 27.1 24.2 5,210 5,501 5,082 MI : 173.0 187.0 16.0 18.5 3,040 2,768 3,460 MN : 458.0 466.0 21.2 20.4 8,251 9,710 9,506 MT : 62.4 61.9 22.6 23.8 1,224 1,410 1,473 NE : 47.4 66.7 19.7 19.5 1,013 934 1,301 NM 2/ : 49 ND : 242.6 251.0 22.2 20.5 4,205 5,386 5,146 OH : 1.1 1.2 17.3 19.0 17 19 23 OR : 17.7 19.7 26.6 25.3 494 471 498 TX 2/ : 270 WA : 35.8 27.0 33.3 31.4 595 1,192 848 WY : 53.4 57.0 20.3 21.0 1,240 1,084 1,197 : : US : 1,451.7 1,525.2 22.5 21.9 29,886 32,606 33,393 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. 2/ No acres planted in 1998 or 1999. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : FL : 447.0 456.0 40.1 39.0 16,236 17,925 17,800 HI : 32.5 35.0 86.1 84.0 3,009 2,798 2,941 LA : 435.0 465.0 29.7 34.0 11,562 12,920 15,810 TX : 32.6 31.2 32.6 33.5 902 1,064 1,045 : US : 947.1 987.2 36.6 38.1 31,709 34,707 37,596 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Grapefruit: Utilized Production, Florida and United States, 1997-98, 1998-99, Forecasted October 1, and November 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production :----------------------------------------------------------------- : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 1999 : : : 1999 :1997-98:1998-99:---------------:1997-98 :1998-99 :--------------- : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :------- 1,000 Boxes 2/ ------- ---------- 1,000 Tons --------- : White : Seedless 3/ : FL :18,300 17,800 20,500 18,500 777 757 871 786 Colored : Seedless 4/ : FL :30,600 28,700 29,000 27,000 1,301 1,220 1,233 1,148 Other 5/ : FL : 650 550 500 500 28 23 21 21 All : FL :49,550 47,050 50,000 46,000 2,106 2,000 2,125 1,955 : US :63,150 61,400 64,150 60,150 2,593 2,520 2,635 2,465 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: FL-85. 3/ Excludes White Seedless economic abandonment of 5,000,000 boxes in 1997-98. 4/ Excludes Colored Seedless economic abandonment of 1,000,000 boxes in 1997-98. 5/ November 1, 1999, Other (Seedy) grapefruit pulled forward from earlier forecast. Hazelnuts: Utilized Production, In-shell Basis, by State and United States, 1997-98 and Forecasted November 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : OR : 46,850 15,400 37,700 WA 1/ : 150 100 300 : US : 47,000 15,500 38,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Sep : 3,745 3,265 2,310 1,590 2,495 3,640 Oct : 3,785 3,225 2,240 1,625 3,165 3,850 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fall Potatoes: Percent of Varieties Planted The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts variety surveys in 8 major States, accounting for 88 percent of U. S. fall potato production. In the 7 Objective Survey States all producing areas of each State are sampled in proportion to planted acreage. Colorado data are from a special Potato Variety Survey. Variety data shown below are rounded actual percentages from these surveys. Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted, Selected States and 8 States Total, 1999 Crop ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ State :Pct. of :: State :Pct. of :: State :Pct. of and :Planted :: and :Planted :: and :Planted Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CO : :: MN (cont'd) : :: WI : R Norkotah : 42.0 :: Norvalley : 3.0 :: R Burbank : 27.4 R Nugget : 29.0 :: Norchip : 2.8 :: R Norkotah : 20.2 Centennial R : 7.6 :: Shepody : 2.4 :: Snowden : 13.6 Sangre : 2.5 :: Frito-Lay : 1.4 :: Goldrush : 10.6 Crestone R : 1.4 :: Itasca : 1.3 :: Norland : 10.0 Yukon Gold : 1.4 :: Cascade : 1.0 :: Superior : 5.2 Ranger R : 1.2 :: : :: Atlantic : 3.9 : :: ND : :: Ranger R : 1.1 ID : :: R Burbank : 42.0 :: : R Burbank : 74.4 :: Frito-Lay : 18.5 :: US (8 States) : Ranger R : 9.1 :: Norland : 9.2 :: R Burbank : 49.5 R Norkotah : 8.3 :: Norvalley : 6.9 :: R Norkotah : 12.3 Shepody : 4.2 :: Shepody : 6.7 :: Ranger R : 7.2 : :: Goldrush : 4.8 :: Shepody : 5.7 ME : :: Pontiac : 2.0 :: Norland : 3.2 R Burbank : 26.1 :: La Soda : 1.8 :: Frito-Lay : 2.8 Ontario : 17.5 :: Snowden : 1.6 :: R Nugget : 2.1 Shepody : 15.0 :: : :: Goldrush : 1.7 Frito-Lay : 9.5 :: OR : :: Snowden : 1.5 Superior : 7.8 :: R Burbank : 42.9 :: Umatilla : 1.1 Atlantic : 4.7 :: R Norkotah : 21.4 :: Ontario : 1.1 Snowden : 3.3 :: Ranger R : 12.5 :: Norvalley : 1.0 Katahdin : 3.3 :: Shepody : 12.5 :: Superior : 0.9 Chieftain : 2.3 :: Atlantic : 1.8 :: Atlantic : 0.7 Norwis : 1.7 :: Yukon Gold : 1.4 :: Pontiac : 0.6 Yukon Gold : 1.8 :: Snowden : 1.2 :: Centennial R : 0.6 : :: : :: La Soda : 0.4 MN : :: WA : :: Yukon Gold : 0.3 R Burbank : 49.3 :: R Burbank : 41.3 :: Katahdin : 0.2 Norland : 19.2 :: Ranger R : 17.6 :: Norchip : 0.2 Pontiac : 5.3 :: R Norkotah : 15.4 :: Sangre : 0.2 Goldrush : 4.1 :: Shepody : 10.8 :: Chieftain : 0.1 La Soda : 3.1 :: Umatilla : 6.7 :: Norwis : 0.1 : :: : :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Selected Small Grains: Area Planted, Selected States and United States, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : Montana : North Dakota : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 170 650 4,670 Barley : 1,300 1,350 5,223 All Wheat : 5,600 9,410 62,998 Winter : 1,050 60 43,425 Durum : 400 3,450 4,075 Other Spring : 4,150 5,900 15,498 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Selected Small Grains: Area Harvested, Selected States and United States, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : Montana : North Dakota : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 70 *330 *2,455 Barley : 1,150 *1,240 *4,758 All Wheat : 5,360 *8,657 *54,069 Winter : 970 57 35,542 Durum : 390 *3,000 *3,609 Other Spring : 4,000 5,600 14,918 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from "Small Grains 1999 Summary" released September 30, 1999. Selected Small Grains: Yield, Selected States and United States, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : Montana : North Dakota : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Bushels : Oats : *46.0 *51.0 *59.7 Barley : 50.0 *48.0 *59.2 All Wheat : *29.0 *28.0 *42.7 Winter : 38.0 37.0 47.8 Durum : *27.0 *24.0 *27.8 Other Spring : 27.0 30.0 34.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from "Small Grains 1999 Summary" released September 30, 1999. Selected Small Grains: Production, Selected States and United States, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : Montana : North Dakota : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : Oats : *3,220 16,830 *146,506 Barley : 57,500 *59,520 *281,853 All Wheat : *155,390 *242,109 *2,307,951 Winter : 36,860 2,109 1,698,369 Durum : *10,530 *72,000 *100,402 Other Spring : 108,000 168,000 509,180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from "Small Grains 1999 Summary" released September 30, 1999. Selected Small Grains: Stocks by Position, Selected States and United States, September 1, 1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On : Off : Total All State : Farms : Farms 2/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Oats : : 1,000 Bushels : MT : 2,800 75 2,875 ND : 16,500 1,150 17,650 US : 96,300 50,982 147,282 :----------------------------------------------------------- : Barley :----------------------------------------------------------- MT : 48,000 8,000 56,000 ND : 45,000 24,000 69,000 US : 165,100 129,845 294,945 :----------------------------------------------------------- : Durum Wheat 3/ :----------------------------------------------------------- ND : 81,000 12,800 93,800 Oth Sts : 17,400 27,050 44,450 US : 98,400 39,850 138,250 :----------------------------------------------------------- : All Wheat :----------------------------------------------------------- MT : 165,000 27,850 192,850 ND : 245,000 69,300 314,300 US : 893,060 1,556,196 2,449,256 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Grains Stocks" released September 30, 1999. 2/ Included stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, and processors. 3/ Included in all wheat. Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1997-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 1997 :1,098,303 471,987 275,238 491,324 56,831 87,783 2,481,466 1998 :1,179,452 442,677 258,604 486,370 42,099 138,119 2,547,321 1999 :1,054,996 451,801 191,572 453,978 55,202 100,402 2,307,951 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data available. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1998-99 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 6,337.0 5,223.0 5,864.0 4,758.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 80,187.0 77,611.0 72,604.0 70,925.0 Corn for Silage : 5,919.0 Hay, All : 60,016.0 62,051.0 Alfalfa : 23,642.0 23,968.0 All Other : 36,374.0 38,083.0 Oats : 4,892.0 4,670.0 2,755.0 2,455.0 Rice : 3,345.0 3,600.0 3,317.0 3,571.0 Rye : 1,566.0 1,582.0 418.0 383.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,626.0 9,299.0 7,723.0 8,499.0 Sorghum for Silage : 305.0 Wheat, All : 65,821.0 62,998.0 59,002.0 54,069.0 Winter : 46,449.0 43,425.0 40,126.0 35,542.0 Durum : 3,805.0 4,075.0 3,728.0 3,609.0 Other Spring : 15,567.0 15,498.0 15,148.0 14,918.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,127.0 1,095.0 1,092.0 1,067.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 336.0 341.0 329.0 334.0 Mustard Seed : 98.9 59.7 95.6 58.2 Peanuts : 1,521.0 1,468.0 1,467.0 1,436.5 Rapeseed : 4.8 3.5 4.7 3.5 Safflower : 303.0 313.0 285.0 294.0 Soybeans for Beans : 72,025.0 74,145.0 70,441.0 72,786.0 Sunflower : 3,568.0 3,676.0 3,492.0 3,593.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,392.5 14,601.2 10,683.6 13,405.2 Upland : 13,064.3 14,283.0 10,448.8 13,096.0 Amer-Pima : 328.2 318.2 234.8 309.2 Sugarbeets : 1,498.8 1,560.6 1,451.7 1,525.2 Sugarcane : 947.1 987.2 Tobacco : 717.7 649.1 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 9.0 6.1 7.4 4.4 Dry Edible Beans : 2,010.1 1,992.6 1,913.9 1,903.0 Dry Edible Peas : 323.4 281.6 309.1 263.6 Lentils : 162.0 182.0 158.5 174.5 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.1 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.4 0.4 Hops : 36.6 34.2 Peppermint Oil : 124.0 Potatoes, All : 1,416.6 1,382.7 1,387.7 1,348.7 Winter : 15.5 18.1 15.0 17.8 Spring : 93.0 87.7 90.6 85.8 Summer : 73.0 69.0 68.1 64.4 Fall : 1,235.1 1,207.9 1,214.0 1,180.7 Spearmint Oil : 27.4 Sweet Potatoes : 87.2 88.1 83.8 85.2 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Acreage is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1998-99 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 60.0 59.2 352,125 281,853 Corn for Grain : " : 134.4 134.5 9,761,085 9,537,137 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.0 94,525 Hay, All : " : 2.52 2.60 151,338 161,385 Alfalfa : " : 3.47 3.57 82,010 85,487 All Other : " : 1.91 1.99 69,328 75,898 Oats : Bu : 60.2 59.7 165,981 146,506 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 5,669 5,929 188,051 211,714 Rye : Bu : 29.1 28.7 12,161 10,993 Sorghum for Grain : " : 67.3 70.2 519,933 596,482 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 11.4 3,487 Wheat, All : Bu : 43.2 42.7 2,547,321 2,307,951 Winter : " : 46.9 47.8 1,880,733 1,698,369 Durum : " : 37.0 27.8 138,119 100,402 Other Spring : " : 34.9 34.1 528,469 509,180 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,455 1,588,620 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 5,365 6,255 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.4 6,708 Mustard Seed : Lb : 855 81,750 Peanuts : " : 2,702 2,664 3,963,440 3,827,400 Rapeseed : " : 1,353 6,360 Safflower : " : 1,446 412,085 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 38.9 36.7 2,741,014 2,672,972 Sunflower : Lb : 1,510 1,404 5,273,162 5,043,370 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 625 592 13,918.2 16,530.5 Upland 2/ : " : 619 581 13,475.9 15,846.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 904 1,063 442.3 684.5 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.5 21.9 32,606 33,393 Sugarcane : " : 36.6 38.1 34,707 37,596 Tobacco : Lb : 2,061 1,956 1,479,179 1,269,775 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,405 1,364 104 60 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,611 1,669 30,828 31,755 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,920 1,908 5,934 5,030 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,223 1,368 1,938 2,387 Wrinkled Seed Peas : " : 674 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,560 9,500 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 50,000 46,000 18,000 16,100 Hops : " : 1,625 1,813 59,548 62,080 Peppermint Oil : " : 78 9,727 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 343 357 475,771 481,482 Winter : " : 199 229 2,980 4,070 Spring : " : 233 270 21,121 23,205 Summer : " : 278 289 18,933 18,606 Fall : " : 356 369 432,737 435,601 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 109 2,987 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 148 12,382 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1998-00 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,593 2,520 2,465 K-Early Citrus (FL) : " : 2 4 3 Lemons : " : 897 747 927 Oranges : " : 13,670 9,886 12,110 Tangelos (FL) : " : 128 115 117 Tangerines : " : 360 327 416 Temples (FL) : " : 101 81 95 : : Non-Citrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 11,387.4 10,614.8 Apricots : Ton : 118.3 130.0 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 21,000.0 Grapes : Ton : 5,903.0 6,554.9 Olives (CA) : " : 90.0 125.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 39,900.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,429.3 2,502.1 Pears : Ton : 955.1 942.9 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 108.0 180.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 25.6 25.1 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 520,000 830,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 15.5 38.0 Pecans : Lb : 146,400 323,900 Pistachios (CA) : " : 188,000 110,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 227.0 280.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,159 1,180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1998-99 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,564,520 2,113,700 2,373,100 1,925,520 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,450,880 31,408,400 29,382,110 28,702,640 Corn for Silage : 2,395,360 Hay, All 3/ : 24,287,880 25,111,420 Alfalfa : 9,567,680 9,699,610 All Other : 14,720,190 15,411,810 Oats : 1,979,740 1,889,900 1,114,920 993,510 Rice : 1,353,690 1,456,880 1,342,360 1,445,150 Rye : 633,740 640,220 169,160 155,000 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,895,550 3,763,210 3,125,420 3,439,460 Sorghum for Silage : 123,430 Wheat, All 3/ :26,637,100 25,494,660 23,877,520 21,881,180 Winter :18,797,450 17,573,660 16,238,590 14,383,490 Durum : 1,539,850 1,649,110 1,508,680 1,460,530 Other Spring : 6,299,810 6,271,890 6,130,240 6,037,170 : Oilseeds : Canola : 456,090 443,140 441,920 431,800 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 135,980 138,000 133,140 135,170 Mustard Seed : 40,020 24,160 38,690 23,550 Peanuts : 615,530 594,080 593,680 581,340 Rapeseed : 1,940 1,420 1,900 1,420 Safflower : 122,620 126,670 115,340 118,980 Soybeans for Beans :29,147,800 30,005,740 28,506,770 29,455,770 Sunflower : 1,443,930 1,487,640 1,413,180 1,454,050 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,419,810 5,908,960 4,323,550 5,424,950 Upland : 5,286,990 5,780,190 4,228,520 5,299,820 Amer-Pima : 132,820 128,770 95,020 125,130 Sugarbeets : 606,550 631,560 587,490 617,230 Sugarcane : 385,060 399,510 Tobacco : 290,430 262,700 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 3,640 2,470 2,990 1,780 Dry Edible Beans : 813,470 806,390 774,540 770,130 Dry Edible Peas : 130,880 113,960 125,090 106,680 Lentils : 65,560 73,650 64,140 70,620 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,470 Ginger Root (HI) : 150 140 Hops : 14,830 13,860 Peppermint Oil : 50,180 Potatoes, All 3/ : 573,280 559,560 561,590 545,810 Winter : 6,270 7,320 6,070 7,200 Spring : 37,640 35,490 36,660 34,720 Summer : 29,540 27,920 27,560 26,060 Fall : 499,830 488,830 491,290 477,820 Spearmint Oil : 11,090 Sweet Potatoes : 35,290 35,650 33,910 34,480 Taro (HI) 4/ : 200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1998-99 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.23 3.19 7,666,620 6,136,620 Corn for Grain : 8.44 8.44 247,942,980 242,254,440 Corn for Silage : 35.80 85,751,640 Hay, All 2/ : 5.65 5.83 137,291,520 146,406,010 Alfalfa : 7.78 8.00 74,398,220 77,552,500 All Other : 4.27 4.47 62,893,300 68,853,510 Oats : 2.16 2.14 2,409,210 2,126,530 Rice : 6.35 6.65 8,529,850 9,603,190 Rye : 1.83 1.80 308,900 279,240 Sorghum for Grain : 4.23 4.41 13,206,910 15,151,340 Sorghum for Silage : 25.63 3,163,350 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.90 2.87 69,326,720 62,812,130 Winter : 3.15 3.21 51,185,160 46,222,030 Durum : 2.49 1.87 3,758,980 2,732,490 Other Spring : 2.35 2.30 14,382,570 13,857,610 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.63 720,590 Cottonseed 3/ : 4,867,410 5,674,440 Flaxseed : 1.28 170,390 Mustard Seed : 0.96 37,080 Peanuts : 3.03 2.99 1,797,790 1,736,080 Rapeseed : 1.52 2,880 Safflower : 1.62 186,920 Soybeans for Beans : 2.62 2.47 74,598,180 72,746,380 Sunflower : 1.69 1.57 2,391,870 2,287,630 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.70 0.66 3,030,330 3,599,090 Upland : 0.69 0.65 2,934,030 3,450,060 Amer-Pima : 1.01 1.19 96,300 149,030 Sugarbeets : 50.35 49.08 29,579,670 30,293,620 Sugarcane : 80.24 85.37 30,895,990 34,106,520 Tobacco : 2.31 2.19 670,940 575,960 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.58 1.53 4,720 2,720 Dry Edible Beans : 1.81 1.87 1,398,330 1,440,380 Dry Edible Peas : 2.15 2.14 269,160 228,160 Lentils : 1.37 1.53 87,910 108,270 Wrinkled Seed Peas : 30,570 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.75 4,310 Ginger Root (HI) : 56.04 51.56 8,160 7,300 Hops : 1.82 2.03 27,010 28,160 Peppermint Oil : 0.09 4,410 Potatoes, All 2/ : 38.43 40.01 21,580,610 21,839,660 Winter : 22.27 25.63 135,170 184,610 Spring : 26.13 30.31 958,030 1,052,560 Summer : 31.16 32.38 858,790 843,950 Fall : 39.95 41.35 19,628,620 19,758,530 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 1,350 Sweet Potatoes : 16.56 561,640 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,720 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 1999 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1998-00 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,352,330 2,286,110 2,236,210 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 1,810 3,630 2,720 Lemons : 813,740 677,670 840,960 Oranges : 12,401,220 8,968,430 10,986,010 Tangelos (FL) : 116,120 104,330 106,140 Tangerines : 326,590 296,650 377,390 Temples (FL) : 91,630 73,480 86,180 : Non-Citrus : Apples : 5,165,240 4,814,790 Apricots : 107,320 117,930 Bananas (HI) : 9,530 Grapes : 5,355,070 5,946,510 Olives (CA) : 81,650 113,400 Papayas (HI) : 18,100 Peaches : 1,101,910 1,134,930 Pears : 866,490 855,380 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 97,980 163,290 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 23,220 22,770 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 235,870 376,480 Hazelnuts : 14,060 34,470 Pecans : 66,410 146,920 Pistachios (CA) : 85,280 49,900 Walnuts (CA) : 205,930 254,010 Maple Syrup : 5,790 5,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00. Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 7 corn producing States during 1999. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre, Selected States, 1995-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Sep : 24,000 24,350 25,000 25,550 25,750 : Nov : 23,650 24,200 24,900 25,400 25,650 : : IN : Sep : 23,900 23,550 23,700 24,350 25,250 : Nov : 24,000 23,500 23,800 24,300 25,100 : : IA : Sep : 24,800 25,000 25,700 25,700 25,850 : Nov : 24,650 24,950 25,500 25,600 25,900 : : MN : Sep : 26,400 26,500 26,300 27,750 26,750 : Nov : 26,350 26,600 26,600 27,650 26,800 : : NE : Sep : 22,600 22,750 22,850 23,350 23,200 : Nov : 22,500 22,700 22,850 23,050 23,100 : : OH : Sep : 23,400 23,100 23,450 25,350 25,000 : Nov : 23,300 22,750 23,500 25,450 25,000 : : WI : Sep : 24,600 24,800 24,750 26,600 26,050 : Nov : 24,000 24,900 24,800 25,850 26,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre, Selected States, 1995-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State :Month: 1995 : 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Oct : 22,900 23,700 23,500 24,300 24,950 : Nov : 22,850 23,600 23,400 24,300 24,850 : : IN : Oct : 23,000 22,750 22,150 23,450 23,950 : Nov : 22,950 22,700 22,150 23,350 23,900 : : IA : Oct : 24,050 24,350 24,600 24,250 25,300 : Nov : 24,000 24,250 24,550 24,300 25,300 : : MN : Oct : 25,750 26,400 26,150 27,550 26,700 : Nov : 25,700 26,450 25,900 27,550 26,650 : : NE : Oct : 21,800 22,600 21,900 22,500 22,650 : Nov : 21,700 22,550 21,900 22,500 22,600 : : OH : Oct : 22,650 22,300 22,500 24,800 24,100 : Nov : 22,500 22,000 22,300 25,000 24,050 : : WI : Oct : 23,600 24,250 24,350 24,950 25,700 : Nov : 23,250 24,650 24,300 24,850 25,700 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain: Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths, Selected States, 1995-99 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Row Width (inches) State :Year :--------------------------------------------------------------- : : Less than : : : : More than : : 30 : 30 : 36 : 38 : 38 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : 1995: 1 203 39 24 : 1996: 198 29 25 1 : 1997: 1 223 36 20 1 : 1998: 3 215 35 26 : 1999: 2 221 34 16 1 : : IN : 1995: 3 148 28 8 : 1996: 119 23 4 : 1997: 149 25 5 : 1998: 2 143 19 8 : 1999: 1 147 17 7 : : IA : 1995: 178 30 79 2 : 1996: 2 183 24 69 : 1997: 1 200 32 59 : 1998: 2 208 24 54 : 1999: 1 215 30 52 : : MN : 1995: 9 114 16 22 : 1996: 3 121 22 18 1 : 1997: 10 126 21 16 : 1998: 9 127 26 13 1 : 1999: 18 124 14 14 1 : : NE : 1995: 1 98 79 16 2 : 1996: 116 91 20 1 : 1997: 135 92 18 : 1998: 1 140 84 8 : 1999: 1 148 73 12 1 : : OH : 1995: 121 7 7 : 1996: 1 84 9 5 2 : 1997: 1 99 10 7 1 : 1998: 2 104 6 8 1 : 1999: 110 6 4 : : WI : 1995: 1 59 13 44 2 : 1996: 1 45 17 19 2 : 1997: 2 50 14 36 1 : 1998: 3 58 8 26 : 1999: 60 8 25 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width, Selected States, 1995-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Row Width (inches) : State :Year : Number :----------------------------------------------:Average : : of : 20.5 : 20.6- :30.6- :34.6- : 36.6- : 38.6 & : Row : :Samples :or less:30.5 1/: 34.5 : 36.5 : 38.5 :Greater : Width -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number ----------------- Percent ---------------- Inches : : IL : 1995: 268 56.7 19.4 10.5 12.3 1.1 31.9 : 1996: 257 63.4 14.4 10.9 9.3 2.0 31.7 : 1997: 270 61.4 17.8 11.9 7.4 1.5 31.6 : 1998: 267 64.5 14.6 9.7 10.5 0.7 31.5 : 1999: 269 0.4 63.6 18.6 7.4 9.3 0.7 31.4 : : IN : 1995: 175 59.4 21.8 11.4 6.3 1.1 31.4 : 1996: 146 60.3 21.2 8.9 7.5 2.1 31.5 : 1997: 169 67.4 16.6 9.5 4.7 1.8 31.3 : 1998: 168 1.2 57.7 25.0 9.5 5.4 1.2 31.2 : 1999: 161 62.7 23.0 5.0 6.8 2.5 31.3 : : IA : 1995: 288 45.2 14.6 7.6 21.9 10.7 33.3 : 1996: 281 47.3 19.2 7.5 19.6 6.4 32.7 : 1997: 281 0.7 48.8 19.2 8.2 19.9 3.2 32.5 : 1998: 275 0.4 53.1 19.6 8.0 13.8 5.1 32.1 : 1999: 286 53.6 17.1 9.8 12.9 6.6 32.5 : : MN : 1995: 163 64.4 12.2 6.8 14.1 2.5 31.3 : 1996: 165 60.6 13.9 13.9 7.9 3.7 31.8 : 1997: 167 0.6 58.6 17.4 10.2 11.4 1.8 31.4 : 1998: 169 0.6 62.0 17.2 10.1 7.7 2.4 31.1 : 1999: 162 63.5 19.8 4.3 9.3 3.1 30.6 : : NE : 1995: 205 36.1 15.6 28.3 16.1 3.9 33.6 : 1996: 234 38.0 11.6 35.0 12.8 2.6 33.4 : 1997: 230 37.4 17.0 30.4 13.5 1.7 33.1 : 1998: 224 0.4 41.1 17.9 27.2 12.1 1.3 32.8 : 1999: 227 0.4 43.3 19.8 23.3 11.0 2.2 32.6 : : OH : 1995: 132 56.1 30.3 2.3 8.3 3.0 31.5 : 1996: 101 64.4 17.8 5.9 9.9 2.0 31.4 : 1997: 113 0.9 62.8 18.6 8.0 4.4 5.3 31.5 : 1998: 116 0.9 73.3 15.5 1.7 5.2 3.4 30.9 : 1999: 111 65.8 28.8 1.8 3.6 30.6 : : WI : 1995: 110 36.4 15.4 8.2 23.6 16.4 34.0 : 1996: 84 1.2 33.3 23.8 6.0 23.8 11.9 33.5 : 1997: 91 1.1 28.5 16.5 13.2 28.6 12.1 34.0 : 1998: 83 1.2 49.4 14.5 4.8 24.1 6.0 32.5 : 1999: 85 40.0 21.2 9.4 20.0 9.4 33.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 1995 this column of data contains information for 30.5 or less. Soybeans: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 8 soybean producing States during 1999. Randomly selected plots of soybeans fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet, Selected States, 1995-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep 1/: : Nov : 1,755 1,521 2,098 1,640 1,483 : Final : 1,609 1,481 1,956 1,613 : : IL : Sep : 1,816 1,505 1,828 2,087 1,917 : Nov : 1,764 1,573 1,708 1,902 1,788 : Final : 1,764 1,581 1,708 1,906 : : IN : Sep : 1,755 1,416 1,622 1,883 1,771 : Nov : 1,677 1,470 1,532 1,709 1,622 : Final : 1,677 1,457 1,532 1,709 : : IA : Sep : 1,739 1,654 1,894 1,914 2,142 : Nov : 1,611 1,463 1,458 1,745 1,894 : Final : 1,616 1,463 1,461 1,748 : : MN : Sep : 1,613 1,543 1,585 1,598 1,612 : Nov : 1,501 1,487 1,506 1,450 1,563 : Final : 1,501 1,487 1,506 1,442 : : MO : Sep : 895 1,491 1,539 1,847 1,242 : Nov : 1,462 1,688 1,591 1,878 1,508 : Final : 1,469 1,655 1,650 1,931 : : NE : Sep : 1,404 1,715 1,716 1,849 1,877 : Nov : 1,420 1,514 1,345 1,810 1,872 : Final : 1,420 1,514 1,342 1,810 : : OH : Sep : 1,790 1,452 1,711 1,887 1,699 : Nov : 1,647 1,378 1,485 1,710 1,494 : Final : 1,650 1,383 1,467 1,710 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Not available due to plant immaturity. Soybeans: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Width, Selected States, 1995-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Row Width (inches) : State :Year : Number :--------------------------------------------: Average : : of : 10.0 & : 10.1- : 18.6- : 28.6- : 34.6 & : Row : :Samples :less 1/ : 18.5 : 28.5 : 34.5 :Greater : Width 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number ---------------- Percent --------------- Inches : : AR : 1995: 119 36.2 10.5 29.0 15.5 8.8 19.7 : 1996: 124 35.4 6.5 19.0 26.2 12.9 21.6 : 1997: 126 42.9 13.5 19.4 17.5 6.7 18.0 : 1998: 124 30.8 13.9 25.8 20.5 9.0 20.1 : 1999: 118 31.1 18.7 26.8 16.6 6.8 19.3 : : IL : 1995: 208 57.1 10.1 2.9 26.0 3.9 16.0 : 1996: 202 53.2 15.2 2.2 25.5 3.9 16.0 : 1997: 211 55.2 18.5 3.1 21.1 2.1 15.1 : 1998: 205 54.5 17.8 2.0 22.0 3.7 15.5 : 1999: 219 44.3 31.6 3.0 16.5 4.6 15.8 : : IN : 1995: 148 68.0 10.2 3.4 17.0 1.4 13.3 : 1996: 147 69.4 11.2 2.1 14.6 2.7 13.0 : 1997: 148 59.3 15.6 4.8 14.9 5.4 14.4 : 1998: 160 62.1 18.8 1.9 15.3 1.9 13.4 : 1999: 148 68.9 19.9 0.4 8.8 2.0 11.7 : : IA : 1995: 206 28.2 10.5 5.6 40.4 15.3 24.6 : 1996: 216 28.3 12.3 5.1 42.2 12.1 24.4 : 1997: 211 25.1 19.2 4.0 42.0 9.7 22.3 : 1998: 217 21.7 22.1 7.1 41.0 8.1 22.1 : 1999: 224 18.4 25.7 7.4 41.8 6.7 22.6 : : MN : 1995: 98 25.0 14.3 9.7 46.4 4.6 21.6 : 1996: 101 30.8 11.9 10.5 38.8 8.0 21.0 : 1997: 97 27.8 28.9 5.1 36.1 2.1 18.8 : 1998: 105 17.6 21.0 15.7 43.8 1.9 22.0 : 1999: 100 22.1 26.1 12.1 33.7 6.0 20.4 : : M0 : 1995: 132 53.1 14.0 5.7 22.3 4.9 16.4 : 1996: 125 48.4 19.2 4.4 20.4 7.6 16.7 : 1997: 118 47.3 30.1 5.0 11.7 5.9 15.4 : 1998: 125 49.6 26.4 3.6 14.0 6.4 15.6 : 1999: 126 40.9 34.1 6.7 14.3 4.0 15.6 : : NE : 1995: 87 23.6 8.6 5.2 37.9 24.7 25.2 : 1996: 74 21.0 11.5 4.7 40.5 22.3 25.3 : 1997: 74 26.3 13.5 4.1 34.5 21.6 23.6 : 1998: 96 16.1 18.8 4.2 38.0 22.9 25.2 : 1999: 86 13.4 23.8 5.2 40.7 16.9 24.2 : : OH : 1995: 124 68.0 21.5 1.6 6.9 2.0 11.4 : 1996: 121 69.5 23.5 1.2 5.8 10.6 : 1997: 122 71.3 17.6 2.9 7.4 0.8 11.4 : 1998: 127 74.0 15.3 2.8 7.1 0.8 10.8 : 1999: 125 78.0 15.6 1.6 4.0 0.8 10.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Broadcast soybeans included as "10.0 inches and less" but excluded in computation of average width. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 12 cotton producing States during 1999. Randomly selected plots of cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey for 5 States which accounted for 60 percent of the 1998 U.S. Upland cotton production. The remaining 7 States are new to the Objective Yield survey and do not have 3 years of historical counts available. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, September and November 1995-99, and Final, 1995-98 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1995 : 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 850 857 975 637 720 : Nov : 689 741 810 633 693 : Final : 689 741 811 640 : : CA : Sep : 751 707 701 755 921 : Nov : 682 748 697 665 779 : Final : 680 744 697 655 : : LA : Sep : 679 665 639 694 722 : Nov : 615 607 643 600 728 : Final : 615 607 643 600 : : MS : Sep : 682 816 908 835 761 : Nov : 607 731 835 823 767 : Final : 607 729 833 821 : : TX : Sep : 423 383 500 498 465 : Nov : 409 498 468 477 447 : Final : 415 498 458 482 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet of row. In November, excludes small bolls. October Weather Summary Dry weather reduced soil moisture on the Plains, causing spotty winter wheat emergence in a few areas and hampering establishment. Meanwhile in the interior Northwest, a late-month storm system provided much-needed moisture for dryland winter wheat and eased the 8-month drought. The same storm then dampened northern Montana and the southeastern Plains (from northeastern Texas northward into southeastern Kansas), boosting topsoil moisture and aiding wheat, before reaching the Delta at month's end. In the Ohio Valley, widespread early-month rainfall eased the 15-month drought and promoted winter wheat emergence, although drier weather returned after mid-October. Occasional showers improved soil moisture in the Southeast. At mid-month, Hurricane Irene crossed southeastern Florida, producing widespread flooding and strong winds that adversely affected vegetables. Although Irene remained offshore thereafter, heavy rain in the eastern Mid-Atlantic region disrupted flood-recovery efforts, a month after Floyd's strike. Despite frequent temperature fluctuations, monthly temperatures averaged within 3 degrees F of normal nationwide, except 3 to 5 degrees F below normal in northern New England and 3 to 5 degrees F above normal in parts of the Southwest. The generally mild, often dry weather promoted rapid summer crop harvesting nearly nationwide, especially in the Plains and Midwest. General Crop Comments: Crops quickly ripened, as above-normal temperatures prevailed across most of the country near mid-month and again late in the month. Below-normal precipitation promoted rapid harvest in the Corn Belt, Great Plains, lower Mississippi Valley, and Southwest. In the Atlantic Coastal Plains, periods of heavy precipitation hampered harvest efforts. Moisture shortages delayed winter wheat planting in the Pacific Northwest and hindered emergence and growth in parts of the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Ninety-four percent of the corn crop was mature by October 3, more than a week ahead of the 5-year average. Fields quickly ripened in the Great Plains and northern Corn Belt early in the month, especially in Colorado where development lagged behind normal. In most other areas of the Corn Belt, nearly all of the corn acreage was mature on October 3. By the end of the month, 89 percent of the corn was harvested, more than 1 week ahead of normal due to nearly ideal harvest weather. Harvest proceeded far ahead of normal in the eastern Corn Belt and advanced well ahead of normal average in the western Corn Belt. Slow crop development hindered harvest progress in Colorado and Pennsylvania until late in the month, when the harvest pace accelerated. Eighty-eight percent of the soybean acreage was dropping leaves by October 3, slightly ahead of the 5-year average. Soybeans ripened well ahead of normal along the Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys and slightly ahead of normal in the central and western Corn Belt. Crop development lagged slightly behind the 5-year average in the Great Plains. Ninety-three percent of the soybean crop was harvested by the end of the month, 7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. The harvest pace accelerated in most areas of the Corn Belt early in the month, with only brief rain delays in northern Missouri, eastern Iowa, northern Illinois, and scattered areas of Indiana and Michigan. Brief rain delays also interrupted harvest progress in the Mississippi Delta early in the month. Precipitation from Hurricane Irene limited harvest activity in the Atlantic Coastal Plains, but progress remained slightly ahead of the normal pace in North and South Carolina. Near the end of the month, harvest was active in the southern Corn Belt, Mississippi Delta, and Southeast, as hot weather quickly ripened double-cropped and late-planted soybeans. Winter wheat seeding was 53 percent complete on October 3 and advanced to 89 percent complete by the end of the month. Sowing was aided by dry conditions in most areas of the Great Plains and eastern Corn Belt, but Oregon growers delayed planting due to dry soils. In the Corn Belt, growers planted soft red winter wheat as soon as row crops were harvested and fields were prepared. Muddy fields and the slow harvest pace delayed planting in North Carolina. Twenty-six percent of the acreage was emerged by October 3, slightly ahead of the average. By October 31, 73 percent of the acreage was emerged, slightly behind normal. Dry soils hindered emergence in parts of the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Precipitation, some in the form of snow, provided much-needed moisture for germinating seeds in Kansas, Colorado, and the eastern Corn Belt early in the month. By mid-month, stands were spotty and growth was uneven in some fields due to soil moisture shortages in some areas of the Corn Belt and Great Plains. Abundant sunshine promoted crop development where moisture was adequate, but below-normal temperatures limited growth for several days near mid-month. Eighty-seven percent of the cotton acreage was at or beyond the boll opening stage on October 3, 1 week ahead of the 5-year average. Bolls were open on virtually all of the acreage in the Mississippi Delta by October 3. In the southern Great Plains, North Carolina, and California, warm daytime temperatures accelerated ripening. However, development continued to lag slightly behind normal in California, even though above-normal temperatures prevailed for most of the month. Harvest rapidly progressed in the lower Mississippi Valley, as rain delays were isolated and brief. In the southern Great Plains, picking gradually gained momentum early in the month, and was rapidly progressing by mid-month. Rainy weather and muddy fields limited progress in the Atlantic Coastal Plains for most of the month. Sorghum ripened at a normal pace, reaching 96 percent mature by October 24. Harvest progressed slightly ahead of the 5-year average throughout the month, advancing from 40 percent complete on October 3 to 88 percent on October 31. In the lower Mississippi Valley, most of the crop was harvested by October 3. As the month progressed, harvest accelerated in the central Great Plains and southern Corn Belt, well ahead of normal in Illinois, and slightly ahead of normal in Kansas, Colorado, and Nebraska. Slow ripening limited harvest progress in South Dakota, until after mid-month, when the harvest pace accelerated. The peanut harvest progressed to 79 percent complete by the end of the month. Heavy rain periodically slowed harvest progress in the Atlantic Coastal Plains throughout the month. On October 31, digging was 30 percentage points behind normal in North Carolina. Progress was slightly faster in South Carolina. Harvest progress was at, or ahead of, the average in the eastern Gulf Coast and southern Great Plains peanut-producing areas. Corn for Grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 70.9 million acres, unchanged from last month. The November 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level ear count for the combined seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). The previous record ears per acre was set in 1998. As of October 31, 89 percent of the acreage was harvested in the 17 major States. This compares with 81 percent last year and 72 percent for the 5-year average. Fields quickly ripened in the Great Plains and northern Corn Belt early in October. Harvest proceeded far ahead of normal in the eastern Corn Belt and advanced well ahead of average in the western Corn Belt. Slow crop development hindered harvest progress in Colorado and Pennsylvania until late in the month, when the harvest pace accelerated. In Iowa, forecasted ear counts are at a record level. Ninety-five percent of the crop was harvested, ahead of the 84 percent last year and the average of 74 percent. Illinois and Indiana ear counts from objective yield data indicate record high levels. In Illinois, ninety-four percent of the crop was harvested as of October 31, compared with 81 percent in 1998 and the average of 80 percent. The corn crop was 94 percent harvested in Indiana, ahead of 80 percent one year ago and the average of 66 percent. Forecasted ear counts in Nebraska and Wisconsin are also at a record level. Eighty-seven percent of the Nebraska crop was harvested, compared with 82 percent last year and the average of 70 percent. In Wisconsin, 84 percent of the corn was harvested, compared with 71 percent in 1998 and the average of 53 percent. Forecasted ear counts in Ohio are the second highest on record and are the fourth highest on record in Minnesota. The Ohio corn harvest was 81 percent complete, compared with 68 percent last year and the average of 52 percent. Ninty-one percent of the Minnesota acreage was harvested, compared with 89 percent for last year and the average of 76 percent. Sorghum for Grain: The final production forecast for the 1999 crop is 596 million bushels, up from the October forecast of 580 million bushels and 15 percent above the 1998 production of 520 million bushels. The U.S. yield is forecast at 70.2 bushels per acre, up from 68.3 last month, and 2.9 bushels above the 1998 yield. Area harvested and to be harvested was unchanged from October at 8.50 million acres, and up 10 percent from the previous year. Four States are showing record yields due to favorable weather conditions. These are Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, and Mississippi. Texas is matching its previous record. Yield estimate for Kansas was up 4 bushels from October because of a late frost which gave late planted sorghum additional time to mature. Illinios and Nebraska increased their yield forecast by 13 bushels and 2 bushels, respectively. Sorghum ripened at a normal pace, reaching 96 percent mature by October 24. Harvest progressed slightly ahead of the 5-year average throughout the month, advancing from 40 percent complete on October 3 to 77 percent on October 31. In the lower Mississippi Valley, most of the crop was harvested by October 3. As the month progressed, harvest accelerated in the central Great Plains and southern Corn Belt, well ahead of normal in Illinois, and slightly ahead of normal in Kansas, Colorado, and Nebraska. Slow ripening limited harvest progress in South Dakota until after mid month when the harvest pace accelerated. Rice: Production is forecast at a record high 212 million cwt, down slightly from October 1 but 13 percent above 1998. The average yield is forecast at 5,929 pounds per acre, down 16 pounds from last month but up 260 pounds from 1998. Area for harvest is expected to total 3.57 million acres unchanged from October 1, but 8 percent above last year. The rice production forecast in California declined from last month. Cool weather during pollination and throughout the growing season reduced expected yields to near last year's el nino affected crop. Yields in Arkansas and Texas increased from last month, while yields in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Missouri remained unchanged from October1. Fall Potatoes: Production of fall potatoes for 1999 is forecast at 436 million cwt, up 1 percent from last year and 3 percent above 1997. Area harvested, at 1.18 million acres, is down 3 percent from last year and down less than 1 percent from two years ago. The average yield is forecast at 369 cwt per acre, a jump of 13 cwt from last year and 12 cwt above two years ago. Bumper crops in Washington and Wisconsin more than made up for a smaller crop in Idaho. Drought hurt potatoes in New York and Pennsylvania and caused scattered damage in Ohio, Indiana and Michigan. Rain at harvest time in North Dakota and Minnesota led to abandonment of several thousand acres. All Potatoes: Production from all four seasons is forecast at 481 million cwt in 1999, up 1 percent from last year and 3 percent above 1997. If realized, the production would be the second largest potato crop on record, 4 percent below the record large crop of 1996. Five Eastern States produced 28.7 million cwt of fall potatoes in 1999, down 3 percent from last year and 6 percent below two years ago. Area for harvest totaled 106,000 acres, down 3 percent from last year. The average yield of 271 cwt per acre was equal to last year and 7 cwt above 1997. Maine potato growers had a nearly ideal season from early planting to harvest time. Then came persistent rains delaying digging and causing considerable damage to tubers. Production in Maine dropped 1 percent from last year. New York and Pennsylvania suffered extended drought through the summer cutting yields and reducing size. Eight Central States' production is forecast at 109 million cwt this year, a gain of 1 percent from last year and 11 percent above two years ago. Harvest was taken from 338,700 acres, a drop of 6 percent from last year. The average yield of 322 cwt per acre represented a 24 cwt increase from a year ago. Dry summer weather hurt yields in Ohio and Indiana with production drops of 17 and 18 percent, respectively. Michigan's yields were not as high as expected, but higher acreage pushed production up slightly. Heavy rains during harvest led to acreage abandonment in North Dakota and Minnesota. Production in Wisconsin jumped 13 percent with increased acreage and record high yields. Nebraska's production increased 9 percent, also with record high yields. Ten Western States produced 298 million cwt in 1999, up 1 percent from each of the last two years. Acreage harvested, at 736,000 acres, decreased 1 percent from last year, while the average yield of 405 cwt per acre was up 7 cwt. Production in Idaho decreased 2 percent from last year and 4 percent from two years ago. Washington gained 2 percent and Oregon 8 percent to more than make up for Idaho's smaller production. Colorado was up 5 percent and California increased 8 percent as yields rose in both States. Montana and Nevada inched up 1 percent from a year ago. Production in Utah dropped 20 percent and New Mexico slid 6 percent. Soybeans: Growers expect to harvest 72.8 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from the October forecast but 3 percent above 1998 final harvested acreage. Harvest progress during October advanced at a very fast pace as near ideal conditions prevailed in most areas of the Corn Belt, Great Plains and Delta region. As of October 31, ninety three percent of the soybeans had been harvested, 5 percentage points ahead of 1998 and 7 percentage points ahead of the average. Soybean harvest was nearing completion across the Corn Belt States. In Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska, harvest was at or above 98 percent complete as of October 31 and was ahead of last year and 5-year average. Harvest in Ohio was 95 percent complete and was lagging behind by 1 percentage point compared to last season. The Missouri harvest was 89 percent complete, 10 percentage points ahead of 1998 harvest and 13 points ahead of normal. Harvest in Arkansas was 76 percent complete and was progressing at same pace as 1998 and was ahead of normal. Harvest in Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern States was not as advanced and was running behind the previous year's pace. Wet conditions during October slowed crop maturity and harvest progress in these states. In the seventeen non-objective yield States that make yield forecasts in November, four States reduced yields from October while five States had increases. Yields were decreased 2 bushels in Georgia and 1 bushel in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Wisconsin. Yields were increased 2 bushels in North Dakota and Tennessee and 1 bushel in Kansas, Mississippi, and Virginia. If realized, pod counts from the October Objective Yield survey will be the highest on record in Iowa and Nebraska. All other objective yield States, except for Minnesota, were showing fewer pods than last November and 1998 final counts. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.83 billion pounds, up slightly from the October 1 forecast, but down 3 percent from last year's crop. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.44 million acres, unchanged from October 1 but down 2 percent from 1998. Yields are expected to average 2,664 pounds, up 4 pounds from last month but down 38 pounds from last year. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.12 billion pounds, up 1 percent from last month but down 4 percent from last year's level. Yield in the four-State area are expected to average 2,537 pounds per acre, up 30 pounds from October 1 but 103 pounds below 1998. Harvest was ahead the five year average in Alabama and Florida while harvest in Georgia and South Carolina lagged behind the average. The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 468 million pounds, down 6 percent from last month and down 24 percent from 1998. Yield is forecast at 2,474 pounds, 152 pounds down from last month and down 626 pounds from last year. In Virginia, harvest was winding down as of October 31, slightly behind the average. Harvest was 50 percent complete in North Carolina, 30 percent behind the average. Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.24 billion pounds, up 1 percent from last month and up 9 percent from 1998. Yields are expected to average 3,010 pounds, 372 pounds above 1998. On October 31, harvest was 51 percent complete in Texas, 3 percent behind the average. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 13.1 million acres, is unchanged from the October forecast and up 25 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested acreage, at 309,200 acres is also unchanged from October and 32 percent above 1998. As of November 7, U.S. harvest was 72 percent complete, 4 percentage points behind 1998, but 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. The development of cotton was slowed early in October on the Texas Plains due to cool temperatures and widely scattered showers. However, harvest was able to begin on some early planted fields. Harvest continued to expand throughout October as some growers sprayed to aid in harvest activities rather than waiting for a hard freeze. Brief harvest delays were experienced in some areas of the High Plains due to showers and light snow. These showers should have alleviated any potential stickiness problems. On October 31, forty-six percent of the cotton acreage was harvested. This was 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Objective yield data indicate Texas' large boll counts are ranked ninth in the past ten years and boll weights are ranked eighth. In Oklahoma, harvest made great strides during the second half of October. On October 31, sixty-four percent of the acreage was harvested, 25 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) experienced excellent weather throughout the month of October. The weather has resulted in harvest progressing well ahead of average. As of October 31, all five States were well above 90 percent harvested. Arkansas was 15 percent ahead of average at 94 percent harvested. Louisiana reported 99 percent harvested, 7 points ahead of the 5-year average. Mississippi, at 97 percent harvested, was 10 percentage points ahead of average. Missouri and Tennessee both reported 96 percent of their cotton acreage harvested on October 31, twenty-one and 20 points ahead of the 5-year average, respectively. Data from objective yield surveys show large boll counts for Arkansas ranked seventh, and Mississippi's ranked fourth, since 1990. Louisiana's number of large bolls are ranked fifth during this time period. Boll weights in Arkansas and Mississippi were the lowest in the last 10 years, while Louisiana's weight was ranked as the ninth lowest out of the last ten years. Due to the unusually cool growing season, cotton progress lagged behind normal during most of the season in California and Arizona. The delay in progress resulted in a slow start for harvest. Warm, dry weather throughout October allowed both States to harvest throughout the month. While Arizona has been harvesting for several weeks, they are still behind the 5-year average. On October 31, forty-two percent of their acreage was harvested, 16 percent behind average. After a slow start, California has virtually completed applying defoliants and picking has rapidly advanced. During the third week of October, California producers harvested nearly 30 percent of their cotton acreage to advance past the 5-year average. On October 31, sixty percent of the cotton acres in California were harvested, compared to 47 percent on average. November 1 cotton objective yield counts show California large boll numbers ranked sixth and boll weights ranked last since 1990. Rainy weather and muddy fields resulted in some harvest delays in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), especially in North Carolina. As of October 31, North Carolina reported only 24 percent of their cotton acreage harvested. This compared to 55 percent for the 5-year average. Conversely, Alabama managed to remain 11 percent ahead of average at 77 percent harvested. Georgia and South Carolina both remained near average, with Georgia four points ahead of their 5-year average at 57 percent harvested and South Carolina four points behind their 5-year average at 51 percent harvested. American-Pima production is forecast at 684,500 bales, up 55 percent from last year's output, but down 19,500 bales from October. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,063 pounds per harvested acre, up 159 pounds from last year. California's production is down 20,000 bales from the October forecast, while Arizona's production is up 500 bales. New Mexico and Texas forecasts are unchanged from the previous month. Harvest began in California during early October and progressed well throughout the month. New Mexico harvest is ahead of last year and the overall condition of the crop appears to be good. Ginnings totaled 8,237,700 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 7,358,850 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 7,930,100 running bales in 1997. Lentils: Production of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at 2.39 million cwt, up 23 percent from the 1998 crop. Planted and harvested acreage are above last year in both Idaho and Washington. Harvested area is estimated at 174,500 acres, 16,000 acres more than in 1998. Average yield per acre, at 1,368 pounds, is 145 pounds above last year. Production in Idaho at 840,000 cwt, is up 30 percent from 1998. Average yields in Idaho increased 250 pounds from last season to 1,400 pounds per acre. Harvested acreage in Idaho rose to 60,000 acres, up 7 percent from 1998. In Washington, production is up 16 percent from last year, at 975,000 cwt; however, yields dipped 50 pounds to 1,300 pounds per acre from 75,000 harvested acres. Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry peas in Idaho, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon, and Washington in 1999 is estimated at 5.03 million cwt, down 15 percent from 1998 and down 13 percent from two years ago. Harvested acres were equal to or less than 1998 harvested acres for every state except Washington, which increased 2,000. Overall, planted area in the U. S. reached 281,600 acres, 41,800 acres fewer than a year ago. Harvested acres stood at 263,600 acres compared with 309,100 acres last year. Average yields fell 12 pounds to 1,908 pounds per acre. Growers in Washington saw their average yields decrease by 150 pounds per acre from last year to 2,020 pounds; however, in Idaho average yields increased 200 pounds per acre to 1,900 pounds. Austrian Winter Peas: The Austrian winter pea crop of 60,000 cwt for 1999 in Idaho and Oregon is down 42 percent from 1998 and down 48 percent from two years ago. This is the lowest since 1994, when production was a record low 51,000 cwt. Area harvested, at 4,400 acres, is down 3,000 acres from last year, while the average yield decreased 41 pounds in 1999 to 1,364 pounds per acre. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1999 is forecast at 1.27 billion pounds, down 14 percent from 1998 and down 29 percent from 1997. Harvested acres are expected to total 649,140, down less than 1 percent from the previous forecast and down 10 percent from 1998. Yields for 1999 are expected to average 1,956 pounds per acre, 105 pounds below a year ago. Harvested acres for North Carolina remained unchanged from the previous forecast but are down 17 percent from last year. North Carolina yields increased slightly from the previous forecast but were down 2 percent from 1998. Kentucky's acreage, at 226,350, remained unchanged from a month ago and is slightly more than last year. Kentucky tobacco yields averaged 1,777 pounds per acre, 2 pounds more than last month but declined 184 pounds from last year. Flue-cured production is expected to total 658 million pounds, down less than 1 percent from a month ago and down 19 percent from 1998. Growers plan to harvest 304,000 acres in 1999, down 1 percent from last month and 18 percent less than last year. Yield is expected to average 2,164 pounds per acre, up 11 pounds from last month but down 40 pounds from a year ago. Fire-cured production is expected to total 36.4 million pounds, up 3 percent from last month but down 9 percent from 1998. Growers plan to harvest 16,270 acres in 1999, up 1 percent from last month but down 3 percent from last year. Yield is expected to average 2,238 pounds per acre, up 48 pounds per acre from last month but down 127 pounds from 1998. Burley production overall is expected to total 535 million pounds, virtually unchanged from last month but down 8 percent from a year ago. Yield is expected to average 1,750 pounds per acre, an increase of 3 pounds from the previous forecast but down 146 pounds from 1998. Burley tobacco growers plan to harvest 305,700 acres, unchanged from the previous forecast and slightly below a year ago. Dark Air-cured production is expected to total 10.4 million pounds, down 1 percent from last month but up 7 percent from 1998. Growers plan to harvest 4,950 acres in 1999, unchanged from last month but up 12 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,106 pounds per acre, a decline of 18 pounds from last month and 100 pounds from last year. Cigar Type tobacco production is expected to total 15.8 million pounds, a decrease of less than 1 percent from the previous forecast and down 17 percent from a year ago. Yields increased 2 pounds per acre from the previous forecast and increased 23 pounds above last year. Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at a record high 33.4 million tons, 2 percent above the previous record in 1998. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1,525,200 acres, 5 percent more than last year and the highest since 1,540,500 acres were harvested in 1969. The yield is forecast at 21.9 tons per acre, below the 1998 yield of 22.5 tons. Compared with the previous forecast, increased abandonment in Minnesota and North Dakota was offset by less than expected abandonment in California. In addition to the reduction in acres harvested, Minnesota and North Dakota yields were also reduced. Due to the decreases in harvested acres and yields, combined production in the 2 largest beet-producing states dropped 4 percent from the October forecast. Favorable harvest weather prevailed across the northern Great Plains. In North Dakota, harvest was complete by mid-month, a record pace. Harvest was complete by the end of the month in Minnesota, well ahead of normal. Harvest also progressed ahead of normal in Idaho, Montana, and Nebraska, and approached completion as the month ended. Mild, dry weather also aided harvest efforts in California, but progress was delayed in Colorado, where temperatures were too warm for stockpiling. The Michigan beet harvest began near mid-month and was nearly complete by the end of the month. Sugarcane: Production is forecast at a record high 37.6 million tons, 8 percent above the previous record of 34.7 million tons set last year. U.S. sugarcane growers intend to harvest a record high 987,500 acres for sugar and seed during the 1999 crop year, 4 percent more than last year's final harvested acres. The record high acreage is due to a 30,000 acre expansion in Louisiana and a 9,000 acre increase in Florida. Yield is forecast at 38.1 tons per acre, 1.5 tons above 1998. In Florida, Hurricane Irene's strong winds blew some cane over and its heavy rains halted harvest long enough to stop grinding at some mills. Harvest proceeded rapidly in Louisiana, where a record high yield is expected due to ideal growing conditions, expanded acreage of a high yielding hybrid, and increased utilization of a more efficient harvester. In Hawaii, harvest was delayed by mid-month rains, but most of the crop had already been harvested. Hazelnuts: The November 1 hazelnut production forecast for Oregon and Washington remains at 38,000 tons for 1999. This would be almost two and one-half times the size of last year's crop but 19 percent less than the 1997 record production. Oregon is expected to account for 37,700 tons and Washington the remaining 300 tons. Harvest is nearly completed as weather conditions during October were excellent. The only concern is that the lateness of crop maturity might mean the last of the crop could get left in the field due to expected rainy, winter weather. Papayas: October fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.85 million pounds, 6 percent more than September and 22 percent above October 1998. Area devoted to papaya totaled 3,225 acres, down slightly from the previous month. Harvested area, however, increased 2 percent to 1,625 acres. Total papaya acreage was 15 percent less than a year ago, reflecting the abandonment of low yielding acreage devastated by the papaya ringspot virus. October weather was favorable in the major growing areas. Production increased both seasonally and because of increased bearing acreage of the disease resistant Rainbow variety. The increase in supplies was putting downward pressure on prices. Grapefruit: The special November 1 forecast of the 1999-00 grapefruit crop for United States is 2.47 million tons, down 6 percent from October and down 2 percent from the 1998-99 season. The Florida grapefruit forecast is reduced 8 percent to 46.0 million boxes (1.96 million tons). The white seedless forecast, at 18.5 million boxes (786,000 tons), is down 10 percent from October but 4 percent above the previous season's utilization. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 27.0 million boxes (1.15 million tons), 7 percent less than a month ago and 6 percent lower than the 1998-99 season. The seedy grapefruit crop is carried forward from October at 500,000 boxes (21,000 tons), 9 percent less than the previous season. Texas, California, and Arizona forecasts were carried forward from their October levels. The Florida grapefruit reduction is a result of fruit blown off the trees and a slightly increased droppage rate for fruit remaining on the trees. Most of the reduction is in the Indian River area where Hurricane Irene passed on October 15 and 16. Although the loss from the winds is of the larger more mature fruit, some increased sizing is expected on fruit remaining on the trees. Additional loss may occur from increased droppage due to high water levels in some groves and increased incidence of disease because of the excessive water. Florida Citrus: October was a wet month in Florida's citrus belt. During the first week of the month, many areas received up to 5 inches of rain associated with a tropical system that covered the southern part of the state. Later in October, Hurricane Irene soaked all of the citrus growing areas again. Winds gusted 65 to 75 miles per hour, causing some grapefruit and a much smaller portion of the early oranges to be blown off the trees along the east coast and parts of the lower interior. New crop harvests during October were slowed due to numerous rains. Fresh fruit shippers packed Navels, Ambersweet oranges, white and colored grapefruit, a few early tangerines and some K-Early Citrus. Only a few processors were open to receive small quantities of packinghouse eliminations and very limited amounts of grove run fruit. Caretakers stayed very active during the month cutting cover crops, spraying, and moving water out of the groves. Texas Citrus: Early movement of citrus is ahead of last year's pace due to the hurricanes in Florida this year and the California freeze last December. The fruit is sweeter than normal and the quality is excellent. Citrus growers in Texas are feeling very optimistic at this time. California Citrus: Picking of early season variety navel oranges began in late October in Kern County. Harvest of the 1998-99 Valencia orange crop was winding down in southern California. Picking of lemons and grapefruit was active in the desert. California Fruits and Nuts: Grape harvesting was active throughout October. Grapes for fresh use were picked in the San Joaquin Valley. Major varieties included Red Globe, Ruby Seedless, Crimson Seedless, and Thompson Seedless. Harvest of grapes for raisins was completed with all the raisins picked up by the third week of October. Picking of grapes for wine was also active. The fig harvest continued, but picking of late season variety stone fruits wound down. Apple and olive harvests were in full swing. Asian pear and pomegranate harvests were also active in the San Joaquin Valley. Harvests of almonds, pistachios, and walnuts declined as the season neared the end. Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between October 25 and November 5 to gather information on expected yields as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 13,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yields. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published November 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The November 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation between the November 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1979-1998 20-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain production forecast is 2.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 9.54 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.0 percent or approximately 191 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.4 percent or approximately 324 million bushels. Also shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final estimates during the last 20 years have averaged 100 million bushels, ranging from 1 million bushels to 342 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 11 times and above 9 times. This does not imply that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ----- Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 2.0 3.4 100 1 342 11 9 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 4.6 8.0 20 0 86 9 10 Rice :Cwt : 2.7 4.6 3 0 12 12 8 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 2.5 4.3 38 6 109 8 12 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 2.8 4.9 327 14 937 12 8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Brad Parks, Head (202) 720-3843 Rhonda Brandt - Corn (202) 720-9526 Herman Ellison - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Jerry Ramirez - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-3843 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4488 Jeffrey Kissel - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas, Mushrooms (202) 690-0270 Keith Lacy - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Harry Nishimoto - Hops (360) 902-1940 Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on December 10, 1999. 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