Cr Pr 2-2 (8-00) a Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 11, 2000, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Up 10 Percent from 1999 Soybean Production Up 13 Percent Corn production is forecast at 10.4 billion bushels, up 10 percent from last year and up 6 percent from 1998. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 141.9 bushels per acre, up 8.1 bushels from last year. If realized this would be the largest production and highest yield on record since 1866 when corn estimates began. Grain harvested is estimated at 73.1 million acres, down 29,000 acres from June, but up 4 percent from 1999. Soybean production is forecast at a record high 2.99 billion bushels, up 13 percent from 1999 and 9 percent above the previous record of 2.74 billion bushels set in 1998. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 40.7 bushels per acre, up 4.2 bushels from 1999. This is the second highest yield since the 1994 record of 41.4 bushels per acre. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record 73.5 million acres, up 1 percent from 1999 and unchanged from the June acreage estimate. All Cotton production is forecast at 19.2 million 480-pound bales, up 13 percent from 1999. The yield is expected to average 648 pounds per harvested acre, up 41 pounds from last year. Drought conditions have resulted in abandoned acreage and reduced yields in parts of the Southeast and Texas. Producers expect to harvest 14.2 million acres, 6 percent above last year. Upland cotton accounts for 14.0 million harvested acres, 7 percent above 1999. American-Pima harvested acreage totaled 181,000 acres, 37 percent less than 1999. Upland cotton production is forecast at 18.7 million 480-pound bales, a 15 percent increase from 1999. Pima cotton production is forecast at 419.1 thousand 480-pound bales. All wheat production is placed at 2.26 billion bushels, up 1 percent from the July forecast but down 2 percent from 1999. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 41.6 bushels per acre, up 0.4 bushels from last month. The final Winter wheat production forecast is 1.59 billion bushels. This is up slightly from last month, but down 6 percent from 1999. The U.S. yield is forecast at 45.0 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushels from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 883 million bushels, is down slightly from a month ago. White Winter is up for the third consecutive month and now totals 240 million bushels. Soft Red Winter is up 1 percent from the last forecast, at 471 million bushels. Durum wheat production is forecast at 115 million bushels, down 10 percent from last month, but 16 percent above 1999. This decline is the result of reduced yield expectations in North Dakota. The U.S. yield is forecast at 28.9 bushels per acre, 3.3 bushels less than last month. There were no changes in acreage intended for harvest. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 554 million bushels, up 5 percent from last month and 10 percent above 1999. Acreage intended for harvest is unchanged from last month. The U.S. yield is forecast at 36.8 bushels per acre, 1.9 bushels more than the July 1 forecast. Of the production total, 499 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, up 6 percent from last month. This report was approved on August 11, 2000. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Contents Page Apples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Beans, Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Coffee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 Fruits and Nuts Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 Ginger Root. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Hay, Alfalfa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .49 July Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Olives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Peaches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Pears. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 Prunes and Plums . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . .47 Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Selected Crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Sorghum for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Other Spring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Wheat, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Selected Crops: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000 --------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : State : Sorghum : Pima : Rice :Dry Edible : : Cotton : : Beans --------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 8 AZ : 13 6 AR : 150 1,450 CA : 17 *150 550 *115.0 CO : 230 120.0 DE : 4 FL : GA : 50 ID : 90.0 IL : 90 IN : IA : KS : 3,400 18.0 KY : 9 LA : 210 *500 MD : 17 MI : 320.0 MN : 150.0 MS : 70 280 MO : 280 190 MT : 29.0 NE : 550 170.0 NV : NJ : NM : 150 6 NY : *25.0 NC : 18 ND : 580.0 OH : OK : 430 OR : 12.0 PA : 13 SC : 8 SD : 160 10.0 TN : 20 TX : *3,100 20 260 18.0 UT : *5.4 VA : 8 WA : *32.0 WV : WI : *8.5 WY : 38.0 : US : 9,005 182 3,230 1,740.9 --------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from "Acreage" released June 30, 2000. Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Bushels --- -------- 1,000 Bushels -------- : AL : 200 160 103.0 65.0 12,600 20,600 10,400 AR : 100 185 130.0 125.0 21,500 13,000 23,125 CA : 205 235 165.0 170.0 39,200 33,825 39,950 CO : 1,120 1,230 142.0 135.0 155,150 159,040 166,050 DE : 154 154 89.0 155.0 15,500 13,706 23,870 GA : 300 340 103.0 100.0 22,525 30,900 34,000 IL : 10,650 11,050 140.0 158.0 1,473,450 1,491,000 1,745,900 IN : 5,670 5,550 132.0 155.0 760,350 748,440 860,250 IA : 11,800 12,000 149.0 155.0 1,769,000 1,758,200 1,860,000 KS : 2,980 3,250 141.0 143.0 418,950 420,180 464,750 KY : 1,180 1,310 105.0 115.0 135,700 123,900 150,650 LA : 330 340 121.0 110.0 43,740 39,930 37,400 MD : 360 400 93.0 150.0 43,600 33,480 60,000 MI : 1,950 1,950 130.0 128.0 227,550 253,500 249,600 MN : 6,600 6,600 150.0 154.0 1,032,750 990,000 1,016,400 MS : 310 380 117.0 103.0 43,000 36,270 39,140 MO : 2,550 2,850 97.0 139.0 285,000 247,350 396,150 NE : 8,300 8,050 139.0 136.0 1,239,750 1,153,700 1,094,800 NJ : 60 75 37.0 128.0 9,016 2,220 9,600 NM : 83 75 180.0 180.0 14,025 14,940 13,500 NY : 590 530 101.0 110.0 66,120 59,590 58,300 NC : 640 660 80.0 100.0 53,900 51,200 66,000 ND : 655 950 117.0 115.0 88,275 76,635 109,250 OH : 3,200 3,300 126.0 142.0 470,940 403,200 468,600 OK : 310 290 145.0 135.0 28,600 44,950 39,150 PA : 880 1,050 70.0 127.0 116,550 61,600 133,350 SC : 275 280 70.0 65.0 11,000 19,250 18,200 SD : 3,250 3,950 113.0 100.0 429,550 367,250 395,000 TN : 570 590 102.0 108.0 59,520 58,140 63,720 TX : 1,770 1,850 129.0 135.0 185,000 228,330 249,750 VA : 280 300 78.0 130.0 25,200 21,840 39,000 WA : 100 95 180.0 190.0 19,000 18,000 18,050 WI : 2,850 2,750 143.0 137.0 404,150 407,550 376,750 : Oth : Sts 1: 265 280 134.4 138.3 38,524 35,621 38,714 : US : 70,537 73,059 133.8 141.9 9,758,685 9,437,337 10,369,369 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : AR : 125 140 78.0 75.0 6,890 9,750 10,500 CO : 205 200 42.0 38.0 10,545 8,610 7,600 IL : 97 85 95.0 93.0 7,918 9,215 7,905 KS : 3,400 3,200 76.0 76.0 264,000 258,400 243,200 LA : 235 205 82.0 80.0 7,500 19,270 16,400 MO : 310 270 71.0 97.0 26,560 22,010 26,190 NE : 470 470 91.0 78.0 56,400 42,770 36,660 NM : 135 140 55.0 40.0 2,925 7,425 5,600 OK : 400 410 45.0 52.0 15,300 18,000 21,320 SD : 80 100 58.0 49.0 9,940 4,640 4,900 TX : 2,950 2,900 63.0 63.0 105,800 185,850 182,700 : Oth : Sts 1/2/: 137 195 67.3 76.2 6,155 9,226 14,856 : US : 8,544 8,315 69.7 69.5 519,933 595,166 577,831 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 1998 and 1999, Other States includes AL, GA, KY, MS, NC, SC, and TN. 2/ For 2000, Other States includes AZ, AL, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- 1,000 Bushels : AL 1/ : 20 44.0 880 AR 1/ : 11 91.0 1,001 CA : 30 30 85.0 75.0 75.0 2,550 2,250 ID : 25 20 68.0 65.0 65.0 1,700 1,300 IL : 60 60 71.0 73.0 70.0 4,260 4,200 IA : 175 170 65.0 68.0 66.0 11,375 11,220 KS : 70 50 47.0 44.0 48.0 3,290 2,400 MD 1/ : 5 51.0 255 MI : 75 70 65.0 66.0 66.0 4,875 4,620 MN : 300 330 59.0 65.0 68.0 17,700 22,440 MT : 70 65 46.0 40.0 40.0 3,220 2,600 NE : 75 50 62.0 45.0 42.0 4,650 2,100 NY : 70 60 68.0 60.0 70.0 4,760 4,200 ND : 330 350 51.0 62.0 60.0 16,830 21,000 OH : 100 80 70.0 64.0 67.0 7,000 5,360 OR : 20 20 100.0 105.0 100.0 2,000 2,000 PA : 145 145 55.0 55.0 58.0 7,975 8,410 SD : 200 240 64.0 60.0 60.0 12,800 14,400 TX : 110 150 44.0 43.0 48.0 4,840 7,200 WV 1/ : 2 48.0 96 WI : 300 280 62.0 68.0 69.0 18,600 19,320 : Oth Sts 2/: 260 282 59.9 62.0 62.9 15,561 17,725 : US : 2,453 2,452 59.6 61.2 62.3 146,218 152,745 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. 2/ Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 62 36 114.0 110.0 110.0 7,068 3,960 CA : 125 95 64.0 65.0 65.0 8,000 6,175 CO : 86 95 105.0 100.0 108.0 9,030 10,260 DE : 26 27 84.0 81.0 81.0 2,184 2,187 ID : 690 730 78.0 76.0 76.0 53,820 55,480 MD : 50 50 80.0 84.0 84.0 4,000 4,200 MN : 180 250 47.0 56.0 56.0 8,460 14,000 MT : 1,150 1,050 50.0 42.0 42.0 57,500 44,100 ND : 1,240 1,680 48.0 52.0 52.0 59,520 87,360 OK 1/ : 3 39.0 117 OR : 135 140 51.0 55.0 55.0 6,885 7,700 PA : 70 70 71.0 70.0 72.0 4,970 5,040 SC 1/ : 2 60.0 120 SD : 74 105 48.0 51.0 51.0 3,552 5,355 TX 1/ : 10 35.0 350 UT : 83 85 82.0 78.0 75.0 6,806 6,375 VA : 60 65 82.0 88.0 88.0 4,920 5,720 WA : 490 490 59.0 65.0 65.0 28,910 31,850 WY : 85 100 86.0 82.0 83.0 7,310 8,300 : Oth : Sts 2/ 3/: 137 167 60.8 59.6 59.6 8,331 9,958 : US : 4,758 5,235 59.2 58.7 58.8 281,853 308,020 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. 2/ For 1999, Other States include KS, KY, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NC, and WI. 3/ For 2000, Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 920 1,110 56.0 56.0 56.0 51,520 62,160 CA : 370 365 78.0 82.0 82.0 28,860 29,930 CO : 2,400 2,350 43.0 30.0 30.0 103,200 70,500 DE : 70 63 57.0 63.0 63.0 3,990 3,969 GA : 225 240 43.0 52.0 52.0 9,675 12,480 ID : 710 730 76.0 82.0 82.0 53,960 59,860 IL : 1,010 910 60.0 56.0 57.0 60,600 51,870 IN : 510 510 66.0 66.0 69.0 33,660 35,190 KS : 9,200 9,300 47.0 39.0 39.0 432,400 362,700 KY : 410 420 60.0 58.0 56.0 24,600 23,520 MD : 200 205 60.0 63.0 63.0 12,000 12,915 MI : 600 500 69.0 67.0 73.0 41,400 36,500 MS : 165 195 50.0 50.0 50.0 8,250 9,750 MO : 920 1,000 48.0 52.0 53.0 44,160 53,000 MT : 970 1,350 38.0 35.0 35.0 36,860 47,250 NE : 1,800 1,750 48.0 38.0 36.0 86,400 63,000 NY : 125 140 65.0 56.0 59.0 8,125 8,260 NC : 580 550 49.0 50.0 50.0 28,420 27,500 OH : 1,030 1,110 70.0 72.0 72.0 72,100 79,920 OK : 4,300 4,300 35.0 34.0 34.0 150,500 146,200 OR : 630 730 47.0 63.0 63.0 29,610 45,990 PA : 190 195 54.0 55.0 55.0 10,260 10,725 SC : 220 185 43.0 49.0 49.0 9,460 9,065 SD : 1,260 1,280 47.0 44.0 44.0 59,220 56,320 TN : 340 350 54.0 52.0 52.0 18,360 18,200 TX : 3,400 2,500 36.0 29.0 29.0 122,400 72,500 VA : 240 205 57.0 60.0 60.0 13,680 12,300 WA : 1,670 1,800 58.0 69.0 71.0 96,860 127,800 WY : 185 175 33.0 25.0 24.0 6,105 4,200 : Oth : Sts 1/: 922 883 47.0 46.1 46.1 43,354 40,747 : US : 35,572 35,401 47.8 44.9 45.0 1,699,989 1,594,321 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual state level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2000 Summary". Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AZ : 75 85 97.0 95.0 95.0 7,275 8,075 CA : 85 97 105.0 95.0 95.0 8,925 9,215 MT : 350 540 27.0 30.0 30.0 9,450 16,200 ND : 3,000 3,250 24.0 29.0 25.0 72,000 81,250 : Oth : Sts 1/: 59 14 28.3 29.4 29.4 1,672 412 : US : 3,569 3,986 27.8 32.2 28.9 99,322 115,152 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual state level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2000 Summary". Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : ID : 640 570 79.0 80.0 78.0 50,560 44,460 MN : 1,950 2,100 40.0 40.0 42.0 78,000 88,200 MT : 4,000 3,050 27.0 26.0 28.0 108,000 85,400 ND : 5,600 6,800 30.0 32.0 34.0 168,000 231,200 OR : 153 125 33.0 56.0 56.0 5,049 7,000 SD : 1,710 1,700 35.0 33.0 36.0 59,850 61,200 WA : 620 620 44.0 49.0 49.0 27,280 30,380 : Oth : Sts 1/: 95 93 67.3 65.4 63.2 6,393 5,879 : US : 14,768 15,058 34.1 34.9 36.8 503,132 553,719 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual state level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2000 Summary". Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1998-99 and Forecast August 1, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 1998 :1,179,452 442,677 258,604 486,370 42,099 138,119 2,547,321 1999 :1,054,996 453,421 191,572 447,931 55,201 99,322 2,302,443 2000 : 883,485 471,255 239,581 498,553 55,166 115,152 2,263,192 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available for all wheat producing States. Unless unusual situations dictate, the previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. Washington Wheat Variety Survey indicates winter wheat is 91 percent White. Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : AL : 206.0 197.0 2,175 1,400 432,415 448,050 275,800 FL : 94.0 80.0 2,770 2,400 233,100 260,380 192,000 GA : 544.0 507.0 2,575 2,500 1,511,655 1,400,800 1,267,500 NM : 22.0 22.0 2,800 2,700 62,040 61,600 59,400 NC : 124.0 125.0 2,410 2,900 397,155 298,840 362,500 OK : 79.0 80.0 2,400 2,400 159,750 189,600 192,000 SC : 11.0 11.5 2,300 2,800 28,175 25,300 32,200 TX : 280.0 368.0 3,310 3,200 917,900 926,800 1,177,600 VA : 76.0 75.0 2,870 3,100 221,250 218,120 232,500 : US : 1,436.0 1,465.5 2,667 2,587 3,963,440 3,829,490 3,791,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Cwt -------- : AR : 1,645 1,440 5,900 6,100 88,420 97,047 87,840 CA : 535 548 7,260 7,900 32,698 38,850 43,292 LA : 616 495 5,000 4,900 28,107 30,825 24,255 MS : 323 278 5,650 5,800 15,544 18,250 16,124 MO : 184 185 5,400 5,750 7,436 9,936 10,638 TX : 259 259 6,000 6,200 15,846 15,550 16,058 : US : 3,562 3,205 5,908 6,184 188,051 210,458 198,207 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1998 : 141,624 44,453 1,974 188,051 1999 : 154,134 52,000 4,324 210,458 2000 1/ : 136,811 58,983 2,413 198,207 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated August 1, 2000, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 5,365.4 6,353.5 7,209.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Bushels -- -------- 1,000 Bushels ------- : AL : 200 170 16.0 19.0 7,040 3,200 3,230 AR : 3,350 3,400 28.0 28.0 85,000 93,800 95,200 DE : 201 221 27.0 36.0 7,128 5,427 7,956 GA : 190 180 19.0 19.0 4,620 3,610 3,420 IL : 10,550 10,250 42.0 48.0 464,200 443,100 492,000 IN : 5,550 5,660 39.0 46.0 231,000 216,450 260,360 IA : 10,750 10,550 44.5 49.0 496,800 478,375 516,950 KS : 2,800 2,850 28.0 32.0 75,000 78,400 91,200 KY : 1,150 1,080 21.0 34.0 36,000 24,150 36,720 LA : 990 900 27.0 26.0 22,470 26,730 23,400 MD : 480 490 30.0 36.0 14,260 14,400 17,640 MI : 1,940 2,190 40.0 40.0 73,710 77,600 87,600 MN : 6,900 7,100 41.0 42.0 285,600 282,900 298,200 MS : 1,900 1,650 23.5 27.0 48,000 44,650 44,550 MO : 5,350 5,100 27.5 41.0 170,000 147,125 209,100 NE : 4,250 4,650 42.5 42.0 165,000 180,625 195,300 NJ : 98 93 24.0 35.0 3,164 2,352 3,255 NY : 128 165 37.0 37.0 3,977 4,736 6,105 NC : 1,300 1,330 23.0 30.0 38,205 29,900 39,900 ND : 1,340 2,070 35.0 34.0 47,200 46,900 70,380 OH : 4,500 4,390 36.0 41.0 193,160 162,000 179,990 OK : 360 430 19.0 28.0 6,120 6,840 12,040 PA : 350 395 29.0 41.0 15,800 10,150 16,195 SC : 450 450 20.0 22.0 10,500 9,000 9,900 SD : 4,070 4,250 36.0 33.0 132,600 146,520 140,250 TN : 1,190 1,160 18.0 30.0 35,090 21,420 34,800 TX : 380 360 27.0 33.0 5,940 10,260 11,880 VA : 440 460 27.0 33.0 11,040 11,880 15,180 WI : 1,300 1,440 46.0 45.0 51,700 59,800 64,800 : Oth : Sts 1: 19 40 32.0 29.2 690 608 1,168 : US : 72,476 73,474 36.5 40.7 2,741,014 2,642,908 2,988,669 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 1998 and 1999, Other States include FL. 2/ For 2000, Other States include FL and WV. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ and :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Bales 2/ ------- : Upland : AL : 561.0 540.0 535 489 553.0 625.0 550.0 AZ : 269.0 279.0 1,278 1,230 608.0 716.0 715.0 AR : 960.0 920.0 714 751 1,209.0 1,428.0 1,440.0 CA : 605.0 765.0 1,254 1,255 1,146.0 1,580.0 2,000.0 FL : 106.0 92.0 516 420 81.5 114.0 80.5 GA : 1,300.0 1,300.0 579 620 1,542.0 1,567.0 1,680.0 KS : 28.0 37.0 375 525 13.9 21.9 40.5 LA : 610.0 730.0 709 690 641.0 901.0 1,050.0 MS : 1,180.0 1,340.0 704 738 1,444.0 1,731.0 2,060.0 MO : 377.0 425.0 601 700 350.0 472.0 620.0 NM : 79.0 85.0 662 678 80.4 109.0 120.0 NC : 825.0 930.0 475 715 1,026.0 816.0 1,385.0 OK : 150.0 250.0 461 461 140.0 144.0 240.0 SC : 315.0 310.0 428 581 350.0 281.0 375.0 TN : 565.0 595.0 505 581 546.0 595.0 720.0 TX : 5,100.0 5,300.0 475 498 3,600.0 5,050.0 5,500.0 VA : 108.0 109.0 635 722 145.1 142.8 164.0 : US :13,138.0 14,007.0 595 642 13,475.9 16,293.7 18,740.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 8.9 6.0 879 848 26.8 16.3 10.6 CA : 239.0 149.0 1,210 1,192 352.8 602.7 370.0 NM : 7.0 6.0 734 680 10.0 10.7 8.5 TX : 32.0 20.0 669 720 52.7 44.6 30.0 : US : 286.9 181.0 1,128 1,111 442.3 674.3 419.1 : All : AL : 561.0 540.0 535 489 553.0 625.0 550.0 AZ : 277.9 285.0 1,265 1,222 634.8 732.3 725.6 AR : 960.0 920.0 714 751 1,209.0 1,428.0 1,440.0 CA : 844.0 914.0 1,241 1,245 1,498.8 2,182.7 2,370.0 FL : 106.0 92.0 516 420 81.5 114.0 80.5 GA : 1,300.0 1,300.0 579 620 1,542.0 1,567.0 1,680.0 KS : 28.0 37.0 375 525 13.9 21.9 40.5 LA : 610.0 730.0 709 690 641.0 901.0 1,050.0 MS : 1,180.0 1,340.0 704 738 1,444.0 1,731.0 2,060.0 MO : 377.0 425.0 601 700 350.0 472.0 620.0 NM : 86.0 91.0 668 678 90.4 119.7 128.5 NC : 825.0 930.0 475 715 1,026.0 816.0 1,385.0 OK : 150.0 250.0 461 461 140.0 144.0 240.0 SC : 315.0 310.0 428 581 350.0 281.0 375.0 TN : 565.0 595.0 505 581 546.0 595.0 720.0 TX : 5,132.0 5,320.0 477 499 3,652.7 5,094.6 5,530.0 VA : 108.0 109.0 635 722 145.1 142.8 164.0 : US :13,424.9 14,188.0 607 648 13,918.2 16,968.0 19,159.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb net weight bales. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class and State : 1999 : 2000 :: Class and State : 1999 : 2000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Large Lima - CA : 25.0 20.5 :: Light Red : : :: Kidney : Baby Lima - CA : 27.0 24.5 :: CA : 8.0 11.0 : :: CO : 15.0 11.7 Navy : :: ID : 0.8 1.7 ID : 5.1 7.4 :: MI : 17.0 19.0 MI : 150.0 120.0 :: MN : 11.0 9.0 MN : 80.0 61.5 :: NE : 19.0 15.0 NE : 7.0 3.0 :: NY : 17.7 15.0 ND : 195.0 160.0 :: WA : 2.0 1.4 OR : 1.2 0.7 :: : SD : 3.4 :: Total : 90.5 83.8 WY : 2.0 2.0 :: : : :: Dark Red : Total : 440.3 358.0 :: Kidney : : :: CA : 3.5 6.0 Great Northern : :: ID : 1.1 0.9 CO : 0.6 :: MI : 9.0 12.0 ID : 6.6 7.2 :: MN : 38.0 30.0 MN : 2.8 1.5 :: NY : 2.0 1.0 NE : 115.0 110.0 :: ND : 5.0 10.0 SD : 1.0 :: WI : 8.3 8.5 WA : 1.1 1.2 :: : WY : 8.0 7.0 :: Total : 66.9 68.4 : :: : Total : 133.5 128.5 :: Pink : : :: CA : 2.0 0.7 Small White : :: ID : 19.2 1.6 ID : 2.9 1.4 :: MN : 14.0 6.0 OR : 0.6 0.6 :: MT : 0.5 WA : 1.8 0.9 :: ND : 11.0 5.5 : :: WA : 4.5 4.2 Total : 5.3 2.9 :: : : :: Total : 50.7 18.5 Pinto : :: : CO : 125.0 100.0 :: Small Red : ID : 31.2 30.9 :: ID : 19.6 7.2 KS : 16.5 17.3 :: MI : 15.0 10.0 MI : 9.0 18.0 :: WA : 8.0 2.2 MN : 38.0 30.0 :: : MT : 13.9 15.5 :: Total : 42.6 19.4 NE : 60.0 39.0 :: : NM : 1.0 :: : ND : 363.0 370.0 :: : OR : 2.4 2.5 :: : SD : 5.0 :: : TX : 1.5 1.0 :: : UT : 6.7 5.4 :: : WA : 9.0 10.7 :: : WY : 28.0 28.0 :: : : :: : Total : 705.2 673.3 :: : : :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class and State : 1999 : 2000 :: Class and State : 1999 : 2000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Cranberry : :: Garbanzo : CA : 2.5 3.5 :: CA : 16.5 24.5 ID : 1.3 1.2 :: ID : 11.8 28.6 MI : 31.0 30.0 :: MT : 12.1 13.0 MN : 2.6 1.5 :: ND : 10.0 : :: OR : 2.7 6.0 Total : 37.4 36.2 :: WA : 5.4 9.5 : :: : Black : :: Total : 58.5 81.6 CA : 1.0 1.0 :: : CO : 1.2 0.7 :: Other : ID : 4.8 1.1 :: CA : 10.0 8.0 MI : 108.0 90.0 :: CO : 13.8 7.0 MN : 10.6 6.0 :: ID : 0.6 0.8 NE : 7.0 1.0 :: KS : 5.5 0.7 NY : 9.5 6.0 :: MI : 11.0 21.0 ND : 41.0 26.0 :: MN : 8.0 4.5 WA : 3.2 0.9 :: MT : 0.5 : :: NE : 2.0 2.0 Total : 186.3 132.7 :: NY : 1.8 3.0 : :: ND : 5.0 8.5 Blackeye : :: OR : 4.6 2.2 CA : 39.5 15.3 :: SD : 0.6 TX : 33.0 6.5 :: TX : 15.5 10.5 : :: WA : 1.0 1.0 Total : 72.5 21.8 :: WY : 2.0 1.0 : :: : : :: Total : 81.3 70.8 : :: : : :: US : 2,023.0 1,740.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Cwt -------- : CA : 132.0 112.0 1,970 2,000 1,554 2,600 2,240 CO : 145.0 110.0 1,900 1,850 2,868 2,755 2,035 ID : 103.0 88.0 2,050 2,000 2,112 2,112 1,760 KS : 20.9 17.0 1,850 1,800 380 387 306 MI : 350.0 295.0 2,100 1,700 4,425 7,350 5,015 MN : 165.0 135.0 1,550 1,450 2,538 2,558 1,958 MT : 25.5 28.0 1,730 1,700 350 441 476 NE : 187.0 160.0 2,000 1,900 3,666 3,740 3,040 NM 2/ : 1.0 1,800 171 18 NY : 30.2 24.0 1,370 1,550 426 414 372 ND : 570.0 490.0 1,450 1,280 9,798 8,265 6,272 OR : 10.8 11.8 1,610 1,950 152 174 230 SD 3/ : 10.0 1,700 170 TX : 47.0 17.4 1,490 1,300 135 701 226 UT : 6.6 5.1 800 160 30 53 8 WA : 36.0 32.0 2,080 2,200 890 750 704 WI : 8.0 8.3 1,550 1,800 115 124 149 WY : 39.0 37.0 2,020 2,170 808 788 803 : US : 1,877.0 1,580.6 1,770 1,630 30,418 33,230 25,764 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. 3/ Estimates began in 2000. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : AZ : 200 210 7.90 8.00 1,600 1,580 1,680 CA : 1,030 1,020 6.80 6.80 6,930 7,004 6,936 CO : 900 870 3.80 3.60 3,402 3,420 3,132 ID : 1,150 1,130 4.00 4.10 4,859 4,600 4,633 IL : 500 530 4.00 4.20 2,520 2,000 2,226 IN : 400 390 3.70 4.30 1,640 1,480 1,677 IA : 1,300 1,250 3.90 3.70 4,500 5,070 4,625 KS : 850 850 4.40 4.10 4,600 3,740 3,485 KY : 250 200 2.90 3.00 875 725 600 MI : 950 1,000 3.80 3.70 2,805 3,610 3,700 MN : 1,600 1,550 3.50 3.50 5,580 5,600 5,425 MO : 450 470 2.90 2.50 1,463 1,305 1,175 MT : 1,650 1,550 2.20 1.70 3,740 3,630 2,635 NE : 1,400 1,350 3.70 3.00 5,250 5,180 4,050 NV : 255 260 4.10 4.00 1,196 1,046 1,040 NM : 290 290 5.20 5.30 1,377 1,508 1,537 NY : 550 500 2.30 2.60 1,470 1,265 1,300 ND : 1,450 1,500 2.15 2.00 2,450 3,118 3,000 OH : 600 570 3.00 3.30 1,925 1,800 1,881 OK : 360 330 3.50 3.80 910 1,260 1,254 OR : 420 410 4.40 4.30 1,920 1,848 1,763 PA : 700 750 2.40 3.00 1,960 1,680 2,250 SD : 2,400 2,600 2.80 2.00 5,760 6,720 5,200 TX : 130 120 5.50 5.30 630 715 636 UT : 540 550 4.40 4.10 2,398 2,376 2,255 VA : 120 120 2.50 3.80 324 300 456 WA : 470 470 4.90 5.00 2,400 2,303 2,350 WI : 2,100 2,000 3.10 2.75 5,320 6,510 5,500 WY : 660 620 2.70 2.30 1,560 1,782 1,426 : Oth : Sts 1: 310 307 2.42 3.16 946 749 969 : US : 23,985 23,767 3.50 3.32 82,310 83,924 78,796 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : AL : 800 720 2.30 1.50 1,575 1,840 1,080 AR : 1,220 1,230 1.91 2.50 2,185 2,330 3,075 CA : 540 510 2.70 2.90 1,624 1,458 1,479 CO : 620 680 1.90 1.70 1,200 1,178 1,156 GA : 600 600 2.50 1.60 1,495 1,500 960 ID : 280 260 1.90 2.30 690 532 598 IL : 350 350 2.10 2.40 875 735 840 IN : 300 280 2.50 2.30 1,050 750 644 IA : 400 450 2.25 2.10 832 900 945 KS : 1,850 1,950 1.90 1.60 3,420 3,515 3,120 KY : 2,150 2,350 1.90 2.20 4,830 4,085 5,170 LA : 380 330 2.40 1.70 726 912 561 MI : 350 300 2.30 2.00 760 805 600 MN : 850 800 1.80 1.90 1,530 1,530 1,520 MS : 850 870 1.90 1.60 1,738 1,615 1,392 MO : 3,200 3,250 1.85 1.90 6,240 5,920 6,175 MT : 950 850 1.50 1.40 1,280 1,425 1,190 NE : 1,800 1,750 1.35 1.00 2,430 2,430 1,750 NY : 950 950 1.80 2.20 1,640 1,710 2,090 NC : 690 690 2.15 2.40 1,430 1,484 1,656 ND : 1,450 1,400 1.65 1.60 1,740 2,393 2,240 OH : 700 830 1.80 2.60 1,950 1,260 2,158 OK : 2,200 2,100 1.70 1.70 2,470 3,740 3,570 OR : 680 650 2.00 2.20 1,454 1,360 1,430 PA : 1,200 1,150 1.40 2.20 1,955 1,680 2,530 SD : 1,600 1,500 1.70 1.30 2,400 2,720 1,950 TN : 1,850 1,900 2.00 2.20 3,850 3,700 4,180 TX : 5,400 4,800 2.30 2.10 6,240 12,420 10,080 VA : 1,150 1,170 1.60 2.30 2,280 1,840 2,691 WA : 270 300 2.80 2.90 756 756 870 WV : 530 540 1.30 2.10 1,007 689 1,134 WI : 500 500 2.00 2.00 1,050 1,000 1,000 WY : 630 550 1.60 1.20 885 1,008 660 : Oth : Sts 1: 1,885 1,864 2.09 2.13 3,883 3,933 3,965 : US : 39,175 38,424 1.92 1.94 69,470 75,153 74,459 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : CT : 3,040 2,400 1,799 1,644 4,276 5,470 3,945 FL : 5,800 4,900 2,640 2,500 17,102 15,312 12,250 GA : 33,000 30,000 1,940 2,050 90,200 64,020 61,500 IN : 6,500 3,800 1,800 2,100 17,000 11,700 7,980 KY : 221,650 137,500 1,843 2,064 443,628 408,492 283,830 MD : 6,500 6,000 1,400 1,600 9,100 9,100 9,600 MA : 1,320 1,250 1,763 1,622 1,788 2,327 2,028 MO : 2,300 1,400 2,015 2,180 5,751 4,635 3,052 NC : 207,800 175,800 2,161 2,325 551,730 448,980 408,810 OH : 9,800 7,500 1,740 2,000 17,934 17,052 15,000 PA : 6,200 5,100 1,802 2,094 15,720 11,170 10,680 SC : 39,000 34,000 2,000 2,250 92,250 78,000 76,500 TN : 63,170 54,190 1,941 2,027 111,100 122,601 109,860 VA : 38,300 27,400 2,320 2,235 95,898 88,855 61,230 WV : 1,600 1,500 1,350 1,600 2,160 2,160 2,400 WI : 1,180 1,000 2,388 2,100 4,230 2,818 2,100 : US : 647,160 493,740 1,997 2,169 1,479,867 1,292,692 1,070,765 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 55,000 45,000 2,400 2,300 132,000 103,500 VA : 26,000 17,000 2,420 2,350 62,920 39,950 US : 81,000 62,000 2,406 2,314 194,920 143,450 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 119,000 102,000 2,100 2,400 249,900 244,800 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 26,000 21,000 2,100 2,250 54,600 47,250 SC : 39,000 34,000 2,000 2,250 78,000 76,500 US : 65,000 55,000 2,040 2,250 132,600 123,750 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 5,800 4,900 2,640 2,500 15,312 12,250 GA : 33,000 30,000 1,940 2,050 64,020 61,500 US : 38,800 34,900 2,045 2,113 79,332 73,750 Total 11-14 : 303,800 253,900 2,162 2,307 656,752 585,750 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,600 1,300 1,670 1,700 2,672 2,210 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 3,750 4,000 2,350 2,650 8,813 10,600 TN : 7,000 7,900 2,280 2,400 15,960 18,960 US : 10,750 11,900 2,304 2,484 24,773 29,560 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,500 3,800 2,630 3,150 9,205 11,970 TN : 570 630 2,500 2,800 1,425 1,764 US : 4,070 4,430 2,612 3,100 10,630 13,734 Total 21-23 : 16,420 17,630 2,319 2,581 38,075 45,504 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 6,500 3,800 1,800 2,100 11,700 7,980 KY : 210,000 125,000 1,810 2,000 380,100 250,000 MO : 2,300 1,400 2,015 2,180 4,635 3,052 NC : 7,800 7,800 1,600 1,700 12,480 13,260 OH : 9,800 7,500 1,740 2,000 17,052 15,000 TN : 55,000 45,000 1,890 1,950 103,950 87,750 VA : 10,600 9,000 2,180 2,100 23,108 18,900 WV : 1,600 1,500 1,350 1,600 2,160 2,400 US : 303,600 201,000 1,829 1,982 555,185 398,342 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 6,500 6,000 1,400 1,600 9,100 9,600 PA : 3,000 2,700 1,750 2,000 5,250 5,400 US : 9,500 8,700 1,511 1,724 14,350 15,000 Total 31-32 : 313,100 209,700 1,819 1,971 569,535 413,342 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- --- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark Air-cured: Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,850 3,000 2,370 2,450 6,755 7,350 TN : 600 660 2,110 2,100 1,266 1,386 US : 3,450 3,660 2,325 2,387 8,021 8,736 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,550 1,700 2,335 2,300 3,619 3,910 Type 37, VA Sun-cured : Belt : VA : 100 100 1,550 1,700 155 170 Total 35-37 : 5,100 5,460 2,313 2,347 11,795 12,816 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 3,200 2,400 1,850 2,200 5,920 5,280 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,530 1,300 1,650 1,740 2,525 2,262 MA : 970 950 1,695 1,670 1,644 1,587 US : 2,500 2,250 1,668 1,711 4,169 3,849 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI : WI : 890 750 2,530 2,200 2,252 1,650 Type 55, Northern WI : WI : 290 250 1,952 1,800 566 450 Total 54-55 : 1,180 1,000 2,388 2,100 2,818 2,100 Total 51-55 : 3,680 3,250 1,899 1,830 6,987 5,949 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper : Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 1,510 1,100 1,950 1,530 2,945 1,683 MA : 350 300 1,951 1,470 683 441 US : 1,860 1,400 1,951 1,517 3,628 2,124 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 8,740 7,050 1,892 1,894 16,535 13,353 : All Tobacco : 647,160 493,740 1,997 2,169 1,292,692 1,070,765 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : CA : 108.0 99.0 32.0 32.0 2,723 3,456 3,168 CO : 68.5 61.3 21.3 21.1 1,301 1,459 1,293 ID : 210.0 211.0 24.3 26.8 5,501 5,103 5,655 MI : 190.0 180.0 18.6 17.4 2,768 3,534 3,132 MN : 470.0 476.0 20.1 21.3 9,710 9,447 10,139 MT : 61.7 60.0 23.8 23.7 1,410 1,468 1,422 NE : 66.2 62.1 19.0 19.0 934 1,258 1,180 ND : 247.0 250.0 20.8 22.0 5,386 5,138 5,500 OH : 1.7 1.1 19.5 17.0 19 33 19 OR : 19.7 15.8 25.1 27.8 471 494 439 WA : 27.4 28.3 30.1 32.6 1,192 825 923 WY : 57.1 59.4 21.1 21.0 1,084 1,205 1,247 : : US : 1,527.3 1,504.0 21.9 22.7 32,499 33,420 34,117 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : FL : 460.0 448.0 35.0 36.0 17,925 16,100 16,128 HI : 37.3 35.4 79.4 77.0 2,798 2,960 2,726 LA : 465.0 490.0 32.7 33.0 12,920 15,206 16,170 TX : 31.0 47.0 33.3 31.9 1,064 1,033 1,499 : US : 993.3 1,020.4 35.5 35.8 34,707 35,299 36,523 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : ID : 4,500 1,800 4,500 MI : 3,600 4,000 3,200 OR : 10,500 13,000 10,000 WA : 7,000 4,500 4,000 : Total : 25,600 23,300 21,700 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Jun : 3,410 2,575 2,025 1,585 3,215 4,280 Jul : 3,490 2,535 2,035 1,535 3,225 4,685 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hops: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : ID : 3,362 3,343 1,408 1,490 4,529.4 4,734.0 4,981.1 OR : 5,822 5,819 1,730 1,750 10,227.4 10,072.0 10,183.3 WA : 25,076 27,243 1,980 1,950 44,791.0 49,650.0 53,123.9 : US : 34,260 36,405 1,881 1,876 59,547.8 64,456.0 68,288.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Olives: Total Production, California, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : CA : 90,000 145,000 80,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 1998-1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL 1/ : 16.0 20.0 17.0 AR 1/ : 12.5 12.0 18.0 CA 1/ : All : 1,726.0 1,822.0 1,960.0 Clingstone : 1,045.0 1,059.0 1,120.0 Freestone : 681.0 763.0 840.0 CO 1/ : 20.0 3.0 21.0 CT 1/ : 2.3 2.2 2.2 GA 1/ : 70.0 110.0 105.0 ID 1/ : 9.0 8.0 9.0 IL 1/ : 15.0 19.0 19.0 IN 1/ : 3.8 2.9 2.6 KS 2/ : 0.5 0.8 KY 1/ : 1.8 1.8 3.5 LA 1/ : 1.4 0.8 1.5 MD 1/ : 10.5 8.8 9.0 MA 1/ : 1.8 2.0 2.1 MI : 43.0 23.0 47.0 MO 1/ : 9.0 10.5 9.5 NJ : 70.0 70.0 70.0 NY 1/ : 10.0 14.0 11.7 NC 1/ : 25.0 28.0 27.0 OH 1/ : 6.8 8.7 7.5 OK 1/ : 20.0 15.0 15.0 OR 1/ : 8.0 7.0 8.0 PA : 65.0 75.0 55.0 SC : 140.0 160.0 150.0 TN 1/ : 3.2 3.1 2.0 TX 1/ : 24.0 13.0 21.0 UT 1/ : 7.4 6.2 11.0 VA 1/ : 14.0 15.0 10.0 WA : 52.0 51.0 55.0 WV 1/ : 12.7 12.6 7.5 : US : 2,400.7 2,525.4 2,677.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ : 46.0 34.3 82.0 AR : 4.5 5.4 7.2 CA : 860.0 825.0 730.0 CO : 65.0 8.0 38.0 CT : 17.5 23.0 22.0 GA : 11.0 12.0 13.0 ID : 155.0 70.0 190.0 IL : 45.0 58.5 72.0 IN : 54.0 60.3 45.0 IA : 8.7 11.0 12.0 KS : 1.6 7.2 7.0 KY : 11.0 9.0 9.0 ME : 44.5 72.0 35.0 MD : 34.6 38.0 38.0 MA : 32.0 65.0 50.0 MI : 1,000.0 1,210.0 800.0 MN : 23.8 24.9 22.0 MO : 34.0 49.0 34.0 NH : 19.0 43.5 34.0 NJ : 55.0 50.0 55.0 NM 2/ : 8.0 2.0 NY : 1,070.0 1,260.0 1,050.0 NC : 185.0 190.0 190.0 OH : 80.0 100.0 90.0 OR : 180.0 150.0 175.0 PA : 395.0 505.0 480.0 RI : 2.6 3.6 2.8 SC : 45.0 32.0 23.1 TN : 12.5 9.5 9.0 UT : 45.0 9.0 45.0 VT : 35.0 60.0 50.0 VA : 280.0 360.0 310.0 WA : 6,600.0 5,000.0 5,800.0 WV : 110.0 145.0 90.0 WI : 76.1 77.4 67.0 : US : 11,646.4 10,579.6 10,677.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ End of season estimate only. Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1998-1999 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :-------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Bartlett : CA : 277,000 311,000 280,000 OR : 65,000 66,000 60,000 WA : 160,000 210,000 200,000 : Total : 502,000 587,000 540,000 : Excluding Bartlett : CA : 30,000 30,000 30,000 OR : 180,000 160,000 160,000 WA : 230,000 220,000 240,000 : Total : 440,000 410,000 430,000 : All : CA : 307,000 341,000 310,000 CO : 3,500 500 3,100 CT : 1,100 1,050 1,200 MI : 5,040 5,000 5,600 NY : 11,500 12,500 14,500 OR : 245,000 226,000 220,000 PA : 6,100 4,100 6,100 UT : 900 300 600 WA : 390,000 430,000 440,000 : US : 970,140 1,020,450 1,001,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Coffee: Production, Hawaii, 1997-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1997-98 : 1998-99 : 1999-00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : HI : 9,400 9,500 10,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Parchment basis. Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted August 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : AZ : 23,000 21,000 18,000 AR : 4,550 4,900 4,900 CA : All Types : 5,290,000 5,536,000 6,700,000 Wine : 2,570,000 2,662,000 3,200,000 Table : 643,000 757,000 800,000 Raisin 1/ : 2,077,000 2,117,000 2,700,000 GA : 3,200 3,300 3,400 MI : 70,400 75,000 79,000 MO : 2,200 2,800 2,800 NY : 128,000 205,000 168,000 NC : 1,500 1,900 2,000 OH : 6,100 9,200 7,500 OR : 14,700 17,900 19,000 PA : 54,000 88,000 65,000 SC : 300 360 480 WA : 222,000 265,000 290,000 : US : 5,819,950 6,230,360 7,360,080 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh basis. Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, Hawaii, 1998-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:-------------------------------------------------------------------------- :1997-98:1998-99:1999-00:1997-98:1998-99:1999-00:1997-98 :1998-99 :1999-00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ------ ------- Pounds ------- ----- 1,000 Pounds ----- : HI : 360 350 270 50,000 46,000 50,000 18,000 16,100 13,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1999-2000 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,223.0 5,702.0 4,758.0 5,235.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 77,431.0 79,579.0 70,537.0 73,059.0 Corn for Silage : 6,062.0 Hay, All : 63,160.0 62,191.0 Alfalfa : 23,985.0 23,767.0 All Other : 39,175.0 38,424.0 Oats : 4,670.0 4,472.0 2,453.0 2,452.0 Proso Millet : 600.0 450.0 540.0 Rice : 3,581.0 3,230.0 3,562.0 3,205.0 Rye : 1,582.0 1,327.0 383.0 309.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,288.0 9,005.0 8,544.0 8,315.0 Sorghum for Silage : 320.0 Wheat, All : 62,814.0 62,946.0 53,909.0 54,445.0 Winter : 43,431.0 43,349.0 35,572.0 35,401.0 Durum : 4,035.0 4,050.0 3,569.0 3,986.0 Other Spring : 15,348.0 15,547.0 14,768.0 15,058.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,076.0 1,503.0 1,044.0 1,459.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 387.0 593.0 382.0 575.0 Mustard Seed : 60.8 54.0 58.8 52.4 Peanuts : 1,534.5 1,495.0 1,436.0 1,465.5 Rapeseed : 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.4 Safflower : 275.0 224.0 262.0 209.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,780.0 74,501.0 72,476.0 73,474.0 Sunflower : 3,553.0 2,866.0 3,441.0 2,775.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 14,873.5 15,532.0 13,424.9 14,188.0 Upland : 14,584.0 15,350.0 13,138.0 14,007.0 Amer-Pima : 289.5 182.0 286.9 181.0 Sugarbeets : 1,560.6 1,560.9 1,527.3 1,504.0 Sugarcane : 993.3 1,020.4 Tobacco : 647.2 493.7 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 6.1 4.4 Dry Edible Beans : 2,023.0 1,740.9 1,877.0 1,580.6 Dry Edible Peas : 281.6 263.6 Lentils : 182.0 174.5 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.4 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.4 0.3 Hops : 34.3 36.4 Peppermint Oil : 106.3 Potatoes, All : 1,376.7 1,388.0 1,332.3 1,359.7 Winter : 18.1 17.2 17.8 17.0 Spring : 86.8 82.1 84.5 80.1 Summer : 68.8 64.8 63.9 62.7 Fall : 1,203.0 1,223.9 1,166.1 1,199.9 Spearmint Oil : 24.4 Sweet Potatoes : 93.8 96.1 83.1 93.3 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1999-2000 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 59.2 58.8 281,853 308,020 Corn for Grain : " : 133.8 141.9 9,437,337 10,369,369 Corn for Silage : Ton : 15.9 96,169 Hay, All : " : 2.52 2.46 159,077 153,255 Alfalfa : " : 3.50 3.32 83,924 78,796 All Other : " : 1.92 1.94 75,153 74,459 Oats : Bu : 59.6 62.3 146,218 152,745 Proso Millet : " : 33.2 17,910 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 5,908 6,184 210,458 198,207 Rye : Bu : 28.7 10,993 Sorghum for Grain : " : 69.7 69.5 595,166 577,831 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 11.6 3,716 Wheat, All : Bu : 42.7 41.6 2,302,443 2,263,192 Winter : " : 47.8 45.0 1,699,989 1,594,321 Durum : " : 27.8 28.9 99,322 115,152 Other Spring : " : 34.1 36.8 503,132 553,719 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,306 1,363,680 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,354 7,209 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.6 7,880 Mustard Seed : Lb : 816 48,010 Peanuts : " : 2,667 2,587 3,829,490 3,791,500 Rapeseed : " : 1,155 5,080 Safflower : " : 1,545 404,715 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 36.5 40.7 2,642,908 2,988,669 Sunflower : Lb : 1,262 4,341,862 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 607 648 16,968.0 19,159.1 Upland 2/ : " : 595 642 16,293.7 18,740.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,128 1,111 674.3 419.1 Sugarbeets : Ton : 21.9 22.7 33,420 34,117 Sugarcane : " : 35.5 35.8 35,299 36,523 Tobacco : Lb : 1,997 2,169 1,292,692 1,070,765 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,364 60 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,770 1,630 33,230 25,764 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,908 5,030 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,368 2,387 Wrinkled Seed Peas : " : 658 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,560 10,000 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 46,000 50,000 16,100 13,500 Hops : " : 1,881 1,876 64,456 68,288 Peppermint Oil : " : 71 7,537 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 359 478,109 Winter : " : 229 278 4,070 4,720 Spring : " : 300 281 25,327 22,486 Summer : " : 295 289 18,865 18,102 Fall : " : 369 429,847 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 101 2,454 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 147 12,234 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1998-2000 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,593 2,520 2,789 K-Early Citrus (FL) : " : 2 4 5 Lemons : " : 897 747 878 Oranges : " : 13,670 9,824 13,023 Tangelos (FL) : " : 128 115 99 Tangerines : " : 360 327 444 Temples (FL) : " : 101 81 88 : : Non-Citrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 11,646.4 10,579.6 10,677.1 Apricots : Ton : 118.5 90.5 101.9 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 21,000.0 24,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 5,820.0 6,230.4 7,360.1 Olives (CA) : " : 90.0 145.0 80.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 39,900.0 42,400.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,400.7 2,525.4 2,677.1 Pears : Ton : 970.1 1,020.5 1,001.1 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 108.0 178.0 200.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 25.6 23.3 21.7 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 520,000 830,000 640,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 15.5 38.0 Pecans : Lb : 146,400 406,100 Pistachios (CA) : " : 188,000 123,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 227.0 283.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,159 1,188 1,231 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Production years are 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1999-2000 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,113,700 2,307,540 1,925,520 2,118,550 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,335,550 32,204,830 28,545,620 29,566,250 Corn for Silage : 2,453,230 Hay, All 3/ : 25,560,220 25,168,080 Alfalfa : 9,706,490 9,618,270 All Other : 15,853,730 15,549,810 Oats : 1,889,900 1,809,770 992,700 992,300 Proso Millet : 242,810 182,110 218,530 Rice : 1,449,190 1,307,150 1,441,510 1,297,030 Rye : 640,220 537,020 155,000 125,050 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,758,760 3,644,230 3,457,670 3,365,000 Sorghum for Silage : 129,500 Wheat, All 3/ :25,420,200 25,473,620 21,816,430 22,033,350 Winter :17,576,090 17,542,910 14,395,630 14,326,430 Durum : 1,632,920 1,638,990 1,444,340 1,613,090 Other Spring : 6,211,180 6,291,720 5,976,460 6,093,820 : Oilseeds : Canola : 435,450 608,250 422,500 590,440 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 156,620 239,980 154,590 232,700 Mustard Seed : 24,610 21,850 23,800 21,210 Peanuts : 621,000 605,010 581,130 593,070 Rapeseed : 1,860 1,820 1,780 1,780 Safflower : 111,290 90,650 106,030 84,580 Soybeans for Beans :29,858,030 30,149,810 29,330,310 29,734,190 Sunflower : 1,437,860 1,159,840 1,392,540 1,123,010 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 6,019,160 6,285,650 5,432,920 5,741,740 Upland : 5,902,000 6,211,990 5,316,820 5,668,490 Amer-Pima : 117,160 73,650 116,110 73,250 Sugarbeets : 631,560 631,680 618,080 608,650 Sugarcane : 401,980 412,950 Tobacco : 261,900 199,810 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 2,470 1,780 Dry Edible Beans : 818,690 704,520 759,600 639,650 Dry Edible Peas : 113,960 106,680 Lentils : 73,650 70,620 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,590 Ginger Root (HI) : 140 110 Hops : 13,860 14,730 Peppermint Oil : 43,020 Potatoes, All 3/ : 557,140 561,710 539,170 550,260 Winter : 7,320 6,960 7,200 6,880 Spring : 35,130 33,230 34,200 32,420 Summer : 27,840 26,220 25,860 25,370 Fall : 486,840 495,300 471,910 485,590 Spearmint Oil : 9,870 Sweet Potatoes : 37,960 38,890 33,630 37,760 Taro (HI) 4/ : 200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1999-2000 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.19 3.17 6,136,620 6,706,340 Corn for Grain : 8.40 8.91 239,719,400 263,394,100 Corn for Silage : 35.56 87,243,050 Hay, All 2/ : 5.65 5.52 144,312,230 139,030,600 Alfalfa : 7.84 7.43 76,134,570 71,482,530 All Other : 4.30 4.34 68,177,650 67,548,070 Oats : 2.14 2.23 2,122,350 2,217,090 Proso Millet : 1.86 406,190 Rice : 6.62 6.93 9,546,210 8,990,520 Rye : 1.80 279,240 Sorghum for Grain : 4.37 4.36 15,117,910 14,677,580 Sorghum for Silage : 26.03 3,371,100 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.87 2.80 62,662,230 61,593,990 Winter : 3.21 3.03 46,266,120 43,390,310 Durum : 1.87 1.94 2,703,100 3,133,920 Other Spring : 2.29 2.47 13,693,010 15,069,760 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.46 618,550 Cottonseed 3/ : 5,763,800 6,540,170 Flaxseed : 1.29 200,160 Mustard Seed : 0.92 21,780 Peanuts : 2.99 2.90 1,737,030 1,719,800 Rapeseed : 1.29 2,300 Safflower : 1.73 183,580 Soybeans for Beans : 2.45 2.74 71,928,170 81,338,240 Sunflower : 1.41 1,969,440 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.68 0.73 3,694,350 4,171,400 Upland : 0.67 0.72 3,547,540 4,080,150 Amer-Pima : 1.26 1.25 146,810 91,250 Sugarbeets : 49.05 50.85 30,318,110 30,950,420 Sugarcane : 79.66 80.24 32,022,710 33,133,110 Tobacco : 2.24 2.43 586,360 485,690 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.53 2,720 Dry Edible Beans : 1.98 1.83 1,507,290 1,168,640 Dry Edible Peas : 2.14 228,160 Lentils : 1.53 108,270 Wrinkled Seed Peas : 29,850 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.75 4,540 Ginger Root (HI) : 51.56 56.04 7,300 6,120 Hops : 2.11 2.10 29,240 30,980 Peppermint Oil : 0.08 3,420 Potatoes, All 2/ : 40.22 21,686,660 Winter : 25.63 31.12 184,610 214,100 Spring : 33.59 31.46 1,148,810 1,019,950 Summer : 33.09 32.36 855,700 821,090 Fall : 41.32 19,497,530 Spearmint Oil : 0.11 1,110 Sweet Potatoes : 16.50 554,920 Taro (HI) 3/ : 3,080 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1998-2000 (Metric Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,352,330 2,286,110 2,530,140 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 1,810 3,630 4,540 Lemons : 813,740 677,670 796,510 Oranges : 12,401,220 8,912,180 11,814,270 Tangelos (FL) : 116,120 104,330 89,810 Tangerines : 326,590 296,650 402,790 Temples (FL) : 91,630 73,480 79,830 : Non-Citrus : Apples : 5,282,720 4,798,830 4,843,050 Apricots : 107,490 82,100 92,440 Bananas (HI) : 9,530 11,110 Grapes : 5,279,770 5,652,090 6,676,950 Olives (CA) : 81,650 131,540 72,570 Papayas (HI) : 18,100 19,230 Peaches : 1,088,940 1,145,500 1,214,310 Pears : 880,100 925,740 908,180 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 97,980 161,480 181,440 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 23,220 21,140 19,690 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 235,870 376,480 290,300 Hazelnuts : 14,060 34,470 Pecans : 66,410 184,200 Pistachios (CA) : 85,280 55,790 Walnuts (CA) : 205,930 256,730 Maple Syrup : 5,790 5,940 6,150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Production years are 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00. July Weather Summary Adequate rainfall and below-normal temperatures in the Corn Belt and Northeast contrasted sharply with hot, mostly dry weather in the South, High Plains, and Intermountain West. Late in the month, a pattern change brought heat intensification and increased wildfire activity to the West, cooler weather to the South, and widespread, drought-easing rainfall to the southern Atlantic States. July rainfall totaled less than 50 percent of normal in much of the West and in many areas from Texas to the Delta. Significant dryness was also noted west of the Atlantic coastal plain, especially in the hardest-hit drought areas of Georgia, Alabama, and western Florida. Heat and dryness depleted topsoil moisture in many areas from Texas to the Delta, stressing pastures and immature summer crops. Until late-month rainfall boosted topsoil moisture in the Southeast, 3 weeks of extremely hot, dry weather severely stressed already drought-affected crops. Farther north, Corn Belt temperatures remained well below 95 degrees F, minimizing stress on reproductive to filling summer crops. Monthly temperatures averaged 1 to 4 degrees F below normal in the Corn Belt, but up to 3 degrees F above normal in the Southeast and as much as 5 degrees F above normal in parts of southern Texas. Readings ranged from 1 to 4 degrees F above normal on the northern and central High Plains. Although hot weather affected the Intermountain West, cool conditions prevailed closer to the West Coast. Temperatures averaged as much as 4 degrees F below normal in California's Central Valley. July Agricultural Summary Temperatures averaged slightly below-normal in the Corn Belt and adjacent parts of the Great Plains during July, but crop development remained about 1 week ahead of the normal throughout the month. Near-normal precipitation provided adequate moisture to maintain crop conditions, as early month storms reduced moisture shortages in the western Corn Belt. At mid-month, serious moisture shortages remained in isolated pockets of the western Corn Belt and central Great Plains, while substantial moisture surpluses existed in parts of the central and eastern Corn Belt. Above-normal temperatures, including periods of triple-digit heat, accelerated crop development in the Southeast, Great Plains, and interior parts of the Southwest. Although temperatures averaged below-normal, periods of triple digit heat also promoted crop development in the California Valleys and parts of the Pacific Northwest. A wet weather pattern gradually reduced drought conditions and aided crops in Florida and along the Atlantic Coastal Plains. However, increasing moisture shortages stressed crops along the Gulf Coast and in the interior Southeast. Cooler-than-normal temperatures slowed crop development from the mid-Atlantic States into the Northeast. In the Great Plains, mostly dry weather aided harvest of small grains. The corn crop rapidly entered the silking stage early in the month. On July 2, almost half of the acreage was silking in Missouri and Kentucky, far ahead of normal in both States. During the week ended July 9, acreage silking advanced 35 percentage points in Kansas. By mid-month, nearly half of the crop was at or beyond the silking stage. In Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Nebraska, more than 30 percent of the acreage entered the silking stage during the week ended July 16. Acreage silking accelerated in the upper Mississippi Valley and northern Great Plains near mid-month, and more than 40 percent of the crop entered the silking stage in Minnesota during the week ended July 23. Progress lagged around the Great Lakes before mid-month, but silking accelerated in Michigan and Wisconsin after mid-month. Acreage at or beyond the silking stage advanced 25 or more percentage points in Colorado, North and South Dakota, and Ohio during the week ended July 30. Acreage at or beyond the dough stage accelerated in the southern Corn Belt near mid-month and progressed to 42 percent in Missouri and Tennessee by July 23. In Kentucky, 30 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the dough stage on July 23. During the week ended July 30, nearly one-fourth of the crop entered the dough stage in Illinois. Progress was only slightly slower in Indiana, Kansas, Missouri, and Tennessee. In Missouri, 65 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the dough stage on July 30, the earliest since 1987. Soybean fields rapidly entered the bloom stage across the Corn Belt, advancing 20 or more percentage points in many areas during the week ended July 9. Nationally, 36 percent of the crop was blooming by July 9, more than double the 17-percent average for that date. As mid-month approached, a period of hot weather accelerated development, especially in the western Corn Belt, Great Plains, and lower Mississippi Valley. During the week ended July 16, more than one-third of the acreage entered the bloom stage in Nebraska and North Dakota, while nearly 30 percent of the acreage entered the bloom stage in Iowa and Minnesota. Meanwhile, below-normal temperatures hindered development in Michigan and Ohio. After mid-month, fields continued to rapidly develop in the northern Great Plains and progress accelerated in the around the Great Lakes. In North and South Dakota, about one-third of the acreage entered the bloom stage during the week ended July 23. In Michigan and Wisconsin, soybeans in bloom increased 30 and 36 percentage points, respectively during the week ended July 30. During the last week of the month, acreage setting pods rapidly advanced in the central and western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. By the end of the month, 85 percent of the crop was blooming and 51 percent was setting pods, well ahead of the 5-year average for both stages. The winter wheat harvest proceeded more than 1 week ahead of the 5-year average and was 65 percent complete on July 2. When the month began, harvest was nearly complete in Kansas and about half of the acreage was harvested in Nebraska. Harvest more than doubled in Illinois and Indiana during the week ended July 2, to 71 and 47 percent, respectively. During the week ended July 9, Ohio and Indiana producers harvested 50 and 36 percent of their wheat crop, respectively. In Colorado, growers harvested nearly half of their crop during the same week. Meanwhile, harvest remained active in Illinois, Missouri, and Nebraska. As mid-month approached, harvest remained active in the eastern Corn Belt, while progress accelerated in South Dakota and rapidly neared completion in Colorado and Nebraska. After mid-month, the harvest pace accelerated in the northern Great Plains, especially in South Dakota, while harvest progress gained momentum in the Pacific Northwest. In Nebraska, the harvest neared completion about 2 weeks ahead of normal. By the end of the month, the harvest was more than 90 percent complete, 1 week ahead of the 5-year average. Spring wheat, barley, and oats developed well ahead of normal throughout the month. Nearly all oats were headed in the Corn Belt on July 2. By July 30, harvest was 38 percent complete, led by rapid progress in Iowa and Nebraska . Spring wheat and barley were 96 percent headed on July 23, and by the end of the month, spring wheat and barley were 6 and 7 percent harvested, respectively. Nearly one-fourth of the South Dakota spring wheat was harvested by the end of the month. The barley harvest was most advanced in Minnesota on July 30. Cotton development progressed ahead of normal throughout the month, with 90 percent at or beyond the squaring stage on July 16 and 79 percent setting bolls by July 30. During the first half of the month, fields in the southern Great Plains and Atlantic Coastal Plains rapidly developed squares and fields rapidly set bolls in the interior Mississippi Delta States. After mid-month, boll setting accelerated in the Southeast. Occasional showers briefly relieved stress due to severe moisture shortages, but drought conditions gradually expanded in interior areas of the Southeast. Cool, wet weather delayed development in Virginia most of the month and progress lagged at the end of the month, despite late-month acceleration. By July 23, nearly all of the California cotton was squaring, nearly 2 weeks ahead of the normal pace, despite below-normal temperatures. The rice crop developed slightly ahead of normal, as fields rapidly headed along the western Gulf Coast early in the month and in the interior Mississippi Delta States late in the month. Eight percent was harvested on July 30, led by rapid progress in Louisiana, where progress was far ahead of normal, and Texas, where progress was slightly ahead of the 5-year average. Sorghum also progressed ahead of the 5-year average, with 62 percent headed and 26 percent turning color on July 30, compared with the average pace of 44 and 22 percent, respectively. Development was slightly ahead of normal in Texas, well ahead of normal in other parts of the Great Plains and Mississippi Delta, and far ahead of normal in the Corn Belt. Eighty-four percent of the peanut acreage was pegging at the end of the month. In Alabama and Virginia, development accelerated late in the month, but remained well behind normal. Moisture shortages stressed most fields in the Southeast, while abnormally wet hindered development along the mid-Atlantic. Corn for grain: Planted area for corn for all purposes is estimated at 79.6 million acres, unchanged from June but up 3 percent from last year. Acreage for grain harvest is estimated at 73.1 million acres, down 29,000 acres from June, but up 4 percent from a year ago. If realized, this would be the largest grain harvested acreage since 1985. The August 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate record level stalk and ear counts for the combined seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, Wisconsin). After a warm and dry winter, timely rains fell throughout the Corn Belt and maintained adequate moisture for plant growth and development. Cooler-than-normal temperatures and some isolated areas of excess moisture slowed crop development slightly in the eastern Corn Belt. Serious moisture shortages remained in isolated pockets of the western Corn Belt and Great Plains at the beginning of August. As of July 30, the corn condition was rated 74 percent good to excellent in the major corn-producing States. At that time, 90 percent of the acreage was in the silking stage or beyond, compared with 72 percent for the 5-year average. Twenty-six percent of the acreage was in the dough stage or beyond, compared with the average of 13 percent. The corn yield for the States without an Objective Yield Survey is forecast at 124.0 bushels per acre, up from 115.8 in 1999. Missouri and the Mid-Atlantic States are forecasting large increases over 1999 due to good growing conditions after last year's drought. Yields in the northern Plains are forecast down from last year's very good yields. The Southeast States are forecasting lower yields due to dry weather, especially in Alabama where 20,000 acres have been abandoned since June. Sorghum: The first production forecast for the 2000 crop year is 578 million bushels, down 3 percent from 1999. Based on August 1 conditions, the sorghum yield is forecast at 69.5 bushels per acre, down 0.2 bushels from 1999. Yield decreases are expected in 7 of the top 11 producing States, mainly in the western part of the growing area. Two States are expecting yield increases, mainly in the central and eastern part of the growing area. Kansas and Texas, the two leading sorghum States, expect yields similar to last year. Texas's forecast for 63 bushels will tie last year's record yield for that State. The highest forecast yield is for Missouri which, at 97 bushels, would be a State record. Sorghum planted for all purposes is estimated at 9.01 million acres, up 200,000 acres from the June estimate. Acreage was revised due to additional acreage being planted in Texas behind abandoned cotton. Texas planted 3.1 million acres, similar to 1999. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain in the U.S. in 2000, at 8.32 million acres, is 3 percent lower than the 1999 harvested grain acreage. An adjustment to the harvested acres estimate in the June Acreage report was made for Texas due to the increase in planted acreage. Texas producers expect to harvest 2.9 million acres for grain, 200,000 more than estimated in June and 50,000 less than 1999. Sorghum progressed ahead of the 5-year average, with 62 percent headed and 26 percent turning color on July 30, compared with the average pace of 44 and 22 percent, respectively. Development was slightly ahead of normal in Texas, well ahead of normal in other parts of the Great Plains and Mississippi Delta, and far ahead of normal in the Corn Belt. Warm weather is quickly ripening fields in the lower Mississippi Valley and southern Great Plains. As of the week ending August 6, fifty percent of the sorghum crop was rated good to excellent. This is 18 points lower than a year earlier. This is due to moisture stressed crops from South Dakota south into Texas. Hot weather and moisture shortages stressed some fields in the Great Plains, while heavy rains damaged others. Oats: Production is estimated at 152.7 million bushels, 4 percent above last year's 146.2 million bushels. The estimated yield is 62.3 bushels per acre, up 1.1 bushels from 1999. If realized, this would be the third highest yield on record. Area for harvest dropped to 2.45 million acres, 20,000 acres below the previous estimate due to increased abandonment in Nebraska. On July 2, seventy-nine percent of the crop was headed in the 8 major oat-producing States, well ahead of the 5-year average of 60 percent. Nearly all of the acreage was headed in Iowa and Nebraska, and almost half of the acreage was headed in North Dakota, more than double the normal progress of 21 percent. As the month progressed, development remained well ahead of normal, even though below-normal temperatures slightly slowed progress in the Corn Belt, mid-Atlantic and New England States. Near normal temperatures favored development in the northern Great Plains. Mild temperatures and adequate moisture supplies maintained crop conditions, with about three-fourths of the crop rated good to excellent throughout the month. Harvest began early and progressed ahead of the 5-year average, with only brief rain delays. On July 30, the Nation's oat crop was 38 percent harvested, compared with the average of 27 percent. In Iowa and Nebraska, the harvest was nearly complete by the end of the month. Barley: Barley production for 2000 is forecast at 308 million bushels, up 9 percent from 1999 and 745,000 bushels higher than the July forecast. The August forecast for 2000 indicates producers expect to average 58.8 bushels per acre, a decrease of 0.4 bushel from last year, and 0.1 bushel higher than the July forecast. Area harvested, at 5.24 million acres, is 10 percent above the 4.76 million acres harvested in 1999, unchanged from the June Acreage Report. Even though expected yields are slightly lower in 2000, the increase in harvested acres has reversed the five-year trend of declining production. In comparing yields to the previous year, ten States are expecting higher yields in 2000, while six States are forecasting lower yields or no change from 1999. Maine, New York, and Ohio were added to the barley estimating program in 2000. Northern Great Plains States are mostly showing higher yields than 1999. Producers in North Dakota, the largest barley acreage State, expect yields to average 52 bushels per acre, an increase of 4 bushels over the 1999 yield, and unchanged from July. Barley in the northern States is maturing ahead of average. Yields in the central Great Plains and Rocky Mountain States show decreases due to below normal precipitation. Dry weather aided rapid progress in Minnesota and Montana. Harvest accelerated in North Dakota and Washington, and steadily advanced in Idaho. Harvest progress in the five major-producing States was 26 percent complete as of August 6, compared to the 5-year average of 10 percent. Condition of the crop at that time was rated 52 percent good to excellent, equal to 1999. Winter Wheat: Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 35.4 million, down slightly from 1999. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing States had reached 91 percent complete by July 30. This is 2 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of the average. Hard Red Winter (HRW) harvest was complete in the central and southern Great Plains. Harvest was complete in the Soft Red Winter (SRW) States. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six HRW States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are virtually unchanged from last month while weight per head is down slightly. Colorado head counts are well above average, however average weights are at a record low. Kansas and Nebraska head counts are above average, but average weights in both States are the lowest since 1995. Montana head counts are at a record high while the average weights are below average. Head counts in Texas are the lowest since 1989. Hot, dry weather matured the crop rapidly in Montana where harvest progress is fifty points ahead of average. Combined plant populations in the Pacific Northwest Objective Yield region are at record high levels, but forecasted head weights are still below normal. Harvest is ahead of normal in Washington, where growers now expect record high yields. Idaho growers still expect record yields, where poor yields for non-irrigated winter wheat in southern Idaho are expected to be offset by excellent irrigated yields and good yields in northern areas of the State. Michigan wheat growers had excellent weather for combining and are expecting to set a new record yield. Harvested yields were better than previously expected in Indiana. Growers in Arkansas, Georgia, Indiana, Mississippi, Ohio, and Pennsylvania continue to report record high yields. Collective head counts and weight per head in the SRW Objective Yield States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio) are about the same as last month and well above average. Ohio head counts are at record levels and average head weights are above average. Durum Wheat: Area for harvest as grain is forecast at 3.99 million acres, unchanged from last month, but up 12 percent from last year. North Dakota's Durum crop has matured at a pace more than a week ahead of average due to early planting and favorable growing conditions. By the end of July, the North Dakota crop was rated 66 percent good to excellent, 6 points better than a year earlier. The Montana crop has benefitted from good moisture conditions. Plant population forecasts from the Durum Objective Yield survey are above average while average weight per head is below normal. Other Spring Wheat: Harvested area for 2000 is forecast at 15.1 million acres, unchanged from last month, but up 2 percent from last year. Acreage was 6 percent harvested in the six major producing States as of July 30, three points ahead of average. Harvest had started in all six States, but only South Dakota was more than 10 percent complete. The warm, dry growing season has hastened the maturity of Idaho's crop. Most of the Spring wheat in Minnesota is ripe. Much of Montana's crop has been under considerable stress due to dry conditions. North Dakota's crop has matured ahead of normal due to early planting and favorable conditions. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys are at record high levels in Minnesota and North Dakota, and above average in Montana. However, of the three, only Minnesota's average weight per head is above average. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.79 billion pounds, down 1 percent from last year's crop, and 4 percent below 1998. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.47 million acres, virtually unchanged from the June "Acreage" report, but up 2 percent from 1999. Yields are expected to average 2,587 pounds, 80 pounds below last year and down 115 pounds from 1998. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 1.77 billion pounds, down 17 percent from last year's level. Expected acreage for harvest, at 795,500 acres, is down 7 percent from the previous year. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average 2,222 pounds per acre, 275 pounds below 1999. Moisture shortages stressed most fields in Alabama and part of Georgia. As of July 30, peanut development in Alabama was 32 percentage points behind schedule with 54 percent of the acreage rated in poor to fair condition. In Georgia, crop development was 5 percentage points behind normal and condition on July 30 was 70 percent fair to good. The peanut crop in Florida and South Carolina was rated mostly fair to good. The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 595 million pounds, up 15 percent from 1999. Area for harvest is expected to total 200,000 acres, no change from the previous year. Yield is forecast at 2,975 pounds, up 390 pounds from last year. As of July 30, the Virginia-North Carolina peanut crop was rated in mostly good condition. The Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.43 billion pounds, up 21 percent from 1999. The region's acreage for harvest, at 470,000 acres, is 23 percent above the 1999 level. Yields are expected to average 3,040 pounds, 52 pounds below 1999. On July 30, seventy-three percent of the Texas crop was rated in fair to good condition. Rice: Production is forecast at 198 million cwt, down 6 percent from 1999, but 5 percent above 1998. Area for harvest is expected to total 3.21 million acres, down 1 percent from the June acreage estimate. Rice plantings, at 3.23 million acres, were reduced from June by 40,000 acres. Yields are expected to average 6,184 pounds per acre, up 276 pounds from 1999. If realized, this would be a record yield, 64 pounds above 1996 when the yield averaged 6,120 pounds per acre. This is also the second highest production following last year's record of 210 million cwt. As of July 30, crop development was ahead of normal in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas while California and Mississippi crop was behind normal. Rice harvest is underway in Louisiana and Texas. Crop condition was rated at 67 percent good to excellent across the major producing states on July 30. Soybeans: Area planted, at a record 74.5 million acres, is up 1 percent above 1999 and is unchanged from the June estimate. Area expected to be harvested, also at a record 73.5 million acres, is up 1 percent from 1999 and is unchanged from the June acreage. This year's soybean crop was one of the earliest planted crops on record and has progressed at a quick pace in most growing areas. The maturity of the 2000 crop has been more advanced in most States when compared to 1999 and earlier years. By the end of July, 85 percent of the crop was blooming, slightly ahead of last year's early development and more than 1 week ahead of the 71-percent average for that date. Fifty-one percent of the acreage was setting pods, well ahead of last year's 40-percent pace and far ahead of the 5-year average. As of July 30, sixty-six percent of the soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 9 percentage points better than the same week in 1999. Soil moisture supplies have been mostly adequate, but parts of western Corn Belt and southern growing regions have been affected by abnormally dry soils. Temperatures have generally averaged below normal in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains while the Southeast and Mississippi Delta have experienced slightly above normal temperatures. In the twenty-one non-Objective Yield States that make yield forecasts in August, yields in seventeen States are expected to be higher than in 1999. The States showing the largest increases from 1999 are those that were affected mostly by drought conditions last year. Large increases are evident in Kentucky, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, North Carolina, Virginia, Oklahoma, and Texas. Lower yields are expected in Louisiana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin. Cotton: Upland cotton planted acreage, at 15.4 million acres, is 5 percent above 1999. Harvested acreage, at 14.0 million acres, is up 7 percent from last year. Growers planted 182,000 acres of American-Pima cotton. Area to be harvested is 181,000 acres, down 37 percent from last year. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia), producers have experienced abnormal weather conditions throughout most of June and July. Moisture shortages have persisted for most of Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina. Rains received during the second half of June were beneficial, but quickly evaporated due to record setting high temperatures. Producers in Florida and Georgia have already reported abandoning cotton fields with poor stands. North Carolina and Virginia have received adequate moisture levels, but Virginia has experienced delays in crop development due to unseasonably cool weather. As of July 30, only 50 percent of Virginia's acreage was reported as setting bolls, 31 points behind the 5-year average. The other States in the region were all within eight points of their 5-year average for the percent of acreage setting bolls. The condition of the cotton crop had deteriorated during most of July, before showing slight improvements during the last week of the month. Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) experienced accelerated crop development during June, despite receiving several weeks of unseasonably cool temperatures. Drought conditions began advancing into the region during mid-June, but timely rains in most parts of the region relieved the stressed crop. Above normal temperatures were experienced during the second week of July, further stimulating development. Nearly half of the Arkansas cotton acreage began setting bolls during the week of July 10 through July 16, while more than one-third of the acreage in Mississippi and Missouri progressed to the boll setting stage. In Tennessee, acreage setting bolls more than doubled during the same week. While the extreme heat aided development, it resulted in some deterioration of the crop condition. For the week ending July 30, Arkansas reported 57 percent of their cotton as good to excellent, compared to 60 percent three weeks earlier. Louisiana experienced a 23 point decline in good to excellent during the same period, while Mississippi and Tennessee experienced a 25 and 5 point decline, respectively. Cotton objective yield data show large boll counts in Louisiana as the highest in the past 10 years. Mississippi and Arkansas' large boll counts rank fourth and fifth, respectively, since 1991. Many upland cotton producers in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and New Mexico have experienced far better growing conditions than they had anticipated going into the season. Development of the crop has progressed ahead of average throughout most of the region. As of July 30, 55 percent of Oklahoma's cotton acreage was setting bolls, compared to 47 percent for the 5-year average. Texas reported 69 percent of their acreage setting bolls on this same date, seven points ahead of the 5-year average. Most areas of the region received precipitation during late June, easing moisture concerns that had developed during the month. However, the precipitation came too late for some fields which were plowed under and replanted to alternative crops. Oklahoma producers report that their crop is in mostly good condition. However, their yield is unchanged from last year due to an increase in dryland acres. Overall, conditions remained mostly fair to excellent throughout July, except in the south and central parts of Texas where extreme moisture and heat stress caused a decline in condition. On July 30, Oklahoma rated 99 percent of the cotton acreage as fair to excellent condition, while Texas rated 83 percent of their acreage in these categories. Data from the objective yield survey show Texas' fruit counts rank fifth since 1991. Upland cotton in California and Arizona progressed well ahead of the 5-year average. On July 30, California reported that 75 percent of the upland cotton was setting bolls, compared to 62 percent on average. Arizona reported 94 percent of their upland cotton had set bolls by July 30, four points ahead of the 5-year average. Above average temperatures during June resulted in ideal conditions for cotton development. Irrigation alleviated any concerns associated with dry spells which accompanied the hot temperatures in some parts of the region. Cooler temperatures during the first few weeks of July slowed the development of California's cotton. However, the fast start allowed the crop to remain well ahead of the 5-year average. As of July 30, the condition of the crop was rated very good. Arizona reported 97 percent of the upland acreage as fair to excellent on this date, while California rated 100 percent of their upland acreage as fair to excellent. Data from the objective yield plots indicate California's count of large bolls ranks third since 1991. The number of small bolls ranks fifth in the past 10 years, while squares rank last during this time period. American-Pima production is forecast at 419,100 bales, down 38 percent from last year's output. The decrease in production is due to a large reduction in acreage. The U.S. Pima yield is forecast at 1,111 pounds per harvested acre, down 17 pounds from last year. Ginnings totaled 244,750 running bales prior to August 1, compared with 80,650 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 145,550 running bales in 1998. Dry Beans: Dry edible bean production is forecast at 25.8 million cwt for 2000, down 23 percent from 1999 and 15 percent below two years ago. This is the lowest since 1993, when production was 21.9 million cwt. In the June Acreage report, U.S. planted and harvested acreage were estimated at 1.77 and 1.65 million acres, respectively. Planted area is now estimated at 1.74 million acres, 14 percent below both 1999 and 1998. Harvested acres are expected to be 1.58 million acres, down 16 percent from last year and 18 percent below 1998. As of August 1, the average U. S. yield is forecast at 1,630 pounds per acre. Average yields are 140 pounds per acre below last year. Production is down from last year in 12 of the 16 comparable dry bean estimating States. Production is expected to be above 1999 by 8 percent in Montana, 32 percent in Oregon, 20 percent in Wisconsin, and 2 percent in Wyoming. As of August 6, 12 percent of the crop was fully podded in North Dakota, compared to 13 percent last year and 24 percent for the five-year average. Crop condition as of August 6 was 10 percent very poor, 12 percent poor, 25 percent fair, 44 percent good, and 9 percent excellent. In Michigan excessive rain and standing water at the end of July destroyed some acreage. Most dry bean acreage has above normal soil moisture levels. Crop condition as of August 6 was 3 percent very poor, 15 percent poor, 33 percent fair, 41 percent good, and 8 percent excellent. Navy beans remain Michigan's leading commercial dry bean class and are followed by black, cranberry, light red kidney, pinto, dark red kidney, and small red. In Nebraska, conditions are drier than normal, with yield forecast to be 100 pounds per acre below last year. The dry bean crop in California is reported to be progressing well, with many varieties in bloom and blackeyes ready to harvest. In Colorado, dry beans are three-fourths flowered, with condition rated as mostly good throughout the state. As of August 6, the Minnesota crop rated 3 percent very poor, 9 percent poor, 33 percent fair, 40 percent good, and 15 percent excellent. In Wyoming, as of August 6, dry beans continued to bloom slightly behind average but pod setting was 64 percent, 5 points ahead of average. New York, which experienced wet and cool weather during the planting season, is estimating planted acreage to be 19 percent below last year. In Utah, due to extreme dry weather during the spring and summer, production is expected to be 8.00 thousand cwt. This is the lowest production since 1951 when production totaled 7.00 thousand cwt. U. S. planted acres of navy, pinto, black, and great northern beans are down 19 percent, 5 percent, 29 percent, and 4 percent, respectively. Dark red kidney and garbanzo were the only classes that increased in acreage from 1999 to 2000. Pinto beans make up 39 percent of all planted acres, navies represent 21 percent, blacks 8 percent, great northerns 7 percent with the remaining 25 percent distributed among the other classes. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 78.8 million tons, 6 percent below 1999. Yields are expected to average 3.32 tons per acre. Harvested area is 23.8 million acres, down less than 1 percent from 1999. Improved conditions east of the Mississippi River have greatly increased production in that area, especially in Pennsylvania and Virginia. However, dry conditions in the Great Plains, especially South Dakota, Montana, and Texas, have reduced production. Other Hay: Production is forecast at 74.5 million tons, less than 1 percent below last year's record production. Yields are expected to average 1.94 tons per acre, slightly above last year's yield. Harvested area is estimated at 38.4 million acres, down 2 percent from the 39.2 million acres harvested in 1999. This year's acreage will be the second highest since 1962. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 2000 is forecast at 1.07 billion pounds, down 17 percent from 1999 and 28 percent below 1998. If realized, this will be the smallest crop since 1932. Revised area for harvest in 2000 is forecast at 493,740 acres, down 24 percent from 1999. Yields for 2000 are expected to average 2,169 pounds per acre, 172 pounds higher that a year ago. Yield prospects in North Carolina, the leading flue-cured State, are averaging higher than last year. Kentucky, the leading burley State, also expects yields to average higher than a year ago. Flue-cured production is expected to total 585.8 million pounds, down 11 percent from 1999. Growers plan to harvest 253,900 acres in 2000, 16 percent below last year. Yield is expected to average 2,307 pounds per acre, 145 pounds higher than the previous year. Fire-cured production is expected to total 45.5 million pounds, up 20 percent from 1999. Growers plan to harvest 17,630 acres in 2000, 7 percent above a year ago. The expected average yield is 2,581 pounds per acre, 262 pounds higher than the previous year. Burley production is expected to total 398.3 million pounds, 28 percent below a year ago. Yield is expected to average 1,982 pounds per acre, up 153 pounds from 1999. Burley growers plan to harvest 201,000 acres, 34 percent below a year ago. Kentucky's acreage, at 125,000, is expected to be 40 percent below last year. Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production is expected to total 15.0 million pounds, up 5 percent from the previous year. Average yield is expected to increase 213 pounds. A total of 8,700 acres is expected to be harvested this year, down 8 percent from 1999. Dark Air-cured production is expected to total 12.8 million pounds, up 9 percent from 1999. Growers plan to harvest 5,460 acres in 2000, 7 percent more than last year. Yields are expected to average 2,347 pounds per acre, 34 pounds above last year. All Cigar types production is expected to total 13.4 million pounds, down 19 percent from last year. Overall yield is expected to average 1,894 per acre, up 2 pounds from 1999. Growers of all types of Cigar Type tobacco plan to harvest 7,050 acres, 19 percent below a year ago. Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at 34.1 million tons. If realized, this would be a record production, exceeding last year's record by 2 percent. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest just over 1.5 million acres. Processors remain uncertain about the final impact that the government PIK program will have on harvested acreage. The yield is forecast at 22.7 tons per acre, 0.3 tons above 1999. Seasonal temperatures and adequate moisture supplies aided development across most of the northern Great Plains during July. Some isolated areas experienced disease problems due to excessive moisture and humidity. In parts of the northern High Plains, moisture shortages and above-normal temperatures stressed plants. Below-normal temperatures restricted crop growth in Michigan and California during most of the month, but a late-month heat wave accelerated development in both States. Sugarcane: Production is forecast at a record high 36.5 million tons, 3 percent above the previous record of 35.3 million tons set last year. If realized, Louisiana will lead the Nation in production for the first time since records have been kept. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest a record high 1.02 million acres for sugar and seed during the 2000 crop year, 3 percent more than last year's final harvested acres. Compared with 1999, acreage increases in Louisiana and Texas more than offset acreage decreases in Florida and Hawaii. In Louisiana, a record high 490,000 acres are expected to be harvested. Yield is forecast at 35.8 tons per acre, 0.3 ton above 1999. July rains boosted crop conditions in Florida and parts of Louisiana and Texas. However, moisture shortages remain in most of the Louisiana parishes. Moisture shortages also limited crop growth in Texas. Dry weather continued in Hawaii, but timely rains aided crop development. Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 21,700 tons, down 7 percent from last year and 15 percent below 1998. The Oregon forecast, at 10,000 tons, is 23 percent below 1999 and down 5 percent from 1998. Weather conditions were less favorable than a year ago for fruit set and sizing. Washington's forecast, at 4,000 tons, is down 11 percent from 1999 and 43 percent below 1998. Idaho's expected production is 4,500 tons, up 150 percent from the frost- devastated crop of 1999 but equal to the 1998 production level. Michigan expects to produce 3,200 tons, down 20 percent from 1999 and 11 percent below 1998. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 4.69 million pounds for July, 9 percent higher than June and 45 percent higher than July 1999. Area devoted to papaya production totaled 2,535 acres in July, 2 percent lower than last month and 27 percent less a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 1,535 acres, was 3 percent less than June and 25 percent lower than last July. Weather conditions during July were variable with a mix of sunshine and showers over major papaya producing orchards. The new disease resistant variety has nearly doubled the yields from a year ago. Hops: Hop production in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 68.3 million pounds for 2000, up 6 percent from last year and 15 percent above the 1998 crop. Acreage strung for harvest, at 36,405 acres, is 6 percent more than a year ago. Yield is estimated at 1,876 pounds per acre, 5 pounds less than 1999. Washington's yield is forecast at 1,950 pounds per acre for 2000, 30 pounds lower than last year. Oregon's yield is forecast at 1,750 pounds per acre, up 20 pounds from 1999. In Idaho, yield is expected to average 1,490 pounds per acre, 82 pounds higher than a year ago. All three States are forecasting increases in total production over the 1999 crop. In the tri-state area, weather conditions have been generally favorable this season, and hops progress and condition have been mostly normal. Harvest is expected to begin by August 20th. Some growers in Idaho are concerned that some hop yards may start to show stress if the hot, dry conditions persist. However, the same hot, dry conditions in Washington have aided the growers in bringing powdery mildew problems nearly under control. Olives: The 2000 olive crop is forecast at 80,000 tons, down 45 percent from the 1999 production of 145,000 tons. A heavy bloom occurred with the warm, mild spring weather. However, rains in the northern producing areas were detrimental to fruit set. Growers expect the yield of the Manzanillo variety to decrease 57 percent from last year. Manzanillos account for about 70 percent of the total production. Growers expect the yield of Sevillano and Ascolano varieties, which account for about a fifth of the total production, to decrease by 66 percent and 35 percent, respectively. Peaches: The August 2000 peach crop forecast increased 9.0 million pounds from the July forecast to 2.68 billion pounds. This is 6 percent above 1999 and 12 percent above two years ago. Michigan increased their expectations for the 2000 crop from 43.0 million pounds to 47.0 million pounds. Pennsylvania also increased their production forecast by 5.0 million pounds to 55.0 million. August 2000 forecasts for New Jersey, South Carolina, and Washington were unchanged from July. The peach harvest in Michigan is currently underway, with later maturing fresh market varieties yielding better than the early maturing varieties. The west-central processing crop appears as good or better than the 1999 crop. Recent heavy rain may cause quality problems to the crop in southwest Michigan. As of August 6, peach harvest was about 50 percent complete in New Jersey with quality and quantity of fruit reported to be good. In Pennsylvania, harvest was 41 percent complete by August 6, ahead of the five-year average of 29 percent. Harvest started in early July in Washington with volume earlier this year than normal due to warm weather. Good quality and size are being reported. The U. S. Freestone crop as of August 1 is forecast at 1.56 billion pounds, up 6 percent from 1999 and 15 percent above 1998. The California Freestone crop stands at 840.0 million pounds, 10 percent above 1999 and up 23 percent from 1998. By August 6, 2000, 97 percent of the Georgia peach crop, estimated at 105.0 million pounds, had been harvested. In South Carolina, peach conditions were mostly good to excellent, with harvest 75 percent complete as of August 6. California's Clingstone crop, at 1.12 billion pounds, is 6 percent above 1999 and 7 percent greater than 1998. Apples: The first production forecast for the 2000 crop year is 10.7 billion pounds, up 1 percent from 1999 but 8 percent below 1998. Increased production in most of the Western States more than offset projected decreases in the Central and Eastern States when compared to last year. Production increases are expected in 11 of the top 34 producing States. Production in the Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, WA) is forecast at 7.06 billion pounds, up 16 percent from 1999. All Western States except California are expecting increased production in 2000. Washington, which makes up 54 percent of the U.S. forecast, is up 16 percent from 1999. Washington's apples have progressed well with excellent size and quality. The increase in apple production among the Western States is due to improved growing conditions over last year. Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, WI) is forecast at 1.17 billion pounds, down 28 percent from 1999. Production has been hampered by frost damage, poor pollination, hail, and fire blight. Cool, wet conditions have improved fruit size. All of the Central States expect decreases except Arkansas, Illinois, Iowa and Kentucky. Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV) is forecast at 2.44 billion pounds, down 15 percent from 1999. The decline in production in the Eastern States from 1999 is due to poor pollination conditions, late freezes, hail, fire blight and scab which have reduced fruit counts. Wet weather conditions in June and July have helped fruit to size up. All of the Eastern States expect decreases except Georgia, Maryland, New Jersey and North Carolina. Pears: U.S. pear production for 2000 is forecast at 1.00 million tons, 2 percent below 1999 but 3 percent above 1998. Bartlett pear production for California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 540,000 tons, up 6 percent from the June 2000 forecast but 8 percent below 1999. Other pear production in the Pacific Coast States is expected to total 430,000 tons, 5 percent above last year but 2 percent below two years ago. Bartlett production for California is forecast at 280,000 tons, unchanged from the June forecast but 10 percent below 1999. The California Bartlett harvest is approximately 40 percent complete in the Sacramento area with good quality reported. Bartlett production in Oregon is forecast at 60,000 tons, 9 percent above the previous forecast but 9 percent below 1999. Harvest of Bartletts should start about mid-August in the Hood River area. In Washington Bartlett production is forecast at 200,000 tons, a 14 percent increase from the June forecast but down 5 percent from last year. Other pear production in California is forecast at 30,000 tons, unchanged from both 1999 and 1998. Asian pear picking is underway in California with good quality reported. In Oregon, other pear production is forecast at 160,000 tons, unchanged from 1999 but 11 percent below two years ago. Production in Washington is forecast at 240,000 tons, up 9 percent from 1999 and 4 percent above 1998. The pear crop in New York is forecast at 14,500 tons, 16 percent above last year and up 26 percent from 1998. Spraying is active to control disease as a result of higher than average rainfall this summer in New York. Pennsylvania pear production is forecast at 6,100 tons, up 49 percent from last year's frost and fire-blight damaged crop but unchanged from 1998. In Michigan production is forecast at 5,600 tons, up 12 percent from 1999 and 11 percent above 1998. Production in Connecticut is forecast at 1,200 tons, 14 percent above 1999. Pear bloom was good but set was only moderate due to cool and rainy weather during pollination. Size of fruit is generally medium to large due to the timely rain. In Colorado, production is forecast at 3,100 tons, 2,600 tons greater than last year's frost damaged crop, but down 11 percent from 1998. Pear production in Utah is forecast at 600 tons, double last year's frost damaged crop. Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is revised to 10.0 million pounds (parchment basis) for the 1999-00 season, down 5 percent from the first estimate last December, but up 5 percent from the 1998-99 season. This represents the largest output since the 1962-63 season. Coffee production from the island of Hawaii (includes the Kona districts), was higher than earlier expectations. However, the increase was more than offset by lower than expected production from the islands of Maui, Molokai, Oahu, and Kauai. Harvested acreage is estimated at a record high 6,400 acres, up 5 percent from last season. Grapes: U.S. Grape production is forecasted at 7.36 million tons, up 18 percent from 1999 and 26 percent above 1998. If realized, this will be the largest crop on record. The three leading states, California, New York, and Washington, account for 97 percent of total U.S. Grape production. California's all grape forecast, at 6.70 million tons, increased 21 percent from 1999 and Washington expects to harvest 290,000 tons, up 9 percent from 1999. However, New York expects an 18 percent decline in total production. California's raisin type varieties account for 2.70 million tons, 40 percent, of California's total grape crop. Production of raisin varieties is up 28 percent from last year. The Raisin Objective Measurement (OM) Survey found an average count of 40.7 bunches per vine compared to 24.5 recorded in 1999. This is the highest bunch count since 1985. Thompson Seedless variety grapes are currently being picked for fresh use in the San Joaquin Valley. Good quality was reported but growers were concerned about slowed bunch development. Production of table type grapes is estimated at 800,000 tons, 12 percent of the total California crop and 6 percent above last year. Picking is active in the San Joaquin Valley with good quality reported. Flame Seedless is the primary variety currently being harvested. California's wine type varieties account for 3.20 million tons, 48 percent of California's total grape crop. Production of wine varieties is up 20 percent from 1999. The wine grape harvest is expected to begin in early August in the San Joaquin Valley. Growers are concerned that bunch development has slowed in the last month. Daytime temperatures were below average in July. Michigan's grape production is forecasted at 79,000 ton, up 5 percent from 1999. The Michigan juice grape crop potential is excellent. The continual rains of late spring and early summer caused an increase need to spray against powdery mildew. The New York grape production is forecasted at 168,000 ton, down 18 percent from 1999. In most areas disease pressures are high due to excessive rains. Downy mildew has reduced the crop prospecs for some varieties. Some vineyards are reporting weaker vines after last year's heavy crop. In the Lake Erie grape belt berry size is expected to be on the high side due to ample moisture. Pennsylvania's grape production is forecasted at 65,000 ton, down 26 percent from 1999. Some producers are reporting black rot. The early April freeze was also detrimental to the crop. Washington's production is forecasted at 290,000 tons, up 9 percent from 1999. Concord producers are expecting an above average crop this year. Wine grape producers are expecting a larger crop than last year due mainly to new acreage coming into production. Ginger Root: Hawaii ginger root production for the 1999-00 season is estimated at 13.5 million pounds, down 16 percent from the previous season. Harvested acreage declined 23 percent to 270 acres. Offsetting the decrease in harvested acreage was a 9 percent increase in average yields to 50,000 pounds per harvested acre. Weather conditions were mostly favorable for ginger root during the growing season. Adequate showers during the first half of 1999 were good for crop development. Conditions were relatively dry during the second half of the year, but rainfall was enough to ensure higher yields. Disease and low prices contributed to the decline in harvested acres. Florida Citrus: During July, virtually all of Florida's citrus groves had average to above average rainfall. This is the first month this year that has had above average rainfall. The summer rains have produced an abundance of new growth. There were some late blooms during July, primarily in those groves that were stressed during the winter and spring drought. Very little of the later bloom has held on the trees compared to last season when a significant amount of the late blooms developed into fruit and was harvested. For the most part, Valencia and grapefruit picking ended in July and the major processors closed for the season. There are, however, several fresh squeeze operations running some of the later bloom Valencias and grapefruit. Most caretakers continue cutting cover crops, fertilizing, and applying summer sprays. California Citrus: The Valencia orange harvest has slowed due to normal summertime competition from other fruit in the marketplace. Lemon picking was active in the south coast area and quality has been good. Grapefruit harvest continued and growers are concerned about small sizes. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Picking of many fruit crops was active during July. Fresh grape harvesting ended in the Coachella Valley. Harvest of Flame Seedless, Thompson Seedless, and Perlette grapes for fresh use gained momentum in the San Joaquin Valley. Grape growers were also treating vineyards for mildew and leafhoppers. The Gala apple harvest was active as were the freestone peach, nectarine, and plum harvests. The fruits were in good condition. The Bartlett pear harvest continued in the Sacramento River delta area. Asian pear harvest was ongoing in the San Joaquin Valley. Picking of Clingstone peaches continued throughout July. Quality was good, but with small sizes. Almonds were treated for mites and navel orangeworm. Walnuts were treated for blight and codling moth. Strawberry harvest remained active on the central coast. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between July 25 and August 7 to gather information on expected yield as of August 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields (corn, cotton, and soybeans). The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-visited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 22,200 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published August 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision August 1 if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation between the August 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1980-1999 20-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain production forecast is 8.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast of 10.4 billion bushels will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 8.3 percent or approximately 861 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 14.3 percent or approximately 1.48 billion bushels. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 369 million bushels, ranging from 7 million bushels to 1.09 billion bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 10 times and above 10 times. This does not imply that the August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ------ Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 8.3 14.3 369 7 1,085 10 10 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 8.2 14.1 39 5 108 13 7 Barley :Bu : 6.4 11.4 20 5 69 11 9 Durum Wheat :Bu : 10.4 17.9 8 1 19 8 12 Other Spring :Bu : 8.5 14.8 37 3 121 10 10 Rice :Cwt : 4.7 8.1 6 0 14 14 6 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 5.7 9.9 101 19 233 8 12 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 8.4 14.6 932 34 3,911 10 10 Dry Edible Beans :Cwt : 7.4 12.7 1.1 0.0 4.2 9 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Brad Parks, Head (202) 720-2127 Rhonda Brandt - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Herman Ellison - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Jerry Ramirez - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-3250 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4488 Jeffrey Kissel - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas, Mushrooms (202) 690-0270 Keith Lacy - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. on September 12, 2000. 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