Cr Pr 2-2 (11-00) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released November 9, 2000, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Down 1 Percent from October Soybeans Down 2 Percent All Cotton Virtually Unchanged Corn for grain production is forecast at 10.1 billion bushels, down 1 percent from last month, but up 7 percent from 1999. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 137.7 bushels per acre, down 1.9 bushels from last month, but up 3.9 bushels from a year ago. If realized, this would be the largest production and second largest yield on record. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 73.0 million acres, unchanged from last month. Overall yield declines in the Corn Belt more than offset increases in the mid-Atlantic States and Missouri. Yield declines in the Corn Belt were mainly due to lower ear weights. Soybean production is forecast at record high 2.78 billion bushels, down 2 percent from October 1, but 5 percent above 1999. The yield forecast, at 38.0 bushels per acre, decreased 0.7 bushel from last month, but is 1.4 bushels above the 1999 final yield. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record 73.0 million acres, unchanged from October 1, but up 1 percent from 1999. Yield decreases in the western Corn Belt and Great Plains regions more than offset yield increases in the mid-Atlantic States and Ohio. Reduced yields in the Corn Belt were a result of lower pod counts. All cotton production is forecast at 17.5 million 480-pound bales, up marginally from last month, and up three percent from 1999. Yield is expected to average 622 pounds per harvested acre, up two pounds from last month. Lower production forecasts in Texas, Georgia, and Missouri were more than offset by increased production forecasts in Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. On October 29, U.S. harvest was 67 percent complete, compared to the 5-year average of 59 percent. This report was approved on November 9, 2000. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Richard E. Rominger Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Contents Page Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Corn for Grain, Plant Population Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . .27 Corn for Grain, Number of Ears Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Corn for Grain, Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Width . . . . .28 Corn for Grain, Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Cotton, Cumulative Boll Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 Hazelnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Lentils. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Peas, Austrian Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Peas, Dry Edible . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Potatoes, Fall Percent of Major Varieties Planted. . . . . . .18 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . .44 Rice, by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Selected Small Grains, Acres, Yield and Production . . . . . . .19 Selected Small Grains, Stocks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 Sorghum for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Soybeans, Pods with Bean Per 18 Square Feet. . . . . . . . . . .30 Soybeans, Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Tobacco, by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Tobacco, by Class and Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33 Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 Wheat, Production by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels -------- --- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 200 160 103.0 70.0 68.0 20,600 10,880 AR : 100 185 130.0 125.0 125.0 13,000 23,125 CA : 205 235 165.0 170.0 170.0 33,825 39,950 CO : 1,120 1,180 142.0 135.0 135.0 159,040 159,300 DE : 154 154 89.0 165.0 165.0 13,706 25,410 GA : 300 340 103.0 100.0 103.0 30,900 35,020 IL : 10,650 11,050 140.0 155.0 153.0 1,491,000 1,690,650 IN : 5,670 5,550 132.0 151.0 147.0 748,440 815,850 IA : 11,800 12,000 149.0 148.0 146.0 1,758,200 1,752,000 KS : 2,980 3,250 141.0 128.0 128.0 420,180 416,000 KY : 1,180 1,310 105.0 130.0 130.0 123,900 170,300 LA : 330 340 121.0 108.0 108.0 39,930 36,720 MD : 360 400 93.0 155.0 155.0 33,480 62,000 MI : 1,950 1,950 130.0 128.0 124.0 253,500 241,800 MN : 6,600 6,600 150.0 152.0 148.0 990,000 976,800 MS : 310 380 117.0 104.0 104.0 36,270 39,520 MO : 2,550 2,850 97.0 144.0 145.0 247,350 413,250 NE : 8,300 8,050 139.0 127.0 125.0 1,153,700 1,006,250 NJ : 60 75 37.0 128.0 128.0 2,220 9,600 NM : 83 75 180.0 170.0 165.0 14,940 12,375 NY : 590 530 101.0 106.0 108.0 59,590 57,240 NC : 640 660 80.0 110.0 112.0 51,200 73,920 ND : 655 950 117.0 116.0 118.0 76,635 112,100 OH : 3,200 3,300 126.0 152.0 149.0 403,200 491,700 OK : 310 290 145.0 130.0 130.0 44,950 37,700 PA : 880 1,050 70.0 129.0 129.0 61,600 135,450 SC : 275 280 70.0 70.0 70.0 19,250 19,600 SD : 3,250 3,950 113.0 108.0 108.0 367,250 426,600 TN : 570 590 102.0 109.0 112.0 58,140 66,080 TX : 1,770 1,850 129.0 132.0 128.0 228,330 236,800 VA : 280 300 78.0 140.0 140.0 21,840 42,000 WA : 100 95 180.0 185.0 185.0 18,000 17,575 WI : 2,850 2,750 143.0 136.0 132.0 407,550 363,000 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 265 280 134.4 134.2 133.5 35,621 37,377 : US : 70,537 73,009 133.8 139.6 137.7 9,437,337 10,053,942 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- 1,000 Bushels : AR : 125 140 78.0 69.0 72.0 9,750 10,080 CO : 205 190 42.0 32.0 30.0 8,610 5,700 IL : 97 85 95.0 106.0 105.0 9,215 8,925 KS : 3,400 3,100 76.0 57.0 57.0 258,400 176,700 LA : 235 205 82.0 82.0 82.0 19,270 16,810 MO : 310 270 71.0 95.0 94.0 22,010 25,380 NE : 470 470 91.0 70.0 73.0 42,770 34,310 NM : 135 60 55.0 30.0 25.0 7,425 1,500 OK : 400 350 45.0 43.0 41.0 18,000 14,350 SD : 80 100 58.0 46.0 51.0 4,640 5,100 TX : 2,950 2,500 63.0 61.0 60.0 185,850 150,000 : Oth : Sts 1/2/: 137 195 67.3 74.8 73.8 9,226 14,396 : US : 8,544 7,665 69.7 60.7 60.4 595,166 463,251 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 1999, Other States include AL, GA, KY, MS, NC, SC, and TN. 2/ For 2000, Other States include AZ, AL, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Cwt --- : AR : 1,625 1,410 5,850 6,050 6,050 95,054 85,305 CA : 505 548 7,270 7,900 8,000 36,690 43,840 LA : 616 495 5,000 4,980 4,980 30,825 24,651 MS : 323 218 5,650 6,050 6,000 18,250 13,080 MO : 184 175 5,400 5,700 5,700 9,936 9,975 TX : 259 239 5,900 6,600 6,500 15,272 15,535 : US : 3,512 3,085 5,866 6,230 6,236 206,027 192,386 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1998 : 139,328 43,404 1,711 184,443 1999 : 151,863 50,540 3,624 206,027 2000 1/ : 130,581 59,375 2,430 192,386 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated November 1, 2000, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. Potatoes: Area Planted, Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal Group: Area Planted : Area Harvested : Yield : Production and :----------------------------------------------------------------- State : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 :1999 :2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :----------- 1,000 Acres ---------- -- Cwt -- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : Total : 18.1 17.2 17.8 17.0 229 292 4,070 4,960 : Spring 1/ : Total : 86.8 82.1 84.5 80.1 300 281 25,327 22,486 : Summer 1/ : Total : 68.9 64.8 64.0 62.3 296 297 18,972 18,504 : Fall : CA : 9.0 8.7 9.0 8.7 445 430 4,005 3,741 CO : 77.2 75.8 76.9 75.6 335 370 25,762 27,972 ID : 395.0 415.0 393.0 413.0 339 369 133,330 152,320 10 SW Co : 26.0 28.0 26.0 28.0 470 490 12,220 13,720 Other ID : 369.0 387.0 367.0 385.0 330 360 121,110 138,600 IN : 5.2 4.2 4.9 4.0 270 280 1,323 1,120 ME : 65.0 64.0 62.5 64.0 285 280 17,813 17,920 MA : 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.5 255 270 740 675 MI : 48.0 49.0 47.5 47.5 315 315 14,963 14,963 MN : 70.0 66.0 53.0 60.0 340 360 18,020 21,600 MT : 11.0 11.5 10.9 11.3 305 305 3,325 3,447 NE 2/ : 21.6 26.0 21.2 24.7 420 420 8,904 10,374 NV : 6.5 7.0 6.5 7.0 440 450 2,860 3,150 NM : 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.8 380 400 2,508 2,720 NY : 26.0 22.0 25.5 21.3 265 290 6,758 6,177 ND : 121.0 124.0 110.0 110.0 240 245 26,400 26,950 OH : 4.8 4.4 4.7 4.2 210 270 987 1,134 OR : 56.0 57.0 55.5 56.5 505 481 28,020 27,200 Malheur : 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.5 440 400 4,620 4,200 Other OR : 45.5 46.5 45.0 46.0 520 500 23,400 23,000 PA : 14.5 13.5 14.0 13.0 220 270 3,080 3,510 RI : 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 225 275 135 138 SD : 3.5 3.5 3.4 2.8 290 290 986 812 UT : 2.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 290 290 580 435 WA : 170.0 175.0 170.0 175.0 560 590 95,200 103,250 WI : 86.0 86.0 85.0 84.5 400 400 34,000 33,800 WY 3/ : 0.5 0.5 295 148 Total :1,203.0 1,224.2 1,166.1 1,194.4 369 388 429,847 463,408 : US :1,376.8 1,388.3 1,332.4 1,353.8 359 376 478,216 509,358 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Summer estimates included with fall in 2000. 3/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 200 160 16.0 18.0 17.0 3,200 2,720 AR : 3,300 3,350 28.0 26.0 25.0 92,400 83,750 DE : 201 221 27.0 39.0 44.0 5,427 9,724 GA : 190 180 19.0 22.0 24.0 3,610 4,320 IL : 10,550 10,250 42.0 46.0 44.0 443,100 451,000 IN : 5,550 5,660 39.0 46.0 46.0 216,450 260,360 IA : 10,750 10,550 44.5 44.0 43.0 478,375 453,650 KS : 2,800 2,700 29.0 22.0 21.0 81,200 56,700 KY : 1,160 1,080 21.0 40.0 40.0 24,360 43,200 LA : 990 880 27.0 23.0 24.0 26,730 21,120 MD : 480 490 32.0 38.0 41.0 15,360 20,090 MI : 1,940 2,190 40.0 40.0 39.0 77,600 85,410 MN : 6,900 7,100 42.0 41.0 41.0 289,800 291,100 MS : 1,900 1,620 23.5 23.0 21.0 44,650 34,020 MO : 5,350 5,100 27.5 37.0 36.0 147,125 183,600 NE : 4,250 4,600 42.5 37.0 37.0 180,625 170,200 NJ : 98 93 24.0 36.0 40.0 2,352 3,720 NY : 128 165 37.0 36.0 34.0 4,736 5,610 NC : 1,300 1,330 23.0 30.0 31.0 29,900 41,230 ND : 1,340 2,070 35.0 33.0 33.0 46,900 68,310 OH : 4,500 4,390 36.0 43.0 44.0 162,000 193,160 OK : 360 350 19.0 21.0 18.0 6,840 6,300 PA : 350 395 29.0 42.0 42.0 10,150 16,590 SC : 450 450 20.0 24.0 24.0 9,000 10,800 SD : 4,070 4,250 36.0 35.0 34.0 146,520 144,500 TN : 1,200 1,160 19.0 27.0 26.0 22,800 30,160 TX : 380 300 27.0 30.0 30.0 10,260 9,000 VA : 440 460 27.0 35.0 39.0 11,880 17,940 WI : 1,300 1,440 46.0 42.0 40.0 59,800 57,600 : Oth : Sts 1/ 2/: 19 40 32.0 30.6 28.8 608 1,152 : US : 72,446 73,024 36.6 38.7 38.0 2,653,758 2,777,036 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 1999, Other States include FL. 2/ For 2000, Other States include FL and WV. Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 2000 : : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Pounds -------- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 206.0 195.0 2,175 1,400 1,350 448,050 263,250 FL : 94.0 80.0 2,770 2,400 2,450 260,380 196,000 GA : 544.0 507.0 2,575 2,600 2,800 1,400,800 1,419,600 NM : 22.0 22.0 2,800 2,600 2,600 61,600 57,200 NC : 124.0 125.0 2,410 2,950 2,900 298,840 362,500 OK : 79.0 80.0 2,400 2,200 1,950 189,600 156,000 SC : 11.0 11.5 2,300 3,000 3,000 25,300 34,500 TX : 280.0 300.0 3,310 2,750 2,700 926,800 810,000 VA : 76.0 75.0 2,870 3,000 2,850 218,120 213,750 : US : 1,436.0 1,395.5 2,667 2,486 2,517 3,829,490 3,512,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1998-1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 5,365.4 6,353.5 6,558.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 2000 : : State : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 :-------------------: 1999 : 2000 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 561.0 540.0 535 489 489 625.0 550.0 AZ : 269.0 279.0 1,278 1,273 1,273 716.0 740.0 AR : 960.0 950.0 714 728 738 1,428.0 1,460.0 CA : 605.0 765.0 1,254 1,286 1,286 1,580.0 2,050.0 GA : 1,300.0 1,300.0 579 598 594 1,567.0 1,610.0 LA : 610.0 700.0 709 631 638 901.0 930.0 MS : 1,180.0 1,280.0 704 638 656 1,731.0 1,750.0 MO : 377.0 400.0 601 696 660 472.0 550.0 NM : 79.0 85.0 662 734 734 109.0 130.0 NC : 825.0 930.0 475 723 748 816.0 1,450.0 OK : 150.0 200.0 461 444 444 144.0 185.0 SC : 315.0 310.0 428 604 604 281.0 390.0 TN : 565.0 570.0 505 565 606 595.0 720.0 TX : 5,100.0 4,800.0 475 440 430 5,050.0 4,300.0 VA : 108.0 109.0 635 700 722 142.8 164.0 : Oth : Sts 3/: 134.0 129.0 487 428 428 135.9 115.0 : US :13,138.0 13,347.0 595 613 615 16,293.7 17,094.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 8.9 6.0 879 848 824 16.3 10.3 CA : 239.0 144.0 1,210 1,200 1,233 602.7 370.0 NM : 7.0 6.0 734 680 680 10.7 8.5 TX : 32.0 16.0 669 810 810 44.6 27.0 : US : 286.9 172.0 1,128 1,133 1,160 674.3 415.8 : All : AL : 561.0 540.0 535 489 489 625.0 550.0 AZ : 277.9 285.0 1,265 1,264 1,264 732.3 750.3 AR : 960.0 950.0 714 728 738 1,428.0 1,460.0 CA : 844.0 909.0 1,241 1,273 1,278 2,182.7 2,420.0 GA : 1,300.0 1,300.0 579 598 594 1,567.0 1,610.0 LA : 610.0 700.0 709 631 638 901.0 930.0 MS : 1,180.0 1,280.0 704 638 656 1,731.0 1,750.0 MO : 377.0 400.0 601 696 660 472.0 550.0 NM : 86.0 91.0 668 731 731 119.7 138.5 NC : 825.0 930.0 475 723 748 816.0 1,450.0 OK : 150.0 200.0 461 444 444 144.0 185.0 SC : 315.0 310.0 428 604 604 281.0 390.0 TN : 565.0 570.0 505 565 606 595.0 720.0 TX : 5,132.0 4,816.0 477 441 431 5,094.6 4,327.0 VA : 108.0 109.0 635 700 722 142.8 164.0 : Oth : Sts 3/: 134.0 129.0 487 428 428 135.9 115.0 : US :13,424.9 13,519.0 607 620 622 16,968.0 17,509.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3/ Other States include FL and KS. Individual State level forecasts will be published in the "January Crop Production" report. Lentils: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 61.0 65.0 60.0 64.0 MT : 19.0 22.0 16.0 16.0 ND : 27.0 45.0 23.5 44.0 WA : 75.0 85.0 75.0 85.0 : US : 182.0 217.0 174.5 209.0 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Pounds ----- ----------- 1,000 Cwt ----------- : ID : 1,400 1,450 644 840 928 MT : 1,300 1,000 190 208 160 ND : 1,550 1,400 267 364 616 WA : 1,300 1,500 837 975 1,275 : US : 1,368 1,425 1,938 2,387 2,979 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 54.0 25.0 53.0 24.0 MT : 37.0 28.0 29.0 21.0 ND : 64.0 66.0 58.0 62.0 OR : 4.0 4.0 WA : 110.0 65.0 110.0 65.0 : Oth Sts 2/ : 3.6 3.6 : US : 268.6 188.0 253.6 176.0 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Pounds ----- ----------- 1,000 Cwt ----------- : ID : 1,900 1,900 1,139 1,007 456 MT : 1,400 900 666 406 189 ND : 1,900 2,170 1,766 1,102 1,345 OR : 2,500 100 WA : 2,020 2,100 2,344 2,222 1,365 : Oth Sts 2/ : 1,000 19 36 : US : 1,882 1,963 5,934 4,773 3,455 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. 2/ NV and OR. Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 5.0 4.0 4.0 3.7 OR : 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.4 : US : 6.1 5.2 4.4 4.1 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Pounds ----- ---------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : ID : 1,400 1,810 98 56 67 OR : 1,000 2,000 6 4 8 : US : 1,364 1,829 104 60 75 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : CT : 3,040 1,700 1,799 1,182 4,276 5,470 2,009 FL : 5,800 4,900 2,640 2,450 17,102 15,312 12,005 GA : 33,000 30,000 1,940 2,310 90,200 64,020 69,300 IN : 6,500 3,800 1,800 2,100 17,000 11,700 7,980 KY : 221,650 137,500 1,843 2,169 443,628 408,492 298,170 MD : 6,500 6,000 1,400 1,550 9,100 9,100 9,300 MA : 1,320 550 1,763 815 1,788 2,327 448 MO 1/ : 2,300 1,400 2,015 2,180 5,751 4,635 3,052 NC : 207,800 175,800 2,161 2,479 551,730 448,980 435,870 OH : 9,800 7,500 1,740 1,810 17,934 17,052 13,575 PA : 6,200 5,100 1,802 1,997 15,720 11,170 10,185 SC : 39,000 34,000 2,000 2,300 92,250 78,000 78,200 TN : 63,170 54,190 1,941 2,170 111,100 122,601 117,592 VA : 38,300 27,400 2,320 2,361 95,898 88,855 64,680 WV 1/ : 1,600 1,500 1,350 1,600 2,160 2,160 2,400 WI : 1,180 920 2,388 2,100 4,230 2,818 1,932 : US : 647,160 492,260 1,997 2,289 1,479,867 1,292,692 1,126,698 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 55,000 45,000 2,400 2,500 132,000 112,500 VA : 26,000 17,000 2,420 2,500 62,920 42,500 US : 81,000 62,000 2,406 2,500 194,920 155,000 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 119,000 102,000 2,100 2,550 249,900 260,100 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 26,000 21,000 2,100 2,400 54,600 50,400 SC : 39,000 34,000 2,000 2,300 78,000 78,200 US : 65,000 55,000 2,040 2,338 132,600 128,600 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 5,800 4,900 2,640 2,450 15,312 12,005 GA : 33,000 30,000 1,940 2,310 64,020 69,300 US : 38,800 34,900 2,045 2,330 79,332 81,305 Total 11-14 : 303,800 253,900 2,162 2,462 656,752 625,005 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,600 1,300 1,670 1,700 2,672 2,210 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 3,750 4,000 2,350 2,700 8,813 10,800 TN : 7,000 7,900 2,280 2,500 15,960 19,750 US : 10,750 11,900 2,304 2,567 24,773 30,550 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,500 3,800 2,630 3,250 9,205 12,350 TN : 570 630 2,500 3,000 1,425 1,890 US : 4,070 4,430 2,612 3,214 10,630 14,240 Total 21-23 : 16,420 17,630 2,319 2,666 38,075 47,000 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 6,500 3,800 1,800 2,100 11,700 7,980 KY : 210,000 125,000 1,810 2,100 380,100 262,500 MO 1/ : 2,300 1,400 2,015 2,180 4,635 3,052 NC : 7,800 7,800 1,600 1,650 12,480 12,870 OH : 9,800 7,500 1,740 1,810 17,052 13,575 TN : 55,000 45,000 1,890 2,100 103,950 94,500 VA : 10,600 9,000 2,180 2,200 23,108 19,800 WV 1/ : 1,600 1,500 1,350 1,600 2,160 2,400 US : 303,600 201,000 1,829 2,073 555,185 416,677 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 6,500 6,000 1,400 1,550 9,100 9,300 PA : 3,000 2,700 1,750 1,950 5,250 5,265 US : 9,500 8,700 1,511 1,674 14,350 14,565 Total 31-32 : 313,100 209,700 1,819 2,056 569,535 431,242 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 1999 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- --- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark Air-cured: Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,850 3,000 2,370 2,700 6,755 8,100 TN : 600 660 2,110 2,200 1,266 1,452 US : 3,450 3,660 2,325 2,610 8,021 9,552 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,550 1,700 2,335 2,600 3,619 4,420 Type 37, VA Sun-cured : Belt : VA : 100 100 1,550 1,700 155 170 Total 35-37 : 5,100 5,460 2,313 2,590 11,795 14,142 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 3,200 2,400 1,850 2,050 5,920 4,920 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,530 600 1,650 965 2,525 579 MA : 970 300 1,695 660 1,644 198 US : 2,500 900 1,668 863 4,169 777 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI : WI : 890 690 2,530 2,200 2,252 1,518 Type 55, Northern WI : WI : 290 230 1,952 1,800 566 414 Total 54-55 : 1,180 920 2,388 2,100 2,818 1,932 Total 51-55 : 3,680 1,820 1,899 1,488 6,987 2,709 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper : Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 1,510 1,100 1,950 1,300 2,945 1,430 MA : 350 250 1,951 1,000 683 250 US : 1,860 1,350 1,951 1,244 3,628 1,680 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 8,740 5,570 1,892 1,671 16,535 9,309 : All Tobacco : 647,160 492,260 1,997 2,289 1,292,692 1,126,698 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : CA : 108.0 96.0 32.0 33.5 2,723 3,456 3,216 CO : 68.5 54.7 21.3 21.8 1,301 1,459 1,192 ID : 210.0 195.0 24.3 29.1 5,501 5,103 5,675 MI : 190.0 175.0 18.6 19.5 2,768 3,534 3,413 MN : 470.0 434.0 20.1 21.6 9,710 9,447 9,374 MT : 61.7 55.3 23.8 23.9 1,410 1,468 1,322 NE : 66.2 58.3 19.0 20.3 934 1,258 1,183 ND : 247.0 231.0 20.8 22.0 5,386 5,138 5,082 OH : 1.7 0.6 19.5 20.0 19 33 12 OR : 19.7 13.8 25.1 30.8 471 494 425 WA : 27.4 27.2 30.1 32.4 1,192 825 881 WY : 57.1 56.8 21.1 20.7 1,084 1,205 1,176 : US : 1,527.3 1,397.7 21.9 23.6 32,499 33,420 32,951 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : FL : 460.0 454.0 35.0 35.2 17,925 16,100 15,975 HI : 37.3 35.4 79.4 77.0 2,798 2,960 2,726 LA : 465.0 490.0 32.7 31.0 12,920 15,206 15,190 TX : 31.0 46.6 33.3 37.5 1,064 1,033 1,749 : US : 993.3 1,026.0 35.5 34.7 34,707 35,299 35,640 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Hazelnuts: Utilized Production, In-shell Basis, by State and United States, 1998-99 and Forecasted November 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : OR : 15,400 39,700 24,800 WA 1/ : 100 300 200 : US : 15,500 40,000 25,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimate for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Sep : 3,245 2,755 1,615 1,610 3,480 3,640 Oct : 3,225 2,710 1,620 1,580 3,520 4,210 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fall Potatoes: Percent of Varieties Planted, 2000 Crop The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts variety surveys in 8 States, accounting for 89 percent of the forecasted U. S. fall potato production. Colorado data are from a growers potato variety survey. The remaining 7 States conduct Objective Yield Surveys where all producing areas were sampled in proportion to planted acreage. Variety data shown below are actual percentages from these surveys. Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted, Selected States and 8 States Total, 2000 Crop ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ State :Pct. of :: State :Pct. of :: State :Pct. of and :Planted :: and :Planted :: and :Planted Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CO : :: Yukon Gold : 1.4 :: R Norkotah : 17.7 R Norkotah : 49.3 :: NorValley : 1.1 :: Snowden : 9.9 R Nugget : 21.4 :: Kennebec : 1.0 :: Norland : 9.8 Centennial R : 9.9 :: Other : 9.3 :: Goldrush : 9.7 Yukon Gold : 3.7 :: Total : 100.0 :: Frito-Lay : 9.4 Cherry Red : 2.3 :: : :: Superior : 4.7 Sangre : 1.8 :: ND : :: Pike : 4.3 Keystone R : 1.0 :: R Burbank : 42.2 :: Atlantic : 3.5 Other : 10.6 :: NorValley : 15.1 :: Other : 4.4 Total : 100.0 :: Shepody : 11.4 :: Total : 100.0 : :: Frito-Lay : 8.1 :: : ID : :: Norland : 7.2 :: Total(8 States): R Burbank : 74.9 :: La Soda : 4.2 :: R Burbank : 48.4 R Norkotah : 8.0 :: Goldrush : 3.2 :: R Norkotah : 12.6 Ranger R : 7.7 :: Snowden : 1.6 :: Ranger R : 6.9 Shepody : 3.9 :: La Rouge : 1.3 :: Shepody : 5.8 Umatilla R : 1.3 :: Viking : 1.0 :: Umatilla R : 3.7 Other : 4.2 :: Other : 4.7 :: Norland : 3.1 Total : 100.0 :: Total : 100.0 :: Frito-Lay : 2.5 : :: : :: NorValley : 1.9 ME : :: OR : :: R Nugget : 1.5 R Burbank : 33.7 :: R Burbank : 32.7 :: Goldrush : 1.3 Frito-Lay : 11.1 :: R Norkotah : 27.8 :: Snowden : 1.2 Shepody : 11.1 :: Ranger R : 11.2 :: Atlantic : 0.8 Ontario : 9.2 :: Shepody : 9.8 :: Superior : 0.7 Superior : 5.7 :: Umatilla R : 3.1 :: Centennial R : 0.7 R Norkotah : 4.0 :: Snowden : 2.1 :: La Soda : 0.7 Atlantic : 2.8 :: Atlantic : 2.1 :: Ontario : 0.6 Norwis : 2.6 :: NorValley : 1.8 :: Pontiac : 0.5 Kennebec : 2.3 :: Frito-Lay : 1.8 :: Yukon Gold : 0.5 Snowden : 2.2 :: Frontier R : 1.2 :: Pike : 0.3 Yukon Gold : 2.2 :: Other : 6.4 :: Chieftain : 0.3 Chieftain : 2.2 :: Total : 100.0 :: Kennebec : 0.2 Katahdin : 1.7 :: : :: Cascade : 0.2 Norland : 1.3 :: WA : :: Cherry Red : 0.2 Other : 7.9 :: R Burbank : 33.7 :: Norwis : 0.2 Total : 100.0 :: Ranger R : 20.2 :: La Rouge : 0.2 : :: R Norkotah : 17.2 :: Sangre : 0.1 MN : :: Umatilla R : 12.3 :: Katahdin : 0.1 R Burbank : 45.0 :: Shepody : 10.8 :: Keystone R : 0.1 Norland : 23.6 :: Chieftain : 1.2 :: Frontier R : 0.1 Pontiac : 8.1 :: Other : 4.6 :: Other : 4.6 Atlantic : 3.2 :: Total : 100.0 :: Total : 100.0 La Soda : 3.0 :: : :: : Cascade : 2.7 :: WI : :: : Goldrush : 1.6 :: R Burbank : 26.6 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Selected Small Grains: Area Planted, Selected States and United States, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : Maine : North Dakota : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 32 600 4,477 Barley : 22 1,900 5,844 All Wheat : 10,170 62,529 Winter : 120 43,348 Durum : 3,250 3,937 Other Spring : 6,800 15,244 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Small Grains 2000 Summary" released September 29, 2000. Selected Small Grains: Area Harvested, Selected States and United States, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : Maine : North Dakota : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 30 315 2,324 Barley : 21 1,770 5,201 All Wheat : 9,413 53,028 Winter : 113 35,022 Durum : 2,900 3,572 Other Spring : 6,400 14,434 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Small Grains 2000 Summary" released September 29, 2000. Selected Small Grains: Yield, Selected States and United States, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : Maine : North Dakota : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Bushels : Oats : 70.0 63.0 64.2 Barley : 70.0 55.0 61.1 All Wheat : 33.3 41.9 Winter : 45.0 44.6 Durum : 27.0 30.7 Other Spring : 36.0 38.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Small Grains 2000 Summary" released September 29, 2000. Selected Small Grains: Production, Selected States and United States, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : Maine : North Dakota : United States -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : Oats : 2,100 19,845 149,195 Barley : 1,470 97,350 317,865 All Wheat : 313,785 2,223,440 Winter : 5,085 1,562,733 Durum : 78,300 109,805 Other Spring : 230,400 550,902 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Small Grains 2000 Summary" released September 29, 2000. Selected Small Grains: Stocks by Position, Selected States and United States, September 1, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On : Off : Total All State : Farms : Farms 2/ : Positions -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Oats : : 1,000 Bushels : ND : 14,000 1,110 15,110 US : 100,900 49,157 150,057 :----------------------------------------------------------- : Barley :----------------------------------------------------------- ND : 48,000 27,600 75,600 US : 149,700 142,151 291,851 :----------------------------------------------------------- : Durum Wheat 3/ :----------------------------------------------------------- ND : 71,000 14,600 85,600 US : 85,700 37,973 123,673 :----------------------------------------------------------- : All Wheat :----------------------------------------------------------- ND : 225,000 79,700 304,700 US : 807,690 1,542,929 2,350,619 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Grains Stocks" released September 29, 2000. 2/ Included stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, and processors. 3/ Included in all wheat. Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1998-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 1998 :1,179,452 442,677 258,604 486,370 42,099 138,119 2,547,321 1999 :1,050,747 454,261 191,572 447,908 55,200 99,322 2,299,010 2000 : 843,664 470,866 248,203 498,485 52,417 109,805 2,223,440 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data available. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1999-2000 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,194.0 5,844.0 4,734.0 5,201.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 77,431.0 79,579.0 70,537.0 73,009.0 Corn for Silage : 6,062.0 Hay, All : 63,160.0 61,591.0 Alfalfa : 23,985.0 23,317.0 All Other : 39,175.0 38,274.0 Oats : 4,673.0 4,477.0 2,453.0 2,324.0 Proso Millet : 600.0 450.0 540.0 Rice : 3,531.0 3,110.0 3,512.0 3,085.0 Rye : 1,582.0 1,335.0 383.0 302.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,288.0 9,005.0 8,544.0 7,665.0 Sorghum for Silage : 320.0 Wheat, All : 62,714.0 62,529.0 53,823.0 53,028.0 Winter : 43,331.0 43,348.0 35,486.0 35,022.0 Durum : 4,035.0 3,937.0 3,569.0 3,572.0 Other Spring : 15,348.0 15,244.0 14,768.0 14,434.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,076.0 1,503.0 1,044.0 1,459.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 387.0 593.0 382.0 575.0 Mustard Seed : 60.8 54.0 58.8 52.4 Peanuts : 1,534.5 1,495.0 1,436.0 1,395.5 Rapeseed : 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.4 Safflower : 275.0 224.0 262.0 209.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,730.0 74,501.0 72,446.0 73,024.0 Sunflower : 3,553.0 2,866.0 3,441.0 2,775.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 14,873.5 15,532.0 13,424.9 13,519.0 Upland : 14,584.0 15,350.0 13,138.0 13,347.0 Amer-Pima : 289.5 182.0 286.9 172.0 Sugarbeets : 1,560.6 1,560.9 1,527.3 1,397.7 Sugarcane : 993.3 1,026.0 Tobacco : 647.2 492.3 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 6.1 5.2 4.4 4.1 Dry Edible Beans : 2,023.0 1,740.9 1,877.0 1,579.4 Dry Edible Peas : 268.6 188.0 253.6 176.0 Lentils : 182.0 217.0 174.5 209.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.4 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.4 0.3 Hops : 34.3 36.4 Peppermint Oil : 106.3 Potatoes, All : 1,376.8 1,388.3 1,332.4 1,353.8 Winter : 18.1 17.2 17.8 17.0 Spring : 86.8 82.1 84.5 80.1 Summer : 68.9 64.8 64.0 62.3 Fall : 1,203.0 1,224.2 1,166.1 1,194.4 Spearmint Oil : 24.4 Sweet Potatoes : 93.8 96.1 83.1 93.3 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1999-2000 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 59.2 61.1 280,292 317,865 Corn for Grain : " : 133.8 137.7 9,437,337 10,053,942 Corn for Silage : Ton : 15.9 96,169 Hay, All : " : 2.52 2.48 159,077 152,651 Alfalfa : " : 3.50 3.43 83,924 79,971 All Other : " : 1.92 1.90 75,153 72,680 Oats : Bu : 59.6 64.2 146,193 149,195 Proso Millet : " : 33.2 17,910 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 5,866 6,236 206,027 192,386 Rye : Bu : 28.8 28.5 11,038 8,619 Sorghum for Grain : " : 69.7 60.4 595,166 463,251 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 11.6 3,716 Wheat, All : Bu : 42.7 41.9 2,299,010 2,223,440 Winter : " : 47.8 44.6 1,696,580 1,562,733 Durum : " : 27.8 30.7 99,322 109,805 Other Spring : " : 34.1 38.2 503,108 550,902 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,306 1,313 1,363,680 1,915,825 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,354 6,558 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.6 7,880 Mustard Seed : Lb : 816 48,010 Peanuts : " : 2,667 2,517 3,829,490 3,512,800 Rapeseed : " : 1,155 5,080 Safflower : " : 1,545 404,715 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 36.6 38.0 2,653,758 2,777,036 Sunflower : Lb : 1,262 1,338 4,341,862 3,712,457 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 607 622 16,968.0 17,509.8 Upland 2/ : " : 595 615 16,293.7 17,094.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,128 1,160 674.3 415.8 Sugarbeets : Ton : 21.9 23.6 33,420 32,951 Sugarcane : " : 35.5 34.7 35,299 35,640 Tobacco : Lb : 1,997 2,289 1,292,692 1,126,698 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,364 1,829 60 75 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,770 1,621 33,230 25,603 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,882 1,963 4,773 3,455 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,368 1,425 2,387 2,979 Wrinkled Seed Peas : " : 658 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,560 10,000 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 46,000 50,000 16,100 13,500 Hops : " : 1,881 1,876 64,456 68,288 Peppermint Oil : " : 71 7,537 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 359 376 478,216 509,358 Winter : " : 229 292 4,070 4,960 Spring : " : 300 281 25,327 22,486 Summer : " : 296 297 18,972 18,504 Fall : " : 369 388 429,847 463,408 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 101 2,454 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 147 12,234 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1999-2001 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,513 2,758 2,646 K-Early Citrus (FL) : " : 4 5 3 Lemons : " : 747 863 935 Oranges : " : 9,824 13,113 13,138 Tangelos (FL) : " : 115 99 95 Tangerines : " : 327 451 406 Temples (FL) : " : 81 88 81 : : Non-Citrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 10,579.6 10,677.1 Apricots : Ton : 90.5 101.9 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 24,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,230.4 7,487.1 Olives (CA) : " : 145.0 75.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 42,400.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,525.4 2,677.1 Pears : Ton : 1,020.5 1,001.1 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 178.0 200.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 23.3 21.7 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 830,000 640,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 40.0 25.0 Pecans : Lb : 406,100 216,100 Pistachios 3/ : " : 123,000 207,600 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 283.0 245.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,188 1,231 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 1998-99, 1999-00, and 2000-01. 3/ AZ added to estimating program in 2000. Prior to 2000, estimates are for CA only. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1999-2000 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,101,960 2,365,010 1,915,800 2,104,790 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,335,550 32,204,830 28,545,620 29,546,010 Corn for Silage : 2,453,230 Hay, All 3/ : 25,560,220 24,925,260 Alfalfa : 9,706,490 9,436,160 All Other : 15,853,730 15,489,110 Oats : 1,891,120 1,811,800 992,700 940,500 Proso Millet : 242,810 182,110 218,530 Rice : 1,428,960 1,258,590 1,421,270 1,248,470 Rye : 640,220 540,260 155,000 122,220 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,758,760 3,644,230 3,457,670 3,101,950 Sorghum for Silage : 129,500 Wheat, All 3/ :25,379,730 25,304,860 21,781,630 21,459,900 Winter :17,535,620 17,542,500 14,360,830 14,173,050 Durum : 1,632,920 1,593,260 1,444,340 1,445,550 Other Spring : 6,211,180 6,169,090 5,976,460 5,841,300 : Oilseeds : Canola : 435,450 608,250 422,500 590,440 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 156,620 239,980 154,590 232,700 Mustard Seed : 24,610 21,850 23,800 21,210 Peanuts : 621,000 605,010 581,130 564,740 Rapeseed : 1,860 1,820 1,780 1,780 Safflower : 111,290 90,650 106,030 84,580 Soybeans for Beans :29,837,790 30,149,810 29,318,170 29,552,080 Sunflower : 1,437,860 1,159,840 1,392,540 1,123,010 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 6,019,160 6,285,650 5,432,920 5,471,000 Upland : 5,902,000 6,211,990 5,316,820 5,401,400 Amer-Pima : 117,160 73,650 116,110 69,610 Sugarbeets : 631,560 631,680 618,080 565,640 Sugarcane : 401,980 415,210 Tobacco : 261,900 199,210 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 2,470 2,100 1,780 1,660 Dry Edible Beans : 818,690 704,520 759,600 639,170 Dry Edible Peas : 108,700 76,080 102,630 71,230 Lentils : 73,650 87,820 70,620 84,580 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,590 Ginger Root (HI) : 140 110 Hops : 13,860 14,730 Peppermint Oil : 43,020 Potatoes, All 3/ : 557,180 561,830 539,210 547,870 Winter : 7,320 6,960 7,200 6,880 Spring : 35,130 33,230 34,200 32,420 Summer : 27,880 26,220 25,900 25,210 Fall : 486,840 495,420 471,910 483,360 Spearmint Oil : 9,870 Sweet Potatoes : 37,960 38,890 33,630 37,760 Taro (HI) 4/ : 200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 1999-2000 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.19 3.29 6,102,640 6,920,690 Corn for Grain : 8.40 8.64 239,719,400 255,381,890 Corn for Silage : 35.56 87,243,050 Hay, All 2/ : 5.65 5.56 144,312,230 138,482,660 Alfalfa : 7.84 7.69 76,134,570 72,548,470 All Other : 4.30 4.26 68,177,650 65,934,190 Oats : 2.14 2.30 2,121,990 2,165,560 Proso Millet : 1.86 406,190 Rice : 6.58 6.99 9,345,230 8,726,480 Rye : 1.81 1.79 280,380 218,930 Sorghum for Grain : 4.37 3.79 15,117,910 11,767,120 Sorghum for Silage : 26.03 3,371,100 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.87 2.82 62,568,800 60,512,120 Winter : 3.22 3.00 46,173,340 42,530,620 Durum : 1.87 2.07 2,703,100 2,988,400 Other Spring : 2.29 2.57 13,692,360 14,993,100 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.46 1.47 618,550 869,000 Cottonseed 3/ : 5,763,800 5,949,500 Flaxseed : 1.29 200,160 Mustard Seed : 0.92 21,780 Peanuts : 2.99 2.82 1,737,030 1,593,380 Rapeseed : 1.29 2,300 Safflower : 1.73 183,580 Soybeans for Beans : 2.46 2.56 72,223,460 75,578,530 Sunflower : 1.41 1.50 1,969,440 1,683,940 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.68 0.70 3,694,350 3,812,310 Upland : 0.67 0.69 3,547,540 3,721,780 Amer-Pima : 1.26 1.30 146,810 90,530 Sugarbeets : 49.05 52.85 30,318,110 29,892,640 Sugarcane : 79.66 77.87 32,022,710 32,332,060 Tobacco : 2.24 2.57 586,360 511,060 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.53 2.05 2,720 3,400 Dry Edible Beans : 1.98 1.82 1,507,290 1,161,330 Dry Edible Peas : 2.11 2.20 216,500 156,720 Lentils : 1.53 1.60 108,270 135,130 Wrinkled Seed Peas : 29,850 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.75 4,540 Ginger Root (HI) : 51.56 56.04 7,300 6,120 Hops : 2.11 2.10 29,240 30,980 Peppermint Oil : 0.08 3,420 Potatoes, All 2/ : 40.23 42.17 21,691,510 23,104,090 Winter : 25.63 32.70 184,610 224,980 Spring : 33.59 31.46 1,148,810 1,019,950 Summer : 33.23 33.29 860,560 839,330 Fall : 41.32 43.49 19,497,530 21,019,830 Spearmint Oil : 0.11 1,110 Sweet Potatoes : 16.50 554,920 Taro (HI) 3/ : 3,080 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2000 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1999-2001 (Metric Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,279,760 2,502,020 2,400,410 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 3,630 4,540 2,720 Lemons : 677,670 782,900 848,220 Oranges : 8,912,180 11,895,910 11,918,590 Tangelos (FL) : 104,330 89,810 86,180 Tangerines : 296,650 409,140 368,320 Temples (FL) : 73,480 79,830 73,480 : Non-Citrus : Apples : 4,798,830 4,843,050 Apricots : 82,100 92,440 Bananas (HI) : 11,110 Grapes : 5,652,090 6,792,160 Olives (CA) : 131,540 68,040 Papayas (HI) : 19,230 Peaches : 1,145,500 1,214,310 Pears : 925,740 908,180 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 161,480 181,440 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 21,140 19,690 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 376,480 290,300 Hazelnuts : 36,290 22,680 Pecans : 184,200 98,020 Pistachios 3/ : 55,790 94,170 Walnuts (CA) : 256,730 222,260 Maple Syrup : 5,940 6,150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 1998-99, 1999-00, and 2000-01. 3/ AZ added to estimating program in 2000. Prior to 2000, estimates are for CA only. Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 7 major corn producing States during 2000. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre, Selected States, 1996-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Sep : 24,350 25,000 25,550 25,750 25,800 : Nov : 24,200 24,900 25,400 25,650 25,800 : : IN : Sep : 23,550 23,700 24,350 25,250 25,050 : Nov : 23,500 23,800 24,300 25,100 25,150 : : IA : Sep : 25,000 25,700 25,700 25,850 26,500 : Nov : 24,950 25,500 25,600 25,900 26,300 : : MN : Sep : 26,500 26,300 27,750 26,750 27,500 : Nov : 26,600 26,600 27,650 26,800 27,150 : : NE : Sep : 22,750 22,850 23,350 23,200 23,700 : Nov : 22,700 22,850 23,050 23,100 23,400 : : OH : Sep : 23,100 23,450 25,350 25,000 25,200 : Nov : 22,750 23,500 25,450 25,000 24,800 : : WI : Sep : 24,800 24,750 26,600 26,050 26,550 : Nov : 24,900 24,800 25,850 26,200 26,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre, Selected States, 1996-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State :Month: 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Oct : 23,700 23,500 24,300 24,950 25,450 : Nov : 23,600 23,400 24,300 24,850 25,450 : : IN : Oct : 22,750 22,150 23,450 23,950 24,550 : Nov : 22,700 22,150 23,350 23,900 24,650 : : IA : Oct : 24,350 24,600 24,250 25,300 25,600 : Nov : 24,250 24,550 24,300 25,300 25,650 : : MN : Oct : 26,400 26,150 27,550 26,700 27,350 : Nov : 26,450 25,900 27,550 26,650 27,250 : : NE : Oct : 22,600 21,900 22,500 22,650 22,750 : Nov : 22,550 21,900 22,500 22,600 22,700 : : OH : Oct : 22,300 22,500 24,800 24,100 24,250 : Nov : 22,000 22,300 25,000 24,050 23,950 : : WI : Oct : 24,250 24,350 24,950 25,700 25,500 : Nov : 24,650 24,300 24,850 25,700 25,550 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain: Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths, Selected States, 1996-2000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Row Width (inches) State :Year :--------------------------------------------------------------- : : Less than : : : : More than : : 30 : 30 : 36 : 38 : 38 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : 1996: 198 29 25 1 : 1997: 1 223 36 20 1 : 1998: 3 215 35 26 : 1999: 2 221 34 16 1 : 2000: 225 33 16 : : IN : 1996: 119 23 4 : 1997: 149 25 5 : 1998: 2 143 19 8 : 1999: 1 147 17 7 : 2000: 4 140 18 7 : : IA : 1996: 2 183 24 69 : 1997: 1 200 32 59 : 1998: 2 208 24 54 : 1999: 1 215 30 52 : 2000: 3 214 27 41 : : MN : 1996: 3 121 22 18 1 : 1997: 10 126 21 16 : 1998: 9 127 26 13 1 : 1999: 18 124 14 14 1 : 2000: 14 127 18 7 : : NE : 1996: 116 91 20 1 : 1997: 135 92 18 : 1998: 1 140 84 8 : 1999: 1 148 73 12 1 : 2000: 3 156 74 9 : : OH : 1996: 1 84 9 5 2 : 1997: 1 99 10 7 1 : 1998: 2 104 6 8 1 : 1999: 110 6 4 : 2000: 1 108 11 1 : : WI : 1996: 1 45 17 19 2 : 1997: 2 50 14 36 1 : 1998: 3 58 8 26 : 1999: 60 8 25 2 : 2000: 2 57 9 21 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width, Selected States, 1996-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Row Width (inches) : State :Year : Number :----------------------------------------------:Average : : of : 20.5 : 20.6- :30.6- :34.6- : 36.6- : 38.6 & : Row : :Samples :or less: 30.5 : 34.5 : 36.5 : 38.5 :Greater : Width -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number ----------------- Percent ---------------- Inches : : IL : 1996: 257 63.4 14.4 10.9 9.3 2.0 31.7 : 1997: 270 61.4 17.8 11.9 7.4 1.5 31.6 : 1998: 267 64.5 14.6 9.7 10.5 0.7 31.5 : 1999: 269 0.4 63.6 18.6 7.4 9.3 0.7 31.4 : 2000: 273 65.6 16.8 10.3 6.2 1.1 31.3 : : IN : 1996: 146 60.3 21.2 8.9 7.5 2.1 31.5 : 1997: 169 67.4 16.6 9.5 4.7 1.8 31.3 : 1998: 168 1.2 57.7 25.0 9.5 5.4 1.2 31.2 : 1999: 161 62.7 23.0 5.0 6.8 2.5 31.3 : 2000: 158 1.9 67.7 14.6 7.0 8.2 0.6 31.0 : : IA : 1996: 281 47.3 19.2 7.5 19.6 6.4 32.7 : 1997: 281 0.7 48.8 19.2 8.2 19.9 3.2 32.5 : 1998: 275 0.4 53.1 19.6 8.0 13.8 5.1 32.1 : 1999: 286 53.6 17.1 9.8 12.9 6.6 32.5 : 2000: 279 0.7 56.3 18.6 6.8 15.8 1.8 31.9 : : MN : 1996: 165 60.6 13.9 13.9 7.9 3.7 31.8 : 1997: 167 0.6 58.6 17.4 10.2 11.4 1.8 31.4 : 1998: 169 0.6 62.0 17.2 10.1 7.7 2.4 31.1 : 1999: 162 63.5 19.8 4.3 9.3 3.1 30.6 : 2000: 164 2.4 62.3 20.1 6.1 7.3 1.8 30.5 : : NE : 1996: 234 38.0 11.6 35.0 12.8 2.6 33.4 : 1997: 230 37.4 17.0 30.4 13.5 1.7 33.1 : 1998: 224 0.4 41.1 17.9 27.2 12.1 1.3 32.8 : 1999: 227 0.4 43.3 19.8 23.3 11.0 2.2 32.6 : 2000: 224 0.4 52.3 15.6 22.3 9.4 32.1 : : OH : 1996: 101 64.4 17.8 5.9 9.9 2.0 31.4 : 1997: 113 0.9 62.8 18.6 8.0 4.4 5.3 31.5 : 1998: 116 0.9 73.3 15.5 1.7 5.2 3.4 30.9 : 1999: 111 65.8 28.8 1.8 3.6 30.6 : 2000: 116 70.7 19.0 5.2 4.3 0.8 30.9 : : WI : 1996: 84 1.2 33.3 23.8 6.0 23.8 11.9 33.5 : 1997: 91 1.1 28.5 16.5 13.2 28.6 12.1 34.0 : 1998: 83 1.2 49.4 14.5 4.8 24.1 6.0 32.5 : 1999: 85 40.0 21.2 9.4 20.0 9.4 33.1 : 2000: 86 2.3 38.4 25.6 8.1 16.3 9.3 32.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Soybeans: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 8 soybean producing States during 2000. Randomly selected plots of soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet, Selected States, 1996-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep 1/: : Nov : 1,521 2,098 1,640 1,483 1,859 : Final : 1,481 1,956 1,613 1,346 : : IL : Sep : 1,505 1,828 2,087 1,917 2,162 : Nov : 1,573 1,708 1,902 1,788 2,020 : Final : 1,581 1,708 1,906 1,787 : : IN : Sep : 1,416 1,622 1,883 1,771 1,917 : Nov : 1,470 1,532 1,709 1,622 1,784 : Final : 1,457 1,532 1,709 1,622 : : IA : Sep : 1,654 1,894 1,914 2,142 1,830 : Nov : 1,463 1,458 1,745 1,894 1,660 : Final : 1,463 1,461 1,748 1,878 : : MN : Sep : 1,543 1,585 1,598 1,612 1,607 : Nov : 1,487 1,506 1,450 1,563 1,507 : Final : 1,487 1,506 1,442 1,565 : : MO : Sep : 1,491 1,539 1,847 1,242 1,974 : Nov : 1,688 1,591 1,878 1,508 1,782 : Final : 1,655 1,650 1,931 1,525 : : NE : Sep : 1,715 1,716 1,849 1,877 1,795 : Nov : 1,514 1,345 1,810 1,872 1,619 : Final : 1,514 1,342 1,810 1,872 : : OH : Sep : 1,452 1,711 1,887 1,699 1,893 : Nov : 1,378 1,485 1,710 1,494 1,685 : Final : 1,383 1,467 1,710 1,494 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Not available due to plant immaturity. Soybeans: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Width, Selected States, 1996-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Row Width (inches) : State :Year : Number :--------------------------------------------: Average : : of : 10.0 & : 10.1- : 18.6- : 28.6- : 34.6 & : Row : :Samples :less 1/ : 18.5 : 28.5 : 34.5 :Greater : Width 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number ---------------- Percent --------------- Inches : : AR : 1996: 124 35.4 6.5 19.0 26.2 12.9 21.6 : 1997: 126 42.9 13.5 19.4 17.5 6.7 18.0 : 1998: 124 30.8 13.9 25.8 20.5 9.0 20.1 : 1999: 118 31.1 18.7 26.8 16.6 6.8 19.3 : 2000: 109 45.4 13.3 17.9 19.3 4.1 17.1 : : IL : 1996: 202 53.2 15.2 2.2 25.5 3.9 16.0 : 1997: 211 55.2 18.5 3.1 21.1 2.1 15.1 : 1998: 205 54.5 17.8 2.0 22.0 3.7 15.5 : 1999: 219 44.3 31.6 3.0 16.5 4.6 15.8 : 2000: 214 44.6 36.2 0.9 16.4 1.9 14.9 : : IN : 1996: 147 69.4 11.2 2.1 14.6 2.7 13.0 : 1997: 148 59.3 15.6 4.8 14.9 5.4 14.4 : 1998: 160 62.1 18.8 1.9 15.3 1.9 13.4 : 1999: 148 68.9 19.9 0.4 8.8 2.0 11.7 : 2000: 143 73.1 17.8 2.1 7.0 10.9 : : IA : 1996: 216 28.3 12.3 5.1 42.2 12.1 24.4 : 1997: 211 25.1 19.2 4.0 42.0 9.7 22.3 : 1998: 217 21.7 22.1 7.1 41.0 8.1 22.1 : 1999: 224 18.4 25.7 7.4 41.8 6.7 22.6 : 2000: 205 19.6 25.2 7.8 43.5 3.9 21.9 : : MN : 1996: 101 30.8 11.9 10.5 38.8 8.0 21.0 : 1997: 97 27.8 28.9 5.1 36.1 2.1 18.8 : 1998: 105 17.6 21.0 15.7 43.8 1.9 22.0 : 1999: 100 22.1 26.1 12.1 33.7 6.0 20.4 : 2000: 145 23.7 19.5 12.1 42.6 2.1 20.8 : : M0 : 1996: 125 48.4 19.2 4.4 20.4 7.6 16.7 : 1997: 118 47.3 30.1 5.0 11.7 5.9 15.4 : 1998: 125 49.6 26.4 3.6 14.0 6.4 15.6 : 1999: 126 40.9 34.1 6.7 14.3 4.0 15.6 : 2000: 122 34.0 40.6 8.2 15.6 1.6 15.8 : : NE : 1996: 74 21.0 11.5 4.7 40.5 22.3 25.3 : 1997: 74 26.3 13.5 4.1 34.5 21.6 23.6 : 1998: 96 16.1 18.8 4.2 38.0 22.9 25.2 : 1999: 86 13.4 23.8 5.2 40.7 16.9 24.2 : 2000: 82 17.1 26.8 6.1 34.1 15.9 23.0 : : OH : 1996: 121 69.5 23.5 1.2 5.8 10.6 : 1997: 122 71.3 17.6 2.9 7.4 0.8 11.4 : 1998: 127 74.0 15.3 2.8 7.1 0.8 10.8 : 1999: 125 78.0 15.6 1.6 4.0 0.8 10.1 : 2000: 125 77.2 19.6 1.2 2.0 9.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Broadcast soybeans included as "10.0 inches and less" but excluded in computation of average width. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 13 cotton producing States during 2000. Randomly selected cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey for 5 States which accounted for 66 percent of the 1999 U.S. upland cotton production. The remaining 8 States are new to the Objective Yield survey and do not have 5 years of historical counts available. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, September and November 1996-2000, and Final, 1996-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1996 : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 857 975 637 720 874 : Nov : 741 810 633 693 755 : Final : 741 811 640 689 : : CA : Sep : 707 701 755 921 760 : Nov : 748 697 665 779 801 : Final : 744 697 655 776 : : LA : Sep : 665 639 694 722 722 : Nov : 607 643 600 728 674 : Final : 607 643 600 728 : : MS : Sep : 816 908 835 761 657 : Nov : 731 835 823 767 652 : Final : 729 833 821 766 : : TX : Sep : 383 500 498 465 408 : Nov : 498 468 477 447 397 : Final : 498 458 482 456 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet of row. In November, excludes small bolls. October Weather Summary A sudden weather pattern change at mid-month brought heavy precipitation to the West and the previously parched Plains. The abundant moisture eased long-term moisture deficits and aided winter wheat establishment, but slowed fieldwork and caused localized flooding. On the southern Plains, some winter wheat fields that were unplanted by mid-month due to dryness remained unplanted at month's end due to excessive wetness. From the Mississippi River eastward, however, little or no precipitation fell following early-month showers. In the Corn Belt, warm weather and near- to below-normal rainfall favored rapid corn and soybean harvesting, which was approaching completion by the end of October. Especially dry conditions gripped the Southeast, allowing summer crop harvesting to progress but hampering winter wheat emergence and aggravating long-term drought conditions. Monthly temperatures averaged 1 to 4 degrees F above normal in most areas from the Plains to the Appalachians. Mild weather prevailed in these areas during the second half of October, following an early-month transition from record-setting warmth to an unusually severe early-season cold wave. Stagnant high pressure brought more persistent coolness to areas along the East Coast, where readings averaged as much as 3 degrees F below normal. Near- to below-normal temperatures dominated the West. Especially cool conditions affected California, where temperatures averaged 1 to 5 degrees F below normal. October Agricultural Summary Fall harvest rapidly progressed across much of the Nation, with significant rain delays limited to isolated parts of the eastern Corn Belt and lower Mississippi Valley. However, cool weather delayed ripening of late-maturing crops and limited harvest progress in the eastern Corn Belt and Atlantic Coastal Plains early in the month. The western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains experienced periods of sub-freezing overnight temperatures, but most field crops were mature and no longer susceptible to frost damage. Seeding of winter grains continued in the Great Plains, even though many areas did not have adequate topsoil moisture to germinate seeds until well after mid-month. Near the end of the month, widespread heavy rains recharged topsoil and subsoil moisture supplies across most of the central and southern Great Plains, aiding wheat emergence, but flooding some low-lying areas and further delaying planting progress. In the Corn Belt, winter wheat seeding accelerated as growers finished the fall harvest. Warm weather stimulated growth of winter crops after mid-month. The Nation's corn crop matured more than 1 week ahead of the 5-year average, and on October 8, 96 percent of the crop was mature. Fields quickly ripened in Michigan, North Dakota, Ohio, and Wisconsin, despite cold early-month temperatures. During the week ending October 8, one-fourth of the acreage reached maturity in Michigan, and 19 percent ripened in Ohio. However, progress remained well behind normal in Michigan and slightly behind normal in Ohio. Above-normal temperatures aided ripening in Pennsylvania, but progress remained well behind normal. Near-record warmth accelerated ripening after mid-month. The harvest advanced ahead of last year's rapid pace, and more than 1 week ahead of the 5-year average, as mostly dry weather aided progress in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Harvest progressed far ahead of normal in the western Corn Belt during the first half of the month, especially in Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska. Harvest lagged behind normal in North Dakota until mid-month, but progress advanced ahead of normal after mid-month. In the eastern Corn Belt, slow ripening limited the harvest pace in Michigan and Ohio, while rain occasionally delayed harvest progress in Illinois and Indiana. By the end of the month, about 90 percent of the crop was harvested, nearly 2 weeks ahead of normal. Ninety-five percent of the soybean acreage was dropping leaves on October 8, slightly ahead of last year and about 1 week ahead of normal. Above-normal temperatures aided ripening in the Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys and accelerated development in the Atlantic Coastal Plains early in the month. Cold air slowed development in the Great Lakes region and on the northern Great Plains until mid-month. After mid-month, warm weather quickly ripened fields in Michigan, but development remained behind normal. The soybean harvest rapidly advanced in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, as rain delays were brief and mostly confined to the central Corn Belt. As mid-month approached, harvest was very active across the Corn Belt, especially east of the Mississippi River. By October 15, harvest was nearly complete in Minnesota and rapidly approached completion in Iowa and North Dakota. However, progress remained slightly behind normal in Indiana and Ohio and well behind normal in Michigan. After mid-month, the harvest pace remained active in the Great Lakes region, while dry weather aided rapid progress in the lower Mississippi Valley. On the Atlantic Coastal Plains, harvest gained momentum, as warm weather quickly ripened fields. On October 29, harvest was 91 percent complete, slightly behind last year's pace, but ahead of the 87-percent average for this date. Cotton development and harvest progressed nearly 1 week ahead of last year and more than 1 week ahead of the 5-year average, as above-normal temperatures quickly ripened fields in the Atlantic Coastal Plains and California. Rain limited harvest progress in parts of the southern Great Plains, lower Mississippi Valley, and adjacent areas of the Southeast early in the month. At mid-month, harvest progress equaled the 5-year average in Georgia, but lagged behind normal along the rest of the Atlantic Coastal Plains, despite ideal harvest weather. In Virginia, harvest progress lagged well behind normal due to slow ripening fields. The harvest neared completion well ahead of normal in Louisiana. After mid-month, harvest continued without rain delays in the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast, but widespread heavy rains interfered with the harvest in the southern Great Plains. Rain also periodically halted harvest progress in the Southwest after mid-month. The harvest pace accelerated on the Atlantic Coastal Plains near the end of the month, but progress remained well behind normal in Virginia as the month ended. Louisiana growers finished picking their crop, and harvest neared completion in the interior Mississippi Delta States. On October 29, the crop was 67 percent picked, about 1 week ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Winter wheat planting and emergence progressed well behind last year's fast pace and about 1 week behind the 5-year average during the first half of the month due to severe moisture shortages. Before mid-month, planting accelerated in the Corn Belt, especially in Illinois and Missouri. On October 15, planting was ahead of normal in Missouri, but progress remained slightly behind normal in Illinois. Planting accelerated in Kansas and Oklahoma after light showers provided much-needed topsoil moisture in some areas, but hard, dry soils and fall harvest activities limited planting progress in South Dakota. Planting neared completion ahead of normal in Colorado and Washington. Emergence was nearly 30 percentage points behind normal in Kansas, Montana, and Oklahoma on October 15. Moisture supplies were adequate to germinate seeds in Colorado and Nebraska. Fields emerged ahead of normal in California and the Pacific Northwest, and along the Atlantic Coastal Plains. During the second half of the month, widespread heavy rain curtailed planting and seedbed preparations in the central and southern Great Plains, but substantially recharged topsoil and subsoil moisture supplies. In the Corn Belt and lower Mississippi Valley, mostly dry weather aided rapid planting progress after mid-month. In the Pacific Northwest, seeding neared completion well ahead of normal. Rain occasionally interfered with planting in California, but progress was more than double the normal rate for the end of October. Dry weather aided planting progress on the Atlantic Coastal Plains. On October 29, eighty-one percent of the crop was planted and 59 percent was emerged, well behind the averages of 90 percent planted and 74 percent emerged. Seeding was nearly 3 weeks behind normal in Oklahoma and 2 weeks behind normal in Kansas and Texas. Ninety-six percent of the rice crop was harvested by October 22. Progress was slightly behind last year's pace, but equal to the average for this date. Harvest was nearly complete in the lower Mississippi Valley, although progress lagged behind normal in Mississippi. Harvest steadily advanced in California. The sorghum crop matured far ahead of last year and the 5-year average, with 96 percent mature on October 8. Harvest progressed about 2 weeks ahead of last years pace and 3 weeks ahead of the 5-year average, and by October 29, the harvest was 92 percent complete. The sugar beet harvest advanced ahead of the 5-year average in Minnesota and North Dakota, but was slow in Michigan and Idaho until after mid-month. On October 29, the sugar beet crop was 86 percent harvested in the major sugar beet-producing States. The peanut harvest progressed well ahead of normal in the southern Great Plains early in the month, but rain slowed digging in Texas and Oklahoma after mid-month. In the Southeast, progress remained behind the 5-year average in Alabama and Georgia, even though dry weather aided harvest after mid-month. Sunflowers were 82 percent harvested on October 29. Harvest neared completion ahead of normal in South Dakota, while progress lagged slightly behind normal in North Dakota. Corn for grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 73.0 million acres, unchanged from last month and up 4 percent from 1999. The November 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate record level stalk and ear counts for the combined seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). The previous records for stalks and ears per acre were set in 1999. As of October 29, eighty-seven percent of the crop was harvested in the 18 major corn-producing States. This compares with 85 percent last year and 73 percent for the 5-year average. The harvest advanced ahead of last year's rapid pace, and more than one week ahead of the 5-year average, as mostly dry weather aided progress in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Harvest progressed far ahead of normal in the western Corn Belt during the first half of the month, especially in Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska. However, progress remained behind normal in the eastern Corn Belt and North Dakota until mid-month when near-record warmth accelerated ripening. In Iowa, forecasted stalk and ear counts are the highest on record. The corn crop was 96 percent harvested as of October 29, 4 points ahead of 1999's pace and well ahead of the average of 74 percent. Forecasted stalk and ear counts are also at a record high for Illinois and Indiana when compared to final levels. Ninety-four percent of the Illinois crop was harvested compared with 91 percent in 1999 and the average of 80 percent. In Indiana, 78 percent of the corn was harvested, behind 91 percent in 1999, but ahead of the average of 69 percent. Rain showers occasionally delayed harvest in both States, but most delays were brief. In Nebraska, forecasted stalk and ear counts are at record high levels while Minnesota stalk and ear counts are the second highest. Ninety-four percent of the Nebraska acreage was harvested, ahead of 83 percent for last year and well ahead of the average of 68 percent. Ninety-three percent of the Minnesota acreage was harvested, ahead of both last year and the average. Harvest progressed far ahead of normal during the first half of the month. Forecasted stalk and ear counts in Ohio are the third highest on record behind 1998 and 1999, respectively. Fifty-two percent of the corn was harvested, behind last year and the average of 77 and 53 percent, respectively. Slow ripening limited the harvest pace during October. Wisconsin objective yield data indicate the second highest stalk and ear counts on record behind 1999. Sixty-four percent of the crop was harvested by the end of October, behind the 78 percent harvested in 1999, but ahead of the average of 55 percent. Fields quickly ripened despite cold, early-month temperatures. Sorghum for Grain: Production is forecast at 463 million bushels, down less than1 percent from the October forecast and 22 percent below the 1999 total. Area harvested and to be harvested was unchanged from October at 7.67 million acres, but down 10 percent from the previous year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 60.4 bushels per acre, down 0.3 bushel from last month and 9.3 bushels below 1999. Six of the 11 estimating States lowered yields from the October forecast. Three States, Arkansas, Nebraska, and South Dakota, raised yield estimates. Illinois and Louisiana continue to estimate record yields. Warm dry weather prevailed across most of the sorghum region. For the week ending November 5, harvest was 94 percent complete compared to the five-year average of 85 percent. Rice: Production is forecast at 192 million cwt, up slightly from October 1, but 7 percent below 1999. Area for harvest is expected to total 3.09 million acres, unchanged from October 1, but down 12 percent from 1999. The yield forecast at 6,236 pounds per acre, up 370 pounds from the 1999 yield. If realized, this would be a record yield. The previous record yield was set in 1996 when the yield averaged 6,120 pounds per acre. This is also the third highest production. Weather conditions have been favorable most of the year. Yields in California increased from last month. Yields in Mississippi and Texas declined from October 1 while yields in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Missouri were unchanged from last month. Fall Potatoes: Production of fall potatoes for 2000 is forecast at a record high 463 million cwt, up 7 percent from comparable estimates last year and 2 percent above the previous record in 1996. Area harvested, at 1.19 million acres, is up a comparable 2 percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 388 cwt per acre, a jump of 19 cwt from last year. Comparability is achieved by combining Nebraska's 1999 summer and fall crops and dropping Wyoming's estimate. Record large crops were produced in Idaho, Montana, and Washington. Yields were record high in 13 States. Hot weather during the summer growing months pushed size profiles and yields to high levels in many of the western States. The north central States lost several thousand acres to flood damage in late June with some additional blight and frost losses late in the season. Eastern areas were slow to plant because of a wet, cool spring. Generally the growing season went well and harvest finished on a timely manner. All Potatoes: Total U. S. potato production in 2000 hit a record high 509 million cwt, up 7 percent from last year and 2 percent above the previous high in 1996. Harvested acreage, at 1.35 million acres, was up 2 percent from last year. Yields were up 17 cwt from 1999. Five Eastern States produced 28.4 million cwt of fall potatoes in 2000, down fractionally from last year and 4 percent below two years ago. Area for harvest totaled 101,300 acres, down 4 percent from last year. The average yield of 281 cwt per acre was up 11 cwt from last year and 10 cwt above 1998. Production in Maine gained 1 percent and Rhode Island rose 2 percent from last year. Pennsylvania's production was up 14 percent, but New York and Massachusetts output fell 9 percent each. Eight Central States production is forecast at 111 million cwt this year, a gain of 3 percent from last year and 1 percent above two years ago. Harvest was taken from 337,700 acres, up 1 percent from 1999, while the average yield of 328 cwt per acre was up 7 cwt from a year ago. Production in Minnesota was up 20 percent from last year with an increase in harvested acreage and higher yields. North Dakota's production increased 2 percent from last year despite acreage losses from flooding in June. Wisconsin and Nebraska production were down 1 percent each because of lower harvested acreage. Michigan's crop was equal to last year. Production in Indiana was down 15 percent and South Dakota's dropped 18 percent with frost damage observed in both States at the end of the season. Ten Western States produced 324 million cwt of potatoes in 2000, up 10 percent from the last two years. Acreage harvested, at 755,400 acres, was up 3 percent, as the average yield jumped 24 cwt. Idaho potato farmers produced a record high 152 million cwt, up 14 percent from a year ago. Washington hit a record high 103 million cwt, a gain of 8 percent. Montana's production was also record high, 4 percent above 1999. Production in Colorado rose 9 percent from last year, Nevada is up 10 percent, and Mew Mexico gained 8 percent. Oregon's potato crop is down 3 percent from last year. California's output is off 7 percent and Utah dropped 25 percent. Soybeans: Growers expect to harvest 73.0 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from the October forecast, but 1 percent above 1999 final harvested acreage. Harvest moved at a rapid pace during the first three weeks of October and was progressing ahead of 1999, but lost some of its momentum near the end of the month. As of October 29, the soybean harvest was 91 percent complete, 1 percentage point behind 1999, but 4 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest neared completion across the Corn Belt and Great Plains States. In Minnesota and North Dakota harvest was complete by October 29. In Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska, and South Dakota harvest was at or above 95 percent complete. Harvest in Ohio was 86 percent complete by months end and lagged 7 percentage points behind last season. The Indiana harvest, at 92 percent, was 4 percentage points behind last year, but ahead of normal. The Missouri harvest was 88 percent complete, 3 percentage points ahead of 1999 and 11 points ahead of normal. Harvest in Arkansas was 73 percent complete, 2 percentage points ahead of 1999 and 9 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. If realized, pod counts from the November Objective Yield survey will be the highest on record in Illinois and Indiana. All of the eight Objective Yield States recorded lower pod counts this month when compared to counts that were tabulated during September. Counts in Arkansas, Missouri, and Ohio are expected to be above 1999 final counts, but not at record levels. Counts in Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska are expected to be lower than the 1999 season. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.51 billion pounds, up 1 percent from October 1, but 8 percent below last year's crop. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.40 million acres, unchanged from the October report, but 3 percent below 1999. Yield is forecast at 2,517 pounds, up 31 pounds from last month, but down 150 pounds from last year. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 1.91 billion pounds, up 5 percent from last month, but down 10 percent from last year's level. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average 2,411 pounds per acre, up 120 pounds from October 1, but down 86 pounds from 1999. Harvest was behind the five year average in Alabama and Georgia while harvest in South Carolina was ahead of the average. The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 576 million pounds, down 3 percent from October 1, but up 11 percent from 1999. Yield is expected to average 2,881 pounds, 88 pounds below last month, but up 296 pounds from last year. In Virginia, harvest was complete as of October 29, ahead of the average. Harvest was 90 percent complete in North Carolina, 21 percent ahead of the average. The Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.02 billion pounds, down 3 percent from last month, and down 13 percent from 1999. Yields are expected to average 2,545 pounds, 87 pounds below 1999. On October 29, harvest was 48 percent complete in Texas, 4 percent behind the average. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 13.3 million acres, is down slightly from the October forecast, but two percent above 1999. Tennessee reduced 25,000 harvested acres due to administrative data. All other States remained unchanged from the previous month. American-Pima harvested acreage, at 172,000 acres, is unchanged from October, but down 40 percent from last year. As of October 29, U.S. harvest was 67 percent complete, 7 percentage points ahead of 1999 and 8 points ahead of the 5-year average. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia), October harvest activities lagged behind the 5-year average in the Carolinas and Virginia. Progress was near normal in Georgia, and slightly ahead of the 5-year average in Alabama. Delays were the result of slow development throughout the season due to persistent below-normal temperatures, wet fields early in October, and concentration on peanut threshing before cotton harvest. As of October 29, North Carolina reported 43 percent of its cotton acreage harvested. This compared to 46 percent for the 5-year average. South Carolina reported 55 percent of its cotton acreage harvested, one point ahead of the 5-year average. Dry weather aided rapid progress in the Carolinas during the last few weeks of October and has only recently allowed these two States to approach the 5-year average. Conversely, Virginia remains 12 points behind average, due mainly to the slow development of the crop. They reported 31 percent harvested on October 29. On this same date, Alabama and Georgia were 10 and 4 points, respectively, ahead of average. Alabama reported 80 percent of its acreage harvested as of October 29, while Georgia reported 59 percent harvested. Georgia gained harvest momentum during the middle of October and has remained near the 5-year average since that time. Harvest of the cotton crop progressed well ahead of average in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) due to a quickly maturing crop, coupled with dry harvest conditions throughout the fall. Louisiana growers were finished picking cotton by October 29, while harvest neared completion in the other Delta States. This progress was well over a week ahead of the 5-year average. As of October 29, Arkansas reported 94 percent of their cotton acreage harvested, 12 points ahead of average. Mississippi reported 97 percent harvested, six points ahead of average. Tennessee and Missouri reported 96 and 95 percent, respectively, of their acreage harvested by October 29. This was 17 points ahead of average in Tennessee and 19 points ahead of the 5-year average in Missouri. Data from the objective yield surveys show large-boll counts in Arkansas and Louisiana ranked fifth since 1991. Mississippi's large-boll counts ranked eighth in the past 10 years. Boll weights in Louisiana and Mississippi ranked ninth in the last 10 years, while Arkansas's weight was ranked seventh since 1991. Producers in the Southwestern States (Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) remained well ahead of average harvest progress, despite widespread rains during the second half of October. Harvest began early due to a rapidly maturing crop and was aided by a light to killing frost in early October. Harvest aids were curtailed in some locations as the freezing temperatures increased defoliation. As of October 29, Oklahoma reported 62 percent of its cotton acreage harvested, 25 points ahead of the 5-year average. Texas reported 54 percent of its acreage harvested on this same date, nine points ahead of average. Boll drop continued prior to the killing freeze as conditions remained dry. Additional acreage maybe abandoned due to the lack of moisture during the growing season. Objective yield data indicate Texas' boll weights are the lowest in the past ten years and large-boll counts are ranked ninth since 1991. Despite rain delays throughout the month of October, upland cotton harvest in California and Arizona progressed ahead of average. Above-average temperatures throughout most of the season aided crop development and allowed harvest to begin on or ahead of normal. As of October 29, Arizona reported 55 percent of its upland cotton acreage harvested. This was 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. California reported 60 percent harvested as of October 29, nineteen points ahead of average. Heavy rains in some areas may have an adverse affect on cotton quality. Data from the objective yield plots indicate California's count of large-bolls ranked fifth and boll weights ranked ninth since 1991. American-Pima production is forecast at 415,800 bales, down 38 percent from last year's output, but up 9,700 bales from October. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,160 pounds per harvested acre, up 32 pounds from 1999. California's production is up 10,000 bales from the October forecast, while Arizona's production is down 300 bales. New Mexico and Texas forecasts are unchanged from last month. Harvest progressed ahead of average in California, despite scattered rainfall throughout the month of October. Ginnings totaled 9,220,600 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 8,262,850 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 7,358,850 running bales in 1998. Lentils: Production of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at 2.98 million cwt for 2000, up 25 percent from 1999 and 54 percent above two years ago. Planted acres, at 217,000, are 19 percent above 1999. Harvested acres, at 209,000, are 20 percent higher than 1999. Average yield per acre, at 1,425 pounds, is 57 pounds above last year. Washington represents 43 percent of U.S. lentil production for 2000, followed by Idaho at 31 percent, North Dakota at 21 percent, and Montana at 5 percent. Production in Washington, at 1,275,000 cwt, is up 31 percent from 1999. Average yields in Washington increased 200 pounds from last season to 1,500 pounds per acre. Harvested area in Washington is estimated at 85,000 acres, 13 percent above 1999. Idaho's production is up 10 percent from last year, to 928,000 cwt. Average yield increased 50 pounds to 1,450 pounds per acre. Harvested acres, at 64,000, increased 7 percent from 1999. Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry edible peas in Idaho, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon, and Washington is estimated at 3.46 million cwt for 2000, down 28 percent from 1999 and 42 percent below two years ago. This is the lowest production since 1996 when 2.67 million cwt was produced. Area harvested, at 176,000 acres, is 31 percent below 1999. Average yields increased 81 pounds from 1999 to 1,963 pounds per acre. Production was down in all of the major producing States except for North Dakota which increased 22 percent from last year. Area harvested was also down in all of the major producing States except for North Dakota which increased 7 percent from 1999. Growers in North Dakota and Washington saw their average yields increase from 1999 by 270 pounds and 80 pounds, respectively. Average yield for Idaho, at 1,900 pounds per acre, was unchanged from 1999, however, Montana's yield of 900 pounds is 500 pounds below the 1999 estimate. Austrian Winter Peas: Production of Austrian Winter Peas in Idaho and Oregon in 2000 is estimated at 75,000 cwt, 25 percent above 1999 but 28 percent below two years ago. Area harvested, at 4,100 acres, is down 7 percent from last year. Average yield increased 465 pounds per acre in 2000 to a record high 1,829 pounds per acre, passing the previous record of 1,627 pounds per acre set in 1989. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 2000 is forecast at 1.13 billion pounds, virtually unchanged from the October 1 forecast but down 13 percent from 1999. If realized, this will be the smallest crop since 1934. Area for harvest in 2000 is forecast at 492,260 acres, unchanged from the October 1 forecast but down 24 percent from 1999. Yield for 2000 is expected to average 2,289 pounds per acre, 5 pounds higher than the October 1 forecast and 292 pounds above a year ago. Tobacco harvest was completed by mid-October, at or ahead of normal. Flue-cured (types 11 - 14) production is expected to total 625 million pounds, up less than 1 percent from last month but down 5 percent from 1999. Harvested acres in 2000 is forecast at 253,900 acres, unchanged from the October 1 forecast but 16 percent below last year. Yield is expected to average 2,462 pounds per acre, 5 pounds higher than last month and 300 pounds above the previous year. Growing conditions in North Carolina, the largest Flue-cured producing State, were excellent all season and rainfall levels were timely throughout the growing season. Fire-cured (types 21 - 23) production is expected to total 47.0 million pounds, up 1 percent from last month and 23 percent above the 1999 season. Growers plan to harvest 17,630 acres in 2000, unchanged from the previous forecast but 7 percent above a year ago. The expected average yield is 2,666 pounds per acre, up 22 pounds from last month and 347 pounds higher than the previous year. The increase in production is the result of timely rainfall throughout the season and good fall curing conditions. Burley production (type 31) is expected to total 417 million pounds, virtually unchanged from the October 1 forecast but 25 percent below a year ago. Yield is expected to average 2,073 pounds per acre, 1 pound above last month and 244 pounds higher than 1999. Overall, harvest conditions have been favorable with some concerns about weight and color. Burley growers plan to harvest 201,000 acres, unchanged from last month but 34 percent below a year ago. Kentucky's production, at 263 million pounds, is expected to be unchanged from last month but 31 percent below last year. Southern Maryland Belt (type 32) tobacco production is expected to total 14.6 million pounds, unchanged from the October 1 forecast but up 1 percent from the previous year. Average yield of 1,674 pounds per acre is unchanged from last month but 163 pounds above 1999. Growing conditions have been generally favorable with no unusual incidence of diseases. A total of 8,700 acres is expected to be harvested this year, the same as last month but down 8 percent from 1999. Dark Air-cured (types 35 - 37) production is expected to total 14.1 million pounds, up 3 percent from the previous forecast and 20 percent above 1999. Growers plan to harvest 5,460 acres in 2000, the same as the October 1 forecast but 7 percent more than last year. Yield is expected to average 2,590 pounds per acre, 86 pounds higher than last month and 277 pounds above last year. Growing conditions were generally favorable throughout the season and good curing conditions prevailed during the fall. All Cigar (types 41 - 61) production is expected to total 9.31 million pounds, unchanged from the October 1 forecast but 44 percent below last year. Overall yield is expected to average 1,671 pounds per acre, unchanged from last month's forecast but down 221 pounds from 1999. Connecticut and Massachusetts tobacco production was down significantly from last season due to "brown spot" and "hollow stem". Growers of all types of Cigar Type tobacco plan to harvest 5,570 acres, unchanged from last month but 36 percent below a year ago. Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at 33.0 million tons from just under 1.40 million acres. Harvested acres are unchanged from last month, but 8 percent below last year, mainly due to PIK reductions. The production forecast is 1 percent below last year, but 2 percent above the October forecast. The yield is forecast at 23.6 tons per acre, 1.7 tons above 1999 and 0.6 ton above the October forecast. The Idaho yield is forecast at a record high 29.1 tons due to early planting and ideal growing conditions that extended into October. If realized, the yield in North Dakota would be 0.2 ton below the 1998 record and the Minnesota yield would be the highest in 13 years. Harvest progressed ahead of normal in Minnesota and North Dakota due to dry weather and favorable temperatures. In Colorado and Michigan, the harvest pace was slowed by warm weather that limited stockpiling. Wet weather hampered harvest efforts in Nebraska and Idaho. Harvest progress was slightly behind normal in California, mostly due to the large size of the crop. The harvest neared completion in Montana slightly behind the 5-year average. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 35.6 million tons, 1 percent above the previous record of 35.3 million tons set last year and unchanged from the October forecast. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest a record high 1.03 million acres for sugar and seed during the 2000 crop year, 3 percent more than last year's final harvested acres. Yield is forecast at 34.7 tons per acre, 0.8 ton below 1999. Harvest began near mid-month and progressed with few delays in Florida and Louisiana due to nearly ideal harvest weather. In Hawaii, rains periodically interrupted harvest progress. The processing facility in Texas was operating at full capacity. Hazelnuts: The hazelnut production forecast for Oregon and Washington remains at 25,000 tons for 2000, unchanged from the October forecast but down 37 percent from 1999. Oregon's share of production is expected to be 24,800 tons with Washington making up the difference of 200 tons. The quality of the crop appears to be good. Weather conditions have been conducive for harvest with the majority of the crop gathered. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 4.21 million pounds for October, a 16 percent increase from last month and 20 percent more than October 1999. The increase is mostly a reflection of last month's unusually low production. Also, the papaya ringspot virus resistant varieties are producing higher yields. Crop area totaled 2,710 acres, 2 percent less than September and 16 percent below a year ago. Harvested area, totaling 1,580 acres, was 2 percent less than last month and last October. Weather conditions during October were variable with a mix of sunshine and showers over major papaya producing areas. Florida Citrus: October was a very dry month in virtually all of Florida's citrus belt. There were a few good rains early in the month, but in most areas the weather for the remaining three weeks turned warm and dry. Growers and caretakers used all types of irrigation to maintain good tree condition and promote fruit sizing. Due to the dry conditions there was limited new growth during October. Most of the early types of fruit are showing a very good on-tree color break. Many of the packinghouses are packing and shipping Navels, Hamlins, and Ambersweet oranges, white and colored grapefruit, K-early Citrus fruit, and early tangerines. There are a few processing plants open to receive packinghouse eliminations. There is limited amounts of grove run fruit being processed as growers wait for better maturity tests. Caretakers have been cutting cover crops and applying fall herbicides and sprays. Dead tree removal and grove debris burning continue in all areas. Hedging and topping have been reported in some of the southern groves. Texas Citrus: The harvest of the 2000-01 grapefruit and early season orange crops is well underway throughout the Rio Grande Valley. Sizes are small at this time but expected to increase as the season progresses. Fruit quality is excellent with good juice and sugar content. Fruit color is average. California Citrus: Picking of 1999-00 crop Valencia oranges is still active. Many growers have been sending their fruit directly to processors due to weak fresh market conditions. The harvest of the 2000-01 crop of navel oranges began in Kern County in mid October. Fruit set is down significantly from last year, but fruit size is large. Lemon picking was active in southern California. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Growers were busy during October with weed control, fungicide applications, and irrigation. Rainfall delayed harvesting activities for a few days during the month. Damage to fruit was minimal. Picking of grapes for fresh use continued in the San Joaquin Valley. Primary varieties were Red Globe, Thompson Seedless, Ruby Seedless, and Crimson Seedless. The wine grape harvest was also active throughout October. Raisin grape picking was completed and all trays were picked up by late October. Harvest activity continued for pomegranates, Fuji and Granny Smith apples, kiwifruit, and olives. Raspberries were harvested in the areas east of Bakersfield and strawberry picking was active on the central coast. Strawberry fields were also being prepared for next year's crop. The almond harvest was virtually complete by the end of the month. Postharvest pruning was active in a few areas. Late variety walnut and pistachio harvests continued. Pecan harvest was also active. Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between October 25 and November 6 to gather information on expected yield as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 12,500 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published November 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The November 1 production forecast will not be revised. End of year estimates will be published in the January Crop Production Summary. At the end of the marketing year administrative records and balance sheets are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the November 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the 1980-1999 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain production forecast is 1.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.7 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.0 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 88 million bushels, ranging from 1 million to 258 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 10 times and above 10 times. This does not imply that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed. Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ----- Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 1.7 3.0 88 1 258 10 10 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 4.6 8.0 20 86 9 10 Rice :Cwt : 2.4 4.1 3 12 13 7 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 2.5 4.3 39 8 109 7 13 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 2.9 5.0 345 14 937 12 8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Brad Parks, Head (202) 720-2127 Rhonda Brandt - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Herman Ellison - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7688 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-3250 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4488 Jeffrey Kissel - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Beans & Peas, Mushrooms (202) 690-0270 Steve Gunn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-4488 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Dave Ranek - Nuts, Floriculture (202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. on December 12, 2000. 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