Cr Pr 2-2 (7-01) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 11, 2001, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Up 3 Percent from June Forecast Other Spring Wheat Production Down 7 Percent from 2000 All Wheat Production Down 11 Percent from 2000 Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.37 billion bushels. This is up 3 percent from last month but down 13 percent from 2000. The U.S. yield is forecast at 43.2 bushels per acre, up 2.0 bushels from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 781 million bushels, is up 9 percent from a month ago. White Winter is down for the second consecutive month and now totals 204 million bushels. Soft Red Winter, at 380 million bushels, is down 4 percent from the last forecast, where reduced acreage more than offset higher yields. Durum wheat production is forecast at 94.1 million bushels, down 14 percent from 2000. The U.S. yield is forecast at 31.6 bushels per acre, 0.9 bushels more than last year. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 514 million bushels, down 7 percent from 2000. The U.S. yield is forecast at 34.9 bushels per acre, 3.3 bushels lower than last year. Of this total, 473 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, down 5 percent from last season. The U.S. all orange July 1 forecast is 12.3 million tons, down slightly from the June 1 forecast and 5 percent below last season's final utilization of 13.0 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast is 223 million boxes (10.0 million tons), down less than 1 percent from last month and 4 percent lower than the previous season. The early and midseason orange forecast remains at 128 million boxes (5.76 million tons), unchanged from the previous forecast and 4 percent below the 1999-2000 final utilization. Florida's Valencia forecast, at 95.0 million boxes (4.28 million tons), is down 1 percent from the June 1 forecast and 4 percent lower than last season's final utilization. Harvest is winding down rapidly. California's all orange forecast for July 1 is 57.0 million boxes (2.14 million tons), unchanged from April but 11 percent below last season's utilization. The Navel orange forecast in California remains at 34.0 million boxes (1.28 million tons), 15 percent less than the 1999-2000 crop. Harvest of the Navel orange crop is virtually complete. Overall quality is good and fruit size is larger than last season. California's Valencia orange crop is forecast at 23.0 million boxes (863,000 tons), the same as the April 1 forecast, but 4 percent below last season's utilized production. Harvest is in full swing. Declining quality is evident in southern California as fruit are showing signs of puff, crease, splits, and re-greening. Conditions in the Central Valley are better with good fruit size and quality. However, re-greening is a concern for growers as to how the fruit will grade. The Texas all orange forecast for July 1 is 2.24 million boxes (95,000 boxes), 1 percent higher than the April forecast and 28 percent more than the previous season's final utilization. Arizona's July 1 forecast is unchanged at 1.00 million boxes (38,000 tons), 9 percent lower than last season. Harvest is complete in both Texas and Arizona. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield projection remains unchanged from last month at 1.58 gallons per box of 42.0 degrees Brix. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.54 gallons per box as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The Valencia FCOJ yield is forecast at 1.65 gallons per box, also unchanged from a month ago. This report was approved on July 11, 2001. Secretary of Agriculture Ann M. Veneman Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Contents Page Almonds. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Apricots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Citrus Fruits. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31 Lentils. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Peaches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Peas, Austrian Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . .30 Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Wheat, Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Head Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Wheat, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Other Spring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : CA : 25 25 75.0 70.0 2,125 1,875 1,750 ID : 15 30 70.0 68.0 1,700 1,050 2,040 IL : 55 45 73.0 72.0 4,260 4,015 3,240 IA : 180 150 67.0 63.0 11,375 12,060 9,450 KS : 50 45 44.0 55.0 3,290 2,200 2,475 MI : 75 55 64.0 68.0 4,875 4,800 3,740 MN : 310 230 72.0 62.0 17,700 22,320 14,260 MT : 50 65 52.0 51.0 3,220 2,600 3,315 NE : 45 65 42.0 51.0 4,650 1,890 3,315 NY : 60 75 65.0 71.0 4,760 3,900 5,325 ND : 315 315 63.0 56.0 16,830 19,845 17,640 OH : 90 90 76.0 71.0 7,000 6,840 6,390 OR : 25 25 98.0 90.0 2,000 2,450 2,250 PA : 145 125 57.0 57.0 7,975 8,265 7,125 SD : 220 225 61.0 63.0 12,800 13,420 14,175 TX : 100 160 43.0 44.0 4,840 4,300 7,040 WI : 280 205 68.0 61.0 18,600 19,040 12,505 : Oth : Sts 1/ 2/: 284 256 64.5 62.9 18,193 18,325 16,115 : US : 2,324 2,186 64.2 60.5 146,193 149,195 132,150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 1999, Other States include AL, AR, CO, GA, IN, ME, MD, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, WV, and WY. 2/ For 2000 and 2001, Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2001 Summary". Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 36 43 114.0 100.0 7,068 4,104 4,300 CA : 85 110 68.0 67.0 6,400 5,780 7,370 CO : 105 95 115.0 110.0 9,030 12,075 10,450 DE : 28 27 81.0 74.0 2,184 2,268 1,998 ID : 730 660 76.0 76.0 53,820 55,480 50,160 MD : 50 50 82.0 69.0 4,000 4,100 3,450 MN : 240 160 64.0 53.0 8,460 15,360 8,480 MT : 950 850 40.0 41.0 57,500 38,000 34,850 ND : 1,770 1,500 55.0 54.0 59,520 97,350 81,000 OR : 140 100 60.0 55.0 6,885 8,400 5,500 PA : 75 75 71.0 65.0 4,970 5,325 4,875 SD : 105 80 55.0 43.0 3,552 5,775 3,440 UT : 78 70 70.0 65.0 6,806 5,460 4,550 VA : 65 45 89.0 80.0 4,920 5,785 3,600 WA : 490 420 70.0 57.0 28,910 34,300 23,940 WY : 95 90 83.0 84.0 7,310 7,885 7,560 : Oth : Sts 1/2/: 159 139 65.5 57.5 8,957 10,418 7,999 : US : 5,201 4,514 61.1 58.4 280,292 317,865 263,522 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 1999, Other States include KS, KY, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NC, OK, SC, TX, and WI. 2/ For 2000 and 2001, Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2001 Summary". Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2001 : : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 :-------------------: 2000 : 2001 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 1,100 970 54.0 51.0 48.0 59,400 46,560 CA : 350 380 70.0 75.0 70.0 24,500 26,600 CO : 2,350 2,050 29.0 34.0 35.0 68,150 71,750 DE : 63 58 66.0 59.0 60.0 4,158 3,480 GA : 200 220 54.0 48.0 53.0 10,800 11,660 ID : 730 710 90.0 77.0 77.0 65,700 54,670 IL : 920 710 57.0 54.0 60.0 52,440 42,600 IN : 510 380 69.0 66.0 66.0 35,190 25,080 KS : 9,400 8,400 37.0 34.0 39.0 347,800 327,600 KY : 420 340 57.0 56.0 62.0 23,940 21,080 MD : 200 180 63.0 59.0 59.0 12,600 10,620 MI : 500 550 72.0 68.0 68.0 36,000 37,400 MS : 235 185 55.0 50.0 50.0 12,925 9,250 MO : 950 760 52.0 50.0 54.0 49,400 41,040 MT : 1,350 950 33.0 29.0 24.0 44,550 22,800 NE : 1,650 1,700 36.0 36.0 39.0 59,400 66,300 NY : 140 120 53.0 50.0 55.0 7,420 6,600 NC : 550 500 50.0 36.0 36.0 27,500 18,000 OH : 1,110 900 72.0 65.0 63.0 79,920 56,700 OK : 4,200 3,800 34.0 27.0 32.0 142,800 121,600 OR : 730 700 62.0 50.0 47.0 45,260 32,900 PA : 195 160 53.0 48.0 51.0 10,335 8,160 SC : 185 220 49.0 42.0 43.0 9,065 9,460 SD : 1,280 370 42.0 33.0 34.0 53,760 12,580 TN : 380 330 55.0 55.0 56.0 20,900 18,480 TX : 2,200 3,000 30.0 32.0 34.0 66,000 102,000 VA : 205 175 63.0 57.0 57.0 12,915 9,975 WA : 1,800 1,750 73.0 63.0 61.0 131,400 106,750 WY : 170 150 24.0 26.0 27.0 4,080 4,050 : Oth : Sts 1/: 949 939 46.8 43.9 43.1 44,425 40,447 : US : 35,022 31,657 44.6 41.2 43.2 1,562,733 1,366,192 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2001 Summary". Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2001 : : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 :-------------------: 2000 : 2001 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 85 87 95.0 93.0 91.0 8,075 7,917 CA : 97 81 100.0 100.0 102.0 9,700 8,262 MT : 470 530 28.0 27.0 13,160 14,310 ND : 2,900 2,250 27.0 28.0 78,300 63,000 : Oth : Sts 1/: 20 27 28.5 21.9 570 590 : US : 3,572 2,975 30.7 31.6 109,805 94,079 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2001 Summary". Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : ID : 570 500 75.0 68.0 50,560 42,750 34,000 MN : 1,950 1,850 49.0 43.0 78,000 95,550 79,550 MT : 3,100 3,250 25.0 23.0 108,000 77,500 74,750 ND : 6,400 6,600 36.0 35.0 168,000 230,400 231,000 OR : 125 134 46.0 34.0 5,049 5,750 4,556 SD : 1,580 1,650 38.0 36.0 59,850 60,040 59,400 WA : 620 630 54.0 40.0 27,280 33,480 25,200 : Oth : Sts : 89 85 61.0 60.3 6,369 5,432 5,127 : US : 14,434 14,699 38.2 34.9 503,108 550,902 513,583 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2001 Summary". Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 1999 :1,050,747 454,261 191,572 447,908 55,200 99,322 2,299,010 2000 : 843,664 470,866 248,203 498,485 52,417 109,805 2,223,440 2001 : 781,498 380,341 204,353 473,481 40,102 94,079 1,973,854 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. Washington wheat variety survey indicates winter wheat is 92 percent white and 67 percent of the spring wheat is white. Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during this year. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are derived from actual field counts. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 1997-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State and Month : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : CO July : 41.5 40.3 42.1 48.0 34.2 Final : 41.3 39.3 43.4 47.7 : ID July : 45.0 55.2 Final : 45.0 55.2 : IL July : 56.7 51.1 59.7 55.0 53.1 Final : 56.6 51.2 59.6 55.0 : KS July : 48.1 51.3 49.4 46.5 39.7 Final : 48.1 51.3 49.4 46.5 : MO July : 53.8 43.6 47.0 49.9 47.7 Final : 53.8 43.6 47.0 49.9 : MT July : 30.9 37.2 37.0 41.3 25.6 Final : 32.3 38.8 36.3 40.3 : NE July : 48.4 56.4 59.8 57.5 46.6 Final : 47.9 56.7 57.9 58.3 : OH July : 53.6 55.4 57.0 59.5 52.0 Final : 53.5 55.1 57.3 59.5 : OK July : 52.8 39.9 40.2 40.2 32.5 Final : 53.2 40.1 40.1 40.2 : OR July : 29.3 29.3 Final : 29.2 30.5 : TX July : 42.9 39.6 40.7 31.4 33.4 Final : 42.3 39.7 40.7 31.6 : WA July : 32.8 38.2 35.1 40.6 37.3 Final : 32.9 37.7 35.0 40.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2001 Summary" in September. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 40,000 43,000 2,500 2,400 100,000 103,200 VA : 17,500 19,000 2,440 2,200 42,700 41,800 US : 57,500 62,000 2,482 2,339 142,700 145,000 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 102,000 100,000 2,405 2,200 245,310 220,000 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 21,000 22,000 2,350 2,200 49,350 48,400 SC : 34,000 32,000 2,390 2,300 81,260 73,600 US : 55,000 54,000 2,375 2,259 130,610 122,000 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,500 4,500 2,550 2,490 11,475 11,205 GA : 31,000 27,000 2,220 2,250 68,820 60,750 US : 35,500 31,500 2,262 2,284 80,295 71,955 Total 11-14 : 250,000 247,500 2,396 2,258 598,915 558,955 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL : 20.0 14.0 25.0 AR : 12.0 18.0 16.0 CA : All : 1,822.0 1,855.0 1,830.0 Clingstone : 1,059.0 1,064.0 1,050.0 Freestone : 763.0 791.0 780.0 CO : 3.0 19.0 18.0 CT : 2.2 2.0 1.8 GA : 110.0 115.0 135.0 ID : 8.0 13.0 10.0 IL : 19.0 23.0 18.5 IN : 2.9 2.6 3.0 KS 1/ : 0.8 KY : 2.0 1.0 1.7 LA : 0.8 1.2 2.0 MD : 8.8 9.0 9.0 MA : 2.0 2.1 1.8 MI : 23.0 47.5 45.0 MO : 10.5 9.5 8.5 NJ : 70.0 65.0 75.0 NY : 14.0 12.0 13.0 NC : 28.0 32.0 12.0 OH : 8.7 10.4 11.0 OK : 15.0 14.0 12.0 OR : 7.0 8.0 7.0 PA : 75.0 60.0 65.0 SC : 160.0 150.0 90.0 TN : 3.1 2.5 4.0 TX : 13.0 21.0 30.0 UT : 6.2 11.0 9.0 VA : 15.0 10.0 9.0 WA : 51.0 65.0 60.0 WV : 12.6 7.0 12.0 : US : 2,525.6 2,599.8 2,534.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes Table Type 1/ : CA : 758,000 773,000 800,000 Grapes Wine Type : CA : 2,662,000 3,364,000 3,400,000 Grapes Raisin Type 1/ : CA : 2,122,000 2,892,000 2,100,000 All Grapes : CA : 5,542,000 7,029,000 6,300,000 : Apricots : CA : 85,000 92,000 75,000 UT 2/ : 400 200 WA : 5,500 6,500 6,000 US : 90,500 98,900 81,200 : : 1,000 Pounds : Almonds (Shelled Basis) 3/: CA : 833,000 703,000 850,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh equivalent of dried and not dried. 2/ No significant commercial production in 1999 due to freeze damage. 3/ Utilized production. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : May : 3,075 2,805 1,670 2,030 4,625 4,570 Jun : 2,585 3,535 1,585 2,035 4,425 4,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1998-1999, 1999-2000 and Forecasted July 1, 2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1998-99 : 1999-00 : 2000-01 : 1998-99 : 1999-00 : 2000-01 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 550 600 450 21 22 17 CA : 21,000 40,000 34,000 787 1,500 1,275 FL : 112,000 134,000 128,000 5,040 6,030 5,760 TX : 1,250 1,540 2,000 53 66 85 US : 134,800 176,140 164,450 5,901 7,618 7,137 Valencia : AZ : 600 500 550 22 19 21 CA : 15,000 24,000 23,000 563 900 863 FL : 74,000 99,000 95,000 3,330 4,455 4,275 TX : 180 200 235 8 8 10 US : 89,780 123,700 118,785 3,923 5,382 5,169 All : AZ : 1,150 1,100 1,000 43 41 38 CA : 36,000 64,000 57,000 1,350 2,400 2,138 FL : 186,000 233,000 223,000 8,370 10,485 10,035 TX : 1,430 1,740 2,235 61 74 95 US : 224,580 299,840 283,235 9,824 13,000 12,306 Temples : FL : 1,800 1,950 1,250 81 88 56 Grapefruit : White Seedless 4/ : FL : 17,800 20,900 18,700 757 888 795 Colored Seedless : FL : 28,700 31,900 27,200 1,220 1,356 1,156 Other 4/ : FL : 550 600 23 25 All : AZ : 750 450 450 25 15 15 CA : 7,300 7,000 6,500 244 235 218 FL : 47,050 53,400 45,900 2,000 2,269 1,951 TX : 6,100 5,930 7,200 244 237 288 US : 61,200 66,780 60,050 2,513 2,756 2,472 Tangerines : AZ 5/ : 950 850 600 36 32 23 CA 5/ 6/ : 1,500 2,300 2,600 56 86 98 FL : 4,950 7,000 5,600 235 333 266 US : 7,400 10,150 8,800 327 451 387 Lemons : AZ : 3,450 3,100 3,400 131 118 129 CA : 16,200 19,600 22,000 616 745 836 US : 19,650 22,700 25,400 747 863 965 Tangelos : FL : 2,550 2,200 2,100 115 99 95 K-Early Citrus : FL : 80 110 40 4 5 2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ "Other" seedy grapefruit estimates discontinued after 1999-2000 crop. Included with white seedless beginning with the 2000-01 crop. 5/ Includes tangelos and tangors. 6/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 25.0 26.0 24.0 25.0 MT : 28.0 25.0 24.0 24.0 ND : 66.0 100.0 62.0 95.0 OR : 4.0 4.5 4.0 4.5 WA : 65.0 60.0 65.0 60.0 : US : 188.0 215.5 179.0 208.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. Lentils: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 65.0 65.0 64.0 64.0 MT : 22.0 15.0 21.0 14.0 ND : 45.0 50.0 44.0 49.0 WA : 85.0 85.0 85.0 85.0 : US : 217.0 215.0 214.0 212.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.7 MT 1/ : 6.0 5.9 OR : 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.6 : US : 5.2 11.5 4.1 10.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates began in 2001. Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres ------- --- Cwt --- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : CA : 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 320 310 2,880 2,790 FL : 8.2 7.8 8.0 5.0 260 240 2,080 1,200 : Total : 17.2 16.8 17.0 14.0 292 285 4,960 3,990 : Spring 1/ : AZ : 9.0 8.5 9.0 8.5 280 270 2,520 2,295 CA : 18.8 15.5 18.8 15.5 395 390 7,426 6,045 FL : 22.3 22.6 21.5 22.0 295 270 6,343 5,940 Hastings : 17.2 17.0 16.5 16.5 295 270 4,868 4,455 Other FL : 5.1 5.6 5.0 5.5 295 270 1,475 1,485 NC : 17.5 18.0 17.0 17.5 200 180 3,400 3,150 TX : 9.8 9.5 9.3 9.0 240 230 2,232 2,070 : Total : 77.4 74.1 75.6 72.5 290 269 21,921 19,500 : Summer : AL : 5.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 170 160 697 640 CA : 6.5 8.0 6.5 8.0 355 365 2,308 2,920 CO : 8.1 5.0 7.9 4.8 355 370 2,805 1,776 DE : 4.8 5.0 4.7 4.9 240 230 1,128 1,127 IL : 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.3 350 340 1,855 1,802 KS : 3.0 2.5 2.9 2.4 340 340 986 816 MD : 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 260 240 1,222 1,128 MO : 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 275 325 1,678 1,950 NJ : 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.5 285 270 713 675 NM : 3.3 2.2 3.0 2.2 350 350 1,050 770 TX : 8.4 8.5 7.8 8.0 380 390 2,964 3,120 VA : 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.3 205 210 1,292 1,323 : Total : 64.7 60.8 61.8 59.1 303 305 18,698 18,047 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnotes at end of table. --continued Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2000-2001 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--------- 1,000 Acres --------- -- Cwt -- 1,000 Cwt : Fall 2/ : CA : 8.7 2.5 8.7 2.5 430 3,741 CO : 75.8 68.1 75.6 67.9 370 27,972 ID : 415.0 370.0 413.0 368.0 369 152,320 10 SW Co: 28.0 26.0 28.0 26.0 490 13,720 Other ID: 387.0 344.0 385.0 342.0 360 138,600 IN : 3.0 3.1 2.8 2.9 280 784 ME : 64.0 62.0 64.0 62.0 280 17,920 MA : 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.8 255 638 MI : 49.0 47.5 47.5 45.5 315 14,963 MN : 66.0 57.0 59.0 51.0 360 21,240 MT : 11.5 9.6 11.3 9.5 310 3,503 NE : 26.0 21.5 24.7 21.1 410 10,127 NV : 7.0 6.0 7.0 6.0 450 3,150 NM : 6.8 4.0 6.8 4.0 400 2,720 NY : 22.0 23.5 21.3 23.0 280 5,964 ND : 124.0 110.0 110.0 106.0 245 26,950 OH : 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.1 270 1,134 OR : 57.0 46.5 56.5 46.0 543 30,683 Malheur : 10.5 9.0 10.5 9.0 425 4,463 Other OR: 46.5 37.5 46.0 37.0 570 26,220 PA : 13.5 14.0 13.0 13.5 270 3,510 RI : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 275 138 SD : 3.5 2.8 2.8 2.6 290 812 UT : 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.3 290 435 WA : 180.0 165.0 180.0 165.0 600 108,000 WI : 86.0 85.0 84.5 84.0 400 33,800 : Total :1,228.0 1,107.0 1,197.2 1,089.2 393 470,504 : US :1,387.3 1,258.7 1,351.6 1,234.8 382 516,083 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ The forecast of fall potato production will be released November 9, 2001. Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes, 11 Major States, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Potato Types 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Reds : Whites : Russets :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 5 5 10 15 85 80 ID : 1 6 5 94 94 ME : 4 4 57 60 39 36 MI : 3 4 82 80 15 16 MN : 26 26 13 10 61 64 NY : 100 100 ND : 19 19 36 40 45 41 OR : 4 1 13 14 83 85 PA : 100 100 WA : 2 3 15 4 83 93 WI : 10 11 29 29 61 60 : Total : 5 6 23 22 72 72 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s) constituting less than 1 percent of State's total. Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes, by State and Total, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 Crop : 2001 Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Entered for : : Percent : Entered for : Certification : Certified : Certified : Certification -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- Acres --------- Percent Acres : AK : 100 158 158 150 CA : 1,000 1,314 131 800 CO : 16,831 15,932 95 16,813 ID : 50,500 49,202 97 38,581 ME : 14,636 15,813 108 14,000 MI : 2,311 2,279 99 2,344 MN : 11,000 9,324 85 8,000 MT : 11,777 10,670 91 9,306 NE : 5,000 5,047 101 7,000 NY : 1,100 1,102 100 1,000 ND : 20,963 19,935 95 22,221 OR : 2,100 2,386 114 2,200 PA : 245 273 111 256 SD : 958 738 77 648 UT : 62 62 100 50 WA : 2,300 2,412 105 2,250 WI : 10,500 10,609 101 10,450 : Total : 151,383 147,256 97 136,069 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data supplied by State seed certification officials. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,844.0 5,088.0 5,201.0 4,514.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 79,545.0 76,109.0 72,732.0 69,291.0 Corn for Silage : 5,868.0 Hay, All : 59,854.0 63,833.0 Alfalfa : 23,077.0 23,750.0 All Other : 36,777.0 40,083.0 Oats : 4,477.0 4,404.0 2,324.0 2,186.0 Proso Millet : 440.0 550.0 370.0 Rice : 3,060.0 3,250.0 3,039.0 3,223.0 Rye : 1,335.0 1,288.0 302.0 250.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,195.0 9,747.0 7,723.0 8,857.0 Sorghum for Silage : 265.0 Wheat, All : 62,529.0 59,604.0 53,028.0 49,331.0 Winter : 43,348.0 41,318.0 35,022.0 31,657.0 Durum : 3,937.0 3,040.0 3,572.0 2,975.0 Other Spring : 15,244.0 15,246.0 14,434.0 14,699.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,567.0 1,611.0 1,509.0 1,565.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 536.0 556.0 517.0 545.0 Mustard Seed : 46.0 38.7 42.9 37.2 Peanuts : 1,536.8 1,474.0 1,336.0 1,435.5 Rapeseed : 4.0 2.5 3.9 2.4 Safflower : 215.0 175.0 197.0 165.0 Soybeans for Beans : 74,496.0 75,416.0 72,718.0 74,337.0 Sunflower : 2,792.0 2,750.0 2,629.0 2,660.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 15,517.2 16,289.0 13,053.0 Upland : 15,347.0 16,054.0 12,884.0 Amer-Pima : 170.2 235.0 169.0 Sugarbeets : 1,565.2 1,368.1 1,374.3 1,337.2 Sugarcane : 1,025.7 1,054.2 Tobacco : 472.4 451.2 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 5.2 11.5 4.1 10.2 Dry Edible Beans : 1,756.2 1,426.2 1,606.4 1,333.5 Dry Edible Peas : 188.0 215.5 179.0 208.5 Lentils : 217.0 215.0 214.0 212.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.3 Hops : 36.1 35.7 Peppermint Oil : 89.5 Potatoes, All : 1,387.3 1,258.7 1,351.6 1,234.8 Winter : 17.2 16.8 17.0 14.0 Spring : 77.4 74.1 75.6 72.5 Summer : 64.7 60.8 61.8 59.1 Fall : 1,228.0 1,107.0 1,197.2 1,089.2 Spearmint Oil : 21.7 Sweet Potatoes : 98.0 95.9 94.9 93.1 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 61.1 58.4 317,865 263,522 Corn for Grain : " : 137.1 9,968,358 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.8 98,538 Hay, All : " : 2.54 152,183 Alfalfa : " : 3.48 80,347 All Other : " : 1.95 71,836 Oats : Bu : 64.2 60.5 149,195 132,150 Proso Millet : " : 19.8 7,320 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,281 190,872 Rye : Bu : 28.5 8,619 Sorghum for Grain : " : 60.9 470,070 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 10.8 2,863 Wheat, All : Bu : 41.9 40.0 2,223,440 1,973,854 Winter : " : 44.6 43.2 1,562,733 1,366,192 Durum : " : 30.7 31.6 109,805 94,079 Other Spring : " : 38.2 34.9 550,902 513,583 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,337 2,016,951 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,436 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.8 10,730 Mustard Seed : Lb : 852 36,570 Peanuts : " : 2,444 3,265,505 Rapeseed : " : 1,474 5,750 Safflower : " : 1,434 282,545 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 38.1 2,769,665 Sunflower : Lb : 1,363 3,584,339 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 632 17,188.3 Upland 2/ : " : 626 16,799.2 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,105 389.1 Sugarbeets : Ton : 23.6 32,436 Sugarcane : " : 35.2 36,117 Tobacco : Lb : 2,229 1,052,998 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,780 73 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,646 26,440 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,955 3,499 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,415 3,029 Wrinkled Seed Peas : " : 680 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,340 9,100 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 50,000 13,500 Hops : " : 1,871 67,577 Peppermint Oil : " : 77 6,926 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 382 516,083 Winter : " : 292 285 4,960 3,990 Spring : " : 290 269 21,921 19,500 Summer : " : 303 305 18,698 18,047 Fall : " : 393 470,504 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 101 2,199 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 145 13,794 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 7,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1999-2001 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,513 2,756 2,472 K-Early Citrus (FL) : " : 4 5 2 Lemons : " : 747 863 965 Oranges : " : 9,824 13,000 12,306 Tangelos (FL) : " : 115 99 95 Tangerines : " : 327 451 387 Temples (FL) : " : 81 88 56 : : Non-Citrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 10,630.7 10,648.7 Apricots : Ton : 90.5 98.9 81.2 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 24,500.0 29,000.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,236.3 7,658.0 Olives (CA) : " : 142.0 53.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 42,400.0 54,500.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,525.6 2,599.8 2,534.3 Pears : Ton : 1,015.5 967.2 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 178.0 219.0 155.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 22.9 23.9 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 833,000 703,000 850,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 40.0 24.0 Pecans : Lb : 406,100 209,850 Pistachios (CA) : " : 123,000 243,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 283.0 239.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,188 1,231 1,049 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Production years are 1998-1999, 1999-2000, and 2000-2001. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,365,010 2,059,060 2,104,790 1,826,770 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,191,070 30,800,550 29,433,910 28,041,370 Corn for Silage : 2,374,720 Hay, All 3/ : 24,222,320 25,832,580 Alfalfa : 9,339,030 9,611,390 All Other : 14,883,280 16,221,190 Oats : 1,811,800 1,782,250 940,500 884,650 Proso Millet : 178,060 222,580 149,740 Rice : 1,238,350 1,315,240 1,229,850 1,304,320 Rye : 540,260 521,240 122,220 101,170 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,721,120 3,944,510 3,125,420 3,584,340 Sorghum for Silage : 107,240 Wheat, All 3/ :25,304,860 24,121,140 21,459,900 19,963,760 Winter :17,542,500 16,720,980 14,173,050 12,811,270 Durum : 1,593,260 1,230,260 1,445,550 1,203,950 Other Spring : 6,169,090 6,169,900 5,841,300 5,948,540 : Oilseeds : Canola : 634,150 651,960 610,680 633,340 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 216,910 225,010 209,220 220,560 Mustard Seed : 18,620 15,660 17,360 15,050 Peanuts : 621,930 596,510 540,670 580,930 Rapeseed : 1,620 1,010 1,580 970 Safflower : 87,010 70,820 79,720 66,770 Soybeans for Beans :30,147,790 30,520,100 29,428,250 30,083,440 Sunflower : 1,129,890 1,112,900 1,063,930 1,076,480 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 6,279,660 6,592,000 5,282,420 Upland : 6,210,780 6,496,890 5,214,030 Amer-Pima : 68,880 95,100 68,390 Sugarbeets : 633,420 553,660 556,170 541,150 Sugarcane : 415,090 426,620 Tobacco : 191,190 182,600 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 2,100 4,650 1,660 4,130 Dry Edible Beans : 710,720 577,170 650,090 539,650 Dry Edible Peas : 76,080 87,210 72,440 84,380 Lentils : 87,820 87,010 86,600 85,790 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,750 Ginger Root (HI) : 110 Hops : 14,620 14,450 Peppermint Oil : 36,220 Potatoes, All 3/ : 561,430 509,380 546,980 499,710 Winter : 6,960 6,800 6,880 5,670 Spring : 31,320 29,990 30,590 29,340 Summer : 26,180 24,610 25,010 23,920 Fall : 496,960 447,990 484,490 440,790 Spearmint Oil : 8,780 Sweet Potatoes : 39,660 38,810 38,410 37,680 Taro (HI) 4/ : 190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.29 3.14 6,920,690 5,737,510 Corn for Grain : 8.60 253,207,960 Corn for Silage : 37.64 89,392,170 Hay, All 2/ : 5.70 138,058,100 Alfalfa : 7.80 72,889,570 All Other : 4.38 65,168,520 Oats : 2.30 2.17 2,165,560 1,918,150 Proso Millet : 1.11 166,010 Rice : 7.04 8,657,810 Rye : 1.79 218,930 Sorghum for Grain : 3.82 11,940,330 Sorghum for Silage : 24.22 2,597,270 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.82 2.69 60,512,120 53,719,500 Winter : 3.00 2.90 42,530,620 37,181,650 Durum : 2.07 2.13 2,988,400 2,560,410 Other Spring : 2.57 2.35 14,993,100 13,977,440 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.50 914,870 Cottonseed 3/ : 5,838,280 Flaxseed : 1.30 272,550 Mustard Seed : 0.96 16,590 Peanuts : 2.74 1,481,210 Rapeseed : 1.65 2,610 Safflower : 1.61 128,160 Soybeans for Beans : 2.56 75,377,930 Sunflower : 1.53 1,625,830 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.71 3,742,310 Upland : 0.70 3,657,590 Amer-Pima : 1.24 84,720 Sugarbeets : 52.91 29,425,440 Sugarcane : 78.93 32,764,790 Tobacco : 2.50 477,630 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 2.00 3,310 Dry Edible Beans : 1.84 1,199,300 Dry Edible Peas : 2.19 158,710 Lentils : 1.59 137,390 Wrinkled Seed Peas : 30,840 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.50 4,130 Ginger Root (HI) : 56.04 6,120 Hops : 2.10 30,650 Peppermint Oil : 0.09 3,140 Potatoes, All 2/ : 42.80 23,409,130 Winter : 32.70 31.94 224,980 180,980 Spring : 32.50 30.15 994,320 884,510 Summer : 33.91 34.23 848,130 818,600 Fall : 44.05 21,341,700 Spearmint Oil : 0.11 1,000 Sweet Potatoes : 16.29 625,690 Taro (HI) 3/ : 3,180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 1999-2001 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,279,760 2,500,200 2,242,560 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 3,630 4,540 1,810 Lemons : 677,670 782,900 875,430 Oranges : 8,912,180 11,793,400 11,163,820 Tangelos (FL) : 104,330 89,810 86,180 Tangerines : 296,650 409,140 351,080 Temples (FL) : 73,480 79,830 50,800 : Non-Citrus : Apples : 4,822,000 4,830,170 Apricots : 82,100 89,720 73,660 Bananas (HI) : 11,110 13,150 Grapes : 5,657,440 6,947,190 Olives (CA) : 128,820 48,080 Papayas (HI) : 19,230 24,720 Peaches : 1,145,590 1,179,250 1,149,540 Pears : 921,200 877,380 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 161,480 198,670 140,610 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 20,770 21,680 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 377,840 318,880 385,550 Hazelnuts : 36,290 21,770 Pecans : 184,200 95,190 Pistachios (CA) : 55,790 110,220 Walnuts (CA) : 256,730 216,820 Maple Syrup : 5,940 6,150 5,240 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Production years are 1998-1999, 1999-2000, and 2000-2001. June Weather Summary The slow-moving remnants of Tropical Storm Allison highlighted an otherwise fairly typical June weather regime. Allison arrived along the Texas coast on June 5, then soaked the western and central Gulf Coast regions for nearly a week before finally departing the middle Atlantic region around mid-month. Despite the widespread flooding associated with Allison, agricultural impacts were relatively minor. Elsewhere in the South, widespread showers aided pastures and summer crops, despite lingering long-term precipitation deficits in many areas from the Delta eastward. Farther north, most of the Corn Belt received near-normal rainfall, favoring corn and soybean development. Pockets of wetness persisted until late in the month, however, across the upper Mississippi Valley and the east-central Plains, hampering final soybean planting and other fieldwork operations. Meanwhile, beneficial showers dampened the drought-affected northern High Plains and Northwest, providing limited relief to pastures, winter wheat, and spring-sown small grains. In contrast, very warm, mostly dry weather prevailed on the central and southern High Plains, aiding winter wheat harvest, but depleting topsoil moisture and increasing stress on summer crops. Hot, unfavorably dry conditions also affected the Great Basin and the Southwest, although seasonal showers increased toward month's end in the latter region. Monthly temperatures averaged from near normal to as much as 3 degrees F below normal in the Midwest and Southeast, but were generally 1 to 5 degrees F above normal in California, the Great Basin, the Southwest, and New England. Readings averaged up to 4 degrees F above normal on the central and southern High Plains. June Agricultural Summary Above-normal precipitation erased topsoil moisture shortages and reduced subsoil moisture deficits in the Southeast, especially along the Gulf Coast and Atlantic Coastal Plains. Abnormally wet weather provided much-needed moisture for small grain development in the northern Great Plains and Pacific Northwest, but cooler-than-normal weather slightly hampered growth. In the central and southern Great Plains, hot weather quickly ripened winter wheat fields and below-normal precipitation aided harvest. In the Corn Belt, temperatures and precipitation were mostly favorable for crop development, although periods of cool temperatures briefly hampered growth. Some crops, mainly along the Ohio River Valley, were stressed by moisture shortages. Also, a few fields, mostly in the western and northern Corn Belt, were damaged by hail, high winds, and wet soils. Above-normal temperatures promoted crop development in the Southwest, but dry weather increased irrigation requirements. Corn emerged quickly in the northern and western Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains during the first half of the month. However, emerged fields deteriorated and early-month growth was slow due to cold night time temperatures. Meanwhile, conditions improved in the central Great Plains and southern Corn Belt, where precipitation temporarily reduced moisture shortages and temperatures were near normal. After mid-month, conditions were boosted by warm weather, especially east of the Mississippi River. The much-needed heat accelerated vegetative growth and removed excessive moisture in many areas. As surplus soil moisture diminished, plants exhibited a noticeably healthier color. However, stands were spotty and uneven in some fields. In the southern Great Plains and along the lower Ohio River Valley, moisture shortages gradually increased, while fields in the Southeast received much-needed rainfall at the critical reproductive and ear-filling stages. On July 1, 8 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the silking stage, equal to last year's progress, and slightly ahead of normal. Favorably dry weather aided soybean planting across the northern Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains during most of the month. However, rain frequently delayed planting progress in parts of Kansas, Missouri, and Wisconsin. Fields rapidly emerged across the Corn Belt, but cool weather hindered vegetative development during the first half of the month. In some areas, excessive soil moisture also contributed to slow growth. After mid-month, warm weather and increased sunshine improved conditions across most of the Corn Belt, especially east of the Mississippi river. However, moisture shortages stressed some fields in the lower Ohio Valley. Ninety-five percent of the crop was emerged and 12 percent was blooming by July 1. In the eastern Corn Belt, virtually all of the fields were emerged and blooming exceeded the 5-year average at the end of June. Emergence lagged in Missouri and Wisconsin, and neared completion slightly later than normal in Iowa and Minnesota. In the lower Mississippi Valley, well over one-half of the Louisiana and Mississippi fields were blooming. A few fields were blooming in the northern and western Corn Belt, but progress was behind normal. Cool weather hindered winter wheat development in parts of the northern Great Plains and Pacific Northwest. Fields progressed to the heading stage well behind normal in South Dakota and Oregon and slightly behind normal in Idaho. In the central and southern High Plains, above normal heat quickly ripened fields and dry weather aided rapid harvest progress. By July 1, harvest was virtually complete in Oklahoma and approached completion in Texas and Kansas. Below-normal temperatures slightly delayed ripening in the Corn Belt and lower Mississippi Valley, but development remained ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest neared completion ahead of normal in Arkansas, Illinois, and Missouri, but progress lagged slightly behind normal in Ohio, and Michigan. Barley, oat, and spring wheat development were aided by above-normal precipitation across the northern Great Plains and Pacific Northwest. In the Corn Belt and upper Mississippi Valley, soil moisture supplies were mostly adequate to sustain oat development even though precipitation was below normal in some areas. Mild temperatures also supported small grain development, although vegetative growth and biological progress were slightly hindered. Barley, oat, and spring wheat fields headed much later than normal in Minnesota. The spring wheat crop entered the heading stage well behind normal in Idaho and South Dakota and slightly behind normal in North Dakota. Oats entered the heading stage several days later than normal in Iowa, South Dakota, and Wisconsin. Barley and spring wheat headed slightly ahead of normal in the Pacific Northwest. Cotton planting neared completion later than normal along the southern Atlantic Coastal Plain, especially in South Carolina, mainly due to soil moisture shortages. Emergence and early-month growth were also hindered by moisture shortages. However, emergence and growth accelerated after early-month dryness was erased by frequent storms, including heavy precipitation from the remnants of tropical storm Allison. Temperatures averaged slightly below normal in the Southeast and lower Mississippi Valley, but late-month heat accelerated crop development. In the southern Great Plains, above-normal temperatures promoted rapid biological development, but by the end of the month, many fields were stressed by moisture shortages. Heat also stimulated development in the Southwest and growers irrigated fields to support growth. Rice fields progressed ahead of normal along the western Gulf Coast, where almost one-half of Louisiana's crop and more the one-third of Texas's acreage was headed by July 1. Some fields along the Gulf Coast approached maturity and were drained for harvest. In the interior Mississippi Delta, a few fields entered the heading stage, but progress lagged slightly behind the 5-year average on July 1. Abundant heat promoted rapid development in California during most of the month. Sorghum planting was complete ahead of normal in the lower Mississippi Valley and progressed ahead of normal across most of the Great Plains and Corn Belt. Fields entered the heading stage ahead of normal along the western Gulf Coast and interior Mississippi Delta. On July 1, almost three-fourth's of Louisiana's acreage, one-half of Texas's crop, and one-third of Arkansas's fields were headed. The peanut crop developed slightly ahead of normal due to rapid progress along the mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain. Thirty-six percent of the acreage was pegging by July 1, compared with 32 percent last year and the average of 34 percent. Pegging advanced slightly behind normal in interior areas of the eastern Gulf Coast. Progress varied considerably in the southern Great Plains. Oats: Production is forecast at 132 million bushels, 11 percent below last year's 149 million bushels and the lowest production on record. The forecasted yield is 60.5 bushels per acre, down 3.7 bushels from 2000. Area for harvest is estimated at 2.19 million acres, down 6 percent from last year, but unchanged from the previous estimate. The crop developed behind normal across most of the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, and by the end of June, just over one-half of the acreage was headed. Fields progressed to the heading stage much later than normal in Minnesota and Wisconsin. Development lagged slightly behind normal across most of the remaining Corn Belt and Great Plains States. However, Ohio's crop advanced to the heading stage earlier than normal. Soil moisture supplies were mostly adequate for development in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains during the month, but cool weather limited growth early in the month. Seasonal temperatures accelerated development after mid-month. Barley: Barley production for 2001 is forecast at 264 million bushels, down 17 percent from 2000. The first forecast for 2001 indicates producers expect to average 58.4 bushels per acre, a decrease of 2.7 bushels from last year's near record high. Area harvested, at 4.51 million acres, is 13 percent below the 5.20 million acres harvested in 2000, but unchanged from the previous estimate. The combination of lower expected yields, and a decrease in harvested acres, has reduced forecast production to its lowest level since 1953. Yield forecasts in the northern Great Plains States are down due to a delayed planting season hampered by a cool, wet spring. Producers in North Dakota, the largest barley producing State, expect yields to average 54 bushels per acre, a decrease of 1 bushel from the 2000 yield. However, the neighboring States of South Dakota and Minnesota are expecting yield declines of 12 and 11 bushels, respectively, following a favorable growing season last year. Late season frosts and below normal precipitation have limited yields in the Rocky Mountain States. A dry growing season this year, following a favorable season last year, has reduced yields in the Eastern States as compared to a year ago. Heading progress in the five major-producing States was 40 percent complete as of July 1, compared with the 5-year average of 38 percent. Condition of the crop at that time was rated 56 percent good to excellent, compared to 63 percent last year. Winter Wheat: Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 31.7 million, down 10 percent from 2000. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing States had reached 55 percent completion by July 1. This is 6 percentage points behind last year but 10 points ahead of average. Increased yields from last month's forecast were seen in most of the Hard Red Wheat (HRW) States. Head counts were down slightly from last month's Objective Yield survey in the six HRW States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas). Weight per head is up 17 percent from last month to near record levels due mainly to timely precipitation. Montana finally received some relief from the drought with rainfall across the State during the first half of June. Harvest progress in Kansas was near normal. In Nebraska, harvest was about one week behind normal on July 1. Favorable weather in Texas and Oklahoma allowed harvest to progress rapidly. Harvested yields are better than previously expected in many of the Soft Red Wheat (SRW) States. Missouri, Kentucky, and Tennessee now expect record high yields. Collective head count forecasts are virtually unchanged in the SRW Objective Yield States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio), but average weight per head is up 12 percent from a month ago. Arkansas yield decline is due mainly to Hessian fly damage, which resulted in severe lodging when storms moved through during June. White wheat yield prospects are unchanged from last month in Idaho and Michigan. Continued dry conditions in the Pacific Northwest led to lower yield expectations in Oregon and Washington. Recent rains and favorable growing conditions in New York resulted in a higher yield forecast than a month ago. Durum Wheat: Area for 2001 grain harvest is expected to total 2.98 million acres, down 17 percent from last year. Harvest in the California Imperial Valley was finished by the middle of June, with protein levels reported to be average to below average. In North Dakota the crop development is slightly behind the five-year average and well behind last year. As of July 1 the condition of the crop, at 73 percent good to excellent, is comparable to last year. Other Spring Wheat: Harvested area is forecast at 14.7 million acres, up 2 percent from last year. The Pacific Northwest (Idaho, Oregon, Washington) production forecast is down 22 percent from a year ago. Hot, dry conditions have advanced the crop development ahead of normal in Washington. As of July 1, 68 percent of the Oregon crop was in poor to fair condition. In Idaho 58 percent of the crop was rated good to excellent compared to the 85 percent good to excellent last year at this time. Spring wheat in Montana benefitted from rains received in June however, the rain may have come too late for some of the earlier planted wheat. In the Dakotas and Minnesota development of the crop is lagging behind normal mainly due to late plantings. Lentils: Planted acreage of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at 215,000 acres, down 1 percent from last year but 18 percent higher than 1999. Harvested acreage is estimated at 212,000. Washington growers planted 85,000 acres of lentils, the same as a year ago, but up 13 percent from two years ago. Growers in Idaho planted 65,000 acres to lentils in 2001, the same level as last year. This is 7 percent more acreage than in 1999. Growers plan to harvest 64,000 acres. Planted acreage in North Dakota is estimated at 50,000 acres, up 11 percent from the previous year and 85 percent above 1999. Montana is the only State where less acreage was devoted to lentils than in 2000. Montana growers planted 15,000 acres this year, 32 percent fewer than last year and 21 percent less than 1999. Growers plan on harvesting 14,000 acres. Dry Edible Peas: Planted acreage of dry edible peas in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Oregon, and Washington is estimated at 215,500 acres, up 15 percent from last year but 20 percent below 1999. Acreage planted in North Dakota, at 100,000 acres, is up 52 percent from a year ago. This is the same level as in 1998. North Dakota growers are expected to harvest 95,000 acres. Idaho dry edible pea growers planted 26,000 acres in 2001, up 4 percent from last year. Growers plan to harvest 25,000 acres. Oregon growers devoted 4,500 acres to dry edible peas, an increase of 13 percent from the previous year. Washington farmers planted dry edible peas on 60,000 acres, 8 percent less than in 2000 and 45 percent less than in 1999. Cool, spring temperatures benefitted this year's crop. Most of the dry edible peas are in average to above average condition. Growers plan to harvest all 60,000 acres. Montana dry edible pea growers planted 25,000 acres, down 11 percent from a year ago and 32 percent below 1999. Growers plan to harvest 24,000 of these acres. High winds earlier in the growing season have had an adverse effect on the dry edible pea crop. Austrian Winter Peas: Planted acreage of Austrian winter peas in Idaho, Montana, and Oregon is estimated at 11,500 acres and harvested acreage is estimated at 10,200 acres. Montana growers planted 6,000 acres in 2001. This is Montana's first year in the Austrian winter pea estimating program. They plan to harvest 5,900 acres. Planted acreage in Idaho totaled 4,000 acres, unchanged from the 2000 crop year but 20 percent less than in 1999. Harvested acreage is estimated at 3,700 acres. Austrian winter pea planted acreage in Oregon is estimated at 1,500 acres, up 25 percent from a year ago and 36 percent above 1999. Harvested area is estimated at 600 acres. Tobacco: U.S. all flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 559.0 million pounds, down 7 percent from the 2000 crop and 15 percent below 1999. Yield per acre for flue-cured is forecast at 2,258 pounds, down 138 pounds from 2000, but up 96 pounds from two years ago. Forecasted yields for all flue-cured types decreased from last year in every State except Georgia, where a slight increase in forecast. North Carolina's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 371.6 million pounds, down 6 percent from the 2000 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,252 pounds, down 169 pounds from 2000. On July 1, soil moisture levels were rated 80 percent in the adequate to surplus range. The State has received ample rainfall amounts which has raised soil moisture to excess levels. Therefore, increased incidences of blue mold and other diseases have kept yields down in the eastern part of the State. Flue-cured tobacco production in South Carolina is forecast at 73.6 million pounds, down 9 percent from the 2000 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,300 pounds, down 90 pounds from last year. The crop is reported to be in good condition as many farmers are preparing for harvest. Recent rains have improved the growth and development of the crop. Georgia's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 60.8 million pounds, down 12 percent from the 2000 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,250 pounds, up 30 pounds from last year. Temperatures across the State during June were near normal but rainfall has been above normal. This rainfall, combined with high humidity, has increased the disease and insect pressure on the flue-cured crop. Harvest is about 8 percent complete, which is behind the five-year average of 12 percent. Flue-cured tobacco production in Virginia is forecast at 41.8 million pounds, down 2 percent from the 2000 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,200 pounds, down 240 pounds from last year. Despite near ideal transplanting conditions and ample moisture the first half of June, growers are now concerned with the lack of moisture and plant development. The last half of June has been extremely dry and sustained high temperatures have affected maturity. Flue-cured condition rates mostly fair to good, but has declined the last several weeks. Florida's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 11.2 million pounds, down 2 percent from last year's crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,490 pounds, down 60 pounds from the 2000 crop. Harvest began about mid-June and there are no indications of delays due to rainfall. All Potatoes: Potato farmers across the United States have planted an estimated 1.26 million acres of potatoes in all four seasons in 2001, down 9 percent from last year. Area for harvest, forecast at 1.23 million acres, is also down 9 percent from a year ago. By season, winter planted acreage is down 2 percent from the previous year, spring planted potatoes are off 4 percent, summer potatoes dropped 6 percent, and fall plummeted 10 percent from a year ago. In earlier forecasts, winter production fell 20 percent from a last year, while spring potato output fell 11 percent. The summer forecast places production down 3 percent from a year ago. Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes this year is estimated at 1.11 million acres, down 10 percent from last year. Harvested area is expected to total 1.09 million acres, down 9 percent from a year ago. Production in eastern States planted an estimated 102,800 acres of fall potatoes this year, the same as last year. Maine's planted acreage is estimated at 62,000 acres, down 3 percent from last year. New York's planted acreage is up 7 percent and Pennsylvania gained 4 percent from a year ago. Acreage in Massachusetts and Rhode Island remained the same as last year. Dry spring weather in New England and New York allowed a rapid planting pace, well ahead of normal. Maine potatoes were 90 percent planted by June 1, 2001 compared with 65 percent normally. Planting progressed at a rapid pace in New York and crop development was early. Harvest on Long Island was underway for roadside stand sales by July 1. Pennsylvania's planting season was cooler than normal but warmed up during mid-spring. Crop progress is now about normal. In the central States, an estimated 331,200 acres of fall potatoes were planted this year, down 8 percent from last year. Seven of eight States in the country's mid section had lower acreage than last year. South Dakota dropped 20 percent from last year's acreage, Nebraska is off 17 percent, Minnesota fell 14 percent, and North Dakota lost 11 percent from last year's planted acreage. Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin trimmed 3, 2, and 1 percent, respectively, from last year's planted acreage. Only Indiana planted more acres than last year, up 3 percent. A wet spring delayed planting in several Midwest States. Growers were still trying to plant potatoes in late June in Minnesota's Red River Valley where there was just too much moisture during most of the spring. Michigan planting progress was delayed by wet soils and the fear of blight development. Warm June weather improved crop conditions in North Dakota after numerous spring planting delays. Wisconsin's potatoes are late but in good condition. Planted acreage of potatoes in the western States estimated at 673,000 acres, down 12 percent from last year. Each of the western States planted fewer acres than a year ago. Water shortage cut California's planted acreage by 71 percent and Oregon's by 18 percent. Idaho's growers planted 11 percent fewer potato acres than last year. Washington growers trimmed their potato acreage by 8 percent. Colorado's fall potato farmers planted 10 percent fewer acres than a year ago. New Mexico chopped their planted potato acreage by 41 percent. Nevada potato acreage was cut by 14 percent and Utah dropped 13 percent. Montana's seed acreage was reduced by 17 percent. The Pacific Northwest has turned drier than normal this year. Power and water buy back programs also encouraged some potato acreage reduction along with the memory of low prices from last year's record high production. Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 18.0 million cwt in 2001, down 3 percent from a year ago. Harvested acreage is forecast at 59,100 acres, down 4 percent from the previous year while the average yield of 305 cwt per acre is up 2 cwt from last year. Acreage cuts are particularly sharp in Colorado and New Mexico as growers made adjustments after last year's record high fall crop. Smaller potato crops are also expected in Kansas, Alabama, Maryland, New Jersey, Delaware, and Illinois. California, Missouri, Texas, and Virginia are forecasting larger summer potato crops than a year ago. Record high yields per acre are predicted in Missouri and Colorado for summer potatoes. Harvest is nearing completion in southeast Missouri but not yet begun in the northwest. Warm June weather was favorable for growing conditions in Colorado, but planted acreage is down 38 percent from last year. Yields are also expected to be at or above last year in New Mexico, Texas, Kansas, California, and Virginia. Harvest is active in the Mid-Atlantic States. Virginia's early harvest is ahead of normal, with 18 percent dug as of July 1, 2001. June rains came at critical times in Maryland and Delaware and harvest is underway. New Jersey was dry in April and May but humid weather in June pushed potato crop progress forward. Alabama growers reduced planted acreage 20 percent from last year. Early harvest is active but yields are moderate. California summer potatoes are in good condition as harvest gets underway. Peaches: The July 2001 forecast of U.S. peach production is 2.53 billion pounds, down 3 percent from 2000 but less than 1 percent above two years ago. Twelve States forecast increases in production from last year while 16 States expect declines and 1 State is unchanged. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.05 billion pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 1 percent below 2000. Crop set looks good in the early varieties, while lighter sets have been reported in the late varieties. Harvest began on June 22 in the Kingsburg area. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 780.0 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 1 percent below 2000. A hailstorm in April caused significant losses in the Fresno area. The hail damage is more prominent in the fresh market crop than the processed market crop. Harvest is progressing well with 30 percent of the harvest completed by the end of June. Georgia's peach crop is forecast at 135.0 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but up 17 percent from 2000. Recent rains caused some losses from brown rot but also helped peaches to size. Harvest was 54 percent complete by the end of June, a week behind normal. Alabama and Tennessee production are up 79 and 60 percent, respectively, from 2000. Louisiana is up 67 percent and Texas is up 43 percent from last season. Peach production in Kentucky is forecast at 1.7 million pounds, up 70 percent from last year. The south-central States reported heavy fruit set due to good weather during the pollination period. The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 90.0 million pounds, the same as the June 1 forecast but down 40 percent from last year. Harvest has progressed at a near normal pace with the overall condition of the crop at mostly fair to good. North Carolina's peach crop, forecast at 12.0 million pounds, is down 63 percent from last year and 57 percent below two years ago. Production in Virginia is down 10 percent from 2000. Frost damage in April, sporadic hail damage, and a dry spell in May and June have reduced crop expectations in the Carolinas and Virginia. In New Jersey, production is forecast at 75.0 million pounds, 15 percent above the previous year and up 7 percent from 1999. Production in New York is forecast at 13.0 million pounds, 8 percent above 2000 but 7 percent below two years ago. Both New Jersey and New York expect a good crop due to favorable weather conditions and minor losses to frost and hail. Production in Pennsylvania is forecast at 65.0 million pounds, 8 percent above last year but down 13 percent from 1999. Pennsylvania is having an excellent crop due to favorable weather but continues to lose acres due to the plum pox virus. West Virginia's peach crop is expected to be up 71 percent from 2000 but 5 percent below 1999. Production in Massachusetts is forecast to be 14 percent below 2000 and production in Connecticut is down 10 percent from last year. Both New England States reported heavy losses due to frost damage. Production is unchanged from last year in Maryland. Michigan's peach crop is forecast at 45.0 million pounds, 5 percent below 2000 but 96 percent above 1999. Peach production in Indiana and Ohio are up 15 and 6 percent, respectively, from last year. All three States report adequate moisture with good fruit set. Illinois' production, at 18.5 million pounds, is down 20 percent from 2000 mostly due to frost losses. Production is down 11 percent in Missouri. Production is also down 11 percent in Arkansas and 14 percent in Oklahoma. These four States had dry conditions last fall which has reduced production potential for this year. Two severe ice storms damaged orchards in Arkansas and Oklahoma over the winter. The Washington peach crop is forecast at 60.0 million pounds, 8 percent below last year but up 18 percent from 1999. Poor weather during pollination reduced fruit set and production expectations in Washington. Idaho's production is forecast at 10.0 million pounds, down 23 percent from last year. Production is also down from 2000 in Oregon, Colorado, and Utah. California Grapes: California's all grape production is forecast at 6.30 million tons, down 10 percent from last year's record high crop but up 14 percent from 1999. Wine type grapes account for 54 percent of California's total production, raisin types account for 33 percent, while the remaining 13 percent are table type grapes. Wine type variety grape production is forecast at a record high 3.40 million tons, up 1 percent from last season's crop and 28 percent higher than the 1999 crop. Most areas had ideal weather conditions during bloom. The Pope Valley in the North Coast region and a few vineyards in the Sierra Foothills experienced frost damage. Overall, production loss is expected to be minor. California's raisin type variety grape production is forecast at 2.10 million tons, down 27 percent from last year and 1 percent below the 1999 crop. Ideal weather conditions during bloom allowed for a consistent bloom throughout the bunch. However, bunches per vine space are reported to be less this year than last and hot weather in June is expected to have a negative effect on the crop. Maturity is a few days ahead of normal. Harvest of the Thompson Seedless variety for fresh use was active through late June in the Coachella Valley. Table type grape production is expected to be 800,000 tons, up 3 percent from last year and 6 percent greater than 1999. Harvest was active through late June in the Coachella Valley. Picking began in the southern San Joaquin Valley by July 1, with Perlette and Flame Seedless the primary varieties harvested. Apricots: The final forecast for the 2001 apricot crop is 81,200 tons, down 18 percent from last year's production and 10 percent below 1999. California's 2001 apricot production is forecast at 75,000 tons, down 18 percent from last year and 12 percent below 1999. This represents 92 percent of the U.S. apricot crop. High temperatures in California during May and June were extremely detrimental to fruit size and therefore overall production. Washington's production, at 6,000 tons, is 8 percent below 2000 but 9 percent above 1999. Washington apricots experienced a good bloom but cold weather during pollination caused a reduction in fruit set. Harvest of the early varieties is just getting started. Almonds: California's 2001 almond production is forecast at a record high 850 million meat pounds based upon results of an objective measurement survey. The expected production is down 3 percent from May's subjective forecast, but up 21 percent from last year's crop, which was the previous record high. The forecast is based on 525,000 bearing acres, 5 percent above 2000. Average yield is forecast at 1,620 pounds per acre, 210 pounds higher than last year. This increased production was expected because of the combination of higher bearing acres and 2001 being the high production year of the alternate bearing cycle. The weather during the critical bloom was variable, but warm temperatures in May and June helped get the crop back on track with crop development near or slightly behind last year. Early in the year, heavy rain and cool temperatures decreased the ability of bees to successfully pollinate many early variety orchards. This resulted in an uneven set with some late varieties having a heavy set, while some early varieties were very light. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 4.80 million pounds for June, 5 percent higher than May and 8 percent more than June 2000. Area in crop totaled 3,535 acres, 26 percent higher than last month and 37 percent higher than last year. Harvested area, at 2,035 acres, is virtually unchanged from May but 28 percent above last June. Weather conditions were variable during June with a mix of sunshine and showers. Soil moisture in non-irrigated orchards has been adequate. Longer days and warm temperatures were favorable for orchard growth and fruit development. Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2000-01 grapefruit crop for the United States is 2.47 million tons, down 1 percent from the June 1 forecast and 10 percent less than last season's utilized production. The Florida grapefruit forecast is 45.9 million boxes (1.95 million tons), 1 percent less than the June 1 forecast and 14 percent lower than the previous season. This represents the smallest Florida grapefruit crop since the 1991-92 season. The all white grapefruit forecast, which includes seedless and seedy varieties, is reduced to 18.7 million boxes (795,000 tons), 2 percent less than last month's forecast and 13 percent below last season. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 27.2 million boxes (1.16 million tons), down 1 percent from the previous forecast and 15 percent below the final utilization from a season ago. Harvest is virtually complete. The route survey shows less than 5 percent of the white and nearly 11 percent of the colored rows are unpicked. These rows may remain unharvested. The California grapefruit forecast is reduced to 6.50 million boxes (218,000 tons), 10 percent less than the April 1 forecast and 7 percent lower than last season's utilization. Fruit set is light compared to last season, but fruit size is larger. Scars and sunburn are the main grower concerns. Picking is active in Riverside and southern Central Valley areas. The July 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is 7.20 million boxes (288,000 tons), 7 percent more than the April 1 forecast and 21 percent higher than the previous season. Harvest is complete. Arizona's July 1 forecast is 450,000 boxes (15,000 tons), 31 percent lower than the previous forecast, but the same as last season. Some groves will remain unpicked due to market conditions. Tangerines: The 2000-01 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 387,000 tons, virtually unchanged from last month, but 14 percent below last season's record high utilization of 451,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop remains unchanged from the June 1 forecast of 5.60 million boxes (266,000 tons). This is 20 percent less than the record high use of 7.00 million boxes (333,000 tons) last season but very close to the average of the past five seasons. The Arizona tangerine forecast is reduced to 600,000 boxes (23,000 tons), 8 percent below the previous forecast and 29 percent lower than last season. California's forecast of 2.60 million boxes (98,000 tons) is carried forward from April. Lemons: The 2000-01 lemon forecast for the United States is 965,000 tons, up 1 percent from the April 1 forecast and 12 percent higher than last season. California utilized production is forecast at 22.0 million boxes (836,000 tons), unchanged from April, but 12 percent more than the previous season. Picking continues in the south coastal regions. Quality and size of fruit remain good. Weather conditions since April have allowed for an unhindered harvest. The Arizona lemon crop forecast, at 3.40 million boxes (129,000 tons), is 6 percent above the April forecast and up 10 percent from last season. The harvest is complete. Temples: Florida's Temple forecast remains at 1.25 million boxes (56,000 tons), the same as in June. This season's crop is 36 percent lower than the 1.95 million boxes (88,000 tons) recorded last season. Below freezing weather in December and the lack of demand have led to the lowest recorded utilization, including freeze seasons, since the series began in the 1953-54 season. The largest crop, at 6.00 million boxes, was recorded in 1979-80. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast for 2000-01 is 2.10 million boxes (94,500 tons), unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 5 percent lower than last season. Tangelo utilization peaked at 6.40 million boxes in the 1979-80 season and has declined slowly over the last 20 seasons. This is the smallest crop since the 1968-69 season. K-Early Citrus: The K-Early Citrus Fruit forecast for 2000-01 remains at 40,000 boxes (1,800 tons), unchanged from June but 70,000 boxes fewer than last season. This production equals the record low utilization of the 1997-98 season. Peak use of 600,000 boxes was recorded in three consecutive seasons beginning with the 1978-79 season. However, demand for this fruit has become minimal. Florida Citrus: Numerous heavy rains and thunderstorms occurred throughout June in all citrus growing counties. Most growers have discontinued the regular use of irrigation. An abundance of new growth appears on virtually all well cared for trees. New crop fruit is making very good progress with most oranges now bigger than golf balls and grapefruit nearly baseball size. Temples, tangerines, and tangelos are anywhere from marble to golf ball size. Valencia harvest was very active the first week of June when nearly four million boxes of fruit were moved. However, by the last week of the month utilization was down to a million boxes. Grapefruit movement was very slow during the month. There were just over 600,000 boxes of grapefruit used during June. Honey tangerine harvest was complete by the middle of the month. Caretakers were cutting cover crops, spraying, fertilizing, hedging, topping, and burning dead trees. Texas Citrus: The citrus harvest was extended a month longer than last season due to cooler winter weather which slowed maturity. Overall quality was good but prices received by growers were down. California Citrus: The Valencia orange harvest is in full swing. The lemon harvest continued in the south coast areas. Grapefruit harvest slowed in the desert area but was active in Riverside County. New crop oranges were experiencing "June drop" during the past month. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included weed control, fungicide applications, and irrigation of trees and vines. Picking of many fruit crops occurred during June. Grapes for fresh use were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Perlette and Flame Seedless were the primary varieties. Table grape harvesting began in the San Joaquin Valley in late June. Grape growers were also treating vineyards for fungal diseases. Insecticides and fungicides were applied to apple trees. Warmer temperatures in June proved favorable for maturing stone fruit. Harvest of apricots, freestone peaches, nectarines, and plums was also active. Picking of Clingstone peaches began in the Kingsburg area towards the end of June. Figs were developing well and beginning to color. The cherry harvest was virtually complete by mid-June. Strawberry harvest remained active. Reliability of July 1 Crop Production Forecast Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between June 25 and July 5 to gather information on expected yield as of July 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in ten States that accounted for 67 percent of the 2000 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-visited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 9,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the July 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, 2000, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 1.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.0 percent. Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 26 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 65 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 orange production forecast is 1.3 percent. This means that chances are two out of three that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are nine out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.2 percent. Differences between the July 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 104,000 tons, ranging from 1,000 tons to 370,000 tons. The July 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. The difference does not imply that the July 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Rhonda Brandt - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Nuts, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Fresh Vegetables, Mushrooms(202) 720-3250 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4288 Jim Smith - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Peas (202) 720-2127 Darin Jantzi - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Jim Smith - Nuts, Floriculture, Nursery (202) 720-2127 Biz Wallingsford - Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 10, 2001. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. 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