Cr Pr 2-2 (10-01) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 12, 2001, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Up 2 Percent from September Soybean Production Up 3 Percent All Cotton Production Up Slightly Orange Production Up 1 Percent from Last Season Corn production is forecast at 9.43 billion bushels, up 2 percent from last month but down 5 percent from 2000. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 136.3 bushels per acre, up 2.8 bushels from September. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1997 but the third highest yield on record. Forecasted yields are up in the central and eastern Corn Belt, especially in Indiana where the forecast is 13 bushels per acre above the previous record. Farmers found better than expected corn yields as harvest progressed rapidly under nearly ideal conditions in the Southeast and central Great Plains. Soybean production is forecast at a record high 2.91 billion bushels, up 3 percent from September 1, and 5 percent above 2000. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.2 bushels per acre, up 1.0 bushel from last month and 1.1 bushels above 2000. Forecasted yields are up in the Ohio Valley and Mississippi Valley as September weather provided excellent conditions for crop development. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record high 74.1 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 2 percent from 2000. Revisions to 2000 soybean acres, yield, and production were published in the September 28, 2001 Grain Stocks report. All cotton production is forecast at 20.1 million 480-pound bales, up less than 1 percent from last month and up 17 percent from 2000. Yield is expected to average 681 pounds per harvested acre, up 2 pounds from last month. Condition ratings remain mostly fair to good throughout the cotton belt, as defoliation and harvest begin to gain momentum. Harvested acreage, at 14.1 million acres, is unchanged from September 1. The U.S. all orange initial forecast for the 2001-02 season is 12.5 million tons, up 1 percent from last season's utilization but down 8 percent from the record large 13.7 million tons in 1997-98. Florida's all orange forecast is 231 million boxes (10.4 million tons), 3 percent above the 223 million boxes (10.0 million tons) utilized last season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 131 million boxes (5.90 million tons), 2 percent higher than last season. Fewer trees are available for harvest but the average fruit per tree is higher than last season. Average fruit size is larger than the previous crop but smaller than the 10-season average. Loss from droppage is expected to be less than the 10-season average. Florida's Valencia forecast is 100 million boxes (4.50 million tons), 5 percent above last season's final utilization and represents the second largest crop of record. Larger fruit size than last season and slightly below average loss from droppage led to the increase. California's all orange production for the 2001-02 crop year is forecast at 54.0 million boxes (2.03 million tons), 8 percent less than the previous crop. The Navel orange forecast was carried forward from September at 32.0 million boxes (1.20 million tons) and is 11 percent lower than the previous year's utilization. Fruit set is down significantly from last season. However, fruit size is larger. The initial California Valencia forecast for the 2001-02 season is 22.0 million boxes (825,000 tons), 4 percent below the 2000-01 crop year utilization. Fruit set is lower but size is above average. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2001-02 season is forecast at 1.55 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This is slightly lower than last season's yield of 1.58 gallons as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. Final yield for the 1999-2000 season was 1.55 gallons per box. Projected yield for 2001-02 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. This report was approved on October 12, 2001. Secretary of Agriculture Ann M. Veneman Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Contents Page Apples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Beans, Dry Edible . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Citrus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Canola . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Ears Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Fruit and Nuts Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Hay, Alfalfa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Pecans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Potatoes, Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . 43 Rice, by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 By Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Sorghum for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Sunflowers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Acres by Variety . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Tobacco, by State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 By Class and Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2001 : : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 :-------------------: 2000 : 2001 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels -------- --- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 165 170 65.0 110.0 114.0 10,725 19,380 AR : 175 175 130.0 145.0 145.0 22,750 25,375 CA : 235 185 170.0 175.0 170.0 39,950 31,450 CO : 1,180 1,090 127.0 133.0 138.0 149,860 150,420 DE : 156 162 162.0 142.0 144.0 25,272 23,328 GA : 300 220 107.0 120.0 126.0 32,100 27,720 IL : 11,050 10,750 151.0 146.0 149.0 1,668,550 1,601,750 IN : 5,550 5,750 147.0 152.0 160.0 815,850 920,000 IA : 12,000 11,500 145.0 138.0 141.0 1,740,000 1,621,500 KS : 3,200 3,100 130.0 127.0 132.0 416,000 409,200 KY : 1,230 1,180 130.0 130.0 140.0 159,900 165,200 LA : 370 270 116.0 135.0 142.0 42,920 38,340 MD : 405 430 155.0 138.0 138.0 62,775 59,340 MI : 1,970 1,950 124.0 92.0 92.0 244,280 179,400 MN : 6,600 6,200 145.0 128.0 129.0 957,000 799,800 MS : 385 370 100.0 128.0 130.0 38,500 48,100 MO : 2,770 2,570 143.0 136.0 136.0 396,110 349,520 NE : 8,050 7,900 126.0 138.0 138.0 1,014,300 1,090,200 NJ : 75 68 134.0 113.0 113.0 10,050 7,684 NM : 73 62 160.0 170.0 170.0 11,680 10,540 NY : 480 540 98.0 95.0 95.0 47,040 51,300 NC : 650 620 116.0 113.0 122.0 75,400 75,640 ND : 930 660 112.0 110.0 110.0 104,160 72,600 OH : 3,300 3,150 147.0 139.0 143.0 485,100 450,450 OK : 270 230 140.0 125.0 125.0 37,800 28,750 PA : 1,080 1,040 127.0 98.0 94.0 137,160 97,760 SC : 280 260 65.0 100.0 102.0 18,200 26,520 SD : 3,850 3,400 112.0 116.0 116.0 431,200 394,400 TN : 590 570 114.0 127.0 132.0 67,260 75,240 TX : 1,900 1,420 124.0 115.0 115.0 235,600 163,300 VA : 330 270 146.0 114.0 121.0 48,180 32,670 WA : 100 65 185.0 175.0 175.0 18,500 11,375 WI : 2,750 2,600 132.0 122.0 128.0 363,000 332,800 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 283 264 145.5 143.6 145.8 41,186 38,491 : US : 72,732 69,191 137.1 133.5 136.3 9,968,358 9,429,543 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2001 Summary". Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2001 : : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 :-------------------: 2000 : 2001 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AR : 140 150 71.0 87.0 86.0 9,940 12,900 CO : 210 300 31.0 40.0 36.0 6,510 10,800 IL : 85 87 95.0 95.0 90.0 8,075 7,830 KS : 3,200 3,750 59.0 62.0 62.0 188,800 232,500 LA : 215 235 83.0 77.0 79.0 17,845 18,565 MO : 270 230 92.0 93.0 93.0 24,840 21,390 NE : 500 450 70.0 90.0 88.0 35,000 39,600 NM : 65 180 25.0 40.0 45.0 1,625 8,100 OK : 360 420 38.0 37.0 37.0 13,680 15,540 SD : 120 155 49.0 60.0 60.0 5,880 9,300 TX : 2,350 2,600 61.0 55.0 55.0 143,350 143,000 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 208 220 69.8 74.0 74.0 14,525 16,270 : US : 7,723 8,777 60.9 61.2 61.0 470,070 535,795 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2001 Summary". Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 2001 : : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 :-------------------: 2000 : 2001 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Cwt --- : AR : 1,410 1,607 6,110 6,150 6,200 86,112 99,634 CA : 548 471 7,940 7,900 7,900 43,521 37,209 LA : 480 545 5,080 5,300 5,400 24,402 29,430 MS : 218 248 5,900 6,300 6,500 12,862 16,120 MO : 169 205 5,700 5,800 5,800 9,633 11,890 TX : 214 214 6,700 6,500 6,500 14,342 13,910 : US : 3,039 3,290 6,281 6,272 6,328 190,872 208,193 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rice: Production by Class, United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 1999 : 151,863 50,540 3,624 206,027 2000 : 128,756 59,514 2,602 190,872 2001 1/ : 161,088 45,254 1,851 208,193 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Indicated October 1, 2001, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2001 : : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 :-------------------: 2000 : 2001 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 160 150 18.0 31.0 32.0 2,880 4,800 AR : 3,150 2,950 25.5 31.0 33.0 80,325 97,350 DE : 213 206 43.0 36.0 36.0 9,159 7,416 GA : 140 160 24.0 26.0 26.0 3,360 4,160 IL : 10,450 10,950 44.0 43.0 44.0 459,800 481,800 IN : 5,480 5,780 46.0 48.0 49.0 252,080 283,220 IA : 10,680 10,950 43.5 42.0 43.0 464,580 470,850 KS : 2,500 2,900 20.0 30.0 30.0 50,000 87,000 KY : 1,160 1,240 39.0 40.0 41.0 45,240 50,840 LA : 850 670 24.0 32.0 32.0 20,400 21,440 MD : 515 510 43.0 39.0 39.0 22,145 19,890 MI : 2,030 2,190 36.0 31.0 30.0 73,080 65,700 MN : 7,150 7,000 41.0 36.0 37.0 293,150 259,000 MS : 1,580 1,270 22.0 32.0 34.0 34,760 43,180 MO : 5,000 4,900 35.0 32.0 35.0 175,000 171,500 NE : 4,575 4,825 38.0 41.0 44.0 173,850 212,300 NJ : 98 103 40.0 34.0 34.0 3,920 3,502 NY : 132 138 33.0 38.0 38.0 4,356 5,244 NC : 1,360 1,300 32.5 32.0 32.0 44,200 41,600 ND : 1,850 2,270 32.0 34.0 34.0 59,200 77,180 OH : 4,440 4,690 42.0 43.0 43.0 186,480 201,670 OK : 290 350 15.0 15.0 15.0 4,350 5,250 PA : 385 425 43.0 38.0 38.0 16,555 16,150 SC : 430 440 25.0 24.0 24.0 10,750 10,560 SD : 4,370 4,250 35.0 33.0 33.0 152,950 140,250 TN : 1,150 1,050 25.0 33.0 35.0 28,750 36,750 TX : 260 260 27.0 27.0 27.0 7,020 7,020 VA : 480 500 38.5 33.0 33.0 18,480 16,500 WI : 1,500 1,680 40.0 38.0 38.0 60,000 63,840 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 30 30 33.0 38.1 36.0 990 1,080 : US : 72,408 74,137 38.1 38.2 39.2 2,757,810 2,907,042 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2001 Summary". Sunflowers: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 1999-2000 1/ and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Type & :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 2/ : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : Oil : CO : 125 120 950 232,200 118,750 KS : 210 290 1,200 372,000 252,000 MN : 48 25 1,600 111,650 76,800 NE : 49 49 860 63,450 42,140 ND : 965 880 1,410 1,403,000 1,360,650 SD : 660 660 1,520 1,232,660 1,003,200 TX : 13 48 600 21,600 7,800 : Oth : Sts 3/4/ : 46 43 1,054 61,260 48,504 : US : 2,116 2,115 1,375 3,497,820 2,909,844 : Non-Oil : CO : 55 90 980 116,250 53,900 KS : 19 28 1,000 33,750 19,000 MN : 37 25 1,550 51,600 57,350 NE : 31 19 730 52,500 22,630 ND : 300 290 1,260 463,250 378,000 SD : 39 29 1,500 69,600 58,500 TX : 32 53 850 38,700 27,200 : Oth : Sts 3/4/ : 18 11 1,000 18,392 18,004 : US : 531 545 1,195 844,042 634,584 : All : CO : 180 210 959 1,080 348,450 172,650 226,800 KS : 229 318 1,183 1,280 405,750 271,000 407,040 MN : 85 50 1,578 1,550 163,250 134,150 77,500 NE : 80 68 810 1,200 115,950 64,770 81,600 ND : 1,265 1,170 1,374 1,350 1,866,250 1,738,650 1,579,500 SD : 699 689 1,519 1,400 1,302,260 1,061,700 964,600 TX : 45 101 778 1,100 60,300 35,000 111,100 : Oth : Sts 3/4/ : 64 54 1,039 1,075 79,652 66,508 58,040 : US : 2,647 2,660 1,339 1,318 4,341,862 3,544,428 3,506,180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2000 Revised. 2/ 2001 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2001 Summary". 3/ For 1999, Other States include AR, CA, DE, FL, GA, IL, IN, KY, LA, MD, MI, MS, MO, MT, NJ, NM, NY, NC, OH, OK, PA, SC, TN, UT, VA, WA, WI, and WY. 4/ For 2000 and 2001, Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY. Sunflowers: Area Planted by Varietal Type, State and United States, 2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Varietal Type State :----------------------------------------------------------- : Oil : Non-Oil : All -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CO : 150 70 220 KS : 230 20 250 MN : 55 40 95 NE : 55 35 90 ND : 1,010 320 1,330 SD : 680 40 720 TX : 15 45 60 : Oth Sts 2/ : 53 22 75 : US : 2,248 592 2,840 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY. Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 2001 : : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 :-------------------: 2000 : 2001 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Pounds -------- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 182.0 189.0 1,490 2,400 2,600 271,180 491,400 FL : 86.0 87.0 2,485 2,800 2,900 213,710 252,300 GA : 492.0 477.0 2,700 2,800 3,000 1,328,400 1,431,000 NM : 26.0 24.0 2,115 2,400 2,500 54,990 60,000 NC : 123.0 123.0 2,750 2,900 2,900 338,250 356,700 OK : 67.0 75.0 1,800 2,200 2,200 120,600 165,000 SC : 10.0 10.5 2,950 2,900 2,900 29,500 30,450 TX : 275.0 330.0 2,540 2,600 2,600 698,500 858,000 VA : 75.0 75.0 2,805 3,000 3,000 210,375 225,000 : US : 1,336.0 1,390.5 2,444 2,679 2,783 3,265,505 3,869,850 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts. Canola: Area Harvested, Yield and Production by State and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- --- 1,000 Pounds -- : MN : 125 90 1,480 1,300 185,000 117,000 ND : 1,250 1,370 1,320 1,450 1,650,000 1,986,500 : Oth Sts 1/ : 134 105 1,358 1,334 181,951 140,020 : US : 1,509 1,565 1,337 1,434 2,016,951 2,243,520 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, ID, IN, KS, MI, MT, NY, OR, PA, SC, SD, and WA. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 2001 : : State : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 :-------------------: 2000 : 2001 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 530.0 605.0 492 742 742 543.0 935.0 AZ : 278.0 278.0 1,366 1,260 1,260 791.0 730.0 AR : 950.0 1,080.0 720 720 778 1,425.0 1,750.0 CA : 770.0 655.0 1,378 1,356 1,392 2,210.0 1,900.0 GA : 1,350.0 1,490.0 591 680 680 1,663.0 2,110.0 LA : 695.0 855.0 629 685 595 911.0 1,060.0 MS : 1,280.0 1,630.0 642 757 751 1,711.0 2,550.0 MO : 388.0 395.0 668 681 753 540.0 620.0 NM : 67.0 70.0 724 789 789 101.0 115.0 NC : 925.0 975.0 742 729 729 1,429.0 1,480.0 OK : 145.0 200.0 503 504 504 152.0 210.0 SC : 290.0 296.0 627 649 649 379.0 400.0 TN : 565.0 605.0 603 651 666 710.0 840.0 TX : 4,400.0 4,500.0 430 469 469 3,940.0 4,400.0 VA : 108.0 104.0 738 743 743 166.0 161.0 : Oth : Sts 3/: 143.0 161.0 430 584 584 128.2 196.0 : US :12,884.0 13,899.0 626 669 672 16,799.2 19,457.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 4.9 6.0 705 960 960 7.2 12.0 CA : 144.0 209.0 1,154 1,286 1,286 346.3 560.0 NM : 4.1 7.0 539 686 686 4.6 10.0 TX : 16.0 17.0 930 932 932 31.0 33.0 : US : 169.0 239.0 1,105 1,235 1,235 389.1 615.0 : All : AL : 530.0 605.0 492 742 742 543.0 935.0 AZ : 282.9 284.0 1,354 1,254 1,254 798.2 742.0 AR : 950.0 1,080.0 720 720 778 1,425.0 1,750.0 CA : 914.0 864.0 1,342 1,339 1,367 2,556.3 2,460.0 GA : 1,350.0 1,490.0 591 680 680 1,663.0 2,110.0 LA : 695.0 855.0 629 685 595 911.0 1,060.0 MS : 1,280.0 1,630.0 642 757 751 1,711.0 2,550.0 MO : 388.0 395.0 668 681 753 540.0 620.0 NM : 71.1 77.0 713 779 779 105.6 125.0 NC : 925.0 975.0 742 729 729 1,429.0 1,480.0 OK : 145.0 200.0 503 504 504 152.0 210.0 SC : 290.0 296.0 627 649 649 379.0 400.0 TN : 565.0 605.0 603 651 666 710.0 840.0 TX : 4,416.0 4,517.0 432 471 471 3,971.0 4,433.0 VA : 108.0 104.0 738 743 743 166.0 161.0 : Oth : Sts 3/: 143.0 161.0 430 584 584 128.2 196.0 : US :13,053.0 14,138.0 632 679 681 17,188.3 20,072.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3/ Other States include FL and KS. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2001 Summary". Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,353.5 6,435.6 7,545.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : AZ : 205 215 8.30 8.20 1,580 1,702 1,763 CA : 1,020 1,010 7.00 7.20 7,245 7,140 7,272 CO : 900 950 3.70 3.60 3,420 3,330 3,420 ID : 1,130 1,120 4.20 3.70 4,600 4,746 4,144 IL : 500 450 3.80 4.10 2,000 1,900 1,845 IN : 430 325 4.10 3.80 1,480 1,763 1,235 IA : 1,250 1,300 3.90 3.70 5,070 4,875 4,810 KS : 900 950 4.10 4.00 3,960 3,690 3,800 KY : 250 250 3.90 4.00 725 975 1,000 MI : 1,000 1,050 3.70 3.60 3,610 3,700 3,780 MN : 1,550 1,500 3.60 3.30 5,600 5,580 4,950 MO : 470 450 3.10 3.30 1,305 1,457 1,485 MT : 1,200 1,200 2.10 2.20 3,630 2,520 2,640 NE : 1,350 1,450 3.10 3.60 5,180 4,185 5,220 NV : 265 265 4.60 4.10 1,046 1,219 1,087 NM : 290 280 5.20 5.20 1,508 1,508 1,456 NY : 420 460 2.40 3.10 1,265 1,008 1,426 ND : 1,350 1,550 2.40 2.00 3,118 3,240 3,100 OH : 570 540 4.00 3.50 1,800 2,280 1,890 OK : 330 340 3.30 2.70 1,260 1,089 918 OR : 390 460 4.20 4.80 1,848 1,638 2,208 PA : 650 650 3.10 2.80 1,680 2,015 1,820 SD : 2,650 2,850 2.05 2.50 6,720 5,433 7,125 TX : 120 140 4.00 4.20 715 480 588 UT : 550 550 4.00 3.70 2,376 2,200 2,035 VA : 120 120 4.00 3.50 300 480 420 WA : 470 480 5.00 4.80 2,303 2,350 2,304 WI : 1,800 1,900 3.00 2.90 6,510 5,400 5,510 WY : 620 630 2.30 2.20 1,782 1,426 1,386 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 327 315 3.11 3.15 749 1,018 991 : US : 23,077 23,750 3.48 3.44 84,385 80,347 81,628 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2001 Summary". All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 720 920 1.80 2.80 1,840 1,296 2,576 AR : 1,230 1,280 2.30 1.80 2,330 2,829 2,304 CA : 510 530 2.80 3.20 1,537 1,428 1,696 CO : 500 600 1.50 1.70 1,178 750 1,020 GA : 650 650 2.40 3.30 1,500 1,560 2,145 ID : 260 300 2.10 1.60 532 546 480 IL : 350 350 2.20 2.30 735 770 805 IN : 320 300 2.70 2.40 750 864 720 IA : 450 400 2.50 2.40 900 1,125 960 KS : 1,900 2,350 1.50 1.60 3,515 2,850 3,760 KY : 2,200 2,200 2.40 2.20 4,085 5,280 4,840 LA : 350 400 1.90 2.80 912 665 1,120 MI : 300 250 2.10 1.90 805 630 475 MN : 700 750 1.80 1.90 1,530 1,260 1,425 MS : 800 780 1.60 3.00 1,615 1,280 2,340 MO : 3,250 3,500 1.60 1.70 5,920 5,200 5,950 MT : 800 850 1.30 1.50 1,425 1,040 1,275 NE : 1,700 1,800 1.10 1.35 2,520 1,870 2,430 NY : 1,100 1,200 1.90 2.20 1,710 2,090 2,640 NC : 690 690 2.60 2.30 1,484 1,794 1,587 ND : 1,100 1,300 1.70 1.60 2,393 1,870 2,080 OH : 830 900 2.70 2.30 1,260 2,241 2,070 OK : 2,100 2,200 1.80 1.30 3,740 3,780 2,860 OR : 690 700 2.00 2.20 1,360 1,380 1,540 PA : 1,150 1,200 2.10 1.80 1,680 2,415 2,160 SD : 1,400 1,500 1.40 1.60 2,720 1,960 2,400 TN : 2,000 2,050 2.30 2.50 3,700 4,600 5,125 TX : 4,000 5,300 2.10 2.20 12,420 8,400 11,660 VA : 1,200 1,200 2.30 2.20 1,840 2,760 2,640 WA : 310 330 2.90 2.70 756 899 891 WV : 550 560 2.10 2.00 689 1,155 1,120 WI : 300 300 2.00 2.20 1,000 600 660 WY : 520 590 1.40 1.20 1,008 728 708 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,847 1,853 2.12 2.27 3,933 3,921 4,213 : US : 36,777 40,083 1.95 2.01 75,322 71,836 80,675 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2001 Summary". Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 2/ : Production 2/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Cwt ------- : CA : 112.0 89.0 1,880 1,700 2,455 2,100 1,513 CO : 110.0 105.0 1,800 1,700 2,755 1,980 1,785 ID : 88.0 73.0 1,950 1,850 2,112 1,716 1,351 KS : 16.0 14.0 1,810 1,850 387 289 259 MI : 275.0 205.0 1,500 600 7,350 4,125 1,230 MN : 150.0 100.0 1,600 1,450 2,558 2,400 1,450 MT 3/ : 34.8 29.0 1,400 1,370 441 486 397 NE : 156.0 143.0 2,070 2,000 3,740 3,230 2,860 NM 4/ : 18 NY : 24.5 22.5 1,460 1,100 414 358 248 ND : 525.0 420.0 1,450 1,500 8,265 7,613 6,300 OR 3/ : 11.7 8.8 1,800 2,000 174 211 176 SD 5/ : 10.8 10.3 2,090 2,200 226 227 TX : 15.5 25.0 950 1,200 701 148 300 UT 3/ : 3.0 6.0 330 350 53 10 21 WA : 32.0 35.0 2,000 1,900 750 640 665 WI 3/ : 8.1 6.7 1,800 1,700 124 146 114 WY : 34.0 25.0 2,240 2,000 788 762 500 : US : 1,606.4 1,317.3 1,646 1,472 33,085 26,440 19,396 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Cleaned basis. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 4/ Estimates discontinued in 2000. 5/ Estimates began in 2000. Winter Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CA : 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 FL : 8.2 7.8 8.0 5.0 : US : 17.2 16.8 17.0 14.0 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- Cwt -------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ : CA : 320 310 2,880 2,790 FL : 260 265 2,080 1,325 : US : 292 294 4,960 4,115 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2001 revised. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : CT : 1,600 2,350 1,531 1,694 5,470 2,450 3,980 FL : 4,500 4,500 2,550 2,600 15,312 11,475 11,700 GA : 31,000 27,000 2,220 2,400 64,020 68,820 64,800 IN : 3,800 3,100 2,100 2,050 11,700 7,980 6,355 KY : 132,700 125,700 2,133 2,258 408,492 283,065 283,780 MD : 5,700 1,700 1,450 1,400 9,100 8,265 2,380 MA : 550 1,050 836 1,786 2,327 460 1,875 MO 1/ : 1,400 1,400 2,120 2,200 4,635 2,968 3,080 NC : 170,400 171,500 2,386 2,388 448,980 406,500 409,475 OH : 7,500 5,600 1,760 1,990 17,052 13,200 11,144 PA : 5,100 2,900 1,994 1,998 11,170 10,170 5,794 SC : 34,000 32,000 2,390 2,400 78,000 81,260 76,800 TN : 46,020 41,220 2,085 2,140 122,601 95,958 88,230 VA : 25,900 28,400 2,186 2,223 88,855 56,613 63,140 WV 1/ : 1,300 1,300 1,200 1,400 2,160 1,560 1,820 WI : 960 1,520 2,348 2,116 2,818 2,254 3,216 : US : 472,430 451,240 2,229 2,299 1,292,692 1,052,998 1,037,569 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 40,000 43,000 2,500 2,600 100,000 111,800 VA : 17,500 19,000 2,440 2,350 42,700 44,650 US : 57,500 62,000 2,482 2,523 142,700 156,450 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 102,000 100,000 2,405 2,300 245,310 230,000 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 21,000 22,000 2,350 2,500 49,350 55,000 SC : 34,000 32,000 2,390 2,400 81,260 76,800 US : 55,000 54,000 2,375 2,441 130,610 131,800 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,500 4,500 2,550 2,600 11,475 11,700 GA : 31,000 27,000 2,220 2,400 68,820 64,800 US : 35,500 31,500 2,262 2,429 80,295 76,500 Total 11-14 : 250,000 247,500 2,396 2,403 598,915 594,750 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1,300 1,300 1,960 1,800 2,548 2,340 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 4,100 3,300 3,150 2,800 12,915 9,240 TN : 7,700 6,100 2,760 2,800 21,252 17,080 US : 11,800 9,400 2,896 2,800 34,167 26,320 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 3,800 3,100 3,400 3,300 12,920 10,230 TN : 640 500 3,125 3,200 2,000 1,600 US : 4,440 3,600 3,360 3,286 14,920 11,830 Total 21-23 : 17,540 14,300 2,944 2,831 51,635 40,490 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 3,800 3,100 2,100 2,050 7,980 6,355 KY : 120,000 115,000 2,025 2,200 243,000 253,000 MO 1/ : 1,400 1,400 2,120 2,200 2,968 3,080 NC : 7,400 6,500 1,600 1,950 11,840 12,675 OH : 7,500 5,600 1,760 1,990 13,200 11,144 TN : 37,000 34,000 1,920 2,000 71,040 68,000 VA : 7,000 8,000 1,600 2,000 11,200 16,000 WV 1/ : 1,300 1,300 1,200 1,400 1,560 1,820 US : 185,400 174,900 1,957 2,127 362,788 372,074 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 5,700 1,700 1,450 1,400 8,265 2,380 PA : 2,700 900 1,900 1,860 5,130 1,674 US : 8,400 2,600 1,595 1,559 13,395 4,054 Total 31-32 : 193,800 177,500 1,941 2,119 376,183 376,128 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- --- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark Air-cured: Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 3,100 2,800 3,000 2,700 9,300 7,560 TN : 680 620 2,450 2,500 1,666 1,550 US : 3,780 3,420 2,901 2,664 10,966 9,110 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,700 1,500 2,900 2,500 4,930 3,750 Type 37, VA Sun-cured : Belt : VA : 100 100 1,650 1,500 165 150 Total 35-37 : 5,580 5,020 2,878 2,592 16,061 13,010 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 2,400 2,000 2,100 2,060 5,040 4,120 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 600 1,350 1,500 1,800 900 2,430 MA : 300 750 565 1,900 170 1,425 US : 900 2,100 1,189 1,836 1,070 3,855 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI : WI : 730 1,200 2,500 2,200 1,825 2,640 Type 55, Northern WI : WI : 230 320 1,865 1,800 429 576 Total 54-55 : 960 1,520 2,348 2,116 2,254 3,216 Total 51-55 : 1,860 3,620 1,787 1,953 3,324 7,071 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper : Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 1,000 1,000 1,550 1,550 1,550 1,550 MA : 250 300 1,160 1,500 290 450 US : 1,250 1,300 1,472 1,538 1,840 2,000 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 5,510 6,920 1,852 1,906 10,204 13,191 : All Tobacco : 472,430 451,240 2,229 2,299 1,052,998 1,037,569 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : CA : 93.5 44.5 32.5 37.0 3,456 3,039 1,647 CO : 53.6 39.6 22.5 22.0 1,459 1,206 871 ID : 191.0 195.0 29.3 25.5 5,103 5,596 4,973 MI : 166.0 173.0 20.5 18.0 3,534 3,403 3,114 MN : 430.0 457.0 21.5 19.6 9,447 9,245 8,957 MT : 55.2 56.9 23.9 21.7 1,468 1,319 1,235 NE : 54.8 45.2 20.3 20.6 1,258 1,112 931 ND : 232.0 254.0 22.1 20.0 5,138 5,127 5,080 OH : 0.8 0.8 21.0 18.5 33 17 15 OR : 14.0 11.7 29.5 29.3 494 413 343 WA : 27.3 7.2 29.4 36.5 825 803 263 WY : 56.1 46.0 20.6 20.0 1,205 1,156 920 : US : 1,374.3 1,330.9 23.6 21.3 33,420 32,436 28,349 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted beets in CA. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- -------- 1,000 Tons -------- : FL : 445.0 465.0 38.3 36.0 16,100 17,045 16,740 HI : 34.4 23.2 70.7 85.0 2,960 2,432 1,972 LA : 500.0 495.0 29.7 33.0 15,206 14,851 16,335 TX : 46.3 46.0 38.6 32.8 1,033 1,789 1,507 : US : 1,025.7 1,029.2 35.2 35.5 35,299 36,117 36,554 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1999-2000, 2000-2001 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :---------------------------------------------------------- : 1999-00 : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : 1999-00 : 2000-01 :2001-02 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 600 480 400 22 18 15 CA 4/ : 40,000 36,000 32,000 1,500 1,350 1,200 FL : 134,000 128,000 131,000 6,030 5,760 5,895 TX : 1,460 2,000 2,000 62 85 85 US : 176,060 166,480 165,400 7,614 7,213 7,195 Valencia : AZ : 500 420 350 19 16 13 CA : 24,000 23,000 22,000 900 862 825 FL : 99,000 95,300 100,000 4,455 4,289 4,500 TX : 200 235 200 9 10 9 US : 123,700 118,955 122,550 5,383 5,177 5,347 All : AZ : 1,100 900 750 41 34 28 CA : 64,000 59,000 54,000 2,400 2,212 2,025 FL : 233,000 223,300 231,000 10,485 10,049 10,395 TX : 1,660 2,235 2,200 71 95 94 US : 299,760 285,435 287,950 12,997 12,390 12,542 Temples : FL : 1,950 1,250 1,400 88 56 63 Grapefruit : White Seedless 5/ : FL : 20,900 18,700 20,000 888 795 850 Colored Seedless : FL : 31,900 27,300 28,000 1,356 1,160 1,190 Other 5/ : FL : 600 25 All : AZ : 450 250 200 15 8 7 CA : 7,200 6,500 6,000 241 218 201 FL : 53,400 46,000 48,000 2,269 1,955 2,040 TX : 5,930 7,200 7,800 237 288 312 US : 66,980 59,950 62,000 2,762 2,469 2,560 Tangerines : AZ 6/ : 850 650 600 32 24 23 CA 6/ : 2,500 2,100 2,500 94 79 94 FL : 7,000 5,600 7,000 332 266 332 US : 10,350 8,350 10,100 458 369 449 Lemons : AZ : 3,100 3,600 3,100 118 137 118 CA : 19,000 22,700 23,000 722 863 874 US : 22,100 26,300 26,100 840 1,000 992 Tangelos : FL : 2,200 2,100 2,300 99 95 104 K-Early Citrus : FL : 110 40 50 5 2 2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5/ Seedy (Duncan) grapefruit estimates discontinued after 1999-00 crop. Included with White Seedless beginning with the 2000-01 crop. 6/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ 2/ : 34.3 95.0 17.0 AR 2/ : 5.4 7.2 9.0 CA 2/ : 896.0 650.0 696.0 CO 2/ : 8.0 30.0 26.0 CT 2/ : 23.0 20.5 18.0 GA 2/ : 12.0 14.0 9.0 ID 2/ : 70.0 140.0 120.0 IL 2/ : 58.5 42.0 57.0 IN 2/ : 60.3 45.0 53.0 IA 2/ : 11.0 7.5 7.6 KS 2/ : 7.2 3.0 4.5 KY 2/ : 9.0 6.5 8.0 ME 2/ : 72.0 39.0 43.0 MD 2/ : 38.0 33.7 40.0 MA 2/ : 65.0 50.0 45.0 MI : 1,200.0 850.0 950.0 MN 2/ : 23.0 22.0 22.0 MO 2/ : 49.0 38.0 41.0 NH 2/ : 43.5 34.0 26.0 NJ 2/ : 50.0 50.0 55.0 NM 3/ : 2.0 8.0 NY : 1,260.0 995.0 1,000.0 NC : 190.0 190.0 100.0 OH 2/ : 100.0 103.0 102.0 OR 2/ : 150.0 167.0 150.0 PA : 505.0 475.0 460.0 RI 2/ : 3.6 2.3 1.3 SC 2/ : 32.0 20.0 5.5 TN 2/ : 9.5 9.5 9.5 UT 2/ : 9.0 49.0 23.0 VT 2/ : 57.0 41.5 36.0 VA : 360.0 350.0 340.0 WA : 5,000.0 5,900.0 4,900.0 WV : 140.0 90.0 115.0 WI 2/ : 77.4 71.0 71.0 : US : 10,630.7 10,648.7 9,560.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3/ No forecast made. Only end of year estimates made. Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds Improved Varieties 1/ : AL : 7,000 10,000 10,000 AZ : 22,800 14,500 21,000 AR : 1,500 650 1,400 CA : 1,900 3,400 3,100 FL : 1,100 1,200 2,800 GA : 85,000 65,000 85,000 LA : 4,000 3,500 4,000 MS : 3,500 2,500 4,000 NM : 52,000 35,000 60,000 NC : 800 1,400 2,500 OK : 3,000 200 3,000 SC : 1,800 1,200 2,500 TX : 35,000 22,000 40,000 : US : 219,400 160,550 239,300 : Native & Seedling : AL : 6,000 5,000 5,000 AR : 2,300 250 1,400 FL : 2,600 2,100 2,500 GA : 35,000 15,000 20,000 KS : 5,000 550 2,600 LA : 18,000 14,500 19,000 MS : 1,500 1,000 2,000 NC : 400 200 500 OK : 60,000 2,300 27,000 SC : 900 400 1,000 TX : 55,000 8,000 35,000 : US : 186,700 49,300 116,000 : All Pecans : AL : 13,000 15,000 15,000 AZ : 22,800 14,500 21,000 AR : 3,800 900 2,800 CA : 1,900 3,400 3,100 FL : 3,700 3,300 5,300 GA : 120,000 80,000 105,000 KS : 5,000 550 2,600 LA : 22,000 18,000 23,000 MS : 5,000 3,500 6,000 NM : 52,000 35,000 60,000 NC : 1,200 1,600 3,000 OK : 63,000 2,500 30,000 SC : 2,700 1,600 3,500 TX : 90,000 30,000 75,000 : US : 406,100 209,850 355,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1999-2000 and Forecasted October 1, 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : AZ 1/ : 21,000 20,000 18,000 AR 1/ : 4,900 4,200 4,200 CA : All Types : 5,542,000 7,029,000 5,900,000 Wine 1/ : 2,662,000 3,364,000 3,100,000 Table 1/ : 758,000 773,000 800,000 Raisin 2/ : 2,122,000 2,892,000 2,000,000 GA 1/ : 3,300 3,500 3,200 MI : 74,900 87,200 25,000 MO 1/ : 2,800 2,950 2,400 NY : 205,000 154,000 141,000 NC 1/ : 1,900 2,300 2,000 OH 1/ : 9,200 7,700 6,500 OR 1/ : 17,900 18,600 23,000 PA : 88,000 63,000 58,000 SC 3/ : 360 520 TX 1/ 4/ : 9,000 VA 1/ 4/ : 4,600 WA : All Types : 265,000 265,000 275,000 Wine : 70,000 90,000 105,000 Juice : 195,000 175,000 170,000 : US : 6,236,260 7,657,970 6,471,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Fresh basis. 3/ Estimates discontinued in 2001. 4/ Estimates began in 2001. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2000-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Aug : 2,755 2,720 1,610 1,955 3,860 4,215 Sep : 2,755 2,690 1,725 1,925 3,355 3,915 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Corn for Grain: Ears Per Acre The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 7 corn producing States during 2001. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre, Selected States, 1997-2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State :Month: 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Sep : 24,100 24,450 25,050 25,500 25,650 : Oct : 23,500 24,300 24,950 25,450 25,550 : Nov : 23,400 24,300 24,850 25,450 : : IN : Sep : 22,600 23,400 24,350 24,500 25,500 : Oct : 22,150 23,450 23,950 24,550 25,350 : Nov : 22,150 23,350 23,900 24,650 : : IA : Sep : 24,900 24,550 25,300 26,000 25,450 : Oct : 24,600 24,250 25,300 25,600 25,350 : Nov : 24,550 24,300 25,300 25,650 : : MN : Sep : 26,450 27,750 26,650 27,350 27,500 : Oct : 26,150 27,550 26,700 27,350 26,750 : Nov : 25,900 27,550 26,650 27,250 : : NE : Sep : 22,250 22,800 22,800 22,800 22,200 : Oct : 21,900 22,500 22,650 22,750 21,950 : Nov : 21,900 22,500 22,600 22,700 : : OH : Sep : 22,650 24,650 24,000 24,450 25,550 : Oct : 22,500 24,800 24,100 24,250 25,250 : Nov : 22,300 25,000 24,050 23,950 : : WI : Sep : 24,600 26,050 25,600 26,100 26,100 : Oct : 24,350 24,950 25,700 25,500 26,100 : Nov : 24,300 24,850 25,700 25,550 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,864.0 4,967.0 5,213.0 4,289.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 79,545.0 76,009.0 72,732.0 69,191.0 Corn for Silage : 5,868.0 Hay, All : 59,854.0 63,833.0 Alfalfa : 23,077.0 23,750.0 All Other : 36,777.0 40,083.0 Oats : 4,477.0 4,403.0 2,329.0 1,905.0 Proso Millet : 440.0 550.0 370.0 Rice : 3,060.0 3,317.0 3,039.0 3,290.0 Rye : 1,329.0 1,328.0 296.0 255.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,195.0 10,047.0 7,723.0 8,777.0 Sorghum for Silage : 265.0 Wheat, All : 62,629.0 59,617.0 53,133.0 48,653.0 Winter : 43,393.0 41,078.0 35,072.0 31,295.0 Durum : 3,937.0 2,910.0 3,572.0 2,789.0 Other Spring : 15,299.0 15,629.0 14,489.0 14,569.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,567.0 1,611.0 1,509.0 1,565.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 536.0 556.0 517.0 545.0 Mustard Seed : 46.0 38.7 42.9 37.2 Peanuts : 1,536.8 1,474.0 1,336.0 1,390.5 Rapeseed : 4.0 2.5 3.9 2.4 Safflower : 215.0 175.0 197.0 165.0 Soybeans for Beans : 74,266.0 75,216.0 72,408.0 74,137.0 Sunflowers : 2,840.0 2,750.0 2,647.0 2,660.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 15,517.2 16,194.0 13,053.0 14,138.0 Upland : 15,347.0 15,959.0 12,884.0 13,899.0 Amer-Pima : 170.2 235.0 169.0 239.0 Sugarbeets : 1,565.2 1,368.1 1,374.3 1,330.9 Sugarcane : 1,025.7 1,029.2 Tobacco : 472.4 451.2 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 5.2 11.5 4.1 10.2 Dry Edible Beans : 1,756.2 1,431.9 1,606.4 1,317.3 Dry Edible Peas : 188.0 215.5 179.0 208.5 Lentils : 217.0 215.0 214.0 212.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.3 0.4 Hops : 36.1 35.9 Peppermint Oil : 89.5 Potatoes, All : 1,383.7 1,259.3 1,348.0 1,234.9 Winter : 17.2 16.8 17.0 14.0 Spring : 77.4 74.1 75.6 72.5 Summer : 66.1 61.4 63.2 59.2 Fall : 1,223.0 1,107.0 1,192.2 1,089.2 Spearmint Oil : 21.7 Sweet Potatoes : 98.0 95.9 94.9 93.1 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 61.1 58.2 318,728 249,590 Corn for Grain : " : 137.1 136.3 9,968,358 9,429,543 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.8 98,538 Hay, All : " : 2.54 2.54 152,183 162,303 Alfalfa : " : 3.48 3.44 80,347 81,628 All Other : " : 1.95 2.01 71,836 80,675 Oats : Bu : 64.2 61.3 149,545 116,856 Proso Millet : " : 19.8 7,320 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,281 6,328 190,872 208,193 Rye : Bu : 28.3 27.3 8,386 6,971 Sorghum for Grain : " : 60.9 61.0 470,070 535,795 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 10.8 2,863 Wheat, All : Bu : 42.0 40.2 2,232,460 1,957,643 Winter : " : 44.7 43.5 1,566,023 1,361,479 Durum : " : 30.7 30.0 109,805 83,556 Other Spring : " : 38.4 35.2 556,632 512,608 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,337 1,434 2,016,951 2,243,520 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,435.6 7,545.0 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.8 10,730 Mustard Seed : Lb : 852 36,570 Peanuts : " : 2,444 2,783 3,265,505 3,869,850 Rapeseed : " : 1,474 5,750 Safflower : " : 1,434 282,545 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 38.1 39.2 2,757,810 2,907,042 Sunflowers : Lb : 1,339 1,318 3,544,428 3,506,180 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 632 681 17,188.3 20,072.0 Upland 2/ : " : 626 672 16,799.2 19,457.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,105 1,235 389.1 615.0 Sugarbeets : Ton : 23.6 21.3 32,436 28,349 Sugarcane : " : 35.2 35.5 36,117 36,554 Tobacco : Lb : 2,229 2,299 1,052,998 1,037,569 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,780 73 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,646 1,472 26,440 19,396 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,955 3,499 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,415 3,029 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 680 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,280 8,700 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 50,000 45,000 13,500 16,200 Hops : " : 1,871 1,845 67,577 66,217 Peppermint Oil : " : 77 6,926 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 381 513,621 Winter : " : 292 294 4,960 4,115 Spring : " : 290 269 21,921 19,500 Summer : " : 304 296 19,236 17,503 Fall : " : 392 467,504 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 101 2,199 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 145 13,794 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 7,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2000-2002 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,762 2,469 2,560 K-Early Citrus (FL) : " : 5 2 2 Lemons : " : 840 1,000 992 Oranges : " : 12,997 12,390 12,542 Tangelos (FL) : " : 99 95 104 Tangerines : " : 458 369 449 Temples (FL) : " : 88 56 63 : : Non-Citrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 10,648.7 9,560.4 Apricots : Ton : 98.9 81.2 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 29,000.0 Grapes : Ton : 7,658.0 6,471.9 Olives (CA) : " : 53.0 125.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 54,500.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,599.8 2,537.3 Pears : Ton : 967.2 915.5 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 219.0 155.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 23.9 23.2 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 703,000 850,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 22.5 48.0 Pecans : Lb : 209,850 355,300 Pistachios (CA) : " : 243,000 200,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 239.0 280.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,231 1,049 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 1999-2000, 2000-2001, and 2001-2002. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2000-2001 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,373,100 2,010,100 2,109,650 1,735,720 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,191,070 30,760,080 29,433,910 28,000,910 Corn for Silage : 2,374,720 Hay, All 3/ : 24,222,320 25,832,580 Alfalfa : 9,339,030 9,611,390 All Other : 14,883,280 16,221,190 Oats : 1,811,800 1,781,850 942,520 770,930 Proso Millet : 178,060 222,580 149,740 Rice : 1,238,350 1,342,360 1,229,850 1,331,430 Rye : 537,830 537,430 119,790 103,200 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,721,120 4,065,920 3,125,420 3,551,960 Sorghum for Silage : 107,240 Wheat, All 3/ :25,345,330 24,126,400 21,502,390 19,689,380 Winter :17,560,710 16,623,860 14,193,290 12,664,770 Durum : 1,593,260 1,177,650 1,445,550 1,128,680 Other Spring : 6,191,350 6,324,900 5,863,550 5,895,930 : Oilseeds : Canola : 634,150 651,960 610,680 633,340 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 216,910 225,010 209,220 220,560 Mustard Seed : 18,620 15,660 17,360 15,050 Peanuts : 621,930 596,510 540,670 562,720 Rapeseed : 1,620 1,010 1,580 970 Safflower : 87,010 70,820 79,720 66,770 Soybeans for Beans :30,054,710 30,439,160 29,302,790 30,002,500 Sunflowers : 1,149,320 1,112,900 1,071,210 1,076,480 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 6,279,660 6,553,550 5,282,420 5,721,510 Upland : 6,210,780 6,458,450 5,214,030 5,624,790 Amer-Pima : 68,880 95,100 68,390 96,720 Sugarbeets : 633,420 553,660 556,170 538,600 Sugarcane : 415,090 416,510 Tobacco : 191,190 182,610 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 2,100 4,650 1,660 4,130 Dry Edible Beans : 710,720 579,480 650,090 533,100 Dry Edible Peas : 76,080 87,210 72,440 84,380 Lentils : 87,820 87,010 86,600 85,790 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,750 Ginger Root (HI) : 110 150 Hops : 14,620 14,520 Peppermint Oil : 36,220 Potatoes, All 3/ : 559,970 509,630 545,520 499,750 Winter : 6,960 6,800 6,880 5,670 Spring : 31,320 29,990 30,590 29,340 Summer : 26,750 24,850 25,580 23,960 Fall : 494,940 447,990 482,470 440,790 Spearmint Oil : 8,780 Sweet Potatoes : 39,660 38,810 38,410 37,680 Taro (HI) 4/ : 190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2000-2001 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2000 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.29 3.13 6,939,480 5,434,180 Corn for Grain : 8.60 8.55 253,207,960 239,521,420 Corn for Silage : 37.64 89,392,170 Hay, All 2/ : 5.70 5.70 138,058,100 147,238,800 Alfalfa : 7.80 7.70 72,889,570 74,051,680 All Other : 4.38 4.51 65,168,520 73,187,130 Oats : 2.30 2.20 2,170,640 1,696,160 Proso Millet : 1.11 166,010 Rice : 7.04 7.09 8,657,810 9,443,480 Rye : 1.78 1.72 213,010 177,070 Sorghum for Grain : 3.82 3.83 11,940,330 13,609,820 Sorghum for Silage : 24.22 2,597,270 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.83 2.71 60,757,600 53,278,310 Winter : 3.00 2.93 42,620,160 37,053,390 Durum : 2.07 2.01 2,988,400 2,274,020 Other Spring : 2.58 2.37 15,149,040 13,950,900 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.50 1.61 914,870 1,017,640 Cottonseed 3/ : 5,838,280 6,844,710 Flaxseed : 1.30 272,550 Mustard Seed : 0.96 16,590 Peanuts : 2.74 3.12 1,481,210 1,755,330 Rapeseed : 1.65 2,610 Safflower : 1.61 128,160 Soybeans for Beans : 2.56 2.64 75,055,290 79,116,720 Sunflowers : 1.50 1.48 1,607,730 1,590,380 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.71 0.76 3,742,310 4,370,160 Upland : 0.70 0.75 3,657,590 4,236,260 Amer-Pima : 1.24 1.38 84,720 133,900 Sugarbeets : 52.91 47.75 29,425,440 25,717,780 Sugarcane : 78.93 79.62 32,764,790 33,161,230 Tobacco : 2.50 2.58 477,630 470,630 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 2.00 3,310 Dry Edible Beans : 1.84 1.65 1,199,300 879,790 Dry Edible Peas : 2.19 158,710 Lentils : 1.59 137,390 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 30,840 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.43 3,950 Ginger Root (HI) : 56.04 50.44 6,120 7,350 Hops : 2.10 2.07 30,650 30,040 Peppermint Oil : 0.09 3,140 Potatoes, All 2/ : 42.71 23,297,460 Winter : 32.70 32.94 224,980 186,650 Spring : 32.50 30.15 994,320 884,510 Summer : 34.11 33.14 872,530 793,920 Fall : 43.95 21,205,630 Spearmint Oil : 0.11 1,000 Sweet Potatoes : 16.29 625,690 Taro (HI) 3/ : 3,180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2001 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2000-2002 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,505,640 2,239,840 2,322,390 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 4,540 1,810 1,810 Lemons : 762,040 907,180 899,930 Oranges : 11,790,680 11,240,020 11,377,910 Tangelos (FL) : 89,810 86,180 94,350 Tangerines : 415,490 334,750 407,330 Temples (FL) : 79,830 50,800 57,150 : Non-Citrus : Apples : 4,830,170 4,336,520 Apricots : 89,720 73,660 Bananas (HI) : 13,150 Grapes : 6,947,190 5,871,210 Olives (CA) : 48,080 113,400 Papayas (HI) : 24,720 Peaches : 1,179,250 1,150,900 Pears : 877,380 830,530 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 198,670 140,610 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 21,680 21,050 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 318,880 385,550 Hazelnuts : 20,410 43,540 Pecans : 95,190 161,160 Pistachios (CA) : 110,220 90,720 Walnuts (CA) : 216,820 254,010 Maple Syrup : 6,150 5,240 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 1999-2000, 2000-2001, and 2001-2002. September Weather Summary Widespread showers boosted soil moisture for newly planted winter wheat on the Plains, especially from Nebraska southward into Texas. However, unfavorably dry pockets persisted on the southern High Plains' wheat areas, while very warm, often dry weather reduced soil moisture for wheat emergence on the drought-affected northern High Plains. In winter wheat areas of the Northwest, scattered showers provided little relief from long-term drought, leaving reservoir supplies and soil moisture reserves limited. Elsewhere in the West, very warm, mostly dry weather promoted summer crop maturation and harvesting. Meanwhile across the South, heavy rainfall diminished early in the month, although moisture damage to some cotton, soybeans, and sorghum was irreversible in parts of the western and central Gulf Coast States. As the month progressed, fieldwork accelerated in the South, except across Florida's Peninsula, where the midmonth passage of Tropical Storm Gabrielle and subsequent showers further eased hydrological drought but caused localized flooding. Farther north, cool, mostly dry weather prevailed in the mid-Atlantic region, while occasional showers eased long-term moisture deficits from the eastern Great Lakes region into the Northeast. In the Corn Belt, summer crops progressed toward maturity under mild, frequently showery conditions. Late-planted, immature corn and soybeans in the northwestern Corn Belt largely escaped a brush with scattered frost and near-freezing temperatures on September 24 and 25. Monthly temperatures were generally below normal in the East and above normal in the West. Readings averaged 1 to 3 degrees F below normal from the Corn Belt southward to the Gulf Coast, but as much as 5 degrees F below normal in the Mid-Atlantic region. In the East, only Maine where temperatures averaged up to 3 degrees F above normal escaped cool conditions. Meanwhile in the West, temperatures ranged from 3 to 7 degrees F above normal across most inland areas. September Agricultural Summary Below-normal temperatures slowed ripening of row crops in the Corn Belt, lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast, while above-normal temperatures promoted ripening in the northern Great Plains, Pacific Northwest, and Southwest. In scattered parts of the upper Mississippi Valley, subfreezing overnight temperatures near the end of the month temporarily halted biological development of late-maturing crops. Harvest gradually accelerated in the Corn Belt, but activity was mainly confined along the Ohio River Valley until late in the month. Mostly dry weather aided harvest progress and seeding of winter crops on the northern Great Plains, along the mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain, and in the Pacific Coast States. Winter wheat seeding was aided by dry weather on the central and southern Great Plains early in the month, and a period of wet weather shortly after midmonth provided moisture for germination and growth. Heavy rain produced flooding and surplus soil moisture supplies in the Florida Peninsula. Below-normal temperatures delayed ripening and drying of the corn crop across most of the Corn Belt during the month. Despite the cool weather, corn fields matured well ahead of normal in Kentucky, and about 1 week ahead of the 5-year average in Illinois and Indiana. However, fields ripened well behind normal in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. Meanwhile, above-normal temperatures promoted ripening in the Great Plains, especially after midmonth, when fields quickly reached maturity in Colorado, Nebraska, and North and South Dakota. Harvest accelerated in the Corn Belt after midmonth, although progress was temporarily halted by rain along the lower Missouri and middle Mississippi River Valleys. Rain delays were brief along the lower Ohio Valley, and harvest rapidly progressed in Kentucky and Tennessee. Harvest was also active in the Great Plains, although rain briefly delayed progress in Kansas and Texas near midmonth. During the last week of the month, the harvest pace accelerated in most areas of the Corn Belt, but progress lagged in many areas west of the Mississippi River. Soybean fields rapidly matured in the Corn Belt, especially east of the Mississippi River, even though below-normal temperatures hindered ripening most of the month. Progress remained well ahead of normal in the central and eastern Corn Belt, but lagged across most of the northern and western Corn Belt. Fields were shedding leaves much later than normal in Minnesota and Missouri and more than 1 week behind normal in Iowa and Wisconsin. Harvest gained momentum in the Corn Belt and Great Plains near midmonth, but progress trailed the 5-year average in most areas and was about 1 week behind last year's early harvest. Along the lower Ohio Valley and Mississippi Delta, harvest progressed slightly ahead of normal. Dry weather and near-normal temperatures aided harvest in the northern Great Plains. Cotton development continued behind normal in the Southeast, especially along the Atlantic Coastal Plains, as below-normal temperatures hindered ripening most of the month. Warm weather promoted ripening in the southern Great Plains and Mississippi Delta for several days early in the month and after midmonth. However, below-normal temperatures hindered development for several days before midmonth and near the end of the month. Bolls opened earlier than normal in Texas and the interior Mississippi Delta, while Oklahoma's crop matured about 1 week later than normal. Hot weather aided ripening in the Southwest most of the month. Heavy rain hindered harvest and damaged fields with open bolls in parts of the lower Mississippi Valley and adjacent areas of the southern Great Plains and Southeast early in the month. After midmonth, rain delays were scattered and harvest accelerated, especially along the Mississippi Delta. Harvest progress was near normal in the Southwest. Dry weather aided winter wheat seeding across the Great Plains and Pacific Northwest most of the month. However, widespread heavy rains temporarily halted progress in Kansas and Oklahoma shortly after midmonth, and topsoil moisture shortages limited planting in Montana and South Dakota. Rain also interrupted planting in Texas, but delays were short. Soft red winter wheat planting was slow in the Corn Belt. A few fields were planted in California near the end of the month. Above-normal temperatures and ample soil moisture aided emergence in the central Great Plains, although heavy rain eroded some fields. In the northern Great Plains and Pacific Northwest, seedlings rapidly emerged, but stands in many fields were spotty and uneven due to moisture shortages. On September 30, the winter wheat crop was 52 percent seeded and 25 percent emerged. Planting and emergence were more than 1 week ahead of last year's slow pace and a few days ahead of the 5-year average, mainly due to early progress in Kansas, Montana, and Oklahoma. The barley and spring wheat crops were 96 percent harvested on September 9. Harvest neared completion slightly ahead of last year's pace and well ahead of the 5-year averages of 89 percent for barley and 87 percent for spring wheat. Early-month harvest was active in Idaho and Montana. The rice harvest progressed ahead of the 5-year average throughout the month, and on September 30, harvest was 79 percent complete. Normally, 73 percent of the crop is harvested by the end of September. Dry weather aided harvest progress in the interior Mississippi Delta most of the month, especially in Arkansas where harvest advanced well ahead of normal. Harvest neared completion in Louisiana and Texas, even though rain frequently interrupted progress along the Gulf Coast. In California, above-normal temperatures promoted ripening, and late-month harvest delays were brief. Above-normal temperatures promoted ripening of sorghum fields in the northern Great Plains and the central and southern High Plains most of the month. In the Corn Belt, fields ripened far ahead of normal in Illinois, and well ahead of normal in Missouri, despite mostly cool weather. Rain severely limited harvest progress in Louisiana and eastern Texas early in the month, while delays were brief in Arkansas and the Texas High Plains. Early-month rain also limited harvest activity in Oklahoma and Kansas, but progress remained well ahead of normal in both States. After midmonth, harvest was most active in the lower Mississippi Valley, but also steadily advanced in the Great Plains. On September 30, crop development and harvest progress were well behind last year's pace, but ahead of the 5-year average. The peanut harvest began before midmonth, but progress lagged behind normal through most of the month. As the month ended, harvest was 30 percent complete, compared with the average of 31 percent. In the Southeast, progress lagged well behind normal until midmonth. Dry weather aided digging along the eastern Gulf Coast and mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain after midmonth, although isolated late-month showers temporarily interrupted progress in parts of Alabama, Georgia, and Florida. In the southern Great Plains, harvest lagged slightly behind normal early in the month, mainly due to slow ripening, and rain limited digging after midmonth. Harvest accelerated in Oklahoma near the end of the month, but remained slow on the Texas High Plains. The sugarbeet harvest was 10 percent complete on September 30. Progress was behind normal in Minnesota and North Dakota, but slightly ahead of normal in Idaho. Six percent of the sunflower crop was harvested as of September 30. Progress was well behind last year's pace and trailed the 5-year average in North and South Dakota. Corn for grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 69.2 million acres, unchanged from September but down 5 percent from 2000. The October 1 Corn objective yield data indicate the second highest recorded ear counts per acre for the combined seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). As of September 30, eighty-one percent of the corn acreage was mature in the 18 major producing States. This compares with 91 percent last year and the average of 80 percent. Harvest, at 20 percent complete, was underway and compares with 36 percent harvested in 2000 and the average of 22 percent. Below-normal temperatures delayed ripening and drying of the corn crop across most of the Corn Belt during September. Harvest was active in the central and southern Great Plains despite midmonth rains. Dry September weather allowed corn to mature and harvest to progress rapidly throughout the Southeast. Dry weather prevailed in the Northeast. Warm, dry weather during September was favorable for final development and harvest of the Colorado corn crop. In Iowa, forecasted ear counts per acre are the second highest on record when compared to final counts. Corn development was behind average the first half of the month but the corn matured quickly during the last two weeks. Harvest is underway with 5 percent complete on September 30, behind the average pace and well behind progress in 2000. Forecasted ear counts are at record high levels in Illinois and Indiana. Harvest is in full swing under nearly ideal conditions with 31 percent and 21 percent of the corn crop harvested, respectively. This is ahead of the average pace in both States. Below average ear counts are forecasted in Nebraska due to a smaller proportion of the corn acres being irrigated. Crop development is near average but well behind last year's drought stressed crop. Precipitation for the month of September was at or above normal levels across much of the State and was partially responsible for slowing harvest progress. Ohio forecasted ear counts are at record high levels. The growing season has been very favorable for crop growth and development, with adequate rainfall and growing degree days. Harvest is underway but behind last year's and the average pace. The number of ears per acre are forecast below average in Minnesota but at record high levels in Wisconsin. Corn maturity continues to lag behind the normal pace and harvest is in very early stages. There were many reports of light frost the last week of September in Minnesota. A "killing" frost was reported in scattered locations of northern Wisconsin the last week September, which is near the 30-year normal frost date. Sorghum: Production is forecast at 536 million bushels, down slightly from September but up 14 percent from 2000. Based on October 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast, at 61.0 bushels per acre, is down 0.2 bushel from September but up 0.1 bushel from last year. Yield forecasts from September remained unchanged for Kansas and Texas, which account for 70 percent of the U.S. production. The expected acreage to be harvested for grain, at 8.78 million acres, is unchanged from last month, but 14 percent higher than 2000. In the northern Great Plains, and the central and southern High Plains above-normal temperatures promoted ripening of sorghum fields for most of the month. In Illinois, fields ripened far ahead of normal, and well ahead of normal in Missouri, despite mostly cool weather. In Louisiana and eastern Texas, rain severely limited harvest progress early in the month, while delays in Arkansas and the Texas High Plains were brief. In Oklahoma and Kansas, early-month rain also limited harvest activity, though progress remained well ahead of normal in both States. In the lower Mississippi Valley, harvest was most active after midmonth, and also advanced steadily in the Great Plains. On September 30, crop development and harvest progress were well behind last year's pace but ahead of the 5-year average. Sorghum was reported as 79 percent mature, compared to last year's 90 percent and the average of 74 percent. Harvest progressed to 52 percent complete, below last year's pace of 71 percent but ahead of the 5-year average of 42 percent. Rice: The production forecast, at 208 million cwt, is up 1 percent from September and 9 percent above 2000. If realized, this will be a record high production. Area for harvest is expected to total 3.29 million acres, unchanged from last month but 8 percent above a year ago. Yields are expected to average a record high 6,328 pounds per acre, an increase of 56 pounds from last month and up 47 pounds from 2000. Record yields are forecast for Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Missouri. As of September 30, Arkansas and California rice harvested stood at 86 and 40 percent complete, 11 and 7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average, respectively. Rice harvest was nearly complete in Louisiana and Texas by September 30. Soybeans: Area expected for harvest, at a record high 74.1 million acres, is unchanged from September but 2 percent above 2000 harvested acreage. The October objective yield data indicate a record high pod count when compared with the final number of pods for the combined eight objective yield States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Missouri, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Ohio). As of September 30, seventy-nine percent of the crop had dropped leaves. This is slightly behind the 5-year average. Soybeans were most advanced in Indiana, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota, where 91 percent or more of the crop had already dropped leaves. Soybean harvest was progressing behind normal as of September 30, with 16 percent of the acreage harvested, 19 percentage points behind 2000 and 7 points behind the average. Harvest in most areas of the Corn Belt and Great Plains were behind the 5-year average. However, harvest progress was slightly ahead of normal along the lower Ohio Valley and Mississippi Delta. As of September 30, fifty-five percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, 1 percentage point more than the same week in 2000 and 3 points above the September 2 rating. If realized, pod counts from the Objective Yield survey will be the highest on record in Arkansas, Indiana, and Ohio. In Illinois, Missouri, and Minnesota, pod counts for October were lower than 2000 while Iowa and Nebraska have counts higher than last year. Sunflowers: The first sunflower production forecast for 2001 is 3.51 billion pounds, down 1 percent from 2000 and 19 percent below 1999. Sunflower growers expect to harvest 2.66 million acres, up slightly from 2000. The October yield forecast, at 1,318 pounds, is 21 pounds lower than the final 2000 yield. Higher yields are expected in 4 of the 7 major sunflower growing States. As of October 1, growers in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, and Texas are expecting higher yields this year. Yields in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota are expected to be lower. In North Dakota, the yield is forecast at 1,350 pounds per acre, down 24 pounds from last year. Sunflower harvest was just beginning in North Dakota and was 1 percent complete as of September 30. Harvest progress in South Dakota and Kansas was 10 percent and 23 percent complete, respectively. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.87 billion pounds, up 4 percent from last month and 19 percent above last year's crop. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.39 million acres, unchanged from September but up 4 percent from 2000. Yields are expected to average 2,783 pounds per acre, 104 pounds above last month and up 339 pounds from 2000. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.21 billion pounds, up 7 percent from last month and 20 percent above last year's level. Yield in the four-State area is expected to average 2,888 pounds per acre, up 186 pounds from September and 495 pounds above 2000. Yield prospects in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia improved from last month while South Carolina was unchanged. As of September 30, the crop condition in the region was mostly fair to good. The Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 582 million pounds, unchanged from September but 6 percent above 2000. Yield is forecast at 2,938 pounds, unchanged from last month but up 167 pounds from last year. As of September 30, the region's crop was rated mostly fair to good. Southwest crop production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.08 billion pounds, up less than 1 percent from last month and up 24 percent from 2000. Yields are expected to average 2,524 pounds, 5 pounds above September and 149 pounds above 2000. The crop condition in Texas and Oklahoma was rated mostly fair to good. Canola: The first canola production forecast for 2001 is 2.24 billion pounds, up 11 percent from 2000. If realized, this would be the largest production on record. Harvested area is forecast at 1.57 million acres, up 4 percent from a year ago. The October yield forecast at 1,434 pounds, is 97 pounds above the 2000 yield. North Dakota yield is forecast at 1,450 pounds per acre, up 130 pounds from 2000 while the yield in Minnesota, at 1,300 pounds per acre, is 180 pounds below last year. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 13.9 million acres, is unchanged from the September estimate but is 8 percent above last year. American-Pima harvested acreage, at 239,000 acres, is also unchanged from September but is 41 percent above the 2000 crop season. In the Southeastern States, development continued to lag behind normal during most of September. Below-normal temperatures resulted in bolls opening slowly, especially in Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina. Despite the slow development, conditions continued to be rated mostly fair-to-good and harvest was underway throughout the region by mid-September. Upland cotton harvest accelerated in the Delta States during the second half of September. However, Louisiana and Mississippi continued to lag behind the 5-year average due to a slow developing crop and persistent, excessive rains received during the first half of the month. Quality factors continue to be a concern in both of these States due to the heavy rains. Conversely, bolls opened well ahead of average in Arkansas and Missouri due to favorably warm, dry weather. Objective yield data show large boll counts in Arkansas to be the fifth highest since 1992, while Mississippi's large boll counts are seventh lowest during this same period of time. Louisiana's large boll counts are the lowest observed during the past 10 years. Harvest in the Southwestern States maintained pace with average, despite rains which limited progress in some areas. Excessive rainfall in Texas during the first two weeks of September resulted in concerns of reduced quality in some areas; however, the overall condition of the crop on September 30 was reported to be slightly improved from one month earlier. Data from the Objective Yield survey showed Texas' large boll counts rank the eighth lowest since 1992. Development and harvest progress of cotton in California and Arizona continues at a near normal pace. Condition ratings and quality remain mostly good to excellent due to a combination of irrigation and warm, sunny skies. Data from the Objective Yield survey indicate California's count of large bolls rank as the highest since 1992. American-Pima production is forecast at 615,000 bales, unchanged from the September forecast but up 58 percent from last year's output. The U.S. yield is estimated at a record high 1,235 pounds per harvested acre. If realized, this would be 107 pounds above the previous record established in 1999. The California crop has continued to benefit from warm, sunny skies and a manageable level of pests. All cotton ginned totaled 2,006,600 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 3,285,750 running bales ginned by the same date last year and 2,689,850 running bales ginned in 1999. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 81.6 million tons, up 2 percent from both August and last year. Yields are expected to average 3.44 tons, up 0.06 ton from August but down 0.04 ton from last year. Harvested area is 23.8 million acres, unchanged from August but up 3 percent from 2000. The increase in yields over the August forecast is due to late rains in the southern Great Plains States, and the Pacific Northwest, which helped the final cuttings in these areas. In Texas and Oklahoma yields are up by 0.4 and 0.5 ton, respectively, while Kansas, Nebraska, and Missouri have yields up 0.2 ton. Oregon's yield forecast is up 1.1 tons from August. Other Hay: Production is forecast at a record high 80.7 million tons, 3 percent above the August forecast, and 12 percent above last year's production. Yields are expected to average a record high 2.01 tons per acre, up 0.06 ton above both the August forecast and last year. States with record yields are Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, New York, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Harvested area is estimated at 40.1 million acres, unchanged from the last forecast, but up 9 percent from 2000. This year's acreage will be the highest since 1958. The acreage of other hay is up throughout the Great Plains States. Texas acreage increased from 4.00 million acres last year to 5.30 million in 2001. Other States with increases of 200 thousand acres or more include Kansas, Missouri, North Dakota, and Alabama. Dry Beans: Dry edible bean production is forecast at 19.4 million cwt for 2001, down 11 percent from the August 1 forecast and 27 percent below a year ago. This is the lowest dry bean production since 1988, when production was 19.3 million cwt. Area for harvest is estimated at 1.32 million acres, down 1 percent from the August forecast and 18 percent below a year ago. The average yield has fallen to 1472 pounds per acre, down 166 pounds from the August forecast and 174 pounds below last year. Of the 17 dry bean States, 13 expect lower production than a year ago and 8 dropped their yield expectations since the August forecast. Drought conditions severely limited the Michigan dry bean crop with average yield forecasts falling to their lowest level since 1936. Late August rains came too late to salvage the crop. New York's growers lost 400 pounds per acre and Minnesota's yields were down 200 pounds from the August forecast. Yields in Colorado, Idaho, Nebraska, Texas, and Wyoming were also lower than the previous forecast. The Dakotas are showing better dry bean yields than they did in August. North Dakota yields are up 50 pounds per acre since the August forecast, but harvested acreage has been adjusted downward resulting in a smaller projected total crop. South Dakota's bean yield is up 200 pounds from the previous forecast. California and Washington dry bean production is unchanged from August 1. Harvest is well along in most States but behind last year's pace. Midwestern States are hoping for more growing time to fill regrowth beans after the late August rains. North Dakota's fields are 71 percent harvested as of the end of September, while Minnesota's cutting is at 60 percent. Harvest in Idaho, Colorado, and Wyoming ranges 75 to 85 percent completed. Winter Potatoes: The final 2001 winter potato production is estimated at 4.12 million cwt, up 3 percent from the April forecast but 17 percent below last year. Winter potatoes were harvested from an estimated 14,000 acres in 2001, the same as in April but 18 percent below the 2000 crop. The average yield of 294 cwt per acre was a record high for winter potatoes, up 9 cwt from the April 1 forecast and 2 cwt above the previous high set last year. From a year ago, California production was down 3 percent and Florida production lost 36 percent. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 1.04 billion pounds, 1 percent above the September 1 forecast but down 1 percent from 2000. If realized, this will be the smallest production since 1932. Revised area for harvest in 2001 is forecast at 451,240 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but down 4 percent from 2000. Yields for 2001 are expected to average 2,299 pounds per acre, 31 pounds higher than the September forecast and 70 pounds greater than a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco producing State, are expected to average 2,388 pounds per acre, 76 pounds more than last month and 2 pounds more than last year. Kentucky, the second leading State, expects yields to average 2,258 pounds per acre, 10 pounds more than the September forecast and 125 pounds higher than a year ago. Tobacco growers in Connecticut, Kentucky, Massachusetts, and North Carolina expect higher yields than a month ago, while Ohio and Pennsylvania expect lower yields. The remaining States are unchanged from the September forecast. Flue-cured production is expected to total 595 million pounds, 2 percent above last month but down 1 percent from 2000. Growers plan to harvest 247,500 acres in 2001, down 1 percent from last year. Yields are forecast to average 2,403 pounds per acre, 51 pounds above the September forecast and 7 pounds more than the previous year. Yields in North Carolina, the leading flue-cured State, increased from the September forecast as growing conditions have continued to be excellent. In addition, the absence of destructive tropical storms has limited any decreases to yield potential. Burley production forecast, at 372 million pounds, is virtually unchanged from the September forecast but 3 percent above last year. Burley growers plan to harvest 174,900 acres, down 6 percent from a year ago. Yields are expected to average 2,127 pounds per acre, unchanged from the September forecast but up 170 pounds from 2000. Kentucky, the largest burley producing State, forecasts production to be 253 million pounds, unchanged from the September forecast but 4 percent more than last year. As of September 30, Kentucky had 97 percent of the crop cut with very few problems being reported. Curing conditions have been good with limited houseburn reported. Fire-cured production forecast, at 40.5 million pounds, is 2 percent above the September forecast but down 22 percent from last year. Growers plan to harvest 14,300 acres in 2001, down 18 percent from a year ago. The yield is expected to average 2,831 pounds per acre, 66 pounds above the September forecast but 113 pounds lower than the previous year. All cigar production is forecast at 13.2 million pounds, virtually unchanged from the September forecast but up 29 percent from last year. Growers of cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 6,920 acres, down 1 percent from last month but up 26 percent from a year ago. Overall, yield is expected to average 1,906 pounds per acre, 8 pounds above the September forecast and 54 pounds above last year. Dark air-cured production is expected to total 13.0 million pounds, 2 percent above last month but down 19 percent from 2000. Growers plan to harvest 5,020 acres in 2001, down 10 percent from last year. Yields are forecast to average 2,592 pounds per acre, 56 pounds more than the September forecast but 286 pounds below last year. Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production is expected to total 4.05 million pounds, down 1 percent from the September forecast and 70 percent below the previous year. A total of 2,600 acres is expected to be harvested this year, down 69 percent from 2000. Average yields, at 1,559 pounds per acre, are expected to decrease 21 pounds from last month and drop 36 pounds from 2000. Maryland's acreage has dropped significantly from last year due to many producers signing up for the buyout program. Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at 28.3 million tons, 1 percent above the September 1 forecast but 13 percent below last year's production. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.33 million acres. This is unchanged from the September estimate but 3 percent below last year. The yield is forecast at 21.3 tons per acre, 0.2 ton above September but 2.3 tons below 2000. Above-normal temperatures promoted ripening from the Great Plains to the Pacific Northwest and California. September rains boosted topsoil moisture and reduced crop stress in Michigan and Minnesota. Harvest began in the Red River Valley, but on September 30, progress lagged behind normal in Minnesota and North Dakota. Mostly dry weather aided harvest in Idaho, where progress was slightly ahead of normal at the end of the month. Harvest was complete in California's Imperial Valley and neared completion in the San Joaquin Valley. In parts of the High Plains, early harvest progress was delayed due to unfavorably warm beet-piling weather. Sugarcane: Production is forecast at a record high 36.6 million tons, fractionally lower than the September forecast but 1 percent above the previous record of 36.1 million tons set last year. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest a record high 1.03 million acres for sugar and seed during the 2001 crop year. This is slightly lower than the previous month but slightly higher than last year's final harvested acres. Yield is forecast at 35.5 tons per acre, down 0.1 ton from the September 1 forecast but 0.3 ton above last year's yield. Louisiana's harvested acreage is down 1 percent from last year's record high acreage. This is the first year-to-year decline since 1996. The yield and production forecasts in Louisiana are record highs, due to abundant moisture and near normal temperatures during most of the growing season. The Texas crop has also experienced favorable growing conditions. In Florida, the crop is in good condition despite last January's freezing temperatures, spring and summer water restrictions, and strong winds from tropical storm Gabrielle. Harvest was active in Hawaii as dry conditions prevailed. Grapefruit: The initial forecast of the 2001-02 grapefruit crop for the United States is 2.56 million tons, up 4 percent from last season but down 7 percent from the 1999-2000 crop year. The Florida grapefruit crop is forecast at 48.0 million boxes (2.04 million tons), 4 percent higher than the previous season but 10 percent below the 1999-2000 utilization. The all white grapefruit forecast is 20.0 million boxes (850,000 tons). If realized, the utilization will be up 7 percent from last season but down 7 percent from two seasons ago. The number of fruit per tree is higher than last season but fewer trees offset the potential increase in expected utilization. Average fruit size is slightly larger than the previous three seasons and is expected to be near the 10-year average. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 28.0 million boxes (1.19 million tons), 3 percent above the previous season but 12 percent lower than the 1999-2000 season. Fewer trees are available for harvest this season. However, the average number of fruit per tree is the highest since the 1992-93 season. Average fruit size is larger than the last three seasons and is expected to be the largest since the 1997-98 season. Droppage is expected to be higher than last season but lower than the previous three seasons. Grapefruit production in Texas is forecast at 7.80 million boxes (312,000 tons), up 8 percent from the previous season and 32 percent higher than the 1999-2000 season. Harvest has not yet begun. Fruit quality is better and size is larger than last season. California's October 1 forecast is 6.00 million boxes (201,000 tons), down 8 percent from last season's utilization and 17 percent less than two seasons ago. The Marsh Ruby and Star Ruby varieties are showing excellent fruit size development. The crop appears to be in good condition. Arizona's grapefruit forecast is 200,000 boxes (6,700 tons), a decrease of 50,000 boxes from last season and a 250,000 box decrease from the 1999-2000 season. Average size and good quality fruit are evident. Lemons: The initial 2001-02 lemon forecast for the United States is 992,000 tons, down 1 percent from last season but 18 percent above the 1999-2000 crop. California production is forecast at 23.0 million boxes (874,000 tons), 1 percent more than a year ago and 21 percent above two seasons ago. Harvest has begun in the southern and desert areas of the State. Quality is very good. Sizes are small at this time, but expected to improve as the weather cools. The Arizona lemon crop is forecast at 3.10 million boxes (118,000 tons), 14 percent below the previous season but the same utilization as the 1999-2000 crop. Larger, but fewer, fruit is evident and the crop is in very good condition. Tangelos: The initial 2001-02 tangelo forecast for Florida is 2.30 million boxes (103,500 tons), 10 percent more than last season's utilized production. If realized, it will be the third smallest tangelo crop since the 1968-69 season. Bearing trees declined but average fruit per tree increased by 13 percent from last season. Fruit sizes, larger than in recent seasons, are projected to be above the 10-year average at harvest. Fruit loss from droppage is projected to be the third lowest in the past 10 seasons. Temples: Florida's initial 2001-02 Temple forecast is 1.40 million boxes (63,000 tons), 12 percent higher than last season's lowest recorded utilization but 28 percent below two seasons ago. If realized, it will be the second smallest Temple crop since the estimates began in the 1953-54 season. The number of bearing trees declined from last season but the average fruit per tree is up 8 percent. Fruit size is good and loss from droppage is not excessive at this time. Tangerines: The 2001-02 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 449,000 tons, up 22 percent from last season's utilization of 369,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 7.00 million boxes (332,000 tons), 25 percent higher than last year's utilization. If realized, it will tie the record high utilization from two seasons ago. Early variety tree numbers are down from last season but the number of fruit per tree is up significantly. Fruit size and droppage are expected to be below average. Late Honey variety tree numbers are up slightly but average fruit per tree is down from a year ago. Fruit size is close to the maximum of the last 10 years. Droppage is below average and the portion remaining for harvest is expected to be slightly better than last season. California's tangerine forecast is 2.50 million boxes (94,000 tons), 19 percent higher than last year's crop. An increase in acreage and larger than average fruit size are contributing to the significant increase. Arizona's tangerine forecast is 600,000 boxes (23,000 tons), down 8 percent from last season. Smaller fruit is evident and quality is average. K-Early Citrus: The K-Early Citrus Fruit forecast for 2001-02 is 50,000 boxes (2,250 tons), 10,000 boxes more than last season but 60,000 boxes fewer than the final utilization from the 1999-2000 season. Tree numbers continue to decline as new plantings are rare. Florida Citrus: All areas of the citrus belt received above average rainfall in September with some coastal and southern counties recording twice the monthly average. Tropical Storm Gabrielle crossed Florida the week of September 16-22 and was responsible for high winds on the west coast and plenty of rain. Many of the groves in the wetter areas had standing water for a few days, but the citrus trees encountered few adverse effects. However, there has been some splitting on the early fruit in the low lands. The hot, humid, and moist conditions have produced a lot of new growth on trees of all ages. The first crops of the 2001-02 season were picked, packed, and shipped the second week of the month. There were white and colored grapefruit, Robinson tangerines, and Navel and Ambersweet oranges shipped by the middle of the month. Caretakers were very active during the month mowing, chopping, and discing cover crops that were making excellent growth with the help of the tropical weather. Some growers have been removing dead trees and burning them in addition to the typical grove trash and debris. Texas Citrus: Harvest is not yet underway on grapefruit but has started in some early season orange groves. Fruit quality, size, and moisture are all better than last year. There are some concerns of increasing rust mite populations. California Citrus: Picking of the 2000-01 Valencia orange crop is still active. Quality continues to decline as more lots showed an increase in puff and crease. Picking of early season 2001-02 Navel oranges is expected to begin around mid-October. Fruit set is down significantly from last year but individual fruit size is large. Lemon picking was active in the south coast and desert areas. Fruit quality was rated only fair due to coarse texture, ridging, and scars. Grapefruit was harvested in Riverside County and good quality was evident. Picking of tangerines will begin by the middle of October. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers performed typical September cultural activities that included weed control, fungicide applications, and irrigation of trees and vines. Picking of grapes for fresh use continued in the San Joaquin Valley. Primary varieties were Thompson Seedless, Red Globe, Crimson, and Ruby Seedless. Wine grape harvest was active throughout the month. Harvest of grapes for raisins made good progress with 80 percent of the raisin crop picked up and in bins by the end of September. The stone fruit harvest began to wind down as the month progressed. Bartlett pear picking was completed by mid-September but Asian pear picking was active throughout the month. Granny Smith, McIntosh, Red Delicious, and Golden Delicious apples were also harvested. The fig crop harvest continued. Olive picking began in some areas by late September but the prune harvest began to slow down. The California nut harvest was in various stages of completion. The almond harvest gathered momentum as late variety trees were shaken. Pistachio harvest continued. Early variety walnut orchards were harvested and pecan growers were preparing their orchards for harvest. Apples: The final production forecast for the 2001 crop year stands at 9.56 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the August 1 forecast and 10 percent below 2000. Compared to August 1, decreased production was forecast in the Central and Eastern States, while the Western States remained unchanged. When compared to last year, decreased production in the Western and Eastern States more than offset projected increases in the Central States. The Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, WA) is forecast at 5.93 billion pounds, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but down 16 percent from 2000. Washington's forecast, at 4.90 billion pounds, was unchanged from the earlier forecast. All of the other Western States are carried forward from the August 1 forecast. Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, WI) is forecast at 1.33 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the August 1 forecast but up 11 percent from 2000. Michigan's forecast was decreased by 20.0 million pounds from the previous forecast because dry conditions in September hampered fruit-sizing. All the other Central States were carried forward from the August 1 forecast. Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV) is forecast at 2.29 billion pounds, down 2 percent from the August 1 forecast and 5 percent below 2000. New York's production forecast was decreased by 50.0 million pounds from the August 1 forecast because rain, that was needed for apples to size up, failed to materialize causing orchards to pick out lighter than expected. Pennsylvania's forecast was increased by 15.0 million pounds from the earlier forecast as September rains are expected to help the apples size up. No changes in production from the earlier forecast are expected for North Carolina, Virginia, or West Virginia. All other Eastern States are carried forward from the August 1 forecast. Pecans: The October 1 forecast of 2001 pecan production is 355 million pounds (in-shell basis), up 69 percent from last year but 13 percent below the record high crop in 1999. The expected alternate bearing cycle has combined with good growing conditions to yield a sharply larger crop size. Improved varieties are expected to make up 239 million pounds or 67 percent of the total, while the Native and seedling varieties make up the balance. The Georgia forecast, at 105 million pounds, is 31 percent above last year's crop. Most of the increase is related to the alternate bearing cycle. Good growing conditions in June and July benefitted the Georgia crop. However, dry conditions in late summer, limb breakage, and insect problems have reduced this crop's potential. Harvest had not yet begun as of September 30. New Mexico's forecast is 60.0 million pounds, up 71 percent from last year. Good to excellent growing conditions have improved the pecan crop's potential. The Texas production forecast is 75.0 million pounds, two and one-half times the size of the 2000 pecan crop but 17 percent below 1999. Favorable growing conditions in the spring and late summer helped the Texas pecan crop overcome a hot, dry early summer. Oklahoma's forecast of 30.0 million pounds is twelve times the disastrous 2000 crop but 52 percent below the 1999 crop. Growing conditions varied greatly across the State with some growers having record yields and others suffering losses due to a late spring freeze or locally dry summer conditions. The Louisiana forecast of 23.0 million pounds is up 28 percent from 2000. Above normal rainfall has benefitted the Louisiana pecan crop. Arizona forecasts a 21.0 million pound pecan crop, up 45 percent from last year. A late April freeze in Eastern Arizona combined with hot, dry conditions during the summer reduced the crop from a higher production level. Alabama pecan production remained unchanged from 2000 at 15.0 million pounds. Most of the State's production area was in the "high" cycle but Baldwin and Mobile counties were running counter-cycle due to the effects of hurricanes in 1997 and 1998. These two counties have historically accounted for nearly half of the State's pecan production. Grapes: U.S. Grape production is forecast at 6.47 million tons, virtually unchanged from the August 1 forecast but down 16 percent from 2000 for comparable States. Not included in the comparable States are Texas and Virginia whose production estimates have been added this season and South Carolina who was dropped this season. California continues to lead the U.S. in grape production with 91 percent of the total. Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 4 percent and 2 percent, respectively. California's all grape forecast, at 5.90 million tons, is unchanged from the August 1 forecast but down 16 percent from 2000. Washington expects to harvest 275,000 tons, down 7 percent from the previous forecast but up 4 percent from 2000. New York's total production forecast, at 141,000 tons, is up 8 percent from the previous forecast but down 8 percent from last year. California's raisin type varieties account for 2.00 million tons, 34 percent of California's total grape crop. This is unchanged from the August 1 forecast but down 31 percent from last year. Picking of Thompson Seedless variety grapes for fresh and wine use was still active in late September. Weather conditions were ideal during August and September with mild temperatures which resulted in good drying conditions for the sun-dried raisins. More than 80 percent of the raisin crop was picked up and in bins by the end of September. Good quality was reported with virtually no harvest problems being encountered. Production of table type grapes is estimated at 800,000 tons, 14 percent of the total California crop and 3 percent above last year. Picking continues in the San Joaquin Valley with good quality reported. Major varieties currently being harvested include Red Globe, Fantasy, Crimson, Autumn Royal, Muscat, Ribier, and Christmas Rose. California's wine type varieties account for 3.10 million tons, 52 percent of California's total grape crop. Production of wine varieties is down 8 percent from 2000. Weather conditions have been ideal for harvest of wine type variety grapes with good quality reported. Washington's production is forecast at 275,000 tons, down 7 percent from the August 1 forecast but up 4 percent from 2000. Concord producers are expecting a smaller crop this year than what was originally expected. Poor weather during pollination this past spring and inadequate water supplies for irrigation resulted in lighter yields. Also, a late June hailstorm was responsible for some isolated damage. Wine grape producers are expecting a larger crop than last year due mainly to new acreage coming into production. The New York grape production is forecast at 141,000 tons, up 8 percent from the August 1 forecast but down 8 percent from 2000. Grapes throughout the State's major growing regions reached maturity much earlier than normal due to a warm, dry summer. On October 1, Concord harvest was nearing completion in the Lake Erie region. Few problems were encountered with fruit quality. However, sugar levels were not as high as expected in some vineyards. In Suffolk County, much of the Pinot Noir and Sauvignon Blanc have been harvested, while Chardonnay harvest is set to begin the second week of October. Pennsylvania's grape production is forecast at 58,000 tons, 5 percent above the previous forecast but down 8 percent last year. Producers are reporting better production than originally expected. However, production is reported to be down from normal years due to poor fruit set. Michigan's grape production is forecast at 25,000 tons, down 14 percent from the previous forecast and 71 percent below last year. Cold, wet conditions in the spring caused poor fruit set in the Concord and Niagara varieties. Wine grapes with later bloom times were not as severely affected. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.92 million pounds for September, 7 percent lower than last month but 17 percent more than last September. Area in crop totaled 2,690 acres, 1 percent lower than last month and 2 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area, at 1,925 acres, was 2 percent lower than August but 12 percent higher than September 2000. September weather conditions were variable with a mix of sunshine and showers over major papaya producing areas. Soil moisture in non-irrigated orchards has been adequate. Fruit losses were higher than usual as some shippers refused fruit for a week as a result of interruption of air service in September. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective Yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between September 25 and October 5 to gather information on expected yield as of October 1. The Objective Yield surveys for corn, cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 15,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submitted their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB used the survey data and the State analysis to prepare the published October 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing year administrative records and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports, processing, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the 1981-2000 twenty-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 3.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.5 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 6.1 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 178 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 624 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 10 times and above 10 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ------ Number : : Corn for Grain :Bu : 3.5 6.1 178 4 624 10 10 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 5.8 9.9 24 1 105 11 9 Rice :Cwt : 2.9 5.1 4 1 13 10 10 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 3.2 5.6 53 2 119 7 13 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 4.1 7.2 524 31 1,424 13 7 Dry Edible Beans :Cwt : 3.0 5.3 1 0 2 15 5 Oranges 1/ :Tons : 12.8 22.1 769 18 2,387 7 13 Oranges 1/ 2/ :Tons : 5.4 9.6 447 18 887 7 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of units. 2/ Excluding freeze seasons. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Rhonda Brandt - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Jay V. Johnson - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Roy Karkosh - Hay, Sorghum, Barley (202) 690-3234 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Dave DeWalt - Citrus, Nuts, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Fresh Vegetables, Mushrooms(202) 720-3250 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4288 Jim Smith - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Peas (202) 720-2127 Darin Jantzi - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Jim Smith - Nuts, Floriculture, Nursery (202) 720-2127 Biz Wallingsford - Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on November 9, 2001. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: http://www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports by Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. 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Document 0411 is a list of available reports. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. USDA to Hold Public Forum October 15, 2001 Holiday Inn Mart Plaza Chicago, Illinois The National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and to seek comments and input from data users. The other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and the World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau and the National Weather Service will also be included in the meeting. For registration details for the Data User's meeting, see the NASS home page at http://www.usda.gov/nass/ Or contact Karlyn McCutcheon (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov. This Public Forum precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 16, 2001. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from the various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register for it contact Terry Francl at (847) 685-8769 or at terry@fb.org.