Cr Pr 2-2 (7-02) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 11, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Down 5 Percent from June Forecast Other Spring Wheat Production Down 5 Percent from 2001 Durum Wheat Production Up 1 Percent from 2001 All Wheat Production Down 11 Percent from 2001 Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.18 billion bushels, the lowest level since 1971. The production forecast is down 5 percent from last month and down 13 percent from 2001. The decline in production from the June forecast is due to a reduction in harvested acreage and a lower forecasted yield. Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 29.8 million, 1 percent below the June forecast and down 5 percent from 2001. This is the smallest harvested acreage since 1917. The U.S. yield is forecast at 39.6 bushels per acre, down 1.4 bushels from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 634 million bushels, is down 6 percent from a month ago. White Winter is down 1 percent this month and now totals 203 million bushels. Soft Red Winter, at 341 million bushels, is down 5 percent from the last forecast. Durum wheat production is forecast at 84.1 million bushels, up 1 percent from 2001. The U.S. yield is forecast at 31.3 bushels per acre, 1.3 bushels more than last year. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 486 million bushels, down 5 percent from 2001. The U.S. yield is forecast at 32.0 bushels per acre, 3.2 bushels lower than last year. Of this total, 443 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, down 7 percent from last season. The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2001-02 crop is 12.4 million tons, virtually unchanged from the June forecast but 1 percent higher than last season's utilization. Florida's all orange forecast is 229 million boxes (10.3 million tons), virtually unchanged from the previous forecast but 3 percent higher than last season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 128 million boxes (5.76 million tons), unchanged from the June forecast and equal to last season's final utilization. Florida's Valencia forecast is 101 million boxes (4.55 million tons), 1 percent above the previous forecast and 6 percent above the previous season. California's all orange forecast is 54.0 million boxes (2.03 million tons), down 2 percent from the April forecast and 5 percent below last season's utilization. The Navel orange forecast remains at 32.0 million boxes (1.20 million tons), 11 percent less than the 2000-01 crop. Harvest of the Navel oranges is complete. California's Valencia orange crop is forecast at 22.0 million boxes (825,000 tons), down 4 percent from the April forecast but 5 percent above last season's utilization. Valencia orange harvest is continuing but at a reduced rate. The Texas all orange forecast for July is 1.74 million boxes (74,000 tons), 1 percent less than the April forecast and 22 percent below last season's final utilization. Harvest is complete in Texas. Arizona's July forecast is 8 percent below the April forecast and 33 percent less than the 2000-01 season. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) final forecast is 1.58 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. This forecast, unchanged since January, is final. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.53 gallons per box. The final average yield for the Valencia oranges remains at 1.66 gallons per box. This report was approved on July 11, 2002. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Keith J. Collins Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Frederic A. Vogel Contents Page Almonds. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Apricots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Citrus Fruits. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 Lentils. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Peaches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Peas, Austrian Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . .33 Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Wheat, Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Head Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Wheat, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Other Spring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : CA : 15 30 60.0 70.0 1,875 900 2,100 ID : 20 25 68.0 80.0 1,400 1,360 2,000 IL : 40 50 80.0 61.0 4,015 3,200 3,050 IA : 130 210 70.0 67.0 12,060 9,100 14,070 KS : 40 60 53.0 45.0 2,200 2,120 2,700 MI : 55 65 64.0 60.0 4,800 3,520 3,900 MN : 210 320 60.0 60.0 22,320 12,600 19,200 MT : 60 85 40.0 54.0 2,600 2,400 4,590 NE : 60 80 61.0 45.0 1,890 3,660 3,600 NY : 80 55 69.0 75.0 3,900 5,520 4,125 ND : 240 430 62.0 53.0 19,845 14,880 22,790 OH : 85 55 73.0 66.0 6,840 6,205 3,630 OR : 25 30 77.0 90.0 2,450 1,925 2,700 PA : 115 120 65.0 64.0 8,265 7,475 7,680 SD : 130 250 60.0 45.0 13,420 7,800 11,250 TX : 160 180 45.0 35.0 4,300 7,200 6,300 WI : 195 315 64.0 64.0 19,040 12,480 20,160 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 245 273 59.2 50.3 18,325 14,511 13,739 : US : 1,905 2,633 61.3 56.1 149,545 116,856 147,584 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary". Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 40 38 110.0 114.0 4,104 4,400 4,332 CA : 110 75 53.0 66.0 6,460 5,830 4,950 CO : 80 93 107.0 94.0 12,075 8,560 8,742 DE : 26 23 77.0 80.0 2,268 2,002 1,840 ID : 670 690 75.0 80.0 55,480 50,250 55,200 MD : 51 41 75.0 81.0 4,100 3,825 3,321 MN : 145 185 55.0 46.0 15,360 7,975 8,510 MT : 720 950 41.0 50.0 38,000 29,520 47,500 ND : 1,450 1,520 55.0 50.0 97,350 79,750 76,000 OR : 100 75 45.0 58.0 8,400 4,500 4,350 PA : 60 65 70.0 76.0 5,325 4,200 4,940 SD : 78 50 52.0 32.0 5,775 4,056 1,600 UT : 65 55 68.0 71.0 5,460 4,420 3,905 VA : 50 50 75.0 82.0 5,785 3,750 4,100 WA : 420 360 50.0 58.0 34,300 21,000 20,880 WY : 85 75 84.0 82.0 7,885 7,140 6,150 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 139 154 60.5 58.5 10,601 8,412 9,010 : US : 4,289 4,499 58.2 59.0 318,728 249,590 265,330 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary". Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2002 : : : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 :-------------------: 2001 : 2002 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 970 800 52.0 53.0 49.0 50,440 39,200 CA : 380 310 70.0 75.0 80.0 26,600 24,800 CO : 2,000 1,650 33.0 23.0 23.0 66,000 37,950 DE : 57 58 61.0 65.0 65.0 3,477 3,770 GA : 200 200 53.0 45.0 40.0 10,600 8,000 ID : 710 690 73.0 75.0 75.0 51,830 51,750 IL : 720 650 61.0 55.0 50.0 43,920 32,500 IN : 380 330 66.0 60.0 58.0 25,080 19,140 KS : 8,200 8,000 40.0 35.0 34.0 328,000 272,000 KY : 360 360 66.0 62.0 53.0 23,760 19,080 MD : 175 180 63.0 65.0 66.0 11,025 11,880 MI : 560 490 64.0 67.0 65.0 35,840 31,850 MS : 225 180 52.0 50.0 40.0 11,700 7,200 MO : 760 760 54.0 51.0 44.0 41,040 33,440 MT : 870 800 22.0 30.0 33.0 19,140 26,400 NE : 1,600 1,450 37.0 29.0 30.0 59,200 43,500 NY : 120 135 53.0 60.0 58.0 6,360 7,830 NC : 470 480 39.0 45.0 44.0 18,330 21,120 OH : 900 800 67.0 65.0 62.0 60,300 49,600 OK : 3,700 3,500 33.0 31.0 30.0 122,100 105,000 OR : 700 750 40.0 47.0 40.0 28,000 30,000 PA : 160 185 52.0 58.0 59.0 8,320 10,915 SC : 210 190 43.0 40.0 38.0 9,030 7,220 SD : 370 800 32.0 34.0 24.0 11,840 19,200 TN : 340 330 54.0 51.0 46.0 18,360 15,180 TX : 3,200 2,800 34.0 32.0 30.0 108,800 84,000 VA : 170 185 60.0 62.0 65.0 10,200 12,025 WA : 1,750 1,750 61.0 65.0 65.0 106,750 113,750 WY : 120 120 24.0 18.0 16.0 2,880 1,920 : Oth : Sts 1/: 918 831 46.4 49.1 45.8 42,557 38,100 : US : 31,295 29,764 43.5 41.0 39.6 1,361,479 1,178,320 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary". Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2002 : : : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 :-------------------: 2001 : 2002 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 87 95 91.0 95.0 100.0 7,917 9,500 CA : 81 90 105.0 100.0 100.0 8,505 9,000 MT : 495 530 24.0 27.0 11,880 14,310 ND : 2,100 1,950 26.0 26.0 54,600 50,700 : Oth : Sts 1/: 26 27 25.2 23.5 654 635 : US : 2,789 2,692 30.0 31.3 83,556 84,145 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary". Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : ID : 490 530 68.0 75.0 42,750 33,320 39,750 MN : 1,800 1,900 44.0 35.0 95,550 79,200 66,500 MT : 2,850 3,550 23.0 28.0 77,500 65,550 99,400 ND : 6,900 6,800 34.0 31.0 233,600 234,600 210,800 OR : 175 155 30.0 27.0 8,280 5,250 4,185 SD : 1,650 1,550 39.0 22.0 60,040 64,350 34,100 WA : 630 635 41.0 45.0 33,480 25,830 28,575 : Oth : Sts 1/: 74 52 60.9 56.1 5,432 4,508 2,916 : US : 14,569 15,172 35.2 32.0 556,632 512,608 486,226 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary". Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2000 : 846,324 471,356 248,343 502,318 54,314 109,805 2,232,460 2001 : 766,795 399,670 195,014 475,653 36,955 83,556 1,957,643 2002 : 633,974 340,909 203,437 443,336 42,890 84,145 1,748,691 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. Washington wheat variety survey indicates that winter wheat is 93 percent white and spring wheat is 74 percent white. Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during 2002. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 1998-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State and Month : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : CO July : 40.3 42.1 48.0 34.2 35.9 Final : 39.3 43.4 47.7 33.9 : IL July : 51.1 59.7 55.0 53.1 59.4 Final : 51.2 59.6 55.0 52.0 : KS July : 51.3 49.4 46.5 39.7 41.7 Final : 51.3 49.4 46.5 39.7 : MO July : 43.6 47.0 49.9 47.7 54.8 Final : 43.6 47.0 49.9 47.7 : MT July : 37.2 37.0 41.3 25.6 36.3 Final : 38.8 36.3 40.3 25.2 : NE July : 56.4 59.8 57.5 46.6 52.4 Final : 56.7 57.9 58.3 46.8 : OH July : 55.4 57.0 59.5 52.0 58.5 Final : 55.1 57.3 59.5 51.7 : OK July : 39.9 40.2 40.2 32.5 40.2 Final : 40.1 40.1 40.2 32.5 : TX July : 39.6 40.7 31.4 33.4 34.2 Final : 39.7 40.7 31.6 33.4 : WA July : 38.2 35.1 40.6 37.3 37.8 Final : 37.7 35.0 40.1 36.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2002 Summary" in September. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 42,000 44,000 2,500 2,150 105,000 94,600 VA : 20,500 22,000 2,370 2,200 48,585 48,400 US : 62,500 66,000 2,457 2,167 153,585 143,000 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 93,000 95,000 2,400 2,100 223,200 199,500 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 20,000 24,000 2,400 2,200 48,000 52,800 SC : 32,000 31,000 2,450 2,150 78,400 66,650 US : 52,000 55,000 2,431 2,172 126,400 119,450 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,500 4,800 2,600 2,600 11,700 12,480 GA : 26,100 28,000 2,460 2,000 64,206 56,000 US : 30,600 32,800 2,481 2,088 75,906 68,480 Total 11-14 : 238,100 248,800 2,432 2,132 579,091 530,430 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL : 14.0 23.0 21.0 AR : 18.0 12.0 12.5 CA : All : 1,855.0 1,727.0 1,880.0 Clingstone : 1,064.0 952.0 1,050.0 Freestone : 791.0 775.0 830.0 CO : 19.0 18.0 17.0 CT : 2.0 1.9 1.5 GA : 115.0 140.0 115.0 ID : 13.0 13.0 13.0 IL : 23.0 17.8 17.5 IN : 2.6 3.0 3.1 KY : 1.1 1.8 2.0 LA : 1.2 1.4 1.5 MD : 9.0 8.8 8.2 MA : 2.1 1.8 2.2 MI : 47.5 42.0 14.0 MO : 9.5 9.0 8.0 NJ : 65.0 75.0 65.0 NY : 12.0 12.5 10.0 NC : 32.0 12.0 20.0 OH : 10.4 11.2 10.9 OK : 14.0 12.0 6.0 OR : 8.0 6.5 7.3 PA : 60.0 75.0 60.0 SC : 150.0 100.0 160.0 TN : 2.5 3.7 4.0 TX : 21.0 30.0 15.0 UT : 11.0 9.0 5.0 VA : 10.0 8.0 7.0 WA : 65.0 55.0 50.0 WV : 7.0 11.0 11.0 : US : 2,599.9 2,441.4 2,547.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes Table Type 1/ : CA : 774,000 710,000 770,000 Grapes Wine Type : CA : 3,364,000 3,053,000 3,300,000 Grapes Raisin Type 1/ 2/ : CA : 2,921,000 2,199,000 2,550,000 All Grapes : CA : 7,059,000 5,962,000 6,620,000 : Apricots : CA : 90,000 77,000 85,000 UT : 400 260 200 WA : 6,500 5,200 4,500 US : 96,900 82,460 89,700 : : 1,000 Pounds : Almonds (Shelled Basis) 3/: CA : 703,000 830,000 980,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh equivalent of dried and not dried. 2/ The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) is implemented on the bearing acres only. No production will be realized from these acres. Acres enrolled are as follows: 41,000 for 2001 and 27,000 for 2002. 3/ Utilized production. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : May : 2,805 2,475 2,025 1,940 4,530 3,155 Jun : 3,535 2,205 2,035 1,730 4,745 2,820 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1999-2000, 2000-2001 and Forecasted July 1, 2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1999-00 : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : 1999-00 : 2000-01 : 2001-02 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 600 480 300 22 18 11 CA : 40,000 36,000 32,000 1,500 1,350 1,200 FL : 134,000 128,000 128,000 6,030 5,760 5,760 TX : 1,460 2,000 1,530 62 85 65 US : 176,060 166,480 161,830 7,614 7,213 7,036 Valencia : AZ : 500 420 300 19 16 11 CA : 24,000 21,000 22,000 900 787 825 FL : 99,000 95,300 101,000 4,455 4,289 4,545 TX : 200 235 210 9 10 9 US : 123,700 116,955 123,510 5,383 5,102 5,390 All : AZ : 1,100 900 600 41 34 22 CA : 64,000 57,000 54,000 2,400 2,137 2,025 FL : 233,000 223,300 229,000 10,485 10,049 10,305 TX : 1,660 2,235 1,740 71 95 74 US : 299,760 283,435 285,340 12,997 12,315 12,426 Temples : FL : 1,950 1,250 1,550 88 56 70 Grapefruit : White Seedless 4/ : FL : 20,900 18,700 18,900 888 795 803 Colored Seedless : FL : 31,900 27,300 27,700 1,356 1,160 1,177 Other 4/ : FL : 600 25 All : AZ : 450 250 150 15 8 5 CA : 7,200 6,500 6,400 241 218 214 FL : 53,400 46,000 46,600 2,269 1,955 1,980 TX : 5,930 7,200 5,900 237 288 236 US : 66,980 59,950 59,050 2,762 2,469 2,435 Tangerines : AZ 5/ : 850 650 650 32 24 24 CA 5/ 6/ : 2,500 2,100 2,300 94 79 86 FL : 7,000 5,600 6,600 332 266 314 US : 10,350 8,350 9,550 458 369 424 Lemons : AZ : 3,100 3,600 2,800 118 137 106 CA : 19,000 22,700 22,000 722 863 836 US : 22,100 26,300 24,800 840 1,000 942 Tangelos : FL : 2,200 2,100 2,150 99 95 97 K-Early Citrus : FL : 110 40 30 5 2 1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ "Other" seedy grapefruit estimates discontinued after 1999-2000 crop. Included with white seedless beginning with the 2000-01 crop. 5/ Includes tangelos and tangors. 6/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 24.0 40.0 23.0 39.0 MT : 31.0 27.0 21.0 25.0 ND : 90.0 130.0 86.0 125.0 OR : 4.8 4.5 4.8 4.5 WA : 62.0 70.0 62.0 70.0 : US : 211.8 271.5 196.8 263.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. Lentils: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 54.0 50.0 53.0 49.0 MT : 22.0 15.0 20.0 14.0 ND : 45.0 50.0 44.0 49.0 WA : 80.0 75.0 80.0 75.0 : US : 201.0 190.0 197.0 187.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 4.5 7.0 4.0 6.5 MT : 9.9 7.0 2.5 2.0 OR : 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 : US : 15.9 15.0 7.1 9.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres ------- --- Cwt --- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : CA : 9.0 7.0 9.0 7.0 310 270 2,790 1,890 FL : 7.8 6.8 5.0 6.5 265 275 1,325 1,788 : Total : 16.8 13.8 14.0 13.5 294 272 4,115 3,678 : Spring 1/ : AZ : 8.2 7.8 8.2 7.8 270 270 2,214 2,106 CA : 15.5 19.0 15.5 19.0 390 405 6,045 7,695 FL : 25.6 26.0 25.0 25.4 319 283 7,970 7,179 Hastings : 18.5 19.2 18.0 18.7 330 280 5,940 5,236 Other FL : 7.1 6.8 7.0 6.7 290 290 2,030 1,943 NC : 19.5 18.0 18.5 17.5 190 195 3,515 3,413 TX : 9.5 9.5 9.0 8.0 230 170 2,070 1,360 : Total : 78.3 80.3 76.2 77.7 286 280 21,814 21,753 : Summer : AL : 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.9 160 170 624 663 CA : 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 355 380 2,840 3,040 CO : 5.6 6.5 5.4 6.4 355 350 1,917 2,240 DE : 4.4 3.7 4.3 3.6 270 270 1,161 972 IL : 5.5 6.3 5.3 5.9 350 340 1,855 2,006 KS : 2.5 3.0 2.4 2.9 300 340 720 986 MD : 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 250 250 1,175 1,175 MO : 6.2 7.0 5.6 5.4 340 225 1,904 1,215 NJ : 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 255 265 638 663 NM : 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.5 350 360 770 900 TX : 8.5 8.8 8.0 8.3 390 390 3,120 3,237 VA : 6.5 6.5 6.3 6.5 220 235 1,386 1,528 : Total : 60.9 63.6 58.6 60.6 309 307 18,110 18,625 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2001-2002 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--------- 1,000 Acres --------- -- Cwt -- 1,000 Cwt : Fall 2/ : CA : 2.5 8.5 2.5 8.5 445 1,113 CO : 68.1 71.6 67.8 71.3 315 21,357 ID : 370.0 395.0 368.0 393.0 348 127,980 10 SW Co: 26.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 450 11,700 Other ID: 344.0 369.0 342.0 367.0 340 116,280 IN : 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.8 320 928 ME : 62.0 64.0 62.0 64.0 260 16,120 MA : 2.8 3.1 2.8 3.1 265 742 MI : 47.5 46.5 46.0 45.5 305 14,030 MN : 59.0 61.0 55.0 53.0 335 18,425 MT : 9.6 9.0 9.5 8.9 320 3,040 NE : 22.5 21.5 22.4 21.0 380 8,512 NV : 6.5 7.5 6.5 7.5 360 2,340 NM : 4.2 4.0 4.2 4.0 340 1,428 NY : 23.5 22.5 23.3 22.0 255 5,942 ND : 118.0 120.0 110.0 112.0 240 26,400 OH : 4.2 4.3 4.1 4.2 240 984 OR : 45.0 50.5 44.5 50.0 466 20,730 Malheur : 9.0 8.5 9.0 8.5 410 3,690 Other OR: 36.0 42.0 35.5 41.5 480 17,040 PA : 14.0 15.0 13.5 14.5 235 3,173 RI : 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 270 135 SD : 2.8 1.2 2.7 1.1 240 648 UT : 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.1 265 345 WA : 160.0 175.0 160.0 175.0 590 94,400 WI : 84.0 85.0 83.0 79.0 385 31,955 : Total :1,111.1 1,169.8 1,092.5 1,142.1 367 400,727 : US :1,267.1 1,327.5 1,241.3 1,293.9 358 444,766 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ The forecast of fall potato production will be released November 12, 2002. Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes, 11 Major States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Potato Types 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Reds : Whites : Russets :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 6 4 13 12 81 84 ID : 1 1 5 4 94 95 ME : 4 4 60 59 36 37 MI : 4 2 80 90 16 8 MN : 26 29 10 11 64 60 NY : 100 100 ND : 18 19 35 37 47 44 OR : 1 1 14 30 85 69 PA : 100 100 WA : 3 4 4 11 93 85 WI : 11 11 29 33 60 56 : Total : 6 6 21 23 73 71 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s) constituting less than 1 percent of State's total. Yellow flesh potatoes are reported under white types. Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes, by State and Total, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 Crop : 2002 Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Entered for : : Percent : Entered for : Certification : Certified : Certified : Certification -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- Acres --------- Percent Acres : AK : 150 198 132 175 CA : 800 665 83 350 CO : 16,813 13,031 78 17,400 ID : 38,581 38,065 99 41,000 ME : 14,000 14,820 106 14,500 MI : 2,344 2,202 94 2,564 MN : 8,000 8,040 101 9,000 MT : 9,306 9,240 99 8,871 NE : 7,000 5,699 81 5,800 NY : 1,000 961 96 570 ND : 22,221 20,682 93 19,569 OR : 2,200 2,119 96 2,240 PA : 256 256 100 256 SD : 648 633 98 840 UT 2/ : 50 WA : 2,250 2,191 97 2,400 WI : 10,450 10,215 98 10,732 : Total : 136,069 129,017 95 136,267 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data supplied by State seed certification officials. 2/ None certified for 2001 crop. None entered for certification for 2002 crop. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2001-2002 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 4,967.0 5,048.0 4,289.0 4,499.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 75,752.0 78,947.0 68,808.0 72,081.0 Corn for Silage : 6,148.0 Hay, All : 63,511.0 64,709.0 Alfalfa : 23,812.0 24,134.0 All Other : 39,699.0 40,575.0 Oats : 4,403.0 5,085.0 1,905.0 2,633.0 Proso Millet : 650.0 475.0 580.0 Rice : 3,335.0 3,251.0 3,314.0 3,227.0 Rye : 1,328.0 1,395.0 255.0 275.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 10,252.0 9,290.0 8,584.0 7,908.0 Sorghum for Silage : 336.0 Wheat, All : 59,617.0 60,085.0 48,653.0 47,628.0 Winter : 41,078.0 41,362.0 31,295.0 29,764.0 Durum : 2,910.0 2,760.0 2,789.0 2,692.0 Other Spring : 15,629.0 15,963.0 14,569.0 15,172.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,494.0 1,513.0 1,455.0 1,458.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 585.0 844.0 578.0 821.0 Mustard Seed : 45.8 155.0 44.2 146.0 Peanuts : 1,541.2 1,469.0 1,411.9 1,412.5 Rapeseed : 3.7 2.0 3.1 1.8 Safflower : 188.0 207.0 177.0 198.0 Soybeans for Beans : 74,105.0 72,993.0 73,000.0 72,029.0 Sunflowers : 2,653.0 2,486.0 2,580.0 2,392.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 15,768.5 14,415.5 13,827.7 Upland : 15,498.5 14,151.0 13,559.5 Amer-Pima : 270.0 264.5 268.2 Sugarbeets : 1,370.8 1,408.8 1,243.6 1,370.7 Sugarcane : 1,028.0 1,022.1 Tobacco : 432.4 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 15.9 15.0 7.1 9.0 Dry Edible Beans : 1,429.9 1,864.0 1,243.0 1,745.1 Dry Edible Peas : 211.8 271.5 196.8 263.5 Lentils : 201.0 190.0 197.0 187.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.3 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.4 Hops : 35.9 29.3 Peppermint Oil : 78.5 Potatoes, All : 1,267.1 1,327.5 1,241.3 1,293.9 Winter : 16.8 13.8 14.0 13.5 Spring : 78.3 80.3 76.2 77.7 Summer : 60.9 63.6 58.6 60.6 Fall : 1,111.1 1,169.8 1,092.5 1,142.1 Spearmint Oil : 19.5 Sweet Potatoes : 97.9 94.4 93.5 91.8 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2001-2002 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 58.2 59.0 249,590 265,330 Corn for Grain : " : 138.2 9,506,840 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.6 102,352 Hay, All : " : 2.47 156,703 Alfalfa : " : 3.37 80,266 All Other : " : 1.93 76,437 Oats : Bu : 61.3 56.1 116,856 147,584 Proso Millet : " : 33.2 19,250 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,429 213,045 Rye : Bu : 27.3 6,971 Sorghum for Grain : " : 59.9 514,524 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 11.1 3,728 Wheat, All : Bu : 40.2 36.7 1,957,643 1,748,691 Winter : " : 43.5 39.6 1,361,479 1,178,320 Durum : " : 30.0 31.3 83,556 84,145 Other Spring : " : 35.2 32.0 512,608 486,226 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,374 1,998,515 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 7,452.2 Flaxseed : Bu : 19.8 11,455 Mustard Seed : Lb : 930 41,106 Peanuts : " : 3,029 4,276,704 Rapeseed : " : 1,306 4,050 Safflower : " : 1,365 241,665 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 39.6 2,890,572 Sunflowers : Lb : 1,349 3,480,696 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 705 20,302.8 Upland 2/ : " : 694 19,602.4 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,254 700.4 Sugarbeets : Ton : 20.7 25,787 Sugarcane : " : 33.6 34,587 Tobacco : Lb : 2,293 991,519 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,366 97 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,572 19,541 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,920 3,779 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,471 2,898 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 640 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,210 7,600 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 45,000 16,200 Hops : " : 1,861 66,832.1 Peppermint Oil : " : 81 6,343 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 358 444,766 Winter : " : 294 272 4,115 3,678 Spring : " : 286 280 21,814 21,753 Summer : " : 309 307 18,110 18,625 Fall : " : 367 400,727 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 105 2,052 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 156 14,565 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,400 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2000-2002 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,762 2,469 2,435 K-Early Citrus (FL) : " : 5 2 1 Lemons : " : 840 1,000 942 Oranges : " : 12,997 12,315 12,426 Tangelos (FL) : " : 99 95 97 Tangerines : " : 458 369 424 Temples (FL) : " : 88 56 70 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 10,663.7 9,629.1 Apricots : Ton : 96.9 82.5 89.7 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 29,000.0 28,000.0 Grapes : Ton : 7,688.0 6,552.5 Olives (CA) : " : 53.0 134.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 54,500.0 55,000.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,599.9 2,441.4 2,547.7 Pears : Ton : 967.2 1,005.8 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 219.0 150.0 155.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 23.9 21.2 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 703,000 830,000 980,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 22.5 49.5 Pecans : Lb : 209,850 338,500 Pistachios (CA) : " : 243,000 161,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 239.0 305.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,231 1,049 1,356 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year. 2/ Production years are 1999-2000, 2000-2001, and 2001-2002. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2001-2002 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,010,100 2,042,880 1,735,720 1,820,700 Corn for Grain 2/ :30,656,080 31,949,060 27,845,910 29,170,460 Corn for Silage : 2,488,030 Hay, All 3/ : 25,702,270 26,187,090 Alfalfa : 9,636,480 9,766,790 All Other : 16,065,790 16,420,300 Oats : 1,781,850 2,057,850 770,930 1,065,550 Proso Millet : 263,050 192,230 234,720 Rice : 1,349,640 1,315,650 1,341,140 1,305,930 Rye : 537,430 564,540 103,200 111,290 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 4,148,880 3,759,570 3,473,860 3,200,290 Sorghum for Silage : 135,980 Wheat, All 3/ :24,126,400 24,315,800 19,689,380 19,274,580 Winter :16,623,860 16,738,790 12,664,770 12,045,190 Durum : 1,177,650 1,116,940 1,128,680 1,089,430 Other Spring : 6,324,900 6,460,070 5,895,930 6,139,960 : Oilseeds : Canola : 604,610 612,300 588,820 590,040 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 236,740 341,560 233,910 332,250 Mustard Seed : 18,530 62,730 17,890 59,080 Peanuts : 623,710 594,490 571,380 571,620 Rapeseed : 1,500 810 1,250 730 Safflower : 76,080 83,770 71,630 80,130 Soybeans for Beans :29,989,550 29,539,540 29,542,370 29,149,420 Sunflowers : 1,073,640 1,006,060 1,044,100 968,020 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 6,381,350 5,833,810 5,595,930 Upland : 6,272,090 5,726,770 5,487,390 Amer-Pima : 109,270 107,040 108,540 Sugarbeets : 554,750 570,130 503,270 554,710 Sugarcane : 416,020 413,630 Tobacco : 174,990 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 6,430 6,070 2,870 3,640 Dry Edible Beans : 578,670 754,340 503,030 706,220 Dry Edible Peas : 85,710 109,870 79,640 106,640 Lentils : 81,340 76,890 79,720 75,680 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,550 Ginger Root (HI) : 150 Hops : 14,530 11,850 Peppermint Oil : 31,770 Potatoes, All 3/ : 512,780 537,230 502,340 523,630 Winter : 6,800 5,580 5,670 5,460 Spring : 31,690 32,500 30,840 31,440 Summer : 24,650 25,740 23,710 24,520 Fall : 449,650 473,410 442,120 462,200 Spearmint Oil : 7,890 Sweet Potatoes : 39,620 38,200 37,840 37,150 Taro (HI) 4/ : 180 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2001-2002 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.13 3.17 5,434,180 5,776,880 Corn for Grain : 8.67 241,484,860 Corn for Silage : 37.32 92,852,170 Hay, All 2/ : 5.53 142,158,570 Alfalfa : 7.56 72,816,090 All Other : 4.32 69,342,480 Oats : 2.20 2.01 1,696,160 2,142,180 Proso Millet : 1.86 436,580 Rice : 7.21 9,663,560 Rye : 1.72 177,070 Sorghum for Grain : 3.76 13,069,510 Sorghum for Silage : 24.87 3,381,980 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.71 2.47 53,278,310 47,591,570 Winter : 2.93 2.66 37,053,390 32,068,620 Durum : 2.01 2.10 2,274,020 2,290,050 Other Spring : 2.37 2.16 13,950,900 13,232,900 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.54 906,510 Cottonseed 3/ : 6,760,520 Flaxseed : 1.24 290,970 Mustard Seed : 1.04 18,650 Peanuts : 3.40 1,939,880 Rapeseed : 1.46 1,840 Safflower : 1.53 109,620 Soybeans for Beans : 2.66 78,668,480 Sunflowers : 1.51 1,578,820 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.79 4,420,410 Upland : 0.78 4,267,920 Amer-Pima : 1.40 152,490 Sugarbeets : 46.48 23,393,570 Sugarcane : 75.42 31,376,800 Tobacco : 2.57 449,750 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.53 4,400 Dry Edible Beans : 1.76 886,360 Dry Edible Peas : 2.15 171,410 Lentils : 1.65 131,450 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 29,030 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.35 3,450 Ginger Root (HI) : 50.44 7,350 Hops : 2.09 30,310 Peppermint Oil : 0.09 2,880 Potatoes, All 2/ : 40.16 20,174,250 Winter : 32.94 30.54 186,650 166,830 Spring : 32.09 31.38 989,470 986,700 Summer : 34.64 34.45 821,460 844,820 Fall : 41.11 18,176,670 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 930 Sweet Potatoes : 17.46 660,660 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2000-2002 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,505,640 2,239,840 2,208,990 K-Early Citrus (FL) : 4,540 1,810 910 Lemons : 762,040 907,180 854,570 Oranges : 11,790,680 11,171,980 11,272,680 Tangelos (FL) : 89,810 86,180 88,000 Tangerines : 415,490 334,750 384,650 Temples (FL) : 79,830 50,800 63,500 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,836,970 4,367,690 Apricots : 87,910 74,810 81,370 Bananas (HI) : 13,150 12,700 Grapes : 6,974,410 5,944,350 Olives (CA) : 48,080 121,560 Papayas (HI) : 24,720 24,950 Peaches : 1,179,290 1,107,400 1,155,620 Pears : 877,380 912,460 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 198,670 136,080 140,610 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 21,680 19,230 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 318,880 376,480 444,520 Hazelnuts : 20,410 44,910 Pecans : 95,190 153,540 Pistachios (CA) : 110,220 73,030 Walnuts (CA) : 216,820 276,690 Maple Syrup : 6,150 5,240 6,780 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year. 2/ Production years are 1999-2000, 2000-2001, and 2001-2002. June Weather Summary Hot, mostly dry weather brought worsening drought conditions from southern California to the High Plains, excluding Montana. The drought increasingly stressed dryland crops, strained irrigation reserves, and fostered the spread of numerous wildfires. Farther north, beneficial showers eased stress on pastures and spring-sown small grains in North Dakota, Montana, and portions of the interior Northwest. However, several rounds of heavy rain flooded parts of the Red River Valley and adjacent areas in northern Minnesota. Meanwhile, most of the Midwest experienced above-normal temperatures and a gradual drying trend during June. By month's end, soil moisture remained mostly adequate in the previously saturated Ohio and middle Mississippi Valleys, but heat and dryness increased stress on corn and soybeans in the western Corn Belt, including South Dakota, Nebraska, and western Iowa. Farther south, heavy showers eased or eliminated citrus irrigation requirements across Peninsular Florida. Despite scattered showers elsewhere in the South, soil moisture shortages continued to stress rain-fed summer crops in several areas, including the lower Rio Grande Valley, southern portions of the Delta, and most locations from the Florida panhandle to the southern Mid-Atlantic region. In contrast, torrential rainfall developed across south-central Texas at month's end, sparking early-July flooding. Widespread above-normal June precipitation was confined to Florida's peninsula and the Nation's northern tier, including much of the Northeast and areas from the northern Rockies to the upper Great Lakes region. Pockets of above-normal rainfall were scattered across the Midwestern and South-Central States. In contrast, little or no rain fell in California and the Southwest, while only light amounts were observed in other areas, including the western Corn Belt and the southern Mid-Atlantic region. Monthly temperatures averaged as much as 3 degrees F below normal along the California coast and in Montana and Florida. Readings were near normal across the remainder of the South, but as much as 5 degrees F below normal in northern New England. Warmer-than-normal weather prevailed elsewhere, with temperatures averaging up to 5 degrees F above normal in the western Corn Belt, 3 to 7 degrees F above normal on the central High Plains, and generally 3 to 5 degrees F above normal in the Southwest. June Crop Summary Hot weather quickly ripened winter wheat fields and promoted rapid emergence and growth of spring-planted row crops in the Great Plains and Corn Belt. Dry weather aided winter wheat harvest, but soil moisture reserves diminished, stressing crops in the Great Plains and Corn Belt, especially near the end of the month. In the South, heavy rains boosted soil moisture reserves and maintained crop conditions along the western Gulf Coast. Interior areas of the lower Mississippi Valley and most of the Southeast also received beneficial precipitation, but amounts varied considerably. Abnormally dry weather stressed crops on the Atlantic Coastal Plain and delayed planting, emergence, and growth on the southern High Plains. In the Southwest, producers irrigated crops to maintain healthy development. Corn was 98 percent planted on June 9, slightly less than the 5-year average. Planting remained active in the eastern Corn Belt early in the month, despite additional rain delays. Most of the acreage remaining to be planted on June 9 was in Indiana and Ohio. Warm weather and adequate soil moisture supported quick emergence in the eastern Corn Belt and promoted rapid vegetative growth in the western Corn Belt. By June 16, the crop was 97 percent emerged. On June 23, crop development ranged from barely emerged in many areas of the eastern Corn Belt to chest-high in some western Corn Belt fields. Five percent of the crop was at or beyond the silking stage at the end of the month. However, silking in the Corn Belt was mostly confined to the lower Missouri and lower Ohio River Valleys, where 30 percent of the Kentucky acreage and 21 percent of the Missouri crop was silking. Hot winds and dry soils stressed many fields in the western Corn Belt and Great Plains near the end of the month, while rain improved crop conditions in Indiana, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. Soybean planting progressed behind normal during the first half of the month, but neared completion slightly ahead of normal, advancing to 97 percent complete on June 23. Planting neared completion by June 9 across the northern and western Corn Belt. Meanwhile, planting remained active across the central and eastern Corn Belt, interior Mississippi Delta, and central Great Plains, even though some areas received additional, unneeded precipitation. After midmonth, planting was most active along the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys, but planting also remained active in parts of the lower Mississippi Valley and eastern Corn Belt. Above-normal temperatures and adequate topsoil moisture aided emergence and growth in most areas of the Corn Belt, northern Great Plains, and lower Mississippi Valley during the month. By June 23, most fields were emerged in the western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Near the end of the month, fields rapidly emerged in the eastern Corn Belt and interior Mississippi Delta. On June 30, emergence was 96 percent complete, 1 percentage point ahead of the average for this date. In addition, 6 percent of the acreage was blooming at the end of June, as fields rapidly entered the bloom stage in the lower Mississippi Valley. In the Corn Belt, Iowa led progress with 16 percent blooming. Conditions deteriorated in the western Corn Belt and Great Plains, where soil moisture reserves quickly diminished. Above-normal temperatures promoted winter wheat development in the eastern Corn Belt, across most of the central and northern Great Plains, and Pacific Northwest during June. However, below-normal temperatures delayed heading in Montana, especially near midmonth. Cooler-than-normal weather also delayed ripening in parts of the southern Great Plains. Despite ample heat in most areas, heading neared completion slightly later than normal, as 96 percent of the acreage was headed on June 23, compared with the average of 98 percent. Harvest accelerated in the lower Mississippi Valley and along the Atlantic Coastal Plain early in the month and progressed with only brief rain delays in most areas. Early-month harvest progress in Oklahoma was abruptly halted by widespread heavy rain, but harvest steadily advanced in most areas of the southern Great Plains during June. Harvest began in the Corn Belt and central Great Plains near midmonth and was aided by mostly dry weather after midmonth. At the end of June, 61 percent of the acreage was harvested, 14 percentage points more than the average for this date. Harvest neared completion in Arkansas and Oklahoma, but had not begun in the northern Great Plains or Pacific Northwest. Ninety-four percent of the cotton acreage was planted on June 9, slightly ahead of the 93-percent average for this date. Planting remained active in the southern Great Plains early in the month, but was nearly complete in the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast. Seasonal temperatures and timely showers favored development across most of the South during June. However, conditions deteriorated along the Atlantic Coastal Plain and southern High Plains due to increasing moisture shortages and late-month heat. At the end of June, 63 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the squaring stage, and 18 percent was setting bolls. Normally, 62 percent would be squaring and 15 percent would be setting bolls by June 30. Barley and spring wheat were 95 and 93 percent emerged, respectively, on June 9, slightly ahead of their 5-year averages. Warm daytime temperatures aided early-month emergence of the barley and spring wheat fields in North Dakota, while rain improved crop conditions in Montana. However,increasing moisture shortages stressed fields in South Dakota. Hot weather promoted biolgical development of both crops during most of the month, but progress of both crops lagged across most of the northern Great Plains and Pacific Northwest at the end of June. However, spring wheat progressed ahead of normal in South Dakota. On June 30, barley fields at the heading stage lagged 11 percentage points behind the 5-year average of 39 percent, and spring wheat at the heading stage was 9 percentage points behind the 41-percent. Crop conditions deteriorated in many areas due to moisture shortages, but fields in Minnesota suffered due to excessive moisture. Ninety-six percent of the oat crop was emerged on June 9, equaling the 5-year average. Soil moisture supplies were adequate to support development across most of the Corn Belt, but conditions declined in South Dakota and Nebraska due to a combination of excessive heat and dry soils. Fields entered the heading stage far ahead of normal in Nebraska and well ahead of normal in Iowa. Meanwhile, development lagged in the upper Mississippi Valley and eastern Corn Belt. Hot weather promoted rapid development in the Great Plains and Corn Belt near the end of the month. However, slow heading in North Dakota, Ohio, and Wisconsin held progress slightly behind the 63-percent average on June 30. Conditions deteriorated in Minnesota due to excessive rain and slow drainage. Ninety-six percent of the rice crop was emerged on June 9, compared with the average of 95 percent. Above-normal temperatures promoted rapid emergence in California and Missouri and accelerated vegetative growth in Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas early in the month. Mostly seasonal temperatures maintained growth and development through the remainder of the month. Fourteen percent of the crop was heading on June 30, slightly more than the average of 11 percent. Fields entered the heading stage well ahead of normal along the Gulf Coast, but progress was slightly slower than normal in the interior Mississippi Delta. Sorghum planting progressed slightly behind normal during June and was 95 percent complete on June 30, compared with the 5-year average of 96 percent. Planting was active in the Corn Belt and Great Plains during the first half of the month, although soils were unfavorably dry on parts of the High Plains. Rain temporarily delayed progress in the Corn Belt near midmonth. By June 23, planting was complete in Nebraska and approached completion in Kansas and South Dakota. Planting remained active in the southern Great Plains through the end of the month. Along the western Gulf Coast, fields entered the reproductive stage earlier than normal. At the end of the month, 62 percent of the Texas acreage was at or beyond the heading stage, 37 percent was turning color, 20 percent was mature, and 9 percent was harvested. Development also exceeded the 5-year average in Louisiana and Arkansas, where 45 and 27 percent, respectively, was heading on June 30. Conditions deteriorated in many areas of the Great Plains due to hot, windy weather and dry soils, especially near the end of the month. Peanuts advanced to 96 percent planted on June 9, slightly more than the 92-percent average for this date. Planting was virtually complete along the eastern Gulf Coast and Atlantic Coastal Plain by midmonth, but remained active on the southern High Plains until late in the month. Pegging progressed slightly behind the 5-year average until midmonth, but accelerated in the southern Great Plains and along the eastern Gulf Coast after midmonth. At the end of June, 36 percent of the acreage was pegging, compared with the average for this date of 32 percent. Late-month rain improved crop conditions and aided pegging along the eastern Gulf Coast, while dry soils stressed plants and impeded pegging along the mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain and southern High Plains. Dry weather accommodated rapid sunflower seeding throughout the Great Plains during June. Planting was most active on the northern Great Plains early in the month, and seeding neared completion in North Dakota by midmonth. Planting remained active on the central High Plains through midmonth, and by June 23, the sunflower crop was 95 percent planted. Oats: Production is forecast at 148 million bushels, 26 percent above last year's 117 million bushels. The forecasted yield is 56.1 bushels per acre, down 5.2 bushels from 2001. Area for harvest is estimated at 2.63 million acres, up 38 percent from last year. Above-normal temperatures and favorable topsoil moisture aided emergence and stimulated vegetative growth in Iowa, Nebraska, and Pennsylvania during April, but below-normal temperatures slowed emergence and limited growth across most of the Corn Belt and Great Plains during May. In June, soil moisture supplies adequately supported development across most of the Corn Belt until midmonth, but a combination of excessive heat and moisture shortages reduced yield potential in the western Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains after midmonth. In Minnesota, yield potetial was limited by persistent rains that produced localized flooding. Higher yields are expected in the west due to increased irrigation water supplies. Barley: Production for 2002 is forecast at 265 million bushels, 6 percent above 2001. Based on July 1 conditions, producers expect to harvest an average of 59.0 bushels per acre, up 0.8 bushel from last year. Area harvested, at 4.50 million acres, is up 210,000 acres from 2001. The increase in production is being led by Montana where producers expect to harvest 230,000 more acres than in 2001 and expect yields to be 9 bushels higher. These increases are the result of more favorable moisture conditions this year. Improved growing conditions in California, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington are increasing yields this year. Yields across the Great Plains States are expected to be down from last year due to the dry growing conditions. North Dakota is expecting to harvest an additional 70,000 acres this year, but yields are forecast to be down by 5 bushels per acre due to the dry conditions across the southern third of the State. Yields in Minnesota, however, are forecast to be 9 bushels below last year to due to heavy precipitation and flooding in the northwestern part of the State. Winter Wheat: Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 29.8 million, down 5 percent from 2001. This is the smallest harvested acreage since 1917. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing states had reached 61 percent completion by June 30. This was 7 points ahead of last year and 14 points ahead of average. Yield declines are forecast in most of the major Hard Red Winter (HRW) States. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six HRW States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas) are down slightly from last month, and the weight per head is down a collective 11 percent. Harvest progressed rapidly due to hot, dry weather. Realized yields in Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas were lower than expected. Continued drought conditions in South Dakota and Wyoming reduced yield prospects for the second consecutive month. Beneficial June rains in Montana improved yield expectations. Harvested yields were much lower than previously expected in many of the Soft Red Winter (SRW) States. Disease pressure resulting from excessive spring precipitation reduced yields in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee. In addition to disease, harvest revealed more yield damage than expected in Georgia from an early March freeze. Yield expectations continue above last year in the Atlantic Coastal States. Collective head count forecasts are up slightly from last month in the SRW Objective Yield States (Illinois, Missouri, Ohio), but average weight per head is collectively down 13 percent from a month ago. White Wheat yield prospects are unchanged from last month in Washington and Idaho. Drought conditions in the major wheat growing region of Oregon lowered yield expectations significantly. Yields also declined from last month in Michigan and New York but remain above last year. Durum Wheat: Area for 2002 grain harvest is expected to total 2.69 million acres, down 3 percent from last year. Weather has been ideal for harvest in California. Harvest in the California Imperial Valley is complete, while harvest remains active in the San Joaquin Valley. Conditions declined in Montana as high winds and temperatures near 100 degrees swept through the major Durum growing area of the State. Above normal temperatures in North Dakota have rapidly advanced the maturity of the crop. For the week ending June 30, sixty-three percent of the North Dakota crop was rated good to excellent. Other Spring Wheat: Harvested grain area is forecast at 15.2 million acres, up 4 percent from last year. Warm daytime temperatures aided early June emergence of the spring wheat fields in North Dakota, while early June rains supported crop development in Montana, however moisture shortages stressed fields in South Dakota. Hot weather promoted development of the crop during most of the month. Development lagged across most of the northern Great Plains and Pacific Northwest, but progressed ahead of normal in South Dakota. Crop conditions deteriorated in many areas due to moisture shortages, but fields in northwest and north central Minnesota suffered due to excessive moisture and flooding. Lentils: Planted acreage of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at 190,000 acres, down 5 percent from last year and 12 percent less than 2000. Harvested acreage is estimated at 187,000, down 5 percent from last year. Washington growers planted 75,000 acres of lentils, down 6 percent from 2001 and 12 percent below two years ago. Growers in Idaho planted 50,000 acres to lentils, 7 percent below last year and 23 percent less than two years ago. Planted acreage in North Dakota is estimated at 50,000 acres, up 11 percent from last year and the year before. North Dakota is the only State where more acreage was devoted to lentils in 2002. Montana growers planted 15,000 acres this year, 32 percent fewer than the last two years. Washington growers completed planting slightly later than normal. However, expectations are for an improved crop from last year. Heading into this crop year, Montana was facing a fourth year of drought. However, rain began to come to the State after planting was completed. By the end of June, the north central district of the State was ahead of normal for the water year and the north eastern district was around 80 percent of normal. Dry Edible Peas: Planted acreage of dry edible peas for 2002 is estimated at 271,500 acres, up 28 percent from last year and 44 percent above 2000. Acreage planted in North Dakota, at 130,000 acres, is up 44 percent above a year ago. North Dakota growers are expected to harvest 125,000 acres, 45 percent greater than last season. Idaho dry edible pea growers planted 40,000 acres in 2002, up 67 percent from last year. Idaho growers plan to harvest 39,000 acres, 70 percent more than the previous year. Oregon growers devoted 4,500 acres to dry edible peas, a decrease of 6 percent from the previous year. Washington farmers planted dry edible peas on 70,000 acres, 13 percent above 2001 and 8 percent greater than 2000. Planting for dry edible peas was completed by May 26. Temperatures dipped into the mid to high teens during late May and early June. Counties in the northern most production area reported fields lost, but the majority of the crop in the Whitman County area had not bloomed and was reported in average to good condition. The dry pea crop has not suffered the drought conditions of last year and the overall outlook is positive. Growers plan to harvest all 70,000 acres, 13 percent more than last year. Montana dry edible pea growers planted 27,000 acres, down 13 percent from a year ago and 4 percent below 2000. Growers plan to harvest 25,000 of these acres, 19 percent more than last season. Heading into the crop year, the State was facing a 4 year drought. However, by the end of June the north central district of the State was ahead of normal for the water year and the north eastern district was about 80 percent of normal. Austrian Winter Peas: Planted acreage of Austrian winter peas in Idaho, Montana, and Oregon is estimated at 15,000 acres and harvested acreage is estimated at 9,000 acres. Montana growers planted 7,000 acres, down 29 percent from 2001. They plan to harvest 2,000 acres, 20 percent less than last season. Planted acreage in Idaho totaled 7,000 acres, up 56 percent from 2001 and 75 percent above two years ago. Harvested acreage is estimated at 6,500 acres, 63 percent above the 2001 season. Austrian winter pea planted acreage in Oregon is estimated at 1,000 acres, down 33 percent from a year ago and 17 percent below 2000. Harvested area is estimated at 500 acres, also 17 percent below the previous year. Tobacco: U.S. all flue-cured production is forecast at 530.4 million pounds, down 8 percent from the 2001 crop and 11 percent below 2000. Yield per acre for flue-cured is forecast at 2,132 pounds, down 300 pounds from 2001 and 264 pounds below the 2000 yield. Forecasted yields for all flue-cured types decreased from last year in every State except Florida, where the yield is expected to be unchanged. North Carolina's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 346.9 million pounds, down 8 percent from the 2001 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,128 pounds, down 299 pounds from 2001. The State has been dry. However, rainfall has been more consistent in the Coastal Plain where most of the tobacco is grown. Tomato spotted wilt virus is causing some concern among growers, resulting in lowered yield expectations. Flue-cured tobacco production in South Carolina is forecast at 66.7 million pounds, down 15 percent from the 2001 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,150 pounds, down 300 pounds from last year. The crop is reported to be in mostly fair to good condition. Dry conditions across the State have slowed growth and development of the crop. Georgia's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 56.0 million pounds, down 13 percent from the 2001 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,000 pounds, down 460 pounds from last year. Temperatures during June were near normal but rainfall has been below normal. Tomato spotted wilt virus is widespread across the State. Harvest is 11 percent complete, slightly ahead of the five-year average of 10 percent. Flue-cured tobacco production in Virginia is forecast at 48.4 million pounds, virtually unchanged from the 2001 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,200 pounds, down 170 pounds from last year. By the end of June, the crop condition was rated 37 percent fair, 43 percent good, and 19 percent excellent, despite dry weather across the State. Florida's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 12.5 million pounds, up 7 percent from last year's crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,600 pounds, unchanged from the 2001 crop. Harvest began about mid-June with some delays due to recent rainfall. All Potatoes: Potato farmers across the United States have planted an estimated 1.33 million acres of potatoes in all four seasons this year, up 5 percent from last year. Area for harvest, forecast at 1.29 million acres, is up 4 percent from a year ago. Winter acreage for harvest was down 4 percent from last year, while spring, summer, and fall estimates for harvest gained 2, 3, and 5 percent, respectively. The summer forecast places production up 3 percent from last season. In earlier forecasts, winter production fell 11 percent over a year ago, while the spring potato production was virtually unchanged from the 2001 season. Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes this year is estimated at 1.17 million acres, up 5 percent from last year but 4 percent below two years ago. Harvest is expected from 1.14 million acres, 5 percent above a year ago but 4 percent below 2000. Western States potato plantings are estimated at 722,200 acres this year, up 8 percent from last year but 5 percent below 2000. Fall potato acreage in California more than doubled as potatoes are again being planted in the Tule Lake area. Oregon's planted acreage is up 12 percent from last year. Idaho's plantings are up 7 percent and Washington's acreage rose 9 percent. Nevada's planted acreage jumped 15 percent and Colorado's rose 5 percent. Acreage planted in New Mexico is down 5 percent, Montana declined 6 percent, and Utah potato acreage fell 15 percent. Periods of cool spring weather slowed growth in most western States and left a good part of the Northwest behind normal development. Oregon and California are back to normal planting in the Klamath-Tule Lake Basin after a year without water. Crop progress in the rest of Oregon and Washington is late. Idaho's crop progress was aided by warm weather in late June. Hot, dry weather in Colorado and New Mexico have raised grower concerns because of limited supplies of irrigation water. Central States planted an estimated 342,400 acres of fall potatoes this year, up less than 1 percent from last year but 5 percent below two years ago. Michigan and Nebraska are down 2 and 4 percent, respectively. North Dakota and Ohio each gained 2 percent in planted acres, while Minnesota and Wisconsin rose 3 and 1 percent, respectively. Acreage in South Dakota fell 57 percent and Indiana's planted acreage dropped 6 percent. Heavy rain and flood damage during different periods of the spring and early summer brought abandonment of several thousand acres of potatoes in the three North Central States. Wisconsin growers expect to harvest 6,000 acres less than the planted, while Minnesota and North Dakota each look for a loss of 8,000 acres. North Dakota potatoes were rated 57 percent good to excellent on June 16, but declined to 43 percent by June 23. Minnesota had heavy losses in their northwest counties and growers are worried about disease development. June rains in Wisconsin's Central Sands area washed out many fields. A cool start in Michigan warmed up with good growing weather in June.. Harvest could start in late July. Hot weather in Nebraska has caused some wilting of fields and will heavily tax irrigation water supplies. Eastern States have planted an estimated 105,200 acres this year, up 2 percent from the last two years. Maine's planted acreage is estimated at 64,000 acres, up 3 percent from last year. Massachusetts acreage is up 11 percent and Rhode Island's gained 20 percent. Acreage in Pennsylvania rose 7 percent from a year ago. New York's planted acreage is down 4 percent. A cool, wet spring in most of New England, New York, and northwestern Pennsylvania delayed planting and got the crop off to a slow start. Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 18.6 million cwt, a gain of 3 percent from a year ago. Harvest is expected from 60,600 acres, up 3 percent from last year, with an average yield of 307 cwt per acre, down 2 cwt from 2001. Most summer potato States expect larger crops than last year. The Kansas forecast of production is up 37 percent from last year, while Colorado and New Mexico are up 17 percent each. California expects an increase of 7 percent, as Virginia and Illinois are up 10 and 8 percent, respectively. Alabama is up 6 percent, and New Jersey and Texas are up 4 percent each. Smaller potato crops are seen in Missouri, down 36 percent from last year, and Delaware, off 16 percent from a year ago. Maryland's production forecast is unchanged from last year's output. Harvest was completed a month ago in Alabama's coastal area. Virginia's growers jumped into harvest the last week of June on one of the best potato crops in recent memory. Delaware and Maryland growers are just starting with harvest and the crop is doing well in both States. High temperatures and humidity helped crop progress in New Jersey. Flooding in Missouri's Bootheel area destroyed acreage and reduced yield potential. Harvest is nearly finished in southeastern counties and will start later this month in the northwest. Cool, wet spring weather slowed growth in Illinois where harvest will soon get underway. Digging is expected to begin in Kansas in early July. Texas summer potato harvest is just starting. The High Plains weather has been hot and dry during the growing season. Growing conditions in Colorado have been hot and dry but no hail damage has occurred. The California summer crop had some late freeze damage but the crop is progressing nicely. Peaches: The July 2002 forecast of U.S. peach production is 2.55 billion pounds, up 4 percent from 2001 but 2 percent below two years ago. Ten States forecast increases in production from last year while 17 States expect declines and 2 States remain unchanged. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.05 billion pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 10 percent above 2001. Weather conditions were good during the Clingstone bloom period. Set is reported to be lighter in the Sacramento Valley than in the northern San Joaquin Valley. Harvest began during the middle of June with excellent quality reported. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 830 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 7 percent above 2001. The Freestone peach crop continues to progress smoothly with approximately 30 percent of the harvest completed by the end of June. The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 160 million pounds, down 11 percent from the June 1 forecast but 60 percent above 2001. Expectations of the largest crop in several years have been hindered by a period of reduced precipitation. Dry weather has reduced fruit size and yield for much of the State. Coastal areas of the State have received good rains, but most of the State's peach producing areas are in the midlands and upstate regions. North Carolina's peach crop, forecast at 20.0 million pounds, is up 67 percent from last year but 37 percent below two years ago. Fruit quality is good but size is small due to the dry weather during June. Georgia's peach crop is forecast at 115 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but down 18 percent from the 2001 crop. The major production area of central Georgia escaped significant damage from the freezing temperatures in late February. This area received only minor losses while the freeze actually provided beneficial thinning of the crop. Peaches in south Georgia suffered severe losses from the February freeze. Harvest got off to a slow start and as of June 30, progress was 52 percent complete, a few day behind schedule. Louisiana is up 7 percent but Texas is down 50 percent from last season. Texas producers reported a poor quality crop due to a late freeze as well as drought conditions as of July 1. New Jersey and New York production is down 13 and 20 percent, respectively, from 2001. Peach production in both States was hurt by spring frosts. Production in Pennsylvania is forecast at 60.0 million pounds, 20 percent below last year but unchanged from 2000. Some areas of the State received significant frost damage at blossom time. However, good fruit size, adequate moisture, and minimal frost damage was reported in the southern part of the State. Michigan's peach crop is forecast at 14.0 million pounds, 67 percent below 2001. The peach crop in Michigan was adversely affected by several spring frosts. After a warm week in April caused early blooming, numerous frosts killed flower buds and cold weather hampered bee activity. Illinois' production, at 17.5 million pounds, is down 2 percent from 2001. Oklahoma is forecast at 6.0 million pounds, down 50 percent from last year. Oklahoma peach growers have been hit by adverse growing conditions. The State experienced a severe ice storm in January followed by a late freeze and spring hail storm which reduced crop potential. The Washington peach crop is forecast at 50.0 million pounds, 9 percent below last year and 23 percent below 2000. A combination of poor pollinating weather and frost reduced prospects for Washington's 2002 crop. Utah's production is down 44 percent due to freezing temperatures May 8 and 9. In Idaho, production remains unchanged from last year. In Colorado, production is forecast at 17.0 million pounds, 6 percent below last year's crop. Late frosts limited production for producers without frost protection devices. California Grapes: California's all grape production is forecast at 6.62 million tons, up 11 percent from last year but down 6 percent from 2000. Wine type grapes account for 50 percent of California's total production, raisin types account for 38 percent, while the remaining 12 percent are table type grapes. Wine type grape production is forecast at 3.30 million tons, up 8 percent from last season's crop but 2 percent lower than the 2000 crop. Most areas had mild temperatures in May, which helped the crop have an excellent start. With the favorable weather conditions, a good bloom occurred, resulting in a large number of bunches. Size, quality, and color are expected to be very good. California's raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.55 million tons, up 16 percent from last year but 13 percent below the 2000 crop. Mild weather conditions allowed for a good bloom to occur. A large number of bunches was reported, with the bunches per vine greater than last year. Thompson Seedless harvest was active through late June in the Coachella Valley. Table type grape production is expected to be 770,000 tons, up 8 percent from last year but 1 percent lower than 2000. Picking was active through late June in the Coachella Valley, with Perlette and Flame Seedless the primary varieties harvested. Apricots: The final forecast for the 2002 apricot crop is 89,700 tons, up 9 percent from last season's production but down 7 percent from 2000. California's 2002 apricot production is forecast at 85,000 tons, up 13 percent from the June forecast and 10 percent above 2001. California's production represents 95 percent of the 2002 U.S. apricot crop. Due to cooler temperatures, apricot harvesting in California has been delayed allowing the fruit to grow larger resulting in a higher yield. Fruit quality is reported excellent. Washington's production at 4,500 tons is down 13 percent from last year and 31 percent below two years ago. In Washington, a late spring took it's toll on the State's apricot crop as production was reduced by poor pollinating weather and frost. Almonds: The 2002 California almond crop is forecast at a record high 980 million pounds, shelled basis, up 4 percent from the May 1 forecast and 18 percent above last year's 830 million pounds. Bearing acreage, at 530,000, is up 1 percent from the previous crop year. The average yield is forecast at 1,850 pounds per acre, 270 pounds per acre above last year and 440 pounds more than the 2000 yield. The almond crop got off to a great start. Weather conditions were nearly ideal during the critical bloom and pollination period. However, an early March freeze caused damage to the crop in Colusa, Glenn, and Yolo counties. The remainder of the almond growing areas have experienced good weather throughout the season and are expecting a record crop. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.82 million pounds for June, 11 percent lower than last month and 41 percent below a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,205 acres, 11 percent lower than last month and 38 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,730 acres, 11 percent lower than last month and 15 percent below June 2001. Weather conditions in June were variable with scattered showers and sunshine over major papaya producing areas. Non-irrigated orchards have adequate soil moisture. Incidences of a papaya ringspot virus were low. Yields were affected by fruit scarring and diseases. Grapefruit: The forecast for the 2001-02 grapefruit for the United States is 2.44 million tons, down 3 percent from the June forecast and 1 percent less than last season's utilized production. The Florida grapefruit forecast is 46.6 million boxes (1.98 million tons), 1 percent less than the June forecast but 1 percent more than the previous season. The all white grapefruit forecast, which includes seedless and seedy varieties, is reduced to 18.9 million boxes (803,000 tons). The colored seedless utilization is forecast lower at 27.7 million boxes (1.18 million tons). Both the all white and colored grapefruit forecast are 1 percent less than the previous forecast and 1 percent above the final utilization from a season ago. Harvest is virtually complete. The route survey indicated nearly all the white rows had been harvested and approximately 7 percent of the colored rows have fruit available for harvest. The California grapefruit forecast of 6.40 million boxes (214,000 tons) is unchanged from the previous forecast and 2 percent less than the previous season's utilization. Fruit size is reported to be large with very good quality. Picking is underway in the Riverside area. The July 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is 5.90 million boxes (236,000 tons), down 17 percent from the previous forecast and 18 percent below last season. Harvest is complete. Arizona's July 1 forecast is 150,000 boxes, 25 percent lower than the previous forecast and 40 percent below last season's utilized production. Fruit quality is good and size is medium. Tangerines: The U.S. tangerine forecast for July 1 is 424,000 tons, unchanged from the June forecast but 15 percent higher than last season's utilization of 369,000 tons. Florida's tangerine forecast is held at 6.60 million boxes (314,000 tons), 18 percent above last season and just 6 percent below the record high set in 1999-00. Arizona's forecast is unchanged at 650,000 boxes, from the previous forecast and the previous season. California's forecast, at 2,300 boxes, is carried forward from the April forecast. Lemons: The 2001-02 lemon forecast for the United States is 942,000 tons, down 1 percent from the previous forecast and 6 percent less than the previous season. California production is forecast at 22.0 million boxes (836,000 tons), the same as the June forecast but 3 percent less than the previous season. Harvest remains active in the Southern Coastal regions as the quality and color of fruit remains good. The Arizona lemon crop is forecast at 2.80 million boxes (106,000 tons), down 10 percent from June. Utilized production is down 22 percent from the 2000-01 crop. Harvested fruit is reported as medium sized and in good to very good condition. Temples: Florida's 2001-02 Temple forecast remains at 1.55 million boxes (70,000 tons). This crop is 24 percent higher than the record low harvest of 2000-01 but below the 1998-99 and 1999-2000 crop year levels. Harvest is complete. Tangelos: Florida's 2001-02 tangelo forecast remains 2.15 million boxes (97,000 tons), unchanged from June but up 2 percent from last season. The last two seasons are the two smallest crops recorded since utilization peaked at 6.40 million boxes during the 1979-80 season. K-Early Citrus: The K-Early Citrus Fruit forecast, at 30,000 boxes (1,350 tons), is unchanged from June but 10,000 boxes fewer than last season. Utilized production is continued at a record low, 25 percent below the previous low of 40,000 boxes in 1997-98 and 2000-01. Florida Citrus: Citrus groves received much needed rain during June. Many areas on the lower east coast received record rainfall. Some wetter groves received above 20 inches of rain. Most well cared for groves are in very good condition. Recent rains produced an abundance of new growth on all young trees and resets. The new crop fruit is in good condition. Valencia harvest was very active in early June and tapered off by the end of the month when virtually all processors and packers closed for the season. Grapefruit movement was slow during June as most processors closed for the season. Some fresh squeezed juice operations plan to stay open as long as good usable fruit is available. Caretakers have been cutting cover crops to stay ahead of the rapid growth resulting from the rains. Growers are planting new trees in place of older, diseased trees removed this year. Hedging, topping, and burning grove debris continued in the harvested groves. Texas Citrus: Harvest of the Texas grapefruit crop ended with most volume harvested in the early part of the season. The orange harvest ended on schedule. Despite freezing temperature and water shortages, overall quality, size and sweetness were good this season. California Citrus: Navel orange harvest is complete. The Valencia orange harvest continued through June. Lemon harvest in the Southern Coastal regions remains active. Grapefruit harvest is in full swing in the Riverside summer producing areas. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included herbicide and fungicide application, cultivation, and irrigation in orchards and vineyards. Stone fruit varieties matured rapidly due to hot weather during June. Picking of many fruit crops was active throughout the month. Nectarines, peaches, plums, and apricots were picked and packed. Harvest of Clingstone peaches began in the Kingsburg area towards the middle of June. Cherry harvest neared completion by mid-month. Grapes for fresh use were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Flame Seedless and Thompson Seedless were the primary varieties harvested. Robust growth of raisin, wine, and table grape vineyards continued. Table grape growers continued to thin shoots and fruit clusters. Apples, pears, pomegranates and figs continued to show good development. Strawberry fields were shredded and disced in preparation for replanting. Olives were sizing nicely as growers began treatments to control the olive fruit fly. The heavy almond crop was resulting in limb breakage in some orchards. Walnut orchards were sprayed for codling moth. Pistachio trees were showing an abundant crop. Reliability of July 1 Crop Production Forecast Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between June 25 and July 5 to gather information on expected yield as of July 1. The Objective Yield survey was conducted in ten States that accounted for 69 percent of the 2001 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 8,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about the probable yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecasts. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the July 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, 2001, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 1.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.7 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.0 percent. Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 25 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 65 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This does not imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 orange production forecast is 1.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.2 percent. Differences between the July 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 100,000 tons, ranging from 1,000 tons to 370,000 tons. The July 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. The difference does not imply that the July 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Hay, Sorghum (202) 690-3234 Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice, Barley (202) 720-7688 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250 Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries, Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4288 Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Betty Johnston - Nuts, Floriculture, Nursery(202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 12, 2002. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. 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