Cr Pr 2-2 (6-03) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 11, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Up 4 Percent All Orange Production Virtually Unchanged Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.63 billion bushels, up 4 percent from the May 1 forecast and 42 percent above 2002. Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 44.6 bushels per acre, up 1.7 bushels from the previous forecast. Grain area totals 36.4 million acres, unchanged from May 1. Hard Red production is up 7 percent from a month ago to 1.01 billion bushels. Soft Red is down 1 percent from last month, and now totals 368 million bushels. White production totals 253 million bushels, up 1 percent from last month. The U.S. all orange June 1 forecast for the 2002-03 crop is 11.5 million tons, virtually unchanged from the May 1 forecast but 8 percent below last season's utilization. Florida's all orange forecast, at 201 million boxes (9.05 million tons), is up 0.5 percent from the previous forecast but 13 percent below last season's final utilization. If attained, it will be the lowest utilized production since the 186 million boxes of the 1998-99 season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 112 million boxes (5.04 million tons), unchanged from the May 1 forecast but 12 percent less than last season. Harvest of these varieties is complete. Florida's Valencia forecast is 89 million boxes (4.01 million tons), 1 percent above the previous forecast but 13 percent less than last season's final utilization. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward from April 1. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield is projected at 1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.49 gallons per box. The projected season average yield for the Valencia oranges is lowered to 1.56 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume that the processing relationships this year will be similar to those of the past several years. This report was approved on June 11, 2003. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James R. Moseley Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Apricots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Cherries, Sweet. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Citrus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 Maple Syrup. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Peaches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Pears, Bartlett. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . .30 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Sugarcane. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Wheat, Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Wheat, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Wheat, Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : May 1 : Jun 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 840 610 46.0 52.0 51.0 38,640 31,110 CA : 300 350 75.0 70.0 75.0 22,500 26,250 CO : 1,650 2,200 22.0 30.0 33.0 36,300 72,600 DE : 58 47 70.0 65.0 62.0 4,060 2,914 GA : 200 230 41.0 53.0 50.0 8,200 11,500 ID : 690 710 79.0 79.0 82.0 54,510 58,220 IL : 650 780 49.0 56.0 56.0 31,850 43,680 IN : 330 420 53.0 64.0 63.0 17,490 26,460 KS : 8,100 9,700 33.0 40.0 44.0 267,300 426,800 KY : 340 300 53.0 59.0 57.0 18,020 17,100 MD : 180 150 66.0 64.0 64.0 11,880 9,600 MI : 490 660 67.0 66.0 66.0 32,830 43,560 MS : 205 125 44.0 46.0 50.0 9,020 6,250 MO : 760 780 45.0 51.0 51.0 34,200 39,780 MT : 750 1,700 28.0 36.0 38.0 21,000 64,600 NE : 1,520 1,650 32.0 38.0 44.0 48,640 72,600 NY : 128 119 58.0 63.0 60.0 7,424 7,140 NC : 480 420 42.0 41.0 41.0 20,160 17,220 OH : 810 960 62.0 68.0 68.0 50,220 65,280 OK : 3,500 4,700 28.0 34.0 36.0 98,000 169,200 OR : 710 940 41.0 53.0 53.0 29,110 49,820 PA : 185 160 54.0 53.0 53.0 9,990 8,480 SC : 190 200 37.0 40.0 39.0 7,030 7,800 SD : 625 1,440 29.0 39.0 40.0 18,125 57,600 TN : 300 300 46.0 52.0 50.0 13,800 15,000 TX : 2,700 3,700 29.0 31.0 29.0 78,300 107,300 VA : 170 160 63.0 59.0 58.0 10,710 9,280 WA : 1,750 1,800 59.0 62.0 62.0 103,250 111,600 WY : 120 160 19.0 26.0 28.0 2,280 4,480 : Oth : Sts 1/: 920 976 41.3 44.2 44.2 37,963 43,152 : US : 29,651 36,447 38.5 42.9 44.6 1,142,802 1,626,376 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary." Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : May 1 : Jun 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 89 103 95.0 97.0 94.0 8,455 9,682 CA : 90 95 100.0 90.0 100.0 9,000 9,500 MT : 565 23.0 12,995 ND : 1,950 25.0 48,750 : Oth : Sts 2/: 9 27.8 250 : US : 2,703 29.4 79,450 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Area harvested for the U.S. and remaining States will be published in "Acreage" released June 30, 2003. Yield and production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 11, 2003. 2/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary." Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring 2/ : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total 2/ : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2001 : 766,795 399,670 195,014 475,515 36,493 83,556 1,957,043 2002 : 609,243 332,275 201,284 356,597 37,592 79,450 1,616,441 2003 :1,005,205 368,294 252,877 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season except in Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska, which have been updated with current data. 2/ Spring wheat production by class and total production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 11, 2003. Sweet Cherries: Total Production by State, and Total, 2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : CA : 55,300 55,500 60,000 OR : 40,000 31,000 40,000 WA : 106,000 86,000 90,000 : Total : 201,300 172,500 190,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The first production forecast for sweet cherries in ID, MI, MT, NY, PA, and UT and tart cherries in CO, MI, NY, OR, PA, UT, WA, and WI will be published in the "Cherry Production" released on June 26, 2003. Peaches: Total Production by Crop, State, and Total, 2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : CA : All : 1,727.0 1,920.0 1,950.0 Clingstone 1/ : 952.0 1,124.0 1,180.0 Freestone : 775.0 796.0 770.0 GA : 140.0 110.0 125.0 SC : 100.0 160.0 130.0 : Total : 1,967.0 2,190.0 2,205.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ CA Clingstone is over-the-scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery diversions. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2000-2001, 2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : 2002-03 : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : 2002-03 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 480 270 200 18 10 8 CA 4/ : 35,500 34,000 40,000 1,331 1,275 1,500 FL : 128,000 128,000 112,000 5,760 5,760 5,040 TX 4/ : 2,000 1,530 1,400 85 65 60 US : 165,980 163,800 153,600 7,194 7,110 6,608 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 420 250 200 16 9 8 CA 4/ : 19,000 20,500 22,000 713 769 825 FL : 95,300 102,000 89,000 4,288 4,590 4,005 TX 4/ : 235 210 180 10 9 8 US : 114,955 122,960 111,380 5,027 5,377 4,846 All : AZ 4/ : 900 520 400 34 19 16 CA 4/ : 54,500 54,500 62,000 2,044 2,044 2,325 FL : 223,300 230,000 201,000 10,048 10,350 9,045 TX 4/ : 2,235 1,740 1,580 95 74 68 US : 280,935 286,760 264,980 12,221 12,487 11,454 Temples : FL : 1,250 1,550 1,300 56 70 59 Grapefruit : White Seedless 5/ : FL : 18,700 18,900 16,200 795 803 689 Colored Seedless : FL : 27,300 27,800 22,500 1,160 1,182 956 All : AZ 4/ : 250 160 100 8 5 3 CA 4/ : 6,300 6,000 5,600 211 201 188 FL : 46,000 46,700 38,700 1,955 1,985 1,645 TX 4/ : 7,200 5,900 5,500 288 236 220 US : 59,750 58,760 49,900 2,462 2,427 2,056 Tangerines : AZ 4/ 6/ : 650 620 400 24 23 15 CA 4/ 6/ : 2,200 2,200 2,500 83 83 94 FL 7/ : 5,600 6,600 5,500 266 314 261 US : 8,450 9,420 8,400 373 420 370 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 3,600 2,800 2,900 137 106 110 CA : 22,600 19,000 23,000 859 722 874 US : 26,200 21,800 25,900 996 828 984 Tangelos : FL : 2,100 2,150 2,350 95 97 106 K-Early Citrus 8/ : FL : 40 30 2 1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5/ Includes seedy. 6/ Includes tangelos and tangors. 7/ 2000-01 through 2001-02 includes Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, Dancy, and Honey varieties; 2002-03 includes Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey varieties only. 8/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. Bartlett Pears: Total Production by State and Total, 2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : CA : 275,000 264,000 235,000 OR : 70,000 58,000 70,000 WA : 201,000 167,000 185,000 : Total : 546,000 489,000 490,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Miscellaneous Fruits, California: Total Production by Crop, 2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Prunes (Dried Basis) 1/ : 150,000 171,000 190,000 : Apricots : 77,000 85,000 85,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2002 revised. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Apr : 2,480 2,255 1,935 1,740 2,995 3,725 May : 2,475 2,250 1,935 1,740 3,210 3,125 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Hops: Area Harvested by Variety, State, and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted June 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Area Harvested :Strung for Harvest and :-------------------------------------------------------- Variety : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Acres : ID : Chinook : 120 Cluster : 234 Galena : 552 Mt. Hood : 32 Nugget : 54 Willamette : 215 Zeus : 477 : Other Varieties : 1,785 : Total 1/ : 3,469 3,399 3,429 : OR : Cascade : - 217 269 Glacier : * - 245 Golding : - - 95 Liberty : - 36 - Millenium : 117 421 - Mt. Hood : 257 243 217 Nugget : 2,268 1,967 1,529 Perle : 491 452 450 Sterling : 91 86 84 Willamette : 2,434 1,912 2,224 : Other Varieties : 445 243 635 : Total : 6,103 5,577 5,748 : WA : Cascade : 1,003 1,216 2,074 Chelan : 317 295 180 Chinook : 535 422 453 Cluster : 534 480 429 Columbus/Tomahawk : 4,915 3,663 2,725 Galena : 4,375 3,239 2,863 Golding : 45 26 22 Hallertauer : 76 76 53 Horizon : 339 337 124 Magnum : 42 - - Millenium : 1,382 1,455 1,386 Mt. Hood : 333 107 32 Northern Brewer : 97 97 63 Nugget : 4,109 1,288 933 Perle : 209 124 104 Tettnanger : 60 48 - Tillicum : 369 194 194 Vanguard : 54 - - Willamette : 3,571 3,639 3,707 YCR-5(WarriorTM) : 1,370 988 1,173 Zeus : 2,186 2,265 2,090 : Other Varieties : 418 374 571 : Total : 26,339 20,333 19,176 : US : 35,911 29,309 28,353 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Beginning with the 2002 crop, only State totals will be published for Idaho to avoid disclosure of individual operations. - Included in Other Varieties to avoid disclosure of individual operations. * Unknown or none. Sugarbeets: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, Production, Price, and Value by State and United States, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested : Yield State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2001 : 2002 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- 1,000 Acres --------------- ------ Tons ------ : CA : 46.6 50.2 44.7 49.9 35.7 39.5 CO : 41.5 43.9 36.8 39.5 22.4 20.1 ID : 199.0 212.0 179.0 210.0 25.9 24.3 MI : 180.0 179.0 166.0 177.0 19.4 18.1 MN : 468.0 505.0 426.0 476.0 18.3 18.6 MT : 57.4 58.0 53.5 55.9 21.5 19.6 NE : 48.6 57.0 41.4 42.0 20.3 18.1 ND : 261.0 265.0 237.0 258.0 18.1 18.6 OH : 0.8 1.9 0.6 1.8 20.0 20.6 OR : 11.9 11.3 9.7 11.0 29.9 27.4 WA : 7.2 4.0 7.1 4.0 35.6 35.0 WY : 48.5 40.0 41.6 36.0 20.6 18.3 : US : 1,370.5 1,427.3 1,243.4 1,361.1 20.7 20.4 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production : Price per Ton : Value of Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2001 : 2002 3/ : 2001 : 2002 3/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Tons --- ---- Dollars ---- 1,000 Dollars : CA : 1,596 1,971 33.40 53,306 CO : 824 794 34.20 28,181 ID : 4,636 5,103 40.50 187,758 MI : 3,220 3,204 34.80 112,056 MN : 7,796 8,854 40.30 314,179 MT : 1,150 1,096 38.80 44,620 NE : 840 760 36.90 30,996 ND : 4,290 4,799 46.10 197,769 OH : 12 37 35.50 426 OR : 290 301 40.50 11,745 WA : 253 140 40.50 10,247 WY : 857 659 39.70 34,023 : US : 25,764 27,718 39.80 1,025,306 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. 2/ Revised. 3/ Estimates are not available. U.S. marketing year average price, value of production, and parity price will be published in "Agricultural Prices" released July 31, 2003. State estimates will be published in "Crop Values" to be released February 2004. Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, Price, and Value by State and United States, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2001 : 2002 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ----- Tons ---- --- 1,000 Tons --- : For Sugar : FL : 445.0 442.0 35.1 38.3 15,620 16,929 HI : 19.3 21.3 97.3 99.0 1,878 2,109 LA : 460.0 465.0 29.0 28.3 13,340 13,160 TX : 46.0 43.6 42.1 39.1 1,937 1,705 : US : 970.3 971.9 33.8 34.9 32,775 33,903 : For Seed : FL : 20.0 19.0 35.9 38.1 718 724 HI : 1.5 1.4 36.2 35.5 54 50 LA : 35.0 30.0 29.0 28.3 1,015 849 TX : 1.0 0.9 25.0 30.0 25 27 : US : 57.5 51.3 31.5 32.2 1,812 1,650 : For Sugar : and Seed : FL : 465.0 461.0 35.1 38.3 16,338 17,653 HI : 20.8 22.7 92.9 95.1 1,932 2,159 LA : 495.0 495.0 29.0 28.3 14,355 14,009 TX : 47.0 44.5 41.7 38.9 1,962 1,732 : US : 1,027.8 1,023.2 33.7 34.7 34,587 35,553 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : For Sugar : For Sugar and Seed :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per Ton : Value of Production : Value of Production 3/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 :2002 4/ : 2001 : 2002 4/ : 2001 : 2002 4/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Dollars ------------- 1,000 Dollars ------------- : FL : 31.70 495,154 517,915 HI : 30.80 57,842 59,505 LA : 25.70 342,838 368,924 TX : 28.90 55,979 56,702 : US : 29.00 951,813 1,003,046 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield and production refer to net weight. 2/ Revised. 3/ Price per ton of cane for sugar used in evaluating value of production for seed. 4/ Estimates are not available. U.S. marketing year average price, value of production, and parity price will be published in "Agricultural Prices" released July 31, 2003. State estimates will be published in "Crop Values" to be released February 2004. Maple Syrup: Taps, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number of Taps : Yield per Tap : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Taps -- ---- Gallons --- 1,000 Gallons : CT : 51 50 0.157 0.160 8 8 ME : 1,085 1,095 0.212 0.242 230 265 MA : 215 205 0.209 0.171 45 35 MI : 320 360 0.206 0.164 66 59 NH : 345 325 0.217 0.175 75 57 NY : 1,414 1,340 0.184 0.157 260 210 OH : 376 387 0.199 0.132 75 51 PA : 337 364 0.163 0.132 55 48 VT : 2,170 2,090 0.230 0.206 500 430 WI : 440 400 0.180 0.190 79 76 : US : 6,753 6,616 0.206 0.187 1,393 1,239 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2002 revised. Maple Syrup: Price and Value by State and United States, 2001-2002 1/ ---------------------------------------------------------- : Average Price : Value of : per Gallon : Production State :------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 ---------------------------------------------------------- : ---- Dollars --- 1,000 Dollars : CT : 45.70 47.20 411 378 ME : 18.70 19.40 3,740 4,460 MA : 40.60 39.50 1,380 1,778 MI : 29.70 32.50 1,782 2,145 NH : 40.00 41.10 1,800 3,083 NY : 29.50 26.30 5,694 6,838 OH : 31.30 32.30 3,005 2,423 PA : 25.30 26.70 1,746 1,469 VT : 30.80 27.00 8,470 13,500 WI : 29.20 29.30 1,986 2,315 : US : 28.60 27.60 30,014 38,389 ---------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Price and value for 2001 are revised. Price and value for 2003 are not available until June, 2004. Maple Syrup: Percent of Sales by Type and State, 2001-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Retail : Wholesale : Bulk State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- Percent -- -- Percent -- -- Percent -- : CT : 85 85 10 10 5 5 ME : 5 5 5 5 90 90 MA : 70 50 20 30 10 20 MI : 68 65 19 15 13 20 NH : 70 70 20 15 10 15 NY : 54 39 15 21 31 40 OH : 69 76 10 6 21 18 PA : 44 45 9 19 47 36 VT : 35 25 15 15 50 60 WI : 42 42 26 24 32 34 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Maple Syrup: Price by Type of Sales and Size of Container by State, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Gallons : 1/2 Gallons : Quarts : Pints : 1/2 Pints and :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Dollars : Retail : CT :35.40 37.50 20.30 21.20 11.70 11.80 6.90 7.30 4.40 4.60 ME :32.10 34.00 18.30 18.60 10.20 10.50 5.90 6.50 4.00 4.20 MA :33.10 35.00 19.90 20.40 11.60 12.30 6.80 7.90 4.30 5.20 MI :33.00 31.00 18.40 17.50 10.30 10.10 6.00 6.00 3.90 4.10 NH :34.50 33.30 19.80 19.00 11.30 11.30 6.80 6.80 3.90 4.10 NY :29.90 29.70 17.30 17.70 10.10 9.90 6.30 6.50 4.20 4.20 OH :29.30 29.80 17.00 17.80 9.70 10.20 6.00 6.30 4.60 4.10 PA :28.30 29.10 16.70 16.50 9.60 9.70 5.70 5.70 3.50 3.60 VT :32.40 31.40 19.00 18.20 11.40 11.30 7.00 7.10 4.70 4.50 WI :27.80 27.80 15.30 15.50 8.30 8.50 5.10 5.30 3.30 3.30 : Wholesale : CT 2/ :28.70 30.30 17.50 16.80 10.30 9.20 5.40 5.20 3.40 ME :26.70 28.20 14.20 16.80 8.00 8.40 4.60 4.80 2.80 3.00 MA 2/ :30.30 25.80 16.50 9.40 9.10 5.40 5.70 3.50 3.80 MI :25.60 25.00 15.60 15.30 8.50 8.70 4.70 4.90 2.70 3.40 NH :28.70 28.30 15.80 17.20 9.00 10.40 5.20 5.60 3.10 3.50 NY :25.80 26.90 15.60 14.80 8.65 8.00 5.05 4.70 3.00 2.90 OH :24.70 24.10 14.70 14.30 8.40 9.20 4.80 5.60 3.80 3.20 PA :26.70 27.00 14.50 16.00 8.20 8.70 4.90 4.90 3.00 3.20 VT :28.80 25.00 16.20 16.20 9.20 9.30 5.20 5.40 3.30 3.40 WI :27.60 26.40 15.30 14.50 8.10 7.90 4.60 4.50 3.00 2.80 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Bulk All Grades : Bulk All Grades : All Sales :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Dollars per Pound Dollars per Gallon Equivalent per Gallon : Bulk : CT 2/ : 1.20 13.20 45.70 47.20 ME : 1.45 1.50 16.00 16.50 18.70 19.40 MA : 1.40 1.50 15.40 16.50 40.60 39.50 MI : 1.80 1.50 19.60 16.80 29.70 32.50 NH : 1.60 1.40 17.60 15.40 40.00 41.10 NY : 1.40 1.30 15.60 14.30 29.50 26.30 OH : 1.55 1.45 17.20 16.00 31.30 32.30 PA : 1.40 1.30 15.10 13.80 25.30 26.70 VT : 1.90 1.70 20.90 18.70 30.80 27.00 WI : 1.50 1.40 16.00 15.00 29.20 29.30 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Prices for 2001 are revised. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Sweet Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.7 CA : 10.0 10.4 10.0 10.4 GA 2/ : 0.5 0.4 LA : 24.0 21.0 22.0 15.0 MS : 16.7 16.0 16.0 12.3 NJ : 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 NC : 37.0 40.0 36.0 37.0 SC : 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.1 TX : 4.2 3.5 3.8 3.3 VA : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 : US : 99.1 97.2 94.4 83.5 :--------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002 :--------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Cwt ------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ----- : AL : 170 180 493 486 CA : 230 265 2,300 2,756 GA 2/ : 100 40 LA : 140 125 3,080 1,875 MS : 150 160 2,400 1,968 NJ : 105 125 126 150 NC : 155 130 5,580 4,810 SC : 80 110 128 121 TX : 100 180 380 594 VA : 220 210 110 105 : US : 155 154 14,637 12,865 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2002 Revised. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2002. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,073.0 5,379.0 4,135.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 79,054.0 79,022.0 69,313.0 Corn for Silage : 7,490.0 Hay, All : 64,497.0 63,552.0 Alfalfa : 23,135.0 All Other : 41,362.0 Oats : 5,005.0 4,828.0 2,098.0 2,204.0 Proso Millet : 450.0 220.0 Rice : 3,240.0 3,038.0 3,207.0 Rye : 1,395.0 286.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,580.0 9,451.0 7,299.0 Sorghum for Silage : 352.0 Wheat, All : 60,358.0 61,697.0 45,817.0 Winter : 41,735.0 44,308.0 29,651.0 36,447.0 Durum : 2,909.0 2,833.0 2,703.0 Other Spring : 15,714.0 14,556.0 13,463.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,459.0 1,249.0 1,275.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 785.0 704.0 Mustard Seed : 191.0 175.0 Peanuts : 1,358.0 1,244.0 1,296.7 Rapeseed : 3.4 3.1 Safflower : 219.0 196.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,758.0 73,182.0 72,160.0 Sunflowers : 2,585.0 2,517.0 2,205.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,957.9 14,253.0 12,426.6 Upland : 13,714.0 14,053.0 12,184.0 Amer-Pima : 243.9 200.0 242.6 Sugarbeets : 1,427.3 1,399.3 1,361.1 Sugarcane : 1,023.2 Tobacco : 428.7 417.5 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 21.5 11.6 Dry Edible Beans : 1,922.1 1,522.8 1,726.9 Dry Edible Peas : 302.7 279.7 Lentils : 221.0 209.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.2 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.3 Hops : 29.3 28.4 Peppermint Oil : 80.2 Potatoes, All : 1,310.0 1,275.7 Winter : 15.8 15.0 15.7 14.8 Spring : 87.8 85.1 86.1 82.9 Summer : 62.2 59.1 Fall : 1,144.2 1,114.8 Spearmint Oil : 18.0 Sweet Potatoes : 97.2 93.5 83.5 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 54.9 226,873 Corn for Grain : " : 130.0 9,007,659 Corn for Silage : Ton : 14.0 104,979 Hay, All : " : 2.34 150,962 Alfalfa : " : 3.19 73,824 All Other : " : 1.86 77,138 Oats : Bu : 56.8 119,132 Proso Millet : " : 12.5 2,755 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,578 210,960 Rye : Bu : 24.4 6,985 Sorghum for Grain : " : 50.7 369,758 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 9.5 3,360 Wheat, All : Bu : 35.3 1,616,441 Winter : " : 38.5 44.6 1,142,802 1,626,376 Durum : " : 29.4 79,450 Other Spring : " : 29.3 394,189 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,218 1,552,520 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,183.9 Flaxseed : Bu : 17.9 12,569 Mustard Seed : Lb : 705 123,450 Peanuts : " : 2,561 3,320,490 Rapeseed : " : 1,461 4,530 Safflower : " : 1,520 297,980 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 37.8 2,729,709 Sunflower : Lb : 1,133 2,497,236 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 665 17,208.6 Upland 2/ : " : 651 16,530.3 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,342 678.3 Sugarbeets : Ton : 20.4 27,718 Sugarcane : " : 34.7 35,553 Tobacco : Lb : 2,055 880,734 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,414 164 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,736 29,974 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,517 4,242 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,200 2,508 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 457 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,370 8,500 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 45,000 14,400 Hops : " : 1,990 58,336.6 Peppermint Oil : " : 85 6,818 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 363 462,713 Winter : " : 268 281 4,206 4,153 Spring : " : 271 269 23,294 22,305 Summer : " : 304 17,985 Fall : " : 374 417,228 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 108 1,942 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 154 12,865 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,462 2,427 2,056 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/: " : 2 1 Lemons : " : 996 828 984 Oranges : " : 12,221 12,487 11,454 Tangelos (FL) : " : 95 97 106 Tangerines : " : 373 420 370 Temples (FL) : " : 56 70 59 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 9,428.7 8,592.1 Apricots : Ton : 82.5 90.1 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 28,000.0 19,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,569.6 7,144.0 Olives (CA) : " : 134.0 99.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 55,000.0 45,900.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,433.3 2,575.4 Pears : Ton : 1,001.8 911.5 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 150.0 171.0 190.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 21.2 15.9 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 830,000 1,085,000 920,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 49.5 18.0 Pecans : Lb : 338,500 178,400 Pistachios (CA) : " : 161,000 300,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 305.0 282.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,049 1,393 1,239 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,052,990 2,176,830 1,673,390 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,992,360 31,979,410 28,050,280 Corn for Silage : 3,031,130 Hay, All 3/ : 26,101,290 25,718,860 Alfalfa : 9,362,500 All Other : 16,738,790 Oats : 2,025,470 1,953,840 849,040 891,940 Proso Millet : 182,110 89,030 Rice : 1,311,200 1,229,450 1,297,840 Rye : 564,540 115,740 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,876,930 3,824,730 2,953,830 Sorghum for Silage : 142,450 Wheat, All 3/ :24,426,280 24,968,160 18,541,680 Winter :16,889,740 17,931,000 11,999,460 14,749,740 Durum : 1,177,240 1,146,490 1,093,880 Other Spring : 6,359,300 5,890,670 5,448,340 : Oilseeds : Canola : 590,440 505,460 515,980 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 317,680 284,900 Mustard Seed : 77,300 70,820 Peanuts : 549,570 503,430 524,760 Rapeseed : 1,380 1,250 Safflower : 88,630 79,320 Soybeans for Beans :29,849,130 29,616,020 29,202,430 Sunflowers : 1,046,120 1,018,600 892,340 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,648,620 5,768,050 5,028,920 Upland : 5,549,920 5,687,110 4,930,740 Amer-Pima : 98,700 80,940 98,180 Sugarbeets : 577,610 566,280 550,820 Sugarcane : 414,080 Tobacco : 173,470 168,960 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 8,700 4,690 Dry Edible Beans : 777,850 616,260 698,860 Dry Edible Peas : 122,500 113,190 Lentils : 89,440 84,580 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,510 Ginger Root (HI) : 130 Hops : 11,860 11,470 Peppermint Oil : 32,460 Potatoes, All 3/ : 530,140 516,260 Winter : 6,390 6,070 6,350 5,990 Spring : 35,530 34,440 34,840 33,550 Summer : 25,170 23,920 Fall : 463,050 451,150 Spearmint Oil : 7,280 Sweet Potatoes : 39,340 37,840 33,790 Taro (HI) 4/ : 170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2.95 4,939,580 Corn for Grain : 8.16 228,805,080 Corn for Silage : 31.42 95,235,350 Hay, All 2/ : 5.25 136,950,420 Alfalfa : 7.15 66,972,010 All Other : 4.18 69,978,420 Oats : 2.04 1,729,200 Proso Millet : 0.70 62,480 Rice : 7.37 9,568,990 Rye : 1.53 177,430 Sorghum for Grain : 3.18 9,392,290 Sorghum for Silage : 21.40 3,048,140 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.37 43,992,310 Winter : 2.59 3.00 31,101,970 44,262,700 Durum : 1.98 2,162,270 Other Spring : 1.97 10,728,070 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.36 704,210 Cottonseed 3/ : 5,609,940 Flaxseed : 1.12 319,270 Mustard Seed : 0.79 56,000 Peanuts : 2.87 1,506,150 Rapeseed : 1.64 2,050 Safflower : 1.70 135,160 Soybeans for Beans : 2.54 74,290,500 Sunflowers : 1.27 1,132,730 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.75 3,746,730 Upland : 0.73 3,599,050 Amer-Pima : 1.50 147,680 Sugarbeets : 45.65 25,145,350 Sugarcane : 77.89 32,253,140 Tobacco : 2.30 399,490 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.58 7,440 Dry Edible Beans : 1.95 1,359,600 Dry Edible Peas : 1.70 192,410 Lentils : 1.35 113,760 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 20,730 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.54 3,860 Ginger Root (HI) : 50.44 6,530 Hops : 2.23 26,460 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,090 Potatoes, All 2/ : 40.65 20,988,310 Winter : 30.03 31.45 190,780 188,380 Spring : 30.32 30.16 1,056,600 1,011,740 Summer : 34.11 815,790 Fall : 41.95 18,925,140 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 880 Sweet Potatoes : 17.27 583,550 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,770 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,233,490 2,201,740 1,865,170 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/ : 1,810 910 Lemons : 903,560 751,150 892,670 Oranges : 11,086,700 11,328,020 10,390,890 Tangelos (FL) : 86,180 88,000 96,160 Tangerines : 338,380 381,020 335,660 Temples (FL) : 50,800 63,500 53,520 : Non-Citrus : Apples : 4,276,790 3,897,310 Apricots : 74,810 81,770 Bananas (HI) : 12,700 8,850 Grapes : 5,959,840 6,480,930 Olives (CA) : 121,560 89,810 Papayas (HI) : 24,950 20,820 Peaches : 1,103,730 1,168,180 Pears : 908,800 826,850 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 136,080 155,130 172,370 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 19,230 14,380 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 376,480 492,150 417,310 Hazelnuts : 44,910 16,330 Pecans : 153,540 80,920 Pistachios (CA) : 73,030 136,080 Walnuts (CA) : 276,690 255,830 Maple Syrup : 5,240 6,960 6,190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. May Weather Summary East of the Rockies, the only large-scale area of concern for dryness was the western Gulf Coast region, where little rain fell. In contrast, the interior South and much of the Southeast was inundated with near-record to record May rainfall, causing fieldwork delays and lowland flooding. Farther north, early- to mid-May rains slowed Midwestern corn and soybean planting, but largely eradicated long-term precipitation deficits. Dry weather returned to the Corn Belt during the second half of the month, allowing corn planting to near completion, promoting an acceleration of soybean planting, and providing nearly ideal conditions for summer crop germination and establishment. Meanwhile on the northern and central Plains, soil moisture remained mostly adequate, despite a late-month drying trend. On the southern Plains, late-month showers eased stress on pastures, immature winter wheat, and rain-fed summer crops. In the West, cool, showery conditions early in the month suddenly yielded to hot, dry weather. Toward month's end, high temperatures boosted irrigation demands and left some dryland crops in need of rain. Late-May heat offset the effects of earlier cool weather in California and the Northwest, resulting in near-normal monthly temperatures. Heat was more persistent across the Southwest and in the Gulf Coast region, producing month readings generally 2 to 6 degrees F above normal. In contrast, persistently cool weather blanketed the northern Plains, Midwest, and Northeast, slowing crop development and holding monthly temperatures as much as 6 degrees F below normal. May Crop Summary May began with seasonally heavy rains in the Pacific Northwest, but warmer weather later in the month benefited crop development. Above-normal temperatures and dry weather arrived in California's Central Valley at mid-month, favoring fieldwork and crop development, particularly for rice and cotton. Subsoil moisture conditions remained dry in the central and northern Rockies and generated increased irrigation demands as minimal rainfall was recorded. Hot, dry weather through May boosted irrigation demands in the Southwest as those conditions prevailed in a band from southern California to Texas and Oklahoma and through southern Louisiana, despite scattered showers across the western Gulf Coast late in the month. Daily temperatures on the southern Great Plains reached as high as 100 degrees F and depleted topsoil moisture. Soil moisture levels were mostly adequate on the central Great Plains, where scattered showers and warm temperatures favored winter wheat development and crop emergence. Warm, dry weather in the northern Great Plains after mid-month promoted crop emergence and development. Rain across the Corn Belt slowed progress early in the month, but mild, dry weather after mid-month spurred winter wheat development, favored spring crop emergence, and allowed growers to accelerate planting of corn and soybeans, particularly in Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Continued wet soils and cool conditions slowed fieldwork and crop development in parts of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley regions. Fieldwork was hampered by continued wet conditions across a wide swath of the interior South, from the northern Delta to the Tennessee Valley until late in May. Fieldwork was significantly affected by persistent rainfall along the Atlantic Coastal Plains during May. Soil moisture was adequate in Florida with heavy rainfall reported in many areas. As the planting season got underway in the Northeast, fieldwork slowly gained momentum as wet conditions persisted most of May. Corn planting was 95 percent complete as of June 1, ahead of last year's pace by 3 percentage points but 1 point behind the 5-year average. The crop was 81 percent emerged, 9 points ahead of last year but 4 points behind the 5-year average. Producers in the Corn Belt made rapid planting progress early in May, but mid-month rains slowed activity. The pace of fieldwork accelerated again at month's end as clear but cool weather covered the region. As May drew to a close, planting was complete in Kansas and Texas, and virtually complete in Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska, while half of the 18 major-producing States were either at or ahead of their normal planting pace. Pennsylvania remained 14 points behind their normal planting pace due to continued wet conditions throughout May. Clear, dry conditions allowed producers in Indiana, Michigan, North Dakota, and Wisconsin to increase planting by at least 10 points during the final week of May. Emergence gained momentum in most areas, especially in Colorado, Nebraska, and South Dakota, each of which showed gains of at least 30 points under improved conditions during the last week of the month. Seventy-four percent of the soybean crop was planted by June 1, ahead of last year's pace by 7 percentage points but 3 points behind normal for this date. The crop was 38 percent emerged, 2 points ahead of last year but 15 points behind the 5-year average. Eleven of the 18 major-producing States were behind their 5-year average planting pace at the end of May, with planting progress more than 1 week behind normal in Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, and Tennessee. With adequate soil moisture and clear weather during the last week of May, growers took advantage of conditions to advance planting by at least 30 points in Kansas, Michigan, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin. Wet soil conditions early in May halted fieldwork, but as drier conditions developed later in the month, double-digit planting increases were recorded in Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee. Most States remained significantly behind their 5-year average emergence pace at month's end, with only Mississippi ahead of their average. Fourteen States recorded at least a 10 point increase in emergence during the last week of May, topped by Minnesota with a 34 point rise. By June 1, the Nation's winter wheat was 84 percent headed, 2 percentage points ahead of last year's pace but equal to the 5-year average. Winter wheat was completely headed in Arkansas, California, Kansas, and Oklahoma, and almost completely headed in Missouri and Texas as May ended. Development accelerated in the Corn Belt and yielded double-digit increases in the percentage headed during the final week of May for Indiana, Nebraska, and Ohio. With adequate soil moisture and clear conditions, crop development advanced rapidly during May in South Dakota. Little progress was made in Montana, where only a few fields were headed, and progress trailed the normal pace as May ended. Eight of the 18 major-producing States were behind their 5-year average pace at month's end, with Michigan significantly behind. Cotton planting advanced to 82 percent complete as of June 1, four percentage points behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average. As May ended, planting was completed in California and Virginia, and virtually complete in Louisiana. Only California, Oklahoma, and Virginia were at or above their 5-year average planting pace at month's end. Producers in Tennessee boosted planting by 34 points during the final week of May as drier weather allowed for an increase in field activity. Drier conditions after mid-month allowed double-digit planting gains in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Texas. Sorghum planting advanced to 56 percent complete as of June 1, equal to last year but 5 points behind the 5-year average. Of the 11 major-producing States, only Arkansas, Colorado, and South Dakota were ahead of their 5-year average pace at the end of May. Planting accelerated in late May with cool, clear weather in Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, New Mexico, and South Dakota. Nebraska led the way with a one-week, 38 point planting increase, under warmer, drier conditions after mid-month, but remained 16 points behind their 5-year average pace at the end of the month. On June 1, ninety-five percent of the rice crop had been planted, 2 percentage points behind both last year and the 5-year average. The crop was 85 percent emerged, 6 percentage points behind last year and 5 points behind the average. Prevailing warm, dry conditions after mid-May in California allowed planting to increase rapidly, but still remained behind the normal pace at month's end. Warm weather over the last two weeks of May promoted emergence in California, but emergence lagged well behind both last year and the average pace. As May ended, planting was complete in Texas and neared completion in the Delta. Spring wheat planting progressed to 97 percent on June 1, one percentage point ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. The crop was 87 percent emerged, 14 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of the 5-year average. As warmer, drier weather developed late in May, planting in North Dakota advanced to 95 percent complete, while it rose in Montana to 98 percent complete. Planting was completed during May in Idaho, South Dakota, and Washington, and virtually complete in Minnesota and Montana. Emergence increased by 18 points or more in Montana and North Dakota during the last week of May. The barley crop was 98 percent seeded on June 1, compared with last year's 97 percent and the 5-year average of 95 percent. The crop was 87 percent emerged, 11 percentage points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of the 5-year average. As May ended, planting was complete in Washington and virtually complete in Idaho, Minnesota, and Montana. Favorable weather late in the May pushed emergence by 35 points in North Dakota and 31 points in Montana over the last two weeks of the month. The oat crop was 98 percent seeded and 92 percent emerged on June 1. Planting was equal to last year's pace and emergence was 9 percentage points ahead of last year. Planting was complete in Iowa, Nebraska, Ohio, and South Dakota, and virtually complete in Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin at the end of May. North Dakota's planting progress advanced to 95 percent complete at month's end, equal to last year but 2 points ahead of average. Emergence increased by 18 points in North Dakota and 17 points in Wisconsin during the final week of May. On June 1, peanut planting was 89 percent complete, 1 percentage point behind last year but equal to the 5-year average. Planting progress accelerated during late-May in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia, despite rainy conditions throughout the month. Continued rainy weather conditions slowed progress in North Carolina and Virginia. Sunflower planting progressed to 47 percent in the 4 major-producing States on June 1, behind last year's pace by 4 percentage points. Planting was most advanced at the end of May in North Dakota at 64 percent complete, 2 percentage points behind last year's progress, but 2 points ahead of their average pace. South Dakota's progress was about 1 week behind last year's pace, but Colorado and Kansas were ahead of last year' pace as progress increased 31 and 23 points, respectively, over the last week of May. Winter Wheat: Area for 2003 grain harvest is forecast at 36.4 million acres, unchanged from May 1 but up 23 percent from 2002. As of June 1, heading had reached 84 percent in the 18 major States. Harvest was underway in the southern-most portions of the growing area. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield survey in the 6 Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are above last year's final counts. Indicated average head weights are also above last year's level, except in Texas. Most of the growing region received adequate moisture during the past month, except in Texas where dry conditions continue to persist. In Kansas, widespread rains received statewide during May helped to boost crop conditions in the central and eastern parts of the State. Continued dry weather in Texas has caused deterioration of the crop. In Oklahoma, excellent condition ratings continued in the northern half of the State, while the Panhandle and southwest districts remained in mostly fair to poor condition. Nebraska crop conditions are above both last year and the 5-year average. The South Dakota crop is progressing well with most areas receiving adequate moisture. In Montana, rainfall was received on a regular basis during May, increasing crop prospects. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield survey in the 3 Soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio) are well below last year's final counts. Indicated average head weights are above last year. Excessive spring precipitation across this region reduced crop condition ratings during May. The Pacific Northwest States' (Washington, Oregon, and Idaho) winter wheat yield prospects are unchanged from a month ago in Washington and Oregon, but improved in Idaho. Idaho experienced a rapid transition during late May from cool, wet weather to warm, dry conditions. Precipitation during late April and early May was above average for most areas, boosting yield expectations. Oregon conditions declined slightly during May, but are still better than last year. Rainfall during the month helped fill wheat kernals, however stress is still visible in some dryland fields. In Washington, warmer temperatures in late May accelerated growth. Durum Wheat: Production of Durum wheat in Arizona and California is forecast at a collective 19.2 million bushels, up 3 percent from May 1, and 10 percent above their 2002 total of 17.5 million bushels. Development remains well behind normal in Arizona, where only 50 percent of the crop was mature as of June 1. California crop condition was rated mostly good, with harvest underway. Peaches: The 2003 peach crop in California, Georgia, and South Carolina is forecast at 2.21 billion pounds, up 1 percent from 2002 and 12 percent above two years ago. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.18 billion pounds, up 4 percent from the May 1 forecast and 5 percent above 2002. The State experienced fewer than adequate chilling hours during the winter, which mostly affected the Stanislaus variety. Set is reported to be lighter in the Modesto area than in the northern areas of the State. Growers reported some hail damage in the southern Modesto area. Harvest is expected to begin around the middle of June. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 770 million pounds, unchanged from the May 1 forecast but 3 percent below 2002. Fewer than adequate chilling hours during the winter resulted in a lengthy bloom period. Set in the early varieties looks good, while set in the middle to late season varieties is down slightly from last season. Harvest of the Freestone crop began during the first week of April. The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 130 million pounds, down 19 percent from last year but 30 percent above 2001. Persistent rains have given the State surplus precipitation for the first time in years, but excessive rainfall reduced fruit set during peak bloom. Some peach producing areas received marble to quarter size hail. Also, a late season freeze caused some damage, and fruit drop has been greater than expected. However, fruit size is good. Georgia's peach crop is forecast at 125 million pounds, up 14 percent from 2002 but 11 percent below 2001. Winter weather provided adequate chill hours for a good fruit set. There was no cold weather damage during the spring. However, rainfall has been above normal, especially in May, when several locations set record high amounts for the month. The rainfall has increased disease pressures and may have affected pollination in some orchards. Harvest of the early varieties began in late April. As of June 1, harvest was 18 percent complete for the State. Bartlett Pears: Production of Bartlett Pears in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 490,000 tons, virtually unchanged from last year but 10 percent below 2001. Production in California is forecast at 235,000 tons, down 11 percent from 2002 and 15 percent below two years ago. Cool, wet spring weather was experienced throughout the Bartlett pear growing regions. Harvesting is expected to begin on schedule. In Oregon, growers expect to harvest 70,000 tons, up 21 percent from 2002 but unchanged from 2001. The major producing areas in the State experienced a cool, wet spring which is expected to delay harvest approximately 1 week in Jackson County. Sporadic scab infections have been reported in most areas of the Hood River Valley. Washington's Bartlett crop is forecast at 185,000 tons, up 11 percent from 2002 but 8 percent below two years ago. Washington growers experienced no significant damage during the February freeze. Full bloom was experienced during the third week of April. Good bloom densities and fruit set are reported. Water for irrigation should be available this year as most reservoir levels are at or above average. Sweet Cherries: The 2003 sweet cherry production for California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 190,000 tons, up 10 percent from 2002 but 6 percent below 2001. Washington's 2003 production is forecast at 90,000 tons, up 5 percent from last year. Washington's cherry crop experienced cool, windy weather during pollination. Frost was a problem in all areas of the State as cool temperatures persisted into late April and early May. The increase in Washington's crop size is expected because of new area coming into production and the increased potential of young plantings. The California crop, at 60,000 tons, is up 8 percent from 2002. An increase in bearing acreage contributed to the increased California crop. Cool, wet weather slowed crop development and delayed the beginning of harvest by one week. While the early crop in Tulare and Kern Counties was hurt by the weather, growers in Stanislaus and San Joaquin Counties reported only scattered damage to their crop. Fruit quality is reported to be excellent. Sweet cherry production in Oregon is forecasted to be 40,000 tons, up 29 percent from last year's freeze reduced crop. In Oregon, a cool, wet spring delayed crop development. Prunes: California's 2003 prune production is forecast at 190,000 dried tons, up 11 percent from last year's revised crop of 171,000 tons and 27 percent above 2001. The 2003 crop encountered favorable weather conditions during May. Limited hail damage was reported in both the Sacramento and San Joaquin Valleys. Apricots: California's 2003 production is forecast at 85,000 tons, equal to last year but 10 percent greater than 2001. Cooler weather hampered fruit growth and maturity of early apricots. However, rains increased size of late variety apricots compared to a year ago. Florida Citrus: Rainfall during May was about average, however, most of it fell within a 3 to 5 day period late in the month. Temperatures early in May were mild with hot weather arriving at the end of the month. Growers in all areas used irrigation to maintain good tree condition. New crop fruit is progressing with good sizes evident in most groves. Valencia harvest continued to be very active during most of May, with movement of the late oranges slowing at the end of the month. Grapefruit movement was very slow with the majority of fruit going to processing. Most fresh fruit packinghouses have closed. Harvest of Honey tangerines ended for the year. Caretakers were actively cutting cover crops prior to harvest and for fire protection. Hedging and topping continued in harvested groves. Dead and dying trees were pushed out and burned. Some young trees are being planted in larger groves with permanent irrigation systems. Summer sprays and fertilizers are being applied. Summer herbicides are being applied in areas with major weed problems. Vines are being cut out of trees where they are out of control. California Citrus: Bloom was complete in most citrus groves by month's end. Foliar nutrient applications were being made in some citrus groves. Navel orange picking neared completion by the end of May. The Valencia orange harvest remained active throughout the month but was slowed in response to competition from the stone fruit harvests. Lemons were harvested in Ventura County. Marsh Ruby and Rio Red grapefruit harvests were active in the Coachella Valley, while the Star Ruby grapefruit harvest was active in the southern coastal areas. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Cultural activities in tree fruit orchards continued throughout the month of May. Growers irrigated, thinned fruit, and applied pesticides to vineyards and orchards. Picking and packing of stone fruit gained momentum as warm weather and sunny skies prevailed throughout most of May. Peaches, nectarines, plums, apricots, and pluots were picked and packed during May. Cherry harvest continued. Bloom in wine, raisin, and table grape vineyards was widespread by month's end. Growers cultivated, fertilized, and treated vineyards with fungicides and insecticides as necessary. Table grapes were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Grapevines were piled for burning or chipping in many former vineyards. Mission figs were beginning to develop good color by month's end. Bright red blooms were open in many pomegranate orchards in Fresno County. Blueberries were harvested in the San Joaquin Valley. Strawberry harvesting for processing neared completion in the Central Valley. Avocado and olive bloom neared completion by month's end. Some olive growers began setting up olive fruit fly traps. Walnut, pistachio, almond, and pecan orchards showed good crop development throughout the month. Grapefruit: The 2002-03 U.S. grapefruit crop is forecast at 2.06 million tons, down 1 percent from the previous forecast and 15 percent below last season's final utilization. Florida's grapefruit forecast is 38.7 million boxes (1.65 million tons), down 1 percent from the previous forecast and 17 percent below last season. The all white grapefruit forecast was decreased 300,000 boxes to 16.2 million boxes (689,000 tons), down 2 percent from last month and 14 percent less than last season's final utilization. Colored grapefruit utilization is unchanged at 22.5 million boxes (956,000 tons) but is 19 percent below last season's final utilization. The row count survey indicated 4 percent of white grapefruit and 3 percent of the colored rows remain unharvested. Fruit on most of these rows are considered unusable. Arizona, California, and Texas grapefruit forecasts are carried forward from April. K-Early Citrus: K-Early citrus has been dropped from the citrus estimation program. This fruit type has been declassified by the Florida Citrus Commission and forecasts have been discontinued. Tangerines: The 2002-03 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 370,000 tons, up 1 percent from the previous forecast but 12 percent below last season's utilization of 420,000 tons. Florida's tangerine forecast is up 2 percent, at 5.50 million boxes (261,000 tons) but 17 percent lower than last season's utilization. Harvest is virtually complete. The 2002-03 Florida tangerine forecast includes only the Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey tangerines. It does not include the Robinson and Dancy varieties as in previous seasons. This program change was implemented because of the declassification of Robinson and Dancy tangerines by the Florida Citrus Commission. Arizona and California tangerine forecasts are carried forward from April. Tangelos: Florida's 2002-03 tangelo forecast is final at 2.35 million boxes (106,000 tons), unchanged from the previous month but 9 percent more than last season's utilized production. Utilization is higher than the previous three seasons, but below any others since the 1968-69 season. Harvest is complete. Temples: Florida's Temple production is final at 1.30 million boxes (59,000 tons) for the 2002-03 season, unchanged from last month but 16 percent below last season. This final utilization is the second lowest utilization in the series since it began in 1951-52. The 2000-01 utilized production, at 1.25 million boxes, was the smallest crop on record. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.13 million pounds for May, down 16 percent from last month and 3 percent lower than May 2002. Area in crop totaled 2,250 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but 9 percent less than a year ago. Harvested acres totaled 1,740 acres, unchanged from last month but 10 percent below a year ago. Weather conditions were variable over the papaya producing areas. Rainfall during May maintained adequate soil moisture levels in non-irrigated orchards. Hops: Area strung for harvest in 2003 for Washington, Oregon, and Idaho is forecast at 28,353 acres, 3 percent less than the 2002 crop of 29,309 acres, and 21 percent less than the 2001 crop of 35,911 acres. Washington, with 19,176 acres for harvest, accounts for 68 percent of the U.S. total acreage, 6 percent less than a year ago. Oregon hop growers plan to string 5,748 acres or 20 percent of the U.S. total for 2003. Idaho hop growers account for the remaining 12 percent, or 3,429 acres strung for harvest. Both Oregon and Idaho increased their hop acreage over last year, 3 percent and 1 percent, respectively. In the hop producing States, water supplies are expected to be adequate this year. In Washington, winter was relatively mild. However, crop progress is a little slower than normal due to cool spring temperatures and occasional rain interspersed with some warm days. Vines are mostly one-third to one-half to the wire. Concerns with powdery mildew are less than in recent years. Oregon's crop is also slightly behind normal. In Idaho, hop growers are being very proactive with powdery mildew management. Sugarbeets: Production in 2002 is revised to 27.7 million tons, slighty higher than the January end of season estimate but 8 percent above 2001. Area harvested totaled a revised 1.36 million acres, fractionally higher than the January estimate and 9 percent above the previous year. The revised yield is 20.4 tons per acre, up 0.2 ton from the January estimate but 0.3 ton below the 2001 yield. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2002 is revised to 35.6 million tons, down 1 percent from the March 1 estimate but up 3 percent from the previous year. Area harvested for sugar and seed totaled 1.02 million acres, fractionally below both the previous estimate and 2001. The estimated yield for sugar and seed production is revised to 34.7 tons per acre, 0.4 ton below the March 1 estimate but 1.0 ton above the 2001 yield. Production of sugarcane for sugar is revised to 33.9 million tons, 1 percent below the March 1 estimate but 3 percent above 2001. Area harvested for sugar production totaled 971,900 acres, fractionally less than the previous estimate but fractionally above 2001. Yield of sugarcane for sugar is 34.9 tons per acre, down from 35.2 tons on March 1 but 1.1 tons above 2001. Sweet Potatoes: The revised estimate of 2002 crop year sweet potato production is 12.9 million cwt, up 3 percent from the annual estimate made in January but 12 percent below 2001. Area harvested, at 83,500 acres, is up 200 acres from January but 12 percent below a year earlier. The average yield, at 154 cwt per acre, is 4 cwt above the January estimate but 1 cwt below 2001. The sweet potato crop estimate in California, at 2.76 million cwt, is up 13 percent from January on the strength of record high yields. Conditions throughout the growing season were excellent. Texas production increased 6 percent as yields turned out higher than earlier expected. South Carolina's harvested acreage estimate was increased 200 acres from the January Annual Crop Summary. Maple Syrup: The 2003 U.S. maple syrup production totaled 1.24 million gallons, down 11 percent from last year's production of 1.39 million gallons. The number of taps is estimated at 6.62 million, down 2 percent from the 2002 total of 6.75 million, while the yield per tap is estimated to be 0.187 gallons, down 9 percent from 2002. Vermont led all States in production with 430,000 gallons for 2003, a decrease of 14 percent from last season. New York's production, at 210,000 gallons, decreased 19 percent from 2002. Production decreases in Vermont and New York are attributed to cold weather early in the spring, and then temperatures warming too quickly later in the season. Heavy snowcover made tapping trees and running tubing more difficult this year. Some producers decided not to tap due to the heavy amounts of snow received. Maine produced 265,000 gallons, 15 percent above 2002. Maine was the only State to show an increase over last season. Weather in Maine was very similar to that of Vermont and New York. However, producers in northern Maine experienced a heavy sap run in mid-April, which enabled the State's production to show the increase over 2002. Maple syrup production is down in Massachusetts, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In Connecticut, production is unchanged from last year. These States also cited extremely cold weather conditions early, followed by temperatures that warmed too quickly. In some areas of these States, producers decided not to tap due to excessive snow cover. Temperatures were generally unfavorable for good sap flow and syrup production in all of the maple producing States. Overall, the 2003 season lasted an average of 50 days. This compares to 52 days in 2002 and 29 days in 2001. Season length ranged from 85 days in Connecticut to 15 days in Ohio. Sugar content of the sap for 2003 was higher than last year. Approximately 41 gallons of sap was required to produce one gallon of syrup. This compares with 45 gallons in 2002 but unchanged from 2001. Most syrup was dark and medium colored, with only a small quantity of light syrup produced. The 2002 U.S. average price per gallon was $27.60, down $1.00 from the 2001 price of $28.60. The U.S. value of production, at $38.4 million for 2002, was up 28 percent from 2001. Prices increased in Connecticut, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, with each of the other maple producing States showing a price decrease. Reliability of June 1 Crop Production Forecast Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between May 24 and June 5 to gather information on expected yield as of June 1. The Objective Yield survey was conducted in 10 States that accounted for 67 percent of the 2002 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that will be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 6,200 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about the probable yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the June 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published June 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida State Statistical Office submits its analyses of the current situation to the ASB. The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analyses to prepare the published June 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. The June 1 orange production forecasts for these three States are carried forward from April. Revision Policy: The June 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the June 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 winter wheat production forecast is 5.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 5.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 9.2 percent. Differences between the June 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 75 million bushels, ranging from 8 million to 242 million bushels. The June 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not imply that the June 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 orange production forecast is 1.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.4 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.5 percent. Differences between the June 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 113,000 tons, ranging from 5,000 tons to 368,000 tons. The June 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. The difference does not imply that the June 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Hay, Oats (202) 690-3234 Roy Karkosh - Barley, Sorghum, Sugar Crops (202) 690-8140 Terry O'Connor - Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-4288 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250 Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on July 11, 2003. 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