Cr Pr 2-2 (7-03) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 11, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Up 6 Percent from June Forecast Other Spring Wheat Production Up 27 Percent from 2002 Durum Wheat Production Up 18 Percent from 2002 All Wheat Production Up 43 Percent from 2002 Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.72 billion bushels. This is up 6 percent from last month and 50 percent above 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 47.0 bushels per acre, up 2.4 bushels from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 1.09 billion bushels, is up 9 percent from a month ago. White Winter is up 2 percent from last month and now totals 259 million bushels. Soft Red Winter, at 366 million bushels, is down 1 percent from the last forecast. Durum wheat production is forecast at 93.5 million bushels, up 18 percent from 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 34.1 bushels per acre, 4.7 bushels more than last year. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 502 million bushels, up 27 percent from 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 37.3 bushels per acre, 8.0 bushels higher than last year. Of the total production, 467 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, up 31 percent from last season. The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2002-03 crop is 11.5 million tons, virtually unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 8 percent below last season's utilization. Florida's all orange forecast, at 202.7 million boxes (9.12 million tons), is up 1 percent from the previous forecast but 12 percent below last season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 112 million boxes (5.04 million tons), unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 12 percent less than the 2001-02 crop. Florida's Valencia forecast is 90.7 million boxes (4.08 million tons), 2 percent above the previous forecast but 11 percent less than last season's final utilization. Harvest is virtually complete with minimal amounts of fruit being packed for fresh use and several fresh squeeze plants still operating on a limited basis. California's all orange forecast for July is 61.0 million boxes (2.29 million tons), down 2 percent from the April forecast but 12 percent above last season's final utilization. Navel oranges are forecast at 40.0 million boxes (1.50 million tons), unchanged from April but 18 percent above the 2001-02 crop. Harvest of Navel oranges is complete. The forecast for Valencia oranges is 21.0 million boxes (788,000 tons), down 5 percent from the previous forecast but 2 percent above last season's utilization. The Texas forecast for all oranges is 1.57 million boxes (66,000 tons), 1 percent below the April forecast and 10 percent below last season's final utilization. Harvest is complete in Texas. Arizona's July forecast, at 450,000 boxes (17,000 tons), is 13 percent higher than the April forecast but 13 percent below the 2001-02 crop. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield is final at 1.54 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The increase from last month reflects adjustments in the Valencia portion which is reported final at 1.61 gallons, up from 1.56 gallons projected in June. The early-midseason portion is final at 1.49 gallons. This is the lowest yield for all oranges since the 1995-96 season yield of 1.52 gallons per box. This report was approved on July 11, 2003. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James R. Moseley Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Almonds. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Apricots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Citrus Fruits. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 Lentils. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Peaches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Peas, Austrian Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . .33 Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Wheat, Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Winter Wheat Head Population. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Wheat, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Other Spring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : CA : 27 30 80.0 80.0 900 2,160 2,400 ID : 25 25 70.0 70.0 1,360 1,750 1,750 IL : 50 50 69.0 83.0 3,200 3,450 4,150 IA : 175 150 76.0 76.0 9,100 13,300 11,400 KS : 60 90 52.0 54.0 2,120 3,120 4,860 MI : 65 75 64.0 70.0 3,520 4,160 5,250 MN : 285 260 56.0 64.0 12,600 15,960 16,640 MT : 55 65 49.0 54.0 2,400 2,695 3,510 NE : 55 65 43.0 68.0 3,660 2,365 4,420 NY : 55 65 66.0 63.0 5,520 3,630 4,095 ND : 290 340 44.0 65.0 14,880 12,760 22,100 OH : 60 65 62.0 66.0 6,205 3,720 4,290 OR : 35 35 88.0 110.0 1,925 3,080 3,850 PA : 115 115 61.0 67.0 7,475 7,015 7,705 SD : 100 220 45.0 65.0 7,800 4,500 14,300 TX : 160 120 44.0 42.0 7,200 7,040 5,040 WI : 250 250 60.0 65.0 12,480 15,000 16,250 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 236 266 56.9 59.7 14,679 13,427 15,885 : US : 2,098 2,286 56.8 64.7 117,024 119,132 147,895 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 40 19 110.0 117.0 4,400 4,400 2,223 CA : 75 58 68.0 68.0 5,830 5,100 3,944 CO : 72 72 100.0 107.0 8,560 7,200 7,704 DE : 23 22 84.0 65.0 2,002 1,932 1,430 ID : 710 740 76.0 74.0 50,250 53,960 54,760 MD : 41 40 82.0 61.0 3,825 3,362 2,440 MN : 165 150 39.0 62.0 7,975 6,435 9,300 MT : 950 950 42.0 51.0 29,520 39,900 48,450 ND : 1,240 2,050 46.0 55.0 79,750 57,040 112,750 OR : 74 60 50.0 60.0 4,500 3,700 3,600 PA : 60 65 74.0 64.0 4,200 4,440 4,160 SD : 45 75 41.0 53.0 4,056 1,845 3,975 UT : 45 28 64.0 80.0 4,420 2,880 2,240 VA : 40 45 77.0 67.0 3,750 3,080 3,015 WA : 340 300 54.0 53.0 21,000 18,360 15,900 WY : 70 80 70.0 85.0 6,970 4,900 6,800 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 145 145 57.5 60.9 8,412 8,339 8,836 : US : 4,135 4,899 54.9 59.5 249,420 226,873 291,527 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 840 580 46.0 51.0 50.0 38,640 29,000 CA : 300 400 75.0 75.0 65.0 22,500 26,000 CO : 1,650 2,200 22.0 33.0 35.0 36,300 77,000 DE : 58 47 70.0 62.0 52.0 4,060 2,444 GA : 200 230 41.0 50.0 44.0 8,200 10,120 ID : 690 720 79.0 82.0 82.0 54,510 59,040 IL : 650 780 49.0 56.0 62.0 31,850 48,360 IN : 330 420 53.0 63.0 65.0 17,490 27,300 KS : 8,100 9,700 33.0 44.0 49.0 267,300 475,300 KY : 340 300 53.0 57.0 59.0 18,020 17,700 MD : 180 150 66.0 64.0 56.0 11,880 8,400 MI : 490 660 67.0 66.0 66.0 32,830 43,560 MS : 205 125 44.0 50.0 48.0 9,020 6,000 MO : 760 780 45.0 51.0 58.0 34,200 45,240 MT : 750 1,750 28.0 38.0 37.0 21,000 64,750 NE : 1,520 1,700 32.0 44.0 47.0 48,640 79,900 NY : 128 119 58.0 60.0 60.0 7,424 7,140 NC : 480 420 42.0 41.0 37.0 20,160 15,540 OH : 810 960 62.0 68.0 66.0 50,220 63,360 OK : 3,500 4,700 28.0 36.0 41.0 98,000 192,700 OR : 710 950 41.0 53.0 53.0 29,110 50,350 PA : 185 160 54.0 53.0 50.0 9,990 8,000 SC : 190 200 37.0 39.0 38.0 7,030 7,600 SD : 625 1,520 29.0 40.0 41.0 18,125 62,320 TN : 300 270 46.0 50.0 52.0 13,800 14,040 TX : 2,700 3,600 29.0 29.0 29.0 78,300 104,400 VA : 170 165 63.0 58.0 53.0 10,710 8,745 WA : 1,750 1,800 59.0 62.0 64.0 103,250 115,200 WY : 120 165 19.0 28.0 29.0 2,280 4,785 : Oth : Sts 1/: 920 920 41.3 44.2 45.2 37,963 41,618 : US : 29,651 36,491 38.5 44.6 47.0 1,142,802 1,715,912 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 89 106 95.0 94.0 91.0 8,455 9,646 CA : 90 115 100.0 100.0 95.0 9,000 10,925 MT : 565 640 23.0 29.0 12,995 18,560 ND : 1,950 1,850 25.0 29.0 48,750 53,650 : Oth : Sts 1/: 9 27 27.8 26.4 250 714 : US : 2,703 2,738 29.4 34.1 79,450 93,495 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : ID : 510 460 65.0 66.0 33,320 33,150 30,360 MN : 1,800 1,800 34.0 44.0 79,200 61,200 79,200 MT : 3,450 2,800 22.0 29.0 65,550 75,900 81,200 ND : 5,900 6,300 28.0 36.0 234,600 165,200 226,800 OR : 140 135 35.0 40.0 4,650 4,900 5,400 SD : 1,000 1,350 24.0 38.0 64,350 24,000 51,300 WA : 615 545 43.0 44.0 25,830 26,445 23,980 : Oth : Sts 1/: 48 58 70.7 56.3 4,508 3,394 3,264 : US : 13,463 13,448 29.3 37.3 512,008 394,189 501,504 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2001 : 766,795 399,670 195,014 475,515 36,493 83,556 1,957,043 2002 : 609,243 332,275 201,284 356,597 37,592 79,450 1,616,441 2003 :1,091,304 366,099 258,509 466,787 34,717 93,495 2,310,911 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season except in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, and Washington which have been updated with current data. Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during 2003. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 1999-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : CO : July : 42.1 48.0 34.2 35.9 38.9 : August : 43.5 47.7 33.7 35.6 : Final : 43.4 47.7 33.9 35.6 : : IL : July : 59.7 55.0 53.1 59.4 56.5 : August : 59.6 55.0 52.0 59.5 : Final : 59.6 55.0 52.0 59.5 : : KS : July : 49.4 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.4 : August : 49.4 46.5 39.7 41.7 : Final : 49.4 46.5 39.7 41.7 : : MO : July : 47.0 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 : August : 47.0 49.9 47.7 54.8 : Final : 47.0 49.9 47.7 54.8 : : MT : July : 37.0 41.3 25.6 36.3 44.5 : August : 36.5 40.3 25.2 34.3 : Final : 36.3 40.3 25.2 34.3 : : NE : July : 59.8 57.5 46.6 52.4 59.5 : August : 57.9 58.3 46.8 52.8 : Final : 57.9 58.3 46.8 52.8 : : OH : July : 57.0 59.5 52.0 58.5 53.1 : August : 57.3 59.5 51.7 57.8 : Final : 57.3 59.5 51.7 57.8 : : OK : July : 40.2 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 : August : 40.1 40.2 32.5 40.2 : Final : 40.1 40.2 32.5 40.2 : : TX : July : 40.7 31.4 33.4 34.2 36.3 : August : 40.7 31.5 33.4 34.2 : Final : 40.7 31.6 33.4 34.2 : : WA : July : 35.1 40.6 37.3 37.8 37.2 : August : 34.3 40.0 36.7 37.6 : Final : 35.0 40.1 36.8 37.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 43,000 40,000 2,225 2,100 95,675 84,000 VA : 22,000 20,000 2,340 2,100 51,480 42,000 US : 65,000 60,000 2,264 2,100 147,155 126,000 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 98,000 94,000 2,020 2,200 197,960 206,800 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 21,000 20,000 2,135 2,100 44,835 42,000 SC : 30,500 32,000 1,950 2,100 59,475 67,200 US : 51,500 52,000 2,025 2,100 104,310 109,200 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,600 4,000 2,600 2,500 11,960 10,000 GA : 26,500 29,000 2,100 2,300 55,650 66,700 US : 31,100 33,000 2,174 2,324 67,610 76,700 Total 11-14 : 245,600 239,000 2,105 2,170 517,035 518,700 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL : 23.0 21.0 11.0 AR : 12.0 10.0 18.0 CA : All : 1,727.0 1,920.0 1,920.0 Clingstone : 952.0 1,124.0 1,150.0 Freestone : 775.0 796.0 770.0 CO : 18.0 19.0 20.0 CT : 1.9 1.3 2.0 GA : 140.0 100.0 125.0 ID : 13.0 13.0 13.0 IL : 17.8 17.2 18.7 IN : 3.0 3.1 3.4 KY : 1.8 1.2 2.0 LA : 1.4 1.5 2.5 MD : 8.8 7.0 10.5 MA : 2.2 2.3 2.3 MI : 42.0 14.0 42.0 MO : 9.0 13.0 9.5 NJ : 75.0 62.0 80.0 NY : 12.5 10.0 12.5 NC : 3.5 10.0 9.0 OH : 11.2 9.4 10.2 OK : 12.0 7.0 9.0 OR : 6.5 7.9 8.0 PA : 75.0 60.0 70.0 SC : 100.0 160.0 120.0 TN : 3.7 4.0 3.5 TX : 30.0 12.0 10.0 UT : 9.0 6.5 10.0 VA : 8.0 7.0 8.0 WA : 55.0 66.0 60.0 WV : 11.0 10.0 13.0 : US : 2,433.3 2,575.4 2,623.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes Table Type 1/ : CA : 713,000 739,000 740,000 Grapes Wine Type : CA : 3,051,000 3,149,000 3,050,000 Grapes Raisin Type 1/ 2/ : CA : 2,215,000 2,833,000 2,500,000 All Grapes : CA : 5,979,000 6,721,000 6,290,000 : Apricots : CA : 77,000 85,000 85,000 UT : 260 140 100 WA : 5,200 4,900 5,300 US : 82,460 90,040 90,400 : : 1,000 Pounds : Almonds (Shelled Basis) 3/: CA : 830,000 1,090,000 1,000,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh equivalent of dried and not dried. 2/ The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) was not implemented in 2003, but was implemented on the 2001 and 2002 bearing acres only. No production was realized from these acres. Acres enrolled are as follows: 41,000 for 2001 and 27,000 for 2002. 3/ Utilized production. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : May : 2,475 2,250 1,935 1,740 3,210 3,125 Jun : 2,205 2,175 1,725 1,575 3,285 3,195 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2000-2001, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : 2002-03 : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : 2002-03 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 480 270 200 18 10 8 CA : 35,500 34,000 40,000 1,331 1,275 1,500 FL : 128,000 128,000 112,000 5,760 5,760 5,040 TX : 2,000 1,530 1,350 85 65 57 US : 165,980 163,800 153,550 7,194 7,110 6,605 Valencia : AZ : 420 250 250 16 9 9 CA : 19,000 20,500 21,000 713 769 788 FL : 95,300 102,000 90,700 4,288 4,590 4,082 TX : 235 210 220 10 9 9 US : 114,955 122,960 112,170 5,027 5,377 4,888 All : AZ : 900 520 450 34 19 17 CA : 54,500 54,500 61,000 2,044 2,044 2,288 FL : 223,300 230,000 202,700 10,048 10,350 9,122 TX : 2,235 1,740 1,570 95 74 66 US : 280,935 286,760 265,720 12,221 12,487 11,493 Temples : FL : 1,250 1,550 1,300 56 70 59 Grapefruit : White Seedless 4/ : FL : 18,700 18,900 16,200 795 803 689 Colored Seedless : FL : 27,300 27,800 22,500 1,160 1,182 956 All : AZ : 250 160 100 8 5 3 CA : 6,300 6,000 5,600 211 201 188 FL : 46,000 46,700 38,700 1,955 1,985 1,645 TX : 7,200 5,900 5,650 288 236 226 US : 59,750 58,760 50,050 2,462 2,427 2,062 Tangerines : AZ 5/ : 650 620 400 24 23 15 CA 5/ : 2,200 2,200 2,500 83 83 94 FL 6/ : 5,600 6,600 5,500 266 314 261 US : 8,450 9,420 8,400 373 420 370 Lemons : AZ : 3,600 2,800 3,000 137 106 114 CA : 22,600 19,000 24,000 859 722 912 US : 26,200 21,800 27,000 996 828 1,026 Tangelos : FL : 2,100 2,150 2,350 95 97 106 K-Early Citrus 7/ : FL : 40 30 2 1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Includes seedy. 5/ Includes tangelos and tangors. 6/ 2000-01 through 2001-02 includes Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, Dancy, and Honey varieties; 2002-03 includes Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey varieties only. 7/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres ------- --- Cwt --- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : CA : 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 270 310 2,430 2,790 FL : 6.8 6.0 6.7 5.8 265 235 1,776 1,363 : Total : 15.8 15.0 15.7 14.8 268 281 4,206 4,153 : Spring 1/ : AZ : 7.8 7.6 7.8 7.6 270 275 2,106 2,090 CA : 19.0 18.5 19.0 18.5 405 410 7,695 7,585 FL : 27.0 28.0 26.3 27.3 300 250 7,883 6,825 Hastings : 19.5 19.5 19.0 19.0 315 250 5,985 4,750 Other FL : 7.5 8.5 7.3 8.3 260 250 1,898 2,075 NC : 21.5 18.0 21.0 17.0 170 165 3,570 2,805 TX : 12.5 13.0 12.0 12.5 170 240 2,040 3,000 : Total : 87.8 85.1 86.1 82.9 271 269 23,294 22,305 : Summer : AL : 3.1 3.5 3.0 3.4 185 190 555 646 CA : 7.3 8.0 7.3 8.0 360 400 2,628 3,200 CO : 6.4 6.8 6.3 6.7 360 370 2,268 2,479 DE : 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 260 250 936 900 IL : 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 310 350 1,984 2,205 KS : 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.7 340 370 986 999 MD : 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 250 240 1,175 1,104 MO : 7.0 8.0 5.4 7.3 240 230 1,296 1,679 NJ : 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 275 240 715 624 NM : 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.5 320 320 736 800 TX : 8.8 9.0 8.3 8.4 400 410 3,320 3,444 VA : 6.5 7.0 6.3 7.0 220 215 1,386 1,505 : Total : 62.2 65.1 59.1 63.1 304 310 17,985 19,585 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2002-2003 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--------- 1,000 Acres --------- -- Cwt -- 1,000 Cwt : Fall 2/ : CA : 8.9 8.0 8.9 8.0 500 4,450 CO : 71.6 66.3 71.5 66.0 390 27,885 ID : 375.0 360.0 373.0 358.0 358 133,385 10 SW Co: 27.0 25.0 27.0 25.0 455 12,285 Other ID: 348.0 335.0 346.0 333.0 350 121,100 IN : 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.9 260 728 ME : 64.0 66.0 64.0 65.0 265 16,960 MA : 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.0 255 740 MI : 46.5 47.0 45.5 46.0 305 13,878 MN : 61.0 61.0 55.0 55.0 340 18,700 MT : 10.5 10.6 10.4 10.5 310 3,224 NE : 22.0 23.5 21.8 23.0 395 8,611 NV : 7.6 9.0 7.6 9.0 340 2,584 NM : 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 400 1,600 NY : 22.5 22.2 22.0 22.0 250 5,500 ND : 118.0 118.0 102.0 110.0 230 23,460 OH : 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 240 1,008 OR : 50.0 42.8 49.8 42.6 501 24,936 Malheur : 8.0 5.8 8.0 5.8 400 3,200 Other OR: 42.0 37.0 41.8 36.8 520 21,736 PA : 15.0 14.5 14.0 14.0 185 2,590 RI : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 180 90 SD : 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 300 330 UT : 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 305 244 WA : 170.0 165.0 170.0 165.0 560 95,200 WI : 85.0 84.0 83.0 83.0 375 31,125 : Total :1,144.2 1,114.4 1,114.8 1,093.4 374 417,228 : US :1,310.0 1,279.6 1,275.7 1,254.2 363 462,713 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ The forecast of fall potato production will be published in the November "Crop Production". Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes, 11 Major States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Potato Types 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Reds : Whites : Russets :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 4 5 12 12 84 83 ID : 1 2 4 3 95 95 ME : 4 4 59 57 37 39 MI : 3 4 85 83 12 13 MN : 29 28 11 11 60 61 NY : 100 100 ND : 16 22 40 33 44 45 OR : 1 2 30 26 69 72 PA : 100 100 WA : 4 6 11 9 85 85 WI : 11 10 33 38 56 52 : Total : 6 7 24 23 70 70 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s) constituting less than 1 percent of State's total. Yellow flesh potatoes are reported under white types. Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes, by State and Total, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 Crop : 2003 Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Entered for : : Percent : Entered for : Certification : Certified : Certified : Certification -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- Acres --------- Percent Acres : AK : 175 180 103 170 CA : 350 576 165 500 CO : 17,400 14,808 85 15,700 ID : 41,000 40,799 100 40,032 ME : 14,500 14,762 102 13,288 MI : 2,564 2,582 101 2,600 MN : 9,000 9,477 105 10,000 MT : 8,871 9,176 103 9,638 NE : 5,800 6,524 112 6,560 NY : 570 969 170 994 ND : 19,569 18,678 95 20,200 OR : 2,240 2,388 107 2,300 PA : 256 281 110 235 SD : 840 254 30 972 WA : 2,400 2,488 104 2,630 WI : 10,732 10,382 97 9,300 : Total : 136,267 134,324 99 135,119 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data supplied by State seed certification officials. Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 41.0 51.0 40.0 50.0 MT : 32.0 50.0 27.0 39.0 ND : 155.0 170.0 138.0 160.0 OR : 4.7 5.0 4.7 5.0 WA : 70.0 80.0 70.0 80.0 : US : 302.7 356.0 279.7 334.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. Lentils: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 68.0 64.0 66.0 63.0 MT : 25.0 32.0 21.0 29.0 ND : 53.0 55.0 47.0 53.0 WA : 75.0 95.0 75.0 95.0 : US : 221.0 246.0 209.0 240.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 11.0 10.0 7.5 7.0 MT : 9.5 10.0 3.5 3.0 OR : 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.6 : US : 21.5 21.2 11.6 10.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,073.0 5,461.0 4,135.0 4,899.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 79,054.0 79,066.0 69,313.0 71,985.0 Corn for Silage : 7,490.0 Hay, All : 64,497.0 64,379.0 Alfalfa : 23,135.0 23,541.0 All Other : 41,362.0 40,838.0 Oats : 5,005.0 4,676.0 2,098.0 2,286.0 Proso Millet : 450.0 630.0 220.0 Rice : 3,240.0 2,992.0 3,207.0 2,967.0 Rye : 1,395.0 1,373.0 286.0 302.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,580.0 9,477.0 7,299.0 8,121.0 Sorghum for Silage : 352.0 Wheat, All : 60,358.0 60,940.0 45,817.0 52,677.0 Winter : 41,735.0 44,349.0 29,651.0 36,491.0 Durum : 2,909.0 2,804.0 2,703.0 2,738.0 Other Spring : 15,714.0 13,787.0 13,463.0 13,448.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,459.0 1,201.0 1,275.0 1,163.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 785.0 583.0 704.0 572.0 Mustard Seed : 191.0 96.5 175.0 94.2 Peanuts : 1,358.0 1,256.0 1,296.7 1,222.0 Rapeseed : 3.4 1.6 3.1 1.5 Safflower : 219.0 213.0 196.0 198.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,758.0 73,653.0 72,160.0 72,681.0 Sunflowers : 2,585.0 2,324.0 2,205.0 2,255.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,957.9 13,924.0 12,426.6 Upland : 13,714.0 13,748.0 12,184.0 Amer-Pima : 243.9 176.0 242.6 Sugarbeets : 1,427.3 1,362.4 1,361.1 1,336.8 Sugarcane : 1,023.2 995.0 Tobacco : 428.7 413.7 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 21.5 21.2 11.6 10.6 Dry Edible Beans : 1,922.1 1,511.7 1,726.9 1,439.7 Dry Edible Peas : 302.7 356.0 279.7 334.0 Lentils : 221.0 246.0 209.0 240.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.2 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.3 Hops : 29.3 28.4 Peppermint Oil : 80.2 Potatoes, All : 1,310.0 1,279.6 1,275.7 1,254.2 Winter : 15.8 15.0 15.7 14.8 Spring : 87.8 85.1 86.1 82.9 Summer : 62.2 65.1 59.1 63.1 Fall : 1,144.2 1,114.4 1,114.8 1,093.4 Spearmint Oil : 18.0 Sweet Potatoes : 97.2 94.0 83.5 91.0 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 54.9 59.5 226,873 291,527 Corn for Grain : " : 130.0 9,007,659 Corn for Silage : Ton : 14.0 104,979 Hay, All : " : 2.34 150,962 Alfalfa : " : 3.19 73,824 All Other : " : 1.86 77,138 Oats : Bu : 56.8 64.7 119,132 147,895 Proso Millet : " : 12.5 2,755 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,578 210,960 Rye : Bu : 24.4 6,985 Sorghum for Grain : " : 50.7 369,758 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 9.5 3,360 Wheat, All : Bu : 35.3 43.9 1,616,441 2,310,911 Winter : " : 38.5 47.0 1,142,802 1,715,912 Durum : " : 29.4 34.1 79,450 93,495 Other Spring : " : 29.3 37.3 394,189 501,504 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,218 1,552,520 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,184 Flaxseed : Bu : 17.9 12,569 Mustard Seed : Lb : 705 123,450 Peanuts : " : 2,561 3,320,490 Rapeseed : " : 1,461 4,530 Safflower : " : 1,520 297,980 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 37.8 2,729,709 Sunflower : Lb : 1,133 2,497,236 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 665 17,208.6 Upland 2/ : " : 651 16,530.3 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,342 678.3 Sugarbeets : Ton : 20.4 27,718 Sugarcane : " : 34.7 35,553 Tobacco : Lb : 2,055 880,734 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,414 164 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,736 29,974 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,517 4,242 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,200 2,508 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 457 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,370 8,500 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 45,000 14,400 Hops : " : 1,990 58,336.6 Peppermint Oil : " : 85 6,818 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 363 462,713 Winter : " : 268 281 4,206 4,153 Spring : " : 271 269 23,294 22,305 Summer : " : 304 310 17,985 19,585 Fall : " : 374 417,228 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 108 1,942 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 154 12,865 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,462 2,427 2,062 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/: " : 2 1 Lemons : " : 996 828 1,026 Oranges : " : 12,221 12,487 11,493 Tangelos (FL) : " : 95 97 106 Tangerines : " : 373 420 370 Temples (FL) : " : 56 70 59 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 9,428.7 8,555.6 Apricots : Ton : 82.5 90.0 90.4 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 28,000.0 19,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,569.6 7,364.0 Olives (CA) : " : 134.0 103.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 55,000.0 45,900.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,433.3 2,575.4 2,623.1 Pears : Ton : 1,001.8 868.5 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 150.0 171.0 190.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 21.2 15.7 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 830,000 1,090,000 1,000,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 49.5 19.5 Pecans : Lb : 338,500 172,900 Pistachios (CA) : " : 161,000 303,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 305.0 282.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,049 1,393 1,239 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,052,990 2,210,010 1,673,390 1,982,580 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,992,360 31,997,220 28,050,280 29,131,610 Corn for Silage : 3,031,130 Hay, All 3/ : 26,101,290 26,053,540 Alfalfa : 9,362,500 9,526,810 All Other : 16,738,790 16,526,730 Oats : 2,025,470 1,892,330 849,040 925,120 Proso Millet : 182,110 254,950 89,030 Rice : 1,311,200 1,210,830 1,297,840 1,200,720 Rye : 564,540 555,640 115,740 122,220 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,876,930 3,835,250 2,953,830 3,286,490 Sorghum for Silage : 142,450 Wheat, All 3/ :24,426,280 24,661,810 18,541,680 21,317,860 Winter :16,889,740 17,947,600 11,999,460 14,767,540 Durum : 1,177,240 1,134,750 1,093,880 1,108,040 Other Spring : 6,359,300 5,579,460 5,448,340 5,442,270 : Oilseeds : Canola : 590,440 486,030 515,980 470,650 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 317,680 235,930 284,900 231,480 Mustard Seed : 77,300 39,050 70,820 38,120 Peanuts : 549,570 508,290 524,760 494,530 Rapeseed : 1,380 650 1,250 610 Safflower : 88,630 86,200 79,320 80,130 Soybeans for Beans :29,849,130 29,806,630 29,202,430 29,413,270 Sunflowers : 1,046,120 940,500 892,340 912,580 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,648,620 5,634,900 5,028,920 Upland : 5,549,920 5,563,680 4,930,740 Amer-Pima : 98,700 71,230 98,180 Sugarbeets : 577,610 551,350 550,820 540,990 Sugarcane : 414,080 402,670 Tobacco : 173,470 167,420 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 8,700 8,580 4,690 4,290 Dry Edible Beans : 777,850 611,770 698,860 582,630 Dry Edible Peas : 122,500 144,070 113,190 135,170 Lentils : 89,440 99,550 84,580 97,130 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,510 Ginger Root (HI) : 130 Hops : 11,860 11,470 Peppermint Oil : 32,460 Potatoes, All 3/ : 530,140 517,840 516,260 507,560 Winter : 6,390 6,070 6,350 5,990 Spring : 35,530 34,440 34,840 33,550 Summer : 25,170 26,350 23,920 25,540 Fall : 463,050 450,990 451,150 442,490 Spearmint Oil : 7,280 Sweet Potatoes : 39,340 38,040 33,790 36,830 Taro (HI) 4/ : 170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2.95 3.20 4,939,580 6,347,250 Corn for Grain : 8.16 228,805,080 Corn for Silage : 31.42 95,235,350 Hay, All 2/ : 5.25 136,950,420 Alfalfa : 7.15 66,972,010 All Other : 4.18 69,978,420 Oats : 2.04 2.32 1,729,200 2,146,690 Proso Millet : 0.70 62,480 Rice : 7.37 9,568,990 Rye : 1.53 177,430 Sorghum for Grain : 3.18 9,392,290 Sorghum for Silage : 21.40 3,048,140 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.37 2.95 43,992,310 62,892,690 Winter : 2.59 3.16 31,101,970 46,699,470 Durum : 1.98 2.30 2,162,270 2,544,520 Other Spring : 1.97 2.51 10,728,070 13,648,700 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.36 704,210 Cottonseed 3/ : 5,609,940 Flaxseed : 1.12 319,270 Mustard Seed : 0.79 56,000 Peanuts : 2.87 1,506,150 Rapeseed : 1.64 2,050 Safflower : 1.70 135,160 Soybeans for Beans : 2.54 74,290,500 Sunflowers : 1.27 1,132,730 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.75 3,746,730 Upland : 0.73 3,599,050 Amer-Pima : 1.50 147,680 Sugarbeets : 45.65 25,145,350 Sugarcane : 77.89 32,253,140 Tobacco : 2.30 399,490 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.58 7,440 Dry Edible Beans : 1.95 1,359,600 Dry Edible Peas : 1.70 192,410 Lentils : 1.35 113,760 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 20,730 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.54 3,860 Ginger Root (HI) : 50.44 6,530 Hops : 2.23 26,460 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,090 Potatoes, All 2/ : 40.65 20,988,310 Winter : 30.03 31.45 190,780 188,380 Spring : 30.32 30.16 1,056,600 1,011,740 Summer : 34.11 34.79 815,790 888,360 Fall : 41.95 18,925,140 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 880 Sweet Potatoes : 17.27 583,550 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,770 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,233,490 2,201,740 1,870,610 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/ : 1,810 910 Lemons : 903,560 751,150 930,770 Oranges : 11,086,700 11,328,020 10,426,270 Tangelos (FL) : 86,180 88,000 96,160 Tangerines : 338,380 381,020 335,660 Temples (FL) : 50,800 63,500 53,520 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,276,790 3,880,760 Apricots : 74,810 81,680 82,010 Bananas (HI) : 12,700 8,850 Grapes : 5,959,840 6,680,510 Olives (CA) : 121,560 93,440 Papayas (HI) : 24,950 20,820 Peaches : 1,103,730 1,168,180 1,189,820 Pears : 908,800 787,840 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 136,080 155,130 172,370 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 19,230 14,200 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 376,480 494,420 453,590 Hazelnuts : 44,910 17,690 Pecans : 153,540 78,430 Pistachios (CA) : 73,030 137,440 Walnuts (CA) : 276,690 255,830 Maple Syrup : 5,240 6,960 6,190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. June Weather Summary Cool, wet weather dominated areas from the High Plains to the East Coast during June. By month's end, agricultural drought concerns east of the Rockies were limited to a few areas, including parts of central and southern Texas and locations surrounding Lake Michigan. Midwestern dryness was more widespread for much of the month, but late-June showers across the western Corn Belt boosted soil moisture reserves for corn and soybean development. Rainfall was much more persistent from the Delta to the middle and southern Atlantic States, maintaining a wet weather pattern that caused significant Southeastern planting and crop developmental delays. Across the southern half of the Plains, rain aided pastures and summer crops, but initially caused winter wheat harvest delays. The southern Plains' showers became more scattered toward month's end, allowing for an acceleration of wheat harvesting. In the West, however, very warm, mostly dry weather boosted irrigation demands, increased stress on dryland agricultural interests, and contributed to an increase in wildfire activity. Effects of the hot, dry weather were aggravated by concerns over below-normal reservoir levels across the Intermountain West and Southwest. An exception to the West's prevailing weather pattern occurred late in the month, when highly beneficial rain and snow fell across Wyoming and northern Utah. Monthly temperatures averaged 1 to 5 degrees F below normal in most locations east of the Rockies. Near-normal readings were confined to northern New England and areas along the Gulf and southern Atlantic Coasts. A few places in southernmost Texas noted temperatures up to 3 degrees F above normal. The hottest weather, relative to normal, was observed in the Great Basin and Northwest, where temperatures were mostly 1 to 5 degrees F above normal. June Crop Summary High temperatures during June accelerated crop growth and development West of the Rocky Mountains. Elsewhere, temperatures averaged below normal for the month. In the Southwest, dry weather increased irrigation demands. Above-normal precipitation saturated the topsoil in the Southeast, especially along the Gulf Coast, and Atlantic Coastal Plains through mid-June. Some low lying fields were flooded due to precipitation. Near the end of the month, favorable weather helped dry excessively wet fields and improved crop conditions. In the central Great Plains, scattered showers and below-normal temperatures delayed winter wheat maturation and harvest. Late planting delayed crop emergence in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. In the Corn Belt, periods of cool temperatures and heavy showers hindered development. Corn was 95 percent planted on June 1, slightly behind the 5-year average. Half of the 18 major-producing States were either at or ahead of their normal planting pace. Most of the acreage remaining to be planted was in Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. By June 15, the crop was 96 percent emerged, slightly behind normal. Virtually all fields were emerged in the western Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains. Fields quickly emerged in Michigan, South Dakota, and Wisconsin, despite below-normal temperatures. Late planted fields also emerged rapidly in Pennsylvania due to warm weather conditions, but emergence remained well behind their 5-year average. Five percent of the acreage was at or beyond the silking stage, equal to the 5-year average for June 29. Silking in the Corn Belt was mostly confined to the lower Missouri and Ohio River Valleys, where 16 percent of the Kentucky acreage and 20 percent of the Missouri acreage were at or beyond the silking stage. Despite the wet spring and delayed planting, over one-half of Tennessee's crop was at or beyond the silking stage. Crop conditions in Kentucky and Pennsylvania improved substantially during the last week of June due to hot, drier weather. Soybean planting progressed behind normal throughout the month, advancing to 96 percent complete on June 29. Planting progress during the week of June 8 was more than 1 week behind normal in Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee. Despite some heavy showers during this week, planting accelerated in Tennessee and North Carolina. Early in the month, the crop rapidly emerged in the Corn Belt and upper Missouri Valley, with more than one-third of the crop emerging in Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin during the week of June 8. By mid-June, most States remained behind their 5-year average emergence pace. In Louisiana, the early month dry weather conditions delayed planting which resulted in emergence being two weeks behind normal. Warmer and drier weather conditions favored crop development in Tennessee as the crop recovered from excessive soil moisture. By June 22, planting progress in most of the States east of the Mississippi River was behind last year and the 5-year average with planting well behind average in Kentucky, Louisiana, Ohio, and Tennessee. Several States in the Missouri Valley were at or approached 100 percent planted. The crop rapidly emerged in the Great Plains and Great Lakes region. However, most States remained behind their 5-year average emergence pace. Saturated soil conditions and additional rain during the week delayed planting in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. By late-June, farmers continued to encounter challenges with planting in Kentucky and North Carolina. Emergence was most advanced in the Dakotas and adjacent areas of the Corn Belt. However, emergence of the crop in the eastern Corn Belt, Delta, and along the Atlantic Costal Plain lagged behind the 5-year average. Above-normal temperatures promoted winter wheat development west of the Rocky Mountains. Development accelerated in most areas during early June with double-digit increases in the percentage headed for Colorado, Idaho, Michigan, Nebraska, Oregon, South Dakota, and Washington. However, development in Michigan remained significantly behind average. Harvest had not begun in most States as of June 8, but progressed steadily despite scattered showers in Arkansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. Warm, dry weather in California allowed producers to advance harvest to 18 percent complete. During mid-June, above normal temperatures, including some temperatures above 90 degrees, promoted ripening in the Intermountain Region. Harvest began in Kansas and Missouri. Nationally, by June 22, harvest progress trailed the 5-year average pace by 8 percentage percents. In the central Great Plains, below normal temperatures slowed maturity and dry down of the crop the last week of June. Despite the cool weather, the crop harvest in Kansas during the week accelerated 44 percentage points. The harvest season began in Colorado and Nebraska, but no fields had been harvested in the Pacific Northwest, northern Rocky Mountains, Ohio, and Michigan. Cotton planting neared completion, after mid-month in the Southeast, later than normal due to saturated fields throughout the region. Early in the month, below-normal temperatures slowed development in the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast, while above-normal temperatures accelerated development of irrigated fields in Arizona, where 36 percent was squaring or beyond. During mid-June, fields rapidly entered the squaring stage in the Delta and Southeast, but remained behind normal due to unfavorable weather conditions early in the year. In the southern Great Plains, cotton was setting bolls on pace with the average. Ninety-six percent of the rice crop was emerged on June 15, compared with the average of 97 percent. At the beginning of the month, only 80 percent of Califonia's acrage was planted due to excessive rainfall, 12 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Due to California's planting delays, emergence also lagged well behind normal. From mid-June through the end of the month, drier fields and warmer temperatures accelerated growth and development throughout the Delta. Almost one-half of Louisiana's crop and more than one-fourth of Texas' acreage was headed or beyond by June 29. Heading in Missouri and Mississippi was just getting underway, but heading had not begun in Arkansas and Calfornia. As of June 8, sorghum planting progressed behind normal in all States, except Arkansas, Colorado, and South Dakota. Planting progress in Illinois was 4 weeks behind normal and remained well behind normal until the end of the month. Planting progress also remained behind the 5-year average in the central and southern Great Plains. Favorable weather in the lower Mississippi Valley allowed the crop to enter the heading stage ahead of normal. On June 29, over 40 percent of the Louisiana and Texas crop was headed, but heading had not started in the Corn Belt and central Great Plains. The peanut crop developed well behind normal due to late planting in most of the Southeast. Twenty-five percent of the acreage was pegging by June 29, compared with 34 percent points last year and the 5-year average of 33 percent. In Oklahoma, pegging was 35 percent ahead of normal, due to excellent planting and growing conditions. Barley and spring wheat were 94 and 95 percent emerged, respectively, on June 8, slightly ahead of the 5-year averages. Early in the month, dry weather and high temperatures hindered development of both crops in the Pacific Northwest. Despite below-normal temperatures in the northern Great Plains, heading progressed ahead of normal. On June 29, forty-two percent of the barley fields and 46 percent of the spring wheat fields were at or beyond the heading stage, both 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. At month's end, heading of both crops was ahead of normal in all States, except Montana. Ninety-seven percent of the oat crop was emerged on June 8, ahead of the 5-year average. Below-normal temperatures hampered heading of the crop in most States. Hot weather promoted rapid development in the Great Plains and Corn Belt near the end of the month. However, development continued to lag behind normal in the Ohio Valley. Oats: Production for 2003 is forecast at 148 million bushels, 24 percent above last year's 119 million bushels. Area for harvest is estimated at 2.29 million acres, 9 percent above last year. The forecasted yield is 64.7 bushels per acre, 7.9 bushels above 2002. If realized, this would be the highest yield since 1992. Adequate moisture enhanced crop potential in the Corn Belt, Rocky Mountains, and Pacific Northwest. Record yields are expected in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, and Oregon. Below normal temperatures during early June hindered vegetative growth along the Atlantic Coast. However, high temperatures accelerated crop development in the Corn Belt, Rocky Mountains, and Pacific Northwest. Meanwhile, yields were reduced in Texas, due to dry weather conditions. Barley: Production for 2003 is forecast at 292 million bushels, 28 percent above 2002. Based on conditions as of July 1, the average yield is forecast at 59.5 bushels per acre, up 4.6 bushels from last year. Area harvested, at 4.90 million acres, is up 18 percent from 2002. The area harvested for barley in 2003 is up in the northern Great Plains and Rocky Mountain States where higher malting barley prices encouraged growers to increase acreage. Also, less abandonment is reported this year due to the improved soil moisture conditions. Area to be harvested remains unchanged, or down slightly, in most other barley producing States. Improved growing conditions across the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain States are expected to increase yields from last year. The increase in production is being led by North Dakota where producers expect to harvest 810,000 more acres than in 2002 and expect yields to be 9 bushels higher. Some concerns still exist in the Pacific Northwest over availability of irrigation water. Yields in the Mid-Atlantic States are down due to excessive precipitation. Timely rains and mild temperatures prevailed over much of the northern Great Plains and adjacent barley producing areas during June. As of June 29, barley was 42 percent headed, 8 points ahead of the five year average. The crop condition was rated 79 percent good to excellent condition. Winter Wheat: Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 36.5 million, up 23 percent from 2002. Harvest progress, in the 18 major producing States, was 47 percent complete by June 29. This was 10 percentage points behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average. Yield increases from last month are forecast in most of the major Hard Red Winter (HRW) States. Kansas and Oklahoma, the largest winter wheat growing States, recorded significant increases, and are now at record high levels. In Colorado, June brought mild temperatures and needed precipitation to most growing areas. Crop condition ratings in Nebraska were well above the 5-year average. High temperatures in Montana accelerated crop development. Yield forecasts are mixed this month across the Soft Red Winter (SRW) States. Yield declines are forecast across the Delta, Southeast, and Atlantic Coast States, however yields in most Corn Belt States are better than previously expected. Growers in Illinois and Missouri are harvesting a record high yielding crop. White Wheat yield prospects are improved in Washington, but unchanged in Idaho and Oregon. In Idaho, declines in the non-irrigated yields due to hot, dry conditions during June are expected to be offset by yield increases in irrigated fields. Yield expectations remain steady in Oregon even though little moisture was received during June. Durum Wheat: Area for 2003 grain harvest is expected to total 2.74 million acres, up 1 percent from last year. Harvest is nearly complete in California. Durum wheat varieties escaped most of the problems associated with wheat stripe rust that was reported throughout the State. Montana crop development is ahead of last year due to warm temperatures during the last half of June. In North Dakota, most of the State has had adequate to surplus topsoil moisture throughout spring and early summer. For the week ending June 29, eighty-six percent of the North Dakota crop was rated in good to excellent condition. Other Spring Wheat: Harvested grain area is forecast at 13.4 million acres, down slightly from last year. In Minnesota, May and June weather was cool, with adequate moisture received. As of June 29, seventy-eight percent of the Minnesota crop was headed, well ahead of the 5-year average of 48 percent. Moisture supplies in North Dakota have been good across most of the State. In Montana, warm temperatures and sufficient precipitation advanced crop development during June. Water supplies in Oregon are better than last year, but becoming short. Lentils: Planted acreage of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at 246,000 acres, up 11 percent from last year and 22 percent above 2001. Harvested acreage is estimated at 240,000, up 15 percent from last year. Washington growers planted 95,000 acres of lentils, up 27 percent from 2002 and 19 percent above two years ago. This is the highest acreage level since 1994. Growers in Idaho planted 64,000 acres of lentils, 6 percent below last year but 19 percent greater than two years ago. Weather conditions remain favorable. Early summer rains were beneficial to the crop. Planted acreage in North Dakota is estimated at 55,000 acres, up 4 percent from last year and 22 percent above 2001. This is a record high planted acreage for North Dakota. Montana growers planted 32,000 acres this year, 28 percent above 2002 and 45 percent above two years ago. Dry Edible Peas: Planted acreage of dry edible peas for 2003 is estimated at 356,000 acres, up 18 percent from last year and 72 percent above 2001. Acreage planted in North Dakota, at 170,000 acres, is 10 percent above a year ago. This is a record high for the State. North Dakota growers are expected to harvest 160,000 acres, 16 percent greater than last season. Idaho dry edible pea growers planted 51,000 acres in 2003, up 24 percent from last year. Idaho growers plan to harvest 50,000 acres, 25 percent more than the previous season. Oregon growers devoted 5,000 acres to dry edible peas, an increase of 6 percent from the previous year. Washington farmers planted dry edible peas on 80,000 acres, 14 percent above 2002 and their largest acreage since 1999. Dry pea planting was completed by the beginning of June. The crop had been extensively sprayed by air and ground for insect pest control. The dry pea crop is looking good; however, a good soaking rain would be welcome before the mid-July harvest. Harvest will be over a wider time frame due to the spread out planting season. Growers plan to harvest all 80,000 acres, 14 percent more than last year. Montana dry edible pea growers planted 50,000 acres, up 56 percent from a year ago and 92 percent above 2001. Following several years of drought, Montana has had above normal precipitation this spring which has created favorable crop conditions across most of the State. Growers in the Northeastern region of Montana have seen significant improvement in growing conditions this season. Austrian Winter Peas: Planted acreage of Austrian winter peas in Idaho, Montana, and Oregon is estimated at 21,200 acres, 1 percent below 2002 but 33 percent above the 2001 season. Harvested acreage is estimated at 10,600 acres, down 9 percent from last year but 49 percent above 2 years ago. Montana growers planted 10,000 acres, up 5 percent from 2002. They plan to harvest 3,000 acres, 14 percent less than last season. The crop is mostly grazed in the State and some acreage is harvested for feed. Planted acreage in Idaho totaled 10,000 acres, down 9 percent from 2002. Harvested acreage is estimated at 7,000 acres, 7 percent below the 2002 season. Idaho's harvested area is showing normal abandonment due to acreage plowed under for soil enrichment. Temperatures have been mild and conditions favorable as a result of early summer rainfall. Austrian winter peas planted acreage in Oregon is estimated at 1,200, up 20 percent from a year ago. Harvested area is estimated at 600 acres, unchanged from the previous year. Tobacco: U.S. all flue-cured production is forecast at 518.7 million pounds, up less than 1 percent from the 2002 crop but 10 percent below 2001. Yield per acre for flue-cured tobacco is forecast at 2,170 pounds, up 65 pounds from 2002 but 262 pounds below the 2001 yield. Forecasted yields for all flue-cured tobacco in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Georgia increased from last year, while yields are expected to decline in Virginia and Florida. North Carolina's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 332.8 million pounds, down 2 percent from the 2002 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,161 pounds, up 72 pounds from 2002. An unusually wet spring resulted in many growers transplanting late or having to replant. However, in the Coastal Plain where most of the tobacco is grown, the excess rainfall was generally beneficial because of the well-drained, sandy soils in that region. Flue-cured tobacco production in South Carolina is forecast at 67.2 million pounds, up 13 percent from the 2002 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,100 pounds, up 150 pounds from last year. Development of the crop was slowed by a cool, wet spring. However, warmer weather and normal rainfall during June have hastened crop growth and development. Georgia's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 66.7 million pounds, up 20 percent from the 2002 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,300 pounds, up 200 pounds from last season. Abundant rainfall and minimal disease and insect pressure have resulted in mostly improved yield expectations compared to last season's drought and disease damaged crop. However, some areas received too much rain, resulting in slower crop growth and development. Flue-cured tobacco production in Virginia is forecast at 42.0 million pounds, down 18 percent from the 2002 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,100 pounds, down 240 pounds from last year. Prolonged periods of rainfall in May and June resulted in poor transplanting conditions. Where producers succeeded in transplanting their crop on time, the crop has, in many cases, become stunted by the wet, cool weather. Some reports of premature blooming have been received. Florida's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 10.0 million pounds, down 16 percent from last year's crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,500 pounds, down 100 pounds from the 2002 crop. Harvest began around mid-June with some delays due to frequent rain showers. All Potatoes: Potato growers across the United States have planted an estimated 1.28 million acres of potatoes in all four seasons this year, down 2 percent from 2002. Area for harvest, forecast at 1.25 million acres, is down 2 percent from a year ago. The summer season forecast places production up 9 percent from last year. Winter and spring season production forecasts, which are being carried forward, are down 1 and 4 percent, respectively. Fall potato planted acreage is down 3 percent from 2002. Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes this year is estimated at 1.11 million acres, down 3 percent from last year but 2 percent above two years ago. Harvest is forecast from 1.09 million acres, down 2 percent from a year ago but 2 percent above 2001. Western States fall potato planted area is estimated at 666,500 acres this year, down 5 percent from last year but 3 percent above 2001. Shortages of irrigation water supplies this spring prompted voluntary acreage cutbacks in Colorado and Oregon where planted acres dropped 7 and 14 percent, respectively, from last year. Idaho growers dropped their potato acreage 4 percent and Washington pulled back 3 percent from a year ago. Irrigation water supplies have improved with late spring rains in Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon, but remain problematic in Colorado. California's potato acreage is off 10 percent but Nevada's plantings are up 18 percent from a year ago. Montana's potato acreage inched up 1 percent from last year as New Mexico and Utah remained the same. Central States planted an estimated 341,700 acres of fall potatoes this year, up less than 1 percent from last year and 1 percent above two years ago. Planted acreage gained 7 percent in Nebraska, 3 percent in Indiana, and 1 percent in Michigan from a year ago. Minnesota and North Dakota remained the same, while Ohio acreage fell 2 percent, South Dakota dropped 9 percent, and Wisconsin slipped 1 percent from last year. Wet spring weather slowed planting and early development in most of the Central States but recent warm temperatures have helped potatoes catch up. Growers in Eastern States have planted an estimated 106,200 acres of fall potatoes this year, up 1 percent from last year and 3 percent above 2001 acreage. Maine's planted acreage is estimated at 66,000 acres, up 3 percent from last year. Planted potato acreage in Massachusetts and Rhode Island were the same as last year. New York and Pennsylvania dropped 1 and 3 percent, respectively. Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 19.6 million cwt, a gain of 9 percent from a year ago. Harvest is expected from 63,100 acres, up 7 percent from last year. The average yield is 310 cwt per acre, up 6 cwt from 2002. Nine of the 12 summer potato States expect larger crops than they had last year, while the remaining 3 States are smaller. Missouri's production is expected to be up 30 percent from last year, followed by California, with an increase of 22 percent. Alabama's summer potato crop forecast is up 16 percent, while Illinois expects a gain of 11 percent. Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia are each looking for production increases of 9 percent. Texas expectations are up 4 percent and Kansas looks for a 1 percent increase. Smaller potato crops are seen in Delaware, Maryland, and New Jersey. Cool, wet weather on the East Coast slowed planting and crop development during the spring months. Recent hot weather pushed development, but harvest is expected to be late in New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware, and Virginia. Harvest is underway in early areas of Alabama and Missouri. Recent hot weather has reduced yield prospects in Missouri. Growing conditions are good in Illinois. Summer potatoes in Colorado and nearby Kansas are headed for record high yields if expected conditions prevail. Colorado farmers were worried about having enough irrigation water, but spring runoff has been better than expected. Texas potato harvest is just starting. Some acreage in Central Texas was lost because of too much rain during the spring and then it became too dry. The California summer crop was delayed by a cool, wet spring and many expect harvest to be late. Peaches: The July 2003 forecast of U.S. peach production is 2.62 billion pounds, up 2 percent from 2002 and 8 percent above two years ago. Nineteen States forecast increases in production from last year, while 7 States expect declines and 3 States remain unchanged. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.15 billion pounds, down 3 percent from the June 1 forecast but 2 percent above 2002. The State experienced fewer than adequate chilling hours during the winter, which mostly affected the Stanislaus variety. Set was reported to be lighter in the Modesto area than in the northern area of the State. Growers reported some hail damage in the southern Modesto area. Harvest began in the Kingsburg area on June 19th. This forecast takes into account the green-drop program initiated by the peach industry. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 770 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 3 percent below 2002. Fewer than adequate chilling hours during the winter resulted in a lengthy bloom period. Set in the early varieties looks good, while set in the middle to late season varieties is down from last season. Harvest of Freestone peaches is in full swing. Fruit quality is reported to be very good with excellent flavor and a long shelf life. The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 120 million pounds, down 8 percent from the June 1 forecast and 25 percent below 2002. The peach crop is not doing as well as originally expected. An abundance of rainfall has caused poor pollination in some areas, as well as rot and above average fruit drop. Damage from several hail storms in addition to a late frost have also taken their toll on quality and production. North Carolina's peach crop, forecast at 9.00 million pounds, is down 10 percent from last year. Some orchards in the mountains and Piedmont received light frost damage beginning of April. The quality of peaches remaining is good. Thinning was required in orchards that did not receive any frost. Wet conditions during June caused harvest problems for the crop with many orchards reporting hail damage. Georgia's peach crop is forecast at 125 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but up 25 percent from the 2002 crop. The peach crop remains in mostly good condition, although above normal rainfall continued in June. This access moisture added to already heavy disease pressure. Harvest as of June 29 was 54 percent complete, equal to the 5-year average. New Jersey and New York's production is up 29 and 25 percent, respectively, from 2002. In New Jersey, bloom and fruit set were good to excellent. Sufficient soil moisture and recent high temperatures benefitted fruit development. New York's peach crop exhibited heavy fruit set and is sizing well except for an early ice storm in Wayne county. The Pennsylvania crop is forecast at 70.0 million pounds, 17 percent above 2002. Producers report that the peach crop is plentiful and sizing good, in spite of the cool, wet weather during spring and early summer. There have been a few reports of fungus and bacteria due to the wet weather. Many producers did a lot of thinning this spring. Michigan's peach crop is forecast at 42.0 million pounds, three times the weather devastated 2002 crop. The peach crop in Michigan has recovered well from last year's dismal crop. Trees that made it through the winter had an excellent crop of blossoms and pollination was good. Trees required extensive thinning to insure adequate fruit size at harvest. Most growers had wrapped up thinning by the beginning of July. Illinois' production, at 18.7 million pounds, is up 9 percent from 2002. Growers are picking early as recent rain storms have helped ripen the peach crop. Oklahoma is forecast at 9.00 million pounds, up 29 percent from last year. Many producers experienced some damage to peach orchards which ranged from slight to severe. Trees on higher ground were less affected than those in low spots. Harvest of early season varieties is underway and producers report good quality and size. The Washington peach crop is forecast at 60.0 million pounds, 9 percent below last year. A combination of poor pollinating weather and frost reduced prospects for the 2003 crop. Utah's production is up 54 percent from last season's frost damaged crop. Idaho's production, at 13.0 million pounds, remains unchanged from last year. In Colorado, production is forecast at 20.0 million pounds, 5 percent above last year's crop. Good snowpack eased water concerns in most areas. California Grapes: California's all grape production is forecast at 6.29 million tons, down 6 percent from last year but up 5 percent from 2001. Wine type grapes account for 48 percent of California's total production and raisin types account for 40 percent, while the remaining 12 percent are table type grapes. Wine type grape production is forecast at 3.05 million tons, down 3 percent from last season's crop and down less than 1 percent from the 2001 crop. Mild temperatures during May aided early crop development. However, reduced bunch counts are limiting the production outlook compared to last season. California's raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.50 million tons, down 12 percent from last year but 13 percent above the 2001 crop. Temperatures in May were generally favorable for crop development. However, bunch counts are reported to be down compared to last year. Thompson Seedless harvest for fresh use was active through early July in the Coachella Valley. Table type grape production is expected to be 740,000 tons, up less than 1 percent from last year and 4 percent higher than 2001. Picking was active through early July in the Coachella Valley, with Perlette, Flame Seedless, and Black Beauty Seedless the primary varieties harvested. Quality is reported to be excellent. Apricots: The final forecast for the 2003 apricot crop is 90,400 tons, up less than 1 percent from last season's production and 10 percent above 2001. California's 2003 apricot production is forecast at 85,000 tons, equal to both the June forecast and last year's production. California's production represents 94 percent of the 2003 U.S. apricot crop. Cooler weather hampered fruit growth and maturity of early California apricots. However, rains increased fruit size of late varieties compared to last year's crop. Cool temperatures throughout harvest helped slow fruit maturation. Harvest will be finished by mid-July. Washington's production at 5,300 tons is up 8 percent from last year and 2 percent above 2001. In Washington, a late spring took its toll on the State's apricot crop. Overall production potential was reduced by poor pollinating weather and a frost. The 2003 Utah crop, at 100 tons, was reduced by a spring frost in central and northern areas of the State. Almonds: The 2003 California almond crop is forecast at 1.00 billion pounds, shelled basis, up 9 percent from the previous forecast but down 8 percent from the record high 2002 crop. Warm temperatures during late May and early June improved crop prospects. Despite cool, wet weather conditions during the critical bloom and pollination period, sets for most varieties were generally reported to be good. The objective measurement survey completed in the California orchards reflected the improved crop prospects. No major disease problems have been reported at this time. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.2 million pounds for June, up 2 percent from last month but 3 percent lower than June 2002. Area in crop totaled 2,175 acres, 3 percent lower than last month and 1 percent less than last year. Harvested acres totaled 1,575 acres, 9 percent lower from both last month and a year ago. Weather conditions were variable during June. The last week of May and the beginning of June were relatively dry over non-irrigated orchards. Light showers during the second half of June helped to relieve moisture stress. Grapefruit: The 2002-03 U.S. grapefruit crop, forecast at 2.06 million tons, is virtually unchanged from the previous forecast but is 15 percent below last season's final utilization. Florida's grapefruit forecast, unchanged at 38.7 million boxes (1.65 million tons), is the smallest harvest since the freeze affected 1989-90 season. The all white grapefruit forecast, at 16.2 million boxes (689,000 tons), is 14 percent less than last season's final utilization. Colored grapefruit utilization is unchanged at 22.5 million boxes (956,000 tons) but is 19 percent below last season's final utilization. Harvest is virtually complete with only fresh squeeze plants remaining open on a limited basis. The California grapefruit forecast of 5.60 million boxes (188,000 tons) is unchanged from the previous forecast but is 7 percent less than the previous season's final utilization. Harvest is ongoing in the coastal areas. Flavor and eating quality are reported as excellent. The July 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is 5.65 million boxes (226,000 tons), up 3 percent from the previous forecast but 4 percent below last season. Harvest is complete. Arizona's July 1 forecast, at 100,000 boxes (3,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 37 percent below last season's utilized production. Large sizes and fair quality were reported. Tangerines: The 2002-03 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 370,000 tons, unchanged from the previous forecast but 12 percent below last season's utilization of 420,000 tons. Florida's tangerine forecast is unchanged at 5.50 million boxes (261,000 tons) but is 17 percent lower than last season's utilization. Harvest is complete. The 2002-03 Florida tangerine forecast includes only the Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey tangerines. It does not include the Robinson and Dancy varieties as in previous seasons. This program change was implemented because of the declassification of Robinson and Dancy tangerines by the Florida Citrus Commission. Arizona's tangerine forecast is held at 400,000 boxes (15,000 tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but 35 percent below last season. California's forecast, at 2.50 million boxes (94,000 tons), is unchanged from the April forecast. Lemons: The 2002-03 U.S. lemon crop is forecast at 1.03 million tons, up 4 percent from the previous forecast and 24 percent above last season. California production is forecast at 24.0 million boxes (912,000 tons), 4 percent above the previous forecast and 26 percent above the previous season. Harvest remained active in the southern coastal region. Above average yields combined with weak demand resulted in an abundance of fruit in storage. Fruit color and quality are good. The 2002-03 Arizona lemon forecast is 3.00 million boxes (114,000 tons), up 3 percent from the previous forecast and 7 percent above last season. Harvest is continuing with fair quality and large fruit size reported. Temples: Florida's Temple production is final at 1.30 million boxes (59,000 tons) for the 2002-03 season, unchanged from last month but 16 percent below last season. This final utilization is the second lowest utilization in the series since it began in 1951-52. The 2000-01 utilized production, at 1.25 million boxes, was the smallest crop on record. Tangelos: Florida's 2002-03 tangelo forecast is final at 2.35 million boxes (106,000 tons), unchanged from the previous month but 9 percent more than last season's utilized production. Utilization is higher than the previous 3 seasons, but below any others since the 1968-69 season. Harvest is complete. K-Early Citrus: K-Early citrus has been dropped from the citrus estimation program. This fruit type has been declassified by the Florida Citrus Commission and forecasts have been discontinued. Florida Citrus: Rainfall during June was above average in virtually all citrus growing areas. Rains fell all month with the heaviest volume during mid-month. The lower West coast and interior areas received the most rainfall, recording up to 20 inches. Removal of excessive rainfall using gravity flow and pumping was a priority in some areas. Trees in well cared for groves are in very good condition. The spring flush on older trees hardened up and trees are ready for the summer flush of growth. Younger trees are already showing new growth. New crop fruit is progressing very well with good sizes reported. Harvest of Valencia oranges declined throughout the month and most processing plants are now closed. Grapefruit and Honey tangerine harvest finished in early June. Caretakers are very active mowing, chopping, and discing cover crops as well as removing vines from trees which grew vigorously in response to the rains. Hedging and topping slowed during the month. Dead trees are being pushed out and burned. New resets are being planted in larger groves with permanent irrigation. Regular summer sprays, fertilizers, and herbicides are being applied. Texas Citrus: Harvest of the Texas grapefruit crop ended with most of the volume harvested early in the season. The Sapote fruit fly quarantine affected movement of fresh market fruit resulting in more fruit being diverted to processing. Early-mids and Valencia oranges saw an increase in processing movement because of postharvest decay problems. Crop quality for all citrus was lower than last year. California Citrus: Foliar feeding, irrigation, and thrip spraying was underway in many citrus groves. Navel orange harvesting was mostly complete with a few handlers were still trying to finish up the season. Valencia harvesting continues. Lemons were harvested in Ventura County. Grapefruit were harvested in the southern coastal areas. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included weed control, fungicide application, cultivation, and irrigation in orchards and vineyards. Stone fruit orchards continued to produce an abundance of fruit for harvesting. Thinning of late season stone fruit varieties was completed during early June. Nectarines, peaches, plums, pluots, and apricots were picked and packed throughout the month. Picking of Clingstone peaches began in the Kingsburg area by the middle of June. Cherry harvest neared completion by month's end. Tender grape leaves were harvested from a few select vineyards for culinary use. Grapes for the fresh market use were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Flame Seedless, Black Beauty Seedless, and Thompson Seedless were the primary varieties harvested. Robust growth in raisin, wine, and table grape vineyards continued. Table grape growers continued to thin shoots and fruit clusters. Strawberry picking ended in most parts of the Central Valley by the end of June. Boysenberries, raspberries, blueberries, and figs were harvested in the San Joaquin Valley. Olive growers treated orchards to control the olive fruit fly. Bloom was nearly over in pomegranate orchards by mid-month with fruit rapidly gaining size in the warm weather as the month progressed. Almonds were maturing well throughout the month. Heavily laden branches were propped up in some orchards. Walnut and pistachio orchards continued to exhibit good crop development. Reliability of July 1 Crop Production Forecast Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between June 25 and July 7 to gather information on expected yield as of July 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in ten States that accounted for 67 percent of the 2002 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 9,200 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about the probable yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the July 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, 2002, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 1.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.1 percent. Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 25 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 65 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This does not imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 orange production forecast is 1.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.2 percent. Differences between the July 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 101,000 tons, ranging from 1,000 tons to 370,000 tons. The July 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. The difference does not imply that the July 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Hay, Oats, Weekly Crop Weather(202) 690-3234 Roy Karkosh - Barley, Sorghum, Sugar Crops(202) 690-8140 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250 Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 12, 2003. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: http:/www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at http:/www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. AUTOFAX ACCESS NASSFax service is available for some reports from your fax machine. Please call 202-720-2000, using the handset attached to your fax. Respond to the voice prompts. 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