Cr Pr 2-2 (8-03)a Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 12, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Update Alert The corn narrative below indicated that the August corn production is up 2 percent from 2001. The actual change is up 6 percent. The narrative has been updated. The correction only effects the narrative for corn on this page. XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Corn Production Up 12 Percent from 2002 Soybean Production Up 5 Percent from 2002 Cotton Production Down 1 Percent from Previous Year All Wheat Production Down 1 Percent from July Corn production is forecast at 10.1 billion bushels, up 12 percent from last year and 6 percent above 2001. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 139.9 bushels per acre, up 9.9 bushels from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. The previous record for both was set in 1994 when production was estimated at slightly below the 10.1 billion bushels being forecast for 2003 and yield was 138.6 bushels per acre. Yields are higher in all States east of the Mississippi River as favorable precipitation and temperatures have been received since planting occurred. With the exception of Iowa and Minnesota, forecasted yields in all the Corn Belt States are increasing from last year. However, both States are forecasting lower yields from record 2002 estimates. Farmers expect to harvest 71.9 million acres of corn for grain, down 70,000 acres from June but up 4 percent from 2002. Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 5 percent from 2002 but down 1 percent from 2001. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.4 bushels per acre, up 1.6 bushels from 2002. Yields are higher than 2002 across much of the United States. However, the average yield in Iowa, Minnesota, and Oklahoma is expected to be lower, while yields are expected to be the same in Illinois, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and North Dakota. Area for harvest, at 72.6 million acres is down 55,000 acres from June but up 1 percent from 2002 acreage. All cotton production is forecast at 17.1 million 480-pound bales, down 1 percent from last year's 17.2 million bales. The yield is expected to average 667 pounds per harvested acre, up 2 pounds from 2002. Upland cotton production is forecast at 16.7 million 480-pound bales, 1 percent above 2002. American-Pima production is forecast at 450,500 bales, down 34 percent from last year's output. Producers expect to harvest 12.3 million acres of all cotton, 1 percent below last year. Upland cotton harvested area, at 12.1 million acres, is 60,000 acres less than a year ago. American-Pima harvested area is expected to total 178,400 acres, 26 percent less than 2002. Texas increased American-Pima planted area by 4,000 acres, resulting in a total U.S. American-Pima planted estimate of 180,000 acres. All wheat production is placed at 2.29 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the July forecast but up 42 percent from 2002. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 43.5 bushels per acre, down 0.4 bushels from last month. The final Winter wheat production forecast is 1.71 billion bushels. This is down slightly from last month but 50 percent above 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 46.9 bushels per acre, down 0.1 bushels from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 1.09 billion bushels, is up fractionally from a month ago. Soft Red Winter is down slightly from the last forecast, at 365 million bushels. White Winter is down 2 percent from last month and totals 254 million bushels. Durum wheat production is forecast at 87.4 million bushels, down 7 percent from last month but up 10 percent from 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 31.9 bushels per acre, 2.2 bushels less than last month. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 492 million bushels, down 2 percent from last month but 25 percent above 2002. Acreage intended for harvest is unchanged from last month. The U.S. yield is forecast at 36.6 bushels per acre, 0.7 bushels less than July 1. Of the production total, 460 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, down 1 percent from last month. This report was approved on August 12, 2003. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Bill Hawks Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Apples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Beans, Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Coffee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Ginger Root. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Hay, Alfalfa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .50 Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Olives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Peaches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Pears. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Prunes and Plums . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . 48 Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Selected Crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Sorghum for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Wheat, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Wheat, Head Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Wheat, Other Spring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Wheat, Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Selected Crops: Area Planted by State and United States, 2003 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : State : Corn :Soybeans: Peanuts : Upland : Sorghum :Sugarbeets :Dry Edible : : : : Cotton : : : Beans ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 230 190 190 560 12.0 AZ : 45 *210 15.0 AR : 350 2,900 950 230.0 CA : 500 550 10.0 50 *76.0 CO : 1,000 350.0 *29 60.0 CT : 30 DE : 180 *180 2.0 FL : 85 11 *115 100 GA : 370 180 *540 *1,300 50.0 ID : 200 *208 80.0 IL : 11,100 10,600 110.0 IN : 5,700 5,400 IA : 12,400 10,400 KS : 2,900 2,700 125 3,700.0 12.0 KY : 1,230 1,120 25.0 LA : 500 900 550 170.0 ME : 26 MD : *510 *460 5.0 MA : 22 MI : 2,300 2,100 179 200.0 MN : 7,100 7,600 470 145.0 MS : 550 1,360 1,120 85.0 MO : 2,950 4,950 400 210.0 MT : 60 52 *19.0 NE : 8,000 4,700 650.0 *45 *150.0 NV : 4 NH : 16 NJ : 80 100 NM : 130 17 *55 150.0 *10.0 NY : 1,020 145 25.0 NC : 740 1,430 *100 *840 18.0 ND : 1,450 3,100 280 600.0 OH : 3,450 4,400 2 OK : *220 *240 *40 190 350.0 OR : 65 10 8.0 PA : 1,450 370 14.0 RI : 2 SC : 320 480 *19 250 7.0 SD : 4,500 4,100 270.0 17.0 TN : 690 1,180 560 35.0 TX : 2,000 230 260 *5,600 *3,300.0 27.0 UT : 55 5.6 VT : 96 VA : 480 *510 *34 91 9.0 WA : 130 4 *26.0 WV : 45 17 WI : 3,700 1,600 6.6 WY : 85 36 *34.0 : US : 79,066 73,653 *1,315 *13,451 *9,777.0 *1,365 *1,501.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from the June 2003 "Acreage" report. Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Bushels --- -------- 1,000 Bushels ------- : AL : 180 210 88.0 104.0 16,050 15,840 21,840 AR : 260 340 134.0 135.0 26,825 34,840 45,900 CA : 150 110 170.0 170.0 27,200 25,500 18,700 CO : 720 850 156.0 143.0 149,800 112,320 121,550 DE : 167 170 83.0 138.0 23,652 13,861 23,460 GA : 290 330 115.0 140.0 29,480 33,350 46,200 IL : 11,000 10,950 136.0 154.0 1,649,200 1,496,000 1,686,300 IN : 5,220 5,500 121.0 144.0 884,520 631,620 792,000 IA : 11,900 12,100 165.0 158.0 1,664,400 1,963,500 1,911,800 KS : 2,500 2,700 116.0 124.0 387,350 290,000 334,800 KY : 1,040 1,130 102.0 130.0 156,200 106,080 146,900 LA : 560 480 122.0 125.0 45,436 68,320 60,000 MD : 425 430 76.0 131.0 55,760 32,300 56,330 MI : 2,020 2,050 115.0 130.0 199,500 232,300 266,500 MN : 6,700 6,550 157.0 156.0 806,000 1,051,900 1,021,800 MS : 530 530 125.0 130.0 50,050 66,250 68,900 MO : 2,700 2,850 105.0 110.0 345,800 283,500 313,500 NE : 7,350 7,650 128.0 135.0 1,139,250 940,800 1,032,750 NJ : 70 67 58.0 106.0 7,392 4,060 7,102 NM : 49 40 180.0 170.0 8,280 8,820 6,800 NY : 450 430 97.0 110.0 56,700 43,650 47,300 NC : 700 640 83.0 110.0 78,125 58,100 70,400 ND : 995 1,250 115.0 115.0 81,075 114,425 143,750 OH : 2,870 3,200 88.0 142.0 437,460 252,560 454,400 OK : 190 190 130.0 130.0 26,250 24,700 24,700 PA : 870 900 68.0 115.0 97,020 59,160 103,500 SC : 260 300 46.0 105.0 25,920 11,960 31,500 SD : 3,200 4,100 95.0 110.0 370,600 304,000 451,000 TN : 620 630 107.0 120.0 81,840 66,340 75,600 TX : 1,820 1,750 113.0 112.0 167,560 205,660 196,000 VA : 305 275 66.0 125.0 40,590 20,130 34,375 WA : 70 80 190.0 195.0 10,450 13,300 15,600 WI : 2,900 2,900 135.0 138.0 330,200 391,500 400,200 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 232 233 133.7 141.6 30,905 31,013 32,995 : US : 69,313 71,915 130.0 139.9 9,506,840 9,007,659 10,064,452 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary". Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : AR : 230 215 77.0 82.0 14,620 17,710 17,630 CO : 90 250 20.0 30.0 9,460 1,800 7,500 IL : 77 105 83.0 85.0 8,085 6,391 8,925 KS : 3,000 3,400 45.0 49.0 232,500 135,000 166,600 LA : 165 165 81.0 82.0 17,850 13,365 13,530 MO : 185 205 85.0 90.0 20,680 15,725 18,450 NE : 300 510 50.0 61.0 35,700 15,000 31,110 NM : 80 100 35.0 35.0 6,300 2,800 3,500 OK : 330 270 45.0 45.0 15,120 14,850 12,150 SD : 90 150 34.0 57.0 8,850 3,060 8,550 TX : 2,550 2,650 51.0 54.0 130,000 130,050 143,100 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 202 221 69.3 78.7 15,359 14,007 17,393 : US : 7,299 8,241 50.7 54.4 514,524 369,758 448,438 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary". Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : CA : 27 30 80.0 80.0 70.0 2,160 2,100 ID : 25 25 70.0 70.0 65.0 1,750 1,625 IL : 50 50 69.0 83.0 83.0 3,450 4,150 IA : 175 150 76.0 76.0 80.0 13,300 12,000 KS : 60 90 52.0 54.0 70.0 3,120 6,300 MI : 65 75 64.0 70.0 70.0 4,160 5,250 MN : 285 260 56.0 64.0 68.0 15,960 17,680 MT : 55 65 49.0 54.0 47.0 2,695 3,055 NE : 55 110 43.0 68.0 75.0 2,365 8,250 NY : 55 65 66.0 63.0 66.0 3,630 4,290 ND : 290 340 44.0 65.0 56.0 12,760 19,040 OH : 60 65 62.0 66.0 66.0 3,720 4,290 OR : 35 35 88.0 110.0 100.0 3,080 3,500 PA : 115 115 61.0 67.0 66.0 7,015 7,590 SD : 100 220 45.0 65.0 67.0 4,500 14,740 TX : 160 120 44.0 42.0 42.0 7,040 5,040 WI : 250 250 60.0 65.0 65.0 15,000 16,250 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 236 266 56.9 59.7 60.9 13,427 16,195 : US : 2,098 2,331 56.8 64.7 64.9 119,132 151,345 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 40 19 110.0 117.0 117.0 4,400 2,223 CA : 75 58 68.0 68.0 68.0 5,100 3,944 CO : 72 72 100.0 107.0 107.0 7,200 7,704 DE : 23 22 84.0 65.0 58.0 1,932 1,276 ID : 710 740 76.0 74.0 72.0 53,960 53,280 MD : 41 40 82.0 61.0 61.0 3,362 2,440 MN : 165 150 39.0 62.0 64.0 6,435 9,600 MT : 950 950 42.0 51.0 44.0 39,900 41,800 ND : 1,240 2,050 46.0 55.0 55.0 57,040 112,750 OR : 74 60 50.0 60.0 57.0 3,700 3,420 PA : 60 65 74.0 64.0 60.0 4,440 3,900 SD : 45 75 41.0 53.0 53.0 1,845 3,975 UT : 45 28 64.0 80.0 74.0 2,880 2,072 VA : 40 45 77.0 67.0 63.0 3,080 2,835 WA : 340 300 54.0 53.0 49.0 18,360 14,700 WY : 70 80 70.0 85.0 84.0 4,900 6,720 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 145 145 57.5 60.9 60.9 8,339 8,836 : US : 4,135 4,899 54.9 59.5 57.5 226,873 281,475 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 840 580 46.0 50.0 50.0 38,640 29,000 CA : 300 400 75.0 65.0 65.0 22,500 26,000 CO : 1,650 2,200 22.0 35.0 35.0 36,300 77,000 DE : 58 47 70.0 52.0 40.0 4,060 1,880 GA : 200 230 41.0 44.0 44.0 8,200 10,120 ID : 690 720 79.0 82.0 82.0 54,510 59,040 IL : 650 780 49.0 62.0 63.0 31,850 49,140 IN : 330 420 53.0 65.0 66.0 17,490 27,720 KS : 8,100 9,700 33.0 49.0 49.0 267,300 475,300 KY : 340 300 53.0 59.0 62.0 18,020 18,600 MD : 180 150 66.0 56.0 36.0 11,880 5,400 MI : 490 660 67.0 66.0 68.0 32,830 44,880 MS : 205 125 44.0 48.0 48.0 9,020 6,000 MO : 760 780 45.0 58.0 61.0 34,200 47,580 MT : 750 1,750 28.0 37.0 37.0 21,000 64,750 NE : 1,520 1,700 32.0 47.0 49.0 48,640 83,300 NY : 128 119 58.0 60.0 55.0 7,424 6,545 NC : 480 420 42.0 37.0 36.0 20,160 15,120 OH : 810 960 62.0 66.0 66.0 50,220 63,360 OK : 3,500 4,700 28.0 41.0 41.0 98,000 192,700 OR : 710 950 41.0 53.0 48.0 29,110 45,600 PA : 185 160 54.0 50.0 42.0 9,990 6,720 SC : 190 200 37.0 38.0 38.0 7,030 7,600 SD : 625 1,520 29.0 41.0 42.0 18,125 63,840 TN : 300 270 46.0 52.0 52.0 13,800 14,040 TX : 2,700 3,600 29.0 29.0 28.0 78,300 100,800 VA : 170 165 63.0 53.0 50.0 10,710 8,250 WA : 1,750 1,800 59.0 64.0 64.0 103,250 115,200 WY : 120 165 19.0 29.0 29.0 2,280 4,785 : Oth : Sts 1/: 920 920 41.3 45.2 45.5 37,963 41,880 : US : 29,651 36,491 38.5 47.0 46.9 1,142,802 1,712,150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 89 106 95.0 91.0 91.0 8,455 9,646 CA : 90 115 100.0 95.0 95.0 9,000 10,925 MT : 565 640 23.0 29.0 25.0 12,995 16,000 ND : 1,950 1,850 25.0 29.0 27.0 48,750 49,950 : Oth : Sts 1/: 9 27 27.8 26.4 30.9 250 834 : US : 2,703 2,738 29.4 34.1 31.9 79,450 87,355 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2003 : : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 :-------------------: 2002 : 2003 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : ID : 510 460 65.0 66.0 63.0 33,150 28,980 MN : 1,800 1,800 34.0 44.0 48.0 61,200 86,400 MT : 3,450 2,800 22.0 29.0 24.0 75,900 67,200 ND : 5,900 6,300 28.0 36.0 36.0 165,200 226,800 OR : 140 135 35.0 40.0 35.0 4,900 4,725 SD : 1,000 1,350 24.0 38.0 39.0 24,000 52,650 WA : 615 545 43.0 44.0 41.0 26,445 22,345 : Oth : Sts 1/: 48 58 70.7 56.3 55.5 3,394 3,220 : US : 13,463 13,448 29.3 37.3 36.6 394,189 492,320 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2001 : 766,795 399,670 195,014 475,515 36,493 83,556 1,957,043 2002 : 609,243 332,275 201,284 356,597 37,592 79,450 1,616,441 2003 :1,092,946 365,224 253,980 459,931 32,389 87,355 2,291,825 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season except in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, and Washington which have been updated with current data. Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during 2003. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 1999-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : CO : July : 42.1 48.0 34.2 35.9 38.9 : August : 43.5 47.7 33.7 35.6 38.4 : Final : 43.4 47.7 33.9 35.6 : : IL : July : 59.7 55.0 53.1 59.4 56.5 : August : 59.6 55.0 52.0 59.5 56.6 : Final : 59.6 55.0 52.0 59.5 : : KS : July : 49.4 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.4 : August : 49.4 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.6 : Final : 49.4 46.5 39.7 41.7 : : MO : July : 47.0 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 : August : 47.0 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 : Final : 47.0 49.9 47.7 54.8 : : MT : July : 37.0 41.3 25.6 36.3 44.5 : August : 36.5 40.3 25.2 34.3 42.9 : Final : 36.3 40.3 25.2 34.3 : : NE : July : 59.8 57.5 46.6 52.4 59.5 : August : 57.9 58.3 46.8 52.8 59.6 : Final : 57.9 58.3 46.8 52.8 : : OH : July : 57.0 59.5 52.0 58.5 53.1 : August : 57.3 59.5 51.7 57.8 53.3 : Final : 57.3 59.5 51.7 57.8 : : OK : July : 40.2 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 : August : 40.1 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 : Final : 40.1 40.2 32.5 40.2 : : TX : July : 40.7 31.4 33.4 34.2 36.3 : August : 40.7 31.5 33.4 34.2 35.9 : Final : 40.7 31.6 33.4 34.2 : : WA : July : 35.1 40.6 37.3 37.8 37.2 : August : 34.3 40.0 36.7 37.6 36.5 : Final : 35.0 40.1 36.8 37.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary". Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Cwt -------- : AR : 1,503 1,436 6,440 6,450 102,858 96,752 92,622 CA : 528 467 8,140 8,000 38,490 42,989 37,360 LA : 535 465 5,500 5,600 30,014 29,400 26,040 MS : 253 253 6,400 6,400 16,698 16,192 16,192 MO : 182 165 6,050 6,100 12,420 11,011 10,065 TX : 206 181 7,100 7,100 14,790 14,616 12,851 : US : 3,207 2,967 6,578 6,577 215,270 210,960 195,130 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice acreage and production included in 2003, but not previous years. Rice: Production by Class, United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain 1/ : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 2001 : 167,555 46,105 1,610 215,270 2002 : 157,243 52,201 1,516 210,960 2003 2/ : 144,728 48,874 1,528 195,130 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain in 2003, but not previous years. 2/ Indicated August 1, 2003, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : AZ : 230 245 8.10 8.00 1,720 1,863 1,960 CA : 1,140 1,090 7.10 7.00 7,272 8,094 7,630 CO : 780 750 2.90 3.00 3,610 2,262 2,250 ID : 1,250 1,200 4.00 4.00 4,368 5,000 4,800 IL : 450 450 3.60 3.80 1,950 1,620 1,710 IN : 280 330 3.30 3.60 1,320 924 1,188 IA : 1,250 1,380 3.90 4.00 4,625 4,875 5,520 KS : 950 950 3.70 3.80 4,140 3,515 3,610 KY : 300 300 3.00 3.10 925 900 930 MI : 900 750 3.50 3.40 3,240 3,150 2,550 MN : 1,600 1,450 3.30 3.20 5,075 5,280 4,640 MO : 460 450 3.00 3.10 1,373 1,380 1,395 MT : 1,400 1,650 2.10 2.10 3,045 2,940 3,465 NE : 1,350 1,450 3.00 3.30 5,148 4,050 4,785 NV : 275 265 4.30 4.60 1,193 1,183 1,219 NM : 260 250 5.60 5.30 1,350 1,456 1,325 NY : 570 600 2.30 2.20 1,568 1,311 1,320 ND : 1,450 1,550 1.30 1.70 3,360 1,885 2,635 OH : 590 580 3.00 3.60 1,995 1,770 2,088 OK : 340 310 3.50 3.10 945 1,190 961 OR : 475 460 4.30 4.60 1,978 2,043 2,116 PA : 680 700 2.60 3.10 1,675 1,768 2,170 SD : 2,400 2,600 1.40 2.20 6,600 3,360 5,720 TX : 130 140 5.00 4.30 637 650 602 UT : 560 545 3.60 4.00 2,200 2,016 2,180 VA : 120 130 2.50 3.40 341 300 442 WA : 490 490 5.00 5.00 2,256 2,450 2,450 WI : 1,650 1,600 2.80 2.50 4,250 4,620 4,000 WY : 500 600 2.30 2.40 1,276 1,150 1,440 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 305 276 2.69 3.08 892 819 851 : US : 23,135 23,541 3.19 3.31 80,327 73,824 77,952 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary". All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 800 780 2.20 2.20 2,392 1,760 1,716 AR : 1,350 1,320 2.60 2.40 2,730 3,510 3,168 CA : 500 470 3.00 3.20 1,643 1,500 1,504 CO : 570 850 1.30 1.70 1,170 741 1,445 GA : 650 630 2.60 3.00 1,950 1,690 1,890 ID : 320 300 1.90 1.80 570 608 540 IL : 350 350 2.10 2.50 720 735 875 IN : 320 320 2.10 2.50 728 672 800 IA : 350 320 2.20 2.50 940 770 800 KS : 2,300 2,150 1.50 1.70 3,840 3,450 3,655 KY : 2,100 2,200 2.20 2.40 4,620 4,620 5,280 LA : 450 400 2.50 2.90 1,260 1,125 1,160 MI : 250 250 2.20 2.20 550 550 550 MN : 700 750 1.90 2.00 1,120 1,330 1,500 MS : 750 750 2.50 2.50 1,950 1,875 1,875 MO : 3,800 3,950 1.70 1.80 6,480 6,460 7,110 MT : 1,200 1,000 1.40 1.30 1,400 1,680 1,300 NE : 1,900 1,850 1.00 1.35 2,430 1,900 2,498 NY : 1,150 1,000 2.10 1.80 1,980 2,415 1,800 NC : 730 760 1.50 2.80 1,518 1,095 2,128 ND : 1,850 1,400 1.10 1.25 1,705 2,035 1,750 OH : 900 770 2.20 2.50 2,280 1,980 1,925 OK : 2,400 2,300 1.60 1.80 3,080 3,840 4,140 OR : 620 590 2.20 2.20 1,074 1,364 1,298 PA : 1,120 1,200 1.60 1.90 1,764 1,792 2,280 SD : 1,600 1,900 0.90 1.30 2,550 1,440 2,470 TN : 2,000 1,950 2.20 2.50 4,620 4,400 4,875 TX : 5,500 5,400 2.40 2.10 10,200 13,200 11,340 VA : 1,250 1,150 1.40 2.40 2,400 1,750 2,760 WA : 320 310 2.80 2.90 832 896 899 WV : 520 540 1.80 2.00 954 936 1,080 WI : 400 450 1.80 1.70 540 720 765 WY : 450 580 1.00 1.30 605 450 754 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,892 1,898 2.03 2.18 3,842 3,849 4,136 : US : 41,362 40,838 1.86 2.01 76,437 77,138 82,066 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary". Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------- : AL : 155 175 24.0 28.0 4,725 3,720 4,900 AR : 2,880 2,850 33.5 34.0 91,200 96,480 96,900 DE : 185 175 25.0 30.0 7,839 4,625 5,250 GA : 140 170 21.0 33.0 4,030 2,940 5,610 IL : 10,460 10,550 43.0 43.0 477,900 449,780 453,650 IN : 5,750 5,300 41.0 43.0 273,910 235,750 227,900 IA : 10,310 10,350 48.0 46.0 480,480 494,880 476,100 KS : 2,540 2,600 23.0 26.0 87,360 58,420 67,600 KY : 1,260 1,100 32.5 36.0 48,800 40,950 39,600 LA : 650 870 32.0 32.0 20,130 20,800 27,840 MD : 470 450 23.0 31.0 20,085 10,810 13,950 MI : 2,030 2,090 38.5 39.0 63,900 78,155 81,510 MN : 7,100 7,500 43.5 43.0 266,400 308,850 322,500 MS : 1,370 1,310 32.0 32.0 36,960 43,840 41,920 MO : 5,000 4,900 34.0 34.0 186,200 170,000 166,600 NE : 4,580 4,650 38.5 41.0 222,950 176,330 190,650 NJ : 97 98 23.0 33.0 3,131 2,231 3,234 NY : 138 142 32.0 38.0 5,214 4,416 5,396 NC : 1,280 1,360 23.5 28.0 43,200 30,080 38,080 ND : 2,630 3,050 33.0 33.0 70,685 86,790 100,650 OH : 4,710 4,380 30.0 42.0 187,780 141,300 183,960 OK : 250 225 28.0 27.0 4,845 7,000 6,075 PA : 350 365 26.0 40.0 13,825 9,100 14,600 SC : 415 460 17.0 24.0 8,820 7,055 11,040 SD : 4,090 4,050 31.0 36.0 143,040 126,790 145,800 TN : 1,120 1,150 31.0 33.0 35,360 34,720 37,950 TX : 215 210 28.0 29.0 5,850 6,020 6,090 VA : 440 490 23.0 30.0 17,040 10,120 14,700 WI : 1,520 1,580 44.0 45.0 58,090 66,880 71,100 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 25 26 35.1 34.0 933 877 884 : US : 72,160 72,626 37.8 39.4 2,890,682 2,729,709 2,862,039 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2003 Summary". Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : AL : 185.0 189.0 2,050 2,900 532,325 379,250 548,100 FL : 86.0 107.0 2,300 2,700 250,100 197,800 288,900 GA : 505.0 535.0 2,600 3,200 1,711,620 1,313,000 1,712,000 NM : 18.0 17.0 3,000 2,900 67,044 54,000 49,300 NC : 100.0 100.0 2,100 2,900 356,475 210,000 290,000 OK : 57.0 38.0 2,800 2,900 197,890 159,600 110,200 SC : 8.7 18.0 2,200 3,200 30,600 19,140 57,600 TX : 280.0 240.0 3,100 3,400 895,900 868,000 816,000 VA : 57.0 33.0 2,100 2,700 234,750 119,700 89,100 : US : 1,296.7 1,277.0 2,561 3,102 4,276,704 3,320,490 3,961,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ and :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Bales 2/ ------- : Upland : AL : 540.0 545.0 507 652 920.0 570.0 740.0 AZ : 213.0 208.0 1,381 1,315 690.0 613.0 570.0 AR : 920.0 915.0 871 787 1,833.0 1,669.0 1,500.0 CA : 477.0 545.0 1,469 1,277 1,770.0 1,460.0 1,450.0 FL : 115.0 99.0 401 621 158.0 96.0 128.0 GA : 1,360.0 1,290.0 557 744 2,220.0 1,578.0 2,000.0 KS : 68.0 113.0 539 637 30.1 76.3 150.0 LA : 495.0 540.0 717 667 1,034.0 739.0 750.0 MS : 1,150.0 1,100.0 808 807 2,396.0 1,935.0 1,850.0 MO : 368.0 390.0 796 726 695.0 610.0 590.0 NM : 50.0 42.0 816 857 124.0 85.0 75.0 NC : 920.0 800.0 421 630 1,673.0 806.0 1,050.0 OK : 180.0 170.0 557 452 197.0 209.0 160.0 SC : 200.0 245.0 314 725 423.0 131.0 370.0 TN : 530.0 535.0 741 664 978.0 818.0 740.0 TX : 4,500.0 4,500.0 538 469 4,260.0 5,040.0 4,400.0 VA : 98.0 87.0 465 717 201.3 95.0 130.0 : US :12,184.0 12,124.0 651 659 19,602.4 16,530.3 16,653.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 8.2 3.9 1,013 1,169 14.5 17.3 9.5 CA : 209.0 149.0 1,386 1,256 639.0 603.3 390.0 NM : 7.1 6.0 1,041 880 10.5 15.4 11.0 TX : 18.3 19.5 1,110 985 36.4 42.3 40.0 : US : 242.6 178.4 1,342 1,212 700.4 678.3 450.5 : All : AL : 540.0 545.0 507 652 920.0 570.0 740.0 AZ : 221.2 211.9 1,368 1,313 704.5 630.3 579.5 AR : 920.0 915.0 871 787 1,833.0 1,669.0 1,500.0 CA : 686.0 694.0 1,444 1,273 2,409.0 2,063.3 1,840.0 FL : 115.0 99.0 401 621 158.0 96.0 128.0 GA : 1,360.0 1,290.0 557 744 2,220.0 1,578.0 2,000.0 KS : 68.0 113.0 539 637 30.1 76.3 150.0 LA : 495.0 540.0 717 667 1,034.0 739.0 750.0 MS : 1,150.0 1,100.0 808 807 2,396.0 1,935.0 1,850.0 MO : 368.0 390.0 796 726 695.0 610.0 590.0 NM : 57.1 48.0 844 860 134.5 100.4 86.0 NC : 920.0 800.0 421 630 1,673.0 806.0 1,050.0 OK : 180.0 170.0 557 452 197.0 209.0 160.0 SC : 200.0 245.0 314 725 423.0 131.0 370.0 TN : 530.0 535.0 741 664 978.0 818.0 740.0 TX : 4,518.3 4,519.5 540 472 4,296.4 5,082.3 4,440.0 VA : 98.0 87.0 465 717 201.3 95.0 130.0 : US :12,426.6 12,302.4 665 667 20,302.8 17,208.6 17,103.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb net weight bales. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 7,452.2 6,183.9 6,284.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 2/ : Production 2/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Cwt ------- : CA : 89.0 74.0 1,980 2,100 1,496 1,762 1,554 CO : 70.0 55.0 2,170 2,100 1,785 1,519 1,155 ID : 93.0 78.0 2,050 2,050 1,424 1,907 1,599 KS : 14.5 11.0 1,100 1,700 259 160 187 MI : 265.0 190.0 1,850 1,600 780 4,903 3,040 MN : 150.0 130.0 1,650 1,600 1,575 2,475 2,080 MT : 23.0 17.0 1,570 1,920 376 361 326 NE : 165.0 140.0 2,100 2,100 3,185 3,465 2,940 NM : 8.0 10.0 1,800 1,900 300 144 190 NY : 24.5 24.5 1,360 1,630 194 333 400 ND : 690.0 570.0 1,540 1,550 6,200 10,626 8,835 OR : 9.1 7.8 1,730 1,500 172 157 117 SD : 16.0 16.0 1,630 1,700 270 261 272 TX : 32.5 25.0 970 1,200 348 315 300 UT : 0.3 5.0 1,670 300 17 5 15 WA : 41.0 26.0 2,000 1,700 578 820 442 WI : 7.0 6.5 1,960 2,000 110 137 130 WY : 29.0 32.0 2,150 2,380 514 624 762 : US : 1,726.9 1,417.8 1,736 1,717 19,583 29,974 24,344 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Clean Basis. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class and State : 2002 : 2003 :: Class and State : 2002 : 2003 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Large Lima - CA : 19.0 19.6 :: Light Red : : :: Kidney : Baby Lima - CA : 21.5 14.5 :: CA : 6.0 5.0 : :: CO : 10.0 9.0 Navy : :: ID : 1.3 0.9 ID : 5.4 2.6 :: MI : 15.0 20.0 MI : 85.0 50.0 :: MN : 7.6 11.0 MN : 67.0 47.0 :: NE : 14.0 13.5 NE : 2.9 0.5 :: NY : 15.0 15.0 ND : 180.0 86.0 :: WA : 1.4 OR : 0.5 :: : SD : 4.0 3.1 :: Total : 70.3 74.4 WY : 1.0 1.0 :: : : :: Dark Red : Total : 345.3 190.7 :: Kidney : : :: CA : 2.5 0.9 Great Northern : :: ID : 1.4 0.8 ID : 3.1 4.2 :: MI : 8.5 10.0 MI : 3.0 9.0 :: MN : 42.0 37.0 MN : 1.2 2.0 :: NY : 2.0 1.3 NE : 77.8 81.5 :: ND : 7.0 6.0 ND : 5.8 8.0 :: WI : 7.1 6.6 WA : 0.9 0.9 :: : WY : 2.0 2.5 :: Total : 70.5 62.6 : :: : Total : 93.8 108.1 :: Pink : : :: CA : 0.9 Small White : :: ID : 10.8 10.7 ID : 2.0 1.9 :: MN : 8.9 8.6 OR : 0.5 0.4 :: ND : 9.0 10.0 WA : 0.8 0.7 :: WA : 6.1 4.3 : :: : Total : 3.3 3.0 :: Total : 34.8 34.5 : :: : Pinto : :: Small Red : CO : 76.0 49.0 :: ID : 10.7 9.0 ID : 35.8 33.7 :: MI : 11.0 20.0 KS : 11.0 :: MN : 2.8 1.8 MI : 9.5 11.0 :: WA : 6.4 3.7 MN : 25.0 28.0 :: : MT : 13.5 13.0 :: Total : 30.9 34.5 NE : 80.7 48.5 :: : NM : 8.0 10.0 :: Cranberry : ND : 515.0 450.0 :: CA : 1.7 1.5 OR : 1.3 1.5 :: ID : 2.5 1.5 SD : 3.2 2.8 :: MI : 20.0 14.0 TX : 5.5 0.5 :: : UT : 1.8 5.6 :: Total : 24.2 17.0 WA : 11.0 7.2 :: : WY : 27.0 29.0 :: : : :: : Total : 813.3 700.8 :: : : :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class and State : 2002 : 2003 :: Class and State : 2002 : 2003 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Black : :: : CA : 0.4:: Chickpeas, All : ID : 4.0 1.0:: (Garbanzo) : MI : 110.0 50.0:: CA : 18.5 9.7 MN : 11.9 5.4:: ID : 17.0 11.0 NE : 2.3 1.0:: MT : 12.7 5.5 NY : 6.0 7.7:: NE : 2.5 ND : 60.0 27.0:: ND : 8.6 5.0 WA : 2.6 1.5:: OR : 4.0 3.8 : :: SD : 10.3 8.2 Total : 196.8 94.0:: WA : 11.0 6.3 : :: : Blackeye : :: Total : 82.1 52.0 CA : 12.6 16.5:: : TX : 22.0 20.0:: Other : : :: CA : 10.2 7.0 Total : 34.6 36.5:: CO : 6.0 2.0 : :: ID : 1.0 2.7 Small Chickpeas 1/ : :: KS : 18.0 1.0 (Garbanzo, : :: MI : 8.0 16.0 Smaller than : :: MN : 3.6 4.2 20/64 in.) : :: MT : 0.7 0.5 CA : :: NE : 7.3 2.5 ID : 2.0:: NY : 2.0 1.0 MT : 2.5:: ND : 4.6 8.0 NE : :: OR : 4.0 1.8 ND : 1.0:: SD : 3.5 2.9 OR : :: TX : 10.0 6.5 SD : 3.7:: WA : 0.8 1.4 WA : 0.3:: WY : 2.0 1.5 : :: : Total : 9.5:: Total : 81.7 59.0 : :: : Large Chickpeas 1/ : :: US : 1,922.1 1,501.2 (Garbanzo, : :: : Larger than : :: : 20/64 in.) : :: : CA : 9.7:: : ID : 9.0:: : MT : 3.0:: : NE : 2.5:: : ND : 4.0:: : OR : 3.8:: : SD : 4.5:: : WA : 6.0:: : : :: : Total : 42.5:: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates began in 2003. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : CT : 1,890 2,100 1,672 1,750 3,772 3,161 3,675 FL : 4,600 4,000 2,600 2,550 11,700 11,960 10,200 GA : 26,500 29,000 2,100 2,200 64,206 55,650 63,800 IN : 4,000 4,000 2,000 2,050 9,450 8,000 8,200 KY : 111,100 105,300 2,007 2,078 254,653 222,991 218,850 MD : 1,700 1,500 1,400 1,400 3,300 2,380 2,100 MA : 1,160 1,250 1,623 1,718 1,807 1,883 2,148 MO : 1,300 1,200 2,385 1,900 3,081 3,101 2,280 NC : 168,300 160,000 2,067 1,984 386,920 347,920 317,400 OH : 5,500 5,300 1,750 1,800 11,956 9,625 9,540 PA : 3,400 3,700 2,004 2,030 6,166 6,815 7,510 SC : 30,500 32,000 1,950 2,100 78,400 59,475 67,200 TN : 35,900 34,040 2,096 2,155 86,893 75,261 73,366 VA : 30,000 27,370 2,225 1,749 63,415 66,747 47,872 WV : 1,300 1,200 1,500 1,650 1,885 1,950 1,980 WI : 1,510 1,750 2,526 2,351 3,619 3,815 4,115 : US : 428,660 413,710 2,055 2,031 991,223 880,734 840,236 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 43,000 40,000 2,225 2,000 95,675 80,000 VA : 22,000 20,000 2,340 1,800 51,480 36,000 US : 65,000 60,000 2,264 1,933 147,155 116,000 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 98,000 94,000 2,020 2,000 197,960 188,000 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 21,000 20,000 2,135 2,050 44,835 41,000 SC : 30,500 32,000 1,950 2,100 59,475 67,200 US : 51,500 52,000 2,025 2,081 104,310 108,200 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,600 4,000 2,600 2,550 11,960 10,200 GA : 26,500 29,000 2,100 2,200 55,650 63,800 US : 31,100 33,000 2,174 2,242 67,610 74,000 Total 11-14 : 245,600 239,000 2,105 2,034 517,035 486,200 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 730 800 2,015 1,700 1,471 1,360 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2,450 2,500 3,160 3,100 7,742 7,750 TN : 5,000 5,100 3,110 2,900 15,550 14,790 US : 7,450 7,600 3,126 2,966 23,292 22,540 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2,400 2,400 3,650 3,400 8,760 8,160 TN : 390 400 3,550 3,200 1,385 1,280 US : 2,790 2,800 3,636 3,371 10,145 9,440 Total 21-23 : 10,970 11,200 3,182 2,977 34,908 33,340 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 4,000 4,000 2,000 2,050 8,000 8,200 KY : 103,000 97,000 1,915 2,000 197,245 194,000 MO : 1,300 1,200 2,385 1,900 3,101 2,280 NC : 6,300 6,000 1,500 1,400 9,450 8,400 OH : 5,500 5,300 1,750 1,800 9,625 9,540 TN : 30,000 28,000 1,900 2,000 57,000 56,000 VA : 7,200 6,500 1,900 1,600 13,680 10,400 WV : 1,300 1,200 1,500 1,650 1,950 1,980 US : 158,600 149,200 1,892 1,949 300,051 290,800 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 1,700 1,500 1,400 1,400 2,380 2,100 PA : 1,300 1,300 1,850 1,900 2,405 2,470 US : 3,000 2,800 1,595 1,632 4,785 4,570 Total 31-32 : 161,600 152,000 1,886 1,943 304,836 295,370 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,100 2,200 3,000 2,700 6,300 5,940 TN : 510 540 2,600 2,400 1,326 1,296 US : 2,610 2,740 2,922 2,641 7,626 7,236 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,150 1,200 2,560 2,500 2,944 3,000 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 70 70 1,655 1,600 116 112 Total 35-37 : 3,830 4,010 2,790 2,581 10,686 10,348 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 2,100 2,400 2,100 2,100 4,410 5,040 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,250 1,400 1,820 1,850 2,275 2,590 MA : 850 950 1,840 1,850 1,564 1,758 US : 2,100 2,350 1,828 1,850 3,839 4,348 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,200 1,350 2,625 2,500 3,150 3,375 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 310 400 2,145 1,850 665 740 Total 54-55 : 1,510 1,750 2,526 2,351 3,815 4,115 Total 51-55 : 3,610 4,100 2,120 2,064 7,654 8,463 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 640 700 1,385 1,550 886 1,085 MA : 310 300 1,030 1,300 319 390 US : 950 1,000 1,268 1,475 1,205 1,475 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 6,660 7,500 1,992 1,997 13,269 14,978 : All Tobacco : 428,660 413,710 2,055 2,031 880,734 840,236 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Tons --------- --- 1,000 Tons -- : CA : 49.9 50.0 39.5 38.0 1,596 1,971 1,900 CO : 39.5 27.5 20.1 22.5 824 794 619 ID : 210.0 207.0 24.3 27.4 4,636 5,103 5,672 MI : 177.0 175.0 18.1 19.5 3,220 3,204 3,413 MN : 476.0 462.0 18.6 21.0 7,796 8,854 9,702 MT : 55.9 52.2 19.6 23.0 1,150 1,096 1,201 NE : 42.0 43.8 18.1 20.0 840 760 876 ND : 258.0 275.0 18.6 21.5 4,290 4,799 5,913 OH : 1.8 1.8 20.6 25.0 12 37 45 OR : 11.0 9.4 27.4 29.4 290 301 276 WA : 4.0 4.4 35.0 40.5 253 140 178 WY : 36.0 34.0 18.3 21.0 857 659 714 : US :1,361.1 1,342.1 20.4 22.7 25,764 27,718 30,509 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Tons --------- --- 1,000 Tons -- : FL : 461.0 440.0 38.3 36.5 16,338 17,653 16,060 HI : 22.7 22.0 95.1 95.0 1,932 2,159 2,090 LA : 495.0 490.0 28.3 30.0 14,355 14,009 14,700 TX : 44.5 43.0 38.9 38.0 1,962 1,732 1,634 : US :1,023.2 995.0 34.7 34.7 34,587 35,553 34,484 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL 1/ : 23.0 21.0 11.0 AR 1/ : 12.0 10.0 18.0 CA 1/ : All : 1,727.0 1,920.0 1,920.0 Clingstone : 952.0 1,124.0 1,150.0 Freestone : 775.0 796.0 770.0 CO 1/ : 18.0 19.0 20.0 CT 1/ : 1.9 1.3 2.0 GA 1/ : 140.0 100.0 125.0 ID 1/ : 13.0 13.0 13.0 IL 1/ : 17.8 17.2 18.7 IN 1/ : 3.0 3.1 3.4 KY 1/ : 1.8 1.2 2.0 LA 1/ : 1.4 1.5 2.5 MD 1/ : 8.8 7.0 10.5 MA 1/ : 2.2 2.3 2.3 MI : 42.0 14.0 52.0 MO 1/ : 9.0 13.0 9.5 NJ : 75.0 62.0 75.0 NY 1/ : 12.5 10.0 12.5 NC 1/ : 3.5 10.0 9.0 OH 1/ : 11.2 9.4 10.2 OK 1/ : 12.0 7.0 9.0 OR 1/ : 6.5 7.9 8.0 PA : 75.0 60.0 70.0 SC : 100.0 160.0 110.0 TN 1/ : 3.7 4.0 3.5 TX 1/ : 30.0 12.0 10.0 UT 1/ : 9.0 6.5 10.0 VA 1/ : 8.0 7.0 8.0 WA : 55.0 66.0 60.0 WV 1/ : 11.0 10.0 13.0 : US : 2,433.3 2,575.4 2,618.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : ID : 3,000 2,000 3,000 MI : 3,600 250 3,000 OR : 9,000 8,000 3,700 WA : 5,600 5,400 5,000 : Total : 21,200 15,650 14,700 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ : 5.4 26.2 2.6 AR : 5.5 4.5 5.5 CA : 520.0 470.0 510.0 CO : 23.0 21.0 21.0 CT : 20.5 12.0 21.5 GA : 9.0 10.0 11.0 ID : 80.0 80.0 85.0 IL : 43.6 43.0 42.0 IN : 53.0 40.0 51.0 IA : 8.8 8.5 9.7 KS : 4.0 3.7 4.1 KY : 8.3 5.6 8.4 ME : 47.0 48.5 46.0 MD : 40.8 32.0 37.0 MA : 39.0 33.0 46.0 MI : 930.0 500.0 970.0 MN : 24.0 25.0 26.0 MO : 41.0 38.0 34.0 NH : 30.0 26.5 34.0 NJ : 55.0 35.0 45.0 NM 2/ : 6.0 2.0 NY : 1,000.0 680.0 1,020.0 NC : 112.0 160.0 140.0 OH : 86.0 70.0 86.0 OR : 142.0 202.0 120.0 PA : 480.0 370.0 440.0 RI : 1.8 2.6 3.3 SC : 6.0 9.0 6.0 TN : 9.0 6.5 9.0 UT : 30.0 7.0 30.0 VT : 41.0 31.0 38.5 VA : 310.0 250.0 300.0 WA : 5,050.0 5,150.0 4,900.0 WV : 105.0 95.0 95.0 WI : 62.0 58.0 69.0 : US : 9,428.7 8,555.6 9,266.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ End of season estimate only. Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :-------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Bartlett : CA : 275,000 232,000 220,000 OR : 70,000 58,000 65,000 WA : 201,000 158,000 185,000 : Total : 546,000 448,000 470,000 : Other : CA : 30,000 30,000 30,000 OR : 160,000 141,000 155,000 WA : 242,000 231,000 250,000 : Total : 432,000 402,000 435,000 : All : CA : 305,000 262,000 250,000 CO : 1,900 2,400 2,800 CT : 480 500 1,150 MI : 4,600 1,400 4,800 NY : 11,000 10,000 15,000 OR : 230,000 199,000 220,000 PA : 5,500 3,800 4,100 UT : 300 350 400 WA : 443,000 389,000 435,000 : US : 1,001,780 868,450 933,250 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Jun : 2,205 2,175 1,725 1,575 3,285 3,195 Jul : 2,270 2,175 1,680 1,580 3,915 3,375 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Coffee: Production, Hawaii, 2000-2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2000-01 : 2001-2002 : 2002-03 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : HI : 8,700 8,000 7,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Parchment basis. Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, Hawaii, 2001-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:-------------------------------------------------------------------------- :2000-01:2001-02:2002-03:2000-01:2001-02:2002-03:2000-01 :2001-02 :2002-03 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ------ ------- Pounds ------- ----- 1,000 Pounds ---- : HI : 360 320 200 50,000 45,000 37,000 18,000 14,400 7,400 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : AZ : 15,500 8,400 8,500 AR : 2,700 5,600 3,900 CA : All Types : 5,979,000 6,721,000 6,290,000 Wine : 3,051,000 3,149,000 3,050,000 Table 1/ : 713,000 739,000 740,000 Raisin 1/ 2/ : 2,215,000 2,833,000 2,500,000 GA : 3,200 2,800 3,200 MI : 28,900 42,700 80,000 MO : 2,300 2,900 3,000 NY : 149,000 156,000 205,000 NC : 2,000 2,300 2,800 OH : 6,000 5,800 7,600 OR : 22,800 22,000 25,000 PA : 61,500 53,200 70,000 TX : 9,500 4,700 8,500 VA : 4,200 4,600 4,900 WA : All Types : 283,000 332,000 345,000 Wine : 100,000 115,000 125,000 Juice : 183,000 217,000 220,000 : US : 6,569,600 7,364,000 7,057,400 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh basis. 2/ The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) was not implemented in 2003, but was implemented on the 2001 and 2002 bearing acres only. No production was realized from these acres. Acres enrolled are as follows: 41,000 for 2001 and 27,000 for 2002. Hops: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : ID : 3,399 3,429 1,624 1,490 4,609.3 5,519.6 5,109.2 OR : 5,577 5,748 1,692 1,700 11,443.2 9,438.0 9,771.6 WA : 20,333 19,169 2,133 2,030 50,779.6 43,379.0 38,913.1 : US : 29,309 28,346 1,990 1,898 66,832.1 58,336.6 53,793.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Olives: Variety and Total Production, California 2001-2002 and Forecasted August 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Variety :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Ascolano : 4,200 Manzanillo : 105,900 68,000 85,000 Mission : 1,400 Servillano : 16,700 23,500 15,000 All Other 2/ : 5,800 11,500 15,000 : Total : 134,000 103,000 115,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Ascolano and Mission varieties are included in All Other. 2/ Includes production for varieties that were or will be used for canned, oil, and other specialty products. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,073.0 5,461.0 4,135.0 4,899.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 79,054.0 79,066.0 69,313.0 71,915.0 Corn for Silage : 7,490.0 Hay, All : 64,497.0 64,379.0 Alfalfa : 23,135.0 23,541.0 All Other : 41,362.0 40,838.0 Oats : 5,005.0 4,676.0 2,098.0 2,331.0 Proso Millet : 450.0 630.0 220.0 Rice : 3,240.0 2,992.0 3,207.0 2,967.0 Rye : 1,395.0 1,373.0 286.0 302.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,580.0 9,777.0 7,299.0 8,241.0 Sorghum for Silage : 352.0 Wheat, All : 60,358.0 60,940.0 45,817.0 52,677.0 Winter : 41,735.0 44,349.0 29,651.0 36,491.0 Durum : 2,909.0 2,804.0 2,703.0 2,738.0 Other Spring : 15,714.0 13,787.0 13,463.0 13,448.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,459.0 1,201.0 1,275.0 1,163.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 785.0 583.0 704.0 572.0 Mustard Seed : 191.0 96.5 175.0 94.2 Peanuts : 1,358.0 1,315.0 1,296.7 1,277.0 Rapeseed : 3.4 1.6 3.1 1.5 Safflower : 219.0 213.0 196.0 198.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,758.0 73,653.0 72,160.0 72,626.0 Sunflowers : 2,585.0 2,324.0 2,205.0 2,255.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,957.9 13,631.0 12,426.6 12,302.4 Upland : 13,714.0 13,451.0 12,184.0 12,124.0 Amer-Pima : 243.9 180.0 242.6 178.4 Sugarbeets : 1,427.3 1,364.7 1,361.1 1,342.1 Sugarcane : 1,023.2 995.0 Tobacco : 428.7 413.7 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 21.5 21.2 11.6 10.6 Dry Edible Beans : 1,922.1 1,501.2 1,726.9 1,417.8 Dry Edible Peas : 302.7 356.0 279.7 334.0 Lentils : 221.0 246.0 209.0 240.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.9 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.3 0.2 Hops : 29.3 28.3 Peppermint Oil : 80.2 Potatoes, All : 1,310.0 1,279.6 1,275.7 1,254.2 Winter : 15.8 15.0 15.7 14.8 Spring : 87.8 85.1 86.1 82.9 Summer : 62.2 65.1 59.1 63.1 Fall : 1,144.2 1,114.4 1,114.8 1,093.4 Spearmint Oil : 18.0 Sweet Potatoes : 97.2 94.0 83.5 91.0 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 54.9 57.5 226,873 281,475 Corn for Grain : " : 130.0 139.9 9,007,659 10,064,452 Corn for Silage : Ton : 14.0 104,979 Hay, All : " : 2.34 2.49 150,962 160,018 Alfalfa : " : 3.19 3.31 73,824 77,952 All Other : " : 1.86 2.01 77,138 82,066 Oats : Bu : 56.8 64.9 119,132 151,345 Proso Millet : " : 12.5 2,755 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,578 6,577 210,960 195,130 Rye : Bu : 24.4 6,985 Sorghum for Grain : " : 50.7 54.4 369,758 448,438 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 9.5 3,360 Wheat, All : Bu : 35.3 43.5 1,616,441 2,291,825 Winter : " : 38.5 46.9 1,142,802 1,712,150 Durum : " : 29.4 31.9 79,450 87,355 Other Spring : " : 29.3 36.6 394,189 492,320 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,218 1,552,520 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,184 6,284.0 Flaxseed : Bu : 17.9 12,569 Mustard Seed : Lb : 705 123,450 Peanuts : " : 2,561 3,102 3,320,490 3,961,200 Rapeseed : " : 1,461 4,530 Safflower : " : 1,520 297,980 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 37.8 39.4 2,729,709 2,862,039 Sunflower : Lb : 1,133 2,497,236 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 665 667 17,208.6 17,103.5 Upland 2/ : " : 651 659 16,530.3 16,653.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,342 1,212 678.3 450.5 Sugarbeets : Ton : 20.4 22.7 27,718 30,509 Sugarcane : " : 34.7 34.7 35,553 34,484 Tobacco : Lb : 2,055 2,031 880,734 840,236 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,414 164 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,736 1,717 29,974 24,344 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,517 4,242 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,200 2,508 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 457 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,270 7,500 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 45,000 37,000 14,400 7,400 Hops : " : 1,990 1,898 58,336.6 53,793.9 Peppermint Oil : " : 85 6,818 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 363 462,713 Winter : " : 268 281 4,206 4,153 Spring : " : 271 269 23,294 22,305 Summer : " : 304 310 17,985 19,585 Fall : " : 374 417,228 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 108 1,942 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 154 12,865 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,462 2,427 2,062 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/: " : 2 1 Lemons : " : 996 828 1,026 Oranges : " : 12,221 12,487 11,493 Tangelos (FL) : " : 95 97 106 Tangerines : " : 373 420 370 Temples (FL) : " : 56 70 59 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 9,428.7 8,555.6 9,266.6 Apricots : Ton : 82.5 90.0 90.4 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 28,000.0 19,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,569.6 7,364.0 7,057.4 Olives (CA) : " : 134.0 103.0 115.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 55,000.0 45,900.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,433.3 2,575.4 2,618.1 Pears : Ton : 1,001.8 868.5 933.3 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 150.0 171.0 190.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 21.2 15.7 14.7 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 830,000 1,090,000 1,000,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 49.5 19.5 Pecans : Lb : 338,500 172,900 Pistachios (CA) : " : 161,000 303,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 305.0 282.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,049 1,393 1,239 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,052,990 2,210,010 1,673,390 1,982,580 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,992,360 31,997,220 28,050,280 29,103,280 Corn for Silage : 3,031,130 Hay, All 3/ : 26,101,290 26,053,540 Alfalfa : 9,362,500 9,526,810 All Other : 16,738,790 16,526,730 Oats : 2,025,470 1,892,330 849,040 943,330 Proso Millet : 182,110 254,950 89,030 Rice : 1,311,200 1,210,830 1,297,840 1,200,720 Rye : 564,540 555,640 115,740 122,220 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,876,930 3,956,650 2,953,830 3,335,050 Sorghum for Silage : 142,450 Wheat, All 3/ :24,426,280 24,661,810 18,541,680 21,317,860 Winter :16,889,740 17,947,600 11,999,460 14,767,540 Durum : 1,177,240 1,134,750 1,093,880 1,108,040 Other Spring : 6,359,300 5,579,460 5,448,340 5,442,270 : Oilseeds : Canola : 590,440 486,030 515,980 470,650 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 317,680 235,930 284,900 231,480 Mustard Seed : 77,300 39,050 70,820 38,120 Peanuts : 549,570 532,170 524,760 516,790 Rapeseed : 1,380 650 1,250 610 Safflower : 88,630 86,200 79,320 80,130 Soybeans for Beans :29,849,130 29,806,630 29,202,430 29,391,020 Sunflowers : 1,046,120 940,500 892,340 912,580 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,648,620 5,516,330 5,028,920 4,978,660 Upland : 5,549,920 5,443,490 4,930,740 4,906,460 Amer-Pima : 98,700 72,840 98,180 72,200 Sugarbeets : 577,610 552,280 550,820 543,130 Sugarcane : 414,080 402,670 Tobacco : 173,470 167,420 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 8,700 8,580 4,690 4,290 Dry Edible Beans : 777,850 607,520 698,860 573,770 Dry Edible Peas : 122,500 144,070 113,190 135,170 Lentils : 89,440 99,550 84,580 97,130 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,390 Ginger Root (HI) : 130 80 Hops : 11,860 11,470 Peppermint Oil : 32,460 Potatoes, All 3/ : 530,140 517,840 516,260 507,560 Winter : 6,390 6,070 6,350 5,990 Spring : 35,530 34,440 34,840 33,550 Summer : 25,170 26,350 23,920 25,540 Fall : 463,050 450,990 451,150 442,490 Spearmint Oil : 7,280 Sweet Potatoes : 39,340 38,040 33,790 36,830 Taro (HI) 4/ : 170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2.95 3.09 4,939,580 6,128,390 Corn for Grain : 8.16 8.78 228,805,080 255,648,860 Corn for Silage : 31.42 95,235,350 Hay, All 2/ : 5.25 5.57 136,950,420 145,165,890 Alfalfa : 7.15 7.42 66,972,010 70,716,860 All Other : 4.18 4.50 69,978,420 74,449,020 Oats : 2.04 2.33 1,729,200 2,196,770 Proso Millet : 0.70 62,480 Rice : 7.37 7.37 9,568,990 8,850,950 Rye : 1.53 177,430 Sorghum for Grain : 3.18 3.42 9,392,290 11,390,850 Sorghum for Silage : 21.40 3,048,140 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.37 2.93 43,992,310 62,373,250 Winter : 2.59 3.16 31,101,970 46,597,090 Durum : 1.98 2.15 2,162,270 2,377,410 Other Spring : 1.97 2.46 10,728,070 13,398,750 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.36 704,210 Cottonseed 3/ : 5,609,940 5,700,750 Flaxseed : 1.12 319,270 Mustard Seed : 0.79 56,000 Peanuts : 2.87 3.48 1,506,150 1,796,770 Rapeseed : 1.64 2,050 Safflower : 1.70 135,160 Soybeans for Beans : 2.54 2.65 74,290,500 77,891,940 Sunflowers : 1.27 1,132,730 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.75 0.75 3,746,730 3,723,850 Upland : 0.73 0.74 3,599,050 3,625,760 Amer-Pima : 1.50 1.36 147,680 98,080 Sugarbeets : 45.65 50.96 25,145,350 27,677,300 Sugarcane : 77.89 77.69 32,253,140 31,283,360 Tobacco : 2.30 2.28 399,490 381,120 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.58 7,440 Dry Edible Beans : 1.95 1.92 1,359,600 1,104,230 Dry Edible Peas : 1.70 192,410 Lentils : 1.35 113,760 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 20,730 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.42 3,400 Ginger Root (HI) : 50.44 41.47 6,530 3,360 Hops : 2.23 2.13 26,460 24,400 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,090 Potatoes, All 2/ : 40.65 20,988,310 Winter : 30.03 31.45 190,780 188,380 Spring : 30.32 30.16 1,056,600 1,011,740 Summer : 34.11 34.79 815,790 888,360 Fall : 41.95 18,925,140 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 880 Sweet Potatoes : 17.27 583,550 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,770 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,233,490 2,201,740 1,870,610 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/ : 1,810 910 Lemons : 903,560 751,150 930,770 Oranges : 11,086,700 11,328,020 10,426,270 Tangelos (FL) : 86,180 88,000 96,160 Tangerines : 338,380 381,020 335,660 Temples (FL) : 50,800 63,500 53,520 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,276,790 3,880,760 4,203,260 Apricots : 74,810 81,680 82,010 Bananas (HI) : 12,700 8,850 Grapes : 5,959,840 6,680,510 6,402,370 Olives (CA) : 121,560 93,440 104,330 Papayas (HI) : 24,950 20,820 Peaches : 1,103,730 1,168,180 1,187,550 Pears : 908,800 787,840 846,630 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 136,080 155,130 172,370 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 19,230 14,200 13,340 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 376,480 494,420 453,590 Hazelnuts : 44,910 17,690 Pecans : 153,540 78,430 Pistachios (CA) : 73,030 137,440 Walnuts (CA) : 276,690 255,830 Maple Syrup : 5,240 6,960 6,190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2003 crop year. 2/ Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. July Weather Summary A remarkably constant weather pattern across the United States--featuring an amplified jet stream--led to persistent conditions in any given location but dramatic regional variability. For example, near- to below-normal temperatures were observed across the eastern half of the Nation, while monthly readings averaged 2 to 8 degrees F above normal across the High Plains and much of the West. As a result, stress on Midwestern summer crops due to heat and lack of soil moisture was largely restricted to areas along, west, and south of the Missouri River. In fact, too much rain fell early in the month in parts of the eastern Corn Belt, including northern and central Indiana, causing widespread flooding, winter wheat disease concerns, and crop developmental delays. A markedly different scenario unfolded on the Plains, where favorable conditions for reproductive to filling summer crops were mostly confined to the eastern Dakotas. Elsewhere on the Plains, hot weather and an untimely dry spell placed pastures and summer crops under significant stress. Across the South, heavy rain continued to soak areas from the central Gulf Coast to the middle and southern Atlantic States, causing local flooding but maintaining generally favorable conditions for pastures and summer crops. Tropical Storm Bill crossed the Southeast early in the month, contributing to the overall wet pattern. Another tropical system, Hurricane Claudette, reached the middle Texas coast on July 15, temporarily reversing a dry regime in the western Gulf Coast region. The remnants of Claudette were steered westward and eventually drawn into the Southwest's monsoon (summer rainy season) circulation by a strong upper-level ridge of high pressure parked over the Four Corners region. The ridge was responsible for record-breaking heat throughout the West, but helped to direct moisture into Arizona and parts of California and the Great Basin. Following pre-monsoon heat and dryness, mid- to late-July showers aided Southwestern wildfire containment efforts and temporarily eased demands on drought-reduced irrigation reserves. However, mostly dry weather persisted through month's end in the Northwest and portions of the Intermountain West, maintaining stress on rangelands and dryland summer crops. July Crop Summary Hot, dry weather dominated the Western half of the Nation, while rain and below-normal temperatures reigned in the East. Temperatures reached 100 degrees throughout the West. In the Pacific Northwest, very little rain fell and temperatures were well above normal for most of the month. These hot, dry conditions increased irrigation needs and stressed dryland crops, but aided maturation and harvest of small grains. Rainfall from Hurricane Claudette and scattered showers in the Southwest did little to provide widespread drought relief. In the Rocky Mountains, above-normal temperatures and a lack of precipitation lowered crop and pasture conditions. In the Great Plains, high temperatures and dry weather stressed crops but accelerated progress. Temperatures were near- to below-normal for most of the month in the Corn Belt, with periods of heavy rainfall alternating with periods of little to no rain, slowing progress for most crops but maintaining conditions. In the Delta and Southeast, moderate to heavy precipitation and cooler than normal temperatures slowed crop development but improved condition. Favorable early-month conditions in the Ohio Valley and Atlantic Coast States gave way to heavy rainfall, with flooding in some areas. As of July 27, the corn crop was 70 percent at or beyond the silking stage and 10 percent was at or beyond the dough stage. Both stages were behind their 5-year averages of 78 and 16 percent, respectively. In the Corn Belt, corn was slow to enter the silking stage but accelerated in the latter half of the month. In the Great Plains, most areas finished the month with silking of the crop near normal. Doughing also started at a slow pace in the Corn Belt as well as in the Atlantic Coast States and remained behind average at month's end. Twenty-seven percent of the soybean acreage was blooming and 3 percent was setting pods on July 13, behind their respective 5-year averages by 12 and 4 percentage points. At mid-month, the acreage blooming in the Corn Belt was almost a week behind normal. By July 27, acreage blooming was at 69 percent, just 7 points behind average. However, the acreage setting pods was at 21 percent, falling to 13 points behind average. By month's end, blooming was near normal in the northern Great Plains but stilled lagged well behind average in the Corn Belt and the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Pod setting slowly gained momentum during the last week of July due to warmer temperatures. Progress was well behind normal in all areas except the interior Delta, where progress was normal. In the 18 States, 66 percent of the soybean crop was rated as good to excellent on July 27, compared with only 45 percent last year at this time. The Nation's cotton acreage was 89 percent at the squaring stage or beyond on July 27, five points behind the 5-year average. On this same date, 54 percent of the crop was at the boll setting stage or beyond, 18 points behind average. This compares to mid-month, when acreage squaring was 13 points behind average and acreage setting bolls was 11 points behind average. By the end of the month, squaring was nearly complete in the Delta and most of the Southeast, but was a week behind normal in South Carolina and Texas, and 3 weeks behind normal in Arizona and Virginia. Boll setting progressed slowly in the Southeast and adjacent areas due to below normal temperatures. Setting bolls was farthest behind in Virginia, where progress trailed the 5-year average by over 50 percentage points. In Texas, boll setting was 25 points behind average although defoliation activities were well underway in the southern cotton-producing areas. Eighty-eight percent of the winter wheat crop was harvested by July 27, slightly ahead of the 5-year average of 87 percent. In the Pacific Northwest and Rocky Mountains, harvest began around mid-month as hot and dry weather accelerated maturation and aided harvest. Corn Belt farmers, who normally complete their winter wheat harvest by the end of July, were not able to do so this year because of intermittent showers. In the Great Plains, where hot, dry weather promoted maturation and fieldwork, farmers in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas completed their winter wheat harvest on time, and Nebraska and South Dakota farmers harvested their crop ahead of normal. As of July 27, ninety-eight percent of the spring wheat crop and 99 percent of the barley crop had headed, compared to 5-year averages of 96 percent for both crops. By the middle of the July, Washington's barley crop was 100 percent headed and both Washington's and South Dakota's spring wheat crop was 100 percent headed. Idaho's spring wheat and barley crops were both 100 percent headed by the end of the month. Both crops were ahead of normal pace in Minnesota, Montana, and North Dakota. Hot, dry conditions across most of the barley and spring wheat areas promoted rapid development but caused some stress to the crops. Both crops began the month with three-fourths of the acreage rated good or excellent, but ended the month with only about 60 percent of the acreage rated good or excellent. Heading of the oat crop was complete shortly after mid-month, ahead of the 5-year average. Pennsylvania, where the oat crop was planted late, was the only State that was behind its 5-year average heading progress. By July 27, farmers had harvested 20 percent of the oat crop Nationwide, 8 percentage points behind the 5-year average. In Nebraska and South Dakota, where warm, dry weather prevailed, farmers were slightly ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace. Elsewhere, harvest progress lagged behind the normal pace. In Ohio and Pennsylvania, where heavy rains dominated the weather, farmers were about 30 percentage points behind the average harvest pace. The Nation's rice crop was 45 percent headed on July 27, slightly ahead of the 5-year average of 42 percent. After slow progress during the first half of the month, development of the crop in Arkansas, California, and Texas accelerated and ended the month at, or slightly ahead of normal. Mississippi and Missouri rice made good progress throughout the month and ended the month a week ahead of their average heading pace. Despite delayed heading in Louisiana, 11 percent of the State's rice crop had been harvested by July 27, as had 5 percent of Texas' crop. On July 6, ninety-six percent of the Nation's sorghum crop was planted, 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average for this date. Heading progressed slower than normal due to delayed planting in most areas, and on July 27, was 36 percent headed, 11 points behind average. However, the crop turned color at near normal pace, and on July 27, acreage turning color was at 20 percent, 1 point behind the 5-year average. Development of the crop in the Corn Belt and Great Plains was behind the 5-year average, but the Delta progressed ahead of the normal pace. The peanut crop progressed well during the month. Despite a slow start, 85 percent of the crop had reached the pegging stage by July 27, one point behind the 5-year average. The southern Great Plains and Alabama were ahead of their 5-year averages, while the Atlantic Coast States were generally behind average. Virginia's peanut crop, which was planted late, was over 2 weeks behind the normal pegging pace. Corn for grain: U.S. farmers expect to harvest 71.9 million acres of corn for grain, down slightly from June but up 4 percent from 2002. Area to be harvested for grain was reduced in Indiana and North Carolina as significant rainfall flooded out acres. In Indiana, flooding destroyed many river bottom acres along the Wabash and White rivers and other smaller sections of fields in low lying areas. Planted area in Maryland was reduced by 20,000 acres as farmers were not able to plant originally intended corn acres due to persistent wet weather through the middle of June. Therefore, acres harvested for grain in Maryland were also reduced. The change in planted and harvested acres in Maryland is offset by increases of the same amount in Oklahoma. As of July 27, sixty-nine percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, a decrease of 6 percentage points from the end of June but 27 percentage points above a year ago. Temperatures were below normal for most of the central and eastern Corn Belt with good precipitation received. Large yield increases are expected in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio as all are rebounding from last year's drought. Decreases from last year are expected in Iowa and Minnesota. However, both States set a record yield in 2002 when favorable temperatures and timely rainfall were received during most of the growing season. Hot temperatures and mostly dry weather in the western Corn Belt and central Great Plains occurred during pollination. However, most States in these areas are expecting yield increases from 2002 as conditions are less severe than last year. One exception is Colorado as yields are forecast to be down as more lower yielding non-irrigated acres are expected to be harvested for grain compared to last year. The August 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest stalk and ear counts on record for the combined seven Objective Yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio, and Wisconsin). Of the 26 non-Objective Yield States, yields in 20 States are expected to be higher than in 2002. Large increases are expected in Kentucky, Maryland, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Virginia. Corn planting began in early April with rapid progress made during the month in the Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Ohio Valley due to warm, dry early-spring weather. Planting progressed well ahead of normal in the Corn Belt, excluding Nebraska, and the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. In early-May, scattered showers delayed planting across most of the Corn Belt with most States falling behind average by mid-month. However, Ohio remained ahead of their average pace. Across the Atlantic Coast States, the combination of frequent precipitation and below-normal temperatures hindered planting and development up until mid-spring. A rapid planting pace in late-May did not erase the progress deficit. Nationally, 95 percent of the corn had been planted by June 1, one percentage point behind the 5-year average. Warm temperatures accelerated germination and emergence in late-May in Michigan. Saturated fields prolonged emergence in the Tennessee Valley. As of July 27, the corn crop was 70 percent at or beyond the silking stage and 10 percent was at or beyond the dough stage. Both stages were behind their 5-year averages of 78 and 16 percent, respectively. In the Corn Belt, corn was slow to enter the silking stage but accelerated in the latter half of the month. In the Great Plains, most areas finished the month with silking of the crop near normal. Sorghum: The first production forecast for the 2003 crop year is 448 million bushels, up 21 percent from 2002. Based on August 1 conditions, the sorghum yield is forecast at 54.4 bushels per acre, up 3.7 bushels from last year. Current yields are expected to equal or exceed last year's yields in every State. Sorghum planted for all purposes in 2003 is estimated at 9.78 million acres, up 300,000 acres from the June estimate. Acreage was revised due to additional acreage being planted in Texas behind abandoned cotton. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain, at 8.24 million acres, is up 1 percent from the June estimate and up 13 percent from the 2002 harvested acreage. Texas growers expect to harvest 2.65 million acres, up 150,000 from June. Kansas producers expect to harvest 3.40 million acres for grain, up 400,000 acres from 2002. Colorado producers expect to harvest 250,000 acres for grain, up 160,000 acres from a year ago. Most of the sorghum growing regions experienced favorable early summer growing conditions. However, in the southern Great Plains, July became hot and dry. Sorghum development progressed behind normal during July, with 36 percent at or beyond the heading stage, 11 points below the 5-year average, and 20 percent turning color, 1 point behind the average, on July 27. Sorghum heading in both Kansas and Texas was 15 points behind the 5-year average, and Illinois was 20 points behind. As of July 27, sorghum was rated 40 percent good to excellent, down from 49 percent the previous week. Oats: Production for 2003 is forecast at 151 million bushels, 2 percent above the July 1 forecast and 27 percent above last year's 119 million bushels. Area for harvest is estimated at 2.33 million acres, 2 percent more than July 1 and 11 percent more than last year. The forecasted yield is 64.9 bushels per acre, 0.2 bushels above the July 1 forecast and up 8.1 bushels from 2002. Even though crop condition in the central Great Plains and Corn Belt, yield continued as expected or better than expected. Record yields are expected in Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, and Michigan. Above-normal temperatures during July hindered vegetative growth along the Pacific Coast and Intermountain Basin Region. In North Dakota, yield decreased 9 bushels from July, due to unusually hot, dry conditions deteriorating crop conditions while promoting development during the month. Growers continued to overcome wet field conditions in the Ohio Valley. The lack of precipitation lowered yield from last year in Texas. Barley: Production for 2003 is forecast at 281 million bushels, down 3 percent from the July forecast but 24 percent above 2002. Based on August 1 conditions, producers expect to harvest an average of 57.5 bushels per acre, down 2.0 bushels from July but up 2.6 bushels from last year. Area harvested, at 4.90 million acres, is unchanged from the July estimate but up 18 percent from 2002. Declines in yield and production from last month were concentrated in the Northwestern States of Montana, Idaho, Washington, and Oregon. Delaware, Pennsylvania, and Virginia also posted declines. Yields in the Northwest have been limited by hot, dry conditions while yields in the East have been diminished by excessive rainfall. The remaining States have been experiencing good conditions. By July 27, crop development in all States was ahead of the 5-year average. Fifty-nine percent of the crop was rated good to excellent. Winter Wheat: Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 36.5 million, unchanged from last month but up 23 percent from last year. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing States had reached 88 percent complete by July 27. This is 1 percentage point ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. Hard Red Winter (HRW) harvest was nearly complete in the central and southern Great Plains. Harvest was virtually complete in most Soft Red Winter (SRW) States. Forecasted yields in most major HRW States continue well above last year, with record highs in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Nebraska. Hot, dry weather across the Plains during July led to rapid crop ripening and harvest progress. Yield forecasts are mixed again this month across the SRW States. Slight increases from last month are forecast in most Corn Belt States, with record yields in Illinois and Missouri. Declines are recorded in the Atlantic Coast States. Harvest revealed yields much lower than previously expected in Delaware, Maryland, and Pennsylvania, due largely to excessive moisture during the flowering stage. In Idaho, excellent irrigated winter wheat yields are expected to offset poor dryland yields. Lack of moisture in Oregon since the beginning of June has reduced yields, however they are still above last year. Durum Wheat: Area harvested for grain is forecast at 2.74 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 1 percent from last year. In North Dakota (which accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. harvested acreage), 67 percent of the Durum crop was rated good to excellent as of July 27. This is a decline of 19 percentage points from one month earlier. The major Durum growing area of the State has received well below average precipitation this season. In Montana, July brought record heat and very little rain. As a result, crop development has been rapid but yield prospects have declined. Other Spring Wheat: Area harvested for grain is forecast at 13.4 million acres, unchanged from last month but down slightly from last year. Acreage was 13 percent harvested as of August 3 in the six major producing States, 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest had begun in all six States. Minnesota growers experienced warm, dry weather during the first part of July, ideal for crop development. Topsoil moisture in the northwest portion of the State, where most of the spring wheat is grown, has been adequate to surplus throughout the growing season. North Dakota experienced mostly mild temperatures during July; however, precipitation has been below average for all districts except the southeast and central. The South Dakota forecasted yield is a record high. During the month of July, Montana experienced very hot conditions with temperatures routinely over 100 degrees and most days in the 90 degree range. Lack of moisture in the Pacific Northwest (Idaho, Oregon, and Washington) is dampening yield prospects, especially in dryland areas. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.96 billion pounds up 19 percent from last year's crop but down 7 percent from 2001. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.28 million acres, 5 percent above the June estimate but down 2 percent from 2002. Yields are expected to average a record high 3,102 pounds per acre, 544 pounds per acre above the 2002 level. Planted acres, at 1.32 million, are 5 percent above the June estimate but 3 percent below 2002. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.61 billion pounds, up 37 percent from last year's level. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average 3,070 pounds per acres, 637 pounds above 2002. Expected acreage for harvest, at 849,000 acres, is up 6 percent from the June estimate and up 8 percent from the previous year. Planted acres, at 864,000, are up 6 percent from June and up 7 percent from 2002. As of July 27, peanuts pegging in Alabama, at 87 percent, exceeded the 5-year average by 11 percentage points. Florida peanuts pegging, at 90 percent, were ahead of average by 5 percentage points. Georgia peanuts pegging, at 88 percent, lagged the 5-year average by 4 percentage points. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 379 million pounds, up 15 percent from 2002. Yield is forecast at 2,850 pounds per acre, up 750 pounds per acre from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 133,000 acres, up 11 percent from June but down 15 percent from the previous year. Planted acres are up 12 percent from June but down 16 percent from 2002. As of July 27, the North Carolina peanut crop had reached 85 percent pegging, 5 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Virginia peanuts pegging, at 50 percent, lagged the 5-year average by 32 percentage points. Heavy spring moisture with few drying days during planting season delayed the Virginia peanut crop. The Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 976 million pounds, down 10 percent from 2002. Yields are expected to average 3,307 pounds per acre for the region, 260 pounds above the 2002 level. Record yields are forecast for Oklahoma and Texas as peanut acreage continues to move out of dryland production, leaving a greater percent of higher yielding irrigated acres. The region's acreage for harvest, at 295,000 acres, is down 2 percent from June and 17 percent below the 2002 level. Acres planted to peanuts in the region are down 2 percent from June and 19 percent from 2002. Peanuts pegging in Oklahoma, at 96 percent complete on July 27, were 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Texas peanuts pegging, at 80 percent complete, exceeded the 5-year average by 1 percentage point. Rice: Production is forecast at 195 million cwt, down 8 percent from last year and down 9 percent from 2001. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.97 million acres, unchanged from the June acreage estimate but down 7 percent from last year. Rice plantings, at 2.99 million acres, were also unchanged from the June estimate. Yields are forecast at 6,577 pounds per acre, down 1 pound from 2002. Record high yields are forecast to be established or tied in Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, and Texas. As of July 27, crop development was equal to or ahead of normal in all rice producing States, except Louisiana which lagged the 5-year average by 6 percentage points. Forty-five percent of the rice was headed compared with the 5-year average of 42 percent. Rice harvest is underway in Louisiana and Texas. Crop condition was rated 68 percent good to excellent across the rice producing States. Soybeans: Area planted, at 73.7 million acres, is unchanged from June, but down slightly from 2002. U.S. farmers expect to harvest 72.6 million acres, down 55,000 acres from the June estimate but up 1 percent from the 2002 acreage. Area for harvest was reduced in Indiana due to flooding and reduced in Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia as persistent wet weather did not allow producers to plant all of their acreage. As of July 27, sixty-six percent of the soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 21 percentage points more than the same week in 2002. During July, adequate moisture supplies and below normal temperatures improved crop condition, but limited crop development in the Corn Belt, Delta, and Southeast. Yields are at or above last year's level in all States except Iowa, Minnesota, and Oklahoma. The largest increases are expected in Ohio, the Southeast, and along the Atlantic Coast as last year's levels were reduced by drought conditions. Ninety-six percent of the soybean crop had been planted by June 29, compared to 99 percent a year ago and the average of 98 percent. Planting progress in the eastern Corn Belt and Delta States lagged behind normal at the end of June. Elsewhere, Kentucky was almost 3 weeks behind the average pace, while North Carolina was 1 week behind normal. In the seven major soybean producing States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio), the average planting date was 2 days ahead last year. On July 27, sixty-nine percent of the crop was blooming, 4 percentage points behind last year and 7 points behind the average. Twenty-one percent of the acreage was setting pods, compared to last year's 31 percent and the 5-year average of 34 percent. Cotton: Upland cotton growers planted 13.5 million acres, down 2 percent from the June estimate and a year ago. Growers are expected to harvest 12.1 million acres, 60,000 acres less than the previous year. American-Pima cotton producers planted 180,000 acres, down 63,900 acres from last year. Expected harvested area, at 178,400 acres, is down 26 percent from last year. Cotton farmers in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia) experienced wet weather throughout much of the planting season. Although much of the rain was needed, some growers were concerned whether they would ever get their crop planted. Development in the Carolinas and Virginia was slow, but has progressed rapidly throughout the last half of July. Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) had near ideal planting conditions in late April and early May, except in the northern areas of Missouri and Tennessee, where growers were faced with flooded fields and replanting. Cool nighttime temperatures toward the middle of June slowed crop development. Excessive weed problems arose due to the abundance of spring rains. The crop made good progress in July under ideal growing conditions, although development varied widely from normal to three weeks behind average. Upland cotton producers in the Rio Grande Valley began planting in early March and by early April good stands were evident throughout the Valley. By early May, planting was underway in the Texas Panhandle and in Oklahoma. By the end of May, planting in Oklahoma, Kansas, and central Texas was virtually complete. Timely rains aided germination. Dryland acreage on the High Plains also received some timely rains, allowing planting to proceed. During the month of June, high winds and hail damaged some High Plains cotton. The crop in this region was up to one month behind in development as the hot, dry weather did not arrive until July. Hurricane Claudette hit the Texas coast, but damage to the cotton crop was limited. New Mexico and west Texas growers were faced with strong winds and slow development throughout the spring, but high temperatures in June and July stimulated growth. Upland cotton planting in California was delayed by spring rains and cool temperatures. The crop was as much as a month behind in development, but the extremely warm June and July weather allowed the crop to catch up. Arizona upland cotton was stressed by record high temperatures in July, keeping irrigation demands high. American-Pima production is forecast at 450,500 bales, down 34 percent from last year's output. The decrease in production is attributed to a decrease in acreage, a reaction to abundant supplies and weak prices. The U.S. Pima yield is forecast at 1,212 pounds per harvested acre, 130 pounds below the record high set the previous year. California growers expect yields of 1,256 pounds per acre, down 130 pounds from their record high established in 2002. The cool, wet spring in California delayed some of the planting and led to substantial replanting. However, hot, July weather accelerated development of the late planted cotton, allowing the Pima crop to catch up to normal maturity by the end of the month. Ginnings totaled 28,500 running bales prior to August 1, compared with 55,600 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 99,000 running bales in 2001. Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 24.3 million cwt in 2003, down 19 percent from last year but 24 percent above two years ago. Acreage adjustments since the June Acreage Report lowered planted acreage estimates 1 percent and reduced harvested expectations by 2 percent. Planted area is now estimated at 1.50 million acres, 22 percent below last year but 5 percent greater than two years ago. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.42 million acres, down 18 percent from last year but 14 percent above 2001. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,717 pounds per acre, a loss of 19 pounds from last year but 148 pounds more than two years ago. Production is expected to be below last year in 12 of the 18 producing States. These decreases are mostly the result of lower acreage. Michigan's production forecast is down 38 percent from 2002, while North Dakota's prospects are 17 percent below last year. Nebraska and Minnesota are down 15 percent and 16 percent, respectively. Colorado growers expect a 24 percent drop in production, while Idaho and California are declining 16 percent and 12 percent, respectively. Decreases in other States range from 46 percent in Washington to 5 percent in Texas and Wisconsin. Planting in Michigan was delayed by cool, wet weather in early-June. By late-June, planting was complete. Growing conditions have been favorable and the crop was rated 62 percent good to excellent at the beginning of August. North Dakota had cool, wet weather the first three weeks of May which delayed planting. Conditions improved during late-May into early-June and growers were able to finish planting by mid-June. Crop development is behind schedule due to the late start and below normal temperatures. Nebraska's crop condition is good to excellent and the crop is progressing ahead of schedule. The Minnesota dry bean crop condition was rated as 57 percent good to excellent as of August 1. Heavy rains and wet conditions have caused damage to the crop in some areas. Idaho weather has been warmer than usual, with 17 days over 100 degrees, making it challenging for growers to keep up with water demands. California growers report good overall growth. However, recent hot weather is stressing the crop. Conditions in Colorado have been hot and dry during July which hastened crop development ahead of schedule after a late start in June. The crop is currently in mostly good to excellent condition. Growing conditions are also good in New York. Oregon's weather has been warm and sunny with below normal rainfall. Texas is having a normal year with the biggest concern being the drought in the panhandle region. In Utah, it has been extremely hot and dry during late-June and early-July. Recent rainfall should help the crop. Washington's crop condition is mostly good to excellent at this time. Wisconsin growers are experiencing dry weather. The condition of Wyoming's crop is good although irrigation supplies are short to very short in over half the State. U.S. planted area of black, navy, and pinto beans are down 52 percent, 45 percent, and 14 percent from last year, respectively. Lima beans are up 3 percent for large but down 33 percent for baby. Kidney beans are up 6 percent for light but down 11 percent for dark. Pink bean acreage is down 1 percent but small red is up 12 percent while chickpea (garbanzo) acreage has fallen 37 percent. Small chickpea acreage is 9,500 acres while large chickpea acreage is 42,500 acres. This is the first year for these estimates which were added because of the 2002 Farm Bill. Great Northern acreage is up 15 percent, while cranberry and small white are down 30 and 9 percent, respectively. Black eyes are up 5 percent. Pinto beans make up 47 percent of planted dry bean acreage this year; navies account for 13 percent; blacks have 6 percent; kidney beans combine for 9 percent; and great northern take 7 percent. The remaining 18 percent are distributed among the other classes. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 78.0 million tons, up 6 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3.31, up 0.12 ton from last year. Harvested area is 23.5 million acres, unchanged from the June estimate but up 2 percent from 2002. The yield, in all but 9 States, is the same or above last year's level with most areas receiving adequate moisture. Growers in Minnesota and Wisconsin expect lower yields than last year due to a harsh winter and dry July weather. New York's wet condition resulted in more hay being cut for haylage. In the Southwest, hot, dry weather during the growing season resulted in a lower yield forecast compared to last year. In the Ohio Valley and along the central Atlantic Coast, abundant rain throughout the season led to higher yields. Other Hay: Production is forecast at 82.1 million tons, up 6 percent from 2002. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 2.01 tons, up 8 percent from last year and if realized would be at a record high. Harvested acreage is estimated at 40.8 million, unchanged from the June estimate but down 1 percent from 2002. Yields are the same or above last year's level for all states except Arkansas, Idaho, Montana, New York, Texas, and Wisconsin. Record yields are forecast for Georgia, Nebraska, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia due to abundant rainfall during the growing season. The abundant amount of rain in the Ohio Valley contributed to higher yields than last year. Yields in Idaho and Montana decreased from last year as a result of above average temperatures and little rain during July. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 2003 is forecast at 840 million pounds, down 5 percent from 2002 and 15 percent below 2001. If realized, this will be the smallest crop since 1908. Area for harvest is forecast at 413,710 acres, down 3 percent from 2002. Yields for 2003 are expected to average 2,031 pounds per acre, 24 pounds lower than a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco producing State, are expected to be lower than last year by 83 pounds. Kentucky, the second leading State, expects yields to average 71 pounds above a year ago. Flue-cured tobacco production is expected to total 486 million pounds, down 6 percent from both the previous forecast and the 2002 crop. Growers plan to harvest 239,000 acres in 2003, down 3 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,034 pounds, down 136 pounds from the July 1 forecast and 71 pounds lower than the previous year. Persistent wet weather in most of the flue-cured producing areas has caused an overall reduction in yield potential compared to the July forecast and last year. In North Carolina, excessive rainfall has resulted in disease problems and reduced crop growth. In Virginia, the crop is experiencing problems such as leaching of fertilizer, early blooming, and poor root development. Burley production is expected to total 291 million pounds, 3 percent below a year ago. Yields are expected to average 1,949 pounds per acre, up 57 pounds from 2002. Burley growers plan to harvest 149,200 acres, 6 percent below a year ago. Kentucky's acreage, at 97,000, is 6 percent below last year. Abundant moisture across much of the State has resulted in improved yield prospects over last year's drought-stressed crop. Blue mold has been reported in many areas but insect pressure is minimal. Fire-cured tobacco production is expected to total 33.3 million pounds, down 4 percent from 2002. Growers plan to harvest 11,200 acres, 2 percent above a year ago. The expected average yield is 2,977 pounds per acre, 205 pounds lower than the previous year. Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production is expected to total 4.57 million pounds, down 4 percent from 2002. Average yields are expected to increase 37 pounds from last year. A total of 2,800 acres is expected to be harvested this year, down 7 percent from 2002. Dark air-cured production is expected to total 10.3 million pounds, down 3 percent from 2002. Growers plan to harvest 4,010 acres, 5 percent more than last year. Yields are expected to average 2,581 pounds per acre, down 209 pounds from last year. All Cigar types production is expected to total 15.0 million pounds, up 13 percent from last year. Overall yield is expected to average 1,997 pounds per acre, up 5 pounds from 2002. Growers of Cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 7,500 acres, 13 percent above a year ago. Sugarbeets: Production for 2003 is forecast at 30.5 million tons. If realized, this would be 10 percent above last year's production. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.34 million acres, up slightly from the June estimate but 1 percent below last year. The yield is forecast at 22.7 tons per acre, 2.3 tons above 2002 and, if realized, would be the second highest yield on record. Favorable weather conditions prevailed over most of the sugarbeet areas with the exception of the northern Rockies. Colorado, Idaho, and Montana growers relied heavily on irrigation to offset the effects of the July heat which has set records in Montana. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2003 is forecast at 34.5 million tons, 3 percent below last year. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 995,000 acres for sugar and seed during the 2003 crop year, 3 percent less than last year's final harvested acres. Yield is forecast at 34.7 tons per acre, equal to 2002. Florida, Louisiana, and Texas report favorable rainfall for sugarcane production. Hawaii's current dry spell has not affected this year's forecast. Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 14,700 tons, down 6 percent from last year and 31 percent below 2001. Washington's forecast, at 5,000 tons, is down 7 percent from 2002 and 11 percent below 2001. A long, cool spring adversely impacted Washington's prune and plum crop. Isolated pockets of frost also reduced the crop size. The Oregon forecast, at 3,700 tons, is down 54 percent from 2002 and 59 percent below 2001. Cold, wet weather conditions during pollination reduced fruit set for the 2003 season. Michigan's production is forecast at 3,000 tons, 12 times larger than the frost devastated crop of 2002 but down 17 percent from the 2001 crop. Michigan prunes and plums overwintered well and are expected to produce a good crop after last year's frost devastated crop. Pollination conditions were good and resulted in a heavy fruit set. The Idaho forecast is 3,000 tons, 50 percent larger than last year's frost reduced crop but equal to the production in 2001. During fruit set, the Idaho crop was affected by cold, wet weather but not to the extent of the 2002 crop. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.38 million pounds for July 2003, up 6 percent from last month but 14 percent below July 2002. Area in crop totaled 2,175 acres, unchanged from last month but 4 percent less than July 2002. Harvested area totaled 1,580 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but 6 percent lower than a year ago. Weather conditions were variable during July with adequate showers and sunshine over major papaya producing areas. Non-irrigated orchards have adequate soil moisture. Hops: Hop production in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 53.8 million pounds for 2003, down 8 percent from last year and 20 percent less than the 2001 crop. Acreage strung for harvest, at 28,346 acres, is 3 percent below 2002 and 21 percent below the acreage strung for harvest two years ago. Yield is estimated at 1,898 pounds per acre for the Pacific Northwest, 92 pounds less than 2002 but 37 pounds more than 2001. Washington's yield is forecast at 2,030 pounds per acre for the 2003 crop, 103 pounds less than last year. Oregon's yield is forecast at 1,700 pounds per acre, up 8 pounds from 2002. In Idaho, yields are expected to average 1,490 pounds per acre, 134 pounds lower than a year ago. Only Oregon is forecasting an increase in total production over the 2002 crop. In Washington, the hop crop looks mostly good to fair. Water availability has not been an issue this summer and growers have kept powdery mildew under control throughout the season. Harvest is expected to be underway by mid to late August. In Oregon, crop growth is behind this season due to cool spring temperatures. Vegetative growth has been a bit light but is expected to improve through the end of the season. Idaho's crop had a good set but there could be some crop stress if the hot weather persists. Olives: The 2003 California olive crop is forecast at 115,000 tons, 12 percent above the previous year's crop of 103,000 tons but 14 percent below the 2001 production. The increase reflects the high year of an alternate bearing cycle. However, production in this high year is not as large as expected due to adverse weather. The cool, wet spring delayed bloom in most locations. Temperatures then increased, resulting in an uneven bloom and spotty fruit set. Manzanillo and Servillano varieties are expected to account for 74 percent and 13 percent of total production, respectively. All Other varieties make up the remaining 13 percent. Peaches: The August 2003 forecast of U.S. peach production is 2.62 billion pounds, virtually unchanged from the July forecast but 2 percent above 2002. Michigan's crop expectations were increased from 42.0 million pounds to 52.0 million pounds. South Carolina's production forecast decreased by 10.0 million pounds to 110 million. New Jersey's forecast decreased from 80.0 million to 75.0 million pounds, while Pennsylvania and Washington were unchanged from July at 70.0 million and 60.0 million pounds, respectively. The peach crop in Michigan continues to size well. The crop is 7 to 10 days behind schedule due to a cool spring. Early and mid-season varieties are being harvested. Skin color and fruit size have been good. Redhaven harvest began the first week of August in the southwest. During July, the New Jersey peach crop experienced changing growing conditions. High temperatures during the day and cool temperatures during the night did not benefit fruit sizing. Scattered thunderstorms around the State also caused some fruit damage. Harvesting of peaches is 7 to 14 days behind schedule. Quality is reported to be fair to excellent. Harvest will continue through the end of September. The Pennsylvania peach crop is reported in good condition with about a quarter of the crop harvested as of the beginning of August. Quality is good and fruit size is larger than last year. A few orchards have been quarantined because of the Plum Pox virus. In South Carolina, persistent precipitation hindered spring pollination and has caused greater than average fruit drop and rot. In Washington, a combination of a long, cool spring and frost reduced prospects for the peach crop. In July, almost no precipitation has been recorded; however, mountain snowpack has been near normal so there has been little concern about the availability of irrigation water. The U.S. Freestone crop, as of August 1, is forecast at 1.47 billion pounds, up 1 percent from 2002 but 1 percent below 2001. The California Freestone crop stands at 770 million pounds, down 3 percent from last year and 1 percent below 2001. California's Clingstone crop is 1.15 billion pounds, 2 percent above last year and 21 percent greater than the 2001 season. Apples: The first production forecast for the 2003 crop year is 9.27 billion pounds, up 8 percent from last year but 2 percent below 2001. Compared to 2002, production increases in the Eastern and Central States more than offset a projected decrease in the Western States. The Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, WA) production is forecast at 5.67 billion pounds, down 5 percent from last year and 3 percent below 2001. Washington, which makes up 53 percent of the U.S. production, is forecasting 4.90 billion pounds of apples. Washington is down 5 percent from last year and 3 percent below 2001. While conditions have generally been favorable in Washington this season, some scattered frost and hail damage were reported. Also, there are reports of spotty bloom and reports of lower production in some of the new varieties due to the alternate bearing cycle. A mild spring with few weather related problems paved the way for a promising California crop, forecast at 510 million pounds. Fruit is sizing and developing well and harvest should yield a high percentage of clean, unmarked fruit. Oregon's production is forecast at 120 million pounds. Poor weather during pollination reduced Oregon's production from last year's bumper crop. Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV) is forecast at 2.28 billion pounds, up 27 percent from last year but 1 percent below 2001. New York's crop is forecast at 1.02 billion pounds, up 50 percent from last year's weather reduced crop and 2 percent above 2001. Conditions were excellent in New York during bloom, and fruit set is in good condition. Pennsylvania's forecast of 440 million pounds is an increase of 19 percent from 2002 but is 8 percent below 2001. Conditions have generally been good. A crop of 300 million pounds is forecast for Virginia, 20 percent greater than last year but 3 percent below 2001. Conditions were favorable during bloom and above-average spring and summer rain contributed to large fruit size. Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, WI) is forecast at 1.31 billion pounds, an increase of 64 percent from 2002 and 3 percent above 2001. Michigan's production forecast is 970 million pounds, up 94 percent from last year's weather reduced crop and 4 percent above 2001. Michigan experienced a heavy bloom set and recent rains have enhanced sizing. Some widely scattered hail damage is reported. Ohio's forecast is 86.0 million pounds, 23 percent above 2002 but equal to 2001. Conditions have been wetter than normal through the spring and summer. Production in Wisconsin is forecast at 69.0 million pounds, up 19 percent from 2002 and 11 percent above 2001. Fruit quality is rated better than last season, with adequate rainfall occurring early in the growing season. Pears: U.S. pear production for 2003 is forecast at 933,250 tons, up 7 percent from last year but 7 percent below 2001. Bartlett pear production for California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 470,000 tons, 4 percent below the June forecast but 5 percent higher than a year ago. Other pear production in the Pacific Coast States is expected to total 435,000 tons, 8 percent above last year and up 1 percent from 2001. Bartlett production for California is forecast at 220,000 tons, down 6 percent from the June forecast and 5 percent below 2002. Harvesting is underway in the River District and the Marysville/Yuba areas. Small fruit sizes have been noted in the River District. In the Marysville/Yuba areas fruit quality is good, although some hail damage has been reported. In the Mendocino area harvesting has not begun and is expected to be behind schedule. Fruit size and volume appear to be below average. Harvesting is expected to begin in Lake County around the middle of August. Crop development has been slow and volume is expected to be light. However, the overall quality of the crop is good with little hail damage. Production in Oregon is forecast at 65,000 tons, down 7 percent from the previous forecast but 12 percent above 2002. Cold and wet weather during the spring season led to poor pollination and fruit set. Hot temperatures this summer caused sunburn damage and affected fruit size. In Washington, Bartlett production is forecast at 185,000 tons, unchanged from the June forecast but up 17 percent from the previous season. Irrigation supplies have been adequate this season and growers are gearing up to harvest a large crop of Bartletts. Harvest is projected to start as early as August 9th in the Yakima district and is expected to begin around the third week in August in the Wenatchee district. Fruit quality is better than average with no frost marking problems reported. Other pear production in California is forecast at 30,000 tons, unchanged from both 2002 and 2001. Harvesting of Red and Seckel pears is underway. No significant problems with the crop have been reported. In Oregon, the other pear production is forecast at 155,000 tons, 10 percent above last year but 3 percent below 2001. Production in Washington is forecast at 250,000 tons, 8 percent above a year ago and 3 percent more than 2001. Irrigation supplies have remained adequate under abnormally hot conditions in the north central Columbia Basin. Harvest is expected to start the first week of September. Fruit set is reported to be excellent this year with the Anjou pears faring particularly well. Size and quality are both good. The pear crop in New York is forecast at 15,000 tons, up 50 percent from last year and 36 percent more than two years ago. Growing conditions have been very good this year. Pennsylvania pear production is forecast at 4,100 tons, 8 percent above last year but 25 percent below the 2001 crop. The Michigan pear crop is forecast at 4,800 tons, over 3 times the weather damaged 2002 crop. Michigan pears overwintered well. Pollination activity was good and resulted in a heavy fruit set. Growers report good quality fruit with little hail damage. Production in Connecticut is forecast at 1,150 tons, more than double the previous year. A wet, cool spring caused bloom to be late but moderate. Set is reported as average with fruit size medium to large. In Colorado, production is forecast at 2,800 tons, 17 percent above last year's crop and 47 percent greater than the 2001 crop. Producers with frost protection devices fared well this year. Pear production in Utah is forecast at 400 tons, up 14 percent from the previous season and 33 percent above the 2001 crop. Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is revised to 7.50 million pounds (parchment basis) for the 2002-03 season, down 12 percent from the December 2002 estimate and 6 percent below the previous crop year. Smaller than expected harvest on Kauai, Molokai, Maui, and Oahu more than offset increased production from the Kona districts. Production on Kauai was down because of the low year in the alternate bearing cycle. Coffee operations on Molokai, Maui, and Oahu had some fields that received minimal care or were totally neglected resulting in unharvested fields during 2002-03. Grapes: U.S. grape production is forecast at 7.06 million tons, down 4 percent from 2002 but 7 percent above 2001. California leads the U.S. in grape production with 89 percent of the total. Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 5 percent and 3 percent, respectively. California's all grape forecast, at 6.29 million tons, is unchanged from the July forecast but 6 percent below 2002. Washington expects to harvest 345,000 tons, up 4 percent from 2002. New York's forecast, at 205,000 tons, is 31 percent above last year. California's wine type grape production is expected to total 3.05 million tons, 48 percent of California's total grape crop. The production forecast for wine type varieties is unchanged from July but 3 percent below 2002. The wine grape harvest is expected to begin by mid-August in the San Joaquin Valley. Quality is expected to be very good. California's raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.50 million tons, 40 percent of California's total grape crop. Production of raisin varieties is unchanged from the July forecast but down 12 percent from last year. Thompson Seedless variety grapes are currently being picked for fresh use in the San Joaquin Valley. Production of table type grapes is forecast at 740,000 tons, 12 percent of the total California crop. The table type production forecast is unchanged from the July forecast but up less than 1 percent from last season. Harvest of table grapes is active in the San Joaquin Valley with good color and maturity reported. Fruit cracking caused by high heat and humidity was reported in some vineyards. Flame Seedless, Black Maroo, Black Emerald, and Princess are some of the varieties being harvested. Washington's production is forecast at 345,000 tons, up 4 percent from 2002. Production of both juice and wine varieties is expected to increase. Wine grape production is forecast at a record high 125,000 tons, 9 percent greater than last season. The larger crop is primarily due to an increase in bearing acres. The juice type grape forecast, at 220,000 tons, is 1 percent above last year. In Benton County, a major Concord producing area, bud break was reported to have occured about a week early. Irrigation water supplies are reported to be adequate. Grape production for New York is forecast at 205,000 tons, up 31 percent from 2002. Generally favorable spring and summer weather conditions have resulted in a more positive production outlook compared to last year's freeze-damaged crop. Cluster counts are reported to be heavy. However, some areas report heavy disease pressure caused by wet weather. Michigan's grape production is forecast at 80,000 tons, up 87 percent from 2002. After two consecutive years of freeze-damaged crops, juice grape growers are anticipating a good year. Berry counts and cluster counts are both reported to be significantly above average. Some growers are thinning to increase the sugar content before harvest. The wine grape growing region in northwestern Michigan experienced a hard frost in early March. Many growers in that area of the State expect to harvest very little production in 2003. Pennsylvania's grape production is forecast at 70,000 tons, up 32 percent from 2002. Weather conditions were ideal during bloom and berry set. Large clusters have been observed, and fruit set is reported to be heavy. However, crop development is about 10 days behind normal due to a late blooming date. In some areas, producers are thinning in order to boost sugar levels. Ginger Root: Hawaii ginger root production for the 2002-03 season is estimated at 7.40 million pounds, down 49 percent from the previous season. Production for this season reached levels not seen since the mid 1990s. Harvested acreage, at 200 acres, declined 37 percent from 2002. Average yields decreased 8,000 pounds from the previous season to 37,000 pounds per harvested acre. The declines in area harvested, yield, and production are attributed to disease and low prices. Florida Citrus: Rainfall in July was above average in many citrus growing areas as a result of heavy bands of thunderstorms moving north from the Gulf of Mexico. The northern interior areas received the most rainfall with some areas recording over 9 inches for the month. Removal of excess water was a priority in areas with heavier soils. Many growers and caretakers were able to discontinue use of irrigation equipment as a result of the rains. Temperatures were near normal levels with highs in the middle 90s. Trees in well cared for groves were in very good condition. A good summer flush of new growth was observed on trees of all ages. New crop fruit progressed very well with good sizes reported. Caretakers were very active mowing, chopping, and discing cover crops. Hedging and topping slowed during the month. Summer sprays and fertilizers were applied. Dead trees were pushed out and burned. New resets were planted in larger groves with permanent irrigation. Herbicides were applied to weeds and vines were cut out of trees where growing out of control. California Citrus: Citrus groves were irrigated, fertilized, and treated for pests. Valencia orange harvest remained slow. Growers in the Central Valley reported good exterior quality and color with some re-greening. Lemon harvest was active in Ventura County. Fruit quality declined as the season neared completion. Marsh Ruby, Marsh Whites, and Star Ruby grapefruit varieties were harvested in the southern coastal areas. Overall quality of the Marsh Ruby was reported as good with improved exterior color resulting from warm weather. Marsh White exterior quality was reported as fair to good. Star Ruby exterior quality was reported as good to excellent. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included weed control, fungicide applications, and irrigation. Steady harvest of stone fruit varieties continued as hot weather accelerated fruit maturity. Peaches, nectarines, pluots, and plums were picked and packed. Some stone fruit orchards experienced heat and humidity related problems. Harvest of Clingstone peaches continued. Table grape harvest was reported underway in most locations with fruit color and maturity reported as generally good. Fruit cracking caused by high heat and humidity was noted in a number of vineyards by month's end. Field work in raisin, wine, and table grape vineyards included cane cutting, irrigation, cultivation, and pest control. Harvesting of Gala apples commenced in the San Joaquin Valley by the end of July. Bartlett pears were harvested with good quality reported. Harvest of Asian pears began mid-month in the Selma district. Pomegranates were irrigated and reported as sizing well. Harvest was underway for Boysenberries, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and figs. Strawberry fields were prepared for fall planting. Olive orchards were irrigated and treated for insects. Avocados were reported as developing and sizing normally. Almonds were maturing steadily with hull split observed in most orchards. Orchard floors were being prepared for harvest at the end of July. Rapid development of walnuts was observed. Walnut and pistachio orchards were being irrigated and treated for codling moths and red mite. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective Yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between July 25 and August 6 to gather information on expected yield as of August 1. The Objective Yield surveys for corn, cotton, soybeans, and wheat were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields for the Objective Yield survey (corn, cotton, soybeans, and wheat). The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, pods, or heads and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 25,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published August 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision August 1 if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the August 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain production forecast is 8.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 8.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 14.3 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 384 million bushels, ranging from 16 million bushels to 1.09 billion bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 11 times and above 9 times. This does not imply that the August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ------ Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 8.3 14.3 384 16 1,085 11 9 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 9.6 16.7 44 5 108 10 10 Oats :Bu : 10.3 17.8 17 1 58 17 3 Barley :Bu : 6.9 11.9 21 1 69 7 13 Durum Wheat :Bu : 10.5 18.2 8 0 19 6 14 Other Spring :Bu : 9.0 15.5 38 3 121 9 11 Winter Wheat :Bu : 1.1 1.9 16 0 34 5 14 Rice :Cwt : 5.1 8.7 6 1 15 14 6 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 5.9 10.1 108 19 233 10 10 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 8.1 13.9 939 34 3,911 9 11 Dry Edible Beans :Cwt : 7.5 13.0 1 0 4 10 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of units. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Hay, Oats, Weekly Crop Weather(202) 690-3234 Roy Karkosh - Barley, Sorghum, Sugar Crops(202) 690-8140 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Jim Smith - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-2127 Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250 Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on September 11, 2003. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. 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Document 0411 is a list of available reports. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. USDA Data Users' Forum October 20, 2003 Holiday Inn Mart Plaza Chicago, Illinois The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold a public forum for open exchange between Federal agricultural statistics agencies and data users on October 20, 2003. Agency representatives will provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and will seek comments from data users. The USDA's Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service, Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board, as well as the U.S. Census Bureau's Foreign Trade Division, will also participate in the forum. For registration details or additional information about the Data Users' Forum, see the NASS homepage at www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Karlyn McCutcheon of NASS at (202) 690-8141 or at karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users' Forum precedes an Industry Outlook Meeting that will be held at the same location on October 21, 2003. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register for it, contact the Livestock Marketing Information Center at (720) 544-2941 or (720) 544-2940.