Cr Pr 2-2 (5-04) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released May 12, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Down 9 Percent from 2003 All Orange Production Unchanged from April Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.55 billion bushels, down 9 percent from 2003. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 44.2 bushels per acre, 2.5 bushels less than last year. Grain area totals 35.1 million acres, down 4 percent from last season. Hard Red production is down 14 percent from a year ago to 910 million bushels. Soft Red is up 5 percent and totals 399 million bushels. White production totals 242 million bushels, down 9 percent from a year ago. The U.S. all orange May 1 forecast for the 2003-04 crop is 13.1 million tons, unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 14 percent above last season's final utilization. Florida's all orange forecast, at 245 million boxes (11.0 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 21 percent above the previous season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 126 million boxes (5.67 million tons), unchanged from last month but 13 percent above the previous season. Harvest of the early and midseason varieties is complete. Florida's Valencia forecast is 119 million boxes (5.36 million tons), unchanged from the April forecast but 31 percent above last season's final utilization. Citrus trees in Florida groves are in excellent condition with the bloom period completed in mid-March. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried over from April 1. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield projection is increased from 1.54 to 1.55 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.45 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is raised to 1.67 gallons per box from 1.64 with processors reporting very high weekly Valencia yields in spite of relatively dry weather in the citrus belt. All projections of yield assume that the processing relationships this year will be similar to those of the past several years. This report was approved on May 12, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture J. B. Penn Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Almonds. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Bananas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Citrus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Cotton Harvest Loss per Acre. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Guavas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Hay Stocks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 Papayas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Peaches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Potatoes, Spring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . .35 Taro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Tobacco by Class and Type. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Tobacco by States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Tobacco - Farm Marketings. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Wheat, Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Wheat, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Wheat, Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted May 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -- Bushels -- -------- 1,000 Bushels -------- : AR : 570 630 50.0 51.0 38,180 28,500 32,130 CA : 370 310 61.0 75.0 22,800 22,570 23,250 CO : 2,200 1,800 35.0 30.0 36,300 77,000 54,000 DE : 47 43 41.0 63.0 3,710 1,927 2,709 GA : 230 200 46.0 40.0 7,980 10,580 8,000 ID : 720 680 80.0 81.0 48,510 57,600 55,080 IL : 810 970 65.0 62.0 30,870 52,650 60,140 IN : 430 420 69.0 63.0 16,430 29,670 26,460 KS : 10,000 9,000 48.0 41.0 270,600 480,000 369,000 KY : 330 350 62.0 65.0 17,160 20,460 22,750 MD : 145 145 37.0 61.0 11,220 5,365 8,845 MI : 660 620 68.0 69.0 29,480 44,880 42,780 MS : 125 205 49.0 51.0 7,200 6,125 10,455 MO : 870 950 61.0 55.0 33,440 53,070 52,250 MT : 1,720 1,600 37.0 33.0 21,840 63,640 52,800 NE : 1,820 1,850 46.0 39.0 50,160 83,720 72,150 NY : 120 97 53.0 55.0 6,844 6,360 5,335 NC : 410 480 36.0 45.0 18,060 14,760 21,600 OH : 1,000 880 68.0 68.0 50,220 68,000 59,840 OK : 4,600 4,300 39.0 36.0 103,600 179,400 154,800 OR : 940 840 51.0 53.0 29,820 47,940 44,520 PA : 165 135 43.0 50.0 9,805 7,095 6,750 SC : 185 180 39.0 40.0 6,290 7,215 7,200 SD : 1,380 1,440 43.0 38.0 20,100 59,340 54,720 TN : 270 270 50.0 53.0 14,100 13,500 14,310 TX : 3,450 3,600 28.0 33.0 78,300 96,600 118,800 VA : 160 155 46.0 63.0 10,370 7,360 9,765 WA : 1,800 1,700 65.0 63.0 104,400 117,000 107,100 WY : 145 135 27.0 25.0 2,375 3,915 3,375 : Oth : Sts 1/: 869 1,097 47.0 45.1 36,837 40,827 49,481 : US : 36,541 35,082 46.7 44.2 1,137,001 1,707,069 1,550,395 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary." Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted May 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 115 105 100.0 100.0 8,928 11,500 10,500 CA : 115 105 100.0 100.0 9,000 11,500 10,500 MT : 630 23.0 12,995 14,490 ND : 1,980 29.5 48,750 58,410 : Oth : Sts 2/: 29 25.4 287 737 : US : 2,869 33.7 79,960 96,637 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Area harvested for the U.S. and remaining States will be published in "Acreage" released June 30, 2004. Yield and production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 12, 2004. 2/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary." Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted May 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring 2/ : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2002 : 620,328 320,968 195,705 351,439 37,478 79,960 1,605,878 2003 :1,062,889 379,196 264,984 499,926 32,894 96,637 2,336,526 2004 : 910,071 398,739 241,585 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. 2/ Spring wheat production by class and total production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 12, 2004. Hay: Stocks on Farms by State and United States, December 1 and May 1, 2001-2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Dec 1 : May 1 State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : AL : 2,100 1,750 1,764 650 254 487 AZ : 223 203 280 28 45 55 AR : 2,280 2,755 2,700 280 588 600 CA : 1,930 1,840 2,048 228 200 300 CO : 1,990 1,548 1,841 535 360 610 CT : 59 73 79 9 14 13 DE : 16 9 12 5 4 4 FL : 510 475 434 90 80 52 GA : 1,599 1,295 1,494 350 230 342 ID : 2,568 2,824 2,772 444 635 445 IL : 1,600 1,370 1,797 355 285 408 IN : 1,311 1,037 1,561 287 96 253 IA : 4,300 3,900 3,695 1,050 1,100 605 KS : 5,600 4,800 5,600 1,040 1,150 1,400 KY : 4,214 3,975 5,035 943 513 1,466 LA : 1,096 662 937 200 173 115 ME : 152 161 145 25 39 29 MD : 355 274 377 62 55 60 MA : 103 77 81 31 21 17 MI : 3,450 2,024 1,872 773 462 250 MN : 4,213 4,183 3,567 680 815 575 MS : 1,833 1,631 1,125 390 249 244 MO : 7,279 6,897 7,188 1,063 1,083 1,470 MT : 4,192 4,086 3,986 935 953 790 NE : 4,440 3,278 5,244 1,250 870 1,596 NV : 776 882 857 111 167 121 NH : 50 55 63 9 9 12 NJ : 90 61 96 15 11 40 NM : 586 550 525 65 98 115 NY : 2,253 2,169 2,430 600 520 552 NC : 1,215 934 1,625 158 50 405 ND : 5,092 4,300 4,690 1,065 940 828 OH : 3,366 1,666 2,504 517 215 556 OK : 3,150 5,357 3,994 475 1,190 1,200 OR : 1,901 2,550 2,395 183 340 377 PA : 2,100 2,138 2,440 550 380 570 RI : 9 10 9 2 1 2 SC : 448 413 601 110 65 186 SD : 8,235 5,825 7,210 1,900 1,154 1,515 TN : 3,941 3,318 3,830 770 504 1,182 TX : 7,235 10,460 9,910 1,573 3,888 2,849 UT : 1,494 1,210 1,495 215 175 279 VT : 253 240 332 87 80 86 VA : 2,439 2,329 2,515 420 272 758 WA : 1,513 1,600 1,620 170 285 470 WV : 939 934 957 205 95 191 WI : 4,380 3,600 3,110 1,375 1,100 920 WY : 1,506 1,250 1,910 180 200 465 : US : 110,384 102,978 110,752 22,458 22,013 25,865 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2001-2002, 2002-2003 and Forecasted May 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001-02 : 2002-03 : 2003-04 : 2001-02 : 2002-03 : 2003-04 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 270 200 260 10 8 10 CA 4/ : 32,000 41,000 39,000 1,200 1,538 1,463 FL : 128,000 112,000 126,000 5,760 5,040 5,670 TX 4/ : 1,530 1,350 1,450 65 57 62 US : 161,800 154,550 166,710 7,035 6,643 7,205 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 250 270 280 9 10 11 CA 4/ : 19,500 20,500 15,000 731 769 563 FL : 102,000 91,000 119,000 4,590 4,095 5,355 TX 4/ : 210 220 230 9 9 10 US : 121,960 111,990 134,510 5,339 4,883 5,939 All : AZ 4/ : 520 470 540 19 18 21 CA 4/ : 51,500 61,500 54,000 1,931 2,307 2,026 FL : 230,000 203,000 245,000 10,350 9,135 11,025 TX 4/ : 1,740 1,570 1,680 74 66 72 US : 283,760 266,540 301,220 12,374 11,526 13,144 Temples : FL : 1,550 1,300 1,400 70 59 63 Grapefruit : White Seedless 5/ : FL : 18,900 16,200 16,000 803 689 680 Colored Seedless : FL : 27,800 22,500 24,500 1,182 956 1,041 All : AZ 4/ : 160 130 100 5 4 3 CA 4/ : 5,900 5,600 5,400 198 188 181 FL : 46,700 38,700 40,500 1,985 1,645 1,721 TX 4/ : 5,900 5,650 5,400 236 226 216 US : 58,660 50,080 51,400 2,424 2,063 2,121 Tangerines : AZ 4/ 6/ : 620 430 600 23 16 23 CA 4/ 6/ : 2,200 2,500 2,400 83 94 90 FL 7/ : 6,600 5,500 6,500 314 261 309 US : 9,420 8,430 9,500 420 371 422 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 2,800 3,000 3,000 106 114 114 CA : 18,300 24,000 23,000 695 912 874 US : 21,100 27,000 26,000 801 1,026 988 Tangelos : FL : 2,150 2,350 1,000 97 106 45 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 5/ Includes seedy. 6/ Includes tangelos and tangors. 7/ 2001-02 includes Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, Dancy, and Honey varieties; 2002-03 through 2003-04 includes Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey varieties only. Spring Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted May 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : : :---------------------------------: Yield : Production State : Planted : Harvested : : :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 :2003 :2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres -------- -- Cwt -- ----- 1,000 Cwt ---- : AZ : 7.6 6.2 7.6 6.2 275 285 2,106 2,090 1,767 CA : 19.0 17.5 19.0 17.5 440 380 7,695 8,360 6,650 FL : 30.0 22.8 28.6 22.5 280 249 7,381 8,008 5,605 Hastings : 21.5 16.2 20.3 16.0 280 265 5,775 5,684 4,240 Other FL : 8.5 6.6 8.3 6.5 280 210 1,606 2,324 1,365 NC : 19.0 16.0 17.0 15.0 175 190 3,230 2,975 2,850 TX : 13.0 11.0 12.5 10.5 240 210 2,040 3,000 2,205 : Total : 88.6 73.5 84.7 71.7 288 266 22,452 24,433 19,077 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Crop, California, 2002-2003 and Forecasted May 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : Freestone : 796.0 798.0 820.0 : Clingstone 1/ : 1,124.0 1,072.0 1,150.0 : Total : 1,920.0 1,870.0 1,970.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ CA Clingstone is over-the-scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery diversions. Almonds (shelled basis): Utilized Production, California, 2002-2003 and Forecasted May 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 1/ : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : CA : 1,090,000 1,040,000 1,100,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, Price, and Value by State and United States, 2002-2003 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ------ ---- Pounds --- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : CT : 2,000 2,180 1,658 1,361 3,315 2,966 FL : 4,600 4,400 2,600 2,500 11,960 11,000 GA : 26,500 27,000 2,000 2,200 53,000 59,400 IN : 4,000 4,200 1,950 1,950 7,800 8,190 KY : 111,100 111,650 2,007 2,016 222,991 225,042 MD : 1,200 1,100 1,500 1,450 1,800 1,595 MA : 1,160 1,250 1,603 1,398 1,859 1,748 MO : 1,400 1,400 2,230 2,020 3,122 2,828 NC : 168,300 159,700 2,067 1,878 347,920 299,995 OH : 5,500 5,300 1,750 1,650 9,625 8,745 PA : 3,400 3,700 2,004 2,130 6,815 7,880 SC : 30,500 30,000 1,950 2,100 59,475 63,000 TN : 34,900 31,140 2,044 2,108 71,331 65,632 VA : 30,000 25,110 2,147 1,546 64,407 38,818 WV : 1,300 1,200 1,450 1,300 1,885 1,560 WI : 1,450 1,820 2,632 2,338 3,817 4,255 : US : 427,310 411,150 2,039 1,952 871,122 802,654 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price : Value of : per Pound : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- Dollars ------- ------ 1,000 Dollars ----- : CT 2/ : 5.450 3.500 13,391 6,860 FL : 1.879 1.851 22,473 20,361 GA : 1.845 1.855 97,785 110,187 IN : 1.944 1.949 15,163 15,962 KY : 2.015 2.027 449,320 456,077 MD : 1.480 1.730 2,664 2,759 MA 2/ : 5.250 3.700 8,211 5,276 MO : 1.900 1.940 5,932 5,486 NC : 1.821 1.856 633,534 556,919 OH : 1.963 1.954 18,894 17,088 PA : 1.379 1.367 9,401 10,772 SC : 1.774 1.830 105,509 115,290 TN : 2.066 2.107 147,383 138,290 VA : 1.876 1.868 120,818 72,508 WV : 1.967 1.978 3,708 3,086 WI : 1.750 1.746 6,680 7,431 CT& MA 3/: 22.500 25,943 : US 4/ : 1.936 1.961 1,686,809 1,574,232 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2002 and 2003 revised. 2/ Price and value includes type 51 only. Shade type 61 is not included in State totals to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 3/ Includes type 61 only. CT and MA combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Price and value not available for 2003. 4/ Includes estimated 2003 value of production for CT and MA type 61. Used 2002 CT and MA type 61 price to compute the 2003 value of production. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 43,000 40,000 2,225 1,770 95,675 70,800 VA : 22,000 18,000 2,340 1,690 51,480 30,420 US : 65,000 58,000 2,264 1,745 147,155 101,220 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 98,000 94,000 2,020 1,955 197,960 183,770 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 21,000 20,000 2,135 1,915 44,835 38,300 SC : 30,500 30,000 1,950 2,100 59,475 63,000 US : 51,500 50,000 2,025 2,026 104,310 101,300 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,600 4,400 2,600 2,500 11,960 11,000 GA : 26,500 27,000 2,000 2,200 53,000 59,400 US : 31,100 31,400 2,089 2,242 64,960 70,400 Total 11-14 : 245,600 233,400 2,094 1,957 514,385 456,690 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 730 550 2,015 1,525 1,471 839 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2,450 2,600 3,160 3,080 7,742 8,008 TN : 5,000 5,200 3,110 2,980 15,550 15,496 US : 7,450 7,800 3,126 3,013 23,292 23,504 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2,400 2,500 3,650 3,530 8,760 8,825 TN : 390 400 3,550 3,350 1,385 1,340 US : 2,790 2,900 3,636 3,505 10,145 10,165 Total 21-23 : 10,970 11,250 3,182 3,067 34,908 34,508 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 4,000 4,200 1,950 1,950 7,800 8,190 KY : 103,000 103,000 1,915 1,925 197,245 198,275 MO : 1,400 1,400 2,230 2,020 3,122 2,828 NC : 6,300 5,700 1,500 1,250 9,450 7,125 OH : 5,500 5,300 1,750 1,650 9,625 8,745 TN : 29,000 25,000 1,830 1,900 53,070 47,500 VA : 7,200 6,500 1,575 1,150 11,340 7,475 WV : 1,300 1,200 1,450 1,300 1,885 1,560 US : 157,700 152,300 1,861 1,850 293,537 281,698 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 1,200 1,100 1,500 1,450 1,800 1,595 PA : 1,300 1,300 1,850 2,000 2,405 2,600 US : 2,500 2,400 1,682 1,748 4,205 4,195 Total 31-32 : 160,200 154,700 1,859 1,848 297,742 285,893 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per : Value of : Pound : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Dollars ----- ---- 1,000 Dollars --- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 1.829 1.857 174,990 131,476 VA : 1.854 1.849 95,444 56,247 US : 1.838 1.855 270,434 187,723 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 1.815 1.856 359,297 341,077 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 1.803 1.840 80,838 70,472 SC : 1.774 1.830 105,509 115,290 US : 1.786 1.834 186,347 185,762 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 1.879 1.851 22,473 20,361 GA : 1.845 1.855 97,785 110,187 US : 1.851 1.854 120,258 130,548 Total 11-14 : 1.820 1.851 936,336 845,110 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1.884 1.641 2,771 1,377 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2.398 2.480 18,565 19,860 TN : 2.374 2.492 36,916 38,616 US : 2.382 2.488 55,481 58,476 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2.362 2.450 20,691 21,621 TN : 2.408 2.424 3,335 3,248 US : 2.368 2.447 24,026 24,869 Total 21-23 : 2.357 2.455 82,278 84,722 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 1.944 1.949 15,163 15,962 KY : 1.980 1.982 390,545 392,981 MO : 1.900 1.940 5,932 5,486 NC : 1.948 1.950 18,409 13,894 OH : 1.963 1.954 18,894 17,088 TN : 1.968 1.975 104,442 93,813 VA : 1.975 1.972 22,397 14,741 WV : 1.967 1.978 3,708 3,086 US : 1.974 1.977 579,490 557,051 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 1.480 1.730 2,664 2,759 PA : 1.250 1.300 3,006 3,380 US : 1.348 1.463 5,670 6,139 Total 31-32 : 1.965 1.970 585,160 563,190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,100 2,300 3,000 2,830 6,300 6,509 TN : 510 540 2,600 2,400 1,326 1,296 US : 2,610 2,840 2,922 2,748 7,626 7,805 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,150 1,250 2,560 2,740 2,944 3,425 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 70 60 1,655 1,400 116 84 Total 35-37 : 3,830 4,150 2,790 2,726 10,686 11,314 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 2,100 2,400 2,100 2,200 4,410 5,280 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,350 1,400 1,820 1,400 2,457 1,960 MA : 850 970 1,840 1,470 1,564 1,426 US : 2,200 2,370 1,828 1,429 4,021 3,386 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,150 1,400 2,740 2,480 3,151 3,472 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 300 420 2,220 1,865 666 783 Total 54-55 : 1,450 1,820 2,632 2,338 3,817 4,255 Total 51-55 : 3,650 4,190 2,147 1,824 7,838 7,641 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 650 780 1,320 1,290 858 1,006 MA : 310 280 950 1,150 295 322 US : 960 1,060 1,201 1,253 1,153 1,328 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 6,710 7,650 1,997 1,863 13,401 14,249 : All Tobacco : 427,310 411,150 2,039 1,952 871,122 802,654 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per : Value of : Pound : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Dollars ----- ----- 1,000 Dollars ---- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2.135 2.223 13,451 14,470 TN : 2.029 2.016 2,690 2,613 US : 2.117 2.189 16,141 17,083 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 2.061 2.086 6,068 7,145 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 1.778 1.707 206 143 Total 35-37 : 2.098 2.154 22,415 24,371 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 1.450 1.400 6,395 7,392 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 5.450 3.500 13,391 6,860 MA : 5.250 3.700 8,211 5,276 US : 5.372 3.584 21,602 12,136 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1.750 1.750 5,514 6,076 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 1.750 1.730 1,166 1,355 Total 54-55 : 1.750 1.746 6,680 7,431 Total 51-55 : 3.608 2.561 28,282 19,567 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT 2/ : MA 2/ : US 2/ : 22.500 25,943 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 3/ : 4.524 2.086 60,620 26,959 : All Tobacco 4/ : 1.936 1.961 1,686,809 1,574,232 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2002 and 2003 revised. 2/ CT and MA type 61 price and value for 2002 combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Price and value not available for 2003. 3/ The 2003 price and value exclude type 61. 4/ Includes estimated 2003 value of production for CT and MA type 61. Used 2002 CT and MA type 61 price to compute the 2003 value of production. Tobacco: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales by Class, Month, and State, 2003 Marketing Year -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : 2003 : 2004 and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Jul : Aug : Sep : Oct : Nov : Dec : Jan : Feb : Mar : Apr : Total -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : Flue-cured : FL : 15 50 35 100 GA : 8 49 41 2 100 NC : 3 36 45 16 100 SC : 5 44 44 7 100 VA : 2 30 42 25 1 100 : Fire-cured : VA : 95 5 100 KY : 78 18 4 100 TN : 42 43 15 100 : Air-cured : IN : 34 32 27 7 100 KY : 31 40 24 5 100 MD : 96 4 100 MO 1/ : NC : 36 48 16 100 OH : 38 29 28 5 100 PA 1/ : TN : 37 41 19 3 100 VA : 34 48 18 100 WV 1/ : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sales by month are not available. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Mar : 2,260 2,110 1,515 1,165 4,215 2,750 Apr : 2,250 2,110 1,735 1,160 3,485 2,640 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Bananas, Guavas, Papayas, and Taro: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, Hawaii, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ---- 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds : Bananas 1/ 2/ : 1,330 1,350 15.0 16.7 20,000 22,500 Guavas 2/ : 550 530 17.6 12.6 9,700 6,700 Papayas 2/ 3/ : 1,720 1,565 26.7 27.2 45,900 42,600 Taro 4/ : 430 420 6,100 5,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2002 and 2003 revised. 2/ Only utilized production is estimated. 3/ 2003 revised. 4/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres. Yield is not estimated. Cotton: Area Planted and Harvested and Yield by Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Area : Type : Planted : Harvested : Yield and :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 Acres --------------- ---- Pounds ---- : Upland : AL : 590.0 525.0 540.0 510.0 507 772 AZ : 215.0 215.0 213.0 213.0 1,381 1,239 AR : 960.0 980.0 920.0 945.0 871 916 CA : 480.0 550.0 477.0 545.0 1,469 1,317 FL : 120.0 94.0 105.0 92.0 439 610 GA : 1,450.0 1,300.0 1,360.0 1,290.0 557 785 KS : 80.0 90.0 68.0 80.0 539 537 LA : 520.0 525.0 495.0 510.0 717 967 MS : 1,170.0 1,110.0 1,150.0 1,090.0 808 934 MO : 380.0 400.0 368.0 390.0 796 862 NM : 54.0 53.0 50.0 38.0 816 884 NC : 940.0 810.0 920.0 770.0 421 646 OK : 200.0 180.0 180.0 170.0 557 616 SC : 290.0 220.0 200.0 218.0 314 718 TN : 565.0 560.0 530.0 530.0 741 806 TX : 5,600.0 5,600.0 4,500.0 4,350.0 538 478 VA : 100.0 89.0 98.0 85.0 465 674 : US : 13,714.0 13,301.0 12,174.0 11,826.0 652 723 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 8.3 2.5 8.2 2.4 1,013 920 CA : 210.0 150.0 209.0 149.0 1,386 1,194 NM : 7.1 6.1 7.1 6.0 1,041 1,056 TX : 18.5 20.0 18.3 20.0 1,110 1,056 : US : 243.9 178.6 242.6 177.4 1,342 1,170 : All : AL : 590.0 525.0 540.0 510.0 507 772 AZ : 223.3 217.5 221.2 215.4 1,368 1,236 AR : 960.0 980.0 920.0 945.0 871 916 CA : 690.0 700.0 686.0 694.0 1,444 1,290 FL : 120.0 94.0 105.0 92.0 439 610 GA : 1,450.0 1,300.0 1,360.0 1,290.0 557 785 KS : 80.0 90.0 68.0 80.0 539 537 LA : 520.0 525.0 495.0 510.0 717 967 MS : 1,170.0 1,110.0 1,150.0 1,090.0 808 934 MO : 380.0 400.0 368.0 390.0 796 862 NM : 61.1 59.1 57.1 44.0 844 908 NC : 940.0 810.0 920.0 770.0 421 646 OK : 200.0 180.0 180.0 170.0 557 616 SC : 290.0 220.0 200.0 218.0 314 718 TN : 565.0 560.0 530.0 530.0 741 806 TX : 5,618.5 5,620.0 4,518.3 4,370.0 540 480 VA : 100.0 89.0 98.0 85.0 465 674 : US : 13,957.9 13,479.6 12,416.6 12,003.4 665 730 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2003 revised. Cotton: Production and Bales Ginned by Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production in : Lint- : Bales Ginned in Type : 480-lb Net Weight : seed : 480-lb Net Weight and : Bales 1/ : Ratio 2/ : Bales 3/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 4/ : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 4/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 Bales --- -------- Bales -------- : Upland : AL : 570.0 820.0 585,050 828,450 AZ : 613.0 550.0 598,450 525,400 AR : 1,669.0 1,804.0 1,655,200 1,784,050 CA : 1,460.0 1,495.0 1,477,350 1,516,000 FL : 96.0 117.0 69,850 125,900 GA : 1,578.0 2,110.0 1,595,400 2,106,050 KS : 76.3 89.5 70,600 91,950 LA : 739.0 1,027.0 770,100 1,055,500 MS : 1,935.0 2,120.0 1,928,300 2,115,700 MO : 610.0 700.0 595,150 693,400 NM : 85.0 70.0 40,750 44,800 NC : 806.0 1,037.0 809,050 1,047,950 OK : 209.0 218.0 208,600 209,850 SC : 131.0 326.0 130,450 322,350 TN : 818.0 890.0 813,600 878,800 TX : 5,040.0 4,330.0 5,088,000 4,355,700 VA : 95.0 119.4 91,450 109,450 : US : 16,530.3 17,822.9 16,527,350 17,811,300 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 17.3 4.6 17,450 4,600 CA : 603.3 370.5 603,050 370,500 NM : 15.4 13.2 18,100 12,650 TX : 42.3 44.0 39,500 44,400 : US : 678.3 432.3 678,100 432,150 : All : AL : 570.0 820.0 585,050 828,450 AZ : 630.3 554.6 615,900 530,000 AR : 1,669.0 1,804.0 0.385 0.386 1,655,200 1,784,050 CA : 2,063.3 1,865.5 0.404 0.402 2,080,400 1,886,500 FL : 96.0 117.0 69,850 125,900 GA : 1,578.0 2,110.0 0.412 0.410 1,595,400 2,106,050 KS : 76.3 89.5 70,600 91,950 LA : 739.0 1,027.0 0.396 0.398 770,100 1,055,500 MS : 1,935.0 2,120.0 0.393 0.398 1,928,300 2,115,700 MO : 610.0 700.0 595,150 693,400 NM : 100.4 83.2 58,850 57,450 NC : 806.0 1,037.0 0.412 0.417 809,050 1,047,950 OK : 209.0 218.0 208,600 209,850 SC : 131.0 326.0 130,450 322,350 TN : 818.0 890.0 813,600 878,800 TX : 5,082.3 4,374.0 0.382 0.389 5,127,500 4,397,450 VA : 95.0 119.4 91,450 109,450 : US : 17,208.6 18,255.2 17,205,450 18,240,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ Estimates available only for the 7 States shown. Three-year average. 3/ Equivalent 480-lb net weight bales ginned, not adjusted for cross-State movement. 4/ Revised. Cottonseed: Production and Farm Disposition by State and United States, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Farm Disposition : : :-----------------------------------: Seed for : Production : Sales to : : Planting 2/ State: : Oil Mills : Other 1/ : :------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 :2002 3/ : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : AL : 195.0 327.0 48.0 49.0 147.0 278.0 6.1 6.3 AZ : 232.4 216.8 5.6 4.1 226.8 212.7 2.0 1.9 AR : 627.0 689.0 491.0 462.0 136.0 227.0 9.3 10.0 CA : 731.0 680.0 81.0 93.5 650.0 586.5 6.0 6.5 FL : 29.0 37.0 18.0 21.7 11.0 15.3 1.1 1.2 GA : 544.0 732.0 309.0 405.0 235.0 327.0 16.0 16.0 KS : 28.0 34.2 13.0 4.2 15.0 30.0 0.9 1.3 LA : 271.0 365.0 131.0 191.0 140.0 174.0 4.7 5.4 MS : 697.0 773.0 548.0 604.0 149.0 169.0 11.0 11.0 MO : 218.0 274.0 139.0 200.0 79.0 74.0 4.2 4.3 NM : 35.5 31.6 15.3 3.8 20.2 27.8 0.6 0.7 NC : 272.0 349.0 44.0 52.0 228.0 297.0 7.3 7.1 OK : 81.0 79.0 72.0 64.0 9.0 15.0 2.0 2.3 SC : 44.0 109.0 20.0 58.0 24.0 51.0 1.5 1.8 TN : 291.0 311.0 244.0 232.0 47.0 79.0 5.9 6.2 TX : 1,855.0 1,616.0 1,109.0 939.3 746.0 676.7 56.2 61.1 VA : 33.0 41.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 41.0 0.9 0.8 : US : 6,183.9 6,664.6 3,287.9 3,383.6 2,896.0 3,281.0 135.7 143.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes planting seed, feed, exports, inter-farm sales, shrinkage, losses, and other uses. 2/ Included in "other" farm disposition. Seed for planting is produced in crop year shown, but used in the following year. 3/ Revised. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2003. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton: Harvest Loss per Acre, by State, 1999-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : State : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pounds : : AR : 71 59 80 102 105 CA : 103 91 123 177 130 GA : 128 108 115 153 136 LA : 93 60 74 82 108 MS : 94 95 121 158 95 NC : 117 179 180 185 165 TX : 41 43 46 60 58 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, and Selected States, 1999-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 720 874 747 840 798 : Oct : 700 767 780 763 755 : Nov : 693 755 816 784 744 : Dec : 689 755 756 772 744 : Final : 689 755 756 772 744 : : CA : Sep : 921 760 939 945 973 : Oct : 805 790 902 1,041 945 : Nov : 779 801 921 1,009 893 : Dec : 777 800 918 1,011 893 : Final : 776 800 918 1,011 893 : : GA : Sep : 596 597 590 569 559 : Oct : 582 631 677 604 646 : Nov : 621 621 651 591 643 : Dec : 636 629 664 600 665 : Final : 632 629 664 608 664 : : LA : Sep : 722 722 625 663 681 : Oct : 743 692 592 756 778 : Nov : 728 674 582 749 775 : Dec : 728 674 588 742 775 : Final : 728 674 588 742 775 : : MS : Sep : 761 657 754 802 837 : Oct : 803 665 696 783 824 : Nov : 767 652 680 768 811 : Dec : 766 650 679 767 808 : Final : 766 650 679 767 808 : : NC : Sep : 623 670 719 636 628 : Oct : 646 724 722 629 630 : Nov : 619 743 696 560 632 : Dec : 621 747 705 567 632 : Final : 622 747 705 564 632 : : TX : Sep : 465 408 441 536 465 : Oct : 446 388 435 511 431 : Nov : 447 397 439 520 429 : Dec : 455 404 445 497 435 : Final : 456 448 445 497 433 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet or row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,299.0 4,683.0 4,688.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 78,736.0 79,004.0 71,139.0 Corn for Silage : 6,528.0 Hay, All : 63,342.0 63,731.0 Alfalfa : 23,578.0 All Other : 39,764.0 Oats : 4,601.0 4,312.0 2,224.0 2,067.0 Proso Millet : 730.0 620.0 Rice : 3,022.0 3,260.0 2,997.0 Rye : 1,368.0 339.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,420.0 8,600.0 7,798.0 Sorghum for Silage : 343.0 Wheat, All : 61,700.0 59,462.0 52,839.0 Winter : 44,945.0 43,372.0 36,541.0 35,082.0 Durum : 2,915.0 2,757.0 2,869.0 Other Spring : 13,840.0 13,333.0 13,429.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,082.0 965.0 1,068.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 595.0 583.0 Mustard Seed : 110.0 107.0 Peanuts : 1,344.0 1,366.0 1,312.0 Rapeseed : 1.3 1.2 Safflower : 221.0 212.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,404.0 75,411.0 72,321.0 Sunflower : 2,344.0 2,086.0 2,197.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,479.6 14,401.6 12,003.4 Upland : 13,301.0 14,175.0 11,826.0 Amer-Pima : 178.6 226.6 177.4 Sugarbeets : 1,365.4 1,358.6 1,347.9 Sugarcane : 997.8 Tobacco : 411.2 414.6 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 21.1 15.6 Dry Edible Beans : 1,406.1 1,333.0 1,346.9 Dry Edible Peas : 337.5 328.5 Lentils : 246.0 237.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.9 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 Hops : 28.7 Peppermint Oil : 78.2 Potatoes, All : 1,274.5 1,250.0 Winter : 14.6 14.2 14.3 14.0 Spring : 88.6 73.5 84.7 71.7 Summer : 63.7 59.0 Fall : 1,107.6 1,092.0 Spearmint Oil : 15.8 Sweet Potatoes : 95.6 98.3 92.4 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 58.9 276,087 Corn for Grain : " : 142.2 10,113,887 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.2 105,864 Hay, All : " : 2.48 157,123 Alfalfa : " : 3.24 76,307 All Other : " : 2.03 80,816 Oats : Bu : 65.0 144,649 Proso Millet : " : 18.5 11,450 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,645 199,157 Rye : Bu : 27.3 9,254 Sorghum for Grain : " : 52.7 411,237 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 10.4 3,552 Wheat, All : Bu : 44.2 2,336,526 Winter : " : 46.7 44.2 1,707,069 1,550,395 Durum : " : 33.7 96,637 Other Spring : " : 39.7 532,820 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,416 1,512,250 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,664.6 Flaxseed : Bu : 17.9 10,426 Mustard Seed : Lb : 723 77,372 Peanuts : " : 3,159 4,144,150 Rapeseed : " : 949 1,139 Safflower : " : 1,286 272,555 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 33.4 2,417,565 Sunflower : Lb : 1,213 2,665,226 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 730 18,255.2 Upland 2/ : " : 723 17,822.9 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,170 432.3 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.7 30,605 Sugarcane : " : 34.6 34,503 Tobacco : Lb : 1,952 802,654 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,115 174 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,672 22,515 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,584 5,202 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,030 2,442 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 673 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,470 8,700 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 37,500 6,000 Hops : " : 1,903 54,565.1 Peppermint Oil : " : 89 6,924 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 367 458,854 Winter : " : 282 250 4,027 3,500 Spring : " : 288 266 24,433 19,077 Summer : " : 322 19,008 Fall : " : 377 411,386 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 113 1,778 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 172 15,921 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 5,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,424 2,063 2,121 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/: " : 1 Lemons : " : 801 1,026 988 Oranges : " : 12,374 11,526 13,144 Tangelos (FL) : " : 97 106 45 Tangerines : " : 420 371 422 Temples (FL) : " : 70 59 63 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 8,525.4 9,014.6 Apricots : Ton : 90.0 97.9 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 20,000.0 22,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 7,339.0 6,477.9 Olives (CA) : " : 103.0 118.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 45,900.0 42,600.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,574.9 2,523.1 Pears : Ton : 868.5 923.1 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 172.0 176.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 15.7 16.9 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 1,090,000 1,040,000 1,100,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 19.5 35.0 Pecans : Lb : 172,900 262,200 Pistachios (CA) : " : 303,000 116,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 282.0 325.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,475 1,239 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,144,450 1,895,160 1,897,190 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,863,670 31,972,130 28,789,240 Corn for Silage : 2,641,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,633,870 25,791,300 Alfalfa : 9,541,780 All Other : 16,092,090 Oats : 1,861,980 1,745,020 900,030 836,490 Proso Millet : 295,420 250,910 Rice : 1,222,970 1,319,290 1,212,860 Rye : 553,620 137,190 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,812,180 3,480,330 3,155,770 Sorghum for Silage : 138,810 Wheat, All 3/ :24,969,370 24,063,680 21,383,410 Winter :18,188,790 17,552,210 14,787,780 14,197,330 Durum : 1,179,670 1,115,730 1,161,060 Other Spring : 5,600,910 5,395,730 5,434,580 : Oilseeds : Canola : 437,870 390,530 432,210 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 240,790 235,930 Mustard Seed : 44,520 43,300 Peanuts : 543,900 552,810 530,950 Rapeseed : 530 490 Safflower : 89,440 85,790 Soybeans for Beans :29,705,860 30,518,080 29,267,590 Sunflower : 948,590 844,180 889,100 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,455,060 5,828,180 4,857,660 Upland : 5,382,780 5,736,480 4,785,860 Amer-Pima : 72,280 91,700 71,790 Sugarbeets : 552,560 549,810 545,480 Sugarcane : 403,800 Tobacco : 166,390 167,760 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 8,540 6,310 Dry Edible Beans : 569,030 539,450 545,080 Dry Edible Peas : 136,580 132,940 Lentils : 99,550 95,910 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,390 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 Hops : 11,600 Peppermint Oil : 31,650 Potatoes, All 3/ : 515,780 505,860 Winter : 5,910 5,750 5,790 5,670 Spring : 35,860 29,740 34,280 29,020 Summer : 25,780 23,880 Fall : 448,230 441,920 Spearmint Oil : 6,390 Sweet Potatoes : 38,690 39,780 37,390 Taro (HI) 4/ : 170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.17 6,011,080 Corn for Grain : 8.92 256,904,560 Corn for Silage : 36.35 96,038,210 Hay, All 2/ : 5.56 142,539,590 Alfalfa : 7.25 69,224,550 All Other : 4.56 73,315,040 Oats : 2.33 2,099,570 Proso Millet : 1.03 259,680 Rice : 7.45 9,033,610 Rye : 1.71 235,060 Sorghum for Grain : 3.31 10,445,900 Sorghum for Silage : 23.21 3,222,320 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.97 63,589,820 Winter : 3.14 2.97 46,458,800 42,194,840 Durum : 2.27 2,630,030 Other Spring : 2.67 14,500,980 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.59 685,950 Cottonseed 3/ : 6,046,020 Flaxseed : 1.12 264,830 Mustard Seed : 0.81 35,100 Peanuts : 3.54 1,879,750 Rapeseed : 1.06 520 Safflower : 1.44 123,630 Soybeans for Beans : 2.25 65,795,340 Sunflower : 1.36 1,208,930 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.82 3,974,600 Upland : 0.81 3,880,480 Amer-Pima : 1.31 94,120 Sugarbeets : 50.90 27,764,390 Sugarcane : 77.52 31,300,600 Tobacco : 2.19 364,080 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.25 7,890 Dry Edible Beans : 1.87 1,021,260 Dry Edible Peas : 1.77 235,960 Lentils : 1.15 110,770 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 30,530 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.65 3,950 Ginger Root (HI) : 42.03 2,720 Hops : 2.13 24,750 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,140 Potatoes, All 2/ : 41.14 20,813,270 Winter : 31.56 28.02 182,660 158,760 Spring : 32.33 29.82 1,108,260 865,320 Summer : 36.11 862,190 Fall : 42.23 18,660,160 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 810 Sweet Potatoes : 19.31 722,160 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,270 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,199,020 1,871,520 1,924,140 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/ : 910 Lemons : 726,650 930,770 896,300 Oranges : 11,225,500 10,456,210 11,924,040 Tangelos (FL) : 88,000 96,160 40,820 Tangerines : 381,020 336,570 382,830 Temples (FL) : 63,500 53,520 57,150 : Noncitrus : Apples : 3,867,060 4,088,950 Apricots : 81,680 88,800 Bananas (HI) : 9,070 10,210 Grapes : 6,657,830 5,876,650 Olives (CA) : 93,440 107,050 Papayas (HI) : 20,820 19,320 Peaches : 1,167,960 1,144,460 Pears : 787,840 837,380 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 156,040 159,660 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 14,200 15,330 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 494,420 471,740 498,950 Hazelnuts : 17,690 31,750 Pecans : 78,430 118,930 Pistachios (CA) : 137,440 52,620 Walnuts (CA) : 255,830 294,840 Maple Syrup : 7,370 6,190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. April Weather Summary Warm, mostly dry weather persisted across much of California and the Northwest, accelerating the loss of high-elevation snow, lengthening the growing season, and increasing the threat of an active wildfire season. Farther south and east, however, early-April storminess boosted topsoil moisture reserves and provided some drought relief in the Four Corners States and adjacent areas. The wet weather extended across the southern Plains and the Rio Grande Valley, causing some fieldwork delays but benefiting winter grains and newly planted summer crops. Rain and snow on the central High Plains aided drought-stressed winter wheat, although lingering concerns included subsoil moisture shortages and the effects of an April 13 freeze. Extremely dry conditions persisted on the northern High Plains, increasing stress on pastures, winter grains, and emerging spring wheat. Below-normal precipitation was also observed across much of the Midwest, promoting a record corn planting pace. Despite the April dryness, long-term Midwestern soil moisture shortages were confined to the northwestern Corn Belt, including Minnesota and South Dakota. Farther south, a narrow band of wet weather extended from the Ozark Plateau into southern New England. From April 20-24, torrential rainfall caused lowland flooding in and near the Ozarks. Across the remainder of the South, wet weather in the central and western Gulf Coast regions contrasted with another month of generally below-normal precipitation in the Southeastern States. Although late-month showers eased stress on Southeastern pastures, winter wheat, and emerging summer crops, many areas were in need of additional rainfall. Despite large day-to-day fluctuations, monthly temperatures strayed only a few degrees from normal. The warmest conditions, relative to normal, were observed in the Midwest and across portions of northern California and the Northwest, where monthly temperatures averaged up to 5 degrees F above normal at a few locations. In contrast, readings averaged as much as 2 degrees F below normal in the southern Rockies and Rio Grande Valley, and ranged from 2 to 4 degrees F below normal in much of Florida and southern portions of Georgia and Alabama. April Crop Summary Above-normal temperatures and dry conditions prevailed across the Corn Belt early in the month. These conditions encouraged rapid planting of summer crops. Moderate precipitation toward month's end had little effect, as corn planting continued to progress ahead of normal throughout the month. Conditions were dry in the northern Great Plains, while light to moderate precipitation fell in the central and southern parts of the region. A midmonth freeze in parts of the Great Plains had no lasting impact on winter wheat condition. In the Southeast and Mississippi Delta, temperatures averaged near normal for the month, but less-than-normal precipitation caused moisture stress for crops and pastures. Planting fell behind in some areas as growers waited for rain. Warm, dry weather in the Pacific Northwest and the northern Rocky Mountains encouraged small grain planting but increased irrigation demands. In the central and southern Rockies, precipitation was well above normal for the month. On the east coast, temperatures were above normal in the middle and northern Atlantic Coast States, with moderate to heavy precipitation. By April 18, the Nation's corn crop was 20 percent planted, 10 percentage points ahead of last year, 11 points ahead of normal, and the highest on record for this date. Planting continued to progress rapidly and advanced to 63 percent complete by May 2, sixteen points ahead of last year and 23 points ahead of normal. On the same date, 18 percent of the crop had emerged, 8 points ahead of last year and 7 points ahead of the 5-year average. In the Corn Belt, adequate soil moisture from March rains combined with warm, dry conditions in early April to create nearly ideal planting conditions. Even as rain began to fall in the last half of April, planting continued with only a few delays. By month's end, growers had planted 82 percent of the crop in Illinois, 70 percent in Indiana, and 74 percent in Iowa, over 30 points ahead of normal for all three States. Planting progress was also ahead of normal across the Great Plains. At midmonth, 11 percent of the winter wheat crop was headed, compared with 8 percent last year and 9 percent for the 5-year average. By month's end, heading had advanced to 39 percent complete, 6 points ahead of last year and 8 points ahead of normal. In California, heading advanced well ahead of the normal pace early in the month, but slowed to slightly below normal by month's end. Though heading had not begun in the northern half of the Great Plains, progress was ahead of normal in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. Warm, dry conditions during April promoted heading at a near normal pace in the Corn Belt. Nationwide, crop condition did not change significantly during the month. Cotton planting was 8 percent complete on April 4, three points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. By May 2, planting had advanced to 31 percent complete, 2 points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. With the benefit of warm, dry weather, California growers progressed rapidly through planting and were 42 points ahead of their normal pace by midmonth. Planting was nearing completion by the end of the month and was still 15 points ahead of normal. Producers in Texas were 4 to 5 points ahead of their normal planting pace through the month. After midmonth, planting accelerated in Louisiana and Mississippi and finished the month at 11 and 15 points ahead of normal, respectively. Growers in Alabama and Georgia fell behind their normal planting pace during the month as they waited for rain to improve soil moisture. Twelve percent of the soybean crop had been planted by month's end, compared with 9 percent for last year and the 5-year average. Planting had progressed the most in the Delta, where Mississippi producers had planted 78 percent of their crop, 32 points ahead of normal, and Louisiana producers, at 43 percent planted, were 14 points ahead of normal. Planting had begun in all States by the end of the month, with only Illinois, Kansas, and Tennessee lagging behind their normal pace. The Nation's sorghum crop was 23 percent planted at month's end, 2 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of normal. Early in the month, progress was limited to the Delta and southern Great Plains. However, by the end of the month, planting had begun in all States, except New Mexico and South Dakota. Texas growers had planted 53 percent of their crop, 7 points ahead of normal, while Kansas producers, with only 2 percent of their crop planted, lagged 3 points behind normal. Rice planting began the month at 15 percent complete and progressed steadily to 70 percent complete on May 2, two points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of normal. Fifty-one percent of the crop had emerged by the end of the month, compared with 42 percent last year and 37 percent for the 5-year average. Planting progressed rapidly in Louisiana and Texas in the first half of the month, but slowed afterward, falling behind normal in the final week as heavy rainfall limited fieldwork. Planting throughout the rest of the Delta rapidly advanced during April, with Missouri and Mississippi ending the month well ahead of normal, and Arkansas, at 77 percent complete, was 6 points ahead of normal. Planting was just getting underway in California around the middle of the month. Spring wheat growers had planted 68 percent of the crop by May 2, eleven points ahead of last year and 25 points ahead of normal. Emergence, at 32 percent, was 10 points ahead of last year and 17 points ahead of the average. Planting progress, encouraged by warm, dry weather, was ahead of normal for all States. South Dakota growers progressed rapidly through planting and were 40 points ahead of normal at midmonth. In North Dakota, progress was steady through most of the month but accelerated in the final week, ending the month at 26 points ahead of normal. The crop emerged ahead of the normal pace in all States. As of May 2, sixty-three percent of the Nation's barley crop was planted, compared with 50 percent last year and 41 percent for the 5-year average. In Washington, warm, dry weather allowed growers to plant 91 percent of their acreage by midmonth, 43 points ahead of the normal pace. Planting progress in all States, except Idaho, was 1 to 3 weeks ahead of normal by month's end. Twenty-eight percent of the crop had emerged by the end of April, 8 points ahead of last year and 12 points ahead of normal. In Montana and Washington, emergence was ahead of the normal pace by 31 and 36 points, respectively. Oat seedings reached 77 percent on May 2, ten points ahead of last year and 19 points ahead of normal. On the same date, emergence had advanced to 39 percent complete, compared with 32 percent last year and 29 percent for the average. Planting progressed well ahead of normal in Minnesota and the Dakotas, as warm dry weather encouraged fieldwork. Planting approached completion in Iowa and Nebraska but lagged well behind normal in Ohio. By midmonth, growers in the four major sugarbeet-producing States had planted 52 percent of their expected acreage, 24 points ahead of last year and 33 points ahead of normal. By month's end, 93 percent of the acreage had been planted, compared with 75 percent last year and 64 percent for the 5-year average. Growers in Idaho had reached the halfway mark on April 4, with Michigan producers achieving this mark a week later. Planting was complete in both States by May 2. Seedings in Minnesota and North Dakota rapidly advanced after midmonth and ended the month at 90 and 87 percent complete, respectively. Peanut planting was 8 percent complete on May 2, the same as last year but 3 points behind normal. Planting lagged behind normal in most States, with little or no activity until after midmonth. In Georgia and Oklahoma, growers began slowly but progressed slightly ahead of their normal planting pace by the end of the month. Winter Wheat: Production is forecast at 1.55 billion bushels, down 9 percent from 2003. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 44.2 bushels per acre, 2.5 bushels less than last year. Grain area totals 35.1 million acres, down 4 percent from last season. The portion of the winter wheat crop rated good to excellent on May 2, at 48 percent, was 7 percentage points lower than a year ago. Above normal April rainfall in Texas improved the crop condition significantly. Heading progress in Oklahoma is running approximately one week ahead of average. Scattered April showers in Kansas were beneficial, however soil moisture supplies continue to be a major concern, especially in the northwest and west central districts. Statewide, crop progress has been ahead of average. In Colorado, April brought much needed moisture, but after three consecutive years of drought, the crop still has very little subsoil moisture to draw from. Additional moisture will be needed in Nebraska to ensure proper plant development. In Montana, early spring conditions were favorable, but conditions declined during April due to limited precipitation throughout the State. In Arkansas, unusually dry conditions during March were followed by heavy rains in April. Growers in Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana expect yields below last year's record high levels. Current crop conditions in Ohio are nearly identical to a year ago. Yield prospects in Georgia have been dampened by well below normal precipitation during March and April. The mid-Atlantic Coast States are rebounding from very low yields last year. Throughout Idaho, spring weather conditions have been warmer and drier than normal. Dry conditions in northern Idaho have not yet negatively affected yields. In Oregon, annual precipitation throughout most of the winter wheat growing area is now above normal. Soil moisture levels are a major concern in Washington, where high winds and above normal temperatures have contributed to the dry conditions. Durum Wheat: Production of Durum wheat in Arizona and California is forecast at a collective 21.0 million bushels. This is down 9 percent from their 2003 total of 23.0 million. This decline is due entirely to lower expected harvested acreage, as yields are equal to the 2003 levels. Very few disease or insect problems have been reported. Hay Stocks on Farms: All hay stored on farms May 1, 2004 totaled 25.9 million tons, up 17 percent from the previous year. This increase was mainly the result of a higher hay production in 2003. Disappearance of hay from December 1, 2003 - May 1, 2004, totaled 84.9 million tons, 5 percent greater than the disappearance of 81.0 million tons for the same period a year earlier. Disappearance was up from the previous year despite the mild winter in the Corn Belt and Rocky Mountains. Thirty-three of the 48 reporting States had higher hay stocks than a year ago. Most of the States reporting an increase in stocks were located in the eastern and central Corn Belt, Southeast, central Great Plains, central Rocky Mountains, and along the middle Atlantic and Pacific Coasts. Compared to May 2003, stocks more than doubled in the Ohio Valley due to an increase in production and mild winter weather. Stocks declined in Idaho, Montana, Nevada, and North Dakota as a result of additional hay feeding caused by unfavorable weather conditions and a decline in 2003 production compared to 2002. Texas's stocks were down by 27 percent from last year's record high. Almonds: The 2004 California almond crop is forecast at a record high 1.10 billion pounds, shelled basis, up 6 percent from the revised 2003 crop. The almond bloom started in mid-February accompanied by heavy rain and wind. However, the bloom was very intense and both the variety and pollinators bloomed together which may have contributed to the good set. The bloom was strong and stayed on the trees for much longer than normal. Very warm weather the first three weeks of March advanced crop development and the crop is currently at least two weeks ahead of normal. Kernel size appears to be normal. Overall, the crop appears to be fairly uniform throughout the State and the growers have indicated they expect to have a good crop. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.64 million pounds for April 2004, down 4 percent from last month and 24 percent below a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,110 acres, unchanged from last month but 6 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,160 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but 33 percent lower than April 2003. Weather conditions over the major producing areas were mostly favorable during April. Soil moisture has been adequate in non-irrigated orchards. Disease incidence remained high as a result of previous wet conditions. Hawaii's revised total papaya utilization during 2003 is estimated at 42.6 million pounds, 7 percent below the final 2002 utilized production. Bearing acres decreased 9 percent from the previous season while yields increased 2 percent. Weather conditions were drier than normal during the growing season, adversely affecting flowering in non-irrigated orchards. These orchards account for more than 90 percent of bearing acreage. Routine field inspections and roguing of infected trees have kept Papaya Ringspot Virus (PRV) losses to a minimum. California Peaches: The California 2004 peach crop is forecast at 1.97 billion pounds, up 5 percent from 2003 and 3 percent above two years ago. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 820 million pounds, up 3 percent from both last year and the 2002 crop. Bloom was delayed by cool, wet weather in February but a warm dry March made up for the slow start. Bloom in the early varieties was very good. However, some middle to late season varieties experienced problems with incomplete pollination. In addition, high temperatures during last year's late summer caused stress on trees. Harvest of Freestone peaches began during the first week of April in the Coachella Valley and around the middle of April in the Central Valley. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.15 billion pounds, up 7 percent from last year and 2 percent above 2002. California orchards experienced an adequate number of chilling hours, which benefitted the Clingstone crop. Overall, the bloom is reported to be good on all varieties. The crop is reported to be in excellent condition with good size and uniform growth. Some mildew was observed, with growers taking precautionary measures as necessary. The peach trees are much further along than last year due to record setting warm temperatures this spring. Bananas: Hawaii banana production for 2003 is estimated at 22.5 million pounds, up 13 percent from last year. Harvested acreage, at 1,350 acres, is up 20 acres from 2002. Weather for 2003 was generally favorable with no major wind damage to orchards. Growers report young plantings are making good progress. Guavas: Guava utilized production in Hawaii for 2003 is estimated at 6.70 million pounds, down 31 percent from 2002 and the third consecutive year of decline. Harvested area totaled 530 acres compared to 550 acres a year ago. Yield (based on utilized production) averaged 12,600 pounds per acre, down 5,000 pounds from the previous year. A worker strike during peak season combined with some growers abandoning their fields due to low prices contributed to this significant decline. Weather was generally good for orchards. Taro: Hawaii taro production for crop year 2003 is estimated at 5.00 million pounds, down 18 percent from the previous year. Area harvested, at 420 acres, is down 10 acres from 2002. Most of this decline can be attributed to Apple snails (Pomacea canaliculata) which feed on taro plants and provide an infection point for diseases. Taro production was also hampered by occasional floods due to heavy rains, leaf blight, and taro pocket rot disease. Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2003-04 U.S. grapefruit crop is 2.12 million tons, up 1 percent from the April 1 forecast and 3 percent above the previous season. Florida's grapefruit forecast, at 40.5 million boxes (1.72 million tons), is up 1 percent from the previous month and 5 percent above last season's final utilization. If realized, this will be the third smallest crop in the past 20 seasons. The white grapefruit forecast is unchanged at 16.0 million boxes (680,000 tons) but 1 percent below last season. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 24.5 million boxes (1.04 million tons), is up 2 percent from last month and 9 percent above last season's final utilization. The row count survey, conducted April 28-29, indicates 93 percent of all grapefruit rows have been harvested statewide, 2 percentage points less than last season for the same time period. Cool temperatures this spring have prolonged the usability of grapefruit. Arizona, California, and Texas forecasts are carried forward from April. Tangerines: The 2003-04 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 422,000 tons, up 2 percent from the April 1 forecast and 14 percent above last season's final utilization of 371,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop, at 6.50 million boxes (309,000 tons), is up 3 percent from last month and 18 percent above last season's utilization. The increase is in the Honey variety category where the row count survey indicates about 84 percent of the Honey tangerine rows are harvested. Harvest of the early tangerine varieties (Fallglo and Sunburst) is complete. Arizona and California tangerine forecasts are carried forward from April. Tangelos: Florida's 2003-04 tangelo forecast is final at 1.00 million boxes (45,000 tons), unchanged from April but 57 percent less than last season's utilized production. This is the smallest crop since the 1964-65 season. Temples: Florida's Temple forecast is 1.40 million boxes (63,000 tons) for the 2003-04 season, unchanged from April but 8 percent above last season's final utilization. The row count survey indicates some rows are unharvested but usability of the remaining fruit is uncertain. Florida Citrus: Florida's weather in April in the citrus areas was mostly dry with cool nighttime temperatures and moderate to warm days. Several cold fronts passed through the State bringing overnight temperatures in the 40's in some northern locations. Daytime highs reached the upper 80's on many days. The cold fronts brought very little rainfall with virtually none reported the first and third weeks of the month. The last week brought up to five inches of rainfall in some interior areas and varying amounts of precipitation in the coastal areas. Citrus trees in all areas are in excellent condition following the favorable weather of the past several months. The bloom period was completed in mid-March. Early-midseason harvest is complete. Valencia oranges are at peak weekly harvest levels with good demand reported for fresh shipments. Weekly harvest reached over eight million boxes. Grapefruit harvest for fresh shipments began to decrease during the last of the month with harvest for processing also beginning to decline. Honey tangerine and Temple harvests are almost complete. California Citrus: Citrus bloom was in full swing by the middle of April, and neared complete petal fall stage by month's end. Fertilizer applications, irrigation, treatments to control insect pests, hedging, and topping were underway in a number of citrus groves. Navel orange harvest was approximately 90 percent complete by month's end. Navel packouts decreased due to granulation, puff, rough rind texture, and oversized fruits. Picking continued in a few Valencia orange and mandarin orchards. Lemon harvesting was steady throughout the month. Star Ruby variety grapefruit were packed in the desert and in some areas of Riverside County. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Cultivation, irrigation, pest control treatments, and fruit thinning continued in orchards and vineyards across the State. Grapevines were in the shoot elongation stage by the end of April. Table grape vineyards were thinned and suckered to improve fruit quality. Early table grape varieties began to show the first signs of bloom by month's end. Disease, weed, and insect control work continued in raisin, wine, and table grape vineyards. Irrigation was widespread as rapid growth increased water requirements. Warm temperatures during April promoted maturity and size in early cherry varieties. As a result, the harvest commenced with Brooks, Garnet, and Tulare as the primary early cherry varieties being picked and packed. The early variety Freestone peach harvest began during the first week of April in the Coachella Valley and around the middle of April in the Central Valley. Picking of Castlebrite apricots was also underway by month's end. Pomegranate orchards were blooming in several districts. Bloom on kiwifruit vines was nearly complete by the end of April but growers continued to thin canes. Picking of blueberries began in the east side districts of Fresno County. Strawberry harvesting continued with brisk sales at roadside stands. Immature plums were picked as a specialty export crop. High temperatures during bloom resulted in poor pollination in dried plum orchards. Quince, apples, and pears were sprayed to control codling moth. Olives and avocados had developed bloom buds by the end of April. Cultivation and irrigation continued in almond, walnut, pistachio, and pecan orchards. Steady nut development continued in almond and walnut orchards. Blight spraying and fungicide applications continued in walnut orchards. Spring Potatoes: Spring production in 2004 is forecast at 19.1 million cwt, down 3 percent from the April forecast and 22 percent below last year. Area for harvest is estimated at 71,700 acres, down 1 percent from the April estimate and 15 percent below last year. The average yield is forecast at 266 cwt per acre, down 5 cwt from last month and 22 cwt below a year ago. Florida production is forecast at 5.61 million cwt, unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 30 percent below the 2003 production. Harvest began in Florida's Hasting area and other central Peninsula localities the last two weeks of April. North Carolina's potato crop, forecasted at 2.85 million cwt, is also unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 4 percent below last year. Texas spring production is forecast at 2.21 million cwt, 9 percent below last month's forecast and down 26 percent from a year ago. Heavy rains and some hail received in late April damaged the crop in the Winter Garden area. Water damage was also evident in the Rio Grande Valley. Production in California is forecast at 6.65 million cwt, down 3 percent from the April forecast and 20 percent below 2003. Many growers anticipate an earlier than usual harvest. Arizona growers now report 6,200 acres for harvest, down 11 percent from last month, contributing to a production forecast of 1.77 million cwt, down 10 percent from the April forecast. Tobacco: U.S. tobacco production for 2003 is revised down 3 percent. Harvested acreage is down 1 percent, while the average yield decreased 45 pounds per acre. Total production, at 803 million pounds in 2003, is down 8 percent from 2002 and at the lowest level since 1897. Growers harvested 411,150 acres in 2003, down 4 percent from the previous year and the lowest harvested acreage since 1874. Flue-cured production, at 457 million pounds, is revised down 3 percent from the preliminary estimate in the January Crop Production 2003 Summary. This is 11 percent less than 2002 when 514 million pounds were produced. Growers harvested 233,400 acres, down 5 percent from the previous year. Flue-cured yields averaged 1,957 pounds per acre, down 137 pounds from 2002. North Carolina, the leading producer of flue-cured tobacco, produced 293 million pounds, nearly two-thirds of all flue-cured tobacco grown in the United States. Burley production, which accounted for 99 percent of all light air-cured tobacco, is revised down 6 percent from the January preliminary estimate to 282 million pounds. This is 4 percent less than 2002 when 294 million pounds were produced. Producers of burley tobacco harvested 152,300 acres in 2003, down 3 percent from the previous year. Yields averaged 1,850 pounds per acre, 11 pounds less than 2002. Kentucky, the leading producer of burley tobacco, produced 198 million pounds, 70 percent of all burley grown in the United States. Total fire-cured production is revised up 1 percent from the January preliminary estimate. Production totaled 34.5 million pounds, down 1 percent from the previous season. Growers harvested a total of 11,250 acres, 3 percent greater than 2002. Fire-cured yields averaged 3,067 pounds per acre, down 115 pounds from the previous year. Dark air-cured production is revised up 3 percent from the January preliminary estimate. Production totaled 11.3 million pounds in 2003, up 6 percent from the previous year. Growers harvested 4,150 acres in 2003, up 8 percent from 2002. Yields averaged 2,726 pounds per acre, down 64 pounds from 2002. Kentucky, the leading producer of dark air-cured tobacco, produced 9.93 million pounds in 2003, which is 88 percent of all dark air-cured grown in the United States. Production of cigar tobacco, which includes filler, binder, and wrapper, is revised down less than 1 percent from the January preliminary estimate to a total of 14.2 million pounds for 2003. This is 6 percent above the 2002 production. Growers harvested 7,650 acres in 2003, up 14 percent from the previous year. Average yields were 1,863 pounds per acre, down 134 pounds from 2002. Cotton: All cotton production is estimated at 18.3 million bales, up 6 percent from the 2002 production. Upland cotton production is estimated at 17.8 million bales, 8 percent more than the previous production. The U.S. yield for upland cotton is a record high 723 pounds per acre, 71 pounds more than 2002. Harvested area, at 11.8 million acres, is 3 percent below last year. Upland planted area is estimated at 13.3 million acres, 3 percent less than last season. Data from the 7 Objective Yield States showed above average boll counts, higher weights than any of the previous six seasons, and above average harvest loss. The Southeastern region growers began the season with delayed plantings, replantings, or abandoning plans for cotton entirely as a cool, wet spring prevented fieldwork. Consequently, crop development was up to 3 weeks behind normal. In September, Hurricane Isabel brought intensive wind and rain to North Carolina and Virginia cotton fields. Georgia and Alabama growers managed to harvest their fields when weather permitted. Early November temperatures were above normal allowing growers to make significant harvest progress. Objective yield data showed above average boll counts in Georgia and the highest average boll weight of the previous 5 years. North Carolina boll counts and weights were near average. Producers in the northern Delta States were also faced with wet conditions that delayed or prevented getting their cotton crop planted. Southern Delta growers had near ideal planting conditions. Cool, June nighttime temperatures slowed crop development and delayed it up to three weeks. However, end of summer heat and humidity matured the crop rapidly. Timely and beneficial rains fell during the early fall, boosting production prospects. Harvest conditions throughout the region were excellent. Above average temperatures aided the boll opening process. Boll counts and average boll weights in Mississippi were the highest in the 15-year data series. Louisiana's boll counts were the highest since 1992, with the weight per boll above average. Boll counts in Arkansas were slightly below the 15-year average and the lowest since 1999. However, Arkansas boll weights were the highest since 1994. Texas growers began the planting season at an above average pace in south and central areas. Rains during May benefitted dryland cotton in the Panhandle as the moisture allowed producers to proceed with planting. During June, high winds and hail damaged significant acreage in the High Plains. Growers in the Panhandle also experienced an extremely dry summer. Soil moisture levels were critically short. Growers in south and central areas of Texas experienced a good growing season for the most part. A late season storm hit the southern High Plains in September and adversely affected significant cotton acreage. Growers were concerned that the late cotton crop would be unable to finish boll setting as a series of cold fronts came through the region. Record high temperatures during October, however, helped finish the crop in the High Plains area and growers were able to harvest under ideal conditions. Objective yield measurements showed the Texas boll counts as the lowest since 1995. Average boll weights, however, were the highest in the 15-year data series. Arizona and California upland cotton growers began planting during March, but were delayed or forced to replant due to the cool, wet spring weather. Some growers switched from American-Pima varieties to upland varieties due to more favorable upland prices. Development of the California cotton crop was up to a month behind normal, but the extremely warm summer weather allowed the crop to catch up. California growers began the harvest later than any of the previous 15 years due to the late-developing crop. October weather provided ideal harvesting conditions throughout California. Growers were wrapping up the harvest by the end of November except in Arizona where it was delayed by frequent scattered showers. Data from objective yield measurements showed California boll counts were the third highest in the 15-year data series, surpassed only by the previous two years. Boll weights were below the 15-year average, but the highest since 1998. American-Pima production is estimated at 432,300 bales, down 36 percent from 2002. The U.S. Pima yield is estimated at 1,170 pounds per harvested acre, 172 pounds less than last year's record high yield. Producers planted 178,600 acres of Pima cotton in 2003, down 27 percent from 2002. The decrease in planted acreage led to a similar decrease in harvested acreage. Growers either delayed planting or replanted their damaged fields due to the cool, wet spring. Some switched to planting upland varieties. The late-developing crop led to decreased yields. Cottonseed: Cottonseed production in 2003 totaled 6.66 million tons, up 8 percent from 2002. Sales to oil mills accounted for 51 percent of the disposition. The remaining 49 percent will be used for seed, feed, exports, and various other uses. Reliability of May 1 Crop Production Forecast Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between April 22 and May 6 to gather information on expected yield as of May 1. The Objective Yield Survey was conducted in three States (Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas) where winter wheat is normally mature enough to make meaningful counts. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 14,000 producers representing all major production areas. These producers were selected from an earlier acreage survey and were asked about the probable winter wheat acres for harvest and yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the May 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida State Statistical Office submits its analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. The May 1 orange production forecasts for these three States are carried forward from April. Revision Policy: The May 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the May 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 winter wheat production forecast is 7.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 7.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 12.1 percent. Differences between the May 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 90 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 285 million bushels. The May 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 10 times and above 10 times. This does not imply that the May 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 orange production forecast is 2.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 4.5 percent. Differences between the May 1 orange forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 164,000 tons, ranging from 5,000 tons to 714,000 tons. The May 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. The difference does not imply that the May 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Hay, Oats , Sorghum(202) 690-3234 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Jim Smith - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202 )720-2127 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 The next Crop Production report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on June 11, 2004. 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