Cr Pr 2-2 (7-04) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 12, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Down 4 Percent from June Forecast Other Spring Wheat Production Down 6 Percent from 2003 Durum Wheat Production Down 8 Percent from 2003 All Wheat Production Down 12 Percent from 2003 Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.47 billion bushels. This is down 4 percent from last month and 14 percent below 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 42.2 bushels per acre, down 1.4 bushels from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 838 million bushels, is down 5 percent from a month ago. White Winter is up 1 percent from last month and now totals 248 million bushels. Soft Red Winter, at 383 million bushels, is down 3 percent from the last forecast. Durum wheat production is forecast at 88.6 million bushels, down 8 percent from 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 33.2 bushels per acre, 0.5 bushel less than last year. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 501 million bushels, down 6 percent from 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 37.9 bushels per acre, 1.8 bushels lower than last year. Of the total production, 459 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, down 8 percent from last season. The U.S. all orange July 1 forecast for the 2003-04 crop is 12.9 million tons, 2 percent below the June 1 forecast but 12 percent above last season's final utilization. Florida's all orange forecast, at 242 million boxes (10.9 million tons), is down 1 percent from the previous forecast but 19 percent above the previous season. Early and midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 126 million boxes (5.67 million tons), unchanged from last month but 13 percent above the previous season. Harvest of the early and midseason varieties is complete. Florida's Valencia forecast is 116 million boxes (5.22 million tons), down 3 percent from the June forecast but 27 percent above last season's final utilization. The monthly row count survey indicates 96 percent of the Valencia crop harvested. However, all remaining fruit may not be harvested because the processing plants that were still open July 1 planned to close July 10. California's all orange forecast for July is 51.0 million boxes (1.91 million tons), down 6 percent from the April 1 forecast and 17 percent below last season's final utilization. Navel oranges are forecast at 38.0 million boxes (1.43 million tons), 3 percent below April's forecast and 7 percent less than the previous season. Harvest of Navel oranges is complete with small quantities being held in cold storage. The forecast for Valencia oranges is 13.0 million boxes (488,000 tons), down 13 percent from the previous forecast and 37 percent below last season's utilization. The Texas forecast for all oranges is 1.65 million boxes (70,000 tons), 2 percent below the April 1 forecast but 5 percent above last season's final utilization. Arizona's all orange forecast, at 470,000 boxes (17,000 tons), is down 13 percent from the April 1 forecast but unchanged from the previous season. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield projection remains at 1.56 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.45 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is lowered from 1.70 to 1.69 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume that the processing relationships this year will be similar to those of the past several years. This report was approved on July 12, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph J. Jen Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Grains & Hay Barley. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Oats. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Wheat, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Other Spring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Wheat, Winter Wheat Head Population . . . . . . . . . . .7 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Noncitrus Fruits and Tree Nuts Almonds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Apricots. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Grapes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Peaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Citrus Fruits Grapefruit. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Lemons. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Tangelos. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Tangerines. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Temples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Potatoes and Miscellaneous Crops Potatoes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Lentils . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Peas, Austrian Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Peas, Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . 33 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : CA : 35 30 80.0 75.0 2,624 2,800 2,250 ID : 25 20 65.0 73.0 1,750 1,625 1,460 IL : 50 35 89.0 79.0 3,285 4,450 2,765 IA : 130 130 83.0 80.0 13,300 10,790 10,400 KS : 70 60 65.0 48.0 3,120 4,550 2,880 MI : 75 60 70.0 64.0 4,160 5,250 3,840 MN : 265 200 71.0 61.0 14,840 18,815 12,200 MT : 45 45 44.0 48.0 2,300 1,980 2,160 NE : 90 50 73.0 73.0 2,365 6,570 3,650 NY : 70 55 63.0 72.0 4,160 4,410 3,960 ND : 360 280 59.0 53.0 12,600 21,240 14,840 OH : 60 45 66.0 68.0 3,355 3,960 3,060 OR : 20 30 75.0 85.0 2,520 1,500 2,550 PA : 110 115 59.0 65.0 7,015 6,490 7,475 SD : 230 200 68.0 72.0 5,400 15,640 14,400 TX : 140 150 45.0 49.0 6,160 6,300 7,350 WI : 230 230 67.0 60.0 15,000 15,410 13,800 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 219 203 58.8 63.2 12,048 12,869 12,820 : US : 2,224 1,938 65.0 62.9 116,002 144,649 121,860 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 30 30 118.0 120.0 4,400 3,540 3,600 CA : 58 80 64.0 63.0 5,325 3,712 5,040 CO : 82 76 109.0 115.0 7,488 8,938 8,740 DE : 21 24 59.0 81.0 1,909 1,239 1,944 ID : 720 740 66.0 78.0 54,670 47,520 57,720 MD : 38 34 57.0 75.0 3,198 2,166 2,550 MN : 170 90 75.0 58.0 6,150 12,750 5,220 MT : 810 780 39.0 51.0 39,060 31,590 39,780 ND : 1,980 1,580 60.0 57.0 58,500 118,800 90,060 OR : 60 62 64.0 74.0 3,604 3,840 4,588 PA : 65 60 61.0 60.0 4,440 3,965 3,600 SD : 55 50 53.0 59.0 1,575 2,915 2,950 UT : 35 40 80.0 78.0 2,176 2,800 3,120 VA : 45 40 62.0 70.0 3,157 2,790 2,800 WA : 310 280 47.0 65.0 19,040 14,570 18,200 WY : 75 70 95.0 93.0 4,680 7,125 6,510 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 134 116 58.4 61.0 7,534 7,827 7,080 : US : 4,688 4,152 58.9 63.5 226,906 276,087 263,502 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2004 : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 570 620 50.0 51.0 52.0 28,500 32,240 CA : 370 300 61.0 75.0 75.0 22,570 22,500 CO : 2,200 1,750 35.0 30.0 27.0 77,000 47,250 DE : 47 44 41.0 63.0 61.0 1,927 2,684 GA : 230 200 46.0 43.0 46.0 10,580 9,200 ID : 720 680 80.0 81.0 85.0 57,600 57,800 IL : 810 970 65.0 58.0 58.0 52,650 56,260 IN : 430 440 69.0 65.0 65.0 29,670 28,600 KS : 10,000 8,700 48.0 39.0 36.0 480,000 313,200 KY : 330 370 62.0 62.0 55.0 20,460 20,350 MD : 145 145 37.0 63.0 61.0 5,365 8,845 MI : 660 610 68.0 70.0 64.0 44,880 39,040 MS : 125 155 49.0 51.0 53.0 6,125 8,215 MO : 870 940 61.0 55.0 50.0 53,070 47,000 MT : 1,720 1,550 37.0 34.0 38.0 63,640 58,900 NE : 1,820 1,800 46.0 35.0 32.0 83,720 57,600 NY : 120 95 53.0 51.0 52.0 6,360 4,940 NC : 410 440 36.0 47.0 48.0 14,760 21,120 OH : 1,000 880 68.0 67.0 64.0 68,000 56,320 OK : 4,600 4,600 39.0 37.0 36.0 179,400 165,600 OR : 940 850 51.0 59.0 59.0 47,940 50,150 PA : 165 135 43.0 50.0 50.0 7,095 6,750 SC : 185 180 39.0 44.0 47.0 7,215 8,460 SD : 1,380 1,250 43.0 35.0 35.0 59,340 43,750 TN : 270 280 50.0 53.0 48.0 13,500 13,440 TX : 3,450 3,700 28.0 33.0 31.0 96,600 114,700 VA : 160 190 46.0 63.0 61.0 7,360 11,590 WA : 1,800 1,700 65.0 64.0 66.0 117,000 112,200 WY : 145 135 27.0 22.0 22.0 3,915 2,970 : Oth : Sts 1/: 869 1,116 47.0 45.1 43.1 40,827 48,061 : US : 36,541 34,825 46.7 43.6 42.2 1,707,069 1,469,735 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2004 : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 115 105 100.0 100.0 105.0 11,500 11,025 CA : 115 110 100.0 85.0 85.0 11,500 9,350 MT : 630 590 23.0 27.0 14,490 15,930 ND : 1,980 1,850 29.5 28.0 58,410 51,800 : Oth : Sts 1/: 29 16 25.4 29.1 737 466 : US : 2,869 2,671 33.7 33.2 96,637 88,571 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : ID : 450 470 66.0 75.0 29,900 29,700 35,250 MN : 1,800 1,570 58.0 47.0 61,200 104,400 73,790 MT : 2,700 2,700 22.0 27.0 75,900 59,400 72,900 ND : 6,400 6,200 39.5 36.0 165,200 252,800 223,200 OR : 140 175 40.0 50.0 4,680 5,600 8,750 SD : 1,340 1,500 42.0 38.0 24,000 56,280 57,000 WA : 545 555 41.0 50.0 25,370 22,345 27,750 : Oth : Sts 1/: 54 40 42.5 53.1 2,667 2,295 2,125 : US : 13,429 13,210 39.7 37.9 388,917 532,820 500,765 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2002 : 620,328 320,968 195,705 351,439 37,478 79,960 1,605,878 2003 :1,062,889 379,196 264,984 499,926 32,894 96,637 2,336,526 2004 : 838,318 382,973 248,444 459,451 41,314 88,571 2,059,071 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during 2004. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 2000-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : CO : July : 48.0 34.2 35.9 38.9 32.8 : August : 47.7 33.7 35.6 38.4 : Final : 47.7 33.9 35.6 38.4 : : IL : July : 55.0 53.1 59.4 56.5 51.0 : August : 55.0 52.0 59.5 56.6 : Final : 55.0 52.0 59.5 56.6 : : KS : July : 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.4 41.2 : August : 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.6 : Final : 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.6 : : MO : July : 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 51.8 : August : 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 : Final : 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 : : MT : July : 41.3 25.6 36.3 44.5 40.2 : August : 40.3 25.2 34.3 42.9 : Final : 40.3 25.2 34.3 42.9 : : NE : July : 57.5 46.6 52.4 59.5 43.0 : August : 58.3 46.8 52.8 59.6 : Final : 58.3 46.8 52.8 59.6 : : OH : July : 59.5 52.0 58.5 53.1 52.1 : August : 59.5 51.7 57.8 53.3 : Final : 59.5 51.7 57.8 53.3 : : OK : July : 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 40.5 : August : 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 : Final : 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 : : TX : July : 31.4 33.4 34.2 36.3 31.7 : August : 31.5 33.4 34.2 35.9 : Final : 31.6 33.4 34.2 36.3 : : WA : July : 40.6 37.3 37.8 37.2 36.4 : August : 40.0 36.7 37.6 36.5 : Final : 40.1 36.8 37.8 36.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 40,000 40,000 1,770 2,300 70,800 92,000 VA : 18,000 23,000 1,690 2,300 30,420 52,900 US : 58,000 63,000 1,745 2,300 101,220 144,900 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 94,000 93,000 1,955 2,250 183,770 209,250 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 20,000 20,000 1,915 2,250 38,300 45,000 SC : 30,000 27,000 2,100 2,200 63,000 59,400 US : 50,000 47,000 2,026 2,221 101,300 104,400 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,400 4,000 2,500 2,650 11,000 10,600 GA : 27,000 24,000 2,200 2,050 59,400 49,200 US : 31,400 28,000 2,242 2,136 70,400 59,800 Total 11-14 : 233,400 231,000 1,957 2,244 456,690 518,350 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL : 22.5 9.0 31.0 AR : 6.1 8.9 10.0 CA : Freestone : 796.0 826.0 780.0 CO : 19.0 21.0 22.0 CT : 1.3 1.5 1.3 GA : 90.0 110.0 110.0 ID : 13.0 13.0 14.0 IL : 17.2 20.5 22.0 IN : 3.1 3.4 2.4 KY : 1.2 1.8 1.6 LA : 1.5 1.6 1.1 MD : 7.0 8.5 8.8 MA : 2.3 3.0 1.8 MI : 14.0 47.0 43.0 MO : 8.0 10.0 11.0 NJ : 62.0 70.0 70.0 NY : 10.0 13.0 11.0 NC : 10.0 6.0 9.0 OH : 9.4 11.3 7.4 OK : 4.0 3.0 3.3 OR : 7.9 4.5 7.7 PA : 60.0 73.0 54.0 SC : 160.0 100.0 140.0 TN : 4.0 3.5 3.5 TX : 12.0 7.0 25.0 UT : 6.5 9.0 9.5 VA : 7.0 10.0 10.0 WA : 46.0 39.0 40.0 WV : 10.0 12.5 12.0 : Total Above : 1,411.0 1,447.0 1,462.4 : CA : Clingstone : 1,124.0 1,072.0 1,150.0 : US : 2,535.0 2,519.0 2,612.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes Table Type 1/ : CA : 743,000 732,000 750,000 Grapes Wine Type : CA : 3,149,000 2,909,000 2,900,000 Grapes Raisin Type 1/ 2/ : CA : 2,804,000 2,149,000 2,050,000 All Grapes : CA : 6,696,000 5,790,000 5,700,000 : Apricots : CA : 85,000 92,500 90,000 UT : 140 180 350 WA : 4,900 4,900 5,200 US : 90,040 97,580 95,550 : : 1,000 Pounds : Almonds (Shelled Basis) 3/: CA : 1,090,000 1,040,000 1,080,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh equivalent of dried and not dried. 2/ The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) was not implemented in 2003 and 2004, but was implemented on the 2002 bearing acres only. No production was realized from these acres. Acres enrolled are as follows: 27,000 for 2002. 3/ Utilized production. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : May : 2,175 2,100 1,740 1,160 3,040 2,435 Jun : 2,170 2,000 1,575 1,055 3,030 2,745 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2001-2002, 2002-2003 and Forecasted July 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001-02 : 2002-03 : 2003-04 : 2001-02 : 2002-03 : 2003-04 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 270 200 300 10 8 11 CA : 32,000 41,000 38,000 1,200 1,538 1,425 FL : 128,000 112,000 126,000 5,760 5,040 5,670 TX : 1,530 1,350 1,420 65 57 60 US : 161,800 154,550 165,720 7,035 6,643 7,166 Valencia : AZ : 250 270 170 9 10 6 CA : 19,500 20,500 13,000 731 769 488 FL : 102,000 91,000 116,000 4,590 4,095 5,220 TX : 210 220 230 9 9 10 US : 121,960 111,990 129,400 5,339 4,883 5,724 All : AZ : 520 470 470 19 18 17 CA : 51,500 61,500 51,000 1,931 2,307 1,913 FL : 230,000 203,000 242,000 10,350 9,135 10,890 TX : 1,740 1,570 1,650 74 66 70 US : 283,760 266,540 295,120 12,374 11,526 12,890 Temples : FL : 1,550 1,300 1,400 70 59 63 Grapefruit : White Seedless 4/ : FL : 18,900 16,200 15,900 803 689 676 Colored Seedless : FL : 27,800 22,500 24,900 1,182 956 1,058 All : AZ : 160 130 140 5 4 5 CA : 5,900 5,600 5,400 198 188 181 FL : 46,700 38,700 40,800 1,985 1,645 1,734 TX : 5,900 5,650 5,700 236 226 228 US : 58,660 50,080 52,040 2,424 2,063 2,148 Tangerines : AZ 5/ : 620 430 690 23 16 26 CA 5/ : 2,200 2,500 2,400 83 94 90 FL 6/ : 6,600 5,500 6,500 314 261 309 US : 9,420 8,430 9,590 420 371 425 Lemons : AZ : 2,800 3,000 3,000 106 114 114 CA : 18,300 24,000 18,000 695 912 684 US : 21,100 27,000 21,000 801 1,026 798 Tangelos : FL : 2,150 2,350 1,000 97 106 45 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Includes seedy. 5/ Includes tangelos and tangors. 6/ 2001-02 includes Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, Dancy, and Honey varieties; 2002-03 through 2003-04 includes Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey varieties only. Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres ------- --- Cwt --- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : CA : 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 310 250 2,635 2,125 FL : 6.1 5.7 5.8 5.5 240 250 1,392 1,375 : Total : 14.6 14.2 14.3 14.0 282 250 4,027 3,500 : Spring 1/ : AZ : 7.6 6.2 7.6 6.2 275 285 2,090 1,767 CA : 19.0 17.5 19.0 17.5 440 380 8,360 6,650 FL : 30.0 22.8 28.6 22.5 280 249 8,008 5,605 Hastings : 21.5 16.2 20.3 16.0 280 265 5,684 4,240 Other FL : 8.5 6.6 8.3 6.5 280 210 2,324 1,365 NC : 19.0 16.0 17.0 15.0 175 190 2,975 2,850 TX : 13.0 11.0 12.5 10.5 240 210 3,000 2,205 : Total : 88.6 73.5 84.7 71.7 288 266 24,433 19,077 : Summer : AL : 3.0 2.9 1.8 2.8 185 170 333 476 CA : 7.5 7.0 7.2 7.0 385 380 2,772 2,660 CO : 6.8 6.5 6.7 6.4 380 365 2,546 2,336 DE : 3.7 3.3 3.6 3.2 240 260 864 832 IL : 6.5 5.0 6.1 4.8 360 350 2,196 1,680 KS : 2.8 3.2 2.7 3.1 380 360 1,026 1,116 MD : 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 240 260 1,104 1,196 MO : 8.0 6.0 7.1 5.8 265 315 1,882 1,827 NJ : 2.8 2.3 2.7 2.3 250 250 675 575 NM : 1.9 1.5 1.9 1.5 280 300 532 450 TX : 9.0 10.4 8.4 9.6 420 430 3,528 4,128 VA : 7.0 6.0 6.2 6.0 250 230 1,550 1,380 : Total : 63.7 58.8 59.0 57.1 322 327 19,008 18,656 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2003-2004 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--------- 1,000 Acres --------- -- Cwt -- 1,000 Cwt : Fall 2/ : CA : 8.4 7.7 8.4 7.7 410 3,444 CO : 66.3 65.0 65.7 64.8 360 23,652 ID : 360.0 350.0 358.0 348.0 344 123,180 10 SW Co: 25.0 26.0 25.0 26.0 465 11,625 Other ID: 335.0 324.0 333.0 322.0 335 111,555 IN : 3.8 3.4 3.7 3.2 250 925 ME : 66.0 63.5 65.5 63.0 260 17,030 MA : 3.0 2.6 2.8 2.5 275 770 MI : 46.0 43.0 45.5 42.0 330 15,015 MN : 60.0 53.0 58.0 49.0 385 22,330 MT : 10.7 10.7 10.6 10.6 315 3,339 NE : 23.5 22.0 23.2 21.5 425 9,860 NV : 8.3 6.7 8.0 6.7 415 3,320 NM : 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 400 1,600 NY : 22.2 20.0 21.7 19.7 300 6,510 ND : 117.0 95.0 112.0 91.0 245 27,440 OH : 4.5 3.7 4.3 3.6 300 1,290 OR : 42.8 40.0 42.6 40.0 493 20,991 Malheur : 5.8 5.3 5.8 5.3 415 2,407 Other OR: 37.0 34.7 36.8 34.7 505 18,584 PA : 14.5 12.0 13.5 11.0 290 3,915 RI : 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 300 150 SD 3/ : 1.0 1.0 340 340 UT 3/ : 1.0 1.0 335 335 WA : 163.0 160.0 162.0 160.0 575 93,150 WI : 81.0 75.0 80.0 74.0 410 32,800 : Total :1,107.6 1,037.8 1,092.0 1,022.8 377 411,386 : US :1,274.5 1,184.3 1,250.0 1,165.6 367 458,854 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ The forecast of fall potato production will be published in the November "Crop Production". 3/ Estimates discontinued in 2004. Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes, 11 Major States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Potato Types 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Reds : Whites : Russets :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 5 5 12 13 83 82 ID : 2 2 3 3 95 95 ME : 4 4 56 55 40 41 MI : 4 3 83 84 13 13 MN : 28 23 11 10 61 67 NY : 5 100 90 5 ND : 20 17 39 39 41 44 OR : 2 4 26 22 72 74 PA : 4 100 96 WA : 6 3 9 9 85 88 WI : 10 11 38 32 52 57 : Total : 7 6 23 21 70 73 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s) constituting less than 1 percent of State's total. Yellow flesh potatoes are reported under white types. Blue types are reported under red types. Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes, by State and Total, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 Crop : 2004 Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Entered for : : Percent : Entered for : Certification : Certified : Certified : Certification -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- Acres --------- Percent Acres : AK : 170 171 101 170 CA : 500 558 112 550 CO : 15,700 13,197 84 14,884 ID : 40,032 40,271 101 36,924 ME : 15,146 14,869 98 13,000 MI : 2,600 2,570 99 2,500 MN : 12,732 11,568 91 10,000 MT : 9,638 9,716 101 9,682 NE : 6,560 4,873 74 6,592 NY : 994 950 96 750 ND : 20,200 18,825 93 16,746 OR : 3,061 3,058 100 2,914 PA : 235 216 92 284 SD 2/ : 972 WA : 2,630 2,709 103 2,200 WI : 9,300 8,958 96 8,515 : Total : 140,470 132,509 94 125,711 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data supplied by State seed certification officials. 2/ Acres certified not available for the 2003 crop. Estimates discontinued in 2004. Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 55.0 57.0 54.0 56.0 MT : 33.0 50.0 31.0 40.0 ND : 160.0 280.0 155.0 265.0 OR : 6.5 3.0 6.5 3.0 WA : 83.0 90.0 82.0 90.0 : US : 337.5 480.0 328.5 454.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. Lentils: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 68.0 72.0 66.0 70.0 MT : 30.0 38.0 26.0 35.0 ND : 55.0 90.0 54.0 88.0 WA : 93.0 100.0 91.0 100.0 : US : 246.0 300.0 237.0 293.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 10.0 14.0 8.0 11.0 MT : 9.5 10.0 7.0 5.0 OR : 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.6 : US : 21.1 25.5 15.6 16.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,299.0 4,666.0 4,688.0 4,152.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 78,736.0 80,968.0 71,139.0 73,362.0 Corn for Silage : 6,528.0 Hay, All : 63,342.0 61,589.0 Alfalfa : 23,578.0 22,226.0 All Other : 39,764.0 39,363.0 Oats : 4,601.0 4,220.0 2,224.0 1,938.0 Proso Millet : 730.0 720.0 620.0 Rice : 3,022.0 3,346.0 2,997.0 3,318.0 Rye : 1,368.0 1,330.0 339.0 343.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,420.0 8,099.0 7,798.0 6,916.0 Sorghum for Silage : 343.0 Wheat, All : 61,700.0 59,869.0 52,839.0 50,706.0 Winter : 44,945.0 43,450.0 36,541.0 34,825.0 Durum : 2,915.0 2,742.0 2,869.0 2,671.0 Other Spring : 13,840.0 13,677.0 13,429.0 13,210.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,082.0 946.0 1,068.0 919.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 595.0 629.0 583.0 608.0 Mustard Seed : 110.0 68.5 107.0 65.9 Peanuts : 1,344.0 1,386.0 1,312.0 1,351.0 Rapeseed : 1.3 11.8 1.2 11.4 Safflower : 221.0 142.0 212.0 133.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,404.0 74,809.0 72,321.0 73,655.0 Sunflower : 2,344.0 1,882.0 2,197.0 1,801.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,479.6 13,947.0 12,003.4 Upland : 13,301.0 13,700.0 11,826.0 Amer-Pima : 178.6 247.0 177.4 Sugarbeets : 1,365.4 1,340.5 1,347.9 1,310.4 Sugarcane : 994.4 971.1 Tobacco : 411.2 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 21.1 25.5 15.6 16.6 Dry Edible Beans : 1,406.1 1,424.2 1,346.9 1,325.2 Dry Edible Peas : 337.5 480.0 328.5 454.0 Lentils : 246.0 300.0 237.0 293.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.9 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 Hops : 28.7 27.9 Peppermint Oil : 78.2 Potatoes, All : 1,274.5 1,184.3 1,250.0 1,165.6 Winter : 14.6 14.2 14.3 14.0 Spring : 88.6 73.5 84.7 71.7 Summer : 63.7 58.8 59.0 57.1 Fall : 1,107.6 1,037.8 1,092.0 1,022.8 Spearmint Oil : 15.8 Sweet Potatoes : 95.8 99.1 92.6 96.3 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 58.9 63.5 276,087 263,502 Corn for Grain : " : 142.2 10,113,887 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.2 105,864 Hay, All : " : 2.48 157,123 Alfalfa : " : 3.24 76,307 All Other : " : 2.03 80,816 Oats : Bu : 65.0 62.9 144,649 121,860 Proso Millet : " : 18.5 11,450 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,645 199,157 Rye : Bu : 27.3 9,254 Sorghum for Grain : " : 52.7 411,237 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 10.4 3,552 Wheat, All : Bu : 44.2 40.6 2,336,526 2,059,071 Winter : " : 46.7 42.2 1,707,069 1,469,735 Durum : " : 33.7 33.2 96,637 88,571 Other Spring : " : 39.7 37.9 532,820 500,765 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,416 1,512,250 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,664.6 Flaxseed : Bu : 17.9 10,426 Mustard Seed : Lb : 723 77,372 Peanuts : " : 3,159 4,144,150 Rapeseed : " : 949 1,139 Safflower : " : 1,286 272,555 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 33.4 2,417,565 Sunflower : Lb : 1,213 2,665,226 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 730 18,255.2 Upland 2/ : " : 723 17,822.9 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,170 432.3 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.7 30,583 Sugarcane : " : 34.0 33,857 Tobacco : Lb : 1,952 802,654 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,115 174 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,672 22,515 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,584 5,202 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,030 2,442 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 673 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,470 8,700 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 37,500 6,000 Hops : " : 1,903 54,565.1 Peppermint Oil : " : 89 6,924 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 367 458,854 Winter : " : 282 250 4,027 3,500 Spring : " : 288 266 24,433 19,077 Summer : " : 322 327 19,008 18,656 Fall : " : 377 411,386 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 113 1,778 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 172 15,891 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 5,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,424 2,063 2,148 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/: " : 1 Lemons : " : 801 1,026 798 Oranges : " : 12,374 11,526 12,890 Tangelos (FL) : " : 97 106 45 Tangerines : " : 420 371 425 Temples (FL) : " : 70 59 63 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 8,523.9 8,613.3 Apricots : Ton : 90.0 97.6 95.6 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 20,000.0 22,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 7,338.9 6,572.7 Olives (CA) : " : 103.0 118.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 45,900.0 42,600.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,535.0 2,519.0 2,612.4 Pears : Ton : 890.0 928.1 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 172.0 181.0 70.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 15.7 16.3 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 1,090,000 1,040,000 1,080,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 19.5 37.7 Pecans : Lb : 172,900 282,100 Pistachios (CA) : " : 303,000 119,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 282.0 326.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,475 1,260 1,507 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,144,450 1,888,280 1,897,190 1,680,270 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,863,670 32,766,940 28,789,240 29,688,870 Corn for Silage : 2,641,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,633,870 24,924,450 Alfalfa : 9,541,780 8,994,640 All Other : 16,092,090 15,929,810 Oats : 1,861,980 1,707,790 900,030 784,290 Proso Millet : 295,420 291,380 250,910 Rice : 1,222,970 1,354,090 1,212,860 1,342,760 Rye : 553,620 538,240 137,190 138,810 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,812,180 3,277,580 3,155,770 2,798,840 Sorghum for Silage : 138,810 Wheat, All 3/ :24,969,370 24,228,390 21,383,410 20,520,210 Winter :18,188,790 17,583,780 14,787,780 14,093,330 Durum : 1,179,670 1,109,660 1,161,060 1,080,930 Other Spring : 5,600,910 5,534,950 5,434,580 5,345,950 : Oilseeds : Canola : 437,870 382,840 432,210 371,910 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 240,790 254,550 235,930 246,050 Mustard Seed : 44,520 27,720 43,300 26,670 Peanuts : 543,900 560,900 530,950 546,740 Rapeseed : 530 4,780 490 4,610 Safflower : 89,440 57,470 85,790 53,820 Soybeans for Beans :29,705,860 30,274,450 29,267,590 29,807,440 Sunflower : 948,590 761,630 889,100 728,850 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,455,060 5,644,210 4,857,660 Upland : 5,382,780 5,544,250 4,785,860 Amer-Pima : 72,280 99,960 71,790 Sugarbeets : 552,560 542,490 545,480 530,310 Sugarcane : 402,420 392,990 Tobacco : 166,390 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 8,540 10,320 6,310 6,720 Dry Edible Beans : 569,030 576,360 545,080 536,300 Dry Edible Peas : 136,580 194,250 132,940 183,730 Lentils : 99,550 121,410 95,910 118,570 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,390 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 Hops : 11,600 11,310 Peppermint Oil : 31,650 Potatoes, All 3/ : 515,780 479,270 505,860 471,710 Winter : 5,910 5,750 5,790 5,670 Spring : 35,860 29,740 34,280 29,020 Summer : 25,780 23,800 23,880 23,110 Fall : 448,230 419,990 441,920 413,920 Spearmint Oil : 6,390 Sweet Potatoes : 38,770 40,100 37,470 38,970 Taro (HI) 4/ : 170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.17 3.41 6,011,080 5,737,080 Corn for Grain : 8.92 256,904,560 Corn for Silage : 36.35 96,038,210 Hay, All 2/ : 5.56 142,539,590 Alfalfa : 7.25 69,224,550 All Other : 4.56 73,315,040 Oats : 2.33 2.26 2,099,570 1,768,790 Proso Millet : 1.03 259,680 Rice : 7.45 9,033,610 Rye : 1.71 235,060 Sorghum for Grain : 3.31 10,445,900 Sorghum for Silage : 23.21 3,222,320 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.97 2.73 63,589,820 56,038,730 Winter : 3.14 2.84 46,458,800 39,999,630 Durum : 2.27 2.23 2,630,030 2,410,510 Other Spring : 2.67 2.55 14,500,980 13,628,590 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.59 685,950 Cottonseed 3/ : 6,046,020 Flaxseed : 1.12 264,830 Mustard Seed : 0.81 35,100 Peanuts : 3.54 1,879,750 Rapeseed : 1.06 520 Safflower : 1.44 123,630 Soybeans for Beans : 2.25 65,795,340 Sunflower : 1.36 1,208,930 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.82 3,974,600 Upland : 0.81 3,880,480 Amer-Pima : 1.31 94,120 Sugarbeets : 50.86 27,744,430 Sugarcane : 76.32 30,714,550 Tobacco : 2.19 364,080 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.25 7,890 Dry Edible Beans : 1.87 1,021,260 Dry Edible Peas : 1.77 235,960 Lentils : 1.15 110,770 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 30,530 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.65 3,950 Ginger Root (HI) : 42.03 2,720 Hops : 2.13 24,750 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,140 Potatoes, All 2/ : 41.14 20,813,270 Winter : 31.56 28.02 182,660 158,760 Spring : 32.33 29.82 1,108,260 865,320 Summer : 36.11 36.62 862,190 846,220 Fall : 42.23 18,660,160 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 810 Sweet Potatoes : 19.23 720,800 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,270 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,199,020 1,871,520 1,948,630 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/ : 910 Lemons : 726,650 930,770 723,930 Oranges : 11,225,500 10,456,210 11,693,610 Tangelos (FL) : 88,000 96,160 40,820 Tangerines : 381,020 336,570 385,550 Temples (FL) : 63,500 53,520 57,150 : Noncitrus : Apples : 3,866,380 3,906,930 Apricots : 81,680 88,520 86,680 Bananas (HI) : 9,070 10,210 Grapes : 6,657,740 5,962,680 Olives (CA) : 93,440 107,050 Papayas (HI) : 20,820 19,320 Peaches : 1,149,860 1,142,600 1,184,960 Pears : 807,410 841,910 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 156,040 164,200 63,500 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 14,200 14,790 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 494,420 471,740 489,880 Hazelnuts : 17,690 34,200 Pecans : 78,430 127,960 Pistachios (CA) : 137,440 53,980 Walnuts (CA) : 255,830 295,740 Maple Syrup : 7,370 6,300 7,530 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. June Weather Summary The frontal boundary that helped to spark May downpours across the Midwest shifted southward in June. As a result, cooler, favorably drier air overspread the Midwest, although below-normal temperatures and lingering wetness across the northern Corn Belt hampered final soybean planting and summer crop emergence and growth. Meanwhile, the South became the new focus for heavy rainfall, especially during the second half of June. Rain eased or eliminated the effects of spring dryness in the Southeast, but left standing water in some fields, caused lowland flooding, and increased concerns about crop quality from southern and eastern Texas to the Delta. Rainfall also increased in coverage and intensity across the southern half of the Plains, slowing final winter wheat harvesting but providing much-needed moisture for the High Plains' pastures and dryland summer crops. Farther north, however, long-term drought remained deeply entrenched from western Nebraska into southeastern Montana, despite occasional showers. Elsewhere on the northern Plains, cool weather slowed the development of winter wheat and spring-sown small grains. Farther west, scattered showers boosted topsoil moisture but provided little relief from a multi-year drought across the central Rockies and Intermountain West. Drought-reduced water supplies also remained a concern elsewhere in the West, although a lack of extreme heat helped to limit demands on irrigation reserves. Monthly temperatures averaged within 3 degrees F of normal at most locations in the West, ranging from slightly below normal in the central Rockies to somewhat above normal in the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest. East of the Rockies, unusual warmth was confined to the southern Atlantic States, where readings averaged as much as 3 degrees F above normal. In contrast, most locations across the northern half of the Plains and the upper Midwest reported June temperatures ranging from 3 to 6 degrees F below normal. June Crop Summary Below-normal temperatures prevailed across the Corn Belt and Great Plains. In the Corn Belt, moderate to heavy precipitation through mid-month limited fieldwork and flooded some fields, but mostly dry conditions in the final week encouraged winter wheat harvest. Rainfall totals were above normal in the central and southern Great Plains, improving crop conditions. After moderate precipitation early in the month, the northern Great Plains remained mostly dry. Heavy rainfall in the Delta flooded fields and severely limited fieldwork. Abundant precipitation in the Southeast eased soil moisture shortages. Precipitation was moderate across the middle Atlantic Coast States, but light in the Northeast. Warm, dry conditions dominated across the Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and Southwest, though brief periods of scattered showers brought some relief. The Nation's corn crop was 95 percent emerged by June 6, seven percentage points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of normal. By month's end, 9 percent of the crop had reached the silking stage, 5 points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Silking was most advanced in North Carolina and Tennessee, where 79 and 71 percent of the crop had reached this stage, respectively. In the northern Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains, silking had not begun. Winter wheat heading continued to progress well, reaching 95 percent complete by mid-month, 3 points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. By the end of the month, harvest had reached 51 percent complete, compared with 39 percent last year and the normal pace of 41 percent. Arkansas and Oklahoma growers neared completion, with 95 and 96 percent of their winter wheat acres harvested, respectively. In the northern-most areas and the eastern Corn Belt, harvest had not begun. Harvest progressed rapidly during the final week of the month further west in the Corn Belt, where Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri producers harvested over one-third of their acreage. By mid-month, the cotton crop was 95 percent planted, 3 points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. At that time, growers had completed planting in most States and were nearing completion in all other States, except Texas where 89 percent of the crop was in the ground. By June 27, fifty-four percent of the acreage was at or beyond the squaring stage, 12 points ahead of last year but equal to the normal pace. Squaring was most advanced in Arkansas and California, at 85 percent complete. Virginia's crop was just slightly less advanced at 83 percent but was 47 points ahead of the normal pace. Progress was ahead of normal in most States, lagging behind only in Arizona, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. Meanwhile, 11 percent of the acreage had set bolls, 2 points ahead of last year but 1 point behind normal. The soybean crop continued to progress ahead of the normal planting and emergence pace. By June 20, ninety-five percent of the crop was planted, 2 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of the 5-year average. Planting was complete, ahead of the normal pace, in Iowa, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nebraska, and North Dakota. However, planting lagged well behind normal in Michigan and Wisconsin. By month's end, 95 percent of the crop had emerged, compared with 91 percent last year and 94 percent for the average. Blooming had begun in most States by June 27 and was 7 percent complete, 5 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of normal. Ninety-three percent of the Nation's sorghum crop was planted by month's end, 3 points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. Planting was complete in Louisiana and Nebraska and over 90 percent complete in all States, except New Mexico. The most rapid progress during the month was in South Dakota, where planting advanced 56 points between May 30 and June 27. Kansas growers, with 93 percent of their crop planted, were 2 points behind their normal pace, while Texas producers had planted 91 percent of their acreage and were 2 points ahead of normal. Meanwhile, heading was 17 percent complete by month's end, the same as last year but 1 point behind normal. Heading was most advanced in the Delta and Texas, but progressed behind normal in Louisiana and Texas. The rice crop was 96 percent emerged on June 6, six points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of normal. Emergence was complete in Missouri and at or ahead of the normal pace in all States, except Louisiana. However, heading lagged behind the normal pace as cool, wet weather slowed development in the Delta and along the Gulf Coast. By month's end, 7 percent of the crop had headed, compared with 8 percent last year and 9 percent for the 5-year average. California was the only State where progress was ahead of the normal pace, while in Louisiana and Texas, the crop trailed their normal heading pace by 21 and 15 points, respectively. Despite rapid planting and emergence, heading of the spring wheat crop lagged behind the normal pace as below-normal temperatures prevailed across the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. At month's end, 26 percent of the crop had headed, 14 points behind last year and 6 points behind normal. Only South Dakota and Washington were ahead of the normal heading pace, at 83 and 89 percent complete, respectively. Similarly, barley development slowed in June after rapid planting and emergence. By June 27, twenty-five percent of the Nation's barley acreage was headed, compared with 36 percent last year and 29 percent for the 5-year average. Washington's crop advanced 35 points during the final week to finish the month at 85 percent headed, 14 points ahead of normal, while all other States were behind normal. At month's end, 53 percent of the oat crop was headed, 5 points behind last year and 2 points behind normal. Heading had progressed ahead of the normal pace during most of the month but slowed as cool weather prevailed in the major-producing areas during the final week. In Minnesota, heading ranged from 2 points ahead of normal on June 6 to 21 points behind normal on June 27. Sunflower planting remained behind the normal pace throughout the month. By June 27, ninety-five percent of the crop was planted, 3 points behind last year and the 5-year average. Despite staying ahead of the normal pace through most of the month, Colorado growers slipped to 3 points behind normal by month's end. In Kansas and the Dakotas, the planting pace was behind normal during the entire month. The Nation's peanut crop was 96 percent planted on June 6, two points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. However, pegging of the crop advanced behind the normal pace. At month's end, 26 percent of the crop had reached the pegging stage, 4 points ahead of last year but 1 point behind normal. Although most States were ahead of the normal pace, Alabama, Georgia, and Texas, which account for three-fourths of the acreage, were all behind normal. Oats: Production is forecast at 122 million bushels, 16 percent below last year's 145 million bushels. The forecasted yield is 62.9 bushels per acre, down 2.1 bushels from 2003. Expected area for harvest is 1.94 million acres, down 13 percent from last year. Crop development lagged behind normal across most of the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. By the end of June, slightly more than one-half of the acreage was headed, 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average. The crop was most advanced in Iowa and Nebraska, where over 90 percent of the acreage was headed. Lower yields are forecast in many Corn Belt and Great Plains States. Excessive moisture and lower than normal temperatures in June slowed crop development and adversely affected crop conditions in many areas. Yields are expected to be higher in the Pacific Northwest and most Rocky Mountain States, where adequate moisture and near average temperatures have provided favorable growing conditions. Barley: Production for 2004 is forecast at 264 million bushels, 5 percent below 2003. Based on conditions as of July 1, the average yield is forecast at 63.5 bushels per acre, up 4.6 bushels from last year. Area for harvest, at 4.15 million acres, is down 11 percent from 2003. The largest production declines compared to last year are expected in Minnesota and North Dakota as a result of fewer harvested acres and lower yields. Minnesota and North Dakota yields are down 17 and 3 bushels per acre from last year, respectively. However, yield is expected to increase in most of the Pacific Northwest and Rocky Mountain States, where weather conditions have been mostly favorable. Washington's forecasted yield of 65 bushels per acre is 18 bushels higher than 2003, while Idaho's forecast, at 78 bushels per acre, is up 12 bushels. Warm, dry conditions early in the season allowed planting to progress well ahead of the normal pace in most States and pushed emergence ahead of normal. However, below-normal temperatures from mid-May through June slowed crop development. As of June 27, the Nation's barley crop was 25 percent headed, 4 percentage points behind normal. Seventy-one percent of the crop was rated in good to excellent condition, compared with 79 percent last year. Winter Wheat: Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 34.8 million, down 5 percent from 2003. Harvest progress, in the 18 major producing States, was 51 percent complete by June 27. This was 12 percentage points ahead of last year and 10 points ahead of the 5-year average. Yield decreases from last month are forecast in many of the major Hard Red Winter producing States. Wet weather in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas temporarily slowed harvest progress. Dry weather in Colorado allowed the crop to develop at a close to average pace, while cool, wet conditions in Montana have hindered crop development. Yield prospects are mixed this month across the Soft Red Winter States. Yields in the Delta, Southeast, and Atlantic Coast States are above last month's forecast. In the Corn Belt, however, yields are steady to lower than previous projections. Harvest is well underway in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. White Wheat yield forecasts are equal to or higher than those of a month ago. Timely rains have increased yield expectations for the non-irrigated crop in Idaho. Topsoil moisture conditions in Washington remained mostly adequate throughout the month of June. Durum Wheat: Area for 2004 grain harvest is expected to total 2.67 million acres, down 7 percent from last year. Harvest is nearly complete in California. Top Durum producing counties in Montana have received above normal amounts of precipitation this growing season. Crop development is running slightly behind last year's pace. In North Dakota, as of June 27, only 48 percent of the crop was rated in good to excellent condition, well below last year's ratings. Crop development is also behind normal in North Dakota, where only 44 percent of the crop was jointed or beyond. Other Spring Wheat: Harvested grain area is forecast at 13.2 million acres, down 2 percent from last year. Below normal temperatures have hampered crop development in the northern Great Plains. As of June 27, only 17 percent of the North Dakota crop was headed or beyond, well behind both last year and the 5-year average. In Minnesota and Montana, only 23 and 9 percent of the crop was at or beyond the heading stage, respectively. Weather conditions in the Pacific Northwest have been favorable for spring seeded wheat and yield forecasts are up dramatically from last year. Lentils: Planted acreage of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at 300,000 acres, up 22 percent from last year and 33 percent above 2002. Harvested acreage is forecast at 293,000, up 24 percent from last year. Washington growers planted 100,000 acres of lentils, up 8 percent from 2003 and 25 percent above two years ago. This is the highest planted acreage level since 1994. Planting in eastern Washington was completed by mid-May, two weeks ahead of last year. Producers have experienced a warm and dry growing season. Precipitation to date is 91 percent of normal in the northern production region and 81 percent of normal in the southern production region. Rainfall in late May was well received. Growers plan to harvest all 100,000 acres, up 10 percent from a year ago. Growers in Idaho planted 72,000 acres of lentils, 6 percent above both the 2003 and 2002 seasons. Idaho's lentil crop continues to develop under generally favorable conditions. Stands are mostly full with many reaching the bloom stage. Very few problems have been reported. Idaho growers plan to harvest 70,000 acres, up 6 percent from 2003. Planted acreage in North Dakota is estimated at 90,000 acres, up 64 percent from last year and 70 percent above 2002. This is a record high planted acreage for North Dakota. The majority of the lentil crop in the Northwest region of the State was planted before the excessive snow and rainfall in mid-May. Some farmers were able to finish planting lentils once weather conditions improved. Minimal abandonment was reported with most of the crop in good to excellent condition. North Dakota growers are expected to harvest 88,000 acres, up 63 percent from a year ago. Montana growers planted 38,000 acres this year, up 27 percent from 2003 and 52 percent above two years ago. Montana experienced 80 degree temperatures in April through mid-May with very limited moisture. From mid-May cooler temperatures and precipitation were received throughout the State. Area harvested is forecast at 35,000 acres, up 35 percent from 2003. Dry Edible Peas: Planted acreage of dry edible peas for 2004 is estimated at 480,000 acres, up 42 percent from last year and 55 percent above 2002. Harvested area is forecast at 454,000 acres, up 38 percent from last year. Area planted in North Dakota, at 280,000 acres, is 75 percent above a year ago. This is a record high for the State. North Dakota growers are expected to harvest 265,000 acres, up 71 percent from last season. The dry edible pea crop in the Northwest region of the State was planted before excessive snow and rainfall in mid-May. However, there was minimal abandonment in the Northwest region. Intended dry pea acres not seeded before the snowfall were not planted because it was too late in the season. The majority of the crop is reported to be in good to excellent condition. Idaho dry edible pea growers planted 57,000 acres in 2004, up 4 percent from last year. Idaho growers plan to harvest 56,000 acres, up 4 percent from the previous season. The dry pea crop continues to develop under generally favorable conditions. Stands are mostly full with many reaching the bloom stage. Oregon growers devoted 3,000 acres to dry edible peas, a decrease of 54 percent from the previous year. Washington farmers planted dry edible peas on 90,000 acres, up 8 percent from 2003 and their largest acreage since 1999. Dry pea planting was completed in the eastern part of the State by mid-May, two weeks ahead of last year. Washington's dry pea crop has experienced a warm and dry growing season. Season precipitation to date is 91 percent of normal in the northern production region and 81 percent of normal in the southern production region. Rainfall in late May was well received. Growers plan to harvest all 90,000 acres, up 10 percent from last year. Montana dry edible pea growers planted 50,000 acres, up 52 percent from a year ago and 56 percent above 2002. Montana experienced 80 degree temperatures in April through mid-May with very limited moisture. From mid-May cooler temperatures and rain have been received throughout the State. Austrian Winter Peas: Planted area of Austrian winter peas in Idaho, Montana, and Oregon is estimated at 25,500 acres, up 21 percent from 2003 and 10 percent above the 2002 season. Harvested area is forecast at 16,600 acres, up 6 percent from last year and 28 percent above two years ago. Montana growers planted 10,000 acres, up 5 percent from 2003. They plan to harvest 5,000 acres, down 29 percent from last season. More acreage is expected to be grazed this year than last. Planted area in Idaho totaled 14,000 acres, up 40 percent from 2003. Harvested area is forecast at 11,000 acres, up 38 percent from the 2003 season. Idaho's pea crop continues to develop under generally favorable conditions. Stands are mostly full with many reaching the bloom stage. Austrian winter pea planted acreage in Oregon is estimated at 1,500, down 6 percent from a year ago. Harvested area is forecast at 600 acres, unchanged from the previous year. Tobacco: U.S. all flue-cured production is forecast at 518 million pounds, up 14 percent from the 2003 crop and 1 percent above 2002. Yield per acre for flue-cured is forecast at 2,244 pounds, up 287 pounds from 2003 and 150 pounds above the 2002 yield. Forecasted yields for all flue-cured tobacco in Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia increased from last year, while yields are expected to decline in Georgia. North Carolina's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 346 million pounds, up 18 percent from the 2003 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,263 pounds, up 361 pounds from 2003. Most growers in North Carolina had no difficulty getting their crop in the ground. However, most areas needed additional rainfall after planting. Conditions varied even within counties, depending upon localized rainfall. As of June 27, the crop was rated 78 percent good to excellent. Flue-cured tobacco production in South Carolina is forecast at 59.4 million pounds, down 6 percent from the 2003 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,200 pounds, up 100 pounds from last year. Growth and development of the crop were nearly on schedule with topping slightly ahead of its normal rate. Flue-cured tobacco production in Virginia is forecast at 52.9 million pounds, up 74 percent from the 2003 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,300 pounds, up 610 pounds from last year. Transplanting conditions were very good for flue-cured tobacco producers, progressing ahead of schedule despite some localized rain delays. Timely rains and above-normal temperatures allowed the crop to progress up to three weeks ahead of schedule. Topping is in full swing, also ahead of schedule. Harvest should begin in early July. Georgia's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 49.2 million pounds, down 17 percent from the 2003 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,050 pounds, down 150 pounds from last season. Some areas received too much rain, slowing crop growth and development, limiting fieldwork, and disrupting spraying programs. Other areas reported a crop equal to or better than last year's crop. Florida's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 10.6 million pounds, down 4 percent from last year's crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,650 pounds, up 150 pounds from the 2003 crop. Harvest began by late June. Wet conditions reduced the effectiveness of pesticides in some areas. All Potatoes: Potato growers across the United States have planted an estimated 1.18 million acres of potatoes in all four seasons this year, down 7 percent from last year. Area for harvest, forecasted at 1.17 million acres, is also down 7 percent from a year ago. Fall potato planted acreage is down 6 percent from the 2003 crop year. The summer potato production forecast is down 2 percent from last season. Winter and spring production forecasts, which are being carried forward, are down 13 percent and 22 percent, respectively, from last year. Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes for 2004 is estimated at 1.04 million acres, down 6 percent from last year and 8 percent below 2002. Harvested acres are forecast at 1.02 million, down 6 percent from 2003 and 7 percent below two years ago. This reduction is due in part to low prices and changes in dietary trends. Western States potato acreage is estimated at 644,100 acres planted this year, down 3 percent from last year and 7 percent below 2002. Weather conditions in the Western States have been generally favorable for potatoes. Idaho growers dropped their acreage 3 percent and Washington producers pulled back 2 percent from a year ago. Colorado growers voluntarily reduced acreage 2 percent this year due to expected shortages in irrigation water supplies. Planted acres in Oregon were dropped 7 percent. This reduction is due in part to the impending closure of a processing plant in the Columbia Basin. Also, lower demand for fresh market potatoes has contributed to reduced plantings in the Klamath Basin. California's fall potato acres are down 8 percent and Nevada's acres decreased 19 percent. Planted acres for Montana and New Mexico are unchanged from 2003. Central States planted an estimated 295,100 acres of fall potatoes this year, down 12 percent from last year and 13 percent below two years ago. Reduced chipstock contract volumes, due to surpluses in the 2003 crop, have contributed to the reduced acres in the Central States. North Dakota's planted acreage decreased 19 percent and is the lowest planted acres since 1955. Planted acres dropped 18 percent in Ohio, 12 percent in Minnesota, and 11 percent in Indiana from a year ago. Michigan and Wisconsin both decreased 7 percent and Nebraska dropped 6 percent. Wet spring weather slowed planting and early development in most of the Central States. In Minnesota some fields were not planted in the Red River Valley due to wet conditions. Growers in Eastern States have planted an estimated 98,600 acres of fall potatoes this year, down 7 percent from last year and 5 percent below the 2002 acreage. Maine's planted area is estimated at 63,500 acres, down 4 percent from last year. Planted potato acreage in New York is down 10 percent and Pennsylvania is down 17 percent. Massachusetts and Rhode Island dropped 13 and 17 percent, respectively. Cool wet spring weather delayed planting and has slowed crop progress but crop quality is expected to be good. Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 18.7 million cwt, a 2 percent decrease from a year ago. Harvest is expected from 57,100 acres, down 3 percent from last year, with an average yield of 327 cwt per acre, up 5 cwt from 2003. Eight of the 12 summer potato States expect smaller crops than they had last year but the potato crops in four States are larger. Production in Illinois is expected to be down 23 percent from last year, followed by New Jersey and New Mexico, with a decrease of 15 percent each. Virginia's summer potato crop forecast is down 11 percent, while Colorado expects an 8 percent drop from 2003. California and Delaware are each looking for production decreases of 4 percent. Expectations in Missouri are down 3 percent despite an increase in yield of 50 cwt per acre to 315 cwt. If realized, this would be the second highest yield on record. However, harvested acres are down 18 percent, more than offsetting the yield increase. A larger potato crop is expected in Alabama, with a 43 percent increase. Kansas and Maryland growers anticipate 9 percent and 8 percent increases, respectively. Planting and crop development in most summer potato States progressed normally due to favorable weather conditions. Harvest is underway in most areas. Texas growers anticipate a high quality crop with good yields. Planting of California's Central Valley summer potato crop proceeded normally with the crop in good condition. Colorado summer potatoes continue to develop on schedule and are in mostly good to excellent condition. No water shortages are expected for the remainder of the growing season. Missouri farmers are making normal progress with harvesting in the southeastern counties, while harvest in the northwest is a few weeks away. Virginia's potato crop got off to a good start, with ideal growing conditions. Rainfall has been timely. Peaches: The July 2004 forecast of U.S. peach production is 2.61 billion pounds, up 4 percent from 2003 and 3 percent above two years ago. Fourteen States forecast increases in production from last year, while 11 States expect declines and 4 States remain unchanged. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.15 billion pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but 7 percent above 2003. California experienced an adequate number of chilling hours benefitting the Clingstone crop. Overall, bloom is reported to be good on all varieties. Picking began in the Kingsburg area on June 9, ten days earlier than last year's starting date. Harvest gained momentum throughout June in Stanislaus, Yuba, and Sutter counties with Ceres Carson and Loadel the major varieties picked. Quality is reported to be very good. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 780 million pounds, down 2 percent from the June 1 forecast and 6 percent below 2003. The Freestone bloom was late but, with a warm dry spring, the crop matured rapidly. Some middle to late season varieties had problems with incomplete pollination causing the fruit to stop growing too soon. Harvest was approximately 40 percent complete by July 1. Flavor is reported to be excellent. The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 140 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but up 40 percent from last year. Weather conditions have been favorable for fruit development. Moisture was short in the spring but adequate for bloom. Precipitation was well above normal for the month of June, slowing harvest. North Carolina's peach crop, forecast at 9.00 million pounds, is up 50 percent from last year but 10 percent below two years ago. Growing conditions have been more favorable than last year's conditions when spring frost damage reduced the crop. Georgia's peach crop is forecast at 110 million pounds, up 10 percent from the June 1 forecast but unchanged from 2003. Rainfall during June was beneficial in helping improve fruit size. Rainfall totals during the past 30 days ranged mostly from 4 to 6 inches in the major production areas. Soil moisture on June 27, was 65 percent adequate and 28 percent surplus. Rain, along with cloudy and humid conditions, hindered spraying schedules which caused concern about diseases. Harvest progressed slowly during June due to wet conditions. By the end of June, 40 percent of the expected production had been harvested, a few days behind last year's harvest. In New Jersey, production is forecast at 70.0 million pounds, unchanged from 2003 but 13 percent above 2002. Crop conditions are rated good to excellent. Fruit development is a week ahead of schedule. Production in Pennsylvania is forecast at 54.0 million pounds, down 26 percent from last year and 10 percent below 2002. Pennsylvania peach producers anticipate harvesting a high quality peach crop. Most growers report having to thin due to a very heavy fruit set. Weather conditions were ideal for pollination. Ample rain since pollination has helped fruit size. Production in New York is forecast at 11.0 million pounds, down 15 percent from 2003 but 10 percent above two years ago. Many growers in the Lake Ontario region reported damage due to cold temperatures in late December and early January. A hard freeze Statewide on January 16 caused tree damage, therefore, decreasing fruit potential. In the spring, hail storms were reported across the Hudson Valley Fruit Region. Production in Connecticut is forecast at 1.30 million pounds, a 13 percent decrease from last year. Cold winter temperatures in January damaged peach trees in some areas. Average date of full bloom was April 30, two days earlier than last year's May 2 date. Production in Massachusetts is forecast at 1.80 million pounds, down 40 percent from 2003. Cold winter conditions and low temperatures stressed trees and caused a light bloom in many areas. Many producers reported zero production for 2004. Average date of full bloom in the State was May 2, three days earlier than last year's May 5 date. Michigan's peach crop is forecast at 43.0 million pounds, down 9 percent from 2003 but three times the size of the weather devastated 2002 crop. Warm temperatures during early spring put development 7 to 9 days ahead of schedule. Rainfall helped soil moisture and kept insect populations to a minimum. Strong winds and isolated hail storms damaged some orchards; however, the impact was sporadic. Frost damage was reported in the southeast, heavily reducing some grower's crops. Peach production in Indiana and Ohio is down 29 percent and 35 percent, respectively, from last year. Production is up 10 percent in Missouri. Peach production in Kentucky is forecast at 1.60 million pounds, down 11 percent from last year. Illinois' production, at 22.0 million pounds, is up 7 percent from 2003. Production in West Virginia is down 4 percent from 2003, however, production is up 4 percent in Maryland. Both Alabama and Texas more than tripled their production from the previous season. Production is up in Arkansas and Oklahoma. Tennessee and Virginia remain unchanged from last year. The Washington peach crop is forecast at 40.0 million pounds, up 3 percent from last year but down 13 percent from 2002. Mild spring conditions were favorable, but some growers report reduced output due to winter freeze damage to trees. Production is also up from 2003 in Oregon, Idaho, and Utah. In Colorado, production is forecast at 22.0 million pounds, up 5 percent from the 2003 crop. Water availability and weather conditions have been favorable for the peach crop this season. California Grapes: California's all grape production is forecast at 5.70 million tons, down 2 percent from last year. Wine type grapes account for 51 percent of California's total production and raisin types account for 36 percent, while the remaining 13 percent are table type grapes. Wine type grape production is forecast at 2.90 million tons, down less than 1 percent from the 2003 crop. Warm spring temperatures aided early crop development. However, reduced bunch counts are limiting the production outlook. California's raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.05 million tons, down 5 percent from last year. Spring temperatures were generally favorable for crop development. However, bunch counts are reported to be lower when compared to last year. Thompson Seedless harvest for fresh use was active through early July in the Coachella Valley. Table type grape production is expected to be 750,000 tons, up 2 percent from last year. Picking was active through early July in the Coachella Valley, with Perlette, Flame Seedless, and Black Beauty Seedless the primary varieties harvested. Apricots: The final forecast for the 2004 apricot crop is 95,550 tons, down 2 percent from last season's production but 6 percent above 2002. California's 2004 apricot production is forecast at 90,000 tons, equal to the June forecast but 3 percent below last year's production. California's production represents 94 percent of the 2004 U.S. apricot crop. Weather during bloom was excellent with warm temperatures throughout the apricot producing areas of the State. Cool temperatures during harvest contributed to good fruit size. Harvest will be finished by mid-July. Washington's production, at 5,200 tons, is up 6 percent from both last year and 2002. Mild spring weather was favorable to the State's apricot crop. The 2004 Utah crop, at 350 tons, is up 94 percent from 2003 and more than double the production from 2002. Favorable growing conditions in northern Utah contributed to the upturn in this year's production. Almonds: The 2004 California almond crop is forecast at 1.08 billion pounds, shelled basis, down 2 percent from the previous forecast but up 4 percent from the 2003 crop. The current forecast is based on the objective measurement survey conducted in California almond orchards. The almond bloom started in mid-February accompanied by heavy rain and wind. However, the bloom was very intense and both the variety and pollinators bloomed together which may have contributed to the good set. The bloom was strong and stayed on the trees for much longer than normal. Very warm weather the first three weeks of March advanced crop development and the crop is currently at least two weeks ahead of normal. Kernel size appears to be normal. Overall, the crop appears to be fairly uniform throughout the State and the growers have indicated they expect to have a good crop. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.75 million pounds for June, up 13 percent from last month but 9 percent lower than a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,000 acres, down 5 percent from last month and 8 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,055 acres, 9 percent less than last month and 33 percent below June 2003. Weather conditions over the major producing areas were favorable during June with mostly sunny skies and periods of light trade wind showers providing good growing conditions. Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2003-04 U.S. grapefruit crop is 2.15 million tons, up 1 percent from the previous forecast and 4 percent above last season. Florida's grapefruit forecast, at 40.8 million boxes (1.73 million tons), is unchanged from the previous month but 5 percent above last season's final utilization. The white grapefruit forecast, at 15.9 million boxes (676,000 tons), is unchanged from last month but 2 percent below last season. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 24.9 million boxes (1.06 million tons), is unchanged from last month but 11 percent above last season's final utilization. Florida's grapefruit harvest was complete near July 1 as most of the fresh fruit packinghouses were closing. The California grapefruit forecast, at 5.40 million boxes (181,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 4 percent less than the previous season's final utilization. Marsh Ruby grapefruit harvest continues in the desert area, while Star Ruby variety grapefruit was harvested in the southern coastal counties. Overall fruit quality and color are good. The July 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is 5.70 million boxes (228,000 tons), up 6 percent from the April 1 forecast and 1 percent above last season. Arizona's July 1 forecast, at 140,000 boxes (5,000 tons), is up 40 percent from the previous forecast and 8 percent above last season's utilized production. Tangerines: The 2003-04 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 425,000 tons, up 1 percent from the June 1 forecast and 15 percent above last season's final utilization of 371,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop, at 6.50 million boxes (309,000 tons), is unchanged from last month but 18 percent above last season's utilization. Harvest of all tangerine varieties is complete. Arizona's tangerine forecast is 690,000 boxes (26,000 tons), up 15 percent from the previous forecast and 60 percent above last season. California's forecast, at 2.40 million boxes (90,000 tons), is unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 4 percent below last season. Lemons: The 2003-04 U.S. lemon crop is 798,000 tons, down 19 percent from the previous forecast and 22 percent below last season's final utilization. California production is forecast at 18.0 million boxes (684,000 tons), down 22 percent from the previous forecast and 25 percent below the 2002-03 season. A heat wave in April lowered earlier production expectations. Harvest continues in the South Coastal area. Prices are higher in response to strong demand for all sizes. Arizona's 2003-04 lemon forecast, at 3.00 million boxes (114,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast and season. Temples: Florida's Temple utilization is final at 1.40 million boxes (63,000 tons) for the 2003-04 season, unchanged from last month but 8 percent above last season. Tangelos: Florida's 2003-04 tangelo production forecast is final at 1.00 million boxes (45,000 tons), unchanged from June but 57 percent less than last season's utilized production. Florida Citrus: Rainfall during June was variable with some areas receiving adequate amounts but others receiving very little. The rains were spread throughout the month with the lower west coast and interior areas receiving most of the precipitation, while the lower interior areas received varying amounts. Many growers and caretakers continue to use irrigation to supplement surface moisture. Temperatures reached into the 90's followed by afternoon storms on many days. Most of the trees in well cared for groves are in good condition. The summer flush of new growth has appeared on younger trees and in some older groves. New crop fruit is progressing well with good sizes reported. Harvest of Valencia oranges declined through most of June with all but two processing plants closed by the end of the month. Grapefruit harvest was finished by July 1 as most of the fresh fruit packinghouses were closing. Honey Tangerine harvest was over for the year by the beginning of June. Caretakers were active during June mowing, chopping, and disking cover crops that grew vigorously because of the rains. Hedging and topping slowed during the month. Summer fertilizer treatments are currently being applied. Dead trees are being pushed out and burned. New resets are being planted in larger groves with permanent irrigation. Summer herbicides are being applied to control weed growth. Growers are cutting vines out of their trees. Texas Citrus: Abundant water supply in the Rio Grande Valley led to good fruit size for both oranges and grapefruit. Some problems were reported with Rust Mite and Blackfly. California Citrus: Citrus groves were irrigated due to the dry weather and warm conditions. Fertilization and weed control treatments continued. The Navel orange season was nearly complete by early June. Picking of Valencia oranges was slow with puff affecting packouts of the larger fruit. Star Ruby grapefruit harvesting was winding down. Lemon harvesting continued in the southern coastal areas. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included weed control, fungicide application, cultivation, and irrigation in orchards. Thinning of late season stone fruit varieties continued, as well as summer pruning in a number of harvested orchards. Picking of many fruit crops was active throughout the month. Rich Lady, Brittney Lane, and Country Sweet peaches, Black Amber and Santa Rosa plums, Zee Grand and Honey Blaze nectarines, and Flavorosa pluots were picked and packed. Picking of Clingstone peaches began in the Kingsburg area on June 9, ten days earlier than last year's starting date. Apricot harvesting was complete in Fresno and Tulare counties by the end of June but was still underway in other locations. Sweet cherry harvest was complete in most areas by the second week of June. Fruit development advanced steadily in wine, raisin, and table grape vineyards. Irrigation, cultivation, foliar feeding, cane cutting, and some fungicide treatments were the cultural operations underway in vineyards. Table grapes were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Flame Seedless, Perlette, Black Beauty Seedless, and Thompson Seedless were the primary varieties harvested for the fresh market. Excellent fruit color and good maturity were noted. Fruit were maturing steadily in apple, persimmon, and pomegranate orchards. Thinning of persimmons and pomegranates continued. The Central Valley's strawberry harvest was mostly complete by month's end but a few late season fields continued to produce fruit. Strawberries were harvested in the central coast region. Blackberry, raspberry, blueberry, and boysenberry harvest was ongoing. Olive growers treated their orchards to control the olive fruit fly. Irrigation, cultivation, and weed and pest control treatments were ongoing in many nut orchards. Walnut, pistachio, and almond trees were heavy with nuts. Early codling moth controls were applied in walnut orchards. Nut development continued at a steady pace. Reliability of July 1 Crop Production Forecast Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between June 26 and July 6 to gather information on expected yield as of July 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in 10 States that accounted for 74 percent of the 2003 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 9,500 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about the probable yield on their operation. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the July 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August 2003, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 1.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.1 percent. Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 23 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 65 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. This does not imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 orange production forecast is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.0 percent. Differences between the July 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 94,000 tons, ranging from 1,000 tons to 370,000 tons. The July 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. The difference does not imply that the July 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Dennis Koong - Hay, Oats, Sorghum (202) 690-3234 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Jim Smith - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-2127 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202 )720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. 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