Cr Pr 2-2 (8-04) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 12, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Up 8 Percent from 2003 Soybean Production Up 19 Percent from Last Year Cotton Production Up 11 Percent from 2003 All Wheat Production Up 3 Percent from July Corn production is forecast at 10.9 billion bushels, up 8 percent from last year and 22 percent above 2002. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 148.9 bushels per acre, up 6.7 bushels from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. The previous record for both was set last year when production was estimated at 10.1 billion bushels and yield was 142.2 bushels per acre. Yields are higher in most of the Corn Belt and Great Plains States as weather conditions have been favorable during much of the growing season. Farmers expect to harvest 73.4 million acres of corn for grain, virtually unchanged from June but up 3 percent from 2003. Soybean production is forecast at 2.88 billion bushels, up 19 percent from 2003 and 4 percent from 2002. If realized, this would be the second largest U.S. soybean production on record. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.1 bushels per acre, up 5.7 bushels from 2003. Yields are higher than 2003 throughout the Grain Plains and across the Corn Belt, but lower than the record high yields of 2003 in the Southeast. Area for harvest, at 73.7 million acres, is unchanged from June but up 2 percent from 2003 acreage. All cotton production is forecast at 20.2 million 480-pound bales, up 11 percent from last year's 18.3 million bales. The yield is expected to average 727 pounds per harvested acre, down 3 pounds from 2003. Upland cotton production is forecast at 19.5 million 480-pound bales, 9 percent above 2003. American-Pima production is forecast at 703,000 bales, up 63 percent from last year's output. Producers expect to harvest 13.3 million acres of all cotton, 11 percent above last year. Upland cotton harvested area, at 13.1 million acres, is 1.24 million acres more than a year ago. American-Pima harvested area is expected to total 250,000 acres, 41 percent more than 2003. Arizona and Texas increased American-Pima planted area by 1,000 and 4,000 acres, respectively, resulting in a total U.S. American-Pima planted estimate of 252,000 acres. All wheat production is placed at 2.12 billion bushels, up 3 percent from the July forecast but down 9 percent from 2003. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 42.0 bushels per acre, up 1.4 bushels from last month. Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.49 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month but 13 percent below 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 42.8 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushel from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 853 million bushels, is up 2 percent from a month ago. Soft Red Winter is down 1 percent from the last forecast, at 380 million bushels. White Winter is up 3 percent from last month and totals 256 million bushels. Durum wheat production is forecast at 89.0 million bushels, up less than 1 percent from last month but down 8 percent from 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 35.3 bushels per acre, 2.1 bushels more than last month. Planted area is estimated at 2.59 million acres, 150,000 acres less than last month and 11 percent below the 2003 total. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 2.52 million acres, also down 150,000 acres from last month and 12 percent less than last year. Planted area and acres harvested for grain in North Dakota were both reduced by 150,000 acres as farmers were not able to plant all originally intended Durum acres due to persistent wet weather through the middle of June. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 545 million bushels, up 9 percent from last month and 2 percent above 2003. Acreage intended for harvest is unchanged from last month. The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.2 bushels per acre, 3.3 bushels more than on July 1. Of the production total, 502 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, up 9 percent from last month. This report was approved on August 12, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture James R. Moseley Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Selected Crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Grains & Hay Barley. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Corn for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Hay, Alfalfa. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Hay, Other. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Oats. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Rice. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Rice by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Sorghum for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Wheat, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Wheat, Other Spring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Head Population. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Oilseeds Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Soybeans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Cottonseed. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Sugarbeets. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Dry Edible Beans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Apples. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Grapes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Olives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Peaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Pears . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Prunes and Plums. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Coffee. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Ginger Root . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Hops. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . 48 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Selected Crops: Area Planted by State and United States, 2004 ---------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : State : Durum : Amer-Pima : Upland :Sugarbeets :Dry Edible : Wheat : Cotton : Cotton : : Beans ---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 550.0 AZ : 105 *3.0 *230.0 AR : 950.0 CA : 120 220.0 560.0 49.5 *67.0 CO : *35.7 *75.0 CT : DE : FL : 105.0 GA : 1,330.0 ID : 194.0 80.0 IL : IN : IA : KS : 120.0 6.0 KY : LA : 500.0 ME : MD : MA : MI : 165.0 *185.0 MN : 2 *485.0 125.0 MS : 1,100.0 MO : 400.0 MT : 600 53.4 18.0 NE : *49.8 *115.0 NV : NH : NJ : NM : 8.0 60.0 7.0 NY : *24.0 NC : *730.0 ND : *1,750 262.0 *550.0 OH : 1.8 OK : *210.0 OR : *12.8 5.0 PA : RI : SC : *220.0 SD : 15 10.0 TN : 570.0 TX : *21.0 *5,900.0 *25.5 UT : *5.3 VT : VA : *82.0 WA : 3.8 *29.0 WV : WI : 5.6 WY : 37.0 28.0 : US : *2,592 *252.0 *13,617.0 *1,349.8 *1,360.4 ---------------------------------------------------------------- * Updated from the June 2004 "Acreage" report. Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Bushels --- -------- 1,000 Bushels ------- : AL : 190 240 122.0 120.0 15,840 23,180 28,800 AR : 350 300 140.0 140.0 34,170 49,000 42,000 CA : 170 190 160.0 160.0 25,500 27,200 30,400 CO : 890 930 135.0 126.0 108,000 120,150 117,180 DE : 162 155 123.0 126.0 14,028 19,926 19,530 GA : 285 280 129.0 125.0 31,900 36,765 35,000 IL : 11,050 11,550 164.0 168.0 1,471,500 1,812,200 1,940,400 IN : 5,390 5,300 146.0 156.0 631,620 786,940 826,800 IA : 12,000 12,200 157.0 162.0 1,931,550 1,884,000 1,976,400 KS : 2,500 2,900 120.0 145.0 301,600 300,000 420,500 KY : 1,080 1,140 137.0 142.0 111,280 147,960 161,880 LA : 500 445 134.0 125.0 65,340 67,000 55,625 MD : 410 440 123.0 141.0 31,450 50,430 62,040 MI : 2,090 1,950 126.0 124.0 234,000 263,340 241,800 MN : 6,650 7,100 146.0 151.0 1,051,900 970,900 1,072,100 MS : 530 450 135.0 140.0 63,600 71,550 63,000 MO : 2,800 2,900 108.0 144.0 283,500 302,400 417,600 NE : 7,700 7,900 146.0 155.0 940,800 1,124,200 1,224,500 NJ : 61 72 113.0 120.0 4,270 6,893 8,640 NM : 48 49 180.0 180.0 8,575 8,640 8,820 NY : 440 450 121.0 116.0 44,620 53,240 52,200 NC : 680 760 106.0 110.0 56,440 72,080 83,600 ND : 1,170 1,600 112.0 110.0 113,430 131,040 176,000 OH : 3,070 3,000 156.0 154.0 264,330 478,920 462,000 OK : 190 175 125.0 150.0 24,700 23,750 26,250 PA : 890 900 115.0 123.0 57,120 102,350 110,700 SC : 215 265 105.0 94.0 12,220 22,575 24,910 SD : 3,850 3,950 111.0 118.0 308,750 427,350 466,100 TN : 630 630 131.0 138.0 65,270 82,530 86,940 TX : 1,650 1,600 118.0 130.0 202,270 194,700 208,000 VA : 330 330 115.0 137.0 22,100 37,950 45,210 WA : 70 100 195.0 195.0 13,300 13,650 19,500 WI : 2,850 2,850 129.0 130.0 391,500 367,650 370,500 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 248 276 134.8 138.3 30,314 33,428 38,174 : US : 71,139 73,377 142.2 148.9 8,966,78710,113,887 10,923,099 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary". Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : AR : 210 90 82.0 80.0 17,710 17,220 7,200 CO : 160 200 27.0 40.0 1,800 4,320 8,000 IL : 105 95 82.0 93.0 6,308 8,610 8,835 KS : 2,900 2,800 45.0 72.0 135,000 130,500 201,600 LA : 165 95 85.0 70.0 13,365 14,025 6,650 MO : 210 150 77.0 100.0 16,150 16,170 15,000 NE : 500 420 62.0 85.0 16,000 31,000 35,700 NM : 62 90 27.0 35.0 2,450 1,674 3,150 OK : 250 270 37.0 46.0 13,500 9,250 12,420 SD : 150 160 45.0 56.0 3,060 6,750 8,960 TX : 2,850 2,400 54.0 61.0 122,400 153,900 146,400 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 236 146 75.5 74.4 12,970 17,818 10,867 : US : 7,798 6,916 52.7 67.2 360,713 411,237 464,782 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary". Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2004 : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : CA : 35 30 80.0 75.0 80.0 2,800 2,400 ID : 25 20 65.0 73.0 76.0 1,625 1,520 IL : 50 35 89.0 79.0 79.0 4,450 2,765 IA : 130 130 83.0 80.0 77.0 10,790 10,010 KS : 70 60 65.0 48.0 43.0 4,550 2,580 MI : 75 60 70.0 64.0 67.0 5,250 4,020 MN : 265 200 71.0 61.0 71.0 18,815 14,200 MT : 45 45 44.0 48.0 51.0 1,980 2,295 NE : 90 50 73.0 73.0 77.0 6,570 3,850 NY : 70 55 63.0 72.0 68.0 4,410 3,740 ND : 360 280 59.0 53.0 63.0 21,240 17,640 OH : 60 45 66.0 68.0 70.0 3,960 3,150 OR : 20 30 75.0 85.0 90.0 1,500 2,700 PA : 110 115 59.0 65.0 59.0 6,490 6,785 SD : 230 200 68.0 72.0 80.0 15,640 16,000 TX : 140 150 45.0 49.0 46.0 6,300 6,900 WI : 230 230 67.0 60.0 64.0 15,410 14,720 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 219 203 58.8 63.2 62.4 12,869 12,675 : US : 2,224 1,938 65.0 62.9 66.0 144,649 127,950 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2004 : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 30 30 118.0 120.0 120.0 3,540 3,600 CA : 58 80 64.0 63.0 63.0 3,712 5,040 CO : 82 76 109.0 115.0 110.0 8,938 8,360 DE : 21 24 59.0 81.0 84.0 1,239 2,016 ID : 720 740 66.0 78.0 84.0 47,520 62,160 MD : 38 34 57.0 75.0 75.0 2,166 2,550 MN : 170 90 75.0 58.0 65.0 12,750 5,850 MT : 810 780 39.0 51.0 51.0 31,590 39,780 ND : 1,980 1,580 60.0 57.0 60.0 118,800 94,800 OR : 60 62 64.0 74.0 74.0 3,840 4,588 PA : 65 60 61.0 60.0 60.0 3,965 3,600 SD : 55 50 53.0 59.0 61.0 2,915 3,050 UT : 35 40 80.0 78.0 78.0 2,800 3,120 VA : 45 40 62.0 70.0 70.0 2,790 2,800 WA : 310 280 47.0 65.0 65.0 14,570 18,200 WY : 75 70 95.0 93.0 89.0 7,125 6,230 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 134 116 58.4 61.0 61.0 7,827 7,080 : US : 4,688 4,152 58.9 63.5 65.7 276,087 272,824 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2004 : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 570 620 50.0 52.0 52.0 28,500 32,240 CA : 370 300 61.0 75.0 75.0 22,570 22,500 CO : 2,200 1,750 35.0 27.0 27.0 77,000 47,250 DE : 47 44 41.0 61.0 58.0 1,927 2,552 GA : 230 200 46.0 46.0 46.0 10,580 9,200 ID : 720 680 80.0 85.0 87.0 57,600 59,160 IL : 810 970 65.0 58.0 59.0 52,650 57,230 IN : 430 440 69.0 65.0 62.0 29,670 27,280 KS : 10,000 8,700 48.0 36.0 36.0 480,000 313,200 KY : 330 370 62.0 55.0 55.0 20,460 20,350 MD : 145 145 37.0 61.0 59.0 5,365 8,555 MI : 660 610 68.0 64.0 64.0 44,880 39,040 MS : 125 155 49.0 53.0 53.0 6,125 8,215 MO : 870 940 61.0 50.0 50.0 53,070 47,000 MT : 1,720 1,550 37.0 38.0 40.0 63,640 62,000 NE : 1,820 1,800 46.0 32.0 32.0 83,720 57,600 NY : 120 95 53.0 52.0 52.0 6,360 4,940 NC : 410 440 36.0 48.0 48.0 14,760 21,120 OH : 1,000 880 68.0 64.0 62.0 68,000 54,560 OK : 4,600 4,600 39.0 36.0 36.0 179,400 165,600 OR : 940 850 51.0 59.0 61.0 47,940 51,850 PA : 165 135 43.0 50.0 50.0 7,095 6,750 SC : 185 180 39.0 47.0 47.0 7,215 8,460 SD : 1,380 1,250 43.0 35.0 42.0 59,340 52,500 TN : 270 280 50.0 48.0 48.0 13,500 13,440 TX : 3,450 3,700 28.0 31.0 31.0 96,600 114,700 VA : 160 190 46.0 61.0 60.0 7,360 11,400 WA : 1,800 1,700 65.0 66.0 69.0 117,000 117,300 WY : 145 135 27.0 22.0 26.0 3,915 3,510 : Oth : Sts 1/: 869 1,116 47.0 43.1 44.7 40,827 49,906 : US : 36,541 34,825 46.7 42.2 42.8 1,707,069 1,489,408 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2004 : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels -------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 115 105 100.0 105.0 105.0 11,500 11,025 CA : 115 110 100.0 85.0 85.0 11,500 9,350 MT : 630 590 23.0 27.0 29.0 14,490 17,110 ND : 1,980 1,700 29.5 28.0 30.0 58,410 51,000 : Oth : Sts 1/: 29 16 25.4 29.1 29.1 737 466 : US : 2,869 2,521 33.7 33.2 35.3 96,637 88,951 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2004 : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Jul 1 : Aug 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : ID : 450 470 66.0 75.0 77.0 29,700 36,190 MN : 1,800 1,570 58.0 47.0 51.0 104,400 80,070 MT : 2,700 2,700 22.0 27.0 29.0 59,400 78,300 ND : 6,400 6,200 39.5 36.0 40.0 252,800 248,000 OR : 140 175 40.0 50.0 52.0 5,600 9,100 SD : 1,340 1,500 42.0 38.0 42.0 56,280 63,000 WA : 545 555 41.0 50.0 50.0 22,345 27,750 : Oth : Sts 1/: 54 40 42.5 53.1 53.1 2,295 2,125 : US : 13,429 13,210 39.7 37.9 41.2 532,820 544,535 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2002 : 620,328 320,968 195,705 351,439 37,478 79,960 1,605,878 2003 :1,062,889 379,196 264,984 499,926 32,894 96,637 2,336,526 2004 : 853,081 380,231 256,096 502,490 42,045 88,951 2,122,894 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season. Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting Objective Yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during 2004. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 2000-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : CO : July : 48.0 34.2 35.9 38.9 32.8 : August : 47.7 33.7 35.6 38.4 32.1 : Final : 47.7 33.9 35.6 38.4 : : IL : July : 55.0 53.1 59.4 56.5 51.0 : August : 55.0 52.0 59.5 56.6 51.0 : Final : 55.0 52.0 59.5 56.6 : : KS : July : 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.4 41.2 : August : 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.6 41.4 : Final : 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.6 : : MO : July : 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 51.8 : August : 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 51.8 : Final : 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 : : MT : July : 41.3 25.6 36.3 44.5 40.2 : August : 40.3 25.2 34.3 42.9 40.4 : Final : 40.3 25.2 34.3 42.9 : : NE : July : 57.5 46.6 52.4 59.5 43.0 : August : 58.3 46.8 52.8 59.6 43.2 : Final : 58.3 46.8 52.8 59.6 : : OH : July : 59.5 52.0 58.5 53.1 52.1 : August : 59.5 51.7 57.8 53.3 52.1 : Final : 59.5 51.7 57.8 53.3 : : OK : July : 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 40.5 : August : 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 40.5 : Final : 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 : : TX : July : 31.4 33.4 34.2 36.3 31.7 : August : 31.5 33.4 34.2 35.9 31.7 : Final : 31.6 33.4 34.2 36.3 : : WA : July : 40.6 37.3 37.8 37.2 36.4 : August : 40.0 36.7 37.6 36.5 36.7 : Final : 40.1 36.8 37.8 36.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2004 Summary". Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- --------- 1,000 Cwt -------- : AR : 1,455 1,530 6,590 6,650 96,752 95,860 101,745 CA : 507 613 7,620 7,900 42,989 38,624 48,427 LA : 450 545 5,870 5,600 29,400 26,397 30,520 MS : 234 233 6,800 6,700 16,192 15,912 15,611 MO : 171 185 6,130 6,250 11,011 10,484 11,563 TX : 180 212 6,600 6,500 14,616 11,880 13,780 : US : 2,997 3,318 6,645 6,680 210,960 199,157 221,646 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice production included in 2003 and 2004 but not in previous years. Rice: Production by Class, United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain 1/ : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 2002 : 157,243 52,201 1,516 210,960 2003 2/ : 149,011 47,440 2,706 199,157 2004 2/ : 160,898 57,911 2,837 221,646 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain in 2003 and 2004 but not in previous years. 2/ The 2004 rice production by class estimates are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice yield. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : AZ : 235 240 8.50 8.00 1,863 1,998 1,920 CA : 1,090 1,050 7.00 7.20 8,004 7,630 7,560 CO : 800 730 3.20 3.50 2,262 2,560 2,555 ID : 1,200 1,180 3.70 3.70 4,680 4,440 4,366 IL : 425 400 4.10 4.20 1,620 1,743 1,680 IN : 350 350 3.80 3.80 990 1,330 1,330 IA : 1,330 1,300 3.70 4.20 4,875 4,921 5,460 KS : 1,000 900 3.40 4.60 3,515 3,400 4,140 KY : 250 260 3.50 4.40 928 875 1,144 MI : 850 850 3.20 3.90 3,045 2,720 3,315 MN : 1,375 1,325 3.00 3.70 4,620 4,125 4,903 MO : 450 420 2.95 3.40 1,200 1,328 1,428 MT : 1,600 1,600 2.10 2.00 3,000 3,360 3,200 NE : 1,450 1,250 3.60 3.80 4,050 5,220 4,750 NV : 265 275 4.40 4.50 1,183 1,166 1,238 NM : 230 240 4.90 5.30 1,272 1,127 1,272 NY : 600 500 2.80 2.90 1,525 1,680 1,450 ND : 1,600 1,300 1.65 1.50 1,885 2,640 1,950 OH : 580 500 3.40 3.20 1,860 1,972 1,600 OK : 310 340 3.20 3.80 1,225 992 1,292 OR : 490 450 4.60 4.40 2,129 2,254 1,980 PA : 550 520 3.00 2.60 1,768 1,650 1,352 SD : 2,700 2,600 1.90 2.10 3,375 5,130 5,460 TX : 140 150 4.70 5.10 690 658 765 UT : 545 550 4.00 3.90 2,034 2,180 2,145 VA : 130 120 3.50 3.50 350 455 420 WA : 510 480 5.30 5.30 2,499 2,703 2,544 WI : 1,600 1,600 2.30 2.60 4,620 3,680 4,160 WY : 650 490 2.40 2.30 1,150 1,560 1,127 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 273 256 2.97 2.96 797 810 758 : US : 23,578 22,226 3.24 3.48 73,014 76,307 77,264 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary". All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 780 850 2.60 2.60 1,815 2,028 2,210 AR : 1,320 1,460 2.20 2.20 3,243 2,904 3,212 CA : 480 490 3.50 3.20 1,770 1,680 1,568 CO : 700 730 1.50 1.90 715 1,050 1,387 GA : 600 580 3.00 2.60 1,560 1,800 1,508 ID : 300 300 1.70 1.80 608 510 540 IL : 350 350 2.80 2.50 683 980 875 IN : 300 290 2.60 2.80 630 780 812 IA : 270 300 2.20 2.50 770 594 750 KS : 2,250 2,200 1.60 1.90 3,450 3,600 4,180 KY : 2,200 2,000 2.50 2.60 4,200 5,500 5,200 LA : 380 360 2.90 2.30 1,050 1,102 828 MI : 200 250 2.00 2.20 506 400 550 MN : 700 650 1.60 1.80 1,190 1,120 1,170 MS : 750 720 2.50 2.60 1,875 1,875 1,872 MO : 3,800 3,900 1.80 2.20 7,123 6,840 8,580 MT : 850 950 1.50 1.60 1,540 1,275 1,520 NE : 1,700 1,550 1.40 1.50 1,700 2,380 2,325 NY : 1,250 1,150 1.60 1.50 2,090 2,000 1,725 NC : 760 700 2.60 2.20 1,314 1,976 1,540 ND : 1,350 1,300 1.45 1.40 2,035 1,958 1,820 OH : 770 720 2.60 2.20 1,540 2,002 1,584 OK : 2,500 2,500 1.60 1.90 4,760 4,000 4,750 OR : 625 655 2.20 2.50 1,364 1,375 1,638 PA : 1,100 1,200 2.20 2.30 1,680 2,420 2,760 SD : 1,600 1,500 1.30 1.20 1,440 2,080 1,800 TN : 2,000 1,950 2.30 2.50 4,095 4,600 4,875 TX : 5,100 4,800 2.30 2.50 12,720 11,730 12,000 VA : 1,150 1,250 2.60 2.60 2,125 2,990 3,250 WA : 300 310 3.00 3.00 837 900 930 WV : 500 520 1.90 1.90 936 950 988 WI : 500 500 1.40 1.60 720 700 800 WY : 550 500 1.40 1.50 450 770 750 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,779 1,878 2.22 2.24 3,919 3,947 4,202 : US : 39,764 39,363 2.03 2.15 76,453 80,816 84,499 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary". Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------- : AL : 160 195 36.0 33.0 3,720 5,760 6,435 AR : 2,890 3,050 38.0 36.0 96,480 109,820 109,800 DE : 178 207 36.0 38.0 4,625 6,408 7,866 GA : 180 240 33.0 29.0 3,220 5,940 6,960 IL : 10,250 9,850 36.5 44.0 453,650 374,125 433,400 IN : 5,350 5,430 38.0 45.0 239,455 203,300 244,350 IA : 10,550 10,350 32.0 42.0 499,200 337,600 434,700 KS : 2,480 2,550 23.0 34.0 58,420 57,040 86,700 KY : 1,240 1,270 43.0 41.0 42,570 53,320 52,070 LA : 740 950 34.0 30.0 21,120 25,160 28,500 MD : 430 490 37.0 38.0 10,810 15,910 18,620 MI : 1,990 1,990 27.0 33.0 78,540 53,730 65,670 MN : 7,400 7,300 31.0 40.0 308,850 229,400 292,000 MS : 1,430 1,630 39.0 34.0 43,840 55,770 55,420 MO : 4,940 4,940 29.0 36.0 170,000 143,260 177,840 NE : 4,490 4,700 40.0 46.0 176,330 179,600 216,200 NJ : 88 96 34.0 36.0 2,328 2,992 3,456 NY : 138 168 35.0 36.0 4,608 4,830 6,048 NC : 1,400 1,400 30.0 30.0 30,960 42,000 42,000 ND : 3,030 3,630 29.0 31.0 86,790 87,870 112,530 OH : 4,280 4,420 38.0 40.0 151,040 162,640 176,800 OK : 245 290 26.0 27.0 6,760 6,370 7,830 PA : 375 395 41.0 42.0 10,140 15,375 16,590 SC : 420 450 28.0 25.0 7,055 11,760 11,250 SD : 4,190 4,140 27.0 33.0 126,790 113,130 136,620 TN : 1,120 1,140 41.0 37.0 34,720 45,920 42,180 TX : 180 225 28.0 31.0 5,740 5,040 6,975 VA : 480 490 34.0 36.0 10,580 16,320 17,640 WI : 1,650 1,640 28.0 36.0 66,880 46,200 59,040 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 27 29 36.1 39.2 926 975 1,137 : US : 72,321 73,655 33.4 39.1 2,756,147 2,417,565 2,876,627 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary". Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : AL : 185 195 2,750 2,900 379,800 508,750 565,500 FL : 115 120 3,000 3,100 197,800 345,000 372,000 GA : 540 575 3,450 3,300 1,313,000 1,863,000 1,897,500 NM : 17 16 2,700 3,000 54,000 45,900 48,000 NC : 100 105 3,200 3,200 210,000 320,000 336,000 OK : 35 28 2,800 3,000 159,600 98,000 84,000 SC : 17 28 3,400 3,100 19,140 57,800 86,800 TX : 270 250 3,000 3,300 868,000 810,000 825,000 VA : 33 34 2,900 3,100 119,700 95,700 105,400 : US : 1,312 1,351 3,159 3,198 3,321,040 4,144,150 4,320,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ and :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Bales 2/ ------- : Upland : AL : 510.0 545.0 772 749 570.0 820.0 850.0 AZ : 213.0 228.0 1,239 1,284 613.0 550.0 610.0 AR : 945.0 930.0 916 877 1,669.0 1,804.0 1,700.0 CA : 545.0 557.0 1,317 1,422 1,460.0 1,495.0 1,650.0 FL : 92.0 103.0 610 597 96.0 117.0 128.0 GA : 1,290.0 1,300.0 785 738 1,578.0 2,110.0 2,000.0 KS : 80.0 100.0 537 768 76.3 89.5 160.0 LA : 510.0 490.0 967 637 739.0 1,027.0 650.0 MS : 1,090.0 1,080.0 934 800 1,935.0 2,120.0 1,800.0 MO : 390.0 390.0 862 849 610.0 700.0 690.0 NM : 38.0 60.0 884 960 85.0 70.0 120.0 NC : 770.0 725.0 646 728 806.0 1,037.0 1,100.0 OK : 170.0 195.0 616 645 209.0 218.0 262.0 SC : 218.0 218.0 718 731 131.0 326.0 332.0 TN : 530.0 565.0 806 833 818.0 890.0 980.0 TX : 4,350.0 5,500.0 478 550 5,040.0 4,330.0 6,300.0 VA : 85.0 81.0 674 877 95.0 119.4 148.0 : US :11,826.0 13,067.0 723 716 16,530.3 17,822.9 19,480.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 2.4 3.0 920 960 17.3 4.6 6.0 CA : 149.0 219.0 1,194 1,403 603.3 370.5 640.0 NM : 6.0 8.0 1,056 840 15.4 13.2 14.0 TX : 20.0 20.0 1,056 1,032 42.3 44.0 43.0 : US : 177.4 250.0 1,170 1,350 678.3 432.3 703.0 : All : AL : 510.0 545.0 772 749 570.0 820.0 850.0 AZ : 215.4 231.0 1,236 1,280 630.3 554.6 616.0 AR : 945.0 930.0 916 877 1,669.0 1,804.0 1,700.0 CA : 694.0 776.0 1,290 1,416 2,063.3 1,865.5 2,290.0 FL : 92.0 103.0 610 597 96.0 117.0 128.0 GA : 1,290.0 1,300.0 785 738 1,578.0 2,110.0 2,000.0 KS : 80.0 100.0 537 768 76.3 89.5 160.0 LA : 510.0 490.0 967 637 739.0 1,027.0 650.0 MS : 1,090.0 1,080.0 934 800 1,935.0 2,120.0 1,800.0 MO : 390.0 390.0 862 849 610.0 700.0 690.0 NM : 44.0 68.0 908 946 100.4 83.2 134.0 NC : 770.0 725.0 646 728 806.0 1,037.0 1,100.0 OK : 170.0 195.0 616 645 209.0 218.0 262.0 SC : 218.0 218.0 718 731 131.0 326.0 332.0 TN : 530.0 565.0 806 833 818.0 890.0 980.0 TX : 4,370.0 5,520.0 480 552 5,082.3 4,374.0 6,343.0 VA : 85.0 81.0 674 877 95.0 119.4 148.0 : US :12,003.4 13,317.0 730 727 17,208.6 18,255.2 20,183.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb net weight bales. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,183.9 6,664.6 7,360.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Dry Edible Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 2/ : Production 2/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Cwt ------- : CA : 75.0 65.0 1,870 2,000 1,762 1,403 1,300 CO : 73.0 67.0 1,600 1,750 1,519 1,168 1,173 ID : 73.0 78.0 2,050 2,150 1,907 1,497 1,677 KS : 11.0 5.5 2,100 1,900 280 231 105 MI : 165.0 175.0 1,500 1,700 4,903 2,475 2,975 MN : 110.0 120.0 1,700 1,600 2,666 1,870 1,920 MT : 12.8 17.0 1,820 2,000 367 233 340 NE : 148.0 110.0 2,130 1,750 3,465 3,151 1,925 NM : 10.0 7.0 1,860 2,000 153 186 140 NY : 24.0 23.5 1,860 1,500 333 446 353 ND : 520.0 530.0 1,500 1,450 10,626 7,800 7,685 OR : 6.0 4.0 1,650 1,700 146 99 68 SD : 7.5 10.0 1,770 1,800 261 133 180 TX : 44.0 22.4 1,170 850 315 513 190 UT : 5.2 5.2 310 500 5 16 26 WA : 27.5 29.0 1,910 1,900 830 525 551 WI : 5.9 5.5 2,100 2,200 150 124 121 WY : 29.0 27.0 2,220 2,200 624 645 594 : US : 1,346.9 1,301.1 1,672 1,639 30,312 22,515 21,323 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Clean Basis. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class and State : 2003 : 2004 :: Class and State : 2003 : 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Large Lima - CA : 19.6 15.2 :: : : :: Light Red : Baby Lima - CA : 14.5 13.6 :: Kidney : : :: CA : 5.0 4.7 Navy : :: CO : 8.0 5.0 ID : 3.1 4.4 :: ID : 1.0 1.8 MI : 40.0 53.5 :: MI : 16.0 15.0 MN : 36.0 44.0 :: MN : 10.0 8.0 NE : 1.0 2.0 :: NE : 14.0 9.0 ND : 75.0 85.0 :: NY : 14.1 12.3 OR : 0.5 0.7 :: WA : SD : 1.6 1.9 :: : WY : 1.0 0.5 :: Total : 68.1 55.8 : :: : Total : 158.2 192.0 :: Dark Red : : :: Kidney : Great Northern : :: CA : 0.9 1.3 ID : 3.5 2.5 :: ID : 0.9 1.6 MI : 8.0 1.0 :: MI : 9.0 6.5 MN : 1.3 0.4 :: MN : 27.0 32.0 NE : 84.2 44.0 :: NY : 1.1 1.7 ND : 8.0 2.5 :: ND : 5.0 5.0 WA : 0.9 :: WI : 6.0 5.6 WY : 3.5 1.0 :: : : :: Total : 49.9 53.7 Total : 109.4 51.4 :: : : :: Pink : Small White : :: CA : 0.9 0.5 ID : 1.9 2.1 :: ID : 10.6 10.7 OR : 0.5 :: MN : 8.5 6.5 WA : 0.3 0.5 :: ND : 8.5 7.0 : :: WA : 4.3 5.0 Total : 2.7 2.6 :: : : :: Total : 32.8 29.7 Pinto : :: : CA : 0.5 0.2 :: Small Red : CO : 68.0 67.0 :: ID : 9.0 8.0 ID : 29.0 26.5 :: MI : 19.0 16.0 KS : 12.0 5.5 :: MN : 1.5 1.6 MI : 11.0 6.5 :: WA : 3.7 3.5 MN : 21.0 19.5 :: : MT : 9.7 15.0 :: Total : 33.2 29.1 NE : 50.0 55.0 :: : NM : 10.0 7.0 :: Cranberry : ND : 410.0 400.0 :: CA : 1.5 2.2 OR : 1.7 0.5 :: ID : 1.9 1.9 SD : 1.9 2.3 :: MI : 12.0 9.0 TX : 1.0 0.5 :: : UT : 5.6 5.3 :: Total : 15.4 13.1 WA : 7.0 6.5 :: : WY : 24.5 25.5 :: : : :: : Total : 662.9 642.8 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by Commercial Class, State, and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1/ (continued) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class and State : 2003 : 2004 :: Class and State : 2003 : 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres :: : 1,000 Acres : :: : Black : :: : CA : 0.4 1.0:: Chickpeas, All : ID : 1.3 3.1:: (Garbanzo) : MI : 45.0 73.0:: CA : 9.7 7.0 MN : 4.9 8.0:: ID : 11.0 15.0 NE : 1.0 2.6:: MT : 3.2 2.6 NY : 8.2 9.0:: NE : 2.2 0.8 ND : 22.0 41.0:: ND : 5.0 3.5 WA : 1.5 3.0:: OR : 2.4 1.1 : :: SD : 1.8 3.6 Total : 84.3 140.7:: WA : 8.2 8.0 : :: : Blackeye : :: Total : 43.5 41.6 CA : 16.5 10.3:: : TX : 34.0 15.7:: Other : : :: CA : 7.5 11.0 Total : 50.5 26.0:: CO : 4.0 3.0 : :: ID : 1.8 2.4 Small Chickpeas : :: KS : 0.5 (Garbanzo, : :: MI : 10.0 4.5 Smaller than : :: MN : 4.8 5.0 20/64 in.) : :: MT : 0.1 0.4 CA : :: NE : 2.6 1.6 ID : 1.6 3.0:: NY : 1.6 1.0 MT : 2.1 0.6:: ND : 6.5 6.0 NE : :: OR : 1.9 2.7 ND : 1.0 1.0:: SD : 2.7 2.2 OR : :: TX : 15.0 9.3 SD : 1.0 1.8:: WA : 1.6 2.5 WA : 0.3 0.2:: WY : 1.0 1.0 : :: : Total : 6.0 6.6:: Total : 61.1 53.1 : :: : Large Chickpeas : :: US : 1,406.1 1,360.4 (Garbanzo, : :: : Larger than : :: : 20/64 in.) : :: : CA : 9.7 7.0:: : ID : 9.4 12.0:: : MT : 1.1 2.0:: : NE : 2.2 0.8:: : ND : 4.0 2.5:: : OR : 2.4 1.1:: : SD : 0.8 1.8:: : WA : 7.9 7.8:: : : :: : Total : 37.5 35.0:: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in the "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : CT : 2,180 2,300 1,361 1,740 3,315 2,966 4,001 FL : 4,400 4,000 2,500 2,650 11,960 11,000 10,600 GA : 27,000 24,000 2,200 2,000 53,000 59,400 48,000 IN : 4,200 4,300 1,950 1,950 7,800 8,190 8,385 KY : 111,650 113,800 2,016 2,048 222,991 225,042 233,060 MD : 1,100 1,100 1,450 1,450 1,800 1,595 1,595 MA : 1,250 1,200 1,398 1,725 1,859 1,748 2,070 MO : 1,400 1,400 2,020 2,600 3,122 2,828 3,640 NC : 159,700 159,000 1,878 2,215 347,920 299,995 352,150 OH : 5,300 5,800 1,650 1,850 9,625 8,745 10,730 PA : 3,700 4,000 2,130 2,300 6,815 7,880 9,200 SC : 30,000 27,000 2,100 2,300 59,475 63,000 62,100 TN : 31,140 31,380 2,108 2,039 71,331 65,632 63,972 VA : 25,110 31,270 1,546 2,217 64,407 38,818 69,325 WV : 1,200 1,300 1,300 1,500 1,885 1,560 1,950 WI : 1,820 1,700 2,338 2,409 3,817 4,255 4,095 : US : 411,150 413,550 1,952 2,140 871,122 802,654 884,873 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 40,000 40,000 1,770 2,200 70,800 88,000 VA : 18,000 23,000 1,690 2,350 30,420 54,050 US : 58,000 63,000 1,745 2,255 101,220 142,050 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 94,000 93,000 1,955 2,250 183,770 209,250 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 20,000 20,000 1,915 2,250 38,300 45,000 SC : 30,000 27,000 2,100 2,300 63,000 62,100 US : 50,000 47,000 2,026 2,279 101,300 107,100 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,400 4,000 2,500 2,650 11,000 10,600 GA : 27,000 24,000 2,200 2,000 59,400 48,000 US : 31,400 28,000 2,242 2,093 70,400 58,600 Total 11-14 : 233,400 231,000 1,957 2,238 456,690 517,000 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 550 700 1,525 1,850 839 1,295 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2,600 2,700 3,080 3,200 8,008 8,640 TN : 5,200 5,400 2,980 3,000 15,496 16,200 US : 7,800 8,100 3,013 3,067 23,504 24,840 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2,500 2,500 3,530 3,600 8,825 9,000 TN : 400 420 3,350 3,400 1,340 1,428 US : 2,900 2,920 3,505 3,571 10,165 10,428 Total 21-23 : 11,250 11,720 3,067 3,120 34,508 36,563 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 4,200 4,300 1,950 1,950 8,190 8,385 KY : 103,000 105,000 1,925 1,950 198,275 204,750 MO : 1,400 1,400 2,020 2,600 2,828 3,640 NC : 5,700 6,000 1,250 1,650 7,125 9,900 OH : 5,300 5,800 1,650 1,850 8,745 10,730 TN : 25,000 25,000 1,900 1,800 47,500 45,000 VA : 6,500 7,500 1,150 1,850 7,475 13,875 WV : 1,200 1,300 1,300 1,500 1,560 1,950 US : 152,300 156,300 1,850 1,908 281,698 298,230 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 1,100 1,100 1,450 1,450 1,595 1,595 PA : 1,300 2,200 2,000 2,300 2,600 5,060 US : 2,400 3,300 1,748 2,017 4,195 6,655 Total 31-32 : 154,700 159,600 1,848 1,910 285,893 304,885 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,300 2,300 2,830 3,000 6,509 6,900 TN : 540 560 2,400 2,400 1,296 1,344 US : 2,840 2,860 2,748 2,883 7,805 8,244 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,250 1,300 2,740 2,900 3,425 3,770 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 60 70 1,400 1,500 84 105 Total 35-37 : 4,150 4,230 2,726 2,865 11,314 12,119 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 2,400 1,800 2,200 2,300 5,280 4,140 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,400 1,450 1,400 1,850 1,960 2,683 MA : 970 900 1,470 1,800 1,426 1,620 US : 2,370 2,350 1,429 1,831 3,386 4,303 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,400 1,300 2,480 2,550 3,472 3,315 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 420 400 1,865 1,950 783 780 Total 54-55 : 1,820 1,700 2,338 2,409 4,255 4,095 Total 51-55 : 4,190 4,050 1,824 2,074 7,641 8,398 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 780 850 1,290 1,550 1,006 1,318 MA : 280 300 1,150 1,500 322 450 US : 1,060 1,150 1,253 1,537 1,328 1,768 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 7,650 7,000 1,863 2,044 14,249 14,306 : All Tobacco : 411,150 413,550 1,952 2,140 802,654 884,873 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- ------ 1,000 Tons ------ --- 1,000 Tons -- : CA : 50.2 49.0 36.5 37.3 1,960 1,832 1,828 CO : 27.4 33.4 23.5 23.1 794 644 772 ID : 207.0 192.0 29.2 26.6 5,103 6,044 5,107 MI : 178.0 163.0 19.1 18.0 3,204 3,400 2,934 MN : 487.0 479.0 20.6 19.6 8,854 10,032 9,388 MT : 51.5 53.0 25.4 21.0 1,096 1,308 1,113 NE : 42.4 47.5 20.3 20.2 760 861 960 ND : 255.0 256.0 20.4 19.5 4,799 5,202 4,992 OH : 1.9 1.6 24.2 21.5 37 46 34 OR : 9.8 12.5 30.7 28.9 301 301 361 WA : 4.0 3.8 40.3 37.6 140 161 143 WY : 33.7 35.5 22.3 21.0 659 752 746 : US :1,347.9 1,326.3 22.7 21.4 27,707 30,583 28,378 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------ 1,000 Tons ------ --- 1,000 Tons -- : FL : 438.0 420.0 39.3 37.0 17,653 17,231 15,540 HI : 21.3 24.1 97.7 94.0 2,159 2,082 2,265 LA : 490.0 485.0 26.2 27.0 14,009 12,838 13,095 TX : 45.1 42.5 37.8 36.0 1,732 1,706 1,530 : US : 994.4 971.6 34.0 33.4 35,553 33,857 32,430 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AL 1/ : 22.5 9.0 31.0 AR 1/ : 6.1 8.9 10.0 CA : Freestone 1/ : 796.0 826.0 780.0 CO 1/ : 19.0 21.0 22.0 CT 1/ : 1.3 1.5 1.3 GA 1/ : 90.0 110.0 110.0 ID 1/ : 13.0 13.0 14.0 IL 1/ : 17.2 20.5 22.0 IN 1/ : 3.1 3.4 2.4 KY 1/ : 1.2 1.8 1.6 LA 1/ : 1.5 1.6 1.1 MD 1/ : 7.0 8.5 8.8 MA 1/ : 2.3 3.0 1.8 MI : 14.0 47.0 41.0 MO 1/ : 8.0 10.0 11.0 NJ : 62.0 70.0 65.0 NY 1/ : 10.0 13.0 11.0 NC 1/ : 10.0 6.0 9.0 OH 1/ : 9.4 11.3 7.4 OK 1/ : 4.0 3.0 3.3 OR 1/ : 7.9 4.5 7.7 PA : 60.0 73.0 52.0 SC : 160.0 100.0 140.0 TN 1/ : 4.0 3.5 3.5 TX 1/ : 12.0 7.0 25.0 UT 1/ : 6.5 9.0 9.5 VA 1/ : 7.0 10.0 10.0 WA : 46.0 39.0 35.0 WV 1/ : 10.0 12.5 12.0 : Total Above : 1,411.0 1,447.0 1,448.4 : CA : Clingstone 1/ : 1,124.0 1,072.0 1,150.0 : US : 2,535.0 2,519.0 2,598.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and 4-State Total, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : ID : 2,000 2,500 3,000 MI : 250 3,600 2,500 OR : 8,000 5,500 14,000 WA : 5,400 4,700 5,000 : 4-State Total : 15,650 16,300 24,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ : 26.2 7.0 30.0 AR : 3.3 2.6 2.8 CA : 470.0 450.0 440.0 CO : 21.0 22.0 24.0 CT : 12.0 21.5 20.0 GA : 10.0 13.0 14.0 ID : 80.0 70.0 100.0 IL : 43.0 52.5 56.0 IN : 40.0 51.0 50.0 IA : 8.5 6.0 11.0 KS : 2.5 3.4 4.8 KY : 5.6 7.5 8.0 ME : 48.5 44.0 45.0 MD : 32.0 40.0 34.0 MA : 33.0 42.5 41.0 MI : 520.0 840.0 760.0 MN : 25.0 27.0 26.0 MO : 38.0 40.0 36.0 NH : 26.5 26.0 28.0 NJ : 35.0 40.0 40.0 NM 2/ : 2.0 2.0 NY : 680.0 990.0 1,050.0 NC : 160.0 135.0 170.0 OH : 70.0 90.0 89.0 OR : 202.0 133.0 170.0 PA : 370.0 442.0 428.0 RI : 2.6 2.3 2.3 SC : 9.0 6.0 6.0 TN : 7.2 12.0 10.0 UT : 7.0 28.0 27.0 VT : 31.0 42.0 36.0 VA : 250.0 270.0 260.0 WA : 5,100.0 4,500.0 5,200.0 WV : 95.0 87.0 85.0 WI : 58.0 68.0 62.0 : US : 8,523.9 8,613.3 9,365.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ End of season estimate only. Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :-------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Bartlett : CA : 232,000 217,000 230,000 OR : 58,000 54,000 57,000 WA : 158,000 185,000 170,000 : Total : 448,000 456,000 457,000 : Other : CA : 51,600 55,000 48,000 OR : 141,000 150,000 151,000 WA : 231,000 237,000 225,000 : Total : 423,600 442,000 424,000 : All : CA : 283,600 272,000 278,000 CO : 2,400 2,800 2,300 CT : 500 1,300 1,000 MI : 1,400 4,800 4,100 NY : 10,000 15,500 15,500 OR : 199,000 204,000 208,000 PA : 3,800 5,200 3,800 UT : 320 450 340 WA : 389,000 422,000 395,000 : US : 890,020 928,050 908,040 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Jun : 2,170 2,000 1,575 1,055 3,030 2,745 Jul : 2,175 1,995 1,565 1,060 3,425 2,810 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Coffee: Production, Hawaii, 2001-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2001-02 : 2002-2003 : 2003-04 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : HI : 8,000 7,500 8,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Parchment basis. Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, Hawaii, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:-------------------------------------------------------------------------- :2001-02:2002-03:2003-04:2001-02:2002-03:2003-04:2001-02 :2002-03 :2003-04 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ------ ------- Pounds ------- ----- 1,000 Pounds ---- : HI : 320 160 150 45,000 37,500 40,000 14,400 6,000 6,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : AZ : 8,400 8,000 4,000 AR : 4,800 2,600 3,300 CA : All Types : 6,696,000 5,790,000 5,700,000 Wine : 3,149,000 2,909,000 2,900,000 Table 1/ : 743,000 732,000 750,000 Raisin 1/ 2/ : 2,804,000 2,149,000 2,050,000 GA : 2,800 3,100 2,800 MI : 42,700 94,500 70,000 MO : 3,300 3,030 3,300 NY : 156,000 198,000 149,000 NC : 2,300 2,800 3,100 OH : 5,800 8,100 7,100 OR : 22,000 24,000 26,000 PA : 53,200 85,000 69,000 TX : 4,700 6,000 8,700 VA : 4,900 3,600 5,100 WA : All Types : 332,000 344,000 310,000 Wine : 115,000 112,000 110,000 Juice : 217,000 232,000 200,000 : US : 7,338,900 6,572,730 6,361,400 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh basis. 2/ The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) was not implemented in 2003 and 2004, but was implemented on the 2002 bearing acres only. No production was realized from these acres. Acres enrolled are 27,000 for 2002. Hops: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : ID : 3,429 3,505 1,536 1,630 5,519.6 5,266.3 5,713.2 OR : 5,748 5,107 1,626 1,700 9,438.0 9,347.6 8,681.9 WA : 19,492 19,407 2,050 2,120 43,379.0 39,951.2 41,142.8 : US : 28,669 28,019 1,903 1,982 58,336.6 54,565.1 55,537.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Olives: Variety and Total Production, California 2002-2003 and Forecasted August 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production 1/ Variety :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Manzanillo : 68,000 102,000 70,000 Sevillano : 23,500 13,000 13,000 All Other 2/ : 11,500 3,000 2,000 : Total : 103,000 118,000 85,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Ascolano and Mission varieties are included in All Other. 2/ Includes production for varieties that were or will be used for canned, oil, and other specialty products. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,299.0 4,666.0 4,688.0 4,152.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 78,736.0 80,968.0 71,139.0 73,377.0 Corn for Silage : 6,528.0 Hay, All : 63,342.0 61,589.0 Alfalfa : 23,578.0 22,226.0 All Other : 39,764.0 39,363.0 Oats : 4,601.0 4,220.0 2,224.0 1,938.0 Proso Millet : 730.0 720.0 620.0 Rice : 3,022.0 3,346.0 2,997.0 3,318.0 Rye : 1,368.0 1,330.0 339.0 343.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,420.0 8,099.0 7,798.0 6,916.0 Sorghum for Silage : 343.0 Wheat, All : 61,700.0 59,719.0 52,839.0 50,556.0 Winter : 44,945.0 43,450.0 36,541.0 34,825.0 Durum : 2,915.0 2,592.0 2,869.0 2,521.0 Other Spring : 13,840.0 13,677.0 13,429.0 13,210.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,082.0 946.0 1,068.0 919.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 595.0 629.0 583.0 608.0 Mustard Seed : 110.0 68.5 107.0 65.9 Peanuts : 1,344.0 1,386.0 1,312.0 1,351.0 Rapeseed : 1.3 11.8 1.2 11.4 Safflower : 221.0 142.0 212.0 133.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,404.0 74,809.0 72,321.0 73,655.0 Sunflower : 2,344.0 1,882.0 2,197.0 1,801.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,479.6 13,869.0 12,003.4 13,317.0 Upland : 13,301.0 13,617.0 11,826.0 13,067.0 Amer-Pima : 178.6 252.0 177.4 250.0 Sugarbeets : 1,365.4 1,349.8 1,347.9 1,326.3 Sugarcane : 994.4 971.6 Tobacco : 411.2 413.6 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 21.1 25.5 15.6 16.6 Dry Edible Beans : 1,406.1 1,360.4 1,346.9 1,301.1 Dry Edible Peas : 337.5 480.0 328.5 454.0 Lentils : 246.0 300.0 237.0 293.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.9 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 0.2 Hops : 28.7 28.0 Peppermint Oil : 78.2 Potatoes, All : 1,274.5 1,184.3 1,250.0 1,165.6 Winter : 14.6 14.2 14.3 14.0 Spring : 88.6 73.5 84.7 71.7 Summer : 63.7 58.8 59.0 57.1 Fall : 1,107.6 1,037.8 1,092.0 1,022.8 Spearmint Oil : 15.8 Sweet Potatoes : 95.8 99.1 92.6 96.3 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 58.9 65.7 276,087 272,824 Corn for Grain : " : 142.2 148.9 10,113,887 10,923,099 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.2 105,864 Hay, All : " : 2.48 2.63 157,123 161,763 Alfalfa : " : 3.24 3.48 76,307 77,264 All Other : " : 2.03 2.15 80,816 84,499 Oats : Bu : 65.0 66.0 144,649 127,950 Proso Millet : " : 18.5 11,450 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,645 6,680 199,157 221,646 Rye : Bu : 27.3 9,254 Sorghum for Grain : " : 52.7 67.2 411,237 464,782 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 10.4 3,552 Wheat, All : Bu : 44.2 42.0 2,336,526 2,122,894 Winter : " : 46.7 42.8 1,707,069 1,489,408 Durum : " : 33.7 35.3 96,637 88,951 Other Spring : " : 39.7 41.2 532,820 544,535 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,416 1,512,250 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,664.6 7,360.0 Flaxseed : Bu : 17.9 10,426 Mustard Seed : Lb : 723 77,372 Peanuts : " : 3,159 3,198 4,144,150 4,320,200 Rapeseed : " : 949 1,139 Safflower : " : 1,286 272,555 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 33.4 39.1 2,417,565 2,876,627 Sunflower : Lb : 1,213 2,665,226 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 730 727 18,255.2 20,183.0 Upland 2/ : " : 723 716 17,822.9 19,480.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,170 1,350 432.3 703.0 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.7 21.4 30,583 28,378 Sugarcane : " : 34.0 33.4 33,857 32,430 Tobacco : Lb : 1,952 2,140 802,654 884,873 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,115 174 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,672 1,639 22,515 21,323 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,584 5,202 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,030 2,442 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 673 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,407 8,300 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 37,500 40,000 6,000 6,000 Hops : " : 1,903 1,982 54,565.1 55,537.9 Peppermint Oil : " : 89 6,924 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 367 458,854 Winter : " : 282 250 4,027 3,500 Spring : " : 288 266 24,433 19,077 Summer : " : 322 327 19,008 18,656 Fall : " : 377 411,386 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 113 1,778 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 172 15,891 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 5,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,424 2,063 2,148 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/: " : 1 Lemons : " : 801 1,026 798 Oranges : " : 12,374 11,526 12,890 Tangelos (FL) : " : 97 106 45 Tangerines : " : 420 371 425 Temples (FL) : " : 70 59 63 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 8,523.9 8,613.3 9,365.9 Apricots : Ton : 90.0 97.6 95.6 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 20,000.0 22,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 7,338.9 6,572.7 6,361.4 Olives (CA) : " : 103.0 118.0 85.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 45,900.0 42,600.0 Peaches : 1,000 Lbs: 2,535.0 2,519.0 2,598.4 Pears : Ton : 890.0 928.1 908.0 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 172.0 181.0 70.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 15.7 16.3 24.5 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 1,090,000 1,040,000 1,080,000 Hazelnuts : Ton : 19.5 37.7 Pecans : Lb : 172,900 282,100 Pistachios (CA) : " : 303,000 119,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 282.0 326.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,475 1,260 1,507 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,144,450 1,888,280 1,897,190 1,680,270 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,863,670 32,766,940 28,789,240 29,694,940 Corn for Silage : 2,641,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,633,870 24,924,450 Alfalfa : 9,541,780 8,994,640 All Other : 16,092,090 15,929,810 Oats : 1,861,980 1,707,790 900,030 784,290 Proso Millet : 295,420 291,380 250,910 Rice : 1,222,970 1,354,090 1,212,860 1,342,760 Rye : 553,620 538,240 137,190 138,810 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,812,180 3,277,580 3,155,770 2,798,840 Sorghum for Silage : 138,810 Wheat, All 3/ :24,969,370 24,167,680 21,383,410 20,459,510 Winter :18,188,790 17,583,780 14,787,780 14,093,330 Durum : 1,179,670 1,048,960 1,161,060 1,020,220 Other Spring : 5,600,910 5,534,950 5,434,580 5,345,950 : Oilseeds : Canola : 437,870 382,840 432,210 371,910 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 240,790 254,550 235,930 246,050 Mustard Seed : 44,520 27,720 43,300 26,670 Peanuts : 543,900 560,900 530,950 546,740 Rapeseed : 530 4,780 490 4,610 Safflower : 89,440 57,470 85,790 53,820 Soybeans for Beans :29,705,860 30,274,450 29,267,590 29,807,440 Sunflower : 948,590 761,630 889,100 728,850 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,455,060 5,612,650 4,857,660 5,389,260 Upland : 5,382,780 5,510,660 4,785,860 5,288,080 Amer-Pima : 72,280 101,980 71,790 101,170 Sugarbeets : 552,560 546,250 545,480 536,740 Sugarcane : 402,420 393,200 Tobacco : 166,390 167,360 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 8,540 10,320 6,310 6,720 Dry Edible Beans : 569,030 550,540 545,080 526,540 Dry Edible Peas : 136,580 194,250 132,940 183,730 Lentils : 99,550 121,410 95,910 118,570 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,390 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 60 Hops : 11,600 11,340 Peppermint Oil : 31,650 Potatoes, All 3/ : 515,780 479,270 505,860 471,710 Winter : 5,910 5,750 5,790 5,670 Spring : 35,860 29,740 34,280 29,020 Summer : 25,780 23,800 23,880 23,110 Fall : 448,230 419,990 441,920 413,920 Spearmint Oil : 6,390 Sweet Potatoes : 38,770 40,100 37,470 38,970 Taro (HI) 4/ : 170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.17 3.54 6,011,080 5,940,040 Corn for Grain : 8.92 9.34 256,904,560 277,459,490 Corn for Silage : 36.35 96,038,210 Hay, All 2/ : 5.56 5.89 142,539,590 146,748,930 Alfalfa : 7.25 7.79 69,224,550 70,092,720 All Other : 4.56 4.81 73,315,040 76,656,200 Oats : 2.33 2.37 2,099,570 1,857,190 Proso Millet : 1.03 259,680 Rice : 7.45 7.49 9,033,610 10,053,690 Rye : 1.71 235,060 Sorghum for Grain : 3.31 4.22 10,445,900 11,806,010 Sorghum for Silage : 23.21 3,222,320 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.97 2.82 63,589,820 57,775,710 Winter : 3.14 2.88 46,458,800 40,535,040 Durum : 2.27 2.37 2,630,030 2,420,850 Other Spring : 2.67 2.77 14,500,980 14,819,810 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.59 685,950 Cottonseed 3/ : 6,046,020 6,676,880 Flaxseed : 1.12 264,830 Mustard Seed : 0.81 35,100 Peanuts : 3.54 3.58 1,879,750 1,959,610 Rapeseed : 1.06 520 Safflower : 1.44 123,630 Soybeans for Beans : 2.25 2.63 65,795,340 78,288,960 Sunflower : 1.36 1,208,930 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.82 0.82 3,974,600 4,394,330 Upland : 0.81 0.80 3,880,480 4,241,270 Amer-Pima : 1.31 1.51 94,120 153,060 Sugarbeets : 50.86 47.96 27,744,430 25,744,090 Sugarcane : 76.32 74.82 30,714,550 29,420,000 Tobacco : 2.19 2.40 364,080 401,370 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.25 7,890 Dry Edible Beans : 1.87 1.84 1,021,260 967,200 Dry Edible Peas : 1.77 235,960 Lentils : 1.15 110,770 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 30,530 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.58 3,760 Ginger Root (HI) : 42.03 44.83 2,720 2,720 Hops : 2.13 2.22 24,750 25,190 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,140 Potatoes, All 2/ : 41.14 20,813,270 Winter : 31.56 28.02 182,660 158,760 Spring : 32.33 29.82 1,108,260 865,320 Summer : 36.11 36.62 862,190 846,220 Fall : 42.23 18,660,160 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 810 Sweet Potatoes : 19.23 720,800 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,270 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2002-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 2,199,020 1,871,520 1,948,630 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3/ : 910 Lemons : 726,650 930,770 723,930 Oranges : 11,225,500 10,456,210 11,693,610 Tangelos (FL) : 88,000 96,160 40,820 Tangerines : 381,020 336,570 385,550 Temples (FL) : 63,500 53,520 57,150 : Noncitrus : Apples : 3,866,380 3,906,930 4,248,300 Apricots : 81,680 88,520 86,680 Bananas (HI) : 9,070 10,210 Grapes : 6,657,740 5,962,680 5,770,970 Olives (CA) : 93,440 107,050 77,110 Papayas (HI) : 20,820 19,320 Peaches : 1,149,860 1,142,600 1,178,610 Pears : 807,410 841,910 823,760 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 156,040 164,200 63,500 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 14,200 14,790 22,230 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 494,420 471,740 489,880 Hazelnuts : 17,690 34,200 Pecans : 78,430 127,960 Pistachios (CA) : 137,440 53,980 Walnuts (CA) : 255,830 295,740 Maple Syrup : 7,370 6,300 7,530 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. 2/ Production years are 2001-02, 2002-03, and 2003-04. 3/ Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop. July Weather Summary Favorably drier weather returned to the western and central Gulf Coast States in July, although there were lingering crop-quality concerns related to late-spring and early-summer downpours. Meanwhile, pockets of dryness redeveloped in the Southeast, particularly across central Georgia. Farther north, excessive rainfall in the northern Mid-Atlantic States caused local flooding, slowed fieldwork, and increased crop disease concerns. Much more favorable conditions prevailed in the Corn Belt, where occasional showers benefited blooming to pod-setting soybeans and pollinating to filling corn. Frequent showers and thunderstorms peppered the central and southern Plains, maintaining abundant soil moisture reserves for pastures and summer crops, but causing local wind, hail, and flash flood damage. Meanwhile on the northern High Plains, scattered showers locally improved topsoil moisture but provided only limited relief from long-term drought. Similar conditions existed across the Southwest and Intermountain West, where showers associated with the monsoon (summer rainy season) aided rangelands and eased irrigation requirements, but barely dented multi-year precipitation deficits. Farther west, hot, mostly dry weather prevailed in the Pacific Coast States, promoting fieldwork and small grain maturation but maintaining heavy irrigation demands and stressing pastures and rangelands. Despite cool July weather, crop development remained ahead of the normal pace across much of the Midwest, in part due to a rapid planting pace prior to May 10. In the northwestern Corn Belt, however, where persistently cool weather arrived in May, crop developmental delays became more pronounced, especially with respect to late-planted corn and soybeans. On the northern Plains, cool weather slowed small grain development, including winter wheat maturation. Monthly temperatures generally ranged from 3 to 5 degrees F below normal across the central Plains and western Corn Belt. In fact, near-normal temperatures east of the Rockies were confined to the northern High Plains, the Southeast, and areas along and near the Gulf Coast. In contrast, hot weather prevailed in most areas west of the Rockies. Monthly temperatures averaged at least 5 degrees F above normal at several locations in the Northwest. July Crop Summary In the Corn Belt, temperatures were below normal through most of the month, with near normal precipitation. Crop development fell behind the normal pace in the northern parts of the region. Elsewhere in the Corn Belt, progress remained ahead of normal, mostly due to early planting and rapid development in previous months. Below-normal temperatures also prevailed across the Great Plains. Moderate to heavy precipitation caused some flooding in the central and southern Plains, while the Dakotas remained mostly dry. Crops developed slowly, falling behind the normal pace in the northern and central areas of the region. Early in the month, heavy rainfall hampered fieldwork and flooded fields in the Mississippi Delta, but drier weather through month's end helped to alleviate wet conditions. Temperatures were below normal for the month, holding crop progress behind the normal pace. Temperatures were slightly above normal along the southern Atlantic Coast, but below normal elsewhere in the Southeast. Precipitation was near normal in the Southeast, with the heaviest rainfall in the first and last weeks of the month. Crops developed steadily and remained ahead of normal. In the northern and central Atlantic Coast States, temperatures were near to below normal, while periods of locally heavy rainfall soaked fields and pastures and delayed fieldwork in the Northeast. The Rocky Mountains were mostly dry, though scattered showers brought relief to some areas. Temperatures were below normal in the eastern and southern parts of the region but above normal elsewhere. Further west, along the Pacific Coast, conditions were hot and dry, causing increased demands on irrigation supplies. Corn silking began the month of July ahead of the normal pace, but fell behind normal during the month as cool weather slowed crop development, particularly in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. By August 1, eighty-four percent of the crop was at the silking stage or beyond, 3 percentage points ahead of last year but 2 points behind normal. The corn crops in North Dakota and Wisconsin were 35 and 28 points behind their respective 5-year averages. Doughing, at 28 percent complete by month's end, was 12 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of normal. Progress was ahead of normal in the Corn Belt, except in Minnesota and Wisconsin. At this same time, 7 percent of the crop had reached the dent stage, compared with 4 percent last year and 5 percent for the 5-year average. Winter wheat harvest fell slightly behind the normal pace during July, as rainfall in the Great Plains and Corn Belt hindered fieldwork. On August 1, growers had harvested 88 percent of their acreage, 3 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Harvest was complete in most States at that time, but was well behind normal in Montana, where just 11 percent of the crop had been harvested, compared with the 5-year average pace of 43 percent. Michigan growers harvested nearly two-thirds of their acreage during the last 2 weeks of the month but remained 5 points behind normal. The cotton crop advanced through the squaring stage at or ahead of the normal pace through most of July, reaching 96 percent complete by month's end, 3 points ahead of last year but even with the 5-year average. Squaring was complete in most States and nearing completion everywhere except the southern Great Plains. Boll setting also progressed ahead of the normal pace through most of the month but finished the month at the normal pace. Virginia's crop was 52 points ahead of the average at mid-month, while North Carolina's crop was 35 points ahead. In Texas, the crop began the month setting bolls at the normal pace, but fell to slightly behind normal by month's end. As of August 1, soybean blooming was 84 percent complete, 6 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of the 5-year average. Blooming progressed steadily early in the month in the central Corn Belt, advancing more than 45 points in Illinois and Iowa during the first 2 weeks. Progress was ahead of the normal pace at month's end in the central Corn Belt, Delta, and Southeast, but behind normal in the northern Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains, where below normal temperatures hindered crop development. Forty-nine percent of the acreage had set pods by month's end, 14 points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of the 5-year average. As with the blooming stage, pod setting was ahead of normal in the central Corn Belt, but behind the normal pace in the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt. With 36 percent of the crop setting pods on August 1, North Dakota's crop was 26 points behind the average. The Nation's sorghum crop was 95 percent planted on July 5, slightly behind the 5-year average. Heading progressed behind the normal pace, ending the month at 53 percent complete, 1 point behind normal. At that time, heading was nearly complete in the Delta and was ahead of normal in most States, particularly Illinois where 81 percent of the acreage was headed, 23 points ahead of the average. However, progress lagged behind normal in the central Great Plains, by 5 points in Kansas and 10 points in Nebraska. Coloring also trailed the average pace, reaching 22 percent complete by August 1, three points behind normal. By month's end, turning color had begun in all States, except Nebraska and New Mexico. Both Kansas and Texas were 3 points behind the normal pace. On July 11, eighteen percent of the rice crop was headed, 1 point ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. At that time, heading had begun in all States, and was 19 points ahead of normal in California, where warm, dry conditions prevailed throughout the month, but 13 points behind normal in Texas. Progress slipped behind the average for 2 weeks, but had advanced ahead of the normal pace by month's end. As of August 1, heading was 56 percent complete, 3 points ahead of normal. Heading was most advanced in Louisiana and Texas, at 85 and 80 percent, respectively, but both States were behind their average pace. Arkansas's crop remained behind normal throughout the month but, with one-fourth of the acreage heading in the final week, pulled to within 1 point of the 5-year average. Meanwhile, heading was over 20 points ahead of normal in California and Missouri. After trailing the 5-year average throughout most of July, spring wheat heading reached 98 percent complete by month's end, 1 point behind last year but the same as normal. Heading was complete in Idaho, South Dakota, and Washington and nearly complete elsewhere. At that time, 5 percent of the crop had been harvested in the 6 major-producing States, 6 points behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average. Growers had begun harvesting in all States, except Montana. Harvest progress was 13 points ahead of normal in Washington, where warm, dry weather prevailed, and 1 point ahead in Idaho but behind the average pace elsewhere. Barley heading was 48 percent complete on July 5, ten points behind last year and 1 point behind normal, but remained ahead of the normal pace thereafter. By July 26, ninety-seven percent of the acreage was headed, the same as last year but 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. Heading was complete in Washington and nearly complete elsewhere. By month's end, producers had harvested 5 percent of the crop, 6 points behind last year and 2 points behind normal. Harvest had begun in all States but was behind the average in Minnesota, Montana, and North Dakota. By July 26, ninety-eight percent of the oat crop was headed, the same as last year and the 5-year average. Heading was complete in most States, but trailed slightly behind the normal pace in Minnesota and Pennsylvania. Harvest was 5 percent complete on July 19, four points behind normal, and slipped further behind through the end of the month. On August 1, growers had reaped 29 percent of their acreage, 7 points behind last year and 8 points behind normal. Harvest had begun in all States, but was behind the normal pace. Producers were 17 points behind the average in Ohio and South Dakota, but just 2 points behind in Nebraska and North Dakota. Peanut pegging was ahead of normal through most of July. By month's end, 96 percent of the crop was at or beyond the pegging stage, compared with 91 percent for last year and the 5-year average. At that time, pegging was ahead of normal in all States. The peanut crops in Alabama and Virginia were 12 and 13 points ahead of normal, respectively, while all other States were ahead by 5 points or less. Corn for Grain: U.S. farmers expect to harvest 73.4 million acres of corn for grain, virtually unchanged from June but up 3 percent from 2003. Planted area, at 81.0 million acres, is unchanged from June. As of August 1, seventy-six percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, up 5 percentage points from last month and 9 points above a year ago. In the Corn Belt, temperatures were below normal through most of July with above normal precipitation. Below normal temperatures also prevailed across the Great Plains as moderate to heavy precipitation caused some flooding in the central and southern parts of the region, while the Dakotas remained mostly dry. Yields are higher in most of the Corn Belt and Great Plains States as weather conditions have been favorable during much of the growing season. The August 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest stalk and ear counts on record for the combined 10 Objective Yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). (In a program expansion, Objective Yield data are now being collected for Kansas, Missouri, and South Dakota). Of the 23 non-Objective Yield States, 11 States are expecting higher yields than 2003. The largest increases are expected in Maryland, Oklahoma, Texas, and Virginia. Corn silking began the month ahead of the normal pace, but fell behind normal during the month as cool weather slowed crop development, particularly in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. By August 1, eighty-four percent of the crop was at the silking stage or beyond, 3 percentage points ahead of last year but 2 points behind normal. North Dakota's and Wisconsin's crops were 35 and 28 points behind their respective 5-year averages. Doughing, at 28 percent complete by month's end, was 12 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of normal but lagged behind the average in several States. At this same time, 7 percent of the crop had reached the dent stage, compared with 4 percent last year and 5 percent for the 5-year average. Sorghum: Production is forecast at 465 million bushels, up 13 percent from 2003. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 6.92 million acres, unchanged from June but down 11 percent from last year. Based on August 1 conditions, the yield is forecast at 67.2 bushels per acre, up 14.5 bushels from last year. Yield increases are expected in 9 of the top 11 producing States. Kansas, the leading sorghum producer, is expecting a yield of 72 bushels per acre, up 27 bushels from last year. Texas, the second leading producer, expects a yield of 61 bushels per acre, up 7 bushels from 2003. Yields are expected to decrease in the Delta region, where excessive moisture has adversely affected the crop. Sorghum progressed near normal, with 53 percent headed on August 1, but well ahead of last year's pace of 44 percent. Above normal precipitation throughout most of the Great Plains has aided development and improved crop conditions considerably compared to last year. On August 1, seventy-two percent of the sorghum crop was rated good to excellent, compared to 30 percent at this time last year. Oats: Production is forecast at 128 million bushels, 5 percent above the July 1 forecast, but 12 percent below last year's 145 million bushels. Area for harvest is forecast at 1.94 million acres, unchanged from July but down 13 percent from last year. The forecasted yield is 66.0 bushels per acre, 3.1 bushels above last month and up 1.0 bushel from 2003. If realized, this would be a record high yield. Crop development during July continued to lag behind normal across most of the Northern Great Plains and Corn Belt region. In the northern Great Plains, moderate temperatures and adequate moisture provided favorable growing conditions. In North Dakota, yield increased 10 bushels from last month, while in South Dakota, yield increased 8 bushels. On August 1, twenty-nine percent of the acreage was harvested, compared to 37 percent for the 5-year average, and 36 percent last year. The crop was most advanced in Iowa and Nebraska, where 78 percent and 85 percent of the acreage was harvested, respectively. In North Dakota, the largest producer of oats, 4 percent of the acreage was harvested, compared with 8 percent in 2003. Nationally, crop conditions were 65 percent good to excellent on August 1, identical to last year. Barley: Production for 2004 is forecast at 273 million bushels, up 4 percent from the July forecast but 1 percent below 2003. Based on August 1 conditions, producers expect to harvest an average of 65.7 bushels per acre, up 2.2 bushels from July and up 6.8 bushels from last year. If realized this would be a record high yield. Area harvested, at 4.15 million acres, is unchanged from the July estimate but down 11 percent from 2003. Increases in yield and production from last month were concentrated in the Dakotas, Idaho, Minnesota, and Delaware. Yield in Idaho is at a record high 84 bushels per acre with condition rated 90 percent good to excellent. As of August 1, sixty-five percent of North Dakota's crop was turning color or beyond, behind last year's 79 percent but near the 5-year average. Seventy-two percent of North Dakota's crop was rated in good to excellent condition. Only Colorado and Wyoming posted declines in yield since July. Winter Wheat: Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 34.8 million, unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last year. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing States had reached 88 percent complete by August 1. This is 3 percentage points behind last year and 1 point behind the 5-year average. Hard Red Winter (HRW) harvest was nearly complete in the central and southern Great Plains. Harvest was virtually complete in most Soft Red Winter (SRW) States. Forecasted HRW yields in the northern Great Plains are well above last month. Producers indicate better than expected yields, due to favorable weather during the grain filling period. Slight yield changes are forecasted this month in several States across the central portion of the SRW growing area. Yields in all other SRW States are equal to a month ago. White Wheat yield forecasts are higher than a month ago in all 3 Pacific Northwest States. In Idaho, excellent irrigated winter wheat yields, combined with good dryland yields, are expected to result in the second highest winter wheat yield on record. Durum Wheat: Planted area is estimated at 2.59 million acres, 150,000 acres less than last month and 11 percent below the 2003 total. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 2.52 million acres, also down 150,000 acres from last month and 12 percent less than last year. Planted area and acres harvested for grain in North Dakota were both reduced by 150,000 acres as farmers were not able to plant originally intended Durum acres due to persistent wet weather through the middle of June. As of August 1, fifty-five percent of the Durum crop in North Dakota (which accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. harvested acreage), was rated good to excellent. This is slightly below both last month and last year. Yield prospects in Montana are better than last month, due to favorable July weather. Other Spring Wheat: Area harvested for grain is forecast at 13.2 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 2 percent from last year. Acreage was 5 percent harvested as of August 1 in the 6 major producing States, 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Harvest had begun in all 6 States, except Montana. Crop development in Minnesota, Montana, and North Dakota (which account for 79 percent of the harvested acreage) was slowed by cool, wet weather during the early part of July. Despite more favorable weather near the end of the month, crop development remains behind normal. Topsoil moisture in the northwest portion of Minnesota, where most of their spring wheat is grown, has been adequate to surplus throughout the growing season. Harvest is underway in the southern counties of North Dakota. The South Dakota forecasted yield is equal to last year's record high. Although the Montana crop developed rapidly during the latter half of July, it is still well behind normal. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 4.32 billion pounds, up 4 percent from last year's crop and up 30 percent from 2002. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.35 million acres, unchanged from June but up 3 percent from 2003. Yields are expected to average a record high 3,198 pounds per acre, 39 pounds per acre above last year. Planted acres, at 1.39 million, are unchanged from the June estimate but 3 percent above 2003. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 2.92 billion pounds, up 5 percent from last year's level. Yields in the 4-State area are expected to average 3,183 pounds per acres, 55 pounds below 2003. Expected area for harvest, at 918,000 acres, is unchanged from June but up 7 percent from the previous year. Planted acres, at 940,000, are also unchanged from June but up 7 percent from 2003. As of August 1, peanuts pegging in Alabama, at 96 percent, exceeded the 5-year average by 12 percentage points. Florida peanuts pegging, at 95 percent, were ahead of average by 5 percentage points. Georgia peanuts pegging, at 99 percent, exceeded the 5-year average by 4 percentage points. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 441 million pounds, up 6 percent from 2003. Yield is forecast at 3,176 pounds per acre, up 50 pounds per acre from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 139,000 acres, unchanged from June but up 5 percent from the previous year. Planted acres, at 140,000, are also unchanged from June but up 4 percent from 2003. As of August 1, the North Carolina peanut crop had reached 100 percent pegging, 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Virginia peanuts pegging, at 94 percent, exceeded the 5-year average by 13 percentage points. The Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 957 million pounds, up less than 1 percent from 2003. Yields are expected to average 3,255 pounds per acre for the region, 293 pounds above the 2003 level. A record yield is forecast for Oklahoma. The region's area for harvest, at 294,000 acres, is unchanged from June but 9 percent below the 2003 level. Acres planted to peanuts in the region, at 306,000, are also unchanged from June but 7 percent below 2003. Peanuts pegging in Oklahoma, at 96 percent complete on August 1, were 4 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Texas peanuts pegging, at 88 percent complete, exceeded the 5-year average by 2 percentage points. Rice: Production is forecast at 222 million cwt, up 11 percent from last year and up 5 percent from 2002. Area for harvest is expected to total 3.32 million acres, unchanged from June but up 11 percent from last year. Rice plantings, at 3.35 million acres, were also unchanged from the June estimate. Yields are forecast at a record high 6,680 pounds per acre, up 35 pounds from 2003. Arkansas and Missouri are forecast to set record high yields, at 6,650 pounds per acre and 6,250 pounds per acre, respectively. As of August 1, the percent of the crop heading in California and Missouri was 21 and 23 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average, respectively. The percent of rice heading in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi was within 2 percentage points of the 5-year average, and Texas lagged the 5-year average by 14 percentage points. Rice harvest is underway in Louisiana and Texas. Crop condition was rated 68 percent good to excellent across the rice producing States. Soybeans: Area planted, at 74.8 million acres, is unchanged from June but up 2 percent from 2003. U.S. farmers expect to harvest 73.7 million acres, unchanged from June but up 2 percent from 2003 acreage. In Indiana, area for harvest is down 20,000 acres due to flooding, which was offset by slight increases in harvested acres for Arkansas and Georgia. As of August 1, seventy percent of the U.S. soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 7 percentage points more than the same week in 2003. During July, adequate moisture supplies and below normal temperatures helped maintain good crop conditions. Development continued ahead to near-normal in most areas, but lagged behind in the Great Lake States and the Dakotas. Yields are above last year's level in all areas outside the Delta and most of the Southeast, where yields are down from the record levels of 2003. The largest yield increases are expected in Kansas and Iowa. In the 7 major soybean producing States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio), the average planting date was 6 days ahead of last year and 8 days ahead of 2002. By August 1, eighty-four percent of the crop was blooming, 6 percentage points ahead of last year and one point ahead of the average. Forty-nine percent of the acreage was setting pods, compared to last year's 35 percent and the 5-year average of 46 percent. Cotton: Upland cotton growers planted 13.6 million acres, down 78,000 from the June estimate, but up 2 percent from a year ago. Growers expect to harvest 13.1 million acres, 10 percent more than the previous year. American-Pima cotton producers planted 252,000 acres, up 73,400 acres from last year. Expected harvested area, at 250,000 acres, is up 41 percent from last year. Cotton farmers in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia) rated the condition of the cotton as mostly fair to good. Development has been ahead of average, especially in North Carolina and Virginia. Ideal weather conditions allowed growers to plant earlier than normal. Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) planted the crop on time despite scattered showers disrupting fieldwork activities. In Louisiana, excessive weed problems arose due to the abundance of precipitation. The crop made good progress in late July under ideal growing conditions, although development varied widely as a result of earlier weather conditions. Upland cotton producers in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and New Mexico were able to plant their cotton at or ahead of the 5-year average. Planting in the Rio Grande Valley began in late February and by late March planting was complete. By late April, planting was underway in the Texas Panhandle and Oklahoma. By the end of June, planting in Oklahoma, Kansas, and central Texas was virtually complete. Timely rains aided germination. Dryland acreage on the High Plains also received some timely rains, allowing planting to proceed. During late June, high winds and hail damaged some High Plains cotton. Despite cooler, wetter conditions the crop was rated good to excellent. Upland cotton planting conditions in California were warmer than normal early in the planting season. Despite the early warm weather, most growers delayed planting for more traditional planting dates due to erratic spring weather in the prior years. The continued warm weather conditions in June and July promoted crop development ahead of the 5-year average. Excellent weather conditions allowed the crop to develop ahead of average in Arizona, where producers rated their crop good to excellent. American-Pima production is forecast at 703,000 bales, up 63 percent from last year's output. The U.S. Pima yield is forecast at 1,350 pounds per harvested acre, 180 pounds above the previous year. If realized, this will be a record high U.S. yield. California growers expect yields to average 1,403 pounds per acre, up 209 pounds from last year and up 17 pounds from their previous record high established in 2002. The weather conditions in California were unseasonably warm the first few weeks of March. Most fields were planted by the first week in May. Weather conditions remained favorable, promoting rapid growth and development. Unlike 2003, there has been no major insect pressure. Ginnings totaled 48,350 running bales prior to August 1, compared with 28,500 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 55,600 running bales in 2002. Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 21.3 million cwt in 2004, down 5 percent from last year and 30 percent below two years ago. Acreage adjustments since the June Acreage Report lowered planted acreage estimates 4 percent and reduced harvested expectations by 2 percent. Planted area is now estimated at 1.36 million acres, 3 percent below last year and down 30 percent from two years ago. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.30 million acres, down 3 percent from last year and 25 percent below 2002. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,639 pounds per acre, a loss of 33 pounds from last year and 104 pounds less than two years ago. Production is expected to be below last year in 10 of the 18 producing States. These decreases are mostly the result of lower acreage. North Dakota growers expect to decrease production 1 percent from 2003. Nebraska's production forecast is down 39 percent from 2003, while California's prospects are 7 percent below last year. Wyoming growers expect an 8 percent drop in production, while New York and Texas are declining 21 percent and 63 percent, respectively. The production forecast in New Mexico has dropped 25 percent, Wisconsin's is down 2 percent, and growers in Kansas and Oregon expect decreases of 55 percent and 31 percent, respectively. Michigan's growers expect to increase production 20 percent from last year and Minnesota's production is 3 percent above 2003. Producers in Idaho expect a 12 percent increase, while in Washington and Montana they expect a 5 percent and 46 percent increase, respectively. Production in South Dakota is expected to increase 35 percent, Utah 63 percent, and less than 1 percent in Colorado. A cool, wet spring and summer have delayed the crop in the northern mid west States. In North Dakota, as of August 1, only 17 percent of the crop was podding, behind the 5-year average of 53 percent. Despite the late start, the crop is rated as good to fair in most areas and yields are expected to be average. In New York, a wet spring that continued through June and July resulted in dry bean planting being cut short. In Wyoming, dry bean progress is about 10 days behind the 5-year average with 95 percent of the crop rated fair to good. In Idaho, July temperatures were above normal but not as hot as the past 2 years. This should result in a better pod set. California growers have observed steady growth and development. U.S. planted area's of black and navy beans are up 67 percent and 21 percent from last year, respectively. Great Northern acreage decreased 53 percent, blackeyes are down 49 percent, and cranberry beans are down 15 percent. Small reds, pinks, small whites, and pintos are down 12 percent, 9 percent, 4 percent, and 3 percent, respectively. Lima beans are down 22 percent for large and 6 percent for baby. Kidney beans are down 18 percent for light but up 8 percent for dark. Chickpea (garbanzo) acreage has increased 10 percent for smalls (smaller than 20/64 in.) but fallen 7 percent for large (larger than 20/64 in.). Pinto beans make up 47 percent of planted dry bean acreage this year; navies account for 14 percent; blacks have 10 percent; kidney beans combine for 8 percent; great northern take 4 percent; and all chickpeas account for 3 percent. The remaining 14 percent are distributed among the other classes. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 77.3 million tons, up 1 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3.48 tons per acre, 0.24 ton above last year. Harvested area is 22.2 million acres, down 6 percent from 2003. Yields throughout the Great Plains and Corn Belt increased from last year. Adequate rainfall and moderate temperatures through July promoted early season hay growth and provided ideal growing conditions in many areas. In much of the Rocky Mountains, yields are expected to decrease from last year. Extreme weather, ranging from hot and dry conditions to monsoonal rains, have adversely impacted yields. Other Hay: Production is forecast at 84.5 million tons, up 5 percent from 2003. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 2.15 tons per acre. If realized, this would be a record high yield, breaking last year's previous record of 2.03 tons. Harvested area is 39.4 million acres, unchanged from the June forecast but down 1 percent from last year. Mild temperatures and adequate rainfall throughout July resulted in record yields in several Great Plains States. Texas, the leading producer, expects a yield of 2.50 tons per acre, up 0.20 ton from 2003, while Missouri, the second largest producer, expects a yield of 2.20 tons per acre, up 0.40 ton from last year. Yields are expected to be down from last year in North Dakota and South Dakota, as wet and dry weather extremes have had adverse effects. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 2004 is forecast at 885 million pounds, up 10 percent from 2003 and 2 percent above 2002. Area for harvest is forecast at 413,550 acres, 1 percent above 2003. Yields for 2004 are expected to average 2,140 pounds per acre, 188 pounds higher than a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco producing State, are expected to be higher than last year by 337 pounds. Kentucky, the second leading State, expects yields to average 32 pounds above last year. Flue-cured tobacco production is expected to total 517 million pounds, virtually unchanged from the previous forecast but 13 percent higher than the 2003 crop. Growers plan to harvest 231,000 acres in 2004, down 1 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,238 pounds per acre, down 6 pounds from the July 1 forecast but 281 pounds higher than the previous year. Good weather in most of the flue-cured producing areas has caused an increase in yield potential compared to last year. Most growers rate their crop good to excellent. Burley production is expected to total 298 million pounds, 6 percent above a year ago. Yields are expected to average 1,908 pounds per acre, up 58 pounds from 2003. Burley growers plan to harvest 156,300 acres, 3 percent above a year ago. Kentucky's acreage, at 105,000, is 2 percent above last year. Persistent wet weather has adversely affected the State's crop but yield prospects are still higher than last year. Blue mold is active in the State but insect pressure appears to be minimal. Fire-cured tobacco production is expected to total 36.6 million pounds, up 6 percent from 2003. Growers plan to harvest 11,720 acres, 4 percent above a year ago. The expected average yield is 3,120 pounds per acre, 53 pounds higher than the previous year. Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production is expected to total 6.66 million pounds, up 59 percent from 2003. Average yields are expected to increase 269 pounds from last year. A total of 3,300 acres is expected to be harvested, up 38 percent from 2003. Dark air-cured production is expected to total 12.1 million pounds, up 7 percent from 2003. Growers plan to harvest 4,230 acres, 2 percent more than last year. Yields are expected to average 2,865 pounds per acre, up 139 pounds from last year. All Cigar types production is expected to total 14.3 million pounds, up less than 1 percent from last year. Overall yield is expected to average 2,044 pounds per acre, up 181 pounds from 2003. Growers of Cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 7,000 acres, 8 percent less than a year ago. Sugarbeets: Production for 2004 is forecast at 28.4 million tons. If realized, this would be 7 percent below last year's production. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.33 million acres, up 1 percent from the June estimate but 2 percent below last year. The yield is forecast at 21.4 tons per acre, 1.3 tons below 2003. Only California's yield is forecast higher than 2003. The condition of the sugarbeet crop in both Minnesota and North Dakota was rated below this time last year. Idaho's crop is progressing well, especially since the availability of water in the eastern part of the State has improved during July. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2004 is forecast at 32.4 million tons, 4 percent below last year. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 971,600 acres for sugar and seed during the 2004 crop year, 2 percent less than last year's final harvested acres. Yield is forecast at 33.4 tons per acre, 0.6 ton below the yield for 2003. Recent rainfall in Florida boosted crop growth. Louisiana's August 1 crop condition was rated 76 percent good to excellent. Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 24,500 tons, up 50 percent from last year and 57 percent above 2002. The Oregon forecast, at 14,000 tons, is more than double the weather reduced crop in 2003 and 75 percent above 2002. An early, warm spring, combined with excellent weather conditions during bloom, contributed to the large crop. Growing conditions have been excellent throughout the Willamette Valley. If realized, this would be Oregon's largest crop since 1994. Washington's forecast, at 5,000 tons, is up 6 percent from 2003 but 7 percent below 2002. Mild spring conditions in the Yakima Valley were favorable for prune production. Warm weather pushed bloom ahead of normal and provided good conditions for pollination. The Idaho forecast is 3,000 tons, 20 percent larger than last year and 50 percent greater than 2002. Weather has been generally favorable for the crop. Michigan's production is forecast at 2,500 tons, 31 percent below 2003 but 10 times larger than the frost devastated crop of 2002. A hard freeze during early May in the southwestern portion of the State has reduced the crop's potential for 2004. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.81 million pounds for July, up 2 percent from last month but 18 percent lower than a year ago. Area in crop totaled 1,995 acres, down less than 1 percent from last month and 8 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,060 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but 32 percent below July 2003. Weather over the major producing areas was variable during July with mostly sunny skies and periods of light showers providing good growing conditions. Hops: Hop production in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 55.5 million pounds for 2004, up 2 percent from last year but 5 percent less than the 2002 crop. Area strung for harvest, at 28,019 acres, is 2 percent below 2003 and 4 percent below the acreage strung for harvest two years ago. Yield is estimated at 1,982 pounds per acre for the Pacific Northwest, 79 pounds more than 2003 but 8 pounds less than 2002. Washington's yield is forecast at 2,120 pounds per acre for the 2004 crop, 70 pounds more than last year. Oregon's yield is forecast at 1,700 pounds per acre, up 74 pounds from 2003. In Idaho, yields are expected to average 1,630 pounds per acre, 94 pounds higher than a year ago. Only Oregon is forecasting a decrease in total production from the 2003 crop. Throughout the Pacific Northwest, conditions have been extremely hot and dry this summer. This is good for most super alpha varieties, but not as favorable for the Nuggets and aroma type varieties. However, water availability has not been an issue and powdery mildew has been minimal to nonexistent. Harvest should begin for some Oregon growers around mid-August, with the majority of other Pacific Northwest growers starting closer to August 25. Olives: The 2004 California olive crop is forecast at 85,000 tons, 28 percent below the previous year's crop of 118,000 tons. The decrease reflects the low year of an alternate bearing cycle. Also, hot weather during bloom resulted in a poor fruit set, primarily in the Sevillano variety. The Manzanillo variety, however, has a heavy fruit set with good quality. Many of the olives are in the tops of the trees, making their harvest difficult. Manzanillo and Sevillano varieties are expected to account for 82 percent and 15 percent of total production, respectively. "All Other" varieties account for the remainder. Peaches: The U.S. peach production forecast is 2.60 billion pounds, 1 percent below the July forecast but 3 percent above 2003. Michigan's crop expectations were lowered from 43.0 million pounds to 41.0 million pounds. New Jersey's forecast, at 65.0 million pounds, is 5.00 million pounds less than the July forecast. Pennsylvania's forecast decreased from 54.0 million to 52.0 million pounds. Washington's forecast decreased from 40.0 million to 35.0 million pounds, while South Carolina, at 140 million pounds, remains unchanged from July. In Michigan, peaches are being harvested throughout the State. X disease has been reported in many blocks. Also, split pits, common in early varieties due to excess moisture, are continuing to show up. Overall, fruit color and quality are very good. Producers in New Jersey began peach harvest earlier than usual. Fruit quality and size were generally good. Frequent rainfall and scattered thunderstorms after mid-July not only interrupted the harvest schedule but also caused fruit to crack. Pennsylvania peach growers anticipate harvesting fewer peaches than reported in July. Consistent rainfall, coupled with hail and high winds, caused reduction in both quantity and quality. Disease pressure has been high due to the wet conditions. Brown rot has been common. The periodical cicada caused some damage, especially in young orchards. Approximately 40 percent of the State's 2004 peach crop was harvested as of August 1. In South Carolina, weather conditions have been favorable for fruit development. Moisture was short in the spring, but adequate for bloom. Precipitation was well above normal during June and July. In Washington, springtime conditions were relatively mild across the State. Many areas received tree damage from a hard freeze in October 2003 and sub-zero temperatures in January 2004. As harvest progressed during July, early season expectations did not materialize as yields in many areas were lower than forecasted previously. The U.S. Freestone crop is forecast at 1.45 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the July forecast but virtually unchanged from 2003. The California Freestone crop is 780 million pounds, down 6 percent from last year and 2 percent below 2002. California's Clingstone crop is 1.15 billion pounds, 7 percent above last year and 2 percent greater than the 2002 season. Apples: The first production forecast for the 2004 crop year is 9.37 billion pounds, up 9 percent from last year and 10 percent above 2002. Compared to 2003, production increases in the Eastern and Western States more than offset a projected decrease in the Central States. The Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, WA) production is forecast at 5.99 billion pounds, up 15 percent from last year and 1 percent above 2002. Washington, which makes up 56 percent of the U.S. production, is forecasting 5.20 billion pounds of apples. Washington is up 16 percent from last year and 2 percent above 2002. The major apple producing areas in the State experienced a mild spring and excellent weather conditions during bloom. This resulted in a good fruit set. Most growers initiated aggressive fruit thinning this season. Wind and hail damage during May impacted only a small percentage of the crop. A warm spring with few weather related problems contributed to a promising California crop, forecast at 440 million pounds, 2 percent below last season. The spring heat wave, however, contributed to smaller sized fruit. Harvest began eight days earlier than normal for the Gala variety. Color and overall quality are excellent. Oregon's production is forecast at 170 million pounds, 26 percent above 2003. A warm spring and excellent weather during pollination combined to increase expected production from last year. Crop development is also ahead of schedule, with harvest likely to begin earlier than normal. Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, WV) is forecast at 2.26 billion pounds, up 3 percent from last year and 26 percent above 2002. New York's crop is forecast at 1.05 billion pounds, up 6 percent from last year's crop and 54 percent above the weather reduced crop of 2002. Across New York, growers were experiencing overall good fruit quality and fruit set. May hailstorms caused damage in some orchards in the eastern part of the state. Pennsylvania's forecast, at 428 million pounds, is a decrease of 3 percent from 2003 but 16 percent above 2002. The crop has sized well due to ample rainfall and growers' use of thinning agents. A crop of 260 million pounds is forecast for Virginia, 4 percent less than last year but 4 percent above 2002. Some areas experienced losses due to late frost and cold temperatures during April and May. However, conditions were favorable during bloom with a good fruit set. Above average rainfall contributed to large fruit size but made it difficult to keep a regular spray regiment. Production in the Central States (AR, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, WI) is forecast at 1.12 billion pounds, a decrease of 7 percent from 2003 but 36 percent above 2002. Michigan's production forecast is 760 million pounds, down 10 percent from last year's crop but 46 percent above the weather reduced crop of 2002. Michigan experienced severe frosts in May, and early summer hailstorms, which lowered prospective production. The harvest of summer varieties has begun. Ohio's forecast is 89.0 million pounds, 1 percent below 2003 but 27 percent above 2002. Weather conditions have been wet and cool through the spring and summer. Production in Wisconsin is forecast at 62.0 million pounds, down 9 percent from 2003 but 7 percent above 2002. Cool and wet conditions during the spring contributed to the drop in production. Pears: U.S. pear production for 2004 is forecast at 908,040 tons, down 2 percent from last year but 2 percent above 2002. Bartlett pear production for California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 457,000 tons, 1 percent above the June forecast but virtually unchanged from a year ago. Other pear production in the Pacific Coast States is expected to total 424,000 tons, 4 percent below last year but virtually unchanged from 2002. Bartlett production for California is forecast at 230,000 tons, up 7 percent from the June forecast and 6 percent above 2003. Harvesting of Bartlett pears in abundant quantities continues in the Central Valley, with the transition to the Lake-Mendocino district currently underway. Harvest began early this season as the crop matured quickly under ideal weather conditions. The favorable growing conditions also resulted in a crop with high sugar content, large fruit sizes, and good external quality. Production in Oregon is forecast at 57,000 tons, down 8 percent from the previous forecast but 6 percent above 2003. Summer harvest of the pear crop began in the lower Hood River Valley and in southern Oregon. Pears in the Willamette Valley continue to size. Weather conditions have been good to excellent except for a passing hail storm which caused some light bruising in the affected growing areas. In Washington, Bartlett production is forecast at 170,000 tons, down 3 percent from the June forecast and 8 percent below the previous season. Washington growers experienced a very early spring, with warmer than normal temperatures beginning in late February bringing fruit trees to full bloom 1 to 2 weeks ahead of schedule. Freezing temperatures at the end of April caused minimal damage. Hail storms the last week of May caused some damage to the pear crop. This fruit damage may cause more pears to be diverted to the processing market. Harvest is the early starting 1 to 2 weeks ahead of normal. Other pear production in California is forecast at 48,000 tons, down 13 percent from 2003 and 7 percent below two years ago. Non-Bartlett pears continue to be harvested in large quantities, with Red, Bosc, and Asian pears among the varieties being picked. Overall, crop quality is reported to be very good as a result of excellent growing conditions this season. In Oregon, the other pear production is forecast at 151,000 tons, 1 percent above last year and 7 percent above 2002. Other pears continue to size Statewide. Growing conditions have been beneficial for fruit development. Production in Washington is forecast at 225,000 tons, 5 percent below a year ago and 3 percent below 2002. The pear crop in New York is forecast at 15,500 tons, unchanged from last year but 55 percent more than two years ago. The State experienced a series of hail storms and heavy rainfall that caused only minor damage. Pennsylvania pear production is forecast at 3,800 tons, 27 percent below last year but unchanged from the 2002 crop. Growers report a poor fruit set due to poor weather during pollination. Hail has caused some additional problems. The Michigan pear crop is forecast at 4,100 tons, down 15 percent from last year but almost 3 times above the weather damaged 2002 crop. The State experienced frost damage in the southwest, while heavy rainfall during pollination disrupted crop development in the west central and northwest. Production in Connecticut is forecast at 1,000 tons, 23 percent below the previous year's large crop. A warm start to the season was favorable for pear development with full bloom reported by mid-May. Set was reported as average with fruit size medium. In Colorado, production is forecast at 2,300 tons, 18 percent below last year's crop and 4 percent less than the 2002 crop. A few late frosts hurt small producers without frost protection devices. Larger producers with such devices fared well this year. Adequate irrigation water is expected throughout the growing season. Conditions have been normal in the major growing areas. Pear production in Utah is forecast at 340 tons, down 24 percent from the previous season but 6 percent above the 2002 crop. Growers report insects, poor pollination, frost, and blight have caused damage to the pear crop. Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 8.30 million pounds (parchment basis) for the 2003-04 season, up 11 percent from the previous crop year. Harvested area is estimated at 5,900 acres, unchanged from the 2002-03 season. Increased production from the islands of Kauai, Maui, Molokai, and Oahu is expected to more than offset lower production from the island of Hawaii. Improved cultural practices and adequate irrigation are expected to boost production on these islands. Hawaii Island experienced dry weather during the flowering and maturing stages, resulting in smaller-sized coffee beans compared to the 2002/03 season. Grapes: U.S. grape production is forecast at 6.36 million tons, down 3 percent from 2003 and 13 percent below the 2002 season. California leads the U.S. in grape production with 90 percent of the total. Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 5 percent and 2 percent, respectively. California's all grape forecast, at 5.70 million tons, is unchanged from the July forecast but 2 percent below 2003. Washington expects to harvest 310,000 tons, down 10 percent from 2003. New York's forecast, at 149,000 tons, is 25 percent below last year. California's wine type grape production is expected to total 2.90 million tons, 51 percent of California's total grape crop. The production forecast for wine type varieties is unchanged from July and less than 1 percent below 2003. The wine grape harvest has started in some vineyards. California's raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.05 million tons, 36 percent of California's total grape crop. Production of raisin varieties is unchanged from the July forecast but down 5 percent from last year. Thompson Seedless variety grapes are currently being picked for fresh use in the San Joaquin Valley. Production of table type grapes is forecast at 750,000 tons, 13 percent of the total California crop. The table type production forecast is unchanged from the July forecast but up 2 percent from last season. Harvest of table grapes is active with many vineyards reporting they are 2-4 weeks ahead of normal. Flame Seedless, Red Globe, Black Seedless, and Princess are some of the varieties being harvested. Washington's production is forecast at 310,000 tons, down 10 percent from 2003. Production of both juice and wine varieties is expected to decrease. Wine grape production is forecast at 110,000 tons, 2 percent less than last season. The juice type grape forecast, at 200,000 tons, is 14 percent below last year. In Benton County, a major Concord producing area, significant berry drop was reported in early July. Grape production for New York is forecast at 149,000 tons, down 25 percent from 2003. Growers in the Finger Lakes region received sub-zero temperatures last winter that injured or killed a significant number of vines. Long Island grape production is also expected to be low. Lake Erie growers are predicting an average crop. Michigan's grape production is forecast at 70,000 tons, down 26 percent from 2003. A cool, damp spring in the southwest and northwest regions of the State, combined with rain in the west central region and a heavy frost in early May in the southwest region have all adversely affected this year's grape crop. Pennsylvania's grape production is forecast at 69,000 tons, down 19 percent from 2003. Disease pressure has been average to above average due to the wet weather. Consistent rains have made keeping cover sprays on the crop difficult. Ginger Root: Hawaii ginger root production for the 2003-04 season is estimated at 6.00 million pounds, unchanged from the previous season. Harvested acreage, at 150 acres, declined 6 percent from 2003. The average yield is 40,000 pounds per harvested acre for the 2003-04 crop year, an increase of 2,500 pounds above the previous season. Farmers indicated soil-borne diseases such as bacterial wilt and nematodes continued to keep ginger root yield below expected levels. Florida Citrus: Rainfall during July was generally below average in most citrus growing areas with some reporting stations recording only minimal amounts. Temperatures were generally at or above normal levels with days in the mid to upper 90's and lows in the high 70's. The limited rains occurred in heavy thunderstorms with severe lightning and sometimes high winds. West coast areas received the most precipitation with some stations recording over nine inches for the month, but other areas reported only minimal amounts all month. Many growers and caretakers used irrigation equipment to provide water and maintain adequate soil moisture levels. Trees in the well cared for groves are reported in good condition despite infrequent rains. Trees of all ages show a moderate summer flush of new growth. New crop fruit is progressing well with below to average sizes reported. No abnormal disease or insect outbreaks are reported. Caretakers were very active during July mowing, chopping, and discing cover crops. Summer fertilizers were being applied along with herbicides for weed control. Growers are cutting vines out of their trees. Hedging and topping slowed during the month. Dead trees are being pushed out and burned. New resets are being planted in larger groves with permanent irrigation. Planting of grapefruit trees in east coast areas has been heavy all spring with a temporary shortage of trees reported. California Citrus: Citrus groves were irrigated, fertilized, and treated for pests. The citrus crop was developing normally, but intense heat in late July was expected to cause sunburn and some fruit drop. The Valencia orange harvest remained slow with rind puff observed in some of the larger sized fruit. Picking of lemons was active in Ventura County. Overall quality remained very good. Marsh Ruby, Marsh White, and Star Ruby grapefruit varieties were picked in the southern coastal areas. Flavor was very good in the Marsh Ruby variety. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included weed control, fungicide applications, and irrigation of trees and vines. Picking and packing in stone fruit orchards continued at a steady rate. Varieties picked included Elegant Lady, Summer Lady, Sweet Dream, Zee Lady and Summer Sweet peaches; Arctic Queen and Summer Fire nectarines; Friar and Fortune plums; and Flavor Grenade and Flavor Queen pluots. Picking of Clingstone peaches continued. Harvesting crews remained busy throughout the month in table grape vineyards as more varieties reached maturity. Among the grape varieties harvested were Flame Seedless, Thompson Seedless, and Princess. Wine grape harvesting commenced in some vineyards in the San Joaquin Valley as fruit maturity reached satisfactory levels. Grape harvesting for champagne began in parts of Northern California. Field work in raisin, wine, and table grape vineyards included irrigation, cultivation, and fungicide applications. Harvesting of Gala apples and Asian pears commenced in the San Joaquin Valley by the end of July. Bartlett pears were harvested, with good quality reported. Persimmons and pomegranates continued to show good progress with fruit size increasing steadily and some color showing on fruit. Blackberry and blueberry harvesting neared completion in Tulare County by the middle of July. Strawberry harvesting continued along the central coast. Figs were harvested in the San Joaquin Valley. Olive orchards were irrigated and treated to control fruit fly. The kiwifruit crop was generally normal but with small fruit sizes. Almond harvesting commenced in the San Joaquin Valley by month's end. Insecticide treatments to control ants were made in some orchards. In other locations, almond hull split continued, and growers prepared their orchards for harvest. Crop maturity progressed at a steady rate in walnut, pecan, and pistachio orchards. Walnuts were treated for codling moth, husk fly, and San Jose scale. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective Yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between July 24 and August 6 to gather information on expected yield as of August 1. The Objective Yield surveys for corn, cotton, soybeans, and wheat were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields for the Objective Yield survey (corn, cotton, soybeans, and wheat). The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, pods, or heads and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 27,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published August 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data or administrative data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the August 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain production forecast is 6.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 6.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 10.4 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 333 million bushels, ranging from 16 million bushels to 1.09 billion bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 12 times and above 8 times. This does not imply that the August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ------ Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 6.0 10.4 333 16 1,085 12 8 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 9.3 16.1 43 5 108 10 10 Oats :Bu : 12.4 21.5 17 1 58 3 17 Barley :Bu : 6.7 11.9 19 2 69 13 7 Durum Wheat :Bu : 10.4 18.1 8 0 19 8 12 Other Spring :Bu : 9.2 15.9 40 3 121 10 10 Winter Wheat :Bu : 1.2 2.1 15 0 34 4 15 Rice :Cwt : 4.8 8.3 7 1 15 15 5 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 6.6 11.4 121 19 444 10 10 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 8.2 14.2 994 34 3,911 10 10 Dry Edible Beans :Cwt : 7.8 13.4 2 0 4 11 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of units. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Dennis Koong - Hay, Oats, Sorghum (202) 690-3234 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Jim Smith - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-2127 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. 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Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. USDA Data User's Meeting October 18, 2004 Hampton Inn & Suites Chicago, Illinois (312) 832-0330 The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for Data Users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users' Meeting, see the NASS homepage at www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Karlyn McCutcheon (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov. This Data User's Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 19, 2004. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.