Cr Pr 2-2 (12-04) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released December 10, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. All Cotton Production Up 1 Percent All Orange Production Down 3 Percent All cotton production is forecast at a record high 22.8 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from the November 1 forecast and 25 percent above last year's production. Yield is expected to average a record high 828 pounds per harvested acre, surpassing the previous record of 730 pounds set in 2003. Record high yields are expected in Arkansas, California, Mississippi, Missouri, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas. Harvested area, at 13.2 million acres, is unchanged from November but 10 percent above 2003. The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2004-05 season is 9.98 million tons, down 3 percent from the previous forecast and 23 percent below last season's final utilization. Florida's all orange forecast, at 168 million boxes (7.56 million tons), is down 5 percent from the November forecast and 31 percent below the 2003-04 season. Early and midseason varieties are reduced 6 million boxes, to 86.0 million boxes (3.87 million tons), 7 percent less than the November forecast. If attained, this will be the smallest crop since the 1991-92 season. The growth rate has slowed and the fruit size is now expected to be smaller than previously estimated but slightly above the 10 season minimum. The fruit drop rate is projected to be slightly higher than average. These factors are part of the forecast model and contributed to this month's reduction. The Valencia forecast is decreased 2 million boxes to 82.0 million boxes (3.69 million tons), down 2 percent from the previous forecast. Projected drop rate remains at 15 percent but average fruit size decreased. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward from October. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2004-05 season is unchanged from the previous month forecast at 1.56 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This is the same as the 2003-04 season's yield of 1.56 gallons per box as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. Florida's processing plants are just opening with an estimated 4.5 million boxes processed as of December 1. Projected juice yield for the 2004-05 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume that the processing relationships this year will be similar to those of the past several seasons. This report was approved on December 10, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Nancy S. Bryson Agricultural Statistics Board Acting Chairperson Steven D. Wiyatt Contents Page Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Cumulative Boll Counts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Cottonseed. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Sugarcane . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Dry Edible Beans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Pecans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Citrus Fruits Grapefruit. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Lemons. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Tangelos. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Tangerines. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Temples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Coffee. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . 31 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2003 and Forecasted December 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 2004 : : State : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Nov 1 : Dec 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 510.0 535.0 772 727 754 820.0 840.0 AZ : 213.0 236.0 1,239 1,342 1,342 550.0 660.0 AR : 945.0 920.0 916 1,028 1,070 1,804.0 2,050.0 CA : 545.0 557.0 1,317 1,508 1,508 1,495.0 1,750.0 GA : 1,290.0 1,260.0 785 686 686 2,110.0 1,800.0 LA : 510.0 490.0 967 784 862 1,027.0 880.0 MS : 1,090.0 1,090.0 934 960 1,000 2,120.0 2,270.0 MO : 390.0 385.0 862 960 997 700.0 800.0 NM : 38.0 64.0 884 938 938 70.0 125.0 NC : 770.0 725.0 646 847 874 1,037.0 1,320.0 OK : 170.0 195.0 616 714 714 218.0 290.0 SC : 218.0 218.0 718 815 815 326.0 370.0 TN : 530.0 540.0 806 844 862 890.0 970.0 TX : 4,350.0 5,500.0 478 672 663 4,330.0 7,600.0 VA : 85.0 81.0 674 889 889 119.4 150.0 : Oth : Sts 3/: 172.0 174.0 576 607 607 206.5 220.0 : US :11,826.0 12,970.0 723 808 818 17,822.9 22,095.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 2.4 3.0 920 960 960 4.6 6.0 CA : 149.0 219.0 1,194 1,425 1,425 370.5 650.0 NM : 6.0 11.0 1,056 916 916 13.2 21.0 TX : 20.0 20.0 1,056 1,032 1,032 44.0 43.0 : US : 177.4 253.0 1,170 1,366 1,366 432.3 720.0 : All : AL : 510.0 535.0 772 727 754 820.0 840.0 AZ : 215.4 239.0 1,236 1,338 1,338 554.6 666.0 AR : 945.0 920.0 916 1,028 1,070 1,804.0 2,050.0 CA : 694.0 776.0 1,290 1,485 1,485 1,865.5 2,400.0 GA : 1,290.0 1,260.0 785 686 686 2,110.0 1,800.0 LA : 510.0 490.0 967 784 862 1,027.0 880.0 MS : 1,090.0 1,090.0 934 960 1,000 2,120.0 2,270.0 MO : 390.0 385.0 862 960 997 700.0 800.0 NM : 44.0 75.0 908 934 934 83.2 146.0 NC : 770.0 725.0 646 847 874 1,037.0 1,320.0 OK : 170.0 195.0 616 714 714 218.0 290.0 SC : 218.0 218.0 718 815 815 326.0 370.0 TN : 530.0 540.0 806 844 862 890.0 970.0 TX : 4,370.0 5,520.0 480 673 665 4,374.0 7,643.0 VA : 85.0 81.0 674 889 889 119.4 150.0 : Oth : Sts 3/: 172.0 174.0 576 607 607 206.5 220.0 : US :12,003.4 13,223.0 730 818 828 18,255.2 22,815.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb. net weight bale. 3/ Other States include FL and KS. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary." Cottonseed: Production, United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted December 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,183.9 6,664.6 8,344.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Oct : 2,375 2,100 1,575 1,365 3,450 3,265 Nov : 2,210 2,100 1,580 1,365 3,105 2,665 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2002-2003, 2003-2004 and Forecasted December 1, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :---------------------------------------------------------- : 2002-03 : 2003-04 : 2004-05 : 2002-03 : 2003-04 :2004-05 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 200 300 270 8 12 10 CA 4/ : 42,000 38,000 46,000 1,575 1,426 1,725 FL : 112,000 126,000 86,000 5,040 5,670 3,870 TX 4/ : 1,350 1,420 1,650 57 60 70 US : 155,550 165,720 133,920 6,680 7,168 5,675 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 270 170 170 10 6 6 CA 4/ : 20,000 14,000 16,000 751 526 600 FL : 91,000 116,000 82,000 4,095 5,220 3,690 TX 4/ : 220 230 250 9 10 11 US : 111,490 130,400 98,420 4,865 5,762 4,307 All : AZ 4/ : 470 470 440 18 18 16 CA 4/ : 62,000 52,000 62,000 2,326 1,952 2,325 FL : 203,000 242,000 168,000 9,135 10,890 7,560 TX 4/ : 1,570 1,650 1,900 66 70 81 US : 267,040 296,120 232,340 11,545 12,930 9,982 Temples : FL : 1,300 1,400 800 59 63 36 Grapefruit : White Seedless 5/ : FL : 16,200 15,900 3,000 689 675 128 Colored Seedless : FL : 22,500 25,000 10,000 957 1,063 425 All : AZ 4/ : 130 140 200 4 5 7 CA 4/ : 5,600 5,400 5,200 187 181 174 FL : 38,700 40,900 13,000 1,646 1,738 553 TX 4/ : 5,650 5,700 5,900 226 228 236 US : 50,080 52,140 24,300 2,063 2,152 970 Tangerines : AZ 4/ 6/ : 430 690 500 16 25 19 CA 4/ 6/ : 2,800 2,700 2,900 105 101 109 FL : 5,500 6,500 4,500 261 309 214 US : 8,730 9,890 7,900 382 435 342 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 3,000 3,000 2,400 114 114 91 CA : 24,000 18,000 19,500 912 684 741 US : 27,000 21,000 21,900 1,026 798 832 Tangelos : FL : 2,350 1,000 1,100 105 45 50 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 5/ Includes seedy. 6/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CA : 92.0 77.0 67.0 89.0 75.0 65.0 CO : 92.0 80.0 75.0 70.0 73.0 67.0 ID : 95.0 75.0 80.0 93.0 73.0 78.0 KS : 21.0 12.0 9.0 17.5 11.0 8.5 MI : 270.0 170.0 190.0 265.0 165.0 185.0 MN : 170.0 115.0 115.0 155.0 110.0 100.0 MT : 26.9 13.0 13.0 23.0 12.8 12.8 NE : 185.0 155.0 120.0 165.0 148.0 110.0 NM : 8.5 10.0 6.0 8.5 10.0 6.0 NY : 25.0 25.0 24.0 24.5 24.0 23.5 ND : 790.0 540.0 560.0 690.0 520.0 475.0 OR : 9.8 7.0 6.0 8.5 6.0 5.5 SD : 21.0 8.0 9.0 16.0 7.5 8.9 TX : 37.5 50.0 20.0 32.5 44.0 17.5 UT : 1.8 5.6 5.3 0.3 5.2 4.8 WA : 44.5 27.5 30.0 44.5 27.5 29.0 WI : 7.7 6.0 5.0 7.6 5.9 4.9 WY : 32.0 30.0 25.0 29.0 29.0 24.0 : US : 1,929.7 1,406.1 1,359.3 1,738.9 1,346.9 1,225.4 :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ---------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : CA : 1,980 1,840 2,000 1,762 1,380 1,300 CO : 2,170 1,600 1,900 1,519 1,168 1,273 ID : 2,050 2,050 2,100 1,907 1,497 1,638 KS : 1,600 2,100 1,800 280 231 153 MI : 1,850 1,500 1,700 4,903 2,475 3,145 MN : 1,720 1,700 1,150 2,666 1,870 1,150 MT : 1,600 1,820 2,130 367 233 272 NE : 2,100 2,130 2,160 3,465 3,151 2,376 NM : 1,800 1,860 2,600 153 186 156 NY : 1,360 1,860 1,050 333 446 247 ND : 1,540 1,500 1,000 10,626 7,800 4,750 OR : 1,720 1,650 1,750 146 99 96 SD : 1,630 1,770 1,840 261 133 164 TX : 970 1,170 860 315 513 151 UT : 1,670 310 300 5 16 14 WA : 1,870 1,910 2,100 830 525 609 WI : 1,970 2,100 2,200 150 124 108 WY : 2,150 2,220 2,150 624 645 516 : US : 1,743 1,670 1,479 30,312 22,492 18,118 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Clean Basis. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Large Lima - CA : 19.0 19.6 15.2 18.2 19.0 14.6 : Baby Lima - CA : 21.5 14.5 13.6 21.0 14.1 13.1 : Navy : ID : 5.4 3.1 4.4 5.3 3.0 4.1 MI : 85.0 40.0 55.0 84.0 38.0 54.0 MN : 67.0 36.0 40.0 60.0 35.0 33.0 NE : 2.9 1.0 1.8 2.7 1.0 1.7 ND : 180.0 75.0 81.0 151.0 71.0 67.0 OR : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 SD : 4.0 1.6 1.9 3.9 1.5 1.8 WY : 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.4 : Total : 345.3 158.2 185.1 307.7 150.9 162.5 : Great Northern : ID : 3.1 3.5 2.6 3.0 3.4 2.6 MI : 3.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 MN : 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.2 NE : 77.8 84.2 44.0 67.7 79.1 40.0 ND : 5.8 8.0 2.5 4.9 7.8 2.3 WA : 1.5 0.9 1.5 0.9 WY : 2.0 3.5 1.0 1.6 3.4 0.9 : Total : 94.4 109.4 51.1 82.7 103.8 46.8 : Small White : ID : 2.0 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.8 2.1 OR : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 WA : 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.7 : Total : 3.3 2.7 2.8 3.2 2.6 2.8 : Pinto : CA : 0.5 0.5 CO : 76.0 69.0 65.0 57.0 64.0 59.0 ID : 35.8 29.0 26.2 35.0 28.2 25.8 KS : 19.0 12.0 9.0 16.0 11.0 8.5 MI : 9.5 11.0 7.0 9.5 10.5 6.5 MN : 25.0 21.0 18.0 23.0 20.0 16.0 MT : 13.5 9.7 10.8 12.9 9.7 10.6 NE : 80.7 50.0 57.0 76.0 48.5 52.0 NM : 8.5 10.0 6.0 8.5 10.0 6.0 ND : 515.0 410.0 415.0 460.0 397.0 354.0 OR : 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.3 1.5 1.8 SD : 3.2 1.9 2.2 2.8 1.8 2.2 TX : 5.5 1.0 4.5 0.5 UT : 1.8 5.6 5.3 0.3 5.2 4.8 WA : 10.5 7.0 5.5 10.5 7.0 5.2 WY : 27.0 24.5 22.5 25.0 23.8 21.8 : Total : 832.3 663.9 651.4 742.3 639.2 574.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2002-2004 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- -------- 1,000 Cwt ------- : Large Lima - CA : 1,840 1,940 2,270 334 369 331 : Baby Lima - CA : 2,390 2,300 2,290 501 325 300 : Navy : ID : 2,250 2,370 2,390 119 71 98 MI : 1,930 1,560 1,800 1,620 592 970 MN : 1,880 1,750 1,000 1,128 612 330 NE : 2,520 2,300 2,400 68 23 41 ND : 1,550 1,640 970 2,340 1,164 650 OR : 1,600 2,000 8 10 SD : 2,460 1,600 1,830 96 24 33 WY : 2,250 2,220 2,250 18 20 9 : Total : 1,751 1,666 1,318 5,389 2,514 2,141 : Great Northern : ID : 2,170 2,320 2,230 65 79 58 MI : 2,000 1,680 1,600 60 134 16 MN : 1,200 2,080 12 25 NE : 1,900 2,200 2,070 1,286 1,743 827 ND : 1,510 1,760 1,260 74 137 29 WA : 2,200 2,220 33 20 WY : 1,750 2,300 2,220 28 78 20 : Total : 1,884 2,135 2,030 1,558 2,216 950 : Small White : ID : 2,000 2,170 2,380 38 39 50 OR : 2,400 2,000 12 10 WA : 2,250 2,000 2,290 18 6 16 : Total : 2,125 2,115 2,357 68 55 66 : Pinto : CA : 1,200 6 CO : 2,250 1,610 1,910 1,282 1,031 1,126 ID : 2,380 2,300 2,300 833 649 593 KS : 1,600 2,100 1,800 256 231 153 MI : 1,930 1,430 1,710 183 150 111 MN : 1,400 1,650 1,000 322 329 160 MT : 2,250 2,150 2,300 290 209 244 NE : 2,250 2,100 2,300 1,709 1,019 1,196 NM : 1,800 1,860 2,600 153 186 156 ND : 1,560 1,480 1,010 7,184 5,864 3,573 OR : 2,310 2,000 1,830 30 30 33 SD : 2,610 2,110 2,500 73 38 55 TX : 640 1,600 29 8 UT : 1,670 310 300 5 16 14 WA : 2,810 2,300 2,940 295 161 153 WY : 2,180 2,210 2,140 544 526 467 : Total : 1,777 1,635 1,399 13,188 10,453 8,034 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Clean Basis. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Light Red : Kidney : CA : 6.0 5.0 4.7 6.0 4.9 4.6 CO : 10.0 7.0 6.0 8.0 6.0 5.0 ID : 1.3 1.0 1.8 1.3 1.0 1.8 MI : 15.0 16.0 15.0 14.5 15.5 14.5 MN : 7.6 10.0 7.3 7.4 9.4 6.9 NE : 14.0 14.0 9.0 13.7 13.9 8.7 NY : 15.0 14.1 12.0 14.7 13.4 11.6 WA : 1.5 1.5 : Total : 70.4 67.1 55.8 67.1 64.1 53.1 : Dark Red : Kidney : CA : 2.5 0.9 1.3 2.5 0.9 1.3 ID : 1.4 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.9 1.5 MI : 8.5 9.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 6.5 MN : 42.0 27.0 30.0 39.0 26.0 26.4 NY : 2.0 1.1 1.5 2.0 1.1 1.5 ND : 7.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.6 4.7 WI : 7.7 6.0 5.0 7.6 5.9 4.9 : Total : 71.1 49.9 51.4 65.6 48.4 46.8 : Pink : CA : 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.5 ID : 10.8 10.6 11.0 10.6 10.3 10.8 MN : 8.9 8.5 6.2 8.6 8.0 5.9 ND : 9.0 8.5 6.8 7.8 7.7 6.4 WA : 6.1 4.3 5.0 6.1 4.3 4.9 : Total : 34.8 32.8 29.5 33.1 31.2 28.5 : Small Red : ID : 10.7 9.0 8.4 10.5 8.8 8.2 MI : 11.0 19.0 15.5 11.0 19.0 15.0 MN : 2.8 1.5 1.6 2.5 1.3 1.4 ND : 4.7 4.4 WA : 6.4 3.7 3.0 6.4 3.7 2.9 : Total : 30.9 33.2 33.2 30.4 32.8 31.9 : Cranberry : CA : 1.7 1.5 2.2 1.7 1.5 2.2 ID : 2.5 1.9 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.6 MI : 20.0 12.0 9.5 19.0 12.0 9.0 : Total : 24.2 15.4 13.6 23.2 15.4 12.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2002-2004 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ------- 1,000 Cwt ------ : Light Red : Kidney : CA : 1,270 1,390 1,390 76 68 64 CO : 2,030 1,430 1,800 162 86 90 ID : 1,920 1,700 2,330 25 17 42 MI : 1,790 1,540 1,460 260 239 212 MN : 2,050 1,490 1,700 152 140 117 NE : 2,300 2,100 2,000 315 292 174 NY : 1,300 1,890 1,100 191 253 128 WA : 1,730 26 : Total : 1,799 1,708 1,557 1,207 1,095 827 : Dark Red : Kidney : CA : 1,640 1,780 1,690 41 16 22 ID : 1,860 1,670 2,200 26 15 33 MI : 1,630 1,330 1,230 130 120 80 MN : 1,780 1,850 1,350 694 480 356 NY : 1,350 1,820 1,000 27 20 15 ND : 1,330 1,520 1,380 68 70 65 WI : 1,970 2,100 2,200 150 124 108 : Total : 1,732 1,746 1,451 1,136 845 679 : Pink : CA : 1,000 1,600 9 8 ID : 2,080 2,370 2,390 220 244 258 MN : 1,650 1,600 1,200 142 128 71 ND : 1,590 1,690 1,220 124 130 78 WA : 1,800 2,350 2,240 110 101 110 : Total : 1,801 1,962 1,842 596 612 525 : Small Red : ID : 2,150 2,270 2,340 226 200 192 MI : 1,890 1,470 1,740 208 280 261 MN : 1,120 1,150 930 28 15 13 ND : 1,230 54 WA : 2,030 2,320 2,790 130 86 81 : Total : 1,947 1,771 1,884 592 581 601 : Cranberry : CA : 1,350 1,670 1,590 23 25 35 ID : 1,840 1,210 1,690 46 23 27 MI : 1,530 1,180 1,440 290 142 130 : Total : 1,547 1,234 1,500 359 190 192 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Clean Basis. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :------------------------------------------------------------ State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Black : CA : 0.4 1.0 0.4 1.0 ID : 4.0 1.3 3.1 3.9 1.3 2.9 MI : 110.0 45.0 74.0 108.0 43.0 73.0 MN : 11.9 4.9 7.2 10.3 4.6 6.0 NE : 2.3 1.0 2.5 2.1 1.0 2.3 NY : 6.0 8.2 9.0 5.8 7.9 8.9 ND : 60.0 22.0 39.0 51.0 21.0 31.2 WA : 2.5 1.5 2.6 2.5 1.5 2.6 : Total : 196.7 84.3 138.4 183.6 80.7 127.9 : Blackeye : CA : 12.6 16.5 10.3 12.4 16.1 10.1 TX : 22.0 34.0 18.5 20.0 30.0 16.0 : Total : 34.6 50.5 28.8 32.4 46.1 26.1 : Small Chickpeas 3/ : (Garbanzo, Smaller : than 20/64 in.) : CA : ID : 1.6 2.8 1.6 2.8 MT : 2.1 0.5 2.0 0.5 NE : ND : 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 OR : SD : 1.0 1.3 0.8 1.3 WA : 0.3 0.3 : Total : 6.0 5.6 5.6 5.4 : Large Chickpeas 3/: (Garbanzo, Larger : than 20/64 in) : CA : 9.7 7.0 9.4 6.7 ID : 9.4 11.7 9.0 11.5 MT : 1.1 1.7 1.0 1.7 NE : 2.2 1.0 2.0 0.9 ND : 4.0 2.5 3.8 2.1 OR : 2.4 2.3 2.0 2.2 SD : 0.8 2.5 0.7 2.5 WA : 7.9 9.8 7.9 9.7 : Total : 37.5 38.5 35.8 37.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2002-2004 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ and :------------------------------------------------------------ State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ : Black : CA : 1,750 1,500 7 15 ID : 1,950 1,920 1,970 76 25 57 MI : 1,880 1,580 1,770 2,030 680 1,290 MN : 1,350 1,700 950 139 78 57 NE : 1,810 2,000 2,000 38 20 46 NY : 1,570 1,800 1,040 91 142 93 ND : 1,350 1,320 800 689 277 250 WA : 2,280 2,270 2,580 57 34 67 : Total : 1,699 1,565 1,466 3,120 1,263 1,875 : Blackeye : CA : 2,520 2,450 2,330 313 395 235 TX : 1,150 1,300 900 230 390 144 : Total : 1,676 1,703 1,452 543 785 379 : Small Chickpeas 3/ : (Garbanzo, Smaller : than 20/64 in.) : CA : ID : 1,000 1,250 16 35 MT : 900 800 18 4 NE : ND : 1,560 750 14 6 OR : SD : 1,130 1,460 9 19 WA : 1,000 3 : Total : 1,071 1,185 60 64 : Large Chickpeas 3/ : (Garbanzo, Larger : than 20/64 in) : CA : 900 1,790 85 120 ID : 900 1,250 81 144 MT : 400 1,410 4 24 NE : 700 890 14 8 ND : 1,580 1,140 60 24 OR : 1,200 1,680 24 37 SD : 1,140 1,280 8 32 WA : 1,020 1,180 81 114 : Total : 997 1,349 357 503 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Clean Basis. 3/ Estimates began in 2003. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Chickpeas, All : (Garbanzo) : CA : 18.5 9.7 7.0 18.0 9.4 6.7 ID : 17.0 11.0 14.5 16.6 10.6 14.3 MT : 12.7 3.2 2.2 9.6 3.0 2.2 NE : 2.2 1.0 2.0 0.9 ND : 8.6 5.0 3.5 6.2 4.7 2.9 OR : 4.0 2.4 2.3 3.5 2.0 2.2 SD : 10.3 1.8 3.8 5.8 1.5 3.8 WA : 14.4 8.2 9.8 14.4 8.2 9.7 : Total : 85.5 43.5 44.1 74.1 41.4 42.7 : Other : CA : 10.2 7.5 11.2 9.2 7.3 10.9 CO : 6.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 ID : 1.0 1.8 2.4 1.0 1.8 2.3 KS : 2.0 1.5 MI : 8.0 10.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 5.5 MN : 3.6 4.8 4.7 3.2 4.5 4.4 MT : 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.1 NE : 7.3 2.6 4.7 2.8 2.5 4.4 NY : 2.0 1.6 1.5 2.0 1.6 1.5 ND : 4.6 6.5 2.5 4.0 6.2 2.1 OR : 4.0 1.9 1.3 3.2 1.5 1.0 SD : 3.5 2.7 1.1 3.5 2.7 1.1 TX : 10.0 15.0 1.5 8.0 13.5 1.5 WA : 0.8 1.6 3.4 0.8 1.6 3.0 WY : 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.6 0.9 0.9 : Total : 65.7 61.1 45.3 54.3 57.2 41.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2002-2004 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ and :------------------------------------------------------------ State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ----- 1,000 Cwt ----- : Chickpeas, All : (Garbanzo) : CA : 1,600 900 1,790 288 85 120 ID : 1,280 920 1,250 212 97 179 MT : 760 730 1,270 73 22 28 NE : 700 890 14 8 ND : 1,470 1,570 1,030 91 74 30 OR : 770 1,200 1,680 27 24 37 SD : 430 1,130 1,340 25 17 51 WA : 1,010 1,020 1,180 145 84 114 : Total : 1,162 1,007 1,328 861 417 567 : Other : CA : 2,020 1,030 1,560 186 75 170 CO : 1,500 1,700 1,900 75 51 57 ID : 2,100 2,110 2,220 21 38 51 KS : 1,600 24 MI : 1,530 1,380 1,360 122 138 75 MN : 1,530 1,400 1,050 49 63 46 MT : 700 2,000 4 2 NE : 1,750 1,600 1,910 49 40 84 NY : 1,200 1,940 730 24 31 11 ND : 1,400 1,350 1,000 56 84 21 OR : 2,420 1,800 1,600 77 27 16 SD : 1,910 2,000 2,270 67 54 25 TX : 700 850 470 56 115 7 WA : 2,000 2,060 2,270 16 33 68 WY : 2,130 2,330 2,220 34 21 20 : Total : 1,584 1,350 1,565 860 772 651 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Clean Basis. Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2002-2003 and Forecasted December 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds Improved Varieties 1/ : AL : 4,000 7,000 950 AZ : 16,000 22,500 13,000 AR 2/ : 1,200 1,400 1,300 CA 2/ : 3,800 3,700 3,400 FL 2/ : 500 500 200 GA : 42,000 60,000 35,000 LA : 2,000 4,000 2,000 MS 2/ : 2,100 4,800 700 NM : 36,000 55,000 37,000 NC 2/ : 1,500 2,200 600 OK : 1,500 1,500 4,000 SC 2/ : 120 3,300 1,500 TX : 20,000 37,000 28,000 : US : 130,720 202,900 127,650 : Native & Seedling : AL : 1,000 1,000 50 AR 2/ : 500 2,400 900 FL 2/ : 900 1,600 300 GA : 3,000 15,000 5,000 KS 2/ : 2,900 2,000 2,500 LA : 4,000 16,000 6,000 MS 2/ : 900 2,200 300 NC 2/ : 400 300 100 OK : 8,500 4,500 22,000 SC 2/ : 80 1,200 500 TX : 20,000 33,000 12,000 : US : 42,180 79,200 49,650 : All Pecans : AL : 5,000 8,000 1,000 AZ : 16,000 22,500 13,000 AR 2/ : 1,700 3,800 2,200 CA 2/ : 3,800 3,700 3,400 FL 2/ : 1,400 2,100 500 GA : 45,000 75,000 40,000 KS 2/ : 2,900 2,000 2,500 LA : 6,000 20,000 8,000 MS 2/ : 3,000 7,000 1,000 NM : 36,000 55,000 37,000 NC 2/ : 1,900 2,500 700 OK : 10,000 6,000 26,000 SC 2/ : 200 4,500 2,000 TX : 40,000 70,000 40,000 : US : 172,900 282,100 177,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use, State, and United States, 2003 and Forecasted December 1, 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Use : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2004 : : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : : : : Nov 1 : Dec 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Tons --------- -- 1,000 Tons -- : For Sugar : FL : 419.0 405.0 39.3 36.0 16,467 14,580 HI : 19.9 22.5 102.0 98.0 2,030 2,205 LA : 450.0 440.0 26.2 24.0 11,790 10,560 TX : 41.7 40.8 39.7 37.0 1,655 1,510 : US : 930.6 908.3 34.3 31.8 31,942 28,855 : For Seed : FL : 19.0 15.0 40.2 36.0 764 540 HI : 1.4 1.6 37.3 37.0 52 59 LA : 40.0 35.0 26.2 24.0 1,048 840 TX : 1.3 1.5 40.2 37.0 52 56 : US : 61.7 53.1 31.1 28.2 1,916 1,495 : For Sugar : and Seed : FL : 438.0 420.0 39.3 36.0 36.0 17,231 15,120 HI : 21.3 24.1 97.7 94.0 93.9 2,082 2,264 LA : 490.0 475.0 26.2 24.0 24.0 12,838 11,400 TX : 43.0 42.3 39.7 37.0 37.0 1,707 1,566 : US : 992.3 961.4 34.1 31.6 31.6 33,858 30,350 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Coffee: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Hawaii 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- :2002-03:2003-04:2004-05:2002-03:2003-04:2004-05:2002-03:2003-04:2004-05 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Acres ------- ------- Pounds ------ ---- 1,000 Pounds --- : HI : 5,900 5,900 5,800 1,270 1,410 1,220 7,500 8,300 7,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Parchment basis. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 5,348.0 4,527.0 4,727.0 4,021.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 78,736.0 80,968.0 71,139.0 73,311.0 Corn for Silage : 6,528.0 Hay, All : 63,342.0 61,589.0 Alfalfa : 23,578.0 22,226.0 All Other : 39,764.0 39,363.0 Oats : 4,597.0 4,085.0 2,220.0 1,792.0 Proso Millet : 730.0 720.0 620.0 Rice : 3,022.0 3,364.0 2,997.0 3,334.0 Rye : 1,348.0 1,380.0 319.0 320.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 9,420.0 7,528.0 7,798.0 6,559.0 Sorghum for Silage : 343.0 Wheat, All : 62,141.0 59,674.0 53,063.0 49,999.0 Winter : 45,384.0 43,350.0 36,753.0 34,462.0 Durum : 2,915.0 2,561.0 2,869.0 2,363.0 Other Spring : 13,842.0 13,763.0 13,441.0 13,174.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,082.0 868.0 1,068.0 832.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 595.0 629.0 583.0 608.0 Mustard Seed : 110.0 68.5 107.0 65.9 Peanuts : 1,344.0 1,429.0 1,312.0 1,388.0 Rapeseed : 1.3 11.8 1.2 11.4 Safflower : 221.0 142.0 212.0 133.0 Soybeans for Beans : 73,404.0 75,065.0 72,476.0 73,990.0 Sunflower : 2,344.0 1,864.0 2,197.0 1,780.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,479.6 13,763.0 12,003.4 13,223.0 Upland : 13,301.0 13,508.0 11,826.0 12,970.0 Amer-Pima : 178.6 255.0 177.4 253.0 Sugarbeets : 1,365.4 1,349.8 1,347.9 1,326.0 Sugarcane : 992.3 961.4 Tobacco : 411.2 409.6 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 21.1 30.5 15.6 21.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,406.1 1,359.3 1,346.9 1,225.4 Dry Edible Peas : 337.5 527.0 328.5 500.8 Lentils : 246.0 345.0 237.0 322.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.9 5.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 0.2 Hops : 28.7 28.0 Peppermint Oil : 78.2 Potatoes, All : 1,272.6 1,194.7 1,248.6 1,169.8 Winter : 14.6 18.7 14.3 18.5 Spring : 88.6 73.5 84.7 71.7 Summer : 63.4 58.8 58.7 55.1 Fall : 1,106.0 1,043.7 1,090.9 1,024.5 Spearmint Oil : 15.8 Sweet Potatoes : 95.8 99.1 92.6 96.3 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 58.9 69.4 278,283 279,253 Corn for Grain : " : 142.2 160.2 10,113,887 11,740,920 Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.2 105,864 Hay, All : " : 2.48 2.69 157,123 165,920 Alfalfa : " : 3.24 3.48 76,307 77,371 All Other : " : 2.03 2.25 80,816 88,549 Oats : Bu : 65.0 64.7 144,383 115,935 Proso Millet : " : 18.5 11,450 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,645 6,828 199,157 227,650 Rye : Bu : 27.1 26.9 8,634 8,615 Sorghum for Grain : " : 52.7 71.9 411,237 471,572 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 10.4 3,552 Wheat, All : Bu : 44.2 43.2 2,344,760 2,158,245 Winter : " : 46.7 43.5 1,716,721 1,499,434 Durum : " : 33.7 38.0 96,637 89,893 Other Spring : " : 39.5 43.2 531,402 568,918 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,416 1,517 1,512,250 1,261,820 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 6,664.6 8,344.0 Flaxseed : Bu : 17.9 10,426 Mustard Seed : Lb : 723 77,372 Peanuts : " : 3,159 3,027 4,144,150 4,201,350 Rapeseed : " : 949 1,139 Safflower : " : 1,286 272,555 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 33.9 42.6 2,453,665 3,150,441 Sunflower : Lb : 1,213 1,346 2,665,226 2,395,199 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 730 828 18,255.2 22,815.0 Upland 2/ : " : 723 818 17,822.9 22,095.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,170 1,366 432.3 720.0 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.7 22.4 30,583 29,765 Sugarcane : " : 34.1 31.6 33,858 30,350 Tobacco : Lb : 1,952 2,156 802,654 883,168 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,115 1,265 174 272 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,670 1,479 22,492 18,118 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,584 2,163 5,202 10,831 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,030 1,268 2,442 4,084 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 673 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,410 1,220 8,300 7,100 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 37,500 40,000 6,000 6,000 Hops : " : 1,903 1,982 54,565.1 55,537.9 Peppermint Oil : " : 89 6,924 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 367 385 457,814 450,168 Winter : " : 282 260 4,027 4,818 Spring : " : 288 266 24,433 19,077 Summer : " : 320 336 18,766 18,487 Fall : " : 376 398 410,588 407,786 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 113 1,778 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 172 15,891 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 5,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2003-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,063 2,152 970 Lemons : " : 1,026 798 832 Oranges : " : 11,545 12,930 9,982 Tangelos (FL) : " : 105 45 50 Tangerines : " : 382 435 342 Temples (FL) : " : 59 63 36 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 8,613.3 9,458.9 Apricots : Ton : 97.6 95.6 Bananas (HI) : Lb : 22,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,572.7 6,073.0 Olives (CA) : " : 118.0 85.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 42,600.0 Peaches : Ton : 1,259.5 1,299.2 Pears : Ton : 928.1 908.0 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 181.0 70.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 16.3 24.5 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 1,040,000 1,080,000 Hazelnuts (OR) : Ton : 37.9 44.0 Pecans : Lb : 282,100 177,300 Pistachios (CA) 3/ : " : 119,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 326.0 325.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,260 1,507 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2004-05 season. 2/ Production years are 2002-03, 2003-2004, and 2004-2005. 3/ September 1 forecast discontinued in 2004. Preliminary production estimate will be published in the "Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts 2004 Preliminary Summary" to be released on January 25, 2005. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2003-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 2,164,280 1,832,030 1,912,970 1,627,260 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,863,670 32,766,940 28,789,240 29,668,230 Corn for Silage : 2,641,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,633,870 24,924,450 Alfalfa : 9,541,780 8,994,640 All Other : 16,092,090 15,929,810 Oats : 1,860,360 1,653,160 898,410 725,200 Proso Millet : 295,420 291,380 250,910 Rice : 1,222,970 1,361,380 1,212,860 1,349,240 Rye : 545,520 558,470 129,100 129,500 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,812,180 3,046,510 3,155,770 2,654,360 Sorghum for Silage : 138,810 Wheat, All 3/ :25,147,840 24,149,470 21,474,070 20,234,100 Winter :18,366,450 17,543,310 14,873,570 13,946,430 Durum : 1,179,670 1,036,410 1,161,060 956,280 Other Spring : 5,601,720 5,569,750 5,439,440 5,331,390 : Oilseeds : Canola : 437,870 351,270 432,210 336,700 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 240,790 254,550 235,930 246,050 Mustard Seed : 44,520 27,720 43,300 26,670 Peanuts : 543,900 578,300 530,950 561,710 Rapeseed : 530 4,780 490 4,610 Safflower : 89,440 57,470 85,790 53,820 Soybeans for Beans :29,705,860 30,378,050 29,330,310 29,943,010 Sunflower : 948,590 754,340 889,100 720,350 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,455,060 5,569,750 4,857,660 5,351,220 Upland : 5,382,780 5,466,550 4,785,860 5,248,830 Amer-Pima : 72,280 103,200 71,790 102,390 Sugarbeets : 552,560 546,250 545,480 536,620 Sugarcane : 401,570 389,070 Tobacco : 166,390 165,770 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 8,540 12,340 6,310 8,700 Dry Edible Beans : 569,030 550,100 545,080 495,910 Dry Edible Peas : 136,580 213,270 132,940 202,670 Lentils : 99,550 139,620 95,910 130,310 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,390 2,350 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 60 Hops : 11,600 11,340 Peppermint Oil : 31,650 Potatoes, All 3/ : 515,010 483,480 505,300 473,410 Winter : 5,910 7,570 5,790 7,490 Spring : 35,860 29,740 34,280 29,020 Summer : 25,660 23,800 23,760 22,300 Fall : 447,590 422,370 441,480 414,600 Spearmint Oil : 6,390 Sweet Potatoes : 38,770 40,100 37,470 38,970 Taro (HI) 4/ : 170 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2003-2004 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.17 3.74 6,058,900 6,080,020 Corn for Grain : 8.92 10.05 256,904,560 298,233,100 Corn for Silage : 36.35 96,038,210 Hay, All 2/ : 5.56 6.04 142,539,590 150,520,090 Alfalfa : 7.25 7.80 69,224,550 70,189,790 All Other : 4.56 5.04 73,315,040 80,330,300 Oats : 2.33 2.32 2,095,710 1,682,790 Proso Millet : 1.03 259,680 Rice : 7.45 7.65 9,033,610 10,326,030 Rye : 1.70 1.69 219,310 218,830 Sorghum for Grain : 3.31 4.51 10,445,900 11,978,480 Sorghum for Silage : 23.21 3,222,320 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.97 2.90 63,813,910 58,737,800 Winter : 3.14 2.93 46,721,490 40,807,910 Durum : 2.27 2.56 2,630,030 2,446,490 Other Spring : 2.66 2.90 14,462,390 15,483,410 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.59 1.70 685,950 572,350 Cottonseed 3/ : 6,046,020 7,569,550 Flaxseed : 1.12 264,830 Mustard Seed : 0.81 35,100 Peanuts : 3.54 3.39 1,879,750 1,905,700 Rapeseed : 1.06 520 Safflower : 1.44 123,630 Soybeans for Beans : 2.28 2.86 66,777,820 85,740,950 Sunflower : 1.36 1.51 1,208,930 1,086,440 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.82 0.93 3,974,600 4,967,380 Upland : 0.81 0.92 3,880,480 4,810,620 Amer-Pima : 1.31 1.53 94,120 156,760 Sugarbeets : 50.86 50.32 27,744,430 27,002,350 Sugarcane : 76.49 70.77 30,715,460 27,533,060 Tobacco : 2.19 2.42 364,080 400,600 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.25 1.42 7,890 12,340 Dry Edible Beans : 1.87 1.66 1,020,220 821,820 Dry Edible Peas : 1.77 2.42 235,960 491,290 Lentils : 1.15 1.42 110,770 185,250 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 30,530 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.58 1.37 3,760 3,220 Ginger Root (HI) : 42.03 44.83 2,720 2,720 Hops : 2.13 2.22 24,750 25,190 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,140 Potatoes, All 2/ : 41.10 43.13 20,766,100 20,419,280 Winter : 31.56 29.19 182,660 218,540 Spring : 32.33 29.82 1,108,260 865,320 Summer : 35.83 37.61 851,210 838,560 Fall : 42.19 44.61 18,623,960 18,496,860 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 810 Sweet Potatoes : 19.23 720,800 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,270 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2003-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 1,871,520 1,952,260 879,970 Lemons : 930,770 723,930 754,780 Oranges : 10,473,450 11,729,900 9,055,520 Tangelos (FL) : 95,250 40,820 45,360 Tangerines : 346,540 394,630 310,260 Temples (FL) : 53,520 57,150 32,660 : Noncitrus : Apples : 3,906,930 4,290,490 Apricots : 88,520 86,680 Bananas (HI) : 10,210 Grapes : 5,962,680 5,509,330 Olives (CA) : 107,050 77,110 Papayas (HI) : 19,320 Peaches : 1,142,600 1,178,610 Pears : 841,910 823,760 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 164,200 63,500 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 14,790 22,230 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 471,740 489,880 Hazelnuts (OR) : 34,380 39,920 Pecans : 127,960 80,420 Pistachios (CA) 3/ : 53,980 Walnuts (CA) : 295,740 294,840 Maple Syrup : 6,300 7,530 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2004 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2004-05 season. 2/ Production years are 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05. 3/ September 1 forecast discontinued in 2004. Preliminary production estimate will be published in the "Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts 2004 Preliminary Summary" to be released in January 25, 2005. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2004. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, and Selected States, 2000-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 874 747 840 798 864 : Oct : 767 780 763 755 771 : Nov : 755 816 784 744 753 : Dec : 755 756 772 744 754 : Final : 755 756 772 744 : : CA : Sep : 760 939 945 973 954 : Oct : 790 902 1,041 945 952 : Nov : 801 921 1,009 893 945 : Dec : 800 918 1,011 893 948 : Final : 800 918 1,011 893 : : GA : Sep : 597 590 569 559 646 : Oct : 631 677 604 646 690 : Nov : 621 651 591 643 686 : Dec : 629 664 600 665 687 : Final : 629 664 608 664 : : LA : Sep : 722 625 663 681 635 : Oct : 692 592 756 778 707 : Nov : 674 582 749 775 691 : Dec : 674 588 742 775 691 : Final : 674 588 742 775 : : MS : Sep : 657 754 802 837 808 : Oct : 665 696 783 824 789 : Nov : 652 680 768 811 780 : Dec : 650 679 767 808 780 : Final : 650 679 767 808 : : NC : Sep : 670 719 636 628 758 : Oct : 724 722 629 630 719 : Nov : 743 696 560 632 732 : Dec : 747 705 567 632 733 : Final : 747 705 564 632 : : TX : Sep : 408 441 536 465 639 : Oct : 388 435 511 431 672 : Nov : 397 439 520 429 593 : Dec : 404 445 497 435 624 : Final : 448 445 497 433 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. November Weather Summary Incessant precipitation on the southern Plains stressed livestock, threatened open-boll cotton, and limited fieldwork, including cotton, sorghum, and peanut harvesting. Wet weather across the southern Corn Belt and much of the South also hampered fieldwork, including winter wheat planting and final summer crop harvesting. Especially wet conditions prevailed from the western Gulf Coast region to the Delta, where monthly rainfall locally in excess of one foot caused lowland flooding and left standing water in some fields. In contrast, mostly dry weather across the upper Midwest promoted late-season corn and sunflower harvesting. Generally dry conditions also prevailed on the northern High Plains, where mild weather favored winter wheat development, despite limited soil moisture reserves. Elsewhere on the Plains, soil moisture remained adequate to locally excessive in key winter wheat areas. From the Rockies westward, meanwhile, stormy weather in the Great Basin and the Four Corners States contrasted with drier-than-normal conditions in the Northwest. Southwestern storminess continued to provide limited relief from a multi-year drought, but meager high-elevation snowpacks in the northern Rockies became an increasing concern. Late in the month, back-to-back snowstorms disrupted pre-Thanksgiving travel in the Midwest and post-holiday travel from the Intermountain West to the central Plains, respectively. Cool, unsettled weather in the Southwest contrasted with mild, mostly dry weather across the northern Plains and upper Midwest. Monthly temperatures averaged as much as 6 degrees F below normal in southern California, but ranged from 4 to 8 degrees F above normal from Montana to the upper Mississippi Valley. The Southwestern chill was most pronounced toward month's end, when freezes as far south as California's Imperial Valley forced some winter crop producers to take protective measures, including the activation of sprinkler systems, to guard against damage. East of the Rockies, cooler-than-normal weather (as much as 4 degrees F below normal) was confined to the southern High Plains, while near-normal temperatures were observed along the Atlantic Seaboard. Readings generally ranged from 2 to 6 degrees F above normal from the central Gulf Coast region northward to the Great Lakes States. November Agricultural Summary Above-normal temperatures prevailed across most of the Nation. Only in the central and southern High Plains, the Southwest, and parts of the Pacific Northwest did temperatures average below normal. Heavy rainfall severely hampered fieldwork in the southern Great Plains, where summer crop harvest trailed well behind normal. Heavy rainfall also limited fieldwork in the Mississippi Delta and adjacent areas of the Southeast. The southern Atlantic Coast was mostly dry, favoring cotton and peanut harvesting, while moderate precipitation fell in the central and northern Atlantic Coast States. Mostly dry conditions prevailed across the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt, but harvest continued to lag well behind normal due to delayed crop development and maturation. Across the central Corn Belt, corn and soybean harvesting proceeded at a near-normal pace, with only minor delays from moderate rainfall. Snow began to accumulate in the northern and central Rocky Mountains and the Great Basin. Moderate to heavy precipitation fell in the coastal areas of the Pacific Northwest, while the crop-producing areas further inland were mostly dry, allowing winter wheat planting to progress at or near the normal pace. Less than two-thirds of the Nation's corn crop was harvested at the beginning of the month, mostly due to delayed development in the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt. By month's end, harvest had advanced to 95 percent complete, compared with 99 percent for last year and the 5-year average. At that time, harvest was complete in the Southeast and Texas and nearly complete in most other States. However, progress continued to lag behind in the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt. With just 75 percent of their acreage harvested as of November 28, North Dakota growers were over 4 weeks behind their normal pace. Harvest was also 3 weeks behind normal in Minnesota and 2 weeks behind in Wisconsin. The sorghum crop reached 95 percent mature on November 7, two percentage points ahead of last year but 3 points behind the 5-year average. Maturation was at or near completion everywhere except New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. Harvest continued to lag well behind normal during November. At month's end, 85 percent of the acreage had been harvested, 7 points behind last year and 11 points behind normal. Progress was 3 weeks behind normal nationwide and at least 1 week behind in all States, except Arkansas and Louisiana, where harvest was complete before the end of October. Colorado, Kansas, and Missouri growers were 3 weeks behind normal, while Oklahoma and Texas producers trailed their normal harvest pace by 4 weeks. On November 21, ninety-five percent of the winter wheat crop had been planted, 3 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Planting was complete across the Pacific Northwest, Rocky Mountains, and northern and central Great Plains and nearly complete in the Corn Belt. However, in Arkansas and Missouri, just 73 percent of the acreage had been planted, 17 and 22 points behind normal, respectively. Emergence progressed ahead of the normal pace throughout the month. By November 28, ninety-three percent of the crop had emerged, 1 point behind last year but 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. Although emergence trailed 1 week behind normal in Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri, progress was at or ahead of normal in most other States. The soybean harvest continued to trail the normal pace, reaching 95 percent complete on November 21, three points behind last year and the 5-year average. At that time, growers in Iowa, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nebraska, and South Dakota had finished harvesting their crop at or ahead of the normal pace. However, progress was behind normal in most other States, with Kansas, Missouri, and Tennessee producers trailing their normal harvest pace by 10 points. Harvesting of sunflower progressed rapidly during the month. On October 31, just 25 percent of the acreage had been harvested, compared with 89 percent last year and 76 percent for the 5-year average. However, harvest had advanced to 92 percent complete by month's end, just 8 points behind last year and 5 points behind normal. Colorado growers had completed harvesting their acreage ahead of the normal pace, but progress was behind normal across the Great Plains. In Kansas, only 85 percent of the acreage had been harvested, 3 weeks behind normal. Ninety-five percent of the Nation's peanut acreage had been harvested by the end of the month, 3 points behind last year and 2 points behind normal. Harvest was nearly complete across the Southeast, with only Florida growers having fields left to be harvested. In the southern Great Plains, however, harvest was hampered by heavy rainfall and lagged behind normal. Texas producers had harvested just 75 percent of their acreage, compared with 92 percent last year and 85 percent for the average. On November 7, bolls were open on 95 percent of the cotton acreage, 2 points behind last year and 4 points behind normal. Boll opening was complete or nearly completed in all States, except Texas, where only 88 percent of the crop had open bolls, compared with the normal 98 percent. Harvest progressed slowly during the month, advancing just 22 points. By month's end, 75 percent of the acreage was harvested, compared with 83 percent last year and 85 percent for the 5-year average. In the southern Great Plains, harvest was hampered by heavy rainfall and wet conditions, lagging 3 weeks behind normal in Oklahoma and 4 weeks behind in Texas. Harvest also lagged slightly behind normal in the Southwest. However, Louisiana and Mississippi growers had completed harvesting their crops, and progress was slightly ahead of normal across most of the Southeast. The sugarbeet harvest was 96 percent complete on November 7, two points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Harvest was nearly complete in the Red River Valley, where Minnesota and North Dakota growers had harvested 99 percent of their acreage. Harvest was 92 percent complete in Idaho and 86 percent complete in Michigan. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 13.0 million acres, is unchanged from November but 10 percent more than last year. American-Pima harvested area, at 253,000 acres, is also unchanged from last month but up 43 percent from the 2003 harvested acres. In the Southeastern States, growers were able to make significant harvest progress despite isolated thunderstorms. Most gins were operating at or near capacity. Objective yield data show above average boll counts in North Carolina and the highest average boll weight of the previous five years. Delta cotton harvest continued under adverse weather conditions. Lower Delta growers were virtually done with harvest by the end of the month. Producers in the northern region of the Delta encountered more rain showers, which delayed harvest in saturated fields. Boll counts and average boll weights in Mississippi and Louisiana are above the 15-year average. Boll counts in Arkansas are slightly above the 15-year average and boll weights are the highest on record. Texas and Oklahoma experienced rain and snow throughout the month of November which caused harvest delays. By the end of the month, harvest was at least three weeks behind the 5-year average in both States. Some of the producers experienced cotton falling on the ground due to excessive rainfall. Objective yield measurements show Texas boll counts and the average boll weights are the highest in the 15-year data series. Harvest of upland cotton in California was near completion by the end of November despite the cool, wet conditions early in the month. The Arizona harvest was delayed due to frequent scattered showers. Arizona producers are about one week behind their normal harvest pace. Data from objective yield measurements show California boll counts are the second highest in the 15-year data series, surpassed only by 2002. Boll weights are below the 15-year average, but the highest since 1998. American-Pima production is forecast at 720,000 bales, unchanged from the November forecast but 67 percent higher than last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,366 pounds per harvested acre. California growers are expecting a yield of 1,425 pounds. Harvest progressed normally during most of November. Mid-month rains briefly interrupted the harvest in California and central Arizona. Scattered showers toward the end of November slowed the harvest in Arizona, New Mexico, and west Texas. All cotton ginned prior to December 1 totaled 14,722,150 running bales, compared with 13,465,900 running bales ginned by the same date last year and 12,367,650 running bales ginned in 2002. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.67 million pounds for November, down 18 percent from last month and 14 percent lower than a year ago. This is a seasonal production decline as cooler temperatures slow fruit maturation. Area in crop totaled 2,100 acres, unchanged from last month but 5 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,365 acres, unchanged from last month but 14 percent below November 2003. Favorable weather conditions kept orchards in mostly good to fair condition. Soil moisture in non-irrigated orchards has been adequate. Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 18.1 million cwt for 2004, down 3 percent from the October forecast and 19 percent below last year. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.23 million acres, 2 percent below the last forecast and down 9 percent from 2003. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,479 pounds per acre, a decrease of 16 pounds from the October forecast and 191 pounds below a year ago. Production is below a year ago in 12 of the 18 producing States. Most notable is a 39 percent production decrease from last year in both Minnesota and North Dakota where an early frost in mid-August severely damaged the crop. Production is down from a year ago for large lima, baby lima, navy, great northern, pinto, light red kidney, dark red kidney, pink, and blackeye. Production increased from last year for small white, small red, cranberry, black, and small and large chickpeas. Production in North Dakota is forecast at 4.75 million cwt, 39 percent below 2003. The average yield, at 1,000 pounds per acre, is down 500 pounds from last year and harvested acres decreased 9 percent. Yields were down because of the mid-August frost. Harvest was essentially complete by mid-November, a month behind average due to a late maturing crop. In Nebraska, production is forecast at 2.38 million cwt, 25 percent below last year. Harvested acres, at 110,000, is 26 percent below 2003, while yield of 2,160 pounds per acre is 30 pounds above last season. If realized, this yield will be a record high. Irrigation water was adequate and growing conditions were good. Minnesota growers are expecting to produce 1.15 million cwt of dry beans, 39 percent below last year. The average yield, at 1,150 pounds per acre, is down 550 pounds from the previous year. Lower yields are due to frost and very wet conditions in northwest Minnesota. Production in California decreased 6 percent due to a decrease in harvested acres. Heavy rains in late October and early November delayed harvest and drove some operators to abandon some acres. Production in Texas is down 71 percent from last year, New York is down 45 percent, Kansas 34 percent, Wyoming 20 percent, and New Mexico 16 percent. Wisconsin is 13 percent below last year, Utah is 12 percent lower, and Oregon is down 3 percent from a year ago. In Michigan, production is forecast at 3.15 million cwt, up 27 percent from the previous year. The average yield, at 1,700 pounds per acre, increased 200 pounds. Growing conditions were near optimal and harvest was completed ahead of normal. Idaho production is expected to be 9 percent above the previous year at 1.64 million cwt. Wet weather this fall delayed harvest for some farmers. Colorado production, at 1.27 million cwt, is an increase of 9 percent from 2003. Growing conditions in Colorado were good for irrigated acreages but dryland beans were stressed by lack of moisture. Production in South Dakota increased 23 percent, Montana 17 percent, and Washington 16 percent. Grapefruit: The forecast for the 2004-05 U.S. grapefruit crop is 970,000 tons, down 8 percent from the November 1 forecast. Florida's grapefruit forecast is 13.0 million boxes (553,000 tons), down 13 percent from the November forecast and 68 percent lower than last season. The reduction includes decreases of 1 million boxes in both the colored and the white varieties. If realized, this will be the lowest utilization since the 1935-36 season. Final utilization could differ from the forecast, if total fruit loss due to the hurricanes is different than currently projected. The all white grapefruit forecast, at 3.00 million boxes (128,000 tons), is down 25 percent from the November forecast and 81 percent less than last season. Drop rate for white grapefruit has been higher than expected and is now projected at 17 percent. The colored seedless utilization forecast, at 10.0 million boxes (425,000 tons), is down 9 percent from the November forecast and 60 percent less than the 2003-04 season. Fruit size is smaller with the number of fruit required to fill a box now projected at 96, up from 88 used in the previous forecast. Fruit drop rate has also increased more than expected, and the percent of loss to harvest is now projected at 18 percent. Arizona, California, and Texas grapefruit production forecasts are carried over from October. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast, at 1.10 million boxes (50,000 tons), is down 21 percent from November 1 but 10 percent more than last season's utilized production. Fruit size is smaller and drop rate is higher than projected in November. These two factors are included in the forecast model and contribute to this month's downward adjustment. Tangerines: The December 1 tangerine crop forecast, at 342,000 tons, is down 3 percent from the November forecast and 21 percent below last season's utilization of 435,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 4.50 million boxes (214,000 tons), down 4 percent from the November forecast and 31 percent lower than last season's utilization. The decrease is in the early variety tangerines. Fallglo harvest is complete. Sunburst harvest is underway for the holiday season with commercial, gift fruit, and fundraising shipments. Late Honey variety average fruit size ties with the second smallest in the last 10 years. The droppage rate forecast, at 40 percent, is slightly above average. Arizona and California tangerine production forecasts are carried over from October. Temples: Florida's Temples December 1 forecast, at 800,000 boxes (36,000 tons) for the 2004-05 season, is unchanged from November but 43 percent below last season's final utilization of 1.40 million boxes. Fruit drop rates continue as projected in the November forecast, however, fruit size is smaller but not severely enough to alter the forecast. Florida Citrus: Florida's citrus areas had warm and dry weather over the entire month of November. Temperatures were mostly at or above average. Several weak weather fronts passed through the State bringing slightly cooler temperatures. Rainfall was at or below average levels all month with limited showers ahead of the cool fronts. While lakes and canals remain generally above normal levels, surface soil moisture is mostly depleted following the dry weather of October and November. Growers are irrigating on irregular schedules to maintain moisture around the tree roots and to maintain tree vigor. Many trees in areas affected by the hurricanes continue to look battered but show new leaves. Harvest began in October and increased during November. Early orange varieties, including Navels and Hamlins, Sunburst tangerines, white and colored grapefruit, and tangelos are being shipped fresh. Harvest of Ambersweet oranges and Fallglow tangerines is complete. Several processors opened to receive eliminations in October and others opened in late November to start receiving field run oranges. Growers continue with clean up operations in groves where trees were blown over by the hurricanes and with normal fall cultural practices. California Citrus: Citrus growers continued applications of fungicides and pre-emergent herbicides. Citrus crops harvested included Navel oranges, Oro Blanco and Melo Gold grapefruit, lemons, and pummelos. Harvesting in some areas was slowed by cold weather conditions throughout November. However, the cooler weather caused rind color to improve significantly in Navels. Splits were the major quality problem with harvested Navels. Some Valencia orange groves are being pulled and replaced with clementines, mandarins, and tangerines. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted cultural activities that included pruning, cultivating, and spraying of trees and vines. Growers removed old or non-productive orchards and grafted new varieties onto established trees. Harvest of table grapes ended in most locations by the middle of November. With the completion of the table grape harvest, growers began to add soil amendments and prune vines in most locations. Some growers were pushing out, stacking, and burning old vines. Application of pre-emergent herbicides continued in both tree fruit orchards and grape vineyards. Harvesting of pomegranates, kiwifruit, and Fuya and Hachiya persimmons continued, with good yields reported in kiwifruit and pomegranate orchards. Quince was harvested in Tulare County. Strawberries were harvested in the San Joaquin Valley. The olive harvest was complete in most locations by mid-month. Growers began pruning activities in olive orchards. The Zutano avocado harvest commenced during the end of November. Growers continued pruning and brush clearing activities in nut orchards with many of these orchards also being treated with pre-emergent herbicides. Almond and walnut harvesting in orchards with nuts on the ground was nearly complete, but there were still many stockpiled nuts to be hulled and shelled. Pistachios and pecans were harvested. Pecans: Utilized production is forecast at 177 million pounds (in-shell basis), down 6 percent from the October 1 forecast and 37 percent below last year's crop. Improved varieties are expected to produce 128 million pounds or 72 percent of the total, while the Native and seedling varieties make up the difference. Since October, Texas and Oklahoma have experienced above average rainfall, resulting in harvest delays and lost or damaged nuts. These two States account for the 6 percent decrease from the October forecast. The current U.S. crop is expected to be lower than last year's mainly due to the alternate bearing pattern typical of pecans. In addition to being a low year in this cycle, the Southeastern States noted high disease pressure early in the growing season caused by excessive rainfall, followed by widespread damage to trees and nuts due to the hurricanes and tropical storms in August and September. Western growing areas reported some drought and insect concerns, but overall a good, low year crop. The Georgia production forecast is 40.0 million pounds, unchanged from October, but 47 percent below last year and down 11 percent from the last low crop in 2002. The Texas production forecast, at 40.0 million pounds, is 20 percent below the October forecast and down 43 percent from the 2003 crop. Growers in Texas' coastal areas reported scab caused by excessive rain, while growing conditions in other parts of the State were generally better. Above average rainfall since October has reduced this year's crop potential since the initial forecast. New Mexico's forecast of 37.0 million pounds is unchanged from October. This represents a 33 percent decrease from last year but a 3 percent increase from two years ago. Oklahoma forecasts a 26.0 million-pound pecan crop, down 7 percent from October. If realized, this forecast is still more than 4 times larger than last year's crop of 6.00 million pounds and more than double the 2002 crop. The decreased production forecast from October is mostly attributed to less-than-ideal harvest conditions and lost nuts due to excess rainfall. Production in Arizona is forecast at 13.0 million pounds, unchanged from October, but 42 percent below last year and 19 percent less than two years ago. The Louisiana forecast of 8.00 million pounds is also unchanged from October. If realized, Louisiana pecan production is down 60 percent from last year but 33 percent higher than the 2002 hurricane-damaged crop. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2004 is forecast at 30.4 million tons, unchanged from the November forecast but 10 percent below 2003. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 961,400 acres for sugar and seed during the 2004 crop year, the same as November but 3 percent less than last year's revised harvested area of 992,300 acres. Yield is forecast at 31.6 tons per acre, unchanged from the previous forecast but 2.5 tons below the revised 2003 yield of 34.1 tons per acre. In Florida, mild conditions allowed harvest to proceed normally. Louisiana's yield forecast of 24.0 tons per acre, if realized, would be the lowest since 1993, when growers harvested 22.8 tons per acre. Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 7.10 million pounds (parchment basis) for the 2004-05 season, down14 percent from the previous crop year. Harvested area is estimated at 5,800 acres, down 2 percent from the 2003-04 season. Coffee production from the islands of Kauai, Maui, Molokai, and Oahu is forecast at 4.10 million pounds for the 2004-05 season, down 5 percent from last season. Hawaii island is forecast to harvest 3.00 million pounds, down 25 percent from the previous season. Heavy spring rains and windy conditions hampered flower survival and slowed fruit development in the Kona area. A wet winter is expected to result in a smaller crop but prolonged harvest season. Reliability of December 1 Crop Production Forecast Cotton Survey Procedures: Objective yield surveys were conducted between November 24 and December 1 to gather information on expected yields as of December 1. The objective yield survey for cotton was conducted in producing States that usually account for approximately 75 percent of the U.S. production. At crop maturity, the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the December 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 79 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Cotton Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield estimates for cotton were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. For cotton, reports from cotton ginners in each State were also considered. Each cotton State Statistical Office submits their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published December 1 forecast. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida State Statistical Office submits its analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analyses to prepare the published December 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. The December 1 orange production forecasts for these three States are carried forward from October. Revision Policy: The December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. For cotton, a new estimate will be made in January followed by end-of-season revisions in May. Administrative records are reviewed and revisions are made, if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made, if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. For oranges, the December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits Summary released in September. The production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the December 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the December 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 cotton production forecast is 1.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current cotton production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.7 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.9 percent. Changes between the December 1 cotton forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 210,000 bales, ranging from 26,000 to 479,000 bales. The December 1 forecast for cotton has been below the final estimate 10 times and above 10 times. The difference does not imply that the December 1 forecasts this year are likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 orange production forecast is 8.2 percent. However, if you exclude the five freeze seasons, the "Root Mean Square Error" is 4.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 8.2 percent or 4.1 percent, excluding freeze seasons. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 14.2 percent or 7.3 percent, excluding freeze seasons. Changes between the December 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 529,000 tons (361,000 tons, excluding freezes), ranging from 1,000 tons to 2.01 million tons (1,000 tons to 752,000 tons, excluding freezes). The December 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times (below 8 times and above 7 times, excluding freeze seasons). The difference does not imply that the December 1 forecasts this year are likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Dennis Koong - Hay, Oats, Sorghum (202) 690-3234 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. 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