Cr Pr 2-2 (5-05) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released May 12, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Up 6 Percent from 2004 All Orange Production Unchanged from April Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.59 billion bushels, up 6 percent from 2004. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 45.4 bushels per acre, 1.9 bushels more than last year. Grain area totals 35.1 million acres, up 2 percent from last season. Hard Red production is up 18 percent from a year ago to 1.01 billion bushels. Soft Red is down 21 percent and totals 302 million bushels. White production totals 283 million bushels, up 7 percent from a year ago. Of the White production total, 31.2 million bushels are Hard White and 251 million bushels are Soft White. This is the first year that production levels for Hard White and Soft White are available; therefore, there are no previous year comparisons. The U.S. all orange May 1 forecast for the 2004-05 season is 9.19 million tons, unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 29 percent below last season's final utilization. Florida's all orange forecast, at 151 million boxes (6.80 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 38 percent below the previous season. The early and midseason forecast in Florida is 79.2 million boxes (3.56 million tons), unchanged from last month but 37 percent below the previous season. Harvest of the early and midseason varieties is complete, making this the smallest early-mid-navels crop since the 1989-90 season. Florida's Valencia forecast is 72.0 million boxes (3.24 million tons), unchanged from the April forecast but 38 percent below last season's final utilization. In most seasons, harvest is beyond the halfway point by May 1, however, the row count survey conducted April 27-28 indicated only 45 percent of the Valencia rows have been harvested. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried over from April 1. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2004-05 season is increased from 1.58 to 1.60 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The early-midseason portion is final at 1.53 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is raised from 1.66 to 1.71 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume that the processing relationship this year will be similar to those of the past several years. This report was approved on May 12, 2005. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Grains & Hay Hay Stocks. . . . . . . . . . 6 Wheat, By Class . . . . . . . 5 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . 5 Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . 4 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . .16 Cumulative Boll Counts . .19 Harvest Loss per Acre. . .18 Cottonseed. . . . . . . . . .18 Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Tobacco by Class and Type.10 Tobacco by Farm Marketings14 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Almonds . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Bananas . . . . . . . . . . .15 Guavas. . . . . . . . . . . .15 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . .15 Peaches . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Taro. . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Citrus Fruits Grapefruit. . . . . . . . . . 7 Lemons. . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Tangelos. . . . . . . . . . . 7 Tangerines. . . . . . . . . . 7 Temples . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Potatoes. . . . . . . . . . . 8 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . .30 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . .20 Information Contacts . . . . . .37 Reliability of Production Data in this Report35 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . .26 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . .28 Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted May 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -- Bushels -- -------- 1,000 Bushels -------- : AR : 620 185 53.0 48.0 28,500 32,860 8,880 CA : 320 265 85.0 76.0 25,010 27,200 20,140 CO : 1,700 2,450 27.0 35.0 77,000 45,900 85,750 DE : 47 47 58.0 58.0 1,927 2,726 2,726 GA : 190 230 45.0 55.0 10,580 8,550 12,650 ID : 700 730 90.0 90.0 57,600 63,000 65,700 IL : 900 600 59.0 59.0 52,650 53,100 35,400 IN : 440 340 62.0 65.0 29,670 27,280 22,100 KS : 8,500 9,600 37.0 44.0 480,000 314,500 422,400 KY : 380 300 54.0 57.0 21,700 20,520 17,100 MD : 145 140 59.0 64.0 5,365 8,555 8,960 MI : 640 640 64.0 70.0 44,880 40,960 44,800 MS : 135 90 53.0 49.0 6,125 7,155 4,410 MO : 930 600 52.0 52.0 53,070 48,360 31,200 MT : 1,630 2,050 41.0 41.0 67,340 66,830 84,050 NE : 1,650 1,700 37.0 45.0 83,720 61,050 76,500 NY : 100 115 53.0 52.0 6,360 5,300 5,980 NC : 460 430 50.0 45.0 14,760 23,000 19,350 OH : 890 810 62.0 66.0 68,000 55,180 53,460 OK : 4,700 4,300 35.0 34.0 179,400 164,500 146,200 OR : 780 840 61.0 55.0 47,940 47,580 46,200 PA : 135 170 49.0 53.0 7,095 6,615 9,010 SC : 180 165 44.0 45.0 7,215 7,920 7,425 SD : 1,250 1,400 45.0 45.0 61,490 56,250 63,000 TN : 280 170 49.0 48.0 13,500 13,720 8,160 TX : 3,500 3,500 31.0 30.0 96,600 108,500 105,000 VA : 180 170 55.0 56.0 7,360 9,900 9,520 WA : 1,750 1,850 67.0 68.0 117,000 117,250 125,800 WI : 225 175 56.0 52.0 12,075 12,600 9,100 : Oth : Sts 2/: 1,105 1,007 38.5 39.6 32,789 42,573 39,891 : US : 34,462 35,069 43.5 45.4 1,716,721 1,499,434 1,590,862 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Beginning in 2005 WI is published individually during the forecast season and WY is included in the Other States total. Other States totals have been computed to reflect this change. 2/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2005 Summary." Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted May 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -- Bushels -- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 99 80 97.0 100.0 11,500 9,603 8,000 CA : 100 82 90.0 105.0 11,500 9,000 8,610 MT : 545 33.0 14,490 17,985 ND : 1,600 33.0 58,410 52,800 : Oth : Sts 2/: 19 26.6 737 505 : US : 2,363 38.0 96,637 89,893 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Area harvested for the U.S. and remaining States will be published in "Acreage" released June 30, 2005. Yield and production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 12, 2005. 2/ For 2003 and 2004, Other States include MN and SD. For 2005, Other States include ID and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2005 Summary." Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted May 1, 2005 1/ 2/ ---------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter :--------------------------------------------------------- Year : Hard : Soft : Hard : Soft : All : Red : Red : White 3/ : White 3/ : White ---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2003 :1,070,996 380,435 265,290 2004 : 856,211 380,305 262,918 2005 :1,006,083 302,276 31,174 251,329 282,503 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Spring : :---------------------------------------------------------: : Hard : Hard : Soft : All : : Total : Red : White 3/ : White 3/ : White : Durum : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2003 : 499,674 31,728 96,637 2,344,760 2004 : 525,467 43,451 89,893 2,158,245 2005 : -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both survey and administrative data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season, except for States where updated information is available. 2/ Spring wheat production by class and total production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 12, 2005. 3/ Individual Hard White and Soft White estimates not available prior to 2005. Hay: Stocks on Farms by State and United States, December 1 and May 1, 2002-2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Dec 1 : May 1 State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : AL : 1,750 1,764 1,965 254 487 356 AZ : 203 280 250 45 55 35 AR : 2,755 2,700 3,200 588 600 660 CA : 1,840 2,086 1,724 200 306 215 CO : 1,548 1,841 2,527 360 610 470 CT : 73 83 73 14 14 21 DE : 9 12 25 4 4 5 FL : 475 434 410 80 52 26 GA : 1,295 1,494 1,345 230 342 292 ID : 2,824 2,772 2,782 635 445 535 IL : 1,370 1,797 1,613 285 408 460 IN : 1,037 1,561 1,704 96 253 345 IA : 3,900 3,695 4,368 1,100 605 1,250 KS : 4,800 5,600 6,304 1,150 1,400 1,735 KY : 3,975 5,035 4,742 513 1,466 1,186 LA : 662 937 910 173 115 128 ME : 161 164 189 39 33 39 MD : 274 377 348 55 60 86 MA : 77 72 95 21 15 17 MI : 2,024 1,872 1,893 462 250 500 MN : 4,183 3,567 4,127 815 575 884 MS : 1,631 1,125 1,159 249 244 199 MO : 6,897 7,148 8,101 1,083 1,462 2,166 MT : 4,086 3,986 4,427 953 790 860 NE : 3,278 5,244 4,175 870 1,596 1,375 NV : 882 857 741 167 121 80 NH : 55 60 53 9 11 12 NJ : 61 96 161 11 40 36 NM : 550 525 545 98 115 164 NY : 2,169 2,430 1,895 520 552 440 NC : 934 1,625 1,545 50 405 350 ND : 4,300 4,690 3,923 940 828 917 OH : 1,666 2,504 2,250 215 556 420 OK : 5,357 4,244 5,186 1,190 1,275 1,400 OR : 2,550 2,357 2,366 340 371 362 PA : 2,138 2,440 2,700 380 570 650 RI : 10 10 12 1 2 2 SC : 413 601 557 65 186 120 SD : 5,825 7,210 6,939 1,154 1,515 2,100 TN : 3,318 3,830 4,199 504 1,182 1,025 TX : 10,460 9,910 10,451 3,888 2,849 2,779 UT : 1,210 1,495 1,383 175 279 300 VT : 240 332 276 80 86 71 VA : 2,329 2,515 2,716 272 758 791 WA : 1,600 1,620 1,560 285 470 322 WV : 934 957 1,030 95 191 212 WI : 3,600 3,110 3,532 1,100 920 927 WY : 1,250 1,963 1,818 200 478 383 : US : 102,978 111,027 114,294 22,013 25,947 27,708 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2002-2003, 2003-2004 and Forecasted May 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002-03 : 2003-04 : 2004-05 : 2002-03 : 2003-04 : 2004-05 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early, Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 200 300 240 8 12 9 CA 4/ : 42,000 38,000 43,000 1,575 1,426 1,613 FL : 112,000 126,000 79,200 5,040 5,670 3,564 TX 4/ : 1,350 1,420 1,750 57 60 74 US : 155,550 165,720 124,190 6,680 7,168 5,260 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 270 170 190 10 6 7 CA 4/ : 20,000 14,000 18,000 751 526 675 FL : 91,000 116,000 72,000 4,095 5,220 3,240 TX 4/ : 220 230 230 9 10 10 US : 111,490 130,400 90,420 4,865 5,762 3,932 All : AZ 4/ : 470 470 430 18 18 16 CA 4/ : 62,000 52,000 61,000 2,326 1,952 2,288 FL : 203,000 242,000 151,200 9,135 10,890 6,804 TX 4/ : 1,570 1,650 1,980 66 70 84 US : 267,040 296,120 214,610 11,545 12,930 9,192 Temples : FL : 1,300 1,400 650 59 63 29 Grapefruit : White Seedless 5/ : FL : 16,200 15,900 3,500 689 675 149 Colored Seedless : FL : 22,500 25,000 9,500 957 1,063 404 All : AZ 4/ : 130 140 160 4 5 5 CA 4/ : 5,600 5,400 5,400 187 181 181 FL : 38,700 40,900 13,000 1,646 1,738 553 TX 4/ : 5,650 5,700 6,500 226 228 260 US : 50,080 52,140 25,060 2,063 2,152 999 Tangerines : AZ 4/ 6/ : 430 690 400 16 25 15 CA 4/ 6/ : 2,800 2,700 3,000 105 101 113 FL : 5,500 6,500 4,450 261 309 211 US : 8,730 9,890 7,850 382 435 339 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 3,000 3,000 2,400 114 114 91 CA : 24,000 18,000 19,500 912 684 741 US : 27,000 21,000 21,900 1,026 798 832 Tangelos : FL : 2,350 1,000 1,550 105 45 70 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 5/ Includes seedy. 6/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Spring Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : : :---------------------------------: Yield : Production State : Planted : Harvested : : :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :2004 :2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres -------- -- Cwt -- ----- 1,000 Cwt ---- : AZ : 6.2 4.3 6.2 4.3 285 275 2,090 1,767 1,183 CA : 17.5 13.8 17.5 13.8 475 410 8,360 8,313 5,658 FL : 24.8 23.6 24.5 23.2 313 282 8,008 7,678 6,550 Hastings : 18.2 17.3 18.0 17.0 320 285 5,684 5,760 4,845 Other FL : 6.6 6.3 6.5 6.2 295 275 2,324 1,918 1,705 NC : 17.0 14.5 13.5 14.0 200 190 2,975 2,700 2,660 TX : 11.0 9.5 10.5 9.1 210 225 3,000 2,205 2,048 : Total : 76.5 65.7 72.2 64.4 314 281 24,433 22,663 18,099 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Crop, California, 2003-2004 and Forecasted May 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Freestone : 413,000 410,000 410,000 : Clingstone 1/ : 536,000 539,000 510,000 : Total : 949,000 949,000 920,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ CA Clingstone is over-the-scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery diversions. Almonds (shelled basis): Utilized Production, California, 2003-2004 and Forecasted May 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 1/ : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : CA : 1,040,000 1,010,000 850,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, Price, and Value by State and United States, 2003-2004 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ------ ---- Pounds --- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : CT : 2,180 2,370 1,321 1,556 2,880 3,687 FL : 4,400 4,000 2,500 2,450 11,000 9,800 GA : 27,000 23,000 2,200 2,030 59,400 46,690 IN : 4,200 4,200 1,950 2,050 8,190 8,610 KY : 111,650 114,950 2,016 2,044 225,042 235,003 MD : 1,100 1,100 1,450 1,700 1,595 1,870 MA : 1,250 1,220 1,392 1,598 1,740 1,949 MO : 1,400 1,450 2,020 2,300 2,828 3,335 NC : 159,700 156,100 1,878 2,246 299,995 350,560 OH : 5,300 5,600 1,650 1,960 8,745 10,976 PA : 3,700 4,000 2,130 2,025 7,880 8,100 SC : 30,000 27,000 2,100 2,250 63,000 60,750 TN : 31,140 30,260 2,108 2,161 65,632 65,381 VA : 25,110 29,680 1,546 2,267 38,818 67,285 WV : 1,200 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,560 1,690 WI : 1,820 1,810 2,338 1,956 4,255 3,541 : US : 411,150 408,040 1,952 2,155 802,560 879,227 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price : Value of : per Pound : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- Dollars ------- ------ 1,000 Dollars ----- : CT 2/ : 3.500 5.250 6,860 12,049 FL : 1.851 1.849 20,361 18,120 GA : 1.855 1.835 110,187 85,676 IN : 1.949 1.982 15,962 17,065 KY : 2.027 2.050 456,077 481,708 MD : 1.730 1.430 2,759 2,674 MA 2/ : 3.700 5.400 5,276 7,949 MO : 1.940 1.980 5,486 6,603 NC : 1.856 1.854 556,919 650,104 OH : 1.954 1.990 17,088 21,842 PA : 1.367 1.352 10,772 10,953 SC : 1.830 1.802 115,290 109,472 TN : 2.107 2.138 138,290 139,762 VA : 1.868 1.865 72,508 125,517 WV : 1.978 1.970 3,086 3,329 WI : 1.746 1.750 7,431 6,197 CT& MA 3/: 26.000 32,084 : US 4/ : 1.964 1.988 1,576,436 1,747,614 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2003 and 2004 revised. 2/ Price and value includes type 51 only. Shade type 61 is not included in State totals to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 3/ Includes type 61 only. CT and MA combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Price and value not available for 2004. 4/ Includes estimated 2004 value of production for CT and MA type 61. Used 2003 CT and MA type 61 price to compute the 2004 value of production. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 40,000 43,000 1,770 2,350 70,800 101,050 VA : 18,000 23,000 1,690 2,505 30,420 57,615 US : 58,000 66,000 1,745 2,404 101,220 158,665 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 94,000 89,000 1,955 2,250 183,770 200,250 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 20,000 19,400 1,915 2,200 38,300 42,680 SC : 30,000 27,000 2,100 2,250 63,000 60,750 US : 50,000 46,400 2,026 2,229 101,300 103,430 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,400 4,000 2,500 2,450 11,000 9,800 GA : 27,000 23,000 2,200 2,030 59,400 46,690 US : 31,400 27,000 2,242 2,092 70,400 56,490 Total 11-14 : 233,400 228,400 1,957 2,272 456,690 518,835 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 550 710 1,525 1,895 839 1,345 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2,600 2,700 3,080 3,100 8,008 8,370 TN : 5,200 5,300 2,980 3,100 15,496 16,430 US : 7,800 8,000 3,013 3,100 23,504 24,800 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2,500 2,600 3,530 3,700 8,825 9,620 TN : 400 420 3,350 3,300 1,340 1,386 US : 2,900 3,020 3,505 3,644 10,165 11,006 Total 21-23 : 11,250 11,730 3,067 3,167 34,508 37,151 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 4,200 4,200 1,950 2,050 8,190 8,610 KY : 103,000 106,000 1,925 1,950 198,275 206,700 MO : 1,400 1,450 2,020 2,300 2,828 3,335 NC : 5,700 4,700 1,250 1,400 7,125 6,580 OH : 5,300 5,600 1,650 1,960 8,745 10,976 TN : 25,000 24,000 1,900 1,920 47,500 46,080 VA : 6,500 5,900 1,150 1,390 7,475 8,201 WV : 1,200 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,560 1,690 US : 152,300 153,150 1,850 1,908 281,698 292,172 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 1,100 1,100 1,450 1,700 1,595 1,870 PA : 1,300 2,200 2,000 1,800 2,600 3,960 US : 2,400 3,300 1,748 1,767 4,195 5,830 Total 31-32 : 154,700 156,450 1,848 1,905 285,893 298,002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003-2004 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per : Value of : Pound : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Dollars ----- ---- 1,000 Dollars --- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 1.857 1.858 131,476 187,751 VA : 1.849 1.852 56,247 106,703 US : 1.855 1.856 187,723 294,454 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 1.856 1.855 341,077 371,464 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 1.840 1.830 70,472 78,104 SC : 1.830 1.802 115,290 109,472 US : 1.834 1.814 185,762 187,576 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 1.851 1.849 20,361 18,120 GA : 1.855 1.835 110,187 85,676 US : 1.854 1.837 130,548 103,796 Total 11-14 : 1.851 1.845 845,110 957,290 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 1.641 1.798 1,377 2,418 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2.480 2.548 19,860 21,327 TN : 2.492 2.550 38,616 41,897 US : 2.488 2.549 58,476 63,224 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2.450 2.520 21,621 24,242 TN : 2.424 2.510 3,248 3,479 US : 2.447 2.519 24,869 27,721 Total 21-23 : 2.455 2.513 84,722 93,363 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 1.949 1.982 15,962 17,065 KY : 1.982 2.000 392,981 413,400 MO : 1.940 1.980 5,486 6,603 NC : 1.950 1.943 13,894 12,785 OH : 1.954 1.990 17,088 21,842 TN : 1.975 1.980 93,813 91,238 VA : 1.972 1.977 14,741 16,213 WV : 1.978 1.970 3,086 3,329 US : 1.977 1.994 557,051 582,475 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 1.730 1.430 2,759 2,674 PA : 1.300 1.250 3,380 4,950 US : 1.463 1.308 6,139 7,624 Total 31-32 : 1.970 1.980 563,190 590,099 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003-2004 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,300 2,350 2,830 2,950 6,509 6,933 TN : 540 540 2,400 2,750 1,296 1,485 US : 2,840 2,890 2,748 2,913 7,805 8,418 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,250 1,300 2,740 2,600 3,425 3,380 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 60 70 1,400 1,770 84 124 Total 35-37 : 4,150 4,260 2,726 2,799 11,314 11,922 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 2,400 1,800 2,200 2,300 5,280 4,140 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,400 1,500 1,400 1,530 1,960 2,295 MA : 970 920 1,470 1,600 1,426 1,472 US : 2,370 2,420 1,429 1,557 3,386 3,767 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,400 1,400 2,480 1,960 3,472 2,744 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 420 410 1,865 1,945 783 797 Total 54-55 : 1,820 1,810 2,338 1,956 4,255 3,541 Total 51-55 : 4,190 4,230 1,824 1,728 7,641 7,308 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 780 870 1,180 1,600 920 1,392 MA : 280 300 1,120 1,590 314 477 US : 1,060 1,170 1,164 1,597 1,234 1,869 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 7,650 7,200 1,850 1,850 14,155 13,317 : All Tobacco : 411,150 408,040 1,952 2,155 802,560 879,227 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2003-2004 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per : Value of : Pound : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Dollars ----- ----- 1,000 Dollars ---- : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2.223 2.255 14,470 15,634 TN : 2.016 2.120 2,613 3,148 US : 2.189 2.231 17,083 18,782 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 2.086 2.102 7,145 7,105 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 1.707 1.476 143 183 Total 35-37 : 2.154 2.187 24,371 26,070 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 1.400 1.450 7,392 6,003 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 3.500 5.250 6,860 12,049 MA : 3.700 5.400 5,276 7,949 US : 3.584 5.309 12,136 19,998 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1.750 1.750 6,076 4,802 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 1.730 1.750 1,355 1,395 Total 54-55 : 1.746 1.750 7,431 6,197 Total 51-55 : 2.561 3.584 19,567 26,195 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT 2/ : MA 2/ : US 2/ : 26.000 32,084 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 3/ : 4.171 2.813 59,043 32,198 : All Tobacco 4/ : 1.964 1.988 1,576,436 1,747,614 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2003 and 2004 revised. 2/ CT and MA type 61 price and value for 2003 combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Price and value not available for 2004. 3/ The 2004 price and value exclude type 61. 4/ Includes estimated 2004 value of production for CT and MA type 61. Used 2003 CT and MA type 61 price to compute the 2004 value of production. Tobacco: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales by Class, Month, and State, 2004 Marketing Year -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : 2004 : 2005 and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Jul : Aug : Sep : Oct : Nov : Dec : Jan : Feb : Mar : Apr : Total -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : Flue-cured : FL : 3 53 43 1 100 GA : 1 58 38 3 100 NC : 35 49 16 100 SC : 45 45 10 100 VA : 28 49 22 1 100 : Fire-cured : VA : 19 76 5 100 KY : 81 19 100 TN : 56 44 100 : Air-cured : IN : 38 28 24 10 100 KY : 36 35 24 5 100 MD : 100 100 MO 1/ : NC : 45 31 24 100 OH : 33 32 26 9 100 PA 1/ : TN : 37 40 20 3 100 VA : 41 40 19 100 WV 1/ : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sales by month are not available. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Mar : 2,110 2,490 1,160 1,435 2,815 2,310 Apr : 2,110 2,505 1,160 1,440 2,630 2,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Bananas, Guavas, Papayas, and Taro: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, Hawaii, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ---- 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds : Bananas 1/ 2/ : 1,350 16.7 22,500 Guavas 1/ : 530 500 12.6 16.2 6,700 8,100 Papayas 1/ 3/ : 1,565 1,235 27.2 29.0 42,600 35,800 Taro 4/ : 420 370 5,000 5,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Only utilized production is estimated. 2/ Missing data not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 3/ 2004 revised. 4/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres. Yield is not estimated. Cotton: Area Planted and Harvested and Yield by Type, State, and United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Area : Type : Planted : Harvested : Yield and :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 Acres --------------- ---- Pounds ---- : Upland : AL : 525.0 550.0 510.0 540.0 772 724 AZ : 215.0 240.0 213.0 238.0 1,239 1,458 AR : 980.0 910.0 945.0 900.0 916 1,114 CA : 550.0 560.0 545.0 557.0 1,317 1,543 FL : 94.0 89.0 92.0 87.0 610 601 GA : 1,300.0 1,290.0 1,290.0 1,280.0 785 674 KS : 90.0 85.0 80.0 80.0 537 424 LA : 525.0 500.0 510.0 490.0 967 867 MS : 1,110.0 1,110.0 1,090.0 1,100.0 934 1,024 MO : 400.0 380.0 390.0 378.0 862 1,054 NM : 53.0 68.0 38.0 64.0 884 848 NC : 810.0 730.0 770.0 725.0 646 900 OK : 180.0 220.0 170.0 200.0 616 727 SC : 220.0 215.0 218.0 214.0 718 875 TN : 560.0 530.0 530.0 525.0 806 900 TX : 5,600.0 5,850.0 4,350.0 5,350.0 478 694 VA : 89.0 82.0 85.0 81.0 674 956 : US : 13,301.0 13,409.0 11,826.0 12,809.0 723 843 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 2.5 3.0 2.4 3.0 920 896 CA : 150.0 215.0 149.0 214.0 1,194 1,532 NM : 6.1 10.6 6.0 10.5 1,056 869 TX : 20.0 21.0 20.0 20.5 1,056 890 : US : 178.6 249.6 177.4 248.0 1,170 1,443 : All : AL : 525.0 550.0 510.0 540.0 772 724 AZ : 217.5 243.0 215.4 241.0 1,236 1,451 AR : 980.0 910.0 945.0 900.0 916 1,114 CA : 700.0 775.0 694.0 771.0 1,290 1,540 FL : 94.0 89.0 92.0 87.0 610 601 GA : 1,300.0 1,290.0 1,290.0 1,280.0 785 674 KS : 90.0 85.0 80.0 80.0 537 424 LA : 525.0 500.0 510.0 490.0 967 867 MS : 1,110.0 1,110.0 1,090.0 1,100.0 934 1,024 MO : 400.0 380.0 390.0 378.0 862 1,054 NM : 59.1 78.6 44.0 74.5 908 850 NC : 810.0 730.0 770.0 725.0 646 900 OK : 180.0 220.0 170.0 200.0 616 727 SC : 220.0 215.0 218.0 214.0 718 875 TN : 560.0 530.0 530.0 525.0 806 900 TX : 5,620.0 5,871.0 4,370.0 5,370.5 480 695 VA : 89.0 82.0 85.0 81.0 674 956 : US : 13,479.6 13,658.6 12,003.4 13,057.0 730 855 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. Cotton: Production and Bales Ginned by Type, State, and United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production in : Lint- : Bales Ginned in Type : 480-lb Net Weight : seed : 480-lb Net Weight and : Bales 1/ : Ratio 2/ : Bales 3/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 4/ : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 4/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 Bales --- -------- Bales -------- : Upland : AL : 820.0 814.0 828,450 826,750 AZ : 550.0 723.0 525,400 692,800 AR : 1,804.0 2,089.0 1,784,050 2,069,450 CA : 1,495.0 1,790.0 1,516,000 1,819,850 FL : 117.0 109.0 125,900 95,800 GA : 2,110.0 1,797.0 2,106,050 1,803,000 KS : 89.5 70.7 91,950 68,050 LA : 1,027.0 885.0 1,055,500 912,300 MS : 2,120.0 2,346.0 2,115,700 2,334,400 MO : 700.0 830.0 693,400 826,200 NM : 70.0 113.0 44,800 50,950 NC : 1,037.0 1,360.0 1,047,950 1,379,600 OK : 218.0 303.0 209,850 295,750 SC : 326.0 390.0 322,350 381,800 TN : 890.0 984.0 878,800 985,300 TX : 4,330.0 7,740.0 4,355,700 7,806,150 VA : 119.4 161.4 109,450 146,950 : US : 17,822.9 22,505.1 17,811,300 22,495,100 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 4.6 5.6 4,600 5,500 CA : 370.5 683.0 370,500 682,700 NM : 13.2 19.0 12,650 17,850 TX : 44.0 38.0 44,400 38,750 : US : 432.3 745.6 432,150 744,800 : All : AL : 820.0 814.0 828,450 826,750 AZ : 554.6 728.6 530,000 698,300 AR : 1,804.0 2,089.0 0.386 0.406 1,784,050 2,069,450 CA : 1,865.5 2,473.0 0.402 0.397 1,886,500 2,502,550 FL : 117.0 109.0 125,900 95,800 GA : 2,110.0 1,797.0 0.410 0.435 2,106,050 1,803,000 KS : 89.5 70.7 91,950 68,050 LA : 1,027.0 885.0 0.398 0.419 1,055,500 912,300 MS : 2,120.0 2,346.0 0.398 0.412 2,115,700 2,334,400 MO : 700.0 830.0 693,400 826,200 NM : 83.2 132.0 57,450 68,800 NC : 1,037.0 1,360.0 0.417 0.422 1,047,950 1,379,600 OK : 218.0 303.0 209,850 295,750 SC : 326.0 390.0 322,350 381,800 TN : 890.0 984.0 878,800 985,300 TX : 4,374.0 7,778.0 0.389 0.392 4,397,450 7,844,900 VA : 119.4 161.4 109,450 146,950 : US : 18,255.2 23,250.7 18,240,800 23,239,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ Estimates available only for the 7 States shown. Three-year average. 3/ Equivalent 480-lb net weight bales ginned, not adjusted for cross-State movement. 4/ Revised. Cottonseed: Production and Farm Disposition by State and United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Farm Disposition : : :-----------------------------------: Seed for : Production : Sales to : : Planting 2/ State: : Oil Mills : Other 1/ : :------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 :2003 3/ : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : AL : 327.0 282.0 49.0 16.0 278.0 266.0 6.3 6.4 AZ : 216.8 301.6 4.1 3.3 212.7 298.3 2.2 2.1 AR : 689.0 734.0 462.0 529.0 227.0 205.0 8.6 9.3 CA : 680.0 902.0 93.5 116.0 586.5 786.0 6.6 6.1 FL : 37.0 35.0 21.7 25.0 15.3 10.0 1.0 0.9 GA : 732.0 560.0 405.0 343.0 327.0 217.0 15.0 14.0 KS : 34.2 26.0 4.2 7.0 30.0 19.0 0.9 0.8 LA : 365.0 295.0 191.0 138.0 174.0 157.0 4.5 5.6 MS : 773.0 804.0 604.0 675.0 169.0 129.0 11.0 13.0 MO : 274.0 268.0 200.0 186.0 74.0 82.0 4.0 4.3 NM : 31.6 52.5 3.8 11.7 27.8 40.8 0.8 0.8 NC : 349.0 447.0 52.0 79.0 297.0 368.0 6.6 6.8 OK : 79.0 113.0 64.0 91.0 15.0 22.0 2.4 2.5 SC : 109.0 94.0 58.0 54.0 51.0 40.0 1.5 1.6 TN : 311.0 336.0 232.0 262.0 79.0 74.0 5.7 6.0 TX : 1,616.0 2,939.0 939.3 2,010.0 676.7 929.0 53.2 51.5 VA : 41.0 53.0 0.0 0.0 41.0 53.0 0.7 0.8 : US : 6,664.6 8,242.1 3,383.6 4,546.0 3,281.0 3,696.1 131.0 132.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes planting seed, feed, exports, inter-farm sales, shrinkage, losses, and other uses. 2/ Included in "other" farm disposition. Seed for planting is produced in crop year shown, but used in the following year. 3/ Revised. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2004. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton: Harvest Loss per Acre, by State, 2000-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : State : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pounds : : AR : 59 80 102 105 83 CA : 91 123 177 130 125 GA : 108 115 153 136 128 LA : 60 74 82 108 84 MS : 95 121 158 95 77 NC : 179 180 185 165 165 TX : 43 46 60 58 49 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2000-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 874 747 840 798 864 : Oct : 767 780 763 755 771 : Nov : 755 816 784 744 753 : Dec : 755 756 772 744 754 : Final : 755 756 772 744 754 : : CA : Sep : 760 939 945 973 954 : Oct : 790 902 1,041 945 952 : Nov : 801 921 1,009 893 945 : Dec : 800 918 1,011 893 948 : Final : 800 918 1,011 893 948 : : GA : Sep : 597 590 569 559 646 : Oct : 631 677 604 646 690 : Nov : 621 651 591 643 686 : Dec : 629 664 600 665 687 : Final : 629 664 608 664 687 : : LA : Sep : 722 625 663 681 635 : Oct : 692 592 756 778 707 : Nov : 674 582 749 775 691 : Dec : 674 588 742 775 691 : Final : 674 588 742 775 691 : : MS : Sep : 657 754 802 837 808 : Oct : 665 696 783 824 789 : Nov : 652 680 768 811 780 : Dec : 650 679 767 808 780 : Final : 650 679 767 808 780 : : NC : Sep : 670 719 636 628 758 : Oct : 724 722 629 630 719 : Nov : 743 696 560 632 732 : Dec : 747 705 567 632 733 : Final : 747 705 564 632 733 : : TX : Sep : 408 441 536 465 639 : Oct : 388 435 511 431 672 : Nov : 397 439 520 429 593 : Dec : 404 445 497 435 624 : Final : 448 445 497 433 624 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 4,527.0 3,974.0 4,021.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 80,930.0 81,413.0 73,632.0 Corn for Silage : 6,103.0 Hay, All : 61,916.0 62,940.0 Alfalfa : 21,707.0 All Other : 40,209.0 Oats : 4,085.0 4,267.0 1,792.0 Proso Millet : 710.0 595.0 Rice : 3,347.0 3,358.0 3,325.0 Rye : 1,380.0 320.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 7,486.0 7,400.0 6,517.0 Sorghum for Silage : 352.0 Wheat, All : 59,674.0 58,592.0 49,999.0 Winter : 43,350.0 41,613.0 34,462.0 35,069.0 Durum : 2,561.0 2,608.0 2,363.0 Other Spring : 13,763.0 14,371.0 13,174.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 865.0 1,047.0 828.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 523.0 919.0 516.0 Mustard Seed : 73.0 68.7 Peanuts : 1,430.0 1,597.0 1,394.0 Rapeseed : 8.7 7.8 Safflower : 175.0 159.0 Soybeans for Beans : 75,208.0 73,910.0 73,958.0 Sunflower : 1,873.0 2,750.0 1,711.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,658.6 13,815.0 13,057.0 Upland : 13,409.0 13,540.0 12,809.0 Amer-Pima : 249.6 275.0 248.0 Sugarbeets : 1,346.0 1,299.0 1,306.7 Sugarcane : 952.1 Tobacco : 408.0 319.9 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 30.5 21.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,354.3 1,663.5 1,219.3 Dry Edible Peas : 530.0 507.8 Lentils : 345.0 329.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 Hops : 27.7 Peppermint Oil : 77.7 Potatoes, All : 1,193.4 1,167.5 Winter : 18.7 20.0 18.5 19.8 Spring : 76.5 65.7 72.2 64.4 Summer : 58.5 54.0 Fall : 1,039.7 1,022.8 Spearmint Oil : 15.1 Sweet Potatoes : 97.4 94.9 93.3 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 69.4 279,253 Corn for Grain : " : 160.4 11,807,217 Corn for Silage : Ton : 17.6 107,336 Hay, All : " : 2.55 157,774 Alfalfa : " : 3.47 75,383 All Other : " : 2.05 82,391 Oats : Bu : 64.7 115,935 Proso Millet : " : 25.3 15,065 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,942 230,818 Rye : Bu : 26.9 8,615 Sorghum for Grain : " : 69.8 454,899 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 13.5 4,763 Wheat, All : Bu : 43.2 2,158,245 Winter : " : 43.5 45.4 1,499,434 1,590,862 Durum : " : 38.0 89,893 Other Spring : " : 43.2 568,918 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,618 1,339,530 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 8,242.1 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.3 10,471 Mustard Seed : Lb : 819 56,290 Peanuts : " : 3,057 4,261,700 Rapeseed : " : 1,394 10,875 Safflower : " : 1,105 175,765 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 42.5 3,140,996 Sunflower : Lb : 1,197 2,047,863 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 855 23,250.7 Upland 2/ : " : 843 22,505.1 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,443 745.6 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.9 29,932 Sugarcane : " : 30.8 29,295 Tobacco : Lb : 2,155 879,227 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,228 264 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,460 17,799 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 2,249 11,419 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,271 4,182 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 899 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,220 7,100 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 40,000 6,000 Hops : " : 1,990 55,203.9 Peppermint Oil : " : 92 7,146 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 391 455,933 Winter : " : 260 256 4,818 5,066 Spring : " : 314 281 22,663 18,099 Summer : " : 341 18,429 Fall : " : 401 410,023 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 116 1,746 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 176 16,399 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 5,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2003-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,063 2,152 999 Lemons : " : 1,026 798 832 Oranges : " : 11,545 12,930 9,192 Tangelos (FL) : " : 105 45 70 Tangerines : " : 382 435 339 Temples (FL) : " : 59 63 29 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 8,713.1 10,078.3 Apricots : Ton : 97.6 100.7 Bananas (HI) 3/ : Ton : 22,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,552.5 5,972.5 Olives (CA) : " : 118.0 104.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 42,600.0 35,800.0 Peaches : Ton : 1,259.5 1,279.1 Pears : Ton : 928.1 893.3 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 181.0 49.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 16.3 24.9 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 1,040,000 1,010,000 850,000 Hazelnuts (OR) : Ton : 37.9 37.0 Pecans : Lb : 282,100 181,000 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 326.0 325.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,260 1,507 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2004-05 season. 2/ Production years are 2002-2003, 2003-2004, and 2004-2005. 3/ 2004 not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,832,030 1,608,240 1,627,260 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,751,560 32,947,030 29,798,130 Corn for Silage : 2,469,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,056,790 25,471,190 Alfalfa : 8,784,610 All Other : 16,272,180 Oats : 1,653,160 1,726,810 725,200 Proso Millet : 287,330 240,790 Rice : 1,354,500 1,358,950 1,345,590 Rye : 558,470 129,500 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,029,510 2,994,710 2,637,360 Sorghum for Silage : 142,450 Wheat, All 3/ :24,149,470 23,711,600 20,234,100 Winter :17,543,310 16,840,360 13,946,430 14,192,070 Durum : 1,036,410 1,055,430 956,280 Other Spring : 5,569,750 5,815,800 5,331,390 : Oilseeds : Canola : 350,060 423,710 335,080 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 211,650 371,910 208,820 Mustard Seed : 29,540 27,800 Peanuts : 578,710 646,290 564,140 Rapeseed : 3,520 3,160 Safflower : 70,820 64,350 Soybeans for Beans :30,435,930 29,910,640 29,930,060 Sunflower : 757,980 1,112,900 692,420 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,527,500 5,590,790 5,284,040 Upland : 5,426,490 5,479,500 5,183,670 Amer-Pima : 101,010 111,290 100,360 Sugarbeets : 544,710 525,690 528,810 Sugarcane : 385,310 Tobacco : 165,130 129,440 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 12,340 8,700 Dry Edible Beans : 548,070 673,200 493,440 Dry Edible Peas : 214,490 205,500 Lentils : 139,620 133,140 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,350 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 Hops : 11,230 Peppermint Oil : 31,440 Potatoes, All 3/ : 482,960 472,480 Winter : 7,570 8,090 7,490 8,010 Spring : 30,960 26,590 29,220 26,060 Summer : 23,670 21,850 Fall : 420,760 413,920 Spearmint Oil : 6,110 Sweet Potatoes : 39,420 38,410 37,760 Taro (HI) 4/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.74 6,080,020 Corn for Grain : 10.06 299,917,130 Corn for Silage : 39.43 97,373,580 Hay, All 2/ : 5.71 143,130,170 Alfalfa : 7.78 68,386,310 All Other : 4.59 74,743,860 Oats : 2.32 1,682,790 Proso Millet : 1.42 341,670 Rice : 7.78 10,469,730 Rye : 1.69 218,830 Sorghum for Grain : 4.38 11,554,970 Sorghum for Silage : 30.33 4,320,920 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.90 58,737,800 Winter : 2.93 3.05 40,807,910 43,296,170 Durum : 2.56 2,446,490 Other Spring : 2.90 15,483,410 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.81 607,600 Cottonseed 3/ : 7,477,110 Flaxseed : 1.27 265,980 Mustard Seed : 0.92 25,530 Peanuts : 3.43 1,933,070 Rapeseed : 1.56 4,930 Safflower : 1.24 79,730 Soybeans for Beans : 2.86 85,483,900 Sunflower : 1.34 928,900 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.96 5,062,240 Upland : 0.95 4,899,910 Amer-Pima : 1.62 162,340 Sugarbeets : 51.35 27,153,850 Sugarcane : 68.97 26,575,980 Tobacco : 2.42 398,810 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.38 11,970 Dry Edible Beans : 1.64 807,350 Dry Edible Peas : 2.52 517,960 Lentils : 1.42 189,690 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 40,780 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.37 3,220 Ginger Root (HI) : 44.83 2,720 Hops : 2.23 25,040 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,240 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.77 20,680,770 Winter : 29.19 28.68 218,540 229,790 Spring : 35.18 31.50 1,027,980 820,960 Summer : 38.25 835,930 Fall : 44.93 18,598,330 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 790 Sweet Potatoes : 19.70 743,850 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,360 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2003-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 1,871,520 1,952,260 906,280 Lemons : 930,770 723,930 754,780 Oranges : 10,473,450 11,729,900 8,338,840 Tangelos (FL) : 95,250 40,820 63,500 Tangerines : 346,540 394,630 307,540 Temples (FL) : 53,520 57,150 26,310 : Noncitrus : Apples : 3,952,200 4,571,440 Apricots : 88,520 91,380 Bananas (HI) 3/ : 10,210 Grapes : 5,944,360 5,418,160 Olives (CA) : 107,050 94,350 Papayas (HI) : 19,320 16,240 Peaches : 1,142,600 1,160,390 Pears : 841,910 810,350 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 164,200 44,450 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 14,790 22,590 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 471,740 458,130 385,550 Hazelnuts (OR) : 34,380 33,570 Pecans : 127,960 82,100 Walnuts (CA) : 295,740 294,840 Maple Syrup : 6,300 7,530 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2004-05 season. 2/ Production years are 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05. 3/ 2004 not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations. April Weather Summary April dryness reduced topsoil moisture reserves on the southern Plains, increasing stress on winter wheat and emerging summer crops. Dryness also intensified in parts of the north-central United States, including North Dakota, though spring wheat was just beginning to emerge and corn planting was just getting underway. In contrast, occasional rain and snow showers on the northern High Plains maintained generally favorable conditions for winter wheat and spring-sown small grains, although many pastures and ranges continued to reflect the effects of long-term drought. Northwestern small grains also benefited from a short-term wet spell, which began in mid-March, in spite of dismal water-supply prospects for the remainder of the growing season. Farther south, cool weather and sporadic showers in California slowed summer crop planting and emergence (of rice and cotton, for example). Elsewhere west of the Rockies, much of the Southwest continued to experience drought relief or eradication, but braced for potential spring snow-melt flooding. Meanwhile, drier-than-normal weather in much of the Midwest favored spring fieldwork, including corn and initial soybean planting. Short-term dryness was a concern, however, across the northern Corn Belt in areas east of the Mississippi River. The East experienced variable conditions, ranging from slightly drier than normal in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region to excessively wet in the eastern Gulf Coast region and northern New England. For the first 3 weeks of April, warm weather across the Plains and Midwest promoted winter wheat growth and--in southern areas--summer crop emergence and establishment. Toward month's end, however, markedly cooler air overspread the nation's mid-section, slowing or halting crop development. In addition, late-April and early-May freezes struck jointing- to heading-stage winter wheat from South Dakota southward into extreme northern and western Oklahoma, leaving producers to evaluate possible damage to the more advanced portion of the crop. In the Midwest, freezes threatened the small portion of the corn crop that had emerged as far south as Iowa and northern portions of Illinois and Indiana. Monthly temperatures generally ranged from 1 to 7 degrees F above normal across the northern and central Plains and the Midwest, but averaged as much as 5 degrees F below normal in California and the southern Atlantic region. April Crop Summary Temperatures averaged above normal through most of the month, but turned cooler in the final week. Freezing temperatures in the northern and central Great Plains and Corn Belt toward month's end caused only minimal damage to jointing and heading winter wheat and emerging corn. Conditions were mostly dry in the Great Plains and Corn Belt, allowing rapid planting progress. Brief periods of heavy precipitation did not seriously hamper planting. However, lack of soil moisture had become a problem in some areas of the northern and southern Great Plains. In contrast, heavy rainfall severely delayed cotton planting in the Southeast. Though rainfall caused some fieldwork delays in the Mississippi Delta, growers quickly recovered to finish the month ahead of their normal planting pace for most crops. After an extremely dry winter in the Pacific Northwest, frequent storms during April helped to restore soil moisture to adequate levels but hindered planting. Heavy rainfall in California kept many fields saturated and hampered fieldwork through mid-month. Planting accelerated toward month's end as drier conditions prevailed but remained well behind normal. By mid-month, corn planting had begun in all States, with the exception of the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt. Encouraged by mostly dry conditions in the Corn Belt and Great Plains, growers planted rapidly through month's end, reaching 52 percent complete by May 1, seven percentage points behind last year but 7 points ahead of normal. Seeding was most advanced in Illinois and North Carolina, at 82 percent, while Colorado, North Dakota, and South Dakota producers had planted less than one-fourth of their acreage. Planting progress was ahead of normal across most of the Corn Belt and Ohio Valley, exceeding the normal pace by 1 week in Illinois and Ohio. On April 3, sorghum planting had begun only in the Mississippi Delta and southern Great Plains. Growers in the Delta advanced rapidly through the month, but progress was much slower elsewhere. On May 1, eighteen percent of the acreage had been planted nationwide, 1 point behind last year and the 5-year average. By month's end, planting had begun in all States, except Nebraska and New Mexico, and had progressed the most in the Arkansas, at 61 percent, and Louisiana, at 58 percent. In the 2 largest producing States, Kansas producers had planted 3 percent of their acreage, 2 points behind normal, and Texas growers were 48 percent complete, even with their 5-year average. The Nation's oat growers were planting their crop at a faster-than-normal pace during April. On April 10, forty-three percent of the acreage had been planted, the same as last year but 6 points ahead of normal. By month's end, planting had advanced to 79 percent complete, 10 points ahead of normal but slightly behind last year's pace. Planting was nearly complete in Iowa and over 85 percent complete in most other States, with the exception of the northernmost States of Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. Texas's crop is planted in the fall and was therefore 100 percent planted by the time progress estimates were first released. The crop also emerged ahead of the normal pace, reaching 51 percent emergence by May 1, five points ahead of normal. At that time, only Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania trailed their normal pace for emergence. Barley seeding was 11 percent complete on April 10, ten points behind last year but the same as the 5-year average. Planting steadily advanced through the remainder of the month, reaching 52 percent complete on May 1, still 10 points behind last year but 8 points ahead of normal. North Dakota growers, encouraged by warm, dry conditions, had planted 44 percent of their acreage by month's end, over 1 week ahead of their normal pace. Meanwhile, Minnesota producers were delayed by low soil temperatures and trailed their normal planting pace throughout the month. Winter wheat heading progressed at a near-normal pace during April. By month's end, 30 percent of the crop was at or beyond the heading stage, 6 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. At that time, heading was nearly complete in California and 80 percent or more complete in Arkansas and Oklahoma. Only in the northern half of the Great Plains, the northern Rocky Mountains, and the Ohio Valley had heading not begun. Toward month's end, freezing temperatures threatened jointing and heading winter wheat in the northern and central Great Plains, but reports of freeze damage were minimal. Nevertheless, crop condition declined toward the end of the month as soil moisture shortages in the northern and southern Great Plains began to take their toll. Spring wheat seeding began ahead of normal and progressed rapidly during April. By month's end, growers had sown 61 percent of their acreage, 5 points behind last year but 14 points ahead of normal. On May 1, planting progress was ahead of normal in all States and exceeded the normal pace by over 1 week in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Washington. Even in Minnesota, where producers delayed planting due to cold soils, progress accelerated toward month's end and finished the month slightly ahead of normal. Rice planting started slowly due to wet conditions across most growing areas. On April 3, just 5 percent of the acreage had been planted, 9 points behind last year and 7 points behind normal. By mid-month, progress was behind normal in all States and 12 points behind normal nationwide. However, by month's end, dry conditions prevailed in most areas allowing planting to accelerate. On May 1, the crop was 65 percent planted, 4 points behind last year but the same as the 5-year average. Though California and Louisiana growers were 1 week behind their normal planting pace, progress was over 1 week ahead of normal in Mississippi and slightly ahead of normal in Arkansas and Texas. Meanwhile, emergence had begun in all States, except California, but trailed the normal pace everywhere but in Mississippi. Soybean growers had planted 8 percent of their acreage by May 1, three points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Planting had begun in all States, except North Dakota, but was most advanced in Mississippi, at 63 percent, Louisiana, at 37 percent, and Arkansas, at 25 percent. Outside of the Delta, only Indiana and Ohio growers had planted more than 8 percent of their acreage. Though favorable planting conditions prevailed across the Corn Belt, producers focused on planting their corn crop. Peanut planting began behind the normal pace, hampered by soggy conditions in the Southeast. On May 1, growers in all States had begun seeding their crop, but trailed the normal pace everywhere except the southern Great Plains. Planting had progressed the most in Oklahoma, reaching 16 percent complete, but was limited to 8 percent or less elsewhere. Planting of the Nation's cotton crop was slightly behind the normal pace. By month's end, 27 percent of the crop had been planted, 3 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Persistent rainfall in the Southeast severely hindered fieldwork, holding progress 1 week behind normal in Georgia. However, in the Delta and in Texas, where drier conditions prevailed, planting progress exceeded the normal pace. Oklahoma producers were waiting for rainfall to moisten the soil enough for planting and fell 2 weeks behind their normal pace. In California, rainy weather early in the month hampered planting and, though dry weather prevailed in the latter half of April, progress remained 1 week behind normal throughout the month. Sugarbeet growers began slightly behind their normal planting pace but rapidly accelerated after mid-month to finish over 1 week ahead of normal. Planting progressed rapidly in Idaho and Michigan early in the month, while Red River Valley growers were hindered by low soil temperatures. After mid-month, however, planting accelerated in Minnesota and North Dakota and surged well ahead of normal as soils warmed and dry conditions favored fieldwork. By month's end, planting was at least 1 week ahead of the normal pace in all States, except North Dakota. Winter Wheat: Production is forecast at 1.59 billion bushels, up 6 percent from 2004. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 45.4 bushels per acre, 1.9 bushels more than last year. Grain area totals 35.1 million acres, up 2 percent from last season. The portion of the winter wheat crop rated good to excellent on May 1, at 63 percent, was 15 percentage points higher than last year. The Texas crop condition has improved in the Panhandle since March. In Oklahoma, fall conditions were very wet but spring precipitation levels have been below normal. As of May 1, wheat jointing progress in Kansas was ahead of normal; however, heading progress was behind the 5-year average. In Colorado, growing conditions have been favorable this spring resulting in good to excellent stands in most growing areas. Crop condition in Nebraska was rated well above last year. In Montana, much needed moisture was received in April allowing the crop to get off to a good start. Excessively wet conditions last fall resulted in dramatically reduced acreage across much of the Soft Red growing region. Wet weather continued through the winter in Arkansas, southern Missouri, and southern Illinois, hampering the crop. Producers in the eastern Corn Belt are expecting improved yields from last year, with no major problems reported. Conditions in Georgia are greatly improved over last year and growers there expect record high yields. Idaho growers are anticipating very good yields, where the majority of the crop is rated in good to excellent condition. In Oregon, most of the winter wheat growing areas have been extremely dry. Despite recent showers, soil moisture levels remain a major concern in Washington. Durum Wheat: Production of Durum wheat in Arizona and California is forecast at a collective 16.6 million bushels. This is down 11 percent from their 2004 total of 18.6 million. Lower acreage more than offset higher expected yields in both States. Very few disease or insect problems have been reported. Hay Stocks on Farms: All hay stored on farms May 1, 2005 totaled 27.7 million tons, up 7 percent from the previous year. Disappearance of hay from December 1, 2004 - May 1, 2005, totaled 86.6 million tons, 2 percent greater than the disappearance of 85.1 million tons for the same period a year earlier. Twenty-six of the 48 reporting States had higher hay stocks than a year ago. Many of the States reporting an increase in stocks were located in the northern Great Plains and the central Corn Belt. The increase in hay stocks from May 2004 in some areas can be attributed to higher hay production during 2004, mild winter conditions, and sufficient early season pasture growth, reducing the need for supplemental feeding. Stocks declined in the western and southeastern States. In Washington, lack of winter precipitation and minimal spring pasture growth depleted hay stocks. In California, a decrease in 2004 hay production, combined with strong consumption by dairies, reduced hay stocks by 30 percent from the previous year. In the Southeast, hay stocks are down due to lower 2004 hay production in most areas with some areas reporting poor quality as a result of wet weather during harvest. Almonds: The 2005 California almond crop is forecast at 850 million pounds, shelled basis, down 16 percent from the revised 2004 crop. Bearing acreage, at 550,000, is unchanged from the previous crop year. The average yield is forecast at 1,550 pounds per acre, down 290 pounds from last year's revised yield. Widespread rain during the almond bloom is reported to have caused many orchards to display early petal fall as well as inhibited bee pollination activity. The Nonpareil variety is reported to have had a particularly weak bloom this year. Cooler than average temperatures so far this growing season have delayed kernel hardening but sizes are reported to be good. There are some reports of Phytophthora root rot. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.50 million pounds for April, 8 percent higher than last month but 5 percent less than a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,505 acres, up 1 percent from last month and 19 percent higher than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,440 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but 24 percent higher than April 2004. The weather conditions were mostly favorable during April with a mix of light rainfall and sunny periods. Hawaii's revised 2004 total papaya utilization is estimated at 35.8 million pounds, 16 percent below the final 2003 utilized production. This is the lowest papaya utilization since 1973. Harvested acres decreased 21 percent from the previous season. Weather conditions were drier than normal early in the growing season followed by a very wet March, adversely affecting flowering and lowering production in September. March's wet conditions increased the incidence of papaya crop disease for much of the growing season. The unfavorable weather conditions, combined with fewer harvested acres, contributed to lower production in 2004. California Peaches: The California 2005 peach crop is forecast at 920,000 tons, down 3 percent from both last year and the 2003 crop. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 410,000 tons, unchanged from the previous year but 1 percent below 2003. California orchards experienced an adequate number of chilling hours, which benefitted the Freestone peach crop. Bloom was delayed slightly due to cool weather, but these temperatures allowed the fruit to size better than last year's crop. Harvest began in the Arvin area around the middle of April for the Early Treat variety. It is expected that the early variety harvest dates will remain consistent with last year and the middle and late season variety harvest will be slightly delayed due to April's cool temperatures. Quality is reported to be very good. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 510,000 tons, down 5 percent from both last year and the 2003 crop. The State experienced ideal weather conditions during the bloom period. Full bloom was about a week ahead of last season, but harvest is expected to be a little behind schedule from the 2004 crop due to cooler than average temperatures during April. Set is expected to be lighter than a year ago, but better sizes are anticipated as a result of the lighter set. Guavas: Guava utilized production in Hawaii for 2004 is estimated at 8.10 million pounds, up 21 percent from 2003. Harvested area totaled 500 acres compared to 530 acres a year ago. Yield (based on utilized production) averaged 16,200 pounds per acre, up 3,600 pounds from the previous year. Weather was mixed, with sunny and dry days early in the year, followed by a wet summer. Taro: Hawaii taro production for crop year 2004 is estimated at 5.20 million pounds, up 4 percent from 2003's record low of 5.00 million pounds. Area harvested, at 370 acres, is down 50 acres from 2003. Adverse weather affected taro production during the 2004 crop year. Heavy rainfall caused occasional flooding and contributed to wet conditions responsible for an increase in the incidence of fungal diseases such as Phytophthora Leaf Blight and Taro Pocket Rot. However, losses from these diseases varied by location and appeared not to be as widespread as in previous years. Apple snails (Pomacea canaliculata) continued to plague taro in varying degrees. Grapefruit: The U.S. grapefruit forecast is 999,000 tons, unchanged from the previous forecast but 54 percent below last season's final utilization. Florida's grapefruit forecast, at 13.0 million boxes (553,000 tons), is unchanged from April but 68 percent below last season's final utilization. If realized, this will be the lowest grapefruit utilization since the 1935-36 season. The white grapefruit forecast is 3.50 million boxes (149,000 tons), unchanged from April but 78 percent below last season. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 9.50 million boxes (404,000 tons), is unchanged from April 1 but 62 percent below last season's final utilization. Results of the row count survey conducted on April 27-28, in conjunction with utilization through that time, are the primary indicators for the May grapefruit forecast. The row count survey indicates 90 percent of all grapefruit rows have been harvested. Arizona, California, and Texas forecasts are carried forward from April. Tangerines: The 2004-05 U.S. tangerine crop forecast is 339,000 tons, unchanged from the previous forecast but 22 percent below last season's final utilization of 435,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop, at 4.45 million boxes (211,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 32 percent below last season's utilization of 6.50 million boxes. Harvest of the early Fallglo and Sunburst varieties is complete. The row count survey indicates 79 percent of the Honey tangerine rows are harvested. Arizona and California tangerine forecasts are carried forward from April. Tangelos: Florida's 2004-05 tangelo forecast is final at 1.55 million boxes (70,000 tons), unchanged from April but 55 percent more than last season's utilized production. Tangelos harvest is virtually complete with row count indicating 90 percent of the rows harvested, 15 percentage points more than last season for the same time period. Temples: Florida's Temple forecast is 650,000 boxes (29,000 tons) for the 2004-05 season, unchanged from last month but 54 percent below last season's final utilization of 1.40 million boxes. Temple harvest is complete. The row count survey indicates 78 percent of the rows have been harvested, 12 percentage points less than last season for the same time period. If attained, this year's crop will be the smallest since the 1953-54 season, when Temple estimates began. Florida Citrus: Florida's weather in the citrus areas during April, was mostly warm and dry with some windy days during the third week. Daytime highs reached the mid 80s in all areas. Rain was limited and sporadic. Citrus trees in all areas, where growers have been consistent in irrigating and fertilizing, are showing new growth. New foliage is beginning to harden in well kept groves. Some of the new pea size fruit is dropping as the trees are adjusting to the fruit set they can carry for the next crop year. Early-midseason orange harvest is over, while Valencia orange harvest is close to the halfway point. Between five and six million boxes of Valencia oranges per week are being utilized for fresh and processed use. Grapefruit harvest peaked during the first week of the month. The majority of the white variety grapefruit is going to processing, while almost equal amounts of colored grapefruit are going to fresh and processing. Temple and tangelo harvest is complete for the season. Honey tangerine harvest is slowing with the majority being picked primarily for the fresh market. California Citrus: Citrus groves were sprayed for worms and pre-emergent herbicides were applied for weed control. Growers also topped and hedged their groves. Harvest of navel and Valencia oranges, tangelos, and lemons continued with good yields and quality reported. Pummelo, MeloGold, and OroBlanco variety grapefruit were picked and packed. Rio Red variety grapefruit harvest was active in the Coachella Valley. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape, tree fruit, and nut growers began their seasonal cycle of irrigation and cultivation during April. Fruit thinning and weed control activities were underway in most tree fruit orchards. Growers continued to apply fungicides for mildew and fungus control in vineyards. Small berry clusters were developing in grape vineyards. Wet spring weather has slowed the maturity of early variety apricots and nectarines. The prune crop in northern areas of the State was reported to be spotty but appeared better than the previous year. Also, hail damage occurred to prunes in some northern California orchards. Harvest of early variety cherries began. Rain damage to the cherry crop was reported in Tulare and San Joaquin counties. Strawberry harvesting was underway in the San Joaquin Valley. Some growers reported damage to their strawberry crop as a result of the wet weather. Pistachio pollination got underway at the beginning of April and was complete in most areas by month's end. Blight control spray continued to be applied to walnut orchards. Almond orchards were sprayed with herbicides, and center strips were mowed. Avocado and olive trees were blooming. Spring Potatoes: Spring production in 2005 is forecast at 18.1 million cwt, up 1 percent from the April forecast but 20 percent below last year. Area for harvest is estimated at 64,400 acres, up 2 percent from the April estimate but 11 percent below last year. The average yield is forecast at 281 cwt per acre, down 3 cwt from last month and 33 cwt below a year ago. Florida production is forecast at 6.55 million cwt, down 7 percent from the April 1 forecast and 15 percent below the 2003 production. Rains in Florida during early April delayed some digging but mild conditions during the rest of the month allowed harvesting to stay on schedule. North Carolina's potato crop, forecasted at 2.66 million cwt, is up 8 percent from the April 1 forecast but 1 percent below last year. Planting was completed behind the 5-year average but the crop is in good condition. California spring production is forecast at 5.66 million cwt, 5 percent above last month's forecast but down 32 percent from a year ago. Market pressure prompted significant cutbacks in this year's planted acreage. Spring potato harvest is underway with the crop in good condition. Production in Texas is forecast at 2.05 million cwt, up 7 percent from the April forecast but 7 percent below 2004. Producers in Texas have had good growing condition with near perfect weather. Arizona growers expect production to be 1.18 million cwt, up 6 percent from the April forecast but down 33 percent from 2004. Tobacco: U.S. tobacco production for 2004 is revised down less than 1 percent from the January preliminary estimate. Harvested acreage is down less than 1 percent, while the average yield decreased 4 pounds per acre. Total production, at 879 million pounds, is up 10 percent from 2003. Growers harvested 408,040 acres in 2004, down 1 percent from the previous year and the lowest since 1874. Flue-cured production, at 519 million pounds, is revised up less than 1 percent from the January preliminary estimate. This is 14 percent greater than 2003 when 457 million pounds were produced. Growers harvested 228,400 acres, down 2 percent from the previous year. Flue-cured yields averaged 2,272 pounds per acre, up 315 pounds from 2003. North Carolina, the leading producer of flue-cured tobacco, produced 344 million pounds, almost two-thirds of all flue-cured production. Burley production, which accounted for 98 percent of all light air-cured tobacco, is revised down 2 percent from the January preliminary estimate to 292 million pounds. This is 4 percent above 2003 when 282 million pounds were produced. Producers of burley tobacco harvested 153,150 acres in 2004, up 1 percent from the previous year. Yields averaged 1,908 pounds per acre, 58 pounds greater than 2003. Kentucky, the leading producer of burley tobacco, produced 207 million pounds, 71 percent of all burley grown in the United States. Total fire-cured production is revised up 1 percent from the January preliminary estimate. Production totaled 37.2 million pounds, up 8 percent from the previous year. Growers harvested a total of 11,730 acres, 4 percent above 2003. Fire-cured yields averaged 3,167 pounds per acre up 100 pounds from the previous year. Dark air-cured production is revised up 2 percent from the January preliminary estimate. Production totaled 11.9 million pounds, 5 percent above the previous year. Growers harvested 4,260 acres in 2004, up 3 percent from 2003. Yields averaged 2,799 pounds per acre, up 73 pounds from the previous year. Kentucky, the leading producer of dark air-cured tobacco, produced 10.3 million pounds in 2004, accounting for 87 percent of the dark air-cured tobacco grown in the United States. Production of cigar tobacco, which includes filler, binder, and wrapper, is revised down 2 percent from the January preliminary estimate to a total of 13.3 million pounds for 2004. This is 6 percent below the 2003 production. Growers harvested 7,200 acres in 2004, down 6 percent from the previous year. Average yields were 1,850 pounds per acre, unchanged from 2003. Cotton: All cotton production is estimated at 23.3 million 480-pound bales, 27 percent above the 2003 production level. The U.S. all cotton yield averaged 855 pounds per harvested acre, up 125 pounds per acre from a year ago. The 2004 yield and production are both record highs. Upland cotton production is estimated at 22.5 million 480-pound bales, 26 percent more than last year's production. This is the largest production in history, surpassing the 2001 record of 19.6 million 480-pound bales. The U.S. yield for upland cotton is a record high 843 pounds per acre, up 120 pounds more than 2003. American-Pima production totaled 745,600 bales, up 72 percent from 2003 due to a 40 percent increase in harvested area and a 273 pound higher yield per acre. American-Pima yield and production are both record highs. The area planted to all cotton totaled 13.7 million acres, up 1 percent from 2003. Harvested area increased 9 percent from the previous year to 13.1 million acres. Data from the 7 Objective Yield States showed above average boll counts, higher weights than any of the previous six seasons, and above average harvest loss. Alabama and Georgia experienced drought conditions early in the 2004 growing season. However, by mid-June, all of the Southeastern States were ahead of their normal planting pace. Consequently, crop development was ahead of normal pace through July. During the months of August and September, six Hurricanes (Alex, Charley, Frances, Gaston, Ivan, and Jeanne) crossed over different regions of the Southeast. No major damage was reported in the northeastern areas, while the other regions encountered plants that were blown over and twisted and cotton that was knocked out of the bolls. The damage to the crop was not as severe as originally forecast. Late September and early October temperatures were above normal allowing the crop to mature and growers to make significant harvest progress. Objective yield data for Georgia showed the highest average boll counts in the 7-year data series and above average boll weights. North Carolina boll counts remained above average, while the average boll weights were higher than the previous 6 years. Producers in the majority of the Delta States planted their crop on time despite scattered showers disrupting fieldwork activities. Louisiana overcame persistent rainfall during the peak planting season. Below normal temperatures delayed development during the growing season. Harvest was behind the normal pace due to a late growing season compounded by showers saturating fields. Objective yield boll counts and average boll weights in Mississippi were above average. Louisiana's boll counts and weight per boll were slightly above average. Boll counts in Arkansas were slightly above the 15-year average but boll weights were higher than any of the previous 15 years. Texas growers began the planting season at an above average pace. Rains during the end of June benefitted dryland cotton in the Panhandle and the moisture allowed producers to proceed with planting. Late-planted acres received beneficial rainfall during the month of August. Showers and below normal temperatures switched from being beneficial early in the growing season to delaying progress and maturation later in the season. Growers were concerned that the delayed cotton crop would be unable to finish boll setting, while muddy conditions hindered equipment from entering fields. During the month of December, fields dried allowing growers to make significant progress harvesting their crop. Harvest was near completion by the end of January. Objective yield measurements showed the Texas boll counts and average boll weights as the highest in the 15-year data series. Some Arizona and California upland cotton growers began planting during early-spring, due to above normal temperatures. Despite the favorable weather, some growers delayed planting and waited for more traditional planting dates due to erratic spring weather in the prior years. This resulted in variable cotton growth and development. The continued warm weather conditions in June and July promoted crop development ahead of the 5-year average. In the San Joaquin Valley, harvest started the last week of September. However, rain arrived in mid-October and delayed harvest for many growers. By the end of December, harvest was virtually complete except in Arizona where it was delayed by frequent scattered showers. Data from objective yield measurements showed California boll counts were the second highest in the last 15 years, surpassed only by 2002. Boll weights were below the 15-year average, but the highest since 1998. California began planting American-Pima cotton earlier than normal due to unusually warm weather during the first two weeks of March. Weather conditions remained favorable throughout most of the growing season, promoting rapid growth and development. However, rain delayed harvest in mid-October. By the end of December, harvest was virtually complete. Cottonseed: Cottonseed production in 2004 totaled a record high 8.24 million tons, up 24 percent from 2003. Sales to oil mills accounted for 55 percent of the disposition. The remaining 45 percent will be used for seed, feed, exports, and various other uses. Reliability of May 1 Crop Production Forecast Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between April 22 and May 6 to gather information on expected yield as of May 1. The Objective Yield Survey was conducted in three States (Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas) where winter wheat is normally mature enough to make meaningful counts. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 14,500 producers representing all major production areas. These producers were selected from an earlier acreage survey and were asked about the probable winter wheat acres for harvest and yield on their operation. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the May 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 79 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida State Statistical Office submits its analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. The May 1 orange production forecasts for these three States are carried forward from April. Revision Policy: The May 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the May 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 winter wheat production forecast is 7.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 7.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 12.1 percent. Differences between the May 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 89 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 285 million bushels. The May 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not imply that the May 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 orange production forecast is 2.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 4.4 percent. Differences between the May 1 orange forecast and the final estimate, during the past 20 years have averaged 166,000 tons, ranging from 5,000 tons to 714,000 tons. The May 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 6 times and above 14 times. The difference does not imply that the May 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye(202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice(202) 720-7688 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Travis Thorson - Hay, Oats, Sorghum(202) 690-3234 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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