Cr Pr 2-2 (9-05) a Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 12, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. ************************************************************************ Update Alert The September 2005 Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Corn for Grain Plant Populations and Number of Ears per Acre for Nebraska were corrected on pages 26 and 27. Final plant populations and ear counts for 2001-2004 were also added for all States. ************************************************************************ Corn Production Up 3 Percent from August Forecast Soybean Production Up 2 Percent Cotton Production Up 5 Percent Corn production is forecast at 10.6 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last month but 10 percent below 2004. If realized, this would be the second largest crop on record. Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 143.2 bushels per acre, up 4.0 bushels from August but 17.2 bushels below the record high last year. Forecast yields are down from the previous year in all Corn Belt States except Michigan and Wisconsin. Compared with last year, the largest yield decreases are expected in Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky, and New Jersey. Farmers expect to harvest 74.3 million acres of corn for grain, down 50,000 acres from August but up 1 percent from 2004. Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 2 percent from the August forecast but down 9 percent from the record crop of 2004. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushel from August. Adequate moisture across most of the Corn Belt and the Great Plains by the end of the month was a relief for many dry areas, including most of the drought-stricken areas of Illinois and Missouri. The Delta and Southeast also received favorable moisture, maintaining good yield potential in most areas, including a record high forecast in Louisiana and a record tying forecast in South Carolina. All cotton production is forecast at 22.3 million 480-pound bales, up 5 percent from the August forecast but 4 percent below last year's production. Yield is expected to average 782 pounds per acre, 34 pounds above last month. If realized, both the yield and production will be the second highest on record. The September harvested area is expected to total 13.7 million acres, up less than 1 percent from August and 5 percent above 2004. Producers in the Great Plains, California, Georgia, New Mexico, and Louisiana are expecting higher yields than last month. Yield expectations in Texas increased due to excellent growing conditions in the High Plains area. California navel orange production for the 2005-06 season is forecast at 42.0 million boxes (1.58 million tons), down 2 percent from last season's 43.0 million boxes (1.61 million tons). This initial forecast is based on an objective measurement survey conducted in the California Central Valley. Fruit set is showing an increase when compared to last season. Fruit size is variable but sizes overall are reported smaller than last season with very well formed fruit. Fruit quality is reported as good and expected to be maintained if normal fruit growth rate holds through the season. This report was approved on September 12, 2005. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Grains & Hay Corn for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Plant Populations Per Acre. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Ears Per Acre. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Rice, by Class. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Sorghum for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Oilseeds Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Soybeans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Cumulative Boll Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Cottonseed. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Sugarbeets. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Hazelnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Walnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Citrus Fruits Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Potatoes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 195 180 123.0 120.0 118.0 23,985 21,240 AR : 305 230 140.0 134.0 125.0 42,700 28,750 CA : 150 165 175.0 160.0 155.0 26,250 25,575 CO : 1,040 940 135.0 137.0 130.0 140,400 122,200 DE : 153 150 152.0 137.0 137.0 23,256 20,550 GA : 280 220 130.0 129.0 125.0 36,400 27,500 IL : 11,600 11,950 180.0 125.0 136.0 2,088,000 1,625,200 IN : 5,530 5,650 168.0 145.0 149.0 929,040 841,850 IA : 12,400 12,650 181.0 164.0 169.0 2,244,400 2,137,850 KS : 2,880 3,100 150.0 125.0 130.0 432,000 403,000 KY : 1,140 1,160 152.0 130.0 122.0 173,280 141,520 LA : 410 350 135.0 125.0 140.0 55,350 49,000 MD : 425 400 153.0 135.0 135.0 65,025 54,000 MI : 1,920 1,970 134.0 135.0 137.0 257,280 269,890 MN : 7,050 7,000 159.0 155.0 157.0 1,120,950 1,099,000 MS : 440 365 136.0 135.0 135.0 59,840 49,275 MO : 2,880 2,950 162.0 99.0 103.0 466,560 303,850 NE : 7,950 8,100 166.0 156.0 160.0 1,319,700 1,296,000 NJ : 72 61 143.0 113.0 113.0 10,296 6,893 NM : 58 45 180.0 180.0 180.0 10,440 8,100 NY : 500 455 122.0 120.0 117.0 61,000 53,235 NC : 740 700 117.0 115.0 115.0 86,580 80,500 ND : 1,150 1,200 105.0 115.0 120.0 120,750 144,000 OH : 3,110 3,220 158.0 135.0 141.0 491,380 454,020 OK : 200 210 150.0 130.0 132.0 30,000 27,720 PA : 980 880 140.0 123.0 120.0 137,200 105,600 SC : 295 280 100.0 108.0 105.0 29,500 29,400 SD : 4,150 3,900 130.0 120.0 116.0 539,500 452,400 TN : 615 560 140.0 128.0 124.0 86,100 69,440 TX : 1,680 1,800 139.0 124.0 120.0 233,520 216,000 VA : 360 360 145.0 122.0 124.0 52,200 44,640 WA : 105 85 200.0 190.0 195.0 21,000 16,575 WI : 2,600 2,800 136.0 130.0 136.0 353,600 380,800 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 269 232 147.7 143.6 142.6 39,735 33,088 : US : 73,632 74,318 160.4 139.2 143.2 11,807,217 10,638,661 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-----------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AR : 56 57 84.0 80.0 80.0 4,704 4,560 CO : 180 160 30.0 29.0 27.0 5,400 4,320 IL : 82 95 109.0 78.0 78.0 8,938 7,410 KS : 2,900 2,650 76.0 69.0 74.0 220,400 196,100 LA : 80 95 65.0 83.0 95.0 5,200 9,025 MO : 145 120 108.0 72.0 74.0 15,660 8,880 NE : 415 270 81.0 77.0 83.0 33,615 22,410 NM : 92 90 46.0 45.0 45.0 4,232 4,050 OK : 240 230 60.0 48.0 54.0 14,400 12,420 SD : 150 120 42.0 52.0 52.0 6,300 6,240 TX : 2,050 2,000 62.0 56.0 56.0 127,100 112,000 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 127 143 70.5 71.4 72.1 8,950 10,306 : US : 6,517 6,030 69.8 63.1 66.0 454,899 397,721 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 2004, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. For 2005, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, KY, MS, NC, PA, SC, and TN. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Rice: Area Planted and Harvested by Class, State, and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long Grain : 1,000 Acres AR : 1,300.0 1,405.0 1,535.0 1,290.0 1,400.0 1,530.0 CA : 7.0 7.0 9.0 7.0 7.0 9.0 LA : 435.0 525.0 520.0 430.0 520.0 515.0 MS : 235.0 235.0 265.0 234.0 234.0 263.0 MO : 175.0 195.0 215.0 170.0 194.0 210.0 TX : 180.0 220.0 201.0 179.0 216.0 200.0 : US : 2,332.0 2,587.0 2,745.0 2,310.0 2,571.0 2,727.0 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : Medium Grain :----------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 165.0 155.0 105.0 164.0 154.0 104.0 CA : 460.0 540.0 450.0 458.0 535.0 447.0 LA : 20.0 13.0 10.0 20.0 13.0 10.0 MO : 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TX : 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 : US : 647.0 711.0 567.0 644.0 705.0 563.0 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : Short Grain :----------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 CA : 42.0 48.0 52.0 42.0 48.0 52.0 : US : 43.0 49.0 53.0 43.0 49.0 53.0 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : All :----------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 1,466.0 1,561.0 1,641.0 1,455.0 1,555.0 1,635.0 CA : 509.0 595.0 511.0 507.0 590.0 508.0 LA : 455.0 538.0 530.0 450.0 533.0 525.0 MS : 235.0 235.0 265.0 234.0 234.0 263.0 MO : 176.0 196.0 216.0 171.0 195.0 211.0 TX : 181.0 222.0 202.0 180.0 218.0 201.0 : US : 3,022.0 3,347.0 3,365.0 2,997.0 3,325.0 3,343.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice acreage and production included with short grain. 2/ Updated from "Acreage" released June 30, 2005. Rice: Yield and Production by Class, State, and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield : Production and :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : 2005 : : : : 2003 : 2004 :------------------: 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long Grain : -------------- Pounds -------------- -------- 1,000 Cwt -------- AR : 6,600 6,900 85,140 96,600 CA : 6,900 7,300 483 511 LA : 5,870 5,360 25,241 27,872 MS : 6,800 6,900 15,912 16,146 MO : 6,130 6,800 10,421 13,192 TX : 6,600 6,750 11,814 14,580 : US : 6,451 6,569 149,011 168,901 179,139 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Medium Grain :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 6,700 7,000 10,988 10,780 CA : 7,840 8,800 35,907 47,080 LA : 5,780 5,000 1,156 650 MO : 6,300 6,900 63 69 TX : 6,600 5,500 66 110 : US : 7,481 8,325 48,180 58,689 45,657 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Short Grain :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 6,000 6,000 60 60 CA : 6,300 6,600 2,646 3,168 : US : 6,293 6,588 2,706 3,228 3,542 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : All :--------------------------------------------------------------------- AR : 6,610 6,910 6,970 6,880 96,188 107,440 112,488 CA : 7,700 8,600 7,800 7,800 39,036 50,759 39,624 LA : 5,870 5,350 5,700 5,850 26,397 28,522 30,713 MS : 6,800 6,900 6,900 6,500 15,912 16,146 17,095 MO : 6,130 6,800 6,900 6,800 10,484 13,261 14,348 TX : 6,600 6,740 7,100 7,000 11,880 14,690 14,070 : US : 6,670 6,942 6,897 6,830 199,897 230,818 228,338 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice acreage and production included with short grain. 2/ Indicated September 1, 2005, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data become available through the growing season. State estimates by class will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 190 140 35.0 32.0 32.0 6,650 4,480 AR : 3,150 2,950 39.5 35.0 34.0 124,425 100,300 DE : 208 178 42.0 38.0 38.0 8,736 6,764 GA : 270 190 31.0 33.0 32.0 8,370 6,080 IL : 9,900 9,650 50.5 39.0 41.0 499,950 395,650 IN : 5,520 5,470 52.0 46.0 45.0 287,040 246,150 IA : 10,150 10,050 49.0 44.0 45.0 497,350 452,250 KS : 2,710 2,800 41.0 32.0 36.0 111,110 100,800 KY : 1,300 1,250 44.0 40.0 39.0 57,200 48,750 LA : 990 860 33.0 32.0 35.0 32,670 30,100 MD : 495 455 43.0 39.0 39.0 21,285 17,745 MI : 1,980 1,940 38.0 39.0 40.0 75,240 77,600 MN : 7,050 6,700 33.5 40.0 41.0 236,175 274,700 MS : 1,640 1,570 38.0 35.0 35.0 62,320 54,950 MO : 4,960 5,050 45.0 31.0 33.0 223,200 166,650 NE : 4,750 4,950 46.5 44.0 44.0 220,875 217,800 NJ : 103 101 42.0 35.0 35.0 4,326 3,535 NY : 172 197 39.0 36.0 34.0 6,708 6,698 NC : 1,500 1,510 34.0 32.0 31.0 51,000 46,810 ND : 3,570 3,000 23.0 32.0 35.0 82,110 105,000 OH : 4,420 4,430 47.0 42.0 44.0 207,740 194,920 OK : 290 270 30.0 25.0 25.0 8,700 6,750 PA : 425 450 46.0 44.0 42.0 19,550 18,900 SC : 530 420 28.0 28.0 28.0 14,840 11,760 SD : 4,120 4,000 34.0 33.0 33.0 140,080 132,000 TN : 1,180 1,200 41.0 40.0 39.0 48,380 46,800 TX : 270 275 32.0 27.0 25.0 8,640 6,875 VA : 530 530 39.0 34.0 34.0 20,670 18,020 WI : 1,550 1,570 35.0 36.0 36.0 54,250 56,520 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 35 28 40.2 39.0 39.0 1,406 1,092 : US : 73,958 72,184 42.5 38.7 39.6 3,140,996 2,856,449 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Peanuts: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 190.0 200.0 225.0 185.0 199.0 223.0 FL : 125.0 145.0 160.0 115.0 130.0 145.0 GA : 545.0 620.0 760.0 540.0 610.0 750.0 NM : 18.0 17.0 19.0 17.0 17.0 19.0 NC : 101.0 105.0 97.0 100.0 105.0 96.0 OK : 37.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 33.0 33.0 SC : 19.0 35.0 62.0 17.0 33.0 59.0 TX : 275.0 240.0 265.0 270.0 235.0 260.0 VA : 34.0 33.0 23.0 33.0 32.0 22.0 : US : 1,344.0 1,430.0 1,646.0 1,312.0 1,394.0 1,607.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2005 : : : : 2003 : 2004 :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- Pounds ------------- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : AL : 2,750 2,800 3,000 2,800 508,750 557,200 624,400 FL : 3,000 2,800 2,900 2,900 345,000 364,000 420,500 GA : 3,450 3,000 3,100 3,100 1,863,000 1,830,000 2,325,000 NM : 2,700 3,500 3,600 3,200 45,900 59,500 60,800 NC : 3,200 3,400 3,300 3,200 320,000 357,000 307,200 OK : 2,800 3,100 3,100 3,200 98,000 102,300 105,600 SC : 3,400 3,400 3,300 3,300 57,800 112,200 194,700 TX : 3,000 3,300 3,800 3,500 810,000 775,500 910,000 VA : 2,900 3,250 2,800 2,800 95,700 104,000 61,600 : US : 3,159 3,057 3,190 3,117 4,144,150 4,261,700 5,009,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Acreage" released on June 30, 2005. Cotton: Area Planted by Type, State, and United States, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Upland : Amer-Pima : All State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2004 : 2005 1/ : 2004 : 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 550.0 550.0 550.0 550.0 AZ : 240.0 240.0 3.0 4.0 243.0 244.0 AR : 910.0 1,050.0 910.0 1,050.0 CA : 560.0 435.0 215.0 230.0 775.0 665.0 FL : 89.0 86.0 89.0 86.0 GA : 1,290.0 1,220.0 1,290.0 1,220.0 KS : 85.0 75.0 85.0 75.0 LA : 500.0 610.0 500.0 610.0 MS : 1,110.0 1,200.0 1,110.0 1,200.0 MO : 380.0 440.0 380.0 440.0 NM : 68.0 55.0 10.6 11.0 78.6 66.0 NC : 730.0 815.0 730.0 815.0 OK : 220.0 240.0 220.0 240.0 SC : 215.0 265.0 215.0 265.0 TN : 530.0 640.0 530.0 640.0 TX : 5,850.0 5,900.0 21.0 25.0 5,871.0 5,925.0 VA : 82.0 93.0 82.0 93.0 : US : 13,409.0 13,914.0 249.6 270.0 13,658.6 14,184.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Crop Production " released August 12, 2005. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 2005 : : State : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 540.0 545.0 724 726 722 814.0 820.0 AZ : 238.0 239.0 1,458 1,406 1,406 723.0 700.0 AR : 900.0 1,040.0 1,114 984 937 2,089.0 2,030.0 CA : 557.0 433.0 1,543 1,304 1,330 1,790.0 1,200.0 FL : 87.0 85.0 601 548 548 109.0 97.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,210.0 674 746 762 1,797.0 1,920.0 KS : 80.0 70.0 424 549 555 70.7 81.0 LA : 490.0 600.0 867 814 920 885.0 1,150.0 MS : 1,100.0 1,180.0 1,024 928 895 2,346.0 2,200.0 MO : 378.0 435.0 1,054 892 850 830.0 770.0 NM : 64.0 51.0 848 829 866 113.0 92.0 NC : 725.0 810.0 900 805 800 1,360.0 1,350.0 OK : 200.0 220.0 727 633 698 303.0 320.0 SC : 214.0 263.0 875 800 757 390.0 415.0 TN : 525.0 635.0 900 852 831 984.0 1,100.0 TX : 5,350.0 5,500.0 694 532 628 7,740.0 7,200.0 VA : 81.0 92.0 956 699 678 161.4 130.0 : US :12,809.0 13,408.0 843 737 772 22,505.1 21,575.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 3.0 4.0 896 960 960 5.6 8.0 CA : 214.0 226.0 1,532 1,381 1,338 683.0 630.0 NM : 10.5 11.0 869 1,056 1,047 19.0 24.0 TX : 20.5 24.0 890 1,029 900 38.0 45.0 : US : 248.0 265.0 1,443 1,333 1,281 745.6 707.0 : All : AL : 540.0 545.0 724 726 722 814.0 820.0 AZ : 241.0 243.0 1,451 1,399 1,399 728.6 708.0 AR : 900.0 1,040.0 1,114 984 937 2,089.0 2,030.0 CA : 771.0 659.0 1,540 1,328 1,333 2,473.0 1,830.0 FL : 87.0 85.0 601 548 548 109.0 97.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,210.0 674 746 762 1,797.0 1,920.0 KS : 80.0 70.0 424 549 555 70.7 81.0 LA : 490.0 600.0 867 814 920 885.0 1,150.0 MS : 1,100.0 1,180.0 1,024 928 895 2,346.0 2,200.0 MO : 378.0 435.0 1,054 892 850 830.0 770.0 NM : 74.5 62.0 850 864 898 132.0 116.0 NC : 725.0 810.0 900 805 800 1,360.0 1,350.0 OK : 200.0 220.0 727 633 698 303.0 320.0 SC : 214.0 263.0 875 800 757 390.0 415.0 TN : 525.0 635.0 900 852 831 984.0 1,100.0 TX : 5,370.5 5,524.0 695 534 630 7,778.0 7,245.0 VA : 81.0 92.0 956 699 678 161.4 130.0 : US :13,057.0 13,673.0 855 748 782 23,250.7 22,282.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb. net weight bale. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,664.6 8,242.1 7,984.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : CT 1/ : 2,370 2,400 1,556 1,706 2,880 3,687 4,095 FL : 4,000 2,800 2,450 2,400 11,000 9,800 6,720 GA : 23,000 16,000 2,030 1,700 59,400 46,690 27,200 IN 2/ : 4,200 2,050 8,190 8,610 KY : 114,950 84,900 2,044 1,962 225,042 235,003 166,560 MD 2/ : 1,100 1,700 1,595 1,870 MA 1/ : 1,220 1,200 1,598 1,613 1,740 1,949 1,935 MO 1/ : 1,450 1,400 2,300 2,200 2,828 3,335 3,080 NC : 156,100 126,500 2,246 2,195 299,995 350,560 277,675 OH : 5,600 3,000 1,960 1,950 8,745 10,976 5,850 PA : 4,000 5,000 2,025 2,140 7,880 8,100 10,700 SC : 27,000 23,000 2,250 2,100 63,000 60,750 48,300 TN : 30,260 23,260 2,161 2,189 65,632 65,381 50,918 VA : 29,680 17,050 2,267 2,369 38,818 67,285 40,395 WV 1/ : 1,300 500 1,300 1,700 1,560 1,690 850 WI 2/ : 1,810 1,956 4,255 3,541 : US : 408,040 307,010 2,155 2,099 802,560 879,227 644,278 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belt : NC : 43,000 27,000 2,350 2,300 101,050 62,100 VA : 23,000 14,000 2,505 2,500 57,615 35,000 US : 66,000 41,000 2,404 2,368 158,665 97,100 Type 12, Eastern NC : NC : 89,000 82,000 2,250 2,200 200,250 180,400 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 19,400 14,000 2,200 2,100 42,680 29,400 SC : 27,000 23,000 2,250 2,100 60,750 48,300 US : 46,400 37,000 2,229 2,100 103,430 77,700 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,000 2,800 2,450 2,400 9,800 6,720 GA : 23,000 16,000 2,030 1,700 46,690 27,200 US : 27,000 18,800 2,092 1,804 56,490 33,920 Total Flue-cured : 228,400 178,800 2,272 2,176 518,835 389,120 Class 2, Fire-cured : KY : 5,300 6,400 3,394 3,400 17,990 21,760 TN : 5,720 5,720 3,115 3,000 17,816 17,160 VA : 710 350 1,895 2,300 1,345 805 US : 11,730 12,470 3,167 3,186 37,151 39,725 Class 3, Air-cured : Light Air-cured : Burley : IN 1/ : 4,200 2,050 8,610 KY : 106,000 75,000 1,950 1,800 206,700 135,000 MO 2/ : 1,450 1,400 2,300 2,200 3,335 3,080 NC : 4,700 3,500 1,400 1,650 6,580 5,775 OH : 5,600 3,000 1,960 1,950 10,976 5,850 PA 3/ : 2,200 2,200 4,840 TN : 24,000 17,000 1,920 1,900 46,080 32,300 VA : 5,900 2,700 1,390 1,700 8,201 4,590 WV 2/ : 1,300 500 1,300 1,700 1,690 850 US : 153,150 105,300 1,908 1,826 292,172 192,285 Southern MD Belt : MD 1/ : 1,100 1,700 1,870 PA : 2,200 1,500 1,800 2,000 3,960 3,000 US : 3,300 1,500 1,767 2,000 5,830 3,000 Total Light Air-cured: 156,450 106,800 1,905 1,829 298,002 195,285 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- 1,000 Pounds : Class 3, Air-cured : Dark Air-cured : KY : 3,650 3,500 2,825 2,800 10,313 9,800 TN : 540 540 2,750 2,700 1,485 1,458 VA 4/ : 70 1,770 124 US : 4,260 4,040 2,799 2,787 11,922 11,258 Class 4, Cigar Filler : PA Seedleaf : PA : 1,800 1,300 2,300 2,200 4,140 2,860 Class 5, Cigar Binder : CT Valley Binder : CT 2/ : 1,500 1,500 1,530 1,800 2,295 2,700 MA 2/ : 920 900 1,600 1,650 1,472 1,485 US : 2,420 2,400 1,557 1,744 3,767 4,185 WI Binder : Southern WI : WI 1/ : 1,400 1,960 2,744 Northern WI : WI 1/ : 410 1,945 797 Total WI Binder : 1,810 1,956 3,541 Total Cigar Binder : 4,230 2,400 1,728 1,744 7,308 4,185 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper : CT Valley Shade-grown : CT 2/ : 870 900 1,600 1,550 1,392 1,395 MA 2/ : 300 300 1,590 1,500 477 450 US : 1,170 1,200 1,597 1,538 1,869 1,845 All Cigar Types : 7,200 4,900 1,850 1,814 13,317 8,890 : All Tobacco : 408,040 307,010 2,155 2,099 879,227 644,278 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3/ Estimates began in 2005. 4/ No Sun-cured tobacco is expected to be harvested in 2005. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- Acres --- Pounds 1,000 Pounds : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 43,000 2,350 101,050 VA : 23,000 2,505 57,615 US : 66,000 2,404 158,665 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 89,000 2,250 200,250 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 19,400 2,200 42,680 SC : 27,000 2,250 60,750 US : 46,400 2,229 103,430 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,000 2,450 9,800 GA : 23,000 2,030 46,690 US : 27,000 2,092 56,490 Total 11-14 : 228,400 2,272 518,835 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 710 1,895 1,345 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2,700 3,100 8,370 TN : 5,300 3,100 16,430 US : 8,000 3,100 24,800 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2,600 3,700 9,620 TN : 420 3,300 1,386 US : 3,020 3,644 11,006 Total 21-23 : 11,730 3,167 37,151 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 4,200 2,050 8,610 KY : 106,000 1,950 206,700 MO : 1,450 2,300 3,335 NC : 4,700 1,400 6,580 OH : 5,600 1,960 10,976 TN : 24,000 1,920 46,080 VA : 5,900 1,390 8,201 WV : 1,300 1,300 1,690 US : 153,150 1,908 292,172 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 1,100 1,700 1,870 PA : 2,200 1,800 3,960 US : 3,300 1,767 5,830 Total 31, 32 : 156,450 1,905 298,002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- Acres --- Pounds 1,000 Pounds : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,350 2,950 6,933 TN : 540 2,750 1,485 US : 2,890 2,913 8,418 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,300 2,600 3,380 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 70 1,770 124 Total 35-37 : 4,260 2,799 11,922 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 1,800 2,300 4,140 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,500 1,530 2,295 MA : 920 1,600 1,472 US : 2,420 1,557 3,767 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,400 1,960 2,744 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 410 1,945 797 Total 54-55 : 1,810 1,956 3,541 Total 51-55 : 4,230 1,728 7,308 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 870 1,600 1,392 MA : 300 1,590 477 US : 1,170 1,597 1,869 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 7,200 1,850 13,317 : All Tobacco : 408,040 2,155 879,227 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for 2005 can be found on pages 11, 12, and 13. This table is included to provide complete estimates for 2004. Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres ------- --- Cwt --- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : CA : 13.0 14.0 13.0 14.0 250 250 3,250 3,500 FL : 5.7 6.0 5.5 5.8 285 270 1,568 1,566 : Total : 18.7 20.0 18.5 19.8 260 256 4,818 5,066 : Spring 1/ : AZ : 6.2 4.3 6.2 4.3 285 275 1,767 1,183 CA : 17.5 13.8 17.5 13.8 475 410 8,313 5,658 FL : 24.8 23.6 24.5 23.2 313 282 7,678 6,550 Hastings : 18.2 17.3 18.0 17.0 320 285 5,760 4,845 Other FL : 6.6 6.3 6.5 6.2 295 275 1,918 1,705 NC : 17.0 14.5 13.5 14.0 200 190 2,700 2,660 TX : 11.0 9.5 10.5 9.1 210 225 2,205 2,048 : Total : 76.5 65.7 72.2 64.4 314 281 22,663 18,099 : Summer 2/ : AL : 2.3 1.6 1.3 1.3 175 135 228 176 CA : 7.0 6.2 7.0 6.2 350 340 2,450 2,108 CO : 5.8 4.9 5.7 4.8 350 365 1,995 1,752 DE : 3.3 3.0 3.1 2.9 260 230 806 667 IL : 5.0 4.5 4.8 4.3 415 340 1,992 1,462 KS : 3.5 4.1 3.4 4.0 400 360 1,360 1,440 MD : 4.7 3.5 4.6 3.4 260 250 1,196 850 MO : 6.9 6.0 6.2 5.7 310 340 1,922 1,938 NJ : 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.1 270 265 594 557 NM 3/ : 1.2 1.0 340 340 TX : 10.4 9.4 9.6 8.7 440 465 4,224 4,046 VA : 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 240 230 1,200 1,127 : Total : 58.4 50.3 53.9 48.3 340 334 18,307 16,123 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2004-2005 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--------- 1,000 Acres --------- -- Cwt -- 1,000 Cwt : Fall 2/ 4/ : CA : 7.6 7.2 7.6 7.2 480 3,648 CO : 65.0 58.2 64.3 58.0 370 23,791 ID : 355.0 330.0 353.0 328.0 374 131,970 10 SW Co: 25.0 24.0 25.0 24.0 490 12,250 Other ID: 330.0 306.0 328.0 304.0 365 119,720 IN 5/ : 3.4 3.2 350 1,120 ME : 63.5 55.5 61.5 54.5 310 19,065 MA : 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 320 800 MI : 43.0 43.0 42.0 42.0 325 13,650 MN : 47.0 46.0 44.0 42.0 430 18,920 MT : 10.7 11.0 10.6 10.9 335 3,551 NE : 22.0 20.0 21.6 19.6 430 9,288 NV : 6.7 5.5 6.7 5.5 430 2,881 NM 3/ : 4.0 5.3 4.0 5.3 430 1,720 NY : 20.0 20.5 19.2 20.1 270 5,184 ND : 105.0 90.0 101.0 86.0 265 26,765 OH : 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 300 1,080 OR : 37.0 35.0 37.0 35.0 534 19,775 Malheur : 5.2 4.5 5.2 4.5 470 2,444 Other OR: 31.8 30.5 31.8 30.5 545 17,331 PA : 12.0 11.5 11.0 11.0 240 2,640 RI : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 290 145 WA : 160.0 154.0 159.0 154.0 590 93,810 WI : 71.0 71.0 70.0 70.0 435 30,450 : Total :1,039.7 970.4 1,022.3 955.7 401 410,253 : US :1,193.3 1,106.4 1,166.9 1,088.2 391 456,041 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ 2004 crop revised. 3/ Summer potatoes combined with fall potatoes in 2005. 4/ The forecast of fall potato production will be published in the November "Crop Production." 5/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Tons -------- --- 1,000 Tons -- : FL : 406.0 420.0 35.2 37.0 37.0 14,281 15,540 HI : 23.2 23.9 87.3 86.9 86.9 2,026 2,077 LA : 465.0 455.0 23.8 26.0 24.0 11,067 10,920 TX : 44.0 44.0 37.3 34.7 36.9 1,639 1,624 : US : 938.2 942.9 30.9 32.8 32.0 29,013 30,161 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Aug 1 : Sep 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Tons -------- --- 1,000 Tons -- : CA : 49.1 46.8 39.3 37.9 37.9 1,930 1,774 CO : 33.5 34.4 25.0 20.1 22.5 838 774 ID : 192.0 167.0 28.7 27.1 27.3 5,510 4,559 MI : 163.0 148.0 21.1 20.0 20.0 3,439 2,960 MN : 470.0 464.0 20.9 19.1 18.5 9,823 8,584 MT : 52.1 50.0 21.7 20.7 21.0 1,131 1,050 NE : 47.5 45.7 22.1 22.5 20.1 1,050 919 ND : 246.0 240.0 19.7 19.0 19.0 4,846 4,560 OH 2/ : 1.7 21.8 37 OR : 12.6 9.6 31.4 29.4 30.2 396 290 WA : 3.8 1.7 37.9 35.9 35.9 144 61 WY : 35.6 35.6 22.8 21.5 21.5 812 765 : US :1,306.9 1,242.8 22.9 21.3 21.2 29,956 26,296 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. 2/ No acreage reported for 2005. Oranges: Utilized Production by State and United States, 2003-04, 2004-05 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 1/ 2/ 3/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2003-04 : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2003-04 : 2004-05 : 2005-06 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 Boxes ------ ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Early Mid & : Navel 4/ : AZ : 300 240 12 9 CA : 39,500 43,000 42,000 1,481 1,613 1,575 FL : 126,000 79,100 5,670 3,560 TX : 1,420 1,500 60 64 US : 167,220 123,840 7,223 5,246 Valencia : AZ : 170 190 6 7 CA : 11,000 18,000 413 675 FL : 116,000 70,500 5,220 3,173 TX : 230 270 10 11 US : 127,400 88,960 5,649 3,866 All : AZ : 470 430 18 16 CA : 50,500 61,000 1,894 2,288 FL : 242,000 149,600 10,890 6,733 TX : 1,650 1,770 70 75 US : 294,620 212,800 12,872 9,112 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2003-04 and 2004-05 revised. Revised grapefruit and other citrus fruit totals will be released September 22, 2005, in "Citrus Fruits 2005 Summary." 2/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 3/ Net lbs. per box: AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85. 4/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Jul : 1,995 2,585 1,060 1,570 2,750 2,480 Aug : 1,995 2,400 1,050 1,465 2,630 2,370 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Nuts: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Hazelnuts 1/ : OR : 37,900 37,500 28,000 : Walnuts : CA : 326,000 325,000 340,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised 2004 utilized production. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 4,527.0 3,970.0 4,021.0 3,471.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 80,930.0 81,592.0 73,632.0 74,318.0 Corn for Silage : 6,103.0 Hay, All : 61,916.0 61,723.0 Alfalfa : 21,707.0 22,118.0 All Other : 40,209.0 39,605.0 Oats : 4,085.0 4,342.0 1,792.0 1,976.0 Proso Millet : 710.0 590.0 595.0 Rice : 3,347.0 3,365.0 3,325.0 3,343.0 Rye : 1,380.0 1,440.0 320.0 323.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 7,486.0 7,013.0 6,517.0 6,030.0 Sorghum for Silage : 352.0 Wheat, All : 59,674.0 58,080.0 49,999.0 50,361.0 Winter : 43,350.0 41,408.0 34,462.0 34,271.0 Durum : 2,561.0 2,573.0 2,363.0 2,453.0 Other Spring : 13,763.0 14,099.0 13,174.0 13,637.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 865.0 1,092.0 828.0 1,067.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 523.0 945.0 516.0 931.0 Mustard Seed : 73.0 61.0 68.7 42.5 Peanuts : 1,430.0 1,646.0 1,394.0 1,607.0 Rapeseed : 8.7 2.2 7.8 1.9 Safflower : 175.0 185.0 159.0 173.0 Soybeans for Beans : 75,208.0 73,103.0 73,958.0 72,184.0 Sunflower : 1,873.0 2,714.0 1,711.0 2,584.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,658.6 14,184.0 13,057.0 13,673.0 Upland : 13,409.0 13,914.0 12,809.0 13,408.0 Amer-Pima : 249.6 270.0 248.0 265.0 Sugarbeets : 1,345.9 1,284.6 1,306.9 1,242.8 Sugarcane : 938.2 942.9 Tobacco : 408.0 307.0 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 30.5 37.5 21.5 26.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,354.3 1,668.8 1,219.3 1,530.8 Dry Edible Peas : 530.0 804.0 507.8 772.0 Lentils : 345.0 450.0 329.0 430.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 0.1 Hops : 27.7 29.2 Peppermint Oil : 77.7 Potatoes, All : 1,193.3 1,106.4 1,166.9 1,088.2 Winter : 18.7 20.0 18.5 19.8 Spring : 76.5 65.7 72.2 64.4 Summer : 58.4 50.3 53.9 48.3 Fall : 1,039.7 970.4 1,022.3 955.7 Spearmint Oil : 15.1 Sweet Potatoes : 96.9 92.3 92.8 89.5 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 69.4 68.2 279,253 236,729 Corn for Grain : " : 160.4 143.2 11,807,217 10,638,661 Corn for Silage : Ton : 17.6 107,336 Hay, All : " : 2.55 2.43 157,774 149,917 Alfalfa : " : 3.47 3.34 75,383 73,849 All Other : " : 2.05 1.92 82,391 76,068 Oats : Bu : 64.7 64.7 115,935 127,819 Proso Millet : " : 25.3 15,065 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,942 6,830 230,818 228,338 Rye : Bu : 26.9 8,615 Sorghum for Grain : " : 69.8 66.0 454,899 397,721 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 13.5 4,763 Wheat, All : Bu : 43.2 43.0 2,158,245 2,167,178 Winter : " : 43.5 44.4 1,499,434 1,520,848 Durum : " : 38.0 37.9 89,893 92,955 Other Spring : " : 43.2 40.6 568,918 553,375 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,618 1,339,530 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 8,242.1 7,984.0 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.3 10,471 Mustard Seed : Lb : 819 56,290 Peanuts : " : 3,057 3,117 4,261,700 5,009,800 Rapeseed : " : 1,394 10,875 Safflower : " : 1,105 175,765 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 42.5 39.6 3,140,996 2,856,449 Sunflower : Lb : 1,197 2,047,863 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 855 782 23,250.7 22,282.0 Upland 2/ : " : 843 772 22,505.1 21,575.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,443 1,281 745.6 707.0 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.9 21.2 29,956 26,296 Sugarcane : " : 30.9 32.0 29,013 30,161 Tobacco : Lb : 2,155 2,099 879,227 644,278 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,228 264 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,460 1,687 17,799 25,829 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 2,249 11,419 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,271 4,182 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 899 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 965 5,600 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 40,000 42,500 6,000 5,100 Hops : " : 1,990 1,977 55,203.9 57,718.5 Peppermint Oil : " : 92 7,146 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 391 456,041 Winter : " : 260 256 4,818 5,066 Spring : " : 314 281 22,663 18,099 Summer : " : 340 334 18,307 16,123 Fall : " : 401 410,253 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 116 1,746 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 174 16,112 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 5,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2003-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,063 2,152 995 Lemons : " : 1,026 798 813 Oranges 3/ : " : 11,545 12,872 9,112 Tangelos (FL) : " : 105 45 70 Tangerines : " : 382 435 339 Temples (FL) : " : 59 63 29 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 8,793.1 10,419.9 9,837.1 Apricots : Ton : 97.6 101.1 90.2 Bananas (HI) : Lbs : 22,500.0 16,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,643.5 6,231.7 6,800.9 Olives (CA) : " : 118.0 104.0 125.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 42,600.0 35,800.0 Peaches : Ton : 1,259.5 1,307.1 1,233.9 Pears : Ton : 934.1 890.3 853.0 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 181.0 49.0 105.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 16.3 25.0 10.7 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 1,040,000 1,010,000 880,000 Hazelnuts (OR) : Ton : 37.9 37.5 28.0 Pecans : Lb : 282,100 185,800 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 326.0 325.0 340.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,260 1,507 1,242 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2004-05 season. 2/ Production years are 2002-2003, 2003-2004, and 2004-2005. 3/ Orange production revised. Grapefruit and other citrus fruit revisions will be released on September 22, 2005 in "Citrus Fruits 2005 Summary." Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,832,030 1,606,620 1,627,260 1,404,680 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,751,560 33,019,470 29,798,130 30,075,750 Corn for Silage : 2,469,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,056,790 24,978,680 Alfalfa : 8,784,610 8,950,930 All Other : 16,272,180 16,027,750 Oats : 1,653,160 1,757,160 725,200 799,670 Proso Millet : 287,330 238,770 240,790 Rice : 1,354,500 1,361,780 1,345,590 1,352,880 Rye : 558,470 582,750 129,500 130,710 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,029,510 2,838,090 2,637,360 2,440,280 Sorghum for Silage : 142,450 Wheat, All 3/ :24,149,470 23,504,400 20,234,100 20,380,590 Winter :17,543,310 16,757,400 13,946,430 13,869,130 Durum : 1,036,410 1,041,270 956,280 992,700 Other Spring : 5,569,750 5,705,720 5,331,390 5,518,760 : Oilseeds : Canola : 350,060 441,920 335,080 431,800 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 211,650 382,430 208,820 376,770 Mustard Seed : 29,540 24,690 27,800 17,200 Peanuts : 578,710 666,120 564,140 650,340 Rapeseed : 3,520 890 3,160 770 Safflower : 70,820 74,870 64,350 70,010 Soybeans for Beans :30,435,930 29,584,050 29,930,060 29,212,140 Sunflower : 757,980 1,098,330 692,420 1,045,720 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,527,500 5,740,120 5,284,040 5,533,330 Upland : 5,426,490 5,630,860 5,183,670 5,426,080 Amer-Pima : 101,010 109,270 100,360 107,240 Sugarbeets : 544,670 519,860 528,890 502,950 Sugarcane : 379,680 381,580 Tobacco : 165,130 124,240 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 12,340 15,180 8,700 10,720 Dry Edible Beans : 548,070 675,350 493,440 619,500 Dry Edible Peas : 214,490 325,370 205,500 312,420 Lentils : 139,620 182,110 133,140 174,020 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,350 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 50 Hops : 11,230 11,810 Peppermint Oil : 31,440 Potatoes, All 3/ : 482,920 447,750 472,230 440,380 Winter : 7,570 8,090 7,490 8,010 Spring : 30,960 26,590 29,220 26,060 Summer : 23,630 20,360 21,810 19,550 Fall : 420,760 392,710 413,710 386,760 Spearmint Oil : 6,110 Sweet Potatoes : 39,210 37,350 37,560 36,220 Taro (HI) 4/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.74 3.67 6,080,020 5,154,170 Corn for Grain : 10.06 8.99 299,917,130 270,234,440 Corn for Silage : 39.43 97,373,580 Hay, All 2/ : 5.71 5.44 143,130,170 136,002,410 Alfalfa : 7.78 7.48 68,386,310 66,994,690 All Other : 4.59 4.31 74,743,860 69,007,730 Oats : 2.32 2.32 1,682,790 1,855,290 Proso Millet : 1.42 341,670 Rice : 7.78 7.66 10,469,730 10,357,240 Rye : 1.69 218,830 Sorghum for Grain : 4.38 4.14 11,554,970 10,102,580 Sorghum for Silage : 30.33 4,320,920 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.90 2.89 58,737,800 58,980,920 Winter : 2.93 2.98 40,807,910 41,390,700 Durum : 2.56 2.55 2,446,490 2,529,820 Other Spring : 2.90 2.73 15,483,410 15,060,400 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.81 607,600 Cottonseed 3/ : 7,477,110 7,242,960 Flaxseed : 1.27 265,980 Mustard Seed : 0.92 25,530 Peanuts : 3.43 3.49 1,933,070 2,272,410 Rapeseed : 1.56 4,930 Safflower : 1.24 79,730 Soybeans for Beans : 2.86 2.66 85,483,900 77,739,800 Sunflower : 1.34 928,900 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.96 0.88 5,062,240 4,851,330 Upland : 0.95 0.87 4,899,910 4,697,400 Amer-Pima : 1.62 1.44 162,340 153,930 Sugarbeets : 51.38 47.43 27,175,630 23,855,330 Sugarcane : 69.32 71.71 26,320,150 27,361,600 Tobacco : 2.42 2.35 398,810 292,240 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.38 11,970 Dry Edible Beans : 1.64 1.89 807,350 1,171,580 Dry Edible Peas : 2.52 517,960 Lentils : 1.42 189,690 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 40,780 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.08 2,540 Ginger Root (HI) : 44.83 47.64 2,720 2,310 Hops : 2.23 2.22 25,040 26,180 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,240 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.80 20,685,670 Winter : 29.19 28.68 218,540 229,790 Spring : 35.18 31.50 1,027,980 820,960 Summer : 38.07 37.41 830,390 731,330 Fall : 44.98 18,608,760 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 790 Sweet Potatoes : 19.46 730,830 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,360 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2003-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 1,871,520 1,952,260 902,650 Lemons : 930,770 723,930 737,540 Oranges 3/ : 10,473,450 11,677,280 8,266,270 Tangelos (FL) : 95,250 40,820 63,500 Tangerines : 346,540 394,630 307,540 Temples (FL) : 53,520 57,150 26,310 : Noncitrus : Apples : 3,988,480 4,726,390 4,462,030 Apricots : 88,520 91,740 81,790 Bananas (HI) : 10,210 7,480 Grapes : 6,026,910 5,653,300 6,169,670 Olives (CA) : 107,050 94,350 113,400 Papayas (HI) : 19,320 16,240 Peaches : 1,142,600 1,185,790 1,119,330 Pears : 847,360 807,630 773,810 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 164,200 44,450 95,250 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 14,790 22,680 9,710 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 471,740 458,130 399,160 Hazelnuts (OR) : 34,380 34,020 25,400 Pecans : 127,960 84,280 Walnuts (CA) : 295,740 294,840 308,440 Maple Syrup : 6,300 7,530 6,210 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2004-05 season. 2/ Production years are 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05. 3/ Orange production revised. Grapefruit and other citrus fruit revisions will be released on September 22, 2005 in "Citrus Fruits 2005 Summary." Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre, Selected States, 2001-2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Sep : 26,750 26,400 27,150 27,750 28,000 : Oct : 26,700 26,350 27,050 27,750 : Nov : 26,650 26,350 27,050 27,700 : Final : 26,650 26,350 27,050 27,700 : : IN : Sep : 26,100 25,350 26,050 26,650 25,300 : Oct : 25,900 25,350 25,900 26,500 : Nov : 25,950 25,300 25,900 26,500 : Final : 25,950 25,300 25,900 26,500 : : IA : Sep : 26,500 26,850 27,400 28,000 28,050 : Oct : 26,550 26,700 27,250 27,950 : Nov : 26,450 26,700 27,250 27,850 : Final : 26,450 26,700 27,250 27,850 : : KS 1/ : Sep : 22,000 21,600 : Oct : 21,900 : Nov : 21,900 : Final : 21,900 : : MN : Sep : 28,050 26,950 28,700 29,300 28,400 : Oct : 28,000 26,850 28,800 29,200 : Nov : 28,000 26,800 28,800 29,250 : Final : 28,000 26,800 28,800 29,300 : : MO 2/ : Sep : 24,350 24,100 : Oct : 24,350 : Nov : 24,350 : Final : 24,350 : : NE : Sep : 22,750 23,250 23,800 24,100 23,900 All : Oct : 22,650 23,250 23,700 24,100 : Nov : 22,750 23,350 23,700 24,050 : Final : 22,750 23,350 23,700 24,050 : : NE : Sep : 26,250 26,400 26,900 26,900 26,700 Irrigated : Oct : 26,100 26,450 26,700 26,900 : Nov : 26,100 26,450 26,650 26,900 : Final : 26,050 26,450 26,650 26,900 : : NE : Sep : 18,550 19,450 19,800 19,700 20,400 Non-Irrigated: Oct : 18,450 19,450 19,800 19,750 : Nov : 18,700 19,650 19,800 19,750 : Final : 18,700 19,650 19,800 19,700 : : OH : Sep : 26,150 24,850 25,900 26,950 25,650 : Oct : 26,100 24,450 25,900 26,550 : Nov : 26,050 24,400 25,900 26,650 : Final : 26,050 24,400 25,900 26,650 : : SD 2/ : Sep : 21,800 23,450 : Oct : 21,800 : Nov : 21,850 : Final : 21,850 : : WI : Sep : 26,800 26,550 27,300 27,700 27,400 : Oct : 26,950 26,400 27,000 27,550 : Nov : 27,000 26,650 27,100 27,550 : Final : 27,000 26,650 27,100 27,550 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Field counts began in 2004. 2/ Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996. Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre, Selected States, 2001-2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Sep : 25,650 25,050 26,700 27,350 26,950 : Oct : 25,550 25,050 26,700 27,400 : Nov : 25,550 25,000 26,650 27,400 : Final : 25,550 25,000 26,650 27,400 : : IN : Sep : 25,500 23,900 25,350 26,200 24,850 : Oct : 25,350 23,650 25,400 25,950 : Nov : 25,400 23,650 25,350 26,050 : Final : 25,400 23,650 25,350 26,050 : : IA : Sep : 25,450 25,950 26,700 27,350 27,150 : Oct : 25,350 25,800 26,550 27,550 : Nov : 25,250 25,800 26,600 27,500 : Final : 25,250 25,800 26,600 27,500 : : KS 1/ : Sep : 22,100 21,100 : Oct : 22,150 : Nov : 22,150 : Final : 22,150 : : MN : Sep : 27,500 26,550 28,300 29,000 28,000 : Oct : 26,750 26,150 28,650 29,250 : Nov : 26,700 26,100 28,600 29,150 : Final : 26,700 26,100 28,600 29,200 : : MO 2/ : Sep : 24,400 22,550 : Oct : 24,250 : Nov : 24,250 : Final : 24,250 : : NE : Sep : 22,200 21,650 22,950 23,650 23,250 All : Oct : 21,950 21,250 22,650 24,000 : Nov : 22,050 21,200 22,600 24,050 : Final : 22,050 21,200 22,600 24,050 : : NE : Sep : 25,550 25,800 26,550 26,550 26,250 Irrigated : Oct : 25,350 25,700 26,350 26,700 : Nov : 25,350 25,650 26,300 26,650 : Final : 25,350 25,650 26,300 26,650 : : NE : Sep : 18,050 16,700 18,300 19,100 19,550 Non-Irrigated: Oct : 17,800 15,950 17,850 19,800 : Nov : 18,000 15,950 17,800 20,000 : Final : 18,000 15,950 17,800 20,000 : : OH : Sep : 25,550 23,700 25,500 25,950 24,800 : Oct : 25,250 22,400 25,700 26,000 : Nov : 25,150 22,350 25,750 26,000 : Final : 25,100 22,350 25,750 26,050 : : SD 2/ : Sep : 21,950 23,150 : Oct : 22,700 : Nov : 22,700 : Final : 22,700 : : WI : Sep : 26,100 25,950 26,150 25,600 26,550 : Oct : 26,100 25,050 26,300 27,150 : Nov : 26,100 25,250 26,250 26,800 : Final : 26,100 25,250 26,250 26,800 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Field counts began in 2004. 2/ Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996. Soybeans: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet, Selected States, 2001-2005 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR 1/ 2/: Sep : : Oct : 2,260 2,446 : Nov : 1,867 2,483 : Final : 1,817 2,511 : : IL : Sep : 2,041 1,952 1,800 2,070 1,973 : Oct : 1,932 1,785 1,606 1,923 : Nov : 1,932 1,795 1,634 1,943 : Final : 1,932 1,802 1,634 1,947 : : IN : Sep : 2,003 1,773 1,786 1,909 1,855 : Oct : 1,882 1,677 1,692 1,866 : Nov : 1,880 1,680 1,582 1,917 : Final : 1,869 1,680 1,582 1,917 : : IA : Sep : 1,809 1,988 1,749 1,772 1,969 : Oct : 1,778 1,828 1,629 1,731 : Nov : 1,787 1,867 1,647 1,737 : Final : 1,796 1,867 1,647 1,741 : : KS 3/ : Sep : 1,482 1,490 : Oct : 1,588 : Nov : 1,639 : Final : 1,636 : : MN : Sep : 1,492 1,688 1,582 1,487 1,684 : Oct : 1,433 1,785 1,417 1,406 : Nov : 1,475 1,739 1,440 1,446 : Final : 1,475 1,715 1,440 1,435 : : MO : Sep : 1,424 1,427 1,144 1,798 1,458 : Oct : 1,732 1,609 1,455 1,943 : Nov : 1,874 1,681 1,547 1,998 : Final : 1,921 1,705 1,523 2,038 : : NE : Sep : 1,961 1,548 1,727 1,835 1,862 : Oct : 1,932 1,517 1,642 1,836 : Nov : 2,003 1,587 1,636 1,895 : Final : 2,048 1,592 1,636 1,895 : : ND 3/ : Sep : 1,114 1,526 : Oct : 1,148 : Nov : 1,243 : Final : 1,242 : : OH : Sep : 1,801 1,593 1,791 1,808 2,040 : Oct : 1,834 1,495 1,898 1,873 : Nov : 1,785 1,499 1,764 1,840 : Final : 1,785 1,492 1,752 1,837 : : SD 3/ : Sep : 1,248 1,634 : Oct : 1,332 : Nov : 1,302 : Final : 1,308 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ September data not available due to plant immaturity. 2/ Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3/ Field counts began in 2004. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2001-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 747 840 798 864 811 : Oct : 780 763 755 771 : Nov : 816 784 744 753 : Dec : 756 772 744 754 : Final : 756 772 744 754 : : CA : Sep : 939 945 973 954 993 : Oct : 902 1,041 945 952 : Nov : 921 1,009 893 945 : Dec : 918 1,011 893 948 : Final : 918 1,011 893 948 : : GA : Sep : 590 569 559 646 667 : Oct : 677 604 646 690 : Nov : 651 591 643 686 : Dec : 664 600 665 687 : Final : 664 608 664 687 : : LA : Sep : 625 663 681 635 746 : Oct : 592 756 778 707 : Nov : 582 749 775 691 : Dec : 588 742 775 691 : Final : 588 742 775 691 : : MS : Sep : 754 802 837 808 818 : Oct : 696 783 824 789 : Nov : 680 768 811 780 : Dec : 679 767 808 780 : Final : 679 767 808 780 : : NC : Sep : 719 636 628 758 799 : Oct : 722 629 630 719 : Nov : 696 560 632 732 : Dec : 705 567 632 733 : Final : 705 564 632 733 : : TX : Sep : 441 536 465 639 620 : Oct : 435 511 431 672 : Nov : 439 520 429 593 : Dec : 445 497 435 624 : Final : 445 497 433 624 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. August Weather Summary America's costliest and possibly most deadly disaster unfolded in a matter of hours on August 29, when Hurricane Katrina charged ashore near Buras, Louisiana, with maximum sustained winds of 140 m.p.h. and a storm surge in excess of 20 feet. Communities across southeastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi were shredded by the large, category 4 hurricane, which also severely damaged a portion of New Orleans' elaborate flood-protection system. After Katrina was well inland and the storm's weather effects were subsiding, hurricane-damaged levees unleashed flood waters on New Orleans, submerging the majority of the city. Ironically, New Orleans had escaped a direct strike from Katrina, although the hurricane's western eyewall moved across the city at the height of the storm. Meanwhile, wet weather across the southern and east-central Plains slowed fieldwork and caused local flooding, but revived pastures and boosted moisture reserves in preparation for winter wheat planting. In contrast, dry August weather across the northern High Plains and the Northwest increased concerns about the likelihood of soil moisture shortages during the upcoming winter wheat establishment season. In addition, the Northwest became the new focus of wildfire activity, as a short-lived but intense period of monsoon showers moistened the Southwest. Farther east, the drought-affected strip from southern Texas to the Great Lakes region experienced variable August conditions. Heavy showers reduced or eliminated rainfall deficits in parts of the middle Mississippi Valley, but drought persisted or intensified in southern Texas, the Arklatex region, and from the central Corn Belt northward to the vicinity of Lakes Superior and Michigan. Dry conditions also expanded across much of the lower Great Lakes region and the Northeast, until late-month rainfall associated with Katrina's remnants improved moisture reserves. Elsewhere, occasional showers maintained generally favorable conditions in the Southeast, although hot weather and a gradual drying trend stressed some pastures and late-maturing summer crops in the southern Atlantic States. Hot weather in the Far West and from the lower and middle Mississippi Valley into the East contrasted with near- to slightly below-normal monthly temperatures across the Plains and the upper Midwest. August temperatures averaged as much as 5oF above normal in southern New England and the northern Mid-Atlantic States. It was the hottest August on record at several locations in the Gulf and Atlantic Coastal regions. August Agricultural Summary Hot, dry conditions prevailed across the Corn Belt and northern and central Great Plains early in the month, promoting development of summer crops but causing further declines in condition. However, as cooler, wetter weather prevailed later in the month, conditions stabilized and then improved slightly. Across the southern Great Plains, moderate rainfall provided moisture necessary for winter wheat planting. In the Mississippi Delta, dry conditions persisted through most of the month, with some relief toward month's end. Adequate rainfall in the Southeast was favorable for cotton condition but development of the crop continued to lag behind normal. Temperatures averaged well above normal in the Ohio Valley, with periods of moderate to heavy precipitation. Conditions were hot and dry across the Pacific Northwest and California, increasing irrigation demands but allowing rapid harvest of small grains. However, the most important weather story for August was Hurricane Katrina, which hit the Louisiana Gulf Coast on August 29, bringing 140-mile-per-hour winds, widespread coastal flooding from storm surges, and heavy rainfall. Tropical-storm-force winds were felt as far north as Tennessee, while heavy rainfall from Katrina and its remnants extended from the eastern Delta across the Ohio River Valley well into the Northeast. Wind damage to crops was a concern in Mississippi and Tennessee, while farther north along the storm's path, crops were expected to benefit from the additional rainfall. The Nation's corn crop developed rapidly during the month. By August 7, ninety-seven percent of the crop had entered the silking stage, 4 percentage points ahead of normal. The percent of acreage in the dough stage advanced from 27 percent on July 31 to 91 percent on August 28. At month's end, progress through the dough stage was at or ahead of normal in all States, except Colorado, with Michigan leading the normal pace by nearly 40 points. Denting began the month slightly behind normal at 4 percent, but progressed rapidly after mid-month, reaching 61 percent by month's end. Despite ahead-of-normal progress in earlier stages, crop maturation was slightly behind normal. On August 28, eleven percent of the crop was mature, 1 point behind the 5-year average. Condition of the crop continued to decline early in the month as mostly dry conditions prevailed in the Corn Belt and central Great Plains, but improved slightly toward month's end. Sorghum heading progressed ahead of normal, reaching 92 percent by month's end. At that time, progress was 6 points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of the 5-year average. Except in the Delta, all States were ahead of the normal heading pace. Acreage turning color, however, lagged behind normal. On August 28, forty-eight percent of the crop had turned color, 7 points behind the average pace. New Mexico and South Dakota trailed the normal coloring pace by a week, while Texas was over 2 weeks behind. Maturation of the crop also progressed behind the normal pace, reaching 20 percent by month's end, the same as last year but 6 points behind normal. Crop condition declined early in the month but improved as rainfall later in the month increased soil moisture levels. At the beginning of the month, oat growers had harvested 51 percent of their acreage, 14 points ahead of last year and 8 points ahead of normal. With little rainfall to slow fieldwork, harvest continued to progress ahead of normal, nearing completion, at 98 percent, by month's end. At that time, only Minnesota and North Dakota had acreage remaining to be harvested. The Nation's barley harvest was just getting underway as the month began but proceeded rapidly during August. On August 28, seventy-eight percent of the acreage had been harvested, 18 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest progressed most rapidly in Minnesota, where growers reaped 86 percent of their crop during the month. The winter wheat harvest progressed at a near normal pace during its final weeks. On July 31, ninety percent of the crop had been harvested, compared with 87 percent last year and 89 percent for the 5-year average. By mid-August, the crop was 96 percent harvested, 1 point ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. At that time, only the Pacific Northwest and the northern Rockies had acreage left to be harvested. The spring wheat harvest progressed rapidly during the month with few delays. At the beginning of the month, 7 percent of the crop had been reaped, 2 points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. Only Idaho growers had not yet begun harvesting their crop. By August 28, harvest was 76 percent complete, 26 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of normal. South Dakota growers had completed their harvest, while progress was ahead of normal in most States, trailing behind the normal pace only in the Pacific Northwest. The rice crop began the month well behind the normal heading pace, at 45 percent. However, above-normal temperatures across all growing areas allowed heading to accelerate during the month. By August 28, ninety-seven percent of the crop was headed, 2 points ahead of last year and 1 point ahead of normal. Heading was nearly complete in all States, except California. Meanwhile, harvest progressed behind normal. By month's end, just 16 percent of the acreage had been harvested, compared with 19 percent last year and 20 percent for the 5-year average. Growers had begun harvesting in all States but lagged behind normal everywhere except in California and Missouri. By August 7, ninety-five percent of the soybean acreage was at the blooming stage or beyond, 4 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of normal. Pod setting progressed rapidly in the first week of August, advancing 21 points nationwide. Progress slowed through the end of the month but remained ahead of normal. By month's end, 97 percent of the acreage was setting pods, compared with 95 percent for last year and the 5-year average. The crop was at or ahead of the normal pod-setting pace in all States, except Kentucky and South Dakota. Meanwhile, the crop had begun dropping leaves in all States, except Wisconsin, by month's end. Condition of the crop declined early in the month but recovered slightly by month's end as rainfall and milder temperatures improved soil moisture. Ninety-seven percent of the peanut crop was pegging by mid-month, 3 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. At that time, Alabama's and North Carolina's crops were over a week behind normal, while progress in all other States exceeded the normal pace. In Florida and Georgia, all of the acreage had reached the pegging stage. Crop condition fluctuated from week to week but ended the month slightly higher than at the end of July. The Nation's cotton crop continued to progress behind the normal pace. Ninety-eight percent of the crop was at or beyond the squaring stage by August 7, with 100 percent of the crop squaring in the Delta, Arizona, and Georgia. Although in most other States, progress was behind normal. At that time, boll-setting lagged over a week behind normal in Alabama and Arizona and was ahead of the normal pace only in Kansas, Mississippi, and Tennessee. By month's end, 97 percent of the crop was setting bolls, compared with 96 percent last year and 98 percent for the 5-year average. Bolls had begun opening in all States by month's end but progress trailed normal everywhere except in Arkansas. Boll-setting trailed the normal pace by 1 week nationwide and by 2 weeks in Georgia, Oklahoma, and Texas. Through August 28, crop condition declined in the Delta due to lack of soil moisture, while conditions improved in most other areas. However, any damage caused by Hurricane Katrina is not reflected in the August 28 estimates of crop condition. Corn for Grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 74.3 million acres, down fractionally from August but up 1 percent from 2004. Area harvested for grain was reduced by 50,000 acres in Missouri where hot, dry conditions during the growing season caused producers to either abandon or harvest additional acreage for silage. The September 1 corn objective yield data for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin) indicate lower stalk and ear counts than 2004. The September objective yield forecasted stalk counts were down 2 percent while ears per acre were down 4 percent from last year's record highs. As of August 28, fifty-two percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, down 1 percentage point from last month and 18 points below a year ago. Moderate to heavy precipitation across the Corn Belt during August eased dryness in some areas but did little to improve crop condition ratings. Crop conditions in Illinois and Missouri were unchanged from last month and continued to show the largest decline from a year ago. Michigan, Minnesota, and North Dakota were the only States with crop conditions rated above last year. At the beginning of August, the percentage of the crop at or beyond the dough stage was behind normal in most States. However, by month's end it was at or ahead of normal in all States, except Colorado. Overall, doughing was 91 percent on August 28 compared to 77 percent last year and 84 percent for the average. Denting also progressed rapidly across the Corn Belt, Ohio Valley, and northern Great Plains during the month, reaching 61 percent complete, 17 percentage points ahead of last year and 9 points ahead of the 5-year average. Eleven percent of the acreage was mature, slightly ahead of last year but 1 percentage point behind the 5-year average. Despite ahead-of-normal progress in earlier stages, maturation trailed behind normal in all States, except Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Sorghum: Production is forecast at 398 million bushels, up 5 percent from last month but down 13 percent from last year. Based on September 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is 66.0 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels from August but down 3.8 bushels from last year. The yield in Kansas, the largest producing State, is expected to be 74.0 bushels, up 5.0 bushels from August but down 2.0 bushels from 2004. Texas, the second largest sorghum producing State, expects a yield of 56.0 bushels per acre, which is unchanged from last month but down 6.0 bushels from last year. Area for harvest as grain is forecast at 6.03 million acres, unchanged from August but 7 percent below last year. As of August 28, ninety-two percent of the sorghum crop was at or beyond the heading stage, compared with 86 percent last year and the 5-year average of 89 percent. However, as of August 28, the crop had progressed to only 20 percent mature, compared with the 5-year average of 26 percent. Sorghum condition was rated as 47 percent good to excellent, down from 65 percent at the same time last year. Yields are either increasing or unchanged from August 1 in all but one of the major sorghum producing States. The exception is Colorado, which is expecting a yield decrease of 2.0 bushels from last month as hot, dry weather persisted. During August, scattered rain fell across much of the central and southern Great Plains, and the middle and lower Mississippi Valley, but was too late to be beneficial in severely drought stricken States. In Illinois and Missouri, hot temperatures and dry conditions throughout much of the year have reduced sorghum yield expectations by 31 bushels and 34 bushels, respectively, from last year's record high yields in those States. Kansas received widespread rains during the month of August along with cooler temperatures late in the month, which combined to slow maturation of the crop. As of August 28, only 4 percent of the crop was mature in Kansas, compared to the 5-year average of 12 percent. Rice: Production is forecast at 228 million cwt, up less than 1 percent from the August forecast but down 1 percent from last year. Planted area was revised to 3.37 million acres, up 2 percent from the June estimate and up less than 1 percent from 2004. Area expected for harvest, at 3.34 million acres, is up 2 percent from last month and up slightly from 2004. As of September 1, the U.S. all rice yield is forecast at 6,830 pounds per acre, down 67 pounds per acre from last month and down 112 pounds from last year's record high yield. In Louisiana, minimal damage was observed from Hurricane Katrina. In northern and central areas of Louisiana, lodging had occurred in some fields but elsewhere in the State a majority of the rice was already harvested. In Mississippi, there were numerous reports of lodged rice, with expected yield loss and decreased harvest efficiency. As of August 28, rice harvests in Louisiana and Texas were 63 percent and 71 percent complete, respectively. Louisiana lagged the 5-year average by 12 percentage points, while Texas lagged its 5-year average by 7 percentage points. Harvest in Arkansas, Mississippi, and Missouri, at 2 percent complete, and California at 1 percent complete, was just getting under way. Soybeans: Area for harvest is forecast at 72.2 million acres, unchanged from August but down 2 percent from last year's record high acreage. The September objective yield pod counts are up 2 percent from the final 2004 survey results, despite lower expected pod counts in 3 of the 7 major soybean producing States. The largest decline is expected in Missouri, where hot, dry weather hindered pod setting and development. As of August 28, ninety-seven percent of the U.S. crop was at or beyond the pod setting stage, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Six percent of the acreage was dropping leaves or beyond, equal to 2004 but 1 point behind normal. As of August 28, fifty-three percent of the U.S. soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 1 percentage point below the rating at the end of July and 11 points below the same week in 2004. Crop conditions slightly declined across most of the country for the month of August, despite some much needed moisture in the Great Plains and drought-stricken areas of Missouri and Illinois by the end of the month. Aphids, Sudden Death Syndrome, and dry weather have caused some stress on the soybean crop in Indiana, especially in the north. Harvest of early variety soybeans in Louisiana have shown excellent yields and Hurricane Katrina avoided most of the soybean producing areas of the state. A record high yield is forecast in Louisiana, along with record tying yields in Michigan, North Dakota, and South Carolina. Peanuts: Production is forecast at a record high 5.01 billion pounds, up 18 percent from last year's crop but down 3 percent from last month. Planted acres, at 1.65 million, are down fractionally from the June estimate but up 15 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.61 million acres, down 5,000 from the June estimate but up 15 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3,117 pounds per acre, down 73 pounds from August but up 60 pounds from 2004. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 3.56 billion pounds, down 4 percent from August but up 24 percent from last year's level. Planted acres, at 1.21 million, are down 3 percent from the June estimate but up 21 percent from 2004. Expected acreage for harvest, at 1.18 million, is down 3 percent from August but up 21 percent from last year. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average 3,029 pounds per acre, 36 pounds below last month but 83 pounds above 2004. As of August 28, peanuts in Alabama were rated 81 percent good to excellent. Peanuts in Florida were rated 82 percent good to excellent, and in Georgia, peanuts were rated 72 percent good to excellent. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 369 million pounds, up 3 percent from last month but down 20 percent from 2004. Planted acres, at 120,000, are up 6 percent from the June estimate but down 13 percent from 2004. Expected acreage for harvest, at 118,000, is up 5 percent from August but down 14 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 3,125 pounds per acre, down 68 pounds from last month and down 240 pounds from the previous year. As of August 28, peanuts were rated 77 percent good to excellent in Virginia and 68 percent good to excellent in North Carolina. Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.08 billion pounds, up 2 percent from last month and up 15 percent from 2004. Planted acres, at 319,000, are up 10 percent from the June estimate and 9 percent above last year. The expected acreage for harvest in the region totals 312,000, up 10 percent from August and up 9 percent from 2004. Yields are expected to average 3,450 pounds per acre, down 273 pounds per acre from August but 161 pounds above last year's level. Record high yields are expected in Oklahoma and Texas. On August 28, peanuts rated good to excellent in Oklahoma and Texas were 75 percent and 78 percent, respectively. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested acreage, at 13.4 million acres, is up slightly from August and 5 percent above 2004. Based on administrative information, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee have more harvested acres compared with a month ago. Alabama, California, Mississippi, and New Mexico decreased their expected harvested acreage from the previous month. American-Pima harvested area, at 265,000 acres, is up 4,000 acres from last month and up 7 percent from last year. Hurricane Katrina made landfall along the Louisiana and Mississippi border, bringing 140 mph winds and up to ten inches of rainfall. The major concern was the potential for boll rot; however, the return of sunny days and temperatures in the 80s and 90s Fahrenheit dried fields. Mississippi's estimated planted area declined by 10,000 acres, based on administrative data. Expected acreage for harvest declined 10,000 acres as a result of the hurricane. In the northern Delta States, crop damage was expected to be minimal. The rain was helpful to dryland field that were planted late. In Arkansas and Louisiana, the fourth highest average bolls per acre for the past 15 years were recorded. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia), maturation of the crop was up to two weeks behind normal. All of the States, except North Carolina, rated the majority of their crop in good to excellent. Forty-nine percent of the North Carolina crop was rated good to excellent. At the beginning of August, beneficial rains and cooler weather brought relief to the region where initial reports of plant stress were occurring. Thundershowers and hot, humid conditions by mid-August allowed the crop to progress at a rapid pace. Hurricane Katrina produced localized flooding and tornados, but the brunt of the storm missed the majority of the cotton producing area. Cotton farmers on the High Plains of Texas were faced with hot weather, which advanced crop maturity. Timely rains continued to increase the condition ratings of the dryland crop. Harvest was virtually complete in southern Texas. Data from the objective yield samples show Texas boll counts are at the second highest of the previous ten years. California upland cotton producers experienced hot, dry weather conditions. Ninety-one percent of California's cotton was rated good to excellent at the end of August. Mite and aphid infestations have been more prevalent than the last 5 years. Harvest was underway in the Desert Southwest. Objective yield survey data indicate California's boll weights are the lowest of the previous ten years. American-Pima production is forecast at 707,000 bales, down 2 percent from August and down 5 percent from 2004. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,281 pounds per harvested acre, down 52 pounds from the August forecast. Some farmers in California were spraying to control insect infestation. Ginnings totaled 592,050 running bales prior to September 1, compared with 563,400 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 566,650 running bales in 2003. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 644 million pounds, 5 percent below the August 1 forecast and down 27 percent from 2004. If realized, this would be the smallest crop since 1889. Area for harvest is forecast at 307,010 acres, 3 percent below last month and down 25 percent from 2004. Yields for 2005 are expected to average 2,099 pounds per acre, 38 pounds lower than the August forecast and 56 pounds below a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco producing State, are expected to average 2,195 pounds per acre, 1 pound less than last month and 51 pounds lower than last year. In Kentucky, the second leading State, yields are expected to average 1,962 pounds per acre, down 88 pounds from the August forecast and 82 pounds less than a year ago. Tobacco growers in Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, North Carolina, Ohio, and South Carolina expect lower yields than a month ago, while Pennsylvania and Virginia expect yields higher than a month ago. The remaining States are unchanged from the August forecast. Flue-cured production is expected to total 389 million pounds, 5 percent below last month and down 25 percent from 2004. Growers plan to harvest 178,800 acres in 2005, down 4 percent from last month and 22 percent below last year. Yields are forecast to average 2,176 pounds per acre, 27 pounds below the August forecast and 96 pounds less than the previous year. Rain continues to be a problem for tobacco growers in both Florida and Georgia contributing to disease and lower yields. On the other hand, growers in the main tobacco region of South Carolina have experienced dry weather in the past month despite ample rainfall earlier this season. Harvest is almost complete and yields are down only slightly in South Carolina. Burley production is expected to total 192 million pounds, down 6 percent from the August forecast and 34 percent less than last year. Burley growers plan to harvest 105,300 acres, 2 percent below last month and down 31 percent from a year ago. Yields are expected to average 1,826 pounds per acre, 67 pounds below the August forecast and down 82 pounds from 2004. Kentucky, the largest burley producing State, forecasts production at 135 million pounds, 5 percent below the August forecast and down 35 percent from last year. This is the smallest crop since 1927 when 130 million pounds were produced. Area for harvest in Kentucky is forecast at 75,000 acres, unchanged from the August forecast but down 29 percent from last year. Growers in Kentucky expect yields to average 1,800 pounds per acre, down 100 pounds from last month and 150 pounds below last year. Hot, dry weather during early August reduced the number of leaves and leaf weight on tobacco plants. Heavy rains at the end of the month led to flooding in some fields, further reducing yields. Fire-cured production is expected to total 39.7 million pounds, down less than 1 percent from the August forecast but 7 percent above last year. Growers plan to harvest 12,470 acres in 2005, down less than 1 percent from last month but up 6 percent from a year ago. The yield is expected to average 3,186 pounds per acre, up 7 pounds from the August forecast and 19 pounds above the previous year. Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production in Pennsylvania is expected to total 3.00 million pounds, unchanged from the August forecast but 24 percent below the previous year. A total of 1,500 acres is expected to be harvested this year, unchanged from last month but down 32 percent from 2005. Average yields, at 2,000 pounds per acre, are unchanged from the August forecast but 200 pounds more than last year. Dark air-cured production is expected to total 11.3 million pounds, unchanged from last month but down 6 percent from 2004. Growers plan to harvest 4,040 acres in 2005, unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last year. Yields are forecast to average 2,787 pounds per acre, unchanged from the August forecast but 12 pounds below last year. All cigar production is forecast to total 8.89 million pounds, unchanged from the August forecast but down 33 percent from last year. Growers of cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 4,900 acres, unchanged from last month but down 32 percent from 2004. Overall yield is expected to average 1,814 pounds per acre, unchanged from the August forecast but 36 pounds below 2004. Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 16.1 million cwt in 2005, down 1 percent from the July 1 forecast and 12 percent below the 2004 final estimate. If realized, this would be a record low production since the series began in 1949, six percent below the previous record low set in 1980. Harvested area is estimated at 48,300 acres, 800 acres below the July estimate and down 10 percent from last year, the previous record low. The average yield is forecast at 334 cwt per acre, 3 cwt above the July forecast but 6 cwt below last year. Yields are expected to be below last year in Alabama, California, Delaware, Illinois, Kansas, Maryland, New Jersey, and Virginia. In Alabama, inclement weather conditions caused rotting and reduced yields. Late spring rains in California contributed to slow crop development and lower than normal yields. In Maryland and Delaware, crop quality is normal and harvest is underway. In New Jersey, sustained dry conditions in July and August resulted in smaller tuber size. Growing conditions in Colorado were hot and dry but with adequate irrigation water and harvest started on time. In Missouri, harvest is complete in the southeast and is nearing completion in the northwest. If the forecasted yield of 340 cwt per acre for Missouri is realized this would equal the record high yield set in 2001. In Texas, crop conditions have been good and harvest is winding down. Fall Potatoes, 2004 Final: Production of 2004 fall potatoes is finalized at 410 million cwt, virtually unchanged from 2003 but 1 percent below the 2002 crop. Area harvested, at 1.02 million acres, is 6 percent below the previous year and down 8 percent from two years ago. The average yield was 401 cwt per acre, up 25 cwt from 2003 and 27 cwt above 2002. When compared with the annual estimates made last January, fall production was virtually unchanged. A larger crop in Colorado more than offset smaller crops in California, Maine, and Rhode Island. All Potatoes, 2004: Final production of potatoes from all four seasons in 2004 totaled 456 million cwt, down less than 1 percent from both 2003 and 2002. Area harvested is estimated at 1.17 million acres, down 7 percent from a year earlier and 8 percent below 2002. The yield, averaging 391 cwt per acre, increased 24 cwt from 2003 and is 29 cwt more than 2002. Winter production in 2004 increased 20 percent from 2003. Spring and summer production decreased 7 percent and 2 percent, respectively, from a year earlier. Fall potatoes were virtually unchanged in 2004 from the previous year. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2005 is forecast at 30.2 million tons, 3 percent below the August forecast but 4 percent above 2004. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 942,900 acres for sugar and seed during the 2005 crop year, down less than 1 percent from August but 4,700 acres more than last year's final harvested area. Yield is forecast at 32.0 tons per acre, 0.8 ton below the previous forecast but 1.1 tons above the 2004 yield. The production forecast for Louisiana is down over 1 million tons, due to the effects of Hurricane Katrina. Harvested acreage in Louisiana is forecast at 455,000 acres, down 5,000 acres from August, while expected yield, at 24.0 tons per acre, is 2.0 tons below the previous forecast. Acreage, yield, and production forecasts are unchanged for Florida. Sugarbeets: Production for 2005 is forecast at 26.3 million tons, 1 percent below the August forecast and 12 percent below last year's production. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.24 million acres, down 5,000 acres from last month and 5 percent below last year. The yield is forecast at 21.2 tons per acre, down 0.1 ton from August and 1.7 tons below 2004. The production forecast for Minnesota, the largest sugarbeet-producing state, is down 393,000 tons, or 4 percent, from August due to unfavorably hot, dry weather in August. Nebraska's production forecast also decreased from August, while production forecasts for Colorado, Idaho, Michigan, Montana, and Oregon are higher than in August, mostly due to favorable growing conditions. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.37 million pounds for August, down 4 percent from last month and 10 percent less than a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,400 acres, down 7 percent from last month but 20 percent higher than August 2004. Harvested area totaled 1,465 acres, 7 percent less than last month but 40 percent higher than a year ago. Hawaii conducted the annual papaya acreage survey during August, which was used to set the August acreage estimate. The weather was favorable for papayas during August with adequate soil moisture and hot and humid conditions. Papaya crop condition was generally fair to good. Growers minimized disease incidences and kept weeds under control through routine spraying. Active papaya harvesting was underway. Growers harvested from mature papaya orchards which tend to produce higher yields. Florida Citrus: Florida's August weather in most of the citrus growing areas was marked by relatively high temperatures, high humidity, and near average rainfall. Record high temperatures were set in some areas. On most days, temperatures reached the mid to high 90's with high humidity. Rainfall was near average in all citrus growing areas. Rainfall accumulations for the calendar year remained above normal levels in all areas. The coastal areas received slightly more rain than interior areas. Citrus crops in all areas are making excellent progress with no major problems reported during August. Citrus trees are in excellent condition with limited fruit splitting reported. Fresh fruit crops are being sprayed regularly to hold down insect populations, with some crops on the East Coast receiving weekly treatments. Citrus growers and caretakers are conducting routine summer cultural practices including weed control and dead tree removal and replacement. In the flat woods and coastal areas, growers are also maintaining ditches and canals to move excess water out of the groves and away from tree roots. Growers continue to push and burn trees that have been identified as exposed to citrus canker. Canker continues to be found in much of the State. Florida Avocados: Hurricane Katrina formed in the Atlantic in the third week of the month and moved across the extreme southern end of the State. Rainfall was limited to showers that reached into the extreme southern citrus growing areas. The hurricane brought heavy rainfall to south Miami-Dade and winds caused limb breakage and lost fruit in the avocado growing areas. Growers reported about 50-75 percent loss of remaining fruit. Approximately one-third of the season's avocado crop had been harvested before the hurricane. California Citrus: Citrus groves were showing steady growth and some growers were dusting to protect trees and fruit from sunburn. Harvesting of Valencia oranges was sluggish during most of the month and most of the remaining fruit by month's end was picked for juice processing. Many orange groves continued to be treated to control scale, other pests, and weeds. Growers were preparing for the upcoming navel orange harvest. The navel crop fruit size is variable but overall sizes are smaller than last season with very well formed fruit. Some navel oranges had notable sunburn damage due to the hot weather. Harvesting of lemons began on a limited basis in the Desert region. The Marsh Ruby variety grapefruit harvest continued in the southern coastal areas of the State. Fruit quality was generally good. However, mild weather delayed the color resulting in pale colored fruit in most lots. Shape was normal, with smooth texture in all sizes, and flavor and eating quality were good. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Growers continued harvesting table grapes during August. Varieties harvested included Flame Seedless, Autumn Royal, Princess, Fantasy, Thompson Seedless, Summer Royal, Red Globe, Kyoho, and Crimson Seedless. Raisin growers began placing Zante Currant and other early varieties on trays for drying and some trays were being rolled by month's end. Growers with dried-on-the-vine raisins continued cane cutting, while Thompson raisin growers were cane cutting and preparing the ground for terracing. Many grape growers began picking for wine and bulk juice production. Harvesting of stone fruit advanced with Prima 23, Snow King, Prima 20, and Snow Giant peaches; Friar, Howard Sun, Betty Anne, Angelina, and Rosemary plums; Flavor Grenade pluots; and August Fire, August Red, Flamekist, and Regal Red nectarines. Prune harvesting was coming to an end in most areas with good yields reported from most growers in the San Joaquin Valley. However, poor quality and low yields were reported from growers in northern counties. Stone fruit varieties harvested near the end of the month had some internal damage due to the hot weather, resulting in reduced pack-outs. Some stone fruit growers continued summer pruning following harvest and most growers treated for spider mites. A few orchards were removed following harvest and the trees were stacked for disposal. Apple harvest was underway in August with Granny Smith and Royal Gala varieties picked and packed. Harvesting of figs continued throughout the month. Harvesting of early pomegranate varieties began at the end of the month. Many San Joaquin Valley strawberry growers were fumigating and preparing soil for the fall crop. Blueberry fields were being mulched, pruned, and thinned. Almond harvest began in a few orchards the second week of August and by month's end harvest was well underway across the State. Almond trees were being shaken and nuts were swept and picked up from orchard floors and transported to hulling facilities. Later maturing orchards were treated with herbicides to clear weeds prior to harvest. Other nut orchards were being cultivated and irrigated, as orchard soils were prepared for harvest. There was some cleanup of broken limbs in walnut orchards, and husk fly and codling moth treatment continued. Some walnuts were exhibiting signs of sunburn. Olive fruit fly control application continued in olive orchards. Fruit set for kiwifruit appeared to be heavy. Growers applied fertilizers and micro nutrients through drip line irrigation systems to reduce heat stress and fruit drop on kiwifruit vines. Hazelnuts: Production in Oregon is forecast at 28,000 tons, down 25 percent from last year's revised production of 37,500 tons and 26 percent below the 2003 crop of 37,900 tons. The 2003 and 2004 hazelnut crops deviated from the alternate bearing cycle which has been typical of the Oregon crop for the past decade. Although it follows two consecutive "up" years, the 2005 crop marks a return to the historical production pattern. The results of the Oregon hazelnut objective yield survey show the number of nuts picked per tree at 271. This compares to 298 nuts picked last year and 261 nuts in 2003. The percentage of good nuts analyzed in the laboratory, at 79.5 percent, is down from last year's 85.1 percent, and 88.0 percent in 2003. This is the lowest good nut percentage since 1990 when 75.4 percent was recorded. The average dry weight per good nut is 3.34 grams, 0.06 gram heavier than last year and 0.45 gram heavier than 2003. Brown stained nuts amount to 0.90 percent of all good nuts sampled this year, compared to last year's record low of 0.10 percent, and 0.12 percent in 2003. Walnuts: California production is forecast at a record high 340,000 tons, up 5 percent from last year's production of 325,000 tons. A 2,000 acre increase in bearing acres, to 219,000, and increasing production from newly bearing acres are the main contributors to this year's record production. The September forecast is based on the walnut objective measurement survey conducted July 29 through August 24, 2005. Survey data indicate average nuts set per tree at 1,575, up 3 percent from last year's average of 1,526 nuts. Of the varieties with the largest planted acreage, Hartley nut set is down 15 percent, Chandler is up 29 percent, and Serr is up 22 percent compared to last year. The percentage of sound kernels in-shell, at 97.5 percent Statewide, is down from last year's record high 98.2 percent. In-shell weight per nut is 20.0 grams, while the average in-shell suture measurement is 31.7 millimeters. The average length in-shell is 38.6 millimeters. These compare to last year's measurements of 22.5 grams in-shell weight per nut, 32.6 millimeters average in-shell suture measurement, and 39.0 millimeters average length in-shell. Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between August 24 and September 6 to gather information on expected yield as of September 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields for the objective yield survey (corn, cotton, and soybeans). The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewer. Approximately 14,600 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each Field Office submits an analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published September 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The September 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data or administrative data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain production forecast is 5.4 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 5.4 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 9.4 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 336 million bushels, ranging from 10 million bushels to 891 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 13 times and above 7 times. This does not imply that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ------ Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 5.4 9.4 336 10 891 13 7 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 7.7 13.3 32 1 115 9 11 Rice :Cwt : 4.0 7.0 6 0 16 15 5 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 5.1 8.9 109 19 305 11 9 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 6.6 11.4 906 84 2,366 11 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Quantity is in thousands of bales. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127 Scott Cox - Wheat, Rye . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-8068 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings . . . . . . . . . .(202) 720-5944 Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed . . . . . . . . (202) 720-9526 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7688 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds . .(202) 720-7369 Travis Thorson - Hay, Oats, Sorghum . . . . . . . . . . .(202) 690-3234 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops . . . . .(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .(202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco. .(202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms,Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas . . . . . . . . . . .(202) 720-3250 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits . . . . . .(202) 720-5412 Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts . . . . . . . (202) 720-4215 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries,Cranberries, Plums, Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes . . (202) 720-4285 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables,Onions, Strawberries . . . . . . . . . . . . .(202) 720-2157 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. 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The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. USDA Data Users' Meeting October 17, 2005 Embassy Suites at O'Hare Chicago, Illinois (847) 678-4000 The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users' Meeting, see the NASS homepage at www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Lynda Ford (NASS) at (202) 720-3896 or at lynda_ford@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users' Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 18, 2005. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.