Cr Pr 2-2 (10-05) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 12, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Up 2 Percent from September Soybean Production Up 4 Percent from September Cotton Production Up 2 Percent from September Orange Production Up 17 Percent from Last Season Corn production is forecast at 10.9 billion bushels, up 2 percent from last month but 8 percent below 2004. If realized, this would be the second largest crop on record. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 146.1 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels from September but 14.3 bushels below last year. Forecast yields are either unchanged or higher than last month in all forecasting States, except Alabama and Mississippi. As harvest progresses, producers are finding the warm, dry conditions during July and August did not reduce yields as much as originally expected. Yields are better than last year in the northern tier States but are still well below last year's record highs in the central and eastern Corn Belt. Based on administrative information, acreage updates were made in several States and farmers now expect to harvest 74.3 million acres of corn for grain, up 15,000 acres from September and up 1 percent from 2004. Soybean production is forecast at 2.97 billion bushels, up 4 percent from the September forecast but 5 percent below 2004. Based on conditions as of October 1, yield is expected to average 41.6 bushels per acre, up 2.0 bushels from September but 0.6 bushel below last year's record high yield. Below-normal temperatures and adequate moisture during August and early September across most of the Corn Belt, Great Plains, and Delta were beneficial to the crop during the final stages of development. Above-normal temperatures followed for the rest of September, just in time for the harvest season to begin. Based on administrative data, acreage updates were made in several States. Area planted is now estimated at 72.2 million acres, down 903,000 acres from the August estimate. Area for harvest is forecast at 71.3 million acres, down 914,000 acres from September. Revised 2004 soybean acreage, yield, and production were published in the September 30, 2005 Grain Stocks report. All Cotton production is forecast at 22.7 million 480-pound bales, up 2 percent from the September forecast but 2 percent below last year's record high production. Yield is expected to average 797 pounds per acre, up 15 pounds from last month but down 58 pounds from 2004. The October area expected for harvest remains unchanged from last month at 13.7 million acres but is up 5 percent from 2004. The U.S. all orange initial forecast for the 2005-06 season is 10.7 million tons, up 17 percent from last season's final utilization of 9.11 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast, at 190 million boxes (8.55 million tons), is up 27 percent from the 2004-05 hurricane-reduced crop. Early, midseason, and navel varieties are forecast at 93.0 million boxes (4.19 million tons), 18 percent above last season's final utilization. Florida's Valencia oranges are forecast at 97.0 million boxes (4.37 million tons), up 38 percent from last season's final utilization. California's all orange production for the 2005-06 season is forecast at 55.0 million boxes (2.06 million tons), down 10 percent from last season's final utilization. The California navel orange forecast is carried forward from September at 42.0 million boxes (1.58 million tons) and is down 2 percent from the 2004-05 season. The crop consists primarily of medium to small size fruit with excellent exterior quality reported. Growers are hoping recent rains will increase fruit size. The initial California Valencia forecast for the 2005-06 crop is 13.0 million boxes (488,000 tons), down 28 percent from the previous season's utilization. California's Valencia crop is developing normally. The initial Texas forecast for the 2005-06 all orange crop is 1.53 million boxes (65,000 tons), 14 percent below last season's final utilization. Arizona's all orange forecast, at 470,000 boxes (18,000 tons), is up 9 percent from the 2004-05 final utilization. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2005-06 season is forecast at 1.58 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This is unchanged from the 2004-05 season's yield of 1.58 gallons per box as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. Projected yield for the 2005-06 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production Report. This report was approved on October 12, 2005. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Selected Crops: Area Planted and Harvested Updates4 Grains & Hay Corn for Grain. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Ears Per Acre. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33 Hay, Alfalfa. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Hay, Other. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Rice. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Sorghum for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Oilseeds Canola. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Soybeans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet . . . . 34 Sunflower . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Cumulative Bolls Counts. . . . . . . . . . .35 Cottonseed. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Sugarbeets. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed. . . . . . . . . .22 Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Dry Edible Beans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Apples. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Grapes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Pecans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Citrus Grapefruit. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Lemons. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Tangelos. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Tangerines. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Temples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Potatoes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51 Reliability of Production Data in this Report. . .49 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 Selected Crops: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Corn : Sorghum : Soybeans State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- :Planted 1/: Harvested :Planted 1/: Harvested :Planted 2/: Harvested ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 220 190 10 6 150 140 AZ : 50 22 15 5 AR : 240 230 66 62 3,030 3,000 CA : 540 155 25 10 CO : 1,050 890 160 120 CT : 30 DE : 160 150 185 182 FL : 65 22 11 10 GA : 270 230 40 20 180 170 ID : 235 60 IL : 12,100 11,950 90 85 9,500 9,450 IN : 5,900 5,750 5,400 5,370 IA : 12,800 12,450 10,100 10,050 KS : 3,650 3,300 2,750 2,500 2,900 2,800 KY : 1,250 1,160 25 24 1,260 1,250 LA : 340 330 90 85 880 840 ME : 28 MD : 470 400 480 470 MA : 20 MI : 2,250 1,970 2,000 1,990 MN : 7,300 6,800 6,900 6,800 MS : 380 365 30 28 1,600 1,570 MO : 3,100 2,950 135 130 5,000 4,950 MT : 60 15 NE : 8,500 8,200 340 250 4,700 4,650 NV : 4 NH : 14 NJ : 80 65 95 93 NM : 125 45 120 90 NY : 990 460 190 187 NC : 750 690 16 13 1,500 1,430 ND : 1,410 1,130 3,000 2,950 OH : 3,450 3,220 4,500 4,470 OK : 290 220 260 220 320 290 OR : 53 25 PA : 1,350 880 11 3 440 430 RI : 2 SC : 300 280 10 6 430 420 SD : 4,450 3,950 180 110 3,900 3,850 TN : 650 590 22 20 1,130 1,100 TX : 2,000 1,800 2,100 1,900 260 240 UT : 60 18 VT : 90 VA : 490 360 530 520 WA : 150 85 WV : 46 31 19 18 WI : 3,800 2,850 1,610 1,580 WY : 80 45 : US : 81,642 74,333 6,495 5,687 72,200 71,270 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from the June 2005 "Acreage" report. 2/ Updated from the August 2005 "Crop Production" report. Selected Crops: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Canola : Sunflower : : :----------------------------------------------------- : : : Oil : Non-Oil : All :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State :Planted:Harvested:Planted:Harvested:Planted:Harvested:Planted:Harvested -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CO : 150 140 60 58 210 198 KS : 255 235 45 42 300 277 MN : 55 50 75 70 60 55 135 125 MT : 19 18 NE : 56 53 39 36 95 89 ND : 1,040 1,020 920 890 230 220 1,150 1,110 SD : 500 483 50 46 550 529 TX : 50 48 95 92 145 140 : Oth : Sts 2/: 39 37 100 94 21 19 121 113 : US : 1,153 1,125 2,106 2,013 600 568 2,706 2,581 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from the June 2005 "Acreage" report. 2/ Other States for Canola include ID, MI, OK, OR, and WA. Other States for Sunflower include CA, IL, MI, MO, MT, OK, WI, and WY. Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 195 190 123.0 118.0 115.0 23,985 21,850 AR : 305 230 140.0 125.0 128.0 42,700 29,440 CA : 150 155 175.0 155.0 155.0 26,250 24,025 CO : 1,040 890 135.0 130.0 135.0 140,400 120,150 DE : 153 150 152.0 137.0 137.0 23,256 20,550 GA : 280 230 130.0 125.0 127.0 36,400 29,210 IL : 11,600 11,950 180.0 136.0 145.0 2,088,000 1,732,750 IN : 5,530 5,750 168.0 149.0 149.0 929,040 856,750 IA : 12,400 12,450 181.0 169.0 173.0 2,244,400 2,153,850 KS : 2,880 3,300 150.0 130.0 130.0 432,000 429,000 KY : 1,140 1,160 152.0 122.0 127.0 173,280 147,320 LA : 410 330 135.0 140.0 140.0 55,350 46,200 MD : 425 400 153.0 135.0 140.0 65,025 56,000 MI : 1,920 1,970 134.0 137.0 139.0 257,280 273,830 MN : 7,050 6,800 159.0 157.0 160.0 1,120,950 1,088,000 MS : 440 365 136.0 135.0 133.0 59,840 48,545 MO : 2,880 2,950 162.0 103.0 105.0 466,560 309,750 NE : 7,950 8,200 166.0 160.0 160.0 1,319,700 1,312,000 NJ : 72 65 143.0 113.0 113.0 10,296 7,345 NM : 58 45 180.0 180.0 180.0 10,440 8,100 NY : 500 460 122.0 117.0 117.0 61,000 53,820 NC : 740 690 117.0 115.0 120.0 86,580 82,800 ND : 1,150 1,130 105.0 120.0 120.0 120,750 135,600 OH : 3,110 3,220 158.0 141.0 141.0 491,380 454,020 OK : 200 220 150.0 132.0 135.0 30,000 29,700 PA : 980 880 140.0 120.0 123.0 137,200 108,240 SC : 295 280 100.0 105.0 107.0 29,500 29,960 SD : 4,150 3,950 130.0 116.0 118.0 539,500 466,100 TN : 615 590 140.0 124.0 130.0 86,100 76,700 TX : 1,680 1,800 139.0 120.0 120.0 233,520 216,000 VA : 360 360 145.0 124.0 124.0 52,200 44,640 WA : 105 85 200.0 195.0 200.0 21,000 17,000 WI : 2,600 2,850 136.0 136.0 138.0 353,600 393,300 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 269 238 147.7 142.6 146.6 39,735 34,895 : US : 73,632 74,333 160.4 143.2 146.1 11,807,217 10,857,440 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-----------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AR : 56 62 84.0 80.0 83.0 4,704 5,146 CO : 180 120 30.0 27.0 27.0 5,400 3,240 IL : 82 85 109.0 78.0 88.0 8,938 7,480 KS : 2,900 2,500 76.0 74.0 72.0 220,400 180,000 LA : 80 85 65.0 95.0 100.0 5,200 8,500 MO : 145 130 108.0 74.0 71.0 15,660 9,230 NE : 415 250 81.0 83.0 85.0 33,615 21,250 NM : 92 90 46.0 45.0 45.0 4,232 4,050 OK : 240 220 60.0 54.0 52.0 14,400 11,440 SD : 150 110 42.0 52.0 60.0 6,300 6,600 TX : 2,050 1,900 62.0 56.0 57.0 127,100 108,300 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 127 135 70.5 72.1 73.1 8,950 9,869 : US : 6,517 5,687 69.8 66.0 66.0 454,899 375,105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 2004, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. For 2005, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, KY, MS, NC, PA, SC, and TN. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Cwt --- : AR : 1,555 1,635 6,910 6,880 6,700 107,440 109,545 CA : 590 508 8,600 7,800 7,500 50,759 38,100 LA : 533 525 5,350 5,850 5,850 28,522 30,713 MS : 234 263 6,900 6,500 6,500 16,146 17,095 MO : 195 211 6,800 6,800 6,500 13,261 13,715 TX : 218 201 6,740 7,000 7,000 14,690 14,070 : US : 3,325 3,343 6,942 6,830 6,678 230,818 223,238 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rice: Production by Class, United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain 1/ : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 2003 : 149,011 48,180 2,706 199,897 2004 : 168,901 58,689 3,228 230,818 2005 2/ : 175,137 44,638 3,463 223,238 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain. 2/ The 2005 rice production by class estimates are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice yield. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 190 140 35.0 32.0 30.0 6,650 4,200 AR : 3,150 3,000 39.0 34.0 34.0 122,850 102,000 DE : 208 182 42.0 38.0 31.0 8,736 5,642 GA : 270 170 31.0 32.0 26.0 8,370 4,420 IL : 9,900 9,450 50.0 41.0 45.0 495,000 425,250 IN : 5,520 5,370 51.5 45.0 46.0 284,280 247,020 IA : 10,150 10,050 49.0 45.0 51.0 497,350 512,550 KS : 2,710 2,800 41.0 36.0 36.0 111,110 100,800 KY : 1,300 1,250 44.0 39.0 40.0 57,200 50,000 LA : 990 840 33.0 35.0 34.0 32,670 28,560 MD : 495 470 43.0 39.0 35.0 21,285 16,450 MI : 1,980 1,990 38.0 40.0 40.0 75,240 79,600 MN : 7,050 6,800 33.0 41.0 42.0 232,650 285,600 MS : 1,640 1,570 37.5 35.0 35.0 61,500 54,950 MO : 4,960 4,950 45.0 33.0 35.0 223,200 173,250 NE : 4,750 4,650 46.0 44.0 49.0 218,500 227,850 NJ : 103 93 42.0 35.0 32.0 4,326 2,976 NY : 172 187 39.0 34.0 35.0 6,708 6,545 NC : 1,500 1,430 34.0 31.0 27.0 51,000 38,610 ND : 3,570 2,950 23.0 35.0 36.0 82,110 106,200 OH : 4,420 4,470 47.0 44.0 44.0 207,740 196,680 OK : 290 290 30.0 25.0 25.0 8,700 7,250 PA : 425 430 46.0 42.0 41.0 19,550 17,630 SC : 530 420 27.0 28.0 21.0 14,310 8,820 SD : 4,120 3,850 34.0 33.0 36.0 140,080 138,600 TN : 1,180 1,100 41.0 39.0 38.0 48,380 41,800 TX : 270 240 32.0 25.0 30.0 8,640 7,200 VA : 530 520 39.0 34.0 30.0 20,670 15,600 WI : 1,550 1,580 34.5 36.0 38.0 53,475 60,040 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 35 28 40.2 39.0 35.1 1,406 982 : US : 73,958 71,270 42.2 39.6 41.6 3,123,686 2,967,075 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Sunflower: Area Planted by Varietal Type, State and United States, 2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Varietal Type State :----------------------------------------------------------- : Oil : Non-Oil : All -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CO : 90 45 135 KS : 150 21 171 MN : 30 30 60 NE : 36 20 56 ND : 720 160 880 SD : 410 25 435 TX : 18 23 41 : Oth Sts 2/ : 79 16 95 : US : 1,533 340 1,873 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY. Sunflower: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2003-2004 1/ and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Type & :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : Oil : CO : 80 140 1,350 85,000 108,000 KS : 140 235 1,460 179,800 204,400 MN : 28 70 1,200 89,100 33,600 NE : 35 53 1,000 43,200 35,000 ND : 660 890 1,040 1,326,000 686,400 SD : 394 483 1,460 430,000 575,240 TX : 16 48 1,300 22,400 20,800 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 71 94 1,408 84,166 99,938 : US : 1,424 2,013 1,238 2,259,666 1,763,378 : Non-Oil : CO : 43 58 900 33,330 38,700 KS : 18 42 1,220 25,200 21,960 MN : 25 55 920 52,700 23,000 NE : 18 36 1,050 14,700 18,900 ND : 130 220 810 192,850 105,300 SD : 21 46 1,500 27,500 31,500 TX : 22 92 1,600 48,000 35,200 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 10 19 1,168 11,280 11,675 : US : 287 568 997 405,560 286,235 : All : CO : 123 198 1,193 1,400 118,330 146,700 277,200 KS : 158 277 1,433 1,641 205,000 226,360 454,540 MN : 53 125 1,068 1,334 141,800 56,600 166,750 NE : 53 89 1,017 1,289 57,900 53,900 114,750 ND : 790 1,110 1,002 1,560 1,518,850 791,700 1,732,000 SD : 415 529 1,462 1,389 457,500 606,740 734,850 TX : 38 140 1,474 1,597 70,400 56,000 223,600 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 81 113 1,378 1,480 95,446 111,613 167,220 : US : 1,711 2,581 1,198 1,500 2,665,226 2,049,613 3,870,910 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2004 Revised. 2/ 2005 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary". 3/ For 2003 and 2004, Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY. For 2005, Other States include CA, IL, MI, MO, MT, OK, WI, and WY. Peanuts: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 190.0 200.0 225.0 185.0 199.0 223.0 FL : 125.0 145.0 160.0 115.0 130.0 145.0 GA : 545.0 620.0 760.0 540.0 610.0 750.0 NM : 18.0 17.0 19.0 17.0 17.0 19.0 NC : 101.0 105.0 97.0 100.0 105.0 96.0 OK : 37.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 33.0 33.0 SC : 19.0 35.0 62.0 17.0 33.0 59.0 TX : 275.0 240.0 265.0 270.0 235.0 260.0 VA : 34.0 33.0 23.0 33.0 32.0 22.0 : US : 1,344.0 1,430.0 1,646.0 1,312.0 1,394.0 1,607.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : 2005 : : : : 2003 : 2004 1/ :-------------------: 2003 : 2004 1/ : 2005 : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------- Pounds ------------- -------- 1,000 Pounds -------- : AL : 2,750 2,800 2,800 2,800 508,750 557,200 624,400 FL : 3,000 2,800 2,900 2,900 345,000 364,000 420,500 GA : 3,450 2,980 3,100 3,000 1,863,000 1,817,800 2,250,000 NM : 2,700 3,500 3,200 3,200 45,900 59,500 60,800 NC : 3,200 3,500 3,200 3,100 320,000 367,500 297,600 OK : 2,800 3,100 3,200 3,200 98,000 102,300 105,600 SC : 3,400 3,400 3,300 3,200 57,800 112,200 188,800 TX : 3,000 3,420 3,500 3,500 810,000 803,700 910,000 VA : 2,900 3,250 2,800 2,800 95,700 104,000 61,600 : US : 3,159 3,076 3,117 3,061 4,144,150 4,288,200 4,919,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from "Crop Production 2004 Summary" released on January 12, 2005. Canola: Area Harvested, Yield and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ---- Pounds --- -------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : MN : 32 50 1,500 880 101,920 48,000 44,000 MT 1/ : 18 1,400 25,200 ND : 750 1,020 1,630 1,350 1,353,600 1,222,500 1,377,000 : Oth Sts 2/ : 46 37 1,501 1,435 56,730 69,030 53,100 : US : 828 1,125 1,618 1,333 1,512,250 1,339,530 1,499,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates began as part of the federal program in 2005. 2/ For 2003 and 2004, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, ID, IN, KS, MI, MT, NY, OR, PA, SC, SD, and WA. For 2005, Other States include ID, MI, OK, OR, and WA. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 2005 : : State : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 540.0 545.0 724 722 722 814.0 820.0 AZ : 238.0 239.0 1,458 1,406 1,366 723.0 680.0 AR : 900.0 1,040.0 1,114 937 969 2,089.0 2,100.0 CA : 557.0 433.0 1,543 1,330 1,330 1,790.0 1,200.0 FL : 87.0 85.0 601 548 621 109.0 110.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,210.0 674 762 762 1,797.0 1,920.0 KS : 80.0 70.0 424 555 555 70.7 81.0 LA : 490.0 600.0 867 920 880 885.0 1,100.0 MS : 1,100.0 1,180.0 1,024 895 895 2,346.0 2,200.0 MO : 378.0 435.0 1,054 850 872 830.0 790.0 NM : 64.0 51.0 848 866 866 113.0 92.0 NC : 725.0 810.0 900 800 800 1,360.0 1,350.0 OK : 200.0 220.0 727 698 742 303.0 340.0 SC : 214.0 263.0 875 757 721 390.0 395.0 TN : 525.0 635.0 900 831 831 984.0 1,100.0 TX : 5,350.0 5,500.0 694 628 663 7,740.0 7,600.0 VA : 81.0 92.0 956 678 704 161.4 135.0 : US :12,809.0 13,408.0 843 772 788 22,505.1 22,013.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 3.0 4.0 896 960 960 5.6 8.0 CA : 214.0 226.0 1,532 1,338 1,338 683.0 630.0 NM : 10.5 11.0 869 1,047 916 19.0 21.0 TX : 20.5 24.0 890 900 900 38.0 45.0 : US : 248.0 265.0 1,443 1,281 1,275 745.6 704.0 : All : AL : 540.0 545.0 724 722 722 814.0 820.0 AZ : 241.0 243.0 1,451 1,399 1,359 728.6 688.0 AR : 900.0 1,040.0 1,114 937 969 2,089.0 2,100.0 CA : 771.0 659.0 1,540 1,333 1,333 2,473.0 1,830.0 FL : 87.0 85.0 601 548 621 109.0 110.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,210.0 674 762 762 1,797.0 1,920.0 KS : 80.0 70.0 424 555 555 70.7 81.0 LA : 490.0 600.0 867 920 880 885.0 1,100.0 MS : 1,100.0 1,180.0 1,024 895 895 2,346.0 2,200.0 MO : 378.0 435.0 1,054 850 872 830.0 790.0 NM : 74.5 62.0 850 898 875 132.0 113.0 NC : 725.0 810.0 900 800 800 1,360.0 1,350.0 OK : 200.0 220.0 727 698 742 303.0 340.0 SC : 214.0 263.0 875 757 721 390.0 395.0 TN : 525.0 635.0 900 831 831 984.0 1,100.0 TX : 5,370.5 5,524.0 695 630 664 7,778.0 7,645.0 VA : 81.0 92.0 956 678 704 161.4 135.0 : US :13,057.0 13,673.0 855 782 797 23,250.7 22,717.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb. net weight bale. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,664.6 8,242.1 8,147.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : AZ : 240 260 8.20 7.80 1,998 1,968 2,028 CA : 1,050 1,020 7.00 6.80 7,630 7,350 6,936 CO : 770 740 3.30 3.60 2,560 2,541 2,664 ID : 1,180 1,180 4.00 3.90 4,440 4,720 4,602 IL : 400 400 4.30 3.10 1,743 1,720 1,240 IN : 350 370 4.10 4.10 1,330 1,435 1,517 IA : 1,300 1,300 4.20 4.00 4,921 5,460 5,200 KS : 950 900 4.00 4.10 3,400 3,800 3,690 KY : 240 260 3.70 3.10 875 888 806 MI : 850 900 3.20 3.10 2,720 2,720 2,790 MN : 1,350 1,400 3.50 3.60 4,125 4,725 5,040 MO : 400 400 3.80 3.10 1,210 1,520 1,240 MT : 1,400 1,700 2.30 2.70 3,360 3,220 4,590 NE : 1,250 1,200 3.55 3.70 5,220 4,438 4,440 NV : 250 260 4.70 4.70 1,166 1,175 1,222 NM : 240 250 4.90 5.20 1,127 1,176 1,300 NY : 470 450 2.80 2.60 1,680 1,316 1,170 ND : 1,300 1,450 1.50 2.10 2,640 1,950 3,045 OH : 470 520 3.20 3.50 1,972 1,504 1,820 OK : 360 320 4.00 3.60 1,054 1,440 1,152 OR : 480 440 4.30 4.50 2,208 2,064 1,980 PA : 540 500 2.80 2.40 1,650 1,512 1,200 SD : 2,250 2,250 2.10 2.10 5,130 4,725 4,725 TX : 150 150 5.70 5.20 658 855 780 UT : 560 550 3.80 4.20 2,180 2,128 2,310 VA : 110 100 4.00 3.70 455 440 370 WA : 480 470 5.00 5.30 2,703 2,400 2,491 WI : 1,600 1,550 2.60 2.20 3,680 4,160 3,410 WY : 450 580 2.80 2.50 1,625 1,260 1,450 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 267 248 2.90 2.95 813 773 732 : US : 21,707 22,118 3.47 3.43 76,273 75,383 75,940 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary". All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- ---- Tons ---- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- : AL : 850 760 2.70 2.90 2,028 2,295 2,204 AR : 1,400 1,330 2.50 1.50 2,904 3,500 1,995 CA : 500 520 3.30 3.40 1,855 1,650 1,768 CO : 750 730 1.50 1.50 1,050 1,125 1,095 GA : 600 650 2.70 2.80 1,800 1,620 1,820 ID : 300 300 2.10 2.20 510 630 660 IL : 350 360 2.40 2.20 980 840 792 IN : 310 300 2.80 2.40 780 868 720 IA : 300 250 2.60 2.10 594 780 525 KS : 2,400 2,200 1.70 1.60 3,600 4,080 3,520 KY : 2,100 2,200 2.40 2.30 5,500 5,040 5,060 LA : 370 400 3.00 2.50 1,102 1,110 1,000 MI : 250 250 2.20 1.80 400 550 450 MN : 650 700 1.80 2.10 1,120 1,170 1,470 MS : 720 700 2.30 2.80 1,875 1,656 1,960 MO : 3,950 3,700 2.00 1.50 6,912 7,900 5,550 MT : 1,100 1,250 1.40 1.60 1,275 1,540 2,000 NE : 1,550 1,550 1.10 1.40 2,380 1,705 2,170 NY : 800 1,050 2.00 1.60 2,000 1,600 1,680 NC : 700 680 2.50 2.80 1,976 1,750 1,904 ND : 1,430 1,300 1.20 1.60 1,958 1,716 2,080 OH : 720 720 2.40 2.60 2,002 1,728 1,872 OK : 2,700 2,700 1.70 1.50 4,250 4,590 4,050 OR : 650 600 2.40 2.50 1,364 1,560 1,500 PA : 1,160 1,160 2.40 2.10 2,420 2,784 2,436 SD : 1,650 1,700 1.30 1.40 2,080 2,145 2,380 TN : 1,900 1,850 2.50 2.50 4,600 4,750 4,625 TX : 5,200 4,700 2.20 1.90 11,730 11,440 8,930 VA : 1,180 1,190 2.40 2.40 2,990 2,832 2,856 WA : 310 300 3.20 3.30 900 992 990 WV : 530 540 1.80 1.70 950 954 918 WI : 450 550 1.60 1.50 700 720 825 WY : 540 570 1.40 1.40 770 756 798 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 1,839 1,845 2.18 2.35 3,957 4,015 4,328 : US : 40,209 39,605 2.05 1.94 81,312 82,391 76,931 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary". Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 2/ : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CA : 60.0 66.0 57.0 64.0 CO : 75.0 130.0 67.0 116.0 ID : 80.0 100.0 78.0 98.0 KS : 9.0 13.0 8.5 12.5 MI : 190.0 235.0 185.0 225.0 MN : 115.0 145.0 100.0 130.0 MT 3/ : 13.0 17.0 12.7 16.5 NE : 120.0 175.0 110.0 165.0 NM 3/ : 6.0 6.3 6.0 6.3 NY : 24.0 25.0 23.5 24.5 ND : 560.0 620.0 475.0 540.0 OR 3/ : 8.0 8.0 7.5 7.9 SD : 9.0 16.0 8.9 15.0 TX : 20.0 17.0 17.5 16.0 UT 3/ : 5.3 4.5 4.8 4.4 WA : 30.0 48.0 29.0 48.0 WI 4/ : 5.0 4.9 WY : 25.0 34.0 24.0 33.0 : US : 1,354.3 1,659.8 1,219.3 1,522.1 :--------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield 5/ : Production 5/ :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :--------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Pounds ------ ------ 1,000 Cwt ----- : CA : 2,040 1,800 1,163 1,152 CO : 1,550 1,650 1,039 1,914 ID : 2,100 1,900 1,638 1,862 KS : 1,800 1,900 153 238 MI : 1,700 1,700 3,145 3,825 MN : 1,150 1,600 1,150 2,080 MT 3/ : 2,240 2,400 285 396 NE : 2,160 2,300 2,376 3,795 NM 3/ : 2,600 2,000 156 126 NY : 1,050 1,200 247 294 ND : 1,000 1,500 4,750 8,100 OR 3/ : 1,550 2,000 116 158 SD : 1,840 1,800 164 270 TX : 800 1,600 140 256 UT 3/ : 300 450 14 20 WA : 2,100 1,800 609 864 WI 4/ : 2,310 113 WY : 2,250 2,300 541 759 : US : 1,460 1,715 17,799 26,109 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Revised from the August "Crop Production" report. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 4/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. 5/ Cleaned basis. Winter Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres CA : 13.0 14.0 13.0 14.0 FL : 5.7 6.0 5.5 5.8 : US : 18.7 20.0 18.5 19.8 :--------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :--------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Cwt ------- ----- 1,000 Cwt ----- : CA : 250 250 3,250 3,500 FL : 285 240 1,568 1,392 : US : 260 247 4,818 4,892 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2005 revised. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State:------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ----- ---- Pounds --- ------- 1,000 Pounds ------- : CT : 2,370 2,400 1,556 1,706 2,880 3,687 4,095 FL 1/ : 4,000 2,800 2,450 2,400 11,000 9,800 6,720 GA : 23,000 16,000 2,030 1,700 59,400 46,690 27,200 IN 2/ : 4,200 2,050 8,190 8,610 KY : 114,950 84,900 2,044 1,962 225,042 235,003 166,560 MD 2/ : 1,100 1,700 1,595 1,870 MA : 1,220 1,200 1,598 1,575 1,740 1,949 1,890 MO 1/ : 1,450 1,400 2,300 2,200 2,828 3,335 3,080 NC : 156,100 126,500 2,246 2,173 299,995 350,560 274,875 OH : 5,600 3,000 1,960 1,950 8,745 10,976 5,850 PA : 4,000 5,000 2,025 2,140 7,880 8,100 10,700 SC : 27,000 23,000 2,250 2,050 63,000 60,750 47,150 TN : 30,260 23,260 2,161 2,189 65,632 65,381 50,918 VA : 29,680 17,050 2,267 2,327 38,818 67,285 39,678 WV 1/ : 1,300 500 1,300 1,700 1,560 1,690 850 WI 2/ : 1,810 1,956 4,255 3,541 : US : 408,040 307,010 2,155 2,083 802,560 879,227 639,566 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belt : NC : 43,000 26,000 2,350 2,250 101,050 58,500 VA : 23,000 14,000 2,505 2,450 57,615 34,300 US : 66,000 40,000 2,404 2,320 158,665 92,800 Type 12, Eastern NC : NC : 89,000 83,000 2,250 2,200 200,250 182,600 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 19,400 14,000 2,200 2,000 42,680 28,000 SC : 27,000 23,000 2,250 2,050 60,750 47,150 US : 46,400 37,000 2,229 2,031 103,430 75,150 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL 1/ : 4,000 2,800 2,450 2,400 9,800 6,720 GA : 23,000 16,000 2,030 1,700 46,690 27,200 US : 27,000 18,800 2,092 1,804 56,490 33,920 Total Flue-cured : 228,400 178,800 2,272 2,150 518,835 384,470 Class 2, Fire-cured : KY : 5,300 6,400 3,394 3,400 17,990 21,760 TN : 5,720 5,720 3,115 3,000 17,816 17,160 VA : 710 350 1,895 2,250 1,345 788 US : 11,730 12,470 3,167 3,184 37,151 39,708 Class 3, Air-cured : Light Air-cured : Burley : IN 2/ : 4,200 2,050 8,610 KY : 106,000 75,000 1,950 1,800 206,700 135,000 MO 1/ : 1,450 1,400 2,300 2,200 3,335 3,080 NC : 4,700 3,500 1,400 1,650 6,580 5,775 OH : 5,600 3,000 1,960 1,950 10,976 5,850 PA 3/ : 2,200 2,200 4,840 TN : 24,000 17,000 1,920 1,900 46,080 32,300 VA : 5,900 2,700 1,390 1,700 8,201 4,590 WV 1/ : 1,300 500 1,300 1,700 1,690 850 US : 153,150 105,300 1,908 1,826 292,172 192,285 Southern MD Belt : MD 2/ : 1,100 1,700 1,870 PA : 2,200 1,500 1,800 2,000 3,960 3,000 US : 3,300 1,500 1,767 2,000 5,830 3,000 Total Light Air-cured: 156,450 106,800 1,905 1,829 298,002 195,285 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- 1,000 Pounds : Class 3, Air-cured : Dark Air-cured : KY : 3,650 3,500 2,825 2,800 10,313 9,800 TN : 540 540 2,750 2,700 1,485 1,458 VA 4/ : 70 1,770 124 US : 4,260 4,040 2,799 2,787 11,922 11,258 Class 4, Cigar Filler : PA Seedleaf : PA : 1,800 1,300 2,300 2,200 4,140 2,860 Class 5, Cigar Binder : CT Valley Binder : CT : 1,500 1,500 1,530 1,800 2,295 2,700 MA : 920 900 1,600 1,600 1,472 1,440 US : 2,420 2,400 1,557 1,725 3,767 4,140 WI Binder : Southern WI : WI 2/ : 1,400 1,960 2,744 Northern WI : WI 2/ : 410 1,945 797 Total WI Binder : 1,810 1,956 3,541 Total Cigar Binder : 4,230 2,400 1,728 1,725 7,308 4,140 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper : CT Valley Shade-grown : CT : 870 900 1,600 1,550 1,392 1,395 MA : 300 300 1,590 1,500 477 450 US : 1,170 1,200 1,597 1,538 1,869 1,845 All Cigar Types : 7,200 4,900 1,850 1,805 13,317 8,845 : All Tobacco : 408,040 307,010 2,155 2,083 879,227 639,566 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. 3/ Estimates began in 2005. 4/ No Sun-cured tobacco is expected to be harvested in 2005. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- Acres --- Pounds 1,000 Pounds : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts : NC : 43,000 2,350 101,050 VA : 23,000 2,505 57,615 US : 66,000 2,404 158,665 Type 12, Eastern NC : Belt : NC : 89,000 2,250 200,250 Type 13, NC Border & : SC Belt : NC : 19,400 2,200 42,680 SC : 27,000 2,250 60,750 US : 46,400 2,229 103,430 Type 14, GA-FL Belt : FL : 4,000 2,450 9,800 GA : 23,000 2,030 46,690 US : 27,000 2,092 56,490 Total 11-14 : 228,400 2,272 518,835 Class 2, Fire-cured : Type 21, VA Belt : VA : 710 1,895 1,345 Type 22, Eastern : District : KY : 2,700 3,100 8,370 TN : 5,300 3,100 16,430 US : 8,000 3,100 24,800 Type 23, Western : District : KY : 2,600 3,700 9,620 TN : 420 3,300 1,386 US : 3,020 3,644 11,006 Total 21-23 : 11,730 3,167 37,151 Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3A, Light : Air-cured : Type 31, Burley : IN : 4,200 2,050 8,610 KY : 106,000 1,950 206,700 MO : 1,450 2,300 3,335 NC : 4,700 1,400 6,580 OH : 5,600 1,960 10,976 TN : 24,000 1,920 46,080 VA : 5,900 1,390 8,201 WV : 1,300 1,300 1,690 US : 153,150 1,908 292,172 Type 32, Southern MD : Belt : MD : 1,100 1,700 1,870 PA : 2,200 1,800 3,960 US : 3,300 1,767 5,830 Total 31, 32 : 156,450 1,905 298,002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- Acres --- Pounds 1,000 Pounds : Class 3, Air-cured : Class 3B, Dark : Air-cured : Type 35, One Sucker : Belt : KY : 2,350 2,950 6,933 TN : 540 2,750 1,485 US : 2,890 2,913 8,418 Type 36, Green River : Belt : KY : 1,300 2,600 3,380 Type 37, VA Sun-cured: Belt : VA : 70 1,770 124 Total 35-37 : 4,260 2,799 11,922 Class 4, Cigar Filler : Type 41, PA Seedleaf : PA : 1,800 2,300 4,140 Class 5, Cigar Binder : Class 5A, CT Valley : Binder : Type 51, CT Valley : Broadleaf : CT : 1,500 1,530 2,295 MA : 920 1,600 1,472 US : 2,420 1,557 3,767 Class 5B, WI Binder : Type 54, Southern WI: WI : 1,400 1,960 2,744 Type 55, Northern WI: WI : 410 1,945 797 Total 54-55 : 1,810 1,956 3,541 Total 51-55 : 4,230 1,728 7,308 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: Type 61, CT Valley : Shade-grown : CT : 870 1,600 1,392 MA : 300 1,590 477 US : 1,170 1,597 1,869 All Cigar Types : Total 41-61 : 7,200 1,850 13,317 : All Tobacco : 408,040 2,155 879,227 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for 2005 can be found on pages 17, 18, and 19. This table is included to provide complete estimates for 2004. Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Tons --------- -- 1,000 Tons -- : CA : 49.1 45.3 39.3 37.9 38.0 1,930 1,721 CO : 33.5 34.4 25.0 22.5 22.5 838 774 ID : 192.0 167.0 28.7 27.3 27.3 5,510 4,559 MI : 163.0 148.0 21.1 20.0 20.0 3,439 2,960 MN : 470.0 466.0 20.9 18.5 19.5 9,823 9,087 MT : 52.1 50.0 21.7 21.0 21.0 1,131 1,050 NE : 47.5 45.7 22.1 20.1 20.1 1,050 919 ND : 246.0 240.0 19.7 19.0 19.0 4,846 4,560 OH 2/ : 1.7 21.8 37 OR : 12.6 9.6 31.4 30.2 30.2 396 290 WA : 3.8 1.7 37.9 35.9 35.9 144 61 WY : 35.6 35.6 22.8 21.5 21.5 812 765 : US : 1,306.9 1,243.3 22.9 21.2 21.5 29,956 26,746 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. 2/ No acreage reported in 2005. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Sep 1 : Oct 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Tons --------- -- 1,000 Tons -- : FL : 406.0 435.0 35.2 37.0 38.0 14,281 16,530 HI : 23.2 23.9 87.3 86.9 86.9 2,026 2,077 LA : 465.0 455.0 23.8 24.0 22.0 11,067 10,010 TX : 44.0 44.0 37.3 36.9 36.9 1,639 1,624 : US : 938.2 957.9 30.9 32.0 31.6 29,013 30,241 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2003-04, 2004-05 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :---------------------------------------------------------- : 2003-04 : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2003-04 : 2004-05 :2005-06 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 300 240 270 12 9 10 CA 4/ : 39,500 43,000 42,000 1,481 1,613 1,575 FL : 126,000 79,100 93,000 5,670 3,560 4,185 TX : 1,420 1,500 1,300 60 64 55 US : 167,220 123,840 136,570 7,223 5,246 5,825 Valencia : AZ : 170 190 200 6 7 8 CA : 11,000 18,000 13,000 413 675 488 FL : 116,000 70,500 97,000 5,220 3,173 4,365 TX : 230 270 230 10 11 10 US : 127,400 88,960 110,430 5,649 3,866 4,871 All : AZ : 470 430 470 18 16 18 CA : 50,500 61,000 55,000 1,894 2,288 2,063 FL : 242,000 149,600 190,000 10,890 6,733 8,550 TX : 1,650 1,770 1,530 70 75 65 US : 294,620 212,800 247,000 12,872 9,112 10,696 Temples : FL : 1,400 650 900 63 29 41 Grapefruit : White Seedless 5/ : FL : 15,900 3,400 7,000 675 145 298 Colored Seedless : FL : 25,000 9,400 17,000 1,063 400 723 All : AZ : 140 140 120 5 5 4 CA : 5,800 5,800 5,800 194 194 194 FL : 40,900 12,800 24,000 1,738 545 1,021 TX : 5,700 6,600 5,400 228 264 216 US : 52,540 25,340 35,320 2,165 1,008 1,435 Tangerines : AZ 6/ : 690 400 500 25 15 19 CA 6/ : 2,200 2,800 3,200 83 105 120 FL : 6,500 4,450 6,000 309 211 285 US : 9,390 7,650 9,700 417 331 424 Lemons : AZ : 3,000 2,400 3,800 114 91 144 CA : 18,000 19,000 19,000 684 722 722 US : 21,000 21,400 22,800 798 813 866 Tangelos : FL : 1,000 1,550 1,400 45 70 63 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 5/ Includes seedy. 6/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : AZ 2/ : 7.0 37.0 14.0 AR 3/ : 2.4 1.9 CA 2/ : 450.0 390.0 410.0 CO 2/ : 22.0 28.0 28.0 CT 2/ : 21.5 19.5 17.5 GA 2/ : 13.0 12.0 13.0 ID 2/ : 70.0 90.0 65.0 IL 2/ : 52.5 56.5 50.0 IN 2/ : 51.0 60.0 55.0 IA 2/ : 6.0 5.3 1.3 KS 3/ : 3.4 2.8 KY 2/ : 7.5 8.0 8.0 ME 2/ : 44.0 47.0 35.0 MD 2/ : 40.0 34.1 30.0 MA 2/ : 42.5 42.0 35.0 MI : 890.0 760.0 700.0 MN 2/ : 27.0 25.0 22.0 MO 2/ : 40.0 48.0 42.0 NH 2/ : 26.0 30.5 26.0 NJ 2/ : 40.0 40.0 45.0 NM 3/ : 2.0 4.6 NY : 1,070.0 1,280.0 1,060.0 NC : 135.0 155.0 155.0 OH 2/ : 90.0 90.0 88.0 OR 2/ : 133.0 163.0 130.0 PA : 442.0 405.0 420.0 RI 2/ : 2.3 2.2 2.3 SC 2/ : 6.0 6.0 5.0 TN 2/ : 12.0 11.0 9.0 UT 2/ : 28.0 32.0 28.0 VT 2/ : 42.0 45.5 41.0 VA : 270.0 300.0 300.0 WA : 4,550.0 6,050.0 5,400.0 WV : 87.0 81.0 85.0 WI 2/ : 68.0 57.0 59.0 : US : 8,793.1 10,419.9 9,379.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Pecans: Utilized Production by Variety, State, and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds Improved Varieties 1/ : AL : 7,000 1,000 3,100 AZ : 22,500 14,000 21,000 AR : 1,400 1,000 1,600 CA : 3,700 3,500 3,900 FL : 500 400 500 GA : 60,000 42,000 80,000 LA : 4,000 2,500 1,000 MS : 4,800 700 700 MO 2/ : 300 NM : 55,000 39,000 62,000 NC : 2,200 70 1,600 OK : 1,500 6,000 4,000 SC : 3,300 800 2,000 TX : 37,000 28,000 50,000 : US : 202,900 138,970 231,700 : Native & Seedling : AL : 1,000 100 400 AR : 2,400 700 1,400 FL : 1,600 100 900 GA : 15,000 3,000 10,000 KS : 2,000 1,800 3,100 LA : 16,000 6,500 3,000 MS : 2,200 300 100 MO 2/ : 1,200 NC : 300 30 400 OK : 4,500 22,000 16,000 SC : 1,200 300 500 TX : 33,000 12,000 20,000 : US : 79,200 46,830 57,000 : All Pecans : AL : 8,000 1,100 3,500 AZ : 22,500 14,000 21,000 AR : 3,800 1,700 3,000 CA : 3,700 3,500 3,900 FL : 2,100 500 1,400 GA : 75,000 45,000 90,000 KS : 2,000 1,800 3,100 LA : 20,000 9,000 4,000 MS : 7,000 1,000 800 MO 2/ : 1,500 NM : 55,000 39,000 62,000 NC : 2,500 100 2,000 OK : 6,000 28,000 20,000 SC : 4,500 1,100 2,500 TX : 70,000 40,000 70,000 : US : 282,100 185,800 288,700 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 2/ Estimates began in 2005. Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted October 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :-------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : AZ 1/ : 8,000 4,000 1,000 AR 1/ : 2,400 3,000 2,600 CA : All Types : 5,861,000 5,615,000 6,240,000 Wine : 2,909,000 2,815,000 3,150,000 Table 2/ : 732,000 770,000 790,000 Raisin 2/ : 2,220,000 2,030,000 2,300,000 GA 1/ : 3,100 3,300 3,300 MI : 94,500 62,500 99,000 MO 1/ : 3,030 3,300 3,200 NY : 198,000 142,000 158,000 NC 1/ : 2,800 3,500 3,700 OH 1/ : 8,100 4,800 7,400 OR 1/ : 24,000 24,000 23,000 PA : 85,000 86,800 85,000 TX 1/ : 6,000 8,800 10,000 VA 1/ : 3,600 3,700 4,700 WA : All Types : 344,000 267,000 430,000 Wine : 112,000 107,000 125,000 Juice : 232,000 160,000 305,000 : US : 6,643,530 6,231,700 7,070,900 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Fresh basis. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Aug : 1,995 2,400 1,050 1,465 2,630 2,370 Sep : 2,110 2,380 1,370 1,455 2,725 2,370 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 4,527.0 3,922.0 4,021.0 3,276.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 80,930.0 81,642.0 73,632.0 74,333.0 Corn for Silage : 6,103.0 Hay, All : 61,916.0 61,723.0 Alfalfa : 21,707.0 22,118.0 All Other : 40,209.0 39,605.0 Oats : 4,085.0 4,240.0 1,787.0 1,823.0 Proso Millet : 710.0 590.0 595.0 Rice : 3,347.0 3,365.0 3,325.0 3,343.0 Rye : 1,380.0 1,433.0 300.0 279.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 7,486.0 6,495.0 6,517.0 5,687.0 Sorghum for Silage : 352.0 Wheat, All : 59,674.0 57,091.0 49,999.0 49,980.0 Winter : 43,350.0 40,320.0 34,462.0 33,680.0 Durum : 2,561.0 2,735.0 2,363.0 2,691.0 Other Spring : 13,763.0 14,036.0 13,174.0 13,609.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 865.0 1,153.0 828.0 1,125.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 523.0 945.0 516.0 931.0 Mustard Seed : 73.0 61.0 68.7 42.5 Peanuts : 1,430.0 1,646.0 1,394.0 1,607.0 Rapeseed : 8.7 2.2 7.8 1.9 Safflower : 175.0 185.0 159.0 173.0 Soybeans for Beans : 75,208.0 72,200.0 73,958.0 71,270.0 Sunflower : 1,873.0 2,706.0 1,711.0 2,581.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,658.6 14,184.0 13,057.0 13,673.0 Upland : 13,409.0 13,914.0 12,809.0 13,408.0 Amer-Pima : 249.6 270.0 248.0 265.0 Sugarbeets : 1,345.9 1,284.6 1,306.9 1,243.3 Sugarcane : 938.2 957.9 Tobacco : 408.0 307.0 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 30.5 37.5 21.5 26.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,354.3 1,659.8 1,219.3 1,522.1 Dry Edible Peas : 530.0 804.0 507.8 772.0 Lentils : 345.0 450.0 329.0 430.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 0.1 Hops : 27.7 29.2 Peppermint Oil : 77.7 Potatoes, All : 1,193.3 1,106.4 1,166.9 1,088.2 Winter : 18.7 20.0 18.5 19.8 Spring : 76.5 65.7 72.2 64.4 Summer : 58.4 50.3 53.9 48.3 Fall : 1,039.7 970.4 1,022.3 955.7 Spearmint Oil : 15.1 Sweet Potatoes : 96.9 92.3 92.8 89.5 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Unit :------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley : Bu : 69.6 64.8 279,743 212,196 Corn for Grain : " : 160.4 146.1 11,807,217 10,857,440 Corn for Silage : Ton : 17.6 107,336 Hay, All : " : 2.55 2.48 157,774 152,871 Alfalfa : " : 3.47 3.43 75,383 75,940 All Other : " : 2.05 1.94 82,391 76,931 Oats : Bu : 64.7 63.1 115,695 115,002 Proso Millet : " : 25.3 15,065 Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,942 6,678 230,818 223,238 Rye : Bu : 27.5 27.0 8,255 7,537 Sorghum for Grain : " : 69.8 66.0 454,899 375,105 Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 13.5 4,763 Wheat, All : Bu : 43.2 42.0 2,158,245 2,098,270 Winter : " : 43.5 44.4 1,499,434 1,493,769 Durum : " : 38.0 37.2 89,893 100,045 Other Spring : " : 43.2 37.1 568,918 504,456 : : Oilseeds : : Canola : Lb : 1,618 1,333 1,339,530 1,499,300 Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 8,242.1 8,147.0 Flaxseed : Bu : 20.3 10,471 Mustard Seed : Lb : 819 56,290 Peanuts : " : 3,076 3,061 4,288,200 4,919,300 Rapeseed : " : 1,394 10,875 Safflower : " : 1,105 175,765 Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 42.2 41.6 3,123,686 2,967,075 Sunflower : Lb : 1,198 1,500 2,049,613 3,870,910 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 855 797 23,250.7 22,717.0 Upland 2/ : " : 843 788 22,505.1 22,013.0 Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,443 1,275 745.6 704.0 Sugarbeets : Ton : 22.9 21.5 29,956 26,746 Sugarcane : " : 30.9 31.6 29,013 30,241 Tobacco : Lb : 2,155 2,083 879,227 639,566 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,228 264 Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,460 1,715 17,799 26,109 Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 2,249 11,419 Lentils 2/ : " : 1,271 4,182 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : " : 899 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) : Lb : 965 5,600 Ginger Root (HI) : " : 40,000 42,500 6,000 5,100 Hops : " : 1,990 1,977 55,203.9 57,718.5 Peppermint Oil : " : 92 7,146 Potatoes, All : Cwt : 391 456,041 Winter : " : 260 247 4,818 4,892 Spring : " : 314 281 22,663 18,099 Summer : " : 340 334 18,307 16,123 Fall : " : 401 410,253 Spearmint Oil : Lb : 116 1,746 Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 174 16,112 Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 5,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Unit :-------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Ton : 2,165 1,008 1,435 Lemons : " : 798 813 866 Oranges : " : 12,872 9,112 10,696 Tangelos (FL) : " : 45 70 63 Tangerines : " : 417 331 424 Temples (FL) : " : 63 29 41 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 10,419.9 9,379.1 Apricots : Ton : 101.1 90.2 Bananas (HI) : Lbs : 16,500.0 Grapes : Ton : 6,231.7 7,070.9 Olives (CA) : " : 104.0 125.0 Papayas (HI) : Lb : 35,800.0 Peaches : Ton : 1,307.1 1,233.9 Pears : " : 890.3 853.0 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 49.0 105.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 25.0 10.7 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lb : 1,010,000 880,000 Hazelnuts (OR) : Ton : 37.5 28.0 Pecans : Lb : 185,800 288,700 Walnuts (CA) : Ton : 325.0 340.0 Maple Syrup : Gal : 1,507 1,242 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2/ Production years are 2003-04, 2004-05, and 2005-06. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,832,030 1,587,190 1,627,260 1,325,760 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,751,560 33,039,700 29,798,130 30,081,820 Corn for Silage : 2,469,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,056,790 24,978,680 Alfalfa : 8,784,610 8,950,930 All Other : 16,272,180 16,027,750 Oats : 1,653,160 1,715,890 723,180 737,750 Proso Millet : 287,330 238,770 240,790 Rice : 1,354,500 1,361,780 1,345,590 1,352,880 Rye : 558,470 579,920 121,410 112,910 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,029,510 2,628,460 2,637,360 2,301,470 Sorghum for Silage : 142,450 Wheat, All 3/ :24,149,470 23,104,160 20,234,100 20,226,410 Winter :17,543,310 16,317,100 13,946,430 13,629,960 Durum : 1,036,410 1,106,830 956,280 1,089,020 Other Spring : 5,569,750 5,680,230 5,331,390 5,507,430 : Oilseeds : Canola : 350,060 466,610 335,080 455,280 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 211,650 382,430 208,820 376,770 Mustard Seed : 29,540 24,690 27,800 17,200 Peanuts : 578,710 666,120 564,140 650,340 Rapeseed : 3,520 890 3,160 770 Safflower : 70,820 74,870 64,350 70,010 Soybeans for Beans :30,435,930 29,218,620 29,930,060 28,842,260 Sunflower : 757,980 1,095,090 692,420 1,044,500 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,527,500 5,740,120 5,284,040 5,533,330 Upland : 5,426,490 5,630,860 5,183,670 5,426,080 Amer-Pima : 101,010 109,270 100,360 107,240 Sugarbeets : 544,670 519,860 528,890 503,150 Sugarcane : 379,680 387,650 Tobacco : 165,130 124,240 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 12,340 15,180 8,700 10,720 Dry Edible Beans : 548,070 671,700 493,440 615,980 Dry Edible Peas : 214,490 325,370 205,500 312,420 Lentils : 139,620 182,110 133,140 174,020 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,350 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 50 Hops : 11,230 11,810 Peppermint Oil : 31,440 Potatoes, All 3/ : 482,920 447,750 472,230 440,380 Winter : 7,570 8,090 7,490 8,010 Spring : 30,960 26,590 29,220 26,060 Summer : 23,630 20,360 21,810 19,550 Fall : 420,760 392,710 413,710 386,760 Spearmint Oil : 6,110 Sweet Potatoes : 39,210 37,350 37,560 36,220 Taro (HI) 4/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.74 3.48 6,090,680 4,620,020 Corn for Grain : 10.06 9.17 299,917,130 275,791,680 Corn for Silage : 39.43 97,373,580 Hay, All 2/ : 5.71 5.55 143,130,170 138,682,240 Alfalfa : 7.78 7.70 68,386,310 68,891,610 All Other : 4.59 4.35 74,743,860 69,790,630 Oats : 2.32 2.26 1,679,310 1,669,250 Proso Millet : 1.42 341,670 Rice : 7.78 7.48 10,469,730 10,125,910 Rye : 1.73 1.70 209,690 191,450 Sorghum for Grain : 4.38 4.14 11,554,970 9,528,110 Sorghum for Silage : 30.33 4,320,920 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.90 2.82 58,737,800 57,105,550 Winter : 2.93 2.98 40,807,910 40,653,730 Durum : 2.56 2.50 2,446,490 2,722,780 Other Spring : 2.90 2.49 15,483,410 13,729,040 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.81 1.49 607,600 680,070 Cottonseed 3/ : 7,477,110 7,390,830 Flaxseed : 1.27 265,980 Mustard Seed : 0.92 25,530 Peanuts : 3.45 3.43 1,945,090 2,231,360 Rapeseed : 1.56 4,930 Safflower : 1.24 79,730 Soybeans for Beans : 2.84 2.80 85,012,800 80,750,550 Sunflower : 1.34 1.68 929,690 1,755,820 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.96 0.89 5,062,240 4,946,040 Upland : 0.95 0.88 4,899,910 4,792,770 Amer-Pima : 1.62 1.43 162,340 153,280 Sugarbeets : 51.38 48.22 27,175,630 24,263,560 Sugarcane : 69.32 70.77 26,320,150 27,434,170 Tobacco : 2.42 2.33 398,810 290,100 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.38 11,970 Dry Edible Beans : 1.64 1.92 807,350 1,184,280 Dry Edible Peas : 2.52 517,960 Lentils : 1.42 189,690 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 40,780 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.08 2,540 Ginger Root (HI) : 44.83 47.64 2,720 2,310 Hops : 2.23 2.22 25,040 26,180 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,240 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.80 20,685,670 Winter : 29.19 27.69 218,540 221,900 Spring : 35.18 31.50 1,027,980 820,960 Summer : 38.07 37.41 830,390 731,330 Fall : 44.98 18,608,760 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 790 Sweet Potatoes : 19.46 730,830 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,360 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 1,964,050 914,440 1,301,810 Lemons : 723,930 737,540 785,620 Oranges : 11,677,280 8,266,270 9,703,250 Tangelos (FL) : 40,820 63,500 57,150 Tangerines : 378,300 300,280 384,650 Temples (FL) : 57,150 26,310 37,190 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,726,390 4,254,290 Apricots : 91,740 81,790 Bananas (HI) : 7,480 Grapes : 5,653,300 6,414,610 Olives (CA) : 94,350 113,400 Papayas (HI) : 16,240 Peaches : 1,185,790 1,119,330 Pears : 807,630 773,810 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 44,450 95,250 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 22,680 9,710 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 458,130 399,160 Hazelnuts (OR) : 34,020 25,400 Pecans : 84,280 130,950 Walnuts (CA) : 294,840 308,440 Maple Syrup : 7,530 6,210 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2/ Production years are 2003-04, 2004-05, and 2005-06. Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre, Selected States, 2001-2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Sep : 25,650 25,050 26,700 27,350 26,950 : Oct : 25,550 25,050 26,700 27,400 26,850 : Nov : 25,550 25,000 26,650 27,400 : Final : 25,550 25,000 26,650 27,400 : : IN : Sep : 25,500 23,900 25,350 26,200 24,850 : Oct : 25,350 23,650 25,400 25,950 24,600 : Nov : 25,400 23,650 25,350 26,050 : Final : 25,400 23,650 25,350 26,050 : : IA : Sep : 25,450 25,950 26,700 27,350 27,150 : Oct : 25,350 25,800 26,550 27,550 27,100 : Nov : 25,250 25,800 26,600 27,500 : Final : 25,250 25,800 26,600 27,500 : : KS 1/ : Sep : 22,100 21,100 : Oct : 22,150 21,000 : Nov : 22,150 : Final : 22,150 : : MN : Sep : 27,500 26,550 28,300 29,000 28,000 : Oct : 26,750 26,150 28,650 29,250 27,900 : Nov : 26,700 26,100 28,600 29,150 : Final : 26,700 26,100 28,600 29,200 : : MO 2/ : Sep : 24,400 22,550 : Oct : 24,250 22,600 : Nov : 24,250 : Final : 24,250 : : NE : Sep : 22,200 21,650 22,950 23,650 23,250 All : Oct : 21,950 21,250 22,650 24,000 22,800 : Nov : 22,050 21,200 22,600 24,050 : Final : 22,050 21,200 22,600 24,050 : : NE : Sep : 25,550 25,800 26,550 26,550 26,250 Irrigated : Oct : 25,350 25,700 26,350 26,700 25,900 : Nov : 25,350 25,650 26,300 26,650 : Final : 25,350 25,650 26,300 26,650 : : NE : Sep : 18,050 16,700 18,300 19,100 19,550 Non-Irrigated: Oct : 17,800 15,950 17,850 19,800 18,950 : Nov : 18,000 15,950 17,800 20,000 : Final : 18,000 15,950 17,800 20,000 : : OH : Sep : 25,550 23,700 25,500 25,950 24,800 : Oct : 25,250 22,400 25,700 26,000 24,700 : Nov : 25,150 22,350 25,750 26,000 : Final : 25,100 22,350 25,750 26,050 : : SD 2/ : Sep : 21,950 23,150 : Oct : 22,700 23,100 : Nov : 22,700 : Final : 22,700 : : WI : Sep : 26,100 25,950 26,150 25,600 26,550 : Oct : 26,100 25,050 26,300 27,150 26,350 : Nov : 26,100 25,250 26,250 26,800 : Final : 26,100 25,250 26,250 26,800 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Field counts began in 2004. 2/ Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996. Soybeans: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet, Selected States, 2001-2005 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR 1/ 2/: Sep : : Oct : 2,260 2,446 1,796 : Nov : 1,867 2,483 : Final : 1,817 2,511 : : IL : Sep : 2,041 1,952 1,800 2,070 1,973 : Oct : 1,932 1,785 1,606 1,923 1,820 : Nov : 1,932 1,795 1,634 1,943 : Final : 1,932 1,802 1,634 1,947 : : IN : Sep : 2,003 1,773 1,786 1,909 1,855 : Oct : 1,882 1,677 1,692 1,866 1,790 : Nov : 1,880 1,680 1,582 1,917 : Final : 1,869 1,680 1,582 1,917 : : IA : Sep : 1,809 1,988 1,749 1,772 1,969 : Oct : 1,778 1,828 1,629 1,731 1,935 : Nov : 1,787 1,867 1,647 1,737 : Final : 1,796 1,867 1,647 1,741 : : KS 3/ : Sep : 1,482 1,490 : Oct : 1,588 1,431 : Nov : 1,639 : Final : 1,636 : : MN : Sep : 1,492 1,688 1,582 1,487 1,684 : Oct : 1,433 1,785 1,417 1,406 1,598 : Nov : 1,475 1,739 1,440 1,446 : Final : 1,475 1,715 1,440 1,435 : : MO : Sep : 1,424 1,427 1,144 1,798 1,458 : Oct : 1,732 1,609 1,455 1,943 1,585 : Nov : 1,874 1,681 1,547 1,998 : Final : 1,921 1,705 1,523 2,038 : : NE : Sep : 1,961 1,548 1,727 1,835 1,862 : Oct : 1,932 1,517 1,642 1,836 1,903 : Nov : 2,003 1,587 1,636 1,895 : Final : 2,048 1,592 1,636 1,895 : : ND 3/ : Sep : 1,114 1,526 : Oct : 1,148 1,471 : Nov : 1,243 : Final : 1,242 : : OH : Sep : 1,801 1,593 1,791 1,808 2,040 : Oct : 1,834 1,495 1,898 1,873 1,890 : Nov : 1,785 1,499 1,764 1,840 : Final : 1,785 1,492 1,752 1,837 : : SD 3/ : Sep : 1,248 1,634 : Oct : 1,332 1,617 : Nov : 1,302 : Final : 1,308 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ September data not available due to plant immaturity. 2/ Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3/ Field counts began in 2004. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2001-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 747 840 798 864 811 : Oct : 780 763 755 771 728 : Nov : 816 784 744 753 : Dec : 756 772 744 754 : Final : 756 772 744 754 : : CA : Sep : 939 945 973 954 993 : Oct : 902 1,041 945 952 926 : Nov : 921 1,009 893 945 : Dec : 918 1,011 893 948 : Final : 918 1,011 893 948 : : GA : Sep : 590 569 559 646 667 : Oct : 677 604 646 690 689 : Nov : 651 591 643 686 : Dec : 664 600 665 687 : Final : 664 608 664 687 : : LA : Sep : 625 663 681 635 746 : Oct : 592 756 778 707 768 : Nov : 582 749 775 691 : Dec : 588 742 775 691 : Final : 588 742 775 691 : : MS : Sep : 754 802 837 808 818 : Oct : 696 783 824 789 729 : Nov : 680 768 811 780 : Dec : 679 767 808 780 : Final : 679 767 808 780 : : NC : Sep : 719 636 628 758 799 : Oct : 722 629 630 719 693 : Nov : 696 560 632 732 : Dec : 705 567 632 733 : Final : 705 564 632 733 : : TX : Sep : 441 536 465 639 620 : Oct : 435 511 431 672 516 : Nov : 439 520 429 593 : Dec : 445 497 435 624 : Final : 445 497 433 624 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. September Weather Summary On September 24, Hurricane Rita moved ashore in Cameron Parish, Louisiana, near the Texas-Louisiana border, with maximum sustained winds of 120 m.p.h. and a storm surge in excess of 10 feet. The category 3 hurricane caused significant property damage across easternmost Texas and southern and western Louisiana. In addition, heavy rain and gusty winds adversely affected unharvested crops, including southern Louisiana's sugarcane and the Delta's open-boll cotton. Farther east, Category 1 Hurricane Ophelia grazed North Carolina's Outer Banks on September 14-15, primarily buffeting coastal areas with high winds, heavy rain, and pounding surf. Meanwhile, unusually dry weather prevailed during September across much of the Plains and the East, promoting summer crop maturation and harvesting but stressing pastures and reducing soil moisture for newly planted winter wheat. Corn and soybean harvesting advanced on schedule in much of the Midwest, although increasingly wet conditions plagued the upper Mississippi Valley. Across the southern and eastern Corn Belt, the interaction of Rita's remnants and a cold front briefly slowed fieldwork but provided generally beneficial, late-month rainfall. Elsewhere, much-needed precipitation arrived in the Northwest at month's end, improving topsoil moisture for winter wheat emergence and establishment. Autumn fieldwork proceeded with few delays elsewhere in the West. Cool weather prevailed during September west of the Rockies, but the remainder of the nation experienced unusual warmth. Monthly temperatures averaged as much as 5 degrees F below normal in California but generally ranged from 3 to 7 degrees F above normal from the Plains to the East Coast. September Agricultural Summary Hurricane Rita came ashore along the Louisiana/Texas Gulf Coast on September 24 as a Category 3 storm, packing high winds and heavy rain. The storm surge and rainfall exceeding 10 inches inundated coastal areas near the point of impact. Though most of the rice in the hurricane-affected areas had already been harvested, sugarcane fields in southwest Louisiana were battered by the high winds and flooded. Tornados were spawned as far east as Mississippi and precipitation totals exceeding 4 inches were seen well into Arkansas. As the storm weakened to a tropical depression, it continued to move northeast across the central Corn Belt and Northeast, dropping moderate to heavy rain along the way. Temperatures averaged above normal east of the Rocky Mountains, promoting crop development and maturation. West of the Rocky Mountains, temperatures averaged only slightly below normal. The two tropical systems that passed through the Corn Belt, Katrina early in the month and Rita toward month's end, brought moderate precipitation to the area, improving crop conditions. Monsoon rains boosted soil moisture reserves across the Rocky Mountains. Dry conditions prevailed in California, along most of the Atlantic Coastal Plain, and in the northern and southern Great Plains, stressing dryland crops. The Nation's corn crop continued to develop ahead of the normal pace. By September 4, acreage at or beyond the dough stage was 96 percent, 9 percentage points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. All States, except Colorado, were at or ahead of the normal pace. The dent stage also progressed ahead of normal, reaching 96 percent by September 18. Maturation slipped behind normal early in the month, but advanced rapidly, equaling the normal pace by September 11 then surpassing it. At month's end, 90 percent of the crop had reached maturity, compared with 72 percent last year and 84 percent for the 5-year average. Missouri's, North Carolina's, and Tennessee's crops were 100 percent mature, while only Nebraska's and Texas' crops trailed behind the average maturation pace. Despite crop development progressing ahead of normal, harvest maintained a near-normal pace throughout the month. On October 2, growers had harvested 26 percent of their acreage, 3 points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. Meanwhile, the steady decline of crop condition seen in previous months was halted and held steady through most of September. It even improved slightly toward month's end as rainfall from the remnants of Rita replenished soil moisture. Acreage of sorghum which had headed began the month slightly ahead of the normal pace, reaching 96 percent by September 4, five points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. Acreage turning color or beyond was 7 points behind normal at the beginning of the month but advanced rapidly, catching up to the normal pace of 94 percent by month's end. Maturation, however, trailed behind the normal pace throughout the month, and was a week or more behind the normal nationwide pace until the final week of September. Harvest progress remained over a week behind normal, reaching 36 percent complete on October 2, four points ahead of last year but 11 points behind normal. On that date, Kansas, the largest-producing State, was nearly 2 weeks behind the normal harvest pace, and Texas, the second-largest producer, was 3 weeks behind normal. Rice growers harvested their acreage behind the normal pace as wet conditions across most growing areas hampered fieldwork. By month's end, 72 percent of the acreage had been harvested, 11 points behind last year and 5 points behind normal. All States, except Texas, were behind the normal harvest pace. Progress was most advanced in Texas and Louisiana, at 99 and 94 percent, respectively. As Hurricane Rita neared the Gulf Coast rice-producing region, much of the acreage in its path was already harvested. Arkansas and Mississippi growers frantically harvested as much of their crop as they could ahead of the high winds and heavy rains, advancing 23 and 32 points, respectively, during the week ending September 25. Crop condition declined in the wake of Rita, particularly in Mississippi, where extensive lodging was reported. Soybean acreage dropping leaves or beyond began the month slightly behind the normal pace, at 6 percent, but progressed rapidly during the month. By October 2, leaves were dropping on 93 percent of the acreage, 9 points ahead of last year and 8 points ahead of normal. All of South Dakota's crop was dropping leaves, while 95 percent or more of the crop was dropping leaves across most Corn Belt and Great Plains States. Progress was ahead of normal in all States, except Kansas and Kentucky. Meanwhile, harvest also progressed ahead of the normal pace, reaching 36 percent complete by month's end. Harvest was most advanced in the Delta, at 81 percent complete in Mississippi and 78 percent complete in Louisiana. Progress was behind the normal pace in Indiana, Kansas, Missouri, and Ohio but was at or ahead of normal elsewhere, with Michigan growers leading their normal harvest pace by 26 points. Condition of the crop improved slightly during the month in response to rainfall in the Corn Belt but remained well below last year's condition. The Nation's sunflower harvest was just getting underway at month's end. Growers had harvested 6 percent of their acreage, compared with 4 percent last year and 11 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was most advanced in Kansas, at 15 percent complete but trailed behind the normal pace in all States. Peanut producers were also behind their normal harvest pace. By October 2, just 23 percent of the crop had been harvested, 5 points behind last year and 8 points behind normal. Dry conditions in most growing areas of the Southeast have delayed crop development and hindered digging. Harvest progress was behind the normal pace in all States, with Alabama and Florida growers trailing their normal pace by 14 points. Cotton development continued to lag behind the normal pace during September. As of September 4, bolls were opening on 30 percent of the acreage, compared with 34 percent last year and 40 percent for the 5-year average. Seven States, including Texas and Georgia, the two largest producing States, trailed the normal pace by over a week, while bolls opened ahead of the normal pace in Arkansas and Virginia. Progress accelerated during the month, particularly in the Southeast, where warm, dry weather promoted crop development. By month's end, 77 percent of the acreage had open bolls, 2 points ahead of last year and just 5 points behind normal. Though progress was ahead of normal in most States, Texas trailed the normal pace by over a week, and California's crop was over 2 weeks behind normal. Meanwhile, harvest began at a near normal pace but started to slip behind by month's end. By October 2, growers had harvested 20 percent of their acreage, 1 point ahead of last year but 3 points behind normal. Only Louisiana and Virginia exceeded the normal harvest pace, while Alabama, Georgia, and Oklahoma were over a week behind normal. Condition of the crop declined significantly during the last weeks of September due to wind and rain damage from Hurricane Rita in the Delta and dry conditions in the Southeast. Sugarbeet producers lagged well behind their normal harvest pace. Just 10 percent of the acreage had been harvested by October 2, compared with 17 percent last year and 20 percent for the 5-year average. Particularly in the Red River Valley, harvest progress was limited by warm weather. Harvest of the spring wheat and barley crops continued to progress ahead of the normal pace. By September 11, barley growers had harvested 95 percent of their acreage, while 96 percent of the spring wheat crop had been harvested, 3 points and 7 points ahead of normal, respectively. Harvest was nearly complete, at or ahead of the normal pace, in most States. Only in Idaho, where planting was delayed by persistent rainfall early in the season, was harvest progress behind normal. Winter wheat planting was underway in all States by September 18 and was at or ahead of the normal pace everywhere except in North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Washington. Nationwide, 25 percent of next year's crop had been planted, 2 points behind last year but 3 points ahead of normal. By month's end, growers had planted 54 percent of their acreage, compared with 55 percent last year and 53 percent for the 5-year average. Meanwhile, emergence progressed at a near-normal pace, reaching 25 percent by October 2, two points behind last year but the same as normal. Corn for Grain: Based on administrative data, updates to planted acreage were made in several States bringing total planted corn acres to 81.6 million acres, up 50,000 acres from June. Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain was also updated in a number of States and is now forecast at 74.3 million acres, up 15,000 acres from September and 1 percent higher than 2004. The October 1 corn objective yield forecast number of ears per acre for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin) is down 4 percent from last year's record high. Ear counts were lower than last year in all objective yield States, except South Dakota. The largest decreases occurred in Missouri and Indiana, where ear counts declined 7 and 6 percent, respectively. The corn crop continued to develop ahead of the normal pace during September. Maturation slipped behind normal early in the month, but advanced rapidly, equaling the normal pace by September 11 and then surpassed it. On October 2, ninety percent of the crop had reached maturity in the 18 major producing States, compared with 72 percent last year and 84 percent for the 5-year average. Only Nebraska and Texas trailed behind their average maturation pace. Despite the crop developing ahead of normal, harvest maintained a near-normal pace throughout the month. As of October 2, growers had harvested 26 percent of their acreage, 3 points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. Harvest was 11 points behind normal in Kansas and Tennessee but was 21 points ahead of normal in Pennsylvania. Fifty-five percent of the crop was rated good to excellent, 3 percentage points above August 28 but 18 points below a year ago. Meanwhile, the steady decline in the previous month's crop condition halted and then held steady through most of September. It even improved slightly toward month's end as rainfall from the remnants of Hurricane Rita replenished soil moisture. Sorghum: Production is forecast at 375 million bushels, down 6 percent from last month and down 18 percent from last year. Based on October 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is 66.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from September but down 3.8 bushels from last year. Area for harvest as grain is forecast at 5.69 million acres, down 6 percent from last month and 13 percent below last year. Based on administrative information, acreage updates were made in several States. Planted area was updated to 6.50 million acres, down 7 percent from the June estimate and down 13 percent from 2004. The yield in Kansas, the largest producing State, is expected to be 72.0 bushels, down 2.0 bushels from September and down 4.0 bushels from 2004. Producers in Texas, the second largest sorghum producing State, expect a yield of 57.0 bushels per acre, which is up 1.0 bushel from last month but down 5.0 bushels from last year. As of October 2, harvest had begun in all of the top 11 States. In these States, the sorghum crop was 67 percent mature, 8 points ahead of last year but 6 points behind the 5-year average of 73 percent. Meanwhile, harvest progressed to 36 percent complete, ahead of last year's pace of 32 percent but below the 5-year average of 47 percent. Yields are either increasing or unchanged from September 1 in all but 3 of the major sorghum producing States. The exceptions are Kansas and Oklahoma, both down 2.0 bushels from last month, and Missouri, down 3.0 bushels from September. Although eastern portions of Kansas received widespread rains during the last half of September, it was too late to improve crop condition and slowed harvesting operations. As of October 2, crop condition was rated 49 percent good to excellent compared to 61 percent last year. Rice: Production is forecast at 223 million cwt, down 2 percent from the September forecast and down 3 percent from last year. Area expected for harvest, at 3.34 million acres, is unchanged from last month but up fractionally from 2004. As of October 1, the U.S. all rice yield is forecast at 6,678 pounds per acre, down 152 pounds per acre from last month and down 264 pounds from last year's record high yield. As of October 2, rice harvest in Louisiana and Texas was nearly complete, at 94 percent and 99 percent harvested, respectively. Elsewhere in the Delta, about three-fourths of the crop was harvested in Arkansas and Mississippi while Missouri's harvest was only 58 percent complete. These States, along with California's crop, at 41 percent harvested, lagged their respective 5-year average harvest pace by 4 to 6 percentage points. Soybeans: Updates to planted acreage were made in several States based on administrative data. Area planted is down 1 percent from the August estimate to 72.2 million acres and down 4 percent from 2004. Growers expect to harvest 71.3 million acres of soybeans, down 1 percent from September and down 4 percent from last year. As of October 2, ninety-three percent of the soybean crop had dropped leaves, 9 percentage points ahead of last year and 8 percentage points ahead of normal. Crop maturity was most advanced in Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota where 98 percent or more of the crop had already dropped leaves. Soybean harvest was progressing ahead of normal as of October 2, with 36 percent harvested compared to an average of 30 percent, led by the Delta States, North Dakota, and Iowa. Recent wet weather has caused harvest progress to be significantly behind normal in Kansas, Missouri and Indiana. Fifty-six percent of the soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 3 points higher than the August 29 rating but 10 percentage points below the rating of the same week a year ago. Sunflower: The first sunflower production forecast for 2005 is 3.87 billion pounds, up 89 percent from 2004 and 45 percent above 2003. Area planted, at 2.71 million acres, is down fractionally from the June estimate but up 44 percent from last year. Sunflower farmers expect to harvest 2.58 million acres, down 3,000 from June but up 51 percent from the 2004 acreage. The October yield forecast, at 1,500 pounds, is 302 pounds more than the 2004 yield. As of October 1, higher yields are expected in 6 of the 7 major sunflower-producing States, with only South Dakota farmers expecting lower yields compared with last year. Due to excellent growing conditions, record yields are expected in Colorado, Kansas, North Dakota, and Texas. In North Dakota, the yield is forecast at 1,560 pounds per acre, up 558 pounds from the 2004 yield. As of October 2, harvest progress in Kansas and the Dakotas was ahead of last year, but behind the 5-year average, while Colorado harvest was lagging behind last year and the 5-year average. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 4.92 billion pounds, up 15 percent from last year's crop but down 2 percent from last month. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.61 million acres, unchanged from September but up 15 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3,061 pounds per acre, down 56 pounds from September and down 15 pounds from 2004. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 3.48 billion pounds, down 2 percent from September but up 22 percent from last year's level. Expected acreage for harvest, at 1.18 million, is unchanged from September but up 21 percent from last year. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average 2,960 pounds per acre, 69 pounds below last month but 27 pounds above 2004. As of October 2, peanut harvest was 28 percent complete in Alabama, 35 percent complete in Florida, and 27 percent complete in Georgia. Alabama and Florida lagged behind their 5-year averages by 14 percentage points while Georgia was 5 percentage points behind its 5-year average. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 359 million pounds, down 3 percent from last month and down 24 percent from 2004. Expected acreage for harvest, at 118,000, is unchanged from September but down 14 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 3,044 pounds per acre, down 81 pounds from last month and down 398 pounds from the previous year. As of October 2, peanut harvest was 9 percent complete in North Carolina and 22 percent complete in Virginia. Both States lagged behind their 5-year averages by 6 and 12 percentage points, respectively. Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.08 billion pounds, unchanged from last month but up 11 percent from 2004. The expected acreage for harvest in the region totals 312,000, unchanged from September but up 9 percent from 2004. Yields are expected to average 3,450 pounds per acre, unchanged from September but 62 pounds above last year's level. Record high yields are still expected in Oklahoma and Texas. On October 2, peanut harvest in Oklahoma was 14 percent complete and harvest in Texas was 8 percent complete. Oklahoma and Texas also lagged behind their 5-year averages by 3 and 7 percentage points, respectively. Canola: The first canola production forecast for 2005 is 1.50 billion pounds, up 12 percent from 2004. Area planted, at 1.15 million acres, is up 6 percent from the June estimate and up 33 percent from last year. Canola farmers expect to harvest 1.13 million acres, up 5 percent from June and up 36 percent from 2004. The October yield forecast, at 1,333 pounds per acre, is 285 pounds below last year's record high yield. North Dakota's yield, at 1,350 pounds per acre, is down 280 pounds from the record high yield of last year. The canola yield in Minnesota is forecast at 880 pounds per acre, down 620 pounds from 2004. Cotton: Upland cotton area for harvest, at 13.4 million acres, is unchanged from last month's forecast but is up 5 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested acres are unchanged from last month but are up 7 percent from 2004. In the Delta region, defoliation of the crop was underway throughout the region. Warmer weather during the early and middle parts of September allowed for the crop to recover from the rain received from Hurricane Katrina and for limited harvesting to begin. Faced with the threat of Hurricane Rita, Louisiana growers made rapid harvest progress during the middle of the month with over 50 percent of the crop harvested by the end of September. The end of month found harvesting slowing down across most of the Delta due to the heavy rain received from Hurricane Rita. Farmers in Mississippi are concerned about the damage the crop received from the rainfall and the tornadoes. In Mississippi, objective yield measurements show below average bolls per acre but the highest boll weight in the last 10 years. Defoliation of the crop was widespread throughout the Southeast. During the first part of the month, the Carolinas received much needed moisture form Hurricane Ophelia. Yet, in Georgia and Alabama, some producers remained concerned about the long periods of dry weather. Objective yield survey data indicate Georgia's bolls per acre count to be the highest on record, while their boll weight is the second lowest. Harvest was nearing completion in southern Texas with gins running at capacity. During the first part of the month in west Texas, producers were monitoring late planted fields for insects and spraying as needed. The hot weather conditions in the latter part of the month promoted maturation of the crop. In Oklahoma and Kansas, beneficial rains were received throughout the month with the crop reported in mostly good to excellent condition. Data from the objective yield survey show Texas boll counts are at the second highest of the previous 10 years. California cotton development continued lagging behind normal, but all of the crop was reported in fair to good condition. Towards the end of the month, the cooler temperatures allowed for defoliation to get underway in California while harvest was beginning in Arizona. In California, the objective yield survey data show the lowest boll weight in the last 5 years. America-Pima production is forecast at 704,000 bales, down fractionally from September and 6 percent less than last year. The U.S. yield forecast is 1,275 pounds, down 6 pounds from September and 168 pounds below 2004. Defoliation began the last part of the month. All cotton ginned totaled 2,285,750 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 2,226,500 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 2,001,150 running bales ginned in 2003. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 75.9 million tons, up 3 percent from the August forecast and up 1 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3.43 tons per acre, up 0.09 ton from August but down 0.04 ton from 2004. Harvested area is forecast at 22.1 million acres, unchanged from August but up 2 percent from last year. Across most of the Corn Belt and southern Great Plains, weather conditions throughout much of the growing season have been less favorable than last year. Illinois and Missouri, down 1.2 tons and 0.7 ton respectively, are expecting the largest decreases, as drought conditions this year severely hurt yields. Meanwhile, the largest increase in yield from last year is expected in North Dakota, where the yield is forecast at 2.10 tons per acre, unchanged from August but up 0.6 ton from last year. In North Dakota, ample soil moisture this spring helped promote excellent growth, while dry conditions during July helped complete the first cutting. Other Hay: Production is forecast at 76.9 million tons, up 1 percent from August but down 7 percent from 2004. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 1.94 tons, up 0.02 ton from August but down 0.11 ton from last year. Harvested area, at 39.6 million acres, is unchanged from August but down 2 percent from the previous year. Yields are at or below last year's levels in 19 States. Drier conditions than last year during the spring and early summer contributed to decreased yield expectations across much of the Corn Belt and southern Great Plains. Compared with August, yields are up slightly in Texas and Oklahoma due to timely rains during September, but are still below last year's level. The largest expected decrease in yield from last year is forecast in Arkansas, where yields are expected to be down 1.0 ton as weather conditions have been extremely hot and dry during the growing season. Meanwhile, abundant moisture in the Pacific Northwest, northern Great Plains, and Southeast this spring boosted expected yields in those regions compared with last year. With the exception of Georgia, all States in the Southeast are expecting yields that tie or break their previous record highs. Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 26.1 million cwt for 2005, up 1 percent from the August forecast and 47 percent above last year. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.52 million acres, 1 percent below the August forecast but up 25 percent from last year. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,715 pounds per acre, an increase of 28 pounds from the August forecast and 255 pounds above last year. Planted acres are estimated at 1.66 million acres, a decrease of 1 percent from earlier forecasts but a 23 percent increase from 2004. Since August, production forecasts increased 23 percent in South Dakota, 7 percent in Nebraska, 6 percent in Washington, 5 percent in North Dakota, and 4 percent in Texas. Production forecasts decreased 20 percent in New York, 10 percent in California, 6 percent in Michigan, and 3 percent in Idaho. Production is expected to be higher than last year in 15 of the 17 producing States. Colorado production is up 84 percent, Texas production increased 83 percent, and Minnesota is 81 percent above 2004. North Dakota growers expect an increase of 71 percent, South Dakota production is forecasted 65 percent above last year, and Nebraska is up 60 percent. Kansas production is up 56 percent, Utah 43 percent, Washington 42 percent, Wyoming 40 percent, Montana 39 percent, Oregon 36 percent, Michigan 22 percent, New York 19 percent, and Idaho has a 14 percent increase. Only 2 States expect production to be lower than last year. New Mexico producers expect production to decrease 19 percent and California growers expect a 1 percent drop. In North Dakota, dry bean crop conditions since August have been rated mostly good to excellent. Harvest began mid-September and warm dry conditions have allowed the harvest to precede ahead of the 5-year average. Michigan received timely rains throughout the growing season but had abnormally dry conditions during most of September, which hastened maturity. In Nebraska, yields are varying widely but are averaging about 15 percent above normal. In Minnesota, harvest is progressing ahead of the 5-year average despite being planted late. Colorado farmers are on schedule with cutting beans but are somewhat behind the average for harvest. Idaho yields are expected to be 200 pounds below last year. This is due mainly to the increase in the proportion of non-irrigated dry beans in Idaho. In California, delayed planting due to late season rains has pushed the bulk of harvest late into the fall. Very hot weather in July reduced yields. As of October 3, ninety percent of the dry bean acreage had been harvested in Washington compared with 69 percent as of the same time in 2004. Harvest is also ahead of last year in Wyoming. As of October 3, seventy three percent of the dry beans in Wyoming were combined, compared to 45 percent the same time last year. In New York, hot dry weather during July pushed maturity ahead of normal and lack of moisture caused pods to be light lowering yield expectations. In Texas, only isolated hail and storm damages have been reported on dry beans, allowing growers to expect average to high yields. Winter Potatoes: Production for 2005 is revised to 4.89 million cwt, down 3 percent from the April forecast but 2 percent above 2004. Harvested area of 19,800 acres in the 2 winter potato States (California and Florida) is unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 7 percent more than last year. The average yield of 247 cwt per acre is down 9 cwt from the April forecast and 13 cwt below 2004. California's production, at 3.50 million cwt, is 8 percent above last season. Florida's production, at 1.39 million cwt, is down 11 percent from a year ago. Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 640 million pounds, down 1 percent from the September forecast and 27 percent below 2004. Area for harvest is forecast at 307,010 acres, unchanged from September but down 25 percent from last year. If realized, this would be the smallest production since 1889 and the smallest acreage on record. Yields for 2005 are expected to average 2,083 pounds per acre, 16 pounds below last month's forecast and down 72 pounds from 2004. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco producing State, are expected to average 2,173 pounds per acre, 22 pounds less than September and 73 pounds below a year ago. In Kentucky, the second leading State, growers expect to have yields averaging 1,962 pounds per acre, unchanged since last month but down 82 pounds from 2004. Growers in Massachusetts, South Carolina, and Virginia expect lower yields than a month ago, while all other States remain unchanged since September. Flue-cured production is expected to total 384 million pounds, down 1 percent from the September forecast and 26 percent below 2004. Growers plan to harvest 178,800 acres in 2005, unchanged from the September forecast but down 22 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,150 pounds per acre, 26 pounds less than last month and 122 pounds below a year ago. North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia growers reported decreases in Flue-cured yields from last month. Persistent dry conditions in South Carolina and Virginia have lead to a decline in leaf weight. Burley production is expected to total 192 million pounds, unchanged since the September forecast but down 34 percent from 2004. Growers plan to harvest 105,300 acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but 31 percent below last year. Yields are expected to average 1,826 pounds per acre, unchanged from the September forecast but 82 pounds less than a year ago. Growers in Kentucky, the leading Burley producing State, forecast production at 135 million pounds, unchanged from last month but 35 percent below 2004. Production in all other States remains unchanged from last month as well. Fire-cured tobacco production is expected to total 39.7 million pounds, virtually unchanged since September but up 7 percent from 2004. Growers plan to harvest 12,470 acres, unchanged from last month but 6 percent above last year. The expected average yield is 3,184 pounds per acre, 2 pounds below the September forecast but 17 pounds more than a year ago. Southern Maryland Belt tobacco, in Pennsylvania, is expected to total 3.00 million pounds, unchanged since last month but down 24 percent from a year ago. A total of 1,500 acres is expected to be harvested this year, unchanged from September 1 but 32 percent below 2004. Yields are expected to average 2,000 pounds per acre, unchanged since the September forecast but up 200 pounds from last year. Dark air-cured tobacco is expected to total 11.3 million pounds, unchanged from last month but down 6 percent from a year ago. Growers plan to harvest 4,040 acres, unchanged from the September forecast but 5 percent below 2004. Yields are expected to average 2,787 pounds per acre, unchanged from September but 12 pounds less than last year. All cigar production is forecast to total 8.85 million pounds, down 1 percent from September and 34 percent below 2004. Growers of cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 4,900 acres, unchanged from last month but down 32 percent from a year ago. Overall, yields are expected to average 1,805 pounds per acre, 9 pounds less than the September forecast and down 45 pounds from last year. Sugarbeets: Production for 2005 is forecast at 26.7 million tons, 2 percent above the September forecast but 11 percent below last year's production. The yield is forecast at 21.5 tons per acre, up 0.3 ton from September but 1.4 tons below 2004. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.24 million acres, virtually the same as last month but 5 percent below last year. Harvest was underway in all States, but was delayed in some areas by warm weather preventing piling. On October 2, ten percent of the crop had been harvested, compared with 17 percent last year and 20 percent for the 5-year average. In California, forecasted area for harvest is down 1,500 acres from the September 1 forecast, while yield is up 0.1 ton, for a net decrease in production of 53,000 tons. Meanwhile, both harvested area and yield increased in Minnesota by 2,000 acres and 1.0 ton, respectively, for a production increase of 503,000 tons. In all other States, acreage, yield, and production forecasts were unchanged from September. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2005 is forecast at 30.2 million tons, slightly above the September forecast and 4 percent above 2004. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 957,900 acres for sugar and seed during the 2005 crop year, up 2 percent from September and last year. Yield is forecast at 31.6 tons per acre, 0.4 ton below the previous forecast but 0.7 ton above the 2004 yield. In Louisiana, where Hurricane Rita caused extensive wind and flood damage in the southwestern sugarcane-growing areas, the production forecast is down 910,000 tons from September, due to the yield forecast being reduced 2.0 tons. However, Florida's harvested acreage and yield are up from the September forecast due to plentiful rainfall in the Lake Okeechobee area. The resulting increase in the production forecast, of 990,000 tons, more than offset the decrease in Louisiana. Acreage, yield, and production forecasts are unchanged for Hawaii and Texas. Grapefruit: The initial U.S. forecast is 1.44 million tons, 42 percent above last season's final utilization. Florida's grapefruit production is forecast at 24.0 million boxes (1.02 million tons), 88 percent above the previous season. With the exception of last year's hurricane-damaged crop, this will be the lowest grapefruit production since the 1944-45 season. A special tree census conducted in selected Florida counties shows grapefruit bearing tree numbers are down 27 percent from the 2003-04 season. This decline is attributed to citrus tristeza virus, canker, urban development, hurricanes, and otherwise normal attrition. White grapefruit production is forecast at 7.00 million boxes (298,000 tons), the lowest utilized production in over 80 years, excluding last season. Average fruit per tree, at 353 for the White Seedless variety, is the lowest since the 1994-95 season. Fruit size is below average but the growth rate indicates final fruit size will be slightly above average. The forecast for colored grapefruit utilization, at 17.0 million boxes (723,000 tons), is 81 percent above last season's final utilization. This is the lowest utilization since the 1989-90 season, excluding the 2004-05 crop. Average fruit per tree, at 402, is lower than 8 out of the 10 previous years. Fruit size for the colored varieties is expected to be below average, while fruit drop is expected to be above average for both white and colored grapefruit. The October 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is 5.40 million boxes (216,000 tons), down 18 percent from the previous season. The 2004 Christmas freeze caused tree defoliation which delayed bloom and reduced fruit set for the 2005-06 season. Fruit size and quality are expected to be better than average. Grapefruit production in California is forecast at 5.80 million boxes (194,000 tons), unchanged from last season's final utilization. The 2005-06 grapefruit crop continues to develop normally. Quality is expected to be very good, with heavy fruit set but smaller sizes. Arizona's October 1 forecast is 120,000 boxes (4,000 tons), 14 percent below last season's final utilized production. Good size and quality are expected for the 2005-06 crop. Grapefruit harvest in western Arizona is underway. Lemons: The initial forecast for the 2005-06 U.S. lemon crop, at 866,000 tons, is up 7 percent from last season. California production is forecast at 19.0 million boxes (722,000 tons), unchanged from the 2004-05 season. District I (Central Valley) harvest will begin late October or early November. Harvest of new crop District II (South Coastal Area) lemons will not begin until late December or early January. Harvest of 2004-05 crop lemons continued with heavy competition from Chile and Mexico. Harvest has begun in District III (Desert region). Overall fruit quality is very good. The 2005-06 Arizona lemon forecast is 3.80 million boxes (144,000 tons), up 58 percent from the previous season. Fruit set is reported as very good, with resulting smaller fruit sizes expected. Otherwise, fruit quality is reported as good to excellent. Tangelos: Florida's initial tangelo forecast is 1.40 million boxes (63,000 tons), down 10 percent from last season's utilized production. Bearing trees are down 7 percent from last season but average fruit per tree, at 781 pieces per box, is higher than 9 of the past 10 seasons. Average fruit sizes are expected to be smaller at harvest than any of the previous 10 seasons. Fruit drop rate is expected to be average. Temples: Florida's initial forecast for the 2005-06 season is 900,000 boxes (41,000 tons), 38 percent above last season's hurricane reduced final utilization of 650,000 boxes. If realized, with the exception of last season, this will be the lowest production since Temple estimates began with the 1951-52 season. Bearing tree numbers continue to decline and are 12 percent lower than last season. Average fruit per tree, at 820 pieces, is 56 percent higher than last season, but is still 65 pieces of fruit less than the 10 year average prior to the 2004-05 season. Average fruit size is below normal and the current rate of fruit growth indicates a smaller than average size at harvest. The drop rate is expected to be average for the season. Tangerines: The 2005-06 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 424,000 tons, up 28 percent from last season's utilization of 331,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 6.00 million boxes (285,000 tons), 35 percent higher than last season's 4.45 million boxes. Early variety tangerines (Fallglo and Sunburst) tree numbers continue to decline. Fruit size is generally smaller than average but the drop rate is expected to be near average. Fallglo harvest has begun and will continue into early December. Average fruit size is expected to be smaller than normal but the drop rate is also expected to be below normal. California's tangerine forecast is 3.20 million boxes (120,000 tons), 14 percent higher than last season's crop. This season's tangerine crop is progressing well with no major problems reported. High demand for Satsuma and other varieties has resulted in steadily increasing acreage devoted to this crop. Arizona's tangerine forecast is 500,000 boxes (19,000 tons), up 25 percent from last season. Florida Citrus: Summer weather patterns continued during September with high humidity and above average temperatures most of the month. Rainfall was below average in all citrus growing areas early in the month but precipitation amounts increased later as rain fell across the State on several occasions. Tropical Storm Rita affected the State only marginally, bringing rainfall but no wind. After the passage of the storm, dryer weather prevailed. However, the last week of the month brought the return of unsettled weather systems and tropical rain showers. Citrus crops in all areas are making excellent progress with no major problems reported. Trees are in good to excellent condition with multiple flushes of new growth observed. Citrus growers reported small amounts of fruit splitting, which is typical for this time of the season. Small fruit sizes for early season oranges were also reported. Fresh fruit crops were being sprayed regularly to hold down insect populations, with some crops on the East Coast receiving weekly treatments. Citrus growers and caretakers were conducting routine summer cultural practices including weed and cover crop control, and dead tree removal in preparation for the start of harvest. In the flat woods and coastal areas, growers were maintaining ditches and canals to keep excess water out of the groves and away from tree roots. Trees are being removed by Citrus Canker Eradication Program personnel as finds are confirmed. By the end of the month, packinghouses were receiving navel and Ambersweet oranges, colored grapefruit, and Fallglo tangerines. Texas Citrus: Citrus harvest will begin soon. Generally, growers are reporting light fruit sets in their groves but are hoping increased fruit size will partially offset lower fruit count. Growers commented that the Christmas freeze last year caused more defoliation than first thought, which delayed bloom and reduced fruit set. Weather in the Rio Grande Valley has been dry, with little or no rain. While this could further reduce citrus production, it has helped control insect and disease problems that usually occur in September and October. Arizona Citrus: Citrus groves are reported to be in good condition, with fruit quality and size generally expected to be good this season. Lemon harvest has begun in Yuma County as has grapefruit harvest in western Arizona. California Citrus: Weed control and irrigation were ongoing in many citrus groves. A few Valencia oranges continue to be harvested in the San Joaquin Valley. Most Valencias were going straight from the field to being processed into juice. Citrus growers were preparing for the navel orange harvest. Navel maturity appeared to be two weeks behind average and sizes were small. Sunburn was showing on some outside fruit. Scale monitoring and treatments continued. Harvesting of Chandler pummelos and Oroblanco grapefruit hybrids was underway. Labor shortage was a major issue for all citrus commodities. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: San Joaquin Valley raisin growers experienced heavy rain towards the latter part of the month with some losses reported. In Fresno County, approximately 52 percent of the raisin crop remained on trays to dry and an estimated 28 percent had been rolled by month's end. In Tulare County, raisin harvest was approximately 90 percent complete, and about 60 percent of the crop had been rolled. Growers with dried on the vine raisins sprayed mold and mildew inhibitors as the fruit continued to dry. Due to a labor shortage for picking and rolling raisins, some growers began harvesting their raisins mechanically. Harvesting of table grapes continued during September for both foreign and domestic markets. Varieties picked and packed included Red Globe, Thompson Seedless, Autumn Royal, Christmas Rose, Crimson, and Crispy. Wine and juice grape harvest also remained underway with Carignane, French Colombard, Barbera, Chenin Blanc, Grenache, Palomino, and Merlot among the varieties picked. Stone fruit harvesting remained active during the month but the season was nearing completion in many locations. Harvested varieties included Angelino, October Gem, October Sun, and Autumn Beaut plums; Snow Fall, August Snow, September Red, September Snow, September Sun, Snow Gem, Snow Magic, and Full Moon peaches; Arctic Mist, Red Jim, Arctic Pride, and Arctic Snow nectarines; and Flavor Fall pluots. Stone fruit growers continued summer pruning activities following harvest to establish fruit wood for next season. Some orchards were being pushed out for replanting of new varieties. Red and Golden Delicious, Granny Smith, and Fuji variety apples were harvested across the State with good yields reported. Pineapple and Smyrha quince, and Early Foothill, Early Red, and Wonderful pomegranates were picked and packed. Kiwifruit harvest began during the month in Yuba County and some areas of the San Joaquin Valley. The kiwi crop appeared to be very large and was progressing and sizing well. Growers began picking olives around mid-month. Many olive growers continued to treat their orchards for olive fruit fly control. Harvesting in almond orchards continued. Harvesting began in many walnut and pistachio orchards around mid-month, and harvest was in full swing by month's end. Trees were shaken, nuts were swept and picked up from orchard floors, and transported to hulling facilities. Small nut sizes and sunburn damage were contributing to lower yields than expected of the walnut crop in northern counties of the State. In the San Joaquin Valley, damage was noted in the form of shriveling and adhering hulls due to several extremely hot summer days. Apples: The final production forecast for the 2005 crop year is 9.38 billion pounds, down 5 percent from the August 1 forecast and 10 percent below 2004. Decreases in production were shown for all 7 forecasting States: Michigan, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia. Production forecasts for Arkansas, Kansas, and New Mexico are no longer available. Growers in the Eastern, Central, and Western apple producing regions are expecting decreases in production compared to the August 1 forecast. The Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, and WA) production is forecast at 6.08 billion pounds, down 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and 11 percent below 2004. Washington production, which makes up 58 percent of the U.S. total, is forecast at 5.40 billion pounds, down 4 percent from the previous forecast and 11 percent below last year. The apple harvest in Washington continues under very good weather conditions. Growers are reporting fruit size smaller than last year due to a cool spring and a very warm August. All of the other Western States are carried forward from the August 1 forecast. Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, and WV) is forecast at 2.27 billion pounds, down 6 percent from the August 1 forecast and 9 percent below last season. Production from the August 1 forecast decreased 9 percent in North Carolina, 8 percent in New York, 6 percent in Virginia, 3 percent in West Virginia, and 2 percent in Pennsylvania. In New York, fruit size is down due to hot weather and a lack of rain in August. High winds in eastern growing areas caused some fruit drop. Yields are down in Pennsylvania due to smaller apple sizes caused by dry conditions. Quality is reported to be generally good, with some increased insect pressure resulting from the warm, dry summer. Yield potential in Virginia was reduced by dry conditions in late summer and early fall. Hot, moist conditions in North Carolina increased disease problems in some blocks. All other Eastern States are carried forward from the August 1 forecast. Production in the Central States (IL, IN, IA, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, and WI) is forecast at 1.03 billion pounds, down 10 percent from the August 1 forecast and 8 percent below 2004. Michigan's production decreased 15 percent from the August forecast and 8 percent from 2004. In Michigan, hot weather during July and August accelerated fruit maturity but hindered color development. Harvest is running ahead of schedule for many varieties. Earlier dry conditions affected fruit size but late season rain is improving sizing. Fruit quality is generally high, with excellent firmness and high Brix levels reported. All other Central States are carried forward from the August 1 forecast. Pecans: The October 1 forecast for 2005 pecan utilized production is 289 million pounds (in-shell basis), up 55 percent from last year's crop and 2 percent above 2003. Improved varieties are expected to produce 232 million pounds or 80 percent of the total, while the Native and seedling varieties, at 57.0 million pounds, make up the remaining 20 percent. The 2005 crop is expected to be larger than last year's, in most producing States, mainly because it is an up year in the alternate bearing pattern typical of pecans. Louisiana and Mississippi are exceptions to the high cycle due to extensive hurricane damage to trees. The Georgia production forecast, at 90.0 million pounds, is twice last season's production and 20 percent more than 2003. For Texas, the production forecast is 70.0 million pounds, 75 percent above the 2004 crop but the same as in 2003. New Mexico's forecast, at 62.0 million pounds, represents a 59 percent increase from last year and is up 13 percent from 2 years ago. In Georgia, frequent rains and cloudy, humid conditions during the summer were ideal for the spread of scab disease and also prevented proper spray schedules for control. Harvest is expected to begin in mid-October, about 2 weeks behind normal. Harvest of pecans in Texas was underway the last week of September. Losses in east Texas orchards due to hurricane Rita were light. However, some losses resulting from high winds occurred in the Trans Pecos region. The New Mexico crop is in good to excellent condition resulting in a record high production forecast. Production in Arizona is forecast at 21.0 million pounds, 50 percent above last year but 7 percent less than 2 years ago. Oklahoma production, at 20.0 million pounds, is down 29 percent from last year's large crop but more than twice the small 2003 crop. A dry summer has resulted in poorer crop conditions than at this time last year. The Louisiana forecast of 4.00 million pounds is down 56 percent from 2004 and 80 percent below 2 years ago due mainly to hurricane damage. This would be the lowest production for Louisiana since 1992 when hurricane Andrew reduced the crop. Grapes: U.S. grape production is forecast at 7.07 million tons, up 4 percent from the August forecast and 13 percent above 2004. California leads the U.S. in grape production with 88 percent of the total. Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 6 percent and 2 percent, respectively. California's all grape forecast, at 6.24 million tons, is up 3 percent from August and 11 percent above a year ago. Washington growers expect to produce a record high crop, at 430,000 tons, 15 percent above the August forecast and up 61 percent from last year. New York's forecast, at 158,000 tons, is down 1 percent from 2 months ago but up 11 percent from 2004. California's wine type production is expected to total 3.15 million tons, 50 percent of California's total grape crop. The production forecast for wine type varieties is up 7 percent from the August forecast and 12 percent above last season. Berry size is larger than originally expected due to late spring rains and a cool fall. Wine grape quality has been reported as being very high. California's raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.30 million tons, unchanged from the August forecast but up 13 percent from a year ago. Raisin type grapes account for 37 percent of California's grape crop. Late September rains threaten the quality of the raisin grape crop. Production of table type grapes is forecast at 790,000 tons, unchanged from August but up 3 percent from 2004. At this level of production, table type grapes make up 13 percent of the total California grape crop. A good table grape crop is expected. Harvest continued in September with Red Globe, Thompson Seedless, Autumn Royal, Christmas Rose, Crimson, and Crispy being the primary varieties picked. Washington's production is forecast at 430,000 tons, up 15 percent from August 1 and 61 percent above a year ago. If realized, this will be the largest production on record surpassing the previous high of 354,000 tons in 1993. The juice type grape forecast, at 305,000 tons, is 22 percent above August and up 91 percent from the small 2004 crop. With Niagara harvest complete and almost half of Concords harvested, growers are expecting a larger crop than originally anticipated. Wine type grape production is forecast at 125,000 tons, unchanged from the August forecast but 17 percent above last year. Overall, cool temperatures this fall have lowered sugar content in some areas. Grape production for New York is forecast at 158,000 tons, down 1 percent from the August forecast but 11 percent above last year. Growers in the Finger Lakes region experienced mostly dry conditions this season. The lack of rain kept berry size small, decreasing tonnage. However, sugar content remains high throughout the State. Michigan's grape production is forecast at 99,000 tons, up 14 percent from the previous forecast and 58 percent above 2004. Despite drought-like conditions and wilting vines early in the season, timely rains have increased berry size. Conditions late in the summer were ideal for ripening grapes. Pennsylvania's grape production is forecast at 85,000 tons, 6 percent above the August forecast but down 2 percent from the large crop in 2004. Growers in Pennsylvania expect a very clean, quality berry with good Brix as a result of a warm, dry summer. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.37 million pounds for September, unchanged from last month but 13 percent lower than a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,380 acres, down 1 percent from last month but 13 percent above September 2004. Harvested area totaled 1,455 acres, down 1 percent from last month but up 6 percent from last year. Weather conditions in September were generally wet. Soggy fields delayed orchard maintenance resulting in weed infestation, higher incidences of disease, and suspended planting schedules. Young trees were in fair to good condition despite the rainy weather. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecast Field Crop Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between September 24 and October 6 to gather information on expected yield as of October 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 16,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the October 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces about 81 percent of the U.S. production. In August and September 2005, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Field Crop Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in the September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data or administrative data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 3.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.5 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 6.0 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 179 million bushels, ranging from 4 million bushels to 624 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 11 times and above 9 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ------ Number : : Corn for Grain :Bu : 3.5 6.0 179 4 624 11 9 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 5.9 10.2 23 1 105 9 11 Rice :Cwt : 2.9 5.0 4 1 13 12 8 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 2.3 3.9 41 2 103 8 12 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 4.5 7.7 635 31 1,706 13 7 Dry Edible Beans :Cwt : 3.8 6.6 1 * 3 14 6 Oranges 1/ :Tons : 8.1 14.1 610 18 2,043 7 13 Oranges 1/ 2/ :Tons : 4.7 8.3 432 18 887 7 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Less than 1 million. 1/ Quantity is in thousands of units. 2/ Excluding freeze and 2004 hurricane seasons. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Shelia Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Scott Cox - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed(202) 720-9526 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice(202) 720-7688 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Travis Thorson - Hay, Oats, Sorghum(202) 690-3234 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. USDA Data Users' Meeting October 17, 2005 Embassy Suites at O'Hare Chicago, Illinois (847) 678-4000 The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users' Meeting, see the NASS homepage at www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Lynda Ford (NASS) at (202) 720-3896 or at lynda_ford@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users' Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 18, 2005. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.