Cr Pr 2-2 (11-05) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released November 10, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Corn Production Up 2 Percent from October Soybean Production Up 3 Percent from October Cotton Production Up 2 Percent from October Corn production is forecast at 11.0 billion bushels, up 2 percent from last month but 7 percent below 2004. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 148.4 bushels per acre, up 2.3 bushels from October but 12.0 bushels below last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the second largest on record, behind last year. Of the major producing States, forecast yields are higher than last month in Iowa, Indiana, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin as producers realized larger than expected yields and late planted fields matured under favorable fall conditions. Yield prospects are still below last year in all major corn States, except Minnesota and Wisconsin where producers are experiencing record high yields. Soybean production is forecast at 3.04 billion bushels, up 3 percent from October but 3 percent below 2004. If realized, this would be the second largest U.S. soybean crop on record, only behind last year's crop. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average a record high 42.7 bushels per acre, up 1.1 bushels from October and 0.5 bushel above last year. Producers in the Corn Belt, the southern Delta, and most of the Southeast are realizing higher yields than expected last month, with record high yields forecast in Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Louisiana. Area for harvest in the U.S. is forecast at 71.3 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 4 percent from 2004. All cotton production is forecast at 23.2 million 480-pound bales, up 2 percent from the October forecast but slightly below last year's record high production. Yield is expected to average 813 pounds per acre, up 16 pounds from last month but down 42 pounds from 2004. If realized, both production and yield would be the second largest on record, behind last year. The November area expected for harvest remains unchanged from last month at 13.7 million acres but is up 5 percent from 2004. Hurricane Wilma Assessment: Hurricane Wilma, a category 3 storm with maximum sustained winds near 125 m.p.h. at landfall, crossed the southern part of the Florida peninsula depositing heavy rainfall. The adverse effects of Wilma on Florida's agriculture have not been fully assessed by NASS. Preliminary assessments of sugarcane for sugar and seed indicate that acreage harvested will be virtually unchanged, but yield will be down 3.0 tons from the October forecast. For citrus crops, NASS is currently conducting a special survey to recount fruit on sample trees in the areas affected by the hurricane. The December Crop Production report will provide an updated citrus forecast incorporating results from this special survey. In addition, an assessment of the impact on fall-season vegetable production will be included in the Vegetables 2005 Summary to be released January 27, 2006. This report was approved on November 10, 2005. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Grains & Hay Corn for Grain. . . . . . . . 4 Plant Population Per Acre.20 Ears Per Acre. . . . . . .21 Percentage Distribution by Plant Population22 Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths23 Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width. . . . . . . . . . . .24 Rice. . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Rice, by Class . . . . . . 6 Sorghum for Grain . . . . . . 5 Oilseeds Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Soybeans. . . . . . . . . . . 7 Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet26 Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width. . . . . . . . . . . .27 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Cumulative Boll Counts . .25 Cottonseed. . . . . . . . . . 8 Sugarbeets. . . . . . . . . .10 Sugarcane . . . . . . . . . .10 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Dry Edible Peas . . . . . . .11 Austrian Winter Peas. . . . .11 Lentils . . . . . . . . . . .10 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Papayas . . . . . . . . . . .12 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Potatoes. . . . . . . . . . .12 Fall Percent of Major Varieties Planted13 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . .31 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . .14 Information Contacts . . . . . .39 Reliability of Production Data in this Report37 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . .28 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . .30 Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AL : 195 190 123.0 115.0 112.0 23,985 21,280 AR : 305 230 140.0 128.0 128.0 42,700 29,440 CA : 150 155 175.0 155.0 155.0 26,250 24,025 CO : 1,040 890 135.0 135.0 135.0 140,400 120,150 DE : 153 150 152.0 137.0 135.0 23,256 20,250 GA : 280 230 130.0 127.0 127.0 36,400 29,210 IL : 11,600 11,950 180.0 145.0 145.0 2,088,000 1,732,750 IN : 5,530 5,750 168.0 149.0 151.0 929,040 868,250 IA : 12,400 12,450 181.0 173.0 175.0 2,244,400 2,178,750 KS : 2,880 3,300 150.0 130.0 130.0 432,000 429,000 KY : 1,140 1,160 152.0 127.0 131.0 173,280 151,960 LA : 410 330 135.0 140.0 142.0 55,350 46,860 MD : 425 400 153.0 140.0 142.0 65,025 56,800 MI : 1,920 1,970 134.0 139.0 141.0 257,280 277,770 MN : 7,050 6,800 159.0 160.0 171.0 1,120,950 1,162,800 MS : 440 365 136.0 133.0 133.0 59,840 48,545 MO : 2,880 2,950 162.0 105.0 108.0 466,560 318,600 NE : 7,950 8,200 166.0 160.0 157.0 1,319,700 1,287,400 NJ : 72 65 143.0 113.0 115.0 10,296 7,475 NM : 58 45 180.0 180.0 180.0 10,440 8,100 NY : 500 460 122.0 117.0 117.0 61,000 53,820 NC : 740 690 117.0 120.0 125.0 86,580 86,250 ND : 1,150 1,130 105.0 120.0 125.0 120,750 141,250 OH : 3,110 3,220 158.0 141.0 143.0 491,380 460,460 OK : 200 220 150.0 135.0 135.0 30,000 29,700 PA : 980 880 140.0 123.0 123.0 137,200 108,240 SC : 295 280 100.0 107.0 107.0 29,500 29,960 SD : 4,150 3,950 130.0 118.0 123.0 539,500 485,850 TN : 615 590 140.0 130.0 130.0 86,100 76,700 TX : 1,680 1,800 139.0 120.0 120.0 233,520 216,000 VA : 360 360 145.0 124.0 124.0 52,200 44,640 WA : 105 85 200.0 200.0 205.0 21,000 17,425 WI : 2,600 2,850 136.0 138.0 150.0 353,600 427,500 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 269 238 147.7 146.6 146.6 39,735 34,895 : US : 73,632 74,333 160.4 146.1 148.4 11,807,217 11,032,105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :---------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-----------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AR : 56 62 84.0 83.0 83.0 4,704 5,146 CO : 180 120 30.0 27.0 27.0 5,400 3,240 IL : 82 85 109.0 88.0 92.0 8,938 7,820 KS : 2,900 2,500 76.0 72.0 75.0 220,400 187,500 LA : 80 85 65.0 100.0 102.0 5,200 8,670 MO : 145 130 108.0 71.0 71.0 15,660 9,230 NE : 415 250 81.0 85.0 85.0 33,615 21,250 NM : 92 90 46.0 45.0 45.0 4,232 4,050 OK : 240 220 60.0 52.0 54.0 14,400 11,880 SD : 150 110 42.0 60.0 64.0 6,300 7,040 TX : 2,050 1,900 62.0 57.0 59.0 127,100 112,100 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 127 135 70.5 73.1 72.3 8,950 9,760 : US : 6,517 5,687 69.8 66.0 68.2 454,899 387,686 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 2004, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, DE, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, PA, SC, TN, and VA. For 2005, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, KY, MS, NC, PA, SC, and TN. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Pounds -------- ---- 1,000 Cwt --- : AR : 1,555 1,635 6,910 6,700 6,610 107,440 108,074 CA : 590 508 8,600 7,500 7,300 50,759 37,084 LA : 533 525 5,350 5,850 5,850 28,522 30,713 MS : 234 263 6,900 6,500 6,500 16,146 17,095 MO : 195 211 6,800 6,500 6,300 13,261 13,293 TX : 218 201 6,740 7,000 7,200 14,690 14,472 : US : 3,325 3,343 6,942 6,678 6,603 230,818 220,731 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rice: Production by Class, United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long Grain : Medium Grain : Short Grain 1/ : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : 2003 : 149,011 48,180 2,706 199,897 2004 : 168,901 58,689 3,228 230,818 2005 2/ : 173,171 44,136 3,424 220,731 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain. 2/ The 2005 rice production by class estimates are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice yield. Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels -- : AL : 190 140 35.0 30.0 32.0 6,650 4,480 AR : 3,150 3,000 39.0 34.0 34.0 122,850 102,000 DE : 208 182 42.0 31.0 29.0 8,736 5,278 GA : 270 170 31.0 26.0 28.0 8,370 4,760 IL : 9,900 9,450 50.0 45.0 46.0 495,000 434,700 IN : 5,520 5,370 51.5 46.0 48.0 284,280 257,760 IA : 10,150 10,050 49.0 51.0 53.0 497,350 532,650 KS : 2,710 2,800 41.0 36.0 37.0 111,110 103,600 KY : 1,300 1,250 44.0 40.0 42.0 57,200 52,500 LA : 990 840 33.0 34.0 35.0 32,670 29,400 MD : 495 470 43.0 35.0 34.0 21,285 15,980 MI : 1,980 1,990 38.0 40.0 39.0 75,240 77,610 MN : 7,050 6,800 33.0 42.0 44.0 232,650 299,200 MS : 1,640 1,570 37.5 35.0 36.0 61,500 56,520 MO : 4,960 4,950 45.0 35.0 36.0 223,200 178,200 NE : 4,750 4,650 46.0 49.0 49.0 218,500 227,850 NJ : 103 93 42.0 32.0 31.0 4,326 2,883 NY : 172 187 39.0 35.0 39.0 6,708 7,293 NC : 1,500 1,430 34.0 27.0 28.0 51,000 40,040 ND : 3,570 2,950 23.0 36.0 37.0 82,110 109,150 OH : 4,420 4,470 47.0 44.0 44.0 207,740 196,680 OK : 290 290 30.0 25.0 25.0 8,700 7,250 PA : 425 430 46.0 41.0 43.0 19,550 18,490 SC : 530 420 27.0 21.0 21.0 14,310 8,820 SD : 4,120 3,850 34.0 36.0 36.0 140,080 138,600 TN : 1,180 1,100 41.0 38.0 38.0 48,380 41,800 TX : 270 240 32.0 30.0 30.0 8,640 7,200 VA : 530 520 39.0 30.0 29.0 20,670 15,080 WI : 1,550 1,580 34.5 38.0 42.0 53,475 66,360 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 35 28 40.2 35.1 35.1 1,406 982 : US : 73,958 71,270 42.2 41.6 42.7 3,123,686 3,043,116 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2005 Summary." Peanuts: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State: : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Pounds -------- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : AL : 199.0 223.0 2,800 2,800 2,500 557,200 557,500 FL : 130.0 145.0 2,800 2,900 2,600 364,000 377,000 GA : 610.0 750.0 2,980 3,000 2,800 1,817,800 2,100,000 NM : 17.0 19.0 3,500 3,200 3,400 59,500 64,600 NC : 105.0 96.0 3,500 3,100 3,000 367,500 288,000 OK : 33.0 33.0 3,100 3,200 3,200 102,300 105,600 SC : 33.0 59.0 3,400 3,200 2,800 112,200 165,200 TX : 235.0 260.0 3,420 3,500 3,600 803,700 936,000 VA : 32.0 22.0 3,250 2,800 2,900 104,000 63,800 : US : 1,394.0 1,607.0 3,076 3,061 2,898 4,288,200 4,657,700 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cottonseed: Production, United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,664.6 8,242.1 8,302.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 2005 : : State : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 540.0 545.0 724 722 766 814.0 870.0 AZ : 238.0 239.0 1,458 1,366 1,305 723.0 650.0 AR : 900.0 1,040.0 1,114 969 1,015 2,089.0 2,200.0 CA : 557.0 433.0 1,543 1,330 1,275 1,790.0 1,150.0 FL : 87.0 85.0 601 621 700 109.0 124.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,210.0 674 762 793 1,797.0 2,000.0 KS : 80.0 70.0 424 555 555 70.7 81.0 LA : 490.0 600.0 867 880 928 885.0 1,160.0 MS : 1,100.0 1,180.0 1,024 895 854 2,346.0 2,100.0 MO : 378.0 435.0 1,054 872 960 830.0 870.0 NM : 64.0 51.0 848 866 866 113.0 92.0 NC : 725.0 810.0 900 800 812 1,360.0 1,370.0 OK : 200.0 220.0 727 742 742 303.0 340.0 SC : 214.0 263.0 875 721 785 390.0 430.0 TN : 525.0 635.0 900 831 862 984.0 1,140.0 TX : 5,350.0 5,500.0 694 663 681 7,740.0 7,800.0 VA : 81.0 92.0 956 704 730 161.4 140.0 : US :12,809.0 13,408.0 843 788 806 22,505.1 22,517.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 3.0 4.0 896 960 960 5.6 8.0 CA : 214.0 226.0 1,532 1,338 1,211 683.0 570.0 NM : 10.5 11.0 869 916 916 19.0 21.0 TX : 20.5 24.0 890 900 900 38.0 45.0 : US : 248.0 265.0 1,443 1,275 1,166 745.6 644.0 : All : AL : 540.0 545.0 724 722 766 814.0 870.0 AZ : 241.0 243.0 1,451 1,359 1,300 728.6 658.0 AR : 900.0 1,040.0 1,114 969 1,015 2,089.0 2,200.0 CA : 771.0 659.0 1,540 1,333 1,253 2,473.0 1,720.0 FL : 87.0 85.0 601 621 700 109.0 124.0 GA : 1,280.0 1,210.0 674 762 793 1,797.0 2,000.0 KS : 80.0 70.0 424 555 555 70.7 81.0 LA : 490.0 600.0 867 880 928 885.0 1,160.0 MS : 1,100.0 1,180.0 1,024 895 854 2,346.0 2,100.0 MO : 378.0 435.0 1,054 872 960 830.0 870.0 NM : 74.5 62.0 850 875 875 132.0 113.0 NC : 725.0 810.0 900 800 812 1,360.0 1,370.0 OK : 200.0 220.0 727 742 742 303.0 340.0 SC : 214.0 263.0 875 721 785 390.0 430.0 TN : 525.0 635.0 900 831 862 984.0 1,140.0 TX : 5,370.5 5,524.0 695 664 682 7,778.0 7,845.0 VA : 81.0 92.0 956 704 730 161.4 140.0 : US :13,057.0 13,673.0 855 797 813 23,250.7 23,161.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb. net weight bale. Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Tons --------- -- 1,000 Tons -- : CA : 49.1 45.3 39.3 38.0 38.3 1,930 1,735 CO : 33.5 34.4 25.0 22.5 23.4 838 805 ID : 192.0 167.0 28.7 27.3 28.1 5,510 4,693 MI : 163.0 148.0 21.1 20.0 20.0 3,439 2,960 MN : 470.0 464.0 20.9 19.5 20.1 9,823 9,326 MT : 52.1 50.0 21.7 21.0 22.8 1,131 1,140 NE : 47.5 45.7 22.1 20.1 20.6 1,050 941 ND : 246.0 238.0 19.7 19.0 19.0 4,846 4,522 OH 2/ : 1.7 21.8 37 OR : 12.6 9.6 31.4 30.2 29.8 396 286 WA : 3.8 1.7 37.9 35.9 38.8 144 66 WY : 35.6 35.6 22.8 21.5 21.9 812 780 : US : 1,306.9 1,239.3 22.9 21.5 22.0 29,956 27,254 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. 2/ No acreage reported in 2005. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2005 : : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 :-------------------: 2004 : 2005 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Tons --------- -- 1,000 Tons -- : FL : 406.0 435.0 35.2 38.0 35.0 14,281 15,225 HI : 23.2 23.9 87.3 86.9 86.9 2,026 2,077 LA : 465.0 455.0 23.8 22.0 21.0 11,067 9,555 TX : 44.0 43.0 37.3 36.9 36.9 1,639 1,587 : US : 938.2 956.9 30.9 31.6 29.7 29,013 28,444 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. Lentils: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 72.0 65.0 70.0 63.0 MT : 78.0 150.0 72.0 139.0 ND : 100.0 150.0 94.0 146.0 WA : 95.0 85.0 93.0 84.0 : US : 345.0 450.0 329.0 432.0 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Pounds ------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ----- : ID : 1,100 900 770 567 MT : 1,400 1,300 1,008 1,807 ND : 1,370 1,350 1,288 1,971 WA : 1,200 900 1,116 756 : US : 1,271 1,181 4,182 5,101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 57.0 48.0 55.0 46.0 MT : 68.0 135.0 63.0 118.0 ND : 310.0 540.0 296.0 515.0 OR : 7.0 5.0 6.8 4.9 WA : 88.0 80.0 87.0 78.0 : US : 530.0 808.0 507.8 761.9 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Pounds ------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ : ID : 1,700 1,300 935 598 MT : 2,010 1,700 1,266 2,006 ND : 2,340 1,900 6,926 9,785 OR : 3,000 2,000 204 98 WA : 2,400 1,700 2,088 1,326 : US : 2,249 1,813 11,419 13,813 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004 and Forecasted November 1, 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 15.5 10.0 12.0 8.0 MT 1/ : 14.0 21.0 11.0 16.0 OR : 3.0 7.5 1.5 3.5 : US 1/ : 32.5 38.5 24.5 27.5 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Pounds ------- ----- 1,000 Cwt ---- : ID : 1,400 1,100 168 88 MT 1/ : 900 1,100 99 176 OR : 1,600 1,700 24 60 : US 1/ : 1,188 1,178 291 324 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2004 Revised. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Sep : 2,110 2,380 1,370 1,455 2,725 2,370 Oct : 2,100 2,380 1,365 1,455 3,225 2,470 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Potatoes: Area Planted, Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2004-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal Group: Area Planted : Area Harvested : Yield : Production and :----------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 :2004 :2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :----------- 1,000 Acres ---------- -- Cwt -- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : Total : 18.7 20.0 18.5 19.8 260 247 4,818 4,892 : Spring 1/ : Total : 76.5 65.7 72.2 64.4 314 281 22,663 18,099 : Summer 1/ : Total : 58.4 50.3 53.9 48.3 340 334 18,307 16,123 : Fall : CA : 7.6 7.2 7.6 7.2 480 450 3,648 3,240 CO : 65.0 58.2 64.3 57.9 370 385 23,791 22,292 ID : 355.0 325.0 353.0 323.0 374 362 131,970 116,975 10 SW Co : 25.0 21.0 25.0 21.0 490 465 12,250 9,765 Other ID : 330.0 304.0 328.0 302.0 365 355 119,720 107,210 IN 2/ : 3.4 3.2 350 1,120 ME : 63.5 57.5 61.5 56.5 310 280 19,065 15,820 MA : 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 320 260 800 624 MI : 43.0 44.0 42.0 43.5 325 330 13,650 14,355 MN : 47.0 46.0 44.0 42.0 430 415 18,920 17,430 MT : 10.7 11.0 10.6 10.9 335 315 3,551 3,434 NE : 22.0 19.5 21.6 19.3 430 410 9,288 7,913 NV : 6.7 5.5 6.7 5.5 430 425 2,881 2,338 NM 3/ : 4.0 5.3 4.0 5.3 430 400 1,720 2,120 NY : 20.0 20.5 19.2 20.1 270 260 5,184 5,226 ND : 105.0 92.0 101.0 82.0 265 250 26,765 20,500 OH : 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 300 250 1,080 900 OR : 37.0 37.3 37.0 37.1 534 584 19,775 21,652 Malheur : 5.2 3.8 5.2 3.8 470 440 2,444 1,672 Other OR : 31.8 33.5 31.8 33.3 545 600 17,331 19,980 PA : 12.0 11.5 11.0 11.0 240 250 2,640 2,750 RI : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 290 225 145 113 WA : 160.0 154.0 159.0 154.0 590 620 93,810 95,480 WI : 71.0 71.0 70.0 70.0 435 415 30,450 29,050 : Total :1,039.7 972.2 1,022.3 951.8 401 402 410,253 382,212 : US :1,193.3 1,108.2 1,166.9 1,084.3 391 389 456,041 421,326 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. 3/ Summer potatoes combined with fall potatoes in 2005. Fall Potatoes: Percent of Varieties Planted, 2005 Crop The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts variety surveys in 8 States, accounting for 89 percent of the forecast U.S. fall potato production. Colorado data are from a growers potato variety survey. The remaining 7 States conduct objective yield surveys where all producing areas are sampled in proportion to planted acreage. Variety data shown below are actual percentages from these surveys. Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted, Selected States and 8 States Total, 2005 Crop ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ State :Pct. of :: State :Pct. of :: State :Pct. of and :Planted :: and :Planted :: and :Planted Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres :: Varieties : Acres ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CO : :: Chieftain : 1.0 :: Atlantic : 2.2 R Norkotah : 56.1 :: Other : 6.0 :: Pike : 1.0 Yukon Gold : 8.0 :: Total : 100.0 :: Other : 3.4 Rio Grande R : 7.7 :: : :: Total : 100.0 R Nugget : 6.4 :: ND : :: : Centennial R : 4.6 :: R Burbank : 56.8 :: : Cherry Red : 0.8 :: Norland : 6.9 :: : Sangre : 0.8 :: Ranger R : 5.3 :: TOTAL(8 States): Keystone R : 0.7 :: Shepody : 5.2 :: R Burbank : 46.4 Silverton R : 0.7 :: Frito-Lay : 4.6 :: R Norkotah : 13.8 Latonia : 0.7 :: Yukon Gold : 4.6 :: Ranger R : 10.5 Other : 13.5 :: Dakota Pearl : 4.4 :: Norland : 3.5 Total : 100.0 :: NorValley : 2.3 :: Frito-Lay : 3.4 : :: Umatilla R : 1.6 :: Shepody : 3.2 ID : :: Sangre : 1.4 :: Umatilla R : 2.5 R Burbank : 63.1 :: Atlantic : 1.3 :: Alturas : 2.1 Ranger R : 15.1 :: Other : 5.6 :: Yukon Gold : 1.7 R Norkotah : 11.8 :: Total : 100.0 :: Goldrush : 1.3 Alturas : 2.8 :: : :: Atlantic : 0.7 Shepody : 1.3 :: OR : :: Snowden : 0.6 Other : 5.9 :: Ranger R : 25.3 :: Dakota Pearl : 0.6 Total : 100.0 :: R Norkotah : 23.8 :: Chieftain : 0.6 : :: Shepody : 17.1 :: R Nugget : 0.6 ME : :: R Burbank : 15.2 :: Silverton R : 0.6 R Burbank : 42.5 :: Alturas : 7.7 :: Rio Grande R : 0.5 Frito-Lay : 17.1 :: Frito-Lay : 2.5 :: Superior : 0.5 Shepody : 7.2 :: Umatilla R : 2.1 :: Sangre : 0.3 Atlantic : 3.5 :: Yukon Gold : 1.5 :: Centennial R : 0.3 Superior : 3.4 :: Other : 4.8 :: NorValley : 0.3 Yukon Gold : 2.8 :: Total : 100.0 :: Bannock : 0.3 Ontario : 2.8 :: : :: Cascade : 0.2 Goldrush : 2.7 :: WA : :: Red LaSoda : 0.2 NorWis : 2.4 :: R Burbank : 40.6 :: Ontario : 0.2 Katahdin : 2.4 :: Ranger R : 16.0 :: Viking Purple: 0.2 Norland : 2.3 :: R Norkotah : 14.4 :: Pike : 0.2 Snowden : 2.2 :: Umatilla R : 10.8 :: NorWis : 0.2 R Norkotah : 1.6 :: Shepody : 4.7 :: Katahdin : 0.2 Reba : 1.4 :: Alturas : 3.3 :: Summit : 0.2 Monona : 1.0 :: Chieftain : 3.0 :: Red Pontiac : 0.1 Other : 4.7 :: Yukon Gold : 1.2 :: NorDonna : 0.1 Total : 100.0 :: Other : 6.0 :: CalRed : 0.1 : :: Total : 100.0 :: Dakota Rose : 0.1 MN : :: : :: Viking : 0.1 R Burbank : 58.2 :: WI : :: Reba : 0.1 Norland : 23.8 :: R Burbank : 19.2 :: Ivory Crisp : 0.1 Sangre : 2.0 :: R Norkotah : 18.1 :: Monona : 0.1 Dakota Pearl : 2.0 :: Frito-Lay : 17.8 :: Chipeta : 0.1 Dakota Rose : 1.8 :: Goldrush : 12.3 :: Andover : 0.1 Goldrush : 1.6 :: Norland : 11.8 :: Sierra Gold : 0.1 Cascade : 1.3 :: Silverton R : 6.0 :: Cherry Red : 0.1 Alturas : 1.2 :: Snowden : 4.6 :: Other : 2.9 Red Pontiac : 1.1 :: Superior : 3.6 :: Total : 100.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 4,527.0 3,922.0 4,021.0 3,276.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 80,930.0 81,642.0 73,632.0 74,333.0 Corn for Silage : 6,103.0 Hay, All : 61,916.0 61,723.0 Alfalfa : 21,707.0 22,118.0 All Other : 40,209.0 39,605.0 Oats : 4,085.0 4,240.0 1,787.0 1,823.0 Proso Millet : 710.0 590.0 595.0 Rice : 3,347.0 3,365.0 3,325.0 3,343.0 Rye : 1,380.0 1,433.0 300.0 279.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 7,486.0 6,495.0 6,517.0 5,687.0 Sorghum for Silage : 352.0 Wheat, All : 59,674.0 57,091.0 49,999.0 49,980.0 Winter : 43,350.0 40,320.0 34,462.0 33,680.0 Durum : 2,561.0 2,735.0 2,363.0 2,691.0 Other Spring : 13,763.0 14,036.0 13,174.0 13,609.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 865.0 1,153.0 828.0 1,125.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 523.0 945.0 516.0 931.0 Mustard Seed : 73.0 61.0 68.7 42.5 Peanuts : 1,430.0 1,646.0 1,394.0 1,607.0 Rapeseed : 8.7 2.2 7.8 1.9 Safflower : 175.0 185.0 159.0 173.0 Soybeans for Beans : 75,208.0 72,200.0 73,958.0 71,270.0 Sunflower : 1,873.0 2,706.0 1,711.0 2,581.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 13,658.6 14,184.0 13,057.0 13,673.0 Upland : 13,409.0 13,914.0 12,809.0 13,408.0 Amer-Pima : 249.6 270.0 248.0 265.0 Sugarbeets : 1,345.9 1,284.6 1,306.9 1,239.3 Sugarcane : 938.2 956.9 Tobacco : 408.0 307.0 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 32.5 38.5 24.5 27.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,354.3 1,659.8 1,219.3 1,522.1 Dry Edible Peas : 530.0 808.0 507.8 761.9 Lentils : 345.0 450.0 329.0 432.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 5.8 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.2 0.1 Hops : 27.7 29.2 Peppermint Oil : 77.7 Potatoes, All : 1,193.3 1,108.2 1,166.9 1,084.3 Winter : 18.7 20.0 18.5 19.8 Spring : 76.5 65.7 72.2 64.4 Summer : 58.4 50.3 53.9 48.3 Fall : 1,039.7 972.2 1,022.3 951.8 Spearmint Oil : 15.1 Sweet Potatoes : 96.9 92.3 92.8 89.5 Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Units:------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley :Bu : 69.6 64.8 279,743 212,196 Corn for Grain :" : 160.4 148.4 11,807,217 11,032,105 Corn for Silage :Tons : 17.6 107,336 Hay, All :" : 2.55 2.48 157,774 152,871 Alfalfa :" : 3.47 3.43 75,383 75,940 All Other :" : 2.05 1.94 82,391 76,931 Oats :Bu : 64.7 63.1 115,695 115,002 Proso Millet :" : 25.3 15,065 Rice 2/ :Cwt : 6,942 6,603 230,818 220,731 Rye :Bu : 27.5 27.0 8,255 7,537 Sorghum for Grain :" : 69.8 68.2 454,899 387,686 Sorghum for Silage :Tons : 13.5 4,763 Wheat, All :Bu : 43.2 42.0 2,158,245 2,098,270 Winter :" : 43.5 44.4 1,499,434 1,493,769 Durum :" : 38.0 37.2 89,893 100,045 Other Spring :" : 43.2 37.1 568,918 504,456 : : Oilseeds : : Canola :Lbs : 1,618 1,333 1,339,530 1,499,300 Cottonseed 3/ :Tons : 8,242.1 8,302.0 Flaxseed :Bu : 20.3 10,471 Mustard Seed :Lbs : 819 56,290 Peanuts :" : 3,076 2,898 4,288,200 4,657,700 Rapeseed :" : 1,394 10,875 Safflower :" : 1,105 175,765 Soybeans for Beans :Bu : 42.2 42.7 3,123,686 3,043,116 Sunflower :Lbs : 1,198 1,500 2,049,613 3,870,910 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ :Bales: 855 813 23,250.7 23,161.0 Upland 2/ :" : 843 806 22,505.1 22,517.0 Amer-Pima 2/ :" : 1,443 1,166 745.6 644.0 Sugarbeets :Tons : 22.9 22.0 29,956 27,254 Sugarcane :" : 30.9 29.7 29,013 28,444 Tobacco :Lbs : 2,155 2,083 879,227 639,566 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ :Cwt : 1,188 1,178 291 324 Dry Edible Beans 2/ :" : 1,460 1,715 17,799 26,109 Dry Edible Peas 2/ :" : 2,249 1,813 11,419 13,813 Lentils 2/ :" : 1,271 1,181 4,182 5,101 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ :" : 899 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) :Lbs : 965 5,600 Ginger Root (HI) :" : 40,000 42,500 6,000 5,100 Hops :" : 1,990 1,977 55,203.9 57,718.5 Peppermint Oil :" : 92 7,146 Potatoes, All :Cwt : 391 389 456,041 421,326 Winter :" : 260 247 4,818 4,892 Spring :" : 314 281 22,663 18,099 Summer :" : 340 334 18,307 16,123 Fall :" : 401 402 410,253 382,212 Spearmint Oil :Lbs : 116 1,746 Sweet Potatoes :Cwt : 174 16,112 Taro (HI) 3/ :Lbs : 5,200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Units :-------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Tons : 2,165 1,008 1,435 Lemons : " : 798 813 866 Oranges : " : 12,872 9,112 10,696 Tangelos (FL) : " : 45 70 63 Tangerines : " : 417 331 424 Temples (FL) : " : 63 29 41 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 10,419.9 9,379.1 Apricots : Tons : 101.1 90.2 Bananas (HI) : Lbs : 16,500.0 Grapes : Tons : 6,231.7 7,070.9 Olives (CA) : " : 104.0 125.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 35,800.0 Peaches : Tons : 1,307.1 1,233.9 Pears : " : 890.3 853.0 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 49.0 105.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 25.0 10.7 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lbs : 1,010,000 880,000 Hazelnuts (OR) : Tons : 37.5 28.0 Pecans : Lbs : 185,800 288,700 Walnuts (CA) : Tons : 325.0 340.0 Maple Syrup : Gals : 1,507 1,242 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2/ Production years are 2003-04, 2004-05, and 2005-06. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,832,030 1,587,190 1,627,260 1,325,760 Corn for Grain 2/ :32,751,560 33,039,700 29,798,130 30,081,820 Corn for Silage : 2,469,820 Hay, All 3/ : 25,056,790 24,978,680 Alfalfa : 8,784,610 8,950,930 All Other : 16,272,180 16,027,750 Oats : 1,653,160 1,715,890 723,180 737,750 Proso Millet : 287,330 238,770 240,790 Rice : 1,354,500 1,361,780 1,345,590 1,352,880 Rye : 558,470 579,920 121,410 112,910 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 3,029,510 2,628,460 2,637,360 2,301,470 Sorghum for Silage : 142,450 Wheat, All 3/ :24,149,470 23,104,160 20,234,100 20,226,410 Winter :17,543,310 16,317,100 13,946,430 13,629,960 Durum : 1,036,410 1,106,830 956,280 1,089,020 Other Spring : 5,569,750 5,680,230 5,331,390 5,507,430 : Oilseeds : Canola : 350,060 466,610 335,080 455,280 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 211,650 382,430 208,820 376,770 Mustard Seed : 29,540 24,690 27,800 17,200 Peanuts : 578,710 666,120 564,140 650,340 Rapeseed : 3,520 890 3,160 770 Safflower : 70,820 74,870 64,350 70,010 Soybeans for Beans :30,435,930 29,218,620 29,930,060 28,842,260 Sunflower : 757,980 1,095,090 692,420 1,044,500 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,527,500 5,740,120 5,284,040 5,533,330 Upland : 5,426,490 5,630,860 5,183,670 5,426,080 Amer-Pima : 101,010 109,270 100,360 107,240 Sugarbeets : 544,670 519,860 528,890 501,530 Sugarcane : 379,680 387,250 Tobacco : 165,130 124,240 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 13,150 15,580 9,910 11,130 Dry Edible Beans : 548,070 671,700 493,440 615,980 Dry Edible Peas : 214,490 326,990 205,500 308,330 Lentils : 139,620 182,110 133,140 174,830 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,350 Ginger Root (HI) : 60 50 Hops : 11,230 11,810 Peppermint Oil : 31,440 Potatoes, All 3/ : 482,920 448,480 472,230 438,810 Winter : 7,570 8,090 7,490 8,010 Spring : 30,960 26,590 29,220 26,060 Summer : 23,630 20,360 21,810 19,550 Fall : 420,760 393,440 413,710 385,180 Spearmint Oil : 6,110 Sweet Potatoes : 39,210 37,350 37,560 36,220 Taro (HI) 4/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2004-2005 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.74 3.48 6,090,680 4,620,020 Corn for Grain : 10.06 9.32 299,917,130 280,228,370 Corn for Silage : 39.43 97,373,580 Hay, All 2/ : 5.71 5.55 143,130,170 138,682,240 Alfalfa : 7.78 7.70 68,386,310 68,891,610 All Other : 4.59 4.35 74,743,860 69,790,630 Oats : 2.32 2.26 1,679,310 1,669,250 Proso Millet : 1.42 341,670 Rice : 7.78 7.40 10,469,730 10,012,190 Rye : 1.73 1.70 209,690 191,450 Sorghum for Grain : 4.38 4.28 11,554,970 9,847,680 Sorghum for Silage : 30.33 4,320,920 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.90 2.82 58,737,800 57,105,550 Winter : 2.93 2.98 40,807,910 40,653,730 Durum : 2.56 2.50 2,446,490 2,722,780 Other Spring : 2.90 2.49 15,483,410 13,729,040 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.81 1.49 607,600 680,070 Cottonseed 3/ : 7,477,110 7,531,450 Flaxseed : 1.27 265,980 Mustard Seed : 0.92 25,530 Peanuts : 3.45 3.25 1,945,090 2,112,700 Rapeseed : 1.56 4,930 Safflower : 1.24 79,730 Soybeans for Beans : 2.84 2.87 85,012,800 82,820,050 Sunflower : 1.34 1.68 929,690 1,755,820 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.96 0.91 5,062,240 5,042,710 Upland : 0.95 0.90 4,899,910 4,902,500 Amer-Pima : 1.62 1.31 162,340 140,210 Sugarbeets : 51.38 49.30 27,175,630 24,724,410 Sugarcane : 69.32 66.63 26,320,150 25,803,960 Tobacco : 2.42 2.33 398,810 290,100 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.33 1.32 13,200 14,670 Dry Edible Beans : 1.64 1.92 807,350 1,184,280 Dry Edible Peas : 2.52 2.03 517,960 626,550 Lentils : 1.42 1.32 189,690 231,380 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 40,780 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.08 2,540 Ginger Root (HI) : 44.83 47.64 2,720 2,310 Hops : 2.23 2.22 25,040 26,180 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,240 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.80 43.55 20,685,670 19,111,030 Winter : 29.19 27.69 218,540 221,900 Spring : 35.18 31.50 1,027,980 820,960 Summer : 38.07 37.41 830,390 731,330 Fall : 44.98 45.01 18,608,760 17,336,850 Spearmint Oil : 0.13 790 Sweet Potatoes : 19.46 730,830 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,360 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 1,964,050 914,440 1,301,810 Lemons : 723,930 737,540 785,620 Oranges : 11,677,280 8,266,270 9,703,250 Tangelos (FL) : 40,820 63,500 57,150 Tangerines : 378,300 300,280 384,650 Temples (FL) : 57,150 26,310 37,190 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,726,390 4,254,290 Apricots : 91,740 81,790 Bananas (HI) : 7,480 Grapes : 5,653,300 6,414,610 Olives (CA) : 94,350 113,400 Papayas (HI) : 16,240 Peaches : 1,185,790 1,119,330 Pears : 807,630 773,810 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 44,450 95,250 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 22,680 9,710 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) : 458,130 399,160 Hazelnuts (OR) : 34,020 25,400 Pecans : 84,280 130,950 Walnuts (CA) : 294,840 308,440 Maple Syrup : 7,530 6,210 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2005 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2/ Production years are 2003-04, 2004-05, and 2005-06. Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre, Selected States, 2001-2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Sep : 26,750 26,400 27,150 27,750 28,000 : Oct : 26,700 26,350 27,050 27,750 28,050 : Nov : 26,650 26,350 27,050 27,700 28,000 : Final : 26,650 26,350 27,050 27,700 : : IN : Sep : 26,100 25,350 26,050 26,650 25,300 : Oct : 25,900 25,350 25,900 26,500 25,200 : Nov : 25,950 25,300 25,900 26,500 25,200 : Final : 25,950 25,300 25,900 26,500 : : IA : Sep : 26,500 26,850 27,400 28,000 28,050 : Oct : 26,550 26,700 27,250 27,950 27,950 : Nov : 26,450 26,700 27,250 27,850 28,000 : Final : 26,450 26,700 27,250 27,850 : : KS 1/ : Sep : 22,000 21,600 : Oct : 21,900 21,500 : Nov : 21,900 21,400 : Final : 21,900 : : MN : Sep : 28,050 26,950 28,700 29,300 28,400 : Oct : 28,000 26,850 28,800 29,200 28,300 : Nov : 28,000 26,800 28,800 29,250 28,400 : Final : 28,000 26,800 28,800 29,300 : : MO 2/ : Sep : 24,350 24,100 : Oct : 24,350 24,050 : Nov : 24,350 24,050 : Final : 24,350 : : NE : Sep : 22,750 23,250 23,800 24,100 23,900 All : Oct : 22,650 23,250 23,700 24,100 23,700 : Nov : 22,750 23,350 23,700 24,050 23,700 : Final : 22,750 23,350 23,700 24,050 : : NE : Sep : 26,250 26,400 26,900 26,900 26,700 Irrigated : Oct : 26,100 26,450 26,700 26,900 26,650 : Nov : 26,100 26,450 26,650 26,900 26,650 : Final : 26,050 26,450 26,650 26,900 : : NE : Sep : 18,550 19,450 19,800 19,700 20,400 Non-Irrigated: Oct : 18,450 19,450 19,800 19,750 20,000 : Nov : 18,700 19,650 19,800 19,750 20,000 : Final : 18,700 19,650 19,800 19,700 : : OH : Sep : 26,150 24,850 25,900 26,950 25,650 : Oct : 26,100 24,450 25,900 26,550 25,600 : Nov : 26,050 24,400 25,900 26,650 25,600 : Final : 26,050 24,400 25,900 26,650 : : SD 2/ : Sep : 21,800 23,450 : Oct : 21,800 23,650 : Nov : 21,850 23,700 : Final : 21,850 : : WI : Sep : 26,800 26,550 27,300 27,700 27,400 : Oct : 26,950 26,400 27,000 27,550 27,100 : Nov : 27,000 26,650 27,100 27,550 27,050 : Final : 27,000 26,650 27,100 27,550 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Field counts began in 2004. 2/ Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996. Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre, Selected States, 2001-2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : Sep : 25,650 25,050 26,700 27,350 26,950 : Oct : 25,550 25,050 26,700 27,400 26,850 : Nov : 25,550 25,000 26,650 27,400 26,850 : Final : 25,550 25,000 26,650 27,400 : : IN : Sep : 25,500 23,900 25,350 26,200 24,850 : Oct : 25,350 23,650 25,400 25,950 24,600 : Nov : 25,400 23,650 25,350 26,050 24,650 : Final : 25,400 23,650 25,350 26,050 : : IA : Sep : 25,450 25,950 26,700 27,350 27,150 : Oct : 25,350 25,800 26,550 27,550 27,100 : Nov : 25,250 25,800 26,600 27,500 27,100 : Final : 25,250 25,800 26,600 27,500 : : KS 1/ : Sep : 22,100 21,100 : Oct : 22,150 21,000 : Nov : 22,150 20,900 : Final : 22,150 : : MN : Sep : 27,500 26,550 28,300 29,000 28,000 : Oct : 26,750 26,150 28,650 29,250 27,900 : Nov : 26,700 26,100 28,600 29,150 28,050 : Final : 26,700 26,100 28,600 29,200 : : MO 2/ : Sep : 24,400 22,550 : Oct : 24,250 22,600 : Nov : 24,250 22,600 : Final : 24,250 : : NE : Sep : 22,200 21,650 22,950 23,650 23,250 All : Oct : 21,950 21,250 22,650 24,000 22,800 : Nov : 22,050 21,200 22,600 24,050 22,800 : Final : 22,050 21,200 22,600 24,050 : : NE : Sep : 25,550 25,800 26,550 26,550 26,250 Irrigated : Oct : 25,350 25,700 26,350 26,700 25,900 : Nov : 25,350 25,650 26,300 26,650 25,900 : Final : 25,350 25,650 26,300 26,650 : : NE : Sep : 18,050 16,700 18,300 19,100 19,550 Non-Irrigated: Oct : 17,800 15,950 17,850 19,800 18,950 : Nov : 18,000 15,950 17,800 20,000 18,900 : Final : 18,000 15,950 17,800 20,000 : : OH : Sep : 25,550 23,700 25,500 25,950 24,800 : Oct : 25,250 22,400 25,700 26,000 24,700 : Nov : 25,150 22,350 25,750 26,000 24,650 : Final : 25,100 22,350 25,750 26,050 : : SD 2/ : Sep : 21,950 23,150 : Oct : 22,700 23,100 : Nov : 22,700 23,050 : Final : 22,700 : : WI : Sep : 26,100 25,950 26,150 25,600 26,550 : Oct : 26,100 25,050 26,300 27,150 26,350 : Nov : 26,100 25,250 26,250 26,800 26,350 : Final : 26,100 25,250 26,250 26,800 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Field counts began in 2004. 2/ Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996. Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Plant Population Per Acre Selected States, 2001-2005 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Plant Populations State :Year :------------------------------------------------------------- : :Less than : 20,000- : 22,501- : 25,001- : 27,501- :More than : : 20,000 : 22,500 : 25,000 : 27,500 : 30,000 : 30,000 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Percent : : IL : 2001: 4.2 9.2 19.2 28.3 26.1 13.0 : 2002: 5.6 8.9 17.8 28.3 24.9 14.5 : 2003: 3.4 4.5 16.4 30.1 28.4 17.2 : 2004: 4.4 3.6 9.8 23.6 34.6 24.0 : 2005: 2.8 2.8 11.4 21.4 36.7 24.9 : : IN : 2001: 7.1 7.7 18.6 32.0 25.0 9.6 : 2002: 10.4 8.4 20.1 32.5 18.2 10.4 : 2003: 5.5 8.0 19.6 34.4 22.1 10.4 : 2004: 4.1 5.2 23.3 30.8 23.8 12.8 : 2005: 11.5 13.8 17.2 27.6 16.1 13.8 : : IA : 2001: 5.1 6.9 20.1 27.4 25.9 14.6 : 2002: 3.6 7.8 17.4 30.3 28.1 12.8 : 2003: 1.5 7.7 14.0 27.6 32.3 16.9 : 2004: 2.9 2.6 9.2 26.8 34.6 23.9 : 2005: 3.8 3.8 12.2 19.6 29.7 30.9 : : KS 1/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 33.9 11.3 3.8 12.3 17.9 20.8 : 2005: 40.7 4.9 10.7 10.7 15.5 17.5 : : MN : 2001: 1.9 3.7 12.3 21.6 34.0 26.5 : 2002: 4.4 5.1 16.5 29.1 29.7 15.2 : 2003: 1.2 2.4 8.4 22.3 33.2 32.5 : 2004: 2.5 3.8 3.8 11.9 33.8 44.2 : 2005: 1.1 2.8 10.2 22.2 30.1 33.6 : : MO 2/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 11.3 15.7 31.3 22.6 13.0 6.1 : 2005: 13.1 23.8 22.1 23.8 12.3 4.9 : : NE : 2001: 25.5 13.6 14.9 16.2 21.3 8.5 : 2002: 17.5 11.8 17.0 24.8 19.7 9.2 : 2003: 16.3 10.8 17.9 24.6 20.8 9.6 : 2004: 18.5 13.3 12.9 20.2 19.8 15.3 : 2005: 22.8 10.0 15.6 20.8 19.2 11.6 : : OH : 2001: 7.8 5.2 22.4 29.2 25.9 9.5 : 2002: 16.4 16.4 21.8 20.9 20.0 4.5 : 2003: 5.0 8.9 19.8 36.6 18.8 10.9 : 2004: 2.8 7.5 18.7 34.6 24.3 12.1 : 2005: 10.3 15.5 20.7 19.0 19.0 15.5 : : SD 2/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 33.0 16.5 21.4 15.5 6.8 6.8 : 2005: 19.1 19.1 21.3 22.5 10.6 7.4 : : WI : 2001: 5.2 9.1 13.0 27.2 23.4 22.1 : 2002: 5.9 4.7 18.8 23.5 33.0 14.1 : 2003: 6.8 8.2 13.7 19.2 30.2 21.9 : 2004: 9.1 6.8 12.5 21.6 21.6 28.4 : 2005: 7.0 7.0 12.8 25.5 22.1 25.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Field measurements began in 2004. 2/ Field measurements began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996. Corn for Grain: Frequency of Farmer Reported Row Widths, Selected States, 2001-2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Row Width (inches) State :Year :--------------------------------------------------------------- : : Less than : : : : More than : : 30 : 30 : 36 : 38 : 38 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : IL : 2001: 6 226 21 16 1 : 2002: 5 227 24 11 : 2003: 4 236 23 8 : 2004: 6 255 11 5 : 2005: 4 266 14 6 : : IN : 2001: 149 16 3 : 2002: 142 17 1 : 2003: 1 155 13 6 : 2004: 157 13 7 : 2005: 4 161 13 3 : : IA : 2001: 3 227 15 40 : 2002: 3 225 20 42 : 2003: 3 216 17 45 : 2004: 6 217 17 33 : 2005: 7 236 15 31 : : KS 1/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 2 103 1 6 : 2005: 4 104 1 1 : : MN : 2001: 25 133 9 7 : 2002: 20 128 8 8 1 : 2003: 26 144 5 6 : 2004: 28 135 6 3 : 2005: 37 128 9 2 : : MO 2/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 2 97 10 10 : 2005: 1 110 6 11 : : NE : 2001: 3 143 93 10 : 2002: 7 155 83 5 : 2003: 3 154 80 8 : 2004: 8 173 72 6 : 2005: 5 184 69 2 : : OH : 2001: 109 5 2 : 2002: 1 114 3 1 2 : 2003: 1 95 5 1 1 : 2004: 3 107 1 : 2005: 1 109 5 3 : : SD 2/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 10 74 9 19 1 : 2005: 11 75 12 9 : : WI : 2001: 2 58 10 19 : 2002: 4 71 11 13 : 2003: 3 68 8 11 : 2004: 3 78 5 10 1 : 2005: 1 81 5 5 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Field measurements began in 2004. 2/ Field measurements began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996. Corn for Grain: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width, Selected States, 2001-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Row Width (inches) : State :Year : Number :----------------------------------------------:Average : : of : 20.5 : 20.6- :30.6- :34.6- : 36.6- : 38.6 & : Row : :Samples :or Less: 30.5 : 34.5 : 36.5 : 38.5 :Greater : Width -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number ---------------- Percent ---------------- Inches : : IL : 2001: 261 1.5 67.1 18.0 7.7 4.6 1.1 30.9 : 2002: 269 0.7 74.4 11.9 8.2 3.7 1.1 30.8 : 2003: 268 0.7 75.8 12.3 6.7 4.1 0.4 30.7 : 2004: 275 0.7 84.1 9.8 3.6 1.8 30.4 : 2005: 281 1.4 82.5 9.3 3.2 3.6 30.3 : : IN : 2001: 156 67.3 21.2 6.4 5.1 31.0 : 2002: 154 69.5 17.5 10.4 2.6 31.0 : 2003: 163 0.6 71.1 16.6 8.0 3.1 0.6 30.9 : 2004: 172 0.6 69.8 20.3 5.2 4.1 30.8 : 2005: 174 2.9 67.4 21.8 3.4 3.4 1.1 30.4 : : IA : 2001: 274 0.7 63.2 17.2 2.9 13.1 2.9 31.6 : 2002: 281 0.4 62.2 15.3 5.7 9.6 6.8 31.8 : 2003: 272 0.7 62.7 16.5 5.1 11.0 4.0 31.7 : 2004: 272 1.5 61.7 17.3 6.3 11.0 2.2 31.4 : 2005: 286 1.4 72.7 10.5 4.9 8.4 2.1 31.1 : : KS 1/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 106 1.9 78.3 13.2 0.9 5.7 30.6 : 2005: 103 2.9 69.9 25.2 1.0 1.0 30.0 : : MN : 2001: 162 2.5 66.7 22.2 3.1 4.3 1.2 29.5 : 2002: 158 1.9 69.5 19.0 3.2 5.1 1.3 30.0 : 2003: 166 4.2 77.7 13.3 1.8 1.8 1.2 29.1 : 2004: 160 1.9 76.2 17.5 1.9 2.5 29.2 : 2005: 176 2.3 82.4 10.2 4.0 1.1 28.7 : : MO 2/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 115 0.9 58.2 22.6 7.0 8.7 2.6 31.5 : 2005: 122 58.2 27.9 4.1 5.7 4.1 31.4 : : NE : 2001: 235 0.9 43.8 15.3 26.4 12.3 1.3 32.7 : 2002: 229 1.3 46.3 17.0 23.6 11.8 32.3 : 2003: 240 0.8 52.6 13.3 25.0 7.9 0.4 32.2 : 2004: 248 1.2 56.5 12.5 16.5 11.7 1.6 31.8 : 2005: 250 1.6 54.8 17.2 20.0 6.4 31.8 : : OH : 2001: 116 74.1 20.7 2.6 2.6 30.7 : 2002: 110 0.9 78.2 17.3 1.8 0.9 0.9 30.3 : 2003: 101 54.4 38.6 2.0 5.0 30.9 : 2004: 107 0.9 74.7 20.6 1.9 1.9 30.3 : 2005: 116 64.6 25.9 1.7 5.2 2.6 31.0 : : SD 2/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 103 4.9 41.7 22.3 9.7 16.5 4.9 31.7 : 2005: 94 6.4 58.5 10.6 7.4 16.0 1.1 30.9 : : WI : 2001: 77 1.3 57.1 11.7 7.8 14.3 7.8 32.2 : 2002: 85 1.2 60.0 18.8 5.9 8.2 5.9 31.3 : 2003: 73 46.6 31.5 4.1 9.6 8.2 31.7 : 2004: 88 1.1 60.3 19.3 6.8 8.0 4.5 31.2 : 2005: 86 56.9 32.6 2.3 7.0 1.2 31.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Field measurements began in 2004. 2/ Field measurements began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2001-2005 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 747 840 798 864 811 : Oct : 780 763 755 771 728 : Nov : 816 784 744 753 733 : Dec : 756 772 744 754 : Final : 756 772 744 754 : : CA : Sep : 939 945 973 954 993 : Oct : 902 1,041 945 952 926 : Nov : 921 1,009 893 945 1,002 : Dec : 918 1,011 893 948 : Final : 918 1,011 893 948 : : GA : Sep : 590 569 559 646 667 : Oct : 677 604 646 690 689 : Nov : 651 591 643 686 767 : Dec : 664 600 665 687 : Final : 664 608 664 687 : : LA : Sep : 625 663 681 635 746 : Oct : 592 756 778 707 768 : Nov : 582 749 775 691 775 : Dec : 588 742 775 691 : Final : 588 742 775 691 : : MS : Sep : 754 802 837 808 818 : Oct : 696 783 824 789 729 : Nov : 680 768 811 780 724 : Dec : 679 767 808 780 : Final : 679 767 808 780 : : NC : Sep : 719 636 628 758 799 : Oct : 722 629 630 719 693 : Nov : 696 560 632 732 721 : Dec : 705 567 632 733 : Final : 705 564 632 733 : : TX : Sep : 441 536 465 639 620 : Oct : 435 511 431 672 516 : Nov : 439 520 429 593 586 : Dec : 445 497 435 624 : Final : 445 497 433 624 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Soybeans: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean producing States during 2005. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are actual field counts from this survey. Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet, Selected States, 2001-2005 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR 1/ 2/: Sep : : Oct : 2,260 2,446 1,796 : Nov : 1,867 2,483 1,823 : Final : 1,817 2,511 : : IL : Sep : 2,041 1,952 1,800 2,070 1,973 : Oct : 1,932 1,785 1,606 1,923 1,820 : Nov : 1,932 1,795 1,634 1,943 1,858 : Final : 1,932 1,802 1,634 1,947 : : IN : Sep : 2,003 1,773 1,786 1,909 1,855 : Oct : 1,882 1,677 1,692 1,866 1,790 : Nov : 1,880 1,680 1,582 1,917 1,899 : Final : 1,869 1,680 1,582 1,917 : : IA : Sep : 1,809 1,988 1,749 1,772 1,969 : Oct : 1,778 1,828 1,629 1,731 1,935 : Nov : 1,787 1,867 1,647 1,737 1,968 : Final : 1,796 1,867 1,647 1,741 : : KS 3/ : Sep : 1,482 1,490 : Oct : 1,588 1,431 : Nov : 1,639 1,547 : Final : 1,636 : : MN : Sep : 1,492 1,688 1,582 1,487 1,684 : Oct : 1,433 1,785 1,417 1,406 1,598 : Nov : 1,475 1,739 1,440 1,446 1,640 : Final : 1,475 1,715 1,440 1,435 : : MO : Sep : 1,424 1,427 1,144 1,798 1,458 : Oct : 1,732 1,609 1,455 1,943 1,585 : Nov : 1,874 1,681 1,547 1,998 1,679 : Final : 1,921 1,705 1,523 2,038 : : NE : Sep : 1,961 1,548 1,727 1,835 1,862 : Oct : 1,932 1,517 1,642 1,836 1,903 : Nov : 2,003 1,587 1,636 1,895 1,920 : Final : 2,048 1,592 1,636 1,895 : : ND 3/ : Sep : 1,114 1,526 : Oct : 1,148 1,471 : Nov : 1,243 1,496 : Final : 1,242 : : OH : Sep : 1,801 1,593 1,791 1,808 2,040 : Oct : 1,834 1,495 1,898 1,873 1,890 : Nov : 1,785 1,499 1,764 1,840 1,974 : Final : 1,785 1,492 1,752 1,837 : : SD 3/ : Sep : 1,248 1,634 : Oct : 1,332 1,617 : Nov : 1,302 1,605 : Final : 1,308 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ September data not available due to plant immaturity. 2/ Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3/ Field counts began in 2004. Soybeans: Percentage Distribution by Measured Row Width and Average Row Width, Selected States, 2001-2005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Row Width (inches) : State :Year : Number :--------------------------------------------: Average : : of : 10.0 & : 10.1- : 18.6- : 28.6- : 34.6 & : Row : :Samples :Less 1/ : 18.5 : 28.5 : 34.5 :Greater : Width 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number ---------------- Percent --------------- Inches : : AR 2/ : 2001: 123 40.6 19.7 16.8 17.2 5.7 17.5 : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 232 47.9 20.0 11.9 11.3 8.9 16.6 : 2005: 233 47.3 22.0 13.7 8.1 8.9 16.3 : : IL : 2001: 208 41.3 33.4 1.7 22.6 1.0 16.0 : 2002: 216 36.9 44.8 2.1 14.8 1.4 15.5 : 2003: 202 35.4 46.2 3.5 13.9 1.0 15.2 : 2004: 219 32.2 49.6 2.7 14.4 1.1 15.3 : 2005: 220 24.5 55.7 3.4 15.5 0.9 16.1 : : IN : 2001: 153 70.2 19.5 1.0 8.6 0.7 11.6 : 2002: 149 57.7 31.2 2.0 8.4 0.7 12.5 : 2003: 142 56.9 33.2 1.1 8.8 0.0 12.4 : 2004: 157 47.4 43.0 1.6 8.0 0.0 12.8 : 2005: 161 39.4 49.7 2.8 7.2 0.9 13.7 : : IA : 2001: 207 16.7 27.0 9.8 39.4 7.1 22.5 : 2002: 204 14.5 26.3 7.9 45.9 5.4 23.0 : 2003: 203 13.1 32.3 6.2 43.0 5.4 22.3 : 2004: 207 15.0 35.3 8.0 37.9 3.8 21.3 : 2005: 217 10.1 33.0 7.6 46.1 3.2 22.6 : : KS 3/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 92 17.4 27.7 9.2 41.3 4.4 22.2 : 2005: 104 12.0 40.4 9.6 37.0 1.0 20.6 : : MN : 2001: 91 14.8 25.8 17.0 41.9 0.5 21.5 : 2002: 103 19.9 24.3 20.9 33.0 1.9 20.2 : 2003: 92 19.6 31.5 10.9 36.9 1.1 19.6 : 2004: 101 20.8 25.2 20.3 30.7 3.0 20.2 : 2005: 98 14.8 27.5 19.4 38.3 0.0 21.2 : : MO : 2001: 126 31.3 43.7 2.0 19.0 4.0 16.5 : 2002: 130 24.6 48.1 6.9 16.5 3.9 17.1 : 2003: 126 24.3 50.2 5.6 17.1 2.8 16.9 : 2004: 128 32.4 46.5 4.7 12.9 3.5 15.8 : 2005: 130 23.5 54.2 5.4 10.0 6.9 16.9 : : NE : 2001: 93 19.9 30.9 8.3 26.5 14.4 21.6 : 2002: 89 16.5 29.5 5.7 31.8 16.5 22.8 : 2003: 97 10.8 29.4 5.2 44.8 9.8 24.0 : 2004: 101 14.4 35.6 5.4 31.2 13.4 22.3 : 2005: 104 4.8 36.1 4.3 41.8 13.0 24.3 : : ND 3/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 100 35.0 53.5 8.5 3.0 0.0 13.1 : 2005: 93 27.0 54.6 9.7 8.7 0.0 14.7 : : OH : 2001: 131 67.8 21.8 3.1 6.9 0.4 11.3 : 2002: 132 71.5 23.9 1.5 2.3 0.8 10.2 : 2003: 132 69.6 27.0 0.4 3.0 0.0 10.1 : 2004: 130 70.0 25.8 1.1 3.1 0.0 10.5 : 2005: 130 63.9 31.5 3.1 1.5 0.0 10.7 : : SD 3/ : 2001: : 2002: : 2003: : 2004: 108 12.9 41.7 17.1 21.8 6.5 20.1 : 2005: 100 11.5 34.5 15.5 30.0 8.5 21.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Broadcast soybeans included as "10.0 inches and less" but excluded in computation of average width. 2/ Field measurements began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3/ Field measurements began in 2004. October Weather Summary Tropical Storm Tammy (October 5) and Hurricane Wilma (October 24) became the sixth and seventh Atlantic basin systems, respectively, to make landfall this year in the United States, following Tropical Storms Arlene (June 11) and Cindy (July 6) and Hurricanes Dennis (July 10), Katrina (August 25 and 29), and Rita (September 24). (In addition, Hurricane Ophelia passed within a few miles of the North Carolina coast on September 14-15.) Tammy's interaction with an approaching cold front provided the Northeast with its first in a series of record-breaking downpours. Wilma, a category 3 storm with maximum sustained winds near 125 m.p.h. at landfall, crossed the southern part of the Florida peninsula, also depositing heavy rainfall. In contrast, little or no rain fell during October across the South from the western Gulf Coast region to the Appalachians. In the lower Mississippi Valley, dry conditions favored final summer crop harvesting but stressed pastures and newly planted winter grains. Mostly dry weather also prevailed in the Corn Belt, allowing summer crop harvesting and winter wheat planting to proceed with few delays. Even the previously saturated upper Midwest turned dry after the first week of October. By month's end, diminishing Midwestern soil moisture was a concern in winter wheat areas from the lower Ohio Valley to Michigan. Farther west, highly variable conditions existed with respect to winter wheat establishment. For example, favorably moist conditions on the central High Plains contrasted with limited moisture supplies in South Dakota and Texas' northern panhandle. Meanwhile in the Northwest, late-month precipitation slowed fieldwork but established high-elevation snow packs and aided pastures and winter grains. Elsewhere, locally heavy, midmonth showers briefly interrupted an otherwise mostly dry regime in southern California and the Southwest. Aside from chilly weather along California's coast, near- to above-normal temperatures prevailed nationwide. In many areas, however, including the Plains and the South, a late-month cold outbreak helped to offset the effects of earlier warmth. Monthly temperatures ranged from as much as 4 degrees F below normal in coastal California to 4 degrees F above normal in parts of the Great Lakes region. October Agricultural Summary Mild, mostly dry weather across the Corn Belt favored summer crop harvest and winter wheat planting. Only in the final week did temperatures drop below normal, with the first widespread freeze of the season occurring across the region. Conditions were even drier in the Mississippi Delta, with virtually no rainfall during the month, encouraging cotton harvest. Along the Atlantic Coast, heavy rainfall hampered fieldwork early in the month. In the Northeast, persistent precipitation caused flooding problems in many fields and pastures. Toward month's end, Hurricane Wilma cut a path across the Florida peninsula, with high winds damaging sugarcane, citrus, and vegetable crops and heavy rainfall flooding fields. Mostly dry conditions across the Great Plains were favorable for fieldwork, while above-normal temperatures encouraged winter wheat emergence. In the Pacific Northwest, precipitation was mostly limited to coastal areas, with the crop-producing areas further inland receiving very little rainfall after the first week. In the northern and central Rocky Mountains, the first snow of the season fell during the first half of the month. Seasonably dry conditions prevailed in the Southwest. The Nation's corn crop continued to progress ahead of normal, reaching 96 percent mature on October 9, compared with 86 percent last year and 92 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest began the month at the normal pace but progressed rapidly as dry conditions prevailed. By month's end, growers had harvested 80 percent of their acreage, 16 percentage points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of normal. Progress was ahead of normal across the Corn Belt, particularly in Michigan, where 75 percent of the acreage had been harvested, 29 points ahead of normal. However, growers in some Great Plains States trailed behind normal. In Colorado, just 43 percent of the crop had been harvested, compared with the normal pace of 69 percent. The sorghum crop matured behind the normal pace for most of the month but pulled slightly ahead of normal, at 95 percent, by month's end. Ninety-seven percent of Kansas' crop and 92 percent of Texas' crop was mature. Harvest progress was a week or more behind normal most of the month. By October 30, harvest was 71 percent complete, 12 points ahead of last year but 3 points behind normal. Progress was 1 point behind normal in Kansas but over 2 weeks behind in Texas. Winter wheat planting continued to progress ahead of the normal pace. Producers had planted 92 percent of their acreage by October 20, four points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Progress trailed behind the normal pace in the Pacific Northwest but was ahead of normal in most other areas. Emergence of the crop progressed behind normal early in the month but accelerated after midmonth. By months's end, 76 percent of the acreage had emerged, compared with 75 percent last year and 73 percent for the normal. The crop emerged ahead of normal in most States but lagged behind in the Pacific Northwest due to planting delays. On October 2, seventy-two percent of the rice crop had been reaped, 5 points behind normal. However, the harvest pace accelerated as dry conditions prevailed in most growing areas. By October 23, growers had harvested 97 percent of their acreage, the same as last year but 2 points ahead of normal. Harvest was complete in Louisiana and Texas and nearly complete across the Delta. All States were at or ahead of their normal harvest pace. The soybean harvest continued to progress ahead of normal. Progress was rapid early in the month, advancing 24 points nationwide, 35 points in Ohio, and 30 points in Indiana and Nebraska during the week ending October 9. Progress remained well ahead of normal throughout the month. By October 30, growers had harvested 92 percent of their acreage, compared with the 5-year average of 86 percent. Progress was at or ahead of normal in all States, exceeding the normal pace by 20 points in Arkansas. Harvest was nearly complete in the northern half of the Great Plains and adjacent areas of the Corn Belt. Sunflower growers trailed behind the normal harvest pace through most of the month. However, progress accelerated during the final week, reaching 69 percent complete, 2 points ahead of normal. Colorado and South Dakota producers were 11 and 5 points ahead of normal, respectively, while Kansas growers trailed the normal pace by 4 points. At the beginning of the month, the peanut harvest was 23 percent complete, 5 points behind last year and 8 points behind normal, with many growers reporting their fields as too dry to dig. By midmonth, progress had slipped to 12 points behind normal as dry conditions continued to discourage digging. The pace accelerated toward month's end but remained behind normal. By October 30, seventy-eight percent of the crop had been harvested, 1 point ahead of last year but 3 points behind normal. Progress was ahead of normal in Alabama, Oklahoma, and Texas but trailed behind normal in Georgia, North Carolina, and Virginia. The cotton crop continued to develop behind the normal pace. By October 30, bolls were open on 96 percent of the acreage, 3 points ahead of last year but 1 point behind normal. All fields in the Delta had open bolls, but Alabama, California, Georgia, and Texas were behind the normal pace. Harvest progress also trailed behind normal, despite mostly dry conditions in most growing areas. By month's end, growers had harvested 53 percent of their acreage, compared with 49 percent last year and 55 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was nearly complete in the Delta, well ahead of the normal pace. However, in the Great Plains and California, progress was over a week behind normal. The sugarbeet harvest began the month well behind the normal pace due to warm weather preventing piling. On October 2, ten percent of the acreage had been harvested, 7 points behind last year and 10 point behind normal. As cooler weather enabled piling later in the month, progress accelerated to a near-normal pace. On October 30, growers had harvested 88 percent of their crop, just 1 point behind last year and the 5-year average. Harvest was nearly complete in the Red River Valley, at or ahead of the normal pace, but trailed behind normal in Idaho and Michigan. Corn for Grain: Area harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 74.3 million acres, unchanged from October but up 1 percent from 2004. The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate ear counts for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin) are down 3 percent from last year's record high. The indicated number of ears per acre are lower than last year in all objective yield States, except South Dakota. As of October 30, eighty percent of the corn acreage was harvested in the 18 major producing States. This was well ahead of last year's 64 percent and about 4 days ahead of the five-year average of 74 percent. Above normal temperatures and mostly dry conditions across the Corn Belt during the first three weeks of October promoted crop maturation and accelerated harvest progress. Temperatures dropped below normal in the final week, with the first widespread freeze of the season occurring across the region. Harvest began the month of October behind normal in Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Ohio. Favorable weather conditions across most areas of the Corn Belt and Great Plains allowed producers to make rapid harvest progress during the month. Moderate rainfall across the Ohio Valley, Northeast, and central Rockies hampered progress somewhat. By the end of October, harvest progress was at or ahead of normal in all States except Colorado, Kansas, North Dakota, and Texas. Sorghum: Production is forecast at 388 million bushels, up 3 percent from last month but down 15 percent from last year. Based on November 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is 68.2 bushels per acre, up 2.2 bushels from October but down 1.6 bushels from last year. Yields are either increasing or unchanged from October in all of the major sorghum producing States. The yield in Kansas, the largest producing State, is expected to be 75.0 bushels per acre, up 3.0 bushels from October but down 1.0 bushel from 2004. Producers in Texas, the second largest sorghum producing State, expect a yield of 59.0 bushels per acre, up 2.0 bushels from last month but down 3.0 bushels from last year. A record high yield of 102 bushels per acre is forecast in Louisiana. Area for harvest as grain is forecast at 5.69 million acres, unchanged from last month and 13 percent below last year. As of October 30, harvest in the top 11 producing States was 71 percent complete, compared with 59 percent last year and the 5-year average of 74 percent. Harvest was complete in Louisiana and 99 percent complete in Arkansas. In Kansas, as a result of rainfall during the middle of October, only 70 percent of the crop was harvested, which was slightly behind the 5-year average. The harvest in Texas, at 73 percent complete, continued to lag behind the 5-year average of 79 percent. Slow crop development and rainfall during October contributed to this delay. Rice: Production is forecast at 221 million cwt, down 1 percent from the October forecast and down 4 percent from last year. Area expected for harvest, at 3.34 million acres, is unchanged from last month but up fractionally from 2004. As of November 1, the U.S. all rice yield is forecast at 6,603 pounds per acre, down 75 pounds from last month and down 339 pounds from last year's record high yield. However, a record high yield is forecast for Texas. As of October 30, rice harvest was complete or nearly complete in all 6 estimating States. Soybeans: Growers expect to harvest 71.3 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from last month but down 4 percent from 2004. The November 1 objective yield data indicate pod counts for the combined 11 objective yield States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, and South Dakota) are up 3 percent from last month and up 2 percent from 2004. Pod counts increased from October in all objective yield States, except South Dakota. Indicated pod counts from the objective yield survey are the highest on record in Iowa and Ohio, while pod counts were near record highs in Indiana, Minnesota, and Nebraska. The soybean harvest continued to progress ahead of normal during October. Progress was rapid early in the month, advancing 24 points nationwide during the week ending October 9. Progress remained well ahead of normal throughout the month. By October 30, growers had harvested 92 percent of their acreage, compared with the 5-year average of 86 percent. Progress was at or ahead of normal in all States, exceeding the normal pace by 20 points in Arkansas. Harvest was nearly complete in the northern half of the Great Plains and adjacent areas of the Corn Belt. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 4.66 billion pounds, down 5 percent from last month but up 9 percent from last year's crop. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.61 million acres, unchanged from October but up 15 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,898 pounds per acre, down 163 pounds from October and down 178 pounds from 2004. Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) is expected to total 3.20 billion pounds, down 8 percent from October but up 12 percent from last year's level. Expected acreage for harvest, at 1.18 million, is unchanged from October but up 21 percent from last year. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average 2,719 pounds per acre, down 241 pounds from last month and 214 pounds below 2004. In Alabama, Florida, and Georgia, disease problems resulted in lower yields. As of October 30, peanut harvest was 87 percent complete in Alabama, 95 percent complete in Florida, and 80 percent complete in Georgia. Georgia lagged behind their 5-year average by 8 percentage points while Alabama and Florida were at or near their 5-year averages. Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 352 million pounds, down 2 percent from last month and down 25 percent from 2004. Expected acreage for harvest, at 118,000, is unchanged from October but down 14 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 2,981 pounds per acre, down 63 pounds from October and down 461 pounds from 2004. As of October 30, peanut harvest was 83 percent complete in North Carolina and 92 percent complete in Virginia. Both States lagged behind their 5-year averages by 4 and 2 percentage points, respectively. Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 1.11 billion pounds, up 3 percent from last month and up 15 percent from 2004. The expected acreage for harvest in the region totals 312,000, unchanged from October but up 9 percent from 2004. Yields are expected to average 3,546 pounds per acre, up 96 pounds from October and up 158 pounds from last year. Record high yields are expected in Oklahoma and Texas. On October 30, peanut harvest in Oklahoma was 91 percent complete and harvest in Texas was 51 percent complete. Both States were ahead of their 5-year average by 14 and 6 percentage points, respectively. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area is forecast at 13.4 million acres unchanged from last month but up 5 percent from last year. America-Pima harvested acres are unchanged from last month but are up 7 percent from 2004. During early October, damp weather slowed harvesting and ginning progress in the Southeastern States. Harvest progress accelerated during the mid-month when sunny, cooler, and drier conditions returned. Some producers expressed concerned that the early morning frost and low night temperatures would delay harvest progress, but by late month, harvesting was progressing at rapid pace and defoliation was virtually complete across the region. Objective yield measurements in Georgia show the highest boll count on record. Cotton producers in the lower Delta region had excellent weather for harvesting during early and mid-October, with progress ahead of normal. By mid-month, defoliation was virtually complete throughout the region. In the upper Delta, a cold front brought sunny days during the latter part of the month, allowing harvest to advance in Missouri and Tennessee. Boll weight in Louisiana is slightly ahead of the 5-year average while the boll count is the highest of the last 10 years. In the Southwest region, defoliation of the cotton crop around Lubbock, Texas, was nearing completion and harvest was beginning to increase across the region. Showers and thunderstorms during the middle of the month delayed harvesting as producers waited for fields to dry. The warmer temperatures during the latter part of the month dried fields and producers resumed harvest. Data from objective yield measurements show Texas boll weights and boll count to be the second highest of the last 10 years. In Oklahoma and Kansas, harvesting was in full swing but behind normal. In the San Joaquin Valley, ideal weather conditions allowed producers to expand defoliation and to begin harvesting. Producers were shredding and discing fields almost immediately after they finished picking. Objective yield measurements in California show the lowest boll weight in the last 5 years. A Pacific weather system moved through Arizona during the latter part of the month bringing showers and delaying harvest. American-Pima production is forecast at 644,000 bales, down 9 percent from the October forecast and down 14 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,166 pounds per harvested acre, down 9 percent from last month and down 19 percent from 2004. California growers expected a yield of 1,211 pounds per harvested acre, down 9 percent from last month. Harvest and ginning gained momentum in early October and continued at a steady pace throughout the month. All cotton ginned totaled 8,697,200 running bales prior to November 1, compared to 8,757,950 running bales ginned by the same date last year and 7,392,800 running bales ginned in 2003. Sugarbeets: Production for 2005 is forecast at 27.3 million tons, 2 percent above the October forecast but 9 percent below last year's production. The yield is forecast at 22.0 tons per acre, up 0.5 ton from October but 0.9 ton below 2004. Growers in the 12 sugarbeet-producing States expect to harvest 1.24 million acres, fractionally below last month and 5 percent below last year. Expected area for harvest is down 2,000 acres in both Minnesota and North Dakota but unchanged elsewhere. The yield forecasts are at or above last month in all States, except Oregon, with the largest increases in Washington and Montana, at 2.9 and 1.8 tons above the previous forecast, respectively. Harvest was complete in Minnesota and nearly complete in North Dakota but lagged behind the normal pace in Idaho and Michigan. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2005 is forecast at 28.4 million tons, 6 percent below the October forecast and 2 percent below 2004. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 956,900 acres for sugar and seed during the 2005 crop year, down fractionally from October but up 2 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 29.7 tons per acre, 1.9 tons below the previous forecast, 1.2 tons below the 2004 yield, and the lowest since 1933. In Louisiana, 30 percent of the crop had been harvested as of October 30, four percentage points behind normal. Initial yields have shown the impact of Hurricane Rita to be worse than previously expected, prompting a decrease of 1.0 ton from last month's yield forecast. In Florida, harvest was just getting underway when Hurricane Wilma cut across the peninsula, with high winds affecting most of the growing area. Wilma's impact on the crop has not yet been fully assessed, but preliminary indications are that acreage harvested will be virtually unchanged, but yield will be down 3.0 tons from the October forecast, due to stalks being blown down and unharvestable. Lentils: Production of lentils is forecast at 5.10 million cwt, up 22 percent from last year. Area for harvest is forecast at 432,000 acres, up 31 percent from the previous year. Average yield is expected to be 1,181 pounds per acre, down 90 pounds per acre from 2004. North Dakota's production, at 1.97 million cwt, is up 53 percent from 2004. Harvested area is up 55 percent from last year, while average yield decreased by 20 pounds per acre to 1,350. Above normal daytime temperatures and dry conditions during most of April allowed producers to plant early season crops ahead of the 5-year average pace. Above normal temperatures and adequate soil moisture in the lentil growing area during most of the growing season promoted good growing conditions. Harvest was complete by early September. Production in Idaho, at 567,000 cwt, is down 26 percent from last year. Harvested area is down 10 percent from last season, while average yield decreased 200 pounds per acre. Producers experienced unstable weather throughout the 2005 season. Wind, rain, hail, aphids, and viruses reduced yield and quality. Montana's production is forecast at 1.81 million cwt, up 79 percent from last year. Harvested area is increased 93 percent from 2004, while yields decreased by 100 pounds per acre to 1,300. During April to mid May the State experienced 80 degree temperatures with very limited moisture. In July, temperatures were above normal averaging in the upper 80's to 90 degrees. Washington's production, at 756,000 cwt, is down 32 percent from 2004. Harvested area decreased by 10 percent to 84,000 acres, while yields decreased by 300 pounds per acre to 900 pounds. Lentil seeding was completed by May 23rd and harvest of the crop was finished the week ending September 12th. Storms in some areas caused piles of swathed lentils to be swept away. Also, drought conditions earlier in the season contributed to lower lentil yields, while weed competition resulting from a lack of chemical control reduced yields. Dry Edible Peas: Production of dry edible peas is estimated at 13.8 million cwt, up 21 percent from the 2004 estimate. Area for harvest, at 761,900 acres, is 50 percent above a year ago. Average yield is forecast at 1,813 pounds per acre, down 436 pounds from last season. North Dakota's dry edible pea production is forecast at 9.79 million cwt, up 41 percent from last season. North Dakota's harvested acres, at 515,000, increased by 74 percent, while yields are down 440 pounds per acre from last season. Above normal daytime temperatures and dry conditions during most of April allowed producers to plant the crop ahead of the 5-year average pace. Planting of the dry pea crop began mid-April and was nearly completed by the third week of May. Mostly adequate soil moisture supplies existed in the dry pea growing area during the majority of the growing season. However, above normal rainfall in June and above normal temperatures by the end of June and most of July stressed crop development and promoted some plant disease. Mostly dry conditions and below normal temperatures occurred during harvest. Harvest of the crop started the end of July and was completed the first week of September. Production in Montana, at 2.01 million cwt, is up 58 percent from the 2004 estimate. Harvested area increased by 87 percent to 118,000 acres, while yields decreased by 310 pounds per acre to 1,700 pounds from last season. Montana received temperatures in the 80's with very limited moisture during April to mid-May. During July and August the State received above normal temperatures with limited precipitation compared to a year ago. Temperatures were above normal during July averaging in the upper 80's to upper 90's including several 100 degree plus days. Production in Idaho is expected to be 598,000 cwt, down 36 percent from 2004. Idaho's harvested acres decreased 16 percent to 46,000, while yields, at 1,300 pounds per acre, decreased 400 pounds from last year. Producers experienced unstable weather conditions throughout the 2005 growing season. Wind, rain, hail, aphids, and viruses adversely affected yield and quality. Washington's production forecast, at 1.33 million cwt, is 36 percent below last year. Acres for harvest decreased 10 percent from last season, and yield decreased by 700 pounds per acre to 1,700 pounds. Washington's dry pea seeding was completed during the week ending May 23rd and harvest of the crop was completed the week ending September 12th. During harvest, the State experienced storms which caused piles of swathed peas to blow away. Early drought conditions and storms reduced dry pea yields. Austrian Winter Peas: Production of Austrian winter peas for Idaho, Montana, and Oregon is forecast at 324,000 cwt, up 11 percent from 2004. Area harvested is forecast at 27,500 acres, up 12 percent from last year. Average yield is expected to be 1,178 pounds per acre, down 10 pounds per acre from last season. Montana's production forecast of 176,000 cwt, is up 78 percent from last year. Eighty degree temperatures with adequate moisture were common during April to mid-May in the State. In July and August temperatures were above normal with adequate precipitation. Farmers are getting better yields than last year due to ideal conditions during the growing season. The Idaho Austrian winter pea production forecast, at 88,000 cwt, is down 48 percent from last year. Producers in Idaho experienced unstable weather conditions throughout the 2005 season. Wind, rain, hail, aphids, and viruses reduced yield and quality. Oregon's production forecast, at 60,000 cwt, is more than double the 2004 crop. Harvested area increased by 133 percent to 3,500 acres. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.47 million pounds for October, up 4 percent from last month but down 23 percent from a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,380 acres, unchanged from last month but 13 percent above October 2004. Harvested area totaled 1,455 acres, unchanged from last month but up 7 percent from last year. Weather conditions in October produced mixed results. Wet conditions spurred weed growth and increased disease pressure but also encouraged flowering. Dry weather in April and May caused gaps in fruit set, but higher production is expected in the upcoming spring months. Fall Potatoes: Production of fall potatoes for 2005 is forecast at 382 million cwt, down 7 percent from last year. Area harvested, at 951,800 acres, is virtually unchanged from the July forecast but 7 percent below last year. The average yield is forecast at a record high 402 cwt per acre, 1 cwt above the previous high set last year. Western States production is forecast at 268 million cwt, down 5 percent from last year. Acreage harvested, at 600,900 acres, decreased 6 percent from last year but the average yield of 445 cwt per acre is up 7 cwt from 2004. Growing conditions throughout the Western States were generally favorable. Idaho's total potato forecast, at 117 million cwt, is 11 percent below last year and the lowest since 1989. Planted and harvested acres in Idaho are the lowest since 1989. Yield in Washington is forecast at 620 cwt per acre, 30 cwt above last year. If realized, this will be a record high yield exceeding the previous record established in 2000 by 20 cwt. Production, at 95.5 million cwt, is 2 percent above last year. Colorado's production is expected to decrease 6 percent from 2004 but yields are up 15 cwt per acre. A long growing season and adequate irrigation water allowed potatoes to size larger. Oregon's production is forecast to be up 9 percent due to the record high yield of 584 cwt per acre, 41 cwt above the previous record established in 2000. In Montana, production is expected to be down 3 percent but the crop quality is reported to be good. In California, production is forecast down 11 percent. Cool weather in late spring and early summer led to smaller potatoes and lower yields. Nevada growers expect a 19 percent decrease in production. New Mexico's production is expected to be up 23 percent from last year. This increase is due to the inclusion of summer potatoes into New Mexico's fall potato forecast in 2005. The all potato production forecast for New Mexico is up only 3 percent from last season. Central States production is forecast at 90.1 million cwt, down 11 percent from last year. Harvested area, estimated at 260,400 acres, is down 9 percent, while average yields, at 346 cwt per acre, are down 9 cwt from a year ago. Michigan, with production up 5 percent from last year, is the only State in the Central Region where an increase in production is expected. The other 5 States, when compared with last season, expect decreases in production ranging from 5 percent in Wisconsin to 23 percent in North Dakota. Michigan's increase is due to a 4 percent jump in harvested acres and a 5 cwt increase in yield. Wisconsin growers expect a 20 cwt per acre decrease in yield due to fewer potatoes per hill. North Dakota's production decrease is due, in part, to a 19 percent reduction in harvested acres. Flooding in the major potato producing region caused growers to abandon more acreage than normal. Yields are also expected to be down from last year. Minnesota production is forecast 8 percent below last year. In Nebraska, production is expected to be down 15 percent. Ohio production is expected to be 17 percent below last year due to a 50 cwt per acre decrease in yield. Eastern States production is forecast at 24.5 million cwt, down 12 percent from last year. Area for harvest totaled 90,500 acres, 4 percent below last year, while the average yield, at 271 cwt per acre, is down 23 cwt from last season. Drought conditions during the summer in Maine, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island reduced yields. Heavy rains late in the season drowned out fields in low lying areas for all Eastern States. A 17 percent decrease in production is expected in Maine and 22 percent in both Massachusetts and Rhode Island. New York growers expect a 1 percent increase in production and a 4 percent increase is expected in Pennsylvania. All Potatoes: Total U. S. potato production in 2005 from all four seasons is estimated at 421 million cwt, down 8 percent from last year. Harvested area, at 1.08 million acres, decreased 7 percent from a year ago. Yields, averaging 389 cwt per acre, are down 2 cwt from last year. Florida Citrus: For the second season in a row, Florida's citrus production was adversely affected by a major hurricane. Hurricane Wilma entered the State south of Naples on October 24 as a category 3 storm with winds at 125 mph, just as harvest was getting underway. Wilma's path crossed the lower portion of the Gulf citrus production area with hurricane force winds reported 60 to 80 miles on either side. As it left the State over Palm Beach, the trailing eye wall produced winds which exceeded 100 mph in citrus producing counties on the East Coast north to Indian River. The hurricane was steered southward by a strong cold front which brought near record low temperatures for this time of year. Damage has been reported as moderate to severe in areas as far north as lower Highlands County and on the East Coast north to Indian River County. The heaviest loss of fruit is reported closest to the eye of the storm. Tree loss is reported light to moderate, with mostly older or diseased trees lost. Varieties which lost the most fruit were grapefruit, navel and Hamlin oranges, and early tangerines. Harvest was interrupted as growers and others cleared roads and recovered equipment affected by the storm. Surface water levels were high, so growers worked to reduce canal levels and dry out the groves. Early in the month, temperatures averaged above normal with very little rainfall. By mid-month, color break was occurring on navels, grapefruit, and early tangerine varieties. Growers were occupied with routine grove maintenance including weed control, water level reduction in canals, and fall fertilizations and spraying. Fewer new trees diagnosed with citrus canker were found in October than in previous months; however, removal of trees exposed to the disease continued. California Citrus: Weed control and irrigation were ongoing in many citrus groves. A few growers were applying copper and lime for fungus control. The Marsh Ruby variety grapefruit harvest continued in the southern coastal areas of the State but fruit condition had declined. Hot weather was causing fruit softening but exterior color was excellent and shape was generally uniform. Harvest of lemons began in the Desert region. Overall quality was very good. Some late variety Valencia oranges continued to be harvested. Navel orange harvesting began during late October in a few Tulare County blocks. Gibberelin applications continued in navel orchards. Satsuma mandarins and Chandler pummelos continued to be picked. Mandarins were showing good color. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: San Joaquin Valley raisin harvest progressed smoothly during October. By month's end approximately 2 percent of the crop remained open on trays to dry, about 8 percent of the crop remained in rolls, and 90 percent had already been picked up and placed into bins. Dried on the vine vineyards continued to be harvested. Harvest of fresh market table grapes including Thompson Seedless, Red Globe, Crimson Seedless, Prima Red Seedless, and Autumn Royal varieties continued. Wine and juice grape varieties harvested during the month included Carignane, French Colombard, Barbera, Rubired, and Carnelian. Stone fruit was harvested the first part of the month but by month's end harvest was primarily complete. Varieties harvested during October included Angelino and Flavor Fall plums; Autumn Flame and Halloween peaches; and September Red and Arctic Mist nectarines. Growers continued to harvest figs with good yields reported. Hosui and Olympic Asian pears; Granny Smith, Fuji, and Gala apples; and Hachiya persimmons continued to be harvested. Kiwifruit was harvested during the month with good quality reported. Wonderful pomegranate harvest was steady but began tapering off by month's end because cooler temperatures started causing fruit to split. Postharvest irrigation and weeding remained underway in tree crops and vineyards. Some trees and vines were being removed and stacked for disposal. Strawberry plants in the San Joaquin Valley were showing good growth with some fall strawberries being sold at roadside stands. The olive harvest was in full swing during October but growers continued to experience labor shortages. Late varieties of walnuts and pistachios continued to be harvested with trees being shaken and nuts being swept and picked up from orchard floors and transported to hulling facilities. Almond harvest continued but was winding down. Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecast Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between October 24 and November 7 to gather information on expected yield as of November 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 14,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published November 1 forecasts. Revision Policy: The November 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data or administrative data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the November 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the November 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the November 1 corn for grain production forecast is 1.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.8 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the November 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 81 million bushels, ranging from 1 million bushels to 258 million bushels. The November 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This does not imply that the November 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of November 1 Crop Production Forecasts -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Root Mean : 20-Year Record of : : Square Error : Differences Between Forecast : :------------------: and Final Estimate : : : :------------------------------------ Crop :Unit : : 90 : Quantity : Years : :Percent: Percent :------------------------------------ : : :Confidence: : : :Below:Above : : : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------ Million ----- Number : : Corn For Grain :Bu : 1.6 2.8 81 1 258 8 12 Sorghum for Grain :Bu : 4.6 8.0 18 1 86 7 13 Rice :Cwt : 2.2 3.8 3 * 12 13 7 Soybeans for Beans:Bu : 1.5 2.5 27 2 66 7 13 Cotton 1/ :Bales: 3.0 5.1 397 14 937 12 8 Fall Potatoes :Cwt : 2.0 3.4 6 1 16 18 2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Rounds to less than 1 million. 1/ Quantity is in thousands of units. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Scott Cox - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed(202) 720-9526 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice(202) 720-7688 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Travis Thorson - Hay, Oats, Sorghum(202) 690-3234 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Jim Smith - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2127 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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