Cr Pr 2-2 (7-06) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 12, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Up 1 Percent from June Forecast Durum Wheat Production Down 40 Percent from 2005 Other Spring Wheat Production Down 8 Percent from 2005 All Orange Production Down 1 Percent from June Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.28 billion bushels. This is up 1 percent from last month but 15 percent below 2005. The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.1 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushel from last month but down 3.3 bushels from last year. Area harvested for grain totals 31.1 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2006, but down 8 percent from last year. Hard Red Winter, at 660 million bushels, is up less than 1 percent from a month ago. Soft Red Winter, at 375 million bushels, is up 5 percent from the last forecast. White Winter is down 1 percent from last month and now totals 245 million bushels. Of this total, 19.9 million bushels are Hard White and 225 million bushels are Soft White. Durum wheat production is forecast at 60.4 million bushels, down 40 percent from 2005. Area harvested for grain totals 1.82 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2006 but down 33 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 33.1 bushels per acre, 4.1 bushels less than last year. If realized this will be the lowest harvested area since 1961 and the lowest production since 1988. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 465 million bushels, down 8 percent from 2005. Area harvested for grain totals 14.2 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2006. The U.S. yield is forecast at 32.9 bushels per acre, 4.2 bushels less than last year. Of the total production, 425 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, down 9 percent from last season. The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2005-06 season is 8.87 million tons, down 1 percent from the June 1 forecast and 4 percent below last season's final utilization. Florida's all orange forecast, at 151 million boxes (6.80 million tons), is down 1 percent from the previous forecast but 1 percent above the 2004-05 utilization. Early, midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 75.0 million boxes (3.38 million tons), unchanged from last month but 5 percent below the previous season. Harvest of the early, midseason, and navel varieties is complete. Florida's Valencia forecast is 76.0 million boxes (3.42 million tons), down 3 percent from the June 1 forecast but 7 percent above last season's final utilization. Estimated Valencia utilization to the first of July, including an allocation for local sales and gift fruit, is slightly over 69 million boxes. Several processing plants remain open to receive fruit but harvest labor shortages have reduced weekly processing movement. California's all orange forecast for July is 53.0 million boxes (1.99 million tons), unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 17 percent below last season's final utilization. Navel oranges are forecast at 42.0 million boxes (1.58 million tons), unchanged from April's forecast but down 2 percent from the previous season's utilization. Harvest of navel oranges is nearly complete. The forecast for Valencia oranges is 11.0 million boxes (413,000 tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but down 46 percent from last season. The Texas forecast for all oranges is 1.59 million boxes (68,000 tons), 4 percent above the April 1 forecast but 10 percent below last season's final utilization. Arizona's all orange forecast, at 450,000 boxes (17,000 tons), is unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 5 percent above the previous season. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2005-06 season, at 1.63 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, is unchanged from last month but up from 1.58 gallons last season, as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The early-midseason yield is final at 1.53 gallons, unchanged from last month and equal to last season. The Valencia yield, at 1.76 gallons, is unchanged from last month and is higher than the 1.68 gallons per box recorded from the 2004-05 crop. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons. This report was approved on July 12, 2006. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Grains & Hay Barley. . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Oats. . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Wheat, by Class . . . . . . . 6 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . 6 Wheat, Other Spring . . . . . 6 Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . 5 Head Population. 7 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Lentils . . . . . . . . . . .15 Peas, Austrian Winter . . . .15 Peas, Dry Edible. . . . . . .15 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Almonds . . . . . . . . . . .10 Apricots. . . . . . . . . . .10 Grapes. . . . . . . . . . . .10 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . .10 Peaches . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Citrus Fruits Grapefruit. . . . . . . . . .11 Lemons. . . . . . . . . . . .11 Oranges . . . . . . . . . . .11 Tangelos. . . . . . . . . . .11 Tangerines. . . . . . . . . .11 Temples . . . . . . . . . . .11 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Potatoes. . . . . . . . . . .12 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . .25 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . .16 Information Contacts . . . . . .36 Reliability of Production Data in this Report34 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . .22 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . .24 Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : CA : 20 24 75.0 86.0 2,125 1,500 2,064 ID : 20 20 64.0 64.0 1,440 1,280 1,280 IL : 40 40 79.0 82.0 2,450 3,160 3,280 IA : 125 130 79.0 74.0 10,080 9,875 9,620 KS : 40 60 59.0 46.0 1,720 2,360 2,760 MI : 75 75 61.0 69.0 4,420 4,575 5,175 MN : 205 190 62.0 65.0 13,300 12,710 12,350 MT : 35 30 53.0 46.0 2,400 1,855 1,380 NE : 60 45 73.0 47.0 3,400 4,380 2,115 NY : 75 80 54.0 58.0 3,250 4,050 4,640 ND : 240 250 59.0 41.0 14,080 14,160 10,250 OH : 60 50 60.0 68.0 3,150 3,600 3,400 OR : 18 20 78.0 95.0 1,940 1,404 1,900 PA : 110 110 55.0 60.0 6,050 6,050 6,600 SD : 180 190 72.0 55.0 13,940 12,960 10,450 TX : 110 130 43.0 30.0 6,400 4,730 3,900 WI : 215 250 64.0 66.0 13,650 13,760 16,500 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 195 213 63.9 59.4 11,900 12,469 12,658 : US : 1,823 1,907 63.0 57.9 115,695 114,878 110,322 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 2004, Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. For 2005 and 2006, Other States include AL, CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, VA, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2006 Summary." Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 30 25 100.0 115.0 4,180 3,000 2,875 CA : 60 55 63.0 58.0 4,500 3,780 3,190 CO : 59 45 130.0 125.0 9,086 7,670 5,625 DE : 27 24 81.0 78.0 2,080 2,187 1,872 ID : 600 530 87.0 85.0 59,800 52,200 45,050 MD : 41 36 86.0 86.0 2,847 3,526 3,096 MN : 90 100 43.0 50.0 7,820 3,870 5,000 MT : 700 640 56.0 55.0 48,970 39,200 35,200 ND : 1,060 950 54.0 51.0 91,760 57,240 48,450 OR : 45 55 45.0 67.0 4,818 2,025 3,685 PA : 47 48 72.0 74.0 3,410 3,384 3,552 SD : 47 30 49.0 38.0 3,150 2,303 1,140 UT : 24 30 80.0 85.0 3,440 1,920 2,550 VA : 45 42 87.0 86.0 2,960 3,915 3,612 WA : 205 195 61.0 63.0 17,150 12,505 12,285 WY : 60 55 93.0 86.0 7,050 5,580 4,730 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 129 130 58.8 59.5 6,722 7,591 7,735 : US : 3,269 2,990 64.8 63.4 279,743 211,896 189,647 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 2004, Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. For 2005 and 2006, Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2006 Summary." Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2006 : : : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 :-------------------: 2005 : 2006 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 160 300 52.0 55.0 61.0 8,320 18,300 CA : 300 250 72.0 70.0 65.0 21,600 16,250 CO : 2,200 2,000 24.0 23.0 21.0 52,800 42,000 DE : 51 47 70.0 46.0 53.0 3,570 2,491 GA : 140 130 52.0 47.0 45.0 7,280 5,850 ID : 730 710 91.0 86.0 84.0 66,430 59,640 IL : 600 870 61.0 65.0 68.0 36,600 59,160 IN : 340 450 72.0 69.0 69.0 24,480 31,050 KS : 9,500 9,400 40.0 31.0 32.0 380,000 300,800 KY : 300 310 68.0 68.0 73.0 20,400 22,630 MD : 140 130 66.0 55.0 58.0 9,240 7,540 MI : 590 580 66.0 68.0 70.0 38,940 40,600 MS : 65 70 50.0 55.0 57.0 3,250 3,990 MO : 540 870 54.0 53.0 53.0 29,160 46,110 MT : 2,100 1,950 45.0 39.0 40.0 94,500 78,000 NE : 1,760 1,650 39.0 34.0 34.0 68,640 56,100 NY : 95 120 54.0 59.0 56.0 5,130 6,720 NC : 435 450 57.0 48.0 54.0 24,795 24,300 OH : 830 1,010 71.0 68.0 68.0 58,930 68,680 OK : 4,000 3,100 32.0 22.0 23.0 128,000 71,300 OR : 780 760 61.0 55.0 55.0 47,580 41,800 PA : 145 150 54.0 51.0 51.0 7,830 7,650 SC : 165 133 52.0 48.0 48.0 8,580 6,384 SD : 1,490 1,100 44.0 38.0 36.0 65,560 39,600 TN : 150 190 56.0 58.0 61.0 8,400 11,590 TX : 3,000 1,400 32.0 25.0 25.0 96,000 35,000 VA : 160 170 63.0 56.0 66.0 10,080 11,220 WA : 1,800 1,800 67.0 68.0 67.0 120,600 120,600 WI : 175 235 57.0 63.0 65.0 9,975 15,275 : Oth 1/ : Sts : 1,053 773 40.3 36.9 38.0 42,459 29,375 : US : 33,794 31,108 44.4 40.5 41.1 1,499,129 1,280,005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2006 Summary." Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2006 : : : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 :-------------------: 2005 : 2006 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 79 74 100.0 100.0 100.0 7,900 7,400 CA : 69 75 95.0 100.0 105.0 6,555 7,875 MT : 585 395 28.0 25.0 16,380 9,875 ND : 1,950 1,250 35.0 27.0 68,250 33,750 : Oth : Sts 1/: 33 28 61.2 52.5 2,020 1,470 : US : 2,716 1,822 37.2 33.1 101,105 60,370 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include ID and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2006 Summary." Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : ID : 450 480 72.0 68.0 38,710 32,400 32,640 MN : 1,730 1,550 41.0 40.0 88,550 70,930 62,000 MT : 2,550 2,850 32.0 28.0 88,350 81,600 79,800 ND : 6,600 6,800 34.0 30.0 243,950 224,400 204,000 OR : 115 120 52.0 50.0 8,400 5,980 6,000 SD : 1,690 1,850 40.0 30.0 71,910 67,600 55,500 WA : 425 455 44.0 50.0 26,250 18,700 22,750 : Oth : Sts 1/: 49 49 58.1 52.5 2,798 2,846 2,571 : US : 13,609 14,154 37.1 32.9 568,918 504,456 465,261 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2006 Summary." Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 1/ ---------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter :--------------------------------------------------------- Year : Hard : Soft : Hard : Soft : All : Red : Red : White 2/ : White 2/ : White ---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2004 : 856,211 380,305 262,918 2005 : 929,820 309,021 25,279 235,009 260,288 2006 : 660,208 374,520 19,871 225,406 245,277 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Spring : :---------------------------------------------------------: : Hard : Hard : Soft : All : : Total : Red : White 2/ : White 2/ : White : Durum : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2004 : 525,467 43,451 89,893 2,158,245 2005 : 466,587 4,530 33,339 37,869 101,105 2,104,690 2006 : 425,055 4,774 35,432 40,206 60,370 1,805,636 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both survey and administrative data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season for States that do not have survey or administrative data available. 2/ Individual Hard White and Soft White estimates not available prior to 2005. Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during 2006. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 2002-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : CO : July : 35.9 38.9 32.8 44.1 34.6 : August : 35.6 38.4 32.1 44.2 : Final : 35.6 38.4 32.1 44.2 : : IL : July : 59.4 56.5 51.0 57.3 62.4 : August : 59.5 56.6 51.0 57.1 : Final : 59.5 56.6 51.0 57.1 : : KS : July : 41.7 50.4 41.2 47.8 39.9 : August : 41.7 50.6 41.4 47.8 : Final : 41.7 50.6 41.4 47.8 : : MO : July : 54.8 51.3 51.8 44.4 48.2 : August : 54.8 51.3 51.8 44.4 : Final : 54.8 51.3 51.8 44.4 : : MT : July : 36.3 44.5 40.2 48.7 42.1 : August : 34.3 42.9 40.4 48.9 : Final : 34.3 42.9 40.4 48.9 : : NE : July : 52.4 59.5 43.0 59.6 50.8 : August : 52.8 59.6 43.2 59.1 : Final : 52.8 59.6 43.2 59.1 : : OH : July : 58.5 53.1 52.1 56.1 53.5 : August : 57.8 53.3 52.1 56.0 : Final : 57.8 53.3 52.1 56.0 : : OK : July : 40.2 46.8 40.5 39.4 31.7 : August : 40.2 46.8 40.5 39.4 : Final : 40.2 46.8 40.5 39.4 : : TX : July : 34.2 36.3 31.7 32.4 29.1 : August : 34.2 35.9 31.7 32.4 : Final : 34.2 36.3 31.7 32.5 : : WA : July : 37.8 37.2 36.4 39.3 38.5 : August : 37.6 36.5 36.7 39.8 : Final : 37.8 36.6 36.7 39.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2006 Summary." Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : FL : 2,500 1,100 2,200 2,700 5,500 2,970 GA : 16,000 18,000 1,735 2,100 27,760 37,800 NC : 123,000 150,000 2,227 2,260 273,950 339,000 SC : 20,000 22,000 2,100 2,250 42,000 49,500 VA : 14,000 19,000 2,410 2,350 33,740 44,650 US : 175,500 210,100 2,182 2,256 382,950 473,920 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : AL : 14,000 12,000 7,000 AR : 4,500 4,950 5,400 CA : Freestone : 436,000 385,000 380,000 CO : 13,000 12,000 11,000 CT : 850 700 950 GA : 52,500 40,000 42,000 ID : 9,000 8,000 9,000 IL : 10,600 11,200 11,500 IN 1/ : 1,200 KY : 800 750 850 LA : 850 650 500 MD : 4,100 4,200 3,800 MA : 960 1,000 1,300 MI : 18,700 14,000 13,500 MO : 4,500 5,800 6,700 NJ : 32,500 35,000 35,000 NY : 6,000 4,250 6,000 NC : 3,500 6,000 6,000 OH : 5,100 2,100 3,600 OK : 2,000 2,000 1,800 OR : 3,300 2,800 2,000 PA : 23,000 26,600 29,500 SC : 70,000 75,000 60,000 TN : 1,950 2,000 1,700 TX : 12,200 8,750 3,200 UT : 5,000 4,700 5,000 VA : 4,500 4,700 3,500 WA : 21,500 20,900 21,500 WV : 6,000 5,500 6,000 : Total Above : 768,110 700,550 678,300 : CA : Clingstone : 539,000 484,000 380,000 : US : 1,307,110 1,184,550 1,058,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates discontinued in 2005. Peaches: Total Production, by Type, California, 2004-2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Type :----------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Freestone : 436,000 385,000 380,000 : Clingstone : 539,000 484,000 380,000 : Total : 975,000 869,000 760,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes Table Type 1/ : CA : 770,000 867,000 750,000 Grapes Wine Type : CA : 2,815,000 3,805,000 3,200,000 Grapes Raisin Type 1/ : CA : 2,038,000 2,306,000 2,050,000 : All Grapes : CA : 5,623,000 6,978,000 6,000,000 : Apricots : CA : 94,000 75,500 39,000 UT : 330 250 300 WA : 6,800 5,900 5,200 : US : 101,130 81,650 44,500 : : 1,000 Pounds : Almonds (Shelled Basis) 2/: CA : 1,005,000 915,000 1,050,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh equivalent of dried and not dried. 2/ Utilized production. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : May : 2,500 2,000 1,440 1,740 2,740 1,960 Jun : 2,600 1,745 1,580 1,510 2,595 1,920 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2003-04, 2004-05 and Forecasted July 1, 2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2003-04 : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2003-04 : 2004-05 : 2005-06 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 300 240 250 12 9 9 CA : 39,500 43,000 42,000 1,481 1,613 1,575 FL : 126,000 79,100 75,000 5,670 3,560 3,375 TX : 1,420 1,500 1,400 60 64 60 US : 167,220 123,840 118,650 7,223 5,246 5,019 Valencia : AZ : 170 190 200 6 7 8 CA : 11,000 20,500 11,000 413 769 413 FL : 116,000 70,700 76,000 5,220 3,182 3,420 TX : 230 270 190 10 11 8 US : 127,400 91,660 87,390 5,649 3,969 3,849 All : AZ : 470 430 450 18 16 17 CA : 50,500 63,500 53,000 1,894 2,382 1,988 FL : 242,000 149,800 151,000 10,890 6,742 6,795 TX : 1,650 1,770 1,590 70 75 68 US : 294,620 215,500 206,040 12,872 9,215 8,868 Temples : FL : 1,400 650 700 63 29 32 Grapefruit : White Seedless 4/ : FL : 15,900 3,400 6,500 675 145 276 Colored Seedless : FL : 25,000 9,400 12,800 1,063 400 544 All : AZ : 140 140 100 5 5 3 CA : 5,800 5,800 6,000 194 194 201 FL : 40,900 12,800 19,300 1,738 545 820 TX : 5,700 6,600 5,200 228 264 208 US : 52,540 25,340 30,600 2,165 1,008 1,232 Tangerines : AZ 5/ : 690 400 550 25 15 21 CA 5/ : 2,200 2,800 4,000 83 105 150 FL : 6,500 4,450 5,500 309 211 261 US : 9,390 7,650 10,050 417 331 432 Lemons : AZ : 3,000 2,400 3,800 114 91 144 CA : 18,000 19,000 19,000 684 722 722 US : 21,000 21,400 22,800 798 813 866 Tangelos : FL : 1,000 1,550 1,400 45 70 63 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90; Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Includes seedy. 5/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres ------- --- Cwt --- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : CA : 14.0 12.0 14.0 12.0 250 270 3,500 3,240 FL : 6.0 5.7 5.8 5.5 240 250 1,392 1,375 : Total : 20.0 17.7 19.8 17.5 247 264 4,892 4,615 : Spring 1/ : AZ : 4.3 3.9 4.3 3.9 275 300 1,183 1,170 CA : 15.1 14.9 15.1 14.9 405 420 6,116 6,258 FL : 23.6 24.1 23.2 23.7 281 294 6,527 6,962 Hastings : 17.3 18.0 17.0 17.7 280 295 4,760 5,222 Other FL : 6.3 6.1 6.2 6.0 285 290 1,767 1,740 NC : 15.5 17.5 15.0 17.0 190 200 2,850 3,400 TX : 9.5 10.7 9.1 10.2 225 280 2,048 2,856 : Total : 68.0 71.1 66.7 69.7 281 296 18,724 20,646 : Summer : AL : 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.6 150 160 195 256 CA : 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.3 355 370 2,201 2,331 CO : 5.0 4.4 4.9 4.3 375 370 1,838 1,591 DE : 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 260 240 806 720 IL : 5.7 5.7 5.5 5.5 380 390 2,090 2,145 KS : 5.1 7.0 5.0 6.8 360 340 1,800 2,312 MD : 3.5 4.0 3.4 4.0 260 240 884 960 MO : 6.5 7.9 6.3 7.5 340 290 2,142 2,175 NJ : 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.2 255 280 536 616 TX : 9.4 10.5 8.7 9.7 465 440 4,046 4,268 VA : 5.0 6.0 4.9 5.9 210 230 1,029 1,357 : Total : 53.4 58.7 51.4 56.8 342 330 17,567 18,731 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2005-2006 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--------- 1,000 Acres --------- -- Cwt -- 1,000 Cwt : Fall 2/ : CA : 7.2 7.8 7.2 7.8 450 3,240 CO : 58.2 59.9 57.9 59.7 385 22,292 ID : 325.0 330.0 323.0 328.0 362 116,975 10 SW Co: 21.0 19.0 21.0 19.0 465 9,765 Other ID: 304.0 311.0 302.0 309.0 355 107,210 ME : 57.5 59.0 56.2 56.0 280 15,736 MA : 2.5 2.9 2.4 2.8 260 624 MI : 44.0 44.0 43.5 43.5 320 13,920 MN : 46.0 52.0 43.0 49.0 410 17,630 MT : 11.0 10.5 10.9 10.4 315 3,434 NE : 19.5 19.5 19.4 19.2 425 8,245 NV : 5.5 6.5 5.5 6.5 425 2,338 NM : 4.7 5.0 4.2 5.0 420 1,764 NY : 20.5 20.6 20.1 20.1 260 5,226 ND : 92.0 100.0 82.0 95.0 250 20,500 OH : 3.7 3.3 3.6 3.1 240 864 OR : 37.3 35.0 37.1 35.0 594 22,023 Malheur : 3.8 3.0 3.8 3.0 450 1,710 Other OR: 33.5 32.0 33.3 32.0 610 20,313 PA : 11.5 11.0 11.0 10.8 250 2,750 RI : 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 210 105 WA : 154.0 156.0 154.0 156.0 620 95,480 WI : 68.0 67.0 68.0 66.0 410 27,880 : Total : 968.6 990.5 949.5 974.4 401 381,026 : US :1,110.0 1,138.0 1,087.4 1,118.4 388 422,209 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ The forecast of fall potato production will be published in the November "Crop Production." Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes, 11 Major States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Potato Types 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Reds : Whites : Russets :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 4 3 11 13 85 84 ID : 2 2 3 4 95 94 ME 2/ : 3 2 50 49 47 49 MI : 2 2 83 83 15 15 MN : 25 25 9 9 66 66 NY : 5 5 90 90 5 5 ND : 20 22 32 32 48 46 OR : 2 4 14 15 84 81 PA : 6 5 94 95 WA : 3 5 10 9 87 86 WI : 11 12 32 31 57 57 : Total : 6 7 20 21 74 72 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s) constituting less than 1 percent of State's total. Yellow flesh potatoes are reported under white types. Blue types are reported under red types. 2/ 2005 revised. Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes, by State and Total, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 Crop : 2006 Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Entered for : : Percent : Entered for : Certification : Certified : Certified : Certification -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- Acres --------- Percent Acres : AK : 205 195 95 200 CA : 525 446 85 570 CO : 15,289 12,813 84 14,400 ID : 31,626 30,969 98 31,229 ME : 11,599 11,466 99 11,500 MI : 2,300 2,167 94 2,300 MN : 9,683 9,094 94 9,256 MT : 9,900 9,675 98 9,565 NE : 6,007 5,985 100 5,487 NY : 807 806 100 830 ND : 12,849 12,610 98 16,389 OR : 2,251 2,251 100 2,500 PA : 260 259 100 250 WA : 2,360 2,360 100 2,422 WI : 8,489 8,173 96 8,625 : Total : 114,150 109,269 96 115,523 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data supplied by State seed certification officials. Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 48.0 45.0 46.0 43.0 MT : 135.0 190.0 122.0 175.0 ND : 540.0 580.0 515.0 560.0 OR : 5.0 10.0 4.9 9.6 WA : 80.0 70.0 78.0 69.0 : US : 808.0 895.0 765.9 856.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. Lentils: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 65.0 55.0 63.0 53.0 MT : 150.0 140.0 146.0 130.0 ND : 150.0 150.0 146.0 145.0 WA : 85.0 75.0 84.0 74.0 : US : 450.0 420.0 439.0 402.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 10.0 8.0 8.0 7.0 MT : 25.0 28.0 13.0 15.0 OR : 7.5 5.0 3.5 2.5 : US : 42.5 41.0 24.5 24.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3,875.0 3,496.0 3,269.0 2,990.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 81,759.0 79,366.0 75,107.0 72,091.0 Corn for Silage : 5,920.0 Hay, All : 61,649.0 62,697.0 Alfalfa : 22,389.0 22,407.0 All Other : 39,260.0 40,290.0 Oats : 4,246.0 4,312.0 1,823.0 1,907.0 Proso Millet : 565.0 575.0 515.0 Rice : 3,384.0 2,913.0 3,364.0 2,895.0 Rye : 1,433.0 1,378.0 279.0 259.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 6,454.0 6,282.0 5,736.0 5,317.0 Sorghum for Silage : 311.0 Wheat, All : 57,229.0 57,873.0 50,119.0 47,084.0 Winter : 40,433.0 41,393.0 33,794.0 31,108.0 Durum : 2,760.0 1,885.0 2,716.0 1,822.0 Other Spring : 14,036.0 14,595.0 13,609.0 14,154.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,159.0 1,018.0 1,114.0 974.7 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 983.0 718.0 955.0 704.0 Mustard Seed : 49.0 42.5 44.6 40.5 Peanuts : 1,657.0 1,298.0 1,629.0 1,271.0 Rapeseed : 2.4 1.8 2.0 1.6 Safflower : 165.0 221.0 160.0 212.0 Soybeans for Beans : 72,142.0 74,930.0 71,361.0 73,935.0 Sunflower : 2,709.0 1,900.0 2,610.0 1,797.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 14,245.4 15,276.0 13,802.6 Upland : 13,975.0 14,940.0 13,534.0 Amer-Pima : 270.4 336.0 268.6 Sugarbeets : 1,299.8 1,361.9 1,242.9 1,321.1 Sugarcane : 922.6 921.9 Tobacco : 298.1 336.4 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 42.5 41.0 24.5 24.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,665.0 1,561.8 1,568.6 1,465.0 Dry Edible Peas : 808.0 895.0 765.9 856.6 Lentils : 450.0 420.0 439.0 402.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.1 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.1 Hops : 29.5 28.9 Peppermint Oil : 76.0 Potatoes, All : 1,110.0 1,138.0 1,087.4 1,118.4 Winter : 20.0 17.7 19.8 17.5 Spring : 68.0 71.1 66.7 69.7 Summer : 53.4 58.7 51.4 56.8 Fall : 968.6 990.5 949.5 974.4 Spearmint Oil : 17.7 Sweet Potatoes : 91.0 96.0 88.4 93.4 Taro (HI) 4/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Acreage is not estimated. 4/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Units:------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley :Bu : 64.8 63.4 211,896 189,647 Corn for Grain :" : 147.9 11,112,072 Corn for Silage :Tons : 18.0 106,311 Hay, All :" : 2.44 150,590 Alfalfa :" : 3.38 75,771 All Other :" : 1.91 74,819 Oats :Bu : 63.0 57.9 114,878 110,322 Proso Millet :" : 26.3 13,545 Rice 2/ :Cwt : 6,636 223,235 Rye :Bu : 27.0 7,537 Sorghum for Grain :" : 68.7 393,893 Sorghum for Silage :Tons : 13.6 4,218 Wheat, All :Bu : 42.0 38.3 2,104,690 1,805,636 Winter :" : 44.4 41.1 1,499,129 1,280,005 Durum :" : 37.2 33.1 101,105 60,370 Other Spring :" : 37.1 32.9 504,456 465,261 : : Oilseeds : : Canola :Lbs : 1,419 1,580,985 Cottonseed 3/ :Tons : 8,172.1 Flaxseed :Bu : 20.6 19,695 Mustard Seed :Lbs : 787 35,114 Peanuts :" : 2,960 4,821,250 Rapeseed :" : 1,500 3,000 Safflower :" : 1,203 192,545 Soybeans for Beans :Bu : 43.3 3,086,432 Sunflower :Lbs : 1,540 4,018,355 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ :Bales: 831 23,890.2 Upland 2/ :" : 825 23,259.7 Amer-Pima 2/ :" : 1,127 630.5 Sugarbeets :Tons : 22.2 27,537 Sugarcane :" : 28.8 26,604 Tobacco :Lbs : 2,171 647,278 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ :Cwt : 1,253 307 Dry Edible Beans 2/ :" : 1,744 27,350 Dry Edible Peas 2/ :" : 1,828 14,003 Lentils 2/ :" : 1,176 5,163 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ :" : 755 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) :Lbs : 1,050 6,400 Ginger Root (HI) :" : 42,500 5,100 Hops :" : 1,791 52,914.5 Peppermint Oil :" : 92 6,980 Potatoes, All :Cwt : 388 422,209 Winter :" : 247 264 4,892 4,615 Spring :" : 281 296 18,724 20,646 Summer :" : 342 330 17,567 18,731 Fall :" : 401 381,026 Spearmint Oil :Lbs : 109 1,933 Sweet Potatoes :Cwt : 178 15,730 Taro (HI) 3/ :Lbs : 4,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Units :-------------------------------------------- : : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Tons : 2,165 1,008 1,232 Lemons : " : 798 813 866 Oranges : " : 12,872 9,215 8,868 Tangelos (FL) : " : 45 70 63 Tangerines : " : 417 331 432 Temples (FL) : " : 63 29 32 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 10,440.6 9,864.9 Apricots : Tons : 101.1 81.7 44.5 Bananas (HI) : Lbs : 16,500.0 20,900.0 Grapes : Tons : 6,240.0 7,828.7 Olives (CA) : " : 107.5 142.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 35,800.0 32,900.0 Peaches : Tons : 1,307.1 1,184.6 1,058.3 Pears : " : 878.3 825.3 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 49.0 90.0 145.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 25.0 9.1 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lbs : 1,005,000 915,000 1,050,000 Hazelnuts (OR) : Tons : 37.5 27.6 Pecans : Lbs : 185,800 280,200 Walnuts (CA) : Tons : 325.0 355.0 Maple Syrup : Gals : 1,507 1,242 1,449 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2/ Production years are 2003-04, 2004-05, and 2005-06. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,568,170 1,414,800 1,322,930 1,210,020 Corn for Grain 2/ :33,087,050 32,118,630 30,395,050 29,174,510 Corn for Silage : 2,395,760 Hay, All 3/ : 24,948,730 25,372,850 Alfalfa : 9,060,600 9,067,890 All Other : 15,888,130 16,304,960 Oats : 1,718,310 1,745,020 737,750 771,740 Proso Millet : 228,650 232,700 208,420 Rice : 1,369,470 1,178,860 1,361,380 1,171,580 Rye : 579,920 557,660 112,910 104,810 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 2,611,870 2,542,260 2,321,300 2,151,740 Sorghum for Silage : 125,860 Wheat, All 3/ :23,160,000 23,420,620 20,282,660 19,054,420 Winter :16,362,830 16,751,330 13,676,090 12,589,100 Durum : 1,116,940 762,840 1,099,140 737,350 Other Spring : 5,680,230 5,906,450 5,507,430 5,727,980 : Oilseeds : Canola : 469,040 411,970 450,820 394,450 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 397,810 290,570 386,480 284,900 Mustard Seed : 19,830 17,200 18,050 16,390 Peanuts : 670,570 525,290 659,240 514,360 Rapeseed : 970 730 810 650 Safflower : 66,770 89,440 64,750 85,790 Soybeans for Beans :29,195,150 30,323,420 28,879,080 29,920,760 Sunflower : 1,096,310 768,910 1,056,240 727,230 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,764,970 6,182,040 5,585,770 Upland : 5,655,540 6,046,070 5,477,070 Amer-Pima : 109,430 135,980 108,700 Sugarbeets : 526,020 551,150 502,990 534,640 Sugarcane : 373,370 373,080 Tobacco : 120,630 136,150 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 17,200 16,590 9,910 9,910 Dry Edible Beans : 673,810 632,040 634,800 592,870 Dry Edible Peas : 326,990 362,200 309,950 346,660 Lentils : 182,110 169,970 177,660 162,690 Wrinkled Seed Peas : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,470 Ginger Root (HI) : 50 Hops : 11,920 11,710 Peppermint Oil : 30,760 Potatoes, All 3/ : 449,210 460,540 440,060 452,610 Winter : 8,090 7,160 8,010 7,080 Spring : 27,520 28,770 26,990 28,210 Summer : 21,610 23,760 20,800 22,990 Fall : 391,980 400,850 384,250 394,330 Spearmint Oil : 7,160 Sweet Potatoes : 36,830 38,850 35,770 37,800 Taro (HI) 5/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Acreage is not estimated. 5/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.49 3.41 4,613,490 4,129,080 Corn for Grain : 9.29 282,259,630 Corn for Silage : 40.26 96,443,720 Hay, All 2/ : 5.48 136,612,950 Alfalfa : 7.59 68,738,290 All Other : 4.27 67,874,660 Oats : 2.26 2.07 1,667,450 1,601,320 Proso Millet : 1.47 307,200 Rice : 7.44 10,125,770 Rye : 1.70 191,450 Sorghum for Grain : 4.31 10,005,340 Sorghum for Silage : 30.40 3,826,510 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.82 2.58 57,280,270 49,141,360 Winter : 2.98 2.77 40,799,610 34,836,030 Durum : 2.50 2.23 2,751,630 1,643,000 Other Spring : 2.49 2.21 13,729,040 12,662,330 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.59 717,120 Cottonseed 3/ : 7,413,600 Flaxseed : 1.29 500,280 Mustard Seed : 0.88 15,930 Peanuts : 3.32 2,186,880 Rapeseed : 1.68 1,360 Safflower : 1.35 87,340 Soybeans for Beans : 2.91 83,998,910 Sunflower : 1.73 1,822,700 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.93 5,201,480 Upland : 0.92 5,064,200 Amer-Pima : 1.26 137,280 Sugarbeets : 49.67 24,981,150 Sugarcane : 64.64 24,134,740 Tobacco : 2.43 293,600 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.40 13,930 Dry Edible Beans : 1.95 1,240,580 Dry Edible Peas : 2.05 635,170 Lentils : 1.32 234,190 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 34,250 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.18 2,900 Ginger Root (HI) : 47.64 2,310 Hops : 2.01 24,000 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,170 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.52 19,151,080 Winter : 27.69 29.56 221,900 209,330 Spring : 31.46 33.20 849,310 936,490 Summer : 38.31 36.96 796,830 849,620 Fall : 44.98 17,283,050 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 880 Sweet Potatoes : 19.94 713,500 Taro (HI) 3/ : 1,950 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 1,964,050 914,440 1,117,650 Lemons : 723,930 737,540 785,620 Oranges : 11,677,280 8,359,710 8,044,910 Tangelos (FL) : 40,820 63,500 57,150 Tangerines : 378,300 300,280 391,900 Temples (FL) : 57,150 26,310 29,030 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,735,780 4,474,640 Apricots : 91,740 74,070 40,370 Bananas (HI) : 7,480 9,480 Grapes : 5,660,860 7,102,080 Olives (CA) : 97,520 128,820 Papayas (HI) : 16,240 14,920 Peaches : 1,185,790 1,074,610 960,070 Pears : 796,740 748,720 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 44,450 81,650 131,540 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 22,680 8,260 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) (shelled) : 455,860 415,040 476,270 Hazelnuts (OR) : 34,020 25,040 Pecans : 84,280 127,100 Walnuts (CA) : 294,840 322,050 Maple Syrup : 7,530 6,210 7,240 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2/ Production years are 2003-04, 2004-05, and 2005-06. June Weather Summary In the Northwest, early-month showers yielded to hot, dry conditions, promoting winter wheat maturation and summer crop development. Farther south, several large wildfires flared across California, the Great Basin, and the Southwest, followed by the late-month arrival of the Southwestern monsoon (summer rainy season). Meanwhile on the Plains, near-normal rainfall across western Montana and central and western portions of Nebraska and Kansas contrasted with unfavorably dry conditions elsewhere. As a result, the Plains' winter wheat harvest rapidly advanced, but pasture and crop conditions generally declined. Farther east, below-normal rainfall across the central and western Corn Belt contrasted with wet conditions in parts of the Ohio Valley and the lower Great Lakes States. Diminishing soil moisture reserves in the western Corn Belt were a concern with respect to corn and soybeans entering the reproductive stage of development. Elsewhere, sporadic heavy rainfall in the western Gulf Coast region contrasted with extremely dry conditions and significant crop stress elsewhere across the South as far east as Alabama and western Florida. In stark contrast, flooding rains in the Mid-Atlantic States were part of an overall wet pattern along the East Coast that included the June 13 landfall of Tropical Storm Alberto in Taylor County, Florida. Above-normal June temperatures across the western half of the Nation contrasted with near- to slightly below-normal readings from the Mississippi Valley eastward. Monthly temperatures averaged at least 5 degrees F above normal at several locations across California, the Great Basin, the High Plains, and the Southwest. June Agricultural Summary Temperatures averaged above normal across the western half of the Nation, exceeding normal temperatures by over 4 degrees Fahrenheit across much of the High Plains, Southwest, and Great Basin. Meanwhile, near-normal temperatures prevailed across the Corn Belt, Mississippi Delta, and Southeast, but temperatures were below normal in the Ohio River Valley. Heavy rainfall boosted soil moisture levels along the Atlantic Coast and western Gulf Coast, while moderate precipitation in the Corn Belt maintained adequate moisture for growing crops. The Great Plains remained mostly dry, with the exception of showers in the central portion of the region, causing further depletion of soil moisture. Mostly dry conditions also prevailed across the Mississippi Delta, Rocky Mountains, Southwest, and Pacific Coast. Corn emergence continued to progress ahead of normal due to the rapid planting pace. On June 11, ninety-eight percent of the acreage had emerged, the same as last year but 3 percentage points ahead of normal. Meanwhile, silking advanced at the normal pace, reaching 10 percent on July 2, the same as last year and the 5-year average. Over two-thirds of the acreage was at or beyond the silk stage in North Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas, while silking had not yet begun in the northern Corn Belt, northern Great Plains, and most of the Ohio River Valley. Sorghum seeding progressed rapidly, advancing ahead of the normal pace. By June 25, growers had planted 95 percent of their acreage, 5 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of the 5-year average. Planting was complete in the Mississippi Delta, Missouri, Nebraska, and South Dakota and was ahead of normal in all States, except Colorado. Heading also progressed ahead of normal, reaching 22 percent by month's end, compared with 16 percent last year and 18 percent for the normal. Though heading trailed slightly behind normal in Kansas, the largest-producing State, the crop was well ahead of normal in Texas and the Mississippi Delta. The Nation's oat crop was heading at a near-normal pace at the beginning of June but progressed rapidly during the month. By July 2, heading was underway on 89 percent of the acreage, 7 points ahead of last year and 13 points ahead of normal. The crop developed ahead of normal in all States, leading the normal heading pace by 25 points or more in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. The barley crop progressed ahead of normal during the month. On June 11, ninety-eight percent of the acreage had emerged, 2 points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Heading, meanwhile, began slightly behind normal but progressed rapidly after mid-month. At month's end, heading was underway on 58 percent of the acreage, compared with 44 percent last year and 43 percent for the 5-year average. Progress was well ahead of normal in the northern Great Plains and adjacent areas of the Corn Belt, exceeding the normal pace by 35 points in Minnesota and 31 points in North Dakota. However, progress in the Pacific Northwest was limited by delayed planting, and heading trailed 15 points behind normal in Idaho and 24 points behind normal in Washington. With warm, dry weather on the Great Plains, the winter wheat crop continued to progress ahead of normal. Heading reached 95 percent by June 11, three points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of normal. At that time, harvest was 21 percent complete, compared with 9 percent last year and 11 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest continued to advance ahead of the normal pace through month's end, reaching 65 percent complete by July 2, nine points ahead of last year and 10 points ahead of normal. Condition of the crop, already depressed by hot, dry weather on the Plains in previous months, improved slightly with rainfall in the central Great Plains. On June 25, forty-six percent of the crop was rated in poor to very poor condition, compared with 17 percent last year. Spring wheat heading, like the other small grains, progressed ahead of normal. By month's end, 72 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the heading stage, 19 points ahead of last year and 26 points ahead of normal. Progress was well ahead of normal in Minnesota and North Dakota but trailed behind the 5-year average pace in the Pacific Northwest, where wet conditions early in the season delayed planting. The Nation's rice crop progressed behind normal, due to delayed planting in California. On June 18, ninety-five percent of the acreage had emerged, 2 points behind last year and 3 points behind normal. Though emergence was complete, at or ahead of the normal pace, in the Mississippi Delta and Texas, California's crop, at just 65 percent headed, was over 2 weeks behind normal. Meanwhile, heading also slipped behind normal. At month's end, heading was underway on 10 percent of the acreage, compared with 11 percent for the 5-year average. Heading was most advanced in Texas, at 60 percent, followed by Louisiana, at 34 percent. Elsewhere, heading was limited to less than 10 percent and had not yet begun in California. Soybean planting and emergence continued to advanced ahead of normal. By June 18, growers had seeded 97 percent of their acreage, 1 point ahead of last year's rapid pace and 3 points ahead of normal. Planting was complete in Iowa, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Ohio, and was ahead of the normal pace in all States, except North Carolina. A week later, emergence had also advanced to 97 percent, compared with 96 percent last year and 92 percent for the 5-year average. Emergence was nearly complete in most States and was ahead of normal in all States, except Indiana. Meanwhile, 18 percent of the crop was at or beyond the blooming stage by month's end, 1 point behind last year but 5 points ahead of normal. Blooming was most advanced in the Delta, where 70 percent of Louisiana's crop and 88 percent of Mississippi's crop had entered the stage. Sunflower growers planted their crop ahead of normal during the month. Planting reached 97 percent complete on June 25, compared with 92 percent last year and 95 percent for the 5-year average. Planting was nearly complete in the northern Great Plains and was at or ahead of the normal pace in all States. Peanut planting and development continued to progress behind normal. On June 11, 95 percent of the acreage had been sown, 1 point behind last year and 2 points behind normal. Planting was complete in North Carolina, slightly ahead of normal, but trailed behind normal across the rest of the Atlantic Coast States. On July 2, thirty-three percent of the acreage was pegging or beyond, 2 points ahead of last year but 5 points behind normal. The crop developed ahead of normal in the southern Great Plains and South Carolina, but trailed behind normal elsewhere, by over a week in Alabama and Florida. Cotton producers had seeded 97 percent of their acreage by June 11, compared with 93 percent for last year and the 5-year average. Planting progressed ahead of normal in most States, trailing behind normal only in Georgia and Kansas. Meanwhile, squaring began the month slightly behind normal but progressed well during the month, reaching 63 percent by July 2, nine points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. At that time, 18 percent of the crop was setting bolls, 6 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. Though behind normal in most States, the crop was setting bolls ahead of normal in Texas and the Mississippi Delta. Oats: Production is forecast at 110 million bushels, 4 percent below last year's 115 million bushels. If realized, this would be the lowest production on record. The U.S. yield is forecast at 57.9 bushels per acre, down 5.1 bushels from 2005. Growers expect to harvest 1.91 million acres for grain, up 5 percent from last year. The crop developed at or ahead of normal in all major oat-producing States. As of July 2, eighty-nine percent of the oat acreage was heading or beyond, 7 percentage points ahead of last year and 13 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Heading of the crop in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin was about 25 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Compared with 2005, lower yields are forecast across the Great Plains. The largest decrease in yield from 2005 is expected in Nebraska, where the yield is forecast at 47.0 bushels per acre, down 26.0 bushels from last year due to very dry conditions. As of July 2, forty-five percent of the oat crop in Nebraska was rated as poor to very poor, which is a considerably higher percentage than last year and similar to the drought conditions of 2002. If realized, the production forecast for Montana, at 1.38 million bushels, would be the lowest on record. In Texas, recent drought conditions have resulted in a yield forecast of 30.0 bushels per acre, which would be the lowest yield since 1975. Meanwhile, oat yields are expected to increase from last year in California and Oregon, and from the northern Corn Belt through the Great Lakes States to New York. Barley: Production for 2006 is forecast at 190 million bushels, 10 percent below 2005 and the lowest production since 1936. Based on conditions as of July 1, the average yield is forecast at 63.4 bushels per acre, down 1.4 bushels from last year. Area for harvest, at 2.99 million acres, is down 9 percent from 2005 and the lowest since 1885. Production and area harvested are expected to be down in all of last year's top seven producing States. North Dakota's forecasted production, at 48.5 million tons, is 15 percent below last year and the lowest since 1988. In Idaho and Montana, expected production is down 14 and 10 percent, respectively. Persistent wet weather in the Pacific Northwest hindered planting early in the season, while planting progressed ahead of normal in the upper Midwest after a slow start. Emergence and heading progressed well ahead of normal in North Dakota and Minnesota, but trailed behind in Idaho and Washington due to the planting delays. On July 2, sixty-seven percent of the crop was rated as in good or excellent condition, compared with 81 percent last year. Winter Wheat: Production is forecast at 1.28 billion bushels. This is up 1 percent from last month but down 15 percent from 2005. The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.1 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushel from last month. Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 31.1 million, down 8 percent from 2005 but unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2006. Harvest progress, in the 18 major producing States, was 65 percent complete by July 2. This was 9 percentage points ahead of last year and 10 points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest progress was ahead of normal in all Hard Red Winter States, except Montana, due to drought conditions across much of the Great Plains region which accelerated crop development and maturation. In Oklahoma, late developing wheat in the major-producing areas was helped by rainfall during June. Crop development in Montana continued at a rapid pace due to hot weather during the latter part of the month. Yield forecasts are equal to or higher than the previous month in all States in the Soft Red Winter (SRW) growing area except Georgia and New York. Harvest is nearly complete in the southern portion of the growing area and revealed that dry spring weather did not affect yields as much as previously thought. Elsewhere, harvest is behind normal in several States in the northern portion of the growing area. In Ohio, lodging was reported in some wheat fields in the northern part of the State due to strong storms that occurred the third week of June. Growers in Illinois are expecting better yields than previously thought due to a continuation of ideal growing conditions during June. Record high yields are expected in Illinois, Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas, and Mississippi. White wheat yield forecasts in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) are at or below the previous month. In Idaho, yields are down due to a lack of timely rains during June. Growers in Oregon applied fungicides to wheat fields and are not expecting widespread harvesting to begin for another few weeks. Warm temperatures during the latter part of June accelerated crop development across the PNW. Durum Wheat: Production is forecast at 60.4 million bushels, down 40 percent from 2005. The U.S. yield is forecast at 33.1 bushels per acre, 4.1 bushels less than last year. Area for 2006 grain harvest is expected to total 1.82 million acres, down 33 percent from last year. If realized this will be the lowest harvested area since 1961 and the lowest production since 1988. Harvest is nearly complete in California with the cool growing season allowing for good grain fill, while the Arizona harvest was 71 percent complete by July 2. Seeding in Montana began at a normal pace but fell behind due to precipitation during the latter part of April. However, planting progressed ahead of normal by mid-May as drier weather was favorable for seeding. In North Dakota, seeding began behind the normal pace but advanced ahead of normal by mid-May. Growers in both States finished seeding the crop ahead of the average pace. Yield prospects and crop condition ratings are down from the previous year in Montana and North Dakota. Crop development is well ahead of normal in Montana and North Dakota mostly due to hot and dry weather during the latter part of June. Other Spring Wheat: Production is forecast at 465 million bushels, down 8 percent from 2005. The U.S. yield is forecast at 32.9 bushels per acre, 4.2 bushels less than last year. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 14.2 million acres, up 4 percent from last year. By July 2, seventy-two percent of the crop was at or beyond the heading stage in the six major producing States. This was 19 percentage points ahead of last year and 26 points ahead of the 5-year average. Planting in Montana, Minnesota, and the Dakotas began behind normal but finished ahead of the normal pace. Yield prospects are down from the previous year in all four States mostly due to hot and dry weather during June. Crop condition ratings are down from the previous year in Montana and the Dakotas but are higher than the previous year in Minnesota. Development of the crop is ahead of normal in all four States. In the Pacific Northwest (PNW), wet weather conditions during the early Spring provided beneficial soil moisture but delayed planting. As a result of the late planting, crop development has lagged behind the normal pace. Lentils: Planted acreage of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at 420,000 acres, down 7 percent from 2005. Harvested acreage is estimated at 402,000, down 8 percent from last year. Montana growers planted 140,000 acres this year, 7 percent less than 2005. Although down from last year, acreage remains high as government Loan Deficiency Payments are still in effect. Planted area in North Dakota is estimated at 150,000 acres, equal to last year's record high planted acres. Planting started in mid-April but was delayed by a late winter storm and wet fields by month's end. Drier conditions prevailed throughout May and planting was nearly completed by the end of the month. North Dakota growers are expecting to harvest 145,000 acres, 1 percent below a year ago. Washington growers planted 75,000 acres of lentils, down 12 percent from 2005. Excessive moisture slowed planting to a below normal pace. Prices remained near last year's level, but lower when compared to the 2003 and 2004 crops, which have contributed to the acreage decrease. Growers plan to harvest 74,000 acres, down 12 percent from a year ago. Growers in Idaho planted 55,000 acres to lentils, 15 percent below the 2005 season. Lower prices have led to the acreage decline as farmers have switched to other crops. Growers plan to harvest 53,000 acres, down 16 percent from last year. Dry Edible Peas: Planted acreage of dry edible peas is estimated at 895,000 acres, up 11 percent from the 2005 estimate. Area for harvest, at 856,600 acres, is 12 percent above a year ago. Area planted in North Dakota, at 580,000 acres, is 7 percent above a year ago. This is 40,000 acres above the previous record high set last year. Planting started in mid-April but was delayed due to a late winter storm and wet fields at month's end. Dry conditions during May enabled farmers to plant at a normal pace. Montana dry edible pea growers planted 190,000 acres, up 41 percent from a year ago. More growers are using dry peas for green manure, high quality forage and hay, or as a seed crop. This combined with government Loan Deficiency Payments has contributed to the increased planted acreage. Growers plan to harvest 175,000 of these acres, 43 percent above a year ago. Washington farmers planted dry edible peas on 70,000 acres, down 12 percent from 2005. Excessive moisture and storms delayed planting, and increased plantings of garbanzo beans have lowered the overall area planted in dry edible peas. Growers plan to harvest 69,000 acres, down 12 percent from last year. Idaho dry edible pea growers planted 45,000 acres in 2005, down 6 percent from last year. Idaho growers plan to harvest 43,000 acres, down 7 percent from the previous year. Oregon growers planted 10,000 acres of dry edible peas which is twice the amount planted a year ago. Harvested acreage, at 9,600 acres, is up 96 percent from 2005. Austrian Winter Peas: Planted acreage of Austrian winter peas for Idaho, Montana, and Oregon is forecast at 41,000 acres, down 4 percent from 2005. Area harvested is forecast at 24,500 acres, the same as a year ago. Montana growers planted 28,000 acres, up 12 percent from 2005. In the past few years, Montana's Austrian winter peas have been harvested more for feed rather than being grazed. Growers expect to harvest 15,000 acres, up 15 percent from 2005. Planted area in Idaho totaled 8,000 acres, down 20 percent from a year ago. Lower prices have shifted planting to other crops, including chick peas, which are expected to increase this season. Harvested area, at 7,000 acres, is down 12 percent from 2005. Austrian winter pea area in Oregon is estimated at 5,000 acres, down 33 percent from last year. Harvested area, at 2,500 acres, is down 1,000 from 2005. Lower crop prices and higher seed costs have contributed to the acreage decrease. Tobacco: U.S. all flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 474 million pounds, up 24 percent from the 2005 crop but 9 percent below 2004 when tobacco quotas were still in place. Area harvested at 210,100 acres, is 20 percent above a year ago but down 8 percent from 2004. Yield per acre for flue-cured tobacco is forecast at 2,256 pounds, up 74 pounds from last year but 27 pounds below the 2004 yield. Forecasted yields for flue-cured tobacco in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina increased from last year, while average yield is expected to decrease in Virginia. North Carolina's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 339 million pounds, up 24 percent from the 2005 crop. Area harvested, at 150,000 acres, is 22 percent above last year. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,260 pounds, up 33 pounds from 2005. The weather started off dry this season but moisture is now rated adequate to surplus with rain coming from the tropical storm. At this time, 65 percent of the crop is rated good to excellent which is higher than this time last year. Flue-cured tobacco in South Carolina is forecast at 49.5 million pounds, up 18 percent from the 2005 crop. Area harvested, at 22,000 acres, is up 10 percent from a year ago. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,250 pounds, 150 pounds above last year. Although precipitation is below normal for this year, recent storms have provided ample rain for crops in the State's primary tobacco producing region. The majority of the crop is currently rated fair to good. Flue-cured tobacco production in Virginia is forecast at 44.7 million pounds, up 32 percent from the 2005 crop. Area harvested, at 19,000 acres, is 36 percent above a year ago. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,350 pounds, 60 pounds below last year. Cool, dry weather in June slowed crop development. However, July rains left producers optimistic for a good crop. The majority of the crop is in good to excellent condition. Georgia's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 37.8 million pounds, up 36 percent from the 2005 crop. Area harvested, at 18,000 acres, is 13 percent above 2005. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,100 pounds, up 365 pounds from last season's disease affected crop. All but southeast Georgia continues to suffer from drought like conditions with warm temperatures taking a toll on crops. Tomato Spotted Wilt Virus is not as big of a threat this year compared to 2005 when it reduced tobacco yields and quality. Florida's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 2.97 million pounds, down 46 percent from last year's crop. Area harvested, at 1,100 acres, is 56 percent below 2005. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,700 pounds, up 500 pounds from the 2005 crop when farmers in Florida experienced problems with disease. Florida growers continue to exit the tobacco industry and production is dwindling. Problems with Tomato Spotted Wilt Virus have been reported on about a quarter of the crop. All Potatoes: Potato growers across the United States have planted an estimated 1.14 million acres of potatoes in all four seasons this year, up 3 percent from last year but 5 percent below 2004. Area for harvest, forecasted at 1.12 million acres, is also up 3 percent from a year ago but is 4 percent below 2 years ago. Fall potato planted acreage is up 2 percent from the 2005 crop year. The summer potato production forecast is up 7 percent from last season. Winter and spring production forecasts are being carried forward from earlier estimates. Winter production is down 6 percent but spring production is up 10 percent from last year. Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes for 2006 is estimated at 990,500 acres, up 2 percent from last year but 5 percent below 2004. Harvested acres are forecast at 974,400, up 3 percent from 2005 but 5 percent below 2 years ago. This increase is due in part to low ending stocks and higher prices. Western States potato area is estimated at 610,700 acres planted this year, up 1 percent from last year but 5 percent below 2004. Crop condition in the western States is mostly good to excellent. Idaho growers increased their planted acreage 2 percent from last year. The crop progress in Idaho is ahead of the 5-year average. Washington producers planted 1 percent more than a year ago. Colorado growers increased acreage 3 percent this year. California's fall potato acres are up 8 percent, Nevada's acres increased 18 percent, and New Mexico growers planted 6 percent more acres. Planted acres in Oregon dropped 6 percent and Montana producers decreased acreage 5 percent. Central States planted an estimated 285,800 acres of fall potatoes this year, up 5 percent from last year but 2 percent below two years ago. Planting progressed normally in most central States with the crop in good condition. North Dakota's planted acreage increased 9 percent. Plant development is ahead of average due in part to favorable temperatures. Planted acres increased 13 percent in Minnesota from a year ago. Michigan and Nebraska growers planted the same amount of acres as last year. Wisconsin producers decreased acres 1 percent from last year and Ohio's planted acres are down 11 percent. Eastern States growers have planted an estimated 94,000 acres of fall potatoes this year, up 2 percent from last year but 5 percent below the 2004 acreage. Maine's planted acreage is estimated at 59,000 acres, up 3 percent from last year. Growers in Massachusetts planted 16 percent more acres than 2005, while acreage in Pennsylvania decreased 4 percent. New York planted area is up less than 1 percent, while Rhode Island's planted acreage is unchanged from 2005. In the New England States, warm dry weather early in the season allowed most of the crop to be planted before heavy rains arrived in mid May. The rest of the crop was planted late May to early June. Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 18.7 million cwt, a 7 percent increase from a year ago. Harvest is expected from 56,800 acres, 11 percent above last. Average yield is forecast at 330 cwt per acre, down 12 cwt from 2005. Nine of the 11 summer potato States expect larger crops than they had last year but the potato crops in 2 States are smaller. Virginia's production is expected to be up 32 percent from last year, followed by Alabama with an increase of 31 percent. Kansas' summer potato crop forecast is up 28 percent, while New Jersey expects a 15 percent increase and Maryland growers expect production to be 9 percent above 2005. California producers are expecting production to be up 6 percent, while Texas is expecting production to be 5 percent above last year, and growers in Illinois and Missouri expect 3 percent and 2 percent increases, respectively. A smaller potato crop is expected in Colorado and Delaware, with a 13 percent and 11 percent decrease, respectively. Continued drought conditions in Texas have forced growers to increase irrigation use this year but crop conditions are good and harvest is underway. In California, harvest will be delayed because wet conditions interupted planting. In Missouri, harvest is underway with yield expected to be the lowest since 2003. Colorado potato beetles and potato leafhoppers have been observed in Illinois and fields are being treated as needed. In Colorado, the crop continues to develop on schedule and is in good to excellent condition. Adequate irrigation water is expected for all planted fields. Crop conditions in Virginia are good and average yield is expected to be up from 2005. Crop conditions in Delaware and Maryland have decreased due to recent heavy rains. Fields are saturated and some were under water for several days. The extent of the damage is uncertain at this time but yields are expected to be down. Crop condition for New Jersey potatoes is good to excellent. In Alabama, ground conditions are dry due to insufficient rain since May but growers are still expecting an average yield. Peaches: The July 2006 forecast of U.S. peach production is 1.06 million tons, down 11 percent from 2005 and 19 percent below the 2004 crop. Half of the 28 Freestone peach estimating States expect increases in production from last year, while 12 States decreased their production from the previous season, and 2 States showed no change. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 380,000 tons, equal to the June 1 forecast but 21 percent below the 2005 crop. Rain during March and April along with below average temperatures have California growers concerned about their 2006 Clingstone peach crop. Warmer temperatures toward the latter part of April helped fruit growth. Early variety peaches reportedly have the best fruit set, while the late and extra late varieties appear to have lighter sets. Harvest began in the Kingsburg area on June 22, eleven days later than last year. Harvest is expected to begin in Yuba and Sutter Counties around July 15. Fruit sizes are reported to be excellent but quality is expected to be less than average due to gum and split pits. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 380,000 tons, equal to the June 1 forecast but 1 percent below the 2005 crop. Wet, cool weather during the spring has delayed progression of California's crop. Fruit set in the early varieties was reported to be normal. However, set in the mid to late season varieties was reported to be lighter and inconsistent. This lower set is likely the result of frost which occurred earlier in the season. The primary varieties harvested to date include Zee Diamond, April Snow, Sweet Scarlett, May Snow, Brittney Lane, Crimson Lady, Spring Snow, Spring Flame, and Crown Princess. The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 60,000 tons, equal to the June 1 forecast but 20 percent below 2005. A late frost and freeze occurred during bloom and early fruit development. Widely scattered hailstorms also caused extensive damage to some producers' peaches. Other growers are reporting a good peach crop. Tropical storm Alberto provided ample precipitation for most of the State during the middle of June. Additional thunderstorms continued to provide moisture later in June aiding in fruit development and size. Georgia's peach crop is forecast at 42,000 tons, down 16 percent from the June 1 forecast but up 5 percent from 2005. Hot, dry weather during June reduced Georgia's peach crop. Smaller fruit size has reduced production from last month's expectations. However, because of the dry conditions, quality has been good to excellent with peaches tasting extra sweet. Isolated hail damage has hurt some orchards and additional freeze damage began to show up on a few varieties. In New Jersey, production is forecast at 35,000 tons, equal to 2005 production but 8 percent above 2004. Fruit set is rated good to excellent. However, thunder storms caused some fruit loss around the State. Peaches are sizing well and prospects are currently good. Pennsylvania's production is forecast at 29,500 tons, up 11 percent from 2005 and 28 percent above 2004. Most growers report a good to excellent peach crop. In Washington, production is forecast at 21,500 tons, up 3 percent from last season but equal to 2004 production. Expectations are Washington's peach crop will be similar in size to last year's crop. Overall, spring conditions have been favorable. Michigan's peach crop is forecast at 13,500 tons, down 4 percent from 2005 and 28 percent below 2004. A late April cold snap damaged some orchards, especially in the southwest region. However, the crop seemed to recover nicely. By early June, peaches were nearing 2 inches in size and thinning was underway. Fewer bearing acres contribute to the decline in potential peach production. Peach production in Illinois and Missouri is up 3 percent and 16 percent, respectively. Production is down in both Alabama and Texas by 42 percent and 63 percent, respectively. Drought conditions in these 2 States have contributed to reduced production. The Louisiana crop is 23 percent below last year's production. Unseasonably warm weather in February induced an early bloom followed by freezing May temperatures which destroyed many blooms. The North Carolina crop is equal to last year, at 6,000 tons, while Tennessee's production slipped 300 tons to 1,700 tons. Kentucky, at 850 tons, showed a 100 ton increase from 2005. Colorado's production, at 11,000 tons, is down 8 percent from last season and 15 percent below 2 season's ago. Delta County growers experienced a heavy freeze which reduced the potential crop to approximately half of normal. This frost did not have the same effect in the growing area around Pallisade, in Mesa County, where most of the State's peaches are grown. Pallisade growers were able to prune most of the frost damage off the trees making prospects in this area close to normal. Utah's production is up 6 percent from a year ago but equal to 2004 production. Good weather and little freeze damage have provided normal conditions. The Arkansas crop is forecast at 5,400 tons, up 9 percent from a year ago. Due to dry weather, some larger growers reported irrigating their peach trees. Oklahoma and Oregon's peach crops are both down from a year ago. West Virginia's production is up 9 percent from a year ago but equal to the 2004 crop. The Maryland crop decreased 10 percent from a year ago to a forecasted 3,800 tons. New York and Ohio production is up from last season by 41 percent and 71 percent, respectively. However, these large increases are reflective of last season's below average production in both States. The Connecticut and Massachuset's crops are up 36 percent and 30 percent, respectively. Warm temperatures in April promoted good bloom and pollinating conditions in both States. California Grapes: California's all grape production is forecast at 6.00 million tons, down 14 percent from last year's large crop. Wine type grapes account for 53 percent of California's total production, raisin type grapes account for 34 percent, while the remaining 13 percent are table type grapes. Wine type grape production is forecast at 3.20 million tons, down 16 percent from the 2005 crop. Vineyards were affected by a variety of weather conditions early this season. The winter months were unseasonably warm and wet. In the spring came unseasonably cool temperatures and additional rain which brought vine growth and development to a standstill. Warmer recent temperatures have allowed vines to rapidly catch up. Still, bunch counts are expected to be down this year. Raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.05 million tons, down 11 percent from last year. Harvest of the Thompson Seedless in the Coachella Valley for fresh market was a couple of weeks late this year due to mild winter temperatures that affected crop development. However, warm weather this past month has been good for the raisin crop. This year there are fewer bunches on the vines, although, they are larger in size. Table type grape production is expected to be 750,000 tons, down 13 percent from last year. Harvest of Flame Seedless in the Coachella Valley was also a couple of weeks behind. However, warm temperatures throughout California during late May and June allowed vines to rapidly catch up after falling behind due to unseasonably cool spring temperatures and rain. Apricots: The final forecast for the 2006 apricot crop is 44,500 tons, down 45 percent from last season's production and 56 percent below 2004. California's 2006 apricot production is forecast at 39,000 tons, 5 percent above the June forecast but 48 percent below last year's production. If realized, this will be the lowest production on record. California's production represents 88 percent of the 2006 U.S. apricot crop. Freezing temperatures during mid-February adversely affected early blooming orchards. These early blooming orchards were caused by unseasonably warm winter temperatures. The weak and staggered bloom, mostly caused by the mild winter temperatures, was further adversely impacted by rain and hail storms. However, fruit size is exceptional on this small crop. Harvest began about one week later than normal and is expected to be finished by mid-July. Washington's production, at 5,200 tons, is down 12 percent from last year and 24 percent below 2004. Early spring frosts and hail combined to reduce prospects for Washington's apricot crop. The 2006 Utah crop, at 300 tons, is up 20 percent from 2005 but 9 percent below 2004. Favorable growing conditions contributed to the upturn in this year's production. Almonds: The 2006 California almond crop is forecast at 1.05 billion pounds, shelled basis, up 3 percent from the May 1 forecast and 15 percent above the 2005 crop. The current forecast is based on the objective measurement survey conducted in California almond orchards between May 31 and June 23, 2006. This year's objective measurement survey shows the average nut set per tree up 23 percent from 2005 for all varieties; however, the average kernel weight is 12 percent below last year. Kernel length, width, and thickness are all down from last year. Nut set for 2006, although higher than 2005, is still below the 5-year average. An early bloom, frost damage on some varieties, minor hail damage, and cool, wet conditions throughout the spring combined to adversely affect nut set. The Nonpareil variety shows a strong set, as do the Butte and Padre varieties. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 1.92 million pounds for June, down 2 percent from last month and 26 percent lower than a year ago. Area in crop totaled 1,745 acres, down 13 percent from last month and 33 percent below June 2005. Harvested area totaled 1,510 acres, down 13 percent from June and 4 percent lower than the same month last year. Papaya orchards experienced favorable growing conditions in June but growers continued to remove Phytopthora infected trees resulting from wet conditions earlier in the year. New plantings made good progress. Fruit was developing well and harvest was active. Grapefruit: The U.S. grapefruit forecast is 1.23 million tons, up 1 percent from the previous forecast and 22 percent above last season's final utilization. Florida's grapefruit forecast, at 19.3 million boxes (820,000 tons), is unchanged from June and 51 percent above last season's final utilization. Excluding last season's hurricane-affected crop, Florida utilized grapefruit production has not been this low since the 1941-42 season. The white grapefruit forecast is 6.50 million boxes (276,000 tons), unchanged from June but 91 percent above last season. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 12.8 million boxes (544,000 tons), is unchanged from June but 36 percent above last season's final utilization. The California grapefruit forecast, at 6.00 million boxes (201,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 3 percent higher than the previous season's final utilization. Harvest of Star Ruby variety grapefruit was active in Riverside County. Overall good fruit quality with smooth texture is reported but fruit sizes are small. The July 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is 5.20 million boxes (208,000 tons), up 8 percent from the April 1 forecast but down 21 percent from the previous season. Arizona's forecast, at 100,000 boxes (3,000 tons), is unchanged from April but 29 percent below last season's utilized production. Tangerines: The 2005-06 U.S. tangerine crop forecast is 432,000 tons, unchanged from the previous forecast but 31 percent higher than last season's final utilization of 331,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop, at 5.50 million boxes (261,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 24 percent higher than last season's utilization of 4.45 million boxes. Harvest of all tangerine varieties is complete. California's tangerine forecast is 4.00 million boxes (150,000 tons), unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 43 percent above last season. Arizona's forecast, at 550,000 boxes (21,000 tons), is unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 38 percent above last season. Lemons: The forecast for the 2005-06 U.S. lemon crop, at 866,000 tons, is unchanged from the April 1 forecast but up 7 percent from last season. California production is forecast at 19.0 million boxes (722,000 tons), unchanged from both the previous forecast and the 2004-05 season. Harvest continues in the southern coastal region while it is complete in the other growing areas. Good fruit quality is reported. Arizona's 2005-06 lemon forecast, at 3.80 million boxes (144,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 58 percent above the previous season. Arizona's lemon harvest is complete. Temples: Florida's Temple forecast is 700,000 boxes (32,000 tons) for the 2005-06 season, unchanged from June but 8 percent above last season's final utilization of 650,000 boxes. This is the second lowest utilization since Temple forecasts began with the 1951-52 season. Temple utilization peaked in the 1979-80 season at 6.00 million boxes, and has declined steadily since. Temple harvest is complete for the season. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast, at 1.40 million boxes (63,000 tons), is unchanged from June 1 but 10 percent lower than last season's final utilized production. Tangelo utilization is complete for the season with over 60 percent of the fruit being processed. Florida Citrus: Citrus producing counties, other than those in the extreme northern citrus belt, recorded less than average precipitation for the month, with rainfall confined to a few days. Overall temperatures were above average, with several days of temperatures recorded in the mid 90's in all areas. Trees completed the flush stage and limbs were beginning to harden by month's end. Groves that were irrigated early in the season are in fair to good condition. Next season's orange crop fruit are about golf ball size, and grapefruit are closer to baseball size. Harvests for all varieties of citrus, except the later variety Valencia oranges, were completed in June. Due to continued lagging maturity levels, Valencia oranges continued to be picked heavily into June with almost two million boxes picked the final week. Some processing plants are beginning to close but a few will remain open until at least mid-July. Many pickers are now transitioning to other crops, as the citrus season is normally over by this time of year, and scarcity of labor was reported as an issue throughout the month. Grove activities included applications of nutritional sprays, copper sprays to control canker, cleaning ditches, fertilizer application, and mowing. Arizona Citrus: Harvest is complete for all Arizona citrus varieties. Compared to last season, there was little insect damage reported but fruit sizes were generally small. Fruit quality was generally good. Texas Citrus: Harvest is complete for all citrus fruit. Rainfall during June was scattered with only some areas receiving measurable precipitation. Conditions in the Rio Grande Valley continue to be classified as "exceptional drought" by the National Drought Monitor. Water levels in reservoirs have continued to drop as irrigation has been the only source of moisuture over the past year. On May 15th the Valley received the first significant rainfall in 8 months. Temperatures in June averaged in the mid 90's. California Citrus: Navel and Valencia orange harvests continued during June. A few packers continued to pack navel oranges but harvest is nearly complete. The Valencia harvest remained steady throughout the month. Valencia growers were concerned with fruit drop and lack of demand. Grapefruit and lemon harvests continued. Lemon fruit quality was reported as good with weekly harvest volumes increasing. Spraying to control scale was underway in citrus groves, and the new citrus crops were developing well due to mild weather conditions. Hand and mechanical pruning in citrus groves was in progress. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Harvest of California stone fruits continued during June. Varieties harvested included Brittany Lane, Crimson Lady, Spring Snow, Spring Flame, Crown Princess, Zee Diamond, April Snow, Sweet Scarlett, and May Snow peaches; Red Beaut, Early Queen, Black Splendor, and Santa Rosa plums; May Glo, June Pearl, Red Roy, and Diamond Bright nectarines; as well as Poppycot, Poppy, Golden Sweet, Diamond Cot, and Castlebrite apricots. The volume of stone fruit that was picked and packed increased in all districts throughout the month. Pomegranates continued to flourish and bloom. Grape growers continued normal activities including cultivation, furrowing, irrigation, and applications of pesticides. Field crews removed suckers, pulled leaves, and trained canes onto trellises. Perlette, Black Beauty, and Flame Seedless variety table grapes were harvested in the Coachella Valley with very good demand reported. Cherry harvest was complete in southern areas of the San Joaquin Valley but was at its peak in more northern locations. Bing, Tulare, and Rainer variety cherries were harvested. Blueberry, blackberry, boysenberry, and strawberry harvests continued throughout the State. By month's end, strawberry harvest approached completion in the San Joaquin Valley but continued strong in the coastal region. Olive bloom was nearly finished with some reports of light fruit sets in the San Joaquin Valley. The almond, pistachio, and walnut crops were developing normally. Cultural activities in nut orchards included irrigation and spraying to control weeds, insects, and mildew. Reliability of July 1 Crop Production Forecasts Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between June 22 and July 6 to gather information on expected yield as of July 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in 10 States that accounted for 71 percent of the 2005 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal interviewers. Approximately 10,400 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about the probable yield on their operation. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the July 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which accounts for nearly 75 percent of the U.S. production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at the start of the season based on a fruit tree census conducted every other year, combined with ongoing review based on administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per tree is determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted, which combined with the previous components, are used to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 1.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.1 percent. Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 22 million bushels, ranging from 1 million to 65 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This does not imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 orange production forecast is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.0 percent. Differences between the July 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 98,000 tons, ranging from 18,000 tons to 370,000 tons. The July 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 6 times and above 14 times. The difference does not imply that the July 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Greg Thessen, Acting Chief(202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head(202) 720-2127 Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings(202) 720-5944 Scott Cox - Wheat, Rye(202) 720-8068 Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed(202) 720-9526 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice(202) 720-7688 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds(202) 720-7369 Travis Thorson - Hay, Oats, Sorghum(202) 690-3234 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head(202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco(202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries(202) 720-2157 Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits(202) 720-5412 Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops(360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes(202) 720-4285 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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