Cr Pr 2-2 (12-06) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released December 11, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. All Cotton Production Virtually Unchanged from Last Month All Orange Production Up 3 Percent from October All Cotton production is forecast at 21.3 million 480-lb bales, virtually unchanged from the November forecast but down 11 percent from last year's record high production. Yield is expected to average 798 pounds per acre, unchanged from last month but down 33 pounds from last year. Compared with last year, yields are down in all States except Arizona, Arkansas, California, Tennessee, and Louisiana with growers in Arkansas and Tennessee expecting a record high production. The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2006-07 season is 8.12 million tons, up 3 percent from the October forecast but down 9 percent from last season's final utilization of 8.90 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast, at 140 million boxes (6.30 million tons), is up 4 percent from the previous forecast but down 5 percent from the 2005-06 hurricane-reduced crop. This forecast is 43 percent lower than Florida's record high utilization for the 1997-98 season of 244 million boxes. Early, midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 75.0 million boxes (3.38 million tons), up 4 percent from the previous forecast but unchanged from last season's final utilization. Beginning with the current season, Temple oranges are included in this category. Florida's Valencia forecast is 65.0 million boxes (2.93 million tons), up 3 percent from the October forecast but down 11 percent from last season's final utilization. Average fruit sizes have increased and less fruit drop is now expected for all categories of oranges surveyed. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward from October. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2006-07 season is forecast at 1.58 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This is unchanged from the previous forecast but down from the 2005-06 season's yield of 1.63 gallons, as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. Projected yield from the 2006-07 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons. This report was approved on December 11, 2006. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Conner Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Cumulative Boll Counts. . .24 Cottonseed. . . . . . . . . . 5 Sugarcane . . . . . . . . . .17 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Dry Edible Beans. . . . . . . 7 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Pecans. . . . . . . . . . . .16 Citrus Fruits Grapefruit. . . . . . . . . . 6 Lemons. . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Tangelos. . . . . . . . . . . 6 Tangerines. . . . . . . . . . 6 Temples . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Coffee. . . . . . . . . . . .17 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . .27 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . .18 Information Contacts . . . . . .33 Reliability of Production Data in this Report31 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . .25 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . .26 Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State, and United States, 2005 and Forecasted December 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :---------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 2006 : : State : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 :-------------------: 2005 : 2006 : : : : Nov 1 : Dec 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 Acres -- -------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 545.0 535.0 747 538 538 848.0 600.0 AZ : 229.0 208.0 1,289 1,338 1,338 615.0 580.0 AR : 1,040.0 1,160.0 1,016 1,076 1,059 2,202.0 2,560.0 CA : 428.0 283.0 1,194 1,306 1,306 1,065.0 770.0 FL : 85.0 104.0 762 646 692 135.0 150.0 GA : 1,210.0 1,330.0 849 668 765 2,140.0 2,120.0 KS : 66.0 110.0 638 611 567 87.7 130.0 LA : 600.0 620.0 878 960 991 1,098.0 1,280.0 MS : 1,200.0 1,210.0 859 893 853 2,147.0 2,150.0 MO : 438.0 500.0 947 989 941 864.0 980.0 NM : 51.0 50.0 1,016 979 864 108.0 90.0 NC : 810.0 865.0 852 771 749 1,437.0 1,350.0 OK : 240.0 220.0 716 458 415 358.0 190.0 SC : 265.0 298.0 743 741 693 410.0 430.0 TN : 635.0 695.0 848 877 905 1,122.0 1,310.0 TX : 5,600.0 4,200.0 723 651 651 8,440.0 5,700.0 VA : 92.0 104.0 955 822 822 183.0 178.0 : US :13,534.0 12,492.0 825 788 790 23,259.7 20,568.0 : Amer-Pima: AZ : 4.1 7.0 820 891 891 7.0 13.0 CA : 229.0 274.0 1,170 1,244 1,156 558.0 660.0 NM : 11.5 13.0 918 775 775 22.0 21.0 TX : 24.0 30.0 870 720 560 43.5 35.0 : US : 268.6 324.0 1,127 1,169 1,080 630.5 729.0 : All : AL : 545.0 535.0 747 538 538 848.0 600.0 AZ : 233.1 215.0 1,281 1,324 1,324 622.0 593.0 AR : 1,040.0 1,160.0 1,016 1,076 1,059 2,202.0 2,560.0 CA : 657.0 557.0 1,186 1,275 1,232 1,623.0 1,430.0 FL : 85.0 104.0 762 646 692 135.0 150.0 GA : 1,210.0 1,330.0 849 668 765 2,140.0 2,120.0 KS : 66.0 110.0 638 611 567 87.7 130.0 LA : 600.0 620.0 878 960 991 1,098.0 1,280.0 MS : 1,200.0 1,210.0 859 893 853 2,147.0 2,150.0 MO : 438.0 500.0 947 989 941 864.0 980.0 NM : 62.5 63.0 998 937 846 130.0 111.0 NC : 810.0 865.0 852 771 749 1,437.0 1,350.0 OK : 240.0 220.0 716 458 415 358.0 190.0 SC : 265.0 298.0 743 741 693 410.0 430.0 TN : 635.0 695.0 848 877 905 1,122.0 1,310.0 TX : 5,624.0 4,230.0 724 652 651 8,483.5 5,735.0 VA : 92.0 104.0 955 822 822 183.0 178.0 : US :13,802.6 12,816.0 831 798 798 23,890.2 21,297.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-lb. net weight bale. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted December 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : US : 8,198.1 8,172.1 7,479.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres ---------------- 1,000 Pounds : Oct : 2,300 2,140 1,415 1,330 2,605 2,220 Nov : 2,300 2,140 1,405 1,325 2,020 2,520 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2004-05, 2005-06 and Forecasted December 1, 2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2006-07 : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2006-07 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 240 250 200 9 9 8 CA 4/ : 44,000 45,500 33,000 1,650 1,706 1,238 FL 5/ : 79,100 75,000 75,000 3,560 3,375 3,375 TX 4/ : 1,500 1,400 1,540 64 60 65 US : 124,840 122,150 109,740 5,283 5,150 4,686 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 190 200 150 7 8 6 CA 4/ : 20,500 12,000 13,000 769 450 488 FL : 70,700 72,900 65,000 3,182 3,281 2,925 TX 4/ : 270 200 240 11 9 10 US : 91,660 85,300 78,390 3,969 3,748 3,429 All : AZ 4/ : 430 450 350 16 17 14 CA 4/ : 64,500 57,500 46,000 2,419 2,156 1,726 FL : 149,800 147,900 140,000 6,742 6,656 6,300 TX 4/ : 1,770 1,600 1,780 75 69 75 US : 216,500 207,450 188,130 9,252 8,898 8,115 Temples 5/ : FL : 650 700 29 32 Grapefruit : White : FL : 3,400 6,500 9,000 145 276 383 Colored : FL : 9,400 12,800 17,000 400 544 723 All : AZ 4/ : 140 100 100 5 3 3 CA 4/ : 6,100 6,000 5,700 204 201 191 FL : 12,800 19,300 26,000 545 820 1,106 TX 4/ : 6,600 5,200 6,700 264 208 268 US : 25,640 30,600 38,500 1,018 1,232 1,568 Tangerines : AZ 4/ 6/ : 400 550 400 15 21 15 CA 4/ 6/ : 2,900 3,600 3,800 109 135 143 FL : 4,450 5,500 4,600 211 261 219 US : 7,750 9,650 8,800 335 417 377 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 2,400 3,800 2,800 91 144 106 CA : 20,500 21,000 19,700 779 798 749 US : 22,900 24,800 22,500 870 942 855 Tangelos : FL : 1,550 1,400 1,100 70 63 50 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90; Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 5/ Temples included in early and midseason orange varieties beginning with 2006-07 season. 6/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CA : 60.0 66.0 67.0 57.0 65.0 65.0 CO : 75.0 90.0 70.0 67.0 80.0 65.0 ID : 80.0 100.0 105.0 78.0 98.0 103.0 KS : 9.0 13.0 11.0 8.5 12.5 10.0 MI : 190.0 235.0 225.0 185.0 230.0 215.0 MN : 115.0 145.0 145.0 100.0 135.0 135.0 MT : 13.0 18.0 19.5 12.7 14.1 18.9 NE : 120.0 175.0 140.0 110.0 172.0 123.0 NM : 6.0 6.3 7.6 6.0 6.3 7.6 NY : 24.0 25.0 19.0 23.5 23.0 18.0 ND : 560.0 620.0 670.0 475.0 565.0 635.0 OR : 8.0 9.0 10.0 7.5 8.8 9.8 SD : 9.0 17.5 21.5 8.9 17.4 18.9 TX : 20.0 17.0 20.0 17.5 15.3 18.0 UT : 5.3 4.5 3.0 4.8 4.5 0.5 WA : 30.0 49.0 60.0 29.0 48.0 55.0 WI : 5.0 5.7 5.6 4.9 5.7 5.5 WY : 25.0 34.0 29.0 24.0 33.0 27.0 : US : 1,354.3 1,630.0 1,628.2 1,219.3 1,533.6 1,530.2 :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ---------- 1,000 Cwt --------- : CA : 2,020 2,130 1,900 1,152 1,385 1,235 CO : 1,550 1,650 1,900 1,039 1,320 1,235 ID : 2,100 1,900 1,850 1,638 1,862 1,906 KS : 1,800 2,200 2,100 153 275 210 MI : 1,700 1,700 1,800 3,145 3,910 3,870 MN : 1,150 1,800 1,650 1,150 2,430 2,228 MT : 2,240 2,000 1,460 285 282 275 NE : 2,160 2,250 2,150 2,376 3,870 2,644 NM : 2,600 2,200 2,530 156 139 192 NY : 1,050 1,230 1,330 247 282 239 ND : 1,000 1,520 1,200 4,750 8,588 7,620 OR : 1,550 2,000 1,940 116 176 190 SD : 1,840 1,730 1,300 164 301 245 TX : 800 1,520 1,450 140 233 261 UT : 300 500 350 14 23 2 WA : 2,100 1,650 1,440 609 792 792 WI : 2,310 2,250 1,910 113 128 105 WY : 2,250 2,350 2,200 541 776 594 : US : 1,459 1,746 1,558 17,788 26,772 23,843 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2/ Clean Basis. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Large Lima - CA : 15.1 15.1 12.9 14.6 15.0 12.5 : Baby Lima - CA : 11.3 16.7 13.5 10.9 16.4 13.0 : Navy : ID : 4.4 5.7 5.2 4.1 5.5 5.1 MI : 55.0 75.5 80.0 54.0 74.5 77.5 MN : 40.0 53.0 62.0 33.0 49.6 56.4 NE : 1.8 4.2 3.1 1.7 3.9 2.7 ND : 81.0 90.0 120.0 67.0 82.0 113.0 OR : 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.8 SD : 1.9 5.5 7.7 1.8 5.4 6.6 WA : 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.6 WY : 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.4 1.0 1.1 : Total : 185.1 236.4 280.9 162.5 223.4 263.8 : Great Northern : ID : 2.6 2.1 2.7 2.6 2.1 2.6 MI : 1.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 1.8 0.5 NE : 44.0 62.0 58.0 40.0 60.9 49.5 ND : 2.5 4.2 7.5 2.3 4.0 6.5 WA : 0.7 0.7 WY : 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.9 1.7 1.4 : Total : 51.1 72.8 70.2 46.8 71.2 60.5 : Small White : ID : 2.1 1.1 1.2 2.1 1.1 1.2 OR : 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 WA : 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 : Total : 2.8 2.2 2.1 2.8 2.2 2.1 : Pinto : CO : 65.0 77.0 59.0 59.0 69.0 55.0 ID : 26.2 29.5 26.0 25.8 29.0 25.5 KS : 9.0 13.0 11.0 8.5 12.5 10.0 MI : 7.0 18.0 5.0 6.5 17.5 4.9 MN : 18.0 23.0 16.0 16.0 21.1 15.3 MT : 10.8 12.0 10.7 10.6 10.0 10.5 NE : 57.0 85.0 64.3 52.0 83.6 58.0 NM : 6.0 6.3 7.6 6.0 6.3 7.6 ND : 415.0 475.0 453.0 354.0 432.0 430.0 OR : 1.9 1.1 1.0 1.8 1.0 0.9 SD : 2.2 3.0 4.2 2.2 3.0 3.7 UT : 5.3 4.5 3.0 4.8 4.5 0.5 WA : 5.5 8.4 6.3 5.2 8.3 6.2 WY : 22.0 29.0 25.0 21.3 28.3 23.6 : Total : 650.9 784.8 692.1 573.7 726.1 651.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ------- 1,000 Cwt ------- : Large Lima - CA : 2,100 2,390 1,710 307 359 214 : Baby Lima - CA : 2,450 2,350 2,180 267 385 283 : Navy : ID : 2,390 2,470 2,470 98 136 126 MI : 1,800 1,760 1,850 970 1,310 1,430 MN : 1,000 1,950 1,650 330 967 930 NE : 2,400 2,000 2,000 41 78 54 ND : 970 1,620 1,400 650 1,330 1,585 OR : 2,000 2,300 1,650 10 14 13 SD : 1,830 2,200 1,200 33 119 79 WA : 2,050 2,170 18 13 WY : 2,500 2,300 2,090 10 23 23 : Total : 1,318 1,788 1,612 2,142 3,995 4,253 : Great Northern : ID : 2,230 2,430 2,420 58 51 63 MI : 1,600 1,660 1,800 16 30 9 NE : 2,070 2,270 2,030 827 1,382 1,005 ND : 1,260 1,750 1,080 29 70 70 WA : 2,200 15 WY : 2,330 2,180 2,290 21 37 32 : Total : 2,032 2,226 1,949 951 1,585 1,179 : Small White : ID : 2,380 2,180 2,330 50 24 28 OR : 1,800 1,990 9 8 WA : 2,290 2,300 2,000 16 14 10 : Total : 2,357 2,136 2,190 66 47 46 : Pinto : CO : 1,520 1,650 1,900 895 1,140 1,045 ID : 2,300 2,270 2,500 593 658 638 KS : 1,800 2,200 2,100 153 275 210 MI : 1,710 1,600 1,780 111 280 87 MN : 1,000 1,550 1,500 160 327 230 MT : 2,380 2,390 2,230 252 239 234 NE : 2,300 2,370 2,240 1,196 1,982 1,300 NM : 2,600 2,200 2,530 156 139 192 ND : 1,010 1,510 1,140 3,561 6,530 4,911 OR : 2,000 2,000 2,250 36 20 20 SD : 2,500 2,150 1,900 55 65 70 UT : 300 500 350 14 23 2 WA : 2,940 3,000 2,310 153 249 143 WY : 2,250 2,380 2,200 479 674 520 : Total : 1,362 1,735 1,473 7,814 12,601 9,602 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Clean Basis. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Light Red : Kidney : CA : 4.6 3.5 1.9 4.0 3.5 1.9 CO : 6.0 7.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 3.6 ID : 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.6 MI : 15.0 17.0 11.3 14.5 16.8 10.3 MN : 7.3 10.3 9.0 6.9 9.9 8.5 NE : 9.0 17.0 8.6 8.7 16.9 7.3 NY : 12.0 13.0 7.0 11.6 12.2 6.6 OR : 0.5 0.5 WA : 1.1 1.0 : Total : 55.7 71.4 43.4 52.5 68.8 39.8 : Dark Red : Kidney : CA : 1.2 1.2 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.4 ID : 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.8 1.8 MI : 7.0 8.0 4.0 6.5 7.7 3.6 MN : 30.0 36.5 31.0 26.4 34.7 29.3 NY : 1.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.9 ND : 5.0 4.0 2.0 4.7 3.8 1.9 OR : 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 WA : 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.5 WI 2/ : 5.0 5.7 5.6 4.9 5.7 5.5 : Total : 51.3 60.7 48.8 46.6 58.0 46.4 : Pink : CA : 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 ID : 11.0 12.8 10.4 10.8 12.5 10.2 MN : 6.2 8.5 10.5 5.9 8.0 9.7 ND : 6.8 12.0 20.0 6.4 10.8 19.0 OR : 0.3 0.3 WA : 5.0 4.0 4.2 4.9 3.9 3.9 : Total : 29.3 37.9 45.3 28.3 35.8 43.0 : Small Red : ID : 8.4 8.2 3.8 8.2 8.0 3.7 MI : 15.5 31.0 20.0 15.0 30.5 19.5 MN : 1.6 2.7 2.5 1.4 2.4 2.4 ND : 4.7 5.5 6.0 4.4 5.2 5.7 WA : 3.0 3.5 3.2 2.9 3.4 3.1 : Total : 33.2 50.9 35.5 31.9 49.5 34.4 : Cranberry : CA : 2.0 1.1 0.8 1.6 1.1 0.8 ID : 1.9 0.8 1.0 1.6 0.7 1.0 MI : 9.5 10.5 8.0 9.0 9.5 7.9 : Total : 13.4 12.4 9.8 12.2 11.3 9.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Includes some Light Red Kidney to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ : Light Red : Kidney : CA : 1,080 1,630 1,470 43 57 28 CO : 1,800 1,830 1,750 90 110 63 ID : 2,330 2,250 1,750 42 45 28 MI : 1,460 1,430 1,640 212 240 169 MN : 1,700 1,800 2,150 117 178 183 NE : 2,000 1,800 2,470 174 304 180 NY : 1,100 1,100 1,330 128 134 88 OR : 2,200 11 WA : 2,350 24 : Total : 1,535 1,603 1,857 806 1,103 739 : Dark Red : Kidney : CA : 1,820 1,830 2,250 20 22 9 ID : 2,200 2,000 1,940 33 36 35 MI : 1,230 1,430 1,140 80 110 41 MN : 1,350 1,900 1,850 356 659 542 NY : 1,000 830 780 15 10 15 ND : 1,380 1,240 1,630 65 47 31 OR : 1,860 2,200 13 11 WA : 1,850 2,130 22 32 WI 3/ : 2,310 2,250 1,910 113 128 105 : Total : 1,464 1,805 1,769 682 1,047 821 : Pink : CA : 1,330 1,000 1,500 4 3 3 ID : 2,390 2,240 2,400 258 280 245 MN : 1,200 1,600 1,200 71 128 116 ND : 1,220 1,510 1,430 78 163 271 OR : 2,500 8 WA : 2,240 2,050 2,310 110 80 90 : Total : 1,841 1,849 1,686 521 662 725 : Small Red : ID : 2,340 2,410 2,460 192 193 91 MI : 1,740 1,770 1,850 261 540 360 MN : 930 1,210 1,330 13 29 32 ND : 1,230 1,210 1,190 54 63 68 WA : 2,790 2,300 2,290 81 78 71 : Total : 1,884 1,824 1,808 601 903 622 : Cranberry : CA : 1,440 1,180 1,880 23 13 15 ID : 1,690 1,290 1,900 27 9 19 MI : 1,440 1,470 1,460 130 140 115 : Total : 1,475 1,434 1,536 180 162 149 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Clean Basis. 3/ Includes some Light Red Kidney to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :------------------------------------------------------------ State : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Black : CA : 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.6 ID : 3.1 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.4 2.8 MI : 74.0 65.0 91.6 73.0 64.0 86.6 MN : 7.2 9.4 12.3 6.0 8.0 11.8 NE : 2.5 2.5 2.9 2.3 2.5 2.7 NY : 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.5 8.6 ND : 39.0 21.0 46.0 31.2 19.5 44.0 OR : 0.5 0.5 WA : 2.6 1.3 2.2 2.6 1.3 2.2 : Total : 138.3 111.6 167.4 127.6 107.1 159.3 : Blackeye : CA : 10.5 9.0 12.6 10.3 8.9 12.5 TX : 17.5 14.0 19.0 15.0 12.6 17.1 : Total : 28.0 23.0 31.6 25.3 21.5 29.6 : Small Chickpeas : (Garbanzo, Smaller : than 20/64 in.) : CA : ID : 2.8 3.0 4.0 2.8 2.9 3.9 MT : 0.9 1.4 1.8 0.8 1.3 1.4 NE : ND : 1.0 4.0 5.5 0.8 3.7 5.2 OR : 0.5 0.5 SD : 1.3 1.3 WA : 1.6 3.5 1.5 3.5 : Total : 6.0 10.5 14.8 5.7 9.9 14.0 : Large Chickpeas : (Garbanzo, Larger : than 20/64 in) : CA : 6.1 10.0 16.0 5.8 9.7 15.3 ID : 11.7 28.0 40.0 11.5 27.6 39.3 MT : 1.3 4.6 7.0 1.3 2.8 7.0 NE : 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 ND : 2.5 2.1 7.5 2.1 2.0 7.4 OR : 3.8 2.6 3.5 3.6 2.5 3.5 SD : 2.5 6.4 6.8 2.5 6.4 6.2 WA : 9.8 24.5 36.5 9.7 24.3 32.0 : Total : 39.0 79.3 118.4 37.7 76.4 111.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ and :------------------------------------------------------------ State : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ------ : Black : CA : 1,430 1,750 2,000 10 7 12 ID : 1,970 2,080 2,390 57 50 67 MI : 1,770 1,770 1,840 1,290 1,130 1,590 MN : 950 1,500 1,400 57 120 165 NE : 2,000 2,400 2,070 46 60 56 NY : 1,040 1,510 1,470 93 128 126 ND : 800 1,300 1,180 250 254 520 OR : 2,400 12 WA : 2,580 2,850 2,180 67 37 48 : Total : 1,466 1,679 1,622 1,870 1,798 2,584 : Blackeye : CA : 2,490 2,210 2,420 256 197 303 TX : 850 1,660 1,470 128 209 251 : Total : 1,518 1,888 1,872 384 406 554 : Small Chickpeas : (Garbanzo, Smaller : than 20/64 in.) : CA : ID : 1,250 1,240 1,130 35 36 44 MT : 1,750 1,150 420 14 15 6 NE : ND : 1,000 1,700 810 8 63 42 OR : 1,800 9 SD : 1,460 19 WA : 1,750 1,000 26 35 : Total : 1,333 1,505 907 76 149 127 : Large Chickpeas : (Garbanzo, Larger : than 20/64 in) : CA : 1,980 2,270 1,290 115 220 198 ID : 1,250 1,060 1,100 144 293 432 MT : 1,460 1,000 500 19 28 35 NE : 1,170 700 900 14 8 9 ND : 1,620 2,000 1,240 34 40 92 OR : 1,250 1,840 1,830 45 46 64 SD : 1,280 1,100 850 32 70 53 WA : 1,180 850 1,000 114 207 320 : Total : 1,371 1,194 1,077 517 912 1,203 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Clean Basis. Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Area Planted : Area Harvested and :-------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Chickpeas, All : (Garbanzo) : CA : 6.1 10.0 16.0 5.8 9.7 15.3 ID : 14.5 31.0 44.0 14.3 30.5 43.2 MT : 2.2 6.0 8.8 2.1 4.1 8.4 NE : 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.0 ND : 3.5 6.1 13.0 2.9 5.7 12.6 OR : 3.8 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.0 3.5 SD : 3.8 6.4 6.8 3.8 6.4 6.2 WA : 9.8 26.1 40.0 9.7 25.8 35.5 : Total : 45.0 89.8 133.2 43.4 86.3 125.7 : Other : CA : 8.0 8.7 8.1 7.7 8.5 7.8 CO : 4.0 6.0 7.0 3.0 5.0 6.4 ID : 2.4 2.5 4.5 2.3 2.4 4.3 MI : 6.0 8.0 4.6 5.5 7.7 4.2 MN : 4.7 1.6 1.7 4.4 1.3 1.6 NE : 4.4 3.2 2.0 4.1 3.1 1.8 NY : 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.9 ND : 2.5 2.2 2.5 2.1 2.0 2.3 OR : 1.8 1.7 3.8 1.6 1.7 3.7 SD : 1.1 2.6 2.8 1.1 2.6 2.4 TX : 2.5 3.0 1.0 2.5 2.7 0.9 WA : 3.4 1.1 1.5 3.0 0.9 1.5 WY : 1.5 2.2 1.0 1.4 2.0 0.9 : Total : 43.8 44.3 41.5 40.2 41.0 38.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. Dry Edible Beans: Yield and Production by Commercial Class, State, and Total, 2004-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Class : Yield per Acre 2/ : Production 2/ and :------------------------------------------------------------ State : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Pounds --------- ------ 1,000 Cwt ----- : Chickpeas, All : (Garbanzo) : CA : 1,980 2,270 1,290 115 220 198 ID : 1,250 1,080 1,100 179 329 476 MT : 1,570 1,050 490 33 43 41 NE : 1,170 700 900 14 8 9 ND : 1,450 1,810 1,060 42 103 134 OR : 1,250 1,830 1,830 45 55 64 SD : 1,340 1,100 850 51 70 53 WA : 1,180 900 1,000 114 233 355 : Total : 1,366 1,229 1,058 593 1,061 1,330 : Other : CA : 1,390 1,440 2,180 107 122 170 CO : 1,800 1,400 1,980 54 70 127 ID : 2,220 2,130 2,090 51 51 90 MI : 1,360 1,690 1,640 75 130 69 MN : 1,050 1,690 1,880 46 22 30 NE : 1,900 1,800 2,220 78 56 40 NY : 730 910 1,100 11 10 10 ND : 1,000 1,400 1,300 21 28 30 OR : 1,560 2,000 2,000 25 34 74 SD : 2,270 1,810 1,800 25 47 43 TX : 480 900 1,110 12 24 10 WA : 2,270 2,440 2,000 68 22 30 WY : 2,210 2,100 2,110 31 42 19 : Total : 1,502 1,605 1,917 604 658 742 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Missing data are included in "Other" class to avoid disclosure of individual operations or no data were reported. 2/ Clean Basis. Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted December 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds Improved Varieties 1/ : AL : 1,000 3,200 5,100 AZ : 14,000 22,000 15,000 AR 2/ : 1,000 1,100 850 CA 2/ : 3,500 3,900 3,200 FL 2/ : 400 300 400 GA : 42,000 72,000 36,000 LA : 2,500 1,000 4,000 MS 2/ : 700 800 2,000 MO 2/ 3/ : 200 150 NM : 39,000 65,000 46,000 NC 2/ : 70 1,650 1,000 OK : 6,000 6,000 5,000 SC 2/ : 800 1,500 1,000 TX : 28,000 50,000 25,000 : US : 138,970 228,650 144,700 : Native & Seedling : AL : 100 800 900 AR 2/ : 700 1,200 750 FL 2/ : 100 700 500 GA : 3,000 8,000 4,000 KS 2/ : 1,800 3,200 2,000 LA : 6,500 4,000 15,000 MS 2/ : 300 200 500 MO 2/ 3/ : 2,400 1,350 NC 2/ : 30 350 200 OK : 22,000 15,000 9,000 SC 2/ : 300 700 500 TX : 12,000 15,000 11,000 : US : 46,830 51,550 45,700 : All Pecans : AL : 1,100 4,000 6,000 AZ : 14,000 22,000 15,000 AR 2/ : 1,700 2,300 1,600 CA 2/ : 3,500 3,900 3,200 FL 2/ : 500 1,000 900 GA : 45,000 80,000 40,000 KS 2/ : 1,800 3,200 2,000 LA : 9,000 5,000 19,000 MS 2/ : 1,000 1,000 2,500 MO 2/ 3/ : 2,600 1,500 NM : 39,000 65,000 46,000 NC 2/ : 100 2,000 1,200 OK : 28,000 21,000 14,000 SC 2/ : 1,100 2,200 1,500 TX : 40,000 65,000 36,000 : US : 185,800 280,200 190,400 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 3/ Estimates began in 2005. Sugarcane: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use, State, and United States, 2005 and Forecasted December 1, 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Use : Area Harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2006 : : :2005 2/ : 2006 :2005 2/ :-------------------: 2005 2/ : 2006 : : : : Nov 1 : Dec 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --------- Tons -------- -- 1,000 Tons -- : For Sugar : FL : 376.0 386.0 31.4 34.9 11,806 13,471 HI : 21.7 20.3 80.8 83.5 1,753 1,695 LA : 420.0 400.0 22.9 28.0 9,618 11,200 TX : 40.5 45.0 38.3 38.9 1,551 1,751 : US : 858.2 851.3 28.8 33.0 24,728 28,117 : For Seed : FL : 25.0 19.0 37.6 37.2 940 707 HI : 1.8 2.0 34.8 33.3 63 67 LA : 35.0 35.0 22.9 28.0 802 980 TX : 1.9 1.5 38.3 35.0 73 53 : US : 63.7 57.5 29.5 31.4 1,878 1,807 : For Sugar : and Seed : FL : 401.0 405.0 31.8 34.8 35.0 12,746 14,178 HI : 23.5 22.3 77.3 79.0 79.0 1,816 1,762 LA : 455.0 435.0 22.9 28.0 28.0 10,420 12,180 TX : 42.4 46.5 38.3 38.9 38.8 1,624 1,804 : US : 921.9 908.8 28.9 32.8 32.9 26,606 29,924 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. 2/ Revised. Coffee: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Hawaii and Puerto Rico, 2004-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- :2004-05:2005-06:2006-07:2004-05:2005-06:2006-07:2004-05:2005-06:2006-07 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-------- Acres ------- ------ Pounds ------ ---- 1,000 Pounds ---- : HI : 5,800 6,100 6,300 965 1,340 1,160 5,600 8,200 7,300 : PR :44,000 42,000 42,000 420 485 470 18,500 20,300 19,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Parchment basis. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3,875.0 3,452.0 3,269.0 2,951.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 81,759.0 78,561.0 75,107.0 71,047.0 Corn for Silage : 5,920.0 Hay, All : 61,649.0 62,697.0 Alfalfa : 22,389.0 22,407.0 All Other : 39,260.0 40,290.0 Oats : 4,246.0 4,168.0 1,823.0 1,576.0 Proso Millet : 565.0 575.0 515.0 Rice : 3,384.0 2,841.0 3,364.0 2,823.0 Rye : 1,433.0 1,396.0 279.0 274.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 6,454.0 6,319.0 5,736.0 5,319.0 Sorghum for Silage : 311.0 Wheat, All : 57,229.0 57,344.0 50,119.0 46,810.0 Winter : 40,433.0 40,575.0 33,794.0 31,117.0 Durum : 2,760.0 1,870.0 2,716.0 1,815.0 Other Spring : 14,036.0 14,899.0 13,609.0 13,878.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,159.0 1,045.0 1,114.0 1,008.0 Cottonseed 3/ : Flaxseed : 983.0 718.0 955.0 704.0 Mustard Seed : 49.0 42.5 44.6 40.5 Peanuts : 1,657.0 1,242.0 1,629.0 1,213.0 Rapeseed : 2.4 1.8 2.0 1.6 Safflower : 165.0 221.0 160.0 212.0 Soybeans for Beans : 72,032.0 75,565.0 71,251.0 74,505.0 Sunflower : 2,709.0 1,984.0 2,610.0 1,864.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 14,245.4 15,281.0 13,802.6 12,816.0 Upland : 13,975.0 14,955.0 13,534.0 12,492.0 Amer-Pima : 270.4 326.0 268.6 324.0 Sugarbeets : 1,299.8 1,362.8 1,242.9 1,305.9 Sugarcane : 921.9 908.8 Tobacco : 298.1 334.3 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 42.5 46.0 24.5 21.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,630.0 1,628.2 1,533.6 1,530.2 Dry Edible Peas : 808.0 925.5 765.9 876.1 Lentils : 450.0 429.0 439.0 401.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.1 6.3 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.1 0.1 Hops : 29.5 28.9 Peppermint Oil : 76.0 Potatoes, All : 1,109.1 1,136.6 1,086.9 1,118.9 Winter : 20.0 17.7 19.8 17.5 Spring : 68.0 71.1 66.7 69.7 Summer : 53.4 59.4 51.4 54.8 Fall : 967.7 988.4 949.0 976.9 Spearmint Oil : 17.7 Sweet Potatoes : 91.0 96.0 88.4 93.4 Taro (HI) 4/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Acreage is not estimated. 4/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Units:------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------- : : Grains & Hay : : Barley :Bu : 64.8 61.0 211,896 180,051 Corn for Grain :" : 147.9 151.2 11,112,072 10,744,806 Corn for Silage :Tons : 18.0 106,311 Hay, All :" : 2.44 2.35 150,590 147,038 Alfalfa :" : 3.38 3.33 75,771 74,527 All Other :" : 1.91 1.80 74,819 72,511 Oats :Bu : 63.0 59.5 114,878 93,764 Proso Millet :" : 26.3 13,545 Rice 2/ :Cwt : 6,636 6,847 223,235 193,292 Rye :Bu : 27.0 26.3 7,537 7,193 Sorghum for Grain :" : 68.7 54.2 393,893 288,470 Sorghum for Silage :Tons : 13.6 4,218 Wheat, All :Bu : 42.0 38.7 2,104,690 1,812,036 Winter :" : 44.4 41.7 1,499,129 1,298,081 Durum :" : 37.2 29.5 101,105 53,475 Other Spring :" : 37.1 33.2 504,456 460,480 : : Oilseeds : : Canola :Lbs : 1,419 1,212 1,580,985 1,221,990 Cottonseed 3/ :Tons : 8,172.1 7,479.0 Flaxseed :Bu : 20.6 19,695 Mustard Seed :Lbs : 787 35,114 Peanuts :" : 2,989 2,780 4,869,860 3,372,150 Rapeseed :" : 1,500 3,000 Safflower :" : 1,203 192,545 Soybeans for Beans :Bu : 43.0 43.0 3,063,237 3,203,908 Sunflower :Lbs : 1,540 1,134 4,018,355 2,113,625 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ :Bales: 831 798 23,890.2 21,297.0 Upland 2/ :" : 825 790 23,259.7 20,568.0 Amer-Pima 2/ :" : 1,127 1,080 630.5 729.0 Sugarbeets :Tons : 22.2 25.8 27,537 33,627 Sugarcane :" : 28.9 32.9 26,606 29,924 Tobacco :Lbs : 2,171 2,194 647,278 733,608 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ :Cwt : 1,253 1,205 307 259 Dry Edible Beans 2/ :" : 1,746 1,558 26,772 23,843 Dry Edible Peas 2/ :" : 1,828 1,496 14,003 13,103 Lentils 2/ :" : 1,176 822 5,163 3,298 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ :" : 755 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) :Lbs : 1,340 1,160 8,200 7,300 Ginger Root (HI) :" : 42,500 43,000 5,100 4,300 Hops :" : 1,796 1,965 52,914.5 56,836.4 Peppermint Oil :" : 92 6,980 Potatoes, All :Cwt : 390 389 423,926 434,789 Winter :" : 247 257 4,892 4,495 Spring :" : 281 296 18,724 20,646 Summer :" : 342 342 17,567 18,731 Fall :" : 403 400 382,743 390,917 Spearmint Oil :Lbs : 109 1,933 Sweet Potatoes :Cwt : 178 15,730 Taro (HI) 3/ :Lbs : 4,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Units :-------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Tons : 1,018 1,232 1,568 Lemons : " : 870 942 855 Oranges 3/ : " : 9,252 8,898 8,115 Tangelos (FL) : " : 70 63 50 Tangerines : " : 335 417 377 Temples (FL) 3/ : " : 29 32 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 9,864.9 9,842.7 Apricots : Tons : 81.7 44.5 Bananas (HI) : Lbs : 20,900.0 Grapes : Tons : 7,828.7 6,423.0 Olives (CA) : " : 142.0 50.0 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 32,900.0 Peaches : Tons : 1,184.6 1,053.8 Pears : " : 825.3 835.3 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 90.0 170.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 9.1 24.0 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lbs : 915,000 1,050,000 Hazelnuts (OR) : Tons : 27.6 41.0 Pecans : Lbs : 280,200 190,400 Walnuts (CA) : Tons : 355.0 350.0 Maple Syrup : Gals : 1,242 1,449 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2/ Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3/ Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,568,170 1,396,990 1,322,930 1,194,240 Corn for Grain 2/ :33,087,050 31,792,850 30,395,050 28,752,010 Corn for Silage : 2,395,760 Hay, All 3/ : 24,948,730 25,372,850 Alfalfa : 9,060,600 9,067,890 All Other : 15,888,130 16,304,960 Oats : 1,718,310 1,686,750 737,750 637,790 Proso Millet : 228,650 232,700 208,420 Rice : 1,369,470 1,149,720 1,361,380 1,142,440 Rye : 579,920 564,950 112,910 110,890 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 2,611,870 2,557,240 2,321,300 2,152,550 Sorghum for Silage : 125,860 Wheat, All 3/ :23,160,000 23,206,540 20,282,660 18,943,540 Winter :16,362,830 16,420,300 13,676,090 12,592,740 Durum : 1,116,940 756,770 1,099,140 734,510 Other Spring : 5,680,230 6,029,480 5,507,430 5,616,290 : Oilseeds : Canola : 469,040 422,900 450,820 407,930 Cottonseed 4/ : Flaxseed : 397,810 290,570 386,480 284,900 Mustard Seed : 19,830 17,200 18,050 16,390 Peanuts : 670,570 502,620 659,240 490,890 Rapeseed : 970 730 810 650 Safflower : 66,770 89,440 64,750 85,790 Soybeans for Beans :29,150,630 30,580,400 28,834,570 30,151,430 Sunflower : 1,096,310 802,900 1,056,240 754,340 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 5,764,970 6,184,070 5,585,770 5,186,510 Upland : 5,655,540 6,052,140 5,477,070 5,055,390 Amer-Pima : 109,430 131,930 108,700 131,120 Sugarbeets : 526,020 551,510 502,990 528,480 Sugarcane : 373,080 367,780 Tobacco : 120,630 135,290 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 17,200 18,620 9,910 8,700 Dry Edible Beans : 659,640 658,920 620,630 619,260 Dry Edible Peas : 326,990 374,540 309,950 354,550 Lentils : 182,110 173,610 177,660 162,280 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4/ : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,470 2,550 Ginger Root (HI) : 50 40 Hops : 11,920 11,710 Peppermint Oil : 30,760 Potatoes, All 3/ : 448,840 459,970 439,860 452,810 Winter : 8,090 7,160 8,010 7,080 Spring : 27,520 28,770 26,990 28,210 Summer : 21,610 24,040 20,800 22,180 Fall : 391,620 400,000 384,050 395,340 Spearmint Oil : 7,160 Sweet Potatoes : 36,830 38,850 35,770 37,800 Taro (HI) 5/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Acreage is not estimated. 5/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.49 3.28 4,613,490 3,920,150 Corn for Grain : 9.29 9.49 282,259,630 272,930,640 Corn for Silage : 40.26 96,443,720 Hay, All 2/ : 5.48 5.26 136,612,950 133,390,630 Alfalfa : 7.59 7.46 68,738,290 67,609,760 All Other : 4.27 4.03 67,874,660 65,780,870 Oats : 2.26 2.13 1,667,450 1,360,980 Proso Millet : 1.47 307,200 Rice : 7.44 7.67 10,125,770 8,767,580 Rye : 1.70 1.65 191,450 182,710 Sorghum for Grain : 4.31 3.40 10,005,340 7,327,480 Sorghum for Silage : 30.40 3,826,510 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.82 2.60 57,280,270 49,315,540 Winter : 2.98 2.81 40,799,610 35,327,980 Durum : 2.50 1.98 2,751,630 1,455,350 Other Spring : 2.49 2.23 13,729,040 12,532,210 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.59 1.36 717,120 554,290 Cottonseed 3/ : 7,413,600 6,784,830 Flaxseed : 1.29 500,280 Mustard Seed : 0.88 15,930 Peanuts : 3.35 3.12 2,208,930 1,529,580 Rapeseed : 1.68 1,360 Safflower : 1.35 87,340 Soybeans for Beans : 2.89 2.89 83,367,650 87,196,090 Sunflower : 1.73 1.27 1,822,700 958,720 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.93 0.89 5,201,480 4,636,880 Upland : 0.92 0.89 5,064,200 4,478,150 Amer-Pima : 1.26 1.21 137,280 158,720 Sugarbeets : 49.67 57.72 24,981,150 30,505,900 Sugarcane : 64.69 73.81 24,136,560 27,146,600 Tobacco : 2.43 2.46 293,600 332,760 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.40 1.35 13,930 11,750 Dry Edible Beans : 1.96 1.75 1,214,360 1,081,500 Dry Edible Peas : 2.05 1.68 635,170 594,340 Lentils : 1.32 0.92 234,190 149,590 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 34,250 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.51 1.30 3,720 3,310 Ginger Root (HI) : 47.64 48.20 2,310 1,950 Hops : 2.01 2.20 24,000 25,780 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,170 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.72 43.55 19,228,960 19,721,700 Winter : 27.69 28.79 221,900 203,890 Spring : 31.46 33.20 849,310 936,490 Summer : 38.31 38.31 796,830 849,620 Fall : 45.20 44.85 17,360,930 17,731,700 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 880 Sweet Potatoes : 19.94 713,500 Taro (HI) 3/ : 1,950 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 923,510 1,117,650 1,422,470 Lemons : 789,250 854,570 775,640 Oranges 3/ : 8,393,270 8,072,130 7,361,800 Tangelos (FL) : 63,500 57,150 45,360 Tangerines : 303,910 378,300 342,010 Temples (FL) 3/ : 26,310 29,030 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,474,640 4,464,570 Apricots : 74,070 40,370 Bananas (HI) : 9,480 Grapes : 7,102,080 5,826,850 Olives (CA) : 128,820 45,360 Papayas (HI) : 14,920 Peaches : 1,074,610 955,990 Pears : 748,720 757,780 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 81,650 154,220 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 8,260 21,770 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) (shelled) : 415,040 476,270 Hazelnuts (OR) : 25,040 37,190 Pecans : 127,100 86,360 Walnuts (CA) : 322,050 317,510 Maple Syrup : 6,210 7,240 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2/ Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3/ Temples included in oranges beginning with 2006-07 season. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2006. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2002-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 840 798 864 811 859 : Oct : 763 755 771 728 814 : Nov : 784 744 753 733 849 : Dec : 772 744 754 733 824 : Final : 772 744 754 733 : : CA : Sep : 945 973 954 993 911 : Oct : 1,041 945 952 926 869 : Nov : 1,009 893 945 1,002 926 : Dec : 1,011 893 948 1,011 933 : Final : 1,011 893 948 1,011 : : GA : Sep : 569 559 646 667 648 : Oct : 604 646 690 689 675 : Nov : 591 643 686 767 774 : Dec : 600 665 687 767 790 : Final : 600 665 687 767 : : LA : Sep : 663 681 635 746 760 : Oct : 756 778 707 768 781 : Nov : 749 775 691 775 786 : Dec : 742 775 691 775 785 : Final : 742 775 691 775 : : MS : Sep : 802 837 808 818 700 : Oct : 783 824 789 729 699 : Nov : 768 811 780 724 695 : Dec : 767 808 780 722 695 : Final : 767 808 780 722 : : NC : Sep : 636 628 758 799 637 : Oct : 629 630 719 693 641 : Nov : 560 632 732 721 671 : Dec : 567 632 733 721 671 : Final : 567 632 733 721 : : TX : Sep : 536 465 639 620 530 : Oct : 511 431 672 516 477 : Nov : 520 429 593 586 533 : Dec : 497 435 624 585 544 : Final : 497 435 624 585 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. November Weather Summary Record-setting precipitation lashed the Northwest, triggering major flooding west of the Cascades but significantly improving soil moisture for winter grains. In contrast, little rain or snow fell across the Plains and the Southwest, allowed for late-season fieldwork. However, the lack of moisture also maintained southern California's wildfire threat and reduced the Plains' moisture reserves for winter wheat establishment. Oklahoma and surrounding areas were particularly dry until month's end, when a major snow and ice storm blanketed areas from Texas' northern panhandle to Michigan. Major snow (as much as 6 to 18 inches) and ice accumulations (locally one-half inch or more) severely stressed livestock and disrupted travel from November 29 - December 1, but provided much-needed moisture for wheat from Texas to Missouri. Moisture was not welcomed, however, farther east, where the late-month storm ensured that final harvest activities in the eastern Corn Belt would linger into December. Across the remainder of the Midwest, residual harvesting and other late-season fieldwork activities were completed under favorable conditions. Elsewhere, frequent storms lashed the Atlantic Coast States from the Carolinas northward into New England, while cool, mostly dry weather prevailed in Florida. Mild weather returned nearly nationwide in November, following a pair of cooler-than-normal months. In fact, near- to below-normal temperatures were confined to the Southeast and the Pacific Northwest, while readings averaged at least 4 degrees F above normal at several locations in the Northeast and from the Southwest into the upper Midwest. November Agricultural Summary Above-normal temperatures prevailed across most of the Nation, with the exception of the Southeast. In the Great Plains, mostly dry weather was favorable for harvest of summer crops but caused some declines in winter wheat condition. The Southwest was also mostly dry, while moderate rainfall in the Mississippi Delta and Southeast did not seriously hamper fieldwork. In the eastern Corn Belt and Ohio River Valley, moderate precipitation in November, combined with lingering wetness from October rains, further delayed harvest of summer crops and winter wheat planting. Heavy precipitation along the Atlantic Coast from New England to the Carolinas did not significantly slow cotton and peanut harvest. In the Pacific Northwest, precipitation was heavy in coastal areas but moderate in the crop-producing areas further inland. Corn harvest continued to progress behind the normal pace, mostly due to soggy field conditions in the eastern Corn Belt. By November 26, growers had harvested 97 percent of their acreage, 2 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Harvest was near or ahead of normal in all States, except Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio, where progress trailed over a week behind the normal pace. Harvest was complete or nearly complete across the western Corn Belt and Great Plains. The sorghum harvest trailed behind normal early in the month but accelerated to end the month ahead of normal. By November 5, just 70 percent of the crop had been reaped, compared with 78 percent last year and 76 percent for the 5-year average. However, by November 26, harvest had advanced to 94 percent complete, 2 points ahead of normal. In Colorado, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, where the crop was well behind normal early in the month, harvest advanced 35, 40, and 41 points, respectively, in the final two weeks. At month's end, only Colorado trailed the normal harvest pace. Winter wheat planting progressed at a normal pace through the first half of the month, reaching 96 percent complete by November 12. Progress was at or ahead of normal in most areas but trailed behind in the eastern Corn Belt due to wet field conditions. Emergence also progressed at a near-normal pace. By November 26, ninety-four percent of the crop had emerged, the same as last year but 1 point ahead of normal. Though progress was at or ahead of normal in most States, Ohio's crop trailed the normal pace by over two weeks, while Michigan's crop was over four weeks behind. The Nation's soybean crop was harvested slightly behind normal. Growers had harvested 96 percent of their acreage by November 19, compared with 99 percent last year and 97 percent for the 5-year average. Progress was at or ahead of normal across the western Corn Belt and Great Plains but trailed behind normal in the Ohio River Valley and eastern Corn Belt due to wet conditions. Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, and Ohio growers trailed the normal pace by a week or more. After a slow start, sunflower harvest progressed rapidly in late October through November, aided by mostly dry conditions. By November 19, harvest was 97 percent complete, 1 point ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of normal. Harvest was complete in North Dakota and at or ahead of normal in all States. Peanut growers continued to trail behind the normal harvest pace during November. By November 26, ninety-seven percent of the acreage had been harvested, compared with 100 percent last year and 98 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was complete in Virginia and the Carolinas. Farther south, however, harvest was behind normal in Florida and Georgia and over three weeks behind in Alabama. The cotton harvest began the month slightly behind normal but progressed steadily during November to slightly ahead of normal. On November 26, harvest was 83 percent complete, the same as last year but 2 points ahead of normal. Progress was ahead of normal in the southern Great Plains, Mississippi Delta, and most of the Southeast but trailed slightly behind the normal pace in Tennessee and the Carolinas and a week behind in Arizona and Missouri. In the four largest sugarbeet producing States, 98 percent of the acreage had been harvest by November 12. Harvest was complete in the Red River Valley and nearly complete in Idaho. In Michigan, however, harvest trailed 7 points behind normal due to wet field conditions. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 12.5 million acres, is unchanged from last month but down 8 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested area, at 324,000 acres, is also unchanged from November but up 21 percent from 2005. In the Southeastern region, favorable weather in Alabama, Georgia, and Florida allowed harvest to advance rapidly with progress well ahead of last year and the 5-year average. While in the Carolinas, continual wet weather during November delayed harvest activities. Objective yield measurements in Georgia show boll counts to be the highest but boll weight to be the second lowest in the last ten years. North Carolina boll counts remain near average. Cotton harvest was complete in the lower Delta by the end of the month. Producers in Missouri and Tennessee battled with rain delays during the first part of November but after mid-month, they were able to make significant progress. In Missouri, harvest was behind last year and the 5-year average due to the rains received throughout the fall months. The objective yield boll counts and boll weight in Arkansas are the highest in the last ten years. In Louisiana, boll counts are the highest in the last ten years. However, in Mississippi, the boll counts and average boll weight are the lowest in the last five years. Harvest in the Texas Plains gained momentum after the first freeze was received during the early part of the month. Harvesting and ginning continued throughout the month under ideal conditions. In Texas and Oklahoma, harvest was ahead of the normal while Kansas growers were behind. Objective yield measurements in Texas show boll counts to be the third largest and boll weight to be the heaviest in the last ten years. In California, cotton harvest was wrapping up in the San Joaquin Valley. Arizona producers received favorable weather for harvest but were slightly behind the 5-year average. Data from the objective yield survey show California boll weights to be lowest in the last ten years. American-Pima cotton production is forecast at 729,000 bales, down 8 percent from the November forecast but up 16 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,080 pounds per harvested acre, down 89 pounds from last month and down 47 pounds from last year. Harvest progressed throughout the month with favorable weather which allowed for second picking of the crop. All cotton ginned prior to December 1 totaled 15,141,600 running bales, compared with 15,991,200 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year and 14,754,450 running bales ginned in 2004. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.52 million pounds for November, up 14 percent from October and 25 percent above a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,140 acres, unchanged from last month but down 7 percent from November 2005. Harvested area totaled 1,325 acres, virtually unchanged from last month but 6 percent lower than last year. Conditions in orchards were generally sunny with light passing showers. Warm and humid conditions encouraged flowering and fruit set. Growers maintained a regular spraying schedule to limit the spread of disease and damage. Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 23.8 million cwt for 2006, virtually unchanged from the October forecast but 11 percent below the revised 2005 production. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.53 million acres, 2 percent below the last forecast but virtually unchanged from the previous year's revised acreage. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,558 pounds per acre, an increase of 35 pounds from the October forecast but 188 pounds below the revised 2005 yield. Production is below a year ago in 13 of the 18 producing States. Production is down from a year ago for large lima, baby lima, great northern, small white, pinto, light red kidney, dark red kidney, small red, cranberry, and small chickpeas. Production increased from last year for navy, pink, black, blackeye, and large chickpeas. Production in North Dakota is forecast at 7.62 million cwt, 11 percent below 2005. Harvested acres increased 12 percent, while the average yield, at 1,200 pounds per acre, is down 320 pounds from last year. Harvest was essentially complete by mid-October, slightly ahead of last year and the 5-year average. In Michigan, production is forecast at 3.87 million cwt, 1 percent below last year. Harvested area, at 215,000 acres, is 7 percent below 2005, while yield of 1,800 pounds per acre is 100 pounds above last season. By the beginning of October, harvest was 75 percent complete, but persistent rains during October made harvest of the remaining acreage difficult and increased abandoned acres. Harvest was 95 percent complete by the end of October. Nebraska growers produced 2.64 million cwt of dry beans, 32 percent less than last year. The average yield, at 2,150 pounds per acre, is down 100 pounds from the previous year. Production in Minnesota is forecast at 2.23 million cwt, 8 percent below last year. The average yield, at 1,650 pounds per acre, is down 150 pounds from 2005. Lower yields were attributed to dry, hot weather during the summer. Some growers had mold problems caused by wet conditions near harvest. Production in Utah is down 91 percent from last year, Kansas decreased 24 percent, Wyoming declined 23 percent, and South Dakota is down 19 percent. Wisconsin is 18 percent below last year, New York is 15 percent lower, California 11 percent, Colorado is 6 percent below the revised 2005 production, and Montana decreased 2 percent. Production in New Mexico is 38 percent above last year, Texas increased 12 percent, Oregon is up 8 percent, and Idaho growers produced 2 percent more than last year. Production in Washington is unchanged from 2005. Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2006-07 U.S. grapefruit crop is 1.57 million tons, unchanged from the October 1 forecast but up 27 percent from last season's final utilization of 1.23 million tons. Florida's grapefruit production is forecast at 26.0 million boxes (1.11 million tons), unchanged from the October forecast but 35 percent above last season's hurricane-reduced final utilization of 19.3 million boxes (820,000 tons). Excluding the last two hurricane-reduced crops, this is the lowest forecasted Florida grapefruit production since the 1949-50 season's 24.2 million boxes. The all white grapefruit forecast is 9.00 million boxes (383,000 tons), unchanged from October but 38 percent above last season's final utilization. Growth and drop are both slightly less than the average of the last 10 non-hurricane-reduced crops. The overall quality of white grapefruit has been reported as very good, with nearly equal amounts marketed fresh as processed. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 17.0 million boxes (723,000 tons), is unchanged from October but 33 percent above last season's final utilization. Fruit sizes are projected to be smaller than 7 of the last 10 years not affected by hurricanes. Fruit drop is above average. Due to the high quality of the colored grapefruit crop, a large majority of the fruit harvested has been utilized for fresh market sales. Arizona, California, and Texas grapefruit production forecasts are carried over from October. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast, at 1.10 million boxes (50,000 tons), is unchanged from the October forecast but down 21 percent from last season's final utilized production. The final fruit size measurement is near average while the final drop rate is slightly above the minumum of the last 10 seasons. Typically, half of the fresh shipments occur in December in conjunction with fundraising and gift fruit sales. Tangerines: The December 1 U.S. tangerine crop forecast is 377,000 tons, unchanged from the October forecast but down 10 percent from last season's final utilization of 417,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 4.60 million boxes (219,000 tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but down 16 percent from last season's utilization of 5.50 million boxes. Of the early variety tangerines, Fallglo harvest is complete and Sunburst tangerines are being picked, primarily for the fresh market. Harvest of the later maturing Honey variety, which accounts for 48 percent of the production forecast, is expected to begin in January. Arizona and California tangerine production forecasts are carried forward from October. Florida Citrus: Dry weather during November continued to plague much of the State's citrus producing area. The eastern, lower central, and southern regions recorded 3 weeks or more with one-tenth of an inch of rainfall or less. Totals for the month in those areas were all less than 1 inch. Consolidated showers helped some of the northern and upper central counties mid-month with 1 to 2 inches of rainfall. Irrigation is still being run statewide. Temperatures reached the mid to high 80s on many days and cooled down to the upper 40s and 50s at night. Fruit sizes on tangerines received at packinghouses have been smaller than normal this year but fruit quality is being reported as good. Grapefruit quality continues to be excellent with the majority of colored grapefruit being picked for the fresh market, while white grapefruit is being equally distributed to fresh and processing uses. In addition to grapefruit, navel oranges, Sunburst tangerines, and some tangelos are being picked for fresh market use. Early and mid-season orange harvests picked up significantly after Thanksgiving, primarily for processing. Grove maintenance activities are winding down but still include mowing, irrigation, irrigation repair, and some applications of fertilizer. With the exception of one, all processing plants slated for operation this season have opened. The final plant should open in January. California Citrus: Old crop Valencia orange harvest is virtually complete. New crop navel orange harvest in Tulare County continued with Fukumoto, Thomson Improved, Early Beck, and Fisher varieties being picked. By month's end, mid-season navel varieties and Blood oranges were being harvested. Tangerine harvest continued with Owari and Dobashi Beni varieties being picked. Lemons were still being picked in some districts. Some citrus groves were treated throughout the month to control fungus. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Stone fruit harvest is complete. Cultural practices in stone fruit orchards during November included irrigation, pruning, application of both fertilizer and herbicides, as well as pushing of old orchards in order to replant. Some figs were still being harvested at the beginning of the month. Pomegranate harvest continued throughout the month of November. Hachiya, Fuyu, and Giant Fuyu variety persimmons were being harvested. Kiwi harvest continued but was complete by month's end. By mid-month, olive harvest was complete and apple harvest had begun in Tulare County. Asian pear harvest continued. Vineyards were cultivated, irrigated, pruned, and fertilizer was applied. In addition to juice grapes, Christmas Rose, Rose Ito, Autumn Royal, Crimson, Emperor, Thompson Seedless, and Red Globe table varieties were harvested. Almond harvest was complete by the end of the month. Pistachio and walnut harvests continued with walnut trees being shaken for a second time. Cultural activities in nut orchards included pruning, shredding, irrigation, and application of herbicides. Pecans: The December 1, 2006 forecast of pecan production is 190 million pounds utilized (in-shell basis), down 5 percent from the October 1 forecast and 32 percent below last year's crop. Only Georgia and Oklahoma have changed expectations since October, lowering their forecasts by 5.00 million and 6.00 million pounds, respectively. Nationally, improved varieties are expected to produce 145 million pounds or 76 percent of the total, while native and seedling varieties, at 45.7 million pounds, make up the remaining 24 percent of production. The 2006 crop is expected to be smaller than last year's mainly due to the alternate bearing pattern typical of pecans. The Gulf Coast States of Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi are the exceptions to the low cycle for production. These three States expect larger crops because most trees are now beginning to recover from widespread hurricane damage that limited crop size the past two years. New Mexico's forecast of 46.0 million pounds is unchanged from October 1. If realized, this would rank the State first in pecan production for 2006. The forecast is down 29 percent from last year but 18 percent above 2004. Georgia's production is now expected to total 40.0 million pounds, 11 percent less than October 1 and 50 percent less than last year. The 5.00 million pound decrease from October 1 accounts for 45 percent of the U.S. decrease. Dry weather last fall and early spring, along with the alternate bearing cycle are the main reasons for reduced production. Disease pressures have been light and quality of harvested nuts is excellent. The Texas production forecast, at 36.0 million pounds, is the same as the October forecast but down 45 percent from the 2005 crop. Long-term drought continued to be the most cited reason for lower production. Statewide, 49 percent of the crop was harvested by the first of December, 9 points behind last year's progress and 4 points behind the 5-year average. Production in Louisiana is forecast at 19.0 million pounds, unchanged from October but nearly 3 times the size of the 2005 crop. This would be the biggest crop for Louisiana since 2003, the year before the hurricane seasons severely limited production. The Arizona forecast is 15.0 million pounds, unchanged from the prior forecast but 32 percent less than last year. Oklahoma's forecast, at 14.0 million pounds, is 30 percent below the October forecast and down 33 percent from 2005. The 6.00 million pound decrease from October 1 accounts for 55 percent of the U.S. decrease. Unseasonably warm temperatures combined with drought conditions caused nuts to drop prematurely which limited the pecan crop much more than was anticipated in October. Also, squirrel and bird damage to pecans was significant. The Alabama's crop is expected to total 6.00 million pounds, also unchanged from October and is 50 percent more than 2005 production. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane in 2006 is forecast at 29.9 million tons, of which 28.1 million tons is expected to be for sugar and 1.81 million tons for seed. Total production for sugar and seed is fractionally higher than the November forecast and 12 percent above the revised 2005 production. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 908,800 acres for sugar and seed during the 2006 crop year, unchanged from the previous forecast but 1 percent below last year. If realized, area harvested will be the smallest since 1996. Yield is forecast at 32.9 tons per acre, compared with the November forecast of 32.8 tons and last year's estimate of 28.9 tons. The forecasts of area for harvest are unchanged from November in all four sugarcane producing States. For yield, Hawaii's and Louisiana's forecasts are unchanged from last month, but Florida's forecasted yield of 35.0 tons per acre is up 0.2 ton, while Texas' 38.8 tons per acre is down 0.1 ton. Compared to 2005, yield is up in all States, but particularly in Florida and Louisiana, where last year's crop suffered significant damage from hurricanes. Florida's yield is forecast at 10 percent above last year while in Louisiana, yield is expected to be 22 percent above 2005. Coffee: Hawaii coffee production is estimated at 7.30 million pounds (parchment basis) for the 2006-07 season, down 11 percent from the previous season. Harvested area is estimated at 6,300 acres, up 3 percent from the 2005-06 season. Coffee production for the 2006-07 season from the island of Hawaii is forecast at 3.50 million pounds (parchment basis) while production from the islands of Kauai, Maui, Molokai, and Oahu is forecast at 3.80 million pounds (parchment basis). Reduced production from Kona, the primary growing area on the island of Hawaii, accounts for the lower State production. This reduction is attributed to the alternate bearing nature of coffee and heavy pruning following last year's bumper crop. Puerto Rico's production for the 2006-07 season is estimated at 19.8 million pounds (parchment basis), down 2 percent from the previous season. Growing conditions were generally favorable this year. Rainfall encouraged early bloom periods which resulted in this year's crop being harvested earlier than normal. Reliability of December 1 Crop Production Forecast Cotton Survey Procedures: Objective yield surveys were conducted between November 24 and December 1 to gather information on expected yields as of December 1. The objective yield survey for cotton was conducted in producing States that usually account for approximately 75 percent of the U.S. production. At crop maturity, the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the December 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produces nearly 75 percent of the U.S. production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at the start of the season based on a fruit tree census conducted every other year, combined with ongoing review based on administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per tree is determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted, which combined with the previous components are used to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Cotton Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield estimates for cotton were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. For cotton, reports from cotton ginners in each State were also considered. Each cotton State Field Office submits its analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published December 1 forecast. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida Field Office submits its analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analyses to prepare the published December 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. The December 1 orange production forecasts for these three States are carried forward from October. Revision Policy: The December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. For cotton, a new estimate will be made in January followed by end-of-season revisions in May. Administrative records are reviewed and revisions are made, if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made, if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. For oranges, the December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits Summary released in September. The production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the December 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the December 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 cotton production forecast is 1.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current cotton production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.5 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.7 percent. Changes between the December 1 cotton forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 215,000 bales, ranging from 26,000 to 479,000 bales. The December 1 forecast for cotton has been below the final estimate 11 times and above 9 times. The difference does not imply that the December 1 forecasts this year are likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 orange production forecast is 7.8 percent. However, if you exclude the six abnormal production years (four freeze seasons and two hurricane seasons), the "Root Mean Square Error" is 3.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 7.8 percent, or 3.8 percent excluding abnormal seasons. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 13.6 percent, or 6.7 percent excluding abnormal seasons. Changes between the December 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 534,000 tons (357,000 tons excluding abnormal seasons), ranging from 17,000 tons to 2.01 million tons (17,000 tons to 764,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons). The December 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times (below 7 times and above 7 times, excluding abnormal seasons). The difference does not imply that the December 1 forecasts this year are likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Jeff Geuder, Chief .(202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head(202) 720-2127 Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings(202) 720-5944 Greg Thessen - Wheat, Rye(202) 720-2127 Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed(202) 720-9526 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice(202) 720-7688 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds(202) 720-7369 King Whetstone - Hay, Oats, Sorghum(202) 690-3234 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head(202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco(202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries(202) 720-2157 Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits(202) 720-5412 Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Jim Smith - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-2127 Kim Ritchie - Hops(360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes(202) 720-4285 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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