Cr Pr 2-2 (5-07) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released May 11, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Up 24 Percent from 2006 All Orange Production Virtually Unchanged from April Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.62 billion bushels, up 24 percent from 2006. Area harvested for grain totals 37.2 million acres, up 19 percent from last year. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 43.5 bushels per acre, up 1.8 bushels from the previous year. Hard Red production is up 51 percent from a year ago to 1.03 billion bushels. Soft Red is down 11 percent and totals 347 million bushels. White production totals 241 million bushels, up 7 percent from a year ago. Of the White production total, 18.6 million bushels are Hard White and 222 million bushels are Soft White. The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2006-07 season is 7.36 million tons, virtually unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 18 percent below last season's final utilization of 9.00 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast, at 131 million boxes (5.88 million tons), is virtually unchanged from last month but 12 percent lower than the utilization from the 2005-06 season's crop. Early, midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 65.6 million boxes (2.95 million tons), down 13 percent from last season's final utilization. Harvest of the early, midseason, and Navel varieties is complete. The forecast is reduced slightly from last month based on current utilization data. Florida's Valencia forecast is 65.0 million boxes (2.93 million tons), unchanged from the April forecast but down 11 percent from last season's final utilization. The row count survey conducted May 2-3 showed that 60 percent of Valencia rows had been harvested. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward from April 1. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2006-07 season remains at a record high 1.65 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, up from the 2005-06 season's yield of 1.63 gallons. Final yield from the early-midseason portion is unchanged from last month at 1.56 gallons, up from 1.53 gallons last season. Valencias are projected to yield a record high 1.78 gallons, unchanged from last month but up from the yield of 1.75 gallons for the 2005-06 crop. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons. This report was approved on May 11, 2007. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Gale A. Buchanan Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Grains & Hay Hay Stocks. . . . . . . . . . 6 Wheat, By Class . . . . . . . 5 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . 5 Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . 4 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Cotton. . . . . . . . . . . .16 Cumulative Boll Counts . .19 Harvest Loss per Acre. . .18 Cottonseed. . . . . . . . . .18 Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Almonds . . . . . . . . . . .15 Bananas . . . . . . . . . . .14 Guavas. . . . . . . . . . . .14 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . .14 Peaches . . . . . . . . . . .15 Taro. . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Citrus Fruits Grapefruit. . . . . . . . . . 7 Lemons. . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Tangelos. . . . . . . . . . . 7 Tangerines. . . . . . . . . . 7 Temples . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Potatoes. . . . . . . . . . . 8 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . .30 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . .20 Information Contacts . . . . . .37 Reliability of Production Data in this Report35 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . .26 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . .28 Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted May 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 Acres -- -- Bushels -- -------- 1,000 Bushels -------- : AR : 305 600 61.0 46.0 8,320 18,605 27,600 CA : 250 300 58.0 70.0 21,600 14,500 21,000 CO : 1,900 2,100 21.0 35.0 52,800 39,900 73,500 DE : 45 55 67.0 73.0 3,570 3,015 4,015 GA : 120 250 49.0 40.0 7,280 5,880 10,000 ID : 710 740 77.0 81.0 66,430 54,670 59,940 IL : 910 810 67.0 55.0 36,600 60,970 44,550 IN : 460 410 69.0 63.0 24,480 31,740 25,830 KS : 9,100 9,500 32.0 38.0 380,000 291,200 361,000 KY : 320 190 71.0 38.0 20,400 22,720 7,220 MD : 125 175 68.0 66.0 9,240 8,500 11,550 MI : 650 650 73.0 71.0 38,940 47,450 46,150 MS : 73 300 59.0 59.0 3,250 4,307 17,700 MO : 910 750 54.0 42.0 29,160 49,140 31,500 MT : 1,920 2,150 43.0 41.0 94,500 82,560 88,150 NE : 1,700 1,850 36.0 41.0 68,640 61,200 75,850 NY : 95 77 61.0 54.0 5,130 5,795 4,158 NC : 420 460 59.0 42.0 24,795 24,780 19,320 OH : 960 760 68.0 64.0 58,930 65,280 48,640 OK : 3,400 4,600 24.0 35.0 128,000 81,600 161,000 OR : 730 740 53.0 60.0 47,580 38,690 44,400 PA : 150 150 59.0 55.0 7,830 8,850 8,250 SC : 123 135 50.0 35.0 8,580 6,150 4,725 SD : 1,150 1,800 36.0 44.0 65,560 41,400 79,200 TN : 190 230 64.0 32.0 8,400 12,160 7,360 TX : 1,400 3,900 24.0 34.0 96,000 33,600 132,600 VA : 155 175 68.0 61.0 10,080 10,540 10,675 WA : 1,800 1,810 66.0 66.0 120,600 118,800 119,460 WI : 230 260 78.0 70.0 9,975 17,940 18,200 : Oth : Sts 1/: 816 1,245 44.3 41.8 42,459 36,139 52,070 : US : 31,117 37,172 41.7 43.5 1,499,129 1,298,081 1,615,613 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2007 Summary." Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted May 1, 2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 74 80 100.0 100.0 7,900 7,400 8,000 CA : 65 90 99.0 95.0 6,555 6,435 8,550 MT : 395 17.0 16,380 6,715 ND : 1,260 25.0 68,250 31,500 : Oth : Sts 2/: 21 67.9 2,020 1,425 : US : 1,815 29.5 101,105 53,475 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Area harvested for the U.S. and remaining States will be published in "Acreage" released June 29, 2007. Yield and production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 12, 2007. 2/ For 2005, Other States include MN and SD. For 2006 and 2007, Other States include ID and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2007 Summary." Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted May 1, 2007 1/ ---------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter :--------------------------------------------------------- Year : Hard : Soft : Hard : Soft : All : Red : Red : White : White : White ---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2005 : 929,820 309,021 25,279 235,009 260,288 2006 : 682,079 390,165 13,284 212,553 225,837 2007 :1,028,296 346,664 18,589 222,064 240,653 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Spring : :---------------------------------------------------------: : Hard : Hard : Soft : All : : Total : Red : White : White : White : Durum : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2005 : 466,587 4,530 33,339 37,869 101,105 2,104,690 2006 : 432,339 6,226 21,915 28,141 53,475 1,812,036 2007 : -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both survey and administrative data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season for States that do not have survey or administrative data available. Hay: Stocks on Farms by State and United States, December 1 and May 1, 2004-2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Dec 1 : May 1 State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : AL : 1,965 1,575 1,065 356 264 144 AZ : 250 350 350 35 40 35 AR : 3,200 2,000 2,140 660 210 160 CA : 1,770 1,840 1,675 215 192 190 CO : 2,527 2,365 2,130 470 460 290 CT : 73 55 65 21 9 12 DE : 25 18 18 5 4 4 FL : 410 380 380 26 60 21 GA : 1,345 1,350 878 292 198 82 ID : 2,782 2,260 2,575 535 375 320 IL : 1,613 1,260 1,690 460 324 325 IN : 1,704 1,498 1,475 345 207 198 IA : 4,368 4,200 3,900 1,250 1,000 684 KS : 6,304 5,000 4,390 1,735 800 600 KY : 4,742 4,390 4,550 1,186 635 600 LA : 910 596 690 128 81 57 ME : 189 138 140 39 25 27 MD : 348 390 452 86 74 60 MA : 95 76 90 17 17 13 MI : 1,893 1,852 2,385 500 395 350 MN : 4,127 4,117 4,200 884 1,150 740 MS : 1,159 1,567 1,186 199 210 78 MO : 8,101 6,315 5,415 2,166 873 625 MT : 4,427 5,440 4,105 860 1,463 760 NE : 4,370 4,585 3,632 1,440 1,070 850 NV : 741 788 879 80 209 202 NH : 53 53 60 12 8 12 NJ : 161 112 97 36 8 10 NM : 545 545 470 164 133 105 NY : 1,895 1,650 1,451 440 285 326 NC : 1,545 1,245 1,280 350 282 120 ND : 3,923 5,580 4,375 917 1,806 609 OH : 2,250 2,360 2,155 420 363 356 OK : 5,125 3,900 3,275 1,385 550 400 OR : 2,366 1,790 1,840 362 210 180 PA : 2,700 1,700 3,485 650 410 520 RI : 12 10 8 2 1 3 SC : 557 565 468 120 120 65 SD : 6,939 7,935 5,120 2,100 2,140 1,150 TN : 4,199 3,625 3,103 1,025 742 425 TX : 10,451 8,000 7,550 2,779 896 885 UT : 1,383 1,370 1,410 300 266 185 VT : 276 257 273 71 57 38 VA : 2,716 2,585 2,190 791 730 268 WA : 1,560 1,475 1,339 322 250 240 WV : 1,030 984 816 212 214 136 WI : 3,532 3,183 3,577 927 1,135 1,308 WY : 1,860 1,876 1,600 383 394 220 : US : 114,516 105,205 96,397 27,758 21,345 14,988 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2004-05, 2005-06 and Forecasted May 1, 2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2006-07 : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2006-07 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early, Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 240 250 200 9 9 8 CA 4/ : 44,000 47,000 27,000 1,650 1,763 1,013 FL 5/ : 79,100 75,000 65,600 3,560 3,375 2,952 TX 4/ : 1,500 1,400 1,580 64 60 67 US : 124,840 123,650 94,380 5,283 5,207 4,040 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 190 200 150 7 8 6 CA 4/ : 20,500 13,500 10,000 769 506 375 FL : 70,700 72,700 65,000 3,182 3,272 2,925 TX 4/ : 270 200 270 11 9 11 US : 91,660 86,600 75,420 3,969 3,795 3,317 All : AZ 4/ : 430 450 350 16 17 14 CA 4/ : 64,500 60,500 37,000 2,419 2,269 1,388 FL : 149,800 147,700 130,600 6,742 6,647 5,877 TX 4/ : 1,770 1,600 1,850 75 69 78 US : 216,500 210,250 169,800 9,252 9,002 7,357 Temples 5/ : FL : 650 700 29 32 Grapefruit : White : FL : 3,400 6,500 9,500 145 276 404 Colored : FL : 9,400 12,800 17,500 400 544 744 All : AZ 4/ : 140 100 100 5 3 3 CA 4/ : 6,100 6,000 4,800 204 201 161 FL : 12,800 19,300 27,000 545 820 1,148 TX 4/ : 6,600 5,200 6,500 264 208 260 US : 25,640 30,600 38,400 1,018 1,232 1,572 Tangerines : AZ 4/ 6/ : 400 550 300 15 21 11 CA 4/ 6/ : 2,900 3,600 2,600 109 135 98 FL : 4,450 5,500 4,600 211 261 219 US : 7,750 9,650 7,500 335 417 328 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 2,400 3,800 2,500 91 144 95 CA : 20,500 21,000 16,500 779 798 627 US : 22,900 24,800 19,000 870 942 722 Tangelos : FL : 1,550 1,400 1,250 70 63 56 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90; Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 5/ Temples included in early and midseason orange varieties beginning with 2006-07 season. 6/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Spring Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2005-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : : :---------------------------------: Yield : Production State : Planted : Harvested : : :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 :2006 :2007 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres -------- -- Cwt -- ----- 1,000 Cwt ---- : AZ : 3.9 4.0 3.9 4.0 300 280 1,183 1,170 1,120 CA : 15.3 15.5 15.3 15.5 395 395 6,116 6,044 6,123 FL 1/ : 23.1 27.8 22.6 27.2 285 284 6,527 6,441 7,726 Hastings : 17.0 16.5 16.6 16.2 285 280 4,760 4,731 4,536 Other FL : 6.1 11.3 6.0 11.0 285 290 1,767 1,710 3,190 NC : 17.7 16.0 15.5 14.5 210 190 2,850 3,255 2,755 TX : 10.7 9.7 10.2 9.2 280 320 2,048 2,856 2,944 : Total : 70.7 73.0 67.5 70.4 293 294 18,724 19,766 20,668 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Winter potatoes combined with spring potatoes in 2007. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, Price, and Value by State and United States, 2005-2006 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Acres ------ --- Pounds --- --- 1,000 Pounds --- : CT : 2,450 2,500 1,598 1,597 3,916 3,992 FL : 2,500 1,100 2,200 2,600 5,500 2,860 GA : 16,000 17,000 1,735 1,770 27,760 30,090 KY : 79,700 83,000 2,186 2,250 174,260 186,780 MA : 1,190 1,150 1,550 1,583 1,845 1,820 MO : 1,350 1,500 2,075 2,250 2,801 3,375 NC : 126,000 158,800 2,213 2,081 278,900 330,410 OH : 3,400 3,500 1,980 2,000 6,732 7,000 PA : 5,000 7,900 2,140 2,056 10,700 16,240 SC : 19,000 23,000 2,100 2,100 39,900 48,300 TN : 22,950 19,800 2,251 2,482 51,670 49,135 VA : 17,140 19,650 2,354 2,374 40,351 46,642 WV 2/ : 400 1,700 680 : US : 297,080 338,900 2,171 2,144 645,015 726,644 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price : Value of : per Pound : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- Dollars ------ ------ 1,000 Dollars ----- : CT 3/ : 5.700 6.500 14,900 18,876 FL : 1.509 1.510 8,300 4,319 GA : 1.435 1.440 39,836 43,330 KY : 1.686 1.772 293,867 330,941 MA 3/ : 5.550 6.750 8,342 10,328 MO : 1.540 1.600 4,314 5,400 NC : 1.479 1.502 412,594 496,326 OH : 1.582 1.580 10,650 11,060 PA : 1.399 1.615 14,973 26,223 SC : 1.471 1.490 58,693 71,967 TN : 1.872 1.893 96,739 93,009 VA : 1.500 1.526 60,538 71,187 WV 2/ : 1.550 1,054 CT & MA 4/ : 21.000 34,524 : US 5/ : 1.642 1.668 1,059,324 1,211,904 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2006 revised. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2006. 3/ Price and value includes CT Valley Broadleaf only. CT Valley Shade-grown is not included in State totals to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 4/ Includes CT Valley Shade-grown only. CT and MA combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Price and value not available for 2006. 5/ Includes estimated 2006 value of production for CT and MA, CT Valley Shade-grown. Used 2005 CT and MA, CT Valley Shade-grown price to compute the 2006 value of production. Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2005-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds --- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts 2/ : NC : 26,000 2,250 58,500 VA : 14,000 2,410 33,740 US : 40,000 2,306 92,240 Type 12, Eastern NC 2/ : Belt : NC : 83,000 2,250 186,750 Type 13, NC Border & 2/: SC Belt : NC : 14,000 2,050 28,700 SC : 19,000 2,100 39,900 US : 33,000 2,079 68,600 Type 14, GA-FL Belt 2/ : FL : 2,500 2,200 5,500 GA : 16,000 1,735 27,760 US : 18,500 1,798 33,260 Total Flue-cured : FL : 2,500 1,100 2,200 2,600 5,500 2,860 GA : 16,000 17,000 1,735 1,770 27,760 30,090 NC : 123,000 155,000 2,227 2,090 273,950 323,950 SC : 19,000 23,000 2,100 2,100 39,900 48,300 VA : 14,000 17,000 2,410 2,430 33,740 41,310 US : 174,500 213,100 2,182 2,095 380,850 446,510 Class 2, Fire-cured : KY : 6,000 6,200 3,400 3,500 20,400 21,700 TN : 5,500 5,300 3,000 3,200 16,500 16,960 VA : 340 350 2,150 2,090 731 732 US : 11,840 11,850 3,178 3,324 37,631 39,392 Class 3, Air-cured : Light Air-cured : Burley : KY : 70,000 73,000 2,050 2,100 143,500 153,300 MO : 1,350 1,500 2,075 2,250 2,801 3,375 NC : 3,000 3,800 1,650 1,700 4,950 6,460 OH : 3,400 3,500 1,980 2,000 6,732 7,000 PA : 2,200 5,500 2,200 2,100 4,840 11,550 TN : 17,000 14,000 2,000 2,200 34,000 30,800 VA : 2,800 2,300 2,100 2,000 5,880 4,600 WV 3/ : 400 1,700 680 US : 100,150 103,600 2,031 2,095 203,383 217,085 Southern MD Belt : PA : 1,500 1,100 2,000 1,900 3,000 2,090 Total Light Air-cured : 101,650 104,700 2,030 2,093 206,383 219,175 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2005-2006 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per : Value of : Pound : Production Class and Type :------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Dollars ---- ----- 1,000 Dollars ---- : Class 1, Flue-cured : Type 11, Old Belts 2/ : NC : 1.480 86,580 VA : 1.477 49,834 US : 1.479 136,414 Type 12, Eastern NC 2/ : Belt : NC : 1.480 276,390 Type 13, NC Border & 2/: SC Belt : NC : 1.460 41,902 SC : 1.471 58,693 US : 1.466 100,595 Type 14, GA-FL Belt 2/ : FL : 1.509 8,300 GA : 1.435 39,836 US : 1.447 48,136 Total Flue-cured : FL : 1.509 1.510 8,300 4,319 GA : 1.435 1.440 39,836 43,330 NC : 1.478 1.500 404,872 485,925 SC : 1.471 1.490 58,693 71,967 VA : 1.477 1.510 49,834 62,378 US : 1.474 1.496 561,535 667,919 Class 2, Fire-cured : KY : 2.350 2.400 47,940 52,080 TN : 2.410 2.400 39,765 40,704 VA : 1.974 1.980 1,443 1,449 US : 2.369 2.392 89,148 94,233 Class 3, Air-cured : Light Air-cured : Burley : KY : 1.560 1.650 223,860 252,945 MO : 1.540 1.600 4,314 5,400 NC : 1.560 1.610 7,722 10,401 OH : 1.582 1.580 10,650 11,060 PA : 1.400 1.650 6,776 19,058 TN : 1.600 1.600 54,400 49,280 VA : 1.575 1.600 9,261 7,360 WV 3/ : 1.550 1,054 US : 1.564 1.638 318,037 355,504 Southern MD Belt : PA : 1.350 1.500 4,050 3,135 Total Light Air-cured : 1.561 1.636 322,087 358,639 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2005-2006 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds --- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 3, Air-cured : Dark Air-cured : KY : 3,700 3,800 2,800 3,100 10,360 11,780 TN : 450 500 2,600 2,750 1,170 1,375 VA 4/ : US : 4,150 4,300 2,778 3,059 11,530 13,155 Class 4, Cigar Filler : PA Seedleaf : PA : 1,300 1,300 2,200 2,000 2,860 2,600 Class 5, Cigar Binder : CT Valley Binder : CT : 1,520 1,650 1,720 1,760 2,614 2,904 MA : 900 950 1,670 1,610 1,503 1,530 US : 2,420 2,600 1,701 1,705 4,117 4,434 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: CT Valley Shade-grown: CT : 930 850 1,400 1,280 1,302 1,088 MA : 290 200 1,180 1,450 342 290 US : 1,220 1,050 1,348 1,312 1,644 1,378 All Cigar Types : 4,940 4,950 1,745 1,699 8,621 8,412 : All Tobacco : 297,080 338,900 2,171 2,144 645,015 726,644 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2005-2006 1/ (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per : Value of : Pound : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Dollars ----- ----- 1,000 Dollars ---- : Class 3, Air-cured : Dark Air-cured : KY : 2.130 2.200 22,067 25,916 TN : 2.200 2.200 2,574 3,025 VA 4/ : US : 2.137 2.200 24,641 28,941 Class 4, Cigar Filler : PA Seedleaf : PA : 1.450 1.550 4,147 4,030 Class 5, Cigar Binder : CT Valley Binder : CT : 5.700 6.500 14,900 18,876 MA : 5.550 6.750 8,342 10,328 US : 5.645 6.586 23,242 29,204 Class 6, Cigar Wrapper: CT Valley Shade-grown: CT 5/ : MA 5/ : US 5/ : 21.000 34,524 All Cigar Types 6/ : 7.182 4.725 61,913 33,234 : All Tobacco 7/ : 1.642 1.668 1,059,324 1,211,904 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2006 revised. 2/ Estimates by type discontinued in 2006. 3/ Estimates discontinued in 2006. 4/ No sun-cured tobacco was harvested in 2005 or 2006. 5/ CT and MA, CT Valley Shade-grown price and value for 2005 combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Price and value not available for 2006. 6/ The 2006 price and value exclude CT Valley Shade-grown. 7/ Includes estimated 2006 value of production for CT and MA, CT Valley Shade-grown. Used 2005 CT and MA, CT Valley Shade-grown price to compute the 2006 value production. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres --------------- 1,000 Pounds : Mar : 2,070 1,935 1,785 870 2,210 2,160 Apr : 2,050 1,930 1,785 860 1,725 2,230 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Bananas, Guavas, Papayas, and Taro: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, Hawaii, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- 1,000 Pounds -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Bananas 1/ 2/ : 980 1,000 21.3 20.0 20,900 20,000 Guavas 1/ : 620 365 13.1 20.3 8,100 7,400 Papayas 1/ 2/ : 1,480 1,530 22.2 18.8 32,900 28,700 Taro 3/ : 360 380 4,300 4,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Only utilized production is estimated. 2/ 2006 revised. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres. Yield is not estimated. Peaches: Total Production by Crop, California, 2005-2006 and Forecasted May 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Freestone : 385,000 353,000 390,000 : Clingstone 1/ : 484,000 359,000 450,000 : Total : 869,000 712,000 840,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ CA Clingstone is over-the-scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery diversions. Almonds (shelled basis): Utilized Production, California, 2005-2006 and Forecasted May 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 1/ : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : CA : 915,000 1,115,000 1,310,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. Cotton: Area Planted and Harvested and Yield by Type, State, and United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Area : Type : Planted : Harvested : Yield and :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 Acres --------------- ---- Pounds ---- : Upland : AL : 550.0 575.0 545.0 560.0 747 579 AZ : 230.0 190.0 229.0 188.0 1,289 1,420 AR : 1,050.0 1,170.0 1,040.0 1,160.0 1,016 1,045 CA : 430.0 285.0 428.0 283.0 1,194 1,321 FL : 86.0 103.0 85.0 101.0 762 789 GA : 1,220.0 1,400.0 1,210.0 1,370.0 849 818 KS : 74.0 115.0 66.0 110.0 638 511 LA : 610.0 635.0 600.0 630.0 878 946 MS : 1,210.0 1,230.0 1,200.0 1,220.0 859 829 MO : 440.0 500.0 438.0 496.0 947 953 NM : 56.0 50.0 51.0 48.0 1,016 930 NC : 815.0 870.0 810.0 865.0 852 713 OK : 255.0 320.0 240.0 180.0 716 541 SC : 266.0 300.0 265.0 298.0 743 697 TN : 640.0 700.0 635.0 695.0 848 945 TX : 5,950.0 6,400.0 5,600.0 4,100.0 723 679 VA : 93.0 105.0 92.0 104.0 955 717 : US : 13,975.0 14,948.0 13,534.0 12,408.0 825 806 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 4.1 7.0 4.1 7.0 820 919 CA : 230.0 275.0 229.0 274.0 1,170 1,204 NM : 11.5 13.0 11.5 12.5 918 768 TX : 24.8 31.0 24.0 30.0 870 720 : US : 270.4 326.0 268.6 323.5 1,127 1,136 : All : AL : 550.0 575.0 545.0 560.0 747 579 AZ : 234.1 197.0 233.1 195.0 1,281 1,402 AR : 1,050.0 1,170.0 1,040.0 1,160.0 1,016 1,045 CA : 660.0 560.0 657.0 557.0 1,186 1,263 FL : 86.0 103.0 85.0 101.0 762 789 GA : 1,220.0 1,400.0 1,210.0 1,370.0 849 818 KS : 74.0 115.0 66.0 110.0 638 511 LA : 610.0 635.0 600.0 630.0 878 946 MS : 1,210.0 1,230.0 1,200.0 1,220.0 859 829 MO : 440.0 500.0 438.0 496.0 947 953 NM : 67.5 63.0 62.5 60.5 998 897 NC : 815.0 870.0 810.0 865.0 852 713 OK : 255.0 320.0 240.0 180.0 716 541 SC : 266.0 300.0 265.0 298.0 743 697 TN : 640.0 700.0 635.0 695.0 848 945 TX : 5,974.8 6,431.0 5,624.0 4,130.0 724 679 VA : 93.0 105.0 92.0 104.0 955 717 : US : 14,245.4 15,274.0 13,802.6 12,731.5 831 814 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. Cotton: Production and Bales Ginned by Type, State, and United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production in : Lint- : Bales Ginned in Type : 480-lb Net Weight : seed : 480-lb Net Weight and : Bales 1/ : Ratio 2/ : Bales 3/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 4/ : 2005 4/ : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 4/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- 1,000 Bales --- -------- Bales -------- : Upland : AL : 848.0 675.0 857,200 691,600 AZ : 615.0 556.0 589,000 530,700 AR : 2,202.0 2,525.0 2,153,600 2,475,450 CA : 1,065.0 779.0 1,089,900 804,650 FL : 135.0 166.0 115,750 153,250 GA : 2,140.0 2,334.0 2,164,500 2,358,150 KS : 87.7 117.0 95,800 119,450 LA : 1,098.0 1,241.0 1,130,500 1,278,750 MS : 2,147.0 2,107.0 2,137,950 2,079,750 MO : 864.0 985.0 884,350 1,015,450 NM : 108.0 93.0 52,050 39,950 NC : 1,437.0 1,285.0 1,454,500 1,306,600 OK : 358.0 203.0 346,000 187,400 SC : 410.0 433.0 401,500 416,250 TN : 1,122.0 1,368.0 1,111,100 1,346,400 TX : 8,440.0 5,800.0 8,494,450 5,862,350 VA : 183.0 155.4 170,700 145,300 : US : 23,259.7 20,822.4 23,248,850 20,811,450 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 7.0 13.4 6,950 13,800 CA : 558.0 687.0 558,000 686,900 NM : 22.0 20.0 21,050 22,100 TX : 43.5 45.0 43,600 42,550 : US : 630.5 765.4 629,600 765,350 : All : AL : 848.0 675.0 857,200 691,600 AZ : 622.0 569.4 595,950 544,500 AR : 2,202.0 2,525.0 0.400 0.409 2,153,600 2,475,450 CA : 1,623.0 1,466.0 0.397 0.397 1,647,900 1,491,550 FL : 135.0 166.0 115,750 153,250 GA : 2,140.0 2,334.0 0.418 0.430 2,164,500 2,358,150 KS : 87.7 117.0 95,800 119,450 LA : 1,098.0 1,241.0 0.414 0.422 1,130,500 1,278,750 MS : 2,147.0 2,107.0 0.407 0.413 2,137,950 2,079,750 MO : 864.0 985.0 884,350 1,015,450 NM : 130.0 113.0 73,100 62,050 NC : 1,437.0 1,285.0 0.421 0.424 1,454,500 1,306,600 OK : 358.0 203.0 346,000 187,400 SC : 410.0 433.0 401,500 416,250 TN : 1,122.0 1,368.0 1,111,100 1,346,400 TX : 8,483.5 5,845.0 0.400 0.404 8,538,050 5,904,900 VA : 183.0 155.4 170,700 145,300 : US : 23,890.2 21,587.8 23,878,450 21,576,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ Estimates available only for the 7 States shown. Based on a three-year average. 3/ Equivalent 480-lb net weight bales ginned, not adjusted for cross-State movement. 4/ Revised. Cottonseed: Production and Farm Disposition by State and United States, 2005-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Farm Disposition : : :-----------------------------------: Seed for : Production : Sales to : : Planting 2/ State: : Oil Mills : Other 1/ : :------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 :2005 3/ : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Tons : AL : 275.0 230.0 58.0 34.0 217.0 196.0 3.5 2.7 AZ : 262.5 214.2 0.0 0.0 262.5 214.2 1.5 1.4 AR : 771.0 861.0 599.0 580.0 172.0 281.0 5.9 4.2 CA : 594.0 532.0 83.0 71.0 511.0 461.0 5.1 4.2 FL : 41.1 49.3 31.5 39.8 9.6 9.5 1.1 0.5 GA : 736.0 699.0 395.0 447.0 341.0 252.0 7.0 5.8 KS : 30.7 45.0 5.9 1.0 24.8 44.0 0.6 0.4 LA : 364.0 400.0 229.0 256.0 135.0 144.0 3.8 2.3 MS : 736.0 731.0 518.0 552.0 218.0 179.0 8.0 4.8 MO : 285.0 359.0 211.0 221.0 74.0 138.0 2.8 2.2 NM : 45.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 45.0 40.0 0.5 0.4 NC : 469.0 414.0 122.0 55.0 347.0 359.0 5.2 3.4 OK : 127.0 71.6 114.0 52.0 13.0 19.6 1.9 1.2 SC : 122.0 136.8 66.0 67.5 56.0 69.3 1.2 0.8 TN : 386.0 441.0 326.0 325.0 60.0 116.0 4.6 3.6 TX : 2,868.7 2,065.9 1,830.4 907.0 1,038.3 1,158.9 38.7 34.4 VA : 59.1 58.1 0.0 0.0 59.1 58.1 0.6 0.5 : US : 8,172.1 7,347.9 4,588.8 3,608.3 3,583.3 3,739.6 92.0 72.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes planting seed, feed, exports, inter-farm sales, shrinkage, losses, and other uses. 2/ Included in "other" farm disposition. Seed for planting is produced in crop year shown, but used in the following year. 3/ Revised. Cotton: Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during 2006. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton: Harvest Loss per Acre, by State, 2002-2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : State : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pounds : : AR : 102 105 83 138 93 CA : 177 130 125 165 135 GA : 153 136 128 139 183 LA : 82 108 84 118 127 MS : 158 95 77 73 68 NC : 185 165 165 189 184 TX : 60 58 49 59 56 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2002-2006 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : AR : Sep : 840 798 864 811 859 : Oct : 763 755 771 728 814 : Nov : 784 744 753 733 849 : Dec : 772 744 754 733 824 : Final : 772 744 754 733 824 : : CA : Sep : 945 973 954 993 911 : Oct : 1,041 945 952 926 869 : Nov : 1,009 893 945 1,002 926 : Dec : 1,011 893 948 1,011 933 : Final : 1,011 893 948 1,011 933 : : GA : Sep : 569 559 646 667 648 : Oct : 604 646 690 689 675 : Nov : 591 643 686 767 774 : Dec : 600 665 687 767 790 : Final : 600 665 687 767 790 : : LA : Sep : 663 681 635 746 760 : Oct : 756 778 707 768 781 : Nov : 749 775 691 775 786 : Dec : 742 775 691 775 785 : Final : 742 775 691 775 785 : : MS : Sep : 802 837 808 818 700 : Oct : 783 824 789 729 699 : Nov : 768 811 780 724 695 : Dec : 767 808 780 722 695 : Final : 767 808 780 722 695 : : NC : Sep : 636 628 758 799 637 : Oct : 629 630 719 693 641 : Nov : 560 632 732 721 671 : Dec : 567 632 733 721 671 : Final : 567 632 733 721 671 : : TX : Sep : 536 465 639 620 530 : Oct : 511 431 672 516 477 : Nov : 520 429 593 586 533 : Dec : 497 435 624 585 544 : Final : 497 435 624 585 544 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3,452.0 3,703.0 2,951.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 78,327.0 90,454.0 70,648.0 Corn for Silage : 6,477.0 Hay, All : 60,807.0 63,056.0 Alfalfa : 21,384.0 All Other : 39,423.0 Oats : 4,168.0 4,029.0 1,576.0 Proso Millet : 580.0 475.0 Rice : 2,838.0 2,644.0 2,821.0 Rye : 1,396.0 274.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 6,522.0 7,109.0 4,937.0 Sorghum for Silage : 347.0 Wheat, All : 57,344.0 60,303.0 46,810.0 Winter : 40,575.0 44,505.0 31,117.0 37,172.0 Durum : 1,870.0 1,990.0 1,815.0 Other Spring : 14,899.0 13,808.0 13,878.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,044.0 1,168.0 1,021.0 Cottonseed 3/ : Flaxseed : 813.0 390.0 767.0 Mustard Seed : 40.5 39.2 Peanuts : 1,243.0 1,197.0 1,209.0 Rapeseed : 1.4 1.0 Safflower : 189.0 179.0 Soybeans for Beans : 75,522.0 67,140.0 74,602.0 Sunflower : 1,950.0 1,799.0 1,770.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 15,274.0 12,147.0 12,731.5 Upland : 14,948.0 11,855.0 12,408.0 Amer-Pima : 326.0 292.0 323.5 Sugarbeets : 1,366.7 1,294.7 1,304.1 Sugarcane : 908.8 Tobacco : 338.9 344.2 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 46.0 37.0 22.5 Dry Edible Beans : 1,629.8 1,504.5 1,537.6 Dry Edible Peas : 925.5 902.0 884.1 Lentils : 429.0 340.0 407.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.3 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.1 Hops : 29.4 Peppermint Oil : 79.2 Potatoes, All : 1,134.7 1,115.5 Winter : 17.7 11.5 17.5 11.5 Spring : 70.7 73.0 67.5 70.4 Summer : 58.4 54.3 Fall : 987.9 976.2 Spearmint Oil : 18.5 Sweet Potatoes : 95.6 92.9 87.2 Taro (HI) 4/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Acreage is not estimated. 4/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Units:------------------------------------------- : : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley :Bu : 61.0 180,051 Corn for Grain :" : 149.1 10,534,868 Corn for Silage :Tons : 16.2 104,849 Hay, All :" : 2.33 141,666 Alfalfa :" : 3.35 71,666 All Other :" : 1.78 70,000 Oats :Bu : 59.5 93,764 Proso Millet :" : 21.5 10,195 Rice 2/ :Cwt : 6,868 193,736 Rye :Bu : 26.3 7,193 Sorghum for Grain :" : 56.2 277,538 Sorghum for Silage :Tons : 13.4 4,642 Wheat, All :Bu : 38.7 1,812,036 Winter :" : 41.7 43.5 1,298,081 1,615,613 Durum :" : 29.5 53,475 Other Spring :" : 33.2 460,480 : : Oilseeds : : Canola :Lbs : 1,366 1,394,332 Cottonseed 3/ :Tons : 7,347.9 Flaxseed :Bu : 14.4 11,019 Mustard Seed :Lbs : 720 28,220 Peanuts :" : 2,874 3,474,450 Rapeseed :" : 1,100 1,100 Safflower :" : 1,069 191,405 Soybeans for Beans :Bu : 42.7 3,188,247 Sunflower :Lbs : 1,211 2,143,613 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ :Bales: 814 21,587.8 Upland 2/ :" : 806 20,822.4 Amer-Pima 2/ :" : 1,136 765.4 Sugarbeets :Tons : 25.9 33,765 Sugarcane :" : 32.8 29,799 Tobacco :Lbs : 2,144 726,644 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ :Cwt : 1,151 259 Dry Edible Beans 2/ :" : 1,577 24,247 Dry Edible Peas 2/ :" : 1,493 13,203 Lentils 2/ :" : 797 3,244 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ :" : 590 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) :Lbs : 1,160 7,300 Ginger Root (HI) :" : 43,000 4,300 Hops :" : 1,964 57,686.7 Peppermint Oil :" : 92 7,248 Potatoes, All :Cwt : 390 434,589 Winter :" : 257 215 4,495 2,473 Spring :" : 293 294 19,766 20,668 Summer :" : 338 18,350 Fall :" : 402 391,978 Spearmint Oil :Lbs : 110 2,038 Sweet Potatoes :Cwt : 189 16,441 Taro (HI) 3/ :Lbs : 4,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Units :-------------------------------------------- : : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit : Tons : 1,018 1,232 1,572 Lemons : " : 870 942 722 Oranges 3/ : " : 9,252 9,002 7,357 Tangelos (FL) : " : 70 63 56 Tangerines : " : 335 417 328 Temples (FL) 3/ : " : 29 32 : : Noncitrus : : Apples : 1,000 Lbs: 9,719.9 10,072.1 Apricots : Tons : 81.7 44.7 Bananas (HI) : Lbs : 20,900.0 20,000.0 Grapes : Tons : 7,813.7 6,346.3 Olives (CA) : " : 142.0 23.5 Papayas (HI) : Lbs : 32,900.0 28,700.0 Peaches : Tons : 1,184.6 1,010.1 Pears : " : 823.3 841.0 Prunes, Dried (CA) : " : 97.0 170.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA): " : 9.1 21.3 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) : Lbs : 915,000 1,115,000 1,310,000 Hazelnuts (OR) : Tons : 27.6 41.0 Pecans : Lbs : 280,250 188,900 Walnuts (CA) : Tons : 355.0 350.0 Maple Syrup : Gals : 1,242 1,449 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2/ Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3/ Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,396,990 1,498,570 1,194,240 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,698,150 36,605,830 28,590,540 Corn for Silage : 2,621,180 Hay, All 3/ : 24,607,980 25,518,130 Alfalfa : 8,653,890 All Other : 15,954,090 Oats : 1,686,750 1,630,500 637,790 Proso Millet : 234,720 192,230 Rice : 1,148,510 1,070,000 1,141,630 Rye : 564,950 110,890 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 2,639,390 2,876,940 1,997,950 Sorghum for Silage : 140,430 Wheat, All 3/ :23,206,540 24,404,020 18,943,540 Winter :16,420,300 18,010,730 12,592,740 15,043,140 Durum : 756,770 805,330 734,510 Other Spring : 6,029,480 5,587,960 5,616,290 : Oilseeds : Canola : 422,500 472,680 413,190 Cottonseed 4/ : Flaxseed : 329,010 157,830 310,400 Mustard Seed : 16,390 15,860 Peanuts : 503,030 484,410 489,270 Rapeseed : 570 400 Safflower : 76,490 72,440 Soybeans for Beans :30,563,000 27,170,890 30,190,680 Sunflower : 789,150 728,040 716,300 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 6,181,240 4,915,770 5,152,310 Upland : 6,049,310 4,797,600 5,021,390 Amer-Pima : 131,930 118,170 130,920 Sugarbeets : 553,090 523,950 527,760 Sugarcane : 367,780 Tobacco : 137,150 139,280 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 18,620 14,970 9,110 Dry Edible Beans : 659,560 608,860 622,250 Dry Edible Peas : 374,540 365,030 357,790 Lentils : 173,610 137,590 164,710 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4/ : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,550 Ginger Root (HI) : 40 Hops : 11,880 Peppermint Oil : 32,050 Potatoes, All 3/ : 459,200 451,430 Winter : 7,160 4,650 7,080 4,650 Spring : 28,610 29,540 27,320 28,490 Summer : 23,630 21,970 Fall : 399,790 395,060 Spearmint Oil : 7,490 Sweet Potatoes : 38,690 37,600 35,290 Taro (HI) 5/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Acreage is not estimated. 5/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.28 3,920,150 Corn for Grain : 9.36 267,597,970 Corn for Silage : 36.29 95,117,410 Hay, All 2/ : 5.22 128,517,230 Alfalfa : 7.51 65,014,300 All Other : 3.98 63,502,930 Oats : 2.13 1,360,980 Proso Millet : 1.20 231,220 Rice : 7.70 8,787,720 Rye : 1.65 182,710 Sorghum for Grain : 3.53 7,049,790 Sorghum for Silage : 29.99 4,211,150 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.60 49,315,540 Winter : 2.81 2.92 35,327,980 43,969,780 Durum : 1.98 1,455,350 Other Spring : 2.23 12,532,210 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.53 632,460 Cottonseed 3/ : 6,665,900 Flaxseed : 0.90 279,900 Mustard Seed : 0.81 12,800 Peanuts : 3.22 1,575,980 Rapeseed : 1.23 500 Safflower : 1.20 86,820 Soybeans for Beans : 2.87 86,769,860 Sunflower : 1.36 972,330 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.91 4,700,190 Upland : 0.90 4,533,540 Amer-Pima : 1.27 166,650 Sugarbeets : 58.04 30,631,090 Sugarcane : 73.50 27,033,200 Tobacco : 2.40 329,600 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.29 11,750 Dry Edible Beans : 1.77 1,099,830 Dry Edible Peas : 1.67 598,880 Lentils : 0.89 147,150 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 26,760 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.30 3,310 Ginger Root (HI) : 48.20 1,950 Hops : 2.20 26,170 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,290 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.67 19,712,630 Winter : 28.79 24.10 203,890 112,170 Spring : 32.82 32.91 896,570 937,480 Summer : 37.88 832,340 Fall : 45.01 17,779,820 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 920 Sweet Potatoes : 21.13 745,750 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,040 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 923,510 1,117,650 1,426,090 Lemons : 789,250 854,570 654,990 Oranges 3/ : 8,393,270 8,166,480 6,674,160 Tangelos (FL) : 63,500 57,150 50,800 Tangerines : 303,910 378,300 297,560 Temples (FL) 3/ : 26,310 29,030 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,408,870 4,568,630 Apricots : 74,070 40,530 Bananas (HI) : 9,480 9,070 Grapes : 7,088,470 5,757,220 Olives (CA) : 128,820 21,320 Papayas (HI) : 14,920 13,020 Peaches : 1,074,610 916,370 Pears : 746,900 762,970 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 88,000 154,220 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 8,260 19,320 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) (shelled) : 415,040 505,760 594,210 Hazelnuts (OR) : 25,040 37,190 Pecans : 127,120 85,680 Walnuts (CA) : 322,050 317,510 Maple Syrup : 6,210 7,240 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2/ Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3/ Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. April Weather Summary A severe and historic early-April freeze followed record-setting March warmth. On April 7-8, several monthly record lows were established in locations that had just experienced record-high March temperatures. In fact, Oklahoma had experienced its warmest March on record (tied with 1907 and 1910), and it had been among the ten warmest in 19 other States from Oregon and California eastward to Kentucky and Tennessee. Days later, areas hardest hit by the early-April freezes stretched from the central and southern Plains into the Southeast, resulting in varying degrees of damage to jointing- to heading-stage winter wheat, emerged corn, tree fruits (blooming and beyond), and a variety of other crops. In addition, new growth of pastures, alfalfa, and red clover was burned back by the freezes. Although temperatures generally rebounded in the wake of the cold snap, additional frost was reported deep into the Southeast as late as April 16. By month's end, however, much of the Nation was again experiencing above-normal temperatures, including several monthly record highs in the West and Midwest. For the month as a whole, temperatures were mostly below normal from the Plains to the East Coast and above normal across the Intermountain West. A few locations on the Plains experienced cooler weather in April than March. Aside from the freeze, the month's most significant weather development was the continuation and expansion of precipitation across the central and southern Plains and the Midwest. The combination of cool, wet Midwestern soils seriously curtailed summer crop planting. Spring wheat planting, which had been advancing slowly on the northern Plains, accelerated toward month's end under a warm, dry regime. Elsewhere, very wet conditions in the Northeast contrasted with drought intensification across much of the Southwest, while variable amounts of rain and snow fell elsewhere in the West. Northeastern rain (and high-elevation snow) was particularly heavy at mid-month, when an intense storm lingered near the northern Atlantic Coast. The same storm produced high winds throughout the East, toppling a tree onto a power line near the Okefenokee Swamp and sparking the largest wildfire in Georgia's history. Other Southeastern concerns related to the drought included stress on pastures and summer crops, unusually heavy irrigation demands, and diminishing water supplies especially in southern Florida's Lake Okeechobee. In fact, drought stress aggravated the effects of freeze damage, especially for pastures and forage crops, in parts of the Southeast. Farther west, much of the West continued to experience prematurely melting mountain snow packs, setting the stage for a summer of below-normal runoff in many river basins. Potential impacts of meager spring and summer runoff could include low stream flows above dams and diminishing reservoir storage as water managers attempt to balance agricultural, environmental, industrial, municipal, and recreational requirements. April Agricultural Summary Temperatures averaging below normal across the Great Plains and throughout the East contrasted with near- to above-normal average temperatures over much of the West, including a major portion of the Rocky Mountains. The exception to the near- to above-normal temperature in the West was in the Pacific Northwest, where below normal temperatures prevailed through much of Washington and Oregon. Near- to above-normal precipitation fell in most areas during the month, with the exception of portions of the Southeast, Southwest, and Intermountain West. The heaviest precipitation occurred along the northern Atlantic Coast, with totals as much as 6 to 9 inches above normal, causing some localized flooding. The above normal precipitation in most of the Corn Belt left fields too soggy for field activity and hampered planting progress. Elsewhere, in the Delta and Texas, favorable conditions allowed planting of the rice and sorghum crops to progress at about the normal pace. Cool, wet weather in April across much of the United States slowed corn planting. Growers planted 12 percent of their acreage during the final week of the month, 1 percentage point higher than the previous three weeks combined. Wet fields limited planting in the Corn Belt, where minimal progress was noticed. As a result, by month's end corn planting reached 23 percent complete, 25 percentage points behind last year and 19 percentage points behind normal. Progress was behind normal in most States, with the exception of North Carolina and Tennessee. Meanwhile, emergence, at 4 percent on April 29, was 8 points behind last year and 6 points behind the 5-year average. Sorghum producers had seeded 23 percent of their acreage by April 29, compared with 27 percent last year and 20 percent for the 5-year average. Planting was most advanced in the Mississippi Delta, at 86 percent complete in Louisiana and 80 percent complete in Arkansas, both significantly ahead of normal. Planting was also ahead of normal in Texas and Oklahoma, at 62 and 31 percent complete, respectively. However, planting had not yet begun in Kansas, Nebraska, and South Dakota. Oat seeding began the month at a slow pace and lagged behind average throughout April. At the beginning of the month, planting was 29 percent complete, compared with 31 percent for the 5-year average. By month's end, however, 62 percent of the acreage had been seeded, compared with 73 percent for the 5-year average. Planting progress trailed behind normal in all States, with the exception of Texas, where the crop is seeded in the fall. As of April 29, just 35 percent of the acreage had emerged, 13 points behind last year and 12 points behind normal. Barley planting has been ahead of normal throughout April. Forty-three percent of the acreage had been seeded by month's end, 11 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of normal. Although North Dakota and Minnesota trailed behind normal, good progress was made in the final week of April. Likewise, emergence of the crop was ahead of normal, reaching 15 percent by month's end, slightly ahead of the 5-year average. Winter wheat heading began the month ahead of normal but lagged slightly behind by month's end. On April 29, twenty-six percent of the crop was at or beyond the heading stage, 12 points behind last year and 2 points behind the 5-year average. Heading was most advanced in California and Arkansas, at 98 and 93 percent, respectively. However, effects of the April 7-8 freeze slowed development of the crop in Kansas and Missouri where heading trailed significantly behind a year ago and the normal pace. Meanwhile, the overall condition of the crop deteriorated during the month, with 19 percent of the crop rated poor to very poor, compared with 6 percent on April 2. Spring wheat seeding trailed behind normal during the month, mostly due to cool and wet conditions in the northern Great Plains. However, progress accelerated during the final week of April, as growers planted 20 percent of the crop during that period. At month's end, 34 percent of the crop had been sown, compared with 39 percent last year and 45 percent for the 5-year average. Six percent of the crop had emerged, 3 points behind last year and 9 points behind normal. Emergence was ahead of normal in Idaho but behind normal elsewhere. Rice planting was at 60 percent complete by month's end, 11 points behind last year and 2 points behind normal. Arkansas, at 65 percent planted, trailed 21 points behind last year and 10 points behind the 5-year average. Producers in Louisiana and Mississippi also trailed behind last year and normal. On April 29, thirty-three percent of the crop had emerged, compared with 50 percent last year and 38 percent for the 5-year average. Emergence advanced by 13 percent in the final week of the month, however, all States were behind normal, with the exception of California. Soybean growers had sown 3 percent of their expected acres nationwide by month's end, 6 points behind last year and 4 points behind the 5-year average. Planting was most advanced in the Delta, at 50 percent in Mississippi, 32 percent in Louisiana, and 14 percent in Arkansas, but progress was behind last year in all three States. Wet and cold weather throughout the Great Plains and Corn Belt resulted in little or no planting activities during the month. Early peanut planting is on the same pace as the previous year, at 4 percent complete on April 29, but 2 points behind the 5-year average. Drought conditions across Georgia have limited planting progress which trailed behind last year and normal. Peanut planting had begun in all States by month's end, with the intended acreage planted at 10 percent complete or less. Cotton growers lagged behind their normal planting pace throughout the month, reaching 19 percent complete by month's end, 11 points behind last year and 6 points behind the 5-year average. Planting was behind in the Delta and Southeast, as the lack of soil moisture continues to be a concern for growers who have yet to plant their crops. Planting was most advanced in California and Arizona, at 97 and 55 percent, respectively. With the exception of Kansas, all States had begun planting. Sugarbeet seeding fell behind normal around midmonth, but accelerated rapidly during the last week. Growers planted 34 percent of their crop during the final week of the month, reaching 56 percent complete by April 29, five percentage points ahead of last year, but slightly behind the 5-year average. North Dakota, Minnesota, and Michigan made notable progress by month's end, planting 49, 38, and 35 percent of their crop during the final week, respectively. Winter Wheat: Production is forecast at 1.62 billion bushels, up 24 percent from 2006. Based on May 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 43.5 bushels per acre, 1.8 bushels above last year. Grain area totals 37.2 million acres, up 19 percent from last year. Hard Red Winter (HRW) harvested acreage is up about 26 percent from the previous year. Soft Red Winter (SRW) harvested acreage is estimated to be up 8 percent from last year. The portion of the winter wheat crop rated good to excellent on April 29, at 56 percent, was 20 percentage points above last year. HRW expectations in the central and southern Great Plains were well above normal prior to the April 7-8 freeze. The week following the freeze, condition ratings fell but improved slightly in Kansas and Texas by April 29. Expected harvested area and yield are up significantly in Oklahoma and Texas compared with last year's drought stricken crop. As of April 29, heading had advanced ahead of normal in Texas but slightly behind in Oklahoma and well behind average in Kansas. Wheat conditions in Nebraska are rated mostly good to excellent with development ahead of normal and last year. Crop development in Montana and Colorado is slightly behind last year with condition rated as good to excellent. Growers in many States in the SRW area expect yields to be below last year. Winter wheat crop conditions deteriorated in several Delta States due to a freeze on April 7-8. Parts of Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, and Kentucky were adversely affected by the freezing temperatures. The cold weather hit during a critical time in some areas, just as the crop was starting to head. Harvested area across the southern portion of the SRW area is up from last year due to an increase in planted acres. Fewer planted acres due to wet conditions in the fall coupled with the April freeze damage is expected to result in fewer harvested acres across the central and northern portions of the SRW region. In the Pacific Northwest, wheat condition is rated mostly good to excellent and soil moisture is mostly adequate. Durum Wheat: Production of Durum wheat in Arizona and California is forecast at a collective 16.6 million bushels, up 20 percent from the previous year. In California, heading was complete in most areas of the State as of April 29, with no quality or disease issues reported. Hay Stocks on Farms: All hay stored on farms May 1, 2007 totaled 15.0 million tons, down 30 percent from the previous year and the lowest since 1950. Disappearance of hay from December 1, 2006 - May 1, 2007, totaled 81.4 million tons, 3 percent less than the disappearance of 83.9 million tons for the same period a year earlier. Thirty-eight of the 48 reporting States had lower May 1 hay stocks than a year ago. Hay stocks in most of these States were also below year ago levels on December 1, 2006. Drought conditions during most of 2006 caused deterioration of pastures throughout the Southeast resulting in increased supplemental feeding of hay, reducing the December 1 stocks. The drought in that area persisted into the winter and spring which also increased the amount of hay fed. Elsewhere, supplemental feeding increased in the central Plains and Midwest due to some harsh mid-winter storms and below normal temperatures in April. Hay stocks increased from last year in Wisconsin and in most of the northern Atlantic Coast States. Wisconsin hay stocks, up 15 percent from May 2006, are the highest since 2002 as a result of the excellent hay and forage production during 2006. Pennsylvania and New York are also up from the previous year as a result of higher hay production in 2006 and a mild winter. Almonds: The 2007 California almond production is forecast at 1.31 billion pounds, shelled basis, up 17 percent from the revised 2006 crop. Bearing acreage, at 615,000, increased 5 percent from the previous year's revised acreage. The average yield is forecast at a record high 2,130 pounds per acre, up 220 pounds from last year's revised yield and 130 pounds higher than the previous record high set in 2002. Almond set looks very strong. Chill hours were easily accumulated over the winter. Weather conditions were good during pollination, and there was sufficient bee presence in orchards. Throughout the Central Valley, nut set on the popular Nonpareil variety is uniformly heavy. Due to heavy loads, some limbs were removed to prevent trees from splitting. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.23 million pounds for April, up 3 percent from March and 29 percent more than April 2006. Area in crop totaled 1,930 acres, 6 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 860 acres in April, down 1 percent from March and 52 percent lower than April 2006. Conditions in papaya growing areas were generally favorable during April. Normal field activities were conducted as weather permitted. Hawaii's revised 2006 annual papaya utilization is 28.7 million pounds, up 1 percent from the preliminary estimate but 13 percent lower than last year's production. Harvested area, at 1,530 acres for 2006, is 3 percent higher than the previous year. Excessive rain from late February through April of last year damaged papaya fruit and trees by causing soil erosion, flooding, and disease outbreaks. Drier weather followed and growers were able to resume normal field activities. Hawaii Island accounted for 91 percent of the total papaya acreage. Statewide, the genetically modified Rainbow variety accounted for 57 percent of the bearing acres in 2006, compared with 61 percent in 2005. California Peaches: The California 2007 peach crop is forecast at 840,000 tons, up 18 percent from 2006 but 3 percent below two years ago. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 390,000 tons, up 10 percent from last year and 1 percent above the 2005 crop. California experienced an adequate number of chilling hours, thus benefitting the Freestone crop. The bloom period was fairly quick, with above average temperatures and no rain. The crop is reported to be of excellent quality with good sizes. Harvest began during the middle of April with the April Snow and Snow Angel varieties. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 450,000 tons, up 25 percent from last year but 7 percent below the 2005 crop. Overall, bloom was reported to be good on all varieties. The crop experienced an adequate number of chilling hours and is reported to be in excellent condition with good size and uniform growth. Harvest is expected to begin in late June in the Kingsburg area. Bananas: Hawaii banana production for 2006 is estimated at 20.0 million pounds, up 18 percent from the initial forecast but 4 percent lower than last year. Statewide, bananas were harvested from 1,000 acres, up 20 acres from 2005. Weather conditions during 2006 were mixed for banana orchards. Six weeks of heavy rainfall from late February through March slowed fruit maturation and curtailed orchard maintenance. For the rest of the season, orchard maintenance and monitoring for banana bunchy top virus were ongoing. Guavas: Utilized production in Hawaii for 2006 is estimated at 7.40 million pounds, 9 percent lower than utilized production in 2005. Harvested area totaled 365 acres, 41 percent below the area harvested in 2005. Yield (based on utilized production) averaged 20,300 pounds per acre, compared with 13,100 pounds in 2005. Weather conditions in guava orchards were generally poor during the first quarter of the year. Taro: Hawaii taro production for the 2006 crop year is estimated at 4.50 million pounds, up 5 percent from the previous year's record low of 4.30 million pounds. Taro production in 2006 was the second lowest since estimates began in 1946. Area in crop, at 380 acres, was up 20 acres from 2005. Heavy winter rains flooded taro fields and slowed corm development. Disease pressure and apple snails continued to challenge taro growers. Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2006-07 U.S. grapefruit crop is 1.57 million tons, down 3 percent from the April 1 forecast but 28 percent higher than last season's final utilization of 1.23 million tons. Florida's grapefruit production is forecast at 27.0 million boxes (1.15 million tons), down 4 percent from last month but 40 percent above last season's hurricane-reduced final utilization of 19.3 million boxes (820,000 tons). The all white grapefruit forecast is 9.50 million boxes (404,000 tons), down 5 percent from April but 46 percent above last season's final utilization. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 17.5 million boxes (744,000 tons), is down 3 percent from last month but 37 percent above last season's utilization. The row count survey conducted May 2-3 showed 95 percent of all grapefruit rows harvested, with a lower percentage of colored grapefruit harvested than white. Due to the overall excellent quality of this season's crop, 50 percent of colored grapefruit have been harvested for fresh use. Arizona, California, and Texas forecasts are carried forward from April. Tangerines: The 2006-07 U.S. tangerine forecast is 328,000 tons, unchanged from the April forecast but 21 percent lower than last season's final utilization of 417,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 4.60 million boxes (219,000 tons), unchanged from the April forecast and 16 percent lower than last season's utilization of 5.50 million boxes. Early variety tangerine harvest is complete, and the row count survey conducted May 2-3 showed that the later maturing Honey tangerine harvest was 97 percent complete. Arizona and California tangerine forecasts are carried forward from April. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast is 1.25 million boxes (56,000 tons), unchanged from the April 1 forecast but down 11 percent from last season's final utilized production. Tangelo harvest is complete with 66 percent of this season's crop being processed. Florida Citrus: Two storm fronts pushed across the State during the second week of April dumping much needed rain and bringing cooler temperatures to citrus producing areas. Central and eastern areas received two to three inches of rainfall and the west coast had over three and one half inches. The rest of the month was relatively dry. Temperatures were normal with cool mornings in the 50s to 60s, and afternoons in the 80s. Canal and lake levels are receding and the dry, warm weather is putting stress on the trees causing damaged and unhealthy groves to decline more quickly. The bloom period lasted for most of the month in many parts of the State. Growers continued to irrigate to keep the trees in good condition as the new fruit was setting. Some southwest growers had water restrictions placed on them early in the month making it difficult to irrigate. Valencia harvest pushed to over five million boxes per week, with improving quality and maturity levels throughout the month. Grapefruit harvest dropped below one million boxes per week, with about three-fourths of these going to processing. Weekly Honey tangerine harvest was just under 100,000 boxes. Caretaker activities consisted of hedging, topping, and applying post bloom nutritional sprays. Resetting took place where there was an availability of trees. In addition to the normal maintenance programs, growers scouted for greening and removed diseased trees. California Citrus: Harvest of oranges, tangerines, tangelos, mandarins, and grapefruit continued throughout the month of April. Navel orange pack out volumes were low. Bloom was ongoing in Satsuma mandarins, oranges, and grapefruit in Stanilaus County and Star Ruby grapefruit harvest started mid-month in Tulare County. Treatment for the control of fungus and weeds continued as did foliar applications of nutrients. Citrus trees continue to be hedged, topped, thinned, and frost damaged limbs removed. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape vineyard operators continued fertilizing, irrigating, and spraying to control weeds throughout the month of April. Grape vines were leafing out and forming bunches and winter cover crops in the vineyards were being disked and mowed. Growers reported some grapes receiving severe damage from a storm in Raisin City, Caruthers, and Sanger at the beginning of April. Stone fruit, nut, and pomegranate orchards were irrigated, fertilized, and treated with herbicides while new orchards were planted. Most stone fruit were in petal fall and early fruit was thinned. Apple, pear, and quince orchards were in full bloom with some fruit being thinned toward the end of April. Early varieties of cherries were nearing maturity with reports of a good-to-excellent crop load. By the end of April, early varieties of nectarines, peaches, and apricots were being picked in Tulare County. Blueberries and strawberries were being harvested. Olive buds were swelling throughout the month and cultural practices, such as mowing, disking, irrigating, and spraying, were in full swing in nut orchards. Almond nut sizes were increasing and there appears to be an excellent almond crop. Due to heavy loads, some limbs were removed to prevent the almond trees from splitting. Blight treatments were ongoing in walnut orchards and pistachio bloom continued throughout the north. Spring Potatoes: Spring production in 2007 is forecast at 20.7 million cwt, down 1 percent from the April forecast but 5 percent above last year. Area for harvest is estimated at 70,400 acres, up 1 percent from April and 4 percent above last year. The average yield is forecast at 294 cwt per acre, 4 cwt below last month but up 1 cwt from a year ago. Florida production is forecast at 7.73 million cwt, down 2 percent from the April 1 forecast but 20 percent above the 2006 production. Florida's winter potatoes were combined with spring potatoes in 2007. Mostly dry weather during April allowed growers to maintain proper soil moisture levels for harvest, resulting in very good quality potatoes. North Carolina's potato crop is forecast at 2.76 million cwt, down 5 percent from the April 1 forecast and 15 percent below last year. Below average temperatures during April lowered yield expectations but growers are still optimistic about the quality of the potatoes. California spring production is forecast at 6.12 million cwt, unchanged from last month's forecast but 1 percent above last year. Cold weather earlier in the year put the crop behind schedule and some growers will not begin harvest until June. Production in Texas is forecast at 2.94 million cwt, up 3 percent from both the April 1 forecast and the 2006 production. Growing conditions have been good with high levels of moisture available. Arizona growers expect production to total 1.12 million cwt, up 7 percent from the April forecast but down 4 percent from 2006. An increase in acreage from the April forecast more than offset a decrease in yield. Tobacco: Revised U.S. tobacco production for 2006 totaled 727 million pounds, down slightly from the January preliminary estimate but up 13 percent from 2005. Harvested area is estimated at 338,900 acres, fractionally below the January preliminary estimate but up 14 percent from the previous year's record low. Yield per acre averaged 2,144 pounds, down 27 pounds from 2005. Flue-cured production totaled 447 million pounds, unchanged from the January preliminary estimate. This is 17 percent greater than 2005 when 381 million pounds were produced. Growers harvested 213,100 acres, up 22 percent from the previous year. Flue-cured yields averaged 2,095 pounds per acre, down 87 pounds from 2005. North Carolina, the leading producer of flue-cured tobacco, produced 324 million pounds, approximately 73 percent of all flue-cured production. Burley production, which accounted for 99 percent of all light air-cured tobacco, totaled 217 million pounds. This is unchanged from the January preliminary estimate but 7 percent above 2005. Producers of burley tobacco harvested 103,600 acres in 2006, up 3 percent from the previous year. Yields averaged 2,095 pounds per acre, 64 pounds greater than 2005. Kentucky, the leading producer of burley tobacco, produced 153 million pounds, 71 percent of all burley grown in the United States. Total revised fire-cured production is estimated at 39.4 million pounds, up 2 percent from the January preliminary estimate and 5 percent above the previous year. Growers harvested a total of 11,850 acres, virtually unchanged from 2005. Fire-cured yields averaged 3,324 pounds per acre, up 146 pounds from the previous year. Revised dark air-cured production totaled 13.2 million pounds, down 5 percent from the January preliminary estimate but 14 percent above the previous year. Growers harvested 4,300 acres in 2006, up 4 percent from 2005. Yields averaged 3,059 pounds per acre, up 281 pounds from the previous year. Kentucky, the leading producer of dark air-cured tobacco, produced 11.8 million pounds in 2006, accounting for 90 percent of the dark air-cured tobacco grown in the United States. Production of cigar tobacco, which includes filler, binder, and wrapper, is estimated at 8.41 million pounds, down 2 percent from both the January preliminary estimate and the previous year. Growers harvested 4,950 acres in 2006, virtually unchanged from the previous year. The average yield was 1,699 pounds per acre, 46 pounds below 2005. Cotton: All cotton production for 2006 is estimated at 21.6 million 480-pound bales, down 10 percent from last year's record high. The U.S. all cotton yield averaged 814 pounds per harvested acre, down 17 pounds from 2005. Upland cotton production is estimated at 20.8 million 480-pound bales, 10 percent less than last year's record high. The U.S. yield for upland cotton is estimated at 806 pounds per acre, down 19 pounds from 2005. American-Pima production totaled 765,400 bales, up 2l percent from 2005. The U.S. yield for American-Pima is 1,136 pounds per acre, up 9 pounds from last year. The area planted to all cotton totaled 15.3 million acres, up 7 percent from 2005. Harvested acreage at 12.7 million acres is down 8 percent from last year. In the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia), planting was completed by mid-June. During the summer months, producers in Georgia and Alabama battled drought conditions. Producers in the Carolinas and Virginia received favorable weather but Tropical Storm Ernesto made landfall in late August bringing heavy rains and strong winds to some areas. By mid-September, harvest was in full swing in Alabama and Georgia aided by hot, dry weather. Harvest in the Carolinas started in late September. Harvest throughout the region was complete by early December. The objective yield survey in Georgia showed the largest bolls per acre on record but the boll weight was the third lowest on record. Production in Georgia is a record high, surpassing the previous record set in 2001. In the Delta region, planting was complete by late May. The summer months of June and July brought hot, dry conditions throughout the region which allowed the crop to mature ahead of normal. With the advanced crop, harvest got underway in late August in Mississippi and Louisiana. In Arkansas, Tennessee, and Missouri, heavy rains during the early fall delayed harvest. However, by early October, harvest was in full swing and was completed by late November. In Arkansas and Louisiana, objective yield data showed the bolls per acre to be the largest in the last ten years and the boll weight in Arkansas was the heaviest in the last ten years. Data from the objective yield survey in Mississippi showed boll weight and boll counts to be the lowest in the last 5 years. In Arkansas and Tennessee, production is at a record high level, surpassing the previous record set last year. Hot, dry conditions allowed producers in the Southwest (Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) to finish planting in early June, ahead of normal. The drought conditions continued throughout the summer causing stress to the dryland cotton but allowing the crop to mature well ahead of normal. In the Plains region, cooler temperatures and rain showers in late August and early September brought much needed relief to the crop. In South Texas, harvest was complete by late September. In Oklahoma and Kansas, harvest was in full swing by mid-October. Wet early fall weather in the Texas Plains delayed harvest but progress gained momentum in late November after the first freeze. Data from the objective yield survey in Texas showed an above average number of bolls per acre while the boll weight was the heaviest on record. California upland producers battled cool, wet weather in March and April that delayed planting but by early June planting was complete. Hot, dry weather started in late June and continued throughout July with temperatures exceeding 100 degrees F for several weeks causing stress to the crop. Even with the heat stress endured in July, the crop matured and developed normally throughout the fall. Harvest in the Desert Southwest got underway in late August and was complete by late October. In California, harvest wrapped up in December. The objective yield survey in California indicated the weight per boll to be the lowest in the last 10 years. Cottonseed: Cottonseed production in 2006 totaled 7.35 million tons, down 10 percent from last year. Sales to oil mills accounted for 49 percent of the disposition. The remaining 51 percent will be used for seed, feed, exports, and various other uses. Reliability of May 1 Crop Production Forecast Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between April 21 and May 7 to gather information on expected yield as of May 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in three States (Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas) where winter wheat is normally mature enough to make meaningful counts. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 14,600 producers representing all major production areas. These producers were selected from an earlier acreage survey and were asked about the probable winter wheat acres for harvest and yield on their operation. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the May 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which accounts for nearly 75 percent of the U.S. production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at the start of the season based on a fruit tree census conducted every other year, combined with ongoing review based on administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per tree is determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted, which combined with the previous components are used to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida Field Office submits its analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecast. The May 1 orange production forecasts for Arizona, California, and Texas are carried forward from April. Revision Policy: The May 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits Summary released in September. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the May 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 winter wheat production forecast is 6.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 6.9 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 11.9 percent. Differences between the May 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 84 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 285 million bushels. The May 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not imply that the May 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 orange production forecast is 2.5 percent. However, if you exclude the 6 abnormal production seasons (4 freeze seasons and 2 hurricane seasons), the "Root Mean Square Error" is 1.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimates by more than 2.5 percent, or 1.5 percent, excluding abnormal seasons. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 4.4 percent, or 2.7 percent, excluding abnormal seasons. Changes between the May 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 163,000 tons (149,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons), ranging from 5,000 tons to 714,000 tons (5,000 tons to 369,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons). The May 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times (below 6 times and above 8 times, excluding abnormal seasons). This does not imply that the May 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Jeff Geuder, Chief .(202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head(202) 720-2127 Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings(202) 720-5944 Todd Ballard - Wheat, Rye(202) 720-8068 Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed(202) 720-9526 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice(202) 720-7688 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds(202) 720-7369 King Whetstone - Hay, Oats, Sorghum(202) 690-3234 Greg Thessen - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-2127 Fruits, Vegetables & Special Crops Section Lance Honig, Head(202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco(202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries(202) 720-2157 Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits(202) 720-5412 Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Tree Nuts(202) 720-4215 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Faye Propsom- Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops(360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes(202) 720-4285 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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