Cr Pr 2-2 (7-07) Crop Production National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 12, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Winter Wheat Production Down 3 Percent from June Forecast Durum Wheat Production Up 47 Percent from 2006 Other Spring Wheat Production Up 8 Percent from 2006 All Orange Production Up 3 Percent from June Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.56 billion bushels. This is down 3 percent from last month but 20 percent above 2006. The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.6 bushels per acre, down 1.6 bushels from last month and down 0.1 bushel from last year. The area expected to be harvested for grain totals 37.6 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 29, 2007 but up 21 percent from last year. Hard Red Winter, at 964 million bushels, is down 7 percent from a month ago. Soft Red Winter, at 364 million bushels, is up 7 percent from the last forecast. White Winter is down 1 percent from last month and now totals 235 million bushels. Of this total, 18.1 million bushels are Hard White and 216 million bushels are Soft White. Durum wheat production is forecast at 78.7 million bushels, up 47 percent from 2006. The U.S. yield is forecast at 36.4 bushels per acre, 6.9 bushels above last year. Expected area to be harvested for grain totals 2.16 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 29, 2007 but up 19 percent from last year. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 498 million bushels, 8 percent above 2006. The expected area to be harvested for grain totals 12.7 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 29, 2007 but down 8 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 39.1 bushels per acre, up 5.9 bushels from 2006. Of the total production, 471 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, up 9 percent from last year. The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2006-07 season is 7.59 million tons, up 3 percent from the June 1 forecast but 16 percent below last season's final utilization of 9.00 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast, at 129 million boxes (5.80 million tons), is down 1 percent from last month and 13 percent lower than the final utilization from the 2005-06 season's crop. Early, midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 65.6 million boxes (2.95 million tons), unchanged from the June forecast but down 13 percent from last season's final utilization. Harvest of early, midseason, and navel varieties is complete. Florida's Valencia forecast is 63.3 million boxes (2.85 million tons), down 3 percent from the June forecast and down 13 percent from last season's final utilization. The row count survey conducted at the end of June showed slightly more than 1 percent of the Valencia rows remained to be harvested. California's all orange forecast for July is 45.0 million boxes (1.69 million tons), up 22 percent from the April forecast but 26 percent below last season's final utilization. Navel oranges are forecast at 34.0 million boxes (1.28 million tons), up 26 percent from the April forecast but down 28 percent from the previous season's utilization. Navel harvest is virtually complete. Yields were higher than previously expected; however, a higher than normal percentage of the crop was unsuitable for the fresh market and was diverted to processing. The forecast for Valencia oranges is 11.0 million boxes (413,000 tons), up 10 percent from the previous forecast but down 19 percent from last season. Harvest has begun and is still gaining momentum. The Texas forecast for all oranges is 1.94 million boxes (82,000 tons), up 5 percent from the April forecast and 21 percent higher than last season's utilization. Arizona's all orange forecast, at 350,000 boxes (14,000 tons), is unchanged from the April 1 forecast but down 22 percent from the previous season. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2006-07 season, at 1.65 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, is unchanged from last month but up from the 2005-06 season's yield of 1.63 gallons. Final yield from the early-midseason portion is unchanged from last month at 1.56 gallons, up from 1.53 gallons last season. Valencias are projected to yield 1.77 gallons, down from 1.78 gallons last month but up from the yield of 1.75 gallons for the 2005-06 crop. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons. This report was approved on July 12, 2007. Secretary of Agriculture Mike Johanns Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Carol C. House Contents Page Grains & Hay Barley. . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Oats. . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Wheat, by Class . . . . . . . 6 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . 6 Wheat, Other Spring . . . . . 6 Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . 5 Head Population. 7 Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils Lentils . . . . . . . . . . .15 Peas, Austrian Winter . . . .15 Peas, Dry Edible. . . . . . .15 Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts Almonds . . . . . . . . . . .10 Apricots. . . . . . . . . . .10 Grapes. . . . . . . . . . . .10 Papayas . . . . . . . . . . .10 Peaches . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Citrus Fruits Grapefruit. . . . . . . . . .11 Lemons. . . . . . . . . . . .11 Oranges . . . . . . . . . . .11 Tangelos. . . . . . . . . . .11 Tangerines. . . . . . . . . .11 Temples . . . . . . . . . . .11 Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops Potatoes. . . . . . . . . . .12 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . .25 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . .16 Information Contacts . . . . . .35 Reliability of Production Data in this Report33 Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . .22 Weather Summary. . . . . . . . .24 Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : CA : 20 25 86.0 71.0 1,500 1,720 1,775 ID : 20 20 72.0 65.0 1,280 1,440 1,300 IL : 40 20 77.0 71.0 3,160 3,080 1,420 IA : 110 75 76.0 81.0 9,875 8,360 6,075 KS : 40 40 45.0 55.0 2,360 1,800 2,200 MI : 65 70 62.0 62.0 4,575 4,030 4,340 MN : 200 190 56.0 63.0 12,710 11,200 11,970 MT : 24 20 46.0 57.0 1,855 1,104 1,140 NE : 55 30 41.0 59.0 4,380 2,255 1,770 NY : 67 78 74.0 54.0 4,050 4,958 4,212 ND : 120 220 41.0 67.0 14,160 4,920 14,740 OH : 55 60 75.0 57.0 3,600 4,125 3,420 OR : 20 12 95.0 90.0 1,404 1,900 1,080 PA : 110 90 64.0 65.0 6,050 7,040 5,850 SD : 95 190 57.0 70.0 12,960 5,415 13,300 TX : 100 100 37.0 44.0 4,730 3,700 4,400 WI : 230 160 63.0 63.0 13,760 14,490 10,080 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 205 212 59.6 55.9 12,469 12,227 11,849 : US : 1,576 1,612 59.5 62.6 114,878 93,764 100,921 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, VA, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2007 Summary." Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : AZ : 22 33 115.0 105.0 3,000 2,530 3,465 CA : 65 60 55.0 70.0 3,780 3,575 4,200 CO : 42 58 115.0 125.0 7,670 4,830 7,250 DE : 24 20 80.0 89.0 2,187 1,920 1,780 ID : 510 560 84.0 80.0 52,200 42,840 44,800 MD : 32 34 87.0 85.0 3,526 2,784 2,890 MN : 90 120 60.0 64.0 3,870 5,400 7,680 MT : 620 730 50.0 54.0 39,200 31,000 39,420 ND : 995 1,350 49.0 61.0 57,240 48,755 82,350 OR : 42 55 58.0 60.0 2,025 2,436 3,300 PA : 46 45 81.0 82.0 3,384 3,726 3,690 SD : 14 30 40.0 55.0 2,303 560 1,650 UT : 30 30 76.0 75.0 1,920 2,280 2,250 VA : 42 35 77.0 73.0 3,915 3,234 2,555 WA : 190 225 63.0 60.0 12,505 11,970 13,500 WY : 57 45 83.0 92.0 5,580 4,731 4,140 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 130 112 57.5 54.5 7,591 7,480 6,105 : US : 2,951 3,542 61.0 65.2 211,896 180,051 231,025 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2007 Summary." Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2007 : : : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 :-------------------: 2006 : 2007 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres ------- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --- : AR : 305 670 61.0 42.0 40.0 18,605 26,800 CA : 250 270 58.0 74.0 80.0 14,500 21,600 CO : 1,900 2,250 21.0 37.0 39.0 39,900 87,750 DE : 45 55 67.0 68.0 70.0 3,015 3,850 GA : 120 250 49.0 40.0 38.0 5,880 9,500 ID : 710 740 77.0 81.0 81.0 54,670 59,940 IL : 910 810 67.0 55.0 57.0 60,970 46,170 IN : 460 400 69.0 59.0 58.0 31,740 23,200 KS : 9,100 9,400 32.0 38.0 32.0 291,200 300,800 KY : 320 240 71.0 38.0 51.0 22,720 12,240 MD : 125 175 68.0 66.0 66.0 8,500 11,550 MI : 650 630 73.0 71.0 71.0 47,450 44,730 MS : 73 330 59.0 59.0 61.0 4,307 20,130 MO : 910 850 54.0 42.0 42.0 49,140 35,700 MT : 1,920 2,150 43.0 42.0 42.0 82,560 90,300 NE : 1,700 2,000 36.0 42.0 42.0 61,200 84,000 NY : 95 90 61.0 52.0 51.0 5,795 4,590 NC : 420 500 59.0 38.0 39.0 24,780 19,500 OH : 960 780 68.0 64.0 64.0 65,280 49,920 OK : 3,400 4,300 24.0 33.0 27.0 81,600 116,100 OR : 730 750 53.0 55.0 55.0 38,690 41,250 PA : 150 155 59.0 54.0 56.0 8,850 8,680 SC : 123 135 50.0 30.0 28.0 6,150 3,780 SD : 1,150 1,800 36.0 44.0 45.0 41,400 81,000 TN : 190 300 64.0 32.0 39.0 12,160 11,700 TX : 1,400 4,000 24.0 35.0 36.0 33,600 144,000 VA : 155 185 68.0 61.0 67.0 10,540 12,395 WA : 1,800 1,790 66.0 66.0 65.0 118,800 116,350 WI : 230 270 78.0 65.0 66.0 17,940 17,820 : Oth 1/ : Sts : 816 1,313 44.3 41.8 43.1 36,139 56,562 : US : 31,117 37,588 41.7 43.2 41.6 1,298,081 1,561,907 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2007 Summary." Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2007 : : : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 :-------------------: 2006 : 2007 : : : : Jun 1 : Jul 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- 1,000 Bushels : AZ : 74 79 100.0 100.0 95.0 7,400 7,505 CA : 65 85 99.0 95.0 95.0 6,435 8,075 MT : 395 525 17.0 26.0 6,715 13,650 ND : 1,260 1,450 25.0 33.0 31,500 47,850 : Oth : Sts 1/: 21 24 67.9 67.4 1,425 1,617 : US : 1,815 2,163 29.5 36.4 53,475 78,697 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include ID and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2007 Summary." Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres --- Bushels -- ------- 1,000 Bushels ------ : ID : 470 490 73.0 68.0 32,400 34,310 33,320 MN : 1,650 1,700 47.0 48.0 70,930 77,550 81,600 MT : 2,900 2,500 22.0 29.0 81,600 63,800 72,500 ND : 6,850 6,100 31.0 37.0 224,400 212,350 225,700 OR : 115 125 50.0 45.0 5,980 5,750 5,625 SD : 1,420 1,330 30.0 43.0 67,600 42,600 57,190 WA : 425 445 50.0 43.0 18,700 21,250 19,135 : Oth : Sts 1/: 48 43 59.8 60.0 2,846 2,870 2,578 : US : 13,878 12,733 33.2 39.1 504,456 460,480 497,648 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2007 Summary." Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 1/ ---------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter :--------------------------------------------------------- Year : Hard : Soft : Hard : Soft : All : Red : Red : White : White : White ---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2005 : 929,820 309,021 25,279 235,009 260,288 2006 : 682,079 390,165 13,284 212,553 225,837 2007 : 963,642 363,657 18,117 216,491 234,608 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Spring : :---------------------------------------------------------: : Hard : Hard : Soft : All : : Total : Red : White : White : White : Durum : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2005 : 466,587 4,530 33,339 37,869 101,105 2,104,690 2006 : 432,339 6,226 21,915 28,141 53,475 1,812,036 2007 : 470,893 6,001 20,754 26,755 78,697 2,138,252 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both survey and administrative data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season for States that do not have survey or administrative data available. Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during 2007. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 2003-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2003 : 2004 : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : CO : July : 38.9 32.8 44.1 34.6 41.3 : August : 38.4 32.1 44.2 34.5 : Final : 38.4 32.1 44.2 34.5 : : IL : July : 56.5 51.0 57.3 62.4 52.3 : August : 56.6 51.0 57.1 62.5 : Final : 56.6 51.0 57.1 62.5 : : KS : July : 50.4 41.2 47.8 39.9 43.5 : August : 50.6 41.4 47.8 39.9 : Final : 50.6 41.4 47.8 39.9 : : MO : July : 51.3 51.8 44.4 48.2 53.1 : August : 51.3 51.8 44.4 48.2 : Final : 51.3 51.8 44.4 48.2 : : MT : July : 44.5 40.2 48.7 42.1 38.5 : August : 42.9 40.4 48.9 42.9 : Final : 42.9 40.4 48.9 42.9 : : NE : July : 59.5 43.0 59.6 50.8 49.5 : August : 59.6 43.2 59.1 51.2 : Final : 59.6 43.2 59.1 51.2 : : OH : July : 53.1 52.1 56.1 53.5 52.4 : August : 53.3 52.1 56.0 53.7 : Final : 53.3 52.1 56.0 53.7 : : OK : July : 46.8 40.5 39.4 31.7 42.8 : August : 46.8 40.5 39.4 31.7 : Final : 46.8 40.5 39.4 31.7 : : TX : July : 36.3 31.7 32.4 29.1 38.5 : August : 35.9 31.7 32.4 29.1 : Final : 36.3 31.7 32.5 29.1 : : WA : July : 37.2 36.4 39.3 38.5 38.9 : August : 36.5 36.7 39.8 37.9 : Final : 36.6 36.7 39.8 37.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2007 Summary." Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State, and United States, 2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Acres ----- --- Pounds -- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured : FL 1/ : 1,100 2,600 2,860 GA : 17,000 20,000 1,770 2,000 30,090 40,000 NC : 155,000 163,000 2,090 2,100 323,950 342,300 SC : 23,000 22,000 2,100 2,200 48,300 48,400 VA : 17,000 19,000 2,430 2,400 41,310 45,600 US : 213,100 224,000 2,095 2,126 446,510 476,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates discontinued in 2007. Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : AL : 12,000 9,000 6,000 AR : 4,950 4,200 100 CA : Freestone : 385,000 353,000 390,000 CO : 12,000 14,000 13,000 CT : 700 900 900 GA : 40,000 41,000 13,000 ID : 8,000 9,000 8,000 IL : 11,200 11,370 1,000 KY : 750 1,100 30 LA : 650 550 700 MD : 4,200 3,650 3,400 MA : 1,000 1,400 1,400 MI : 14,000 18,900 20,000 MO : 5,800 6,390 15 NJ : 35,000 34,000 32,000 NY : 4,250 7,000 6,300 NC : 6,000 5,630 1,000 OH : 2,100 3,240 3,000 OK : 2,000 1,800 2,000 OR : 2,800 2,100 2,900 PA : 26,600 21,600 19,000 SC : 75,000 60,000 8,000 TN 1/ : 2,000 1,900 TX : 8,750 1,590 11,000 UT : 4,700 5,600 5,000 VA : 4,700 4,000 2,100 WA : 20,900 23,000 23,000 WV : 5,500 5,200 4,000 : Total Above : 700,550 651,120 576,845 : CA : Clingstone : 484,000 359,000 450,000 : US : 1,184,550 1,010,120 1,026,845 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ No significant commercial production expected in 2007 due to freeze damage. Peaches: Total Production, by Type, California, 2005-2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Type :----------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Freestone : 385,000 353,000 390,000 : Clingstone : 484,000 359,000 450,000 : Total : 869,000 712,000 840,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total Production Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Tons : Grapes Table Type 1/ : CA : 872,000 729,000 780,000 Grapes Wine Type : CA : 3,806,000 3,176,000 3,300,000 Grapes Raisin Type 1/ : CA : 2,285,000 1,861,000 2,100,000 : All Grapes : CA : 6,963,000 5,766,000 6,180,000 : Apricots : CA : 75,500 39,000 80,000 UT : 250 280 270 WA : 5,900 5,200 6,300 : US : 81,650 44,480 86,570 : : 1,000 Pounds : Almonds (Shelled Basis) 2/: CA : 915,000 1,115,000 1,330,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Fresh equivalent of dried and not dried. 2/ Utilized production. Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area : Fresh Production 1/ :------------------------------------------------------------------- Month : Total in Crop : Harvested : : :---------------------------------------------: 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- Acres --------------- 1,000 Pounds : May : 2,025 1,940 1,760 870 1,785 2,100 Jun : 1,745 1,735 1,510 800 2,095 2,060 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Utilized fresh production. Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 2004-05, 2005-06 and Forecasted July 1, 2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2006-07 : 2004-05 : 2005-06 : 2006-07 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------ Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ : 240 250 200 9 9 8 CA : 44,000 47,000 34,000 1,650 1,763 1,275 FL 4/ : 79,100 75,000 65,600 3,560 3,375 2,952 TX : 1,500 1,400 1,600 64 60 68 US : 124,840 123,650 101,400 5,283 5,207 4,303 Valencia : AZ : 190 200 150 7 8 6 CA : 20,500 13,500 11,000 769 506 413 FL : 70,700 72,700 63,300 3,182 3,272 2,849 TX : 270 200 340 11 9 14 US : 91,660 86,600 74,790 3,969 3,795 3,282 All : AZ : 430 450 350 16 17 14 CA : 64,500 60,500 45,000 2,419 2,269 1,688 FL : 149,800 147,700 128,900 6,742 6,647 5,801 TX : 1,770 1,600 1,940 75 69 82 US : 216,500 210,250 176,190 9,252 9,002 7,585 Temples 4/ : FL : 650 700 29 32 Grapefruit : White : FL : 3,400 6,500 9,300 145 276 395 Colored : FL : 9,400 12,800 17,900 400 544 761 All : AZ : 140 100 100 5 3 3 CA : 6,100 6,000 4,800 204 201 161 FL : 12,800 19,300 27,200 545 820 1,156 TX : 6,600 5,200 6,900 264 208 276 US : 25,640 30,600 39,000 1,018 1,232 1,596 Tangerines : AZ 5/ : 400 550 300 15 21 11 CA 5/ : 2,900 3,600 2,600 109 135 98 FL : 4,450 5,500 4,600 211 261 219 US : 7,750 9,650 7,500 335 417 328 Lemons : AZ : 2,400 3,800 2,500 91 144 95 CA : 20,500 21,000 16,500 779 798 627 US : 22,900 24,800 19,000 870 942 722 Tangelos : FL : 1,550 1,400 1,250 70 63 56 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90; Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Temples included in early and midseason orange varieties beginning with 2006-07 season. 5/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 Acres ------- --- Cwt --- --- 1,000 Cwt -- : Winter 1/ : CA : 12.0 11.5 12.0 11.5 260 215 3,120 2,473 FL 2/ : 5.7 5.5 250 1,375 : Total : 17.7 11.5 17.5 11.5 257 215 4,495 2,473 : Spring 1/ : AZ : 3.9 4.0 3.9 4.0 300 280 1,170 1,120 CA : 15.3 15.5 15.3 15.5 395 395 6,044 6,123 FL : 23.1 27.8 22.6 27.2 285 284 6,441 7,726 Hastings : 17.0 16.5 16.6 16.2 285 280 4,731 4,536 Other FL : 6.1 11.3 6.0 11.0 285 290 1,710 3,190 NC : 17.7 16.0 15.5 14.5 210 190 3,255 2,755 TX : 10.7 9.7 10.2 9.2 280 320 2,856 2,944 : Total : 70.7 73.0 67.5 70.4 293 294 19,766 20,668 : Summer : AL : 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.4 150 120 240 168 CA : 6.3 7.0 6.3 7.0 335 310 2,111 2,170 CO : 4.1 3.0 4.0 2.9 370 360 1,480 1,044 DE : 3.0 3.3 2.1 3.2 240 270 504 864 IL : 6.5 6.0 6.3 5.8 395 400 2,489 2,320 KS : 6.0 4.5 5.7 4.4 320 315 1,824 1,386 MD : 4.0 4.0 2.9 3.9 320 350 928 1,365 MO : 7.8 7.0 7.6 6.8 315 285 2,394 1,938 NJ : 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.3 240 255 600 587 TX : 10.5 11.2 9.7 10.3 440 330 4,268 3,399 VA : 6.0 6.0 5.6 5.8 270 260 1,512 1,508 : Total : 58.4 55.8 54.3 53.8 338 311 18,350 16,749 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2006-2007 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal : Area Planted :Area Harvested : Yield : Production Group and :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--------- 1,000 Acres --------- -- Cwt -- 1,000 Cwt : Fall 3/ : CA : 7.8 7.5 7.8 7.5 485 3,783 CO : 59.9 59.2 59.7 59.0 380 22,686 ID : 330.0 350.0 328.0 348.0 371 121,820 10 SW Co: 20.0 24.0 20.0 24.0 470 9,400 Other ID: 310.0 326.0 308.0 324.0 365 112,420 ME : 58.5 57.5 58.0 57.0 315 18,270 MA : 3.1 2.7 3.1 2.7 260 806 MI : 43.5 42.5 43.0 42.0 330 14,190 MN : 51.0 50.0 48.0 47.0 425 20,400 MT : 10.6 10.8 10.5 10.7 335 3,518 NE : 19.5 20.5 19.4 20.2 445 8,633 NV : 6.6 7.5 6.6 7.5 445 2,937 NM : 5.0 5.5 5.0 5.5 420 2,100 NY : 20.6 20.0 19.0 19.3 300 5,700 ND : 100.0 95.0 98.0 90.0 260 25,480 OH : 3.3 2.9 3.1 2.7 320 992 OR : 35.0 36.5 35.0 36.5 530 18,533 Malheur : 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 435 1,523 Other OR: 31.5 33.0 31.5 33.0 540 17,010 PA : 11.0 10.5 10.5 10.0 260 2,730 RI : 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 260 130 WA : 156.0 165.0 155.0 165.0 580 89,900 WI : 66.0 65.0 66.0 65.0 445 29,370 : Total : 987.9 1,009.2 976.2 996.2 402 391,978 : US :1,134.7 1,149.5 1,115.5 1,131.9 390 434,589 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2/ Winter potatoes combined with spring potatoes in 2007. 3/ The forecast of fall potato production will be published in the November "Crop Production." Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes, 11 Major States, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Potato Types 1/ :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Reds : Whites : Yellows 2/ : Russets :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 3 4 13 3 11 84 82 ID : 2 2 4 3 1 94 94 ME 3/ : 3 3 46 47 3 51 47 MI : 2 1 83 85 2 15 12 MN : 25 26 9 7 1 66 66 NY : 5 12 90 77 10 5 1 ND 3/ : 22 20 31 28 1 47 51 OR : 4 3 15 20 7 81 70 PA : 5 2 95 91 4 3 WA : 5 3 9 11 1 86 85 WI : 12 10 31 33 1 57 56 : Total 3/: 7 6 20 19 2 73 73 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s) constituting less than 1 percent of State's total. Blue types are reported under red types. 2/ Estimates began in 2007. Yellow type potatoes were reported under white types in 2006. 3/ 2006 revised. Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes, by State and Total, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 Crop : 2007 Crop :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Entered for : : Percent : Entered for : Certification : Certified : Certified : Certification -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- Acres --------- Percent Acres : AK : 331 331 100 300 CA : 605 597 99 750 CO : 14,400 13,249 92 14,400 ID : 31,863 31,863 100 32,000 ME : 11,483 10,979 96 10,851 MI : 2,526 2,526 100 2,200 MN : 9,246 8,718 94 9,300 MT : 9,572 9,565 100 9,833 NE : 5,707 5,704 100 4,645 NY : 867 853 98 905 ND : 16,430 15,866 97 17,449 OR : 2,716 2,564 94 2,319 PA : 250 250 100 223 WA : 2,422 2,412 100 2,611 WI : 8,625 8,624 100 8,360 : Total : 117,043 114,101 97 116,146 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data supplied by State seed certification officials. Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2006-2007 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 30.0 25.0 29.0 24.0 MT : 210.0 265.0 191.0 240.0 ND : 610.0 510.0 590.0 490.0 OR : 8.5 5.5 8.1 5.3 WA : 67.0 75.0 66.0 75.0 : US : 925.5 880.5 884.1 834.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas. Lentils: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 50.0 40.0 49.0 39.0 MT : 142.0 85.0 134.0 80.0 ND : 160.0 110.0 148.0 104.0 WA : 77.0 70.0 76.0 70.0 : US : 429.0 305.0 407.0 293.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2006-2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : ID : 9.0 6.0 8.0 5.0 MT : 32.0 18.0 12.0 10.0 OR : 5.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 : US : 46.0 27.0 22.5 17.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3,452.0 4,044.0 2,951.0 3,542.0 Corn for Grain 2/ : 78,327.0 92,888.0 70,648.0 85,418.0 Corn for Silage : 6,477.0 Hay, All : 60,807.0 61,789.0 Alfalfa : 21,384.0 21,451.0 All Other : 39,423.0 40,338.0 Oats : 4,168.0 3,860.0 1,576.0 1,612.0 Proso Millet : 580.0 610.0 475.0 Rice : 2,838.0 2,744.0 2,821.0 2,726.0 Rye : 1,396.0 1,354.0 274.0 306.0 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 6,522.0 7,765.0 4,937.0 6,698.0 Sorghum for Silage : 347.0 Wheat, All : 57,344.0 60,505.0 46,810.0 52,484.0 Winter : 40,575.0 45,136.0 31,117.0 37,588.0 Durum : 1,870.0 2,225.0 1,815.0 2,163.0 Other Spring : 14,899.0 13,144.0 13,878.0 12,733.0 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1,044.0 1,165.0 1,021.0 1,124.0 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 813.0 465.0 767.0 453.0 Mustard Seed : 40.5 57.5 39.2 54.8 Peanuts : 1,243.0 1,187.0 1,209.0 1,158.0 Rapeseed : 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.2 Safflower : 189.0 170.0 179.0 162.5 Soybeans for Beans : 75,522.0 64,081.0 74,602.0 63,285.0 Sunflower : 1,950.0 1,864.0 1,770.0 1,765.0 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All : 15,274.0 11,058.0 12,731.5 Upland : 14,948.0 10,760.0 12,408.0 Amer-Pima : 326.0 298.0 323.5 Sugarbeets : 1,366.2 1,263.0 1,303.6 1,217.5 Sugarcane : 898.1 891.7 Tobacco : 338.9 355.7 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 46.0 27.0 22.5 17.0 Dry Edible Beans : 1,629.8 1,498.5 1,537.6 1,423.4 Dry Edible Peas : 925.5 880.5 884.1 834.3 Lentils : 429.0 305.0 407.0 293.0 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 6.3 Ginger Root (HI) : 0.1 Hops : 29.4 31.0 Peppermint Oil : 79.2 Potatoes, All : 1,134.7 1,149.5 1,115.5 1,131.9 Winter : 17.7 11.5 17.5 11.5 Spring : 70.7 73.0 67.5 70.4 Summer : 58.4 55.8 54.3 53.8 Fall : 987.9 1,009.2 976.2 996.2 Spearmint Oil : 18.5 Sweet Potatoes : 95.2 96.5 86.8 93.2 Taro (HI) 4/ : 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Acreage is not estimated. 4/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Yield : Production Crop :Units:------------------------------------------- : : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : ------- 1,000 ------ : : Grains & Hay : : Barley :Bu : 61.0 65.2 180,051 231,025 Corn for Grain :" : 149.1 10,534,868 Corn for Silage :Tons : 16.2 104,849 Hay, All :" : 2.33 141,666 Alfalfa :" : 3.35 71,666 All Other :" : 1.78 70,000 Oats :Bu : 59.5 62.6 93,764 100,921 Proso Millet :" : 21.5 10,195 Rice 2/ :Cwt : 6,868 193,736 Rye :Bu : 26.3 7,193 Sorghum for Grain :" : 56.2 277,538 Sorghum for Silage :Tons : 13.4 4,642 Wheat, All :Bu : 38.7 40.7 1,812,036 2,138,252 Winter :" : 41.7 41.6 1,298,081 1,561,907 Durum :" : 29.5 36.4 53,475 78,697 Other Spring :" : 33.2 39.1 460,480 497,648 : : Oilseeds : : Canola :Lbs : 1,366 1,394,332 Cottonseed 3/ :Tons : 7,347.9 Flaxseed :Bu : 14.4 11,019 Mustard Seed :Lbs : 720 28,220 Peanuts :" : 2,874 3,474,450 Rapeseed :" : 1,100 1,100 Safflower :" : 1,069 191,405 Soybeans for Beans :Bu : 42.7 3,188,247 Sunflower :Lbs : 1,211 2,143,613 : : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : : Cotton, All 2/ :Bales: 814 21,587.8 Upland 2/ :" : 806 20,822.4 Amer-Pima 2/ :" : 1,136 765.4 Sugarbeets :Tons : 26.1 34,064 Sugarcane :" : 32.9 29,580 Tobacco :Lbs : 2,144 726,644 : : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : : Austrian Winter Peas 2/ :Cwt : 1,151 259 Dry Edible Beans 2/ :" : 1,577 24,247 Dry Edible Peas 2/ :" : 1,493 13,203 Lentils 2/ :" : 797 3,244 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ :" : 590 : : Potatoes & Misc. : : Coffee (HI) :Lbs : 1,160 7,300 Ginger Root (HI) :" : 43,000 4,300 Hops :" : 1,964 57,686.7 Peppermint Oil :" : 92 7,248 Potatoes, All :Cwt : 390 434,589 Winter :" : 257 215 4,495 2,473 Spring :" : 293 294 19,766 20,668 Summer :" : 338 311 18,350 16,749 Fall :" : 402 391,978 Spearmint Oil :Lbs : 110 2,038 Sweet Potatoes :Cwt : 187 16,248 Taro (HI) 3/ :Lbs : 4,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year. 2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007 (Domestic Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Production Crop : Units :----------------------------------------- : : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1,000 : : Citrus 2/ : : Grapefruit :Tons : 1,018 1,232 1,596 Lemons :" : 870 942 722 Oranges 3/ :" : 9,252 9,002 7,585 Tangelos (FL) :" : 70 63 56 Tangerines :" : 335 417 328 Temples (FL) 3/ :" : 29 32 : : Noncitrus : : Apples :1,000 Lbs: 9,704.9 9,931.7 Apricots :Tons : 81.7 44.5 86.6 Bananas (HI) :Lbs : 20,900.0 20,000.0 Grapes :Tons : 7,813.7 6,417.2 Olives (CA) :" : 142.0 23.5 Papayas (HI) :Lbs : 32,900.0 28,700.0 Peaches :Tons : 1,184.6 1,010.1 1,026.8 Pears :" : 823.3 842.0 Prunes, Dried (CA) :" : 97.0 180.0 95.0 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) :" : 9.1 21.5 : : Nuts & Misc. : : Almonds (CA) (shelled) :Lbs : 915,000 1,115,000 1,330,000 Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell) :Tons : 27.6 43.0 Pecans (in-shell) :Lbs : 280,250 206,300 Walnuts (CA) (in-shell) :Tons : 355.0 346.0 Maple Syrup :Gals : 1,242 1,449 1,258 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2/ Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3/ Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Grains & Hay : Barley : 1,396,990 1,636,570 1,194,240 1,433,410 Corn for Grain 2/ :31,698,150 37,590,840 28,590,540 34,567,810 Corn for Silage : 2,621,180 Hay, All 3/ : 24,607,980 25,005,390 Alfalfa : 8,653,890 8,681,010 All Other : 15,954,090 16,324,390 Oats : 1,686,750 1,562,100 637,790 652,360 Proso Millet : 234,720 246,860 192,230 Rice : 1,148,510 1,110,470 1,141,630 1,103,180 Rye : 564,950 547,950 110,890 123,840 Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 2,639,390 3,142,420 1,997,950 2,710,610 Sorghum for Silage : 140,430 Wheat, All 3/ :23,206,540 24,485,770 18,943,540 21,239,750 Winter :16,420,300 18,266,090 12,592,740 15,211,490 Durum : 756,770 900,440 734,510 875,340 Other Spring : 6,029,480 5,319,250 5,616,290 5,152,920 : Oilseeds : Canola : 422,500 471,460 413,190 454,870 Cottonseed : Flaxseed : 329,010 188,180 310,400 183,320 Mustard Seed : 16,390 23,270 15,860 22,180 Peanuts : 503,030 480,370 489,270 468,630 Rapeseed : 570 570 400 490 Safflower : 76,490 68,800 72,440 65,760 Soybeans for Beans :30,563,000 25,932,940 30,190,680 25,610,810 Sunflower : 789,150 754,340 716,300 714,280 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 3/ : 6,181,240 4,475,060 5,152,310 Upland : 6,049,310 4,354,460 5,021,390 Amer-Pima : 131,930 120,600 130,920 Sugarbeets : 552,890 511,120 527,550 492,710 Sugarcane : 363,450 360,860 Tobacco : 137,150 143,940 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 18,620 10,930 9,110 6,880 Dry Edible Beans : 659,560 606,430 622,250 576,040 Dry Edible Peas : 374,540 356,330 357,790 337,630 Lentils : 173,610 123,430 164,710 118,570 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4/ : : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 2,550 Ginger Root (HI) : 40 Hops : 11,880 12,560 Peppermint Oil : 32,050 Potatoes, All 3/ : 459,200 465,190 451,430 458,070 Winter : 7,160 4,650 7,080 4,650 Spring : 28,610 29,540 27,320 28,490 Summer : 23,630 22,580 21,970 21,770 Fall : 399,790 408,410 395,060 403,150 Spearmint Oil : 7,490 Sweet Potatoes : 38,530 39,050 35,130 37,720 Taro (HI) 5/ : 150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year. 2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding. 4/ Acreage is not estimated. 5/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Grains & Hay : Barley : 3.28 3.51 3,920,150 5,029,980 Corn for Grain : 9.36 267,597,970 Corn for Silage : 36.29 95,117,410 Hay, All 2/ : 5.22 128,517,230 Alfalfa : 7.51 65,014,300 All Other : 3.98 63,502,930 Oats : 2.13 2.25 1,360,980 1,464,860 Proso Millet : 1.20 231,220 Rice : 7.70 8,787,720 Rye : 1.65 182,710 Sorghum for Grain : 3.53 7,049,790 Sorghum for Silage : 29.99 4,211,150 Wheat, All 2/ : 2.60 2.74 49,315,540 58,193,680 Winter : 2.81 2.79 35,327,980 42,508,140 Durum : 1.98 2.45 1,455,350 2,141,780 Other Spring : 2.23 2.63 12,532,210 13,543,760 : Oilseeds : Canola : 1.53 632,460 Cottonseed 3/ : 6,665,900 Flaxseed : 0.90 279,900 Mustard Seed : 0.81 12,800 Peanuts : 3.22 1,575,980 Rapeseed : 1.23 500 Safflower : 1.20 86,820 Soybeans for Beans : 2.87 86,769,860 Sunflower : 1.36 972,330 : Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : Cotton, All 2/ : 0.91 4,700,190 Upland : 0.90 4,533,540 Amer-Pima : 1.27 166,650 Sugarbeets : 58.58 30,902,340 Sugarcane : 73.83 26,834,520 Tobacco : 2.40 329,600 : Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : Austrian Winter Peas : 1.29 11,750 Dry Edible Beans : 1.77 1,099,830 Dry Edible Peas : 1.67 598,880 Lentils : 0.89 147,150 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3/ : 26,760 : Potatoes & Misc. : Coffee (HI) : 1.30 3,310 Ginger Root (HI) : 48.20 1,950 Hops : 2.20 26,170 Peppermint Oil : 0.10 3,290 Potatoes, All 2/ : 43.67 19,712,630 Winter : 28.79 24.10 203,890 112,170 Spring : 32.82 32.91 896,570 937,480 Summer : 37.88 34.89 832,340 759,720 Fall : 45.01 17,779,820 Spearmint Oil : 0.12 920 Sweet Potatoes : 20.98 737,000 Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,040 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year. 2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated. Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007 (Metric Units) 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :-------------------------------------------------- : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric tons : Citrus 2/ : Grapefruit : 923,510 1,117,650 1,447,870 Lemons : 789,250 854,570 654,990 Oranges 3/ : 8,393,270 8,166,480 6,881,000 Tangelos (FL) : 63,500 57,150 50,800 Tangerines : 303,910 378,300 297,560 Temples (FL) 3/ : 26,310 29,030 : Noncitrus : Apples : 4,402,070 4,504,940 Apricots : 74,070 40,350 78,530 Bananas (HI) : 9,480 9,070 Grapes : 7,088,470 5,821,540 Olives (CA) : 128,820 21,320 Papayas (HI) : 14,920 13,020 Peaches : 1,074,610 916,370 931,540 Pears : 746,900 763,880 Prunes, Dried (CA) : 88,000 163,290 86,180 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA) : 8,260 19,500 : Nuts & Misc. : Almonds (CA) (shelled) : 415,040 505,760 603,280 Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell) : 25,040 39,010 Pecans (in-shell) : 127,120 93,580 Walnuts (CA) (in-shell) : 322,050 313,890 Maple Syrup : 6,210 7,240 6,290 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2/ Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3/ Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. June Weather Summary Wetness, already a problem on the central and southern Plains by the end of May, intensified during June, culminating in late-month flooding and major winter wheat harvest delays. Unharvested wheat was especially vulnerable to disease and sprouting on the southeastern Plains, where June rainfall locally topped 15 inches. Elsewhere across the Plains and Midwest, pockets of dryness developed or expanded. Much of the Ohio Valley remained unfavorably dry for summer crops, although winter wheat maturation and harvesting progressed rapidly. During June, dryness became a concern for heading spring wheat on the northern Plains and for corn and soybeans in an area stretching from the middle Missouri Valley into the upper Mississippi Valley. However, Midwestern crop stress was relatively minor compared to drought-ravaged pastures and summer crops across the interior Southeast. In the wake of a record-dry spring, Tennessee, Alabama, and Mississippi received little relief. In contrast, Tropical Storm Barry crossed the southern Atlantic region in early June, subduing the wildfire threat, easing crop stress, and signaling the arrival of a more typical rainfall regime. Most of the West, however, experienced a continuation of hot, dry weather. As a result, winter grains ripened quickly but the condition of rain-fed summer crops gradually deteriorated. Other effects of Western heat and drought included an elevated threat of wildfires and heavy irrigation requirements. Monthly temperatures averaged at least 4 degrees F above normal at several locations across the interior Southeast and the Intermountain West, while near- to slightly above-normal readings prevailed elsewhere. An exception was the south-central U.S., where persistent cloudiness, rainfall, and wet soils held temperatures 1 to 3 degrees F below normal. June Agricultural Summary Below-normal temperatures in the central and southern Great Plains, and portions of the Atlantic Coastal Plains and Pacific Coast contrasted with above-normal temperatures elsewhere. Seasonably dry, hot weather continued in areas west of the Rocky Mountains, promoted fieldwork and crop development, but increased summer crop irrigation demands. On the Great Plains, heavy showers and thunderstorms persisted from southern Kansas into Texas, delaying fieldwork and causing flooding. Precipitation was as much as 400 percent of normal in some areas. Farther east, beneficial rains provided relief across the central and eastern Corn Belt after an early June drying trend increased stress on pastures and summer crops. Elsewhere, much-needed rain fell across portions of the drought-stricken southern Atlantic Coast, but unfavorably dry conditions persist elsewhere in the Southeast, contributing to heavy irrigation demands. With favorable weather conditions during June in most areas, corn emergence continued to progress ahead of normal. On June 10, ninety-nine percent of the acreage had emerged, 2 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of normal. All States were at or ahead of normal, except Colorado. Meanwhile, silking advanced ahead of normal, reaching 13 percent on July 1, four points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Silking was 10 percentage points or more ahead of normal in Illinois, Kentucky, North Carolina, and Tennessee, while progress had not yet begun in Michigan and South Dakota. Sorghum producers lagged behind last year and the normal planting pace at the beginning of the month, particularly in Kansas, where excessive moisture hampered field activities. On June 3, growers had planted 54 percent of their intended acreage, 9 points behind last year and 7 points behind the 5-year average. On this same date, planting was complete in Arkansas and Louisiana. However, planting gained momentum during the middle of the month, and by July 1, planting was 95 percent complete, the same as the normal pace. Heading progressed slightly ahead of normal, reaching 19 percent by month's end, compared with 18 percent for the normal. Heading progress was mainly limited to the Delta and Texas. The Nation's oat crop was heading ahead of the normal pace throughout the month of June. By July 1, heading was underway on 89 percent of the acreage, 1 point ahead of last year and 9 points ahead of normal. The crop developed near or ahead of normal in all States. In Minnesota and North Dakota, the crop was 19 points or more ahead of the 5-year average due to favorable weather conditions. Emergence of the barley crop progressed ahead of normal, reaching 95 percent complete on June 3, four points ahead of last year and 7 points ahead of normal. Meanwhile, heading began slightly ahead of normal but accelerated rapidly at month's end. On July 1, heading was underway on 67 percent of the acreage, compared with 54 percent last year and 42 percent for the 5-year average. Progress was well ahead of normal in the Great Plains and adjacent areas of the Corn Belt, exceeding the normal pace by 32 points in Minnesota, 31 points in Montana, and 30 points in North Dakota. Winter wheat heading reached 97 percent by mid-June, 1 point behind last year but 2 points ahead of normal. All States were at or ahead of normal, except Washington. However, by the end of the month, harvest was 40 percent complete nationwide, 22 points behind last year and 14 points behind the 5-year average. In the central and southern Great Plains, showers and thunderstorms halted field activities, where the crop trailed behind the normal pace by 21 points or more in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas. The cotton crop was planted at a normal pace in most States. On June 17, growers had planted 97 percent of their intended acreage, 2 points behind last year but the same as the 5-year average. Planting was complete or nearly complete in most States at or ahead of normal in all States except Alabama and Georgia where planting plans were delayed by extremely dry conditions and Oklahoma due to excessive moisture. By month's end, 53 percent of the crop had reached the squaring stage, 8 points behind last year and 4 points behind normal. Development of the crop lagged behind normal, particularly in the Southeast and southern Atlantic Coast, where drought conditions hampered progress. In Georgia, Alabama, and Virginia, squaring was 22 points or more behind the normal pace. Meanwhile, boll setting was also behind normal, reaching 13 percent complete by July 1, compared with 16 percent last year and 5 percent for the 5-year average. However, in California, progress was well ahead of the normal pace due to early planting and favorable growing conditions. Soybean planting and emergence continued to progress ahead of the normal pace during June. By mid-month, 96 percent of the crop was planted, 1 point behind last year but 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. Planting was completed at or ahead of normal in all States except Kansas and North Dakota. By month's end, 96 percent of the crop had emerged, compared with 97 percent last year and 93 percent for the average. Blooming had begun in all States by July 1, and was 19 percent complete, ahead of last year and the 5-year average. The rice crop was 96 percent emerged on June 3, ten points ahead of last year and 7 points ahead of normal. Emergence was complete in Arkansas, and at or ahead of the normal pace in all States, except Texas. In contrast, heading lagged behind normal in all States, except Missouri. By month's end, 6 percent of the crop had headed, compared with 8 percent last year and 9 percent for the 5-year average. In Texas, where lingering showers and thunderstorms persisted throughout June, progress was 25 points behind last year. At month's end, 61 percent of the spring wheat crop was headed, 7 points behind last year but 12 points ahead of normal. Four States, including Idaho, Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota advanced 26 points or more during the final week under favorable conditions. All States were ahead of normal, except Washington, where the crop was 6 points behind the 5-year average. Sunflower planting was ahead of normal by the end of May; however, planting remained behind the normal pace throughout June. By July 1, ninety-seven percent of the crop was planted, 2 points behind last year and 1 point behind the 5-year average. Despite all other States being at or ahead of the normal pace, South Dakota has trailed the normal pace. The Nation's peanut crop was 97 percent planted on June 17, two points behind last year and the 5-year average. In the drought-stricken Southeast, planting was behind normal in Alabama, Florida, and Georgia, but at or ahead of normal elsewhere. On this same date, planting was complete in North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Virginia. On July 1, eighteen percent of the crop was pegging or beyond, 13 points behind last year and 17 points behind the 5-year average. Only in Virginia and North Carolina was pegging ahead of the normal pace, while progress was behind normal elsewhere. Oats: Production is forecast at 101 million bushels, 8 percent above last year's record low 93.8 million bushels. Based on conditions as of July 1, the yield is forecast at 62.6 bushels per acre, up 3.1 bushels from 2006. Expected area to be harvested as grain or seed is 1.61 million acres, up 2 percent from last year. Overall, crop development has been at or ahead of normal. As of July 1, eighty-nine percent of the oat acreage was headed, 1 percentage point ahead of last year and 9 points ahead of the 5-year average. Yields are forecast to increase in States across the Great Plains, High Plains, and the upper Mississippi Valley due to favorable growing conditions. The largest increase in yield is expected in North Dakota, where the yield is forecast at 67.0 bushels per acre, up 26 bushels from last year. Lower yields are forecast in the Pacific Northwest, Ohio Valley, and New York. Barley: Production for 2007 is forecast at 231 million bushels, 28 percent above 2006 and 9 percent higher than 2005. Based on conditions as of July 1, the average yield for the U.S. is forecast at 65.2 bushels per acre, up 4.2 bushels from last year. Expected area to be harvested as grain or seed, at 3.54 million acres, is up 20 percent from 2006. Production is expected to be up in all of this year's top seven producing States. North Dakota's production forecast, at 82.4 million bushels, is 69 percent above last year and 44 percent higher than 2005. If realized, the barley yield in North Dakota will be the third highest on record. In Idaho and Montana, expected production is up 5 and 27 percent, respectively, from last year. Planting and emergence across the northern United States, from Minnesota to Washington, progressed ahead of normal. As of the week ending July 1, heading was at 67 percent, ahead of the 5-year average of 42 percent in these States. Barley crop condition for the week ending July 1 was rated 77 percent good to excellent compared with 67 percent for the same week last year. Winter Wheat: Production is forecast at 1.56 billion bushels, down 3 percent from the June 1 forecast but up 20 percent from 2006. Based on July 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 41.6 bushes per acre, down 1.6 bushels from last month and 0.1 bushel below last year. Expected grain area totals 37.6 million acres, up 21 percent from last year but unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 29, 2007. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing States was 40 percent complete by July 1. This was 22 percentage points behind last year and 14 points behind the 5-year average. Harvest progress was behind normal in all Hard Red Winter States, except Montana. Heavy rains and flooding in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas have slowed harvest progress. Crop development in Colorado and Nebraska was slowed because of a cooler and wetter than normal spring. Wheat sprouting in the head is a concern in parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas because of the continued rainfall. Crop development in Montana continued slightly ahead of last year and the 5-year average but the condition of the crop was being affected by hot temperatures and limited moisture. Some fields were lost in northeast Montana due to a hail storm the last week of June. Yield forecasts are equal to or higher than the previous month in all States in the Soft Red Winter (SRW) growing area except Arkansas, Georgia, Indiana, New York, and South Carolina. Harvest is nearly complete in the southern portion of the growing area and revealed that the April freeze caused yields to be below normal but higher than previously expected. Elsewhere, harvest is close to normal in most States in the northern portion of the growing area. In Missouri, heavy rains during the last part of June caused some lodging and reduced grain quality in the southwestern part of the State. Wheat yield forecasts in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) are at or below the previous month. Growers in Oregon were just starting to harvest their crop while wheat in Washington and Idaho was starting to turn color. Crop development was close to the 5-year average in these areas. Durum Wheat: Production is forecast at 78.7 million bushels, up 47 percent from 2006. The U.S. yield is forecast at 36.4 bushels per acre, 6.9 bushels above last year. Area harvested for grain is expected to total 2.16 million acres, up 19 percent from last year. Harvest is nearly complete in California where high winds caused some lodging in the San Joaquin Valley in mid-June. The Arizona harvest was 75 percent complete by July 1. Seeding in Montana was delayed in April due to rainy weather but progressed ahead of normal through May as drier weather brought favorable planting conditions. In North Dakota, cool temperatures and snowfall delayed fieldwork during April but favorable weather allowed seeding to progress ahead of normal during May. Growers in both States finished seeding the crop at or ahead of the average pace. Yield prospects and crop condition ratings are up from the previous year in Montana and North Dakota. Crop development is ahead of normal in Montana and North Dakota mostly due to above average temperatures during the latter part of June. Other Spring Wheat: Production is forecast at 498 million bushels, up 8 percent from 2006. The U.S. yield is forecast at 39.1 bushels per acre, up 5.9 bushels from last year. Area harvested for grain is expected to total 12.7 million acres, down 8 percent from last year. By July 1, sixty-one percent of the crop was at or beyond the heading stage in the six major producing States. This was 7 percentage points below last year but 12 points ahead of the 5-year average. Planting in Montana, Minnesota, and the Dakotas began behind normal but finished at or ahead of the normal pace. Yield prospects are up from the previous year in all four States mostly due to timely moisture and mild temperatures. Crop condition ratings are up from the previous year in all four States and crop development is ahead of normal. In the Pacific Northwest (PNW), drier than normal weather conditions during the spring allowed planting to progress slightly ahead of the normal pace. In Washington and Idaho hot and dry conditions during the last part of June pushed crop development ahead of the normal pace. Lentils: Planted area of lentils is estimated at 305,000 acres, down 10 percent from the March planting intentions and 29 percent below 2006. Harvested area is estimated at 293,000 acres, down 28 percent from last year. North Dakota's planted area is estimated at 110,000 acres, down 31 percent from 2006. Planting of the lentil crop started mid-April and was complete by the third week of May, ahead of last year's pace. Crop condition during June was rated mostly good to excellent with adequate soil moisture supplies reported. Montana growers planted 85,000 acres this year, 40 percent less than last year. During April, the State experienced above normal precipitation and temperatures. From the beginning of May until mid-June, the State continued to receive above normal precipitation but temperatures moderated. Since mid-June, the State has received limited precipitation and above average temperatures. Early in April, Washington experienced normal temperatures with light precipitation. The days grew warmer but some nights were near or below freezing. Planting progress was slightly ahead of last year's pace. Early June brought much needed showers to the lentil growing areas. Planting in Idaho began in mid-April and progressed ahead of last year but close to normal the rest of the month and during May. Emergence slowed in mid-May as precipitation fell below normal levels in the primary lentil growing areas. Emergence was virtually complete by early June. Dry Edible Peas: Planted area of dry edible peas is estimated at 880,500 acres, down 5 percent from last year. Area for harvest, at 834,300 acres, is 6 percent below a year ago. Area planted in North Dakota, at 510,000 acres, is down 16 percent from 2006. Planting started in mid-April, progressed ahead of last year's pace, and was complete by May 20. Montana dry edible pea growers planted 265,000 acres, up 26 percent from a year ago. During April, the State experienced above normal precipitation and temperatures. From the beginning of May until mid-June, the State continued to receive above normal precipitation with average temperatures. Since mid-June, the State has received limited precipitation and above normal temperatures. Washington and Oregon experienced normal temperatures with light precipitation during April which enabled planting to progress ahead of 2006. By early May, rainfall was needed. June showers provided the needed precipitation while the crop was in bloom. Dry pea planting finished the last week in May and harvest began in early July. Idaho's dry pea crop emergence slowed in mid-May as precipitation fell below normal levels. Emergence was virtually complete by early June. Austrian Winter Peas: Planted area of Austrian winter peas is estimated at 27,000 acres, down 41 percent from 2006. Area harvested is forecast at 17,000 acres, down 24 percent from a year ago. Montana growers planted 18,000 acres, down 44 percent from 2006. Many Montana producers shifted acreage from Austrian winter peas to dry edible peas this year. During April, the State experienced above normal precipitation and above average temperatures. In mid-June, several counties reported hail storms which damaged some of the crop. During the remainder of June, the State received limited precipitation and above normal temperatures. Austrian winter pea planted acreage in Idaho and Oregon is also down from a year ago. Tobacco: U.S. all flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 476 million pounds, up 7 percent from the 2006 crop and 25 percent above two years ago. Area harvested, at 224,000 acres, is 5 percent above a year ago and up 28 percent from 2005. Yield per acre for flue-cured tobacco is forecast at 2,126 pounds, up 31 pounds from last year but 56 pounds below the 2005 yield. Forecasted yields for flue-cured tobacco in Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina increased from last year, while the average yield is expected to decrease in Virginia. In North Carolina, the leading flue-cured tobacco State, production is forecast at 342 million pounds, up 6 percent from the 2006 crop. North Carolina accounts for 72 percent of the total U.S. flue-cured tobacco production. Area harvested, at 163,000 acres, is 5 percent above last year. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,100 pounds, up 10 pounds from 2006. Drought conditions are prevalent across the State with soil moisture rated 58 percent very short to short. The majority of the crop is rated in fair to good condition. Flue-cured tobacco in South Carolina is forecast at 48.4 million pounds, up less than 1 percent from a year ago. Area harvested, at 22,000 acres, is down 4 percent from 2006. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,200 pounds, 100 pounds above last year. Although precipitation has been low this year, recent storms have provided much needed rain for the tobacco crop. The majority of the crop is currently rated in fair to good condition. Flue-cured tobacco production in Virginia is forecast at 45.6 million pounds, up 10 percent from the 2006 crop. Area harvested, at 19,000 acres, is 12 percent above a year ago. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,400 pounds, 30 pounds below last year. Hot, dry weather in June hindered crop development. Many growers are irrigating their tobacco and are optimistic for a good crop. The majority of the crop is in fair to good condition. Georgia's flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 40.0 million pounds, up 33 percent from the 2006 crop. Area harvested, at 20,000 acres, is 18 percent above last year. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,000 pounds, up 230 pounds from last season's heat stressed and disease-affected crop. Growers in Georgia suffer from drought like conditions again this year with only southeast Georgia experiencing near normal conditions. However, temperatures are lower than this time period a year ago. Tomato Spotted Wilt Virus is still a problem in Georgia but disease pressure appears to be lower than last year. The crop is rated in mostly fair to good condition. All Potatoes: Potato growers across the United States have planted an estimated 1.15 million acres of potatoes in all four seasons this year, up 1 percent from last year and 4 percent above 2005. Area for harvest, forecasted at 1.13 million acres, is also up 1 percent from a year ago and 4 percent above 2 years ago. Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes for 2007 is estimated at 1.01 million acres, up 2 percent from last year and 4 percent above 2005. Harvested area is forecast at 996,200 acres, up 2 percent from 2006 and 5 percent above 2 years ago. This increase is due in part to low ending processing stocks. Western States fall potato area is estimated at 642,000 acres this year, up 5 percent from last year and 6 percent above 2005. Idaho growers increased their planted acreage 6 percent from last year. The crop progress in Idaho is ahead of the 5-year average and crop conditions on July 1 were 87 percent good to excellent. Washington producers planted 6 percent more acres than a year ago. Oregon growers increased acreage 4 percent from last year with most of the increase in early maturing varieties to cover processing contracts. Montana's fall potato acres are up 2 percent, Nevada's acres increased 14 percent, and New Mexico growers planted 10 percent more acres. Planted acres in Colorado dropped 1 percent and California producers decreased acreage 4 percent. In Colorado, a major wind storm followed by a frost at the beginning of June damaged a significant portion of the crop. Although the crop has recovered, development is behind the usual pace and sizing is a concern. Central States planted an estimated 275,900 acres of fall potatoes this year, down 3 percent from last year but 1 percent above 2005. North Dakota's planted acreage declined 5 percent from last year. As of July 2, the crop condition was rated 74 percent good to excellent, compared with 56 percent last year at the same time. Planted acres decreased 2 percent in Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin from 2006. Ohio producers reduced acres 12 percent from a year ago, while growers in Nebraska increased acreage 5 percent from last year. Eastern States growers have planted an estimated 91,300 acres of fall potatoes this year, down 3 percent from last year and 1 percent below the 2005 acreage. Maine's planted area is estimated at 57,500 acres, down 2 percent from 2006. As of July 2, the crop was in good to excellent condition. Growers in New York planted 3 percent fewer acres than in 2006, acreage in Pennsylvania declined 5 percent, and Massachusetts' planted acres decreased 13 percent. Rhode Island's planted area is estimated at 600 acres, 100 acres above last year. Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 16.7 million cwt, a 9 percent decrease from 2006. Harvest is expected from 53,800 acres, 1 percent below last year. Average yield is forecast at 311 cwt per acre, down 27 cwt from a year ago. Eight of the 11 summer potato States expect smaller crops than they had last year. Production in Alabama is expected to be down 30 percent from last year, followed by Colorado with a decrease of 29 percent, and Kansas with a drop of 24 percent. Texas' summer potato crop forecast is down 20 percent, Missouri expects a 19 percent decline, and Illinois growers expect production to be 7 percent below 2006. New Jersey producers are expecting production to be down 2 percent, while Virginia growers are expecting production to be down less than 1 percent from last year. Growers in Delaware expect a 71 percent increase from last year, Maryland's production is expected to be 47 percent above last year, and California producers expect production to be up 3 percent. In Texas, record high rainfall reduced yields. Alabama yields were lower than last year due to dry weather. In California, limited precipitation during the winter and spring has kept yields below last year. In New Jersey, scattered thunderstorms washed out some fields and reduced yield expectations but yields are still above 2006. Virginia growers are expecting good yields due to nearly ideal growing conditions. As of July 1, Colorado's summer potato crop condition was rated 90 percent good to excellent. Peaches: The U.S. peach production forecast is 1.03 million tons, up 2 percent from 2006 but 13 percent below the 2005 crop. Nineteen of the 28 Freestone peach estimating States expect decreases in production from last year, while six States increased their production from the previous season, and three States showed no change. Freestone production, at 576,845 tons, is down 11 percent from last season. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 450,000 tons, equal to the June 1 forecast but 25 percent above the 2006 crop. California experienced an adequate number of chilling hours which benefitted the Clingstone crop. Overall, the bloom was reported to be good on all varieties. Thinning progressed slowly due to labor shortages and heavy fruit sets. Harvest began in Kingsburg on June 14, eight days earlier than last year. Fruit sizes are reported to be small, but quality is reported to be excellent. The California Freestone crop is forecast at 390,000 tons, equal to the June 1 forecast but 10 percent above the 2006 crop. The Freestone bloom period was fairly quick, with above average temperatures and no rain. The crop is reported to be of excellent quality with good sizes. Harvest continued during June with Brittany Lane, Honey Sweet, Ice Princess, Crimson Lady, and Super Rich the major varieties picked. Devastating cold temperatures in early April damaged peach orchards in the Atlantic States from New York to Georgia. Production in the southeastern States was affected the most. The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 8,000 tons, equal to the June 1 forecast but 87 percent below 2006. Damage was reported across the entire State with severe losses reported. Georgia's peach crop is forecast at 13,000 tons, down 24 percent from the June 1 forecast and 68 percent below 2006. In addition to frost damage, the State's orchardists reported smaller fruit size because of the dry conditions. North Carolina's peach crop, at 1,000 tons, is down 82 percent from a year ago, while Virginia's crop is down 48 percent. Alabama's peach crop has suffered substantially due to untimely freezes in early April and abnormally dry weather throughout the spring and summer. Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and New York showed production declines from a year ago at 12 percent, 6 percent, and 10 percent, respectively. Production in Ohio and West Virginia slipped 7 percent and 23 percent, respectively, primarily due to frost damage. Production is expected to remain at last year's level in Connecticut and Massachusetts, with many growers reporting a good crop. Production in Maryland is down slightly from a year ago with frost damage reported. Freezing temperatures in early April drastically reduced peach production in Arkansas, Illinois, Kentucky, and Missouri, while Tennessee growers reported no significant commercial peach production expected this season. Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas peach production increased from last year's drought-stricken crop. Michigan's forecast is 6 percent higher than last year's production despite reported frost damage in the southwestern and Grand Rapids areas. Other growers reported favorable growing conditions. Colorado, Idaho, and Utah growers expect production to be down from a year ago due to freezing temperatures in April. Although production is down, many growers in the region are expecting a good peach crop this season. In Washington, production is forecast at 23,000 tons, equal to last season. Conditions have been favorable for development. Oregon producers are expecting a good crop this season with production up 38 percent from 2006. California Grapes: California's all grape production is forecast at 6.18 million tons, up 7 percent from a year ago. Wine type grapes account for 53 percent of California's total production, raisin type grapes account for 34 percent, while the remaining 13 percent are table type grapes. Wine type grape production is forecast at 3.30 million tons, up 4 percent from the 2006 crop. Bloom occurred about a week ahead of normal for white varieties and a week and a half ahead for red varieties. Overall, bunch counts in the San Joaquin Valley are up from last year with the largest increases seen in Chardonnay, Muscat of Alexander, Barbera, and Zinfandel varieties. Raisin type grape production is forecast at 1.86 million tons, up 13 percent from last year. Harvest for fresh use is underway in both the Coachella and San Joaquin Valleys. So far, weather conditions have been favorable and vines look good. An average to slightly above average crop is expected this year. Table type grape production is expected to be 729,000 tons, up 7 percent from last year. Harvest of table type grapes for fresh use is also underway in both the Coachella and San Joaquin Valley. Conditions were dry during bloom for table type grapes in the Coachella Valley, resulting in an even, extended bloom. Berry quality has been very good. Apricots: The final forecast for the 2007 apricot crop is 86,570 tons, up 95 percent from last year and 6 percent above 2005. California's 2007 apricot production is forecast at 80,000 tons, down 11 percent from the June forecast but 105 percent above last year's production. The apricot crop in California represents 92 percent of the total 2007 U.S. apricot production. California's apricot production has rebounded from last year's record low crop. Sufficient winter chill coupled with favorable weather conditions during bloom and the growing season contributed to this year's jump in production. Fruit set and quality were reported to be good. Harvest began the last week of April and was expected to be finished by early July. Washington's forecasted production, at 6,300 tons, is up 21 percent from last year and 7 percent above 2005. Spring frosts resulted in some crop damage, but with no extended periods of extremely hot weather, overall crop development has been good. Utah's 2007 apricot production is forecast at 270 tons, down 4 percent from 2006 but 8 percent above 2005. Low disease pressure has helped keep the crop outlook good. Almonds: California's 2007 almond production is forecast at a record 1.33 billion pounds, shelled basis, up 2 percent from the May forecast and 19 percent larger than last year's crop. The current forecast is based on the objective measurement survey conducted in California almond orchards between May 24 and June 18. Bearing acreage is also a record at 615,000, up 5 percent from 2006. There was no difficulty accumulating chill hours over the winter. In general, weather conditions were good during pollination, and there was sufficient bee presence in orchards. Almond tree limbs were reported to be bowing and splitting under the weight of the heavy crop. This year's objective measurement survey showed the average nut set per tree is up 10 percent from 2006 for all varieties; however, the average kernel weight is 6 percent below last year. Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.06 million pounds for June, down 2 percent from both May 2007 and June a year ago. Area in crop totaled 1,735 acres, down 11 percent from last month and 1 percent less than the same month last year. Harvested area totaled 800 acres in June, down 8 percent from May and 47 percent lower than June 2006. Conditions in papaya growing areas were generally warm and sunny with occasional showers. Dry weather helped growers complete field operations and orchard maintenance, however more rain would help fruit development. Production is expected to increase as new acreage begins bearing fruit. Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2006-07 U.S. grapefruit crop is 1.60 million tons, 1 percent higher than the previous forecast and up 30 percent from last season's final utilization of 1.23 million tons. Florida's grapefruit production is forecast at 27.2 million boxes (1.16 million tons), unchanged from last month but up 41 percent from last season's hurricane-reduced final utilization of 19.3 million boxes (820,000 tons). The all white grapefruit forecast is 9.30 million boxes (395,000 tons), unchanged from June but 43 percent above last season's final utilization. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 17.9 million boxes (761,000 tons), is unchanged from last month but 40 percent above last season's utilization. Grapefruit harvest is virtually complete for the season. Administrative data show that 48 percent of the colored grapefruit crop was utilized for the fresh market while only 19 percent of white grapefruit was utilized fresh. The July 1 Texas grapefruit forecast is 6.90 million boxes (276,000 tons), up 6 percent from the April forecast and 33 percent higher than last season's final utilization. The California grapefruit forecast, at 4.80 million boxes (161,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 20 percent lower than last season's final utilization. Star Ruby grapefruit were being harvested for both domestic and export use. The extent of damage to the State's grapefruit crop due to the January freeze varied widely by variety and location. Arizona's forecast, at 100,000 boxes (3,000 tons), is unchanged from April and equal to last season's production. Tangerines: The 2006-07 U.S. tangerine forecast is 328,000 tons, unchanged from the June forecast but 21 percent lower than last season's final utilization of 417,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 4.60 million boxes (219,000 tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but 16 percent lower than last season's utilization of 5.50 million boxes. This season's tangerine harvest is complete in Florida. California's tangerine forecast is 2.60 million boxes (98,000 tons), unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 28 percent below last season. Arizona's forecast, at 300,000 boxes (11,000 tons), is unchanged from the April forecast but 45 percent below last season. Lemons: The forecast for the 2006-07 U.S. lemon crop, at 722,000 tons, is unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 23 percent below last season's utilization. California production is forecast at 16.5 million boxes (627,000 tons), unchanged from April but 21 percent lower than utilization for the 2005-06 season. Harvest continued in the south coastal growing region. Storage levels were low with demand exceeding supply at times. Arizona's 2006-07 lemon forecast, at 2.50 million boxes (95,000 tons), is unchanged from the April forecast but down 34 percent from the previous season. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast is 1.25 million boxes (56,000 tons), unchanged from the June 1 forecast but down 11 percent from last season's final utilized production. Tangelo harvest is complete with 66 percent of this season's crop being processed. Florida Citrus: Typical summer weather patterns resumed during June bringing daily thunderstorms and afternoon and evening showers. Tropical storm Barry produced up to four inches of rain the first week, and similar weather patterns brought almost equal amounts of rainfall the second week. By the end of the second week, growers realized some relief from the vigorous irrigation schedules they had been maintaining. By the third week, rainfall became less dense and more scattered. Surface water levels were still at low levels. Daytime temperatures have been slightly warmer than normal, with many afternoons reaching the low to mid 90s. Trees are generally in good condition, with growers optimistic about the prospects for next season's crop. Sizes are good and fruit set appears to be adequate in most areas. The last of this season's crop was harvested during the month of June. Weekly utilization for both grapefruit and Valencia oranges dropped to less than 50,000 boxes; grapefruit during the first week of the month and Valencias during the middle of the month. Grove activities included fertilizing, spraying of summer oils, hedging, and resetting trees. Survey crews continue to scout for signs of greening and removal of affected trees is an ongoing process. Arizona Citrus: Harvest was complete for all Arizona citrus varieties. Bloom this spring appeared to be good in grapefruit and tangerine groves but light in lemon groves. Growers are expecting a later crop next season due to the freeze last January. Texas Citrus: Harvest was complete for all citrus fruit. Growers were still irrigating citrus groves but next season's crop has benefitted from well timed precipitation this spring and summer. California Citrus: Oranges, grapefruit, and lemons were harvested during June. The Valencia orange harvest was progressing at a slow pace. Valencia fruit were reported as being plagued with internal drying due to freeze damage. Gold Nugget mandarins were harvested early in the month. Pruning of frost-damaged limbs and trees continued. Some growers continued to treat groves for fungus and weed control and to apply foliar nutrients. California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape vineyards across the State were being fertilized, irrigated, and sprayed to control weeds, diseases, and insects. Grape shoot and leaf thinning were underway during June. Table grapes harvested in the Coachella Valley included Flame Seedless, Black Beauty Seedless, Perlette, and White Seedless varieties. Fruit thinning on apple, pear, and quince trees continued. Apple orchards were sprayed for insect pests. Stone fruit orchards were being irrigated, fertilized, and treated with herbicides. Poppy, Patterson, Early Cot, Castlebrite, Katy, Primacot, Judy's Delight, Robata, and Black Velvet apricots were harvested. Cherry harvest was winding down for Bing and Rainier varieties. Harvests of Brittany Lane, Prima 13, Rich Lady, David Sun, Vista, Spring Snow, Honey Sweet, Snow Angel, June Flame, and Super Rich peaches, as well as Kay Sweet, Honey Kist, Honey Glow, Candy Pearl, Grand Pearl, Diamond Pearl, June Pearl, Rose Diamond, Royal Glow, and Zee Fire nectarines were underway. Flavorosa and Early Dapple pluots were harvested throughout the month. Plum harvest continued with Flavor Green, Fortune, Yummy Rosa, Flavor Royale, Black Beaut, Black Ice, Black Splendor, Rich Red, Show Time, and Santa Rosa varieties. Pomegranates, figs, and olives were blooming and forming fruit. Kiwifruit were being treated to control weeds and insect pests. Strawberry and blueberry harvests continued at a slow pace. Almond and pistachio crops looked good. Pest pressure in almonds was reported as being light, but some orchards were being sprayed for weeds and mites. Walnut groves were being sprayed for codling moth. Applications of fertilizer and irrigation to nut orchards continued during the month. Reliability of July 1 Crop Production Forecasts Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between June 21 and July 6 to gather information on expected yield as of July 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in 10 States that accounted for 68 percent of the 2006 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal interviewers. Approximately 9,300 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about the probable yield on their operation. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the July 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which accounts for nearly 75 percent of the U.S. production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at the start of the season based on a fruit tree census conducted every other year, combined with ongoing review based on administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per tree is determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted, which combined with the previous components, are used to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecasts. Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecast. Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 1.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.1 percent. Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 22 million bushels, ranging from 1 million to 65 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 orange production forecast is 1.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 2.2 percent. Differences between the July 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 105,000 tons, ranging from 18,000 tons to 370,000 tons. The July 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. The difference does not imply that the July 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Jeff Geuder, Chief........................................................(202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head.................................................(202) 720-2127 Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings............................(202) 720-5944 Todd Ballard - Wheat, Rye..........................................(202) 720-8068 Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed...........................(202) 720-9526 Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice.......................................(202) 720-7688 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds...............(202) 720-7369 King Whetstone - Hay, Oats, Sorghum................................(202) 690-3234 Greg Thessen - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops...................(202) 720-2127 Fruits, Vegetables & Special Crops Section Lance Honig, Head..................................................(202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco.............(202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries......................................(202) 720-2157 Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits.............................(202) 720-5412 Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Tree Nuts...................(202) 720-4215 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas...(202) 720-3250 Faye Propsom- Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes...............................................(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops.................................................(360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes...............(202) 720-4285 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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