Crop Production ISSN: 1936-3737 Released October 12, 2011, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Corn Production Down 1 Percent from September Forecast Soybean Production Down 1 Percent Cotton Production Up Slightly Orange Production Up 1 Percent from Last Season Corn production is forecast at 12.4 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the September forecast and down slightly from the 2010 production estimate. If realized, this will be the fourth largest production total on record for the United States. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 148.1 bushels per acre, unchanged from the September forecast but down 4.7 bushels from 2010. If realized, this will be the lowest average yield since 2005. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 83.9 million acres, down 1 percent from the September forecast. Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Soybean production is forecast at 3.06 billion bushels, down 1 percent from September and down 8 percent from last year. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 41.5 bushels per acre, down 0.3 bushel from last month and down 2 bushels from last year. If realized, the average yield will be the second lowest since 2003. Area for harvest is forecast at 73.7 million acres, down slightly from September and down 4 percent from 2010. All cotton production is forecast at 16.6 million 480-pound bales, up slightly from last month but down 8 percent from last year. Yield is expected to average 809 pounds per harvested acre, down 3 pounds from last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 15.9 million 480-pound bales, down 10 percent from 2010. American Pima production, forecast at 737,200 bales, was carried forward from last month. The United States all orange forecast for the 2011-2012 season is 8.99 million tons, up 1 percent from the 2010-2011 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 147 million boxes (6.62 million tons), is up 5 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 74.0 million boxes (3.33 million tons), 5 percent higher than last season. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 73.0 million boxes (3.29 million tons), is up 4 percent from the 2010-2011 crop. Weather conditions in Florida during early 2011 were characterized by drought conditions covering the majority of the citrus growing region. Seasonal showers in August and September brought relief to some growers. Average fruit per tree is projected to be 3 percent lower than last season. California's Navel orange crop continued to develop slightly behind schedule, with harvest expected to begin in November. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2011-2012 season is 1.60 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, up 1 percent from last season's final yield of 1.59 gallons per box. Projected yield from the 2011-2012 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons. This report was approved on October 12, 2011. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Michael T. Scuse Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Hubert Hamer Contents Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2011..................................... 6 Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 8 Corn Production - United States Chart.......................................................................... 9 Sorghum for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 9 Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011..... 10 Rice Production by Class - United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011.................................. 10 Soybean Production - United States Chart....................................................................... 10 Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 11 Sunflower Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 12 Peanut Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 13 Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 13 Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 14 Cottonseed Production - United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011..................................... 15 Cotton Production - United States Chart........................................................................ 15 Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................. 16 All Other Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 17 Sugarbeet Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 18 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011..................................................................................... 18 Dry Edible Bean Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011..................................................................................... 19 Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 20 Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011..................................................................................... 21 Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2010-2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2011................................................................................................ 22 Commercial Apple Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011.................... 23 Pecan Production by Variety - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011.................... 24 Grape Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011............................... 25 Crop Area Planted and Harvested - United States: 2010 and 2011 (Domestic Units)................................ 26 Crop Yield and Production - United States: 2010 and 2011 (Domestic Units)...................................... 27 Crop Area Planted and Harvested - United States: 2010 and 2011 (Metric Units).................................. 28 Crop Yield and Production - United States: 2010 and 2011 (Metric Units)........................................ 29 Fruits and Nuts Production - United States: 2011 and 2012 (Domestic Units)..................................... 30 Fruits and Nuts Production - United States: 2011 and 2012 (Metric Units)....................................... 31 Corn for Grain Number of Ears per Acre - Selected States: 2007-2011............................................ 32 Soybean Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet - Selected States: 2007-2011........................................ 33 Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts - Selected States: 2007-2011..................................................... 34 Percent of Normal Precipitation................................................................................ 35 Departure from Normal Temperature.............................................................................. 35 September Weather Summary...................................................................................... 36 September Agricultural Summary................................................................................. 36 Crop Comments.................................................................................................. 38 Statistical Methodology........................................................................................ 44 Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecast.............................................................. 45 Information Contacts........................................................................................... 46 This page intentionally left blank. Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2011 [Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Corn : Sorghum : Soybeans : Dry edible beans State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Alabama ......: 270 240 300 290 Arizona ......: 50 18 18 6 8.0 7.9 Arkansas .....: 560 510 100 85 3,330 3,250 California ...: 610 150 46.0 45.0 Colorado .....: 1,500 1,350 220 160 40.0 38.0 Connecticut ..: 26 Delaware .....: 190 183 170 168 Florida ......: 65 28 18 16 Georgia ......: 345 290 50 35 155 145 Idaho ........: 350 100 85.0 84.0 : Illinois .....: 12,600 12,400 22 20 8,900 8,850 Indiana ......: 5,900 5,700 5,300 5,290 Iowa .........: 14,100 13,650 9,350 9,260 Kansas .......: 4,900 4,300 2,600 2,350 4,000 3,800 6.5 6.0 Kentucky .....: 1,380 1,280 1,480 1,470 Louisiana ....: 580 560 130 125 1,020 980 Maine ........: 29 Maryland .....: 500 440 470 460 Massachusetts : 17 Michigan .....: 2,500 2,200 1,950 1,940 170.0 165.0 : Minnesota ....: 8,100 7,650 7,100 7,010 140.0 130.0 Mississippi ..: 820 770 52 50 1,830 1,780 Missouri .....: 3,300 3,120 40 35 5,350 5,250 Montana ......: 75 36 18.0 16.8 Nebraska .....: 9,850 9,500 150 71 4,900 4,850 110.0 102.0 Nevada .......: 8 New Hampshire : 15 New Jersey ...: 90 82 88 86 New Mexico ...: 125 51 95 30 12.6 12.6 New York .....: 1,100 620 280 277 12.0 11.5 : North Carolina: 870 800 1,380 1,350 North Dakota .: 2,250 2,050 4,000 3,950 410.0 370.0 Ohio .........: 3,400 3,220 4,550 4,540 Oklahoma .....: 380 230 290 130 440 250 Oregon .......: 83 52 4.4 4.3 Pennsylvania .: 1,400 930 490 485 Rhode Island .: 2 South Carolina: 360 335 370 360 South Dakota .: 5,200 4,800 150 85 4,100 4,050 7.7 7.1 Tennessee ....: 790 730 1,290 1,250 : Texas ........: 2,050 1,700 1,550 1,250 165 110 18.0 15.0 Utah .........: 85 30 Vermont ......: 90 Virginia .....: 490 340 560 540 Washington ...: 190 115 70.0 70.0 West Virginia : 47 31 20 19 Wisconsin ....: 4,150 3,280 1,610 1,600 5.5 5.5 Wyoming ......: 105 65 35.0 33.0 : United States : 91,897 83,936 5,467 4,432 74,966 73,676 1,198.7 1,123.7 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2011 (continued) [Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Canola : Sunflower : : :----------------------------------------------------------- : : : Oil : Non-oil : All :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : California ...: 40.0 39.5 4.0 4.0 44.0 43.5 Colorado .....: 110.0 100.0 18.0 16.0 128.0 116.0 Idaho ........: 19.0 18.5 Kansas .......: 115.0 105.0 19.0 18.0 134.0 123.0 Minnesota ....: 29.0 28.0 28.0 27.0 12.0 11.0 40.0 38.0 Montana ......: 31.0 30.0 Nebraska .....: 38.0 36.0 21.0 20.0 59.0 56.0 North Dakota .: 860.0 850.0 510.0 495.0 70.0 66.0 580.0 561.0 Oklahoma .....: 100.0 93.0 4.5 4.2 1.5 1.3 6.0 5.5 Oregon .......: 5.2 5.0 South Dakota .: 415.0 405.0 70.0 65.0 485.0 470.0 Texas ........: 29.0 25.0 39.0 35.0 68.0 60.0 : Other States 1: 26.8 25.5 (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) : United States : 1,071.0 1,050.0 1,289.5 1,236.7 254.5 236.3 1,544.0 1,473.0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (X) Not applicable. 1/ Other States for Canola include Colorado, Kansas, and Washington. Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2011 : : : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 :-----------------------: 2010 : 2011 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ---------- bushels --------- --- 1,000 bushels --- : Alabama .........: 250 240 116.0 105.0 107.0 29,000 25,680 Arkansas ........: 380 510 150.0 146.0 142.0 57,000 72,420 California ......: 180 150 195.0 185.0 185.0 35,100 27,750 Colorado ........: 1,210 1,350 151.0 127.0 127.0 182,710 171,450 Delaware ........: 173 183 115.0 125.0 125.0 19,895 22,875 Georgia .........: 245 290 145.0 147.0 152.0 35,525 44,080 Illinois ........: 12,400 12,400 157.0 161.0 159.0 1,946,800 1,971,600 Indiana .........: 5,720 5,700 157.0 145.0 145.0 898,040 826,500 Iowa ............: 13,050 13,650 165.0 167.0 169.0 2,153,250 2,306,850 Kansas ..........: 4,650 4,300 125.0 105.0 105.0 581,250 451,500 : Kentucky ........: 1,230 1,280 124.0 139.0 139.0 152,520 177,920 Louisiana .......: 500 560 140.0 130.0 135.0 70,000 75,600 Maryland ........: 430 440 106.0 104.0 105.0 45,580 46,200 Michigan ........: 2,100 2,200 150.0 148.0 148.0 315,000 325,600 Minnesota .......: 7,300 7,650 177.0 165.0 165.0 1,292,100 1,262,250 Mississippi .....: 670 770 136.0 114.0 118.0 91,120 90,860 Missouri ........: 3,000 3,120 123.0 120.0 115.0 369,000 358,800 Nebraska ........: 8,850 9,500 166.0 160.0 160.0 1,469,100 1,520,000 New Jersey ......: 71 82 114.0 130.0 130.0 8,094 10,660 New York ........: 590 620 150.0 134.0 130.0 88,500 80,600 : North Carolina ..: 840 800 91.0 78.0 84.0 76,440 67,200 North Dakota ....: 1,880 2,050 132.0 125.0 121.0 248,160 248,050 Ohio ............: 3,270 3,220 163.0 153.0 154.0 533,010 495,880 Oklahoma ........: 340 230 130.0 90.0 85.0 44,200 19,550 Pennsylvania ....: 910 930 128.0 114.0 109.0 116,480 101,370 South Carolina ..: 335 335 91.0 57.0 57.0 30,485 19,095 South Dakota ....: 4,220 4,800 135.0 138.0 139.0 569,700 667,200 Tennessee .......: 640 730 117.0 137.0 137.0 74,880 100,010 Texas ...........: 2,080 1,700 145.0 112.0 112.0 301,600 190,400 Virginia ........: 310 340 67.0 124.0 119.0 20,770 40,460 Washington ......: 125 115 205.0 215.0 210.0 25,625 24,150 Wisconsin .......: 3,100 3,280 162.0 157.0 160.0 502,200 524,800 : Other States 1/ .: 397 411 160.5 160.3 159.5 63,731 65,550 : United States ...: 81,446 83,936 152.8 148.1 148.1 12,446,865 12,432,910 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Arizona, Florida, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2011 Summary." Sorghum for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2011 : : : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 :-----------------------: 2010 : 2011 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres --------- bushels --------- 1,000 bushels : Arkansas ........: 35 85 77.0 88.0 74.0 2,695 6,290 Colorado ........: 160 160 47.0 38.0 39.0 7,520 6,240 Illinois ........: 33 20 96.0 87.0 94.0 3,168 1,880 Kansas ..........: 2,250 2,350 76.0 55.0 55.0 171,000 129,250 Louisiana .......: 78 125 95.0 81.0 81.0 7,410 10,125 Mississippi .....: 10 50 65.0 78.0 75.0 650 3,750 Missouri ........: 33 35 78.0 80.0 80.0 2,574 2,800 Nebraska ........: 75 71 90.0 87.0 85.0 6,750 6,035 New Mexico ......: 68 30 66.0 59.0 65.0 4,488 1,950 Oklahoma ........: 250 130 52.0 23.0 23.0 13,000 2,990 South Dakota ....: 85 85 62.0 70.0 65.0 5,270 5,525 Texas ...........: 1,700 1,250 70.0 52.0 52.0 119,000 65,000 : Other States 1/ .: 31 41 60.3 48.4 47.9 1,870 1,965 : United States ...: 4,808 4,432 71.8 55.6 55.0 345,395 243,800 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Other States include Arizona and Georgia. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2011 Summary." Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield : Production 1/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2011 : : : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 :-------------------------: 2010 : 2011 : : : :September 1 : October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ------------ pounds ----------- ---- 1,000 cwt --- : Arkansas .....: 1,785 1,155 6,480 7,000 6,800 115,675 78,540 California ...: 553 588 8,020 8,400 8,300 44,326 48,804 Louisiana ....: 535 420 6,100 6,400 6,400 32,625 26,880 Mississippi ..: 303 153 6,850 7,200 7,100 20,756 10,863 Missouri .....: 251 128 6,480 7,200 7,200 16,254 9,216 Texas ........: 188 180 7,160 7,500 7,000 13,468 12,600 : United States : 3,615 2,624 6,725 7,273 7,123 243,104 186,903 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes sweet rice production. Rice Production by Class - United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long grain : Medium grain : Short grain 1/ : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : 2010 .......: 183,296 57,144 2,664 243,104 2011 2/ ....: 116,774 67,202 2,927 186,903 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain. 2/ The 2011 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice yield. Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2011 : : : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 :-----------------------: 2010 : 2011 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres --------- bushels --------- -- 1,000 bushels -- : Alabama .........: 345 290 26.0 28.0 30.0 8,970 8,700 Arkansas ........: 3,150 3,250 35.0 37.0 37.0 110,250 120,250 Delaware ........: 173 168 32.0 37.0 38.0 5,536 6,384 Georgia .........: 255 145 26.0 21.0 21.0 6,630 3,045 Illinois ........: 9,050 8,850 51.5 48.0 46.0 466,075 407,100 Indiana .........: 5,330 5,290 48.5 42.0 42.0 258,505 222,180 Iowa ............: 9,730 9,260 51.0 51.0 50.5 496,230 467,630 Kansas ..........: 4,250 3,800 32.5 27.0 27.0 138,125 102,600 Kentucky ........: 1,390 1,470 34.0 37.0 39.0 47,260 57,330 Louisiana .......: 1,020 980 41.0 35.0 36.0 41,820 35,280 : Maryland ........: 465 460 34.0 35.0 39.0 15,810 17,940 Michigan ........: 2,040 1,940 43.5 44.0 44.0 88,740 85,360 Minnesota .......: 7,310 7,010 45.0 41.0 41.0 328,950 287,410 Mississippi .....: 1,980 1,780 38.5 40.0 40.0 76,230 71,200 Missouri ........: 5,070 5,250 41.5 39.0 37.0 210,405 194,250 Nebraska ........: 5,100 4,850 52.5 55.0 54.0 267,750 261,900 New Jersey ......: 92 86 24.0 33.0 34.0 2,208 2,924 New York ........: 279 277 48.0 41.0 42.0 13,392 11,634 North Carolina ..: 1,550 1,350 26.0 29.0 31.0 40,300 41,850 North Dakota ....: 4,070 3,950 34.0 30.0 29.0 138,380 114,550 : Ohio ............: 4,590 4,540 48.0 46.0 46.0 220,320 208,840 Oklahoma ........: 475 250 25.0 18.0 17.0 11,875 4,250 Pennsylvania ....: 495 485 42.0 42.0 42.0 20,790 20,370 South Carolina ..: 455 360 23.0 26.0 26.0 10,465 9,360 South Dakota ....: 4,140 4,050 38.0 38.0 39.0 157,320 157,950 Tennessee .......: 1,410 1,250 31.0 34.0 35.0 43,710 43,750 Texas ...........: 185 110 30.0 17.0 15.0 5,550 1,650 Virginia ........: 540 540 26.0 37.0 39.0 14,040 21,060 Wisconsin .......: 1,630 1,600 50.5 45.0 45.0 82,315 72,000 : Other States 1/ .: 41 35 30.0 31.9 35.4 1,230 1,240 : United States ...: 76,610 73,676 43.5 41.8 41.5 3,329,181 3,059,987 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Florida and West Virginia. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2011 Summary." Sunflower Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal type : Area harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------- and State : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 1/ : 2010 : 2011 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ---- pounds --- --- 1,000 pounds -- : Oil : California .....: 27.0 39.5 1,150 31,050 Colorado .......: 92.0 100.0 1,350 124,200 Kansas .........: 105.0 105.0 1,380 144,900 Minnesota ......: 51.0 27.0 1,500 76,500 Nebraska .......: 24.0 36.0 1,350 32,400 North Dakota ...: 685.0 495.0 1,460 1,000,100 Oklahoma .......: 10.5 4.2 1,500 15,750 South Dakota ...: 400.0 405.0 1,540 616,000 Texas ..........: 28.0 25.0 1,200 33,600 : United States ..:1,422.5 1,236.7 1,458 2,074,500 : Non-oil : California .....: 7.0 4.0 1,350 9,450 Colorado .......: 35.0 16.0 1,250 43,750 Kansas .........: 28.0 18.0 1,470 41,160 Minnesota ......: 31.0 11.0 1,300 40,300 Nebraska .......: 34.0 20.0 1,500 51,000 North Dakota ...: 177.0 66.0 1,440 254,880 Oklahoma .......: 1.3 1.3 1,100 1,430 South Dakota ...: 95.0 65.0 1,650 156,750 Texas ..........: 43.0 35.0 1,450 62,350 : United States ..: 451.3 236.3 1,465 661,070 : All : California .....: 34.0 43.5 1,191 1,032 40,500 44,900 Colorado .......: 127.0 116.0 1,322 1,100 167,950 127,600 Kansas .........: 133.0 123.0 1,399 1,307 186,060 160,800 Minnesota ......: 82.0 38.0 1,424 1,257 116,800 47,750 Nebraska .......: 58.0 56.0 1,438 1,271 83,400 71,200 North Dakota ...: 862.0 561.0 1,456 1,342 1,254,980 752,730 Oklahoma .......: 11.8 5.5 1,456 1,267 17,180 6,970 South Dakota ...: 495.0 470.0 1,561 1,786 772,750 839,550 Texas ..........: 71.0 60.0 1,351 658 95,950 39,500 : United States ..:1,873.8 1,473.0 1,460 1,420 2,735,570 2,091,000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2011 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2011 Summary." Peanut Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Alabama ........: 190.0 170.0 185.0 167.0 Florida ........: 145.0 170.0 135.0 157.0 Georgia ........: 565.0 475.0 555.0 470.0 Mississippi ....: 19.0 16.0 18.0 15.0 New Mexico .....: 10.0 7.0 10.0 7.0 North Carolina .: 87.0 82.0 86.0 81.0 Oklahoma .......: 22.0 24.0 21.0 23.0 South Carolina .: 67.0 77.0 64.0 73.0 Texas ..........: 165.0 110.0 163.0 105.0 Virginia .......: 18.0 16.0 18.0 16.0 : United States ..: 1,288.0 1,147.0 1,255.0 1,114.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2011 : : : 2010 :-------------------------: 2010 : 2011 : :September 1 : October 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- pounds ----------- ---- 1,000 pounds ---- : Alabama ........: 2,600 2,600 2,800 481,000 467,600 Florida ........: 3,500 3,000 3,400 472,500 533,800 Georgia ........: 3,530 3,400 3,450 1,959,150 1,621,500 Mississippi ....: 3,500 3,400 3,600 63,000 54,000 New Mexico .....: 3,400 3,000 3,000 34,000 21,000 North Carolina .: 2,700 3,300 3,400 232,200 275,400 Oklahoma .......: 3,350 3,000 2,800 70,350 64,400 South Carolina .: 3,500 3,000 3,000 224,000 219,000 Texas ..........: 3,600 2,600 3,000 586,800 315,000 Virginia .......: 1,880 3,400 3,500 33,840 56,000 : United States ..: 3,312 3,104 3,256 4,156,840 3,627,700 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Area harvested : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 acres -- ---- pounds --- --- 1,000 pounds -- : Idaho ..........: 18.4 18.5 1,800 2,150 33,120 39,775 Minnesota ......: 45.0 28.0 1,530 1,320 68,850 36,960 Montana ........: 17.4 30.0 1,730 1,450 30,102 43,500 North Dakota ...: 1,270.0 850.0 1,720 1,460 2,184,400 1,241,000 Oklahoma .......: 56.0 93.0 1,600 1,200 89,600 111,600 Oregon .........: 5.7 5.0 2,450 3,000 13,965 15,000 : Other States 1/ : 18.5 25.5 1,671 1,738 30,910 44,330 : United States ..: 1,431.0 1,050.0 1,713 1,459 2,450,947 1,532,165 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Colorado, Kansas, and Washington. Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production 1/ :-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type and State : : : : 2011 : : : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 :-----------------------: 2010 : 2011 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 acres -- ---------- pounds ---------- 1,000 bales 2/ : Upland : Alabama .........: 338.0 440.0 682 698 731 480.0 670.0 Arizona .........: 193.0 248.0 1,517 1,510 1,510 610.0 780.0 Arkansas ........: 540.0 660.0 1,045 1,018 996 1,176.0 1,370.0 California ......: 123.0 181.0 1,483 1,485 1,485 380.0 560.0 Florida .........: 89.0 120.0 766 724 712 142.0 178.0 Georgia .........: 1,315.0 1,520.0 821 789 853 2,250.0 2,700.0 Kansas ..........: 50.0 67.0 787 595 595 82.0 83.0 Louisiana .......: 249.0 285.0 842 926 893 437.0 530.0 Mississippi .....: 410.0 605.0 993 936 960 848.0 1,210.0 Missouri ........: 308.0 365.0 1,068 1,092 1,131 685.0 860.0 : New Mexico ......: 47.0 63.0 1,174 876 952 115.0 125.0 North Carolina ..: 545.0 800.0 838 720 702 951.0 1,170.0 Oklahoma ........: 270.0 100.0 750 432 504 422.0 105.0 South Carolina ..: 201.0 303.0 898 745 776 376.0 490.0 Tennessee .......: 387.0 490.0 845 823 823 681.0 840.0 Texas ...........: 5,350.0 3,200.0 703 630 600 7,840.0 4,000.0 Virginia ........: 82.0 115.0 732 835 835 125.0 200.0 : United States ...:10,497.0 9,562.0 805 794 797 17,600.0 15,871.0 : American Pima 3/ : Arizona .........: 2.5 11.0 845 873 873 4.4 20.0 California ......: 180.0 259.0 1,237 1,269 1,269 464.0 685.0 New Mexico ......: 2.7 3.0 836 832 832 4.7 5.2 Texas ...........: 16.5 14.5 902 894 894 31.0 27.0 : United States ...: 201.7 287.5 1,200 1,231 1,231 504.1 737.2 : All : Alabama .........: 338.0 440.0 682 698 731 480.0 670.0 Arizona .........: 195.5 259.0 1,509 1,483 1,483 614.4 800.0 Arkansas ........: 540.0 660.0 1,045 1,018 996 1,176.0 1,370.0 California ......: 303.0 440.0 1,337 1,358 1,358 844.0 1,245.0 Florida .........: 89.0 120.0 766 724 712 142.0 178.0 Georgia .........: 1,315.0 1,520.0 821 789 853 2,250.0 2,700.0 Kansas ..........: 50.0 67.0 787 595 595 82.0 83.0 Louisiana .......: 249.0 285.0 842 926 893 437.0 530.0 Mississippi .....: 410.0 605.0 993 936 960 848.0 1,210.0 Missouri ........: 308.0 365.0 1,068 1,092 1,131 685.0 860.0 : New Mexico ......: 49.7 66.0 1,156 874 947 119.7 130.2 North Carolina ..: 545.0 800.0 838 720 702 951.0 1,170.0 Oklahoma ........: 270.0 100.0 750 432 504 422.0 105.0 South Carolina ..: 201.0 303.0 898 745 776 376.0 490.0 Tennessee .......: 387.0 490.0 845 823 823 681.0 840.0 Texas ...........: 5,366.5 3,214.5 704 631 601 7,871.0 4,027.0 Virginia ........: 82.0 115.0 732 835 835 125.0 200.0 : United States ...:10,698.7 9,849.5 812 807 809 18,104.1 16,608.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-pound net weight bale. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Cottonseed Production - United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 tons : United States ...: 6,098.1 5,572.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 acres --- ------ tons ----- ---- 1,000 tons --- : Arizona ........: 280 250 8.20 7.90 2,296 1,975 California .....: 920 940 6.80 6.90 6,256 6,486 Colorado .......: 820 820 3.50 3.40 2,870 2,788 Idaho ..........: 1,130 1,020 4.20 4.50 4,746 4,590 Illinois .......: 340 290 3.80 3.80 1,292 1,102 Indiana ........: 300 300 3.60 3.50 1,080 1,050 Iowa ...........: 880 730 3.40 3.40 2,992 2,482 Kansas .........: 650 650 3.80 3.00 2,470 1,950 Kentucky .......: 230 250 2.80 3.20 644 800 Michigan .......: 700 700 3.00 3.20 2,100 2,240 : Minnesota ......: 1,100 1,100 3.60 3.70 3,960 4,070 Missouri .......: 240 220 2.80 2.80 672 616 Montana ........: 1,950 1,950 2.30 2.40 4,485 4,680 Nebraska .......: 890 850 4.10 4.00 3,649 3,400 Nevada .........: 280 275 4.30 4.70 1,204 1,293 New Mexico .....: 220 230 5.20 5.20 1,144 1,196 New York .......: 420 450 2.10 1.90 882 855 North Dakota ...: 1,560 1,500 2.30 2.00 3,588 3,000 Ohio ...........: 390 400 3.30 3.00 1,287 1,200 Oklahoma .......: 310 300 3.30 1.30 1,023 390 : Oregon .........: 415 380 4.30 4.50 1,785 1,710 Pennsylvania ...: 500 450 2.60 2.50 1,300 1,125 South Dakota ...: 2,150 2,250 2.40 2.60 5,160 5,850 Texas ..........: 120 140 5.00 3.20 600 448 Utah ...........: 540 540 4.00 4.20 2,160 2,268 Virginia .......: 80 70 2.30 3.50 184 245 Washington .....: 450 390 5.00 4.80 2,250 1,872 Wisconsin ......: 1,300 1,150 2.90 2.70 3,770 3,105 Wyoming ........: 620 570 2.60 2.60 1,612 1,482 : Other States 1/ : 171 164 2.58 2.72 442 446 : United States ..: 19,956 19,329 3.40 3.35 67,903 64,714 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Carolina, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Vermont, and West Virginia. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2011 Summary." All Other Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 acres -- ----- tons ----- --- 1,000 tons --- : Alabama ........: 780 800 2.40 2.00 1,872 1,600 Arkansas .......: 1,470 1,490 1.80 1.50 2,646 2,235 California .....: 550 550 3.60 3.50 1,980 1,925 Colorado .......: 780 820 1.50 1.40 1,170 1,148 Georgia ........: 650 570 2.50 1.50 1,625 855 Idaho ..........: 340 350 2.10 2.20 714 770 Illinois .......: 260 270 2.40 2.10 624 567 Indiana ........: 370 330 2.20 2.30 814 759 Iowa ...........: 320 340 2.40 2.00 768 680 Kansas .........: 1,900 1,900 1.70 1.50 3,230 2,850 : Kentucky .......: 2,300 2,100 2.20 2.40 5,060 5,040 Louisiana ......: 450 400 2.80 2.90 1,260 1,160 Michigan .......: 300 300 2.10 2.00 630 600 Minnesota ......: 800 700 1.80 1.90 1,440 1,330 Mississippi ....: 700 720 2.30 2.40 1,610 1,728 Missouri .......: 3,600 3,600 1.90 1.60 6,840 5,760 Montana ........: 900 800 1.80 1.70 1,620 1,360 Nebraska .......: 1,800 1,700 1.50 1.40 2,700 2,380 New York .......: 960 1,080 1.60 1.70 1,536 1,836 North Carolina .: 860 800 2.10 2.50 1,806 2,000 : North Dakota ...: 990 1,000 1.75 1.70 1,733 1,700 Ohio ...........: 720 710 2.20 2.10 1,584 1,491 Oklahoma .......: 2,900 2,700 1.70 0.90 4,930 2,430 Oregon .........: 630 630 2.10 2.10 1,323 1,323 Pennsylvania ...: 1,000 1,000 2.10 2.10 2,100 2,100 South Dakota ...: 1,450 1,200 1.50 1.70 2,175 2,040 Tennessee ......: 1,950 1,900 2.10 2.20 4,095 4,180 Texas ..........: 5,100 4,500 2.00 1.00 10,200 4,500 Virginia .......: 1,250 1,280 1.60 2.20 2,000 2,816 Washington .....: 390 390 3.00 3.20 1,170 1,248 : West Virginia ..: 600 610 1.50 2.00 900 1,220 Wisconsin ......: 360 350 2.10 2.10 756 735 Wyoming ........: 570 500 1.50 1.40 855 700 : Other States 1/ : 1,906 1,886 2.04 2.08 3,887 3,914 : United States ..: 39,906 38,276 1.95 1.75 77,653 66,980 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Utah, and Vermont. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2011 Summary." Sugarbeet Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 [Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except California] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2011 : : : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 :-------------------------: 2010 : 2011 : : : :September 1 : October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : -- 1,000 acres -- ------------ tons ----------- -- 1,000 tons -- : California 1/ : 25.1 25.0 40.0 43.0 43.0 1,004 1,075 Colorado .....: 27.9 28.7 29.5 26.0 26.0 823 746 Idaho ........: 170.0 178.0 31.0 32.2 32.2 5,270 5,732 Michigan .....: 147.0 149.0 26.0 24.6 24.6 3,822 3,665 Minnesota ....: 441.0 462.0 26.6 20.5 20.5 11,731 9,471 Montana ......: 42.5 43.1 29.5 25.1 25.1 1,254 1,082 Nebraska .....: 47.5 51.0 23.8 24.5 24.5 1,131 1,250 North Dakota .: 214.0 231.0 26.5 22.0 22.0 5,671 5,082 Oregon .......: 10.3 8.8 36.3 34.3 34.3 374 302 Wyoming ......: 30.4 31.0 27.0 25.0 25.0 821 775 : United States : 1,155.7 1,207.6 27.6 24.2 24.2 31,901 29,180 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central California and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern California. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield 1/ : Production 1/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2011 : : : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 :-------------------------: 2010 : 2011 : : : :September 1 : October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres ------------ tons ----------- -- 1,000 tons -- : Florida ......: 392.0 397.0 33.1 35.0 35.0 12,972 13,895 Hawaii .......: 17.4 17.0 71.6 77.4 77.4 1,245 1,316 Louisiana ....: 420.0 420.0 27.8 28.0 28.0 11,676 11,760 Texas ........: 48.1 49.0 30.5 33.7 33.7 1,467 1,651 : United States : 877.5 883.0 31.2 32.4 32.4 27,360 28,622 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Net tons. Dry Edible Bean Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 1/ : 2010 : 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Arizona 2/ .....: 13.0 8.0 12.9 7.9 California .....: 63.5 46.0 63.0 45.0 Colorado .......: 70.0 40.0 66.0 38.0 Idaho ..........: 135.0 85.0 134.0 84.0 Kansas .........: 9.5 6.5 9.0 6.0 Michigan .......: 236.0 170.0 235.0 165.0 Minnesota ......: 185.0 140.0 175.0 130.0 Montana 2/ .....: 18.8 18.0 17.7 16.8 Nebraska .......: 170.0 110.0 155.0 102.0 New Mexico 2/ ..: 13.8 12.6 13.8 12.6 : New York .......: 15.0 12.0 14.9 11.5 North Dakota ...: 800.0 410.0 770.0 370.0 Oregon 2/ ......: 7.1 4.4 6.9 4.3 South Dakota ...: 12.5 7.7 11.3 7.1 Texas ..........: 21.0 18.0 19.0 15.0 Washington .....: 86.0 70.0 86.0 70.0 Wisconsin 2/ ...: 6.2 5.5 6.2 5.5 Wyoming ........: 49.0 35.0 47.0 33.0 : United States ..: 1,911.4 1,198.7 1,842.7 1,123.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield 3/ : Production 3/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- pounds ------ ------ 1,000 cwt ----- : Arizona 2/ .....: 1,880 1,960 243 155 California .....: 2,320 2,200 1,462 990 Colorado .......: 1,900 1,600 1,254 608 Idaho ..........: 1,900 1,800 2,546 1,512 Kansas .........: 2,600 1,900 234 114 Michigan .......: 1,800 1,800 4,230 2,970 Minnesota ......: 1,750 1,740 3,062 2,262 Montana 2/ .....: 2,030 1,700 359 286 Nebraska .......: 2,060 2,050 3,193 2,091 New Mexico 2/ ..: 2,330 2,300 322 290 : New York .......: 1,890 1,500 282 173 North Dakota ...: 1,490 1,550 11,473 5,735 Oregon 2/ ......: 2,160 2,300 149 99 South Dakota ...: 2,040 1,800 230 128 Texas ..........: 1,210 1,000 229 150 Washington .....: 1,600 1,600 1,376 1,120 Wisconsin 2/ ...: 2,150 2,150 133 118 Wyoming ........: 2,180 2,400 1,024 792 : United States ..: 1,726 1,744 31,801 19,593 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Updated from the August "Crop Production" report. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3/ Clean basis. Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :-------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2011 : : : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 :-----------------------: 2010 : 2011 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ----- acres ----- ---------- pounds ---------- -- 1,000 pounds -- : Connecticut ...: 2,600 2,050 1,665 1,648 1,566 4,329 3,210 Georgia .......: 11,400 11,500 2,400 2,400 2,350 27,360 27,025 Kentucky ......: 85,200 77,500 2,133 2,125 2,215 181,760 171,700 Massachusetts .: 950 530 1,768 1,732 1,591 1,680 843 North Carolina : 168,300 170,300 2,095 1,648 1,697 352,625 289,050 Ohio 1/ .......: 2,500 1,900 2,050 2,000 2,000 5,125 3,800 Pennsylvania ..: 8,500 9,700 2,349 2,252 2,119 19,965 20,555 South Carolina : 16,000 14,500 2,250 1,600 1,600 36,000 23,200 Tennessee .....: 22,300 22,000 2,051 2,172 2,153 45,740 47,360 Virginia ......: 19,750 21,900 2,243 2,234 2,336 44,299 51,160 : United States .: 337,500 331,880 2,130 1,875 1,922 718,883 637,903 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production Class, type, and State :------------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ----- acres ----- ---- pounds ---- -- 1,000 pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured (11-14) : Georgia ................................: 11,400 11,500 2,400 2,350 27,360 27,025 North Carolina .........................: 166,000 168,000 2,100 1,700 348,600 285,600 South Carolina .........................: 16,000 14,500 2,250 1,600 36,000 23,200 Virginia ...............................: 17,500 19,500 2,280 2,400 39,900 46,800 : United States ..........................: 210,900 213,500 2,143 1,792 451,860 382,625 : Class 2, Fire-cured (21-23) : Kentucky ...............................: 8,800 9,100 3,300 3,400 29,040 30,940 Tennessee ..............................: 6,200 6,900 2,900 3,000 17,980 20,700 Virginia ...............................: 650 400 2,090 1,900 1,359 760 : United States ..........................: 15,650 16,400 3,091 3,195 48,379 52,400 : Class 3A, Light air-cured : Type 31, Burley : Kentucky .............................: 72,000 64,000 1,950 2,000 140,400 128,000 North Carolina .......................: 2,300 2,300 1,750 1,500 4,025 3,450 Ohio 1/ ..............................: 2,500 1,900 2,050 2,000 5,125 3,800 Pennsylvania .........................: 4,200 5,000 2,400 2,150 10,080 10,750 Tennessee ............................: 15,000 14,000 1,660 1,700 24,900 23,800 Virginia .............................: 1,600 2,000 1,900 1,800 3,040 3,600 : United States ........................: 97,600 89,200 1,922 1,944 187,570 173,400 : Type 32, Southern Maryland Belt ........: Pennsylvania .........................: 2,200 3,000 2,250 2,050 4,950 6,150 : Total light air-cured (31-32) ....... : 99,800 92,200 1,929 1,947 192,520 179,550 : Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37) : Kentucky ...............................: 4,400 4,400 2,800 2,900 12,320 12,760 Tennessee ..............................: 1,100 1,100 2,600 2,600 2,860 2,860 : United States ..........................: 5,500 5,500 2,760 2,840 15,180 15,620 : Class 4, Cigar filler : Type 41, Pennsylvania Seedleaf : Pennsylvania .........................: 2,100 1,700 2,350 2,150 4,935 3,655 : Class 5, Cigar binder : Type 51 Connecticut Valley Broadleaf : Connecticut ..........................: 1,950 1,350 1,720 1,600 3,354 2,160 Massachusetts ........................: 850 400 1,800 1,750 1,530 700 : United States ........................: 2,800 1,750 1,744 1,634 4,884 2,860 : Class 6, Cigar wrapper : Type 61, Connecticut Valley Shade-grown : Connecticut ..........................: 650 700 1,500 1,500 975 1,050 Massachusetts ........................: 100 130 1,500 1,100 150 143 : United States ........................: 750 830 1,500 1,437 1,125 1,193 : Total cigar types (41-61) ........... : 5,650 4,280 1,937 1,801 10,944 7,708 : All tobacco : United States ..........................: 337,500 331,880 2,130 1,922 718,883 637,903 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2010-2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 [The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized production boxes 1/ : Utilized production ton equivalent Crop and State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2010-2011 : 2011-2012 : 2010-2011 : 2011-2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 boxes ------- ------- 1,000 tons ------ Oranges : Early, mid, and Navel 2/ : California .................: 48,000 44,000 1,920 1,760 Florida ....................: 70,300 74,000 3,164 3,330 Texas ......................: 1,700 1,380 72 59 : United States ..............: 120,000 119,380 5,156 5,149 : Valencia : California .................: 13,500 13,500 540 540 Florida ....................: 70,000 73,000 3,150 3,285 Texas ......................: 249 329 11 14 : United States ..............: 83,749 86,829 3,701 3,839 : All : California .................: 61,500 57,500 2,460 2,300 Florida ....................: 140,300 147,000 6,314 6,615 Texas ......................: 1,949 1,709 83 73 : United States ..............: 203,749 206,209 8,857 8,988 : Grapefruit : White : Florida ....................: 5,850 5,600 249 238 : Colored : Florida ....................: 13,900 14,500 591 616 : All : California .................: 4,100 3,400 164 136 Florida ....................: 19,750 20,100 840 854 Texas ......................: 6,300 5,100 252 204 : United States ..............: 30,150 28,600 1,256 1,194 : Tangerines and mandarins : Arizona 3/ ...................: 300 200 12 8 California 3/ ................: 9,900 10,300 396 412 Florida ......................: 4,650 4,700 221 223 : United States ................: 14,850 15,200 629 643 : Lemons : Arizona ......................: 2,500 800 100 32 California ...................: 21,000 20,000 840 800 : United States ................: 23,500 20,800 940 832 : Tangelos : Florida ......................: 1,150 1,100 52 50 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; lemons-80, tangelos-90; tangerines and mandarins in Arizona and California-80, Florida-95. 2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida and Texas. Small quantities of tangerines in Texas and Temples in Florida. 3/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Commercial Apple Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 [In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees] -------------------------------------------------------------- : Total production State :------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------- : million pounds : Arizona ..........: 17.0 12.0 California .......: 280.0 280.0 Colorado .........: 14.0 11.0 Connecticut ......: 23.0 24.0 Idaho ............: 60.0 60.0 Illinois .........: 52.0 45.0 Indiana ..........: 26.0 25.0 Iowa .............: 3.8 4.1 Maine ............: 31.0 34.0 Maryland .........: 42.5 40.0 : Massachusetts ....: 37.0 38.0 Michigan .........: 590.0 1,100.0 Minnesota ........: 19.0 22.4 Missouri .........: 33.0 17.0 New Hampshire ....: 21.0 22.0 New Jersey .......: 43.0 44.0 New York .........: 1,270.0 1,220.0 North Carolina ...: 136.0 133.2 Ohio .............: 83.2 55.2 Oregon ...........: 120.0 100.0 : Pennsylvania .....: 492.0 442.0 Rhode Island .....: 2.6 2.8 Tennessee ........: 7.5 8.5 Utah .............: 12.0 20.0 Vermont ..........: 35.0 38.0 Virginia .........: 200.0 215.0 Washington .......: 5,550.0 5,300.0 West Virginia ....: 64.0 73.5 Wisconsin ........: 37.0 43.2 : United States ....: 9,301.6 9,429.9 -------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for Michigan, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia are October 1 forecasts. All other States' estimates are carried forward from an earlier forecast. Pecan Production by Variety - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized production (in-shell basis) Variety and State :--------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 pounds Improved varieties 1/ : Alabama ......................: 4,500 7,500 Arizona ......................: 22,000 21,000 Arkansas .....................: 780 1,500 California ...................: 5,700 4,400 Florida ......................: 1,200 1,200 Georgia ......................: 70,000 85,000 Louisiana ....................: 3,500 2,500 Mississippi ..................: 1,400 1,700 Missouri .....................: 180 150 New Mexico ...................: 66,000 56,000 Oklahoma .....................: 6,000 2,300 South Carolina ...............: 1,300 2,400 Texas ........................: 50,000 30,000 : United States ................: 232,560 215,650 : Native and seedling : Alabama ......................: 500 1,500 Arkansas .....................: 320 1,100 Florida ......................: 300 300 Georgia ......................: 5,000 5,000 Kansas .......................: 3,000 2,500 Louisiana ....................: 16,500 6,500 Mississippi ..................: 700 500 Missouri .....................: 660 1,350 Oklahoma .....................: 14,000 6,700 South Carolina ...............: 200 600 Texas ........................: 20,000 10,000 : United States ................: 61,180 36,050 : All : Alabama ......................: 5,000 9,000 Arizona ......................: 22,000 21,000 Arkansas .....................: 1,100 2,600 California ...................: 5,700 4,400 Florida ......................: 1,500 1,500 Georgia ......................: 75,000 90,000 Kansas .......................: 3,000 2,500 Louisiana ....................: 20,000 9,000 Mississippi ..................: 2,100 2,200 Missouri .....................: 840 1,500 New Mexico ...................: 66,000 56,000 Oklahoma .....................: 20,000 9,000 South Carolina ...............: 1,500 3,000 Texas ........................: 70,000 40,000 : United States ................: 293,740 251,700 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. Grape Production - States and United States: 2010 and Forecasted October 1, 2011 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : tons : Arkansas ....................: 2,100 1,400 California ..................: 6,716,000 6,350,000 Wine ......................: 3,629,000 3,300,000 Table 2/ ..................: 1,008,000 1,000,000 Raisin 2/ .................: 2,079,000 2,050,000 Georgia .....................: 4,600 4,200 Michigan ....................: 36,000 102,000 Missouri ....................: 5,100 5,400 New York ....................: 176,000 188,000 North Carolina ..............: 5,200 5,800 : Ohio ........................: 3,470 5,940 Oregon ......................: 31,200 38,000 Pennsylvania ................: 83,000 98,000 Texas .......................: 8,900 6,200 Virginia ....................: 6,600 8,500 Washington ..................: 336,000 275,000 Wine ......................: 160,000 135,000 Juice .....................: 176,000 140,000 : United States ...............: 7,414,170 7,088,440 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Estimates for California, Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, and Washington are October 1 forecasts. All other States' estimates are carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Fresh basis. Crop Area Planted and Harvested - United States: 2010 and 2011 (Domestic Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2011 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 2,872 2,559 2,465 2,239 Corn for grain 1/ ..............: 88,192 91,897 81,446 83,936 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 5,567 Hay, all .......................: (NA) (NA) 59,862 57,605 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) (NA) 19,956 19,329 All other ....................: (NA) (NA) 39,906 38,276 Oats ...........................: 3,138 2,496 1,263 940 Proso millet ...................: 390 320 363 Rice ...........................: 3,636 2,693 3,615 2,624 Rye ............................: 1,211 1,266 265 242 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 5,404 5,467 4,808 4,432 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 273 Wheat, all .....................: 53,593 54,409 47,619 45,715 Winter .......................: 37,335 40,646 31,741 32,314 Durum ........................: 2,560 1,369 2,519 1,322 Other spring .................: 13,698 12,394 13,359 12,079 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 1,448.8 1,071.0 1,431.0 1,050.0 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 421 229 418 224 Mustard seed ...................: 50.5 26.0 48.1 24.8 Peanuts ........................: 1,288.0 1,147.0 1,255.0 1,114.0 Rapeseed .......................: 2.3 2.0 2.2 1.9 Safflower ......................: 175.0 137.5 167.7 131.5 Soybeans for beans .............: 77,404 74,966 76,610 73,676 Sunflower ......................: 1,951.5 1,544.0 1,873.8 1,473.0 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all ....................: 10,974.2 14,720.0 10,698.7 9,849.5 Upland .......................: 10,770.0 14,431.0 10,497.0 9,562.0 American Pima ................: 204.2 289.0 201.7 287.5 Sugarbeets .....................: 1,171.4 1,249.6 1,155.7 1,207.6 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) (NA) 877.5 883.0 Tobacco ........................: (NA) (NA) 337.5 331.9 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 31.2 19.0 17.9 15.0 Dry edible beans ...............: 1,911.4 1,198.7 1,842.7 1,123.7 Dry edible peas ................: 756.0 416.0 711.4 398.8 Lentils ........................: 658.0 470.0 634.0 455.0 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) (NA) : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ................: (NA) 6.3 Hops ...........................: (NA) (NA) 31.3 30.0 Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 71.3 Potatoes, all ..................: 1,025.7 1,086.9 1,008.0 1,070.8 Spring .......................: 89.3 93.1 85.8 90.5 Summer .......................: 42.1 45.2 40.4 44.2 Fall .........................: 894.3 948.6 881.8 936.1 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 18.6 Sweet potatoes .................: 119.8 132.6 116.9 128.2 Taro (Hawaii) 2/ ...............: (NA) 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres. Crop Yield and Production - United States: 2010 and 2011 (Domestic Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2011 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 -------- : Grains and hay : Barley ..........................bushels: 73.1 69.2 180,268 155,050 Corn for grain ..................bushels: 152.8 148.1 12,446,865 12,432,910 Corn for silage ....................tons: 19.3 107,314 Hay, all ...........................tons: 2.43 2.29 145,556 131,694 Alfalfa ..........................tons: 3.40 3.35 67,903 64,714 All other ........................tons: 1.95 1.75 77,653 66,980 Oats ............................bushels: 64.3 57.5 81,190 54,005 Proso millet ....................bushels: 31.8 11,535 Rice 1/ .............................cwt: 6,725 7,123 243,104 186,903 Rye .............................bushels: 28.0 26.1 7,431 6,326 Sorghum for grain ...............bushels: 71.8 55.0 345,395 243,800 Sorghum for silage .................tons: 12.5 3,420 Wheat, all ......................bushels: 46.3 43.9 2,206,916 2,008,039 Winter ........................bushels: 46.8 46.2 1,484,861 1,493,677 Durum .........................bushels: 42.1 39.3 106,080 51,889 Other spring ..................bushels: 46.1 38.3 615,975 462,473 : Oilseeds : Canola ...........................pounds: 1,713 1,459 2,450,947 1,532,165 Cottonseed .........................tons: (X) (X) 6,098.1 5,572.0 Flaxseed ........................bushels: 21.7 9,056 Mustard seed .....................pounds: 870 41,861 Peanuts ..........................pounds: 3,312 3,256 4,156,840 3,627,700 Rapeseed .........................pounds: 1,891 4,160 Safflower ........................pounds: 1,320 221,335 Soybeans for beans ..............bushels: 43.5 41.5 3,329,181 3,059,987 Sunflower ........................pounds: 1,460 1,420 2,735,570 2,091,000 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 1/ ....................bales: 812 809 18,104.1 16,608.2 Upland 1/ .......................bales: 805 797 17,600.0 15,871.0 American Pima 1/ ................bales: 1,200 1,231 504.1 737.2 Sugarbeets .........................tons: 27.6 24.2 31,901 29,180 Sugarcane ..........................tons: 31.2 32.4 27,360 28,622 Tobacco ..........................pounds: 2,130 1,922 718,883 637,903 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas 1/ .............cwt: 1,666 237 Dry edible beans 1/ .................cwt: 1,726 1,744 31,801 19,593 Dry edible peas 1/ ..................cwt: 1,999 14,221 Lentils 1/ ..........................cwt: 1,365 8,657 Wrinkled seed peas ..................cwt: (NA) 580 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ..................pounds: 1,400 8,800 Hops .............................pounds: 2,093 2,140 65,492.6 64,225.6 Peppermint oil ...................pounds: 89 6,363 Potatoes, all .......................cwt: 401 404,273 Spring ............................cwt: 289 283 24,797 25,640 Summer ............................cwt: 321 303 12,971 13,386 Fall ..............................cwt: 416 366,505 Spearmint oil ....................pounds: 125 2,318 Sweet potatoes ......................cwt: 204 23,845 Taro (Hawaii) ....................pounds: (NA) 3,900 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Yield in pounds. Crop Area Planted and Harvested - United States: 2010 and 2011 (Metric Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2011 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 1,162,270 1,035,600 997,560 906,100 Corn for grain 1/ ..............:35,690,420 37,189,800 32,960,380 33,968,060 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 2,252,910 Hay, all 2/ ....................: (NA) (NA) 24,225,550 23,312,170 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) (NA) 8,075,990 7,822,250 All other ....................: (NA) (NA) 16,149,560 15,489,910 Oats ...........................: 1,269,920 1,010,110 511,120 380,410 Proso millet ...................: 157,830 129,500 146,900 Rice ...........................: 1,471,450 1,089,830 1,462,950 1,061,910 Rye ............................: 490,080 512,340 107,240 97,930 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 2,186,940 2,212,440 1,945,750 1,793,590 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 110,480 Wheat, all 2/ ..................:21,688,550 22,018,780 19,270,930 18,500,400 Winter .......................:15,109,100 16,449,030 12,845,270 13,077,150 Durum ........................: 1,036,010 554,020 1,019,410 535,000 Other spring .................: 5,543,440 5,015,730 5,406,250 4,888,250 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 586,310 433,420 579,110 424,920 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 170,370 92,670 169,160 90,650 Mustard seed ...................: 20,440 10,520 19,470 10,040 Peanuts ........................: 521,240 464,180 507,890 450,820 Rapeseed .......................: 930 810 890 770 Safflower ......................: 70,820 55,640 67,870 53,220 Soybeans for beans .............:31,324,620 30,337,990 31,003,300 29,815,940 Sunflower ......................: 789,750 624,840 758,310 596,110 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all 2/ .................: 4,441,150 5,957,040 4,329,660 3,985,990 Upland .......................: 4,358,510 5,840,080 4,248,030 3,869,650 American Pima ................: 82,640 116,960 81,630 116,350 Sugarbeets .....................: 474,050 505,700 467,700 488,700 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) (NA) 355,120 357,340 Tobacco ........................: (NA) (NA) 136,580 134,310 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 12,630 7,690 7,240 6,070 Dry edible beans ...............: 773,520 485,100 745,720 454,750 Dry edible peas ................: 305,950 168,350 287,900 161,390 Lentils ........................: 266,290 190,200 256,570 184,130 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) (NA) : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ................: (NA) 2,550 Hops ...........................: (NA) (NA) 12,660 12,150 Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 28,850 Potatoes, all 2/ ...............: 415,090 439,860 407,930 433,340 Spring .......................: 36,140 37,680 34,720 36,620 Summer .......................: 17,040 18,290 16,350 17,890 Fall .........................: 361,910 383,890 356,860 378,830 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 7,530 Sweet potatoes .................: 48,480 53,660 47,310 51,880 Taro (Hawaii) 3/ ...............: (NA) 190 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. 3/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Yield and Production - United States: 2010 and 2011 (Metric Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2011 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per hectare : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2010 : 2011 : 2010 : 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 3.93 3.73 3,924,870 3,375,820 Corn for grain .................: 9.59 9.30 316,164,930 315,810,460 Corn for silage ................: 43.21 97,353,620 Hay, all 1/ ....................: 5.45 5.12 132,046,180 119,470,790 Alfalfa ......................: 7.63 7.51 61,600,570 58,707,550 All other ....................: 4.36 3.92 70,445,620 60,763,230 Oats ...........................: 2.31 2.06 1,178,470 783,880 Proso millet ...................: 1.78 261,610 Rice ...........................: 7.54 7.98 11,027,010 8,477,780 Rye ............................: 1.76 1.64 188,760 160,690 Sorghum for grain ..............: 4.51 3.45 8,773,440 6,192,810 Sorghum for silage .............: 28.08 3,102,570 Wheat, all 1/ ..................: 3.12 2.95 60,062,410 54,649,870 Winter .......................: 3.15 3.11 40,411,290 40,651,230 Durum ........................: 2.83 2.64 2,887,020 1,412,190 Other spring .................: 3.10 2.57 16,764,090 12,586,450 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 1.92 1.64 1,111,730 694,980 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) 5,532,100 5,054,830 Flaxseed .......................: 1.36 230,030 Mustard seed ...................: 0.98 18,990 Peanuts ........................: 3.71 3.65 1,885,510 1,645,500 Rapeseed .......................: 2.12 1,890 Safflower ......................: 1.48 100,400 Soybeans for beans .............: 2.92 2.79 90,605,460 83,279,200 Sunflower ......................: 1.64 1.59 1,240,830 948,460 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all 1/ .................: 0.91 0.91 3,941,700 3,616,010 Upland .......................: 0.90 0.89 3,831,950 3,455,500 American Pima ................: 1.34 1.38 109,750 160,510 Sugarbeets .....................: 61.88 54.17 28,940,100 26,471,650 Sugarcane ......................: 69.89 72.66 24,820,570 25,965,440 Tobacco ........................: 2.39 2.15 326,080 289,350 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 1.48 10,750 Dry edible beans ...............: 1.93 1.95 1,442,470 888,720 Dry edible peas ................: 2.24 645,050 Lentils ........................: 1.53 392,670 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) 26,310 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ................: 1.57 3,990 Hops ...........................: 2.35 2.40 29,710 29,130 Peppermint oil .................: 0.10 2,890 Potatoes, all 1/ ...............: 44.95 18,337,520 Spring .......................: 32.39 31.76 1,124,770 1,163,010 Summer .......................: 35.99 33.94 588,350 607,180 Fall .........................: 46.59 16,624,390 Spearmint oil ..................: 0.14 1,050 Sweet potatoes .................: 22.86 1,081,590 Taro (Hawaii) ..................: (NA) 1,770 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Production may not add due to rounding. Fruits and Nuts Production - United States: 2011 and 2012 (Domestic Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2011 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2010-2011 season. Blank cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 : Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit .............................tons: 1,256 1,194 Lemons .................................tons: 940 832 Oranges ................................tons: 8,857 8,988 Tangelos (Florida) .....................tons: 52 50 Tangerines and mandarins ...............tons: 629 643 : Noncitrus : Apples ........................ 1,000 pounds: 9,429.9 Apricots ...............................tons: 59.2 Bananas (Hawaii) .....................pounds: Grapes .................................tons: 7,088.4 Olives (California) ....................tons: 65.0 Papayas (Hawaii) .....................pounds: Peaches ................................tons: 1,129.1 Pears ..................................tons: 888.3 Prunes, dried (California) .............tons: 122.0 Prunes and plums (excludes California) .tons: 13.1 : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) ........pounds: 1,950,000 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ...........tons: 41 Pecans, in-shell .....................pounds: 251,700 Walnuts, in-shell (California) .........tons: 485 Maple syrup .........................gallons: 2,794 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2010-2011 and 2011-2012. Fruits and Nuts Production - United States: 2011 and 2012 (Metric Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2011 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2010-2011 season. Blank cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ................................: 1,139,420 1,083,180 Lemons ....................................: 852,750 754,780 Oranges ...................................: 8,034,940 8,153,780 Tangelos (Florida) ........................: 47,170 45,360 Tangerines and mandarins ..................: 570,620 583,320 : Noncitrus : Apples ....................................: 4,277,330 Apricots ..................................: 53,680 Bananas (Hawaii) ..........................: Grapes ....................................: 6,430,520 Olives (California) .......................: 58,970 Papayas (Hawaii) ..........................: Peaches ...................................: 1,024,340 Pears .....................................: 805,850 Prunes, dried (California) ................: 110,680 Prunes and plums (excludes California) ....: 11,840 : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .............: 793,790 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..............: 37,190 Pecans, in-shell ..........................: 114,170 Walnuts, in-shell (California) ............: 439,980 Maple syrup ...............................: 13,970 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2010-2011 and 2011-2012. Corn for Grain Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn-producing States during 2011. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain Number of Ears per Acre - Selected States: 2007-2011 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : :: State : : : : : and month : 2007 : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 :: and month : 2007 : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number :: : number : :: : Illinois : :: Nebraska : September .....: 27,750 28,600 29,150 28,650 29,650 :: All corn : October .......: 27,750 28,500 28,900 28,500 29,550 :: September ....: 24,850 24,050 25,650 25,250 24,500 November ......: 27,750 28,400 28,900 28,550 :: October ......: 24,750 23,950 25,650 25,250 24,350 Final .........: 27,750 28,350 28,900 28,550 :: November .....: 24,750 23,900 25,600 25,100 : :: Final ........: 24,750 23,900 25,650 25,100 Indiana : :: : September .....: 26,950 27,950 27,950 27,900 27,950 :: Irrigated : October .......: 26,800 27,700 28,100 27,750 27,800 :: September ....: 27,200 26,800 27,900 27,100 26,950 November ......: 26,800 27,700 28,000 27,750 :: October ......: 27,000 27,000 27,950 27,100 26,800 Final .........: 26,800 27,700 27,950 27,750 :: November .....: 27,000 26,900 27,900 26,950 : :: Final ........: 27,000 26,900 27,950 26,950 Iowa : :: : September .....: 28,500 28,600 29,250 29,450 30,100 :: Non-irrigated : October .......: 28,400 28,600 29,200 29,450 30,050 :: September ....: 21,100 19,550 22,100 22,350 20,800 November ......: 28,450 28,600 29,200 29,300 :: October ......: 21,050 19,500 22,050 22,250 20,650 Final .........: 28,400 28,600 29,200 29,300 :: November .....: 21,100 19,550 22,000 22,200 : :: Final ........: 21,100 19,550 22,000 22,200 Kansas : :: : September .....: 20,900 19,850 22,750 21,250 20,900 :: Ohio : October .......: 20,800 20,600 22,650 21,250 20,650 :: September .....: 26,350 26,950 27,700 27,700 28,700 November ......: 20,800 20,650 22,750 21,250 :: October .......: 26,000 27,400 27,950 27,650 28,950 Final .........: 20,800 20,650 22,700 21,250 :: November ......: 25,950 27,250 27,650 27,650 : :: Final .........: 25,950 27,250 27,650 27,650 Minnesota : :: : September .....: 28,850 29,900 30,250 29,750 29,750 :: South Dakota : October .......: 28,600 29,350 30,750 29,600 29,300 :: September .....: 23,250 24,150 26,150 24,850 25,800 November ......: 28,600 29,450 30,800 29,700 :: October .......: 22,700 23,900 26,050 24,800 25,150 Final .........: 28,600 29,400 30,800 29,700 :: November ......: 22,700 23,800 26,050 24,450 : :: Final .........: 22,700 23,800 26,050 24,450 Missouri : :: : September .....: 23,950 25,050 24,800 25,100 24,600 :: Wisconsin : October .......: 23,950 25,000 24,800 24,750 24,650 :: September .....: 27,800 27,750 27,500 28,700 28,650 November ......: 23,950 24,900 24,800 24,700 :: October .......: 27,700 28,300 28,850 28,500 28,650 Final .........: 23,950 24,900 24,800 24,700 :: November ......: 27,850 27,950 28,150 28,550 : :: Final .........: 27,850 27,900 28,100 28,550 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Soybean Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean-producing States during 2011. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Soybean Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet - Selected States: 2007-2011 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State and month: 2007 : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 :: State and month: 2007 : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number :: : number : :: : Arkansas 1/ : :: Minnesota : September .....: (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) :: September .....: 1,558 1,466 1,456 1,679 1,670 October .......: 1,621 1,569 1,785 1,591 1,434 :: October .......: 1,589 1,493 1,542 1,741 1,705 November ......: 1,665 1,723 1,794 1,805 :: November ......: 1,588 1,470 1,611 1,783 Final .........: 1,690 1,715 1,865 1,833 :: Final .........: 1,588 1,472 1,581 1,783 : :: : Illinois : :: Missouri : September .....: 1,800 1,621 1,610 1,970 1,983 :: September .....: 1,566 1,538 1,856 1,924 1,957 October .......: 1,796 1,893 1,672 2,090 1,933 :: October .......: 1,579 1,473 1,983 1,899 1,781 November ......: 1,818 1,801 1,676 2,096 :: November ......: 1,685 1,673 2,083 1,986 Final .........: 1,831 1,829 1,687 2,096 :: Final .........: 1,697 1,690 2,122 1,993 : :: : Indiana : :: Nebraska : September .....: 1,667 1,608 1,516 1,878 1,607 :: September .....: 1,876 1,692 1,793 1,906 2,032 October .......: 1,660 1,577 1,525 1,852 1,606 :: October .......: 2,042 1,766 1,878 2,109 2,075 November ......: 1,628 1,648 1,583 1,879 :: November ......: 2,088 1,857 1,868 2,121 Final .........: 1,641 1,659 1,594 1,879 :: Final .........: 2,084 1,857 1,868 2,121 : :: : Iowa : :: North Dakota : September .....: 1,787 1,758 1,858 2,009 1,944 :: September .....: 1,323 1,261 1,208 1,375 1,337 October .......: 1,917 1,732 1,878 2,046 1,941 :: October .......: 1,445 1,261 1,236 1,416 1,382 November ......: 1,933 1,770 1,868 2,054 :: November ......: 1,500 1,405 1,317 1,510 Final .........: 1,932 1,775 1,879 2,054 :: Final .........: 1,497 1,405 1,318 1,510 : :: : Kansas : :: Ohio : September .....: 1,605 1,346 1,627 1,402 1,488 :: September .....: 1,892 1,942 1,846 1,991 1,882 October .......: 1,524 1,487 1,759 1,392 1,466 :: October .......: 1,850 1,755 1,769 2,012 1,850 November ......: 1,608 1,581 1,784 1,427 :: November ......: 1,909 1,618 1,757 2,022 Final .........: 1,609 1,629 1,768 1,429 :: Final .........: 1,909 1,616 1,712 2,022 : :: : : :: South Dakota : : :: September .....: 1,476 1,425 1,513 1,527 1,652 : :: October .......: 1,492 1,465 1,642 1,622 1,492 : :: November ......: 1,510 1,492 1,683 1,605 : :: Final .........: 1,510 1,492 1,682 1,605 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. 1/ September data not available due to plant immaturity. Cotton Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in six cotton-producing States during 2011. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts - Selected States: 2007-2011 [Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Blank cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : State and month : 2007 : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : Arkansas : September ..........: 790 943 1,051 911 901 October ............: 839 810 814 893 845 November ...........: 849 852 803 897 December ...........: 849 846 794 894 Final ..............: 849 846 794 894 : Georgia : September ..........: 616 587 571 609 531 October ............: 570 613 731 606 577 November ...........: 707 733 712 686 December ...........: 708 742 737 683 Final ..............: 708 742 740 683 : Louisiana : September ..........: 796 655 714 699 938 October ............: 808 578 792 755 948 November ...........: 841 579 756 789 December ...........: 841 579 788 781 Final ..............: 841 579 788 781 : Mississippi : September ..........: 819 909 925 864 898 October ............: 745 679 833 773 848 November ...........: 747 728 717 776 December ...........: 747 722 722 776 Final ..............: 747 722 722 776 : North Carolina : September ..........: 527 667 701 681 553 October ............: 601 652 730 675 610 November ...........: 625 702 779 689 December ...........: 625 704 777 689 Final ..............: 625 704 777 689 : Texas : September ..........: 602 633 613 658 540 October ............: 538 513 522 534 478 November ...........: 631 579 502 589 December ...........: 632 573 502 589 Final ..............: 632 570 502 589 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- September Weather Summary Mostly dry weather dominated the Plains, upper Midwest, and Northwest, promoting summer crop maturation and harvesting. Winter wheat planting also quickly advanced, except on the drought-stricken southern Plains, where many producers opted to postpone seeding operations while awaiting rain. In addition to the dry weather, parts of the upper Midwest - including North Dakota and Minnesota - experienced a growing season-ending freeze on September 15. Only a small percentage of the corn and soybeans in the freeze-affected area was fully mature when the freeze struck, possibly reducing yield potential. Meanwhile, wet weather prevailed along and east of a line from Louisiana to Indiana. Some of the heavy rain, especially early in the month, was due to the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee, interacting with a cold front. Lee made landfall along the Louisiana coast on September 4. Across the eastern Corn Belt, where September wetness hampered early-season harvest efforts, crops were already late in maturing due to spring planting delays. Farther east, back-to-back tropical deluges (from Hurricane Irene in late August and Tropical Storm Lee in early September) led to record flooding in parts of the Mid-Atlantic States. Elsewhere, scattered showers accompanied late-season warmth in the Southwest. September Agricultural Summary While cooler than normal temperatures lingered in the Corn Belt and much of the Southeast during September, warm, dry weather in the West promoted rapid crop development and aided fieldwork. Most notably, temperatures in portions of the Pacific Northwest reached as many as 8 degrees above normal. Elsewhere, monthly temperatures averaged more than 4 degrees below normal in areas of the western Corn Belt. With the exception of portions of the Four Corners region, rainfall was below average throughout much of the country west of the Great Plains. Conversely, abundant rain fell east of the Mississippi River, with areas of the Delta, Ohio Valley, and Northeast accumulating more than 300 percent of their normal precipitation. As September began, 94 percent of the corn crop was at or beyond the dough stage, with progress complete or nearing completion in many States. Despite cooler than normal temperatures early in the month, rapid denting was evident throughout much of the Midwest. By September 11, denting had advanced to 84 percent complete, 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Conversely, crop maturity was behind both last year and normal. With harvest underway across a good portion of the major corn-producting region, the first autumn frosts negatively impacted some fields in the northern Corn Belt mid-month. Ninety-six percent of the Nation's corn crop was at or beyond the dent stage by September 25, on par with the 5-year average, while 63 percent of the crop was mature, slightly behind the average. Limited by cool temperatures and lingering rainfall in portions of the major producing region, producers had harvested 21 percent of this year's corn crop by October 2, sixteen percentage points behind last year and 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Overall, 52 percent of the corn crop was reported in good to excellent condition on October 2, unchanged from ratings on September 4 but 14 percentage points below the same time last year. With unfavorable weather conditions slowing development in the central Great Plains, 89 percent of the sorghum crop was at or beyond the heading stage by September 4, six percentage points behind the 5-year average. In Kansas, the largest sorghum-producing State, triple-digit temperatures early in the month promoted a rapid coloring pace in the portion of the crop that was headed; however, progress was significantly behind normal. Nationally, 37 percent of the sorghum crop was at or beyond the mature stage by September 18, seven percentage points behind last year and 6 percentage points behind the 5-year average. With heading complete in many States, progress continued to inch forward as the last of the sorghum across the country were slow to develop. By September 25, heading had advanced to 96 percent complete, 4 percentage points behind both last year and the average. Maturity delays of 21 percentage points or more were evident in Colorado and South Dakota. Producers had harvested 30 percent of the Nation's crop by October 2, seven percentage points behind the 5-year average. In Kansas, harvest was slow despite favorable conditions and ample time for fieldwork. Overall, 24 percent of the sorghum crop was reported in good to excellent condition on October 2, compared with 25 percent on September 4 and 60 percent from the same time last year. As favorable weather conditions provided ample time for fieldwork, barley producers were busy harvesting their crop. By September 4, seventy-one percent of the Nation's crop was out of the fields, 3 percentage points behind last year and 10 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Warm, dry weather continued in much of the major barley-producing region throughout the month aiding a rapid harvest pace. By September 25, producers had harvested 97 percent of this year's barley crop, 9 percentage points ahead of last year and 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. As the month began, winter wheat producers were busy seeding the 2012 crop, and by September 11, six percent of the crop was in the ground, 2 percentage points behind last year and 4 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Unusually dry soils on the southern Great Plains left many producers in Oklahoma and Texas waiting for improved conditions before seeding their crop. Toward month's end, seeding was advancing rapidly in some areas while just beginning in others. By September 25, the most significant delays were evident in Oklahoma and Texas, where despite recent rainfall that prompted limited seeding, overall progress remained 20 percentage points behind normal. Nationwide, 42 percent of the winter wheat crop was seeded by October 2, eleven percentage points behind the 5-year average. Emergence had advanced to 16 percent complete, 7 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Spring wheat producers had harvested 68 percent of this year's crop by September 4, thirteen percentage points behind the 5-year average. While harvest was complete in South Dakota, warm, dry weather allowed producers in the remaining States ample time to complete fieldwork during much of the month. By September 25, ninety-six percent of the spring wheat crop was harvested, slightly ahead of the average, with progress complete in all major estimating States except Montana. Heading of this year's rice crop was 94 percent complete by September 4, three percentage points behind last year and 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average. With warm, dry weather favoring fieldwork and crop development in California, producers began harvesting their crop early in the month. Despite thunderstorms and cool temperatures, producers in Arkansas, the largest rice-producing State, steadily harvested their crop during the week ending September 18. Nationally, 65 percent of the rice crop was harvested by October 2, six percentage points behind the 5-year average. Overall, 61 percent of the rice crop was reported in good to excellent condition on September 25, compared with 64 percent on September 4. Pods were setting on 97 percent of this year's soybean crop by September 4, slightly behind the 5-year average. Leaf drop was 6 days behind normal by September 11, with double-digit delays evident in 11 of the 18 major estimating States. The most significant delays were reported in North Dakota and Ohio, where a slow planting pace earlier in the season resulted in slower than normal crop development. Despite mostly favorable weather conditions promoting rapid crop maturity toward month's end, leaf drop remained well behind normal. Harvest was underway across much of the major growing region by September 25, with progress most advanced in the Delta. Steady late-month rainfall in portions of the Corn Belt and Ohio Valley limited harvest progress. By October 2, producers had harvested 19 percent of this year's soybean crop, 15 percentage points behind last year and 6 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Overall, 54 percent of the soybean crop was reported in good to excellent condition on October 2, compared with 56 percent on September 4 and 64 percent from the same time last year. Sunflower producers had harvested 4 percent of Nation's crop by October 2, slightly ahead of last year but slightly behind the 5-year average. By September 18, peanut producers had harvested 4 percent of this year's crop, on par with the 5-year average. Delays were evident in Florida and Georgia, where dry soils limited digging. Beneficial rainfall in portions of the Southeast spurred digging late in the month. With progress advancing quickly in Florida and Georgia, 19 percent of the Nation's peanut crop was harvested by October 2, two percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Overall, 39 percent of the peanut crop was reported in good to excellent condition on October 2, compared with 38 percent on September 4 and 48 percent from the same time last year. Bolls were opening on 42 percent of this year's cotton acreage by September 4, ten percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. In Texas, producers in areas of the Northern Plains were preparing to defoliate fields. Aided by warm temperatures, bolls continued to open at a rapid pace across much of the growing region. By September 11, bolls were opening on 57 percent of this year's acreage, the quickest pace since 2002, while producers had harvested 9 percent of the Nation's crop, 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Despite bolls continuing to open rapidly throughout the month, the harvest pace slowed toward month's end. While double-digit delays were evident in much of the Delta, harvest in Louisiana was 38 percentage points ahead of normal by October 2. While some producers in the Northern Plains of Texas were applying harvest aids, others were busy stripping their fields. Overall, 29 percent of the cotton crop was reported in good to excellent condition on October 2, compared with 28 percent on September 4 and 56 percent from the same time last year. Sugarbeet producers had harvested 3 percent of this year's crop by September 18, three percentage points behind the 5-year average. Harvest had yet to begin in Idaho, and was behind normal in the four largest sugarbeet-producing States. By October 2, thirteen percent of the crop was harvested, 8 percentage points behind the average. While overall progress was behind normal in Michigan, Minnesota, and North Dakota, favorable weather pushed harvest in Idaho ahead of the average pace. Crop Comments Corn: Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Total planted area, at 91.9 million acres, is down less than 1 percent from the previous estimate. Area harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 83.9 million acres, down 1 percent from the September forecast. The October 1 corn objective yield data indicate the second highest number of ears per acre on record for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin), only behind the record high year of 2009. Record high ear counts are forecast in Iowa, Illinois, Ohio, and Wisconsin. As of October 2, fifty-two percent of the corn acreage was rated in good to excellent condition in the 18 major corn producing States, unchanged from last month but down 14 percentage points from last year. Seventy-nine percent of the corn acreage was rated mature or beyond, 13 percentage points behind the same time last year but 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty-one percent of the intended grain acreage was harvested by October 2, sixteen percentage points behind last year and 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average pace. Sorghum: Production is forecast at 244 million bushels, down fractionally from last month and down 29 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the lowest production level since 1956. Based on administrative data, acreage updates were made in several States. Planted area is estimated at 5.47 million acres, up 2 percent from the previous estimate and up 1 percent from last year. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 4.43 million acres, up 1 percent from September 1 but down 8 percent from 2010. If realized, this will be the lowest harvested acreage level since 1936. Based on October 1 conditions, yield is forecast at 55.0 bushels per acre, down 0.6 bushel from last month and down 16.8 bushels from last year. In Kansas, production is forecast to be at its lowest level since 1983. In Texas, planted and harvested acres are estimated to be record lows. As of October 2, the sorghum crop had progressed to 54 percent mature, 20 points behind last year and 8 points behind the 5-year average. Harvest progress had reached 30 percent, 8 points behind last year and 7 points behind the 5-year average. Forty-five percent of the crop was rated in very poor to poor condition, compared with 44 percent last month and 11 percent last year. Prolonged hot, dry weather in the major sorghum growing regions has significantly impacted the yield potential of this year's crop. Rice: Production is forecast at 187 million cwt, down 2 percent from September and 23 percent below last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.62 million acres, unchanged from September but 27 percent lower than 2010. The average United States yield is forecast at 7,123 pounds per acre, down 150 pounds from last month but up 398 pounds from last year. Record-high yields are expected in Missouri and Louisiana. If realized, production in Arkansas, the largest rice-producing State, will be the lowest since 1996. As of October 2, sixty-five percent of the United States acreage was harvested, 14 percentage points behind last year and 6 points behind the 5-year average. Harvest progress was behind both last year and the 5-year average in Arkansas and Missouri. In California, where cooler than normal temperatures during the growing season delayed crop development, harvest was only 20 percent complete, 20 points behind the 5-year average but 11 points ahead of last year. By the end of September, harvest was complete in Texas and nearly complete in Louisiana. Soybeans: Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Planted area, at 75.0 million acres, is up fractionally from August. Area for harvest is forecast at 73.7 million acres, down slightly from last month and down 4 percent from 2010. Harvested area, if realized, will be the sixth largest on record. The October objective yield data for the combined 11 major soybean-producing States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, and South Dakota) indicate a lower pod count compared with last year, as late planting this spring has led to slower than normal development throughout the growing season. Compared with final counts for 2010, pod counts are down in all States except Kansas, with decreases of more than 200 pods per 18 square feet in Arkansas, Indiana, and Missouri. The largest decrease from 2010's final pod count is expected in Arkansas, down 399 pods per 18 square feet. As of October 2, seventy-six percent of the soybean crop was dropping leaves or beyond, 11 points behind last year's pace and 7 points behind of the 5-year average. Progress was equal to or behind normal in all major-producing States except Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and North Dakota. The percent of acreage dropping leaves was more than 10 points behind normal in Arkansas, Michigan, and Tennessee, and more than 30 points behind normal in Ohio. Harvest progress, at 19 percent complete, was 15 points behind last year's pace and 6 points behind normal. Harvest progress was more than 15 percentage points behind normal in Indiana, Mississippi, and Ohio. As of October 2, fifty-four percent of the United States soybean crop was rated in good to excellent condition, 10 percentage points behind the same week in 2010. Crop conditions declined during September in Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin. The largest decline occurred in North Dakota, down 12 percentage points from last month. If realized, the forecasted yield in Virginia will tie the previous record high. Sunflower: The first production forecast for 2011 is 2.09 billion pounds, down 24 percent from 2010. Area planted, at 1.54 million acres, is down 12 percent from the August estimate and is the lowest since 1976. Sunflower growers expect to harvest 1.47 million acres, down 12 percent from August and down 21 percent from the 2010 acreage. If realized, harvested area for the Nation will also be the lowest since 1976. The October yield forecast, at 1,420 pounds per acre, is 40 pounds lower than last year's yield. As of October 1, lower yields are expected in eight of the top nine sunflower-producing States, with only South Dakota farmers expecting higher yields compared with last year. Expected production in North Dakota, the largest sunflower-producing State, is the lowest since 1976. Harvested area in North Dakota for all sunflowers will be the lowest since 1975, if realized. Development of the sunflower crop in North Dakota progressed behind normal and last year's pace throughout most of the year due to planting delays caused by flooding and precipitation during the spring. As of October 2, seventy-three percent of the sunflower crop in North Dakota was rated good to excellent, compared with 69 percent at the same time last year. As of October 2, harvest progress was slightly behind normal in Colorado and North Dakota, but slightly ahead of normal in Kansas and South Dakota. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.63 billion pounds, up 5 percent from the September forecast but down 13 percent from last year's revised production of 4.16 billion pounds. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.11 million acres, unchanged from September but 11 percent lower than 2010. Yields are expected to average 3,256 pounds per acre, up 152 pounds from September but down 56 pounds from last year. Harvest was underway in all States except Oklahoma by the end of September. As of October 2, nineteen percent of the United States acreage was harvested, 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average but 4 points behind last year. Condition of the United States crop was relatively unchanged from last month, with 39 percent rated good to excellent. In Oklahoma, where extreme drought conditions continued to plague the State, crop condition ratings decreased considerably from last month. As of October 2, twenty-five percent of the crop was rated in very poor to poor condition, compared with 14 percent on September 4. Canola: The first production forecast for 2011 is 1.53 billion pounds, down 37 percent from 2010. Area planted, at 1.07 million acres, is down 2 percent from the August estimate and down 26 percent from last year. Canola farmers expect to harvest 1.05 million acres, down 2 percent from August and down 27 percent from 2010. The October yield forecast, at 1,459 pounds per acre, is 254 pounds below last year's yield. If realized, this will be the fifth highest yield on record for the United States. The yield in North Dakota, the largest canola-producing State, is forecast at 1,460 pounds per acre, down 260 pounds from last year's yield. Crop development in North Dakota progressed behind normal and behind last year's pace for much of the year. However, warm, dry weather throughout most of August and September aided crop development. Harvest lagged behind the normal pace during August and early September but had progressed ahead of the normal pace by the latter half of September and reached 95 percent complete by September 25. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area is expected to total 9.56 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 9 percent from 2010. If realized, the abandonment rate will be the highest on record. American Pima harvested area, at 287,500 acres, was carried forward from last month. Drought conditions in many of the cotton growing areas have negatively impacted this year's crop. Texas is experiencing one of the most severe droughts in recorded history. As of October 2, forty-two percent of the United States cotton acreage was rated in very poor to poor condition compared with 14 percent at this time last year. Eighty-four percent of the crop had bolls opening by October 2, two points behind last year but 9 points ahead of the 5-year average. Sixteen percent of the United States cotton crop had been harvested by October 2, seven points behind last year and 2 points behind the 5-year average. In south Texas, harvest and ginning neared completion by the end of the month. Heavy rain delayed fieldwork in portions of the Southeast, while defoliation and harvest were underway in the Delta region. Objective yield data in Texas forecasted boll weight to be the lowest since 2001. Ginnings totaled 1,764,050 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 2,284,450 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year. Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures: Production is forecast at 64.7 million tons, down fractionally from the August 1 forecast and down 5 percent from last year. Based on October 1 conditions, yield is expected to average 3.35 tons per acre, down 0.01 ton from August 1 and 0.05 ton from last year. Harvested area is forecast at 19.3 million acres, unchanged from June but down 3 percent from the previous year's acreage. Adequate rainfall in portions of the West led to increases in expected yields. Most notably, a record-setting yield is forecast for Idaho, where warmer temperatures this fall have allowed producers a longer haying season. Elsewhere, predominately hot, dry weather in the Four Corners region as well as the southern Great Plains adversely affected much of the alfalfa crop. Producers in Oklahoma are expected to harvest the lowest alfalfa yield since 1956, while producers in Texas are expecting the lowest yield since 1970. Other hay: Production is forecast at 67.0 million tons, down fractionally from the August 1 forecast and down 14 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the lowest production level since 1993. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 1.75 tons per acre, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but down 0.20 ton from last year. If realized, this will be the lowest United States yield since 1988. Harvested area is forecast at 38.3 million acres, unchanged from June but down 4 percent from last year. Abundant late-August and early-September rainfall stemming from Hurricane Irene and Tropical Storm Lee led to increased growth in many pastures and grass hay fields in the Delta, Tennessee Valley, and in several States along the Mid-Atlantic Coast. Elsewhere, continued hot, dry weather throughout much of the Great Plains and Southwest led to further declines in expected yields. The historic drought experienced by producers in Oklahoma and Texas has negatively impacted hay fields, leading to the lowest expected yield since 1956 for both States. Dry beans: United States dry edible bean production is forecast at 19.6 million cwt for 2011, down 38 percent from last year. Planted area is estimated at 1.20 million acres, down 37 percent from the previous year. Harvested area is forecast at 1.12 million acres, down 39 percent from the previous year. The average United States yield is forecast at 1,744 pounds per acre, an increase of 18 pounds from 2010. Production is forecast to be lower than 2010 in all 18 estimating States, including the five largest producing States, North Dakota, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Idaho, whose combined forecasted production is down 41 percent from a year ago. In North Dakota, a cool, wet spring delayed planting, which was not completed until late-June, behind last year and the 5-year average. However, by October 2, sixty-eight percent of the crop was harvested, which is slightly ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Michigan's dry bean harvest reached 35 percent complete by October 2, thirty- nine percentage points behind last year. In Minnesota, too much rain during spring and early summer gave way to very little rain during the months of August and September. The crop was rated as mostly fair to good. In Idaho, planting was delayed by a cool, wet spring and development remained behind normal, throughout the summer. Tobacco: United States all tobacco production for 2011 is forecast at 638 million pounds, up 1 percent from last month but 11 percent below 2010. Area harvested is forecast at 331,880 acres, 2 percent below last month and last year. Yields for 2011 are expected to average 1,922 pounds per acre, up 47 pounds from September but 208 pounds less than 2010. Flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 383 million pounds, 1 percent above the September forecast. Severe crop damage along the East Coast due to Hurricane Irene was reported by growers; however, producers were able to salvage more production than expected. Burley production is forecast at 173 million pounds, up 2 percent from the previous month. In Kentucky, curing conditions improved in September after a very hot and dry summer. Virginia growers reported better yields than previously expected. Fire-cured tobacco production is forecast at 52.4 million pounds, 1 percent above last month's forecast. Tennessee growers reported that the dark-fire cured crop fared well due to irrigation. Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production in Pennsylvania is forecast at 6.15 million pounds, down 7 percent from last month. Pennsylvania producers faced extremely wet weather during harvest. Many growers reported concerns about pole burn and poor leaf quality during curing. Dark air-cured tobacco is forecast at 15.6 million pounds, up 2 percent from the September forecast. As of October 2, the Kentucky dark-air tobacco harvest was 92 percent complete, which is slightly ahead of previous year. All Cigar type production is forecast at 7.71 million pounds, down 16 percent from the previous forecast. Connecticut and Massachusetts producers reported losses from hail, flooding, and disease, which forced many growers to leave acreage unharvested. Producers also reported damage from pole sweat as the crop cures, and many were firing sheds again to combat the excessive moisture from recent rains. Sugarbeets: Production of sugarbeets for the 2011 crop year is forecast at 29.2 million tons, unchanged from the September forecast but down 9 percent from last year. Producers expect to harvest 1.21 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast. Expected yield is forecast at 24.2 tons per acre, unchanged from the previous forecast but 3.4 tons below last year. Much of the growing region has experienced less than ideal growing conditions this season. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 28.6 million tons, unchanged from the September forecast but up 5 percent from 2010. Producers intend to harvest 883,000 acres for sugar and seed in 2011 with an expected yield of 32.4 tons per acre, both unchanged from the September forecast. Recent rains in Louisiana promoted growth after a dry summer. Hawaii and Texas continued to experience drought conditions. Grapefruit: The 2011-2012 United States grapefruit crop is forecast at 1.19 million tons, down 5 percent from last season's final utilization. In Florida, fruit per tree is forecast to be lower than the previous season. Projected droppage in Florida is above average while average size of white grapefruit was projected to be smaller and colored varieties were projected to be slightly larger than average. Lemons: The forecast for the 2011-2012 United States lemon crop is 832,000 tons, down 11 percent from the previous season's final utilization. Arizona's lemon crop is down 68 percent from last season due to damage from a major freeze in southern Arizona last winter. Harvest was underway in California's desert region. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast is 1.10 million boxes (50,000 tons), down 4 percent from last season's final utilization. The forecasted fruit per tree is down from last year, while fruit size and droppage are projected to be above average. Tangerines and mandarins: The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is forecast at 643,000 tons, up 2 percent from the 2010-2011 crop. Younger trees in California are transitioning to bearing age, which accounts for much of the increase in mandarin production in the State. In Florida, the fruit per tree is forecast to be higher than last season in the Honey variety, but lower in the Fallglo and Sunburst varieties. Fruit size is projected to be smaller than average in the Honey variety, but larger in the Fallglo and Sunburst varieties. Droppage is projected to be higher than average for all tangerine varieties in Florida. Florida citrus: In the citrus growing areas, weather stations reported highs in the 90s and lows in the 60s and 70s. Summer weather patterns brought thunderstorms and scattered showers to the citrus producing region throughout the month. Weekly rainfall totals in most areas ranged from less than one to more than five inches. Drought conditions continued across much of the production area with severe drought conditions present on the northeastern shore of Lake Okeechobee. Harvesting of early oranges, white and colored grapefruit, Fallglo tangerines, and Nova tangelos began. California citrus: Citrus fruits were sizing slower than normal. Navel orange growers were expecting a late start to the harvest season due to slow internal maturity. Grove activities included irrigation maintenance and replacement of old stock. Lemons and Star Ruby grapefruit were being picked. California noncitrus fruits and nuts: Orchard activities centered on late season fertilizer applications along with mechanical and hand pruning. Peach, nectarine, and plum harvests began the normal seasonal decline. Angeleno and Flavor-Fall plum variety harvest neared completion. Table grape harvest continued in the San Joaquin Valley with Red Globe, Summer Royal, Crimson, Flame Seedless, Christmas Rose, and Autumn King the main varieties being harvested. Harvest of wine grapes continued. Raisin grape harvest was progressing in the San Joaquin Valley. Pineapple quinces, figs, and apples were harvested. Pomegranates showed nice color, but the crop still lacked maturity in most orchards. Fuji, Granny Smith, and Gala apple harvests were underway. Bartlett pear harvest ended in September, while Bosc and Comice harvests continued. The olive and kiwi crops continued to develop well. Almond harvest was in full swing across the State, with Nonpareils winding down as pollinator varieties were picking up. Growers reported above normal volumes because of a heavy crop set. Walnut orchards across the State were prepped for harvest in September, with harvest starting late in the month. Pistachio harvest continued. Apples: The final 2011 United States apple production forecast is 9.43 billion pounds, down 1 percent from August but 1 percent above 2010. Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Oregon, Utah, and Washington) is forecast at 5.78 billion pounds, 2 percent below the previous forecast. Washington growers experienced their coldest April in history and an exceptionally cool, wet May. The effects of the cold wet spring along with winter freeze damage were expected to keep production below full potential this year. Production in the Eastern States (Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, and West Virginia) is forecast at 2.33 billion pounds, down 1 percent from the previous forecast. New York producers reported loss due to damage from the rain and strong winds caused by Hurricane Irene. Pennsylvania growers reported heavy disease problems. Hail storms, drought, and frost led to smaller, undesirable apples. Production in the Central States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio, Tennessee, and Wisconsin) is forecast at 1.32 billion pounds, an increase of 4 percent from August. In Michigan, yield reports have been very good, while harvest progress has been slightly behind normal. Pecans: Production is forecast at 252 million pounds (utilized, in-shell basis), 14 percent below 2010. Improved varieties are expected to produce 216 million pounds or 86 percent of the total, while native and seedling varieties at 36.0 million pounds, make up the remaining 14 percent of production. In Georgia, despite the drought conditions experienced this summer, the crop is expected to be good. In New Mexico, reduced production is expected due to drought conditions. In Texas, even though this is an "on" year for pecan production, producers reported low expectations for this year's crop due to severe drought conditions across much of the pecan producing region. Grapes: United States grape production for 2011 is forecast at 7.09 million tons, down 4 percent from last year. California leads the United States in grape production with 90 percent of the total. Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 4 percent and 3 percent, respectively. California's grape production is forecast at 6.35 million tons, down 2 percent from the previous forecast. Rain continues to be a problem for growers in the North Coast growing region. However, weather has been more favorable for the table and raisin grapes through the summer. Production is expected to be above last year in New York and Pennsylvania despite significant wind and water damage in coastal growing areas due to Hurricane Irene. Statistical Methodology Field crop survey procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between September 24 and October 5 to gather information on expected yield as of October 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the United States production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal interviewers. Approximately 14,500 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Orange survey procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the October 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produced about 69 percent of the United States production last season. In August and September 2011, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. California and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Field crop estimating procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecasts. Orange estimating procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in California and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These three States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecast. Revision policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in the September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when special survey data, administrative data, such as Farm Service Agency program "sign up" data, or remote sensing data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 3.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 5.4 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 203 million bushels, ranging from 3 million bushels to 624 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts [Based on data for the past twenty years] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : Difference between forecast : : : and final estimate : : :---------------------------------------- : :90 percent : Production : Years Crop : Root mean :confidence :---------------------------------------- :square error: interval : : : : Below : Above : : :Average:Smallest:Largest: final : final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ---- percent --- ------ millions ----- number : Corn for grain ........bushels: 3.2 5.4 203 3 624 9 11 Dry edible beans ..........cwt: 3.5 6.1 1 (Z) 3 15 5 Oranges 1/ ...............tons: 6.7 11.5 486 2 1,676 7 13 Oranges 1/ 2/ ..........tons: 4.0 6.8 341 2 917 7 10 Rice ......................cwt: 2.7 4.7 4 (Z) 13 11 9 Sorghum for grain .....bushels: 5.9 10.2 19 (Z) 105 10 10 Soybeans for beans ....bushels: 2.1 3.7 49 8 109 11 9 Upland cotton 1/ ........bales: 4.7 8.2 729 15 1,675 13 7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Z) Less than half of the unit shown. 1/ Quantity is in thousands of units. 2/ Excluding freeze and hurricane seasons. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch............................................. (202) 720-2127 Jacqueline Moore, Head, Field Crops Section.................................. (202) 720-2127 Suzanne Avilla - Peanuts, Rice.......................................... (202) 720-7688 Bryan Durham - Oats, Rye, Wheat......................................... (202) 720-8068 Steve Maliszewski - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum.................... (202) 720-5944 Anthony Prillaman - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet........................ (202) 720-9526 Julie Schmidt - Crop Weather, Barley, Hay............................... (202) 720-7621 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds.................... (202) 720-7369 Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section...... (202) 720-2127 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries.. (202) 720-2157 Fred Granja - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco ....... (202) 720-4288 Chris Hawthorn - Citrus, Coffee, Grapes, Sugar Crops, Tropical Fruits... (202) 720-5412 Dave Losh - Hops........................................................ (360) 709-2400 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans .......... (202) 720-3250 Daphne Schauber - Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes ....... (202) 720-4285 Erika White - Floriculture, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts ............ (202) 720-4215 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the "Receive NASS Updates" box under "Receive reports by Email," click on "National" or "State" to select the reports you would like to receive. Printed reports may be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) by calling toll-free (800) 999-6779, or (703) 605-6220 if calling from outside the United States or Canada. Accepted methods of payment are Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. 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