Crop Production ISSN: 1936-3737 Released October 11, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Corn Production Down Slightly from September Forecast Soybean Production Up 9 Percent Cotton Production Up 1 Percent Orange Production Up 4 Percent from Last Season Corn production is forecast at 10.7 billion bushels, down slightly from the September forecast and down 13 percent from 2011. This represents the lowest production in the United States since 2006. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 122.0 bushels per acre, down 0.8 bushel from the September forecast and 25.2 bushels below the 2011 average. If realized, this will be the lowest average yield since 1995. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 87.7 million acres, up less than 1 percent from the September forecast and up 4 percent from 2011. Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 9 percent from September but down 8 percent from last year. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 37.8 bushels per acre, up 2.5 bushels from last month but down 4.1 bushels from last year. Compared with last month, yield forecasts are higher or unchanged across all States. Area for harvest in the United States is forecast at 75.7 million acres, up 1 percent from September and up 3 percent from last year. Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. All cotton production is forecast at 17.3 million 480-pound bales, up 1 percent from last month and up 11 percent from last year. Yield is expected to average 795 pounds per acre, up 5 pounds from last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 16.6 million 480-pound bales, up 13 percent from 2011. Pima cotton production, forecast at 657,000 bales, was carried forward from last month. The United States all orange forecast for the 2012-2013 season is 9.37 million tons, up 4 percent from the 2011-2012 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 154 million boxes (6.93 million tons), is up 5 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 74.0 million boxes (3.33 million tons), slightly lower than last season. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 80.0 million boxes (3.60 million tons), is up 10 percent from the 2011-2012 crop. Weather conditions in Florida during early 2012 were characterized by extreme drought conditions across the citrus producing region. Tropical Storms Debby in June and Isaac in August produced torrential rainfall, which ended Florida's drought situation. Average fruit per tree is projected to be 14 percent higher than last season. California's Navel orange crop was developing on a more normal schedule than the previous two years, with harvest expected to begin by early-November. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2012-2013 season is 1.61 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, down 1 percent from last season's final yield of 1.63 gallons per box. Projected yield from the 2012-2013 early-midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons. This report was approved on October 11, 2012. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Hubert Hamer Contents Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2012......................................... 6 Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 8 Corn Production - United States Chart.............................................................................. 9 Sorghum for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 9 Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012......... 10 Rice Production by Class - United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012...................................... 10 Soybean Production - United States Chart........................................................................... 10 Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 11 Sunflower Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 12 Peanut Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 13 Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012....... 13 Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 14 Cottonseed Production - United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012......................................... 15 Cotton Production - United States Chart............................................................................ 15 Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012......................................................................................... 16 All Other Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 17 Sugarbeet Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 18 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012......................................................................................... 18 Dry Edible Bean Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 19 Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012...... 20 Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012......................................................................................... 21 Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2011-2012 and Forecasted October 1, 2012.................................................................................................... 22 Pecan Production by Variety - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012........................ 23 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2011 and 2012............ 24 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2011 and 2012.............. 26 Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2012 and 2013........................................ 28 Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2012 and 2013.......................................... 29 Corn for Grain Plant Population per Acre - Selected States: 2008-2012.............................................. 30 Corn for Grain Number of Ears per Acre - Selected States: 2008-2012................................................ 31 Corn Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab - United States: 2008-2012............................ 31 Soybean Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet - Selected States: 2008-2012............................................ 32 Soybean Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab - United States: 2008-2012......................... 32 Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts - Selected States: 2008-2012......................................................... 33 Percent of Normal Precipitation Map................................................................................ 34 Departure from Normal Temperature Map.............................................................................. 34 September Weather Summary.......................................................................................... 35 September Agricultural Summary..................................................................................... 35 Crop Comments...................................................................................................... 37 Statistical Methodology............................................................................................ 43 Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecast.................................................................. 44 Information Contacts............................................................................................... 45 This page intentionally left blank. Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2012 [Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Corn : Sorghum : Soybeans : Dry edible beans State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres : Alabama ........: 300 270 340 330 Arizona ........: 70 43 30 15 11.0 11.0 Arkansas .......: 710 690 140 130 3,200 3,150 California .....: 610 180 58.5 57.5 Colorado .......: 1,420 970 245 160 50.0 45.0 Connecticut ....: 27 Delaware .......: 185 177 170 168 Florida ........: 70 35 21 19 Georgia ........: 345 295 55 40 220 205 Idaho ..........: 360 120 145.0 144.0 : Illinois .......: 12,800 12,400 30 25 9,050 8,800 Indiana ........: 6,200 6,050 5,150 5,140 Iowa ...........: 14,200 13,700 9,350 9,290 Kansas .........: 4,700 4,200 2,500 2,100 4,000 3,750 8.0 7.5 Kentucky .......: 1,650 1,540 1,470 1,450 Louisiana ......: 540 530 130 125 1,140 1,110 Maine ..........: 30 Maryland .......: 490 425 480 475 Massachusetts ..: 16 Michigan .......: 2,650 2,340 2,000 1,990 200.0 195.0 : Minnesota ......: 8,700 8,250 7,050 6,970 160.0 155.0 Mississippi ....: 820 780 48 46 1,990 1,960 Missouri .......: 3,600 3,350 65 55 5,400 5,250 Montana ........: 105 58 26.5 26.2 Nebraska .......: 9,950 9,150 145 60 5,050 4,950 145.0 135.0 Nevada .........: 8 New Hampshire ..: 14 New Jersey .....: 90 82 95 93 New Mexico .....: 125 50 90 30 9.5 9.5 New York .......: 1,170 650 310 307 10.0 9.6 : North Carolina .: 850 780 1,580 1,540 North Dakota ...: 3,600 3,390 4,750 4,700 700.0 690.0 Ohio ...........: 3,900 3,620 4,600 4,580 Oklahoma .......: 360 320 260 200 420 300 Oregon .........: 85 50 9.5 9.5 Pennsylvania ...: 1,460 1,000 530 520 Rhode Island ...: 1 South Carolina .: 330 310 380 370 South Dakota ...: 6,150 5,350 200 130 4,750 4,650 13.0 11.5 Tennessee ......: 1,030 970 1,260 1,220 : Texas ..........: 1,850 1,540 2,300 1,900 125 105 22.0 20.0 Utah ...........: 85 30 Vermont ........: 90 Virginia .......: 510 350 590 580 Washington .....: 185 115 115.0 115.0 West Virginia ..: 50 36 22 21 Wisconsin ......: 4,350 3,450 1,710 1,700 5.7 5.7 Wyoming ........: 105 75 45.0 43.0 : United States ..: 96,946 87,721 6,238 5,016 77,203 75,693 1,733.7 1,690.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2012 (continued) [Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Canola : Sunflower : : :----------------------------------------------------------- : : : Oil : Non-oil : All :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres : California .....: 47.0 46.5 3.0 3.0 50.0 49.5 Colorado .......: 75.0 60.0 11.0 9.0 86.0 69.0 Idaho ..........: 38.0 37.0 Kansas .........: 70.0 65.0 17.0 16.0 87.0 81.0 Minnesota ......: 31.0 30.0 38.0 36.0 11.0 10.0 49.0 46.0 Montana ........: 49.0 48.0 Nebraska .......: 33.0 27.0 9.0 8.0 42.0 35.0 North Dakota ...: 1,460.0 1,450.0 770.0 755.0 90.0 85.0 860.0 840.0 Oklahoma .......: 150.0 130.0 4.5 4.0 0.7 0.6 5.2 4.6 Oregon .........: 7.3 6.5 : South Dakota ...: 580.0 550.0 65.0 60.0 645.0 610.0 Texas ..........: 39.0 33.0 55.0 47.0 94.0 80.0 Washington .....: 15.0 14.5 : Other States 1/ : 22.7 21.6 (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) : United States ..: 1,773.0 1,737.6 1,656.5 1,576.5 261.7 238.6 1,918.2 1,815.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (X)Not applicable. 1/ Other States for Canola include Colorado and Kansas. Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2012 : : : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 :-----------------------: 2011 : 2012 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ---------- bushels --------- --- 1,000 bushels --- : Alabama .........: 250 270 114.0 100.0 100.0 28,500 27,000 Arkansas ........: 520 690 142.0 175.0 177.0 73,840 122,130 California ......: 150 180 185.0 190.0 190.0 27,750 34,200 Colorado ........: 1,300 970 133.0 135.0 138.0 172,900 133,860 Delaware ........: 182 177 130.0 115.0 115.0 23,660 20,355 Georgia .........: 270 295 158.0 185.0 190.0 42,660 56,050 Illinois ........: 12,400 12,400 157.0 110.0 98.0 1,946,800 1,215,200 Indiana .........: 5,750 6,050 146.0 100.0 100.0 839,500 605,000 Iowa ............: 13,700 13,700 172.0 140.0 140.0 2,356,400 1,918,000 Kansas ..........: 4,200 4,200 107.0 91.0 91.0 449,400 382,200 : Kentucky ........: 1,300 1,540 139.0 70.0 68.0 180,700 104,720 Louisiana .......: 570 530 135.0 170.0 170.0 76,950 90,100 Maryland ........: 430 425 109.0 115.0 115.0 46,870 48,875 Michigan ........: 2,190 2,340 153.0 114.0 118.0 335,070 276,120 Minnesota .......: 7,700 8,250 156.0 156.0 168.0 1,201,200 1,386,000 Mississippi .....: 740 780 128.0 150.0 156.0 94,720 121,680 Missouri ........: 3,070 3,350 114.0 75.0 75.0 349,980 251,250 Nebraska ........: 9,600 9,150 160.0 145.0 142.0 1,536,000 1,299,300 New Jersey ......: 81 82 123.0 127.0 132.0 9,963 10,824 New York ........: 620 650 133.0 120.0 130.0 82,460 84,500 : North Carolina ..: 815 780 84.0 120.0 120.0 68,460 93,600 North Dakota ....: 2,060 3,390 105.0 105.0 115.0 216,300 389,850 Ohio ............: 3,220 3,620 158.0 126.0 123.0 508,760 445,260 Oklahoma ........: 190 320 90.0 110.0 115.0 17,100 36,800 Pennsylvania ....: 960 1,000 111.0 125.0 127.0 106,560 127,000 South Carolina ..: 330 310 65.0 122.0 122.0 21,450 37,820 South Dakota ....: 4,950 5,350 132.0 96.0 94.0 653,400 502,900 Tennessee .......: 735 970 131.0 87.0 89.0 96,285 86,330 Texas ...........: 1,470 1,540 93.0 152.0 145.0 136,710 223,300 Virginia ........: 340 350 118.0 95.0 95.0 40,120 33,250 Washington ......: 125 115 225.0 215.0 210.0 28,125 24,150 Wisconsin .......: 3,320 3,450 156.0 130.0 127.0 517,920 438,150 : Other States 1/ .: 443 497 162.3 164.0 160.9 71,899 79,955 : United States ...: 83,981 87,721 147.2 122.8 122.0 12,358,412 10,705,729 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Arizona, Florida, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2012 Summary." Sorghum for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2012 : : : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 :-----------------------: 2011 : 2012 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres ---------- bushels --------- 1,000 bushels : Arkansas ........: 90 130 72.0 80.0 84.0 6,480 10,920 Colorado ........: 140 160 35.0 22.0 22.0 4,900 3,520 Illinois ........: 20 25 91.0 60.0 60.0 1,820 1,500 Kansas ..........: 2,000 2,100 55.0 40.0 40.0 110,000 84,000 Louisiana .......: 124 125 87.0 100.0 100.0 10,788 12,500 Mississippi .....: 50 46 74.0 77.0 77.0 3,700 3,542 Missouri ........: 33 55 72.0 55.0 55.0 2,376 3,025 Nebraska ........: 70 60 94.0 56.0 58.0 6,580 3,480 New Mexico ......: 21 30 64.0 55.0 55.0 1,344 1,650 Oklahoma ........: 80 200 21.0 28.0 28.0 1,680 5,600 South Dakota ....: 110 130 60.0 36.0 38.0 6,600 4,940 Texas ...........: 1,150 1,900 49.0 56.0 60.0 56,350 114,000 : Other States 1/ .: 41 55 44.5 60.0 60.0 1,825 3,300 : United States ...: 3,929 5,016 54.6 48.3 50.2 214,443 251,977 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Other States include Arizona and Georgia. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2012 Summary." Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production 1/ :---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2012 : : : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 :-------------------------: 2011 : 2012 : : : :September 1 : October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ------------ pounds ----------- ---- 1,000 cwt --- : Arkansas .....: 1,154 1,280 6,770 7,200 7,300 78,100 93,440 California ...: 580 563 8,350 8,400 8,450 48,402 47,574 Louisiana ....: 418 400 6,320 6,450 6,600 26,430 26,400 Mississippi ..: 158 123 6,850 6,900 7,100 10,823 8,733 Missouri .....: 128 177 6,490 6,700 6,700 8,308 11,859 Texas ........: 180 134 7,190 8,000 8,100 12,946 10,854 : United States : 2,618 2,677 7,067 7,334 7,428 185,009 198,860 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes sweet rice production. Rice Production by Class - United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Year : Long grain : Medium grain : Short grain 1/ : All : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : 2011 .......: 116,420 65,562 3,027 185,009 2012 2/ ....: 140,058 54,720 4,082 198,860 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain. 2/ The 2012 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice yield. Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2012 : : : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 :-----------------------: 2011 : 2012 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres --------- bushels --------- -- 1,000 bushels -- : Alabama .........: 295 330 33.0 38.0 39.0 9,735 12,870 Arkansas ........: 3,280 3,150 38.5 39.0 39.0 126,280 122,850 Delaware ........: 168 168 39.5 37.0 38.0 6,636 6,384 Georgia .........: 135 205 22.0 31.0 33.0 2,970 6,765 Illinois ........: 8,910 8,800 47.5 37.0 39.0 423,225 343,200 Indiana .........: 5,290 5,140 45.5 37.0 41.0 240,695 210,740 Iowa ............: 9,230 9,290 51.5 39.0 43.0 475,345 399,470 Kansas ..........: 3,760 3,750 27.0 21.0 22.0 101,520 82,500 Kentucky ........: 1,480 1,450 39.0 34.0 37.0 57,720 53,650 Louisiana .......: 980 1,110 36.0 42.0 44.0 35,280 48,840 : Maryland ........: 465 475 39.0 42.0 42.0 18,135 19,950 Michigan ........: 1,940 1,990 44.0 37.0 39.0 85,360 77,610 Minnesota .......: 7,040 6,970 39.0 38.0 43.0 274,560 299,710 Mississippi .....: 1,800 1,960 39.0 41.0 41.0 70,200 80,360 Missouri ........: 5,210 5,250 36.5 28.0 30.0 190,165 157,500 Nebraska ........: 4,840 4,950 54.0 40.0 41.0 261,360 202,950 New Jersey ......: 86 93 38.0 37.0 38.0 3,268 3,534 New York ........: 277 307 43.0 43.0 45.0 11,911 13,815 North Carolina ..: 1,360 1,540 30.5 34.0 35.0 41,480 53,900 North Dakota ....: 3,960 4,700 29.0 28.0 34.0 114,840 159,800 : Ohio ............: 4,540 4,580 48.0 40.0 43.0 217,920 196,940 Oklahoma ........: 265 300 13.0 16.0 20.0 3,445 6,000 Pennsylvania ....: 490 520 44.0 45.0 45.0 21,560 23,400 South Carolina ..: 360 370 25.5 29.0 30.0 9,180 11,100 South Dakota ....: 4,070 4,650 37.0 28.0 28.0 150,590 130,200 Tennessee .......: 1,260 1,220 32.0 31.0 35.0 40,320 42,700 Texas ...........: 90 105 19.0 29.0 29.0 1,710 3,045 Virginia ........: 550 580 40.0 36.0 39.0 22,000 22,620 Wisconsin .......: 1,610 1,700 46.5 36.0 39.0 74,865 66,300 : Other States 1/ .: 35 40 35.7 39.7 39.7 1,249 1,587 : United States ...: 73,776 75,693 41.9 35.3 37.8 3,093,524 2,860,290 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Florida and West Virginia. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2012 Summary." Sunflower Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal type : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :--------------------------------------------------------- and State : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 1/ : 2011 : 2012 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ---- pounds --- --- 1,000 pounds -- : Oil : California .....: 39.5 46.5 1,000 39,500 Colorado .......: 97.0 60.0 1,000 97,000 Kansas .........: 105.0 65.0 1,180 123,900 Minnesota ......: 27.0 36.0 1,300 35,100 Nebraska .......: 35.0 27.0 1,300 45,500 North Dakota ...: 500.0 755.0 1,380 690,000 Oklahoma .......: 3.9 4.0 1,250 4,875 South Dakota ...: 403.0 550.0 1,650 664,950 Texas ..........: 23.0 33.0 950 21,850 : United States ..:1,233.4 1,576.5 1,397 1,722,675 : Non-oil : California .....: 4.0 3.0 1,200 4,800 Colorado .......: 16.0 9.0 1,700 27,200 Kansas .........: 17.0 16.0 1,500 25,500 Minnesota ......: 10.0 10.0 1,100 11,000 Nebraska .......: 19.0 8.0 1,600 30,400 North Dakota ...: 61.0 85.0 1,250 76,250 Oklahoma .......: 0.4 0.6 1,000 400 South Dakota ...: 64.0 60.0 1,750 112,000 Texas ..........: 33.0 47.0 850 28,050 : United States ..: 224.4 238.6 1,406 315,600 : All : California .....: 43.5 49.5 1,018 1,200 44,300 59,400 Colorado .......: 113.0 69.0 1,099 782 124,200 53,940 Kansas .........: 122.0 81.0 1,225 1,225 149,400 99,250 Minnesota ......: 37.0 46.0 1,246 1,778 46,100 81,800 Nebraska .......: 54.0 35.0 1,406 903 75,900 31,600 North Dakota ...: 561.0 840.0 1,366 1,485 766,250 1,247,350 Oklahoma .......: 4.3 4.6 1,227 1,217 5,275 5,600 South Dakota ...: 467.0 610.0 1,664 1,296 776,950 790,500 Texas ..........: 56.0 80.0 891 1,109 49,900 88,700 : United States ..:1,457.8 1,815.1 1,398 1,354 2,038,275 2,458,140 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2012 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the "Crop Production 2012 Summary." Peanut Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 1/ : 2012 : 2011 1/ : 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Alabama ........: 170.0 220.0 166.0 215.0 Florida ........: 170.0 210.0 157.0 200.0 Georgia ........: 475.0 735.0 454.0 725.0 Mississippi ....: 15.0 52.0 14.0 48.0 New Mexico .....: 6.6 8.0 6.6 8.0 North Carolina .: 82.0 107.0 81.0 106.0 Oklahoma .......: 24.0 24.0 21.0 22.0 South Carolina .: 77.0 110.0 73.0 105.0 Texas ..........: 105.0 150.0 93.0 145.0 Virginia .......: 16.0 20.0 15.0 20.0 : United States ..: 1,140.6 1,636.0 1,080.6 1,594.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2012 : : : 2011 1/ :-------------------------: 2011 1/ : 2012 : :September 1 : October 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- pounds ----------- ---- 1,000 pounds ---- : Alabama ........: 2,950 3,200 3,300 489,700 709,500 Florida ........: 3,500 3,700 3,700 549,500 740,000 Georgia ........: 3,625 3,900 4,150 1,645,750 3,008,750 Mississippi ....: 4,000 3,900 3,900 56,000 187,200 New Mexico .....: 3,000 3,200 3,000 19,800 24,000 North Carolina .: 3,600 3,700 3,700 291,600 392,200 Oklahoma .......: 2,600 3,500 3,500 54,600 77,000 South Carolina .: 3,300 3,400 3,500 240,900 367,500 Texas ..........: 2,680 3,800 3,600 249,240 522,000 Virginia .......: 4,100 3,700 4,000 61,500 80,000 : United States ..: 3,386 3,714 3,832 3,658,590 6,108,150 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 acres -- ---- pounds --- --- 1,000 pounds -- : Idaho ..........: 18.5 37.0 2,100 2,300 38,850 85,100 Minnesota ......: 28.0 30.0 1,400 1,400 39,200 42,000 Montana ........: 30.5 48.0 1,370 850 41,785 40,800 North Dakota ...: 850.0 1,450.0 1,500 1,420 1,275,000 2,059,000 Oklahoma .......: 85.0 130.0 1,000 1,400 85,000 182,000 Oregon .........: 4.9 6.5 3,050 2,100 14,945 13,650 Washington .....: 10.2 14.5 1,900 1,800 19,380 26,100 : Other States 1/ : 15.9 21.6 1,500 1,639 23,850 35,400 : United States ..: 1,043.0 1,737.6 1,475 1,430 1,538,010 2,484,050 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Colorado and Kansas. Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production 1/ :-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type and State : : : : 2012 : : : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 :-----------------------: 2011 : 2012 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -- 1,000 acres -- ---------- pounds ---------- 1,000 bales 2/ : Upland : Alabama .........: 443.0 377.0 742 764 764 685.0 600.0 Arizona .........: 248.0 198.0 1,548 1,576 1,624 800.0 670.0 Arkansas ........: 660.0 580.0 929 993 1,034 1,277.0 1,250.0 California ......: 181.0 141.0 1,474 1,685 1,617 556.0 475.0 Florida .........: 118.0 105.0 744 1,051 960 183.0 210.0 Georgia .........: 1,495.0 1,285.0 791 934 934 2,465.0 2,500.0 Kansas ..........: 65.0 52.0 510 434 415 69.0 45.0 Louisiana .......: 290.0 220.0 846 895 960 511.0 440.0 Mississippi .....: 605.0 460.0 952 991 1,012 1,200.0 970.0 Missouri ........: 367.0 330.0 969 945 945 741.0 650.0 : New Mexico ......: 58.0 47.0 1,059 1,072 970 128.0 95.0 North Carolina ..: 800.0 580.0 616 869 910 1,026.0 1,100.0 Oklahoma ........: 70.0 175.0 597 466 466 87.0 170.0 South Carolina ..: 301.0 296.0 828 859 868 519.0 535.0 Tennessee .......: 490.0 375.0 796 755 832 813.0 650.0 Texas ...........: 2,850.0 4,900.0 589 598 598 3,500.0 6,100.0 Virginia ........: 115.0 85.0 676 988 960 162.0 170.0 : United States ...: 9,156.0 10,206.0 772 774 782 14,722.0 16,630.0 : American Pima 3/ : Arizona .........: 10.0 3.0 960 1,120 1,120 20.0 7.0 California ......: 273.0 224.0 1,380 1,350 1,350 785.0 630.0 New Mexico ......: 3.4 2.9 875 828 828 6.2 5.0 Texas ...........: 18.5 7.5 1,038 960 960 40.0 15.0 : United States ...: 304.9 237.4 1,340 1,328 1,328 851.2 657.0 : All : Alabama .........: 443.0 377.0 742 764 764 685.0 600.0 Arizona .........: 258.0 201.0 1,526 1,569 1,617 820.0 677.0 Arkansas ........: 660.0 580.0 929 993 1,034 1,277.0 1,250.0 California ......: 454.0 365.0 1,418 1,479 1,453 1,341.0 1,105.0 Florida .........: 118.0 105.0 744 1,051 960 183.0 210.0 Georgia .........: 1,495.0 1,285.0 791 934 934 2,465.0 2,500.0 Kansas ..........: 65.0 52.0 510 434 415 69.0 45.0 Louisiana .......: 290.0 220.0 846 895 960 511.0 440.0 Mississippi .....: 605.0 460.0 952 991 1,012 1,200.0 970.0 Missouri ........: 367.0 330.0 969 945 945 741.0 650.0 : New Mexico ......: 61.4 49.9 1,049 1,058 962 134.2 100.0 North Carolina ..: 800.0 580.0 616 869 910 1,026.0 1,100.0 Oklahoma ........: 70.0 175.0 597 466 466 87.0 170.0 South Carolina ..: 301.0 296.0 828 859 868 519.0 535.0 Tennessee .......: 490.0 375.0 796 755 832 813.0 650.0 Texas ...........: 2,868.5 4,907.5 592 598 598 3,540.0 6,115.0 Virginia ........: 115.0 85.0 676 988 960 162.0 170.0 : United States ...: 9,460.9 10,443.4 790 786 795 15,573.2 17,287.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-pound net weight bale. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Cottonseed Production - United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 tons : United States ...: 5,370.0 5,868.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 acres --- ------ tons ----- ---- 1,000 tons --- : Arizona ........: 250 250 8.30 8.80 2,075 2,200 California .....: 880 980 6.90 7.00 6,072 6,860 Colorado .......: 800 790 3.60 3.70 2,880 2,923 Idaho ..........: 1,000 1,000 4.30 4.00 4,300 4,000 Illinois .......: 280 350 3.40 2.80 952 980 Indiana ........: 300 280 4.00 2.90 1,200 812 Iowa ...........: 820 800 3.40 2.90 2,788 2,320 Kansas .........: 650 750 3.00 3.00 1,950 2,250 Kentucky .......: 210 200 3.40 2.80 714 560 Michigan .......: 700 660 3.20 3.10 2,240 2,046 : Minnesota ......: 1,100 1,000 3.70 2.90 4,070 2,900 Missouri .......: 250 250 2.60 1.90 650 475 Montana ........: 2,000 1,800 2.20 1.80 4,400 3,240 Nebraska .......: 780 790 4.05 2.80 3,159 2,212 Nevada .........: 250 240 4.40 4.50 1,100 1,080 New Mexico .....: 210 210 5.20 5.00 1,092 1,050 New York .......: 350 380 2.40 2.20 840 836 North Dakota ...: 1,550 1,570 2.35 1.40 3,643 2,198 Ohio ...........: 380 350 3.40 2.70 1,292 945 Oklahoma .......: 200 200 1.30 2.50 260 500 : Oregon .........: 400 400 4.50 4.00 1,800 1,600 Pennsylvania ...: 410 440 2.70 2.70 1,107 1,188 South Dakota ...: 2,350 2,300 2.70 1.50 6,345 3,450 Texas ..........: 100 120 4.80 4.50 480 540 Utah ...........: 580 520 4.10 4.10 2,378 2,132 Virginia .......: 90 80 3.20 3.90 288 312 Washington .....: 380 400 5.20 5.00 1,976 2,000 Wisconsin ......: 1,150 1,000 2.80 2.20 3,220 2,200 Wyoming ........: 620 525 2.50 2.40 1,550 1,260 : Other States 1/ : 173 177 2.95 2.81 511 497 : United States ..: 19,213 18,812 3.40 2.95 65,332 55,566 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Carolina, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Vermont, and West Virginia. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2012 Summary." All Other Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 acres -- ----- tons ----- --- 1,000 tons --- : Alabama 2/ .....: 800 820 2.40 2.40 1,920 1,968 Arkansas .......: 1,390 1,440 1.60 1.10 2,224 1,584 California .....: 510 560 3.60 3.80 1,836 2,128 Colorado .......: 820 710 1.50 1.00 1,230 710 Georgia 2/ .....: 590 590 2.20 2.50 1,298 1,475 Idaho ..........: 350 380 2.20 2.30 770 874 Illinois .......: 260 240 2.40 1.70 624 408 Indiana ........: 370 330 1.90 1.90 703 627 Iowa ...........: 320 310 2.10 1.60 672 496 Kansas .........: 1,750 1,800 1.40 1.20 2,450 2,160 : Kentucky .......: 2,100 2,200 2.20 1.90 4,620 4,180 Louisiana 2/ ...: 430 450 2.10 2.60 903 1,170 Michigan .......: 300 310 1.70 1.80 510 558 Minnesota ......: 730 800 2.00 1.60 1,460 1,280 Mississippi 2/ .: 720 750 2.40 2.60 1,728 1,950 Missouri .......: 3,500 3,400 1.60 1.20 5,600 4,080 Montana ........: 700 800 1.70 1.30 1,190 1,040 Nebraska .......: 1,700 1,600 1.45 1.10 2,465 1,760 New York .......: 990 1,200 1.90 1.30 1,881 1,560 North Carolina .: 770 710 2.20 2.40 1,694 1,704 : North Dakota ...: 930 1,030 1.70 1.50 1,581 1,545 Ohio ...........: 740 750 2.00 2.00 1,480 1,500 Oklahoma .......: 2,300 2,700 0.90 1.30 2,070 3,510 Oregon .........: 630 700 2.40 2.00 1,512 1,400 Pennsylvania ...: 1,040 1,030 2.30 2.00 2,392 2,060 South Dakota ...: 1,200 1,350 1.90 1.10 2,280 1,485 Tennessee ......: 1,860 1,790 2.10 2.00 3,906 3,580 Texas ..........: 3,600 5,000 1.10 1.80 3,960 9,000 Virginia .......: 1,280 1,280 2.20 2.20 2,816 2,816 Washington .....: 400 390 3.50 2.60 1,400 1,014 : West Virginia ..: 620 620 2.00 1.90 1,240 1,178 Wisconsin ......: 450 500 1.90 1.70 855 850 Wyoming ........: 500 400 1.60 1.30 800 520 : Other States 1/ : 1,770 1,822 2.11 2.33 3,742 4,238 : United States ..: 36,420 38,762 1.81 1.71 65,812 66,408 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Utah, and Vermont. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2012 Summary." 2/ Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures included in all other hay. Sugarbeet Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 [Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except California] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :--------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2012 : : : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 :-------------------------: 2011 : 2012 : : : :September 1 : October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : -- 1,000 acres -- ------------ tons ----------- -- 1,000 tons -- : California 1/ : 25.1 24.5 44.0 43.0 43.0 1,104 1,054 Colorado .....: 28.7 29.7 28.9 34.0 34.0 829 1,010 Idaho ........: 176.0 182.0 34.4 35.4 35.4 6,054 6,443 Michigan .....: 153.0 153.0 24.0 28.0 28.0 3,672 4,284 Minnesota ....: 469.0 473.0 19.0 27.0 27.0 8,911 12,771 Montana ......: 43.0 46.0 25.9 28.9 28.9 1,112 1,329 Nebraska .....: 51.6 49.0 24.9 31.0 31.0 1,287 1,519 North Dakota .: 225.0 216.0 20.5 27.0 27.0 4,613 5,832 Oregon .......: 10.8 11.0 35.8 37.5 37.5 387 413 Wyoming ......: 30.9 31.3 27.8 30.1 30.1 859 942 : United States : 1,213.1 1,215.5 23.8 29.3 29.3 28,828 35,597 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central California and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern California. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield per acre 1/ : Production 1/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2012 : : : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 :-------------------------: 2011 : 2012 : : : :September 1 : October 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres ------------ tons ----------- -- 1,000 tons -- : Florida ......: 397.0 410.0 38.0 37.8 38.0 15,085 15,580 Hawaii .......: 16.6 17.0 80.2 80.0 80.0 1,332 1,360 Louisiana ....: 410.0 425.0 27.6 30.0 30.0 11,320 12,750 Texas ........: 49.0 46.0 33.6 33.7 34.5 1,646 1,587 : United States : 872.6 898.0 33.7 34.7 34.8 29,383 31,277 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Net tons. Dry Edible Bean Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Arizona ........: 8.5 11.0 8.2 11.0 California .....: 45.5 58.5 45.0 57.5 Colorado .......: 38.0 50.0 37.0 45.0 Idaho ..........: 95.0 145.0 94.0 144.0 Kansas .........: 6.5 8.0 6.0 7.5 Michigan .......: 170.0 200.0 168.0 195.0 Minnesota ......: 140.0 160.0 135.0 155.0 Montana ........: 15.0 26.5 14.8 26.2 Nebraska .......: 110.0 145.0 105.0 135.0 New Mexico .....: 12.5 9.5 12.4 9.5 : New York .......: 12.0 10.0 11.8 9.6 North Dakota ...: 410.0 700.0 380.0 690.0 Oregon .........: 6.4 9.5 6.4 9.5 South Dakota ...: 10.2 13.0 9.0 11.5 Texas ..........: 9.0 22.0 8.0 20.0 Washington .....: 77.0 115.0 77.0 115.0 Wisconsin ......: 5.3 5.7 5.3 5.7 Wyoming ........: 35.0 45.0 33.0 43.0 : United States ..: 1,205.9 1,733.7 1,155.9 1,690.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre 1/ : Production 1/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- pounds ------ ------ 1,000 cwt ----- : Arizona 2/ .....: 1,890 1,900 155 209 California .....: 2,280 2,200 1,026 1,265 Colorado .......: 1,580 1,560 585 702 Idaho ..........: 2,000 2,100 1,880 3,024 Kansas .........: 1,700 1,600 102 120 Michigan .......: 2,000 1,850 3,360 3,608 Minnesota ......: 1,690 1,880 2,281 2,914 Montana 2/ .....: 1,820 1,490 270 390 Nebraska .......: 2,000 2,250 2,100 3,038 New Mexico 2/ ..: 2,230 2,200 277 209 : New York .......: 1,400 1,900 165 182 North Dakota ...: 1,300 1,700 4,940 11,730 Oregon 2/ ......: 2,410 2,500 154 238 South Dakota ...: 1,770 1,600 159 184 Texas ..........: 1,000 1,000 80 200 Washington .....: 1,900 1,700 1,463 1,955 Wisconsin 2/ ...: 2,080 2,080 110 119 Wyoming ........: 2,200 2,200 726 946 : United States ..: 1,716 1,836 19,833 31,033 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Clean basis. 2/ Yield for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :-------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2012 : : : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 :-----------------------: 2011 : 2012 : : : :September 1: October 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- acres ----- ---------- pounds ---------- -- 1,000 pounds -- : Connecticut .....: 2,070 (D) 1,494 (D) (D) 3,092 (D) Georgia .........: 11,900 10,500 2,250 2,400 2,300 26,775 24,150 Kentucky ........: 77,500 87,200 2,221 2,103 2,198 172,140 191,680 Massachusetts ...: 570 (D) 1,570 (D) (D) 895 (D) North Carolina ..: 162,300 166,100 1,550 2,394 2,394 251,565 397,690 Ohio 1/ .........: 1,600 1,800 2,100 2,000 2,000 3,360 3,600 Pennsylvania ....: 9,700 9,600 2,129 2,359 2,394 20,655 22,985 South Carolina ..: 15,500 13,500 1,700 2,000 2,100 26,350 28,350 Tennessee .......: 22,000 23,800 2,062 2,238 2,279 45,363 54,230 Virginia ........: 21,900 23,080 2,197 2,333 2,332 48,125 53,833 : Other States 2/ .: (X) 2,500 (X) 1,485 1,564 (X) 3,910 : United States ...: 325,040 338,080 1,841 2,277 2,308 598,320 780,428 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D)Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X)Not applicable. 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2/ Includes data withheld above. Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production Class, type, and State :------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ----- acres ----- ---- pounds ---- -- 1,000 pounds -- : Class 1, Flue-cured (11-14) : Georgia ................................: 11,900 10,500 2,250 2,300 26,775 24,150 North Carolina .........................: 160,000 164,200 1,550 2,400 248,000 394,080 South Carolina .........................: 15,500 13,500 1,700 2,100 26,350 28,350 Virginia ...............................: 19,500 20,000 2,230 2,400 43,485 48,000 : United States ..........................: 206,900 208,200 1,666 2,376 344,610 494,580 : Class 2, Fire-cured (21-23) : Kentucky ...............................: 9,100 9,000 3,400 3,500 30,940 31,500 Tennessee ..............................: 6,900 6,800 2,890 3,100 19,941 21,080 Virginia ...............................: 400 380 2,100 1,850 840 703 : United States ..........................: 16,400 16,180 3,154 3,293 51,721 53,283 : Class 3A, Light air-cured : Type 31, Burley : Kentucky .............................: 64,000 74,000 2,000 2,000 128,000 148,000 North Carolina .......................: 2,300 1,900 1,550 1,900 3,565 3,610 Ohio 1/ ..............................: 1,600 1,800 2,100 2,000 3,360 3,600 Pennsylvania .........................: 5,000 4,700 2,200 2,450 11,000 11,515 Tennessee ............................: 14,000 16,000 1,610 1,900 22,540 30,400 Virginia .............................: 2,000 2,700 1,900 1,900 3,800 5,130 : United States ........................: 88,900 101,100 1,938 2,001 172,265 202,255 : Type 32, Southern Maryland Belt : Pennsylvania .........................: 3,000 2,900 2,000 2,300 6,000 6,670 : Total light air-cured (31-32) ....... : 91,900 104,000 1,940 2,009 178,265 208,925 : Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37) : Kentucky ...............................: 4,400 4,200 3,000 2,900 13,200 12,180 Tennessee ..............................: 1,100 1,000 2,620 2,750 2,882 2,750 : United States ..........................: 5,500 5,200 2,924 2,871 16,082 14,930 : Class 4, Cigar filler : Type 41, Pennsylvania Seedleaf : Pennsylvania .........................: 1,700 2,000 2,150 2,400 3,655 4,800 : Class 5, Cigar binder : Type 51 Connecticut Valley Broadleaf : Connecticut ..........................: 1,350 1,600 1,650 1,600 2,228 2,560 Massachusetts ........................: 440 300 1,680 1,600 739 480 : United States ........................: 1,790 1,900 1,658 1,600 2,967 3,040 : Class 6, Cigar wrapper : Type 61, Connecticut Valley Shade-grown : Connecticut ..........................: 720 (D) 1,200 (D) 864 (D) Massachusetts ........................: 130 (D) 1,200 (D) 156 (D) : United States ........................: 850 600 1,200 1,450 1,020 870 : Total cigar types (41-61) ........... : 4,340 4,500 1,761 1,936 7,642 8,710 : All tobacco : United States ..........................: 325,040 338,080 1,841 2,308 598,320 780,428 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (D)Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2011-2012 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 [The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized production boxes 1/ : Utilized production ton equivalent Crop and State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011-2012 : 2012-2013 : 2011-2012 : 2012-2013 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 boxes ------- ------- 1,000 tons ------ Oranges : Early, mid, and Navel 2/ : California .................: 45,500 46,500 1,820 1,860 Florida ....................: 74,200 74,000 3,339 3,330 Texas ......................: 1,108 1,130 47 48 : United States ..............: 120,808 121,630 5,206 5,238 : Valencia : California .................: 13,500 13,000 540 520 Florida ....................: 72,400 80,000 3,258 3,600 Texas ......................: 311 286 13 12 : United States ..............: 86,211 93,286 3,811 4,132 : All : California .................: 59,000 59,500 2,360 2,380 Florida ....................: 146,600 154,000 6,597 6,930 Texas ......................: 1,419 1,416 60 60 : United States ..............: 207,019 214,916 9,017 9,370 : Grapefruit : White : Florida ....................: 5,350 5,800 228 247 : Colored : Florida ....................: 13,500 14,500 574 616 : All : California .................: 4,400 4,000 176 160 Florida ....................: 18,850 20,300 802 863 Texas ......................: 4,800 5,280 192 211 : United States ..............: 28,050 29,580 1,170 1,234 : Tangerines and mandarins : Arizona 3/ ...................: 200 200 8 8 California 3/ ................: 10,900 11,800 436 472 Florida ......................: 4,290 4,400 204 209 : United States ................: 15,390 16,400 648 689 : Lemons : Arizona ......................: 750 1,700 30 68 California ...................: 20,500 20,500 820 820 : United States ................: 21,250 22,200 850 888 : Tangelos : Florida ......................: 1,150 1,200 52 54 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in Arizona and California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80; tangelos-90. 2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida and Texas. Small quantities of tangerines in Texas and Temples in Florida. 3/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Pecan Production by Variety - States and United States: 2011 and Forecasted October 1, 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized production (in-shell basis) Variety and State :--------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 pounds Improved varieties 1/ : Alabama ......................: 13,000 4,000 Arizona ......................: 18,500 21,000 Arkansas .....................: 1,300 1,500 California ...................: 3,700 5,000 Florida ......................: 1,400 1,400 Georgia ......................: 92,000 95,000 Louisiana ....................: 2,500 5,000 Mississippi ..................: 3,400 2,000 Missouri .....................: 190 350 New Mexico ...................: 61,000 69,000 Oklahoma .....................: 2,000 5,000 South Carolina ...............: 2,040 1,500 Texas ........................: 26,000 42,000 : United States ................: 227,030 252,750 : Native and seedling : Alabama ......................: 6,000 1,000 Arkansas .....................: 1,200 800 Florida ......................: 2,600 600 Georgia ......................: 10,000 5,000 Kansas .......................: 1,500 3,000 Louisiana ....................: 7,500 10,000 Mississippi ..................: 1,600 500 Missouri .....................: 1,310 1,650 Oklahoma .....................: 4,000 20,000 South Carolina ...............: 960 300 Texas ........................: 6,000 13,000 : United States ................: 42,670 55,850 : All : Alabama ......................: 19,000 5,000 Arizona ......................: 18,500 21,000 Arkansas .....................: 2,500 2,300 California ...................: 3,700 5,000 Florida ......................: 4,000 2,000 Georgia ......................: 102,000 100,000 Kansas .......................: 1,500 3,000 Louisiana ....................: 10,000 15,000 Mississippi ..................: 5,000 2,500 Missouri .....................: 1,500 2,000 New Mexico ...................: 61,000 69,000 Oklahoma .....................: 6,000 25,000 South Carolina ...............: 3,000 1,800 Texas ........................: 32,000 55,000 : United States ................: 269,700 308,600 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2011 and 2012 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2012 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 2,559 3,637 2,239 3,244 Corn for grain 1/ ..............: 91,921 96,946 83,981 87,721 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 5,928 Hay, all .......................: (NA) (NA) 55,633 57,574 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) (NA) 19,213 18,812 All other ....................: (NA) (NA) 36,420 38,762 Oats ...........................: 2,496 2,760 939 1,045 Proso millet ...................: 370 315 338 Rice ...........................: 2,689 2,699 2,618 2,677 Rye ............................: 1,266 1,300 242 248 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 5,481 6,238 3,929 5,016 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 224 Wheat, all .....................: 54,409 55,736 45,705 48,991 Winter .......................: 40,646 41,324 32,314 34,834 Durum ........................: 1,369 2,123 1,312 2,102 Other spring .................: 12,394 12,289 12,079 12,055 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 1,071.5 1,773.0 1,043.0 1,737.6 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 178 285 173 281 Mustard seed ...................: 23.2 55.5 21.8 53.1 Peanuts ........................: 1,140.6 1,636.0 1,080.6 1,594.0 Rapeseed .......................: 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.5 Safflower ......................: 130.7 147.5 127.3 141.5 Soybeans for beans .............: 75,046 77,203 73,776 75,693 Sunflower ......................: 1,543.0 1,918.2 1,457.8 1,815.1 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all ....................: 14,735.4 12,360.0 9,460.9 10,443.4 Upland .......................: 14,428.0 12,121.0 9,156.0 10,206.0 American Pima ................: 307.4 239.0 304.9 237.4 Sugarbeets .....................: 1,232.7 1,243.5 1,213.1 1,215.5 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) (NA) 872.6 898.0 Tobacco ........................: (NA) (NA) 325.0 338.1 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 18.0 19.0 12.3 11.5 Dry edible beans ...............: 1,205.9 1,733.7 1,155.9 1,690.0 Dry edible peas ................: 362.0 600.0 342.8 573.5 Lentils ........................: 428.0 478.0 411.0 461.0 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) (NA) : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ................: (NA) 6.3 Hops ...........................: (NA) (NA) 29.8 30.8 Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 74.0 Potatoes, all ..................: 1,099.2 1,150.9 1,077.0 1,135.9 Spring .......................: 93.3 97.7 91.5 96.1 Summer .......................: 48.2 50.3 46.0 49.0 Fall .........................: 957.7 1,002.9 939.5 990.8 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 17.3 Sweet potatoes .................: 133.6 131.4 129.7 128.5 Taro (Hawaii) 2/ ...............: (NA) 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2011 and 2012 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2012 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 -------- : Grains and hay : Barley ..........................bushels: 69.6 67.9 155,780 220,284 Corn for grain ..................bushels: 147.2 122.0 12,358,412 10,705,729 Corn for silage ....................tons: 18.4 108,926 Hay, all ...........................tons: 2.36 2.12 131,144 121,974 Alfalfa ..........................tons: 3.40 2.95 65,332 55,566 All other ........................tons: 1.81 1.71 65,812 66,408 Oats ............................bushels: 57.1 61.3 53,649 64,024 Proso millet ....................bushels: 27.1 9,149 Rice 3/ .............................cwt: 7,067 7,428 185,009 198,860 Rye .............................bushels: 26.1 28.0 6,326 6,944 Sorghum for grain ...............bushels: 54.6 50.2 214,443 251,977 Sorghum for silage .................tons: 10.3 2,298 Wheat, all ......................bushels: 43.7 46.3 1,999,347 2,269,117 Winter ........................bushels: 46.2 47.2 1,493,677 1,645,202 Durum .........................bushels: 38.5 39.0 50,482 81,956 Other spring ..................bushels: 37.7 45.0 455,188 541,959 : Oilseeds : Canola ...........................pounds: 1,475 1,430 1,538,010 2,484,050 Cottonseed .........................tons: (X) (X) 5,370.0 5,868.0 Flaxseed ........................bushels: 16.1 2,791 Mustard seed .....................pounds: 718 15,644 Peanuts ..........................pounds: 3,386 3,832 3,658,590 6,108,150 Rapeseed .........................pounds: 2,177 2,830 Safflower ........................pounds: 1,333 169,671 Soybeans for beans ..............bushels: 41.9 37.8 3,093,524 2,860,290 Sunflower ........................pounds: 1,398 1,354 2,038,275 2,458,140 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 3/ ....................bales: 790 795 15,573.2 17,287.0 Upland 3/ .......................bales: 772 782 14,722.0 16,630.0 American Pima 3/ ................bales: 1,340 1,328 851.2 657.0 Sugarbeets .........................tons: 23.8 29.3 28,828 35,597 Sugarcane ..........................tons: 33.7 34.8 29,383 31,277 Tobacco ..........................pounds: 1,841 2,308 598,320 780,428 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas 3/ .............cwt: 1,463 180 Dry edible beans 3/ .................cwt: 1,716 1,836 19,833 31,033 Dry edible peas 3/ ..................cwt: 1,641 5,625 Lentils 3/ ..........................cwt: 1,151 4,732 Wrinkled seed peas ..................cwt: (NA) 509 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ..................pounds: 1,210 7,600 Hops .............................pounds: 2,175 1,995 64,781.6 61,456.6 Peppermint oil ...................pounds: 89 6,570 Potatoes, all .......................cwt: 399 429,647 Spring ............................cwt: 279 289 25,573 27,740 Summer ............................cwt: 280 356 12,894 17,447 Fall ..............................cwt: 416 391,180 Spearmint oil ....................pounds: 132 2,286 Sweet potatoes ......................cwt: 208 26,964 Taro (Hawaii) ....................pounds: (NA) 4,100 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NANot available. (X)Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres. 3/ Yield in pounds. Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2011 and 2012 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2012 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 1,035,600 1,471,860 906,100 1,312,810 Corn for grain 1/ ..............:37,199,510 39,233,080 33,986,270 35,499,810 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 2,399,000 Hay, all 2/ ....................: (NA) (NA) 22,514,120 23,299,620 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) (NA) 7,775,310 7,613,030 All other ....................: (NA) (NA) 14,738,810 15,686,590 Oats ...........................: 1,010,110 1,116,940 380,000 422,900 Proso millet ...................: 149,740 127,480 136,790 Rice ...........................: 1,088,210 1,092,260 1,059,480 1,083,360 Rye ............................: 512,340 526,100 97,930 100,360 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 2,218,110 2,524,460 1,590,030 2,029,930 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 90,650 Wheat, all 2/ ..................:22,018,780 22,555,800 18,496,360 19,826,170 Winter .......................:16,449,030 16,723,410 13,077,150 14,096,970 Durum ........................: 554,020 859,160 530,950 850,660 Other spring .................: 5,015,730 4,973,240 4,888,250 4,878,540 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 433,630 717,520 422,090 703,190 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 72,030 115,340 70,010 113,720 Mustard seed ...................: 9,390 22,460 8,820 21,490 Peanuts ........................: 461,590 662,070 437,310 645,080 Rapeseed .......................: 610 650 530 610 Safflower ......................: 52,890 59,690 51,520 57,260 Soybeans for beans .............:30,370,370 31,243,280 29,856,410 30,632,200 Sunflower ......................: 624,440 776,280 589,960 734,550 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all 2/ .................: 5,963,270 5,001,970 3,828,730 4,226,340 Upland .......................: 5,838,870 4,905,250 3,705,340 4,130,270 American Pima ................: 124,400 96,720 123,390 96,070 Sugarbeets .....................: 498,860 503,230 490,930 491,900 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) (NA) 353,130 363,410 Tobacco ........................: (NA) (NA) 131,540 136,820 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 7,280 7,690 4,980 4,650 Dry edible beans ...............: 488,020 701,610 467,780 683,930 Dry edible peas ................: 146,500 242,810 138,730 232,090 Lentils ........................: 173,210 193,440 166,330 186,560 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) (NA) : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ................: (NA) 2,550 Hops ...........................: (NA) (NA) 12,050 12,470 Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 29,950 Potatoes, all 2/ ...............: 444,840 465,760 435,850 459,690 Spring .......................: 37,760 39,540 37,030 38,890 Summer .......................: 19,510 20,360 18,620 19,830 Fall .........................: 387,570 405,860 380,210 400,970 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 7,000 Sweet potatoes .................: 54,070 53,180 52,490 52,000 Taro (Hawaii) 3/ ...............: (NA) 200 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2011 and 2012 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2012 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per hectare : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2011 : 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 3.74 3.65 3,391,710 4,796,120 Corn for grain .................: 9.24 7.66 313,918,120 271,938,040 Corn for silage ................: 41.19 98,816,000 Hay, all 2/ ....................: 5.28 4.75 118,971,840 110,652,950 Alfalfa ......................: 7.62 6.62 59,268,190 50,408,630 All other ....................: 4.05 3.84 59,703,640 60,244,320 Oats ...........................: 2.05 2.20 778,710 929,310 Proso millet ...................: 1.52 207,500 Rice ...........................: 7.92 8.33 8,391,870 9,020,140 Rye ............................: 1.64 1.76 160,690 176,390 Sorghum for grain ..............: 3.43 3.15 5,447,100 6,400,510 Sorghum for silage .............: 23.00 2,084,710 Wheat, all 2/ ..................: 2.94 3.11 54,413,310 61,755,240 Winter .......................: 3.11 3.18 40,651,230 44,775,060 Durum ........................: 2.59 2.62 1,373,890 2,230,480 Other spring .................: 2.53 3.02 12,388,190 14,749,710 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 1.65 1.60 697,630 1,126,750 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) 4,871,580 5,323,360 Flaxseed .......................: 1.01 70,890 Mustard seed ...................: 0.80 7,100 Peanuts ........................: 3.79 4.30 1,659,510 2,770,610 Rapeseed .......................: 2.44 1,280 Safflower ......................: 1.49 76,960 Soybeans for beans .............: 2.82 2.54 84,191,930 77,844,340 Sunflower ......................: 1.57 1.52 924,550 1,114,990 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all 2/ .................: 0.89 0.89 3,390,660 3,763,800 Upland .......................: 0.87 0.88 3,205,340 3,620,760 American Pima ................: 1.50 1.49 185,330 143,040 Sugarbeets .....................: 53.27 65.65 26,152,320 32,293,060 Sugarcane ......................: 75.48 78.08 26,655,810 28,374,020 Tobacco ........................: 2.06 2.59 271,390 354,000 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 1.64 8,160 Dry edible beans ...............: 1.92 2.06 899,610 1,407,630 Dry edible peas ................: 1.84 255,150 Lentils ........................: 1.29 214,640 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) 23,090 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ................: 1.35 3,450 Hops ...........................: 2.44 2.24 29,380 27,880 Peppermint oil .................: 0.10 2,980 Potatoes, all 2/ ...............: 44.71 19,488,460 Spring .......................: 31.33 32.35 1,159,970 1,258,270 Summer .......................: 31.42 39.91 584,860 791,380 Fall .........................: 46.67 17,743,630 Spearmint oil ..................: 0.15 1,040 Sweet potatoes .................: 23.30 1,223,070 Taro (Hawaii) ..................: (NA) 1,860 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NANot available. (X)Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. 3/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2012 and 2013 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2012 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2011-2012 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 : Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ............................tons: 1,170 1,234 Lemons ................................tons: 850 888 Oranges ...............................tons: 9,017 9,370 Tangelos (Florida) ....................tons: 52 54 Tangerines and mandarins ..............tons: 648 689 : Noncitrus : Apples ....................... 1,000 pounds: 8,065.7 Apricots ..............................tons: 67.8 Bananas (Hawaii) ....................pounds: Grapes ................................tons: 7,296.8 Olives (California) ...................tons: Papayas (Hawaii) ....................pounds: Peaches ...............................tons: 1,023.3 Pears .................................tons: 878.5 Prunes, dried (California) ............tons: Prunes and plums (excludes California) tons: : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .......pounds: 2,100,000 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..........tons: 40.0 Pecans, in-shell ....................pounds: 308,600 Walnuts, in-shell (California) ........tons: 470 Maple syrup ........................gallons: 1,908 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2011-2012 and 2012-2013. Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2012 and 2013 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2012 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2011-2012 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ................................: 1,061,410 1,119,470 Lemons ....................................: 771,110 805,580 Oranges ...................................: 8,180,080 8,500,320 Tangelos (Florida) ........................: 47,170 48,990 Tangerines and mandarins ..................: 587,860 625,050 : Noncitrus : Apples ....................................: 3,658,540 Apricots ..................................: 61,490 Bananas (Hawaii) ..........................: Grapes ....................................: 6,619,550 Olives (California) .......................: Papayas (Hawaii) ..........................: Peaches ...................................: 928,320 Pears .....................................: 796,960 Prunes, dried (California) ................: Prunes and plums (excludes California) ....: : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .............: 952,540 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..............: 36,290 Pecans, in-shell ..........................: 139,980 Walnuts, in-shell (California) ............: 426,380 Maple syrup ...............................: 9,540 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2011-2012 and 2012-2013. Corn for Grain Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn-producing States during 2012. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey. Corn for Grain Plant Population per Acre - Selected States: 2008-2012 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : :: State : : : : : and month : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 : 2012 :: and month : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 : 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number :: : number : :: : Illinois : :: Nebraska : September .....: 29,150 29,650 29,750 30,450 29,700 :: All corn : October .......: 29,000 29,550 29,600 30,450 29,750 :: September ....: 24,500 25,700 25,700 25,400 26,150 November ......: 28,950 29,600 29,650 30,400 :: October ......: 24,300 25,700 25,600 25,400 26,150 Final .........: 28,900 29,550 29,650 30,450 :: November .....: 24,250 25,700 25,550 25,450 : :: Final ........: 24,250 25,750 25,550 25,450 Indiana : :: : September .....: 28,500 28,350 28,300 29,200 29,250 :: Irrigated : October .......: 28,350 28,400 28,350 29,200 29,200 :: September ....: 27,250 28,250 27,750 28,150 29,100 November ......: 28,350 28,350 28,350 29,150 :: October ......: 27,350 28,250 27,600 28,200 29,000 Final .........: 28,350 28,350 28,350 29,150 :: November .....: 27,250 28,250 27,600 28,250 : :: Final ........: 27,250 28,300 27,600 28,250 Iowa : :: : September .....: 29,300 29,500 30,050 30,850 30,150 :: Non-irrigated : October .......: 29,250 29,450 30,000 30,750 30,100 :: September ....: 20,000 21,750 22,350 21,250 21,600 November ......: 29,250 29,400 29,950 30,750 :: October ......: 19,900 21,700 22,350 21,200 21,850 Final .........: 29,250 29,400 29,950 30,750 :: November .....: 19,900 21,700 22,300 21,200 : :: Final ........: 19,900 21,700 22,300 21,200 Kansas : :: : September .....: 20,250 22,650 21,850 21,500 23,050 :: Ohio : October .......: 20,950 22,600 21,950 21,550 23,200 :: September .....: 27,750 28,300 28,400 29,550 29,200 November ......: 20,950 22,600 21,950 21,500 :: October .......: 27,800 28,450 28,200 29,350 29,100 Final .........: 20,950 22,600 21,950 21,500 :: November ......: 27,800 28,200 28,200 29,350 : :: Final .........: 27,800 28,200 28,200 29,350 Minnesota : :: : September .....: 30,150 30,800 29,850 30,250 30,000 :: South Dakota : October .......: 30,100 30,600 29,750 30,200 30,000 :: September .....: 22,950 24,300 24,550 25,300 24,200 November ......: 30,150 30,600 29,900 30,250 :: October .......: 23,100 24,250 24,450 25,250 23,900 Final .........: 30,050 30,600 29,900 30,250 :: November ......: 23,100 24,300 24,350 25,500 : :: Final .........: 23,100 24,300 24,350 25,500 Missouri : :: : September .....: 25,700 25,700 25,700 25,850 26,650 :: Wisconsin : October .......: 25,700 25,500 25,500 25,800 26,550 :: September .....: 28,800 28,150 28,600 29,000 29,000 November ......: 25,700 25,500 25,500 25,800 :: October .......: 28,500 28,150 28,300 28,900 28,550 Final .........: 25,700 25,500 25,500 25,800 :: November ......: 28,250 27,700 28,300 28,950 : :: Final .........: 28,250 27,650 28,300 28,950 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain Number of Ears per Acre - Selected States: 2008-2012 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : :: State : : : : : and month : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 : 2012 :: and month : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 : 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number :: : number : :: : Illinois : :: Nebraska : September .....: 28,600 29,150 28,650 29,650 24,000 :: All corn : October .......: 28,500 28,900 28,500 29,550 24,250 :: September ....: 24,050 25,650 25,250 24,500 24,500 November ......: 28,400 28,900 28,550 29,550 :: October ......: 23,950 25,650 25,250 24,350 24,050 Final .........: 28,350 28,900 28,550 29,600 :: November .....: 23,900 25,600 25,100 24,350 : :: Final ........: 23,900 25,650 25,100 24,350 Indiana : :: : September .....: 27,950 27,950 27,900 27,950 26,500 :: Irrigated : October .......: 27,700 28,100 27,750 27,800 26,150 :: September ....: 26,800 27,900 27,100 26,950 28,600 November ......: 27,700 28,000 27,750 27,750 :: October ......: 27,000 27,950 27,100 26,800 28,300 Final .........: 27,700 27,950 27,750 27,750 :: November .....: 26,900 27,900 26,950 26,800 : :: Final ........: 26,900 27,950 26,950 26,800 Iowa : :: : September .....: 28,600 29,250 29,450 30,100 28,250 :: Non-irrigated : October .......: 28,600 29,200 29,450 30,050 28,150 :: September ....: 19,550 22,100 22,350 20,800 18,250 November ......: 28,600 29,200 29,300 30,050 :: October ......: 19,500 22,050 22,250 20,650 17,600 Final .........: 28,600 29,200 29,300 30,050 :: November .....: 19,550 22,000 22,200 20,650 : :: Final ........: 19,550 22,000 22,200 20,650 Kansas : :: : September .....: 19,850 22,750 21,250 20,900 20,350 :: Ohio : October .......: 20,600 22,650 21,250 20,650 20,550 :: September .....: 26,950 27,700 27,700 28,700 27,700 November ......: 20,650 22,750 21,250 20,650 :: October .......: 27,400 27,950 27,650 28,950 27,150 Final .........: 20,650 22,700 21,250 20,650 :: November ......: 27,250 27,650 27,650 29,150 : :: Final .........: 27,250 27,650 27,650 29,150 Minnesota : :: : September .....: 29,900 30,250 29,750 29,750 29,450 :: South Dakota : October .......: 29,350 30,750 29,600 29,300 29,400 :: September .....: 24,150 26,150 24,850 25,800 22,150 November ......: 29,450 30,800 29,700 29,350 :: October .......: 23,900 26,050 24,800 25,150 21,550 Final .........: 29,400 30,800 29,700 29,350 :: November ......: 23,800 26,050 24,450 25,250 : :: Final .........: 23,800 26,050 24,450 25,250 Missouri : :: : September .....: 25,050 24,800 25,100 24,600 23,050 :: Wisconsin : October .......: 25,000 24,800 24,750 24,650 22,900 :: September .....: 27,750 27,500 28,700 28,650 27,650 November ......: 24,900 24,800 24,700 24,550 :: October .......: 28,300 28,850 28,500 28,650 27,300 Final .........: 24,900 24,800 24,700 24,550 :: November ......: 27,950 28,150 28,550 28,650 : :: Final .........: 27,900 28,100 28,550 28,650 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab - United States: 2008-2012 [Blank data cells indicated estimation period has not yet begun] --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : October : November Year :----------------------------------------------------------- :Dent stage 1/ : Mature 2/ :Dent stage 1/ : Mature 2/ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : 2008 ..........: 34 42 (Z) 94 2009 ..........: 40 31 3 91 2010 ..........: 7 82 (Z) 96 2011 ..........: 24 57 (Z) 94 2012 ..........: 3 90 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Z)Less than half of the unit shown. 1/ Includes corn in the dent stage of development. Ears are firm and solid. Kernels fully dented with no milk present in most kernels. 2/ Includes that portion of the crop that is mature and ready for harvest. No green foliage is present. Soybean Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean-producing States during 2012. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Soybean Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet - Selected States: 2008-2012 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : : :: State : : : : : and month : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 : 2012 :: and month : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 : 2012 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number :: : number : :: : Arkansas 1/ : :: Minnesota : September .....: (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) :: September .....: 1,466 1,456 1,679 1,670 1,587 October .......: 1,569 1,785 1,591 1,434 1,574 :: October .......: 1,493 1,542 1,741 1,705 1,606 November ......: 1,723 1,794 1,805 1,607 :: November ......: 1,470 1,611 1,783 1,678 Final .........: 1,715 1,865 1,833 1,597 :: Final .........: 1,472 1,581 1,783 1,678 : :: : Illinois : :: Missouri : September .....: 1,621 1,610 1,970 1,983 1,466 :: September .....: 1,538 1,856 1,924 1,957 1,347 October .......: 1,893 1,672 2,090 1,933 1,359 :: October .......: 1,473 1,983 1,899 1,781 1,205 November ......: 1,801 1,676 2,096 1,931 :: November ......: 1,673 2,083 1,986 1,836 Final .........: 1,829 1,687 2,096 1,931 :: Final .........: 1,690 2,122 1,993 1,797 : :: : Indiana : :: Nebraska : September .....: 1,608 1,516 1,878 1,607 1,388 :: September .....: 1,692 1,793 1,906 2,032 1,406 October .......: 1,577 1,525 1,852 1,606 1,390 :: October .......: 1,766 1,878 2,109 2,075 1,509 November ......: 1,648 1,583 1,879 1,635 :: November ......: 1,857 1,868 2,121 2,141 Final .........: 1,659 1,594 1,879 1,635 :: Final .........: 1,857 1,868 2,121 2,141 : :: : Iowa : :: North Dakota : September .....: 1,758 1,858 2,009 1,944 1,512 :: September .....: 1,261 1,208 1,375 1,337 1,308 October .......: 1,732 1,878 2,046 1,941 1,636 :: October .......: 1,261 1,236 1,416 1,382 1,326 November ......: 1,770 1,868 2,054 1,996 :: November ......: 1,405 1,317 1,510 1,381 Final .........: 1,775 1,879 2,054 2,002 :: Final .........: 1,405 1,318 1,510 1,381 : :: : Kansas : :: Ohio : September .....: 1,346 1,627 1,402 1,488 1,038 :: September .....: 1,942 1,846 1,991 1,882 1,674 October .......: 1,487 1,759 1,392 1,466 1,039 :: October .......: 1,755 1,769 2,012 1,850 1,708 November ......: 1,581 1,784 1,427 1,375 :: November ......: 1,618 1,757 2,022 1,893 Final .........: 1,629 1,768 1,429 1,375 :: Final .........: 1,616 1,712 2,022 1,892 : :: : : :: South Dakota : : :: September .....: 1,425 1,513 1,527 1,652 1,171 : :: October .......: 1,465 1,642 1,622 1,492 1,142 : :: November ......: 1,492 1,683 1,605 1,530 : :: Final .........: 1,492 1,682 1,605 1,530 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. 1/ September data not available due to plant immaturity. Soybean Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab - United States: 2008-2012 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : October : November Year :----------------------------------------------------------- : Mature 1/ : Mature 1/ --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : 2008 ..........: 40 91 2009 ..........: 38 87 2010 ..........: 59 94 2011 ..........: 32 95 2012 ..........: 64 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes soybeans with brown pods and are considered mature or almost mature. Cotton Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in six cotton-producing States during 2012. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts - Selected States: 2008-2012 [Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : State and month : 2008 : 2009 : 2010 : 2011 : 2012 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : Arkansas : September ..........: 943 1,051 911 901 841 October ............: 810 814 893 845 852 November ...........: 852 803 897 867 December ...........: 846 794 894 868 Final ..............: 846 794 894 868 : Georgia : September ..........: 587 571 609 531 656 October ............: 613 731 606 577 646 November ...........: 733 712 686 659 December ...........: 742 737 683 665 Final ..............: 742 740 683 666 : Louisiana : September ..........: 655 714 699 938 855 October ............: 578 792 755 948 880 November ...........: 579 756 789 949 December ...........: 579 788 781 949 Final ..............: 579 788 781 949 : Mississippi : September ..........: 909 925 864 898 883 October ............: 679 833 773 848 855 November ...........: 728 717 776 874 December ...........: 722 722 776 875 Final ..............: 722 722 776 875 : North Carolina : September ..........: 667 701 681 553 727 October ............: 652 730 675 610 739 November ...........: 702 779 689 646 December ...........: 704 777 689 646 Final ..............: 704 777 689 646 : Texas : September ..........: 633 613 658 540 535 October ............: 513 522 534 478 443 November ...........: 579 502 589 515 December ...........: 573 502 589 520 Final ..............: 570 502 589 520 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- September Weather Summary The Nation's historic drought of 2012 continued its shift toward the northwest during September. Extremely dry conditions fostered a record-setting pace of corn and soybean harvesting in the upper Midwest, but delayed winter wheat planting and emergence across the northwestern half of the Plains and parts of the Northwest. According to the United States Drought Monitor, late-September drought coverage in the contiguous United States reached 65.45 percent, surpassing by 1.59 percent the previous high established on July 24, 2012. In contrast, September rainfall continued to benefit some late-developing soybeans in the Mid-South and lower Midwest. In those regions, early-September rainfall was associated with the remnants of Hurricane Isaac. As the month progressed, additional rainfall in both regions aided pastures and boosted soil moisture in preparation for soft red winter wheat planting. Occasional rainfall also maintained generally favorable conditions for pastures and maturing summer crops in the Gulf and Atlantic Coast States. The eastern half of the United States also got a reprieve from the high temperatures that plagued most areas during the 2012 growing season. The coolest weather, relative to normal, covered the Midwest, while most other areas from the eastern Plains to the East Coast noted near-normal temperatures. In Illinois, Chicago reported its first cooler-than-normal month since September 2011. Farther south, wetter conditions developed across the southern half of the Plains. Some of the most impressive rain fell late in the month, when the interaction between a cold front and remnant moisture associated with former eastern Pacific Hurricane Miriam and Tropical Storm Norman contributed to heavy rain in the south-central United States. The rain helped to revive rangeland and pastures, and promoted the emergence of newly planted hard red winter wheat. Elsewhere, much of the West experienced a warm, dry month. In fact, record-setting September warmth covered parts of the Far West, while portions of the Northwest received no measurable rainfall. As a result, wildfires remained a periodic problem in the Northwest. Meanwhile, lingering monsoon showers in the Southwest withdrew by mid-September, roughly on schedule, following a fairly robust summer wet season. September Agricultural Summary September brought near to above average temperatures to much of the United States, promoting crop development and aiding a rapid fieldwork pace. Most notably, temperatures in portions of the West reached as many as 6 degrees above average. Precipitation in most regions from the Great Lakes westward totaled less than 25 percent of normal, leading to further declines in crop conditions and soil moisture levels, while at the same time delaying the start of overwintered small grain seeding. Elsewhere, late-summer and early-fall storms brought beneficial moisture to portions of southern Great Plains and most areas east of the Mississippi River. As September began, hot, dry weather in the Great Plains and western Corn Belt helped to maintain rapid phenological development of this year's corn crop. With denting nearing completion in many locations, 41 percent of the Nation's corn crop was at or beyond the mature stage by September 2, twenty-six percentage points ahead of last year and 25 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Early-month rainfall in portions of the eastern Corn Belt limited fieldwork, while helping to recharge soil moisture levels. Iowa producers focused on harvesting fields with weaker stalks or wind damage during the week ending September 9. Nationally, favorable weather conditions had pushed crop maturity to 76 percent complete by September 16, the quickest maturity pace since 1987 when 80 percent of the corn crop was at or beyond the mature stage. In Iowa, consistently dry weather provided ample time for fieldwork, and by September 23, harvest was reported as being over three weeks ahead of normal. Aided by mild, mostly dry weather in the Midwest, corn producers were harvesting the Nation's crop at one of the quickest paces on record. By month's end, 54 percent of the crop had been combined, 36 percentage points ahead of last year and 34 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Overall, 25 percent of the corn crop was reported in good to excellent condition on September 30, compared with 22 percent on September 2 and 52 percent from the same time last year. Nationally, heading of the sorghum crop was steady but behind normal as September began, with progress complete or nearing completion in many States. The most significant delay evident by September 2 existed in Nebraska, where low soil moisture levels throughout the growing season had negatively impacted crop growth. With coloring past the halfway mark and crop maturity evident in most States, harvest was advancing slowly as activity was limited to portions of the Great Plains and the Delta. Warmer than normal temperatures promoted double-digit coloring in the Great Plains during the week ending September 9, with harvest underway ahead of the normal pace in Kansas. Near-normal temperatures favored rapid crop maturity mid-month. By September 16, forty-two percent of the Nation's sorghum crop was at or beyond the mature stage, 6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest progress remained slow but steady during the second half of the month. In Texas, harvest was ongoing in the Plains but complete in most other areas by month's end. Nationwide, 34 percent of the sorghum crop was harvested by September 30, six percentage points ahead of last year and 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Overall, 24 percent of the sorghum crop was reported in good to excellent condition on September 30, unchanged from ratings on September 2 and from the same time last year. While barley harvest was complete in Minnesota and North Dakota, dry, mostly sunny weather promoted a rapid fieldwork pace in Washington during the week ending September 2. Nationally, harvest had advanced to 95 percent complete by September 9, sixteen percentage points ahead of last year and 13 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. While many producers waited for improved soil moisture levels before beginning fieldwork, seeding of the 2013 winter wheat crop was underway in several States by September 9. Mid-month storms systems delivered much-needed rainfall to portions of the Great Plains, boosting soil moisture levels and prompting sowing in some areas. By September 23, one-quarter of the winter wheat crop was in the ground, 3 percentage points ahead of last year but 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average. In Texas, some producers were busy seeding their crop toward month's end, while others were plowing and applying pre-plant fertilizers. Unfavorably dry soils in portions of the Great Plains and Pacific Northwest led to delays in seeding and crop emergence. By month's end, 40 percent of the winter wheat crop was sown and 12 percent had emerged, both behind the 5-year average. Following a mild winter that allowed for earlier than normal spring wheat seeding, favorable weather conditions prompted rapid phenological development throughout the summer and provided ample time for producers to complete fieldwork. By September 2, spring wheat producers had harvested 95 percent of this year's crop, 32 percentage points ahead of last year and 23 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. In North Dakota, harvest was complete by September 2, compared with last year when only 59 percent of the spring wheat crop had been combined. Despite damaging wind and heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane Isaac in portions of the Delta, rice producers were harvesting this year's crop at one of the quickest paces on record as September began. By September 9, over half of the Nation's crop had been harvested, approximately two weeks ahead of normal. Mid-month harvest delays in portions of Arkansas resulted from early-month thunderstorms that caused lodging in some rice fields. By September 16, harvest had begun in California, but progress in the State was behind normal. With harvest virtually complete in Louisiana by September 23, many producers focused on building levees for their 2013 crop toward month's end. As harvest in California fell further behind despite fieldwork being in full swing, overall progress slowed as September ended. Nationally, three-quarters of this year's rice crop was harvested by September 30, fourteen percentage points ahead of last year and 11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Overall, 66 percent of the rice crop was reported in good to excellent condition as harvest surpassed the halfway mark during the week ending September 9, compared with 64 percent from the same time last year. While the beginning of September found soybean producers in areas of the Corn Belt hoping that late-season rainfall would benefit pod fill in late-planted fields, leaf drop advanced to 19 percent complete Nationally by September 2, fourteen percentage points ahead of last year and 10 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Warm temperatures aided rapid crop maturity as the month progressed. By mid-month, many producers in the Corn Belt had completed corn harvest and switched their focus to soybeans as mild temperatures and mostly dry weather provided ample time for fieldwork. By September 16, ten percent of the Nation's soybean crop was harvested, 6 percentage points ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. Toward month's end, pods in some fields in Indiana were reported as mature; however, producers were forced to reduce harvest speeds due to stalks being too green. Favorable late-month weather conditions not only maintained rapid crop maturity, but provided ample time for a torrid fieldwork pace. By September 30, producers had harvested 41 percent of this year's soybean crop, 26 percentage points ahead of last year and 22 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average, and one of the quickest harvest paces on record. Overall, 35 percent of the soybean crop was reported in good to excellent condition on September 30, compared with 30 percent on September 2 and 54 percent from the same time last year. While sunflowers were being harvested in a limited number of fields by mid-September, mild, dry weather toward month's end boosted fieldwork in the major producing States. By September 30, producers had harvested 14 percent of this year's crop, 11 percentage points ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. As the month began, early peanut harvest was underway in Florida and Georgia; however, in Georgia, wet fields limited progress in many areas, while the effects of poor nodulation became evident in some fields. By September 16, producers Nationwide had harvested 7 percent of this year's crop, 3 percentage points ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. Producers in southern Alabama had dug 15 percent of their peanut crop by September 23, but combining progress was slow and behind the normal pace. As fields in Georgia dried out toward month's end, producers were rapidly digging peanuts ahead of additional forecasted rainfall. Nationally, 22 percent of the peanut crop was harvested by September 30, five percentage points ahead of last year and 4 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Overall, 79 percent of the peanut crop was reported in good to excellent condition on September 30, compared with 76 percent on September 2 and 39 percent from the same time last year. Opened bolls were evident in 36 percent of the Nation's cotton crop by September 2, slightly behind last year but 6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. As boll set reached completion in many cotton fields in Texas' High Plains region, bolls were opening rapidly under warm, mostly sunny skies early in the month. High water and strong winds associated with Hurricane Isaac damaged cotton fields throughout Louisiana, while many fields in Mississippi suffered little to no damage despite rainfall in excess of 6 inches. With activity limited to Arizona, Texas, and the Delta, producers had harvested 4 percent of this year's crop by September 9, slightly behind the 5-year average. By mid-month, many cotton producers in the Plains regions of Texas had shut off their irrigation systems and were busy defoliating in preparation for harvest. Nationally, harvest progress inched forward as producers in portions of the Cotton Belt slowly began to pick their first fields during the week ending September 16. In Georgia, defoliation was active in many areas toward month's end, with harvest expected to gain speed in the coming weeks. Nationally, 78 percent of the cotton crop was at or beyond the boll opening stage by September 30, five percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Fourteen percent of this year's cotton crop was harvested by month's end, slightly behind the average pace. Overall, 42 percent of the cotton crop was reported in good to excellent condition on September 30, compared with 42 percent on September 2 and 29 percent from the same time last year. By September 2, sugarbeet producers had harvested 6 percent of this year's crop, 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. With harvest well underway in Minnesota and North Dakota, more than three-quarters of the crop in both States was reported in good to excellent condition. Hail damage was reported in some fields in south-central Idaho early in the month. While sunny days coupled with cool nights aided overall crop quality, harvest in Michigan was continued on a limited basis throughout the month, as producers anticipated an October 22 start to open piling and long-term storage. Producers in south-central and eastern portions of Idaho began harvesting their crop mid-month, with progress advancing ahead of the normal pace. By September 30, producers Nationwide had harvested 19 percent of the sugarbeet crop, 8 percentage points ahead of last year and 4 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Crop Comments Corn: Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Total planted area, at 96.9 million acres, is up less than 1 percent from the previous estimate. Area harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 87.7 million acres, up less than 1 percent from the September forecast. As of September 30, only 25 percent of the corn acreage was rated in good to excellent condition in the 18 major producing States, compared with 22 percent rated in these two categories on September 2 and 52 percent from the same time last year. Fifty percent of the acreage was rated in very-poor to poor condition compared to only 20 percent rated in these two categories last year at this time. The October 1 corn objective yield data indicate the lowest number of ears per acre since 2005 for the combined 10 objective yield States (Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). Rapid phenological development of this year's corn crop continued through September. As of September 30, ninety-four percent of the corn acreage was rated mature or beyond, 20 percentage points ahead of the same time last year and 22 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Aided by mild, mostly dry weather in the Midwest, corn producers were harvesting the Nation's crop at one of the quickest paces on record. Fifty-four percent of the intended grain acreage was harvested by September 30, thirty-six percentage points ahead of last year and 34 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average pace. Sorghum: Production is forecast at 252 million bushels, up 2 percent from last month and up 18 percent from last year. Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Planted area, at 6.24 million acres, is up slightly from the previous estimate and up 14 percent from last year. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 5.02 million acres, down 2 percent from September 1 but up 28 percent from 2011. Based on October 1 conditions, yield is forecast at 50.2 bushels per acre, up 1.9 bushels from last month but down 4.4 bushels from last year. A record high yield is forecast in Louisiana, where farmers reported mostly favorable growing conditions. As of September 30, the sorghum crop had progressed to 56 percent mature, 6 percentage points ahead of last year but 1 percentage point behind the 5-year average. Harvest progress had reached 34 percent, 6 percentage points ahead of last year and 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty-four percent of the crop was rated in good to excellent condition, unchanged from last year. Rice: Production is forecast at 199 million cwt, up 1 percent from September and up 7 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.68 million acres, unchanged from September but 2 percent higher than 2011. Based on conditions as of October 1, the average United States yield is forecast at a record high 7,428 pounds per acre, up 94 pounds from September and up 361 pounds from last year. Record high yields are also forecast in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas. As of September 30, seventy-five percent of the United States acreage was harvested, 14 percentage points ahead of last year and 11 points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest progress was well ahead of last year in Arkansas, Mississippi, and Missouri, where 90 percent, 94 percent, and 84 percent of the crop had been harvested, respectively. By the end of September, harvest was nearly complete in Louisiana and Texas. Soybeans: Acreage updates were made in several States based on administrative data. Planted area, at 77.2 million acres, is up 1 percent from the previous estimate. Area for harvest is forecast at 75.7 million acres, up 1 percent from September and up 3 percent from 2011. If realized, harvested area will be the third largest on record. The October objective yield data for the combined 11 major soybean-producing States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, and South Dakota) indicate a lower pod count compared with last year, as hot, dry weather during bloom hampered development of the crop in many areas. Compared with final counts for 2011, pod counts are down in all States. The largest declines from 2011's final pod counts are expected in Illinois, Missouri, and Nebraska, all down more than 570 pods per 18 square feet. As of September 30, eighty-five percent of the soybean crop was dropping leaves or beyond, 14 percentage points ahead of last year's pace and 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Progress was equal to or ahead of normal in all major-producing States except Kansas, Kentucky, North Carolina, and Tennessee. The percent of acreage dropping leaves was more than 10 points ahead of normal in Arkansas, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Nebraska, and Wisconsin. Harvest progress, at 41 percent complete, was 26 percentage points ahead of last year's pace and 22 percentage points ahead of normal. Harvest progress was more than 50 percentage points ahead of normal in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota. As of September 30, thirty-five percent of the United States soybean crop was rated in good to excellent condition, 19 percentage points below the same week in 2011. Crop conditions improved during September in 14 of the 18 major soybean States. If realized, the forecasted yield in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, and Virginia will be a record high. Sunflower: The first production forecast for 2012 is 2.46 billion pounds, up 21 percent from 2011. Area planted, at 1.92 million acres, is up 6 percent from the June estimate and is up 24 percent from last year. Sunflower growers expect to harvest 1.82 million acres, up 5 percent from June and up 25 percent from the 2011 acreage. Despite the large increase from last year, harvested area for the Nation is expected to be the fourth lowest since 1989. The October yield forecast, at 1,354 pounds per acre, is 44 pounds lower than last year's yield. As of October 1, lower yields are expected in Colorado, Nebraska, and South Dakota compared with last year as the hot and dry conditions this summer lowered yield expectations. The forecasted production in North Dakota, the leading sunflower State in terms of planted area, is 1.25 billion pounds, up 63 percent from 2011 when wet spring conditions hampered planting. Development of the sunflower crop in North Dakota progressed ahead of normal and last year's pace throughout the year. As of September 30, fifty-five percent of the sunflower crop in North Dakota was rated as good to excellent, compared with 73 percent at the same time last year. As of September 30, harvest progress lagged behind normal in Colorado, but was ahead of last year's pace and the 5-year average in Kansas, North Dakota, and South Dakota. Peanuts: Production is forecast at 6.11 billion pounds, up 3 percent from the September forecast and up 67 percent from last year's revised production of 3.66 billion pounds. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.59 million acres, unchanged from September and 48 percent higher than 2011. Based on conditions as of September 1, the average yield for the United States is forecast at a record high 3,832 pounds per acre, up 118 pounds from September and up 446 pounds from last year. Record high yields are also expected in Florida and Georgia, and yields will tie record highs in North Carolina and Oklahoma, if realized. Harvest was underway in all States by the end of September. As of September 30, twenty-two percent of the United States acreage was harvested, 5 percentage points ahead of last year and 6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Crop condition improved slightly from last month, with 79 percent rated good to excellent as of September 30. Canola: The first production forecast for 2012 is 2.48 billion pounds, up 62 percent from 2011 and will be the largest production on record, if realized. Area planted, at a record high 1.77 million acres, is up 9 percent from the June estimate and up 65 percent from last year. Canola farmers expect to harvest a record high 1.74 million acres, up 9 percent from June and up 67 percent from 2011. The October yield forecast, at 1,430 pounds per acre, is 45 pounds below last year's yield. The yield in North Dakota, the largest canola-producing State, is forecast at 1,420 pounds per acre, down 80 pounds from last year's yield. Planted area in North Dakota is estimated at a record high 1.46 million acres, an increase of 70 percent from 2011. An unusually warm and dry spring this year prompted an early start to planting and rapid crop development. Maturation of the crop remained ahead of normal throughout the growing season and harvest began early. By September 9, ninety-eight percent of the crop in North Dakota was harvested, more than 30 percentage points ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area is expected to total 10.2 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 11 percent from 2011. Pima harvested area, at 237,400 acres, was carried forward from last month. As of September 30, forty-two percent of the cotton acreage was rated in good to excellent condition compared with 29 percent this time last year. Seventy-eight percent of the crop had bolls opening by September 30, three percentage point behind last year but 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Fourteen percent of the crop had been harvested by September 30, one percentage point behind both last year and the 5-year average. Wet conditions delayed fieldwork in parts of the Delta and Southeast during much of September. However, by the end of the month, drier conditions allowed fieldwork to gain momentum. Record high yields are forecast in Arizona, Florida, and Georgia. In Texas, objective yield data forecasted boll weights to be higher than last year but below the 10-year average. Ginnings totaled 1,557,950 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 1,733,600 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year. Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures: Production is forecast at 55.6 million tons, up 1 percent from August but down 15 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the lowest production level since 1953. Based on October 1 conditions, yield is expected to average 2.95 tons per acre, up 0.03 ton from August but down 0.45 ton from last year. If realized, this will be the lowest United States yield since 1988. Harvested area is forecast at 18.8 million acres, down 2 percent from 2011. Monsoonal moisture in the Southwest led to expected increases in alfalfa hay yield throughout the region. Similarly, increased rainfall in the eastern Corn Belt allowed producers to harvest additional cuttings from what was anticipated in August. Conversely, above average temperatures and limited rainfall continued to plague much of the Northern Tier, western Corn Belt, and central Great Plains during September, causing further depletion of soil moisture levels. Forecasted alfalfa hay yields throughout most of these regions declined compared both to August and last year. Some of the largest expected yield declines were evident in the Great Plains and Corn Belt, where temperatures have remained warmer than normal and precipitation totals have been less than 50 percent of normal since July. Other hay: Production of other hay is forecast at 66.4 million tons, up 1 percent from both the August forecast and last year. If realized, this will be the second lowest production level since 1990. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 1.71 tons per acre, up 0.02 ton from August but down 0.1 ton from last year. If realized, this will be the lowest United States yield since 1988. Harvested area is forecast at 38.8 million acres, up 6 percent from last year. Beneficial rainfall during September boosted growth in many grass hay fields and pastures throughout much of the eastern half of the United States which led to expected increases in forecasted other hay yields when compared with both August and 2011. Conversely, scarce August and September precipitation intensified prolonged drought conditions across much of the Northern Tier and in the Rocky Mountains prompting even larger declines in yield potential for other hay this season when compared with last year. Dry beans: United States dry edible bean production is forecast at 31.0 million cwt for 2012, up 56 percent from last year. Planted area is forecast at 1.73 million acres, up 44 percent from 2011. Harvested area is forecast at 1.69 million acres, 46 percent above the previous year. The average United States yield is forecast at 1,836 pounds per acre, an increase of 120 pounds from 2011. If realized, yield will be at a record level exceeding the previous high of 1,768 pounds set in 2008. In North Dakota, crop development began and remained ahead of last year and the 5-year average. As of September 30, ninety-five percent of the crop was harvested, about a month ahead of the five-year average. Throughout August and September, dry edible bean condition was rated mostly fair to good. Tobacco: United States all tobacco production for 2012 is forecast at 780 million pounds, up 30 percent from 2011. Area harvested is forecast at 338,080 acres, 4 percent above last year. Average yield for 2012 is forecast at 2,308 pounds per acre, 467 pounds above 2011. Flue-cured tobacco production is expected to total 495 million pounds, 44 percent above last year. North Carolina production levels rebounded from last year's hurricane damaged crop. Burley production is expected to total 202 million pounds, up 17 percent from last year. Kentucky growers reported that rain during August and September aided the crop after a very dry July. Sugarbeets: Production of sugarbeets for the 2012 crop year is forecast at 35.6 million tons, up 23 percent from last year. Producers expect to harvest 1.22 million acres, up slightly from the previous forecast. Expected yield is forecast at 29.3 tons per acre, unchanged from the previous month but 5.5 tons higher than last year. If realized, this will be a record yield for the United States. Most of the growing region experienced dry growing conditions during September. However, early planting, hot temperatures, and adequate irrigation boosted the crop's potential. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2012 is forecast at 31.3 million tons, up 1 percent from the September 1 forecast and up 6 percent from 2011. Producers intend to harvest 898,000 acres for sugar and seed during the 2012 crop year, up 5,000 acres from the previous forecast. Expected yield for sugar and seed is forecast at 34.8 tons per acre, up 0.1 ton from the September 1 forecast. The sugarcane crop in Florida and Louisiana benefitted from adequate rainfall during September. In Louisiana, harvest was slowed due to some lodging of the crop caused by Hurricane Isaac. Grapefruit: The 2012-2013 United States grapefruit crop is forecast at 1.23 million tons, up 5 percent from last season's final utilization. In Florida, fruit per tree is forecast to be significantly higher than the previous season. Projected droppage in Florida is expected to be above average for both white and colored grapefruit, while average size of grapefruit is projected to be smaller than average for both types. Lemons: The forecast for the 2012-2013 United States lemon crop is 888,000 tons, up 4 percent from the previous season's final utilization. Arizona's lemon crop is forecast to be up 127 percent from last season after groves rebound from a major freeze last year. Lemon harvest continued in southern California. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast is 1.20 million boxes (54,000 tons), up 4 percent from last season's final utilization. The forecasted fruit per tree is up from last year. Fruit size is projected to be below average with above average droppage. Tangerines and mandarins: The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is forecast at 689,000 tons, up 6 percent from the 2011-2012 crop. In California, younger trees are transitioning to bearing age, which accounts for much of the increase in mandarin production in the State. In Florida, fruit per tree is forecast to be higher than last season in the Fallglo and Sunburst varieties, but lower in the Honey variety. Fruit size is projected to be smaller than average in the Fallglo variety, but average in the Sunburst and Honey varieties. Droppage is projected to be below average for the Fallglo variety and above average for the Sunburst and Honey varieties. Florida citrus: In the citrus growing areas, weather stations reported high temperatures for the month ranging from the upper 80s to the low 90s. Rainfall was moderate across the citrus producing region for most of the month, ranging from three to four inches in some areas to none at all in others. The citrus growing region remained drought free this month. Harvest of Fallglo tangerines began. Application of fall miticide and herbicide, young tree care, harvest preparations for Navels and grapefruit, and general grove maintenance were the primary grove activities. California citrus: Planting continued in new citrus groves. Valencia oranges were picked, packed, and also sorted for color due to re-greening with some oversized fruit being juiced. Tangerines continued to size and color. Lemons were picked and packed. California noncitrus fruits and nuts: The hot and dry weather provided excellent harvest conditions for most of the fruit crops. Orchards and vineyards continued to be irrigated. Peach, nectarine, and fresh plum harvests were winding down. Cling peach harvest was complete. Pruning, topping, and general orchard cleanup were the primary activities in stone fruit orchards that had completed harvest. Prune harvest was complete in the San Joaquin Valley with excellent yields reported. Prune harvest was nearly complete in the Sacramento Valley. Harvest of late variety table grapes, Autumn Royal, Crimson Seedless, Red Flame, Red Globe, and Thompson Seedless continued. Raisin grapes were being dried, with some being dried on the vine. Raisins that had finished drying were collected and processed. Weather conditions were good for drying. White wine grape harvest was in full swing across the State with red wine grape harvest picking up. Persimmons continued to size and color. Pomegranate harvest was underway in the San Joaquin Valley, while harvest in the Sacramento Valley was expected to begin soon. Gala, Fuji, and Granny Smith apple as well as Bartlett, Bosc, and Asian pear harvests continued. Fig harvest was ongoing. Kiwi harvest was expected to begin soon. Olive fruit continued to mature with harvest getting underway in Tulare County. Almond harvest continued. Walnut harvest was underway. Pistachio harvest was in full swing. Pecans were developing well. Pecans: Production is forecast at 309 million pounds (utilized, in-shell basis), up 14 percent from 2011. Improved varieties are expected to produce 253 million pounds or 82 percent of the total. The native and seedling varieties are expected to produce 55.9 million pounds, making up the remaining 18 percent of production. In Georgia, despite the "off" year in the alternate bearing cycle for pecans, the crop is expected to be good due to favorable weather conditions. In New Mexico, increased production is expected due to mild conditions and reports of more orchards coming into production. In Texas, producers reported an increase for the 2012 crop as growing conditions improved from the previous year. Statistical Methodology Field crop survey procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between September 24 and October 5 to gather information on expected yield as of October 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the United States production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant counts are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal interviewers. Approximately 14,400 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields. Orange survey procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the October 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which produced about 73 percent of the United States production last season. In August and September 2012, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In August and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. California and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Field crop estimating procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecasts. Orange estimating procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in California and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These three States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecast. Revision policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in the September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when special survey data, administrative data, such as Farm Service Agency program "sign up" data, or remote sensing data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 3.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 5.5 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 206 million bushels, ranging from 3 million bushels to 624 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts [Based on data for the past twenty years] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : : : Difference between forecast : : : and final estimate : : :---------------------------------------- : :90 percent : Production : Years Crop : Root mean :confidence :---------------------------------------- :square error: interval : : : : Below : Above : : :Average:Smallest:Largest: final : final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ---- percent --- ------ millions ----- number : Corn for grain ........bushels: 3.2 5.5 206 3 624 9 11 Dry edible beans ..........cwt: 3.4 5.9 1 (Z) 3 15 5 Oranges 1/ ...............tons: 6.4 11.1 449 2 1,676 7 13 Oranges 1/ 2/ ..........tons: 3.4 5.9 298 2 917 7 10 Rice ......................cwt: 2.7 4.7 4 (Z) 13 10 10 Sorghum for grain .....bushels: 6.6 11.4 20 (Z) 105 9 11 Soybeans for beans ....bushels: 2.1 3.6 48 8 109 11 9 Upland cotton 1/ ........bales: 5.0 8.7 786 145 1,675 12 8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Z) Less than half of the unit shown. 1/ Quantity is in thousands of units. 2/ Excluding freeze and hurricane seasons. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch............................................. (202) 720-2127 Jacqueline Moore, Head, Field Crops Section.................................. (202) 720-2127 Suzanne Avilla - Peanuts, Rice.......................................... (202) 720-7688 Jacqueline Moore - Oats, Rye, Wheat..................................... (202) 720-2127 Steve Maliszewski - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum.................... (202) 720-5944 Anthony Prillaman - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet........................ (202) 720-9526 Julie Schmidt - Crop Weather, Barley, Hay............................... (202) 720-7621 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds.................... (202) 720-7369 Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section...... (202) 720-2127 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries.. (202) 720-2157 Fred Granja - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco ....... (202) 720-4288 Chris Hawthorn - Citrus, Coffee, Grapes, Sugar Crops, Tropical Fruits... (202) 720-5412 Dave Losh - Hops........................................................ (360) 709-2400 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans .......... (202) 720-3250 Daphne Schauber - Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes ....... (202) 720-4285 Erika White - Floriculture, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts ............ (202) 720-4215 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the "Follow NASS" box under "Receive reports by Email," click on "National" or "State" to select the reports you would like to receive. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. 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