We 1 (7-03) Crop Progress National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 28, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Progress" call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. ET. Note: These data are preliminary and will be released after 4:00 p.m. each Monday, except for holidays. See tomorrow's Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin for final progress and condition estimates. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 62 22 43 52 IL : 84 65 82 88 IN : 61 35 61 83 IA : 67 32 83 80 KS : 91 71 85 92 KY : 75 68 83 88 MI : 27 3 48 58 MN : 87 44 88 82 MO : 90 81 87 89 NE : 78 41 77 81 NC : 91 86 95 93 ND : 66 28 70 67 OH : 65 28 45 68 PA : 32 3 50 57 SD : 29 6 48 47 TN : 95 92 100 96 TX : 95 86 96 92 WI : 34 13 38 53 : 18 Sts: 70 42 73 78 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 3 1 3 4 IL : 15 7 18 27 IN : 8 2 6 18 IA : 0 0 6 5 KS : 26 12 29 33 KY : 26 18 33 36 MI : 0 0 0 0 MN : 0 0 0 0 MO : 41 26 44 45 NE : 7 1 21 12 NC : 37 20 71 67 ND : 3 0 3 4 OH : 2 0 1 10 PA : 1 0 10 16 SD : 0 0 3 6 TN : 65 50 71 61 TX : 72 65 73 72 WI : 0 0 0 5 : 18 Sts: 10 6 14 16 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 57 40 63 60 IL : 71 47 72 81 IN : 56 36 55 79 IA : 81 *61 92 87 KS : 64 51 65 72 KY : 33 22 42 55 LA : 73 66 74 88 MI : 62 45 69 67 MN : 87 61 88 84 MS : 90 87 92 94 MO : 52 37 51 59 NE : 74 49 86 80 NC : 18 6 29 32 ND : 84 59 94 83 OH : 68 49 62 78 SD : 80 60 82 74 TN : 36 25 62 54 WI : 54 28 68 60 : 18 Sts: 69 49 73 76 -------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 98 93 98 97 AZ : 90 84 100 100 AR : 99 97 100 100 CA : 95 85 90 86 GA : 96 92 99 97 LA : 100 97 100 100 MS : 96 93 100 100 MO : 94 92 94 99 NC : 95 87 99 92 OK : 88 85 89 84 SC : 85 82 95 94 TN : 96 92 100 100 TX : 80 73 87 91 VA : 75 56 100 98 : 14 Sts: 89 83 93 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 31 19 37 28 IL : 15 8 23 36 IN : 14 5 15 33 IA : 29 13 51 48 KS : 23 11 28 33 KY : 10 4 19 29 LA : 60 49 55 67 MI : 11 2 22 28 MN : 23 7 34 27 MS : 78 70 70 76 MO : 14 7 20 24 NE : 12 3 37 28 NC : 0 0 7 11 ND : 41 10 56 45 OH : 18 6 12 29 SD : 23 8 36 31 TN : 15 10 39 29 WI : 8 0 16 21 : 18 Sts: 21 10 31 34 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 57 44 74 76 AZ : 74 65 93 90 AR : 88 64 87 93 CA : 50 29 52 47 GA : 74 62 87 81 LA : 94 80 96 95 MS : 77 70 94 96 MO : 63 36 64 88 NC : 60 28 77 68 OK : 41 18 44 46 SC : 29 24 52 52 TN : 44 30 72 82 TX : 37 27 58 62 VA : 12 0 82 63 : 14 Sts: 54 40 70 72 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 100 94 99 96 MN : 99 99 98 98 MT : 97 96 93 96 ND : 97 88 96 94 SD : 100 100 100 100 WA : 100 100 100 100 : 6 Sts : 98 93 96 96 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 100 93 99 96 MN : 99 99 98 98 MT : 98 92 89 96 ND : 98 92 96 95 WA : 100 100 100 100 : 5 Sts : 99 93 95 96 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 81% of last year's barley acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 38 19 38 36 CA : 10 1 14 8 LA : 79 71 87 85 MS : 68 43 50 47 MO : 30 24 17 12 TX : 90 79 95 90 : 6 Sts : 45 31 46 42 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CA : 95 93 96 97 CO : 98 85 100 96 ID : 18 5 5 9 IL : 98 97 100 100 IN : 97 88 100 100 KS : 100 100 100 100 MI : 50 10 90 93 MO : 100 100 100 100 MT : 43 5 5 21 NE : 95 84 98 94 NC : 100 97 100 100 OH : 97 82 100 100 OK : 100 100 100 100 OR : 50 35 48 31 SD : 82 51 93 70 TX : 100 98 100 100 WA : 19 10 15 17 : 18 Sts: 88 81 87 87 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 90% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 53 15 80 67 MN : 13 0 20 18 NE : 79 47 90 76 ND : 2 0 4 3 OH : 15 9 33 45 PA : 4 2 40 32 SD : 36 10 57 34 WI : 13 3 18 21 : 8 Sts : 20 6 32 28 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 63% of last year's oat acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 94 87 84 85 CO : 15 7 12 11 IL : 19 12 23 39 KS : 21 15 34 36 LA : 97 94 92 93 MO : 42 29 39 51 NE : 12 3 28 24 NM : 4 2 17 12 OK : 30 14 48 31 SD : 37 24 28 26 TX : 53 51 68 68 : 11 Sts: 36 30 47 47 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 87 72 85 78 FL : 90 85 90 85 GA : 88 76 94 92 NC : 85 74 97 90 OK : 96 94 90 88 TX : 80 77 81 79 VA : 50 30 74 82 : 7 Sts : 85 75 89 86 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States planted 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1998- State:Jul 27,:Jul 20,:Jul 27,: 2002 : 2003 : 2003 : 2002 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 52 38 43 35 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 0 0 8 5 KS : 2 0 3 3 LA : 63 45 56 53 MO : 6 1 3 6 NE : 0 0 0 0 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 7 3 10 8 SD : 9 5 13 6 TX : 47 45 49 51 : 11 Sts: 20 18 21 21 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 3 6 16 49 26 IL : 1 4 15 51 29 IN : 5 13 27 42 13 IA : 1 3 14 54 28 KS : 10 21 33 27 9 KY : 2 9 22 42 25 MI : 1 5 23 54 17 MN : 1 3 18 58 20 MO : 7 17 31 38 7 NE : 3 8 28 42 19 NC : 2 6 18 49 25 ND : 3 6 18 58 15 OH : 3 9 29 45 14 PA : 3 6 24 38 29 SD : 2 3 16 56 23 TN : 2 7 17 54 20 TX : 14 16 28 36 6 WI : 2 4 22 50 22 : 18 Sts : 3 7 21 48 21 : Prev Wk : 2 6 20 50 22 Prev Yr : 10 17 31 35 7 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 4 24 49 23 AZ : 0 3 23 38 36 AR : 1 6 32 49 12 CA : 0 0 20 75 5 GA : 1 3 20 53 23 LA : 1 4 29 48 18 MS : 2 6 17 50 25 MO : 3 19 35 39 4 NC : 3 5 27 60 5 OK : 4 17 40 34 5 SC : 0 3 25 68 4 TN : 1 6 28 58 7 TX : 8 18 40 28 6 VA : 0 8 34 41 17 : 14 Sts : 4 10 31 44 11 : Prev Wk : 4 10 31 44 11 Prev Yr : 4 9 32 42 13 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 10 31 42 14 IL : 1 4 20 53 22 IN : 5 12 32 42 9 IA : 1 3 15 56 25 KS : 2 9 43 41 5 KY : 1 5 22 53 19 LA : 5 17 36 38 4 MI : 1 6 24 54 15 MN : 1 4 20 58 17 MS : 0 4 18 49 29 MO : 6 17 37 35 5 NE : 3 9 34 45 9 NC : 1 5 24 63 7 ND : 2 6 16 59 17 OH : 3 10 31 45 11 SD : 1 1 19 53 26 TN : 1 4 23 55 17 WI : 1 3 18 57 21 : 18 Sts : 2 7 25 50 16 : Prev Wk : 2 6 24 51 17 Prev Yr : 7 15 33 38 7 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 24 52 19 CO : 7 14 34 40 5 IL : 0 5 63 27 5 KS : 5 20 44 29 2 LA : 0 2 27 63 8 MO : 2 11 49 34 4 NE : 4 11 45 38 2 NM : 0 32 57 11 0 OK : 0 4 49 46 1 SD : 5 16 28 44 7 TX : 5 16 32 40 7 : 11 Sts : 4 16 40 36 4 : Prev Wk : 3 10 38 43 6 Prev Yr : 13 25 38 21 3 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 10 26 43 21 MN : 0 3 18 59 20 MT : 8 24 37 29 2 ND : 2 6 20 54 18 SD : 2 5 32 42 19 WA : 7 25 43 25 0 : 6 Sts : 3 11 26 46 14 : Prev Wk : 2 7 24 51 16 Prev Yr : 11 16 37 31 5 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 2 10 23 48 17 MN : 0 2 13 61 24 MT : 12 22 30 30 6 ND : 1 4 15 61 19 WA : 5 27 51 17 0 : 5 Sts : 5 12 24 46 13 : Prev Wk : 2 9 22 49 18 Prev Yr : 5 11 34 44 6 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 3 12 57 28 MN : 1 2 17 67 13 NE : 1 3 20 57 19 ND : 2 10 26 52 10 OH : 4 8 35 47 6 PA : 0 10 47 38 5 SD : 1 6 31 49 13 WI : 1 3 29 53 14 : 8 Sts : 1 6 25 54 14 : Prev Wk : 1 5 22 57 15 Prev Yr : 15 17 29 34 5 -------------------------------------- Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 4 25 49 21 CA : 0 10 50 35 5 LA : 0 0 25 58 17 MS : 0 2 13 58 27 MO : 2 6 17 45 30 TX : 2 4 12 65 17 : 6 Sts : 1 4 27 50 18 : Prev Wk : 1 4 27 49 19 Prev Yr : 1 4 30 52 13 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 0 2 10 60 28 FL : 0 0 1 69 30 GA : 0 2 19 58 21 NC : 2 5 15 69 9 OK : 0 5 33 50 12 TX : 0 3 18 57 22 VA : 0 0 25 67 8 : 7 Sts : 0 2 17 60 21 : Prev Wk : 7 2 16 57 18 Prev Yr : 1 5 28 51 15 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 0 1 14 56 29 :: NJ : 0 3 47 44 6 AZ : 33 21 26 19 1 :: NM : 47 27 18 8 0 AR : 1 6 31 55 7 :: NY : 0 4 23 50 23 CA : 10 35 45 10 0 :: NC : 0 2 14 67 17 CO : 17 28 33 20 2 :: ND : 3 18 32 40 7 CT : 0 2 25 59 14 :: OH : 1 4 22 59 14 DE : 0 3 25 50 22 :: OK : 3 17 43 32 5 FL : 0 0 10 75 15 :: OR : 9 15 45 28 3 GA : 0 1 15 61 23 :: PA : 3 9 29 49 10 ID : 3 19 46 25 7 :: RI : 0 0 16 78 6 IL : 0 7 24 57 12 :: SC : 0 0 10 80 10 IN : 1 6 21 60 12 :: SD : 4 13 36 41 6 IA : 3 13 29 47 8 :: TN : 0 2 17 64 17 KS : 17 33 35 13 2 :: TX : 8 16 37 30 9 KY : 1 3 21 58 17 :: UT : 10 20 31 37 2 LA : 0 4 39 46 11 :: VT : 0 15 35 41 9 ME : 1 14 26 28 31 :: VA : 0 2 16 53 29 MD : 0 5 27 49 19 :: WA : 6 17 63 14 0 MA : 0 11 37 52 0 :: WV : 0 2 20 55 23 MI : 3 14 37 40 6 :: WI : 2 9 37 46 6 MN : 2 6 27 57 8 :: WY : 6 14 46 33 1 MS : 0 2 16 61 21 :: : MO : 11 26 37 24 2 :: 48 Sts : 7 15 32 38 8 MT : 18 24 36 20 2 :: : NE : 11 22 36 29 2 :: Prev Wk: 4 14 32 41 9 NV : 7 30 35 23 5 :: Prev Yr: 19 24 29 24 4 NH : 0 3 35 54 8 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2002 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the "Crop Progress" report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" National Summary that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are then subject to revision the following week. The next "Crop Progress" report will be released after 4 p.m. ET on August 4, 2003. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. 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