Crop Progress ISSN: 1948-3007 Released October 15, 2012, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Cotton Bolls Opening - Selected States [These 15 States planted 99% of the 2011 cotton acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Alabama ........: 86 87 95 88 Arizona ........: 99 98 99 98 Arkansas .......: 98 99 100 97 California .....: 90 83 93 88 Georgia ........: 95 88 93 92 Kansas .........: 78 84 93 75 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 100 Mississippi ....: 100 97 99 98 Missouri .......: 100 97 100 95 North Carolina .: 99 85 90 97 Oklahoma .......: 76 79 89 91 South Carolina .: 92 80 87 93 Tennessee ......: 97 97 99 97 Texas ..........: 92 81 88 82 Virginia .......: 95 95 99 94 : 15 States ......: 93 85 91 88 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Cotton Harvested - Selected States [These 15 States harvested 98% of the 2011 cotton acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Alabama ........: 24 6 17 30 Arizona ........: 24 21 22 26 Arkansas .......: 47 50 65 48 California .....: 8 - 10 11 Georgia ........: 25 12 17 19 Kansas .........: 4 4 6 2 Louisiana ......: 92 68 78 68 Mississippi ....: 67 33 50 55 Missouri .......: 50 38 47 51 North Carolina .: 28 4 8 25 Oklahoma .......: 1 7 15 10 South Carolina .: 31 6 12 27 Tennessee ......: 42 37 49 46 Texas ..........: 29 19 24 23 Virginia .......: 27 3 14 30 : 15 States ......: 34 21 28 30 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Represents zero. Cotton Condition - Selected States: Week Ending October 14, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : Alabama ........: 1 3 28 59 9 Arizona ........: - 1 22 65 12 Arkansas .......: 3 6 19 45 27 California .....: - - 5 15 80 Georgia ........: 3 8 32 41 16 Kansas .........: 11 25 42 19 3 Louisiana ......: - 2 18 65 15 Mississippi ....: 1 5 22 46 26 Missouri .......: 10 24 35 29 2 North Carolina .: - 1 33 51 15 Oklahoma .......: 30 47 14 9 - South Carolina .: - 2 20 65 13 Tennessee ......: 1 3 25 59 12 Texas ..........: 20 27 31 18 4 Virginia .......: - - 10 71 19 : 15 States ......: 12 18 28 31 11 : Previous week ..: 12 19 27 31 11 Previous year ..: 22 19 29 25 5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. Corn Harvested - Selected States [These 18 States harvested 94% of the 2011 corn acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Colorado .......: 21 36 50 34 Illinois .......: 60 80 87 53 Indiana ........: 27 49 61 43 Iowa ...........: 40 76 87 30 Kansas .........: 72 82 90 66 Kentucky .......: 77 87 91 80 Michigan .......: 12 23 36 22 Minnesota ......: 40 78 90 27 Missouri .......: 84 92 95 66 Nebraska .......: 27 67 80 26 North Carolina .: 93 88 92 92 North Dakota ...: 25 63 84 14 Ohio ...........: 7 22 31 24 Pennsylvania ...: 21 32 41 34 South Dakota ...: 32 78 90 22 Tennessee ......: 90 95 97 88 Texas ..........: 86 82 88 84 Wisconsin ......: 18 36 54 20 : 18 States ......: 42 69 79 38 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Soybeans Dropping Leaves - Selected States [These 18 States planted 95% of the 2011 soybean acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 78 85 92 79 Illinois .......: 97 97 98 95 Indiana ........: 93 94 96 96 Iowa ...........: 98 98 99 98 Kansas .........: 88 79 90 90 Kentucky .......: 88 82 89 93 Louisiana ......: 97 93 96 97 Michigan .......: 94 97 98 97 Minnesota ......: 100 100 100 100 Mississippi ....: 98 96 99 95 Missouri .......: 88 77 86 84 Nebraska .......: 99 96 99 99 North Carolina .: 55 49 67 62 North Dakota ...: 100 100 100 100 Ohio ...........: 88 100 100 97 South Dakota ...: 100 100 100 100 Tennessee ......: 87 82 91 92 Wisconsin ......: 98 98 99 98 : 18 States ......: 94 93 96 95 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Soybeans Harvested - Selected States [These 18 States harvested 96% of the 2011 soybean acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 45 53 64 44 Illinois .......: 66 47 69 60 Indiana ........: 47 30 51 57 Iowa ...........: 82 80 93 69 Kansas .........: 54 23 40 48 Kentucky .......: 35 34 42 42 Louisiana ......: 91 81 87 83 Michigan .......: 42 46 67 47 Minnesota ......: 92 95 99 73 Mississippi ....: 81 81 91 78 Missouri .......: 49 20 36 37 Nebraska .......: 78 71 86 65 North Carolina .: 9 5 7 9 North Dakota ...: 84 93 98 64 Ohio ...........: 17 23 38 49 South Dakota ...: 84 94 98 62 Tennessee ......: 38 24 33 44 Wisconsin ......: 52 75 88 46 : 18 States ......: 64 58 71 58 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sorghum Coloring - Selected States [These 11 States planted 98% of the 2011 sorghum acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 100 100 100 100 Colorado .......: 97 100 100 99 Illinois .......: 99 99 100 99 Kansas .........: 94 92 96 97 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 100 Missouri .......: 100 94 96 98 Nebraska .......: 100 100 100 99 New Mexico .....: 81 56 72 90 Oklahoma .......: 85 91 93 91 South Dakota ...: 100 100 100 100 Texas ..........: 93 94 97 94 : 11 States ......: 94 93 96 96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sorghum Mature - Selected States [These 11 States planted 98% of the 2011 sorghum acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 100 100 100 100 Colorado .......: 70 53 70 83 Illinois .......: 98 94 94 88 Kansas .........: 64 55 67 73 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 100 Missouri .......: 92 68 74 84 Nebraska .......: 89 84 94 81 New Mexico .....: 25 8 25 35 Oklahoma .......: 58 69 77 59 South Dakota ...: 93 100 100 91 Texas ..........: 80 77 87 84 : 11 States ......: 71 65 76 77 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sorghum Harvested - Selected States [These 11 States harvested 98% of the 2011 sorghum acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 98 100 100 96 Colorado .......: 8 16 18 23 Illinois .......: 58 38 57 50 Kansas .........: 22 19 24 27 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 100 Missouri .......: 57 38 45 48 Nebraska .......: 19 31 45 16 New Mexico .....: - - 1 7 Oklahoma .......: 31 49 55 32 South Dakota ...: 56 64 74 46 Texas ..........: 72 63 64 75 : 11 States ......: 42 39 43 46 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Represents zero. Sorghum Condition - Selected States: Week Ending October 14, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : Arkansas .......: 6 15 27 41 11 Colorado .......: 55 35 7 3 - Illinois .......: 44 21 23 10 2 Kansas .........: 35 32 24 8 1 Louisiana ......: - 1 28 61 10 Missouri .......: 20 36 33 11 - Nebraska .......: 12 42 35 10 1 New Mexico .....: 33 30 33 3 1 Oklahoma .......: 33 26 31 10 - South Dakota ...: 24 25 36 14 1 Texas ..........: 8 14 26 36 16 : 11 States ......: 25 26 25 18 6 : Previous week ..: 25 26 25 18 6 Previous year ..: 22 25 29 19 5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. Peanuts Harvested - Selected States [These 8 States harvested 98% of the 2011 peanut acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Alabama ........: 36 18 34 32 Florida ........: 66 56 70 61 Georgia ........: 44 35 50 38 North Carolina .: 27 27 41 38 Oklahoma .......: 2 13 23 21 South Carolina .: 42 44 60 53 Texas ..........: 50 17 34 36 Virginia .......: 18 11 19 35 : 8 States .......: 44 33 48 41 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Peanut Condition - Selected States: Week Ending October 14, 2012 [National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2011 planted acreage] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : Alabama ........: - - 12 75 13 Florida ........: 1 2 21 44 32 Georgia ........: - 3 16 53 28 North Carolina .: - - 16 61 23 Oklahoma .......: 4 5 26 60 5 South Carolina .: - 3 24 62 11 Texas ..........: 3 11 35 46 5 Virginia .......: - - 11 70 19 : 8 States .......: 1 3 19 55 22 : Previous week ..: 1 3 17 58 21 Previous year ..: 8 15 37 32 8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. Sugarbeets Harvested - Selected States [These 4 States harvested 84% of the 2011 sugarbeet acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Idaho ..........: 21 27 46 25 Michigan .......: 18 21 25 22 Minnesota ......: 43 41 74 62 North Dakota ...: 49 37 68 67 : 4 States .......: 37 35 61 51 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sunflowers Harvested - Selected States [These 4 States harvested 87% of the 2011 sunflower acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Colorado .......: 36 16 35 45 Kansas .........: 26 17 29 19 North Dakota ...: 10 33 61 11 South Dakota ...: 27 26 46 17 : 4 States .......: 20 27 50 17 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rice Harvested - Selected States [These 6 States harvested 100% of the 2011 rice acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 85 95 98 84 California .....: 27 18 38 52 Louisiana ......: 100 100 100 99 Mississippi ....: 96 96 98 87 Missouri .......: 79 92 94 82 Texas ..........: 100 99 100 100 : 6 States .......: 76 79 85 80 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Winter Wheat Planted - Selected States [These 18 States planted 88% of the 2010 winter wheat acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 16 11 25 15 California .....: 22 7 8 16 Colorado .......: 98 80 92 96 Idaho ..........: 85 64 79 84 Illinois .......: 57 30 46 48 Indiana ........: 44 18 47 49 Kansas .........: 80 65 81 76 Michigan .......: 59 49 76 64 Missouri .......: 33 23 41 30 Montana ........: 83 65 74 89 Nebraska .......: 94 81 95 95 North Carolina .: 7 6 9 7 Ohio ...........: 26 19 41 58 Oklahoma .......: 58 59 75 69 Oregon .........: 59 37 51 66 South Dakota ...: 90 67 77 91 Texas ..........: 49 55 67 65 Washington .....: 91 75 85 90 : 18 States ......: 68 57 71 71 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Winter Wheat Emerged - Selected States [These 18 States planted 88% of the 2010 winter wheat acreage] ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Week ending : :-----------------------------------------: State : October 14, : October 7, : October 14, : 2007-2011 : 2011 : 2012 : 2012 : Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------ : percent : Arkansas .......: 5 2 8 5 California .....: 9 - - 3 Colorado .......: 71 36 51 72 Idaho ..........: 42 20 33 41 Illinois .......: 16 4 11 14 Indiana ........: 11 2 9 14 Kansas .........: 50 25 44 46 Michigan .......: 17 15 25 27 Missouri .......: 9 7 19 11 Montana ........: 44 14 25 53 Nebraska .......: 82 31 47 77 North Carolina .: 1 - 1 1 Ohio ...........: 4 2 7 20 Oklahoma .......: 27 29 42 43 Oregon .........: 24 17 24 30 South Dakota ...: 65 8 11 67 Texas ..........: 16 26 43 37 Washington .....: 76 59 63 69 : 18 States ......: 39 23 36 44 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Represents zero. Pasture and Range Condition - Selected States: Week Ending October 14, 2012 [National pasture and range conditions for selected States are weighted based on pasture acreage and/or livestock inventories] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Very poor : Poor : Fair : Good : Excellent ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent : Alabama ........: 3 7 29 56 5 Arizona ........: 21 18 39 20 2 Arkansas .......: 11 20 47 20 2 California .....: 37 58 5 - - Colorado .......: 59 24 15 2 - Connecticut ....: - - 35 65 - Delaware .......: 3 22 45 28 2 Florida ........: - 3 22 59 16 Georgia ........: 2 12 44 39 3 Idaho ..........: 21 35 25 19 - Illinois .......: 15 14 37 30 4 Indiana ........: 13 24 37 23 3 Iowa ...........: 50 28 19 3 - Kansas .........: 51 29 17 3 - Kentucky .......: 4 13 41 35 7 Louisiana ......: 1 5 43 44 7 Maine ..........: - 4 27 69 - Maryland .......: 4 11 27 50 8 Massachusetts ..: - - 54 46 - Michigan .......: 16 26 31 19 8 Minnesota ......: 34 29 25 11 1 Mississippi ....: - 7 38 51 4 Missouri .......: 41 22 28 8 1 Montana ........: 45 33 18 4 - Nebraska .......: 73 24 3 - - Nevada .........: 58 27 10 5 - New Hampshire ..: 3 3 49 34 11 New Jersey .....: - 5 20 65 10 New Mexico .....: 67 24 9 - - New York .......: 6 30 33 25 6 North Carolina .: - 5 29 59 7 North Dakota ...: 27 38 28 7 - Ohio ...........: 16 23 34 24 3 Oklahoma .......: 31 39 24 6 - Oregon .........: 23 40 22 15 - Pennsylvania ...: 5 26 26 35 8 Rhode Island ...: - - 60 40 - South Carolina .: - 4 28 64 4 South Dakota ...: 51 29 17 3 - Tennessee ......: 1 7 32 53 7 Texas ..........: 18 24 34 21 3 Utah ...........: 16 34 29 20 1 Vermont ........: - 35 60 5 - Virginia .......: 1 9 28 53 9 Washington .....: 15 31 29 24 1 West Virginia ..: - 10 40 43 7 Wisconsin ......: 45 33 18 4 - Wyoming ........: 60 26 11 3 - : 48 States ......: 29 26 25 18 2 : Previous week ..: 30 26 24 18 2 Previous year ..: 23 18 28 27 4 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. Crop Progress and Condition Tables Expected Next Week Corn: Harvested Cotton: Bolls Opening, Harvested, Condition Pasture and Range: Condition Peanuts: Harvested, Condition Rice: Harvested Sorghum: Mature, Harvested, Condition Soybeans: Harvested Sugarbeets: Harvested Sunflowers: Harvested Winter Wheat: Planted, Emerged Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data collected each week from early April through the end of November. The non-probability crop progress and condition surveys include input from approximately 4,000 respondents whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these respondents subjectively estimate the progress of crops through various stages of development, as well as the progress of producer activities. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most respondents complete their questionnaires on Friday or early Monday morning and submit them to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Field Offices in their States by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of when questionnaires are completed, respondents are asked to report for the entire week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced by projections for weekend changes in progress and condition. By the end of the 2011 season, over 90 percent of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, the majority of all data are submitted on Monday morning, significantly reducing projection uncertainty. Respondents are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories used as reporting guidelines are available on the NASS website at www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/National_Crop_Progress. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Field Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and respondent comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the Crop Progress report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are subject to revision the following week. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch........................... (202) 720-2127 Jacqueline Moore, Head, Field Crops Section................ (202) 720-2127 Suzanne Avilla - Peanuts, Rice........................ (202) 720-7688 Jacqueline Moore - Oats, Rye, Wheat................... (202) 720-2127 Steve Maliszewski - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum.. (202) 720-5944 Anthony Prillaman - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet...... (202) 720-9526 Julie Schmidt - Crop Weather, Barley, Hay............. (202) 720-7621 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds.. (202) 720-7369 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the "Follow NASS" box under "Receive reports by Email," click on "National" or "State" to select the reports you would like to receive. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. 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