Mt An 4 (6-99) Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released June 25, 1999, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Hogs and Pigs" call Greg Matli at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Down 3 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 1999, was 60.5 million head. This was 3 percent below June 1998, but 1 percent above March 1, 1999. Breeding inventory, at 6.52 million head, was down 6 percent from June 1, 1998, but virtually unchanged from March 1, 1999. Market hog inventory, at 54.0 million head, was 2 percent below last year, but 1 percent above last quarter. The March-May 1999 U.S. pig crop, at 26.3 million head, was 3 percent less than 1998, but 4 percent more than 1997. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.99 million head, 3 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 46 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter rose to an average of 8.80 pigs saved per litter for the March-May period, compared to 8.75 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.80 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.94 million sows farrow during the June-August 1999 quarter, 4 percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 1998, but virtually unchanged from 1997. Intended farrowings for September-November 1999, at 2.87 million sows, are 4 percent below the same period last year and 2 percent below 1997. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 30 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for June 1998 through March 1999 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, import, and export data in U.S. level balance sheets. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of less than one half percent were made to the inventory level for March 1. Adjustments of less than one half percent were made to pig crops for December-February. This report was approved on June 25, 1999. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Michael V. Dunn Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 1997-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :1999 as % of Item : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 :------------- : : : : 1997 : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 55,049 60,163 59,891 109 100 Kept for Breeding : 6,637 6,942 6,527 98 94 Market : 48,412 53,220 53,363 110 100 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 18,490 20,192 19,868 107 98 60-119 Pounds : 11,627 12,791 12,769 110 100 120-179 Pounds : 9,858 10,774 10,935 111 101 180 Pounds and Over : 8,437 9,464 9,792 116 103 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 57,366 62,213 60,536 106 97 Kept for Breeding : 6,789 6,958 6,515 96 94 Market : 50,577 55,254 54,020 107 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,988 21,482 20,502 103 95 60-119 Pounds : 12,574 13,711 13,331 106 97 120-179 Pounds : 10,002 11,084 11,021 110 99 180 Pounds and Over : 8,013 8,978 9,167 114 102 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,456 63,488 Kept for Breeding : 6,858 6,875 Market : 53,598 56,612 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,662 21,189 60-119 Pounds : 13,388 14,032 120-179 Pounds : 10,673 11,555 180 Pounds and Over : 8,875 9,837 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,158 62,206 Kept for Breeding : 6,957 6,682 Market : 54,200 55,523 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,237 20,140 60-119 Pounds : 13,319 13,631 120-179 Pounds : 11,188 11,585 180 Pounds and Over : 9,457 10,168 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs Per Litter, United States, 1997-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : 1999 as % of Item : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 :--------------- : : : : 1997 : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,684 2,929 2,897 108 99 Mar-May : 2,911 3,086 2,990 103 97 Dec-May 2/ : 5,595 6,014 5,887 105 98 : Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,946 3,054 2,936 100 96 Sep-Nov 3/ : 2,939 2,993 2,870 98 96 Jun-Nov 3/ : 5,884 6,047 5,805 99 96 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 23,164 25,480 25,293 109 99 Mar-May : 25,229 26,989 26,301 104 97 Dec-May 2/ : 48,394 52,469 51,594 107 98 : Jun-Aug : 25,696 26,634 Sep-Nov : 25,494 25,902 Jun-Nov : 51,190 52,535 : : ------------- Number ------------- Percent Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.63 8.70 8.73 101 100 Mar-May : 8.67 8.75 8.80 101 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.65 8.72 8.76 101 100 : Jun-Aug : 8.72 8.72 Sep-Nov : 8.67 8.65 Jun-Nov : 8.70 8.69 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 1999. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 1998-99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 1998 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.10 7.90 8.30 8.50 8.80 8.90 Mar-May : 7.40 8.10 8.40 8.50 8.80 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.30 8.10 8.40 8.60 8.80 8.90 Sep-Nov : 7.70 8.00 8.20 8.50 8.70 8.90 : 1999 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.10 8.20 8.40 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.80 8.10 8.30 8.70 8.70 9.00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States December-November 1998-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 940 948 8.71 8.71 8,190 8,260 Jan : 995 972 8.72 8.73 8,675 8,482 Feb : 994 977 8.67 8.75 8,615 8,551 Mar : 1,010 1,003 8.69 8.81 8,780 8,833 Apr : 1,040 1,008 8.80 8.78 9,150 8,846 May : 1,036 979 8.74 8.81 9,059 8,622 Jun : 1,050 8.74 9,175 Jul : 1,014 8.73 8,850 Aug : 990 8.70 8,609 Sep : 1,042 8.64 9,000 Oct : 997 8.63 8,600 Nov : 954 8.70 8,302 : Total : 12,062 8.71 105,005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 1998-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : : 1999 : : 1999 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 700 625 89 810 735 91 GA : 70 70 100 420 420 100 490 490 100 IL : 550 470 85 4,150 3,880 93 4,700 4,350 93 IN : 470 420 89 3,580 3,380 94 4,050 3,800 94 IA : 1,300 1,220 94 12,800 13,380 105 14,100 14,600 104 KS : 195 165 85 1,305 1,365 105 1,500 1,530 102 KY : 70 65 93 490 405 83 560 470 84 MI : 130 110 85 870 880 101 1,000 990 99 MN : 630 590 94 5,070 5,010 99 5,700 5,600 98 MO : 440 400 91 2,960 2,700 91 3,400 3,100 91 NE : 430 420 98 3,020 2,880 95 3,450 3,300 96 NC : 1,050 1,000 95 8,450 8,500 101 9,500 9,500 100 OH : 210 195 93 1,440 1,455 101 1,650 1,650 100 OK : 260 290 112 1,510 1,760 117 1,770 2,050 116 PA : 120 120 100 980 980 100 1,100 1,100 100 SD : 150 130 87 1,100 1,190 108 1,250 1,320 106 WI : 105 85 81 625 585 94 730 670 92 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 652 667 102 3,750 3,968 106 4,403 4,636 105 : US : 6,942 6,527 94 53,220 53,363 100 60,163 59,891 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 1998-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 220 220 175 155 155 135 150 115 GA : 170 170 105 105 85 80 60 65 IL : 1,510 1,380 980 890 930 870 730 740 IN : 1,370 1,290 900 800 700 690 610 600 IA : 4,200 4,300 3,400 3,380 2,750 2,950 2,450 2,750 KS : 540 515 250 280 235 255 280 315 KY : 200 170 115 100 100 75 75 60 MI : 290 280 220 225 195 190 165 185 MN : 1,960 1,960 1,240 1,230 1,020 990 850 830 MO : 1,370 1,170 640 690 540 500 410 340 NE : 1,220 1,140 750 750 570 550 480 440 NC : 3,350 3,400 1,930 1,950 1,670 1,750 1,500 1,400 OH : 640 580 310 355 300 310 190 210 OK : 610 770 260 300 210 240 430 450 PA : 355 340 260 250 220 210 145 180 SD : 390 410 280 310 240 240 190 230 WI : 250 210 145 135 120 130 110 110 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,547 1,563 831 864 734 770 639 772 : US : 20,192 19,868 12,791 12,769 10,774 10,935 9,464 9,792 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 1998-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : : 1999 : : 1999 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 680 615 90 790 725 92 GA : 70 70 100 430 440 102 500 510 102 IL : 580 460 79 4,420 3,840 87 5,000 4,300 86 IN : 470 410 87 3,730 3,190 86 4,200 3,600 86 IA : 1,300 1,200 92 13,500 14,000 104 14,800 15,200 103 KS : 190 160 84 1,280 1,360 106 1,470 1,520 103 KY : 65 65 100 455 425 93 520 490 94 MI : 130 120 92 1,000 980 98 1,130 1,100 97 MN : 640 600 94 5,260 5,000 95 5,900 5,600 95 MO : 410 410 100 2,890 2,790 97 3,300 3,200 97 NE : 430 410 95 3,020 2,790 92 3,450 3,200 93 NC : 1,050 1,000 95 8,750 8,500 97 9,800 9,500 97 OH : 220 200 91 1,480 1,450 98 1,700 1,650 97 OK : 260 310 119 1,610 1,870 116 1,870 2,180 117 PA : 120 125 104 980 965 98 1,100 1,090 99 SD : 140 130 93 1,210 1,200 99 1,350 1,330 99 WI : 100 80 80 620 570 92 720 650 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 673 655 97 3,939 4,035 102 4,613 4,691 102 : US : 6,958 6,515 94 55,254 54,020 98 62,213 60,536 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 1998-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 250 220 165 150 145 135 120 110 GA : 165 185 120 105 90 90 55 60 IL : 1,750 1,430 1,080 930 900 840 690 640 IN : 1,380 1,230 980 810 780 650 590 500 IA : 4,630 4,550 3,710 3,800 2,860 3,000 2,300 2,650 KS : 525 555 285 290 240 255 230 260 KY : 185 180 110 105 90 80 70 60 MI : 450 430 220 220 190 200 140 130 MN : 2,050 2,000 1,330 1,200 1,050 980 830 820 MO : 1,450 1,240 590 730 510 520 340 300 NE : 1,240 1,130 790 720 560 540 430 400 NC : 3,450 3,400 2,130 2,000 1,770 1,750 1,400 1,350 OH : 660 590 350 375 290 305 180 180 OK : 610 790 300 360 220 270 480 450 PA : 355 360 260 250 215 195 150 160 SD : 455 430 295 280 255 270 205 220 WI : 245 215 160 130 120 125 95 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,632 1,567 836 876 799 816 673 777 : US : 21,482 20,502 13,711 13,331 11,084 11,021 8,978 9,167 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 1997-98 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : : 1998 : : 1998 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1997 : :as % of: 1997 : :as % of: 1997 : :as % of : :Number : 1997 : :Number : 1997 : :Number : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 115 110 96 795 690 87 910 800 88 GA : 65 65 100 505 415 82 570 480 84 IL : 530 540 102 4,070 4,310 106 4,600 4,850 105 IN : 450 450 100 3,400 3,650 107 3,850 4,100 106 IA : 1,350 1,290 96 12,750 14,210 111 14,100 15,500 110 KS : 205 180 88 1,345 1,370 102 1,550 1,550 100 KY : 70 65 93 500 455 91 570 520 91 MI : 130 120 92 970 950 98 1,100 1,070 97 MN : 630 650 103 4,970 5,350 108 5,600 6,000 107 MO : 435 420 97 3,115 2,930 94 3,550 3,350 94 NE : 435 420 97 3,115 2,980 96 3,550 3,400 96 NC : 1,000 1,050 105 8,900 9,250 104 9,900 10,300 104 OH : 200 210 105 1,350 1,540 114 1,550 1,750 113 OK : 215 290 135 1,385 1,690 122 1,600 1,980 124 PA : 120 115 96 980 985 101 1,100 1,100 100 SD : 160 130 81 1,060 1,170 110 1,220 1,300 107 WI : 135 95 70 665 605 91 800 700 88 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 613 675 110 3,723 4,062 109 4,336 4,738 109 : US : 6,858 6,875 100 53,598 56,612 106 60,456 63,488 105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 1997-98 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 265 230 190 180 195 150 145 130 GA : 195 165 130 105 110 85 70 60 IL : 1,540 1,540 970 1,050 820 930 740 790 IN : 1,250 1,330 860 880 680 790 610 650 IA : 4,300 4,560 3,650 4,050 2,650 3,000 2,150 2,600 KS : 590 575 265 290 255 235 235 270 KY : 195 185 120 110 105 90 80 70 MI : 340 300 260 250 200 195 170 205 MN : 2,020 2,110 1,250 1,380 940 1,060 760 800 MO : 1,440 1,300 670 680 520 550 485 400 NE : 1,350 1,300 760 720 580 540 425 420 NC : 3,500 3,620 2,160 2,120 1,850 1,920 1,390 1,590 OH : 610 680 330 360 250 310 160 190 OK : 490 650 250 300 230 270 415 470 PA : 370 350 260 255 205 215 145 165 SD : 430 380 260 280 200 290 170 220 WI : 280 240 150 140 125 120 110 105 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,497 1,674 853 882 758 805 615 702 : US : 20,662 21,189 13,388 14,032 10,673 11,555 8,875 9,837 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 1997-98 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : : 1998 : : 1998 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1997 : :as % of: 1997 : :as % of: 1997 : :as % of : :Number : 1997 : :Number : 1997 : :Number : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 750 640 85 860 750 87 GA : 70 70 100 450 410 91 520 480 92 IL : 550 530 96 4,150 4,320 104 4,700 4,850 103 IN : 460 450 98 3,490 3,600 103 3,950 4,050 103 IA : 1,360 1,260 93 13,240 14,040 106 14,600 15,300 105 KS : 200 170 85 1,330 1,420 107 1,530 1,590 104 KY : 70 65 93 500 455 91 570 520 91 MI : 130 120 92 900 1,000 111 1,030 1,120 109 MN : 650 620 95 5,050 5,080 101 5,700 5,700 100 MO : 440 400 91 3,110 2,900 93 3,550 3,300 93 NE : 440 420 95 3,060 2,980 97 3,500 3,400 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,600 8,700 101 9,600 9,700 101 OH : 210 200 95 1,490 1,500 101 1,700 1,700 100 OK : 240 280 117 1,410 1,640 116 1,650 1,920 116 PA : 120 120 100 980 980 100 1,100 1,100 100 SD : 160 130 81 1,240 1,270 102 1,400 1,400 100 WI : 105 85 81 635 605 95 740 690 93 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 642 652 102 3,815 3,983 104 4,458 4,636 104 : US : 6,957 6,682 96 54,200 55,523 102 61,158 62,206 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 1997-98 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 295 200 165 165 155 150 135 125 GA : 165 160 130 100 100 80 55 70 IL : 1,580 1,550 980 1,050 840 920 750 800 IN : 1,230 1,370 880 840 760 780 620 610 IA : 4,370 4,400 3,650 3,700 2,780 3,120 2,440 2,820 KS : 580 535 260 290 260 280 230 315 KY : 200 185 120 110 105 90 75 70 MI : 320 340 200 270 205 180 175 210 MN : 1,990 2,020 1,270 1,270 990 960 800 830 MO : 1,360 1,130 650 770 610 570 490 430 NE : 1,180 1,165 800 780 640 600 440 435 NC : 3,350 3,400 2,000 2,000 1,840 1,850 1,410 1,450 OH : 650 590 340 370 320 330 180 210 OK : 480 590 260 320 200 265 470 465 PA : 360 340 260 255 210 210 150 175 SD : 450 405 330 320 260 280 200 265 WI : 240 215 155 130 125 130 115 130 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,437 1,545 869 891 788 790 722 758 : US : 20,237 20,140 13,319 13,631 11,188 11,585 9,457 10,168 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 1998-99 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 1999 : per Litter : : 1999 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 1998 : :as % of : : : 1998 : :as % of : : Number : 1998 : 1998 : 1999 : : Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 56 56 100 8.50 8.40 476 470 99 GA : 26 28 108 8.35 8.60 217 241 111 IL : 225 210 93 8.60 8.70 1,935 1,827 94 IN : 195 185 95 8.60 8.60 1,677 1,591 95 IA : 520 480 92 8.70 8.70 4,524 4,176 92 KS : 90 83 92 9.00 8.70 810 722 89 KY : 31 30 97 8.40 8.65 260 260 100 MI : 40 37 93 8.80 9.00 352 333 95 MN : 260 255 98 8.95 8.95 2,327 2,282 98 MO : 195 190 97 8.80 8.60 1,716 1,634 95 NE : 165 165 100 8.50 8.55 1,403 1,411 101 NC : 515 530 103 8.90 8.85 4,584 4,691 102 OH : 89 86 97 8.50 8.50 757 731 97 OK : 117 150 128 8.90 9.20 1,041 1,380 133 PA : 47 47 100 8.60 8.70 404 409 101 SD : 58 50 86 8.60 8.90 499 445 89 WI : 42 37 88 8.20 8.35 344 309 90 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 258 278 108 8.35 8.56 2,154 2,381 111 : US : 2,929 2,897 99 8.70 8.73 25,480 25,293 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 1998-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 1999 : per Litter : : 1999 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 1998 : :as % of : : : 1998 : :as % of : : Number : 1998 : 1998 : 1999 : : Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 56 55 98 8.40 8.50 470 468 100 GA : 25 31 124 8.40 8.60 210 267 127 IL : 255 210 82 8.60 8.65 2,193 1,817 83 IN : 195 175 90 8.70 8.70 1,697 1,523 90 IA : 550 520 95 8.70 8.70 4,785 4,524 95 KS : 90 85 94 8.90 9.10 801 774 97 KY : 30 31 103 8.40 8.75 252 271 108 MI : 53 55 104 8.90 8.90 472 490 104 MN : 275 265 96 8.90 8.95 2,448 2,372 97 MO : 195 195 100 8.90 8.80 1,736 1,716 99 NE : 170 165 97 8.40 8.60 1,428 1,419 99 NC : 540 530 98 8.90 8.90 4,806 4,717 98 OH : 90 85 94 8.70 8.80 783 748 96 OK : 129 160 124 9.10 9.10 1,174 1,456 124 PA : 48 47 98 8.70 8.80 418 414 99 SD : 65 60 92 8.70 8.90 566 534 94 WI : 43 35 81 8.50 8.25 366 289 79 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 277 286 103 8.61 8.75 2,384 2,502 105 : US : 3,086 2,990 97 8.75 8.80 26,989 26,301 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 1997-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 1999 3/ : per Litter : : 1998 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 1997 : 1998 : :as % of: : : 1997 : :as % of : : :Number : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : :Number : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 58 57 53 93 8.60 8.50 499 485 97 GA : 29 25 30 120 8.40 8.45 244 211 86 IL : 220 230 200 87 8.40 8.60 1,848 1,978 107 IN : 190 190 180 95 8.40 8.65 1,596 1,644 103 IA : 540 530 500 94 8.80 8.75 4,752 4,638 98 KS : 95 92 80 87 9.20 8.70 874 800 92 KY : 31 29 31 107 8.35 8.40 259 244 94 MI : 54 52 52 100 8.70 8.90 470 463 99 MN : 260 280 260 93 8.85 8.90 2,301 2,492 108 MO : 195 195 185 95 8.90 8.70 1,736 1,697 98 NE : 165 170 170 100 8.55 8.60 1,411 1,462 104 NC : 515 550 530 96 8.90 8.80 4,584 4,840 106 OH : 90 90 87 97 8.30 8.75 747 788 105 OK : 98 134 160 119 9.40 9.10 921 1,219 132 PA : 49 48 47 98 8.70 8.70 426 418 98 SD : 68 57 55 96 8.50 8.70 578 496 86 WI : 48 42 32 76 8.50 8.35 408 351 86 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 241 283 284 100 8.47 8.51 2,042 2,408 118 : US : 2,946 3,054 2,936 96 8.72 8.72 25,696 26,634 104 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 1997-99 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 1999 3/ : per Litter : : 1998 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 1997 : 1998 : :as % of: : : 1997 : :as % of : : :Number : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : :Number : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 55 56 55 98 8.40 8.50 462 476 103 GA : 25 28 29 104 8.35 8.30 209 232 111 IL : 240 235 200 85 8.40 8.60 2,016 2,021 100 IN : 190 195 175 90 8.50 8.65 1,615 1,687 104 IA : 520 510 460 90 8.60 8.70 4,472 4,437 99 KS : 95 90 82 91 9.20 8.70 874 783 90 KY : 31 30 31 103 8.35 8.50 259 255 98 MI : 48 52 50 96 8.70 8.50 418 442 106 MN : 260 265 255 96 8.90 8.85 2,314 2,345 101 MO : 200 190 185 97 8.90 8.60 1,780 1,634 92 NE : 165 175 170 97 8.50 8.50 1,403 1,488 106 NC : 510 520 530 102 8.85 8.65 4,514 4,498 100 OH : 90 90 85 94 8.60 8.60 774 774 100 OK : 99 135 155 115 9.30 9.10 921 1,229 133 PA : 48 46 48 104 8.70 8.90 418 409 98 SD : 70 60 55 92 8.60 8.60 602 516 86 WI : 43 39 30 77 8.30 8.25 357 322 90 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 250 277 275 99 8.34 8.50 2,086 2,354 113 : US : 2,939 2,993 2,870 96 8.67 8.65 25,494 25,902 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Reliability of June 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of 13,600 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 11,700 operations, 86 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of June by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of June 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds to it estimates of births and imports, and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 60.5 million head by more than 1.9 percent, or about 1,150,000 head. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 3.3 percent, or about 1,998,000 head (the 90 percent confidence level). Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.9 3.3 1,998 795 40 2,820 10 10 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 2.0 3.4 894 378 6 1,009 7 13 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : 2.8 4.9 144 61 1 225 11 9 Quarter : : Following : 5.1 8.8 253 112 17 380 12 8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February . . . . . . . . . 16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November. . . . . . . . . 19 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs Per Litter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November . . . . . . . . . .6 Pigs per Litter: by Size of Operation, United States. . . . . . .5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 The next "Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on September 24, 1999. 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