Mt An 4 (9-99) Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 24, 1999, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Hogs and Pigs" call Rodger Ott at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Down 4 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 1999, was 60.7 million head. This was 4 percent below September 1998, but slightly above June 1, 1999. Breeding inventory, at 6.29 million head, was down 8 percent from September 1, 1998, and down 3 percent from June 1, 1999. Market hog inventory, at 54.4 million head, was 4 percent below last year, but 1 percent above last quarter. -Special Note- NASS PROGRAM CHANGES: The National Agricultural Statistics Service has completed a preliminary review of it's statistical program to make sure it best meets the needs of data users in the future. These changes are documented at the following web site: http://www.usda.gov/nass/events/events.htm This site can be reached through the NASS home page by clicking on "Coming Events and News" under AGENCY INFORMATION. The proposed program changes are the first subject. The June-August 1999 U.S. pig crop, at 25.9 million head, was 3 percent less than 1998, but 1 percent more than 1997. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.93 million head, 4 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 45 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter rose to an average of 8.86 pigs saved per litter for the June-August period, compared to 8.72 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.80 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.85 million sows farrow during the September-November 1999 quarter, 5 percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 1998, and 3 percent below 1997. Intended farrowings for December 1999-February 2000, at 2.81 million sows, are 3 percent below the same period last year and 4 percent below 1998. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 31 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 1998 through June 1999 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, import, and export data in U.S. level balance sheets. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of one half percent were made to the inventory level for March 1, and less than one half percent were made to the inventory level for June 1. This report was approved on September 24, 1999. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Eileen Kennedy Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 1997-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :1999 as % of Item : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 :------------- : : : : 1997 : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 55,049 60,163 60,191 109 100 Kept for Breeding : 6,637 6,942 6,527 98 94 Market : 48,412 53,220 53,663 111 101 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 18,490 20,192 19,978 108 99 60-119 Pounds : 11,627 12,791 12,899 111 101 120-179 Pounds : 9,858 10,774 10,995 112 102 180 Pounds and Over : 8,437 9,464 9,792 116 103 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 57,366 62,213 60,686 106 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,789 6,958 6,515 96 94 Market : 50,577 55,254 54,170 107 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 19,988 21,482 20,532 103 96 60-119 Pounds : 12,574 13,711 13,451 107 98 120-179 Pounds : 10,002 11,084 11,021 110 99 180 Pounds and Over : 8,013 8,978 9,167 114 102 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,456 63,488 60,736 100 96 Kept for Breeding : 6,858 6,875 6,291 92 92 Market : 53,598 56,612 54,444 102 96 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,662 21,189 20,273 98 96 60-119 Pounds : 13,388 14,032 13,424 100 96 120-179 Pounds : 10,673 11,555 11,149 104 96 180 Pounds and Over : 8,875 9,837 9,599 108 98 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 61,158 62,206 Kept for Breeding : 6,957 6,682 Market : 54,200 55,523 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,237 20,140 60-119 Pounds : 13,319 13,631 120-179 Pounds : 11,188 11,585 180 Pounds and Over : 9,457 10,168 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs Per Litter, United States, 1997-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 1999 as % of : 2000 Item : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 1997 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ---- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,684 2,929 2,897 2,808 108 99 97 Mar-May : 2,911 3,086 2,990 103 97 Dec-May 2/ : 5,595 6,014 5,887 105 98 : Jun-Aug : 2,946 3,054 2,925 99 96 Sep-Nov 4/ : 2,939 2,993 2,850 97 95 Jun-Nov 5/ : 5,884 6,047 5,775 98 96 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 23,164 25,480 25,293 109 99 Mar-May : 25,229 26,989 26,301 104 97 Dec-May 2/ : 48,394 52,469 51,594 107 98 : Jun-Aug : 25,696 26,634 25,907 101 97 Sep-Nov : 25,494 25,902 Jun-Nov : 51,190 52,535 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ---- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.63 8.70 8.73 101 100 Mar-May : 8.67 8.75 8.80 101 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.65 8.72 8.76 101 100 : Jun-Aug : 8.72 8.72 8.86 102 102 Sep-Nov : 8.67 8.65 Jun-Nov : 8.70 8.69 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2000. 4/ Intentions for 1999. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 1998-1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 1998 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.10 7.90 8.30 8.50 8.80 8.90 Mar-May : 7.40 8.10 8.40 8.50 8.80 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.30 8.10 8.40 8.60 8.80 8.90 Sep-Nov : 7.70 8.00 8.20 8.50 8.70 8.90 : 1999 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.10 8.20 8.40 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.80 8.10 8.30 8.70 8.70 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.80 7.90 8.30 8.50 8.90 9.00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States December-November 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 940 970 8.71 8.72 8,190 8,460 Jan : 995 950 8.72 8.72 8,675 8,282 Feb : 994 977 8.67 8.75 8,615 8,551 Mar : 1,010 1,003 8.69 8.81 8,780 8,833 Apr : 1,040 1,008 8.80 8.78 9,150 8,846 May : 1,036 979 8.74 8.81 9,059 8,622 Jun : 1,050 969 8.74 8.90 9,175 8,626 Jul : 1,014 990 8.73 8.84 8,850 8,750 Aug : 990 966 8.70 8.83 8,609 8,531 Sep : 1,042 8.64 9,000 Oct : 997 8.63 8,600 Nov : 954 8.70 8,302 : Total : 12,062 8.71 105,005 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : : 1999 : : 1999 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 700 625 89 810 735 91 GA : 70 70 100 420 420 100 490 490 100 IL : 550 470 85 4,150 3,930 95 4,700 4,400 94 IN : 470 420 89 3,580 3,430 96 4,050 3,850 95 IA : 1,300 1,220 94 12,800 13,580 106 14,100 14,800 105 KS : 195 165 85 1,305 1,365 105 1,500 1,530 102 KY : 70 65 93 490 405 83 560 470 84 MI : 130 110 85 870 880 101 1,000 990 99 MN : 630 590 94 5,070 5,010 99 5,700 5,600 98 MO : 440 400 91 2,960 2,700 91 3,400 3,100 91 NE : 430 420 98 3,020 2,880 95 3,450 3,300 96 NC : 1,050 1,000 95 8,450 8,500 101 9,500 9,500 100 OH : 210 195 93 1,440 1,455 101 1,650 1,650 100 OK : 260 290 112 1,510 1,760 117 1,770 2,050 116 PA : 120 120 100 980 980 100 1,100 1,100 100 SD : 150 130 87 1,100 1,190 108 1,250 1,320 106 WI : 105 85 81 625 585 94 730 670 92 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 652 667 102 3,750 3,968 106 4,403 4,636 105 : US : 6,942 6,527 94 53,220 53,663 101 60,163 60,191 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 220 220 175 155 155 135 150 115 GA : 170 170 105 105 85 80 60 65 IL : 1,510 1,410 980 900 930 880 730 740 IN : 1,370 1,330 900 790 700 710 610 600 IA : 4,200 4,380 3,400 3,480 2,750 2,970 2,450 2,750 KS : 540 515 250 280 235 255 280 315 KY : 200 170 115 100 100 75 75 60 MI : 290 280 220 225 195 190 165 185 MN : 1,960 1,960 1,240 1,230 1,020 990 850 830 MO : 1,370 1,130 640 720 540 510 410 340 NE : 1,220 1,140 750 750 570 550 480 440 NC : 3,350 3,400 1,930 1,950 1,670 1,750 1,500 1,400 OH : 640 580 310 355 300 310 190 210 OK : 610 770 260 300 210 240 430 450 PA : 355 340 260 250 220 210 145 180 SD : 390 410 280 310 240 240 190 230 WI : 250 210 145 135 120 130 110 110 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,547 1,563 831 864 734 770 639 772 : US : 20,192 19,978 12,791 12,899 10,774 10,995 9,464 9,792 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : : 1999 : : 1999 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 680 615 90 790 725 92 GA : 70 70 100 430 440 102 500 510 102 IL : 580 460 79 4,420 3,890 88 5,000 4,350 87 IN : 470 410 87 3,730 3,190 86 4,200 3,600 86 IA : 1,300 1,200 92 13,500 14,100 104 14,800 15,300 103 KS : 190 160 84 1,280 1,360 106 1,470 1,520 103 KY : 65 65 100 455 425 93 520 490 94 MI : 130 120 92 1,000 980 98 1,130 1,100 97 MN : 640 600 94 5,260 5,000 95 5,900 5,600 95 MO : 410 410 100 2,890 2,790 97 3,300 3,200 97 NE : 430 410 95 3,020 2,790 92 3,450 3,200 93 NC : 1,050 1,000 95 8,750 8,500 97 9,800 9,500 97 OH : 220 200 91 1,480 1,450 98 1,700 1,650 97 OK : 260 310 119 1,610 1,870 116 1,870 2,180 117 PA : 120 125 104 980 965 98 1,100 1,090 99 SD : 140 130 93 1,210 1,200 99 1,350 1,330 99 WI : 100 80 80 620 570 92 720 650 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 673 655 97 3,939 4,035 102 4,613 4,691 102 : US : 6,958 6,515 94 55,254 54,170 98 62,213 60,686 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 250 220 165 150 145 135 120 110 GA : 165 185 120 105 90 90 55 60 IL : 1,750 1,460 1,080 950 900 840 690 640 IN : 1,380 1,230 980 810 780 650 590 500 IA : 4,630 4,550 3,710 3,900 2,860 3,000 2,300 2,650 KS : 525 555 285 290 240 255 230 260 KY : 185 180 110 105 90 80 70 60 MI : 450 430 220 220 190 200 140 130 MN : 2,050 2,000 1,330 1,200 1,050 980 830 820 MO : 1,450 1,240 590 730 510 520 340 300 NE : 1,240 1,130 790 720 560 540 430 400 NC : 3,450 3,400 2,130 2,000 1,770 1,750 1,400 1,350 OH : 660 590 350 375 290 305 180 180 OK : 610 790 300 360 220 270 480 450 PA : 355 360 260 250 215 195 150 160 SD : 455 430 295 280 255 270 205 220 WI : 245 215 160 130 120 125 95 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,632 1,567 836 876 799 816 673 777 : US : 21,482 20,532 13,711 13,451 11,084 11,021 8,978 9,167 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : : 1999 : : 1999 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 690 610 88 800 720 90 GA : 65 65 100 415 425 102 480 490 102 IL : 540 430 80 4,310 3,770 87 4,850 4,200 87 IN : 450 400 89 3,650 3,150 86 4,100 3,550 87 IA : 1,290 1,150 89 14,210 14,350 101 15,500 15,500 100 KS : 180 155 86 1,370 1,325 97 1,550 1,480 95 KY : 65 65 100 455 415 91 520 480 92 MI : 120 110 92 950 920 97 1,070 1,030 96 MN : 650 590 91 5,350 4,910 92 6,000 5,500 92 MO : 420 390 93 2,930 2,760 94 3,350 3,150 94 NE : 420 360 86 2,980 2,590 87 3,400 2,950 87 NC : 1,050 1,000 95 9,250 8,900 96 10,300 9,900 96 OH : 210 190 90 1,540 1,400 91 1,750 1,590 91 OK : 290 320 110 1,690 2,020 120 1,980 2,340 118 PA : 115 115 100 985 935 95 1,100 1,050 95 SD : 130 125 96 1,170 1,245 106 1,300 1,370 105 WI : 95 75 79 605 525 87 700 600 86 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 675 641 95 4,062 4,194 103 4,738 4,836 102 : US : 6,875 6,291 92 56,612 54,444 96 63,488 60,736 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 230 225 180 140 150 135 130 110 GA : 165 175 105 105 85 85 60 60 IL : 1,540 1,390 1,050 930 930 820 790 630 IN : 1,330 1,240 880 760 790 620 650 530 IA : 4,560 4,660 4,050 3,940 3,000 3,100 2,600 2,650 KS : 575 555 290 260 235 230 270 280 KY : 185 170 110 100 90 80 70 65 MI : 300 310 250 260 195 190 205 160 MN : 2,110 1,960 1,380 1,180 1,060 970 800 800 MO : 1,300 1,160 680 720 550 530 400 350 NE : 1,300 1,070 720 600 540 520 420 400 NC : 3,620 3,400 2,120 2,100 1,920 1,850 1,590 1,550 OH : 680 580 360 350 310 290 190 180 OK : 650 810 300 380 270 320 470 510 PA : 350 330 255 240 215 200 165 165 SD : 380 415 280 320 290 285 220 225 WI : 240 215 140 115 120 100 105 95 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,674 1,608 882 924 805 824 702 839 : US : 21,189 20,273 14,032 13,424 11,555 11,149 9,837 9,599 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 1997-1998 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1998 : : 1998 : : 1998 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1997 : :as % of: 1997 : :as % of: 1997 : :as % of : :Number : 1997 : :Number : 1997 : :Number : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 750 640 85 860 750 87 GA : 70 70 100 450 410 91 520 480 92 IL : 550 530 96 4,150 4,320 104 4,700 4,850 103 IN : 460 450 98 3,490 3,600 103 3,950 4,050 103 IA : 1,360 1,260 93 13,240 14,040 106 14,600 15,300 105 KS : 200 170 85 1,330 1,420 107 1,530 1,590 104 KY : 70 65 93 500 455 91 570 520 91 MI : 130 120 92 900 1,000 111 1,030 1,120 109 MN : 650 620 95 5,050 5,080 101 5,700 5,700 100 MO : 440 400 91 3,110 2,900 93 3,550 3,300 93 NE : 440 420 95 3,060 2,980 97 3,500 3,400 97 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,600 8,700 101 9,600 9,700 101 OH : 210 200 95 1,490 1,500 101 1,700 1,700 100 OK : 240 280 117 1,410 1,640 116 1,650 1,920 116 PA : 120 120 100 980 980 100 1,100 1,100 100 SD : 160 130 81 1,240 1,270 102 1,400 1,400 100 WI : 105 85 81 635 605 95 740 690 93 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 642 652 102 3,815 3,983 104 4,458 4,636 104 : US : 6,957 6,682 96 54,200 55,523 102 61,158 62,206 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 1997-1998 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 295 200 165 165 155 150 135 125 GA : 165 160 130 100 100 80 55 70 IL : 1,580 1,550 980 1,050 840 920 750 800 IN : 1,230 1,370 880 840 760 780 620 610 IA : 4,370 4,400 3,650 3,700 2,780 3,120 2,440 2,820 KS : 580 535 260 290 260 280 230 315 KY : 200 185 120 110 105 90 75 70 MI : 320 340 200 270 205 180 175 210 MN : 1,990 2,020 1,270 1,270 990 960 800 830 MO : 1,360 1,130 650 770 610 570 490 430 NE : 1,180 1,165 800 780 640 600 440 435 NC : 3,350 3,400 2,000 2,000 1,840 1,850 1,410 1,450 OH : 650 590 340 370 320 330 180 210 OK : 480 590 260 320 200 265 470 465 PA : 360 340 260 255 210 210 150 175 SD : 450 405 330 320 260 280 200 265 WI : 240 215 155 130 125 130 115 130 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,437 1,545 869 891 788 790 722 758 : US : 20,237 20,140 13,319 13,631 11,188 11,585 9,457 10,168 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 1998-2000 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2000 4/ : Per Litter : : 1999 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 1998 : 1999 : :as % of: : : 1998 : :as % of : : :Number : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : :Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 56 56 56 100 8.50 8.40 476 470 99 GA : 26 28 29 104 8.35 8.60 217 241 111 IL : 225 210 180 86 8.60 8.70 1,935 1,827 94 IN : 195 185 170 92 8.60 8.60 1,677 1,591 95 IA : 520 480 450 94 8.70 8.70 4,524 4,176 92 KS : 90 83 78 94 9.00 8.70 810 722 89 KY : 31 30 29 97 8.40 8.65 260 260 100 MI : 40 37 44 119 8.80 9.00 352 333 95 MN : 260 255 255 100 8.95 8.95 2,327 2,282 98 MO : 195 190 170 89 8.80 8.60 1,716 1,634 95 NE : 165 165 145 88 8.50 8.55 1,403 1,411 101 NC : 515 530 550 104 8.90 8.85 4,584 4,691 102 OH : 89 86 81 94 8.50 8.50 757 731 97 OK : 117 150 160 107 8.90 9.20 1,041 1,380 133 PA : 47 47 44 94 8.60 8.70 404 409 101 SD : 58 50 55 110 8.60 8.90 499 445 89 WI : 42 37 33 89 8.20 8.35 344 309 90 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 258 278 279 100 8.35 8.56 2,154 2,381 111 : US : 2,929 2,897 2,808 97 8.70 8.73 25,480 25,293 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 1999 : per Litter : : 1999 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 1998 : :as % of : : : 1998 : :as % of : : Number : 1998 : 1998 : 1999 : : Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 56 55 98 8.40 8.50 470 468 100 GA : 25 31 124 8.40 8.60 210 267 127 IL : 255 210 82 8.60 8.65 2,193 1,817 83 IN : 195 175 90 8.70 8.70 1,697 1,523 90 IA : 550 520 95 8.70 8.70 4,785 4,524 95 KS : 90 85 94 8.90 9.10 801 774 97 KY : 30 31 103 8.40 8.75 252 271 108 MI : 53 55 104 8.90 8.90 472 490 104 MN : 275 265 96 8.90 8.95 2,448 2,372 97 MO : 195 195 100 8.90 8.80 1,736 1,716 99 NE : 170 165 97 8.40 8.60 1,428 1,419 99 NC : 540 530 98 8.90 8.90 4,806 4,717 98 OH : 90 85 94 8.70 8.80 783 748 96 OK : 129 160 124 9.10 9.10 1,174 1,456 124 PA : 48 47 98 8.70 8.80 418 414 99 SD : 65 60 92 8.70 8.90 566 534 94 WI : 43 35 81 8.50 8.25 366 289 79 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 277 286 103 8.61 8.75 2,384 2,502 105 : US : 3,086 2,990 97 8.75 8.80 26,989 26,301 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 1999 : per Litter : : 1999 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 1998 : :as % of : : : 1998 : :as % of : : Number : 1998 : 1998 : 1999 : : Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 57 57 100 8.50 8.50 485 485 100 GA : 25 30 120 8.45 8.60 211 258 122 IL : 230 200 87 8.60 8.60 1,978 1,720 87 IN : 190 170 89 8.65 8.75 1,644 1,488 91 IA : 530 490 92 8.75 9.00 4,638 4,410 95 KS : 92 82 89 8.70 8.80 800 722 90 KY : 29 29 100 8.40 8.80 244 255 105 MI : 52 51 98 8.90 9.00 463 459 99 MN : 280 265 95 8.90 9.00 2,492 2,385 96 MO : 195 180 92 8.70 8.80 1,697 1,584 93 NE : 170 150 88 8.60 8.65 1,462 1,298 89 NC : 550 540 98 8.80 9.00 4,840 4,860 100 OH : 90 85 94 8.75 8.70 788 740 94 OK : 134 165 123 9.10 9.00 1,219 1,485 122 PA : 48 44 92 8.70 8.90 418 392 94 SD : 57 55 96 8.70 9.00 496 495 100 WI : 42 34 81 8.35 8.60 351 292 83 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 283 298 105 8.51 8.65 2,408 2,579 107 : US : 3,054 2,925 96 8.72 8.86 26,634 25,907 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 1997-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 1999 3/ : per Litter : : 1998 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 1997 : 1998 : :as % of: : : 1997 : :as % of : : :Number : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : :Number : 1997 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 55 56 56 100 8.40 8.50 462 476 103 GA : 25 28 29 104 8.35 8.30 209 232 111 IL : 240 235 190 81 8.40 8.60 2,016 2,021 100 IN : 190 195 165 85 8.50 8.65 1,615 1,687 104 IA : 520 510 470 92 8.60 8.70 4,472 4,437 99 KS : 95 90 78 87 9.20 8.70 874 783 90 KY : 31 30 29 97 8.35 8.50 259 255 98 MI : 48 52 50 96 8.70 8.50 418 442 106 MN : 260 265 255 96 8.90 8.85 2,314 2,345 101 MO : 200 190 180 95 8.90 8.60 1,780 1,634 92 NE : 165 175 150 86 8.50 8.50 1,403 1,488 106 NC : 510 520 550 106 8.85 8.65 4,514 4,498 100 OH : 90 90 80 89 8.60 8.60 774 774 100 OK : 99 135 160 119 9.30 9.10 921 1,229 133 PA : 48 46 44 96 8.70 8.90 418 409 98 SD : 70 60 55 92 8.60 8.60 602 516 86 WI : 43 39 33 85 8.30 8.25 357 322 90 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 250 277 276 100 8.34 8.50 2,086 2,354 113 : US : 2,939 2,993 2,850 95 8.67 8.65 25,494 25,902 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Reliability of September 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of 13,600 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 11,500 operations, 85 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of September by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds to it estimates of births and imports, and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 60.7 million head by more than 1.9 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 3.2 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.9 3.2 1,944 780 47 2,820 10 10 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.9 3.2 829 342 0 1,009 8 12 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : 2.5 4.4 125 55 1 161 11 9 Quarter : : Following : 4.8 8.4 236 104 17 380 12 8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs Per Litter, United States. .5 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Pigs per Litter: by Size of Operation, United States. . . . . . . . . . . .5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 The next "Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on December 28, 1999. 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