Mt An 4 (9-00) Hogs and Pigs National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released September 22, 2000, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Hogs and Pigs" call Rodger Ott at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory Down 1 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2000, was 60.2 million head. This was 1 percent below September 1999, but 1 percent above June 1, 2000. Breeding inventory, at 6.27 million head, was down 1 percent from September 1, 1999, but up 1 percent from June 1, 2000. Market hog inventory, at 53.9 million head, was 1 percent below last year, but 1 percent above last quarter. The June-August 2000 U.S. pig crop, at 25.7 million head, was 1 percent less than 1999, and 4 percent less than 1998. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.90 million head, 1 percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 47 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter was 8.85 pigs saved per litter for the June-August period, compared to 8.86 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.88 million sows farrow during the September-November 2000 quarter, 1 percent above the actual farrowings during the same period in 1999, but 4 percent below 1998. Intended farrowings for December 2000-February 2001, at 2.89 million sows, are 3 percent above the same period in 2000 and up slightly from 1999. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 33 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 31 percent last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 1999 through June 2000 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, import, and export data in U.S. level balance sheets. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of less than one percent were made to the inventory level for March 1 and one percent to the December 1999-February 2000 pig crop. This report was approved on September 22, 2000. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Acting Chairperson Jack Nealon Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States, 1998-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2000 as % of Item : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 :------------- : : : : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent : March 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 60,163 60,191 57,777 96 96 Kept for Breeding : 6,942 6,527 6,200 89 95 Market : 53,220 53,663 51,578 97 96 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,192 19,978 19,203 95 96 60-119 Pounds : 12,791 12,899 12,409 97 96 120-179 Pounds : 10,774 10,995 10,552 98 96 180 Pounds and Over : 9,464 9,792 9,414 99 96 : June 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 62,213 60,896 59,397 95 98 Kept for Breeding : 6,958 6,515 6,234 90 96 Market : 55,254 54,380 53,164 96 98 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 21,482 20,532 20,128 94 98 60-119 Pounds : 13,711 13,501 13,287 97 98 120-179 Pounds : 11,084 11,076 10,720 97 97 180 Pounds and Over : 8,978 9,272 9,029 101 97 : September 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 63,488 60,776 60,185 95 99 Kept for Breeding : 6,875 6,301 6,266 91 99 Market : 56,612 54,474 53,920 95 99 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 21,189 20,243 20,041 95 99 60-119 Pounds : 14,032 13,414 13,275 95 99 120-179 Pounds : 11,555 11,129 11,047 96 99 180 Pounds and Over : 9,837 9,689 9,557 97 99 : December 1 Inventory : All Hogs and Pigs : 62,206 59,337 Kept for Breeding : 6,682 6,244 Market : 55,523 53,094 : Market Hogs and Pigs : by Weight Groups : Under 60 Pounds : 20,140 19,228 60-119 Pounds : 13,631 13,106 120-179 Pounds : 11,585 11,073 180 Pounds and Over : 10,168 9,687 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs Per Litter, United States, 1998-2001 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : 2000 as % of : 2001 Item : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 : 2001 :---------------:as % of : : : : : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ ----- Percent ----- : Sows Farrowing : Dec-Feb 2/ 3/ : 2,929 2,891 2,798 2,894 96 97 103 Mar-May : 3,086 2,986 2,900 94 97 Dec-May 2/ : 6,014 5,877 5,698 95 97 : Jun-Aug : 3,054 2,920 2,903 95 99 Sep-Nov 4/ : 2,993 2,844 2,883 96 101 Jun-Nov 5/ : 6,047 5,764 5,786 96 100 : Pig Crop : Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,480 25,247 24,522 96 97 Mar-May : 26,989 26,270 25,786 96 98 Dec-May 2/ : 52,469 51,517 50,309 96 98 : Jun-Aug : 26,634 25,860 25,681 96 99 Sep-Nov : 25,902 24,972 Jun-Nov : 52,535 50,832 : : ------------- Number ------------- ----- Percent ----- Pigs per Litter : Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.70 8.73 8.76 101 100 Mar-May : 8.75 8.80 8.89 102 101 Dec-May 2/ : 8.72 8.77 8.83 101 101 : Jun-Aug : 8.72 8.86 8.85 101 100 Sep-Nov : 8.66 8.78 Jun-Nov : 8.69 8.82 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ December preceding year. 3/ Intentions for 2001. 4/ Intentions for 2000. 5/ Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November. Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Pigs per Litter on Operations Having :----------------------------------------------------------------- Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+ : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 1999 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.60 8.10 8.20 8.40 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.80 8.10 8.30 8.70 8.70 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.80 7.90 8.30 8.50 8.90 9.00 Sep-Nov : 7.40 8.40 8.40 8.70 8.80 8.90 : 2000 : Dec-Feb 1/ : 7.50 7.90 8.20 8.50 8.70 8.90 Mar-May : 7.80 8.00 8.40 8.60 8.80 9.00 Jun-Aug : 7.40 7.90 8.30 8.60 8.80 9.00 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States December-November 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop Month :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head --- : Dec 1/ : 960 922 8.81 8.78 8,460 8,091 Jan : 954 911 8.63 8.76 8,236 7,977 Feb : 977 965 8.75 8.76 8,551 8,454 Mar : 991 976 8.78 8.90 8,700 8,685 Apr : 1,005 962 8.80 8.88 8,846 8,545 May : 990 962 8.81 8.89 8,724 8,556 Jun : 980 977 8.88 8.84 8,700 8,632 Jul : 973 946 8.85 8.85 8,610 8,372 Aug : 967 980 8.84 8.85 8,550 8,677 Sep : 970 8.83 8,563 Oct : 950 8.74 8,303 Nov : 924 8.77 8,106 : Total : 11,641 8.79 102,349 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : : 2000 : : 2000 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1999 : :as % of: 1999 : :as % of: 1999 : :as % of : :Number : 1999 : :Number : 1999 : :Number : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 625 580 93 735 690 94 CO : 190 205 108 650 645 99 840 850 101 IL : 470 430 91 3,930 3,620 92 4,400 4,050 92 IN : 420 350 83 3,430 2,800 82 3,850 3,150 82 IA : 1,220 1,160 95 13,580 13,640 100 14,800 14,800 100 KS : 165 145 88 1,365 1,255 92 1,530 1,400 92 MI : 110 120 109 880 840 95 990 960 97 MN : 590 570 97 5,010 4,830 96 5,600 5,400 96 MO : 400 380 95 2,700 2,620 97 3,100 3,000 97 NE : 420 390 93 2,880 2,610 91 3,300 3,000 91 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,500 8,400 99 9,500 9,400 99 OH : 195 160 82 1,455 1,270 87 1,650 1,430 87 OK : 290 310 107 1,760 1,880 107 2,050 2,190 107 PA : 120 120 100 980 870 89 1,100 990 90 SD : 130 125 96 1,190 1,105 93 1,320 1,230 93 TX : 90 80 89 670 780 116 760 860 113 WI : 85 65 76 585 505 86 670 570 85 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 522 480 92 3,473 3,328 96 3,996 3,807 95 : US : 6,527 6,200 95 53,663 51,578 96 60,191 57,777 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 220 220 155 135 135 125 115 100 CO : 335 370 105 90 100 90 110 95 IL : 1,410 1,260 900 880 880 820 740 660 IN : 1,330 1,100 790 650 710 550 600 500 IA : 4,380 4,310 3,480 3,590 2,970 2,970 2,750 2,770 KS : 515 510 280 245 255 230 315 270 MI : 280 295 225 215 190 170 185 160 MN : 1,960 1,910 1,230 1,150 990 960 830 810 MO : 1,130 1,140 720 680 510 510 340 290 NE : 1,140 1,020 750 630 550 550 440 410 NC : 3,400 3,400 1,950 1,950 1,750 1,650 1,400 1,400 OH : 580 535 355 290 310 270 210 175 OK : 770 840 300 300 240 250 450 490 PA : 340 325 250 225 210 180 180 140 SD : 410 370 310 280 240 250 230 205 TX : 295 245 135 165 110 170 130 200 WI : 210 195 135 110 130 100 110 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,273 1,158 829 824 715 707 657 639 : US : 19,978 19,203 12,899 12,409 10,995 10,552 9,792 9,414 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : : 2000 : : 2000 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1999 : :as % of: 1999 : :as % of: 1999 : :as % of : :Number : 1999 : :Number : 1999 : :Number : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 615 580 94 725 690 95 CO : 200 210 105 700 680 97 900 890 99 IL : 460 430 93 3,890 3,720 96 4,350 4,150 95 IN : 410 350 85 3,190 2,950 92 3,600 3,300 92 IA : 1,200 1,160 97 14,300 14,340 100 15,500 15,500 100 KS : 160 150 94 1,360 1,240 91 1,520 1,390 91 MI : 120 110 92 980 890 91 1,100 1,000 91 MN : 600 580 97 5,000 5,120 102 5,600 5,700 102 MO : 410 380 93 2,790 2,670 96 3,200 3,050 95 NE : 410 370 90 2,790 2,580 92 3,200 2,950 92 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,500 8,600 101 9,500 9,600 101 OH : 200 160 80 1,450 1,240 86 1,650 1,400 85 OK : 310 340 110 1,870 1,950 104 2,180 2,290 105 PA : 125 125 100 965 925 96 1,090 1,050 96 SD : 130 125 96 1,200 1,105 92 1,330 1,230 92 TX : 85 85 100 685 785 115 770 870 113 WI : 80 65 81 580 515 89 660 580 88 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 505 484 96 3,515 3,274 93 4,021 3,757 93 : US : 6,515 6,234 96 54,380 53,164 98 60,896 59,397 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 220 210 150 135 135 130 110 105 CO : 360 390 115 90 115 90 110 110 IL : 1,460 1,360 950 920 840 820 640 620 IN : 1,230 1,170 810 690 650 570 500 520 IA : 4,550 4,570 3,950 4,070 3,050 3,080 2,750 2,620 KS : 555 500 290 245 255 235 260 260 MI : 430 400 220 200 200 160 130 130 MN : 2,000 2,060 1,200 1,250 980 1,020 820 790 MO : 1,240 1,210 730 650 520 510 300 300 NE : 1,130 1,040 720 660 540 500 400 380 NC : 3,400 3,500 2,000 2,000 1,750 1,700 1,350 1,400 OH : 590 520 375 290 305 270 180 160 OK : 790 840 360 400 270 240 450 470 PA : 360 340 250 250 195 195 160 140 SD : 430 390 280 310 270 240 220 165 TX : 250 230 135 200 140 160 160 195 WI : 215 195 130 120 130 110 105 90 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,322 1,203 836 807 731 690 627 574 : US : 20,532 20,128 13,501 13,287 11,076 10,720 9,272 9,029 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 2000 : : 2000 : : 2000 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1999 : :as % of: 1999 : :as % of: 1999 : :as % of : :Number : 1999 : :Number : 1999 : :Number : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 105 95 610 575 94 720 680 94 CO : 200 205 103 750 685 91 950 890 94 IL : 430 420 98 3,770 3,680 98 4,200 4,100 98 IN : 400 360 90 3,150 2,990 95 3,550 3,350 94 IA : 1,150 1,160 101 14,450 14,340 99 15,600 15,500 99 KS : 155 155 100 1,325 1,405 106 1,480 1,560 105 MI : 110 110 100 920 910 99 1,030 1,020 99 MN : 590 580 98 4,910 5,120 104 5,500 5,700 104 MO : 390 380 97 2,710 2,620 97 3,100 3,000 97 NE : 360 400 111 2,590 2,700 104 2,950 3,100 105 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,900 8,800 99 9,900 9,800 99 OH : 190 160 84 1,400 1,270 91 1,590 1,430 90 OK : 330 340 103 2,000 2,010 101 2,330 2,350 101 PA : 115 115 100 935 925 99 1,050 1,040 99 SD : 125 130 104 1,245 1,150 92 1,370 1,280 93 TX : 80 85 106 740 865 117 820 950 116 WI : 75 65 87 525 525 100 600 590 98 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 491 496 101 3,544 3,350 95 4,036 3,845 95 : US : 6,301 6,266 99 54,474 53,920 99 60,776 60,185 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 225 215 140 135 135 125 110 100 CO : 405 400 125 80 110 80 110 125 IL : 1,390 1,290 930 910 820 830 630 650 IN : 1,240 1,160 760 720 620 580 530 530 IA : 4,660 4,450 3,940 3,910 3,100 3,220 2,750 2,760 KS : 555 540 260 295 230 265 280 305 MI : 310 340 260 240 190 180 160 150 MN : 1,960 2,090 1,180 1,260 970 980 800 790 MO : 1,110 1,120 720 690 530 520 350 290 NE : 1,070 1,130 600 670 520 510 400 390 NC : 3,400 3,400 2,100 2,100 1,850 1,800 1,550 1,500 OH : 580 560 350 275 290 260 180 175 OK : 830 930 370 330 300 250 500 500 PA : 330 340 240 245 200 190 165 150 SD : 415 420 320 290 285 255 225 185 TX : 270 250 155 180 130 185 185 250 WI : 215 195 115 120 100 110 95 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,278 1,211 849 825 749 707 669 607 : US : 20,243 20,041 13,414 13,275 11,129 11,047 9,689 9,557 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1, 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Breeding : Market : Total :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 1999 : : 1999 : : 1999 State : :---------------: :---------------: :--------------- : 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of: 1998 : :as % of : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 : :Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 110 110 100 640 600 94 750 710 95 CO : 180 210 117 690 700 101 870 910 105 IL : 530 420 79 4,320 3,630 84 4,850 4,050 84 IN : 450 370 82 3,600 2,880 80 4,050 3,250 80 IA : 1,260 1,160 92 14,040 14,240 101 15,300 15,400 101 KS : 170 150 88 1,420 1,310 92 1,590 1,460 92 MI : 120 120 100 1,000 860 86 1,120 980 88 MN : 620 560 90 5,080 4,940 97 5,700 5,500 96 MO : 400 410 103 2,900 2,740 94 3,300 3,150 95 NE : 420 390 93 2,980 2,610 88 3,400 3,000 88 NC : 1,000 1,000 100 8,700 8,500 98 9,700 9,500 98 OH : 200 170 85 1,500 1,310 87 1,700 1,480 87 OK : 280 310 111 1,640 1,950 119 1,920 2,260 118 PA : 120 120 100 980 930 95 1,100 1,050 95 SD : 130 120 92 1,270 1,140 90 1,400 1,260 90 TX : 80 80 100 560 790 141 640 870 136 WI : 85 65 76 605 505 83 690 570 83 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 527 479 91 3,598 3,459 96 4,126 3,937 95 : US : 6,682 6,244 93 55,523 53,094 96 62,206 59,337 95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1, 1998-1999 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs. : 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AR : 200 210 165 140 150 140 125 110 CO : 335 350 120 115 120 110 115 125 IL : 1,550 1,270 1,050 900 920 800 800 660 IN : 1,370 1,090 840 740 780 580 610 470 IA : 4,400 4,360 3,700 3,770 3,120 3,210 2,820 2,900 KS : 535 520 290 310 280 230 315 250 MI : 340 330 270 205 180 170 210 155 MN : 2,020 1,940 1,270 1,190 960 1,030 830 780 MO : 1,130 1,140 770 770 570 520 430 310 NE : 1,165 980 780 650 600 550 435 430 NC : 3,400 3,350 2,000 1,950 1,850 1,750 1,450 1,450 OH : 590 530 370 320 330 285 210 175 OK : 590 820 320 310 265 270 465 550 PA : 340 330 255 250 210 195 175 155 SD : 405 370 320 290 280 270 265 210 TX : 210 280 120 190 115 160 115 160 WI : 215 165 130 135 130 105 130 100 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 1,345 1,193 861 871 725 698 668 697 : US : 20,140 19,228 13,631 13,106 11,585 11,073 10,168 9,687 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Weight groups may not add to Market due to rounding. 2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, December-February 1999-2001 1/ 2/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2001 4/ : Per Litter : : 2000 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 1999 : 2000 : :as % of: : : 1999 : :as % of : : :Number : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : :Number : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 56 56 53 95 8.40 8.55 470 479 102 CO : 73 86 85 99 8.30 8.50 606 731 121 IL : 210 205 195 95 8.70 8.70 1,827 1,784 98 IN : 185 145 155 107 8.60 8.70 1,591 1,262 79 IA : 480 455 480 105 8.70 8.85 4,176 4,027 96 KS : 83 74 76 103 8.70 8.70 722 644 89 MI : 37 44 45 102 9.00 8.80 333 387 116 MN : 255 245 265 108 8.95 8.80 2,282 2,156 94 MO : 190 175 175 100 8.60 8.85 1,634 1,549 95 NE : 165 160 170 106 8.55 8.75 1,411 1,400 99 NC : 530 530 550 104 8.85 8.75 4,691 4,638 99 OH : 86 75 78 104 8.50 8.70 731 653 89 OK : 150 165 175 106 9.20 8.85 1,380 1,460 106 PA : 47 46 48 104 8.70 8.70 409 400 98 SD : 50 58 61 105 8.90 8.90 445 516 116 TX : 37 36 41 114 9.40 9.50 348 342 98 WI : 37 31 29 94 8.35 8.75 309 271 88 : Oth : Sts 5/ : 220 212 213 100 8.54 8.59 1,882 1,823 97 : US : 2,891 2,798 2,894 103 8.73 8.76 25,247 24,522 97 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ December preceding year. 2/ May not add due to rounding. 3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 4/ Intentions. 5/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, March-May 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2000 : per Litter : : 2000 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 1999 : :as % of : : : 1999 : :as % of : : Number : 1999 : 1999 : 2000 : : Number : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 55 55 100 8.50 8.50 468 468 100 CO : 79 89 113 8.50 8.40 672 748 111 IL : 210 210 100 8.65 8.75 1,817 1,838 101 IN : 175 145 83 8.70 8.85 1,523 1,283 84 IA : 520 500 96 8.70 8.90 4,524 4,450 98 KS : 85 77 91 9.10 8.90 774 685 89 MI : 55 50 91 8.90 9.00 490 450 92 MN : 265 265 100 8.95 9.00 2,372 2,385 101 MO : 195 180 92 8.80 8.90 1,716 1,602 93 NE : 165 155 94 8.60 8.90 1,419 1,380 97 NC : 530 540 102 8.90 9.00 4,717 4,860 103 OH : 85 75 88 8.80 9.00 748 675 90 OK : 160 165 103 9.10 8.90 1,456 1,469 101 PA : 47 48 102 8.80 8.80 414 422 102 SD : 60 62 103 8.90 8.90 534 552 103 TX : 37 37 100 9.50 9.50 352 352 100 WI : 36 30 83 8.50 8.85 306 266 87 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 227 217 96 8.68 8.77 1,968 1,901 97 : US : 2,986 2,900 97 8.80 8.89 26,270 25,786 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, June-August 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :--------------------------: Pigs :-------------------------- : : 2000 : per Litter : : 2000 State : :-----------------------------------: :----------------- : 1999 : :as % of : : : 1999 : :as % of : : Number : 1999 : 1999 : 2000 : : Number : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 57 55 96 8.50 8.50 485 468 96 CO : 93 90 97 8.60 8.40 800 756 95 IL : 200 200 100 8.60 8.70 1,720 1,740 101 IN : 170 155 91 8.75 8.75 1,488 1,356 91 IA : 490 480 98 9.00 8.80 4,410 4,224 96 KS : 82 84 102 8.80 8.80 722 739 102 MI : 51 50 98 9.00 9.00 459 450 98 MN : 265 265 100 9.00 9.10 2,385 2,412 101 MO : 180 180 100 8.80 8.90 1,584 1,602 101 NE : 150 160 107 8.65 9.00 1,298 1,440 111 NC : 540 540 100 9.00 8.85 4,860 4,779 98 OH : 85 75 88 8.70 8.85 740 664 90 OK : 165 170 103 9.00 8.90 1,485 1,513 102 PA : 44 49 111 8.90 8.70 392 426 109 SD : 55 62 113 9.00 9.00 495 558 113 TX : 39 43 110 8.90 9.40 347 404 116 WI : 34 30 88 8.60 8.90 292 267 91 : Oth : Sts 3/ : 220 215 98 8.64 8.75 1,898 1,883 99 : US : 2,920 2,903 99 8.86 8.85 25,860 25,681 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop by State and United States, September-November 1998-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/ :-------------------------------: Pigs :----------------------- : : : 2000 3/ : per Litter : : 1999 State : : :-------------------------------: :--------------- : 1998 : 1999 : :as % of: : : 1998 : :as % of : : :Number : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : :Number : 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent : AR : 56 55 53 96 8.50 8.50 476 468 98 CO : 73 87 85 98 8.50 8.30 621 722 116 IL : 235 200 200 100 8.60 8.60 2,021 1,720 85 IN : 195 155 150 97 8.65 8.65 1,687 1,341 79 IA : 510 490 480 98 8.70 8.90 4,437 4,361 98 KS : 90 78 79 101 8.70 8.70 783 679 87 MI : 52 49 51 104 8.50 9.00 442 441 100 MN : 265 245 265 108 8.85 9.00 2,345 2,205 94 MO : 190 190 175 92 8.60 8.70 1,634 1,653 101 NE : 175 160 160 100 8.50 8.75 1,488 1,400 94 NC : 520 520 550 106 8.65 8.75 4,498 4,550 101 OH : 90 74 74 100 8.60 8.70 774 644 83 OK : 135 155 170 110 9.10 9.00 1,229 1,395 114 PA : 46 46 48 104 8.90 8.70 409 400 98 SD : 60 57 62 109 8.60 8.90 516 507 98 TX : 32 38 40 105 8.20 9.40 262 357 136 WI : 39 31 30 97 8.25 8.70 322 270 84 : Oth : Sts 4/ : 230 214 211 99 8.53 8.68 1,958 1,859 95 : US : 2,993 2,844 2,883 101 8.66 8.78 25,902 24,972 96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. 2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 3/ Intentions. 4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States. Reliability of September 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of 13,200 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 11,100 operations, 84 percent of the total sample, during the first-half of September by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of September 1. Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds to it estimates of births and imports, and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 60.2 million head by more than 1.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 3.2 percent. Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : Quarters : Root : 90% : First and Latest :--------------- : Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below : Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Hogs & : 1.8 3.2 1,926 729 0 2,820 10 10 Pigs : : Pig Crop : 1.7 3.0 770 304 3 1,009 12 8 : Expected : Farrowings : : Next : 2.4 4.2 121 50 1 161 12 8 Quarter : : Following : 4.7 8.1 234 96 10 380 11 9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters. Index Page Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs Per Litter, United States5 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, December-February. . . . . . . . . .16 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, June-August. . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, March-May. . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs Per Litter, and Pig Crop, by State and United States, September-November . . . . . . . . .19 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory by State and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter, United States. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, December 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, June 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, March 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group, State, and United States, September 1. . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop, United States, December-November. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Pigs per Litter: by Size of Operation, United States. . . . . . . . . 5 Reliability of Hogs and Pigs Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 The next "Hogs and Pigs" report will be released at 3 p.m. on December 28, 2000. 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